Globalization, economy financing model crisis and the institutional re-structuration of the Brazilian electric power system; Globalizacao, crise do padrao de financiamento da economia e reestruturacao institucional do setor eletrico brasileiro
Maciel, Claudio Schuller
This thesis discusses the crisis in the Brazilian economical financing model and the consequent re-structuration of the Brazilian electric power system, giving special emphasis to: global historical factors; the new economic order; and, the consequences of the financial crisis in the Brazilian electric power system. In addition, it suggests new strategies for the institutional reformulation of the Brazilian electric power system 226 refs., 13 tabs.
Markus K. Brunnermeier; Martin Oehmke
This chapter surveys the literature on bubbles, financial crises, and systemic risk. The first part of the chapter provides a brief historical account of bubbles and financial crisis. The second part of the chapter gives a structured overview of the literature on financial bubbles. The third part of the chapter discusses the literatures on financial crises and systemic risk, with particular emphasis on amplification and propagation mechanisms during financial crises, and the measurement of sy...
We show that the diversification of risks at financial institutions has unwelcome effects by increasing the likelihood of systems crises.As a result, complete diversification is not warranted adn the optimal degree of diversification is arbitrarily low.We also identify externalities that cause
 J Gleick, Chaos: Making of a New Science, Viking, New York, 1987.  C Grebogi, E Ott and J A Yorke, Crises, sudden changes in chaotic attractors and transient chaos, Physica D, 7, 181, 1983.  B-L Hao, Chaos II, World Scientific, Singapore, 1990.  R V Jensen, Classical chaos,American Scientist, Vol. 75, 1987.
This article uses the logistic map as an example to illustrate the vagaries that affiict a chaotic attractor in the course of its progress along a path of varying parameter. Several critical junctures, called crises, are encountered, where the chaotic attractor either goes boom or bust! Some History. It is believed that Poincare, a little ...
Full Text Available This research paper aims to analyse some Early Warning Systems (EWS for predicting financial crises. The importance of such a study is undeniable in the context of the current and future mix of policies applied by the monetary authority, in which financial stability and price stability play an important role. The EWS for crises enable the prediction of the occurrence of a crisis within a specified time period. Hence, the theoretical approach of the main early warning systems for crises, the models based on signal extraction and the logit/probit models represent an important stage in preventing and fighting financial crises.
Lestano, [No Value; Jacobs, Jan; Kuper, Gerard H.
Indicators of financial crisis generally do not have a good track record. This paper presents an early warning system for six countries in Asia, in which indicators do work.We distinguish three types of financial crises, currency crises, banking crises and debt crises, and extract four groups of
The present financial management systems reflects only partially the economic reality and they are no longer able to act as an instrument for the management. It is absurd that an economy populated by business models based on 21st century technology to use financial management systems based mainly on the same principles formalised by Luca Paciolli in 1494. Therefore, one of the causes of the current economic crisis could be the lack of coordination between the evolution of the business models ...
Gennadii Anatol’evich Shcherbakov
Full Text Available The paper aims to look into the origin and nature of global economic crises, the least studied phenomena of the global economic life – the phenomena, the nature of which still has not received a generally accepted explanation in economic science. Market economy has its own laws, the spontaneous nature of which is revealed in times of crises. However, the analysis of global “crisis experience” draws attention to an important feature in the implementation of various forms of crises that remains at all the stages of economic development. Some economic shocks, despite their urgency and scale, gradually give way to recovery and then – to complete recovery. Other end up with weak revival and depression, gradually turning into a new recession. Such crises, depressions, and periods of sluggish economic recovery form the “waves of crisis development” that hold the economy in a depressed condition for a long time. The impact and the consequences of these “waves” of economic shocks that are sequential or overlapping in time go beyond the medium-term economic dynamics. They occur within a long-term (Kondratiev cycle and coincide with its descending phase, when, according to empirically confirmed ideas of the great Russian economist Nikolai Kondratiev, the economy is undergoing a difficult stage of the crisis-depression development that shapes the parameters of future economic growth. The present paper unites the economic events of this stage in the concept of “systemic economic crisis”. This concept is introduced for the purpose of structuring in the single economic process the diverse phenomena occurring at the downward phase of the long-term cycle. Each of them may be due to special causes and have a separate history, but initially, all these events are subordinated to the decision of general systemic problems, and for this reason can be considered as part of the single systemic crisis, the overcoming of which provides the rise of the
Full Text Available The purpose of this research is to create an adequate early warning model for systemic banking crises in Montenegro. The probability of banking crisis occurrence is calculated using discrete dependent variable models, more precisely, estimating logit regression. Afterwards, seven simple logit regressions that individually have two explanatory variables are estimated. Adequate weights have been assigned to all seven regressions using the technique of Bayesian model averaging. The advantage of this technique is that it takes into account the model uncertainty by considering various combinations of models in order to minimize the author’s subjective judgment when determining reliable early warning indicators. The results of Bayesian model averaging largely coincide with the results of a previously estimated dynamic logit model. Indicators of credit expansion, thanks to their performances, have a dominant role in early warning models for systemic banking crises in Montenegro. The results have also shown that the Montenegrin banking system is significantly exposed to trends on the global level.
Karnatak, Rajat; Kantz, Holger; Bialonski, Stephan
The ability to reliably predict critical transitions in dynamical systems is a long-standing goal of diverse scientific communities. Previous work focused on early warning signals related to local bifurcations (critical slowing down) and nonbifurcation-type transitions. We extend this toolbox and report on a characteristic scaling behavior (critical attractor growth) which is indicative of an impending global bifurcation, an interior crisis in excitable systems. We demonstrate our early warning signal in a conceptual climate model as well as in a model of coupled neurons known to exhibit extreme events. We observed critical attractor growth prior to interior crises of chaotic as well as strange-nonchaotic attractors. These observations promise to extend the classes of transitions that can be predicted via early warning signals.
H.J.W.G. Kole (Erik); C.G. Koedijk (Kees); M.J.C.M. Verbeek (Marno)
textabstractSystemic crises can largely affect asset allocations due to the rapid deterioration of the risk-return trade-off. We investigate the effects of systemic crises, interpreted as global simultaneous shocks to financial markets, by introducing an investor adopting a crisis ignorant or crisis
Marcos Antonio Macedo Cintra
Full Text Available A crise financeira iniciada com a elevação da inadimplência e a desvalorização dos imóveis e dos ativos financeiros associados às hipotecas americanas de alto risco (subprime recolocou em debate a arquitetura do sistema financeiro americano e internacional, seus potenciais riscos sistêmicos e seus mecanismos de supervisão e regulação. Uma grande variedade de instituições financeiras frouxamente reguladas e displicentemente supervisionadas passou a constituir a contraparte da transferência de riscos de crédito do sistema bancário e a carregar riscos crescentes. O artigo procura discutir a interação dessas instituições financeiras, incluindo algumas características do principal palco dessa interação - os mercados de balcão - e a utilização de determinadas inovações financeiras que amplificaram a crise. Dada a complexidade e opacidade dessas instituições e mercados, busca ainda explicitar a necessidade de aperfeiçoamentos na sua regulação e supervisão.The financial crisis triggered by increasing default rate, real estate devaluation and financial asset depreciation combined with U.S. subprime mortgages brought about the debate over the framework of the U.S. and international financial systems, their potential systemic risks, and their regulatory and supervisory mechanisms. A great variety of financial institutions which were poorly regulated and badly supervised changed into the counterpart of the credit risk transfer from the banking system and started to hold increasing risks. This paper deals with the interaction of these financial institutions, including a description of some features of the major stage in this process - the so-called over-the-counter (OTC market - and the use of financial innovations which amplified the crisis. It also aims to clarify the need for improvements in terms of regulation and supervision considering the complexity and opacity of these institutions and markets.
Heun, Michael; Schlink, Torsten
The objective of this paper is to implement a prototype of a currency crisis model as part of an early warning system framework for Uganda. The financial systems of developing countries like Uganda are especially vulnerable and therefore robust instruments to predict crises are needed. Our model is based on the signals approach developed by Kaminsky, Lizondo and Reinhart (1998) and Kaminsky and Reinhart (1999). The basic idea of the signals approach is to monitor several indicators that tend ...
Shirazi, Amir Hossein; Saberi, Abbas Ali; Hosseiny, Ali; Amirzadeh, Ehsan; Toranj Simin, Pourya
Extraction of interaction networks from multi-variate time-series is one of the topics of broad interest in complex systems. Although this method has a wide range of applications, most of the previous analyses have focused on the pairwise relations. Here we establish the potential of such a method to elicit aggregated behavior of the system by making a connection with the concepts from percolation theory. We study the dynamical interaction networks of a financial market extracted from the correlation network of indices, and build a weighted network. In correspondence with the percolation model, we find that away from financial crises the interaction network behaves like a critical random network of Erdős-Rényi, while close to a financial crisis, our model deviates from the critical random network and behaves differently at different size scales. We perform further analysis to clarify that our observation is not a simple consequence of the growth in correlations over the crises.
Choudhry, Misbah Tanveer; Marelli, Enrico; Signorelli, Marcello
Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to assess the impact of financial crises on the youth unemployment rate (YUR). The authors consider different types of financial crises (systemic banking crises, non-systemic banking crises, currency crises and debt crises) and different groups of countries,
Nwagwu, Cordelia C.
During 1960-95, unplanned and uncontrolled educational expansion in Nigeria, coupled with a population explosion, military coups, and a depressed economy, created an environment of crisis in the educational system. Problems included poor funding; inadequate facilities; corruption in admissions, certification, and examination practices; emergence…
Erasmo G. Mendes
Full Text Available O autor se reporta a apregoadas crises tanto na fisiologia, como é classicamente entendida, como na que se convencionou chamar fisiologia animal comparativa. Na primeira, a crise residiria em estar cedendo lugar às disciplinas em que se desmembrou (biofísica, bioquímica, farmacologia e, mesmo, imunologia e cada vez menos tendo a possibilidade de fazer pesquisa de ponta. Na segunda, o sentido da pesquisa teria divergido do concebido pelos seus instituidores, que deveria ser o de subsidiar as análises filogenéticas hauridas da anatomia, embriologia e paleontologia. Enfatiza que as referidas disciplinas continuam fisiológicas, a visão holística propiciada pela fisiologia clássica persiste importante e seus problemas de natureza sistêmica estão longe da elucidação satisfatória. Também não procederia a crítica feita à fisiologia comparativa de fracasso nas tentativas de compatibilizar as funções com a filogenia, pois, em casos significativos houve sucesso. Ademais, a fisiologia comparativa, na evolução de seus objetivos, ganhou novas conotações, mormente a ecológica, em que convergências antes que alinhamentos filogenéticos são buscados. Além disso, essa fisiologia tem oferecido à pesquisa básica animais, modelos experimentais mais simples, extremamente adequados ao estudo de funções complexas. Assim, não haveria crises num sentido de perda de objetivos ou mudança de paradigma nos dois casos. Novos rumos? O autor admite novos delineamentos nos estudos de problemas que continuam fundamentalmente os mesmos. Um breve aceno ao caráter prevalentemente positivista da fisiologia é também feito.The author reports on proclaimed crises in classical physiology as well as in the so-called comparative animal physiology. In the former, the crisis would derive from loosing grond to biophysics, biochemistry, pharmacology and, even, immunology in a manner detrimental to holistic and systemic views; lack of opportunity to do
Ansell, C; Boin, R.A.|info:eu-repo/dai/nl/161938876; Keller, A
In recent years, crises have become increasingly transboundary in nature. This exploratory paper investigates whether and how the transboundary dimensions of crises such as pandemics, cyber attacks and prolonged critical infrastructure failure accentuate the challenges that public and private
The author's aim was to give very precise information on the many causes and effects of the oil crises that have occurred since 1900, and at the same time offer the reader the possibility to build up a basic knowledge of the oil industry and market, as he feels that the public is often subjected to misleading information. Political and economical aspects are elaborated. First-hand sources such as statistics and investigations have been used as far as possible to give information on the oil market. An oil crisis is defined by the author as a significant change in the price of oil compared to prices of other goods. Changes can be in the form of either rising or falling prices. A special chapter concentrates on Denmark in relation to the oil crises. (AB) (165 refs.)
Haener, Rainer; Waechter, Joachim; Hammitzsch, Martin
The project Collaborative, Complex and Critical Decision-Support in Evolving Crises (TRIDEC), co-funded by the European Commission in its Seventh Framework Programme focuses on real-time intelligent information management in earth management. The addressed challenges include the design and implementation of a robust and scalable service infrastructure supporting the integration of existing resources, components and systems. Key challenge for TRIDEC is establishing a network of independent systems, cooperatively interacting as a collective in a system-of-systems (SoS). For this purpose TRIDEC adopts enhancements of service-oriented architecture (SOA) principles in terms of an event-driven architecture (EDA) design (SOA 2.0). In this way TRIDEC establishes large-scale concurrent and intelligent information management of a manifold of crisis types by focusing on the integration of autonomous, task-oriented and geographically distributed systems. To this end TRIDEC adapts both ways SOA 2.0 offers: orchestration and choreography. In orchestration, a central knowledge-based processing framework takes control over the involved services and coordinates their execution. Choreography on the other hand avoids central coordination. Rather, each system involved in the SoS follows a global scenario without a single point of control but specifically defined (enacted, agreed upon) trigger conditions. More than orchestration choreography allows collaborative business processes of various heterogeneous sub-systems (e.g. cooperative decision making) by concurrent Complex Event Processing (CEP) and asynchronous communication. These types of interaction adapt the concept of decoupled relationships between information producers (e.g. sensors and sensor systems) and information consumers (e.g. warning systems and warning dissemination systems). Asynchronous communication is useful if a participant wants to trigger specific actions by delegating the responsibility (separation of concerns
García-Palacios, Jaime H.; Hasman, Augusto; Samartín, Margarita
Intervention has taken different forms in different countries and periods of time. Moreover, recent episodes showed that in front of an imminent crisis, the promise of no interventions made by governments is barely credible. In this paper we address the problem of resolving banking crises from the government perspective, taking into account the fact that preventing banking crises is crucial for the government. In addition, we introduce the moral hazard problem, inherent in the banking system,...
Early-warning systems have played an important role in preventing major industrial accidents and technological disasters. These systems record critical operating and performance parameters and raise warnings or alarms if these parameters cross acceptable limits. Most early-warning systems used in hazardous industries focus on the technological system and to a lesser extent on their human operators. However, industrial disasters are caused not only by technological and human failure, but also by organizational, regulatory, infrastructural, and community preparedness failures. Hazardous industries can benefit from the development of early-warning systems that have a broader scope than the core technology. These systems could cover financial, human resource, organizational policies, regulatory, infrastructural, and community-related variables. This paper develops some basic concepts that can help build managerially useful early-warning systems for safety, health, and environmental (SHE) incidents. It identifies variables that should be tracked, the threshold levels for these variables, and possible managerial reactions to warnings
McCaughey, Jamie W.; Finnigan, David
Faced with uncertain scientific forecasts of a potential hazard, it is perhaps natural to wait and see. As we wait, uncertainties do decrease, but so do our options to minimise impacts of the hazard. This tradeoff is fundamental to preparing for natural hazards, yet difficult to communicate. Interactive systems gaming is one promising way forward. We are developing in-person interactive games, drawing on role-playing and other table-top scenario exercises in natural hazards, as well as on game-based modeling of complex systems. Our games model an unfolding natural hazard crisis (such as volcanic unrest or an approaching typhoon) as a complex social-physical system. Participants take on the roles of diverse stakeholder groups (including government, scientists, media, farmers, city residents, and others) with differing expertise, responsibilities, and priorities. Interactions among these groups play out in a context of decreasing scientific uncertainty and decreasing options for actions to reduce societal risk. Key design challenges are (1) to engage players without trivialising the real-world context; (2) to provide the right level of guidance for players to navigate the system; and (3) to enable players to face realistic tradeoffs and see realistic consequences of their choices, without feeling frustrated that the game is set up for them to fail. We will first prototype the games with general public and secondary-school participants, then adjust this for specialist groups working in disaster management. We will illustrate participatory systems gaming techniques in our presentation 'A toolkit of systems gaming techniques' in the companion EGU session EOS6: 'Perform! A platform to discuss art & science projects with live presentation'.
Guillermo A. Calvo; Alejandro Izquierdo; Ernesto Talvi
Using a sample of emerging markets that are integrated into global bond markets, we analyze the collapse and recovery phase of output collapses that coincide with systemic sudden stops, defined as periods of skyrocketing aggregate bond spreads and large capital flow reversals. Our findings indicate the presence of a very similar pattern across different episodes: output recovers with virtually no recovery in either domestic or foreign credit, a phenomenon that we call Phoenix Miracle, where o...
Humankind is facing six interactive global crises: (1) climate change, (2) overpopulation, (3) species impoverishment (i.e., loss of biodiversity), (4) ecological overshoot (i.e., ecological deficit), (5) excessive use of fossil fuels (i.e., which release carbon dioxide when burned), (6) inadequate food and water. Since, the crises are interactive, they must be resolved simultaneously; furthermore, since they are all global, only a global solution by all nations will suffice. Since these cris...
Full Text Available Since the last three decades, in developed and developing counties the liberalization and openness efforts have been witnessed. However, financial liberalization attempts (both internal and external without having macroeconomic stability lead to financial crises in many developing countries. Macroeconomic instabilities create fragile financial markets paving the way for future economic crises. The Turkish Economy, completed the liberalization process with foreign trade liberalization in 1980 and by removing controls on capital accounts in 1989. However, since 1990’s economy got into ‘growth-instability-crisis’ vicious circle, because of the fluctuations in the financial structure. By employing a factor analysis (principal components analysis, this work, aims to obtain the factors that effect crises in Turkey.
Full Text Available This study employs pressure indices in order to foresee the possible crises. Using monthly data obtained from the data distribution system of the Central Bank of Turkey between 1990-2009, the prevailing financial pressure indices have been estimated. This study deals with the anticipation of crises, especially in the field of banking, through an early warning system rather than pointing out what are the indicators of financial crises. Therefore, this study aims at establishing assumptions regarding financial crises using pressure indices for monthly data of Turkish economy between the period of 1999.01-2009.12.
This is a theoretical study of BOP crises in emerging markets in East Asia and LatinAmerica in the l990s. These BOP crises tend to be preceded by the current account deterioration, the real exchange rate appreciation, and inflationary pressures. The paper develops a model of BOP crises preceded by these macroeconomic phenomena. The model shows that an external shock (a decrease in the world nominal interest rate) leads to this type of BOP crises.
Büscher, Monika; Liegl, Michael; Thomas, Vanessa
New practices of social media use in emergency response seem to enable broader `situation awareness' and new forms of crisis management. The scale and speed of innovation in this field engenders disruptive innovation or a reordering of social, political, economic practices of emergency response. ....... Of particular interest are ways of bridging between collective intelligence in crises and official emergency response efforts.......New practices of social media use in emergency response seem to enable broader `situation awareness' and new forms of crisis management. The scale and speed of innovation in this field engenders disruptive innovation or a reordering of social, political, economic practices of emergency response....... By examining these dynamics with the concept of social collective intelligence, important opportunities and challenges can be examined. In this chapter we focus on socio-technical aspects of social collective intelligence in crises to discuss positive and negative frictions and avenues for innovation...
The emerging-market crises of the 1990s were characterized by crashes in exchange rates, credit flows, and output, and the currency crashes caused the other two. Because local banks and firms had large foreign-currency debts, the sharp depreciations of their countries' currencies had huge balance-sheet effects that led to an implosion of domestic credit flows, causing sharp falls in investment and output. It is wrong to blame the IMF for these calamitous outcomes. Nevertheless, the strategy a...
Lina Gálvez Muñoz; Paula Rodríguez Modroño
This article presents a historical analysis of the economic crises of the last hundred years from a feminist economics perspective, highlighting three historical patterns that can help to advance in a deeper understanding of the current crisis and, above all, to guarantee a way out of this crisis with more and not less equality. The first pattern is that crises result in an intensification of women's work, especially the unpaid care work. The second one is that after economic crises male empl...
Gerlach-Kristen, Petra; O'Connell, Brian; O'Toole, Conor
This paper considers the effect of systemic financial crises on aggregate consumption. Using a sample of 23 countries over 32 years, we find that consumption growth seems lower during banking crises, crises following credit booms and crises following house price booms. Moreover, the response to income growth seems to change, which may be due to credit constraints. In the long run, consumption appears to be linked to income, housing and other financial wealth.
In the last three decades, many countries and regions around the world have suffered from currency crises. This thesis investigates the causes of such crises and assesses the role of monetary policy as a tool to avoid them or limit the damage they impose. In addition, it studies the impact of the
Full Text Available The actuality of this article is determined by the need to demonstrate that financial crisis is not just an issue of economic disaster caused by contagion effect of financial cataclysm, expressed in national currency depreciation, depletion of foreign exchange reserves, mass bankruptcy of financial institutions, non-market entities insolvency and impossibility of sovereign debt servicing, but a special investment opportunity with associated characteristics of profitability. Central aims of article is research of financial crisis essence, investment mechanisms linked to existing fundamental laws of its conduct and determination of investment opportunities manifested in various segments of financial market and related sectors. Main research methods were: systemic analysis, statistical analysis, monographic and logic synthesis, etc. Main scientific results obtained in the article, due to research are to identify, analyze and demonstrate investment opportunities of international financial crisis and financial crises in Moldova.
Ball, D.; Bethe, H.A.; Blair, B.G.; Bracken, P.; Carter, A.B.; Dickinson, H.; Garwin, R.L.; Holloway, D.; Kendall, H.W.
This paper is intended to be a historical data base for the remainder of this volume. It is neither encyclopaedic, nor an original piece of scholarship. Of the crises in which the superpowers confronted each other frontally, the authors discuss only three of the most serious examples: the Berlin Blockade of 1948-49, the Cuban Missile Crisis of 1962, and the Yom Kippur Crisis of 1973. In addition, there is a brief examination of the Korean War, even though it only involved one of the superpowers directly, because it illustrates several features that recur at the outbreak of conflict. The authors' treatment will be purposely uneven. Because of its singular severity and importance, the bulk of the chapter is devoted to the Cuban Crisis, for which the authors provide a detailed narrative in an effort to convey some feeling for the psychological texture of crisis
Poledna, S.; Molina-Borboa, J.L.; Martínez-Jaramillo, S.; van der Leij, M.; Thurner, S.
The inability to see and quantify systemic financial risk comes at an immense social cost. Systemic risk in the financial system arises to a large extent as a consequence of the interconnectedness of its institutions, which are linked through networks of different types of financial contracts, such
Oliveira, Humberto Moacir de; Hanke, Bruno Curcino
Resumo: Há tempos, a psicanálise tem demonstrado as crises que marcam o mundo contemporâneo. O lugar claudicante do pai, a inconsistência do Outro e o imperativo de gozo são marcas do discurso capitalista atual. Diante desse cenário, outra crise ganha espaço nas discussões sobre clínica e sociedade. Trata-se da experiência da puberdade e das séries de respostas que se reúnem em torno do que é chamado de crise da adolescência. O presente artigo se propõe a identificar as especificidades tanto...
Full Text Available This paper offers some elements for the construction of a theory of global crises. It distinguishes between man-made crises and human-induced crises. The conceptual framework developed draws upon the ideas set forth by Douglass North in his explanations of the historical process of economic change and by Ronald Heiner in his critique of the conventional rationality assumption. As case studies for the framework developed here, the paper discusses three of the most conspicuous global crises: the environmental, the demographic and the financial crises. In the case of the environment a brief discussion on current hydric and energy crises in Brazil is also offered.
Lina Gálvez Muñoz
Full Text Available This article presents a historical analysis of the economic crises of the last hundred years from a feminist economics perspective, highlighting three historical patterns that can help to advance in a deeper understanding of the current crisis and, above all, to guarantee a way out of this crisis with more and not less equality. The first pattern is that crises result in an intensification of women's work, especially the unpaid care work. The second one is that after economic crises male employment recovery is always previous to the female employment, which always ends even more precarious; and the third pattern is that crisis lead to setbacks in the advances made in gender equality in terms of regulation, equality policies and the rules of the game in general.
Juliana Pimenta Attie
Full Text Available A Era Moderna é marcada por uma grande revolução na estrutura econômica, política e social, principalmente devido ao surgimento da burguesia. Esta traz o romance burguês como uma nova maneira de expressar seus desejos e conflitos. Neste artigo será discutido o sistema patriarcal, item estrutural no âmbito do pensamento burguês. O foco estará na sua paulatina dissolução, que corresponde a um dos sinais da crise do romance burguês, no plano literário – lembrando que a palavra crise também pode ser entendida como transformação. Para ilustrar essa revolução literária, em grande parte empreendida pelas mulheres, será analisado o romance To The Lighthouse, da inglesa Virginia Woolf. Nesse romance, em que aparentemente nada de importante acontece, a narrativa está marcada pelo fluxo de consciência, com predominância do monólogo interior indireto, tempo psicológico e uso de intertextualidade, o que permite uma nova forma de construção do sentido, fundamentado na dicotomia entre vida e morte. A desintegração da estrutura patriarcal será vista a partir da relação de poder entre o ‘chefe de família’ e sua esposa. Para realizar esse percurso será feita também uma reflexão sobre a condição da mulher enquanto artista.The Modern Era is marked by a great revolution in the economic, political and social structure, mainly on account of the sprouting of bourgeoisie, which brings the Bourgeois Novel as a new way to express their feelings and conflicts. In this article, one of the bourgeois characteristics, the patriarchal system, will be discussed. However, the focus will be on its dissolution, which is one evidence of the bourgeois novel's crisis. The word 'crisis' can also be understood as transformation. Thus, in order to illustrate this literary revolution undertaken by women, this article analyses To The Lighthouse, by Virginia Woolf. In this novel, it seems that nothing important happens. However the Stream of
Full Text Available Storms are one of the most damaging agents for European forests and can cause huge and long-term economic impacts on the forest sector. Recent events and research haves contributed to a better understanding and management of destructive storms, but public authorities still lack appropriate decision-support tools for evaluating their strategic decisions in the aftermath of a storm. This paper presents a decision support system (DSS that compares changes in the dynamics of the regional forest-based sector after storm events under various crisis management options. First, the development and implementation of a regional forest model is addressed; then, the potential application of the model-based DSS WIND-STORM is illustrated. The results of simulated scenarios reveal that this DSS type is useful for designing a cost-effective regional strategy for storm-damage management in the context of scarce public resources and that public strategies must encompass the whole forest-based sector to be efficient. Additional benefits of such a DSS is to bring together decision-makers and forest stakeholders for a common objective and therefore to enhance participatory approaches to crisis management.
In the 1980s and 1990s, currency crises occurred frequently in various parts of the world. This paper provides an overview of the currency crises theories, which investigate the cause of these currency crises, the determinant factors of their depth, and the mechanism of their effects on actual economy. Based on the three-generation classification, this paper surveys currency crises theories with focus on the differences among them.
H.J. van Heerde (Harald); K. Helsen; M.G. Dekimpe (Marnik)
textabstractProduct-harm crises are among a firm’s worst nightmares. Since marketing investments may be instrumental to convince consumers to purchase the firm's products again, it is important to provide an adequate measurement of the effectiveness of these investments, especially after the crisis.
Butler, Annie L.
Children's responses to stressful events are discussed in this paper. The paper describes children's feelings about and reactions to death, divorce, hospitalization and parent imprisonment. School phobias are also discussed. Age differences in reactions to these crises are described and discussed in terms of general cognitive development and…
Edgar Vieira Posada
Full Text Available In the twentieth century there was a debate between Keynesian and the market neoliberal economy school and the Keyneysian model prevail until the arrival of contemporary globalization,that adopted the neoliberal paradigm. Instead of a productive globalization a financial globalization was first developed which has led to recurring crises since 1929; the last one erupted in 2008 and it is still having a negative impact on the economic environment of the planet. The result has been to produce a very slow market self-regulation of the neoliberal model by introducing again monitoring and follow-up mechanisms by States and international organisms for predicting the occurrence of such serious crises for world economy
The United States economy has suffered over the past four years from crises in mortgage foreclosures and in financial markets, as well as a long recession that some have referred to as the Great Recession. The links between these events, or more broadly the causes, extent and effects of these developments, are sources of continuing controversy and uncertainty. This paper attempts to disentangle the links between the mortgage foreclosure crisis, the financial crisis, a possible banking crisis ...
Dorel Dumitru CHIRITESCU
Full Text Available Nothing is more natural inside the evolution of a living system than the crisis itself, the only thing that distinguishes systems from each other is represented by how crises are solved and future developments. The biggest mistake would be to think that there are companies that can develop linearly. Arbitrary, indeterminacy they are well outlined in any development.
Full Text Available In this study we had examined basic reasons of financial crises of April 1994 and February 2001 in Turkey. We obtained three factor explainig of crises in Turkey with applied factor analysis technique.These factors called currency substitution, open position propensity of banking system and rising conjecture.
Russell, C; Russell, W M
To prevent a population irretrievably depleting its resources, mammals have evolved a behavioural and physiological response to population crisis. When a mammalian population becomes dangerously dense, there is a reversal of behaviour. Co-operation and parental behaviour are replaced by competition, dominance and aggressive violence, leading to high mortality, especially of females and young, and a reduced population. The stress of overpopulation and the resulting violence impairs both the immune and the reproductive systems. Hence epidemics complete the crash of the population, and reproduction is slowed for three or four generations, giving the resources ample time to recover. In some mammal species, crisis and crisis response recur regularly, leading to cycles of population growth and relapse, oscillating about a fixed mean. Population crisis response and population cycles have been equally prominent in the history of human societies. But in man successive advances in food production have made possible growing populations, though with every such advance population soon outgrew resources again. Hence human cycles have been superimposed on a rising curve, producing a saw-tooth graph. Because advances in food production amounted to sudden disturbances in the relations between human populations and their environments, the crisis response in man has failed to avert famine and resource damage. In the large human societies evolved since the coming of settled agriculture and cities, the basic effects of violence, epidemics, famine and resource damage have been mediated by such specifically human disasters as inflation, unemployment, and political tyranny. An account of past crises, periods of relative relief from population pressure, and resulting cycles, is given for a number of regions: China, North Africa and Western Asia, the northern Mediterranean, and north-western Europe. The paper ends with an account of the present world-wide population crisis, and the solution
Adrián Sotelo Valencia
Full Text Available This article addresses the materialist theory of development and fall of Marxism based on the theory of value as originally considered and presented by Karl Marx in Grundrisse and in Crítica da Economia Política, claiming that the production of value depends on labor force. As it takes place today, capital displaces labor force in every industry, service and activity, country, territory and region all over the world; workers are dismissed and are transferred to speculative activities of the fictional capital. This lesser disposition of labor force eventually harms the mean profit rate and, as time goes by, it provokes a crisis. The present capitalist crisis is resultant from the insufficiency and, to certain extent, to the incapacity of mechanisms from the system to generate enough value production in the labor process, to provide value to the invested capital (in settings of production, raw matter, and in labor force or variable capital; to create more value and to regain increased profit rate. These restraints of the financial capital (fictional capital cause a deviation to the speculative plan and contribute for the formation of tragic speculative bubbles in sectors such as those of housing, energy and food. No matter how much productivity is increased, developing a technological revolution and “sparing labor force”, the reduction of time, socially required for the production of goods and labor force, becomes harder and more marginal. This is the way the capitalist system enters a civilian, structural and organic crisis, as it is now. To go beyond the capital means to construct structures and superstructures of a new non-capitalist society based on a new way to produce, to work and to keep harmonious and friendly human social relations. It is difficult to have a successful revolution if not with the education of its agents, that is, the organized front people, parties and syndicates that will raise the social, political and cultural
Full Text Available Neste artigo defende-se a tese que a crise do capitalismo e a crise ecológica resultam da dinâmica do sistema capitalista que transforma seres humanos e recursos naturais em mercadorias necessárias à expansão dos negócios e a acumulação de lucros. Na sua feição atual a crise reflete as dificuldades da civilização capitalista industrial e do seu modo de vida caracterizado pelo american way of life, em manter-se sem rupturas. A questão ecológica, do meio ambiente, é central no capitalismo. As tentativas de soluções, a exemplo da Tratado de Kioto e as medidas pactuadas em Copenhagen em 2008, estão muito aquém das providências necessárias à resolução do problema . O ecosocialismo, em sua utopia, mas sem ser uma abstração, apresenta-se como um paradigma de civilização alternativo.
Boonman, Tjeerd M.; Jacobs, Jan P.A.M.; Kuper, Gerard H.
The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) has aected many regions including Latin America. This paper focuses on currency crises in Argentina, Brazil and Mexico. We estimate an Early Warning System, consisting of a dynamic factor model and an ordered logit model, with monthly data for 1990-2007. Ex ante
Urhammer, Emil; Røpke, Inge
Since the financial crisis in 2008, a series of publications on macroeconomic responses to the compound crises of the economy and the environment have emerged. Under labels such as green new deal, green growth and the great transition, attempts at offering coherent responses to the crises have be...
Yiou , Pascal; Jézéquel , Aglae
International audience; L'histoire de la Terre est jalonnée de crises et de catastrophes environnementales, qui ont conduit à la disparition d'espèces et de sociétés, et parfois à l'émergence de nouveaux systèmes. Nous ne reviendrons pas sur ces événements géologiques ou historiques, mais nous concentrons sur le changement climatique en cours et ses événements extrêmes. Du fait de l'expansion démographique, la surface habitable de la Terre est de plus en plus densément peuplée, ce qui augment...
Timen, A.; Hulscher, M.E.J.L.; Rust, L.; Steenbergen, J.E. van; Akkermans, R.P.; Grol, R.P.T.M.; Meer, J.W.M. van der
BACKGROUND: Communicable disease crises can endanger the health care system and often require special guidelines. Understanding reasons for nonadherence to crisis guidelines is needed to improve crisis management. We identified and measured barriers and conditions for optimal adherence as perceived
Frederic S. Mishkin
This short paper argues that the view that monetary policy is ineffective during financial crises is not only wrong, but may promote policy inaction in the face of a severe contractionary shock. To the contrary, monetary policy is more potent during financial crises because aggressive monetary policy easing can make adverse feedback loops less likely. The fact that monetary policy is more potent than during normal times provides a rationale for a risk-management approach to counter the contra...
The aim of this paper is to consider the role of complacency in financial crises over the last two decades, with a closer look at the ongoing Subprime Mortgage Financial Crisis. The theme of complacency and the concept of financial crisis are both explored. Financial crises are better understood by explaining their economic drivers and the fundamental role of complacency in the various transmission mechanisms involved. These drivers are then illustrated by means of recent selected financial c...
Frederic S. Mishkin
This paper outlines a set of financial policies that can help make financial crises less likely in emerging market countries. To justify these policies, the paper first explains what a financial crisis is, the factors that promote a financial crisis and the dynamics of a financial crisis. It then examines twelve basic areas of financial policies to prevent financial crises: 1) prudential supervision, 2) accounting and disclosure requirements, 3) legal and judicial systems, 4) market-based dis...
The influence of urbanization of psychic crises of the individuals was investigated in this paper. The investigation was performed in the framework of telephone services intended for giving help to people drawing to a crisis. These services are as follows: "Tele-apel" in Belgrade, "Klic v duŝevni stiski" in Ljubljana, "SOS telephone" in Subotica and "Tele-apel" in Sarajevo. The introductory part of this paper dealt with the short history of the development of the idea concerning the influence of social environment on psychic health and the appearance of crises. The most frequent urban and other social factors which brought about the psychic health disturbances were cited. Summing up the results of the investigation in all four services, the author put forward the ten most frequent actual problems which were responsible for the appearance of crises in investigated persons, such as: health problems, loneliness, partner problems, marital and familial problems, suicidal crises, problems between parents and children, alcohol as a problem, sexual problems, tablets and drugs as a problem and the loss of an important person. The influence of the urbanization factor is particularly emphasized in the appearance of loneliness, partner problems, marital and familial problems, suicidal crises, health problems, problems arising between parents and children as well as in sexual problems.
Machlis, Gary; Ludwig, Kris; Manfredo, Michael J.; Vaske, Jerry J.; Rechkemmer, Andreas; Duke, Esther
Historical and contemporary experience suggests that science plays an increasingly critical role in governmental and institutional responses to major environmental crises. Recent examples include major western wildfires (2009), the Deepwater Horizon oil spill (2010), the Fukushima nuclear accident (2011), and Hurricane Sandy (2012). The application of science during such crises has several distinctive characteristics, as well as essential requirements if it is to be useful to decision makers. these include scope conditions that include coupled natural/human systems, clear statement of uncertainties and limitations, description of cascading consequences, accurate sense of place, estimates of magnitude of impacts, identification of beneficiaries and those adversely affected, clarity and conciseness, compelling visualization and presentation, capacity to speak "truth to power", and direct access to decision makers. In this chapter, we explore the role and significance of science – including all relevant disciplines and focusing attention on the social sciences – in responding to major environmental crises. We explore several important questions: How is science during crisis distinctive? What social science is most useful during crises? What distinctive characteristics are necessary for social science to make meaningful contributions to emergency response and recovery? How might the social sciences be integrated into the strategic science needed to respond to future crises? The authors, both members of the Department of the Interior's innovative Strategic Sciences Group, describe broad principles of engagement as well as specific examples drawn from history, contemporary efforts (such as during the Deepwater Horizon oil spill), and predictions of environmental crises still to be confronted.
Whether and by what means nations can successfully de-escalate nuclear crises - and avoid the disastrous effects of nuclear war - will remain two of the most critical challenges facing humankind. Whatever the future of superpower relations, the United States, the Soviet Union, and other nations will undoubtedly continue to possess and to threaten the use of nuclear weapons. Moreover, the number of nations with nuclear weapons seems likely to increase. This examines how nations in crises might successfully move back from the brink of nuclear war - and how confidence-building measures might help and hinder the de-escalatory process
VINTILA DENISIA MARIANA
Full Text Available The fundamental idea of International capital flows is that short-term flows can be easily reversed, while flows on a longer time horizon are more stable. Crises are associated with withdrawals of short-term capital flows and growth of the foreign direct investment flows. The current crisis has meant a major decline of international capital flows, also of the foreign direct investment. The analysis in this article tries to establish if and under which conditions foreign direct investments can bring greater stability during the crisis, comparing the evolution of foreign direct investments in the current crisis with their response in previous crises. We show that during previous crises foreign direct investments were stable, behaving differently from other types of capital. Yet, during the current crisis, foreign direct investments have proven to be not so stable and all the components declined, raising questions about the resumption of the positive trend. The stability of foreign direct investments in the past was given by the increase of mergers and acquisitions during the crisis, reflecting fire-sale FDI. This feature is not found in the current crisis as mergers and acquisitions were severe affected by the crises and recorded a major decline. The current paper is realized in the doctoral program entitled PhD in economics at the standards of European knowledge- DoEsEc, scientific coordinator Prof. PhD Rodica Zaharia, institution The Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, Faculty of International Business, period of research 2009-2012.
Foley, Charles F.
The principal of Concord High School (New Hampshire) recounts the 1985-86 school year's four crises--the visits of teacher-astronaut Christa McAuliffe and Secretary of Education William Bennett, the shooting of a former student, and the Challenger space shuttle explosion. The greatest challenge was resuming the normal schedule and fielding media…
Andersen, Mads Bryde; Lookofsky, Joseph
of these exceptions - e.g. with specific focus on exceptions related to the possible effects of financial crises ("Hardship") - account must also be taken of their interaction in Danish legal theory and practice, not least because Danish courts do not always specify the exact legal principle which they apply when...
Inklaar, R.; Yang, Jing
Financial crises can have severe negative effects on investment. One reason for this is that financial crises increase uncertainty, increasing the real option value of delaying investment. In this paper, we show that the negative effect of crises on investment differs significantly across countries:
Lazarides, Themistokles; Drmmpetas, Evaggelos
The current crisis has been seen as the result of a “few bad apples”. The paper argues that the crisis is systemic and based on fallacies and misconceptions in the design and function of the economic – corporate system. Organizational and economic theories are based on hypotheses that lead to faulted decisions on how the system should be regulated and designed. The paper proposes that a new theory is needed. Disjoint approaches of the current situation are not suitable. Law, Organization...
Many so-called deregulated power markets experience a hardened energy and power balance and some have had supply crises. This report discusses the crises, their impacts and their causes as well as the measures taken by the authorities to solve the crises. It also considers the similarities or dissimilarities with respect to the situation in Norway the winter 2002/2003. Like Norway, many of the countries have a considerable share of hydroelectric power. It is found, however, that the dependence on water of its own is not the reason for the crises, but that the inflow conditions give the market greater challenges. Furthermore, the Norwegian market has greater flexibility in the consumption, greater import capacity, better price security possibilities and less problems with market power than most of the countries here considered. Various factors influence a country's power consumption and production capacity. Economic growth and the availability of inexpensive power contribute to accelerate the consumption, while predictable external conditions and sufficient expected investment earnings are necessary to achieve an increase of the capacity - both through new investments and attendance to existing capacity. In a smooth power market there must be a certain correspondence between consumption and installed capacity, and the capacity must be such that it can cover the continuous demand for power and at the same time be flexible enough to deliver power at peak loads. This is also true of the transmission capacity. In addition, some extra capacity must be available for unexpected events. The basic problem is, in any power market, that the consumption may rise fast, while the investments in new capacity typically occurs in leaps, with long and costly construction phases. Many countries have lately experienced a hardening of the balance between consumption and capacity and so have been vulnerable to unexpected increases in consumption or resource failure. This was also the
Altukhova, A I
The paper deals with the results of observations over 62 patients (55 females and 7 males) from the age of 42-76 with climacteric spondilopathy. The following syndromes of the nervous system lesions were revealed: neuralgic syndrome, middle and lower thoracal radiculoneuritis, the syndrome of vegetative sympatoganglionitis, myelopathy. Special attetion was given to the specificity of the nervous system lesions in patients with climacteric spondilopathy which was characterized by a tendency to vegetative-visceral crises. The author recommends a scheme of a comprehensive treatment of patients with climacteric spondilopathy with vegetative-vascular and visceral crises. This treatment includes androgen-estrogen preparations, anabolic steroids, thyrocalcitonine and symptomatic treatment.
Catalin Dan; Vasile Bleotu; Nicoleta Moise
Bankruptcies of major credit institutions in the UK and the U.S., since late 2007, have generated a large-scale financial crisis that affected most countries of the world economy significantly. To limit the effects of the crisis and restore confidence in the banking system, states have taken various measures, including providing substantial loans to banks in liquidity crisis, nationalization, as well as measures to increase the effectiveness of deposit guarantee schemes in the banking system....
Tamea, Stefania; Laio, Francesco; Ridolfi, Luca
By importing food and agricultural goods, countries cope with the heterogeneous global water distribution and often rely on water resources available abroad. The virtual displacement of the water used to produce such goods (known as virtual water) connects together, in a global water system, all countries participating to the international trade network. Local food-production crises, having social, economic or environmental origin, propagate in this network, modifying the virtual water trade and perturbing local and global food availability, quantified in terms of virtual water. We analyze here the possible effects of local crises by developing a new propagation model, parsimonious but grounded on data-based and statistically-verified assumptions, whose effectiveness is proved on the Argentinean crisis in 2008-09. The model serves as the basis to propose indicators of crisis impact and country vulnerability to external food-production crises, which highlight that countries with largest water resources have the highest impact on the international trade, and that not only water-scarce but also wealthy and globalized countries are among the most vulnerable to external crises. The temporal analysis reveals that global average vulnerability has increased over time and that stronger effects of crises are now found in countries with low food (and water) availability.
Tamea, Stefania; Laio, Francesco; Ridolfi, Luca
By importing food and agricultural goods, countries cope with the heterogeneous global water distribution and often rely on water resources available abroad. The virtual displacement of the water used to produce such goods (known as virtual water) connects together, in a global water system, all countries participating to the international trade network. Local food-production crises, having social, economic or environmental origin, propagate in this network, modifying the virtual water trade and perturbing local and global food availability, quantified in terms of virtual water. We analyze here the possible effects of local crises by developing a new propagation model, parsimonious but grounded on data-based and statistically-verified assumptions, whose effectiveness is proved on the Argentinean crisis in 2008-09. The model serves as the basis to propose indicators of crisis impact and country vulnerability to external food-production crises, which highlight that countries with largest water resources have the highest impact on the international trade, and that not only water-scarce but also wealthy and globalized countries are among the most vulnerable to external crises. The temporal analysis reveals that global average vulnerability has increased over time and that stronger effects of crises are now found in countries with low food (and water) availability.
Castiglionesi, Fabio; Feriozzi, F.; Lorenzoni, G.
This paper analyzes the effects of financial integration on the stability of the banking system. Financial integration allows banks in different regions to smooth local liquidity shocks by borrowing and lending on a common interbank market. We show under which conditions financial integration
Beck, T.; Claessens, S.; Schmukler, S.L.; Caprio, G.; Beck, T.; Claessens, S.; Schmukler, S.L.
Financial globalization, the integration of countries with the global financial system, has increased substantially since the 1970s and particularly with more force since the 1990s. Financial globalization has shown to pose both benefits and risks to developed countries and developing countries
Davis, Charles K.
Case method teaching is not limited to larger, complex cases. It is often useful to supplement classroom discussions with short cases, ones that have been targeted for one or two discussion points that challenge student thinking beyond the usual lecture or textbook. These shorter cases are called "minicases." The objective of a minicase is to…
Full Text Available Financial crises have had a significant impact on bank regulation and supervision. Reforms are often focussed on correcting past failings. Following the 2007 financial crisis, Basel III reforms have been introduced with a view to promote a more resilient banking sector and to improve the banking sector’s ability to absorb shocks arising from financial distress. A review of the Basel III reforms and the literature on the link between capital adequacy regulations and bank stability indicates that these regulations are unlikely to prevent the failure of banks resulting in systemic crises
Muenzberg, Christopher; Gericke, K.; Oehmen, Josef
2015]. Crises, as described above, happen in every sector, including product development. They are independent of the size of the enterprise. Prominent examples are the A-Class "moose test" crisis [Andrews 1997], [Töpfer 1999], the Boeing Dreamliner battery crisis [Mouawad 2014], reception problems...... characterise features of crises, and by providing a product-development-specific definition of crises. Furthermore, we present examples of crises from industrial practice. These situations illustrate the varied nature of crises. To support industrial application, we present success factors for efficient crisis...... management. These factors are starting points for the development of a crisis-specific design support.The following Section 2 briefly introduces existing crisis definitions and the foundations for the description of the "context factors" to characterise crises. Section 3 describes the research design...
Daniela Magalhães Prates
Full Text Available As sucessivas crises financeiras dos países "emergentes", na segunda metade dos anos 90, despertaram o interesse dos economistas do mainstream, uma vez que os modelos de crises cambiais de primeira geração, desenvolvidos nos anos 80, revelaram-se insuficientes para a compreensão destes eventos. Nesse contexto, foram desenvolvidos novos modelos que incorporaram, como condicionantes destas crises, fatos estilizados, que têm caracterizado o sistema financeiro internacional contemporâneo, dentre os quais os ataques especulativos auto-realizáveis e o comportamento de manada dos investidores estrangeiros. Este artigo pretende apresentar as principais características desses novos modelos. Primeiramente, apresentam-se os modelos desenvolvidos após a crise mexicana, que seguiram a tradição dos modelos de segunda geração desenvolvidos após a crise do Sistema Monetário Europeu. Em seguida, são examinados os modelos que surgem após a crise asiática, denominados "modelos de terceira geração", nos quais a crise cambial está intrinsecamente associada a uma crise bancária. Seguem-se algumas considerações finais.In the 90s, the succession of financial crises in the so called "emergent countries", with characteristics that haven't been considered by the first-generation models of exchange crises developed in the 80s, was followed by the emergency of new models of exchange crisis. The purpose of this article is to present these models, which have introduced in their analytical framework new elements, how the self-fulfilling expectations and the volatility of the capital flows. Firstly, we analyze the models developed after the Mexican crise, which have followed the tradition of the second-generation models that emerged after the European monetary system crise. Secondly, we examine the models developed after the Asian crise, labeled "third generation models", in which the exchange crise is intrinsically linked with a banking crise. We end up
Corporate television suffers from at least two "identity crises": departmental isolation, and the lack of a legitimate identity for the corporate video product itself. Video departments are not usually viewed and accepted by the organizational whole as natural evolutions of a historically defined and behaviorally integrated system. The…
Mitroff, Ian I.; Diamond, Michael A.; Alpaslan, Murat C.
