Agatonovic-Kustrin, S; Beresford, R
2000-06-01
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are biologically inspired computer programs designed to simulate the way in which the human brain processes information. ANNs gather their knowledge by detecting the patterns and relationships in data and learn (or are trained) through experience, not from programming. An ANN is formed from hundreds of single units, artificial neurons or processing elements (PE), connected with coefficients (weights), which constitute the neural structure and are organised in layers. The power of neural computations comes from connecting neurons in a network. Each PE has weighted inputs, transfer function and one output. The behavior of a neural network is determined by the transfer functions of its neurons, by the learning rule, and by the architecture itself. The weights are the adjustable parameters and, in that sense, a neural network is a parameterized system. The weighed sum of the inputs constitutes the activation of the neuron. The activation signal is passed through transfer function to produce a single output of the neuron. Transfer function introduces non-linearity to the network. During training, the inter-unit connections are optimized until the error in predictions is minimized and the network reaches the specified level of accuracy. Once the network is trained and tested it can be given new input information to predict the output. Many types of neural networks have been designed already and new ones are invented every week but all can be described by the transfer functions of their neurons, by the learning rule, and by the connection formula. ANN represents a promising modeling technique, especially for data sets having non-linear relationships which are frequently encountered in pharmaceutical processes. In terms of model specification, artificial neural networks require no knowledge of the data source but, since they often contain many weights that must be estimated, they require large training sets. In addition, ANNs can combine
Artificial neural network (ANN) approach for modeling Zn(II) adsorption in batch process
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Yildiz, Sayiter [Engineering Faculty, Cumhuriyet University, Sivas (Turkmenistan)
2017-09-15
Artificial neural networks (ANN) were applied to predict adsorption efficiency of peanut shells for the removal of Zn(II) ions from aqueous solutions. Effects of initial pH, Zn(II) concentrations, temperature, contact duration and adsorbent dosage were determined in batch experiments. The sorption capacities of the sorbents were predicted with the aid of equilibrium and kinetic models. The Zn(II) ions adsorption onto peanut shell was better defined by the pseudo-second-order kinetic model, for both initial pH, and temperature. The highest R{sup 2} value in isotherm studies was obtained from Freundlich isotherm for the inlet concentration and from Temkin isotherm for the sorbent amount. The high R{sup 2} values prove that modeling the adsorption process with ANN is a satisfactory approach. The experimental results and the predicted results by the model with the ANN were found to be highly compatible with each other.
Sau, Arkaprabha; Bhakta, Ishita
2017-05-01
Depression is one of the most important causes of mortality and morbidity among the geriatric population. Although, the aging brain is more vulnerable to depression, it cannot be considered as physiological and an inevitable part of ageing. Various sociodemographic and morbidity factors are responsible for the depression among them. Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model depression can be predicted from various sociodemographic variables and co morbid conditions even at community level by the grass root level health care workers. To predict depression among geriatric population from sociodemographic and morbidity attributes using ANN. An observational descriptive study with cross-sectional design was carried out at a slum under the service area of Bagbazar Urban Health and Training Centre (UHTC) in Kolkata. Among 126 elderlies under Bagbazar UHTC, 105 were interviewed using predesigned and pretested schedule. Depression status was assessed using 30 item Geriatric Depression Scale. WEKA 3.8.0 was used to develop the ANN model and test its performance. Prevalence of depression among the study population was 45.7%. Various sociodemographic variables like age, gender, literacy, living spouse, working status, personal income, family type, substance abuse and co morbid conditions like visual problem, mobility problem, hearing problem and sleeping problem were taken into consideration to develop the model. Prediction accuracy of this ANN model was 97.2%. Depression among geriatric population can be predicted accurately using ANN model from sociodemographic and morbidity attributes.
On The Comparison of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and ...