This article outlines a set of recommendations to college and university leaders and governing bodies on how to develop crisis-management systems to ensure that their institutions are as well prepared as possible for a wide range of crises. These recommendations are based, in part, on crisis-management programs developed for various business…
Alley, N; Macnee, C; Aurora, S; Alley, A; Hollifield, M
Women who are experiencing crisis situations, including homelessness, are often perceived as passive victims of their social, economic, and personal circumstances. A few studies have challenged the stereotype of homeless women as passive victims and demonstrated that they are active in seeking solutions to their problems (Hodnicki, Horner, & Boyle, 1992; Montgomery, 1994; Thrasher & Mowbray, 1995). This study surveyed women receiving assistance at a nurse-managed clinic that serves a homeless population to determine their health promotion strategies. On the basis of this study's findings, health care providers are encouraged to recognize and build on the strengths of women in crises at both the individual and community levels of care.
Full Text Available Piecemeal fragmented strategies cannot address the pressing challenges facing humanity today. Economic theory has to be radically reinvented to squarely face the reality of rising unemployment, widening inequalities, growing ecological threats, frustrated social aspirations and unmet human needs. Monetary and fiscal policies are too crude and insufficient to steer the essential change of course required to address multidimensional demographic, ecological, economic, political and social crises. New values are needed to guide policy formulation and new institutions are needed to support peaceful social evolution and inclusive, equitable development in an increasingly globalized and interconnected world.
In this article, I analyze the social policy reactions to economic crises in Australia and New Zealand. After the financial crisis of 2008, Australia built its crisis management strategy around a large fiscal stimulus with a significant social policy component, whereas New Zealand did not. While...... the government enacted fiscal stimulus measures, the social policy component was small and the government soon returned to welfare retrenchment and workfare policy. Based on a detailed account of recent crisis policies as well as a condensed overview of previous crisis responses (to the 1970s oil shocks...
Luciano G. Machado
Full Text Available The remarkable properties of shape memory alloys have been motivating the interest in applications in different areas varying from biomedical to aerospace hardware. The dynamical response of systems composed by shape memory actuators presents nonlinear characteristics and a very rich behavior, showing periodic, quasi-periodic and chaotic responses. This contribution analyses some aspects related to bifurcation phenomenon in a shape memory oscillator where the restitution force is described by a polynomial constitutive model. The term bifurcation is used to describe qualitative changes that occur in the orbit structure of a system, as a consequence of parameter changes, being related to chaos. Numerical simulations show that the response of the shape memory oscillator presents period doubling cascades, direct and reverse, and crises.
Full Text Available No contexto de elevada incerteza decorrente da crise econômica mundial, é inevitável que surjam comparações entre o momento atual e a experiência dramática da Grande Depressão, que subverteu o mundo entre 1929 e 1933. Mas, apesar das perdas financeiras e da desaceleração da economia, a disposição para a intervenção estatal é hoje um elemento determinante que diferencia nitidamente as iniciativas da política econômica. Este é um fator decisivo que projeta um futuro menos sombrio para a evolução da crise atual.In the current context of high uncertainty, many parallels have been traced between the economic crisis of 2008 and the Great Depression, that stirred the world between 1929 e 1933. However, despite the financial losses that recently occurred, the disposition for state intervention in our days is much higher and thus an important element in the formulation of economic policies. This is a difference that suggests a less catastrophic outcome to the current crisis.
Full Text Available This paper deals with the question of knowing if countries whose activity of financing is mainly bank based face crises more expensive than those where the bond markets are broader and more developed. The results of the empirical tests on a panel of emerging countries suggest that bank based financial systems are associated with crises slightly more expensive, whereas the relationship between the bond markets and the crises’ costs is fragile. Moreover, financial systems where bond markets play an important role are associated with a higher growth of the production, and this, independently of the presence or not of crises. The consideration of the combined effect of financial liberalization and institutional framework on the bond markets development shows the importance of the direction of the financial liberalization. We join in this case one of the most significant aspects of the “sequencing” theorized by McKinnon (1973. Finally, an effective prudential regulation tends to reduce significantly the probability of occurrence of banking crises.
Berger, A.N.; Bouwman, C.H.S.
This paper empirically examines how capital affects a bank’s performance (survival and market share) and how this effect varies across banking crises, market crises, and normal times that occurred in the US over the past quarter century. We have two main results. First, capital helps small banks to
Boonman, T.M.; Jacobs, J.P.A.M.; Kuper, G.H.
We construct a continuous sovereign debt crisis index for four large Latin American countries for the period 1870-2012. Our sovereign debt crisis index is similar to the Exchange Market Pressure Index for currency crises, and the Money Market Pressure Index for banking crises. To obtain the optimal
Signorelli, Marcello; Choudhry, Misbah; Marelli, Enrico
This article focuses on the impact of financial crises on female labour participation and unemployment. After a review of the literature, we present new econometric results on the impact of past financial crises. We employ the random effects panel estimation method on a large set of countries for
Full Text Available The basic lessons obtained from financial turbulences all over the wor ld are the need to spot main causes, identify the triggering risk factors and consequently develop resolution plans for the potential financial crises, which include the establishment of a sound and strong financial system with strengthened institutional and structural bodies. Accurately and timely detection of the main causes that trigger financial fragilitiesemerging from currency, debt and banking is supposed to guide regulators to find "to the point" solutions to the fragility problems and to isolate their effects. Since in the Turkey case, financial crises were observed to occur in the form of twin crises or triplet crises, in this paper, we put forward Turkey-specific diagnoses and suggestions. Thus, the main factors that triggered financial turmoils in Turkey's last quarter century are low GDP, inadequate equity capital, insufficient bank returns, poor FX reserve, high inflation, short position-hot money policy, capital outflows, manipulative credit ratings and bank inertia, namely a trade off betweencredit transactions and risk-free investment vehicles
Agostinho, Larissa Drigo
Diante da enorme presença dos diagnósticos contemporâneos sobre o fim da arte e a respeito de uma falência da crítica, procuramos nos interrogar sobre esta questão, traçando uma analogia entre o momento que vive a crítica literária brasileira e a poesia contemporânea em paralelo com a situação da crítica francesa estruturalista e da crítica francesa contemporânea. Procuramos demonstrar que o estado atual de crise que vive o Brasil é análogo ao que ocorre na França, e esta crise tem uma origem...
How economic crises impact the boundaries of firms has been offered virtually no attention in the literature on the theory of the firm. I review the best-known theories of the firm and identify the variables that matter for the explanation of firm boundaries. I then examine how an economic crisis...... may impact these variables and change efficient firm boundaries. The various theories of the firm have difficulties explaining how firms efficiently adapt their boundaries to such prominent characteristics of economic crisis as declining demand and increased costs of external finance. However, all...... these theories stress uncertainty as an antecedent of firm organization, and as uncertainty is also an important characteristic of an economic crisis I examine how uncertainty is allowed to play out in the various theories in order to identify what predictions we can derive from the theory regarding changes...
da Fonseca, Eder Lucio; Ferreira, Fernando F.; Muruganandam, Paulsamy; Cerdeira, Hilda A.
Following the thermodynamic formulation of a multifractal measure that was shown to enable the detection of large fluctuations at an early stage, here we propose a new index which permits us to distinguish events like financial crises in real time. We calculate the partition function from which we can obtain thermodynamic quantities analogous to the free energy and specific heat. The index is defined as the normalized energy variation and it can be used to study the behavior of stochastic time series, such as financial market daily data. Famous financial market crashes-Black Thursday (1929), Black Monday (1987) and the subprime crisis (2008)-are identified with clear and robust results. The method is also applied to the market fluctuations of 2011. From these results it appears as if the apparent crisis of 2011 is of a different nature to the other three. We also show that the analysis has forecasting capabilities.
Mortoza, Letícia P D; Piqueira, José R C
Capital flows are responsible for a strong influence on the foreign exchange rates and stock prices macroeconomic parameters. In volatile economies, capital flows can change due to several types of social, political and economic events, provoking oscillations on these parameters, which are recognized as economic crises. This work aims to investigate how these two macroeconomic variables are related with crisis events by using the traditional complex measures due to Lopez-Mancini-Calbet (LMC) and to Shiner-Davison-Landsberg (SDL), that can be applied to any temporal series. Here, Ibovespa (Bovespa Stock Exchange main Index) and the "dollar-real" parity are the background for calculating the LMC and SDL complexity measures. By analyzing the temporal evolution of these measures, it is shown that they might be related to important events that occurred in the Brazilian economy.
Mortoza, Letícia P. D.; Piqueira, José R. C.
Capital flows are responsible for a strong influence on the foreign exchange rates and stock prices macroeconomic parameters. In volatile economies, capital flows can change due to several types of social, political and economic events, provoking oscillations on these parameters, which are recognized as economic crises. This work aims to investigate how these two macroeconomic variables are related with crisis events by using the traditional complex measures due to Lopez-Mancini-Calbet (LMC) and to Shiner-Davison-Landsberg (SDL), that can be applied to any temporal series. Here, Ibovespa (Bovespa Stock Exchange main Index) and the “dollar-real” parity are the background for calculating the LMC and SDL complexity measures. By analyzing the temporal evolution of these measures, it is shown that they might be related to important events that occurred in the Brazilian economy. PMID:28301506
IAVCEI SubcommitteeCrisis Protocols; Newhall, Chris; Aramaki, Shigeo; Barberi, Franco; Blong, Russell; Calvache, Marta; Cheminee, Jean-Louis; Punongbayan, Raymundo; Siebe, Claus; Simkin, Tom; Sparks, Stephen; Tjetjep, Barry; Newhall, Chris
Stress during volcanic crises is high, and any friction between scientists can distract seriously from both humanitarian and scientific effort. Friction can arise, for example, if team members do not share all of their data, if differences in scientific interpretation erupt into public controversy, or if one scientist begins work on a prime research topic while a colleague with longer-standing investment is still busy with public safety work. Some problems arise within existing scientific teams; others are brought on by visiting scientists. Friction can also arise between volcanologists and public officials. Two general measures may avert or reduce friction: (a) National volcanologic surveys and other scientific groups that advise civil authorities in times of volcanic crisis should prepare, in advance of crises, a written plan that details crisis team policies, procedures, leadership and other roles of team members, and other matters pertinent to crisis conduct. A copy of this plan should be given to all current and prospective team members. (b) Each participant in a crisis team should examine his or her own actions and contribution to the crisis effort. A personal checklist is provided to aid this examination. Questions fall generally in two categories: Are my presence and actions for the public good? Are my words and actions collegial, i.e., courteous, respectful, and fair? Numerous specific solutions to common crisis problems are also offered. Among these suggestions are: (a) choose scientific team leaders primarily for their leadership skills; (b) speak publicly with a single scientific voice, especially when forecasts, warnings, or scientific disagreements are involved; (c) if you are a would-be visitor, inquire from the primary scientific team whether your help would be welcomed, and, in general, proceed only if the reply is genuinely positive; (d) in publications, personnel evaluations, and funding, reward rather than discourage teamwork. Models are
Agostinho, Larissa Drigo
Full Text Available Diante da enorme presença dos diagnósticos contemporâneos sobre o fim da arte e a respeito de uma falência da crítica, procuramos nos interrogar sobre esta questão, traçando uma analogia entre o momento que vive a crítica literária brasileira e a poesia contemporânea em paralelo com a situação da crítica francesa estruturalista e da crítica francesa contemporânea. Procuramos demonstrar que o estado atual de crise que vive o Brasil é análogo ao que ocorre na França, e esta crise tem uma origem comum: o romantismo. Este artigo termina com uma demonstração de como a poesia de Mallarmé pode fornecer um modelo de crítica que nos permitiria sair deste estado de crise
Full Text Available Europe faces challenges reminiscent of Latin American financial crises, namely unsustainable sovereign spreads, banking system distress, sudden stops in capital flows and growth rate collapse. The failure of recent liquidity support to normalize the situation suggests the need to refocus the policy debate on fundamentals: structural reform for growth and, where needed, restructuring to resolve banking crises and the debt overhang. Latin America’s experience yields relevant policy lessons for Europe on all these fronts, tempered only by the slight exception that sharp real devaluation, which was key to spearheading recovery in Latin America, is unfeasible in the eurozone. Struggling eurozone countries are caught between a rock and a hard place, as the currency union imposes strict policy constraints while the reintroduction of national currencies under conditions of crisis would be catastrophic. Nevertheless, contemporary Europe stands a better chance of recovery because, in contrast with the Latin America experience, the European Union possesses greater avenues for international cooperation. With respect to financial support, a resourceful European Central Bank able to avoid chaotic adjustment by brute force is a decisive advantage of Europe relative to Latin America, which only had access to the weaker and less reliable IMF. Arguably, the limited nature of external support strongly contributed to the depth of Latin America’s great collapses. European cooperation can explore and exhaust alternatives to a euro exit to the benefit of all union members and, if dissolution becomes unavoidable, ensure amicable support to ease the transition. The path to success remains uncharted, however, and implementation of the necessary regional mechanisms will require innovation and political will. If the available means of cooperation are not used effectively, crisis countries in Europe may fare worse than those in Latin America.
Balfour, Margaret E; Tanner, Kathleen; Jurica, Paul J; Rhoads, Richard; Carson, Chris A
Crisis and emergency psychiatric services are an integral part of the healthcare system, yet there are no standardized measures for programs providing these services. We developed the Crisis Reliability Indicators Supporting Emergency Services (CRISES) framework to create measures that inform internal performance improvement initiatives and allow comparison across programs. The framework consists of two components-the CRISES domains (timely, safe, accessible, least-restrictive, effective, consumer/family centered, and partnership) and the measures supporting each domain. The CRISES framework provides a foundation for development of standardized measures for the crisis field. This will become increasingly important as pay-for-performance initiatives expand with healthcare reform.
Dinh, T.H.T.; Kleimeier, S.; Straetmans, S.T.M.
Adverse selection inherent in the bank-borrower relationship typically intensifies during crises. This problem is expecially severe in emerging markets, characterized by weak institutions and banks with poorly developed monitoring and screening abilities. Exploiting a unique sample of Vietnamese
Münzberger, C.; Stingl, Verena; Oehmen, Josef
This paper introduces adaptive heuristics as a tool to identify crises in design projects and highlights potential applications of these heuristics as decision support tool for crisis identification. Crises may emerge slowly or suddenly, and often have ambiguous signals. Thus the identification...... of a project crisis is often difficult. Yet, to allow fast crisis response, timely identification is critical for successful crisis management. Adaptive heuristics are judgement strategies that can strive in circumstances of limited and ambiguous information. This article presents a theoretical proposition...... for the application of heuristics in design sciences. To achieve this, the paper compares crises to 'business as usual', and presents sixteen indicators for emerging crises. These indicators are potential cues for adaptive heuristics. Specifically three adaptive heuristics, One-single-cue, Fast...
Full Text Available Crises are never convenient as they are destructive. Any institution or organization may face a crisis situation, able to endanger its normal activity and reputation. Some crises are predictable and can be prevented, others cannot be grasped and thus prevented. Experience proved that, despite all technical, economical, financial or educational cautions taken to stop or control a crisis, it can get out of control and develop. In these circumstances, the crisis can bring serious prejudices to the organization if not properly managed from all points of view. Communication during crisis is extremely important, aiming at generating changes and taking action against the crisis. Above all, crises management consists in interpersonal relations. Management activity in crises situations develops a constant and complex communication process with the aid of which, the manager, the crisis cell, the entire staff interact in order to find the optimal strategies to survive the crisis situation.
Most of the developing countries consist of similar type of problems and crises of environment. This may be due to industries vehicles, or agriculture. Referring to the Asian countries it may be due to policy, relocation of industries, different levels of economic crises etc. This study includes impact of environment vs socio, policy, population, demography. The feasibility observed as enhancement of economic status, involving local society, cost base sharing, upgrading the employment opportunities, firm steps and policies, and agenda changes and adoptions. (Author)
Shachmurove, Tomer; Shachmurove, Yochanan
Like many countries, Spain has gone through a series of financial crises, both before and after its industrialization. There are many underlying causes for these crises, as well as for the current Spanish downturn. It is worth noting that there are similarities between recessions throughout the history of Spain. The role of government spending, government regulation, credit institutions, budget deficits, the political climate, and international trade have been important determinants of the st...
The thesis explores ways in which Shakespeare's plays deal with the tragic intervention of such crises as disease, monstrosity, bewitchment, and death, in the biological and ritual functions of maternity. Shakespeare dramatises the way in which these crises have an epistemological impact that extends beyond the limited confines of the home and the family, having the potential to disrupt those bodies of knowledge which ratify patriarchal control over the processes of chUdbirth and maternal nur...
Full Text Available O autor discute as sucessivas crises econômicas ocorridas nos países capitalistas desde os anos 1970, interpretando-as como produto de tensões e contradições endêmicas entre mercados capitalistas e políticas democráticas.The article retraces the successive economic crises in the capitalist countries since the 1970's, reading them as the result of tensions and contradictions between capitalist markets and democratic politics.
Buch-Hansen, Hubert; Wigger, Angela
Economists, politicians, business leaders and opinion makers are convinced that competition enhances efficiency and maximises social welfare. As a result conditions conducive to the maximisation of competition have been created throughout developed capitalist societies. This article explains how...... crises currently facing humanity. The implication of the argument is that these crises can only be solved if prevailing notions of competition and its role in society are reconsidered....
Full Text Available Different scientific studies provide many valuable recommendations how to manage crises in order to lessen their negative effect on relations with consumers. But the question whether the same business crises management rules can be applied for different industries, or they must be adapted depending on industries specifics, has not received sufficient scientific attention. Knowledge gaps about industry specific effect on consumer reactions to business crises remain. This study focuses on understanding the differences in consumers’ reactions in business crises situations with regard to controversial evaluation in the society of “the sin industries” (alcohol, tobacco, gambling, etc. and ordinary industries (not having controversial associations. Experimental research design, including online experiment with tobacco, beer and functional soft drinks consumers (in total 306 respondents, was chosen for competing research hypotheses testing. Empirical evidence was in line with theoretical argumentation about less negative consumers’ reactions during business crises in case of “sin industries” versus ordinary industry. This study shows that consumers attitudes, such as perception of company’s product quality, trust, social responsibility and behavioural intentions, such as intention to buy and recommend company’s products, are less negative during business crises in lower reputation “sin industries” than in ordinary industries.
Matheus Silva De Gregori
Full Text Available O presente estudo tem como objetivo analisar a crise do meio ambiente sob uma abordagem epistemológica, ou seja, a partir do conhecimento produzido em relação à natureza. Verifica-se que o pensamento ocidental, manifestado pelos paradigmas da Ciência Moderna, está ligado à organização dos sistemas econômicos que reconheceram historicamente a natureza apenas como recurso e potencial de produção de capital, vindo a encontrar, por esta via, o limite entrópico da biosfera e, por conseguinte, do crescimento. Abordou-se o processo de construção do conhecimento, questionando-se a possibilidade de concepção de outras perspectivas, fundadas na inseparabilidade entre sujeito-objeto, ação-pensamento e homem-natureza. É percebida a necessidade do ser humano de se re-significar no mundo, conhecendo a complexidade da natureza e pensando além da crise ecológica.
Dohaney, J. A.; Hudson-Doyle, E.; Brogt, E.; Wilson, T. M.; Kennedy, B.
To further our understanding of how to enhance student science and risk communication skills in natural hazards and earth science courses, we conducted a pilot study to assess the different perceptions of expert scientists and risk communication practitioners versus the perceptions of students. These differences will be used to identify expert views on best practice, and improve the teaching of communication skills at the University level. In this pilot study, a perceptions questionnaire was developed and validated. Within this, respondents (geoscientists, engineers, and emergency managers; n=44) were asked to determine their agreement with the use and effectiveness of specific communication strategies (within the first 72 hours after a devastating earthquake) when communicating to the public. In terms of strategies and information to the public, the respondents were mostly in agreement, but there were several statements which elicited large differences between expert responses: 1) the role and purpose of the scientific communication during crises (to persuade people to care, to provide advice, to empower people to take action); 2) the scientist's delivery (showing the scientists emotions and enthusiasm for scientific concepts they are discussing); and 3) the amount of data that is discussed (being comprehensive versus 'only the important' data). The most disagreed upon dimension was related to whether to disclose any political influence on the communication. Additionally, scientists identified that being an effective communicator was an important part of their job, and agreed that it is important to practice these skills. Respondents generally indicated that while scientists should be accountable for the science advice provided, they should not be held liable.
It is customary to have continuous monitoring of volcanoes showing signs of unrest that might lead to an eruption threatening local populations. Despite scientific progress in estimating the probability of an eruption occurring, the concept of continuously tracking eruption probability remains a future aspiration for volcano risk analysts. During some recent major volcanic crises, attempts have been made to estimate the eruption probability in real time to support government decision-making. These include the possibility of an eruption of Katla linked with the eruption of Eyjafjallajökull in 2010, and the Santorini crisis of 2011-2012. However, once a crisis fades, interest in analyzing the probability that there might have been an eruption tends to wane. There is an inherent outcome bias well known to psychologists: if disaster was avoided, there is perceived to be little purpose in exploring scenarios where a disaster might have happened. Yet the better that previous periods of unrest are understood and modelled, the better that the risk associated with future periods of unrest will be quantified. Scenarios are counterfactual histories of the future. The task of quantifying the probability of an eruption for a past period of unrest should not be merely a statistical calculation, but should serve to elucidate and refine geophysical models of the eruptive processes. This is achieved by using a Bayesian Belief Network approach, in which monitoring observations are used to draw inferences on the underlying causal factors. Specifically, risk analysts are interested in identifying what dynamical perturbations might have tipped an unrest period in history over towards an eruption, and assessing what was the likelihood of such perturbations. Furthermore, in what ways might a historical volcano crisis have turned for the worse? Such important counterfactual questions are addressed in this paper.
This paper presents a synthesis of the guiding principles in crisis management in accordance with the four configurational imperatives (strategy, structure, leadership and environment) defined by Miller (1987) and outlines interventions in organisational development (OD) that may contribute to their achievement. The aim is to build a conceptual framework at the intersection of these two fields that could help to strengthen the resilient capabilities of individuals, organisations and communities to face crises. This incursion into the field of OD--to generate more efficient configurations of practices in crisis management--seems particularly fruitful considering the system-wide application of OD, based on open-systems theory (Burke, 2008). Various interventions proposed by OD in terms of human processes, structural designs and human resource management, as well as strategy, may help leaders, members of organisations and civil society apply effectively, and in a more sustainable way, the crisis management guiding principles defined by researchers. © 2011 The Author(s). Disasters © Overseas Development Institute, 2011.
Systems Concepts for Integrated Air Defense of Multinational Mobile Crisis Reaction Forces (Concepts de systemes pour la defense aerienne integree de forces internationales mobiles d’intervention en situation de crise)
systems and multicomputer graphics. Efficient integration of the basic VR language, VRML , with WAVE has been implemented and demonstrated [16-18...poor weather, covertness , and countermeasures resistance, and the difficulty of finding a robust single sensor solution without compromise to essential...system by introducing: - a passive sensor suite to provide covert surveillance, cueing, and fusion with radar plot and identification data; - a low
Brian W. Head
Full Text Available In this case study, I examine the quality of decision-making under conditions of rapidly evolving urban water crises, and the adaptive policy challenges of building regional resilience in response to both drought and flood. Like other regions of Australia, Southeast Queensland has been subject to substantial cycles of drought and flood. I draw on resilience literature concerning sustainability, together with governance literature on policy change, to explain the changing awareness of urban water crises and the strategic options available for addressing these crises in this case study. The problem of resilience thinking opens up a number of important questions about the efficacy and adaptability of the policy system. The case provides insights into the interplay between the ways in which problems are framed, the knowledge bases required for planning and decision-making, the collaborative governance processes required for managing complex and rapidly evolving issues, and the overall capacity for policy learning over time. Regional resilience was proclaimed as a policy goal by government, but the practices remained largely anchored in traditional technical frameworks. Centralized investment decisions and governance restructures provoked conflict between levels of government, undermining the capacity of stakeholders to create more consensual approaches to problem-solving and limiting the collective learning that could have emerged.
Carlos Antonio Gomes
Full Text Available No sistema produtivo, meios de comunicação e nas instituições representativas do capital, é voz corrente que o Brasil vive uma vive uma crise de mão de obra qualificada. Embora os estudos sobre o trabalho tenham dificuldade em reconhecer o fato, inúmeras pesquisas confirmam que o país vive uma crise do capital humano. Esse trabalho apresenta um breve diagnóstico da crise e da estrutura de educação profissional, confirmando que problema encerra uma séria ameaça concreta à economia, desenvolvimento e ao processo de mobilidade social que ora se desenrola no Brasil.
Stosic, Darko; Stosic, Dusan; Ludermir, Teresa; de Oliveira, Wilson; Stosic, Tatijana
This paper examines the effects of financial crises on foreign exchange (FX) markets, where entropy evolution is measured for different exchange rates, using the time-dependent block entropy method. Empirical results suggest that financial crises are associated with significant increase of exchange rate entropy, reflecting instability in FX market dynamics. In accordance with phenomenological expectations, it is found that FX markets with large liquidity and large trading volume are more inert - they recover quicker from a crisis than markets with small liquidity and small trading volume. Moreover, our numerical analysis shows that periods of economic uncertainty are preceded by periods of low entropy values, which may serve as a tool for anticipating the onset of financial crises.
Marques, Filipa Carlota; Leal, Dora; Soares, Ana Rita; Ferreira, José Carlos; Cabral, Pedro
Descreve-se o caso de uma adolescente com antecedentes de epilepsia refratária à terapêutica que inicia um novo tipo de crises. Apesar de haver características semiológicas que nos permitem direcionar o diagnóstico diferencial entre crises epiléticas e pseudocrises, o diagnóstico nem sempre é fácil e muitas vezes ambas as patologias podem coexistir no mesmo paciente. Com este caso clinico pretende-se alertar para a existência de pseudocrises em doentes com epilepsia e para a importância de um...
Marek Dabrowski; Rafal Antczak; Malgorzata Markiewicz; Artur Radziwill; Marcin Sasin
The series of currency crises which hit several developing countries in the 1990s did not leave the emerging market economies of Central and Eastern Europe unscathed. However, contrary to the experience of Mexico in 1995 and South East Asia in 1997-1998, the roots of the crises in our region were usually less sophisticated and easier to identify. Most crisis episodes in the former communist countries fit nicely with the ”first generation” canonical model elaborated in 1979 by Paul Krugman and...
Tang, Helena; Zoli, Edda; Klytchnikova, Irina
The authors look at strategies for dealing with banking crises in 12 transition economies -- five from Central and Eastern Europe (CEE): Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Hungary, Macedonia, and Poland; the three Baltic states: Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania; and four countries from the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS): Georgia, Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, and Ukraine. Three types...
Muenzberg, Christopher; Gericke, K.; Oehmen, Josef
of Apple's iPhone 4 [Ionescu 2010], [Helft 2010], or most recent the Volkswagen "emission scheating" crisis [Russel et al. 2015]. The characteristics of these crises differ. In particular, their causes and effects differ clearly. The causes can be internal, e.g. personal negligence or construction faults...
Patrício A. S. Carneiro Carneiro
Full Text Available O presente artigo discute a evolução da ciência moderna, bem como a crise desse paradigma dominante e seus efeitos sobre a geografia. Destaca ainda a necessidade da construção de um novo pensamento científico para além das fronteiras disciplinares e do método absoluto.
Full Text Available An increase in the frequency and intensity of environmental crises associated with accelerating human-induced global change is of substantial concern to policy makers. The potential impacts, especially on the poor, are exacerbated in an increasingly connected world that enables the emergence of crises that are coupled in time and space. We discuss two factors that can interact to contribute to such an increased concatenation of crises: (1 the increasing strength of global vs. local drivers of change, so that changes become increasingly synchronized; and (2 unprecedented potential for the propagation of crises, and an enhanced risk of management interventions in one region becoming drivers elsewhere, because of increased connectivity. We discuss the oil-food-financial crisis of 2007 to 2008 as an example of a concatenated crisis with origin and ultimate impacts in far removed parts of the globe. The potential for a future of concatenated shocks requires adaptations in science and governance including (a an increased tolerance of uncertainty and surprise, (b strengthening capacity for early detection and response to shocks, and (c flexibility in response to enable adaptation and learning.
No Abstract Available Key words: Nigeria, Heath sector crises, Challenges Journal of Community Medicine & Primary Health Care Vol.16(2) 2004: 1-7. Full Text: EMAIL FREE FULL TEXT EMAIL FREE FULL TEXT · DOWNLOAD FULL TEXT DOWNLOAD FULL TEXT · http://dx.doi.org/10.4314/jcmphc.v16i2.32406.
Boonman, Tjeerd M.; Jacobs, Jan P. A. M.; Kuper, Gerard H.
We construct a continuous sovereign debt crisis index for four large Latin American countries for the period 1870-2012. To obtain the optimal set of indicators and the optimal value of the threshold for dating crises we apply the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. Our sovereign debt
A drastic effect of the economic crises 2009 is the cutback of housing production in the Netherlands, a down-hill trend from 80.000 to 45.000 a year. Unless the population of the country is stable there is an enormous need for new housing every year. Housing production is required because of
The paper explores the dynamics of cultural change and the erosion of cultural heritage vis-à-vis the consequent developmental crises that have enveloped the Nigerian nation for several decades. It is divided into five sections. In the introductory section, the concept of culture is defined, described, and contextualized within ...
Boin, Arjen|info:eu-repo/dai/nl/161938876; Busuioc, Madalina; Groenleer, Martijn
In recent years, the European continent has witnessed a substantial number of "transboundary crises" - crises that cross geographical borders and affect multiple policy domains. Nation states find it hard to deal with such crises by themselves. International cooperation, thus, becomes increasingly
Major economic crises tend to be followed by crises in subjective well-being. Following the financial and debt crises, politicians and social scientists have engaged in heated discussions of ways to alleviate such losses. In particular, should governments intervene more or less? This paper explores...
Qiu, Lu; Gu, Changgui; Xiao, Qin; Yang, Huijie; Wu, Guolin
Extensive works have reported that a financial crisis can induce significant changes to topological structure of a stock network constructed with cross-correlations between stocks. But there are still some problems to be answered, such as what is the relationship between different crises in history and how to classify them? In the present work, we propose a new network-based solution to extract and display the relationships between the crises. The Dow Jones stock market is investigated as a typical example. The cross-correlation matrix between stocks is used to measure the state of stock market, called state matrix. All the states cluster into six sub-categories. A state network is constructed further to display the relationships between all the states, which contains a total of nine communities. It is found that three crises C , D and E (refer to the Lehman's bankruptcy in 2008, the Euro-zone and International Monetary Fund decide the first bailout for Greece in 2010, and the European sovereign debt crisis in 2011, respectively) belong to a specific sub-category and cluster in a single community. The mid-stage of C is closely linked with E, while the other stages with D. The other two crises A and B (refer to the financial crisis in Asia in 1997, and the burst of "dot-com bubble" in 2002, respectively) belong to another sub-category and gather in a corner of another single community. A and B are linked directly with C and D by two edges. By this way, we give a clear picture of the relationships between the crises.
HIV/AIDS, Entertainment-Education, Communication for Development, Migration, Ontological Security......HIV/AIDS, Entertainment-Education, Communication for Development, Migration, Ontological Security...
Full Text Available In this paper, we have developed a forecasting system for currency crisis in East Asia based on a signaling approach. Our system uses 15 monthly indicators of five East Asian countries including Indonesia, Korea, Malaysia, the Philippines and Thailand that were severely hit by the currency crisis in 1997. We investigate the performance of the system through deploying out-of-sample forecasting for the periods both before and after the 1997 East Asian currency crisis. Unlike the existing research based on the signaling approach, our out-of-sample forecasting does not fix the in-sample period. The out-of-sample forecasting between July 1995 and June 1997 shows that prior to breakout of the crisis, several indicators including real exchange rates and exports sent frequent warnings to all crisis-hit East Asian countries except the Philippines. This may indicate that a signaling-based early warning system for currency crisis could have been an useful method of forecasting the East Asian crisis. On the other hand, we also find that our forecasting system often generates warning signals during the out-of-sample period between July 1999 and June 2001. Since we have not observed any currency crisis in this region after 1998, these are all false alarms, indicating that our system may be seriously exposed to the type II error. We can, however, mitigate this problem if we adjust the optimal critical values of indicators depending on the preferences of forecasting system manager.
Roxana Maria Grecu
Full Text Available The strategies for structural-systemic crisis management have generated, to a geographical level, a number of differences between EU countries. These cleavages are the result of differentialmacroeconomic policies. In this context, this article has the aim of achieving a comparative approach between countries of the south, west and east of the EU space. Also our approach is focused on observing the nature of macroeconomic policies and also on identifying a "pattern" associated with a common ideal -type of "rational choice" in the efficient and effective management of systemic crises. This article aims to identify areas of growth and economic stability of a particular model of public policy and political-economic ideology, to set up a mechanism for "economic engineering”. From the methodological point of view, this article uses a quantitativemethodology, derived from mathematical analysis, statistics and stochastic, in order to explain, understand and predict the possible evolution of the systemic crises in the EU countries. The interest lies in the possibility of giving a model of macroeconomic policy for the adjustment of inflationist imbalances, labor market and pricepolicy, and also in regulating the equation of production-consumption.
Full Text Available This paper starts from the theoretical concepts of financial market, and approaches, in the beginning, the financial system "trilemma: Capital mobility - Exchange rate - Monetary Policy ", faced by an open economic system. The article also presents an overview of the principles on which relies the classical models of crisis, and some aspects of the recent financial crisis, and finally ends with a series of lessons that should be learned from the experiences of recent years.
Doner, Richard F.; Wad, Peter
The automotive industries of Southeast Asia have grown significantly but unevenly. Thailand has outperformed its neighbours in Malaysia, Indonesia and the Philippines with regard to production and, most notably, export volumes. But the Thai auto industry has not exhibited the level of local...... (indigenous) technology capacity and input growth seen in South Korea, Taiwan and, increasingly, in China. The 1997–98 and 2008 financial and economic crises generally reinforced pre-existing national automotive strategies, but to different degrees: They strongly accelerated an earlier Thai move to exports...... whose very success weakened pressures for upgrading; encouraged more moderate automotive liberalisation in Indonesia and, to a lesser extent, in the Philippines; but promoted only minimal changes to Malaysia’s relatively protectionist national car strategy. The fact that the crises served more...
Adalberto Moreira Cardoso
Full Text Available O artigo inquire a propalada crise do sindicalismo brasileiro na última década. Analisa algumas dimensões centrais do ordenamento sindical do país (número de sindicatos existentes, filiação a centrais sindicais, taxa de filiação sindical, volume de greves, negociação coletiva e outros, e mostra que, apesar da queda acentuada nas taxas de filiação, a ação sindical tem se mostrado eficiente na negociação coletiva. A imagem da crise está associada ao ambiente político mais geral, no qual o projeto político da parcela hegemônica do movimento (a CUT e aliados e seus partidos (o PT e aliados estão, hoje, sob fogo cerrado das forças que se lhes opõem.
Jakobsen, Peter Viggo
Nowadays states rarely resort to war to defeat each other or to address war-threatening crises and armed conflicts. Instead, coercive diplomacy has emerged as their strategy of choice when persuasion and other non-military instruments fall short. Coercive diplomacy involves the use of military...... threats and/or limited force (sticks) coupled with inducements and assurances (carrots) in order to influence the opponent to do something it would prefer not to. States use coercive diplomacy in the hope of achieving their objectives without having to resort to full-scale war. This chapter presents...... the strategy of coercive diplomacy and its requirements for success and shows how states have employed it to manage crises and conflicts during the three strategic eras that the world has passed through since the end of the Cold War....
Miriam Susskind Borenstein
Full Text Available O estudo aborda a situação de saúde do cliente que apresenta crise hipertensiva ao chegar numa emergência hospitalar. Explora dados relativos às características pessoais e clínico epidemiológicas gerais, além de hábitos de vida que nos dão uma noçãoda amplitude da problemática de estar com a saúde "em estado de emergência". Finalizando, as autoras tecem algumas considerações sobre a necessidadede ultrapassar o foco somente biológico no atendimento a clientes com crise hipertensiva, buscando novos hábitos saudáveis de vida.
Borenstein, Miriam Susskind; Erdmann, Alacoque Lorenzini
O estudo aborda a situação de saúde do cliente que apresenta crise hipertensiva ao chegar numa emergência hospitalar. Explora dados relativos às características pessoais e clínico epidemiológicas gerais, além de hábitos de vida que nos dão uma noçãoda amplitude da problemática de estar com a saúde "em estado de emergência". Finalizando, as autoras tecem algumas considerações sobre a necessidadede ultrapassar o foco somente biológico no atendimento a clientes com crise hipertensiva, buscando n...
Luís Henrique Rauber
Full Text Available O presente artigo propõe discutir a importância do uso das comunidades virtuais na atualidade e sua relação com as crises de imagem nas organizações. Entendendo que o público usuário das marcas (cliente-consumidor, a partir do contato e da possibilidade de interação com estas comunidades virtuais, pode opinar e, também, receber informações sobre os produtos e serviços (sejam estas positivas ou negativas, estabelecer-se-ão exemplos de como isso ocorre, mencionando a comunidade virtual oficial da Coca-Cola na rede social Orkut. PALAVRAS-CHAVE: Comunidades virtuais. Crises de imagem. Rede social. Publicidade. Coca-Cola.
Aldy Fernandes da Silva
Full Text Available The 2008 economic crisis challenged accounting, either demanding recognition and measurement criteria well adjusted to this scenario or even questioning its ability to inform appropriately entities’ financial situation before the crisis occurred. So, our purpose was to verify if during economic crises listed companies in the Brazilian capital market tended to adopt earnings management (EM practices. Our sample consisted in 3,772 firm-years observations, in 13 years – 1997 to 2009. We developed regression models considering discretionary accruals as EM proxy (dependent variable, crisis as a macroeconomic factor (dummy variable of interest, ROA, market-to-book, size, leverage, foreign direct investment (FDI and sector as control variables. Different for previous EM studies two approaches were used in data panel regression models and multiple crises were observed simultaneously. Statistics tests revealed a significant relation between economic crisis and EM practices concerning listed companies in Brazil in both approaches used.
Full Text Available O artigo tem por objetivo estudar o enquadramento midiático construído em torno da crise hídrica que se instalou no Estado de São Paulo, com maior período de seca entre os anos de 2014 e 2015. No intuito de analisar como o tema foi retratado pelos meios de comunicação, a revista Veja foi eleita objeto deste estudo, que pretende elencar como ocorreu o enquadramento da crise e as atribuições de responsabilidade veiculadas por essa mídia, ao governador reeleito Geraldo Alckmin (PSDB, a Companhia de Saneamento Básico do Estado de São Paulo (Sabesp, aos cidadãos e ao meio ambiente, no período de 1º de janeiro a 31 de março de 2015.
Full Text Available Human conflict, geopolitical crises, terrorist attacks, and natural disasters can turn large parts of energy distribution networks offline. Europe's current gas supply network is largely dependent on deliveries from Russia and North Africa, creating vulnerabilities to social and political instabilities. During crises, less delivery may mean greater congestion, as the pipeline network is used in ways it has not been designed for. Given the importance of the security of natural gas supply, we develop a model to handle network congestion on various geographical scales. We offer a resilient response strategy to energy shortages and quantify its effectiveness for a variety of relevant scenarios. In essence, Europe's gas supply can be made robust even to major supply disruptions, if a fair distribution strategy is applied.
Barbosa Filho, Fernando de Holanda
Resumo Este artigo mostra que a crise de 2014/2017 é fruto de uma combinação de choques de oferta e demanda resultado de erros de política econômica. Esses choques produziram uma redução da capacidade de crescimento da economia brasileira e risco de insolvência das finanças públicas. A solução da crise fiscal, através da PEC do teto dos gastos, fará que o país retome o crescimento econômico a partir de 2017, utilizando a capacidade ociosa da economia. No entanto, a taxa de crescimento do prod...
Starke, Peter; Kaasch, Alexandra; van Hooren, Franca
Based on empirical findings froma comparative study onwelfare state responses to the four major economic shocks (the 1970s oil shocks, the early 1990s recession, the 2008 financial crisis) in four OECD countries, this article demonstrates that, in contrast to conventional wisdom, policy responses...... to global economic crises vary significantly across countries. What explains the cross-national and within-case variation in responses to crises?We discuss several potential causes of this pattern and argue that political parties and the party composition of governments can play a key role in shaping crisis...... responses, albeit in ways that go beyond traditional partisan theory.We show that the partisan conflict and the impact of parties are conditioned by existing welfare state configurations. In less generous welfare states, the party composition of governments plays a decisive role in shaping the direction...
Full Text Available Abstract: In this article we examined the impact of economic crises in the years 2008/2009 on the logistics industry in old member states EU-15 and the new EU member states. The emergence of the economic crisis in 2008/2009 when the states of the old members of EU-15 and new EU member states were the first time subjected to the effects of the crisis inside the single entity-the European Union. Research question: The basic research question is: Were implications of economic crises in the years 2008/2009 in logistics industry in heterogenic states of European Union; old member states EU-15 and the new EU member states different? Purpose:We wanted to determine how the logistics companys in old member States EU (15 and in the new EU member states adapt to the new circumstances caused by economic crises in the years 2008/2009. Method: Economic crises are complex multifunctional phenomenon. Analysing complexity of the changes of the state of economic system need to supplement the pure scientific approach with other types of research work, more holistic approach, which is commonly used in Comparative economics. In this article we combine both. In empirical part we used appropriate parametric and non-parametric tests of differences between old and new member states of the European Union. We used Pearson's chi-squared test (Pearson, 1900, p. 157-175. Results: In the article we studied changes ocured by economic crises in the years 2008/2009 in the European logistics industry. We found that the logistics companies in the old EU member states EU-15 and in the new EU member states differently adapt to the implications of economic crises in the years 2008/2009. EU hasn’t adopted and implemented the harmonised economic policy, which will solve the »North-South« problem in logistics industry and find a way to operate systemically in global environment. Organization: The findings can be used to support undestanding of changed bussines envirnment of the
Ahmad Rasmi AlBattat; Ahmad Puad Mat Som
Safety and security are the most important issues to tourist while traveling and the first aspect they consider is to be protected from hazards. Emergency planning and preparedness for a crisis are the most significant components of dealing with disasters. Hospitality practitioners noticed a rising number of natural and man-made crises that harm the hospitality industry, regarding its vulnerability to crisis and intern...
Dans cette communauté africaine fictive présentée par T.M. Aluko dans son roman One Man, One Wife, les valeurs socioculturelles sont sérieusement affectées par la nouvelle religion chrétienne, provoquant ainsi des bouleversements identitaires qui aboutissent à des crises. L'auteur met en exergue la confusion et les ...
L'objectif de cette recherche est d'étudier les répercussions de la récente crise alimentaire sur les ménages de même que les stratégies développées en réaction aux ... The objective of this research is to study the repercussions of the recent food crisis over the children and the household just as the strategies developed in ...
RAQUEL DEZIDÉRIO SOUTO
Full Text Available resumo Diante da crise ambiental atual, diversas disciplinas científicas têm se voltado para sua análise, a fim de apontar soluções para dirimir ou minimizar os danos ambientais e sociais causados pelas atividades econômicas e por outros tipos de fatores de pressão ambiental. Este artigo propõe-se inicialmente a mostrar sucintamente como mudou a visão geográfica predominante no mundo ocidental a respeito da relação entre as populações humanas e o ambiente. Uma mudança de visão que foi reflexo das mudanças que estavam em curso na geografia como um todo, resguardadas as diferenças entre os países. Discute-se ainda que a crise ambiental é uma crise do conhecimento, como afirmam cada vez mais autores. Este texto culmina com as virtudes e limitações da geografia na busca desse entendimento, no intuito de colaborar para seu avançar.
KOUAMÉ SYLVESTRE KOUASSI
Full Text Available Retrospective view of the Ivorian crises from 1993 to 2011. At the independence, Ivory Coast is led by Felix Houphouët Boigny with a system of single party, the PDCI-RDA. The country enjoys political stability which is about the "Ivorian miracle". The economic upturn that knows a halt in 1979 led to social unrest, which later lead the President to re-establish a multiparty system in 1990. Even relative, peace has been preserved. The death of the father of the nation at December 7 of the year 1993 marks the beginning of a turbulent period characterized among other things by the division of the "heirs" meeting within the PDCI-RDA, the coup of 1999 and the bursting of the socio-political military crisis in 2002. The 2010 elections considered like the end of the long crisis will cause over 3,000 deaths due to severe post-electoral crisis that followed. What can we read today of these successive crises? What are the main factors and actors that have characterized the last twenty years of crisis? How are they structured the country? Our approach is backward looking. It is to see through a systematic analysis of past and present how Ivory Coast reached the current situation in order to draw lessons for the future.
Full Text Available Human progress is stimulated by external threats and pressures. Values distilled from long experience possess the essential knowledge and power needed for continuous development and evolution. Successive waves of foreign invasions following the collapse of the Roman Empire coalesced the tribes of England into a nation state. Centuries of incessant warfare finally compelled the countries of Western Europe to evolve a regional union within which war has become unthinkable. Most recently, the rising incidence of terrorism has compelled national security institutions to forge a network for global coordination unimaginable during the Cold War. Challenges met are converted into opportunities. Opportunities missed degenerate into problems. All crises are psychological in origin. The remedy always calls for a change of attitude and values. The greatest threats confronting human beings today do not come from external aggressors. They are the result of problems that affect humanity as a whole and can only be addressed collectively by the entire human race. International financial instability, unemployment, terrorism, proliferation of nuclear weapons and climate change are indications that humanity is entering a higher phase in social evolution that compels us to evolve more effective instruments for governance at the global level. No nation or group of nations acting on its own can protect itself from these threats. Effective action to address these issues is unlikely to come from governments whose source of power and very identity are based on national sovereignty and separateness. Mechanisms for global governance will not be effective unless founded upon universally accepted values in fact as well as in principle, a condition violated by the undemocratic character of the UN system. Power relents only in the face of greater power. Power that exceeds that of the five permanent members of the Security Council can only come from representatives of humanity
Leal, Suely Ribeiro
Resumo A sintonia entre a crise econômica do estado brasileiro e a crise do mercado imobiliário leva à hipótese de estar havendo uma retração do processo de acumulação urbana nas cidades brasileiras. Ambas se situam no contexto da crise econômica mundial que têm afetado os países capitalistas desenvolvidos e periféricos desde 2008. No Brasil, essa crise tem se associado a uma crise de governabilidade política, que vem tendo impactos nos arranjos de governança pautados nas parcerias público-pr...
Políticas de saúde e crise do Estado de Bem-Estar: repercussões e possibilidades para o Sistema Único de Saúde Health policies and crisis of the Welfare State: repercussions and possibilities for the Unified Health System
Maria Raquel Gomes Maia Pires
Full Text Available A institucionalização do Sistema Único de Saúde (SUS, orientada por princípios universalistas e solidários, pode ser vislumbrada sob a influência das tensões entre mercado e cidadania no contexto de redemocratização que o país viveu, ambientado nas lutas políticas que balançaram o país na elaboração da Constituição de 1988, na crise econômica que caracterizou a década perdida e no arrefecimento do Estado desenvolvimentista. Trata-se de um estudo teórico, que parte da premissa que o cenário econômico mundial transnacionalizado, com a conseqüente exigência de flexibilização das garantias sociais que o capital financeiro vem impondo aos Estados de bem-estar, traz repercussões estruturais para países em desenvolvimento ou periféricos, como o Brasil, pondo em risco a implementação dos princípios e diretrizes do SUS. Objetiva-se: a- Analisar a conformação das políticas sociais no capitalismo e o delineamento da crise do Estado de Bem-Estar social; b- Contextualizar as políticas de saúde do Brasil nas atuais transformações do capitalismo e redefinição do papel do Estado, analisando as repercussões para a implementação do SUS; e c- Apontar possibilidades para o enfrentamento da implementação do SUS no contexto em foco por meio da politicidade do cuidado - gestão da ajuda-poder para a (reconstrução da autonomia de sujeitos. Diante das ambigüidades de um sistema de saúde que se pretende equânime, numa conjuntura ditada pela mercantilização do direito à saúde, aposta-se em propostas e experiências de enfrentamento que fortaleçam o controle democrático da sociedade civil sobre a implementação das políticas públicas.The institutionalization of the Unified Health System (SUS, guided by principles of universalism and solidarism, can be viewed under the influences of the tensions between market forces and citizenship in the re-democratization context that the country experienced, adapted in the
O’Hara Phillip Anthony
Full Text Available This paper outlines a long-term policy and institutional framework for reducing the intensity of recessions, debt crises and financial instabilities, especially for the Core nations and areas that bore the brunt of the anomalies during 2008-2013. We argue that institutional changes need to be systemic, amounting to the construction of a new social structure of accumulation (SSA or mode of regulation (MOR, which we call an SSA of embedded communitarian liberalism. Five institutional spheres are introduced which are in need of systemic change, due to the entrenched contradictions and problems which the current set of institutions generate. These involve firstly institutions within the world-system of finance and production; secondly relating to finance versus industry; thirdly capital versus labor; fourthly state systems of production; and fifthly the interlinking of state, community and ecology.
Scanlon, Kathleen; Lunde, Jens; Whitehead, Christine
The long period of house price growth in markets across the world ended with the US and global financial crisis of 2007/08. The crisis and the consequent recession had profound effects on mortgage market actors – including households, institutions and governments – in most advanced economies......, whether or not they participated in this rapid house price growth. Many of the trends observed during the boom, especially the innovations in financial instruments, were reversed. This paper presents evidence on how mortgage markets and stakeholders responded in the initial period after the crash....... In particular it reports on a 2009 survey of housing experts from 16 industrialised countries, which concentrated on how each country's mortgage system responded to the crisis and how governments addressed the problems of borrowers....
Luis Felipe Miguel
Full Text Available Com certa freqüência, a imprensa é acusada de "incendiária", alimentando as crises políticas, de forma irresponsável, na busca por melhores manchetes. A partir da análise de editoriais dos três principais jornais da imprensa brasileira entre maio e dezembro de 2005, meses do escândalo do "mensalão", este artigo observa outra faceta: como a crise é constituída como "desvio" a ser corrigido pela punição ou exclusão de determinados atores e comportamentos, impedindo que se coloque em questão os fundamentos do regime político.Press is frequently accused of being "incendiary", nourishing political crisis in an irresponsible way, in search of better headlines. This article relies on an analysis of editorial stuff of the three leading Brazilian newspapers to observe another facet: how the crisis is constituted as a "deviation" something to be corrected by punishment or exclusion of certain actors and kinds of behavior. Thus, the foundations of the political system are never put in question.
Sennert, Sally K.; Klemetti, Erik W.; Bird, Deanne
The growth of social media as a primary and often preferred news source has contributed to the rapid dissemination of information about volcanic eruptions and potential volcanic crises as an eruption begins. Information about volcanic activity comes from a variety of sources: news organisations, emergency management personnel, individuals (both public and official) and volcano monitoring agencies. Once posted, this information is easily shared, increasing the reach to a much broader population than the original audience. The onset and popularity of social media as a vehicle for eruption information dissemination has presented many benefits as well as challenges, and points towards a need for a more unified system for information. This includes volcano observatories using social media as an official channels to distribute activity statements, forecasts and predictions on social media, in addition to the archiving of images and data activity. This chapter looks at two examples of projects that collect / disseminate information regarding volcanic crises and eruptive activity utilizing social media sources. Based on those examples, recommendations are made to volcanic observatories in relation to the use of social media as a two-way communication tool. These recommendations include: using social media as a two-way dialogue to communicate and receive information directly from the public and other sources; stating that the social media account is from an official source; and, posting types of information that the public are seeking such as images, videos and figures.
Milićević Snežana; Ervaćanin Vladimir
In terms of global tourism business, tourism constantly faces crises that affect its development. At the beginning of the XXI century, several significant crises have had a negative effect on the world tourism industry, starting with the terrorist attacks on the USA, epidemics, the global economic crisis, natural disasters, political crises, etc. Tourism has resulted in the decline in tourism traffic and tourism receipts, with major or minor impacts on global tourism trends. The largest negat...
Francisco Paulo Cipolla
Full Text Available Este artigo apresenta criticamente diferentes interpretações da crise atual. Orientaram a seleção das várias contribuições a representatividade das teorias marxistas clássicas de crise e a importância das novas abordagens correspondentes aos novos fenômenos em desenvolvimento no capitalismo atual. O exame crítico dessas contribuições revela uma linha divisória entre aqueles que concebem a crise como tendo sido causada pelo afluxo dos lucros da produção para as finanças (Husson e Foster /Magdoff e aqueles para os quais o aumento do crédito de consumo foi resultado de uma reestruturação dos fluxos de crédito das empresas, cada vez mais autônomas no mercado de dinheiro, às famílias assalariadas, cada vez mais dependentes do financiamento bancário. Essa linha divisória reflete a importância que o primeiro grupo adjudica à diminuição do ritmo de crescimento vis-à-vis os teóricos da School of Oriental and African Studies. A análise revela também que a atrofia da economia política leva a um abandono precoce da teoria bancária e financeira de Marx em favor dos instrumentos teóricos pós-keynesianos imediatamente disponíveis para o uso.This article is a critical survey of different interpretations of the 2007-2008 financial crises. They were chosen either because they represented classical Marxian views on crisis, such as the underconsumption or over-accumulation theories, or else because they were newly developed interpretations based on recent newly economic developments, as it is the case of the financial expropriation theory. The analysis reveals three main points of view. The first is that the cause of crisis is the stagnation of the economy and the ensuing transfer of profits from production to finance, process that caused the housing-financial bubble (Husson and Foster/Magdoff. The second view argues that it was the structural change in financial markets which led banks to increasingly rely on consumer credit
In the 1860s, political crises erupted in the Atlantic world which had repercussions on political thinking about parliamentary systems. Conservative forces gained control in several small powers in the North Atlantic after the preceding more liberal decades had, according to many, contributed to
Full Text Available During latest times, financial crises have been a common occurrence in emerging market (and transition countries with negative influence for the economies. Financial crises have had negative effects on real output, work force, poverty and political instability. Latest crises (2008 that struck US become international, its consequence being received in European countries too. This paper wants to discuss some intervention measures taken in the European Union Area and some importants funds used as tools for crises fighting. The European Economic Recovery Plan and EU funding mechanisms (The European Social Fund (ESF and The European Globalization Adjustment Fund (EGF are taken into discussion.
Full Text Available The health effects of recent economic crises differ markedly by population group. The objective of this systematic review is to examine evidence from longitudinal studies on factors influencing resilience for any health outcome or health behaviour among the general population living in countries exposed to financial crises.We systematically reviewed studies from six electronic databases (EMBASE, Global Health, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, Scopus, Web of Science which used quantitative longitudinal study designs and included: (i exposure to an economic crisis; (ii changes in health outcomes/behaviours over time; (iii statistical tests of associations of health risk and/or protective factors with health outcomes/behaviours. The quality of the selected studies was appraised using the Quality Assessment Tool for Quantitative Studies. PRISMA reporting guidelines were followed.From 14,584 retrieved records, 22 studies met the eligibility criteria. These studies were conducted across 10 countries in Asia, Europe and North America over the past two decades. Ten socio-demographic factors that increased or protected against health risk were identified: gender, age, education, marital status, household size, employment/occupation, income/ financial constraints, personal beliefs, health status, area of residence, and social relations. These studies addressed physical health, mortality, suicide and suicide attempts, mental health, and health behaviours. Women's mental health appeared more susceptible to crises than men's. Lower income levels were associated with greater increases in cardiovascular disease, mortality and worse mental health. Employment status was associated with changes in mental health. Associations with age, marital status, and education were less consistent, although higher education was associated with healthier behaviours.Despite widespread rhetoric about the importance of resilience, there was a dearth of studies which operationalised resilience
Glonti, Ketevan; Gordeev, Vladimir S; Goryakin, Yevgeniy; Reeves, Aaron; Stuckler, David; McKee, Martin; Roberts, Bayard
The health effects of recent economic crises differ markedly by population group. The objective of this systematic review is to examine evidence from longitudinal studies on factors influencing resilience for any health outcome or health behaviour among the general population living in countries exposed to financial crises. We systematically reviewed studies from six electronic databases (EMBASE, Global Health, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, Scopus, Web of Science) which used quantitative longitudinal study designs and included: (i) exposure to an economic crisis; (ii) changes in health outcomes/behaviours over time; (iii) statistical tests of associations of health risk and/or protective factors with health outcomes/behaviours. The quality of the selected studies was appraised using the Quality Assessment Tool for Quantitative Studies. PRISMA reporting guidelines were followed. From 14,584 retrieved records, 22 studies met the eligibility criteria. These studies were conducted across 10 countries in Asia, Europe and North America over the past two decades. Ten socio-demographic factors that increased or protected against health risk were identified: gender, age, education, marital status, household size, employment/occupation, income/ financial constraints, personal beliefs, health status, area of residence, and social relations. These studies addressed physical health, mortality, suicide and suicide attempts, mental health, and health behaviours. Women's mental health appeared more susceptible to crises than men's. Lower income levels were associated with greater increases in cardiovascular disease, mortality and worse mental health. Employment status was associated with changes in mental health. Associations with age, marital status, and education were less consistent, although higher education was associated with healthier behaviours. Despite widespread rhetoric about the importance of resilience, there was a dearth of studies which operationalised resilience factors
Glonti, Ketevan; Gordeev, Vladimir S.; Goryakin, Yevgeniy; Reeves, Aaron; Stuckler, David; McKee, Martin; Roberts, Bayard
Background The health effects of recent economic crises differ markedly by population group. The objective of this systematic review is to examine evidence from longitudinal studies on factors influencing resilience for any health outcome or health behaviour among the general population living in countries exposed to financial crises. Methods We systematically reviewed studies from six electronic databases (EMBASE, Global Health, MEDLINE, PsycINFO, Scopus, Web of Science) which used quantitative longitudinal study designs and included: (i) exposure to an economic crisis; (ii) changes in health outcomes/behaviours over time; (iii) statistical tests of associations of health risk and/or protective factors with health outcomes/behaviours. The quality of the selected studies was appraised using the Quality Assessment Tool for Quantitative Studies. PRISMA reporting guidelines were followed. Results From 14,584 retrieved records, 22 studies met the eligibility criteria. These studies were conducted across 10 countries in Asia, Europe and North America over the past two decades. Ten socio-demographic factors that increased or protected against health risk were identified: gender, age, education, marital status, household size, employment/occupation, income/ financial constraints, personal beliefs, health status, area of residence, and social relations. These studies addressed physical health, mortality, suicide and suicide attempts, mental health, and health behaviours. Women’s mental health appeared more susceptible to crises than men’s. Lower income levels were associated with greater increases in cardiovascular disease, mortality and worse mental health. Employment status was associated with changes in mental health. Associations with age, marital status, and education were less consistent, although higher education was associated with healthier behaviours. Conclusions Despite widespread rhetoric about the importance of resilience, there was a dearth of studies
Harmon, Dion; Lagi, Marco; de Aguiar, Marcus A M; Chinellato, David D; Braha, Dan; Epstein, Irving R; Bar-Yam, Yaneer
Predicting panic is of critical importance in many areas of human and animal behavior, notably in the context of economics. The recent financial crisis is a case in point. Panic may be due to a specific external threat or self-generated nervousness. Here we show that the recent economic crisis and earlier large single-day panics were preceded by extended periods of high levels of market mimicry--direct evidence of uncertainty and nervousness, and of the comparatively weak influence of external news. High levels of mimicry can be a quite general indicator of the potential for self-organized crises.
Daniel Cohen; Sébastien Villemot
This paper analyzes econometrically how a country`s post-crisis debt ratio could be forecast, in the aftermath of a debt crisis, from the previous debt-to-GDP ratio. A critical parameter is simply the debt-to-PPP-GDP ratio, where PPP-GDP is, in current international dollars, the Summers-Heston value. In this formulation, this paper shows that the Latin American paradox disappears. This then leads to a simple conclusion: debt crises are more frequent in Latin American countries because they ha...
Reginaldo Benedito Dias
Full Text Available O presente artigo demonstra como os acontecimentos que levaram à crise e desintegração dos países do bloco soviético foram analisados no calor dos acontecimentos, tomando como parâmetro os livros "Nós, o povo" e "A desintegração do monolito", selecionados por causa das diferentes perspectivas metodológicas e ideológicas que representam.
Sørensen, Mads Peter; Davidson, A.; Pedersen, Niels Falsig
We use the method of cell-to-cell mapping to locate attractors, basins, and saddle nodes in the phase plane of a driven Josephson junction. The cell-mapping method is discussed in some detail, emphasizing its ability to provide a global view of the phase plane. Our computations confirm...... the existence of a previously reported interior crisis. In addition, we observe a boundary crisis for a small shift in one parameter. The cell-mapping method allows us to show both crises explicitly in the phase plane, at low computational cost....
Soerensen, M.P.; Davidson, A.; Pedersen, N.F.; Pagano, S.
We use the method of cell-to-cell mapping to locate attractors, basins, and saddle nodes in the phase plane of a driven Josephson junction. The cell-mapping method is discussed in some detail, emphasizing its ability to provide a global view of the phase plane. Our computations confirm the existence of a previously reported interior crisis. In addition, we observe a boundary crisis for a small shift in one parameter. The cell-mapping method allows us to show both crises explicitly in the phase plane, at low computational cost
José Paulo Netto
Full Text Available A palestra aqui transcrita, retomando e ampliando anteriores formulações do autor, considera a série recente de crises da economia capitalista como o prólogo de uma terceira crise sistêmica que afeta o conjunto da ordem do capital. Sumaria as transformações societárias que a sinalizam desde os finais dos anos 1970 e caracteriza a nova barbárie que se anuncia, sublinhando a relação entre a militarização da vida social e o minimalismo das políticas assistencialistas.In the lecture that is transcribed here and that resumes and enlarges the author's former ideas, the recent series of crises of the capitalist economics is considered a prologue of a third system crisis that affects the whole of the order of the capital. This article written from the lecture summarizes the transformations that have signaled such a crisis from the end of the 1970s in society, and it characterizes the new barbarism that is arising, stressing the relation between the militarization of the social life and the minimalism of the assistance policies.
Depuis la crise des subprimes en 2007, la zone euro se distingue des autres pays. En effet, si l'ensemble des économies ont connu les deux premières phases de la crise, à savoir le passage d'une crise financière à une crise économique, seule la zone euro connaît une crise de dettes souveraines. Des politiques de relance ont été engagées pour faire face à la crise économique dégradant les finances publiques de certains membres de la zone euro. Par la suite, des politiques de consolidation sont...
Wilson Antônio Steinmetz
ção enquanto locus epistêmico de análise e reflexão sobre as constituições. O que muda é a descrição ou a interpretação da relação entre Constituição e realidade que cada uma das inúmeras teorias da Constituição propõe e a ênfase, descritiva ou valorativa, que se atribui aos polos da relação. Na atual quadra da história do Brasil, retomar a pesquisa e a reflexão rigorosas sobre a dialética Constituição-realidade é, se não uma imposição, muito recomendável à comunidade científica do direito, especialmente àqueles que investigam o direito como fenômeno normativo e suas projeções sobre as relações políticas e sociais. Nosso País vive aquela que talvez seja a maior crise após a redemocratização. À crise política somam-se uma crise econômica e uma crise financeira do Estado, nos três níveis da Federação. A crise política por si mesma não seria atemorizante ou ameaçadora. Desde a redemocratização em meados dos anos 1980, atravessamos crises políticas sem rupturas institucionais ou constitucionais. No pós-1988, a Constituição tem se mostrado adequada e, ao mesmo tempo, resistente às crises políticas sazonais. No entanto, há fundados motivos para supormos que a atual crise – que possui uma dimensão política, uma dimensão econômica e uma dimensão financeira – desafia e continuará desafiando a engenharia institucional e organizacional desenhada pela Constituição de 1988. Primeiro, as dimensões da crise formam uma unidade, estão profundamente imbricadas. Passados dois anos, constata-se que a solução da crise geral depende de uma solução articulada ou encadeada das três dimensões. Segundo, o País necessita de uma ampla reforma política para a qual os partidos, os grupos e as facções políticas parecem ter disposição nenhuma para convergir. Terceiro, a crise sinaliza que o Estado brasileiro, em todas as suas esferas, já não tem condições de, simultaneamente, cumprir todas as tarefas que a Constitui
Full Text Available O presente estudo investiga a evolução do emprego formal entre 2005 e 2015 no conjunto de municípios que compõe a região Sudeste, espaço que responde por mais de 50% do emprego e do PIB do Brasil. A análise combinada dos dados disponíveis no CAGED e na RAIS evidencia o encolhimento do mercado formal de trabalho em 2015, e de forma mais expressiva nos municípios de maior porte demográfico. Entretanto, a despeito da intensificação da crise econômica a partir de 2013, no período 2013-2015, centenas de outros municípios tradicionalmente mais frágeis economicamente não vivenciaram a severidade do impacto da crise no emprego, muitos deles localizados nas áreas setentrionais da região, as que se assemelham com a região Nordeste do Brasil, espaços nos quais foram maiores os impactos das ações das políticas sociais dos últimos governos.
Fernando de Holanda Barbosa Filho
Full Text Available Resumo Este artigo mostra que a crise de 2014/2017 é fruto de uma combinação de choques de oferta e demanda resultado de erros de política econômica. Esses choques produziram uma redução da capacidade de crescimento da economia brasileira e risco de insolvência das finanças públicas. A solução da crise fiscal, através da PEC do teto dos gastos, fará que o país retome o crescimento econômico a partir de 2017, utilizando a capacidade ociosa da economia. No entanto, a taxa de crescimento do produto potencial não recuperará o ritmo anterior devido aos efeitos duradouros das políticas da Nova Matriz Econômica (NME que reduziram o produto potencial nacional. Recomenda-se, portanto, a adoção de políticas que induzam uma recuperação da produtividade da economia brasileira.
Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira
Full Text Available A crise financeira global de 2008 foi conseqüência do processo de financeirização, a criação maciça de riqueza financeira fictícia iniciada da década de 1980, e da hegemonia de uma ideologia reacionária, o neoliberalismo, baseada em mercados auto-regulados e eficientes. Dessa crise emergirá um novo capitalismo, embora sua natureza seja de difícil previsão. Não será financeirizado, mas serão retomadas as tendências presentes nos trinta anos dourados em direção ao capitalismo global e baseado no conhecimento, além da tendência de expansão da democracia, tornando-a mais social e participativa.The 2008 global financial crisis was a consequence of the processes of financialization, the massive creation of fictitious financial wealth which began in the 1980's, and of the hegemony of a reactionary ideology, neoliberalism, based on the belief of the self-regulating capacity and efficiency of markets. From this crisis a new capitalism will emerge, althought its chacarteristics are hard to foresee. It will not be financial, but the tendencies of the 30 "golden years" toward global and knowledge-based capitalism, and the tendency of expansion of democracy will be among them.
Michel Pierre Lison
Full Text Available Com o uso de Nitrazepam notou-se rápida redução de freqüência das crises tônicas axiais. Os melhores resultados foram obtidos em um paciente que apresentava crises tônicas axiais isoladas, estado seqüela de encefalopatia mioclônica infantil com hipsarritmia; essas crises foram controladas após dois meses de tratamento. Em outro paciente, com manifestações críticas próprias das síndrome de Lennox, houve redução da intensidade e da freqüência das demais crises associadas às crises tônicas axiais; o tratamento não impediu, contudo, o aparecimento de novas manifestações epilépticas que completaram o quadro da síndrome de Lennox. A intercorrência de episódios infecciosos piorou o quadro clínico de um dos pacientes. Houve redução rápida e significativa da intensidade e da freqüência das crises acinéticas, desde o primeiro dia de tratamento com Diazepam em 5 dos 10 pacientes. Em mais 4 doentes as crises foram controladas desde o primeiro dia. O intervalo entre o início das crises acinéticas e o início do tratamento e o insucesso de terapêuticas anteriores não foram fatores desfavoráveis quanto aos resultados obtidos com o Diazepam. Recidivas ou agravamento do quadro clínico ocorreram em 5 pacientes. A piora não teve relação definida com afecções intercorrentes. Aumentos ulteriores da dosagem do Diazepam tiveram efeitos inconstantes.
atteint une personne en bonne santé apparente ou aggravation brusque d'un état chronique, par exemple, crise d'appendicite, d'asthme. Crise cardiaque. .... 9 octobre 2007. Françoise, Susini-Anastapoulos. (1994). L'écriture fragmentaire. Paris : Seuil. Marcel ...
Terpstra, T.; Stronkman, R.J.P.; Vries, A. de; Paradies, G.L.
Today's crises attract great attention on social media, from local and distant citizens as well as from news media. This study investigates the possibilities of real-time and automated analysis of Twitter messages during crises. The analysis was performed through application of an information
Hegner, Sabrina; Hegner, Sabrina M.; Beldad, Ardion Daroca; Kamphuis op Heguis, Sjarlot
Brands are susceptible to various forms of crises, regardless of whether a brand’s conscious deviation from socially acceptable practices or forces and activities beyond the brand’s control prompted a crisis. Undeniably, crises can have negative ramifications for the brand’s consumer relationships
de Goeij, Moniek C. M.; Suhrcke, Marc; Toffolutti, Veronica; van de Mheen, Dike; Schoenmakers, Tim M.; Kunst, Anton E.
Economic crises are complex events that affect behavioral patterns (including alcohol consumption) via opposing mechanisms. With this realist systematic review, we aimed to investigate evidence from studies of previous or ongoing crises on which mechanisms (How?) play a role among which individuals
Full Text Available Based on theoretical analysis, in the present paper, we defined the structure of the characteristics of personality psychological maturity, which is considered an adult development criterion. The objective of this paper was to identify the mechanisms that contribute to the formation of psychological maturity in adulthood development. We first assumed that one of the possible mechanisms is the normative crisis of development. In turn, previously formed psychological maturity traits can relieve the experiences associated with this normative crisis. The aim of the present study was to analyze the formation of psychological maturity during periods of emerging and middle adulthood, with a specific focus on normative crisis experiences. The study design included cross-sectional and longitudinal methods. The participants included 309 adults. The emerging adulthood group ranged in age from 18 to 25 years, and the participants in the middle adulthood group were between 38 and 45 years of age. To study crisis events and experiences, we used three author-designed questionnaires. A self-actualization test by E. Shostrom (SAT, the Big Five personality test by Costa and MacCrae, a value and availability ratio in various vital spheres technique by E.B. Fantalova, a purpose-in-life test by D.A. Leontiev, and a coping test by Lazarus were used to define the personality characteristics used to overcome difficult life situations. In this paper, we described experiences specific to the crises associated with emerging adulthood and middle adulthood in the context of developmental tasks. Using cluster analysis, we defined groups with different intensities of crisis experiences and analyzed psychological content of crisis experiences in different groups. Using ANOVA, we found that participants with low intensity crisis experiences show more developed characteristics of psychological maturity. During emerging adulthood, the overcoming of crises associated with the
Ce rapport à paraître fin août 2008 fait la synthèse d’un séminaire organisé en mai dernier par la commission « Urgence et postcrise » du Haut Conseil de la Coopération Internationale avec le soutien du ministère de la Défense. Consacré à la gouvernance des acteurs et aux enjeux humanitaires, il a clôturé un travail d’analyse développé autour des questions de gouvernance et de coordination des acteurs humanitaires dans des contextes d’insécurité grandissante et de crises complexes. Vous y tro...
Stein, Deborah R; Ferguson, Michael A
Hypertensive crises in children are medical emergencies that must be identified, evaluated, and treated promptly and appropriately to prevent end-organ injury and even death. Treatment in the acute setting typically includes continuous intravenous antihypertensive medications with monitoring in the intensive care unit setting. Medications commonly used to treat severe hypertension have been poorly studied in children. Dosing guidelines are available, although few pediatric-specific trials have been conducted to facilitate evidence-based therapy. Regardless of what medication is used, blood pressure should be lowered gradually to allow for accommodation of autoregulatory mechanisms and to prevent cerebral ischemia. Determining the underlying cause of the blood pressure elevation may be helpful in guiding therapy. PMID:27051314
Full Text Available Deborah R Stein, Michael A Ferguson Division of Nephrology, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA Abstract: Hypertensive crises in children are medical emergencies that must be identified, evaluated, and treated promptly and appropriately to prevent end-organ injury and even death. Treatment in the acute setting typically includes continuous intravenous antihypertensive medications with monitoring in the intensive care unit setting. Medications commonly used to treat severe hypertension have been poorly studied in children. Dosing guidelines are available, although few pediatric-specific trials have been conducted to facilitate evidence-based therapy. Regardless of what medication is used, blood pressure should be lowered gradually to allow for accommodation of autoregulatory mechanisms and to prevent cerebral ischemia. Determining the underlying cause of the blood pressure elevation may be helpful in guiding therapy. Keywords: hypertensive crisis, hypertensive urgency, hypertensive emergency, antihypertensive medications
The growing dependency of Europe as a whole on energy imports and anticipated further increases in energy prices reinforce the concerns about meeting the energy demand in the future. The objective of the Study is to identify the threats leading to potential energy crises and suggest solutions for facing, in an appropriate way, the related key challenges. In addition, the Study intends to develop a number of indicators effective enough to assess the level of different types of vulnerability, as well the overall vulnerability of a country or region, including threats to physical disruption, higher energy prices etc. The use of vulnerability indicators is highly recommended for all WEC-European countries, as well as to policy makers and market players.
Full Text Available This issue of the Journal of Social Science Education deals with the financial and economic crises, its causes and the consequences which could be drawn for civic and economic education. As far as economic and civic educators are expected to behave like communicators of established scientific knowledge received from economics or political science, they also are hit by the crisis of these two disciplines which is induced by their severe shortcomings in the crisis. The conventional wisdom of economics or of political science failed to provide an early warning system of potentially dangerous institutions, policies or outcomes. On the contrary, among the main causes of the financial crisis and its political and economic failures are: policy recommendations delivered by the Chicago school of economics, beliefs and decisions of the economic and political elites encouraged by mainstream economics and economic liberalism, and, last but not least, an increasing self-restraint of the state towards the market, fed by political theories based on the idea that (financial markets should best control themselves. The financial-economic-political crisis cannot be understood without its ideological, institutional and political framework, and this framework cannot be understood without taking into account its foundations in mainstream economics and the economic mode of thinking which is also flourishing in political science. The significant shift of power in favour of the international financial industries has to be considered, too. Disentangling the intricate causes of the intertwined crises and discussing its consequences – also for education at universities – is a challenging task taken up by the authors of this and the next issue of the JSSE.
Full Text Available Nirali H Patel,1 Sarah K Romero,2 David C Kaelber31Division of Emergency Medicine, Akron Children's Hospital, Akron, OH, USA; 2Division of Emergency Medicine, Rainbow Babies and Children's Hospital, Cleveland, OH, USA; 3Departments of Information Services, Internal Medicine, Pediatrics, and Epidemiology and Biostatistics, The Center for Clinical Informatics Research and Education, The MetroHealth System and School of Medicine, Case Western Reserve University, Cleveland OH, USAAbstract: Hypertension (HTN in the pediatric population is estimated to have a world-wide prevalence of 2%-5%. As with adults, pediatric patients with HTN can present with hypertensive crises include hypertensive urgency and hypertensive emergencies. However, pediatric blood pressure problems have a greater chance of being from secondary causes of HTN, as opposed to primary HTN, than in adults. Thorough evaluation of a child with a hypertensive emergency includes accurate blood pressure readings, complete and focused symptom history, and appropriate past medical, surgical, and family history. Physical exam should include height, weight, four-limb blood pressures, a general overall examination and especially detailed cardiovascular and neurological examinations, including fundoscopic examination. Initial work-up should typically include electrocardiography, chest X-ray, serum chemistries, complete blood count, and urinalysis. Initial management of hypertensive emergencies generally includes the use of intravenous or oral antihypertensive medications, as well as appropriate, typically outpatient, follow-up. Emergency department goals for hypertensive crises are to (1 safely lower blood pressure, and (2 treat/minimize acute end organ damage, while (3 identifying underlying etiology. Intravenous antihypertensive medications are the treatment modality of choice for hypertensive emergencies with the goal of reducing systolic blood pressure by 25% of the original value over an 8
Jensen, Carsten Strøby
like HRM that have challenged the way industrial relation theory conceptualized the relation between employer and employee. The changes in the theory and practice of industrial relations have often been conceptualized as a situation of crises. Industrial relations as an intellectual and theoretical......Industrial relations have changed dramatically during the last twenty to thirty years. This is the case both in respect to industrial relations as a practical field or area in modern society, and in respect to industrial relations as a theoretical and intellectual field. As a practical field...... changes in industrial relations has mostly been related to the erosion of traditional industrial relations institutions and actors in a broad number of industrialized countries. As a theoretical and intellectual field changes has been related to the development of new types of intellectual disciplines...
Amilton Antunes Barreira
Full Text Available O seguimento de 12 pacientes apresentando síndrome de Lennox-Gastaut com início após os 6 anos de idade, durante o período médio de 2 anos e 6 meses, permitiu a identificação dos seguintes tipos de crises epilépticas: tônicas, hemitônicas, atônicas, mioclono-atônicas, ausências atípicas, parciais com generalização secundária, tônico-clônicas, parciais com automatismos, versivas e ausências típicas. Durante o primeiro ano de seguimento houve predomínio de crises tônicas, ausências atípicas, crises tônico-clônicas e atônicas, respectivamente. No terceiro ano de crises tônicas, tônico-clônicas, hemitônicas e ausências atípicas. O estudo das crises segundo a frequência evidenciou predomínio de uma ou mais crises por dia e de uma a 6 por semana. Na evolução, as modificações de frequência ocorreram, em geral, no sentido da diminuição do número de crises. A comparação de nossos achados com os da literatura sobre síndrome de Lennox-Gastaut com início tardio evidencia, em nossa casuística, frequência mais elevada das crises tônicas, ausências atípicas e das crises hemigeneralizadas. Essas manifestações são, mais comumente, encontradas nos pacientes com síndrome de Lennox-Gastaut de início anterior aos 6 anos.
Fan, Feng-Hua; Deng, Yanbin; Huang, Yong-Chang
We first argue about the similarity between the propagation phenomenon of negative information about potential deterioration of economic situation in group of investors and the propagation phenomenon of infectious disease in crowd Applying the negative-information-propagation-induced model built based on above argument, we investigate the relationship between the generation of financial crises and propagation effects of negative information We introduce the discrimination parameter to distinguish whether or not negative information will be propagated extensively in group of investors. We also introduce the target critical value of financial crises. By comparing the theoretically predicted ratio of the long term projected number of total investors to the total number of investors at some time as initial time with target critical value of financial crises, the model can provide real-time monitoring of whether the curve of total number of investors is progressing toward the direction of generating financial crises or running on track of financial markets safety. If at some time this ratio is computed to be less than the target critical value of financial crises, governments can take relevant measures to prevent the generation of financial crises in advance Governments' interference helps to recover the confidence of investors so that they never will again believe in negative information to continue their investment. Results from theoretical and numerical analysis show that the number of investors who hold the belief of potential deterioration of economic situation, and the number of investors who withdraw capital and depart from financial markets for avoiding business loss when governments make appropriate interference are lowered compared to that without appropriate governments' interference. The results show the effectiveness of governments in preventing financial crises from the viewpoint of the negative information-propagation-induced model, namely governments
Gusmão,Sebastião Silva; Mendes,Mirian Fabíola Studart; Silveira,Roberto Leal
Descreve-se um caso de crise focal somatosensorial ipsilateral a tumor cerebral e revê-se a literatura. Trata-se de ocorrência excepcional, tendo sido descritos apenas seis casos. Vários mecanismos fisiopatológicos foram propostos para explicar a crise focal somatosensorial ipsilateral. A proximidade das lesões da convexidade cerebral baixa (perisilviana) sugere o comprometimento da área somatosensorial secundária e parece comprovar os achados experimentais de crises somatosensoriais originad...
heberti kooki fugo barduco
Full Text Available A globalização e a fragmentação social são os principais elementos que influenciam a crise da dicotomina público/privado. A crise enfrentada pelo Estado Moderno, no tocante ao poder político, em virtude da crise do conceito de soberania e do enfraquecimento da divisão público/privado, Floriano De Azevedo Marques Neto define que tais elementos causam o colapso do modelo de Estado Moderno, atinente a questão do Estado Nacional, o que interfere na noção de interesse público.
Siqueira, Diego Silveira; Riegel, Fernando; Tavares, Juliana Petri; Crossetti, Maria da Graça Oliveira; Góes, Marta Georgina Oliveira de; Arruda, Luciane Soares
Enquadramento: A crise hipertensiva é o estado agudo da hipertensão arterial. Doença considerada crónica que acomete a população mundial. Objetivos: Caracterizar o perfil dos pacientes com crise hipertensiva atendidos num hospital de pronto socorro. Metodologia: Pesquisa quantitativa, descritiva com colheita de dados secundários em boletins de atendimento e registo eletrónico de pacientes internados com crise hipertensiva no período de janeiro a maio de 2013. Os dados foram analisados por mei...
In an attempt to test Kandell's proposition that internet dependents used the internet as a coping mechanism against underlying psychological issues, this study investigated the extent to which the fifth and sixth Eriksonian crises (identity, intimacy), were related to internet dependence (online chatting, gaming) among college students. Students spending more than 10 hours per week on chatting/gaming were classified as dependents. On the basis of a national sample of freshmen in Taiwan, this study found that the dependents scored significantly lower on most of the measures that reflected the successful resolution of the crises, and higher on the measures that reflected unsuccessful resolution of the crises. Kandell's proposition was supported.
Neste artigo temos como objetivo avaliar se as decisões que estão sendo adotadas pelo governo brasileiro são as mais adequadas para reduzir os efeitos da crise mundial na economia brasileira. Partimos do entendimento que a crise financeira e econômica global se apresenta como uma ameaça concreta à quase todas as economias mundiais. Constata-se, com base nos estudos do FMI (abril 2009) e nos indicadores do IBGE (junho 2009), que os efeitos no Brasil da crise na economia mundial, que levou o pa...
Full Text Available Este estudo tem por objeto analisar um segmento do pensamento argentino da década de 1930, representado no ensaísmo sobre a "alma", ou o caráter nacional. Esse ensaísmo produziu alguns textos que se transformaram, por meio da crítica, em clássicos da reflexão sobre o país - tais como Radiografía de la pampa, de Ezequiel Martínez Estrada, e Historia de una pasión argentina, de Eduardo Mallea -, e que se gestaram sobre a base de uma crise política - sua primeira exteriorização foi o golpe de Estado de 1930 - e de uma desordem mais ampla dos pontos intelectuais de referência, em consequência da falência do positivismo entre as elites culturais. O dissabor provocado pelo contexto político nacional se mesclou ao mal-estar oriundo do pensamento europeu sobre a crise - crise do espírito, da ordem liberal e do capitalismo -, e esse amálgama alimentou um estado de descontentamento intelectual que ganhou forma na reflexão ensaística. De modo cada vez mais amplo, esse gênero dá início a uma rigorosa revisão da Argentina liberal, no âmbito de cuja produção destacam-se os referidos ensaios de Martínez Estrada e de Mallea, que serão analisados na parte final do presente estudo.This study analyzes a sector of Argentine thought from the 1930s, represented in the essays on the national 'soul' or character. This essay writing produced a number of texts that were transformed, through critical appraisal, into classics on the country itself - such as Radiografía de la pampa by Ezequiel Martínez Estrada, and Historia de una pasión argentina by Eduardo Mallea - and which emerged out of a political crisis - whose first notable effect was the 1930 coup d'état - and a more widespread disruption of the intellectual points of reference caused by the exhaustion of positivism as a paradigm among the cultural elites. The unease provoked by the national political context merged with the unease stemming from European thought concerning the
Mariana Fidelis Solla
Full Text Available A crise tireotóxica (CT é a complicação mais grave dohipertireoidismo, caracterizada por um conjunto de sinais e sintomassecundários à hipersecreção aguda de hormônios tireoidianos. Contudo, adescompensação da tireoide até o estado de CT ainda não está bemestabelecida. Os fatores desencadeantes incluem: infecções, cirurgias,traumas, extrações dentárias, alterações glicêmicas, suspensão da medicaçãoanti-tireoidiana, parto e palpação vigorosa da tireóide . A CT é uma emergênciamédica que exige cuidados em unidade de tratamento intensivo (UTI. Odiagnóstico precoce é imprescindível para o êxito terapêutico e influidiretamente no prognóstico e sobrevida do paciente. Objetivos: Relatar o casoda paciente do Conjunto Hospitalar de Sorocaba (CHS que ficou sobrecuidados na UTI devido à CT que evolui para fibrilação atrial (FA etromboembolismo pulmonar (TEP, contribuindo para o meio acadêmico ecientífico. Metodologia: As informações contidas nesse trabalho foram obtidaspor meio de análise de prontuário e revisão de literatura. Relato de caso:Paciente de 25 anos, sexo feminino, deu entrada ao pronto atendimento doCHS com quadro de dispneia, palpitações intensas, ansiosa e com tremores deextremidades. A ectoscopia revelou paciente corada, hidratada, anictérica,acianótica, febril e anasarca evidente. O exame específico da tireóidedemonstrou glândula aumentada de tamanho, bócio difuso, sem nodulações àpalpação. Observou-se veias jugulares ingurgitadas e hepatomegalia. Àausculta verificou-se bulhas arrítimicas com hiperfonese de P2 e FC:214bpm.O ECG padrão de FA e sobrecarga de VE. Conclusão: O hipertiroidismo semtratamento clínico pode evoluir ,culminando com sinais e sintomas compatíveiscom crise tireotóxica. sendo necessários diagnóstico e tratamento precoces.
Christensen, Bent Jesper; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard; Zhu, Jie
% in magnitude during financial crises. No such changes are observed during NBER recessions, so in this sense financial crises are special. Applications to a number of major developed and emerging international stock markets confirm the increase in the leverage effect, whereas the international evidence......We investigate the impact of financial crises on two fundamental features of stock returns, namely, the risk-return tradeoff and the leverage effect. We apply the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH-in-mean (FIEGARCH-M) model for daily stock return data, which includes both features...... and allows the co-existence of long memory in volatility and short memory in returns. We extend this model to allow the financial parameters governing the volatility-in-mean effect and the leverage effect to change during financial crises. An application to the daily U.S. stock index return series from 1926...
Christensen, Bent Jesper; Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard; Zhu, Jie
50% in magnitude during …financial crises. No such changes are observed during NBER recessions, so in this sense …financial crises are special. Applications to a number of major developed and emerging international stock markets confirm the increase in the leverage effect, whereas the international......We investigate the impact of financial crises on two fundamental features of stock returns, namely, the risk-return tradeoff and the leverage effect. We apply the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH-in-mean (FIEGARCH-M) model for daily stock return data, which includes both features...... and allows the co-existence of long memory in volatility and short memory in returns. We extend this model to allow the financial parameters governing the volatility-in-mean effect and the leverage effect to change during financial crises. An application to the daily U.S. stock index return series from 1926...
The world economy is entering an era of multiple crises, involving finance, food security and global environmental change. This article assesses the implications for global public health, describes the contours of post-2007 crises in food security and finance, and then briefly indicates the probable health impacts. There follows a discussion of the crisis of climate change, one that will unfold over a longer time frame but with manifestations that may already be upon us. The article then discusses the political economy of responses to these crises, noting the formidable obstacles that exist to equitable resolution. The article concludes by noting the threat that such crises present to recent progress in global health, arguing that global health researchers and practitioners must become more familiar with the relevant social processes, and that proposed solutions that neglect the continuing importance of the nation-state are misdirected.
The world economy is entering an era of multiple crises, involving finance, food security and global environmental change. This article assesses the implications for global public health, describes the contours of post-2007 crises in food security and finance, and then briefly indicates the probable health impacts. There follows a discussion of the crisis of climate change, one that will unfold over a longer time frame but with manifestations that may already be upon us. The article then discusses the political economy of responses to these crises, noting the formidable obstacles that exist to equitable resolution. The article concludes by noting the threat that such crises present to recent progress in global health, arguing that global health researchers and practitioners must become more familiar with the relevant social processes, and that proposed solutions that neglect the continuing importance of the nation-state are misdirected. PMID:22657093
Christman, Gerard; Kramer, Franklin; Starr, Stuart; Wentz, Larry
...), stabilization and reconstruction (S&R), and complex emergencies. Although these types of crises can differ in their causes and specific impacts, there are significant similarities in the information and communications technology (ICT...
Babecký, J.; Havránek, T.; Matějů, Jakub; Rusnák, M.; Šmídková, K.; Vašíček, B.
Roč. 15, December (2014), s. 1-17 ISSN 1572-3089 Institutional support: PRVOUK-P23 Keywords : crises * developed countries * early warning indicators Subject RIV: AH - Economics Impact factor: 1.506, year: 2014
Babecký, J.; Havránek, T.; Matějů, Jakub; Rusnák, M.; Šmídková, K.; Vašíček, B.
Roč. 15, December (2014), s. 1-17 ISSN 1572-3089 Institutional support: RVO:67985998 Keywords : crises * developed countries * early warning indicators Subject RIV: AH - Economics Impact factor: 1.506, year: 2014
Kheirandish, Mehrnaz; Rashidian, Arash; Kebriaeezade, Abbas; Cheraghali, Abdol Majid; Soleymani, Fatemeh
An economic crisis has been defined as a situation in which the scale of a country's economy becomes smaller in a period of time. Economic crises happen for various reasons, including economic sanctions. Economic crises in a country may affect national priorities for investment and expenditure and reduce available resources, and hence may affect the health care sector including access to medicines. We reviewed the pharmaceutical policies that the countries adopted in order to mitigate the pot...
I empirically analyze the dynamics of business investment following normal recessions (declines in business investment that are not associated with banking crises) and banking crises. Using a panel of 16 advanced economies, I find evidence for significant non-linear trend reversion or bounce-back effects on the level of business investment following normal recessions, i.e., the deeper the previous recession was, the higher the growth rate of business investment will be. The trend reversion ef...
Kentikelenis, Alexander; Karanikolos, Marina; Williams, Gemma; Mladovsky, Philipa; King, Lawrence; Pharris, Anastasia; Suk, Jonathan E.; Hatzakis, Angelos; McKee, Martin; Noori, Teymur; Stuckler, David
BACKGROUND: It is not well understood how economic crises affect infectious disease incidence and prevalence, particularly among vulnerable groups. Using a susceptible-infected-recovered framework, we systematically reviewed literature on the impact of the economic crises on infectious disease risks in migrants in Europe, focusing principally on HIV, TB, hepatitis and other STIs. METHODS: We conducted two searches in PubMed/Medline, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Google Scholar, websites o...
Full Text Available The main purpose of this article is to briefly present the Keynesian explanation of business cycle, economic fluctuation and crises, and also the solutions proposed from Keynesian perspective to the economic problems that characterize the bust phases of the business cycles (unemployment, recessions. In the fourth section of the article some criticisms of the Keynesian theoretical approach of the economic crises are considered and summarized.
In recent history, the countries along the Western Balkan route faced several refugee crises. In the 1990s refugee crises were the result of the conflicts after the disintegration of the former Socialist Federative Republic of Yugoslavia (SFRY). Between the summer of 2015 and early 2016, the European continent faced another refugee crisis due to the ongoing civil war in Syria. During the 2015/16 refugee crisis, different political leaders, especially in the post-Yugoslav space, claimed that t...
Bárbara Hees Garré
Full Text Available Resumo: O artigo problematiza o discurso de crise ambiental na atualidade. A partir de algumas ferramentas da análise do discurso foucaultiana, discute-se um dos enunciados que compõe o discurso aqui investigado: o “Terror e medo pela perda do Planeta”. O estudo toma como corpus discursivo a revista Veja, especialmente reportagens produzidas a partir de 2001, em que enunciações ocupadas por terror e medo se tornam evidentes na mídia em análise. Discussões acerca do medo em Zigmunt Bauman, biopoder/biopolítica em Michel Foucault e cultura a partir de estudiosos do campo da Educação Ambiental são tomados como aportes teóricos desse estudo. Nas reportagens em evidência, há um forte chamamento para riscos e perigos quanto à continuidade de vida na Terra atrelado ao convite para que participemos da grande campanha mundial. Pensarmos possibilidades de enfrentar medos líquidos modernos, produzindo outros modos de nos relacionarmos com o ambiente, é um dos desafios dessa pesquisa.
Heinrich, K; Walter, C
On the occasion of a rather incidental visit in the sanatorium "Berghof" at Davos, Hans Castorp, the--as to his primary personality--asthenic and low-profile protagonist of the "Zauberberg" is gradually getting caught up in the maelstrom of the there prevailing timelessness and irresponsibility, this being interrupted solely by two tapering to crisis episodes: his amouressness to Mme. Chauchat as an erotic crisis and by the visionary daydream during a snowstorm about the abilities of men as a cognitive, mental crisis. Both events are triggered by a pathoid irritability, following the maxim of Th. Mann that illness, decay and death as borderline experiences may be the presupposition for cognition and reversal. Both crises end without consequences--the "Zauberberg" is the negation of the novel of education and development in the narrower sense. The unsuccessfulness and undecidedness of Hans Castorp's existence culminate in the open end of the novel, regarding his surviving on the battle field, and is in strict contrast to Adrian Leverkühn's determined autoinfection with Lues with the aim of artistic perfection and the creative break-through of "Doctor Faustus". Hans Castorp's regression and self-fragmentation within the decadent-morbid atmosphere of the sanatorium lead to his storming into the battles of the First World War as a last and existential crisis; it is here where finally the individual and national fate are merging. Hans Castorp becomes the paradigma of the German pre-war bourgeoisie and its crisis-prone development.
Gérvas, Juan; Meneu, Ricard
The perception, acceptability and management of risks are social construction. Consequently, in managing public health crises, the gap between facts, beliefs and feelings tests the responsiveness of official institutions to health alarms that can be objective, potential, or imaginary. On balance, a strong point of the Spanish experience of health crises is the presence of clinicians and public health officers working in an organization capable of responding adequately, although the quasi-federal Spanish political structure has both advantages and disadvantages. Weaknesses include the low profile given to public health and a management structure that relies too heavily on partitocracy. The management of these crises could be improved by transferring greater scope to health professionals in decisions about crisis identification and management (with transparency) and limiting bureaucratic inertia. For some, health crises involve visibility or business opportunities (not always legitimate). Therefore, the perception of crisis will increasingly rest less in the hands of experts and more in those of groups interested in spreading these crises or in providing solutions. While progress is needed to develop participation in strategies to respond to emerging crises, even more essential is the involvement of all healthcare levels in their preparation and dissemination. Copyright © 2010 SESPAS. Published by Elsevier Espana. All rights reserved.
Joseph, Andreas C; Joseph, Stephan E; Chen, Guanrong
Cross-border equity and long-term debt securities portfolio investment networks are analysed from 2002 to 2012, covering the 2008 global financial crisis. They serve as network-proxies for measuring the robustness of the global financial system and the interdependence of financial markets, respectively. Two early-warning indicators for financial crises are identified: First, the algebraic connectivity of the equity securities network, as a measure for structural robustness, drops close to zero already in 2005, while there is an over-representation of high-degree off-shore financial centres among the countries most-related to this observation, suggesting an investigation of such nodes with respect to the structural stability of the global financial system. Second, using a phenomenological model, the edge density of the debt securities network is found to describe, and even forecast, the proliferation of several over-the-counter-traded financial derivatives, most prominently credit default swaps, enabling one to detect potentially dangerous levels of market interdependence and systemic risk.
Estrategia de intervención para la monitorización y reducción de las crisis de asma bronquial aplicando un sistema de alerta temprana Intervention strategy for monitoring and reduction of bronchial asthma crises applying an early alert system
Tatiana de la Vega Pazitková
Full Text Available Introducción: el asma es una enfermedad psicosomática que constituye un importante problema de salud mundial. El clima y el tiempo influyen sobre la salud humana. Es conocida la influencia de los factores ambientales en la aparición de las crisis agudas de asma bronquial. Objetivo: diseñar una estrategia de intervención comunitaria, sobre la base de la asociación del asma con los cambios meteorotrópicos, con el fin de alertar, tempranamente, de la posibilidad de desencadenamiento de las manifestaciones clínicas, mitigarlas y reducir las crisis de asma. Métodos: se diseñó un plan de acción que incluye a médicos, los pacientes y sus tutores que acudieron al servicio de urgencia del policlínico "Ana Betancourt", y sus consultorios médicos, durante el año 2010. Todos se adiestraron en la interpretación y procesamiento del modelo de pronóstico biometeorológico, cuyos resultados alertará sobre su accionar diario ante los riesgos meteorotrópicos. Resultados: se propone una estrategia de intervención comunitaria, con el fin de reducir, en al menos 20 %, el número de pacientes con crisis de asma, y su gravedad. Conclusiones: los factores ambientales influyen en la aparición de las crisis agudas de asma bronquial. Las condiciones de hiperoxia o aumento de la densidad parcial de oxígeno en el aire son predecibles, y se puede alertar, oportunamente, a las autoridades de salud sobre su ocurrencia, lo que permite ejecutar planes de acción y medidas profiláctico preventivas que minimicen los impactos desfavorables de los cambios de tiempo anunciados.Introduction: asthma is a psychosomatic disease becomes important health problem at world scale. The climate and time influenced on the human health. It is known the influence of environmental factors on the appearance of acute crises of bronchial asthma. Objective: to design a community intervention strategy based on the association of asthma with the meteorotropic changes to alert early
Ahmad Rasmi AlBattat
Full Text Available Safety and security are the most important issues to tourist while traveling and the first aspect they consider is to be protected from hazards. Emergency planning and preparedness for a crisis are the most significant components of dealing with disasters. Hospitality practitioners noticed a rising number of natural and man-made crises that harm the hospitality industry, regarding its vulnerability to crisis and internal and external hazards. By using secondary data, this study aims to shed some light on this issue, contributing to knowledge and awareness on emergency preparedness for the hospitality industry. Moreover, the study aims to explain the management’s commitment to adopt, develop, and update emergency plans. The results of this study explain that tourism as an international mobile industry must respond to internal and external hazards such as disease movement and terrorist attacks. Marketing safety is important to promote hotels and tourist destinations to the guests and holiday advisors. Hotels have a long history of being a soft target for terrorist attacks, as can be seen in several accidents that have shaken the hotel industry in the past few decades. Hotels invest a lot to install protective techniques, but terrorists are becoming more organized. Practitioners propose disaster management frameworks using several measurements. Recovery from crisis and learning help business retention that minimizes negative impacts and prevent losses. Finally, evaluation and feedback are very important to overcome the hazards and return to normal, as well as adopting new ideas to deal with emergencies. Single- and double-loop organizational learning should benefit proactive preparedness.