African Journals Online (AJOL)
West African Journal of Industrial and Academic Research ... This work presented the results of an experimental comparison of two models: Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for ... Keywords: Multinomial Logistic Regression, Artificial Neural Network, Correct classification rate.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ch. Sanjay
2014-12-01
Full Text Available In machining processes, drilling operation is material removal process that has been widely used in manufacturing since industrial revolution. The useful life of cutting tool and its operating conditions largely controls the economics of machining operations. Drilling is most frequently performed material removing process and is used as a preliminary step for many operations, such as reaming, tapping, and boring. Drill wear has a bad effect on the surface finish and dimensional accuracy of the work piece. The surface finish of a machined part is one of the most important quality characteristics in manufacturing industries. The primary objective of this research is the prediction of suitable parameters for surface roughness in drilling. Cutting speed, cutting force, and machining time were given as inputs to the adaptive fuzzy neural network and neuro-fuzzy analysis for estimating the values of surface roughness by using 2, 3, 4, and 5 membership functions. The best structures were selected based on minimum of summation of square with the actual values with the estimated values by artificial neural fuzzy inference system (ANFIS and neuro-fuzzy systems. For artificial neural network (ANN analysis, the number of neurons was selected from 1, 2, 3, … , 20. The learning rate was selected as .5 and .5 smoothing factor was used. The inputs were selected as cutting speed, feed, machining time, and thrust force. The best structures of neural networks were selected based on the criteria as the minimum of summation of square with the actual value of surface roughness. Drilling experiments with 10 mm size were performed at two cutting speeds and feeds. Comparative analysis has been done between the actual values and the estimated values obtained by ANFIS, neuro-fuzzy, and ANN analysis.
Application of artificial neural networks (ANNs) in wine technology.
Baykal, Halil; Yildirim, Hatice Kalkan
2013-01-01
In recent years, neural networks have turned out as a powerful method for numerous practical applications in a wide variety of disciplines. In more practical terms neural networks are one of nonlinear statistical data modeling tools. They can be used to model complex relationships between inputs and outputs or to find patterns in data. In food technology artificial neural networks (ANNs) are useful for food safety and quality analyses, predicting chemical, functional and sensory properties of various food products during processing and distribution. In wine technology, ANNs have been used for classification and for predicting wine process conditions. This review discusses the basic ANNs technology and its possible applications in wine technology.
National Research Council Canada - National Science Library
Prasada Rao, K; Victor Babu, T; Anuradha, G; Appa Rao, B.V
...) engine fueled with Rice Bran Methyl Ester (RBME) with Isopropanol additive. The investigation is done through a combination of experimental data analysis and artificial neural network (ANN) modeling...
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
morteza akbari
2017-03-01
of the basin with 2962 meters above sea level. Kardeh dam was primarily constructed on the Kardehriver for providing drinking and agriculture water demand with an annual volume rate of 21.23 million cubic meters. Satellite image: To estimate the level of snow cover, the satellite Landsat ETM+ data at path 35-159, rows 34-159 over the period 2001-2002 were used. Surfaces covered with snow were separated bysnow distinction normalized index (NDSI, But due to the lack of training data for image classification (areas with snow and no snow, the k-means unsupervised classification algorithm was used. Extracting the data from the meteorological and hydrological Since only a gauging station exists at the Kardeh dam site, the daily discharge data recorded at these stations was used. To extract meteorological parameters such as precipitation and temperature data, the records of the three stations Golmakan, Mashhad and Ghouchan, as the stations closest to the dam basin Kardeh were used. The purpose of this study was to simulate snowmelt runoff using SRM hydrological models and to compare the results with the outputs of the neural network models such as the ANN and the ANFIS model. Flow simulation was carried out using SRM, ANN model with the Multilayer Perceptron with back-propagation algorithm, and Sugeno type ANFIS. To evaluate the performance of the models in addition to the standard statistics such as mean square error or mean absolute percentage error, the regression coefficient measures and the difference in volume were used. The results showed that all three models are almost similar in terms of statistical parameters MSE and R and the differences were negligible. SRM model: SRM model is a daily hydrological model. This equation is composed of different components including 14 parameters. The input values were calculated based on the equations of degree-day factor. The evaluation of the model was performed with flow subside factor, coefficient and subtracting volume
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Maria Grazia De Giorgi
2014-08-01
Full Text Available A high penetration of wind energy into the electricity market requires a parallel development of efficient wind power forecasting models. Different hybrid forecasting methods were applied to wind power prediction, using historical data and numerical weather predictions (NWP. A comparative study was carried out for the prediction of the power production of a wind farm located in complex terrain. The performances of Least-Squares Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM with Wavelet Decomposition (WD were evaluated at different time horizons and compared to hybrid Artificial Neural Network (ANN-based methods. It is acknowledged that hybrid methods based on LS-SVM with WD mostly outperform other methods. A decomposition of the commonly known root mean square error was beneficial for a better understanding of the origin of the differences between prediction and measurement and to compare the accuracy of the different models. A sensitivity analysis was also carried out in order to underline the impact that each input had in the network training process for ANN. In the case of ANN with the WD technique, the sensitivity analysis was repeated on each component obtained by the decomposition.