Julio Cesar MAGALHÃES DE OLIVEIRA
Full Text Available RESUMO Comparado à organização política do Principado, o regime imperial da Antiguidade Tardia obteve um controle muito maior sobre a circulação da informação política em decorrência da centralização do poder e do número ainda maior de funcionários qualificados dedicados a coligir, cotejar e recuperar informações em todo o Império. Ainda assim, a vastidão do Império Romano e a lentidão das comunicações continuavam a representar as principais ameaças ao poder absolutista, especialmente nos momentos de crises políticas, quando a própria ausência de informações oficiais alimentava os canais subterrâneos e incontrolados de notícias. Do ponto de vista da plebe urbana e dos atores políticos locais, o recurso a essas notícias clandestinas que nós chamamos de "boatos" podia representar uma tentativa de avaliar a abertura de oportunidades para a ação em um ambiente político marcado por uma profunda incerteza. O objetivo deste artigo é explorar como a plebe urbana, as facções religiosas ou seus líderes percebiam (e encorajavam a difusão de notícias sobre as mudanças no poder imperial como uma "janela de oportunidades" e como uma forma de organizar uma ação coletiva.
Salkic, Sabina; Batic-Mujanovic, Olivera; Ljuca, Farid; Brkic, Selmira
The objective of this study is to evaluate the incidence and clinical presentation of hypertensive crises in the Emergency medical services of the Community Health Centre "Dr. Mustafa Šehović" Tuzla in relation to age, sex, duration and severity of hypertension, as well as the prevalence of accompanying symptoms and clinical manifestations. The study was conducted between November 2009 and April 2010 and included 180 subjects of both sexes, aged 30-80 with a diagnosis of arterial hypertension. All subjects were divided into two groups: a control group, which consisted of subjects without hypertensive crisis (95 subjects) and an experimental group that consisted of subjects with hypertensive crisis (85 subjects). The study results indicate that female subjects were significantly over- represented compared to men (60% vs. 40 %, p=0.007). The average age of the male subjects was 55.83±11.06 years, while the female subjects' average age was 59.41±11.97 years. The incidence of hypertensive crisis was 47.22%, with hypertensive urgency significantly more represented than emergency (16.47% vs. 83.53%, phypertensive subjects were headache (75%), chest pain (48.33%), vertigo (44.44%), shortness of breath (38.88%) and nausea (33.89%). The most common symptoms in subjects with hypertensive crisis were headache (74.11%), chest pain and shortness of breath (62.35%), vertigo (49.41%), and nausea and vomiting (41.17%). Chest pain, shortness of breath, nausea and vomiting were significantly over-represented in subjects with hypertensive crisis (phypertensive emergencies in almost all subjects included acute coronary syndrome, and only one subject had acute pulmonary edema.
Chakarova, Vessela P.
The risk of an oil supply disruption still exists. Oil reserves are increasingly concentrated in a handful of unreliable regimes, plagued by piracy and terrorism. Natural disasters and chokepoint incidents have increased in frequency. In addition, oil is expected to remain a significant part of the energy mix up until 2030. By that time Europe will be importing 90% of its oil. Thus, oil supply security will become an increasingly important feature of European politics. One way to counter the noxious consequences of an oil disruption is to cooperate. International cooperation is a critical factor in any type of crisis, however, it is especially important when it comes to a finite, highly concentrated and critical commodity like oil. The lack of coordination might lead to scrambling and oil hoarding, which dramatically exacerbate the crisis. Yet cooperation in the oil issue-area has been the subject of only a few studies, none of which provides a systematic and comprehensive analysis. They are also limited in their scope and findings. This dissertation aims to partially fill this lacuna. It employs a structured focused comparison to study European consumer countries' cooperation in times of oil supply shortages. There have been fifteen such crises since the Second World War, three of which with dramatic consequences for the world economy. The analysis evaluates European cooperative efforts in seven of these cases, starting with the Abadan crisis in 1951. The cases are selected on the basis of their magnitude and economic impact. In particular, I look at intergovernmental negotiations within existing international bodies prior to, during and immediately after the crisis. The findings suggest that institutions are more likely to facilitate interstate cooperation in the presence of a strong leader (a hegemon) - a role, which in the case of the oil issue-area was assumed by the US until the early 1970s.
Full Text Available Quality-control efforts in the field of applied developmental psychology are just beginning. In this paper I set these efforts in a larger context to frame their significance and guide their direction. I argue that the challenges arising in the current post-national constellation are best understood as educational crises. The task demands of the global problem space increasingly outstrip available human capabilities. This situation is leading to a scramble for usable knowledge about education—defined broadly as any process intentionally undertaken to promote human development. There is a growing demand for techniques and technologies that catalyze the transformation of human capabilities; and this demand exceeds available supplies. Education becomes a growth market as specific types of human capabilities come to be recognized as scarce but valuable resources. This pressing global demand for innovative educational solutions and approaches has the potential to systematically distort the production of relevant usable knowledge. I present a set of general quality-control challenges that face the field of applied developmental psychology as it strives to meet the demands of a globalized crisis-ridden educational marketplace. I argue that the field should overcome temptations to circumvent peer review processes by going directly to consumers. I suggest adopting a general stance of epistemic humility so that research and collaboration are promoted and argumentative strategies that insulate approaches from criticism are avoided. Finally, I argue that more careful attention should be paid to the normative dimensions of educational enterprises, as they involve the creation of new values and raise ethical questions about the shape of what life ought to be like.
Vela, Jorge Alberto Alcala [Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras (ELETROBRAS), Rio de Janeiro, RJ (Brazil). Dept. de Gestao de Ativos no Exterior; Oliveira, Andre Luis Cantuaria Cardoso [Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras (ELETROBRAS), Rio de Janeiro, RJ (Brazil). Dept. de Financas e Investimentos
The electricity sector in addition to being a public utility, requires a substantial investment, explore natural resources and the basis of all production chains and consumption of our society. The dynamics of this sector goes beyond the individual performance of energy companies and will also interfere in matters of political, economic, social and environmental development of nations. The lack of sophistication and low level of development in credit derivatives financial systems in Brazil, both as a healthy situation of the accounts and balance sheets, the fruit of bitter experience in past crises are allowing a better resistance to weather the current crisis. But it is an important trading partner of Brazil, through various business financial economic crises that is affecting the U.S. economy and the world has also affected the economy of our country, but with less intensity. The econometric model used to study the investment to be initiated in 2010 by ELETROBRAS meets a correlation acceptable; this demonstrates that a well dependence exists between power and investment to the projects to be implemented. (author)
Akl, Elie A; El-Jardali, Fadi; Bou Karroum, Lama; El-Eid, Jamale; Brax, Hneine; Akik, Chaza; Osman, Mona; Hassan, Ghayda; Itani, Mira; Farha, Aida; Pottie, Kevin; Oliver, Sandy
Effective coordination between organizations, agencies and bodies providing or financing health services in humanitarian crises is required to ensure efficiency of services, avoid duplication, and improve equity. The objective of this review was to assess how, during and after humanitarian crises, different mechanisms and models of coordination between organizations, agencies and bodies providing or financing health services compare in terms of access to health services and health outcomes. We registered a protocol for this review in PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews under number PROSPERO2014:CRD42014009267. Eligible studies included randomized and nonrandomized designs, process evaluations and qualitative methods. We electronically searched Medline, PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and the WHO Global Health Library and websites of relevant organizations. We followed standard systematic review methodology for the selection, data abstraction, and risk of bias assessment. We assessed the quality of evidence using the GRADE approach. Of 14,309 identified citations from databases and organizations' websites, we identified four eligible studies. Two studies used mixed-methods, one used quantitative methods, and one used qualitative methods. The available evidence suggests that information coordination between bodies providing health services in humanitarian crises settings may be effective in improving health systems inputs. There is additional evidence suggesting that management/directive coordination such as the cluster model may improve health system inputs in addition to access to health services. None of the included studies assessed coordination through common representation and framework coordination. The evidence was judged to be of very low quality. This systematic review provides evidence of possible effectiveness of information coordination and management/directive coordination
Elie A Akl
Full Text Available Effective coordination between organizations, agencies and bodies providing or financing health services in humanitarian crises is required to ensure efficiency of services, avoid duplication, and improve equity. The objective of this review was to assess how, during and after humanitarian crises, different mechanisms and models of coordination between organizations, agencies and bodies providing or financing health services compare in terms of access to health services and health outcomes.We registered a protocol for this review in PROSPERO International prospective register of systematic reviews under number PROSPERO2014:CRD42014009267. Eligible studies included randomized and nonrandomized designs, process evaluations and qualitative methods. We electronically searched Medline, PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and the WHO Global Health Library and websites of relevant organizations. We followed standard systematic review methodology for the selection, data abstraction, and risk of bias assessment. We assessed the quality of evidence using the GRADE approach.Of 14,309 identified citations from databases and organizations' websites, we identified four eligible studies. Two studies used mixed-methods, one used quantitative methods, and one used qualitative methods. The available evidence suggests that information coordination between bodies providing health services in humanitarian crises settings may be effective in improving health systems inputs. There is additional evidence suggesting that management/directive coordination such as the cluster model may improve health system inputs in addition to access to health services. None of the included studies assessed coordination through common representation and framework coordination. The evidence was judged to be of very low quality.This systematic review provides evidence of possible effectiveness of information coordination and management
Eliana Batista Ramos
Full Text Available A década de 80, apelidada de “década perdida” no sentido econômico, foi vista por alguns do mesmo modo com relação à participação juvenil (política e socialmente. A principal justificativa para isso pode ser a crise mundial do período. No rastro do processo de redemocratização de muitos países da América Latina, sobravam crises econômicas, sociais e dívidas externas fabulosas. O Brasil, inserido neste processo, se viu envolvido numa crise sem precedentes. As juventudes2 urbanas do período passaram a representar a alienação, a despolitização e a falta de identificação com movimentos sociais, como já fora observado antes. Somando-se a isso, o mundo ainda enfrentava o “fantasma” da Guerra Fria e a clara percepção dos efeitos da globalização, culminando numa eminente crise de identidade que acrescentada à crise econômica, faziam do mundo um grande campo de incertezas.
Odemene, Glory C.
The Niger Delta crises escalated beyond the borders of the Nigerian nation to become an issue that affected individuals and corporations around the world. This study led to the discovery of how the local crises escalated with international implications. This discovery was accomplished by addressing how the Niger Delta crises escalated from villages to international scenes, with notable impacts on the environment, health, safety, security, and financial segments of local, international, private, and corporate entities. Using Sweeny's crisis decision theory and Lazarus and Folkman's coping theory, the study considered the coping strategies of community members, the decisions, and actions they took in response to the management approaches of the government and the oil and gas companies (OGCs). This qualitative study utilized historical narrative to collect data by interviewing 4 participants who lived and worked in the region during the crises. NVivo was used for manual and automatic coding of data, as well as for categorization and connection of codes. Content analysis of identified codes and categories revealed the themes and trends in the experiences narrated by participants. Findings include the root causes, trend of escalation, and management strategies of the government and the OGCs that influenced the crises. These findings will help to influence policies and practices in the region and enhance effective management of current and emerging conflicts, with possibilities of restoring stability and security in the areas and in the nation at large.
Thurlow, James; Tarp, Finn; McCoy, Simon
Economic growth in Vietnam has been fairly resilient to the global commodity and financial crises, but it is unclear why. In addition, the impact of the crises on employment and poverty is in dispute. We develop a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to decompose impacts and estimate dist...... people below the US$2-a-day poverty line, with the vast majority of these being rural dwellers. The net effect of the crises left Vietnam........Economic growth in Vietnam has been fairly resilient to the global commodity and financial crises, but it is unclear why. In addition, the impact of the crises on employment and poverty is in dispute. We develop a dynamic computable general equilibrium model to decompose impacts and estimate...... distributional outcomes. Our results indicate that the 2008 commodity crisis increased employment and reduced poverty by favouring labour-intensive exports, especially in agriculture. The 2009 financial crisis reversed these gains. It pushed more than a million workers into unemployment and about 3 million...
Helena Maria Melo Dias
Full Text Available Este artigo, resultado de uma pesquisa de pós-doutorado, aborda a noção de crise psíquica em Pierre Fédida. Articula-se ao caso de uma paciente com HIV-AIDS, hospitalizada, cujos efeitos contratransferenciais da psicoterapia fazem pensar nos processos críticos da situação de crise psíquica e no desejo de “saber de si”. A escuta analítica possibilitou o saber de si. Considera-se que a noção de crise psíquica contribui com a investigação sobre a psicoterapia psicanalítica no hospital.
Full Text Available In terms of global tourism business, tourism constantly faces crises that affect its development. At the beginning of the XXI century, several significant crises have had a negative effect on the world tourism industry, starting with the terrorist attacks on the USA, epidemics, the global economic crisis, natural disasters, political crises, etc. Tourism has resulted in the decline in tourism traffic and tourism receipts, with major or minor impacts on global tourism trends. The largest negative effects realized under the influence of global economic crisis, when the indicators of tourism development were poor throughout the world. To adequately manage the crisis in tourism, certain preventive measures are introduced so as to forestall the outbreak of the crisis and mitigate the negative effects upon its outbreak. Regardless of the type and duration of the crisis events, tourism has so far shown remarkable resilience.
Godinez Madrigal, Jonatan; van der Zaag, Pieter; van Cauwenbergh, Nora
Mexico is considered a regional economic and political powerhouse because of the size of its economy, and a large population in constant growth. However, this same growth accompanied by management and governance failures are causing several water crises across the country. The paper aims at identifying and analyzing the drivers of water crises. Water authorities seem to focus solely on large infrastructural schemes to counter the looming water crises, but fail to structure a set of policies for the improvement of management and governance institutions. The paper concludes with the implications of a business-as-usual policy based on infrastructure for solving water problems, which include a non-compliance to the human right to water and sanitation, ecosystem collapses and water conflicts.
Viktor Timofeyevich Ryazanov
Full Text Available The article discusses the development history of the theory of economic crises under capitalism conditions. The author believes that economic science is being developed in two directions. The first direction is represented by science schools that deny any objective grounds for crises of overproduction in the market economy and develop new models of crisis-free growth. The opposite direction is supported by science schools acknowledging the existence of objective causes of crises, which is of practical significance for development of effective anti-crisis measures. The study is summarized by the conclusion about actualization of the political economy approach to analysis of the recent global crisis and its consequences. Its implementation anticipates special attention to different versions of overaccumulation of capital which played a key role in the origin of crisis processes in the world economy.
Time and again, couples have to cope with changes and challenges (e.g. choice of partner, marriage, childbirth and upbringing, retirement, infirmity, etc.) which cause stress and crises to their relationship. They may try to forestall such pressing changes by entering a collusion and clinging to well-established solutions. In the therapy of chronic relational crises, it has to be taken into consideration that in case of a divorce, the partners often have no real possibilities to make a new start, and that it is often more useful to support the actual coping strategies of the couple. In urgent crises, it is recommended that the therapist structures even cuts off the partners' interactions through separation or the intervention of third parties. Only when calm has been obtained should the actual conflict be treated.
J. Godinez Madrigal
Full Text Available Mexico is considered a regional economic and political powerhouse because of the size of its economy, and a large population in constant growth. However, this same growth accompanied by management and governance failures are causing several water crises across the country. The paper aims at identifying and analyzing the drivers of water crises. Water authorities seem to focus solely on large infrastructural schemes to counter the looming water crises, but fail to structure a set of policies for the improvement of management and governance institutions. The paper concludes with the implications of a business-as-usual policy based on infrastructure for solving water problems, which include a non-compliance to the human right to water and sanitation, ecosystem collapses and water conflicts.
de Goeij, Moniek C M; Suhrcke, Marc; Toffolutti, Veronica; van de Mheen, Dike; Schoenmakers, Tim M; Kunst, Anton E
Economic crises are complex events that affect behavioral patterns (including alcohol consumption) via opposing mechanisms. With this realist systematic review, we aimed to investigate evidence from studies of previous or ongoing crises on which mechanisms (How?) play a role among which individuals (Whom?). Such evidence would help understand and predict the potential impact of economic crises on alcohol consumption. Medical, psychological, social, and economic databases were used to search for peer-reviewed qualitative or quantitative empirical evidence (published January 1, 1990-May 1, 2014) linking economic crises or stressors with alcohol consumption and alcohol-related health problems. We included 35 papers, based on defined selection criteria. From these papers, we extracted evidence on mechanism(s), determinant, outcome, country-level context, and individual context. We found 16 studies that reported evidence completely covering two behavioral mechanisms by which economic crises can influence alcohol consumption and alcohol-related health problems. The first mechanism suggests that psychological distress triggered by unemployment and income reductions can increase drinking problems. The second mechanism suggests that due to tighter budget constraints, less money is spent on alcoholic beverages. Across many countries, the psychological distress mechanism was observed mainly in men. The tighter budget constraints mechanism seems to play a role in all population subgroups across all countries. For the other three mechanisms (i.e., deterioration in the social situation, fear of losing one's job, and increased non-working time), empirical evidence was scarce or absent, or had small to moderate coverage. This was also the case for important influential contextual factors described in our initial theoretical framework. This realist systematic review suggests that among men (but not among women), the net impact of economic crises will be an increase in harmful
Glória M. A. S. Tedrus
Full Text Available Levando em conta o número restrito de casos em âmbito internacional e a ausência de publicações na literatura nacional, os autores apresentam três casos de crises motoras focais induzidas por movimentos em pacientes diabéticos com mais de 50 anos de idade. As crises eram numerosas, sendo também desencadeadas ao serem assumidas determinadas posturas. Em dois casos havia hiperglicemia não cetótica. Todos os pacientes apresentavam hemiparesia e, em dois, tal déficit desapareceu após o cotnrole das crises. No outro paciente a hemiparesia era decorrente de acidente vascular cerebral isquêmico instalado 6 meses antes. Síndrome parietal transitória foi observada nos três pacientes. O EEG crítico mostrou, em dois pacientes, descargas na região parieto-occipital e, em um, na região temporal média contralateral. As crises foram resistentes aos anticonvulsivantes, só havendo controle com o tratamento dos distúrbios metabólicos. São discutidos aspectos clínico-eletren-cefalográficos e etiopatogênicos. A pesquisa do caráter reflexo das crises e a dosagem da glicemia devem ser feitas em todos os pacientes idosos com crises motoras focais, face às implicações de ordem terapêutica e prognóstica.
Karanikolos, Marina; Williams, Gemma; Mladovsky, Philipa; King, Lawrence; Pharris, Anastasia; Suk, Jonathan E.; Hatzakis, Angelos; McKee, Martin; Noori, Teymur; Stuckler, David
Background: It is not well understood how economic crises affect infectious disease incidence and prevalence, particularly among vulnerable groups. Using a susceptible-infected-recovered framework, we systematically reviewed literature on the impact of the economic crises on infectious disease risks in migrants in Europe, focusing principally on HIV, TB, hepatitis and other STIs. Methods: We conducted two searches in PubMed/Medline, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Google Scholar, websites of key organizations and grey literature to identify how economic changes affect migrant populations and infectious disease. We perform a narrative synthesis in order to map critical pathways and identify hypotheses for subsequent research. Results: The systematic review on links between economic crises and migrant health identified 653 studies through database searching; only seven met the inclusion criteria. Fourteen items were identified through further searches. The systematic review on links between economic crises and infectious disease identified 480 studies through database searching; 19 met the inclusion criteria. Eight items were identified through further searches. The reviews show that migrant populations in Europe appear disproportionately at risk of specific infectious diseases, and that economic crises and subsequent responses have tended to exacerbate such risks. Recessions lead to unemployment, impoverishment and other risk factors that can be linked to the transmissibility of disease among migrants. Austerity measures that lead to cuts in prevention and treatment programmes further exacerbate infectious disease risks among migrants. Non-governmental health service providers occasionally stepped in to cater to specific populations that include migrants. Conclusions: There is evidence that migrants are especially vulnerable to infectious disease during economic crises. Ring-fenced funding of prevention programs, including screening and treatment, is important for
Kentikelenis, Alexander; Karanikolos, Marina; Williams, Gemma; Mladovsky, Philipa; King, Lawrence; Pharris, Anastasia; Suk, Jonathan E; Hatzakis, Angelos; McKee, Martin; Noori, Teymur; Stuckler, David
It is not well understood how economic crises affect infectious disease incidence and prevalence, particularly among vulnerable groups. Using a susceptible-infected-recovered framework, we systematically reviewed literature on the impact of the economic crises on infectious disease risks in migrants in Europe, focusing principally on HIV, TB, hepatitis and other STIs. We conducted two searches in PubMed/Medline, Web of Science, Cochrane Library, Google Scholar, websites of key organizations and grey literature to identify how economic changes affect migrant populations and infectious disease. We perform a narrative synthesis in order to map critical pathways and identify hypotheses for subsequent research. The systematic review on links between economic crises and migrant health identified 653 studies through database searching; only seven met the inclusion criteria. Fourteen items were identified through further searches. The systematic review on links between economic crises and infectious disease identified 480 studies through database searching; 19 met the inclusion criteria. Eight items were identified through further searches. The reviews show that migrant populations in Europe appear disproportionately at risk of specific infectious diseases, and that economic crises and subsequent responses have tended to exacerbate such risks. Recessions lead to unemployment, impoverishment and other risk factors that can be linked to the transmissibility of disease among migrants. Austerity measures that lead to cuts in prevention and treatment programmes further exacerbate infectious disease risks among migrants. Non-governmental health service providers occasionally stepped in to cater to specific populations that include migrants. There is evidence that migrants are especially vulnerable to infectious disease during economic crises. Ring-fenced funding of prevention programs, including screening and treatment, is important for addressing this vulnerability. © The
Piterson Balmat Gonçalves
Nesta dissertação procuramos evidenciar a crise do dever moral em Crime e Castigo, de Dostoiévski, exemplo da nossa própria crise contemporânea, ao mesmo tempo em que buscamos investigar os contornos de um princípio de justiça derivado do dever kantiano. A partir daí, pretendemos evidenciar como este princípio de justiça pode ser partilhado por Dostoiévski, uma vez que o romancista, no seu ideal de comunidade moral, dá continuidade ao sentido ético proposto no dever kantiano, por meio do qual...
Mukkamala, Raghava Rao; Iskou Sørensen, Jannie; Hussain, Abid
Social media crises pose significant challenges for organizations in terms of their rapid rate of spread and potential persistent negative associations in terms of brand parameters and sustained negative advocacy by internet users and/or consumers. This paper reports on a technique for detecting...... the voluminous but also transient nature of social media crises and aggregate user behavioural patterns. We discuss the implications of our findings and the application of the crisis detetction technique for analyzing other epiosodic activities such as product promotions, election campaigns....
Barrell, R; Davis, P; Liadze, I; Karim, D
Against the background of the acknowledged importance of off-balance-sheet exposures in the sub prime crisis, we seek to investigate whether this was a new phenomenon or common to earlier crises. Using a logit approach to predicting banking crises in 14 OECD countries we find a significant impact of a proxy for the ratio of banks‟ off-balance-sheet activity to total (off and on balance sheet) activity, as well as capital and liquidity ratios, the current account balance and GDP growth. These ...
Donas, Mário Alberto Duarte
Tese de mestrado, Filosofia, Universidade de Lisboa, Faculdade de Letras, 2014 Neste ensaio sobre “O que é e como dizer Crise Ambiental” partimos de dois modos de dizer “Crise Ambiental”. O primeiro foi mediado pelo paradigma da relação ético-jurídica; o segundo modo inscreve-se na instância cultural que mergulha raízes profundas no húmus do Ser. A questão é: que discurso verbal é mais adequado a traduzir a realidade dessa relação crítica? Procedemos neste trabalho a uma anális...
Margarita Villar Luis
Full Text Available Trata-se de um relato sobre os fundamentos da teoria da Crise, propondo sua articulação com o modelo conceituai de Callista ROY12. Com objetivo de proporcionar ao enfermeiro um corpo de conhecimentos teórico e instrumental, para assistência a pessoas em crise. Dentro dessa proposta sugere-se ainda, um roteiro de assistência de enfermagem derivado de ambas teorias exemplificado pela autora, através de aplicação prática.
Luis, Margarita Villar
Trata-se de um relato sobre os fundamentos da teoria da Crise, propondo sua articulação com o modelo conceituai de Callista ROY12. Com objetivo de proporcionar ao enfermeiro um corpo de conhecimentos teórico e instrumental, para assistência a pessoas em crise. Dentro dessa proposta sugere-se ainda, um roteiro de assistência de enfermagem derivado de ambas teorias exemplificado pela autora, através de aplicação prática. It is reported the crisis theory framework's and is proposed its linkag...
X. Guo (Xu); M.J. McAleer (Michael); W.-K. Wong (Wing-Keung); L. Zhu (Lixing)
textabstractIn this paper, we introduce a new Bayesian approach to explain some market anomalies during financial crises and subsequent recovery. We assume that the earnings shock of an asset follows a random walk model with and without drift to incorporate the impact of financial crises. We further
Crédito, capital fictício, fragilidade financeira e crises: discussões teóricas, origens e formas de enfrentamento da crise atual Credit, fictitious capital, financial fragility and crises: theoretical discussions, origins and ways of addressing the current financial crisis
Maria de Lourdes Rollemberg Mollo
Full Text Available O artigo discute a crise atual, comparando concepções marxista e pós-keynesiana. A primeira seção examina as razões teóricas para a inerência das crises no capitalismo conforme as duas visões. A segunda mostra como e por que o neoliberalismo agravou a crise, ainda que inerente ao capitalismo. A terceira examina criticamente os limites das políticas atuais de enfrentamento da crise.The article discusses the current crisis, comparing Marxian and Post-Keynesian views. The first section examines the theoretical reasons why crises are inherent in the functioning of capitalism, according to each theory. The second shows why and how neoliberalism has caused the crisis to worsen, even though it is inherent to capitalism. The third section critically examines the limits of the current policies in addressing the crisis.
Ledgerd, Ritchard; Hoe, Juanita; Hoare, Zoë; Devine, Mike; Toot, Sandeep; Challis, David; Orrell, Martin
Crisis situations in dementia can lead to hospital admission or institutionalisation. Offering immediate interventions may help avoid admission, whilst stabilising measures can help prevent future crises. Our objective was to identify the main causes of crisis and interventions to treat or prevent crisis in persons with dementia based on different stakeholder perspectives. An online questionnaire was developed to identify the causes of crisis and appropriate interventions in a crisis. Participants included people with dementia, family carers and staff working in health and social care, including emergency and voluntary sectors, and academia. The results ranked the main causes of crisis, interventions that can prevent a crisis and interventions that can be useful in a crisis. Wandering, falls and infection were highly rated as risk factors for crises across all stakeholder groups. Consumers rated aggression as less important but severity of memory impairment as much more important than the other groups did. Education and support for family carers and home care staff were highly valued for preventing crises. Well-trained home care staff, communication equipment, emergency contacts and access to respite were highly valued for managing crises. We identified triggers and interventions that different stakeholders see as important for crisis in dementia. Recognition of these may be critical to planning effective and accepted support and care for people with dementia. Copyright © 2015 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
La World Federation of Science Journalists (WFSJ) dirige un programme régional de communication et de formation pour les journalistes locaux, dans le but d'améliorer le journalisme scientifique dans les situations d'urgence sanitaire et durant les périodes postérieures à une crise. Ce projet soutiendra la promotion et le ...
Study/Objective: An interdisciplinary social science framework is presented to answer the question: how to anticipate the psychosocial impact of disasters and crises? Background: The scientific knowledge on health effects, and the quality of aftercare in a disaster context is strongly rooted in
Brown, Lionel H.; Larsen, Judith; Britt, Ruth S.; Yao, Yao; Brown, Jean P.; Beck, Ryan
In this first-person paper, educator Dr. Lionel Brown takes a sweeping look at the racial crises that have erupted in his home city of Cincinnati during his lifetime, and proposes that education is the only real, long-term way of addressing and disrupting the repeating pattern of violence. He highlights a selection of current and proposed…
Pennings, J.M.E.; Grossman, D.
Discussions are taking place both in the United States and in Europe about how governments should respond to both disasters and crises, and how citizens' non-desirable behaviour might be managed with respect to such disasters. Here we examine the role that risk attitudes and risk perceptions play in
van den Brink, Rob H. S.; Broer, Jan; Tholen, Alfons J.; Winthorst, Wim H.; Visser, Ellen; Wiersma, Durk
Background: The police are considered frontline professionals in managing individuals experiencing mental health crises. This study examines the extent to which these individuals are disconnected from mental health services, and whether the police response has an influence on re-establishing
Lodh, Suman; Nandy, Monomita
In this article, the authors find that, during financial crises, the wage gap between female and male accounting professionals declines and gender inequality in higher education is affected. In addition, less support and lower wages for disabled accounting professionals demotivate disabled students in accounting higher education. Because of budget…
Full Text Available We analyze risks and crises for healthcare providers and discuss the impact of cloud computing in such scenarios. The analysis is conducted in a holistic way, taking into account organizational and human aspects, clinical, IT-related, and utilities-related risks as well as incorporating the view of the overall risk management.
Andersson, Matthew A.
Using the 2004 General Social Survey (N = 453), the identity stress process is investigated in terms of crises in intimate relationships and at the workplace. I discuss dispositional optimism as a psychological resource that is relatively independent of the situation and the self, making it ideal for structurally disadvantaged actors and for…
La crise financière mondiale de 2008 a accentué la pauvreté et les inégalités en raison des pertes d'emplois, ainsi que du ralentissement de la consommation et des ... in Cambodia. The global financial crisis of 2008 has aggravated poverty and inequality through contractions in employment, consumption and investment.
Leuschner, Vincenz; Fiedler, Nora; Schultze, Martin; Ahlig, Nadine; Göbel, Kristin; Sommer, Friederike; Scholl, Johanna; Cornell, Dewey; Scheithauer, Herbert
The standardized, indicated school-based prevention program "Networks Against School Shootings" combines a threat assessment approach with a general model of prevention of emergency situations in schools through early intervention in student psychosocial crises and training teachers to recognize warning signs of targeted school violence.…
This paper offers an alternative consideration for the transmission process of financial crises across emerging markets. Here, we hypothesized that the interdependence effect could weaken, even disappear completely, and veer during a crisis period as a result of the contagion process. The importance of this hypothesis for the policy implication is also highlighted because it can be validated for many cases by our data.
Pincus, J. David; Acharya, Lalit
Based on multidisciplinary research findings, this report proposes an information processing model of employees' response to highly stressful information environments arising during organizational crises. The introduction stresses the importance of management's handling crisis communication with employees skillfully. The second section points out…
Crocq, P L; Vraie, B
Crises internationales, politiques, sociales, financières, économiques, pandémies, catastrophes, attentats, prises d'otages, et, plus couramment, crises dans l'entreprise... Chacune se déroule sous stress pour le dirigeant, les cadres, la population. Comment gérer ce stress et surtout prendre les bonnes décisions ? Trois experts ont mis en commun leur expérience pour élaborer ce manuel pratique des conduites à tenir, depuis l'instauration d'une culture de crise en amont jusqu'au débriefing psychologique de fin de crise. Un livre qui s'adresse à tous ceux qui, responsables de collectivités publiques ou privées, ont ou auront à affronter des situations d'urgence. Un livre clé pour se préparer à affronter l'urgence, l'imprévisible et même l'inimaginable.
Full Text Available L’Union européenne est durement affectée par la crise des dettes souveraines. Cette crise peut être interprétée comme la conséquence de plusieurs faits importants : une absence de leadership européen, des inégalités fortes parfois anciennes entre les performances macroéconomiques des pays membres, des faiblesses structurelles déjà observables avant la crise dans certains pays. Mais le principal facteur de fragilité de l’Union européenne réside dans sa division interne. Tant que la problématique de l’intégration européenne ne sera pas appropriée par les citoyens européens eux-mêmes et tant que certaines politiques ne seront pas davantage coordonnées, l’Union restera sur le fil du rasoir. Cette crise met en lumière l’essoufflement d’un certain modèle d’intégration. Dans cet article, on explore ces problématiques avec un regard géographique.
Eijffinger, S.C.W.; Karatas, B.
The studies regarding the appropriate monetary policy response in defending the domestic currency following a currency crisis do not gather around a robust answer. This study tries to emphasize the notion that there is no single policy applicable for all currency crises happened and happening in the
Sameh El Maraghi
Conclusion: During hypertensive crises BNP blood level determination could have a role as a diagnostic tool for the screening of HE and its evaluation is very useful in patients admitted with acute and rapid elevation of BP to limit target organ damage.
Alexandre Borba Salvador
Full Text Available Resumo: Crises de marca, decorrentes de falhas no produto, têm se tornado mais frequentes em razão do aumento da complexidade dos produtos. As crises geradas por campanhas de recall são únicas, inesperadas e podem gerar deterioração da relação favorável estabelecida entre a marca e o consumidor, afetar a imagem de marca e reduzir o brand equity. Suas consequências envolvem prejuízos financeiros de curto e longo prazo para a marca, para a empresa e, eventualmente, para a categoria como um todo. Este artigo é fruto de uma pesquisa exploratória qualitativa realizada por meio de um estudo de caso único na indústria de alimentos. Seu objetivo é verificar empiricamente a aplicação das teorias sobre crise de marca e recall em um caso brasileiro recente. Os resultados encontrados estão alinhados com as suposições elaboradas com base no referencial teórico. Como contribuição adicional para o tema, o estudo apresenta o efeito de uma crise real ao longo do tempo.
We apply the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH with volatility-in-mean (FIEGARCH-M) model of Christensen, Nielsen & Zhu (2007) to estimate the risk premium after different crises occurred in major stock markets during the past two decades. The model allows keeping the long memory property......, and it is nonmonotic for different markets. Either volatility feedback or risk premium is a possible explanation for the risk factor. On the contrary, Asian financial crisis and other market-specific crises have no persistent impact on most markets.......We apply the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH with volatility-in-mean (FIEGARCH-M) model of Christensen, Nielsen & Zhu (2007) to estimate the risk premium after different crises occurred in major stock markets during the past two decades. The model allows keeping the long memory property...... in volatility and a filtered volatility-in-mean component is used as a proxy for the risk factor. The esti- mation results show that the 1987 stock market crash and September 11, 2001 attack have persistent effects on stock markets. A significant risk factor is found for both crises in most crisis-hit markets...
The use of crisis nursery care as a viable alternative for the consumer experiencing chronic and ongoing family crises calls for consideration of various programmatic and staffing issues. Combinations of family problems, including homelessness, substance abuse, incarceration, family violence, and chronic illness of a family member, may precipitate…
‘Resilience’ occupies a prominent place in contemporary discussions around the governance of humanitarian emergencies, protracted crises and insecurity more broadly. The aim of this study was to further our understanding of resilience as a governance rationality and a policy discourse, in particular
The works of these migritude writers are strongly characterized by immigration and identity crises among others. The present study which makes use of descriptive and psychoanalytical approaches takes interest in these two themes. The objective of the study is to examine the themes of immigration and identity crisis.
Alessandra Bortoni Ninis
Full Text Available Este artigo discute a crise ambiental por meio de um diálogo entre a psicanálise, filosofia e ciências sociais. Busca-se introduzir um eixo comum de compreensão das relações entre a psiquê e a natureza, a partir de um texto reflexivo sobre a natureza humana, sua complexidade e suas sociopatias. A crise socioambiental em que vivemos é tratada a partir das seguintes proposições: (i a humanidade se distanciou da sua condição natural; (ii a humanidade pode estar psicologicamente doente; (iii a humanidade não está moralmente apta para delegar a superação da crise às futuras gerações, pois vivemos num simulacro que envolve consumismo e alienação. Conclui-se que há uma dimensão subjetiva na raiz da crise ambiental, de cuja análise depende a solução real do impasse civilizacional com o qual nos defrontamos.
Strauβ, N.; Jonkman, J.
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to find out how issue management and media monitoring is exercised in the digital age to anticipate crises. More specifically, it was investigated how these practices differ across communication professionals, organizations, and sectors in the Netherlands.
Agerdal-Hjermind, Annette; Schmeltz, Line
This paper aims to explore and offer insights into the phenomenon of social media crises in a CSR-related context by reflexively merging theoretical and case insights (Alvesson & Kärreman, 2007, p. 2011). The phenomenon and the components of a social media crisis are theoretically identified, and...
Jan Eberg; Menno van Duin; Vina Wijkhuijs
Full text beschikbaar met HU-account. Sinds de opkomst van sociale media spelen de toepassing en het bereik ervan in toenemende mate een rol, ook bij rampen en crises. De vraag rijst dan hoe daar in de crisiscommunicatie en het crisismanagement effectief mee om te gaan. Uit literatuuronderzoek en
Aprea, Carmela; Sappa, Viviana
The development of a sound understanding of financial and economic crises phenomena must be considered an important goal within the scope of citizenship, economic and social science education. As with every other educational endeavour, this intention requires solid information about what informal conceptions learners hold about this specific…
Tamea, S.; Laio, F.; Ridolfi, L.
In recent years, the international trade of food and agricultural commodities has undergone a marked increase of exchanged volumes and an expansion of the trade network. This globalization of trade has both positive and negative effects, but the interconnectedness and external dependency of countries generate complex dynamics which are often difficult to understand and model. In this study we consider the volume of water used for the production of agricultural commodities, virtually exchanged among countries through commodity trade, i.e. the virtual water trade. Then, we set up a parsimonious mechanistic model describing the propagation, into the global trade network, of food-production crises generated locally by a social, economic or environmental event (such as war, economic crisis, drought, pest). The model, accounting for the network structure and the virtual water balance of all countries, bases on rules derived from observed virtual water flows and on data-based and statistically verified assumption. It is also tested on real case studies that prove its capability to capture the main features of crises propagation. The model is then employed as the basis for the development of an index of country vulnerability, measuring the exposure of countries to crises propagating in the virtual water trade network. Results of the analysis are discussed within the context of socio-economic and environmental conditions of countries, showing that not only water-scarce, but also wealthy and globalized countries, are among the most vulnerable to external crises. The temporal analysis for the period 1986-2011 reveals that the global average vulnerability has strongly increased over time, confirming the increased exposure of countries to external crises which may occur in the virtual water trade network.
Myers, Risa B; Lazaridis, Christos; Jermaine, Christopher M; Robertson, Claudia S; Rusin, Craig G
To develop computer algorithms that can recognize physiologic patterns in traumatic brain injury patients that occur in advance of intracranial pressure and partial brain tissue oxygenation crises. The automated early detection of crisis precursors can provide clinicians with time to intervene in order to prevent or mitigate secondary brain injury. A retrospective study was conducted from prospectively collected physiologic data. intracranial pressure, and partial brain tissue oxygenation crisis events were defined as intracranial pressure of greater than or equal to 20 mm Hg lasting at least 15 minutes and partial brain tissue oxygenation value of less than 10 mm Hg for at least 10 minutes, respectively. The physiologic data preceding each crisis event were used to identify precursors associated with crisis onset. Multivariate classification models were applied to recorded data in 30-minute epochs of time to predict crises between 15 and 360 minutes in the future. The neurosurgical unit of Ben Taub Hospital (Houston, TX). Our cohort consisted of 817 subjects with severe traumatic brain injury. Our algorithm can predict the onset of intracranial pressure crises with 30-minute advance warning with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.86 using only intracranial pressure measurements and time since last crisis. An analogous algorithm can predict the start of partial brain tissue oxygenation crises with 30-minute advanced warning with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.91. Our algorithms provide accurate and timely predictions of intracranial hypertension and tissue hypoxia crises in patients with severe traumatic brain injury. Almost all of the information needed to predict the onset of these events is contained within the signal of interest and the time since last crisis.
Bryan Andrew Kenyon Johnson
Full Text Available This paper examines how exchange rate policies and IMF Stand-By Arrangements affect debt crises using econometrics and a comparison between Argentina and Brazil. It refines an existing diagram outlining crisis development to propose crisis prevention strategies. Flexible exchange rate policies reduce a country's probability of default by over 4%, but Stand-By Arrangements increase it by an inconsequential percentage. Unlike Argentina, Brazil avoided a default via a freely-floating exchange rate system, fiscal deficit reduction, and a cooperative and coordinated relationship with the IMF. The results provide policymakers from developing countries with lessons to manage their countries' default risks more effectively.
Full Text Available The G20 summit system has successfully controlled financial crises, restoring global financial stability after the shock from the US in 2008 and preventing the third shock from Europe in 2010 from resulting in a global contagion. After the G20 finance ministers effectively responded to the Asian-turned-global financial crisis in 1999, they failed to prevent the greater American-turned-global financial crisis in 2008, yet their leaders together responded effectively to it, then prevented the escalating euro crisis from going global, and finally reduced the likelihood of another global financial crisis emanating from a systemically significant country. Since 2013, the G20 has also enhanced economic equality between rich and poor countries, but has not fully made up for the loss in economic growth experienced in 2008 to 2013 or eliminated the socioeconomic scarring created during that period. This increasing success was driven by the changing conditions of the forces identified in the systemic hub model of G20 governance. The first was steadily escalating shocks in finance and economics, and related fields, from 1997 to 2012. The sources of these shifted from emerging Asia to a newly-vulnerable United States, Europe and then China in a much reduced form. With such shocks exposing and equalizing the vulnerability of the major powers, the formal multilateral organizations created by the United States and its Atlantic allies in the 1940s and their subsequent informal supplements such as the G7 could not cope. Among its many international institutional competitors, the G20 alone contained, as full, equal members, the countries that increasingly possessed the collectively predominant and internally equalizing capabilities required to respond effectively. They increasingly, if unevenly, became more internationally and domestically open and interconnected financial systems, economies and societies, albeit with some setbacks after 2013. The often high
Alexandre Borba Salvador
As crises de marca não só experimentam um crescimento em quantidade como também passam a ter sua visibilidade aumentada pelas redes sociais. A repercussão de uma crise de imagem de marca afeta negativamente tanto o brand equity como as vendas no curto prazo. Mais do que isso, gera custosas campanhas para minimização dos efeitos negativos. Se por um lado o avanço tecnológico aumenta a visibilidade da crise, por outro, possibilita acesso a uma série de informações, internas e externas, que pode...
Full Text Available Devant les problèmes de crise alimentaire auxquels ont été confrontés les industries alimentaires, la mise en place d’outils de management opérationnel concernant la sécurité alimentaire est indispensable. Le groupe Cereol a mis en place un comité de coordination Food-Feed Safety afin d’intervenir dans un cadre de prévention et d’informations ascendantes et descendantes en matière de sécurité alimentaire.
Baris, Hagit N; Weisz Hubshman, Monika; Bar-Sever, Zvi; Kornreich, Liora; Shkalim Zemer, Vered; Cohen, Ian J
Bone crises in type 1 Gaucher disease are reported in long bones and occasionally in weight bearing bones and other bones, but rarely in small bones of the hands and feet. We retrospectively examined the incidence of bone pain in patients followed at the Rabin Medical Center, Israel, before and following the initiation of enzyme replacement therapy (ERT) and evaluated them for bone crises. Of 100 type I Gaucher disease patients, 30 (30%) experienced one or more bone crises. Small bone crises represented 31.5% of all bone crises and were always preceded by crises in other bones. While the incidence of long bone crises reduced after the initiation of ERT, small bone crises increased. Almost 60% of patients with bone crises were of the N370S/84GG genotype suggesting a greater susceptibility of N370S/84GG patients to severe bone complications. These patients also underwent the greatest number of splenectomies (70.6% of splenectomised patients). Splenectomised patients showed a trend towards increased long and small bone crises after surgery. Active investigation of acute pain in the hands and feet in patients in our cohort has revealed a high incidence of small bone crises. Physicians should consider imaging studies to investigate unexplained pain in these areas. Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Al Hajeri, Amani; Fedorowicz, Zbys
Sickle cell disease is one of the most common genetic disorders. Sickle cell crises in which irregular and dehydrated cells contribute to blocking of blood vessels are characterised by episodes of pain. Treatment is mainly supportive and symptomatic. In vitro studies with piracetam indicate that it has the potential for inhibition and a reversal of the process of sickling of erythrocytes. This is an update of a previously published Cochrane review. To assess the effectiveness of piracetam for reducing the incidence of painful sickle cell disease crises. We searched the Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis and Genetic Disorders Group Haemoglobinopathies Trials Register which comprises of references identified from comprehensive electronic database searches and handsearches of relevant journals and abstract books of conference proceedings.Last search of the Group's Haemoglobinopathies Trials Register: 21 September 2015. Randomised controlled trials comparing orally administered piracetam to placebo or standard care in people, of all ages and both sexes, with sickle cell disease. Two authors independently assessed trial quality and extracted data. Trial authors were contacted for additional information. Adverse effects data were collected from the trials. Three trials involving 169 participants were included in the review. A limited amount of data addressing some of the primary and some of the secondary outcomes were provided, but data were incomplete and based on un-validated assumptions used in the evaluation of outcomes. One trial reported a reduction in the number of pain crises and their severity with active intervention than placebo but presented no data to confirm these results. A second trial presented a monthly global pain score based on the number of sickle cell crises and severity of pain but included no separate data for these primary outcomes. Although there was no significant difference between the piracetam and placebo periods for the number of days of
Felipe Amin Filomeno
Full Text Available O final do século XIX foi marcado, para Brasil e Argentina, por crescimento e instabilidade na economia. Neste período, ocorreram duas importantes crises econômicas, que ficaram conhecidas como crise Baring (na Argentina e crise do Encilhamento (no Brasil. Este artigo tem o objetivo de apresentar as conexões existentes entre essas duas crises e a conjuntura da economia-mundo capitalista das últimas décadas do século XIX, enfatizando o problema da dívida externa e da política econômica, e re-organizando algumas contribuições da historiografia econômica por meio da metodologia da "encompassing comparison" e da teoria dos ciclos mundiais de endividamento. O artigo mostra que ambas as crises estiveram condicionadas pela dinâmica da economia-mundo capitalista, especialmente pelos fluxos mundiais de capital, não sendo resultados exclusivos de políticas econômicas nacionais.The end of the 19th century was characterized by economic growth and instability in Brazil and Argentina. In this period, two important economic crises took place - the Baring Crisis (in Argentina and the Encilhamento Crisis (in Brazil. The aim of this paper is to present the connections between these two crises and the dynamics of the capitalist world-economy of the end of the 19th century, focusing on the problems of external debt and economic policy and re-organizing some contributions of economic historiography through the methodology of "encompassing comparison" and of the world debt cycles' theory. The paper concludes that both crises were influenced by the dynamics of the capitalist world-economy, especially by the international flows of capital, and that they were not exclusive results of national economic policies.
Ernani Teixeira Torres Filho
Full Text Available The paper analyses the development of the contemporary global financial system as a consequence of markets as well as States strategies. This global financial system based on the flexible dollar has generated many financial bubbles since it started in the 80s, of which the 2008 crisis is the latest and the largest, particularly because it affected the main banks in the core market of the system, the U.S. On the last decades, banks had changed their business strategies from traditional lending activities towards more speculative investments, similar to what hedge funds do.