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Koutroumanidis, Theodoros [Department of Agricultural Development, Democritus University of Thrace, Pantazidou 193, 68200 Orestiada (Greece); Ioannou, Konstantinos [Laboratory of Forest Informatics, School of Forestry and Natural Environment, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Box 247, 54 124 Thessaloniki (Greece); Arabatzis, Garyfallos [Department of Forestry and Management of the Environment and Natural Resources, Democritus University of Thrace, Pantazidou 193, 68200 Orestiada (Greece)
2009-09-15
Throughout history, energy resources have acquired a strategic significance for the economic growth and social welfare of any country. The large-scale oil crisis of 1973 coupled with various environmental protection issues, have led many countries to look for new, alternative energy sources. Biomass and fuelwood in particular, constitutes a major renewable energy source (RES) that can make a significant contribution, as a substitute for oil. This paper initially provides a description of the contribution of renewable energy sources to the production of electricity, and also examines the role of forests in the production of fuelwood in Greece. Following this, autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) models, artificial neural networks (ANN) and a hybrid model are used to predict the future selling prices of the fuelwood (from broadleaved and coniferous species) produced by Greek state forest farms. The use of the ARIMA-ANN hybrid model provided the optimum prediction results, thus enabling decision-makers to proceed with a more rational planning for the production and fuelwood market. (author)
Arab, Mohammad M; Yadollahi, Abbas; Ahmadi, Hamed; Eftekhari, Maliheh; Maleki, Masoud
2017-01-01
The efficiency of a hybrid systems method which combined artificial neural networks (ANNs) as a modeling tool and genetic algorithms (GAs) as an optimizing method for input variables used in ANN modeling was assessed. Hence, as a new technique, it was applied for the prediction and optimization of the plant hormones concentrations and combinations for in vitro proliferation of Garnem (G × N15) rootstock as a case study. Optimizing hormones combination was surveyed by modeling the effects of various concentrations of cytokinin-auxin, i.e., BAP, KIN, TDZ, IBA, and NAA combinations (inputs) on four growth parameters (outputs), i.e., micro-shoots number per explant, length of micro-shoots, developed callus weight (CW) and the quality index (QI) of plantlets. Calculation of statistical values such as R2 (coefficient of determination) related to the accuracy of ANN-GA models showed a considerably higher prediction accuracy for ANN models, i.e., micro-shoots number: R2 = 0.81, length of micro-shoots: R2 = 0.87, CW: R2 = 0.88, QI: R2 = 0.87. According to the results, among the input variables, BAP (19.3), KIN (9.64), and IBA (2.63) showed the highest values of variable sensitivity ratio for proliferation rate. The GA showed that media containing 1.02 mg/l BAP in combination with 0.098 mg/l IBA could lead to the optimal proliferation rate (10.53) for G × N15 rootstock. Another objective of the present study was to compare the performance of predicted and optimized cytokinin-auxin combination with the best optimized obtained concentrations of our other experiments. Considering three growth parameters (length of micro-shoots, micro-shoots number, and proliferation rate), the last treatment was found to be superior to the rest of treatments for G × N15 rootstock in vitro multiplication. Very little difference between the ANN predicted and experimental data confirmed high capability of ANN-GA method in predicting new optimized protocols for plant in vitro propagation.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mohammad M. Arab
2017-11-01
Full Text Available The efficiency of a hybrid systems method which combined artificial neural networks (ANNs as a modeling tool and genetic algorithms (GAs as an optimizing method for input variables used in ANN modeling was assessed. Hence, as a new technique, it was applied for the prediction and optimization of the plant hormones concentrations and combinations for in vitro proliferation of Garnem (G × N15 rootstock as a case study. Optimizing hormones combination was surveyed by modeling the effects of various concentrations of cytokinin–auxin, i.e., BAP, KIN, TDZ, IBA, and NAA combinations (inputs on four growth parameters (outputs, i.e., micro-shoots number per explant, length of micro-shoots, developed callus weight (CW and the quality index (QI of plantlets. Calculation of statistical values such as R2 (coefficient of determination related to the accuracy of ANN-GA models showed a considerably higher prediction accuracy for ANN models, i.e., micro-shoots number: R2 = 0.81, length of micro-shoots: R2 = 0.87, CW: R2 = 0.88, QI: R2 = 0.87. According to the results, among the input variables, BAP (19.3, KIN (9.64, and IBA (2.63 showed the highest values of variable sensitivity ratio for proliferation rate. The GA showed that media containing 1.02 mg/l BAP in combination with 0.098 mg/l IBA could lead to the optimal proliferation rate (10.53 for G × N15 rootstock. Another objective of the present study was to compare the performance of predicted and optimized cytokinin–auxin combination with the best optimized obtained concentrations of our other experiments. Considering three growth parameters (length of micro-shoots, micro-shoots number, and proliferation rate, the last treatment was found to be superior to the rest of treatments for G × N15 rootstock in vitro multiplication. Very little difference between the ANN predicted and experimental data confirmed high capability of ANN-GA method in predicting new optimized protocols for plant in vitro
Ghosh, Arpita; Das, Papita; Sinha, Keka
2015-06-01
In the present work, spent tea leaves were modified with Ca(OH)2 and used as a new, non-conventional and low-cost biosorbent for the removal of Cu(II) from aqueous solution. Response surface methodology (RSM) and artificial neural network (ANN) were used to develop predictive models for simulation and optimization of the biosorption process. The influence of process parameters (pH, biosorbent dose and reaction time) on the biosorption efficiency was investigated through a two-level three-factor (23) full factorial central composite design with the help of Design Expert. The same design was also used to obtain a training set for ANN. Finally, both modeling methodologies were statistically compared by the root mean square error and absolute average deviation based on the validation data set. Results suggest that RSM has better prediction performance as compared to ANN. The biosorption followed Langmuir adsorption isotherm and it followed pseudo-second-order kinetic. The optimum removal efficiency of the adsorbent was found as 96.12 %.
Sahinkaya, Erkan
2009-05-15
Sulfidogenic treatment of sulfate (2-10g/L) and zinc (65-677mg/L) containing simulated wastewater was studied in a mesophilic (35 degrees C) CSTR. Ethanol was supplemented (COD/sulfate=0.67) as carbon and energy source for sulfate-reducing bacteria (SRB). The robustness of the system was studied by increasing Zn, COD and sulfate loadings. Sulfate removal efficiency, which was 70% at 2g/L feed sulfate concentration, steadily decreased with increasing feed sulfate concentration and reached 40% at 10g/L. Over 99% Zn removal was attained due to the formation of zinc-sulfide precipitate. COD removal efficiency at 2g/L feed sulfate concentration was over 94%, whereas, it steadily decreased due to the accumulation of acetate at higher loadings. Alkalinity produced from acetate oxidation increased wastewater pH remarkably when feed sulfate concentration was 5g/L or lower. Electron flow from carbon oxidation to sulfate reduction averaged 83+/-13%. The rest of the electrons were most likely coupled with fermentative reactions as the amount of methane production was insignificant. The developed ANN model was very successful as an excellent to reasonable match was obtained between the measured and the predicted concentrations of sulfate (R=0.998), COD (R=0.993), acetate (R=0.976) and zinc (R=0.827) in the CSTR effluent.