Full Text Available In this article, citizens’ communication habits and use of information and communication technologies during crises and emergencies are discussed from the perspective of community resilience. The topic is approached qualitatively by exploring citizens’ perceptions, and the data were gathered by means of focus groups in storm-prone and flood-prone areas in Finland. The results indicate that citizens consider emergency communication to be mostly unidirectional: from authorities to the public. However, because crises are often complex and fast developing, cooperation among response organizations and citizen groups is needed to coproduce safety and in adapting to changing situations. Organizations wanting citizens to participate proactively in emergency management should raise citizens’ awareness of the means and possibilities to contribute, because these informants’ expectation that authorities would welcome their input was low. Based on the results, public participation could be supported further by credible actors, such as local volunteer organizations.
Cristian - Sorin Prună
Full Text Available The defining marks of the thesis regard the creation of new scientific premises, that shouldstructure the approached issue – crises management by relating it to the present international contextcoordinates. The suggested approach has the purpose of establishing the elements which define crisisand of highlighting specific issues in the crisis management process (including in what the states’participation at maintaining peace operations and multinational operations deployed in differenttheatres of war. In the effort of organising such a scientifical background, we have tried to realizeclear, concise delimitations, by the research method – the study and analysis of the determinantfactors and conflicts. Thus, we have disclosed the characteristics of the situation and crisis state, therequirements and the stages in the crises situation management process, its characteristics,customizing the circumstances which contribute to planning the answers and establishing themoments favourable to the abolishment of the crisis or preserving it in a balance that should allowsubsequent diffuses.
Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira
Full Text Available Contrary to what conventional economic analysis afirms, the main cause of the financial crises in emerging countries during the 1990s, beginning with Mexico (1994 and ending with the crisis in Argentina (2001 was not primarily fiscal, but the decision by governments to foster growth with foreign savings, i.e., with current account deficits. Since the exchange rate has other determinants besides domestic absorption, the assumption of twin deficits often does not hold. These were balance of payment crises triggered by an overvalued local currency and the high increases in the foreign debt and/or the fast growth of the current account deficit. This led, foreign creditors to suddenly become persuaded that the country faced both liquidity and solvency problems, and to stop rolling over the debt. An econometric test substantiates these claims.
Barreira, Amilton Antunes; Lison, Michel Pierre; Herrera, Ronaldo Francisco
O seguimento de 12 pacientes apresentando síndrome de Lennox-Gastaut com início após os 6 anos de idade, durante o período médio de 2 anos e 6 meses, permitiu a identificação dos seguintes tipos de crises epilépticas: tônicas, hemitônicas, atônicas, mioclono-atônicas, ausências atípicas, parciais com generalização secundária, tônico-clônicas, parciais com automatismos, versivas e ausências típicas. Durante o primeiro ano de seguimento houve predomínio de crises tônicas, ausências atípicas, cr...
Full Text Available The media are important actors in humanitarian crisis management and resolution, both in the countries facing the crises and in the rest of the world. Based on an inductive approach to a news sample from four Spanish newspapers, this study analyses the news frames used in the coverage of countries facing humanitarian crises. Results show that, with certain differences between countries, the Spanish press frames these countries as being theatres of war and violence, Islamic terrorism, and crime. From a theoretical perspective, results also suggest that news frames should not be classified either as "generic" or "specific", but that they should instead be placed on a continuous scale ranging from "generic" through to "specific".
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This paper provides an empirical analysis of the role of financial development and financial integration in the growth dynamics of transition countries. We focus on the role of financial integration in determining the impact of financial development on growth, distinguishing “normal times” from periods of financial crises. In addition to confirming the significant positive effect on growth exerted by financial development and financial integration, our estimates show that a higher degree of financial openness tends to reduce the contractionary effect of financial crises, by cushioning the effect on the domestic supply of credit. Consequently, the high reliance on international capital flows by transition countries does not necessarily increase their financial fragility. This implies that financial protectionism is a self-defeating policy, at least for transition countries.
Jang, Wooseok; Lee, Junghoon; Chang, Woojin
We examined the time series properties of the foreign exchange market for 1990-2008 in relation to the history of the currency crises using the minimum spanning tree (MST) approach and made several meaningful observations about the MST of currencies. First, around currency crises, the mean correlation coefficient between currencies decreased whereas the normalized tree length increased. The mean correlation coefficient dropped dramatically passing through the Asian crisis and remained at the lowered level after that. Second, the Euro and the US dollar showed a strong negative correlation after 1997, implying that the prices of the two currencies moved in opposite directions. Third, we observed that Asian countries and Latin American countries moved away from the cluster center (USA) passing through the Asian crisis and Argentine crisis, respectively.
Bonnerot, V.; Sebag, G.; Montalembert, M. de; Wioland, M.; Glorion, C.; Girot, R.; Lallemand, D.
In order to evaluate the role of gadolinium-DOTA enhanced MRI in the management of painful osseous crises in children with sickle cell anemia (SCA), nine children with SCA underwent MRI, bone scans and ultrasonographic studies during 11 osseous crises. Imaging findings were compared with the final diagnosis: three acute osteomyelitis (AO) and 16 acute infarcts (AI). MRI could not differentiate AO from AI. The appearance of severe AI was very misleading and was similar to the usual appearance of AO, including soft tissue changes, periosteal reaction and patterns of enhancement. Gadolinium-DOTA enhanced MRI was useful for determining the anatomic site and extent of AO or AI and for distinguishing between necrotic material, fluid collection and vascularized inflammatory tissue. It can also help to guide the aspiration of intraosseous, subperiosteal and soft tissue fluid collections. (orig.)
Full Text Available The aim of this study is to test predictability of 2007 Global Economic Crisis which hit Turkey by the help of macroeconomic data of Turkey. K.R.L. model is used to test the predictability. By the method of analyzing various leading early warning indicators, the success of the model in forecasting the crises is surveyed. The findings do not support K.R.L. models. Possible reasons for this are stated at the article.
Nash, Jr., Bradley
This study broadly assesses the role played by political factors in the widespread union crises that occurred in many Western capitalist democracies during the 1980s. Specifically examined are the effects of state labor law policies on union strike effectiveness in Great Britain and the United States. Three case studies of union strikes in Great Britain reveal that the Thatcher administration's legislative restructuring of industrial relations had a significant impact in exacerbating the cr...
Full Text Available Non-communicable diseases (NCDs are of increasing concern in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs affected humanitarian crises. Humanitarian agencies and governments are increasingly challenged with how to effectively tackle NCDs. Reviewing the evidence of interventions for NCDs in humanitarian crises can help guide future policies and research by identifying effective interventions and evidence gaps. The aim of this paper is to systematically review evidence on the effectiveness of interventions targeting NCDs during humanitarian crises in LMICs.A systematic review methodology was followed using PRISMA standards. Studies were selected on NCD interventions with civilian populations affected by humanitarian crises in low- and middle-income countries. Five bibliographic databases and a range of grey literature sources were searched. Descriptive analysis was applied and a quality assessment conducted using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale for observational studies and the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool for experimental studies.The search yielded 4919 references of which 8 studies met inclusion criteria. Seven of the 8 studies were observational, and one study was a non-blinded randomised-controlled trial. Diseases examined included hypertension, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, thalassaemia, and arthritis. Study settings included locations in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia. Interventions featuring disease-management protocols and/or cohort monitoring demonstrated the strongest evidence of effectiveness. No studies examined intervention costs. The quality of studies was limited, with a reliance on observational study designs, limited use of control groups, biases associated with missing data and inadequate patient-follow-up, and confounding was poorly addressed.The review highlights the extremely limited quantity and quality of evidence on this topic. Interventions that incorporate
Nous rapportons Huit cas de crises convulsives diagnostiquées comme maladie épileptique après ingestion de Tramadol et d'autres substances psychotropes dont la Caféine dans une région ou maladie épileptique et addiction au café sont fréquentes. L'objectif de ce travail était d'informer les praticiens sur le risque de ...
Consequences of political and economic crises on tourist destinations are profound and inescapable. This paper discusses the 2000-2008 political and economic crisis issue in Zimbabwe in relation to the tourism industry. The 2000-2008 political and economic environment was characterised by political stand- off among the three major political parties, heightened negative publicity, shortages of basic commodities, hyperinflation and isolation of Zimbabwe by the international community. During th...
Une stratégie de développement rejetant les partis pris de la théorie économique orthodoxe peut allier libéralisation économique et intervention étatique. .Sachant que la crise financière mondiale renforce les économies capables de générer une croissance économique endogène, l'Algérie doit rejeter la tentation de se ...
press and the published literature on the four Near East crises examined. The Arab press is remarkably candid about decision-making after a regional...crisis literature clearly shows that the Six Day War was a defeat for Arab nationalism. A different Near East began to appear after the crisis period...study - the movement for European unity, the Arab League, the Asian Development Bank - are evolving. Oie thing the study of regions is not. It is not
Crise du virus Ebola : Améliorer la communication scientifique et le journalisme local en période d'urgence et après une éclosion. La World Federation of Science Journalists (WFSJ) dirige un programme régional de communication et de formation pour les journalistes locaux, dans le but d'améliorer le journalisme ...
De son indépendance acquise en 1960 jusqu'en 1999, la Côte d'Ivoire était l'un des pays les plus stables d'Afrique et connaissait un essor économique continu grâce à ses nombreuses richesses naturelles, agricoles en particulier. À partir de 1999, le pays s'est installé dans une longue période de crise politique dont le ...
Ruby, Alexander; Knight, Abigail; Perel, Pablo; Blanchet, Karl; Roberts, Bayard
Background Non-communicable diseases (NCDs) are of increasing concern in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) affected humanitarian crises. Humanitarian agencies and governments are increasingly challenged with how to effectively tackle NCDs. Reviewing the evidence of interventions for NCDs in humanitarian crises can help guide future policies and research by identifying effective interventions and evidence gaps. The aim of this paper is to systematically review evidence on the effectiveness of interventions targeting NCDs during humanitarian crises in LMICs. Methods A systematic review methodology was followed using PRISMA standards. Studies were selected on NCD interventions with civilian populations affected by humanitarian crises in low- and middle-income countries. Five bibliographic databases and a range of grey literature sources were searched. Descriptive analysis was applied and a quality assessment conducted using the Newcastle-Ottawa Quality Assessment Scale for observational studies and the Cochrane Risk of Bias Tool for experimental studies. Results The search yielded 4919 references of which 8 studies met inclusion criteria. Seven of the 8 studies were observational, and one study was a non-blinded randomised-controlled trial. Diseases examined included hypertension, heart failure, diabetes mellitus, chronic kidney disease, thalassaemia, and arthritis. Study settings included locations in the Middle East, Eastern Europe, and South Asia. Interventions featuring disease-management protocols and/or cohort monitoring demonstrated the strongest evidence of effectiveness. No studies examined intervention costs. The quality of studies was limited, with a reliance on observational study designs, limited use of control groups, biases associated with missing data and inadequate patient-follow-up, and confounding was poorly addressed. Conclusions The review highlights the extremely limited quantity and quality of evidence on this topic. Interventions that
Arnoldo José de Hoyos Guevara
Full Text Available Ao pensar sobre a crise de sentido e a fragmentação do conhecimento que caracterizaram o trabalho no mundo contemporâneo, devemos nos perguntar: se trabalhamos para viver, ou vivemos para trabalhar, por isto está emergindo um novo tipo de consciência expandida (econômico social - ambiental - espiritual capaz de repensar o complexo mundo atual por meio de novas lideranças transformadoras.
Full Text Available The development of civilization made crises an inseparable part of our lives. Crises manifest themselves in almost all social areas and organizations, including educational institutions. The goals of the article are to present a theoretical model of normal, deviant and antisocial behaviors, and discuss the psycho-social characteristics of emotionally disturbed adolescents situated in a residential special education school in the United States. The article also gives an analysis of their most prevalent behavioral crises, escalation stages, as well as nonviolent crisis prevention and intervention strategies. The methods that were used include scientific literature review, analysis of statistical information supplied from different government sources, review and analysis of student records, as well as the author’s analytical reflections in working with emotionally disturbed youngsters in residential special education schools in the United States.The results of the study indicate that scientists from different fields use different terminology to describe socially nonconforming behaviors. The author presents a theoretical model of normal, deviant and antisocial behavior that could enhance better understanding and identification of high risk situations and conduct leading to serious crises. The analysis of student records revealed that most of the adolescents situated in special education residential schools are diagnosed with a number of mental health problems. This suggests that the currently prevailing care and education paradigm in the special education residential schools should shift to a more comprehensive treatment paradigm. The article also discusses the pros and cons of nonviolent crisis intervention. It is the author’s opinion that all special education schools serving children with emotional disorders should adopt one of the nonviolent crisis intervention models and develop and implement crisis management policies, plans and procedures.
Pedro dos Santos de Borba
Full Text Available Desgoverno econômico e narcotráfico põem em questão a institucionalidade do Estado Mexicano, enquanto a Gripe Suína alardeia a crise interna.
Desgoverno econômico e narcotráfico põem
em questão a institucionalidade do Estado Mexicano,
enquanto a Gripe Suína alardeia a crise interna.
This paper examines some determinants of banking crises in developing economies. Specifically, the effects of terms of trade shocks and capital flows are analyzed. The choice of the nominal exchange rate regime is found to be a crucial factor in the way various shocks are transmitted through the monetary sector. A logit model is used on panel data and preliminary results indicate that countries with flexible regimes were able to lessen the impact of external shocks on the domestic economy. Th...
9 déc. 2010 ... Une crise mondiale de l'eau aux répercussions aussi tragiques que celles d'une guerre est sur le point de frapper de plein fouet le Moyen-Orient et l'Afrique du Nord, à moins que cette région aride ne modifie en profondeur ses pratiques de gestion de l'eau.
In the so-called Akureyri declaration the Nordic energy ministers presented their requests and claims to the system operators about supply security and exchange capacity between the countries. Some special issues are grid strengthening, common principles for how to deal with export and import, and a common transmission system operator. The ministers want to make international lines a priority. A common, Nordic grid company is probably not of current interest. Of the transmission system operators, only Statnett (Norway) is ready to consider a supranational perspective. Although the Nordic energy market is the most well-functioning energy market in the world, the ministers are not entirely satisfied and want further improvement. The first step will be to work out organizational models for how the grid operation and system responsibility can be managed by the countries jointly and thus improve the preparedness. The major power customers fear that a power crisis in one country may cause a cascade outage to spread in the neighbouring countries without the authorities being prepared. Experts disagree about the likelihood of a power crisis the next years. However, consumption is increasing much faster than production. After the liberalization of the energy market in 1991, the investments in the physical power system have decreased dramatically
André Luiz Reis da Silva; Eduardo Munhoz Svartman
Este artigo busca explicar, a partir de suas raízes, as razões da recente crise política brasileira, que pode culminar com o impeachment da presidente Dilma. Através da análise dos interesses e atuação dos principais atores envolvidos na crise, busca igualmente verificar as repercussões internacionais e o impacto na agenda externa do Brasil.
Erfle, Stephen; Pound, John; Kalt, Joseph
An analysis of the response of American markets to supply crises in world oil markets is presented. It addresses four main issues: the efficiency of the operation of American oil markets during oil supply crises; the problems of both economic efficiency and social equity which arise during the American adaptation process; the propriety of the Federal government's past policy responses to these problems; and the relationship between perceptions of the problems caused by world oil crises and the real economic natures of these problems. Specifically, Chapter 1 presents a theoretical discussion of the effects of a world supply disruption on the price level and supply availability of the world market oil to any consuming country including the US Chapter 2 provides a theoretical and empirical analysis of the efficiency of the adaptations of US oil product markets to higher world oil prices. Chapter 3 examines the responses of various groups of US oil firms to the alterations observed in world markets, while Chapter 4 presents a theoretical explanation for the price-lagging behavior exhibited by firms in the US oil industry. Chapter 5 addresses the nature of both real and imagined oil market problems in the US during periods of world oil market transition. (MCW)
Full Text Available A crise dos modelos historiográficos das décadas de 70 e 80, em que a fragmentação dos objetos correspondia à do sujeito, levou a um recente retorno a este último, pela via da hermenêutica de Gadamer e Ricoeur. O presente texto procura discutir também esta alternativa, considerando que os processos sociais da modernidade se autonomizam dos seus agentes e constituem como que um "sujeito automático" a subjugar os sujeitos conscientes e envolvê-los em suas estruturas. O sujeito relativamente consciente e livre só pontua através da crise em que entram aqueles processos sociais, como verificamos na atualidade. A crise representa, assim, o ressurgimento da história enquanto oportunidade decisiva para reordenar, mediante a crítica, a trama da identidade e da diferença, constitutiva tanto da existência social quanto da consciência historiadora.
Israel José dos Santos Felipe
Full Text Available A literatura econômica documenta que eventos extremos podem induzir alterações na propensão ao risco. Este estudo investiga se a crise 2008/2009 afetou o comportamento de investimento em diversos ativos, financeiros e reais, por parte de dezenas de milhares de cidadãos residentes em diversas regiões dos Estados Unidos. Os resultados obtidos por meio de modelos logit sugerem que a crise de 2008/2009 pode ter induzido significativa mudança na preferência por diferentes ativos, tais como trusts, títulos de dívida, imóveis, e planejamento da aposentadoria. Os resultados deste estudo podem ser contributivos para políticas públicas acerca do comportamento de investimento das famílias, especialmente mediante contexto de crise, além de orientar a proposição de novos produtos financeiros por parte da indústria financeira
William J Foster
Full Text Available The late Permian mass extinction event was the largest biotic crisis of the Phanerozoic and has the longest recovery interval of any extinction event. It has been hypothesised that subsequent carbon isotope perturbations during the Early Triassic are associated with biotic crises that impeded benthic recovery. We test this hypothesis by undertaking the highest-resolution study yet made of the rock and fossil records of the entire Werfen Formation, Italy. Here, we show that elevated extinction rates were recorded not only in the Dienerian, as previously recognised, but also around the Smithian/Spathian boundary. Functional richness increases across the Smithian/Spathian boundary associated with elevated origination rates in the lower Spathian. The taxonomic and functional composition of benthic faunas only recorded two significant changes: (1 reduced heterogeneity in the Dienerian, and (2 and a faunal turnover across the Smithian/Spathian boundary. The elevated extinctions and compositional shifts in the Dienerian and across the Smithian/Spathian boundary are associated with a negative and positive isotope excursion, respectively, which supports the hypothesis that subsequent biotic crises are associated with carbon isotope shifts. The Spathian fauna represents a more advanced ecological state, not recognised in the previous members of the Werfen Formation, with increased habitat differentiation, a shift in the dominant modes of life, appearance of stenohaline taxa and the occupation of the erect and infaunal tiers. In addition to subsequent biotic crises delaying the recovery, therefore, persistent environmental stress limited the ecological complexity of benthic recovery prior to the Spathian.
Victor Vincent Valla
Full Text Available A crise do Estado provedor, provocada pelo processo de globalização, afeta de maneira dramática a relação das classes populares com os serviços de saúde no Brasil. O surgimento de um mundo neo-liberal, concentrador de renda e excludente necessariamente aponta para a construção de um outro mundo, em que a sobrevivência estará íntimamente relacionada com a solidariedade. Se não fosse por essa crise, talvez uma proposta como a do apoio social na área de saúde não chamasse tanto atenção. No entanto, uma vez "aberta a janela" para ver com mais cuidado essa proposta, é possível reconhecer que ela possui legitimidade por seus próprios méritos, e até independe da própria crise. A discussão do apoio social como proposta de educação e saúde abre a perspectiva de abordar uma questão que freqüentemente gera contradições no meio dos mediadores de educação popular: a religiosidade das classes populares. É algo a ser superado com o tempo, ou é parte integrante da cultura popular?
Gabriel Real Ferrer
Full Text Available Os problemas vividos na atualidade, principalmente a grave situação financeira internacional, significam sinal evidente de insuficiência do modelo teórico moderno. Talvez sustentem a própria crise do Estado Constitucional Moderno. Alguns exemplos recentes parecem comprovar tal crise: o complexo de indústrias mundiais de alimentos que arrasa sementes tradicionais acabou por criar uma situação de desequilíbrio alimentar no planeta. Além disso, fatos como a comercialização mundial do petróleo, o monopólio da comunicação e a realidade virtual manipulável demonstram que a internalização do Poder Público da modernidade provavelmente cederá espaço à transnacionalização desse mesmo Poder Público. Repensar, pois, a Democracia neste momento é fundamental, principalmente em sua vertente transnacional. Todo o mundo “acordado” e afetado pela globalização, faz-se cada vez mais certo que o único poder legítimo é o poder com investidura decidida pela maioria, que se constitui a partir de instrumentos democráticos efetivos. Palavras-chave: Democracia. Transnacionalidade. Estado Constitucional Moderno. Estado Transnacional. Crise Financeira.
We consider a problem of the analysis of the noise-induced tipping in population systems. To study this phenomenon, we use Hassell-type system with Allee effect as a conceptual model. A mathematical investigation of the tipping is connected with the analysis of the crisis bifurcations, both boundary and interior. In the parametric study of the abrupt changes in dynamics related to the noise-induced extinction and transition from order to chaos, the stochastic sensitivity function technique and confidence domains are used. The effectiveness of the suggested approach to detect early warnings of critical stochastic transitions is demonstrated.
José María García Blanco
Full Text Available If economics tends to emphasize the role of irrational behaviour in the formation of the speculative bubble that caused the recent financial crisis, sociology tends to focus on the institutions and social structures that sustain the financial system, particularly the dense social networks formed by financial elites, which function as a socio-culturally closed circle leading to herd behaviour. This article proposes a different interpretation of this supposed herd behaviour, based on functional differentiation and how it fosters internal, second order observation. Modern markets are a particularly striking example of this, and especially financial ones in which self-referential closure is particularly intense, because they trade money, the medium that supports the self-reference of the economic system.
Copertino, Vito; Lo Vecchio, Giuseppina; Marotta, Lucia; Pastore, Vittoria; Ponzio, Giuseppe; Scavone, Giuseppina; Telesca, Vito; Vita, Michele
In the past water resources management has been dealt and solved increasing water availabilities; today such opportunities have been considerably reduced and the technical-scientific perspectives are addressed above all to improve water system effectiveness and to promote an use of water resources that holds account of the droughts frequency and based on a correct estimate of the hydrologic balance. In this work a study on the water stored in Monte Cotugno reservoir in Sinni river - Basilicata (Southern Italy) - is proposed, estimating water crises return periods and reservoir evaporation. For such purpose the runs method was applied, based on the comparison between the temporal series of the "water volume" hydrological variable and a threshold representative of the "normal" conditions regarding which the availability in excess or defect was estimated. This allowed to individualize the beginning and the end of a water crisis event and to characterize the droughts in terms of duration, sum deficit and intensity. Therefore the return period was evaluated by means of the methodology proposed by Shiau and Shen in 2001, turned out equal approximately to 6 years. Such value was then verified with a frequency analysis of the "water volume" random variable, using the Weibull's distribution. Subsequently, the Fourier's analysis in the last twenty years was carried out, obtaining the same result of the previous methods. Moreover, in proximity of the Monte Cotugno reservoir the weather station of Senise is located, managed by ALSIA (Agenzia Lucana di Sviluppo e Innovazione in Agricultura), that provides in continuous measurements of air temperature and humidity, wind speed and direction, and global solar radiation since 2000. Such parameters allowed to apply five methods for reservoir evaporation estimate selected from those proposed in the literature, of which the first three, the Jensen-Haise's method, Makkink's method and Stephens-Stewart's one are based on solar radiation
Full Text Available A recente crise financeira global traz consigo efeitos como a redução da atividade econômica e, consequentemente, do consumo de energia. Essa pode ser uma importante oportunidade para reorganizar o sistema energético em bases mais sólidas e sustentáveis: a eficiência, a maior participação das fontes renováveis e a descentralização da produção de energia. O Brasil e outros países em desenvolvimento podem aproveitar a experiência dos países desenvolvidos em eficiência energética, complementando com um programa vigoroso em energias renováveis, particularmente as "modernas" (eólica, solar, biomassa e pequenas hidrelétricas. Entretanto, preocupa o cenário inercial nacional, baseado num aumento da participação das fontes fósseis de energia na matriz, na priorização dos recursos à exploração de petróleo e gás natural e na manutenção de padrões insustentáveis de produção e consumo.The recent global financial crisis brings about effects such as a reduction in the economic activity and consequently in energy consumption. This may be an important opportunity to reorganize the energy system under more solid and sustainable foundations: efficiency, higher share of renewables and decentralized energy production. Brazil and other developing countries can leapfrog the experience acquired by developed nations in energy efficiency, complementing with a vigorous program in renewables, particularly the "modern" (wind, solar, biomass and small hydros. However, there is a concern about the inertial Brazilian scenario, based on an increasing share of fossil fuels in the matrix, in prioritizing resources to oil and gas exploration and in the continuing unsustainable patterns of production and consumption.
A review is presented of the impacts of the 1970's oil shock on the economy. The productivity slowdown, stagflation, the relationships between growth and crisis, oil shocks and financial and business cycles, and Kondratieff long cycles economics are discussed. Mainstream economic analysis, carried out in sectoral studies or formal macroeconomic models, most often leads to the conclusion that the impacts were very substantial in terms of slowing down in growth or productivity gains. In a larger perspective, drawing upon analysis of the world economy over the long term, the judgement is qualified. A long-wave analysis, inspired by the work of neo-Schumpeterian economists, allows a more clear appreciation of how the world economy and international energy system fit together within a dynamic framework. The next oil shock might be considered necessary in that it would be determined by the evolution of the economy and the world energy system, and would thus be the result of a non-random sequence of events, and because, by stimulating technical progress, it would encourage the diffusion of energy production and use profiles that would be more compatible with resource constraints and local and global environments. 37 refs., 3 figs.
After a brief recall of the history of the development of ballistic missiles from World War II, the author discusses the various uses of these missiles, on the one hand by major powers, and on the other hand by other countries like Israel, Pakistan and India, and also Egypt and Iraq. He recalls the uses of these missiles during regional conflicts (Scuds by Iraq) and then discusses the issue of proliferation of ballistic missiles. He notices that most of these weapons are present in the arsenal of major powers under the form of intercontinental missiles, intermediate range weapons or theatre weapons. On the Third World side, proliferation concerns short- and medium-range missiles produced from technology transfers or national programmes. Mobile systems are now present in all conflicts (notably Libya, Syria) and are now based on more advanced technologies for propellers as well as for control and guidance systems. In the last part, the author discusses the perspectives associated with these missiles which are a strong offensive weapon, and are also modernised to carry nuclear warheads or multiple warheads. These evolutions could put the western superiority into question again
Liara Lopes Krüger
Full Text Available Famílias inseridas no contexto suicida organizam suas relações em torno de histórias opressoras construídas através das gerações, que impedem o desenvolvimento de autonomia e continuidade. Este artigo objetiva pensar sistemicamente sobre a dinâmica familiar da crise gerada pela tentativa de suicídio de um dos seus membros. Neste estudo, seis famílias participaram de uma intervenção breve, desenvolvida com base na teoria sistêmica. Os dados foram analisados com base no Método de Comparação Constante, identificando-se categorias e a construção de hipóteses a respeito da dinâmica familiar no contexto da crise suicida. Os resultados mostram que os participantes estão limitados em sua capacidade de apoiar o desenvolvimento de uma identidade autônoma, porque a dinâmica familiar identifica as novas oportunidades de narrar a si mesmo como ameaça ao sistema de lealdades que mantém a continuidade da família, impedindo a renegociação desses códigos. O sofrimento se apresenta como emoção que limita novas trocas, surgindo o comportamento suicida como alternativa.Families inserted in the suicide context tend to organize their relations around oppressive histories constructed over generations that hinder the development of autonomy and continuity. This paper aims at thinking systematically about the family dynamics of the crisis generated by the suicide attempt of one of its members. In this study, six families participated of a brief intervention developed on the basis of the systemic theory. The Grounded Theory analysis procedures made possible the identification of the categories and the construction of hypotheses regarding the family dynamics within the context of the suicide crisis. The result shows that participants are limited in their capacity of supporting the development of an independent identity because the family dynamics identifies new opportunities of narrating to oneself as a menace to the system of loyalties
Christa Liselote Berger Ramos Kuschick
Full Text Available Pesquisadores e jornalistas dedicam-se a compreender que tensionamentos abalam o sistema de produção de sentido que até então ostentava certa hegemonia como discurso que representa um presente social de referência (GOMIS, 1999. Este artigo reflete sobre o modo como a crise do jornalismo tem aparecido nos discursos e nas práticas da própria imprensa. A suspeita inicial é a de que a crise configura-se em acontecimento silenciado pela mídia hegemônica. Por outro lado, inevitavelmente ela transparece também nas práticas jornalísticas, uma vez que tem atingido de forma intensa a estrutura de funcionamento das redações. Além disso, tem provocado os jornalistas a reverem suas competências e o campo a transformar - de certo modo - seus pressupostos e modos de fazer. PALAVRAS-CHAVE: crise do jornalismo; práticas; hegemonia; futuro do jornalismo. ABSTRACT Researchers and journalists are dedicated to understand the tensions that shake the production system of journalism, which has had certain hegemony as social reference speech (GOMIS, 1999. This article reflects on how the crisis journalism has appeared in speeches and in the press itself practices. The initial suspicion is that the crisis sets in muted event by the mainstream media. Moreover, it inevitably also transpires in newspaper practice, once it has reached the working structure of essays. It has caused journalists to review their skills and transform the field - in a way - their assumptions and ways of doing. KEYWORDS: journalism crisis; practices; hegemony; future of journalism. RESUMEN Los investigadores y periodistas se dedican a entender las tensiones que sacuden el sistema de producción de sentidos del periodismo que hasta ahora se jactó cierta hegemonia. En este artículo se reflexiona sobre cómo ha aparecido la crisis del periodismo en los discursos y en las prácticas de la prensa. La sospecha inicial es que la crisis ha sido silenciada por los grandes
Full Text Available Local government in South Africa (SA has come a long way from the period when there were over 1200 racially segregated municipalities. From more than 800 municipalities after 1996, they have been merged to currently 284 municipalities which now cover every ‘millimetre’ of the country, and are focused on growing local economies and maintaining the provision of a lot more diverse and complex basic municipal services to all their citizens and especially to geographical areas and citizens that were previously neglected. This transformed local government environment has brought about many changes in the nature and extent of basic public services delivered at the grass- roots level of this developing country with its limited resources and unlimited needs – especially in the areas of potable water supply and sanitation services. This article will firstly highlight the changed environmental context of public service delivery in the local government sphere of the country before the transformation in relevant legislation will be reported on. Subsequently the nature and extent of current realities of local governance, dynamics and challenges regarding the diverse and complex public services by a typical Category B Local municipality will be identified in the real SA out there. The use of the Politics – Administration System Model by Easton for environmental management analysis will also be illustrated. Lastly, for easy classification of typical characteristics and challenging issues in the dynamic municipal government sphere of SA, the SWOT-analysis format will be used.
With respect to world energy, two subjects are preoccupying energy economists. They are (1) how will production of oil and gas hold up with the lowest oil prices since 1945 and (2) are the recessions in Asia, parts of Latin America and the CIS rendering futile any attempts to balance the energy markets? The fundamental question asked is: What kind of market are we in? The paper is structured to provide answers or discuss the following sub-questions. (i) does the energy market operate by the same rules as the global economy; (ii) what lessons can be learned from disconnection of the oil market problems of 1973 and the collapse of the tanker market and (iii) how should the markets be regulated. A detailed analysis of world energy growth in the second half of this century and how it may develop in the next 20 years is given. Special attention is paid to the role of the Asia/Pacific market, the strength of the world economic system, the impact of privatisation in Russia and possible turbulence in share markets. (UK)
Full Text Available La edad adulta es un período de la vida que se inicia en la década de los veinte y se prolonga hasta la vejez. En este camino, la persona suele atravesar diferentes crisis: las décadas de los treinta y los cuarenta, y el paso hacia la vejez. Si bien los sistemas formales y no formales de educación se orientan fundamentalmente a preparar para la vida, lo hacen sobre todo para la vida activa. Si se considera que la pirámide poblacional se invierte, la educación y los educadores tendrían que preparar a las personas para la edad del retiro. Jubilarse no tendría que significar una crisis que derive en depresión, inacción o en pérdida del sentido de la vida. Al contrario, en la medida en la que la persona aprenda a asumir el desapego como algo natural, estará en condiciones de otorgarle a este período un nuevo valor, y esto resulta una oportunidad educativa.A idade adulta é um período da vida que começa aos vinte anos e termina na velhice. Neste percurso, a pessoa atravessa diversas crises: os trinta anos, os quarenta anos e o passo à velhice. Mesmo se os sistemas formais e não formais de educação orientam-se basicamente para preparação da vida, só pre-param para a vida ativa. Se a pirâmide populacional se inverte, a educação e os educadores teriam que preparar às pessoas para a idade da aposentadoria. Aposentarse no teria que ser uma crise que leve à depressão, inação ou perda do sentido da vida. Ao contrário, a medida que a pessoa aprenda a assumir o desapego como uma etapa normal, estará em condições de dar a este período um valor novo, o qual pode ser uma oportunidade educativa.Adulthood is a time of life that begins when a person is in their twenties and lasts until old age. Along the way, people often go through different crises: the thirties, the forties, and the passage into old age. Although formal and non-formal systems of education are intended essentially to prepare a person for life, they do so
Catarina Alexandra Alves Fernandes
Full Text Available O debate sobre o governo das sociedades tem ganhado crescente relevo nos meios acadêmico e empresarial desde o fim da década de 1980. Esse maior destaque foi originado por diversos fatores, dos quais se salientam a crise na Ásia, os escândalos financeiros que assolaram grandes empresas cotadas norte-americanas e algumas empresas de auditoria e, mais recentemente, a crise financeira mundial. Embora há muito defendida a necessidade de aperfeiçoar os instrumentos existentes e de descobrir novos mecanismos, de modo a encontrar um sistema de governo das sociedades que minimize os custos de agência, a crise financeira mundial com origem nos EUA veio dar-lhe novo “fôlego”. E, agora, com especial ênfase na banca. Falhas no governo das sociedades, em particular no setor bancário, têm sido apontadas como culpadas pela crise financeira global iniciada em 2007, só comparável à Grande Depressão. Assim, este artigo pretende, em primeiro lugar, apresentar uma caracterização genérica dos mecanismos de governo das sociedades, integrando no estudo os denominados custos de agência e, em seguida, analisar tais mecanismos no setor bancário, estabelecendo uma relação entre eles e a crise financeira. A pesquisa efetuada permite demonstrar a importância dos instrumentos de governo das sociedades na minimização dos custos de agência, nomeadamente no contexto da crise financeira. Ainda que o setor bancário tenha as suas especificidades, a investigação feita indica que existe uma relação entre aqueles instrumentos e a performance dos bancos e que fragilidades no governo das sociedades determinaram em larga medida a crise financeira.
Full Text Available Les crises environnementales ont de profondes répercussions sur les économies et les sociétés insulaires, et ceci de manière exacerbée en Haïti, après le terrible tremblement de terre du 12 janvier 2010. Les petites îles de la Caraïbe et de l’Océan Indien sont confrontées à de nombreuses crises qui ont des origines locales, mais le plus souvent exogènes. Par delà le marasme mondial actuel, l’insularité et l’exiguïté sont autant de facteurs qui aggravent la crise économique et accroissent les tensions dans ces territoires. Dans les DROM (Département et Région d’Outre-mer, les mouvements sociaux ont été très importants.Environmental crises have a profound impact on island economies and societies, and this so exacerbated in Haiti after the devastating earthquake of January 12, 2010. Small islands in the Caribbean and in the Indian Ocean endured numerous crises sometimes of local origin but more often due to external factors. Beyond the current global downturn, insularity and small size are factors that aggravate the economic crisis and increasing tensions in these areas. In DROM (Department Region Overseas, social movements have been very important.
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Marcolino, Luciano Nakad
Apresenta a discussão sobre um paradoxo da globalização: a Competitividade e o Fim do Emprego, com teorias, e cases de empresas que atuam num, cenário de competição global. Aborda o impacto da Tecnologia microeletrônica nas empresas e no emprego. Questiona a validade da Reengenharia e apresenta uma visão estratégica para o futuro. O cenário é caracterizado pela informática e as telecomunicações que encolheram o mundo com economias de livre mercado. Aborda a transformação rápida da natureza...
Carlos Alexandre Twardowschy
Full Text Available O insulinoma é doença rara que cursa com sintomas episódicos neuroglicopênicos e/ou adrenérgicos. Descrevemos o caso de uma paciente de 36 anos, que estava sendo tratada por crises convulsivas parciais complexas há 4 anos sem melhora do quadro. Apresentava história de vários episódios de crise convulsiva associada a hipoglicemia marcante. Tomografia de crânio e eletrencefalograma eram normais. No teste de jejum de 72 horas evidenciaram-se sintomas hipoglicêmicos, que eram revertidos com reposição de glicose, associados com insulina e peptídeo C elevados. A localização do insulinoma foi possível apenas após laparotomia exploradora; os métodos de imagem utilizados não revelaram o tumor. O exame histopatológico confirmou neoplasia endócrina diferenciada. Concluímos que a dosagem da glicemia deve fazer parte da investigação de transtornos convulsivos ou do comportamento, pois o insulinoma pode inicialmente apresentar-se desta forma.Insulinoma is a rare disease presenting with episodic neuroglycopenic and/or adrenergic symptoms. We describe the case of a 36 year-old female that had been in treatment for complex partial seizures during 4 years without improvement. She presented many crises with marking hypoglycemia. Cranium tomography and electroencephalogram were normal. A 72-hour fast test showed hypoglycemic symptoms with raised insulin and C-peptide. The insulinoma localization was possible during exploratory laparatomy; image metods did not reveal the tumor. Histological findings confirmed an insulinoma. We conclude that blood glucose level should be requested during the investigation of convulsive and behavioral disorders since an insulinoma can present like them.
Lotfi, Tamara; Bou-Karroum, Lama; Darzi, Andrea; Hajjar, Rayan; El Rahyel, Ahmed; El Eid, Jamale; Itani, Mira; Brax, Hneine; Akik, Chaza; Osman, Mona; Hassan, Ghayda; El-Jardali, Fadi; Akl, Elie
Our objective was to identify published models of coordination between entities funding or delivering health services in humanitarian crises, whether the coordination took place during or after the crises. We included reports describing models of coordination in sufficient detail to allow reproducibility. We also included reports describing implementation of identified models, as case studies. We searched Medline, PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials, CINAHL, PsycINFO, and the WHO Global Health Library. We also searched websites of relevant organizations. We followed standard systematic review methodology. Our search captured 14,309 citations. The screening process identified 34 eligible papers describing five models of coordination of delivering health services: the "Cluster Approach" (with 16 case studies), the 4Ws "Who is Where, When, doing What" mapping tool (with four case studies), the "Sphere Project" (with two case studies), the "5x5" model (with one case study), and the "model of information coordination" (with one case study). The 4Ws and the 5x5 focus on coordination of services for mental health, the remaining models do not focus on a specific health topic. The Cluster approach appears to be the most widely used. One case study was a mixed implementation of the Cluster approach and the Sphere model. We identified no model of coordination for funding of health service. This systematic review identified five proposed coordination models that have been implemented by entities funding or delivering health service in humanitarian crises. There is a need to compare the effect of these different models on outcomes such as availability of and access to health services.
Kheirandish, Mehrnaz; Rashidian, Arash; Kebriaeezade, Abbas; Cheraghali, Abdol Majid; Soleymani, Fatemeh
An economic crisis has been defined as a situation in which the scale of a country's economy becomes smaller in a period of time. Economic crises happen for various reasons, including economic sanctions. Economic crises in a country may affect national priorities for investment and expenditure and reduce available resources, and hence may affect the health care sector including access to medicines. We reviewed the pharmaceutical policies that the countries adopted in order to mitigate the potential negative effects on access to medicines. We reviewed published reports and articles after conducting a comprehensive search of the PubMed and the Google Scholar. After extracting relevant data from the identified articles, we used the World Health Organization (WHO) access to medicines framework as a guide for the categorization of the policies. We identified a total of 40 studies, of which 10 reported the national pharmaceutical policies adopted to reduce the negative impacts of economic crises on access to medicines in high-income and middle-income countries. We identified 89 policies adopted in the 11 countries and categorized them into 12 distinct policy directions. Most of the policies focused on financial aspects of the pharmaceutical sector. In some cases, countries adopted policies that potentially had negative effects on access to medicines. Only Italy had adopted policies encompassing all four accesses to medicine factors recommended by the WHO. While the countries have adopted many seemingly effective policies, little evidence exists on the effectiveness of these policies to improve access to medicines at a time of an economic crisis.
Hendrik J. Pelser
Full Text Available Orientation: Crises that threaten an organisation’s continued existence cannot be seen in isolation when considering the perception of threats to individual job security. These threats often go hand in hand with employee panic. Research purpose: The aim of this study was to establish a model to assist organisations in managing employee emotionality and panic during times of crisis. Motivation for the study: Environmental crises threaten organisations’ existence, threatening employees’ livelihood and resulting in employee panic. Panic reduces employees’ contributions. Organisations that are successful harness employee contributions at all times. Research design, approach, and method: A modernist qualitative research methodology was adopted, which included a case study as research strategy, purposive sampling to select 12 research participants, semi-structured interviews for data gathering, focus groups for data verification, and the use of grounded theory for data analysis. Main findings: An organisation’s ability to manage employee panic depends on the relationship between the foundational elements of authentic leadership, crisis readiness, resilience practices, versatile and committed talent, strategic management, quality management, and coherence actions taken during the crisis, which include crisis leadership, ongoing visible communication, mindfulness, work flexibility, and decisions based on the greatest financial need and social support. Practical/managerial implications: The study provides a best-practice option for managing emotionality during crises for the case organisation and other organisations within the vehicle components and other manufacturing industries. Contribution/value-add: The Coherence Hexagons Model is presented as a tool to manage employee panic during crisis. Keywords: crisis management; employee emotionality; employee panic; authentic leadership; talent management
Agnes Lucy Lando
Full Text Available Many corporations have a Crisis Management Plan (CMP, which is designed to handle crises. These plans may include crisis response drills, evacuation plans, and standby machines/generators. However, when it comes to communication during a crisis, many organizations are ill-prepared because they lack a Crisis Communication Plan (CCP. Following the September 21, 2013 attack on the Westgate Mall in Nairobi, the public’s praises for the security forces swiftly degenerated into blame, insults, and expressions of betrayal. The government seemed unprepared. There was no clearly spelt out CCP detailing what and when to release information, as well as who and how to make the release. Hence, every step the government took to give updates about the attack and what it was doing to secure the mall and save people was challenged by the media and the public. The lack of a CCP was evident in the presentation of several spokespersons by the authorities, double talk, conflicting messages, and uncertainty on the matter. This paper thus argues that while corporations strive for a variety of strategies for crisis management, there is need to also enshrine CCP in their CMP. It utilizes Coombs’ (2012 three-stage crisis management model that carefully considers the pre-crisis, crisis, and post-crisis stages. Focusing on selected corporations in Kenya that suffered crises between June 1, 2012 and October 30, 2013, this research holds that the crises duration and negative impact could have been lessened if the organizations integrated effective CCP in their CMP.
Fernanda Francielle de Oliveira Malaquias
Full Text Available O objetivo principal deste trabalho foi analisar o efeito Smart Money considerando-se o controle por períodos de crise financeira. Foram selecionados 285 fundos Long and Short brasileiros, no período de 03 de janeiro de 2005 a 12 de setembro de 2013. Com a aplicação de ferramentas quantitativas como a análise de regressão multivariada, análise de regressão logística, complementada com a estatística descritiva e análise de gráficos, os principais resultados mostraram que: i os cotistas dos fundos de investimento, em média, escolhem os fundos com melhor performance passada para realizar seus investimentos; ii os fundos que receberam captação líquida positiva apresentaram, em média, melhores indicadores de performance futura que os demais fundos, mesmo para a performance ajustada ao risco; e iii em períodos de crise, o efeito Smart Money foi anulado, tendo inclusive o seu sinal invertido, talvez por haver menor relação entre performance passada e performance futura quando se tem restrições financeiras impostas pelo mercado. Assim, foram apresentados indícios de que, em períodos de crise, os investidores, em média, não necessariamente apresentam habilidades de seletividade na escolha dos fundos que apresentarão a melhor performance, contrariando o efeito Smart Money para períodos de restrições financeiras.
Cristina Vega Solís
Full Text Available In the paper we analyze the inequalities that emerge from and are reproduced in Ecuadorian’s higher education trajectories in the context of economic crises. We focus on the strategies that these youth and their families employ for social mobility as well as the role of public policy in these processes. We examine the trajectories of three groups: sons and daughters of the 2000 migration wave from Ecuador to Spain who study at universities in Spain, those who have returned to Ecuador for their studies, and Ecuadorians who move to Spain in order to carry out postgraduate studies, some of them funded by scholarships from the Ecuadorian government. The research project employed a qualitative methodology based on interviews, focus groups and a survey with Ecuadorians in Spain who took the entrance exam for admittance into Ecuador’s public university system. Our findings highlight the varied forms of capitals that these diverse students employ, as well as the social and economic constraints that they encounter. In a period of economic crisis in Spain, the first group of students must often downgrade their expectations in order to continue their studies. Their experience contrasts starkly with Ecuadorians undertaking postgraduate studies in Spain, whose heterogenous trajectories are upwardly and geographically mobile. The case of the return university students to Ecuador shows us that education is inserted into a broader strategy that depends on transnational networks shaped over more than a decade of Ecuador-Spain migration.
Vladimir K. Teles
Full Text Available O presente artigo busca investigar como crises causadas por choques externos, como sudden-stops e choques nos termos de troca, afetaram a economia brasileira. Para tanto propomos um modelo teórico simples de cash-in-advance com fricções financeiras de forma que choques de liquidez causam mudanças na alocação dos fatores de produção e na produtividade da economia. Em seguida, o modelo é estimado para a economia brasileira e as implicações para política monetária são analisadas.
Schmeltz, Line; Agerdal-Hjermind, Annette
This paper aims to explore and offer insights into the phenomenon of social media crises in a CSR-related context by reflexively merging theoretical and case insights (Alvesson & Kärreman, 2007, p. 2011). The phenomenon and the components of a social media crisis are theoretically identified, and...... strategy and communicative skills during a CSR-related social media crisis......., and the case of the Norwegian chocolate brand Freia is used to illustrate how CSR-related issues are particularly vulnerable and thus potentially responsible for creating a social media crisis. The case furthermore serves to illustrate the importance of social media readiness, responsiveness and not least...
Full Text Available A crise econômica internacional desencadeada em 2008 produziu enormes efeitos sobre as migrações mundiais. Alguns estudos têm sido dedicados a esta temática. O objetivo deste artigo é refletir e discutir sobre a existência de um possível fluxo de retorno dos imigrantes brasileiros em Portugal ao país de origem. Os resultados desta investigação apontam para uma desaceleração do fluxo de entrada em Portugal, uma propensão significativa ao retorno, mas um volume efetivo de retorno inferior ao que seria teoricamente de esperar.
Antônio André Cunha Callado
Full Text Available Este trabalho analisou a relação entre o comportamento do mercado acionário brasileiro, representado pelo Ibovespa, e os fluxos de capitais estrangeiros direcionados para investimentos em carteira de ações, no período posterior à implantação do Plano Real. Ao longo desse período, foram observadas diversas crises financeiras no âmbito internacional que provocaram instabilidade e volatilidade nos fluxos de capitais estrangeiros. Este trabalho considera as influências sistemáticas dessas instabilidades sobre o Ibovespa, especialmente pela capitalização relativamente pequena do mercado brasileiro de ações. A hipótese de mercado eficiente supõe que os preços das ações, e com isso o Ibovespa, seguem um caminho aleatório e não devem estar sujeitos a influências sistemáticas de outros fatores. A hipótese geral do trabalho é que os fluxos de capitais estrangeiros direcionados para o mercado acionário brasileiro influenciam significativamente o Ibovespa. A hipótese especifica que crises internacionais e nacionais influenciam negativamente os fluxos de capitais estrangeiros nesse segmento e com isso o Ibovespa. A justificação para este trabalho é de que essas influências sistemáticas de crises sobre o Ibovespa são um fator sistemático que limita a hipótese de mercado acionário brasileiro eficiente. Foi realizada uma análise empírica com diferentes modelos mostrando que há evidências de influência sistemática dos fluxos de capital estrangeiro em carteira de ações sobre o Ibovespa. Esses achados limitam, de certa forma, a adequação da hipótese de mercado eficiente para o mercado brasileiro de ações. Essa influência sistemática dos fluxos de capital estrangeiro sobre o Ibovespa pode ser um fenômeno restrito no período analisado, refletindo a alta volatilidade dos fluxos de capitais estrangeiros por causa de crises externas e internas.