Rezaei-Darzi, Ehsan; Farzadfar, Farshad; Hashemi-Meshkini, Amir; Navidi, Iman; Mahmoudi, Mahmoud; Varmaghani, Mehdi; Mehdipour, Parinaz; Soudi Alamdari, Mahsa; Tayefi, Batool; Naderimagham, Shohreh; Soleymani, Fatemeh; Mesdaghinia, Alireza; Delavari, Alireza; Mohammad, Kazem
2014-12-01
This study aimed to evaluate and compare the prediction accuracy of two data mining techniques, including decision tree and neural network models in labeling diagnosis to gastrointestinal prescriptions in Iran. This study was conducted in three phases: data preparation, training phase, and testing phase. A sample from a database consisting of 23 million pharmacy insurance claim records, from 2004 to 2011 was used, in which a total of 330 prescriptions were assessed and used to train and test the models simultaneously. In the training phase, the selected prescriptions were assessed by both a physician and a pharmacist separately and assigned a diagnosis. To test the performance of each model, a k-fold stratified cross validation was conducted in addition to measuring their sensitivity and specificity. Generally, two methods had very similar accuracies. Considering the weighted average of true positive rate (sensitivity) and true negative rate (specificity), the decision tree had slightly higher accuracy in its ability for correct classification (83.3% and 96% versus 80.3% and 95.1%, respectively). However, when the weighted average of ROC area (AUC between each class and all other classes) was measured, the ANN displayed higher accuracies in predicting the diagnosis (93.8% compared with 90.6%). According to the result of this study, artificial neural network and decision tree model represent similar accuracy in labeling diagnosis to GI prescription.
Harun, R.
2013-05-01
This research provides an opportunity of collaboration between urban planners and modellers by providing a clear theoretical foundations on the two most widely used urban land use models, and assessing the effectiveness of applying the models in urban planning context. Understanding urban land cover change is an essential element for sustainable urban development as it affects ecological functioning in urban ecosystem. Rapid urbanization due to growing inclination of people to settle in urban areas has increased the complexities in predicting that at what shape and size cities will grow. The dynamic changes in the spatial pattern of urban landscapes has exposed the policy makers and environmental scientists to great challenge. But geographic science has grown in symmetry to the advancements in computer science. Models and tools are developed to support urban planning by analyzing the causes and consequences of land use changes and project the future. Of all the different types of land use models available in recent days, it has been found by researchers that the most frequently used models are Cellular Automaton (CA) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) models. But studies have demonstrated that the existing land use models have not been able to meet the needs of planners and policy makers. There are two primary causes identified behind this prologue. First, there is inadequate understanding of the fundamental theories and application of the models in urban planning context i.e., there is a gap in communication between modellers and urban planners. Second, the existing models exclude many key drivers in the process of simplification of the complex urban system that guide urban spatial pattern. Thus the models end up being effective in assessing the impacts of certain land use policies, but cannot contribute in new policy formulation. This paper is an attempt to increase the knowledge base of planners on the most frequently used land use model and also assess the
Prediction of 305 d milk yield in Jersey Cattle Using ANN Modelling
African Journals Online (AJOL)
ozcan_eren
Abstract. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been shown to be a powerful tool for system modelling in a wide range of .... neural networks have been applied to predict milk yield in dairy sheep (Salehi et al., 1988). Kominakis et al. ... It consists of the choice of ANN algorithm, the structure (number of layers and number of ...
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs for flood forecasting at Dongola Station in the River Nile, Sudan
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Sulafa Hag Elsafi
2014-09-01
Full Text Available Heavy seasonal rains cause the River Nile in Sudan to overflow and flood the surroundings areas. The floods destroy houses, crops, roads, and basic infrastructure, resulting in the displacement of people. This study aimed to forecast the River Nile flow at Dongola Station in Sudan using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN as a modeling tool and validated the accuracy of the model against actual flow. The ANN model was formulated to simulate flows at a certain location in the river reach, based on flow at upstream locations. Different procedures were applied to predict flooding by the ANN. Readings from stations along the Blue Nile, White Nile, Main Nile, and River Atbara between 1965 and 2003 were used to predict the likelihood of flooding at Dongola Station. The analysis indicated that the ANN provides a reliable means of detecting the flood hazard in the River Nile.
Artificial neural network modelling
Samarasinghe, Sandhya
2016-01-01
This book covers theoretical aspects as well as recent innovative applications of Artificial Neural networks (ANNs) in natural, environmental, biological, social, industrial and automated systems. It presents recent results of ANNs in modelling small, large and complex systems under three categories, namely, 1) Networks, Structure Optimisation, Robustness and Stochasticity 2) Advances in Modelling Biological and Environmental Systems and 3) Advances in Modelling Social and Economic Systems. The book aims at serving undergraduates, postgraduates and researchers in ANN computational modelling. .