Rato, Helena; Silva, Matilde Gago da
Becker e outros cientistas das ciências humanas levaram ao desenvolvimento da teoria do capital humano. O desenvolvimento da sociedade do conhecimento e as TIC reforçaram o reconhecimento da importância do capital humano. Contudo, os países da sociedade do conhecimento enfrentam uma ameaça de retrocesso, devido ao desajuste dos indicadores do desempenho macroeconómico e à dificuldade de mensuração do investimento em capital humano. A resolução da crise actual exige que o capital humano da Adm...
Agerdal-Hjermind, Annette; Schmeltz, Line
This paper aims to explore and offer insights into the phenomenon of social media crises in a CSR-related context by reflexively merging theoretical and case insights (Alvesson & Kärreman, 2007, p. 2011). The phenomenon and the components of a social media crisis are theoretically identified......, and the case of the Norwegian chocolate brand Freia is used to illustrate how CSR-related issues are particularly vulnerable and thus potentially responsible for creating a social media crisis. The case furthermore serves to illustrate the importance of social media readiness, responsiveness and not least...... strategy and communicative skills during a CSR-related social media crisis....
L’objet de cet essai est de proposer non certes des solutions pratiques immédiates au problème contemporain de la crise écologique, mais d’élaborer une réflexion théorique par où l’on apercevra l’insuffisance du principe de souveraineté. Au fondement de l’Etat, la souveraineté est gardienne du particularisme des Etats alors qu’une politique universaliste seule (mondiale ou régionale) s’impose face au désordre environnemental. Ainsi, en contrepartie, l’ouvrage dessine le passage d’une politiqu...
O objetivo deste artigo, apoiado nos principais indicadores da economia global e nacional, é pro-mover uma análise dos efeitos da crise mundial e as perspectivas de crescimento da economia bra-sileira no período de 2013-2015. O referencial teórico está apoiado nas Teorias Keynesiana, Neoins-titucionalista e das Finanças Públicas. Trata-se de um artigo bibliográfico, descritivo e qualitativo, cujas discussões estão baseadas nas projeções contidas nos relatórios das principais instituições mult...
Bergman, Ulf Michael; Hassan, Shakill
to the threat of a currency crisis is restrictive. We demonstrate that this result is primarily due to the uncovered interest parity assumption. Assuming that the exchange rate is a martingale restores the case for expansionary reaction - even with foreign-currency debt in firms' balance sheets. The effect......This paper revisits the currency crises model of Aghion, Bacchetta and Banerjee (2000, 2001, 2004), who show that if there exist nominal price rigidities and private sector credit constraints, and the credit multiplier depends on real interest rates, then the optimal monetary policy response...... of lower interest rates on output can help restore the value of the currency due to increased money demand...
Del Pino, Mauro Augusto Burkert
Este artigo tem por objetivo identificar os elementos que possibilitam a construção teórico-explicativa da reforma da educação profissional, a partir de uma análise crítica da crise capitalista; Mostra que a geração de um excedente característico - a mercadoria mão de obra -, produz importantes conseqüências sociais, vinculadas ao processo de resstruturação produtiva. O texto estabelece nexos entre as modificações nos postos ...
L'évaluation ex post permet de constater que le scénario anticipé de la crise modérée correspond assez précisément aux événements concrets antérieurs. Les exportations (excluant l'or) ont chuté de 19, 5 % tandis que les importations diminuaient de 7%. Le produit intérieur brut (PIB), les investissements et le déficit public ...
Owusu-Ofori, Shirley; Remmington, Tracey
Acute splenic sequestration crises are a complication of sickle cell disease, with high mortality rates and frequent recurrence in survivors of first attacks. Splenectomy and blood transfusion, with their consequences, are the mainstay of long-term management used in different parts of the world. This is a 2015 update of a Cochrane review first published in 2002, and previously updated in 2013. To assess whether splenectomy (total or partial), to prevent acute splenic sequestration crises in people with sickle cell disease, improved survival and decreased morbidity in people with sickle cell disease, as compared with regular blood transfusions. We searched the Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis and Genetic Disorders Group Haemoglobinopathies Trials Register, which comprises of references identified from comprehensive electronic database searches and handsearching relevant journals and abstract books of conference proceedings.Additional trials were sought from the reference lists of the trials and reviews identified by the search strategy.Date of the most recent search: 10 June 2015. All randomized or quasi-randomized controlled trials comparing splenectomy (total or partial) to prevent recurrence of acute splenic sequestration crises with no treatment or blood transfusions in people with sickle cell disease. No trials of splenectomy for acute splenic sequestration were found. No trials of splenectomy for acute splenic sequestration were found. Splenectomy, if full, will prevent further sequestration and if partial, may reduce the recurrence of acute splenic sequestration crises. However, there is a lack of evidence from trials showing that splenectomy improves survival and decreases morbidity in people with sickle cell disease. There is a need for a well-designed, adequately-powered, randomized controlled trial to assess the benefits and risks of splenectomy compared to transfusion programmes, as a means of improving survival and decreasing mortality from acute splenic
Full Text Available A recente crise armada entre Colômbia e Equador trouxe a América do Sul ao foco da mídia internacional. As FARC representam o maior barril de pólvora da América Latina, além de um determinante ator a ser combatido na luta contra o terrorismo internacional. Nesse sentido, o presente artigo busca analisar, sob o prisma da segurança e do direito internacional o papel das FARC em âmbito global e as maneiras segundo as quais elas são combatidas.
Raven, Joanna; Baral, Sushil; Wurie, Haja; Witter, Sophie; Samai, Mohamed; Paudel, Pravin; Subedi, Hom Nath; Martineau, Tim; Elsey, Helen; Theobald, Sally
Health workers are critical to the performance of health systems; yet, evidence about their coping strategies and support needs during and post crisis is lacking. There is very limited discussion about how research teams should respond when unexpected crises occur during on-going research. This paper critically presents the approaches and findings of two health systems research projects that explored and evaluated health worker performance and were adapted during crises, and provides lessons learnt on re-orientating research when the unexpected occurs. Health systems research was adapted post crisis to assess health workers' experiences and coping strategies. Qualitative in-depth interviews were conducted with 14 health workers in a heavily affected earthquake district in Nepal and 25 frontline health workers in four districts in Ebola-affected Sierra Leone. All data were transcribed and analysed using the framework approach, which included developing coding frameworks for each study, applying the frameworks, developing charts and describing the themes. A second layer of analysis included analysis across the two contexts, whereas a third layer involved the research teams reflecting on the approaches used to adapt the research during these crises and what was learned as individuals and research teams. In Sierra Leone, health workers were heavily stigmatised by the epidemic, leading to a breakdown of trust. Coping strategies included finding renewed purpose in continuing to serve their community, peer and family support (in some cases), and religion. In Nepal, individual determination, a sense of responsibility to the community and professional duty compelled staff to stay or return to their workplace. The research teams had trusting relationships with policy-makers and practitioners, which brought credibility and legitimacy to the change of research direction as well as the relationships to maximise the opportunity for findings to inform practice. In both contexts
Winter, David G
Drawing on D. G. Winter's (1993) comparison of 1914 and the Cuban Missile Crisis, the author identified 8 paired crises (1 escalating to war, 1 peacefully resolved). Documents (diplomatic messages, speeches, official media commentary) from each crisis were scored for power, affiliation, and achievement motivation; text measures of responsibility and activity inhibition; and integrative complexity. Aggregated effect-size results show that war crises had significantly higher levels of power motivation and responsibility, whereas peace crises showed trends toward higher integrative complexity and achievement motivation. Follow-up analyses suggested that these results are robust with respect to both sides in a crisis, type of material scored, and historical time. The power motive results extend previous findings, but the responsibility results suggest that responsibility plays a paradoxical role in war. Future research directions are sketched, and the role of psychological content analysis in monitoring the danger of war is discussed. ((c) 2007 APA, all rights reserved).
Full Text Available Este artigo sobre a crise hídrica na Região Metropolitana de São Paulo entre os anos 2014-2015, objetiva caracterizá-la e situá-la num contexto temporal mais amplo. Com apoio bibliográfico se intenta demonstrar que essa não é uma crise nova e sim uma nova fase de uma crise secular pela frágil gestão e planejamento no abastecimento de água para São Paulo por parte do Poder Público, bem como evidenciar que as medidas estruturais (obras e não estruturais (programas, legislação etc. possuem histórico caráter emergencial. Como resultado espera-se contribuir para o enriquecimento da abordagem da problemática.
Sabrina Karlla Oliveira de Almeida
Full Text Available http://dx.doi.org/10.5007/1806-5023.2015v12n1p108 O personalismo, o clientelismo, a falta de identificação partidária, a manipulação da opinião pública, todos esses elementos podem sugerir uma crise do modelo representativo. Diante disso, novos atores emergem no âmago da arena política, o que se pretende examinar aqui é até que ponto estes fenômenos estão associados a uma crise de representação política. Ademais, uma vez que a democracia está intrinsecamente relacionada à participação, direta ou através de representantes eleitos, se este sistema se mostra decadente, o que faz com que a democracia ainda seja uma forma preferível de governo, como é amplamente defendido na literatura?
Fábio Moraes da Costa
Full Text Available This papers investigates the impact of financial crises occurred in Brazil (1997-1999, 2002 and 2007-2008 on the value relevance of book value and earnings. The final sample comprised 1,904 observations from Brazilian listed companies, from 1997 till 2010. It is an empirical study based on panel data regression. To answer the research question, a dummy was applied for each year of negative macroeconomic shocks and how they affected the relation between market prices and accounting variables. Empirical evidence indicates that financial crises affected the value relevance of book value positively and the value relevance of earnings negatively, similarly to other countries like Thailand and Mexico. Therefore, macroeconomic factors should be taken into consideration when analyzing how accounting information captures the underlying characteristics of a firm. Future research could consider companies from other countries in Latin America and evaluate if the effects are similar or not. This is important because macroeconomic policies implemented to mitigate the effects of a crisis could lead to different impacts on the relevance of accounting information.
Full Text Available Urban gardens have been observed to multiply in response to crises. However, the meaning and motivations behind the emergence of gardening movements varies greatly over space and time. In this paper we argue that bottom up urban gardening initiatives taking place in Southern European countries in form of land occupation and communalization represent forms of resistance that enhance social cohesion and collective action in times of need. Specifically, this research examines the role of urban gardens in (i building community resilience and (ii articulating forms of resistance and contestation to development pressure and commodified urban lifestyles. Our research is based on data collected among 27 urban gardening initiatives in Barcelona, Spain, including 13 self-governed community gardens and 14 public gardens. Data were collected from semi-structured interviews with gardeners and with staff from the Barcelona City Council. Our results show mechanisms through which urban gardens can contribute to build resilience by nurturing social and ecological diversity, generating and transmitting local ecological knowledge, and by creating opportunities for collective action and self-organization. We further examine collectively managed gardens as urban commons that emerge as a form of resistance to the privatization of public urban space, and that offer opportunities to experiment with new models of urban lifestyles. We show how gardening initiatives can be seen to represent an emerging form of urban green commons that provides a suitable ground to ‘sow’ resilience and contestation in times of crises and socio-ecological deterioration.
Financial and economic history is strewn with bubbles and crashes, booms and busts, crises and upheavals of all sorts. Understanding the origin of these events is arguably one of the most important problems in economic theory. In this paper, we review recent efforts to include heterogeneities and interactions in models of decision. We argue that the so-called Random Field Ising model ( rfim) provides a unifying framework to account for many collective socio-economic phenomena that lead to sudden ruptures and crises. We discuss different models that can capture potentially destabilizing self-referential feedback loops, induced either by herding, i.e. reference to peers, or trending, i.e. reference to the past, and that account for some of the phenomenology missing in the standard models. We discuss some empirically testable predictions of these models, for example robust signatures of rfim-like herding effects, or the logarithmic decay of spatial correlations of voting patterns. One of the most striking result, inspired by statistical physics methods, is that Adam Smith's invisible hand can fail badly at solving simple coordination problems. We also insist on the issue of time-scales, that can be extremely long in some cases, and prevent socially optimal equilibria from being reached. As a theoretical challenge, the study of so-called "detailed-balance" violating decision rules is needed to decide whether conclusions based on current models (that all assume detailed-balance) are indeed robust and generic.
Full Text Available This paper examines representations of societal concern in the futuristic ecological disaster fictions of three British authors: Julie Bertagna (Exodus; Zenith, Jan Mark (Riding Tycho; Voyager and Marcus Sedgwick Floodland. The depicted refugee journeys in these futuristic worlds speak into a growing global disquiet that surrounds current historic events. Environmental crises that ground the emergent world orders of depicted future societies set the scene in each coming of age frame: each survival quest embeds social and cultural issues recognisable to contemporary audiences in futuristic representations of changed world orders, limited resources, and isolated communities. Authors resist the mythic frame of a traditional quest journey − a call to journey, the engagement with growth through a road of trials and then celebrations in a return to home territory: their conclusions offer limited resolutions, the struggle to survive entrenched as a linear path. Because authors link depictions of the refugee subject with environmental degradation, apocalyptic scenarios that signify the devastating consequences of global environmental crises provide an ecocritical platform from which each author situates a discourse of protest. Interrogating contemporary political positions of ambiguity and denial their novels profile social justice issues experienced by refugee populations in contemporary society.
Sinthya Pinheiro Costa
Full Text Available As constantes crises de ordem econômica, política, social, ambiental tem acometido diversos países e afetam diretamente a gestão do turismo. Na busca pela superação das adversidades, as organizações e gestores que apresentam características resilientes tendem a preservar e restaurar suas estruturas e funções essenciais após os eventos perturbadores. Desta forma, com vistas a compor um documento de apoio para os debates sobre a gestão do turismo em tempos de crise e em situações de vulnerabilidade, se realizou um levantamento bibliográfico e eletrônico para identificar textos científicos e também de organismos internacionais que clarificassem os conceitos da resiliência e sua utilização no turismo. É preciso: a perseguir as indicações do Tourism Resilience Committee para mitigação de riscos relacionados ao turismo; b diagnosticar a capacidade resiliente de um gestor do turismo (metodologia SOBRARE visando desenvolver características capazes de tornar os sujeitos mais preparados para enfrentar e superar as adversidades; c incorporar no processo de planejamento e gestão de cidades turísticas as indicações da Campanha da ONU para tornar as cidades resilientes.
Patel, Nirali H; Romero, Sarah K; Kaelber, David C
Hypertension (HTN) in the pediatric population is estimated to have a world-wide prevalence of 2%–5%. As with adults, pediatric patients with HTN can present with hypertensive crises include hypertensive urgency and hypertensive emergencies. However, pediatric blood pressure problems have a greater chance of being from secondary causes of HTN, as opposed to primary HTN, than in adults. Thorough evaluation of a child with a hypertensive emergency includes accurate blood pressure readings, complete and focused symptom history, and appropriate past medical, surgical, and family history. Physical exam should include height, weight, four-limb blood pressures, a general overall examination and especially detailed cardiovascular and neurological examinations, including fundoscopic examination. Initial work-up should typically include electrocardiography, chest X-ray, serum chemistries, complete blood count, and urinalysis. Initial management of hypertensive emergencies generally includes the use of intravenous or oral antihypertensive medications, as well as appropriate, typically outpatient, follow-up. Emergency department goals for hypertensive crises are to (1) safely lower blood pressure, and (2) treat/minimize acute end organ damage, while (3) identifying underlying etiology. Intravenous antihypertensive medications are the treatment modality of choice for hypertensive emergencies with the goal of reducing systolic blood pressure by 25% of the original value over an 8-hour period. PMID:27147865
Aleksandr Anatolyevich Kuklin
Full Text Available In the article, the approach based on the authors’ hypothesis is considered: the development of Russia has specific characteristics (on the one hand, its size, mentality and certain closed nature of its economy, on the other hand, the considerable dominating resource and human potential, and, as the result, its real role in the world economic community. The diagnostics of these characteristics (at the level of the individual’s welfare and territory of accommodation reveals crises, estimates threats to region socio-economic development at early stages and helps to evaluate the state of a region for 3-5 years. In other words, managers have time necessary for rapid response to the crisis phenomena and administrative mistakes, for decreasing the impact of the arising threats. The purpose of the article is to present the theoretical and methodological tools of the appearing threats recognition at their early stages, which allows to enter the crisis period with smaller losses. Computational experiments to classify the prior socio-economic crises have been conducted (9 possible options are considered, the trajectories of change of the main indicators of the individual’s welfare and territory of residence influenced by various factors are digitized. On the basis of the proposed approach (named as the economic tomography, the attempt of the comprehensive assessment of the state of Russian typical representative regions is made.
Rosa Maria Marques
Full Text Available Este estudo tem como objetivo analisar o impacto sobre a economia brasileira do movimento de entrada de capitais ocorrido nos últimos anos, à luz do crescimento descomunal do capital fictício e do desenvolvimento da crise econômica mundial. Além de chamar atenção para o volume de recursos envolvidos e seu impacto sobre o nível das reservas e a taxa de câmbio, salienta a importância daqueles registrados na conta capital e financeira do balanço de pagamentos como investimento em carteira e derivativos, o que configura um grau elevado de exposição da economia aos movimentos bruscos do capital internacional, principalmente na hipótese de um recrudescimento da crise. O artigo traz, ainda, elementos sobre a origem e o destino dos investimentos diretos realizados no país com capital estrangeiro, bem como sua importância nos processos de privatização, fusão e aquisição.
GHOUS BUX NAREJO
Full Text Available Pakistan energy demand has grown exponentially over the last 2 decades. Reason behind increasing energy demand is excessive mobility of rural population to cities, rapid progression in industrial and transport sector, lack of policy making and implementation on the developed policies and improvements in living style. At present, Pakistan witness 5000-7000 MW power deficit in summer. To reduce the demand and supply gap, power plants across Pakistan are planned to be installed while some are under development phase. Power expansion plans cannot cope with the current energy shortfall since several years are required for them to get fully operational. Effective energy policy is the only key to address the existing shortfall. This paper discusses the initiatives that may be taken to reduce the power shortfall using energy efficiency and conservation, deployment of microgrids, utilization of renewable energy resources and effective research and development in energy sector. Since another most important issue evaluated in the research regarding the energy crises is energy efficiency and lack of compliance to government regulations for energy efficiency and conservation. Implementation on the policies developed for energy efficiencies and conservation has not been witnessed. Possible solutions on short term basis to lessen the energy crises have also been discussed in the paper
Sennert, S.; Klemetti, E. W.; Bird, D. K.
The growth of social media as a primary and often preferred news source has led to the rapid dissemination of information about volcanic eruptions and potential volcanic crises as they begin, evolve, and end. This information comes from a variety of sources: news organisations, emergency management personnel, individuals (both members of the public and official representatives), and volcano monitoring agencies. Once posted, this information is easily shared, increasing the reach to a much broader population than more traditional forms of media, such as radio and newspapers. The onset and popularity of social media as a vehicle for dissemination of eruption information points toward the need to systematically incorporate social media into the official channels that volcano observatories use to distribute activity statements, forecasts, and images. We explore two examples of projects that collect/disseminate information regarding volcanic crises and eruptive activity via social media sources; the Smithsonian/USGS Weekly Volcanic Activity Report (WVAR), which summarizes new and on-going volcanic activity globally and on a weekly basis, and Eruptions, a blog that discusses eruptions as well as other volcanic topics. Based on these experiences, recommendations are made to volcanic observatories in relation to the use of social media as a communication tool. These recommendations include: using social media as a two-way dialogue to communicate and receive information directly from the public and other sources; stating that the social media account is from an official source; and posting types of information that users want to see such as images, videos, and figures.
Haluszczynski, Alexander; Laut, Ingo; Modest, Heike; Räth, Christoph
Pearson correlation and mutual information-based complex networks of the day-to-day returns of U.S. S&P500 stocks between 1985 and 2015 have been constructed to investigate the mutual dependencies of the stocks and their nature. We show that both networks detect qualitative differences especially during (recent) turbulent market periods, thus indicating strongly fluctuating interconnections between the stocks of different companies in changing economic environments. A measure for the strength of nonlinear dependencies is derived using surrogate data and leads to interesting observations during periods of financial market crises. In contrast to the expectation that dependencies reduce mainly to linear correlations during crises, we show that (at least in the 2008 crisis) nonlinear effects are significantly increasing. It turns out that the concept of centrality within a network could potentially be used as some kind of an early warning indicator for abnormal market behavior as we demonstrate with the example of the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis. Finally, we apply a Markowitz mean variance portfolio optimization and integrate the measure of nonlinear dependencies to scale the investment exposure. This leads to significant outperformance as compared to a fully invested portfolio.
Full Text Available In this article the author develops some of the points he has made elsewhere regarding the role of what may be termed ‘crises of charismatic authority’ in producing volatility or even violence within marginal apocalyptic religious groups. The last quarter of the twentieth century witnessed several incidents where such groups engaged in violent actions against themselves, others in the outside world, or typically both (among them the Peoples Temple in Guayana in 1978, Branch Davidians in Waco, Texas in 1994, Order of the Solar Temple in Switzerland, Quebec and France in 1997, Aum Shirinkyo, Japan in 1995, Movement for the Restoration of the Ten Commandments of God, Uganda in 2000. This notion of ‘crises of charismatic authority’ has in many ways become a central, recurring theme in the author's analysis of these incidents. While accepting that such crises were typically not sufficient in themselves to have precipitated each of the dramatic denouements the author has examined, he has come to the conclusion that they did play a major role in each; such crises played a much more significant role than that played by external opposition in almost all of the cases the author examined (the case of the Branch Davidians being perhaps the exception that proves the rule. In this article, the author discusses what he means by crises of charismatic authority (an important task in itself due to the diverse understandings of ‘charisma’ found within the literature and presents a comparative analysis of some of the ways in which these crises can occur.
Bugelli, Alexandre Hamilton
A partir de 1962 as taxas de crescimento do Produto Interno Bruto passaram a decrescer em relação aos períodos anteriores, chegando a apenas 0,6% de crescimento em 1963. Por outro lado, inflação que em 1961 era de 51,6% em 1961, passa a 80% em 1962, chegando a 93% em 1963. Esses eventos provocaram o interesse de vários economistas que ofereceram diversas interpretações sobre a crise, no que ficou conhecido como o debate sobre a crise econômica brasileira dos anos 1960. A presente dissertaç...
Popa, Catalin C.
This paperwork is meant to treat some contemporary and stringent global problems, related to the almost new problematic of international monetary system and its crises, since the Bretton Woods system breakdown. In the last 3 decades, this subsystem of global economy becomes the most important and the most instable as well. The last contagious monetary or financial crises proved that in the absence of a coherent minimum control regarding the free movement of foreign capital between nations, th...
Full Text Available Neste artigo discutimos significados atribuídos pelos familiares e profissionais às situações de crise em saúde mental e suas relações com as tecnologias empregadas no cuidado de usuários de CAPS na Bahia e em Sergipe. Inspiramo-nos no modelo teórico-metodológico de Sistema de signos, significados e práticas, utilizando técnicas qualitativas de pesquisa. Organizamos os dados em duas categorias: os signos e significados de crise; as estratégias e as dificuldades no seu cuidado. Observamos que não há muita diferença entre as concepções de profissionais e familiares acerca da crise e que os significados negativos suplantam os positivos, evocando os conceitos de sujeição à doença, incapacidade de interação social racional e periculosidade do doente. Dois aspectos são importantes no manejo da crise: sua imprevisibilidade e sua inscrição na história da pessoa. Para contornar as dificuldades nesse manejo, é necessário investir nas tecnologias leve-duras e leves, pautadas em vínculos duradouros e na intensificação de cuidados.
B. de Keizer (Bart); M.O. van Aken (Maarten); R.A. Feelders (Richard); W.W. de Herder (Wouter); B.L. Kam (Boen); M. van Essen (Martijn); E.P. Krenning (Eric); D. Kwekkeboom (Dik)
textabstractIntroduction: Receptor radionuclide therapy is a promising treatment modality for patients with neuroendocrine tumors for whom alternative treatments are limited. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence of hormonal crises after therapy with the radiolabeled somatostatin
US Department of Education, 2007
"Lessons Learned" is a series of publications that are a brief recounting of actual school emergencies and crises. This "Lessons Learned" issue focuses on an infectious disease incident, which resulted in the death of a student, closure of area schools and the operation of an on-site school vaccine clinic. The report highlights the critical need…
Djindil, N.S.; Bruijn, de M.
Once a humanitarian disaster receives coverage in the global media, the international community usually mobilises to reduce the most severe consequences. However people in Chad are experiencing endemic crises that are detached from speci!c triggers, and they are not receiving any international
Gijsenberg, Maarten J.; van Heerde, Harald J.; Verhoef, Peter C.
Service providers sometimes face mass service failures. These problems occur across service industries, ranging from severe Internet outages to severe delays for airlines or trains. A key question that has not been addressed in the literature is: how do service crises impact perceived service
S.C.W. Eijffinger (Sylvester); B. Goderis
textabstractThis paper examines the effect of monetary policy on the exchange rate during currency crises. Using data for a number of crisis episodes between 1986 and 2004, we find strong evidence that raising the interest rate: (i) has larger adverse balance sheet effects and is therefore less
Eijffinger, S.C.W.; Goderis, B.V.G.
This paper examines the effect of monetary policy on the exchange rate during currency crises. Using data for a number of crisis episodes between 1986 and 2004, we find strong evidence that raising the interest rate: (i) has larger adverse balance sheet effects and is therefore less effective in
Cleeren, K.; Dekimpe, Marnik; van Heerde, H.J.
A product-harm crisis is a discrete event in which products are found to be defective and therefore dangerous to at least part of the product’s customer base. Product-harm crises are not only dangerous for consumers; they also represent a major threat to the reputation and equity of brands or
du Bois, Reinmar
This paper outlines developmental and treatment issues of depression in childhood and adolescence. Impairment of parental empathy based on emotional disturbances of a parent leads to adaptive reactions as the child is confronted with threats of loss and separation. Hereditary vulnerability as well as insecure attachment patterns and the effects of explicit trauma must be viewed as further facilitating factors. Anxiety in children and--with the advent of adolescence--suicidal behaviour are described as important tools for narcissistic regulation and reconciliation and for mobilising help. Accordingly the last section of the paper is dedicated to therapeutic approaches to adolescent despair, depression, risk taking and suicidal behaviour. Guiding suicidal adolescents out of their crises can be a tightrope walk between attempts to limit life threatening acting-out behaviours, leniency toward the patients' grandiosity along with sensitivity for narcissistic injuries and the building of a viable narcissistic transference.
Full Text Available Faced with the disorderly way of conceiving life in the current model of political and economic development, which has compromised our common home due to the depredation of all forms of life in the biosphere, and in light of the moral and ethical crisis of our time that has fostered a culture of relativism, disposability and immediacy, this reflection aims to analyze how Pope Francis connects the environmental crisis with the ethical and moral crisis in his Laudato si’ encyclical. Pope Francis believes that we do not live in a time of several crises but rather one complex crisis which is both social and environmental which is the external manifestation of the ethical and moral, cultural and spiritual crisis of humanity. The cry for help of the Earth is inseparable from that of the poor, so only an integral ecology can help heal fundamental human relationships.
Hosseini Divkolaye, Nasim Sadat; Radfar, Mohammad Hadi; Seighali, Fariba; Burkle, Frederick M
Health diplomacy has increasingly become a crucial element in forging political neutrality and conflict resolution and the World Health Organization has strongly encouraged its use. Global turmoil has heightened, especially in the Middle East, and with it, political, religious, and cultural differences have become major reasons to incite crises. The authors cite the example of the human stampede and the deaths of over 2000 pilgrims during the 2015 annual Haj pilgrimage in Mecca. The resulting political conflict between Iran and Saudi Arabia had the potential to escalate into a more severe political and military crisis had it not been for the ministers of health from both countries successfully exercising "soft power" options. Global health security demands critical health diplomacy skills and training for all health providers. (Disaster Med Public Health Preparedness. 2016;page 1 of 4).
Ion Gr. IONESCU
Full Text Available International financial environment is characterized as consisting of free trade and especially from the free movement of the capital on the financial markets, so very favourable, which also led to the rapid development of global financial markets. We lack the ability to keep the peace (silence for to counter the excesses of the financial markets. Without this ability, the global economy is exposed to the collapse. Financial capital enjoys a privileged position. He is more mobile than other factors of production and even more mobile than direct investment. Yet crises must be overcome. To support the arguments of this paper, we use a flexible methodology, starting from simple to complex, from theoretical to practical, from principle, to particularly, adding, specialty practice examples, from the international sphere, convinced that work-international banking must be healthy, able to generate profitable and dynamic business environments, safe for entrepreneurs and bankers, but also ordinary people.
Full Text Available Este trabalho pretende abordar a crise do bacharelismo (hegemônico durante o Império nas primeiras décadas do século XX, principalmente por meio da literatura, relacionando-a com as transformações que estavam ocorrendo no ensino e no saber jurídico. Ao longo da Primeira República, à medida que outras figuras passam a ganhar espaço no cenário público (engenheiros, sanitaristas, etc., o bacharelismo passa a ser duramente questionado, aprofundando as críticas que já vinham sendo levadas a cabo no final do século XIX pelo positivismo cientificista; a partir disso, começa a se formar a cultura do tecnicismo jurídico. Palavras-chave: História do Direito. Bacharelismo. Positivismo cientificista. Tecnicismo.
Full Text Available Financé par le programme « Eau, environnement et sociétés » du département SHS du CNRS, ce programme a pour objectif, grâce à une meilleure articulation entre sciences sociales et sciences du milieu, d'apporter des connaissances nouvelles sur la perception du risque par les acteurs concernés, tel qu’il est déjà vécu dans certaines zones, ainsi que dans l'hypothèse d’une crise hydraulique plus générale. Il concerne 4 pays, dont 2 pays européens de la rive nord de la Méditerranée (Espagne, Fran...
Full Text Available This paper tries to further investigate the factors behind a financial crisis. By using a large sample of countries in the period 1981 to 1999, it intends to apply two methods coming from the Artificial Intelligence (Rough Sets theory and C4.5 algorithm and analyze the role of a set of macroeconomic and financial variables in explaining banking crises. These variables are both quantitative and qualitative. These methods do not require variables or data used to satisfy any assumptions. Statistical methods traditionally employed call for the explicative variables to satisfy statistical assumptions which is quite difficult to happen. This fact complicates the analysis. We obtained good results based on the classification accuracies (80% of correctly classified countries from an independent sample, which proves the suitability of both methods.
Ana Carolina Bottega de Lima
Full Text Available This paper deals with the crisis of Fordism, based on the theory of crises elaborated by Regulation Theory, also addressing the origins and foundations of this school. In the context of the end of the years of vigorous capitalist growth in the 1970s, the Regulation School emerged as a new stream of economic thought, building an analysis of the process and dynamics of capitalist accumulation. In particular, this school was consolidated in the economic theory from the elaboration of its theory of crisis. Thus, it provided alternative interpretations of the 1970s’ crisis, countering the explanations of traditional economic theory, by considering crisis as an endogenous phenomenon. Starting from this proposition to understand the crisis of Fordism, a theory with broad explanatory potential was found, from whose study a broader understanding of economic phenomena can be obtained.
Full Text Available Paul Jorion est un anthropologue qui s’est donné comme objet de recherche le capitalisme financier américain et sa crise. Le fait n’est pas courant : passer au cours de sa carrière de chercheur de l’étude des paludiers français et de l’apprentissage de leur métier (cf. Delbos et Jorion, La transmission des savoirs, Ed. de la MSH, 1984 à l’analyse du système financier américain suppose à la fois une grande curiosité intellectuelle et une grande flexibilité mentale. L’ouvrage dont il est ici q...
Full Text Available A integração comercial e financeira global fortaleceu a classe capitalista em relação ao proletariado em cada país ao permitir às transnacionais deslocar suas empresas para países em que o custo da mão de obra é menor. A crise colheu a América Latina pela fuga das divisas fortes, extinção do crédito externo e queda das exportações, das inversões estrangeiras e das remessas dos emigrados. A crise se generaliza com as demissões em massa, a difusão do pânico que faz o crédito encolher, derrubando as vendas de bens de maior valor e os investimentos. Os governos do Primeiro Mundo trataram de resgatar os seus bancos falidos, comprando parte do seu capital ou sua totalidade com recursos do Tesouro. No Brasil, o governo faz que os bancos públicos estendam o crédito aos setores abandonados pelos bancos privados e baixem os juros que cobram. Os governos latino-americanos estimulam o mercado interno a absorver a produção que não enontra mais compradores no exterior mediante redistribuição da renda e aumento do investimento público. Nos últimos seis anos, os emergentes cresceram 50%, enquanto os industrializados cresceram apenas 10%, o que ampliou o número de nações cuja coordenação é indispensável para que a crise mundial possa ser domada do G-7 para o G-20. Uma das lições da crise é que, em lugar da globalização financeira, o povo de cada país deve ter o direito de decidir como seu excedente social deve ser administrado. A guarda do dinheiro do público e o seu empréstimo a investidores e consumidores devem ser reservados ao poder público e a entidades associativas sem fins de lucro.Global commercial and financial integration has strengthened the capitalist class in comparison with the proletariat around the globe as it permitted multinationals to relocate their companies to countries in which the cost of the labor force was lower. The crisis reached Latin America through the flight of capital, disappearance of
Angkinand, Apanard; Wihlborg, Clas
schemes. We show that under reasonable conditions for effects on risk-taking of creditor protection in banking, and for effects on credibility of non-insurance of explicit coverage of deposit insurance schemes, there exists a partial level of coverage that maximizes market discipline and minimizes moral......The ambiguity in existing empirical work with respect to effects of deposit insurance schemes on banks' risk-taking can be resolved if it is recognized that absence of deposit insurance is rarely credible and that the credibility of non-insurance can be enhanced by explicit deposit insurance...... hazard incentives for risk-taking in banking. Using both the occurrence of banking crises and non-performing loans in the banking sector as proxies for excessive risk-taking the results strongly support this hypothesis in industrial and emerging market economies. Policy recommendations on the country...
Valeriya Anatolyevna Ivanchenko
Full Text Available By this research authors tried to find any psychological features of spouse’s experience of some normative family crises. 24 married couples from Novosibirsk, aged 20 to 41 years, take a part in this research. There were 8 couples at the «Childless couple stage» and 16 couples at the stage «Family with young children».Purpose is an identifying of psychological characteristics of some normative family’s crisesMethodology based on using of psychodiagnostic testing with Family Adaptability and Cohesion Scale III (FACES III, test of Role expectations of partners (N.Volkova, test of the interaction of the spouses in a conflict situation (Yu.E.Aleshina, L.Ya.Gozman, E.M.Dubovskaya and method of mathematical statistics with the Spearman rank criterion and the non- parametric Mann-Whitney U test.Results describe some psychological characteristics of spouses at the «Childless couple stage» and at the stage «Family with young children», include difference between men and women in this experience. The most important at the «Childless couple stage» is an attitude to expression of jealousy. If the family endures the crisis, spouses have an active negative reaction on an expression of jealousy. At the stage «Family with young children» at the forefront there are money disagreements, which prove an existence of family crisis from our point of view. Practical implications are in the area of practical and scientific activity of family psychologists.DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.12731/2218-7405-2013-7-14
Carol Thiago Costa
Full Text Available O presente trabalho tem por objetivo mensurar o grau de correlação entre as bolsas de valores de alguns países considerados emergentes, segundo o Fundo Monetário Internacional (2009, adotando para tal dois períodos distintos, um anterior e outro durante a crise financeira do subprime em 2008, a partir de informações diárias de fechamento dos índices representativos daquelas bolsas. O período está compreendido entre 28 de junho de 2007 a 03 de abril de 2009, totalizando 438 observações para cada bolsa. As técnicas estatísticas abrangem o teste de correlação de Pearson e o teste de correlação móvel, este empregando um período de aproximadamente seis meses. Os principais resultados revelam que, em momentos de instabilidade financeira, tais como o da crise do subprime, em 2008, as correlações entre as bolsas de valores mudam significativamente, convergindo para um valor próximo a um (1, indicando que os mercados caminham de maneira paralela, com poucas opções para a estratégia de diversificação internacional de portfólios de investimento. Palavras-clave: Diversificação internacional. Portfólios de investimento. Correlação. Correlação móvel.
Salkic, Sabina; Ljuca, Farid; Batic-Mujanovic, Olivera; Brkic, Selmira; Mesic, Dzenita; Mustafic, Sehveta
ABSTRACT Objectives: The aim of this study was to evaluate a frequency and clinical presentation of hypertension crises due to age, gender, duration and seriousness at Emergency Medical Service Department of the “Dr Mustafa Šehovic” Health Care Center Tuzla. Methods: The research was conducted in the period between November 2009 and April 2010 and involved 180 examinees of both genders, aging between 30 and 80 years of age with the diagnosis of arterial hypertension. The examinees were divided into two groups: control group consisting of examinees without hypertension crisis (95 examinees) and experimental group consisting of examinees with hypertensive crisis (85 examinees). Descriptive statistical methods were used in the statistical data processing. Results: The research results showed that there had been significantly more female examinees than the male ones (60% vs. 40%; p=0.007). The average age of male examinees was 55.83±11.06 years of age, and the average age of female examinees was 59.41±11.97 years of age. The hypertension crisis frequency was 47.22%, where the hypertensive urgencies were statistically significantly more present than the hypertensive emergencies (16.47%vs.83.53%; phypertensive crisis (49.41%) appeared in the period between 6.00 p.m. and 11.59 p.m. The largest number of emergency group examinees (69.01%) had been treated for arterial hypertension for ten years, and the examinees from the emergency group (42.86%) had been treated for 10, 11 and 20 years. The average blood pressure value at the hypertensive crisis examinees was 204.82/126.58 mmHg. Conclusions: The frequency of hypertensive crises in the Emergency Medical Service Department is high and it reaches 47.22%. Hypertensive urgencies were significantly more present in terms of statistics than the hypertensive emergencies (83.53% vs. 16.47%; p<0.0001). PMID:25568505
Freund, M.T.; Wise, J.A.; Ulibarri, C.A.; Shaw, B.R.; Seely, H.E.; Roop, J.M.
This paper addresses US energy security in the post-Cold War era for a conference on energy security jointly sponsored by the Department of Energy and the National Defense University. It examines the evolving nature of energy security based on analysis of past crisis-inducing events and-discusses potentially important geopolitical, environmental, regulatory, and economic developments during the next twenty-five years. The paper steps beyond the traditional economic focus of energy security issues to examine the interplay between fundamental economic and technical drivers on the one hand, and political, environmental, and perceptual phenomena, on the other hand, that can combine to create crises where none were expected. The paper expands on the premise that the recent demise of the Soviet Union and other changing world conditions have created a new set of energy dynamics, and that it is imperative that the United States revise its energy security perspective accordingly. It proceeds by reviewing key factors that comprise the concepts of ``energy security`` and ``energy crisis`` and how they may fit into the new world energy security equation. The study also presents a series of crisis scenarios that could develop during the next twenty-five years, paying particular attention to mechanisms and linked crisis causes and responses. It concludes with a discussion of factors that may serve to warn analysts and decision makers of impending future crises conditions. The crisis scenarios contained in this report should be viewed only as a representative sample of the types of situations that could occur. They serve to illustrate the variety of factors that can coalesce to produce a ``crisis.``
Full Text Available O objetivo deste artigo, apoiado nos principais indicadores da economia global e nacional, é promover uma análise dos efeitos da crise mundial e as perspectivas de crescimento da economia brasileira no período de 2013-2015. O referencial teórico está apoiado nas Teorias Keynesiana, Neoinstitucionalista e das Finanças Públicas. Trata-se de um artigo bibliográfico, descritivo e qualitativo, cujas discussões estão baseadas nas projeções contidas nos relatórios das principais instituições multilaterais e nacionais brasileiras, em especial nas variáveis econômicas mais relevantes como o crescimento da economia mundial, do comportamento do nível de emprego e da inflação. Os resultados das discussões, a partir das análises dos documentos citados, evidenciam que a crise econômica mundial continua impactando de forma preocupante na maioria dos países, em especial, dos países membros da Zona do Euro e Estados Unidos, e que o desempenho da economia brasileira deverá crescer num ritmo menor nos próximos anos. Essas constatações permite concluir que se faz necessário a definição de um diagnóstico consistente para o Brasil, que permita uma mudança estrutural no potencial de expansão da economia do país, em especial, preparando de forma mais adequada o seu ambiente macro e microeconômico.
Hélio A.G. Teive
Full Text Available George Gershwin, renowned composer and pianist, well known for his popular works, died on the 11th July 1937 due to a brain tumor. His neurological symptoms first appeared on that same year, in February, with a simple olfactory partial seizure, characterized by an unpleasant smell of burnt rubber (uncinated seizure. He later had a quick clinical descend, with severe headache that occurred in bouts, dizziness, coordination compromise and olfactory seizures, eventually lapsing into a coma on the 9th July 1937. It was then that a gliomatosus cyst was diagnosed, which on microscopic examination proved to be a "glioblastoma multiforme". Despite the surgical intervention, Gershwin died soon after the procedure without recovering his consciousness. We make a brief review of Gershwin's neurologic disease, with emphasis on the initial symptoms, namely the uncinated seizures.O célebre pianista e compositor George Gershwin, renomado pelas suas composições harmônicas e de apelo popular, faleceu em 11 de Julho de 1937 como consequência de um tumor cerebral. Seus sintomas neurológicos tiveram início em fevereiro daquele ano com uma crise epiléptica de tipo uncinado. Posteriormente houve rápida deterioração do quadro com cefaléia intensa, acompanhada por tonturas, até que em 9 de Julho de 1937 Gershwin foi internado em coma, tendo então o diagnóstico de tumor cerebral. Foi realizada a remoção cirúrgica parcial de tumor cístico, cujo exame anátomo-patológico revelou tratar-se de um glioblastoma. Gershwin faleceu logo após a neurocirurgia, sem ter ao menos recobrado a consciência. Fazemos uma breve revisão sobre a enfermidade neurológica de Gershwin, com ênfase aos sintomas iniciais da doença, as crises uncinadas.
Maria da Conceição Barbosa-Lima
Full Text Available A atividade pedagógica tem sido designada por quatro vocábulos básicos: ensinar, formar, educar e instruir. O sentido dessas palavras e a preferência por cada uma delas mudaram significativamente através do tempo, refletindo não só a filosofia escolar da época, mas, também, o estágio de desenvolvimento da sociedade. Um estudo etimológico indica que seus significados originais, extremamente pregnantes, podem ter algo a nos dizer sobre a relação professor - aluno - escola. Apontamos a existência de uma possível relação entre o uso dessas palavras e as concepções filosóficas implícitas na didática das Ciências Físicas, seus impasses, suas crises, sua evolução histórica, com ênfase no caminho que vai do instruir ao educar.In Portuguese, four words have been used to describe the pedagogical activity: ensinar (to teach, formar (to form, educar (to educate and instruir (to instruct. Their meanings and uses have shifted significantly, reflecting not only changes in the school system but also in the society development. An etymological study shows that their original meanings and uses may tell us something about the school - teacher - student relationship prevailing at a given time. The special case of Physical Sciences is examined to show that there seems to have a clear connection between the use of these words and the underlying philosophical conceptions embodied in the pedagogical practices.
Marcelo Brutti Righi
Full Text Available Com a crescente globalização, os mercados financeiros do mundo todo passaram a apresentar maior integração. Tal relacionamento entre mercados possui como implicação um termo que vem atraindo a atenção de profissionais e acadêmicos, a transmissão de volatilidade. Dessa forma, o presente trabalho tem como escopo analisar a transmissão internacional de volatilidade no mercado brasileiro. Para tanto, é utilizado um modelo Garch multivariado com parametrização BEKK. Com base nesse modelo, são estimados os relacionamentos bivariados entre o mercado brasileiro, representado pelo índice Ibovespa, e os mercados americano, argentino, mexicano e chinês, utilizando-se de índices representativos de 4 de janeiro de 2000 até 31 de março de 2010, totalizando 2667 cotações. A amostra foi dividida em três partes, representando os períodos anteriores, durante e posteriores à crise do subprime de 2007/2008. Os resultados obtidos permitem concluir que, durante a crise de 2008, de forma geral, houve mudança na direção da transmissão de volatilidade entre o mercado brasileiro e os demais estudados, de forma ao Brasil passar a exercer maior influência na volatilidade condicional desses, por ter sofrido menores consequências com a crise financeira. Além disso, após o período de turbulência causado pela crise de 2008, o relacionamento da volatilidade entre o mercado brasileiro com os demais passou a ser menos assimétrico do que no período anterior a crise.
Full Text Available Water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH interventions are amongst the most crucial in humanitarian crises, although the impact of the different WASH interventions on health outcomes remains unclear.To examine the quantity and quality of evidence on WASH interventions on health outcomes in humanitarian crises, as well as evaluate current evidence on their effectiveness against health outcomes in these contexts.A systematic literature review was conducted of primary and grey quantitative literature on WASH interventions measured against health outcomes in humanitarian crises occurring from 1980-2014. Populations of interest were those in resident in humanitarian settings, with a focus on acute crisis and early recovery stages of humanitarian crises in low and middle-income countries. Interventions of interest were WASH-related, while outcomes of interest were health-related. Study quality was assessed via STROBE/CONSORT criteria. Results were analyzed descriptively, and PRISMA reporting was followed.Of 3963 studies initially retrieved, only 6 published studies measured a statistically significant change in health outcome as a result of a WASH intervention. All 6 studies employed point-of-use (POU water quality interventions, with 50% using safe water storage (SWS and 35% using household water treatment (HWT. All 6 studies used self-reported diarrhea outcomes, 2 studies also reported laboratory confirmed outcomes, and 2 studies reported health treatment outcomes (e.g. clinical admissions. 1 study measured WASH intervention success in relation to both health and water quality outcomes; 1 study recorded uptake (use of soap as well as health outcomes. 2 studies were unblinded randomized-controlled trials, while 4 were uncontrolled longitudinal studies. 2 studies were graded as providing high quality evidence; 3 studies provided moderate and 1 study low quality evidence.The current evidence base on the impact of WASH interventions on health outcomes in
Ramesh, Anita; Blanchet, Karl; Ensink, Jeroen H J; Roberts, Bayard
Water, sanitation, and hygiene (WASH) interventions are amongst the most crucial in humanitarian crises, although the impact of the different WASH interventions on health outcomes remains unclear. To examine the quantity and quality of evidence on WASH interventions on health outcomes in humanitarian crises, as well as evaluate current evidence on their effectiveness against health outcomes in these contexts. A systematic literature review was conducted of primary and grey quantitative literature on WASH interventions measured against health outcomes in humanitarian crises occurring from 1980-2014. Populations of interest were those in resident in humanitarian settings, with a focus on acute crisis and early recovery stages of humanitarian crises in low and middle-income countries. Interventions of interest were WASH-related, while outcomes of interest were health-related. Study quality was assessed via STROBE/CONSORT criteria. Results were analyzed descriptively, and PRISMA reporting was followed. Of 3963 studies initially retrieved, only 6 published studies measured a statistically significant change in health outcome as a result of a WASH intervention. All 6 studies employed point-of-use (POU) water quality interventions, with 50% using safe water storage (SWS) and 35% using household water treatment (HWT). All 6 studies used self-reported diarrhea outcomes, 2 studies also reported laboratory confirmed outcomes, and 2 studies reported health treatment outcomes (e.g. clinical admissions). 1 study measured WASH intervention success in relation to both health and water quality outcomes; 1 study recorded uptake (use of soap) as well as health outcomes. 2 studies were unblinded randomized-controlled trials, while 4 were uncontrolled longitudinal studies. 2 studies were graded as providing high quality evidence; 3 studies provided moderate and 1 study low quality evidence. The current evidence base on the impact of WASH interventions on health outcomes in humanitarian
Full Text Available Sexual violence is highly prevalent in armed conflict and other humanitarian crises and attracting increasing policy and practice attention. This systematic review aimed to canvas the extent and impact of initiatives to reduce incidence, risk and harm from sexual violence in conflict, post-conflict and other humanitarian crises, in low and middle income countries. Twenty three bibliographic databases and 26 websites were searched, covering publications from 1990 to September 2011 using database-specific keywords for sexual violence and conflict or humanitarian crisis. The 40 included studies reported on seven strategy types: i survivor care; ii livelihood initiatives; iii community mobilisation; iv personnel initiatives; v systems and security responses; vi legal interventions and vii multiple component interventions. Conducted in 26 countries, the majority of interventions were offered in African countries. Despite the extensive literature on sexual violence by combatants, most interventions addressed opportunistic forms of sexual violence committed in post-conflict settings. Only one study specifically addressed the disaster setting. Actual implementation of initiatives appeared to be limited as was the quality of outcome studies. No studies prospectively measured incidence of sexual violence, although three studies provided some evidence of reductions in association with firewood distribution to reduce women's exposure, as did one program to prevent sexual exploitation and abuse by peacekeeping forces. Apparent increases to risk resulted from lack of protection, stigma and retaliation associated with interventions. Multiple-component interventions and sensitive community engagement appeared to contribute to positive outcomes. Significant obstacles prevent women seeking help following sexual violence, pointing to the need to protect anonymity and preventive strategies. This review contributes a conceptual framework for understanding the forms
Spangaro, Jo; Adogu, Chinelo; Ranmuthugala, Geetha; Powell Davies, Gawaine; Steinacker, Léa; Zwi, Anthony
Sexual violence is highly prevalent in armed conflict and other humanitarian crises and attracting increasing policy and practice attention. This systematic review aimed to canvas the extent and impact of initiatives to reduce incidence, risk and harm from sexual violence in conflict, post-conflict and other humanitarian crises, in low and middle income countries. Twenty three bibliographic databases and 26 websites were searched, covering publications from 1990 to September 2011 using database-specific keywords for sexual violence and conflict or humanitarian crisis. The 40 included studies reported on seven strategy types: i) survivor care; ii) livelihood initiatives; iii) community mobilisation; iv) personnel initiatives; v) systems and security responses; vi) legal interventions and vii) multiple component interventions. Conducted in 26 countries, the majority of interventions were offered in African countries. Despite the extensive literature on sexual violence by combatants, most interventions addressed opportunistic forms of sexual violence committed in post-conflict settings. Only one study specifically addressed the disaster setting. Actual implementation of initiatives appeared to be limited as was the quality of outcome studies. No studies prospectively measured incidence of sexual violence, although three studies provided some evidence of reductions in association with firewood distribution to reduce women's exposure, as did one program to prevent sexual exploitation and abuse by peacekeeping forces. Apparent increases to risk resulted from lack of protection, stigma and retaliation associated with interventions. Multiple-component interventions and sensitive community engagement appeared to contribute to positive outcomes. Significant obstacles prevent women seeking help following sexual violence, pointing to the need to protect anonymity and preventive strategies. This review contributes a conceptual framework for understanding the forms, settings
Orlando Rodríguez García
El presente artículo compara los sistemas de creencias evidenciados en las crisis financieras de 1929 y 2007, e indaga por el resultado en el aprendizaje de políticas. El texto muestra que los agentes confirmaron sus sistemas de creencias con los resultados favorables de sus políticas en el corto plazo. Esto los motivó a reproducir estas políticas, para enfrentar la incertidumbre en el largo plazo. Sin embargo, estas alternativas representaron decisiones infructuosas cuando las circunstancias...