Flow forecast by SWAT model and ANN in Pracana basin, Portugal
Demirel, M.C.; Venancio, Anabela; Kahya, Ercan
2009-01-01
This study provides a unique opportunity to analyze the issue of flow forecast based on the soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) and artificial neural network (ANN) models. In last two decades, the ANNs have been extensively applied to various water resources system problems. In this study, the
Damage level prediction of non-reshaped berm breakwater using ANN, SVM and ANFIS models
Digital Repository Service at National Institute of Oceanography (India)
Mandal, S.; SubbaRao; Harish, N.; Lokesha
Marine Structures Laboratory, Department of Applied Mechanics and Hydraulics, NITK, Surathkal, India. Soft computing techniques like Artificial Neural Network (ANN), Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference system (ANFIS) models...
ESTIMASI HUBUNGAN KUANTITATIF STRUKTUR-AKTIVITAS (HKSA MENGGUNAKAN ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS (ANN
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Supriyanto
2009-05-01
Full Text Available The Quantitative structure-Activity Relationship (QSAR study has been performed on pattern of structure-molecule relationship. Artificial Neural Network (ANN model used to estimate pattern of enzyme activity structure-molecule and atomic location in three-dimension for compound of flavonoid as the predictors. Value of determination coefficient used to compare between actual value and value of estimating by ANN models based on enzyme’s wavelength, so resulting cross validating is obtained. We use Quasy-Newton algorithm with Broyden-Fletcher-Goldfarb-Shanno (BFGS procedure.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Marcos Hernández Suárez
Full Text Available There are a large number of tomato cultivars with a wide range of morphological, chemical, nutritional and sensorial characteristics. Many factors are known to affect the nutrient content of tomato cultivars. A complete understanding of the effect of these factors would require an exhaustive experimental design, multidisciplinary scientific approach and a suitable statistical method. Some multivariate analytical techniques such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA or Factor Analysis (FA have been widely applied in order to search for patterns in the behaviour and reduce the dimensionality of a data set by a new set of uncorrelated latent variables. However, in some cases it is not useful to replace the original variables with these latent variables. In this study, Automatic Interaction Detection (AID algorithm and Artificial Neural Network (ANN models were applied as alternative to the PCA, AF and other multivariate analytical techniques in order to identify the relevant phytochemical constituents for characterization and authentication of tomatoes. To prove the feasibility of AID algorithm and ANN models to achieve the purpose of this study, both methods were applied on a data set with twenty five chemical parameters analysed on 167 tomato samples from Tenerife (Spain. Each tomato sample was defined by three factors: cultivar, agricultural practice and harvest date. General Linear Model linked to AID (GLM-AID tree-structured was organized into 3 levels according to the number of factors. p-Coumaric acid was the compound the allowed to distinguish the tomato samples according to the day of harvest. More than one chemical parameter was necessary to distinguish among different agricultural practices and among the tomato cultivars. Several ANN models, with 25 and 10 input variables, for the prediction of cultivar, agricultural practice and harvest date, were developed. Finally, the models with 10 input variables were chosen with fit's goodness
Hernández Suárez, Marcos; Astray Dopazo, Gonzalo; Larios López, Dina; Espinosa, Francisco
2015-01-01
There are a large number of tomato cultivars with a wide range of morphological, chemical, nutritional and sensorial characteristics. Many factors are known to affect the nutrient content of tomato cultivars. A complete understanding of the effect of these factors would require an exhaustive experimental design, multidisciplinary scientific approach and a suitable statistical method. Some multivariate analytical techniques such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) or Factor Analysis (FA) have been widely applied in order to search for patterns in the behaviour and reduce the dimensionality of a data set by a new set of uncorrelated latent variables. However, in some cases it is not useful to replace the original variables with these latent variables. In this study, Automatic Interaction Detection (AID) algorithm and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were applied as alternative to the PCA, AF and other multivariate analytical techniques in order to identify the relevant phytochemical constituents for characterization and authentication of tomatoes. To prove the feasibility of AID algorithm