Orlando Rodríguez García
Full Text Available El presente artículo compara los sistemas de creencias evidenciados en las crisis financieras de 1929 y 2007, e indaga por el resultado en el aprendizaje de políticas. El texto muestra que los agentes confirmaron sus sistemas de creencias con los resultados favorables de sus políticas en el corto plazo. Esto los motivó a reproducir estas políticas, para enfrentar la incertidumbre en el largo plazo. Sin embargo, estas alternativas representaron decisiones infructuosas cuando las circunstancias cambiaron. Después del impacto de las crisis, los académicos y diseñadores de políticas se abstienen de modificar sus sistemas de creencias. Por lo tanto, los diseñadores de políticas enfrentan el riesgo de asumir una visión cortoplacista sin modificaciones episódicas, que evitan el análisis contextual del fenómeno económico, para prevenir otras crisis económicas similares.
Recurring political and economic crises in agriculture lie behind policymakers' demands for more interdisciplinary, problem-solving approaches. This article examines different systems theories in agricultural sciences that claim to adopt interdisciplinarity and to bridge a supposed gap between the
Escoval, Ana; Lopes, M. J.; Ferreira, P. L.
Principais conclusões 1. Saúde e crise: a crise financeira, económica e social, particularmente o desemprego e o empobrecimento, têm um impacte negativo sobre a saúde (páginas 42 a 50). A resposta à crise – restrições para conseguir os recursos necessários para fazer face ao endividamento público e privado, acrescentam novas dificuldades; o estatuto de “país intervencionado” por instituições internacionais desafia a auto-estima dos portugueses. Não basta cumprir as “obrigações internaciona...
Clube, S. V. M.
acknowledged dispensers of prognosis and mitigation who endorsed the adverse implications of 'blazing stars' (astrologers, soothsayers etc.) were commonly impugned and censured. Nowadays, of course, we are able to recognise that the Earth's environment is not only one of essentially uniformitarian calm, as formerly assumed, but one that is also interrupted by 'punctuational crises', each crisis being the sequence of events which arises due to the fragmentation of an individual comet whose orbit intersects the Earth's. That even modest crises can arouse apprehension is known through the circumstances of the nineteenth century break-up of Comet Biela. Indeed it seems that these crises are rather frequently characterized by relatively violent (paradigm shifting) transmutations of human society such as were originally proposed by Spengler and Toynbee more than sixty years ago on the basis of historical analysis alone. It would appear, then, that the historical fear of comets which has been with us since the foundation of civilization, far from being the reflection of an astrological perception of the cosmos which was deranged and therefore abandoned, has a perfectly rational basis in occasional cometary fragmentation events. Such events recur and evidently have quite serious implications for society and government today. Thus when cosmic danger returns and there is growing awareness of the fact, we find that society is capable of becoming uncontrollably convulsed as 'enlightenment' spreads. A revival of millenarian expectations under these circumstances, for example, is not so much an underlying consequence but a deviant manifestation of the violent turmoil into which society falls, often to revolutionary effect.
Full Text Available A comunicação de crise já está incorporada à comunicação corporativa, entretanto, mais efetivamente aplicada na assessoria de imprensa das empresas. A Professora Doutora Karine Berthelot-Guie, da Université de Paris-Sorbonne, na França, traz o conceito para a publicidade, o que desperta o interesse de investigação desse novo desafio para as marcas no cenário de convergência e cultura participativa. A título de estudo exploratório, este trabalho apresenta alguns exemplos em que a manifestação das marcas são interpeladas, nesse contexto, por diferentes tipos de mediação ressignificados pelo receptor, quais sejam: mediações espaciais, humanas e virtuais. PALAVRAS-CHAVE: Publicidade; Marcas; Mediações; Prosumers; Comunicação de Crise. ABSTRACT The crisis communications is already integrated to the corporate communications, although it is more effectively applied in media relations offices. PhD Professor Karine Berthelot-Guide, from Paris-Sorbonne University, in France, brings the concept to advertising, which increases the interest in this new research challenge for brands in the context of convergence and participatory culture. As an exploratory study, this paper presents some examples where the brand manifestations are challenged by different kinds of mediation reinterpreted by the receiver, namely: space, human and virtual mediations. KEYWORDS: Advertising; Brands; Mediations; Prosumers; Crisis Communication. RESUMEN La comunicación de crisis ya se ha incorporada a la comunicación corporativa, entretanto, se aplica efectivamente en la asesoría de prensa de las empresas. La profesora Doctora Karine Berthelot-Guie, de la Universidad de la Sorbona-Paris, en Francia, introdujo el concepto para el campo de la publicidad, lo que despierta el interés para la investigación de ese nuevo desafío para las marcas en un escenario de convergencia y cultura participativa. A modo de estudio exploratorio, este
CHRISTIAN CARVALHO GANZERT
Full Text Available RESUMO No contexto contemporâneo, a economia global pode ser descrita como um sistema baseado em agentes que, quando associados, manifestam seus próprios meios e fins. A crise das hipotecas subprime nos Estados Unidos é um bom exemplo das implicações desse tipo de relacionamento. Ela está diretamente relacionada a poderosos laços de realimentação, compostos por uma série de variáveis que amplificaram o fato de as famílias americanas terem se endividado em ritmo maior do que a sua distribuição de riqueza, prejudicada pela externalização da produção. Há atualmente uma nova estrutura na economia internacional, em que as ex-nações subdesenvolvidas estão mais bem posicionadas no cenário macroeconômico e têm maior poder do que antes - uma consequência do necessário rearranjo sistêmico. Diante dessa complexa dinâmica, a função de inteligência que deveria controlar e garantir a estabilidade sistêmica falhou em perceber a dinâmica e os impactos da nova cultura atrelada ao comportamento do capital contemporâneo, para evitar a perda da hegemonia. Observando-se ex post facto, por meio de um enfoque sistêmico, a crise econômica americana pode ser definida como tendo suas raízes nas premissas de todo o arcabouço cultural da globalização que acabou por conduzir à externalização da produção. Assim, o contexto sistêmico desta análise aponta que a cultura, como importante gerador e amplificador, deve ser o principal foco dos intentos de análise do atual contexto socioeconômico global.
G. P. Arutyunov
Full Text Available Aim. To compare the efficacy and safety of urapidil (i/v solution 5 mg/ml in 5 and 10 ml ampoules and enalaprilat (i/v solution 1.25 mg/ml in 1 ml ampoules in the treatment of complicated hypertensive crises in patients with arterial hypertension, 1-3 degrees. Material and methods. Patients with complicated hypertensive crisis (n=70 were included into the comparative randomized study. Patients were randomized for treatment with urapidil (the initial dose 12.5 mg; if there was no effect after 15 minutes it was possible to re-infused urapidil 12.5 mg or enalaprilat (the initial dose 1.25 mg. The frequency of target blood pressure (BP achievement, BP and heart rate dynamics, as well as safety of treatment were evaluated in groups during 6 hours. Results. The frequency of target BP achievement in the urapidil treatment group was higher than this in enalaprilat group (96.7 vs 73.3%; p<0.001, for the first hour systolic BP (SBP in the urapidil group reduced from 210.5±13.6 to 157.8±8.3 mmHg (p<0.05, and diastolic BP (DBP - from 115.7±8.5 to 86.9±9.1 mmHg (p<0.05. In the enalaprilat group in the first hour SBP reduced from 208.1 to 182.5 mmHg (p<0.05, DBP — from 114.8 to 95.0 mmHg (p<0.05. During next 6 hours the urapidil group demonstrated longer lasting antihypertensive effect in comparison with enalaprilat. Both drugs did not have a significant effect on heart rate and showed no significant adverse events. In next 72 hours no one acute vascular event was registered in the patients of both groups. Conclusion. Urapidil is an effective and safe drug for arresting of complicated hypertensive crises. Its efficacy is not inferior to this of enalaprilat.
Full Text Available This explorative study presents an empirical examination of the connection between motivation and the measures individuals take to prevent everyday accidents and prepare for crises. Positional factors (age and gender and situational factors (education, size of locality, and household composition are included because the literature highlights their importance. The study used data gathered in a 2010/2011 poll of randomly selected Swedish residents aged 16–75 (N = 2000; 44.8% response rate. A factor analysis reduced the theoretical model for situational motivation (Guay, Vallerand, & Blanchard, 2000 from four to two dimensions: motivation and amotivation. Subsequent regression analyses statistically confirmed the connection between motivation or amotivation and the extent to which individuals pursue preventative and preparedness measures, even when accounting for positional and situational factors. These findings underscore the need for continued studies of individuals’ incentives to prevent accidents and prepare for crises and for the study of the nuances of (situational motivation and preventive/preparedness measures.
Gonçalves, Everton Pinheiro de Souza
Durante a década de 80, o Brasil se deparou com a estagnação econômica e teve uma aceleração permanente nas suas taxas de inflação. Chegando, em fevereiro de 1990, ao nível de 73% a.m. (medido pelo IPC). O objetivo desta dissertação é analisar as causas dessa crise econômica, que levou o país rumo à hiperinflação. A causa fundamental, da crise, é o desequilíbrio financeiro e estrutural do setor público, provocado principalmente pelo seu elevado nível de endividamento. O maior sintoma do de...
Nilton Cezar Pereira Pinto
Resumo Este artigo tem o objetivo de analisar a situação da mão de obra imigrante na Espanha nos últimos dez anos, vinculando-a com as transformações econômicas e sociais pelas quais o país tem passado desde meados da década de 1990, com ênfase no panorama gerado pela crise econômica que eclodiu a partir do final de 2008 e o seu impacto na situação dos imigrantes, coletivo que mais tem sofrido com o novo quadro econômico e social estabelecido com a crise. Diante da situação que a Espanha atra...
Full Text Available A denominada "crise de trabalho", resultante do conjunto complexo de transformações económicas e comerciais em curso nos finais do séc. XIX, constituiu um aspecto estruturante da realidade portuguesa desde os anos 80. Esta circunstância, uma determinante na conjuntura nacional, influenciou largamente a propaganda do Partido Republicano Português. Uma vez implantado o regime republicano, a construção do novo estado, discutido no contexto da Assembleia Nacional Constituinte, confrontava-se com as características de uma realidade social complexa, tanto no espaço urbano como rural, dominada pela "crise de trabalho", pelas reivindicações laborais acompanhadas pelo surto grevista, cujas consequências políticas e económicas conflituavam com a imagem de tranquilidade interna desejada no contexto, difícil, do reconhecimento externo do novo regime.
Métaxian, Jean-Philippe; Régnier, Marc; Lardy, Michel
Le volcan Aoba (République du Vanuatu) a manifesté des signes précurseurs d'une activité éruptive au début du mois de mars 1995 : explosion phréatique, réchauffement du lac intracaldérique Voui accompagné de l'émission continue d'un panache de gaz à la surface du lac, enregistrement d'un trémor de forte amplitude. Cette crise volcanique fait suite à une crise tectonique survenue au mois de décembre 1994 et associée à un foyer sismique superficiel localisé à proximité d'Aoba. Il n'existe cepen...
Full Text Available Nosso objetivo com essa reflexão é destacar e problematizar alguns dos principais conceitos que gravitam no campo da Educação Ambiental, como crise ecológica, sustentabilidade, desenvolvimento sustentável, pegada ecológica, entre outros, enfrentando o debate sobre os dois grandes campos teóricos que disputam a hegemonia política e ideológica do Pensamento Verde: o antropocentrismo e o não antropocentrismo e suas correntes. Igualmente, traremos ao debate as duas grandes divisões da EA: a convencional ou conservadora e a considerada progressista, com o fim de contribuir na compreensão dos valores que incidem na possibilidade de produção e reprodução da crise ecológica no Brasil e no mundo contemporâneo, sempre visando sua superação.
Sebastião Silva Gusmão
Full Text Available Descreve-se um caso de crise focal somatosensorial ipsilateral a tumor cerebral e revê-se a literatura. Trata-se de ocorrência excepcional, tendo sido descritos apenas seis casos. Vários mecanismos fisiopatológicos foram propostos para explicar a crise focal somatosensorial ipsilateral. A proximidade das lesões da convexidade cerebral baixa (perisilviana sugere o comprometimento da área somatosensorial secundária e parece comprovar os achados experimentais de crises somatosensoriais originadas desta área.Focal somatosensory epileptic seizures ipsilateral to a brain tumor is reported and the literature reviewed. It is an exceptional occurrence, having been described only six cases, with several mechanisms being proposed. The proximity of the lesions with the low cerebral convexity (perisylvian suggests the compromising of the secondary somatosensorial area, seeming to prove the experimental observation of somatosensorial crises originating in this area.
Aline Monteiro Garcia
Full Text Available Este artigo parte das práticas em saúde mental de um Centro de Atenção Psicossocial (Caps para discutir as concepções de crise que circulam no cotidiano desse serviço. Aqui a crise aparece como mais um sintoma a ser sanado pelas terapias e medicações ou prevenido pelo poder de polícia. No entanto, se aposta na potência inventiva da crise como momento catalisador da construção de novos territórios existenciais para esses sujeitos em sofrimento. Utilizou-se um caso como acontecimento analisador para que, a partir da sustentação de tal crise no Caps, os serviços repensem seu modo de organização e os profissionais possam colocar em análise os afetos produzidos por tal acontecimento.
Fischer, Marta Luciane; Cunha, Thiago Rocha da; Rosaneli, Caroline Filla; Molinari, Renata Bicudo; Sganzerla, Anor
Resumo A crise hídrica afeta toda a biodiversidade e dela emergem questões éticas da relação humana com a água e seu impacto nas populações vulneráveis. Este artigo analisa do ponto de vista ético como o meio científico tem abordado a crise hídrica. Analisaram-se produções científicas sobre a crise da água de forma qualitativa pela análise de conteúdo. Identificou-se que o pouco interesse que o meio científico tem em discutir os problemas éticos relacionados à crise hídrica faz com que não se...
J. Lamartine de Assis
Full Text Available Os autores trataram 18 crises miastênicas e colinérgicas desenvolvidas em 12 pacientes com forma generalizada e severa de miastenia grave, mediante o "repouso" da junção neuromuscular. Êste foi conseguido, em um grupo de 6 enfermos, pela suspensão das drogas anticolinesterásicas, emprego da respiração artificial e alimentação por sonda nasogástrica — "repouso relativo". Outro grupo de 6 pacientes foi submetido ao "repouso absoluto" da junção neuromuscular, mediante o uso da respiração artificial, alimentação por sonda nasogástrica e curarização prolongada pela galamina. Em mais de 50% das crises observaram-se melhoras imediatas e acentuadas com o método de tratamento pelo "repouso" da junção neuromuscular, ao lado de redução significativa da taxa de mortalidade nas crises. A evolução mostrou que os pacientes que responderam melhor durante e logo após o tratamento da crise, tiveram, também, melhor evolução ulterior. Dos 12 enfermos somente um era portador de timoma e, mesmo nesse paciente, a evolução foi satisfatória. A sensibilidade inicial ao curare foi muito grande em todos os doentes submetidos à curarização prolongada, mas, em prazo relativamente curto (alguns dias, esta hipersensibilidade diminuiu sensivelmente. Apesar de todos os cuidados, as infecções respiratórias foram a regra, exigindo tratamento enérgico e bem orientado.
Full Text Available Aborda-se, aqui, as causas profundas da crise e as formas que ela tomou durante os últimos cinco anos, particularmente sobre a gigantesca concorrência, verdadeira "guerra de moedas". Para além da "crônica de acontecimentos" da crise suas dimensões financeira e monetária, crise das dívidas "soberanas", o futuro e a "sobrevida" do euro busca-se a problemática que circunscreve esta crise desde 2008. O fio condutor, capaz de abarcar seu processo, continua sendo aquele da análise do processo real, baseado no método e na teoria de Marx, através da evolução do capitalismo de "concorrência". Revela-se a importância da concorrência e o fato de que, atualmente, ela também tende a se exacerbar. Evidenciam-se as novas condições de valorização do capital e a busca pelo lucro, em processos complexos de destruição-criação de valor e se ilustram, também, os mecanismos ligados à superacumulação do capital, à superprodução de mercadorias dela decorrentes. Marx nos ajuda a compreender que, para sobreviver, o capitalismo deve continuar "extorquindo" a mais-valia, a qualquer preço. É um imperativo absoluto para sua reprodução e o que hoje lhe confere um caráter predador e brutal em todos os domínios da vida social.
Hladil, Jindřich; Slavík, Ladislav; Koptíková, Leona; Schnabl, Petr; Vacek, F.; Bábek, O.; Geršl, M.
Roč. 34, 4/6 (2008), s. 1343596-1343596 ISSN 0161-6951. [International Geological Congress /33./. 06.08.2008-14.08.2008, Oslo ] R&D Projects: GA AV ČR IAA300130702; GA AV ČR(CZ) KJB300130613; GA AV ČR KJB307020602 Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z30130516 Keywords : magnetic suceptibility * limestone * impurity * ocean-atmosperic circulation * past global crises Subject RIV: DB - Geology ; Mineralogy
Andirin, C.; Moital, Miguel; Cardoso, C.
Justified purpose of the topic: Research on crisis management in the meetings industry only focused on the process of crisis preparedness and the perception of meeting planners towards crises, with little research carried out on the strategies adopted to manage crisis within the meetings industry. Objective: This paper explores crisis management perceptions and practices by meetings professionals from two perspectives: origins of crisis and crisis management strategies. Methodology: The study...
23 nov. 2010 ... Les expertes invitées Devaki Jain et Diane Elson ont traité des répercussions de l'actuelle crise économique mondiale sur les femmes des pays en développement, et présenté le programme économique en sept points de Casablanca Dream destiné à aider les femmes à se sortir de la pauvreté.
Akl, Elie A.; El-Jardali, Fadi; Bou Karroum, Lama; El-Eid, Jamale; Brax, Hneine; Akik, Chaza; Osman, Mona; Hassan, Ghayda; Itani, Mira; Farha, Aida; Pottie, Kevin; Oliver, Sandy
Background Effective coordination between organizations, agencies and bodies providing or financing health services in humanitarian crises is required to ensure efficiency of services, avoid duplication, and improve equity. The objective of this review was to assess how, during and after humanitarian crises, different mechanisms and models of coordination between organizations, agencies and bodies providing or financing health services compare in terms of access to health services and hea...
Tibério Cesar Queiroz Sampaio
incondicional, pela relação market-to-book no período posterior à crise, indicando que tais decisões de reconhecimento de perdas esperadas não se condicionam a más notícias específicas, ou a um momento que caracterize o início ou ápice da crise.
Luiz Carlos Bresser-Pereira
Full Text Available Ao contrário do que afirma a análise econômica convencional, a causa principal das crises financeiras dos países emergentes dos anos 1990 e início dos anos 2000s começando pela do México (1994 e terminando com a da Argentina (2001 não foi fiscal, mas a decisão dos governos de promover o crescimento com poupança externa, isto é, com déficits em conta corrente. Como a taxa de câmbio tem outros determinantes além da absorção interna, o pressuposto dos déficits gêmeos com frequência não é válido. Essas foram de balanço de pagamentos e se caracterizaram por elevados déficits em conta corrente e forte aumento da dívida externa e/ou por forte aumento do déficit em conta corrente, que levaram os credores a se persuadirem que o problema do país era ou de liquidez ou de solvência, ou ambos, e decidirem, subitamente, suspender a rolagem da dívida externa do país. Um teste econométrico substancia a hipótese do trabalho.
Luiz Alberto Moniz Bandeira
Full Text Available O presente artigo analisa o efeito social, econômico e político da implementação de políticas neoliberais em países da América do Sul (Argentina, Brasil, Uruguai, Paraguai, Chile, Bolívia, Equador, Venezuela e Colômbia. É destacado o papel da execução do programa neoliberal do Consenso de Washington por governos democraticamente eleitos nos anos 90, para o agravamento da crise externa e interna iniciada nas décadas de 60 e 70 e aprofundada nos anos 80.The present article analyses the social, economic and political effects of the neo-liberal politics implementation in some South American countries (Argentina, Brazil, Uruguay, Paraguay, Chile, Bolivia, Ecuador, Venezuela and Colombia. The execution of the Washington Consensus' program by democratically elected governments in the 1990's is pointed as aggravating the internal and external crisis that was initiated in the 1960's and 1970's, and deepened in the 1980's.
Full Text Available The aim of the present paper is to analyze comparatively the main economic theories regarding theeconomic crises, including the premises for starting the present financial and economic vulnerabilities onnational and international level. On ideological level, the present global financial and economic crisis, similarto the other ones throughout history, initiated an intellectual debate among several applicable theories: AdamSmith’s “invisible hand” liberal theory, Keynes’s state interventionism theory and even neo-Marxist theories.The issue of the economic cycle and the crisis is a very complex one that cannot be analyzed and explained ina few pages, because talking about the crisis and the economic cycle supposes an analysis of all aspects of themarket economy. Thus, we try to found out which of these theories best explain the economic cycles andcrises and we believe that the Great Depression of ‘29-‘33 confirmed to a great extent the “Austrian” theoryof the economic cycle.
Vladimir Alekseevich Avatkov
Full Text Available The Republic of Turkey in the year of 2015 has gone through the period of critical transformation of its foreign and domestic policies. The main reason for this transformation is the inability of the Justice and Development Party to reach its goals to draft the new constitution and vest the president of the country with new powers. Nevertheless, the authors believe that there are also historic and demographic reasons for this transformation that have been developing for several decades. The basis of this transformation is the destructive foreign policy course pursued by the ruling elites aimed at fomenting crises inside and outside Turkey. The most tangible signs of that are the resumption of hostilities between the Turkish army and PKK and also regular shillings of the positions of Syrian Kurds by Turkish artillery. According to the authorities of Turkey such policy is likely to force the Turkish society and foreign partners to make concessions and give the Justice and Development Party the right to reform the country in its own way. However, such policy also increases the possibility that some internal and external actors will try to make everything possible to overthrow the ruling regime one way or another.
Gao, Jianbo; Hu, Jing; Mao, Xiang; Zhou, Mi; Gurbaxani, Brian; Lin, Johnny
Health monitoring of world economy is an important issue, especially in a time of profound economic difficulty world-wide. The most important aspect of health monitoring is to accurately predict economic downturns. To gain insights into how economic crises develop, we present two metrics, positive and negative income entropy and distribution analysis, to analyze the collective "spatial" and temporal dynamics of companies in nine sectors of the world economy over a 19 year period from 1990-2008. These metrics provide accurate predictive skill with a very low false-positive rate in predicting downturns. The new metrics also provide evidence of phase transition-like behavior prior to the onset of recessions. Such a transition occurs when negative pretax incomes prior to or during economic recessions transition from a thin-tailed exponential distribution to the higher entropy Pareto distribution, and develop even heavier tails than those of the positive pretax incomes. These features propagate from the crisis initiating sector of the economy to other sectors.
Cremilda Celeste de Araújo Medina
Full Text Available Tendo em vista a compreensão do Jornalismo entre as narrativas da contemporaneidade, imerso em um conjunto de limitações epistemológicas - paradigmas vencidos, observação carente de experiências presenciais e análises precipitadas ou provenientes de reducionismos mentais -, este artigo busca, a partir de uma leitura integral dos periódicos Folha de S. Paulo e Estado de S. Paulo, no primeiro semestre de 2017, encontrar a manifestação de uma voz autoral que assine a voz coletiva no que tange a crise brasileira. Percebe-se, nesta leitura cultural, que é no Jornalismo de opinião que a imaginação criadora perante o caos alimenta quebras da razão analítica aprisionada pela esfera conceitual dada. O toque ensaístico se manifesta contrário, reticente, pluralista perante as afirmações/certezas estabelecidas. Conclui-se com uma proposta: o estímulo à reportagem-ensaio. Nela, o repórter que ousa a observação-experiência ensaia a compreensão sutil inspirada na responsabilidade ética, na qualificação técnica e na criatividade estética, permitindo romper com os reducionismos vigentes.
Full Text Available The results of the single-equation cointegration tests indicate that patterns of cointegration in the two main and four sub-periods are not homogeneous. Two key findings emerge from the study. First, fewer stock markets cointegrated with S&P 500 during the crisis period than they did during the pre-crisis. In other words, as the 2008 financial crisis deepened, S&P 500 and G-20 stock indices moved towards less cointegration. The decreasing number of cointegrating relationships implies that the U.S. stock markets and other G-20 markets have experienced different driving forces since the start of the U.S. crisis. Second, among those markets that are cointegrated with S&P 500, they happened to be deeply affected by S&P and the shocks emerging from it. The 2007–2009 financial crises can be considered a structural break in the long-run relationship and may have resulted from effective joint intervention/responses taken by members of G-20 nations.
Godard, Olivier; Lagadec, Patrick; Michel-Kerjan, Erwann
Au-delà des dénonciations de la technologie prométhéenne, s'appuyant sur les acquis de la recherche économique et d'autres disciplines des sciences sociales, cet ouvrage pionnier rassemble les pièces d'un puzzle dispersé. Le motif en est clair: dégager les axes d'une gouvernance des nouveaux risques. Celle-ci repose sur trois piliers qui organisent le panorama offert : la précaution - de la théorie du risque à celle des régimes politiques dans un univers à la fois non probabiliste et controversé; la prévention et la gestion de crises - dont les traits saillants sont montrés à partir de trois cas exemplaires : la contamination criminelle d'un produit pharmaceutique ; la destruction du réseau électrique québécois en 1998 ; l'épidémie de la vache folle au Royaume-Uni ; l'assurance des risques à grande échelle (désastres naturels, catastrophes technologiques et terrorisme de masse) qui, avérés ou potentiels, bouleversent l'économie de l'assurance. Pourquoi un Traité ? La raison en es...
Full Text Available This paper shows the main results of a research activity conducted in the South – East region of Romania during November 2009, over 117 small and medium-sized enterprises. The results help to better explain some of the social problems that have been generated in the region as a snow ball effect, due to the economic and financial crisis. The research has revealed the following:The majority of the employees of the companies that were interviewed do not participate in training courses related to project management and personal development. However, company administrators consider that such courses are useful to increase competitiveness in times of economic and financial crises. Personnel under 40 years of age suffer from a lack of professional training and dedication to job requirements. Companies have expressed an interest in accessing European Union funding. However, they do not have complete information that would allow them to start a project and finalize it. This lack of information is mainly due to lack of access to specialists who would write the projects and submit them. The majority of entrepreneurs consider they cannot write the projects themselves but on the other hand they do not have access to consulting companies or other organizations that could help them. Their main information source is the mass-media.As a result, companies have adjusted to the effects of the economic crisis, diminishing their activity and laying off people, decreasing the running expenses and stopping investing in their development.
Lee, Brendan; Diaz, George A.; Rhead, William; Lichter-Konecki, U.; Feigenbaum, Annette; Berry, Susan A.; Le Mons, C.; Bartley, James A; Longo, Nicola; Nagamani, Sandesh C.; Berquist, William; Gallagher, Renata; Bartholomew, Dennis; Harding, Cary O.; Korson, Mark S.; McCandless, Shawn E.; Smith, Wendy; Cederbaum, Stephen; Wong, Derek; Merritt, J. Lawrence; Schulze, A.; Vockley, Gerard.; Kronn, David; Zori, Roberto; Summar, Marshall; Milikien, D.A.; Marino, M.; Coakley, D.F.; Mokhtarani, M.; Scharschmidt, B.F.
Purpose To examine predictors of ammonia exposure and hyperammonemic crises (HAC) in patients with urea cycle disorders (UCDs). Methods The relationships between fasting ammonia, daily ammonia exposure, and HACs were analyzed in >100 UCD patients. Results Fasting ammonia correlated strongly with daily ammonia exposure (r=0.764, pammonia levels ammonia value was 87%, 60%, and 39%, respectively, and 10.3%, 14.1%, and 37.0% of these patients experienced ≥1 HAC over 12 months. Time to first HAC was shorter (p=0.008) and relative risk (4.5×; p=0.011) and rate (~5×, p=0.006) of HACs higher in patients with fasting ammonia ≥1.0 ULN vs. ammonia exposure increased the relative risk of a HAC by 50% and >200% (pammonia and HAC risk appeared independent of treatment, age, UCD subtype, dietary protein intake, or blood urea nitrogen. Fasting glutamine correlated weakly with AUC0-24 and was not a significant predictor of HACs. Conclusions Fasting ammonia correlates strongly and positively with daily ammonia exposure and with the risk and rate of HACs, suggesting that UCD patients may benefit from tight ammonia control. PMID:25503497
Bohk, Christina; Rau, Roland
To investigate how economic conditions and crises affect mortality and its predictability in industrialized countries, we review the related literature, and we forecast mortality developments in Spain, Hungary, and Russia-three countries which have recently undergone major transformation processes following the introduction of radical economic and political reforms. The results of our retrospective mortality forecasts from 1991 to 2009 suggest that our model can capture major changes in long-term mortality trends, and that the forecast errors it generates are usually smaller than those of other well-accepted models, like the Lee-Carter model and its coherent variant. This is because our approach is capable of modeling (1) dynamic shifts in survival improvements from younger to older ages over time, as well as (2) substantial changes in long-term trends by optionally complementing the extrapolated mortality trends in a country of interest with those of selected reference countries. However, the forecasting performance of our model is limited (like that of every model): e.g., if mortality becomes extremely volatile-as was the case in Russia after the dissolution of the Soviet Union-generating a precise forecast will depend more on luck than on methodology and expert judgment. In general, we conclude that, on their own, recent economic changes appear to have minor effects on life expectancy in industrialized countries, but that the effects of these changes are greater if they occur in conjunction with other major social and political changes.
Welitom Ttatom Pereira Silva
Full Text Available A pesquisa realizada tem o objetivo de apresentar uma contribuição para o planejamento do enfrentamento de crise no abastecimento urbano de água (CAUA. Para isso foi proposta uma combinação de técnicas de inteligência artificial e metodologias multicriteriais de apoio à decisão (MCDA. Faz parte do escopo da pesquisa o desenvolvimento de ferramentas computacionais (software para auxiliar o processo de tomada de decisão e a realização de um estudo de caso. Os resultados encontrados foram os seguintes: (i o conhecimento de possíveis diretrizes de projeto para solução de casos de CAUA; (ii o conhecimento de fatores influentes na CAUA; (iii o desenvolvimento de um modelo híbrido de análise de decisão, denominado de CAUA-SAD, baseado nos princípios de similaridade vetorial, de sistemas baseados em conhecimento (sistemas especialistas e no uso das MCDA. A avaliação da qualidade dos modelos desenvolvidos indicou uma concordância de 56%, e que melhorias nos modelos podem ser obtidas por meio de refinamento nos dados de entrada. As conclusões da pesquisa indicam que a abordagem adotada para o tratamento do problema pode ser considerada adequada. No entanto, problemas para a obtenção do conhecimento de especialistas humanos sugerem a continuidade dos estudos.
Doumouras, A G; Hamidi, M; Lung, K; Tarola, C L; Tsao, M W; Scott, J W; Smink, D S; Yule, S
Deficiencies in non-technical skills (NTS) have been increasingly implicated in avoidable operating theatre errors. Accordingly, this study sought to characterize the impact of surgeon and anaesthetist non-technical skills on time to crisis resolution in a simulated operating theatre. Non-technical skills were assessed during 26 simulated crises (haemorrhage and airway emergency) performed by surgical teams. Teams consisted of surgeons, anaesthetists and nurses. Behaviour was assessed by four trained raters using the Non-Technical Skills for Surgeons (NOTSS) and Anaesthetists' Non-Technical Skills (ANTS) rating scales before and during the crisis phase of each scenario. The primary endpoint was time to crisis resolution; secondary endpoints included NTS scores before and during the crisis. A cross-classified linear mixed-effects model was used for the final analysis. Thirteen different surgical teams were assessed. Higher NTS ratings resulted in significantly faster crisis resolution. For anaesthetists, every 1-point increase in ANTS score was associated with a decrease of 53·50 (95 per cent c.i. 31·13 to 75·87) s in time to crisis resolution (P technical skills scores were lower during the crisis phase of the scenarios than those measured before the crisis for both surgeons and anaesthetists. A higher level of NTS of surgeons and anaesthetists led to quicker crisis resolution in a simulated operating theatre environment. © 2017 BJS Society Ltd Published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.
Full Text Available Social media (SoMe platforms provide potentially important information for news journalists during everyday work and in crisis-related contexts. The aims of this study were (a to map central journalistic challenges and emerging practices related to using SoMe for collecting and validating newsworthy content; and (b to investigate how practices may contribute to a user-friendly design of a web-based SoMe content validation toolset. Interviews were carried out with 22 journalists from three European countries. Information about journalistic work tasks was also collected during a crisis training scenario (N = 5. Results showed that participants experienced challenges with filtering and estimating trustworthiness of SoMe content. These challenges were especially due to the vast overall amount of information, and the need to monitor several platforms simultaneously. To support improved situational awareness in journalistic work during crises, a user-friendly tool should provide content search results representing several media formats and gathered from a diversity of platforms, presented in easy-to-approach visualizations. The final decision-making about content and source trustworthiness should, however, remain as a manual journalistic task, as the sample would not trust an automated estimation based on tool algorithms.
Isabel Ferin Cunha
Full Text Available This article analyzes the relationship between news coverage, political communication, crises and corruption, focusing on Western democracies and particularly Portugal. Firstly, political communication and news coverage are discussed, based on the assumption that the commoditisation of the goals of media and information companies has resulted in changes in the balance between the political and media fields. Within this perspective, attention is devoted to the consequences of these changes in Western democracies, taking into consideration not only certain aspects that tend to subvert underlying principles of representative democracy, but also the emergence of new social movements craving greater democratic participation in the public sphere. In addition, this study examines the concepts of crisis and political corruption, seeking to identify the historical and cultural elements that correlate the two phenomena in Western democracies, especially in Portugal. Finally, it addresses the processes of exposing corruption phenomena and their legal implications, as well as the principles of transparency of information and the consequences upon democracy.
Isabel Ferin Cunha
Full Text Available This article analyzes the relationship between news coverage, political communication, crises and corruption, focusing on Western democracies and particularly Portugal. Firstly, political communication and news coverage are discussed, based on the assumption that the commoditisation of the goals of media and information companies has resulted in changes in the balance between the political and media fields. Within this perspective, attention is devoted to the consequences of these changes in Western democracies, taking into consideration not only certain aspects that tend to subvert underlying principles of representative democracy, but also the emergence of new social movements craving greater democratic participation in the public sphere. In addition, this study examines the concepts of crisis and political corruption, seeking to identify the historical and cultural elements that correlate the two phenomena in Western democracies, especially in Portugal. Finally, it addresses the processes of exposing corruption phenomena and their legal implications, as well as the principles of transparency of information and the consequences upon democracy.
Emergency department leaders at DCH Regional Medical Center in Tuscaloosa, AL, and Cullman Regional Medical Center in Cullman, AL, credit their regular practice drills with helping them deal with unprecedented demand when deadly tornadoes swept through the South this past April. Both facilities used the hospital instant command structure (HICS) to mobilize the resources needed to care for the surge in patients, and say the approach worked well in helping them meet the needs of their communities. However, the crises also showcased opportunities for improvement. The ED at DCH Regional Medical Center saw more than 600 patients on the day of the storm, a three-fold increase in the hospital's typical volume. CRMC treated 99 patients in the seven hours immediately following the storm when it usually treats 114 patients per day. In addition to a big surge in patients, both hospitals dealt with power outages that limited access to some services such as radiology. Triage proved particularly challenging at DCH Regional Medical Center, as patients flowed into the hospital from numerous access points. The hospital plans to assign coordinators to each area of the hospital to better manage the influx in the future. When reviewing emergency operations plans, Joint Commission reviewers often find deficiencies in hazard vulnerability analyses as well as the processes used to determine the emergency credentials of licensed independent practitioners.
Full Text Available Resumo A digitalização das informações provocou uma crise na apropriação privada dos bens culturais como mercadorias. Paralelamente, movimentos políticos vêm se organizando internacionalmente, visando ao questionamento do tratamento dos bens culturais como mercadorias privadas. A análise do sentido e do papel desses movimentos exige uma revisão do conceito de mercadoria. Para questionar o conceito de mercadoria são revistos dois autores críticos do sistema capitalista, Karl Marx e Karl Polanyi, discutindo-se as possíveis contribuições de cada um para a compreensão desses movimentos políticos. Palavras-chave mercadoria, direitos de autor, Karl Marx, Karl Polanyi Abstract The digitalization of information provoked a crisis in the private appropriation of cultural goods. Simultaneously, political movements are being internationally organized aiming at criticizing cultural goods being treated as commodities. The analysis of the meaning and role of those political movements demands reviewing the concept of commodity. To question the concept of commodity two radical authors are reviewed: Karl Marx and Karl Polanyi, their possible contributions to the comprehension of those political movements being so evaluated. Keywords commodity, copyrights, Karl Marx, Karl Polanyi
Omane-Adjepong, Maurice; Boako, Gideon
Using sampled historical daily gold market data from 07-03-1985 to 06-01-2015, and building on a related work by Bentes (2016), this paper examines the presence of long-range dependence (LRD) in the world's gold market returns and volatility, accounting for structural breaks. The sampled gold market data was divided into subsamples based on four global crises: the September 1992 collapse of the European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM), the Asian financial crisis of mid-1997, the Subprime meltdown of 2007, and the recent European sovereign debt crisis, which hit the world's market with varying effects. LRD test was carried-out on the full-sample and subsample periods using three semiparametric methods-before and after adjusting for structural breaks. The results show insignificant evidence of LRD in gold returns. However, very diminutive evidence is found for periods characterized by financial/economic shocks, with no significant detections for post-shock periods. Collectively, this is indicative that the gold market is less speculative, and hence could be somehow less risky for hedging and portfolio diversification.
Full Text Available Frente à crise iniciada em 2008, a migração de retorno passou a compor, em todo o mundo, a cena dos trajetos migratórios do segundo decênio do Século XXI. No caso brasileiro, este movimento toma especial importância, pois a situação econômica do país, naquele momento, mais favorável em relação aos países centrais do sistema capitalista, funcionou como um fator de atração e contribuiu para a aceleração de alguns planos de retorno já latentes. Este texto, utilizando dados levantados juntos a imigrantes de retorno, entrevistados nos estados de Minas Gerais e Rondônia, apresenta um quadro da situação vivida no exterior e a situação encontrada no Brasil quando da nova migração.
LUIS OTAVIO SALES DA SILVA JUNIOR
Full Text Available O presente artigo objetiva examinar em que medida a sociedade civil, por meio da empresa, pode contribuir para o abrandamento da crise do sistema carcerário brasileiro, especialmente mediante o aumento da oferta de postos de trabalho a encarcerados. O estudo, pautado no método dedutivo, questiona se o incentivo ao trabalho dos presos poderia colaborar para a redução da violência e da reincidência. O presente estudo refere ainda algumas iniciativas do Executivo e do Legislativo para aumentar a integração entre comunidade e o sistema penitenciário, como a criação de incentivos e premiações a ações privadas que facilitem a reabilitação social de apenados. Contextualiza-se o tema com notícias de episódios recentes de chacinas em presídios e com dados estatísticos sobre a atual situação carcerária brasileira.
Smirnova Olga A.
Full Text Available In the article the authors analyze the change of French principles of participation in international conflicts after the new edition of White Book in 2013. Each White Book presents the aims and perspectives of the French defense policy development. The first one was published in 1972 during the Cold War and the next one in 1994 after the collapse of the Soviet Union when the major role in conflicts resolution was taken by UNO. The 21st century brings new challenges and threats as well as new methods of conflicts resolution taking into account their new nature and development. In the article we analyze new principles of conflicts resolution elaborated by Francois Holland, the book was published in 2013. The core principles of the previous Book (elaborated by N. Sarkozy included the activation of the French role on the world arena and reduction of the military forces. But now taking into account that the majority of crises are international and involve different parties and countries, France focuses on collaboration with the other countries especially with the members of NATO. As an example the authors investigate policy of the French government in the operations in Mali and Libya where France plays the leading role. Both conflicts are not resolved and are going to become permanent. So, as it takes more forces and expenses, the French government tries to bring in more countries-allies to settle the issue.
Stephens, Tim; Hunningher, Annie; Mills, Helen; Freeth, Della
Improving patient safety and the culture of care are health service priorities that coexist with financial pressures on organisations. Research suggests team training and better team processes can improve team culture, safety, performance, and clinical outcomes, yet opportunities for interprofessional learning remain scarce. Perioperative practitioners work in a high pressure, high-risk environment without the benefits of stable team membership: this limits opportunities and momentum for team-initiated collaborative improvements. This article describes an interprofessional course focused on crises and human factors which comprised a 1-day event and a multifaceted sustainment programme for perioperative practitioners, grouped by surgical specialty. Participants reported increased understanding and confidence to enact processes and behaviours that support patient safety, including: team behaviours (communication, coordination, cooperation and back-up, leadership, situational awareness); recognising different perspectives and expectations within the team; briefing and debriefing; after action review; and using specialty-specific incident reports to generate specialty-specific interprofessional improvement plans. Participants valued working with specialty colleagues away from normal work pressures. In the high-pressure arena of front-line healthcare delivery, improving patient safety and theatre efficiency can often be erroneously considered conflicting agendas. Interprofessional collaboration amongst staff participating in this initiative enabled general and specialty-specific interprofessional learning that transcended this conflict.
Full Text Available A preocupação com o futuro da economia brasileira já chegou aos poetas e às revistas internacionais. Os efeitos da crise do subprime fazem parte dessa preocupação. Alguns desafios, como a internacionalização das empresas brasileiras, a atualização tecnológica da produção e as expectativas de consumo no País ganharam destaque nesse processo. A reunião do G-20, no entanto, mostrou que há diferentes métodos de lidar com a crise, preservando-se a maior influência do modo norte-americano de “fazer negócio”. A inserção brasileira na economia internacional, porém, acompanha mais o novo perfil das economias emergentes, que se desenvolve independentemente da crise. Nesse caminho, a maior dificuldade para a inserção internacional eficiente do Brasil, com manutenção da mobilidade social e da tendência de alta no consumo, continua a ser a frágil relaçãointerna entre educação e competitividade.
Full Text Available This paper quantitatively analyzes the economic resilience of resource-based cities (RBCs in Northeast China in terms of resistance and recoverability during two economic crises: the Asian financial crisis and the global financial crisis. Moreover, it analyzes the main factors that affected regional resilience. There are three main findings. First, the RBCs in general demonstrated poor resistance during both recessions, but there were variations among the different types of RBCs. Petroleum and metal cities demonstrated the most resistance, whereas coal cities performed the worst. Second, the influential factors affecting economic resilience varied across the two economic cycles, but location advantage, research and development (R and D intensity, foreign trade dependence ratio, and supporting policies had positive effects on resilience during both economic cycles, while the proportion of employed persons in resource industries had a negative effect. Industrial diversity had a weak and ambiguous effect on resilience. Third, the secondary industry was more resilient during the Asian financial crisis, but the tertiary industry was more resilient during the global financial crisis. This shift may be attributed to both the nature of the crises and the strength of the sectors at the time of the crises.
Ana Fani Alessandri Carlos
Full Text Available O ponto de partida do raciocínio, desenvolvido aqui, visando a construção do que denomino de metageografia é, por um lado, o reconhecimento de um estado de crise da geografia, e por outro lado seu papel como possibilidade, ainda em que seus limites como ciência parcelar, de compreender o mundo moderno, já que o conhecimento pode se constituir como um movimento em direção à uma totalidade aberta. Em um sentido mais amplo, se trata de pensar o lugar da geografia na explicação da realidade em constante transformação. Se é possível pensar que, apesar de seus avanços, a Geografia vive um estado de crise? Deparamos-nos com a exigência de revelar seus sintomas e como consequência, a necessidade de construção de um caminho frente a necessidade de compreensão da realidade a partir da ou através da Geografia. A metageografia é a proposta de um caminho teórico-metodológico de superação do estado de crise en que se encontra a disciplina a partir da prática sócio-espacial como momento explicativo.
Full Text Available O Presente artigo discute a questão da crise financeira e seus efeitos na esfera estatal e jurídica, a partir do artigo de josé eduardo faria (2009. para este autor, a crise financeira coloca questões a serem discutidas que possuem ressonância na esfera estatal e jurídica e isto produz uma situação de "poucas certezas e muitas dúvidas", sendo que existiriam cinco possibilidades apontadas por alguns analistas. A análise exposta parte de outra interpretação da crise financeira e, por conseguinte, de suas consequências sociais, bem como apresenta outras tendências e efeitos destas sobre o direito, apresentando uma concepção alternativa ao que este autor apresenta.The present discusses the subject of the financial crisis and your effects in the state and juridical sphere, starting from josé eduardo faria article (2009. para this author, the financial crisis places subjects they be discussed her that possess resonance in the state and juridical sphere and this produces a situation of "few certainties and a lot of doubts", and five pointed possibilities would exist for some analysts. The analysis exposed part of another interpretation of the financial crisis and, consequently, of your social consequences, as well as it presents other tendencies and effects of these on the right, presenting an alternative conception to the that this author presents.
Mesmar, Sandra; Talhouk, Reem; Akik, Chaza; Olivier, Patrick; Elhajj, Imad H; Elbassuoni, Shady; Armoush, Sarah; Kalot, Joumana; Balaam, Madeline; Germani, Aline; Ghattas, Hala
Digital technology is increasingly used in humanitarian action and promises to improve the health and social well-being of populations affected by both acute and protracted crises. We set out to (1) review the current landscape of digital technologies used by humanitarian actors and affected populations, (2) examine their impact on health and well-being of affected populations, and (3) consider the opportunities for and challenges faced by users of these technologies. Through a systematic search of academic databases and reports, we identified 50 digital technologies used by humanitarian actors, and/or populations affected by crises. We organized them according to the stage of the humanitarian cycle that they were used in, and the health outcomes or determinants of health they affected. Digital technologies were found to facilitate communication, coordination, and collection and analysis of data, enabling timely responses in humanitarian contexts. A lack of evaluation of these technologies, a paternalistic approach to their development, and issues of privacy and equity constituted major challenges. We highlight the need to create a space for dialogue between technology designers and populations affected by humanitarian crises.
Pedro Roberto Jacobi
Full Text Available A diminuição dos índices pluviométricos na região sudeste do Brasil apresentavam um cenário previsível de escassez hídrica no ano de 2015. Diante da negação da possível crise, a gestão hídrica restou prejudicada. A situação crítica e a morosidade na proposição de medidas efetivas para minimizar a crise fazem da Região Metropolitana de São Paulo uma área crítica em relação à qualidade e quantidade de água. Da observação dessa nova condição, o presente artigo, além de contextualizar a crise, se propõe a apresentar propostas para gestão dos recursos hídricos no estado.
Herrmann, Marcel; Baur, Volker; Brandstätter, Veronika; Hänggi, Jürgen; Jäncke, Lutz
Although the successful pursuit of long-term goals constitutes an essential prerequisite to personal development, health, and well-being, little research has been devoted to the understanding of its underlying neural processes. A critical phase in the pursuit of long-term goals is defined as an action crisis, conceptualized as the intra-psychic conflict between further goal pursuit and disengagement from the goal. In the present research, we applied an interdisciplinary (cognitive and neural) approach to the analysis of processes underlying the experience of an action crisis. In Study 1, a longitudinal field study, action crises in personal goals gave rise to an increased and unbiased (re)evaluation of the costs and benefits (i.e., rewards) of the goal. Study 2 was a magnetic resonance imaging study examining resting-state functional connectivity. The extent of experienced action crises was associated with enhanced fronto-accumbal connectivity signifying increased reward-related impact on prefrontal action control. Action crises, furthermore, mediated the relationship between a dispositional measure of effective goal pursuit (action orientation) and fronto-accumbal connectivity. The converging and complementary results from two methodologically different approaches advance the understanding of the neurobiology of personal long-term goals, especially with respect to the role of rewards in the context of goal-related conflicts.
Full Text Available En 2007 et 2008 a éclaté la plus importante crise alimentaire depuis 1974. La hausse du prix des denrées alimentaires sur le marché international, en particulier du blé, du riz, du soja et du maïs, a entraîné une augmentation sans précédent du nombre de personnes sous-alimentées. Malgré une diminution relative du prix des denrées alimentaires depuis l’été 2008, le nombre de personnes sous-alimentées a continué à augmenter en 2009. Cette crise alimentaire a remis la lutte contre la faim au cœur des préoccupations internationales. Depuis le mois de mars 2008, les Etats, les agences des Nations unies et une grande partie des mouvements sociaux ont pris position sur les causes de la crise et les moyens d’y remédier. Malheureusement, alors que ces acteurs tentent de coordonner leurs activités et de proposer des solutions nouvelles, ce sont souvent des recettes anciennes, visant à augmenter la production alimentaire, qui sont mises en avant. Les propositions faites sont souvent contradictoires et les réflexions sur les causes profondes de la faim et de la crise alimentaire – les exclusions sociales, économiques et politiques et les discriminations – ne semblent pas avoir été entendues. Le premier Objectif du Millénaire pour le développement, qui vise à réduire de moitié la proportion des personnes souffrant de sous-alimentation et vivant dans l’extrême pauvreté d’ici 2015, est devenu clairement inatteignable. Mais la crise alimentaire pourrait être à l’origine de la création d’un nouvel ordre alimentaire mondial, basé sur les trois piliers que sont l’aide alimentaire, la sécurité alimentaire et le droit à l’alimentation.
Joaquín Silva Soler
Full Text Available O artigo analisa o resultado de pesquisa realizada, em 2012, pelo Centro de Políticas Públicas e o Instituto de Sociologia da Pontifícia Universidade Católica de Chile sobre a Igreja Católica nesse país. Os dados do estudo mostram uma situação de crise do catolicismo chileno. Tal crise tem causas diversas, intra e extra eclesial: mudança cultural profunda, crise de identidade missionária da Igreja, crise de fé, crise de confiança, crise que convida a uma nova evangelização. A constatação dos limites da presença e influência da Igreja católica na era pós-moderna constitui desafio oportuno para se afirmar a importância da proposta do Cristianismo como caminho para a felicidade pessoal e para ajudar a construir uma sociedade onde reinem a justiça, a paz e a liberdade. O autêntico cristão vive a fé comprometido com a realidade integral do ser humano e da sociedade. Tal empenho se vincula ao sentido escatológico da fé e da vida eclesial. Os cristãos são chamados a manter viva a esperança, procurando superar a crise através da vivência da conversão e do perdão no seguimento de Jesus Cristo, sempre atentos aos sinais dos tempos. ABSTRACT: The article looks at the result of research carried out in 2012, by the Center for Public Policy and the Institute of Sociology of the Catholic University of Chile on the Catholic Church in that country. The data of the study show a crisis situation of Chilean Catholicism. This crisis has many causes, intra and extra ecclesial: a profound cultural change, a crisis of the Church’s missionary identity, a crisis of confidence, a crisis that calls for a new evangelization. The finding of the limits of the presence and influence of the Catholic Church in the post-modern era is a timely challenge to assert the importance of the proposal of Christianity as a path to personal happiness and to help build a society where justice, peace and freedom reign. The authentic Christian lives the
Lineu Cesar Werneck
Full Text Available Myasthenic crisis (MC is a life-threatening complication of myasthenia gravis (MG with a high mortality rate. The aim of our study was to review the different therapeutics approaches in the treatment of MC and their impact in the final outcome. We reviewed the medical files of patients diagnosed with MG admitted between February 1993 and October 1997, who developed MC. Sex, mean age, disease's duration, functional scale, symptoms preceding the crisis, crisis therapy in each set and mortality were then analysed. There were 24 patients who developed MC, 21 females and 3 males, with 1 neonatal, 1 congenital sporadic, 17 juvenile/adult, 3 over 50 years and 2 with thymoma. Dysphagia, dysphonia and dysartria were the most common symptoms preceding the crisis. A precipitating factor was elicited in 8 cases and the most common was infection (upper airway infection, urinary tract infection and pneumonia. 16 patients needed a nasogastric tube and 9 had a tracheostomy performed. 24 patients used anticholinesterase drugs, 21 prednisone, 7 immunosuppressive agents, 5 plasmapheresis, 3 human hyperimune gamma immunoglobulin and 12 had thymectomy. A good response was obtained in 13, satisfactory in 7 and there were 4 deaths. We concluded that in spite of all the therapeutics options, there were non statistically significant differences in the outcome of patients that underwent thymectomy and those who did not.A crise miastênica (CM é uma complicação preocupante da miastenia grave (MG que apresenta altos índices de mortalidade. Neste estudo revisamos as diferentes abordagens no tratamento da CM e seu impacto no resultado final. Levantamos os dados dos pacientes com MG que desenvolveram CM admitidos entre fevereiro de 1993 e outubro de 1997. Foram analisados as interrelações do sexo, idade media, duração da doença, escala funcional, sintomas e procedimentos precedendo as crises, terapêutica empregada e mortalidade. Foram encontrados 24 casos que
Full Text Available L'inscription de la Belgique dans un processus continu de fédéralisation dissociative ne peut se comprendre qu'à travers une analyse des structures économiques du pays, à la fois sur les temps longs et dans le présent. L'idéologie identitaire qui domine en Flandre s'est développée en réaction à la crise séculaire de l'économie flamande entre le milieu du xixe siècle et l'entre-deux-guerres, ainsi qu'à l'arrogance francophone de la bourgeoisie nationale, mais aussi de celle des villes flamandes à l'époque. La crise de l'économie wallonne après la Seconde Guerre mondiale, similaire à celle de bien d'autres bassins d'ancienne industrialisation charbonnière et métallurgique, alors que la Région flamande connaissait un essor industriel, a généré dans le Nord du pays le sentiment que le Sud du pays devenait un fardeau pour son développement. Malgré le partage très majoritaire de l'usage du français, la Wallonie ouvrière a mis longtemps avant de prendre conscience de l'importance d'une solidarité économique (et politique avec Bruxelles, perçue comme « la ville des capitalistes ». En revanche, la Flandre considère Bruxelles comme sa capitale mais a peu d'empathie pour une ville francophone et cosmopolite. Toutefois, dans le cadre de la globalisation, Bruxelles apparaît comme le moteur de l'économie belge tertiarisée, ce qui en fait à la fois une pomme de discorde dans la vie politique belge, mais peut-être aussi un ciment pour le maintien d'une Belgique, dont les compétences qui resteront fédérales s'affaibliront en tout état de cause.Belgium's political evolution is part of a process of dissociative federalization. This can only be understood with reference to the country’s economic structures and their long-term trend. The community ideology prevailing in Flanders was developed as a reaction to the secular crisis of the Flemish economy, from the mid-19th Century to the inter-war, and to the arrogance
Full Text Available Nos anos 1960, teve início a formação da rede de emigração da região de Governador Valadares (MG para os Estados Unidos. Nos anos de 1980, essa rede estava consolidada. Durante esse período, muitos retornaram, outros fixaram residência no destino e outros tornaram-se transmigrantes. Em 2007, teve início um retorno diferenciado, dos atingidos pela crise da economia americana. Este artigo tem como tema central esse retorno. Foram realizadas 398 entrevistas com emigrantes retornados no período de junho de 2007 a dezembro de 2008. Os dados demonstram que a maioria deles são indocumentados, que ficaram nos Estados Unidos por um período de três a cinco anos e retornaram porque os ganhos já não compensavam os riscos. Em torno de 18% já fizeram investimentos no Brasil que garantem sua sobrevivência, 51% têm capital para investir e 21% não sabem como vão sobreviver no Brasil. Destaca-se que 28% pretendem emigrar para Europa. Palavras-Chave: Crise Econômica. Migração. Retorno. Abstract The formation of a Brazilian migration network from the Governador Valadares region in Brazil to the United States began in the 1960s, and, by the 1980s, it was consolidated. During that period many Brazilian immigrants returned to Brazil, others continued to reside in the United States, while some became transmigrants. In 2007 a different move began. The immigrants, affected by the crisis of the U.S. economy, start to return – and this is the focus of this article. I conducted 398 interviews with Brazilian migrants who returned to Brazil from June, 2007 to December, 2008. Research results show that the majority of Brazilian immigrants were undocumented, lived in the United States between three to five years, and returned because their financial profits did not compensate the risks anymore. About 18% had recently made investments in Brazil that would guarantee their survival; 51% had
Full Text Available This paper investigates the effectiveness of recent measures undertaken by the governments of some European Union Member States such as the United Kingdom, Germany and Poland as well as of non-EU European countries such as Switzerland in order to face growing concerns in the public opinion with the increase of transnational migration flows on European continent. The authors analyse selected legislative, regulatory and administrative measures motivated by objectives of migration policy or affecting the mobility of workers, taken in the aftermath of the economic and financial crisis. They argue that, albeit political discourse unfavourable on immigration and migrant workers has become the mainstream in some countries, the measures taken by national governments and legislators seldom involve direct constraints on the free movement of workers which is safeguarded by EU treaty provisions. However, concrete examples illustrate that access of such workers to social security benefits has been restricted through making use of certain derogations from the principle of equal treatment allowed under EU law. In some cases national legislators had to abandon plans to limit directly the free movement of workers, because the envisaged provisions were incompatible with the EU Treaties. With regard to social security, regulatory measures and administrative actions may have effectively implemented national policy concerns with large-scale migration movements. In general, it could be concluded that the European Union, while struggling against multiple crises, has taken a not fully favourable approach to free movement and migration of EU citizens. The present political climate unfavourable to intra-European migration may be understood, from the perspective of historical analysis, as an expression of constitutional ambiguity underlying the European Union’s normative framework, consisting in a gap between its formally recognised noble values and the mentalities
Lilian R. Reyes Pando
Full Text Available Les risques de catastrophe suivent un continuum qui va des risques structurels initiaux (de pré-impact aux risques futurs ou directement liés aux pratiques de reconstruction et à une récupération1 inadéquate, en passant par les risques contingents (résultant directement de l’impact. Ces différentes catégories sont souvent construites à partir de risques chroniques déjà existants. Elles sont utilisées pour démontrer l’évolution cyclique des catastrophes de 2009 et 2011, associées à la sécheresse et au gel, ayant affectés le Chaco bolivien. Par ailleurs, cet article vise à montrer en quoi une analyse des facteurs de causalité et des impacts post-catastrophe déjà connus est nécessaire. Ces notions sont souvent associées aux aléas à grande échelle pouvant survenir brutalement, mais elles occultent la compréhension des besoins lors de crises qui surviennent à causes d’aléas diffus, extensifs, liés aux styles de vie. Il s’agit également de révéler en quoi les tentatives d’appréhender les catégories successives de risques, apparemment séquencées, en utilisant des mécanismes et des cadres institutionnels indépendants, sont vouées à l’échec. De fait, des relations existent entre risques principaux, risques contingents et risques futurs, et la gestion des risques de catastrophe ainsi que les mécanismes de développement nécessaires pour les réduire.
Inaiá Maria Moreira de Carvalho
Full Text Available Este artigo discute como o processo de reestruturação produtiva e a articulação da economia brasileira ao processo de globalização vem impactando sobre as grandes metrópoles do país, onde se concentram as atividades produtivas, a riqueza e o poder, ao lado da população. Para tanto, o texto considera como o processo em apreço tem contribuído para a redefinição de territórios, a conformação de novas arquiteturas produtivas e urbanas e mudanças nas condições ocupacionais e sociais. Assinala, a seguir, como esses fenômenos vem ocorrendo nas áreas metropolitanas brasileiras, com o avanço da segmentação urbana, da precariedade ocupacional, da vulnerabilidade e do desemprego, transformando-as no epicentro da crise social do BrasilThis paper discusses the way in which productive restructuration process and Brazilian economy articulation are impacting the main metropolis of the country, where productive activities, wealth and power are concentrated besides the population. In doing so, the text considers how these processes have contributed to a territorial redefinition, as well as to a conformation of new productive and urban architectures and changes in occupational and social conditions. It is also pointed out how these phenomena are taking place in Brazilian metropolitan areas, with the advance of urban segmentation, labor fragility, vulnerability and unemployment, turning these areas into the core of social crisis in Brazil
Delfim Vidal Santos
Full Text Available O presente artigo é baseado numa apresentação com o título “O Papel das Agências de Rating na Crise Financeira Planetária”, proferida no Seminário subordinado ao tema “Dilemas da Globalização”, realizado no dia 21 de abril de 2016, na Academia das Ciências, em Lisboa, organizado pela Associação Portuguesa de Estudos Europeus (APEE, conjuntamente com a Academia das Ciências. O foco do presente artigo centra-se no papel das agências de notação de risco enquanto intervenientes centrais no mercado financeiro e a sua contribuição para o eclodir da crise financeira planetária. Para que possamos refletir conjuntamente, é importante elucidar o objeto da notação de risco e o funcionamento das agências de notação de risco na arquitetura do sistema económico-financeiro vigente. Traçamos o objetivo de identificar de forma sumária as funções regulatórias que as notações de risco assumem para variados agentes do mercado, públicos e privados e os efeitos disruptivos que podem assumir se as notações de risco se apresentaram eivadas de conflitos de interesses e modelos de análise sem valor intrínseco. Culminamos a nossa breve análise tentando destrinçar se a crise financeira planetária se tratou de uma tempestade imprevista que não poderia ter sido antecipada e travada ou se, ao invés, as Agências de Notação de Risco e os restantes intervenientes no mercado ignoraram dolosamente os sinais notórios da catástrofe que se avizinhava, manipulando o mercado para maximização de lucros e interesses próprios. | "The Role of Credit Rating Agencies in the Global Financial Crisis". The present article is based on a presentation “The Role of Credit Rating Agencies in the Global Financial Crisis” given in the Conference “Globalization’s Dilemmas” held in Lisbon’s Science Academy on April 21st 2016, jointly organized by the Portuguese Association for European Studies (APEE and the Science Academy. The focus
Rezende Flávio da Cunha
Full Text Available O artigo tem três diferentes propósitos. Em primeiro lugar, apresenta e discute a questão da crise de implementação das políticas de reforma administrativa. Na seqüência, apresenta uma revisão seletiva das principais teorias contemporâneas que tratam dessa questão. Em seguida, sugere uma teoria adicional, que relaciona a crise de implementação das reformas ao problema dos limites de obtenção da cooperação simultânea com os objetivos programáticos de ajuste fiscal e mudança institucional. A teoria proposta argumenta que a tensão entre maior flexibilidade burocrática, por um lado, e a demanda por maior rigor nos sistemas internos de controles burocráticos, por outro, é um poderoso mecanismo causal que tende a gerar crises sucessivas de implementação de tais políticas. Por tal razão, as reformas tendem a gerar resistência organizada à mudança, problemas de coordenação, problemas de ação coletiva e outros problemas relacionados. O artigo desenvolve o argumento de que, embora tal explicação adquira validade geral para o caso das reformas administrativas, pode ser muito mais crítico para as reformas gerenciais onde a contradição entre os objetivos de ajuste fiscal e mudança institucional é muito mais intensa.
Full Text Available Prior literature has claimed that accounting plays a negative role in a financial crisis. The current study sought to determine whether this effect is dependent on the quality of financial reporting. Specifically, this study examined the impact of the quality of financial reporting (as measured via earnings quality on liquidity (measured by the bid-ask spread in the equity market during the 2008–2009 global financial crisis in the United Kingdom. We found, as expected, that market liquidity was much lower during the crisis than prior to the crisis; however, firms with high-quality financial reporting suffered fewer negative effects as a result of the financial crisis. The results were robust after controlling for other influences, such as return volatility, loss making, market value of equity, and other potential endogeneity problems. In addition, adopting alternative models for earnings quality did not alter our inferences. Our results support the notion that high-quality accounting information can reduce information asymmetry and hence enhance investor confidence during a financial crisis. The results suggest that a stable financial reporting system is an important part of that overall economic fabric. Our findings will help build a framework on which an overall financial crisis risk-management strategy can be developed to avoid future crises.
Juan B. Fuentes
Full Text Available We sketch the main genealogical and structural lines of the historical course of ideas that, starting from Kant, and through the consecutive romantic crises of the initial Kantian thought, leads to the formation of the philosophical key ideas that underlie «modernist» man’s cultural attitude of rebelliousness. These key ideas would have paradigmatically crystallized in the philosophy of Schopenhauer in the first place, and only from there into that of Nietzsche, to end up reappearing in the Freudian anthropology understood as a modernist, historical culmination of this flow of ideas
Dauto João da Silveira
Full Text Available http://dx.doi.org/10.5007/1806-5023.2010v7n1/2p113 A entrevista apresenta uma análise crítica sobre a situação do modo de produção capitalista, especialmente depois da última crise mundial, dialogando com categorias analíticas das Ciências Sociais. Para além disto, contextualiza e aponta tendências, ou melhor, desvela os elementos produzidos nos interior da sociedade burguesa para a constituição de uma sociedade do vir a ser, comunista.
Fernando Afonso Ferreira Junior
Resumo:A crise do antigo sistema colonial generaliza-se pelo Mundo Ocidental de diversas formas, em diferentes contextos e assumindo as características de cada uma destas sociedades. Sergipe DeI Rey vivenciara-Ihe de várias formas, reproduzindo o cenário da colônia nos seus diversos contextos, desde o clima de desordem que fundava e sustentava a colônia, passando por transformações administrativas. Isto no sentido de amenizar os conflitos sociais que transbordavam no período e que culminava, ...
23 nov. 2010 ... Elle a toutefois précisé qu'il y avait encore du pain sur la planche et a mentionné le fait que l' ACDI et le CRDI collaborent depuis fort longtemps à allier recherche rigoureuse et résultats en matière de développement en vue d'améliorer la qualité de vie des femmes et des filles. De la crise économique à l' ...
JOSÉ RIBEIRO MACHADO NETO
Full Text Available Este artigo trata do posicionamento da China diante da atual crise financeira global, cujo elenco de medidas de política econômica notabilizase pelo enfoque keynesiano.
Este artigo trata do posicionamento da
China diante da atual crise financeira global, cujo
elenco de medidas de política econômica notabilizase
pelo enfoque keynesiano.
Antonio Soler; Eugênia Antunes Dias
Nosso objetivo com essa reflexão é destacar e problematizar alguns dos principais conceitos que gravitam no campo da Educação Ambiental, como crise ecológica, sustentabilidade, desenvolvimento sustentável, pegada ecológica, entre outros, enfrentando o debate sobre os dois grandes campos teóricos que disputam a hegemonia política e ideológica do Pensamento Verde: o antropocentrismo e o não antropocentrismo e suas correntes. Igualmente, traremos ao debate as duas grandes divisões da EA: a conve...
Full Text Available I investigate the geographical consequences of demographic-structural dynamics using a spatially resolved agent-based model of agrarian empires in several Old World regions between 1500 BCE and 1500 CE. I estimate and bound key model parameters from two historical datasets. Although several very large-scale polities (e.g., Roman, Persian, Tang empires do not arise and certain geographical expansions occur at different times, overall the model suggests that factional civil wars, the result of repeated internal demographic-structural crises, can substantially account for the spread of large-scale agriculture throughout the Old World after the Bronze Age.
Full Text Available A característica comum a todas as crises financeiras dos últimos trinta anos é o comparecimento do fundo público para socorrer instituições financeiras falidas durante as crises bancárias, à custa dos impostos pagos pelos cidadãos. Com a financeirização da riqueza, os mercados financeiros passam a disputar cada vez mais recursos do fundo público, impedindo a expansão dos direitos sociais. Este artigo tem por objetivo discutir a crise do capital a partir do papel exercido pelo fundo público e seus rebatimentos no financiamento da seguridade social no Brasil.The characteristic that has been common to all financial crises in the last 30 years is the appearance of the public fund to bail out bankrupt financial institutions during the banking crises, at the expense of taxes paid by the citizens. Financing wealth, financial markets dispute resources from the public fund more and more, which impedes the expansion of social rights. This article aims to discuss the crisis of the capital from the role played by public funds and their impact on the financing of social security in Brazil.
Marta Luciane Fischer
Full Text Available A crise hídrica afeta toda a biodiversidade e dela emergem questões éticas da relação humana com a água e seu impacto nas populações vulneráveis. Este artigo analisa do ponto de vista ético como o meio científico tem abordado a crise hídrica. Analisaram-se produções científicas sobre a crise da água de forma qualitativa pela análise de conteúdo. Identificou-se que o pouco interesse que o meio científico tem em discutir os problemas éticos relacionados à crise hídrica faz com que não se tenha um retrato real de quem são os vulneráveis desse processo. Para superar essa realidade propõe-se a bioética ambiental, com sua metodologia baseada no diálogo interdisciplinar, como a ferramenta capaz de considerar e unir os diferentes interesses sejam humanos ou da natureza, bem como para evidenciar as verdadeiras causas da crise hídrica.
Forchuk, C; Reiss, J P; Mitchell, B; Ewen, S; Meier, A
Studies have indicated that individuals who are homeless access hospital emergency departments more frequently and may have different needs than individuals who are housed. Successful interventions have been developed and tested to reduce discharge to homelessness for psychiatric inpatients but have not been similarly tested for discharge from emergency departments. This study was developed to provide baseline data on this issue to inform future emergency department interventions. Findings from the current study suggest that discharge from emergency departments to homelessness happens frequently in London, Canada. Participants are unlikely to spontaneously disclose their housing/homelessness issue when first entering the emergency department, which may result in services that do not adequately meet their complex needs. Screening for housing issues is necessary within emergency departments and psychiatric crisis teams as housing issues may be a reason for accessing care or contribute to the presenting condition. Nurses are in an ideal position to evaluate housing needs among emergency department patients. Services outside of the emergency department are also needed to address housing issues, particularly outside of regular office hours. Individuals who have mental health issues and are homeless or in housing crisis have been found to access emergency departments more frequently than individuals with stable housing. While emergency departments primarily focus on medical issues, homeless individuals may require psychosocial support as well. This study examined issues around housing crises and emergency department use for individuals with mental illness in Canada. Collecting baseline data about these issues is important to inform subsequent interventions. Administrative data from a hospital emergency department and psychiatric crisis service were collected, and five individuals accessing the emergency department for psychiatric reasons were interviewed. Results
Rosi Mary Grossmann
Full Text Available É relatado o caso de uma paciente com 9 anos de idade, na qual foi feito o EEG durante 3 crises de cefaléia sem caráter de enxaqueca. Simultaneamente com as crises foram observadas, no EEG, anormalidades caracterizadas por ondas agudas ritmadas de projeção difusa no hemisfério cerebral direito, predominando na região occipital. São feitos comentários sobre a raridade do relato de anormalidades do tipo irritativo durante crises de cefaléia, sendo ressaltado o valor de tais achados para a classificação dessas cefaléias dentro do conceito de epilepsia.
Maria Lúcia de Paiva Jacobini
Diante da persistência dos efeitos da crise econômica, no Brasil e no mundo, e da maneira como os meios de comunicação são os responsáveis por selecionar o que foi e é divulgado sobre esse cenário para seu público, este artigo propõe um olhar sobre a evolução dos fatos da crise e sobre o que foi transformado em notícia. A partir de uma discussão sobre os valores-notícia e uma visão geral sobre a presença da economia no jornalismo, é apresentada uma evolução da crise em quatro etapas − seu iní...
Suhrcke, Marc; Stuckler, David; Suk, Jonathan E; Desai, Monica; Senek, Michaela; McKee, Martin; Tsolova, Svetla; Basu, Sanjay; Abubakar, Ibrahim; Hunter, Paul; Rechel, Boika; Semenza, Jan C
There is concern among public health professionals that the current economic downturn, initiated by the financial crisis that started in 2007, could precipitate the transmission of infectious diseases while also limiting capacity for control. Although studies have reviewed the potential effects of economic downturns on overall health, to our knowledge such an analysis has yet to be done focusing on infectious diseases. We performed a systematic literature review of studies examining changes in infectious disease burden subsequent to periods of crisis. The review identified 230 studies of which 37 met our inclusion criteria. Of these, 30 found evidence of worse infectious disease outcomes during recession, often resulting from higher rates of infectious contact under poorer living circumstances, worsened access to therapy, or poorer retention in treatment. The remaining studies found either reductions in infectious disease or no significant effect. Using the paradigm of the "SIR" (susceptible-infected-recovered) model of infectious disease transmission, we examined the implications of these findings for infectious disease transmission and control. Key susceptible groups include infants and the elderly. We identified certain high-risk groups, including migrants, homeless persons, and prison populations, as particularly vulnerable conduits of epidemics during situations of economic duress. We also observed that the long-term impacts of crises on infectious disease are not inevitable: considerable evidence suggests that the magnitude of effect depends critically on budgetary responses by governments. Like other emergencies and natural disasters, preparedness for financial crises should include consideration of consequences for communicable disease control.
Full Text Available Esse artigo propõe discorrer sobre análise imagética nos discursos em geral, bem como no discurso midiático em especial, em face das novas tecnologias contemporâneas. A AD (isto é, Análise do Discurso a que nos referimos é aquela erigida por Michel Pêcheux. Nesse sentido, os conceitos de intericonicidade em Courtine e policromia em Souza são profícuas ferramentas teóricas para se analisar textos não-verbais. Tomamo-los como sustentáculo para a análise da matéria As Cores da Crise, publicada em Veja na época da suposta crise do mensalão. Nesse exercício, voltar-nos-emos para a constituição do sujeito ao se referir ao Partido dos Trabalhadores e como se dá essa relação, atentando-se para os elementos verbais e não-verbais materializados no corpus.
Rafael Soares Duarte de Moura
Full Text Available O pensamento levinasiano procurou responder ao soerguimento de uma razão estruturalista que resignou o homem a um conceito abstrato, frágil e fechado em sua individualidade existente. O presente trabalho procura problematizar a abordagem de Emmanuel Lévinas sobre a crise do humanismo. Essa crise será apresentada por meio do pensar a construção do indivíduo, encastelado em si mesmo, por meio da análise das correntes de pensamento racional-estruturalistas e da ontologia desenvolvida pela metafísica de inspiração idealistas. Serão tematizados os limites da razão para o desenvolvimento de um humanismo levinasiano. Nesse sentido, a superação da dicotomia sujeito-objeto por meio do agir humano será pensada como forma de se redescobrir o Ser que procura encontrar a dignidade e fazer a experiência concreta do sentido do existir.
Keizer, Bart de; Kam, Boen L.R.; Essen, Martijn van; Krenning, Eric P.; Kwekkeboom, Dik J.; Aken, Maarten O. van; Feelders, Richard A.; Herder, Wouter W. de
Receptor radionuclide therapy is a promising treatment modality for patients with neuroendocrine tumors for whom alternative treatments are limited. The aim of this study was to investigate the incidence of hormonal crises after therapy with the radiolabeled somatostatin analogue [ 177 Lu-DOTA 0 ,Tyr 3 ]octreotate ( 177 Lu-octreotate). All 177 Lu-octreotate treatments between January 2000 and January 2007 were investigated. Four hundred seventy-six patients with gastroenteropancreatic neuroendocrine tumors and three patients with metastatic pheochromocytoma were included for analysis. Four hundred seventy-nine patients received a total of 1,693 administrations of 177 Lu-octreotate. Six of 479 patients (1%) developed severe symptoms because of massive release of bioactive substances after the first cycle of 177 Lu-octreotate. One patient had a metastatic hormone-producing small intestinal carcinoid; two patients had metastatic, hormone-producing bronchial carcinoids; two patients had vasoactive intestinal polypeptide-producing pancreatic endocrine tumors (VIPomas); and one patient had a metastatic pheochromocytoma. With adequate treatment, all patients eventually recovered. Hormonal crises after 177 Lu-octreotate therapy occur in 1% of patients. Generally, 177 Lu-octreotate therapy is well tolerated. (orig.)
Jose Inacio Jardim Motta
Full Text Available RESUMO Este trabalho visa a compreender uma política pública de equidade em saúde relativa às sexualidades que se desviam da heterossexualidade compulsória, em um contexto de crise democrática. Para isso, toma-se a teoria queer para analisar, à luz de categorias como poder, resistência e transgressão, o que está por traz do contexto discursivo da política de atenção à saúde da população de Lésbicas, Gays, Bissexuais e Transexuais (LGBT, produzindo uma tensão entre norma, direito e participação social. É percebido que, em uma perspectiva queer, a instabilidade das identidades e a compreensão das redes de poder no interior das práticas de saúde podem fornecer condições de resistências mesmo em situações de crise do Estado democrático.
Lahiri, Shaon; van Ommeren, Mark; Roberts, Bayard
Our aim was to systematically review how social functioning is measured, conceptualised, impacted, and associated with mental disorders in populations affected by humanitarian crises. Quantitative studies conducted with civilian populations affected by humanitarian crises in low- and middle-income countries with outcomes of social functioning were examined up to 2014. Data sources included Medline, Embase, PsycInfo, and Global Health, and 8 grey literature sources, yielding 14,350 records, of which 20 studies met inclusion criteria. A descriptive synthesis analysis was used, and the final selected studies assessed for quality using a modified Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. In the 20 studies, social functioning was conceptualised in 6 categories: family functioning, friendship quality, functional impairment, overall social functioning, social adaptation, and social relations. Seventeen studies were cross-sectional, two were cohort, and one a controlled trial. The quality of the studies was generally moderate. The limited evidence suggests that social functioning is a relevant variable. Greater crisis exposure is associated with more severe depression and lower social functioning. The protective role of familial and social resources for social functioning is highlighted in different crisis settings. However, greater research on social functioning and mental health is required.
Kalb, Luther G; Stuart, Elizabeth A; Mandell, David S; Olfson, Mark; Vasa, Roma A
This study compared management by child psychiatrists of mental health crises among youths with and without autism spectrum disorder (ASD). A custom online mental health crisis services survey was administered to members of the American Academy of Child and Adolescent Psychiatry. The survey probed three domains of crisis management: willingness to work with youths with a history of mental health crisis, comfort level in managing a mental health crisis, and availability of external resources during a crisis. Child psychiatrists reporting on management of youths with ASD (N=492) and without ASD (N=374) completed the survey. About 75% of psychiatrists in both groups were willing to accept a child with a history of a mental health crisis in their practice. During a crisis, psychiatrists caring for youths with ASD had less access to external consultation resources, such as a crisis evaluation center or other mental health professionals, compared with those caring for youths without ASD. Psychiatrists also expressed concerns about the ability of emergency department professionals and emergency responders to manage mental health crises among youths in a safe and developmentally appropriate manner, particularly among those with ASD. Child psychiatrists are in need of more external resources to manage youths with ASD who are experiencing a mental health crisis. There is also a need to develop best practice procedures for emergency responders who are working with youths experiencing a mental health crisis.
Katia Maria Cabral Medeiros
Full Text Available Fundada em 1994 em Campinas, a "Toca de Assis" se destacava como grupo católico que atraía jovens para uma vida de pobreza radical, consagrada à adoração do Santíssimo Sacramento e ao cuidado com a população de rua. Em 2009, o líder-fundador, Pe. Roberto Lettieri, é afastado e uma crise se instala com a saída da maioria dos membros. Realizado em 2010-11 numa casa masculina, esse estudo analisa os discursos dos membros remanescentes buscando identificar os sentidos atribuídos à referida crise. Valorizando a Igreja Católica, os entrevistados confiam nas decisões de sua hierarquia e acionam os conceitos de "maturidade", "humildade", "Providência Divina" e "purificação" para dar coerência às mudanças identificando nelas continuidade a proposta inicial do próprio fundador.
Aline de Paula Santos Vieira
Full Text Available A proteção à dignidade da pessoa humana, aliada aos demais princípios constitucionais norteadores do Direito Previdenciário, tem sido cada vez mais utilizada como instrumento de efetivação dos direitos sociais relativos à concessão e/ou revisão de benefícios previdenciários, os quais, diante de um estado em crise, devem ser efetivamente observados. O presente artigo traz uma reflexão acerca do instituto do Dano Moral Previdenciário, que vem se tornando evidente nas relações previdenciárias, sob o enfoque da efetivação dos direitos sociais, analisando o status constitucional conferido ao tema. Traz, também, considerações acerca das definições doutrinárias e jurisprudenciais acerca da definição do dano moral previdenciário, quanto à responsabilidade civil do Estado nesses casos, bem como quanto às hipóteses de cabimento da indenização por dano moral decorrente de vício nos processos de concessão de benefício, buscando justificativas para o referido instituto, enquanto reparador de violações às garantias fundamentais do cidadão, as quais tem sido frequentes diante da atual crise nacional.
Full Text Available O gerenciamento de crises de comunicação, que envolvem governos, corporações e personalidades tornou-se, nos últimos anos, uma opção atraente para profissionais de comunicação advindos sobretudo do jornalismo. Este artigo procura demonstrar, com base no arcabouço teórico dos estudos de comunicação política e economia política da mídia, que o que está em jogo é uma mudança estrutural da esfera pública, com conseqüências não apenas para o mercado de comunicação, mas para o processo político e a cidadania. Palavras-chave: Gerenciamento de crise; esfera pública; comunica ção política; economia política da mídia. ABSTRACT Crisis management in communications, involving governments, corporations and individuals has become, in the last few years, an attractive option for communication professionals that come mostly from newsrooms. This article tries to show, based in the theoretical frameworks from political communications and political economy of the media, that what is at stake is a structural transformation of the public sphere, with consequences not only for the communications market, but for the political process and citizenship. Keywords: Crisis management; public sphere; political communications; political economy of the media.
Rodrigo Pinheiro Silveira
Full Text Available Trata-se de um ensaio que contribui para o contexto de transformações na educação médica no Brasil à luz do pensamento da filósofa política Hannah Arendt. A autora faz uma leitura crítica da modernidade, apontando seu contexto de crise e quanto esta se reflete em áreas como as da educação e da política. Partindo das reflexões sobre a crise na educação, a ruptura com a tradição e a perda da autoridade, trazemos seu pensamento para uma análise sobre a prática médica e sua formação, pautadas, sobretudo, pelo modelo biomédico e outras manifestações do mundo moderno. Por fim, ressaltamos a necessidade de se trabalhar, na educação médica, com categorias como responsabilidade, julgamento e pensamento reflexivo, que foram objetos de análise da autora, já na fase final de sua vida.
Nilton Cezar Pereira Pinto
Full Text Available Resumo Este artigo tem o objetivo de analisar a situação da mão de obra imigrante na Espanha nos últimos dez anos, vinculando-a com as transformações econômicas e sociais pelas quais o país tem passado desde meados da década de 1990, com ênfase no panorama gerado pela crise econômica que eclodiu a partir do final de 2008 e o seu impacto na situação dos imigrantes, coletivo que mais tem sofrido com o novo quadro econômico e social estabelecido com a crise. Diante da situação que a Espanha atravessa, com notável aumento do desemprego e de deterioração dos indicadores sociais, nota-se o retorno considerável de imigrantes para os seus países de origem depois de esgotarem todas as vias alternativas de permanência na Espanha. O fundamento para o desenvolvimento deste trabalho foram os dados proporcionados pelo Instituto Nacional de Estadística (INE da Espanha, utilizando a EPA (Encuesta de Población Activa, além dos dados do Eurostat e das fontes bibliográficas citadas.
Lucian Borges de Oliveira; Ana Paula Moreira Moreira; Raquel Souza Lobo Guzzo
Este trabalho toma como fundamento a Psicologia Social da Libertação e pretende constituir-se com um estudo piloto ao propor a reflexão sobre os conceitos de crise e situação-limite discutidos, respectivamente, por Leonardo Boff e Ignacio Martín- Baró. Para isso, propomos a leitura de textos de cada um destes autores: Crise – oportunidade de crescimento de Leonardo Boff e Guerra y Trauma Psicosocial Del Niño Salvadoreño e Guerra y Salud Mental de Ignacio Martín - Baró. O confronto entre es...
Roberto Chacon de Albuquerque
Full Text Available Facing an international financial crisis that could lead its own financial system to the brink of collapse, the German government needed to show political will in order to save financial institutions in risky situations. This article analyzes the legal strategies used to rescue the financial system, including the statization of banking institutions as an ultima ratio. Prior to the bank statization established by the Rescue Takeover Act, the Financial Market Stabilization Act foresaw an increase in the capital of financial institutions by means of state control without statization. This last act, nonetheless, has not been considered enough to avoid the collapse of a banking institution that is relevant for the whole financial system such as Hypo Real Estate (HRE.Enfrentando uma crise financeira internacional que pode levar ao colapso de seu próprio sistema financeiro, o governo alemão precisou demonstrar vontade política para salvar instituições financeiras em situação de risco. Este artigo analisa as estratégias legais utilizadas no resgate do sistema financeiro, incluindo a estatização de instituições bancárias como ultima ratio. Antes da lei de estatização bancária, da Lei de Resgate de Empresas para a Estabilização do Mercado Financeiro, a Lei de Estabilização do Mercado Financeiro previa um aumento do capital das instituições financeiras com controle estatal sem estatização. Esta lei, no entanto, não foi considerada suficiente para evitar o colapso de uma instituição bancária relevante para todo o sistema financeiro como o Hypo Real Estate (HRE.
This article makes a critique of current interpretations of the crises of the western system of medicine and presents alternative explanations for those crises. It indicates that the crises of medicine--reflected in its ubiquitous problems of costs and ineffectiveness--are due to and reflect the crises of legitimation and capital accumulation of contemporary capitalism. The article is divided into six parts: the first two define the characteristics of the crises of western contemporary capitalism and of its system of medicine, with a critique of current theories which try to explain them. Parts three and four contrapose to these theories a Marxist interpretation of the crises, tracing their causes to the needs created by the process of capital accumulation and to the demands expressed by the working population. The needs and demands generated by Capital and Labor are intrinsically in conflict, and are realized in the daily practice of class struggle. The characteristics and consequences of that struggle for health and for the organization, content, and ideology of medicine are analyzed in the fifth part. This class struggle takes place within a political context in which Capital and its social expression, the bouregeoisie or corporate class, have the dominant influence on the organs of the State. The sixth part of the article shows how that dominance determines the nature of the State responses to the crises of medicine. A primary thesis of this paper is that social class, class struggle, capitalism, and imperialism are not passé categories, as most ideologists of capitalism postulate, but rather they are the most important paradigms for understanding the crises of the western system of power and its medicine.
van Zuuren, Esther J; Fedorowicz, Zbys
Sickle cell disease is one of the most common and severe genetic disorders in the world. It can be broadly divided into two distinct clinical phenotypes characterized by either haemolysis or vaso-occlusion. Pain is the most prominent symptom of vaso-occlusion, and hypercoagulability is a well-established pathogenic phenomenon in people with sickle cell disease. Low-molecular-weight heparins might control this hypercoagulable state through their anticoagulant effect. This is an update of a previously published version of this review. To assess the effects of low-molecular-weight heparins for managing vaso-occlusive crises in people with sickle cell disease. We searched the Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis and Genetic Disorders Group Haemoglobinopathies Trials Register comprising references identified from comprehensive electronic database searches. We also searched abstract books of conference proceedings and several online trials registries for ongoing trials.Date of the last search of the Cochrane Cystic Fibrosis and Genetic Disorders Group Haemoglobinopathies Trials Register: 28 September 2015. Randomised controlled clinical trials and controlled clinical trials that assessed the effects of low-molecular-weight heparins in the management of vaso-occlusive crises in people with sickle cell disease. Study selection, data extraction, assessment of risk of bias and analyses were carried out independently by the two review authors. Two studies comprising 287 participants were included. One study (with an overall unclear to high risk of bias) involved 253 participants and the quality of the evidence for most outcomes was very low. This study, reported that pain severity at day two and day three was lower in the tinzaparin group than in the placebo group (P quality of evidence rated very low. The most important reasons for downgrading the quality of evidence were serious risk of bias and imprecision (due to low sample size or low occurrence of events). Based on the results
US Department of Education, 2008
"Lessons Learned" is a series of publications that are a brief recounting of actual school emergencies and crises. This "Lessons Learned" issue focuses on an incident involving several cases of Methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) at a rural high school. MRSA is a specific strain of Staphylococcus aureus bacteria (often called staph)…
O ensaio discute as relações entre as políticas educacionais brasileiras e as crises do capital. Considerando duas etapas do capitalismo - fordismo e flexibilização - a análise aponta para o nascimento de uma nova Teoria do Capital Humano.
Janaína Quinzen Willrich
Full Text Available Este estudo objetiva conhecer os sentidos presentes nas práticas discursivas de profissionais de Centros de Atenção Psicossocial produzidos pelas novas formas de lidar e se relacionar com o sujeito em crise psíquica grave. Trata-se de uma pesquisa qualitativa, embasada na perspectiva teórica do Construcionismo Social. Analisou-se 27 entrevistas de profissionais a partir da identificação dos repertórios interpretativos e da construção dos Mapas de Associação de Ideias. Os dados foram organizados nos temas: Dificuldades da contenção no serviço; Sentidos construídos em torno dessa prática; Posicionamentos dos profissionais em relação a essa prática; Participação da Polícia Militar no cuidado da crise; Sentido de responsabilidade da equipe de enfermagem em cuidar da crise. Demonstra-se a necessidade de discussão e construção de práticas de atenção à crise que sejam mais coletivas e embasadas em relações de contrato que respeitem a singularidade e subjetividade dos sujeitos.
Andréa Casa Nova Maia
Full Text Available O que o passado ensina sobre a leitura que a mídia faz de crises mundiais, seus impactos no Brasil e no cotidiano das classes trabalhadoras? Procuro responder tal pergunta analisando periódicos como o Jornal do Commercio e o Correio da Manhã, bem como um importante periódico comunista, representante do movimento operário da época, chamado A Classe Operária, ao longo de outubro e novembro de 1929. Pelo conteúdo dos jornais, percebemos duas interpretações para a crise: a da elite carioca, que parece não ter sofrido, pelo menos imediatamente, seus impactos, embora noticiasse suas repercussões no setor agro-exportador (principalmente na cafeicultura paulista e a dos trabalhadores que, ao que tudo indica, sofreram não só com a crise de 1929, mas com todas as diferentes crises externas e internas que antecederam a Revolução de 1930.
Yann Moulier Boutang
Full Text Available Resumo o texto apresenta a crise dos subprimes como a manifestação da impossibilidade de separação entre especulação e mercado da economia-mundo. A crise atual é apontada como sendo a primeira crise global do comunismo do capital e uma interdependência entre devedores e credores. A menos que se invente um novo New Deal, que refunde os antigos direitos do Estado-providência e crie novos direitos de novos trabalhadores, não se vê meio pelo qual um programa de eutanásia da renda evitará a explosão política. Palavras-chave crise; capitalismo cognitivo; renda; economia mundial. Abstract the paper presents the subprime crisis as a manifestation of the impossibility of separating speculation and market from the world economy. The current crisis is pointed out as being the first global crisis of communism of capital and also an interdependence between debtors and creditors. Unless a new New Deal is invented, which recasts the ancient rights of the welfare state and creates new rights for new workers, there is no means by which a program of euthanasia may avoid political explosion. Keywords crisis; cognitive capitalism; rent; world economy.
Rachida Hennani; Michel Terraza
Les évènements récents qui ont successivement secoué les marchés financiers européens suggèrent des phénomènes d’interdépendance entre les indices boursiers. Les relations susceptibles d’exister entre ces différents pays peuvent s’intensifier en période de crise. Il est alors plus adéquat de parler de contagion. Cette différence de terminologie revêt des réalités diverses qui impactent le choix des politiques économiques. Cet article met en évidence la présence des phénomènes de contagion en ...
Oliveira Filho, Valdir José de
Trata da importância da Comunicação.Empresarial no contexto da manutenção de uma imagem favorável da organização perante seus públicos. Ressalta a problemática das crises organizacionais e o papel importante que a Comunicação Empresarial tem nessas situações. Aborda a questão estratégica relacionando a Comunicação Empresarial com os objetivos de longo prazo das organizações, incluídos na estratégica organizacional. Analisa algumas situações concretas de sucesso e fracasso de es...
The recent crises over oil and gas deliveries from Russia to Ukraine and Belarus have triggered alarm and virulent criticism in the West. This article describes how these conflicts are in fact not very different from those that took place in the early 1990's and reflect behind-the-scene conflicts between powerful factions inside the Kremlin and in Ukraine rather than the exercise of an 'energy weapon'. In the context of a European energy policy driven by Britain's panic at becoming a gas importer and by the ideological zeal to liberalize, the West should worry less about the exercise of a purported aggressive geopolitical strategy and more about Putin's lack thereof, and his inability to control his warring lieutenants. Above all, the West should stop considering that Russia owes Europe any gas beyond its contractual obligations, which it fulfills with alacrity. (author)
Rubens Moura Ribeiro
Full Text Available Foram estudadas, do ponto de vista eletrencefalográfico, 20 crianças que apresentaram crise convulsiva única, com intuito de verificar se nessas condições já ocorrem alterações que possam estar relacionadas com processos orgânicos encefálicos. Considerado de maneira global, o EEG mostrou-se alterado em 13 casos (65% e foi normal em 7 (35%; as alterações foram do tipo focal em 12 casos e difusas em um. Os eletrencefalogramas com rítmo de base irregular e disritmia paroxística registrada durante a ativação pela hiperpnéia (8 casos ou 40% corresponderam aos pacientes que, ulteriormente, apresentaram recorrência da convulsão.
Socrate D. Petmezas
Full Text Available Cette étude traite de la particularité du cas grec au cours de la Grande Dépression (circa 1872-1896. La Grèce, pays agricole, fut protégée par deux facteurs conjoncturels: la destruction imprévue du vignoble français par le phylloxéra et la hausse de la demande en raisin. Dans le même temps, le prix des céréales importées baissait et le bilan commercial du pays s’améliorait. En revanche (et à l’encontre des autres économies européennes, la Grèce devait connaître une grave crise du raisin au début de la relance de l’économie mondiale.
Martin,José Fernando Vilela; Higashiama,Érika; Garcia,Evandro; Luizon,Murilo Rizzatti; Cipullo,José Paulo
OBJETIVO: Avaliar a prevalência, o quadro clínico e as lesões orgânicas envolvidas em uma crise hipertensiva. MÉTODO: Estudo retrospectivo de análise de prontuários médicos de pacientes com elevação dos níveis de pressão arterial diastólica > 120 mmHg e sintomáticos, atendidos em setor de emergência de hospital universitário durante 12 meses. Urgência foi caracterizada como elevação sintomática da pressão arterial sem evidências de lesão em órgão-alvo e, emergência hipertensiva, como elevação...
Le système financier international en temps normal et en temps de crises Ce mémoire a pour objectif d’étudier Le système financier international, ce système qui ne cesse de connaître des mutations et des évolutions profondes dans le temps et dans l’espace. Plusieurs phénomènes peuvent être mis en oeuvre pour expliquer et identifier l’importance des transformations qu’a connue le système financier international, en effet, y a trente ans, le monde économique est passé d’un système de change ...