and ANN models to achieve the purpose of this study, both methods were applied on a data set with twenty five chemical parameters analysed on 167 tomato samples from Tenerife (Spain). Each tomato sample was defined by three factors: cultivar, agricultural practice and harvest date. General Linear Model linked to AID (GLM-AID) tree-structured was organized into 3 levels according to the number of factors. p-Coumaric acid was the compound the allowed to distinguish the tomato samples according to the day of harvest. More than one chemical parameter was necessary to distinguish among different agricultural practices and among the tomato cultivars. Several ANN models, with 25 and 10 input variables, for the prediction of cultivar, agricultural practice and harvest date, were developed. Finally, the models with 10 input variables were chosen with fit's goodness between 44 and 100
Ameer, Kashif; Bae, Seong-Woo; Jo, Yunhee; Lee, Hyun-Gyu; Ameer, Asif; Kwon, Joong-Ho
2017-08-15
Stevia rebaudiana (Bertoni) consists of stevioside and rebaudioside-A (Reb-A). We compared response surface methodology (RSM) and artificial neural network (ANN) modelling for their estimation and predictive capabilities in building effective models with maximum responses. A 5-level 3-factor central composite design was used to optimize microwave-assisted extraction (MAE) to obtain maximum yield of target responses as a function of extraction time (X 1 : 1-5min), ethanol concentration, (X 2 : 0-100%) and microwave power (X 3 : 40-200W). Maximum values of the three output parameters: 7.67% total extract yield, 19.58mg/g stevioside yield, and 15.3mg/g Reb-A yield, were obtained under optimum extraction conditions of 4min X 1 , 75% X 2 , and 160W X 3 . The ANN model demonstrated higher efficiency than did the RSM model. Hence, RSM can demonstrate interaction effects of inherent MAE parameters on target responses, whereas ANN can reliably model the MAE process with better predictive and estimation capabilities. Copyright © 2017. Published by Elsevier Ltd.
ANN Modeling of a Chemical Humidity Sensing Mechanism
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Souhil KOUDA
2010-10-01
Full Text Available This work aims to achieve a modeling of a resistive-type humidity sensing mechanism (RHSM. This model takes into account the parameters of non-linearity, hysteresis, temperature, frequency, substrate type. Furthermore, we investigated the TiO2 and PMAPTAC concentrations effects on the humidity sensing properties in our model. Using neuronal networks and Matlab environment, we have done the training to realize an analytical model ANN and create a component, accurately express the above parameters variations, for our sensing mechanism model in the PSPICE simulator library. Simulation has been used to evaluate the effect of variations of non-linearity, hysteresis, temperature, frequency, substrate type and TiO2 and PMAPTAC concentrations effects, where the output of this model is identical to the output of the chemical humidity sensing mechanism used.
Artificial neural network (ANN)-based prediction of depth filter loading capacity for filter sizing.
Agarwal, Harshit; Rathore, Anurag S; Hadpe, Sandeep Ramesh; Alva, Solomon J
2016-11-01
This article presents an application of artificial neural network (ANN) modelling towards prediction of depth filter loading capacity for clarification of a monoclonal antibody (mAb) product during commercial manufacturing. The effect of operating parameters on filter loading capacity was evaluated based on the analysis of change in the differential pressure (DP) as a function of time. The proposed ANN model uses inlet stream properties (feed turbidity, feed cell count, feed cell viability), flux, and time to predict the corresponding DP. The ANN contained a single output layer with ten neurons in hidden layer and employed a sigmoidal activation function. This network was trained with 174 training points, 37 validation points, and 37 test points. Further, a pressure cut-off of 1.1 bar was used for sizing the filter area required under each operating condition. The modelling results showed that there was excellent agreement between the predicted and experimental data with a regression coefficient (R2 ) of 0.98. The developed ANN model was used for performing variable depth filter sizing for different clarification lots. Monte-Carlo simulation was performed to estimate the cost savings by using different filter areas for different clarification lots rather than using the same filter area. A 10% saving in cost of goods was obtained for this operation. © 2016 American Institute of Chemical Engineers Biotechnol. Prog., 32:1436-1443, 2016. © 2016 American Institute of Chemical Engineers.
K. Prasada Rao; T. Victor Babu; Anuradha, G.; B.V. Appa Rao
2016-01-01
Biodiesel is receiving increasing attention each passing day because of its fuel properties and compatibility. This study investigates the performance and emission characteristics of single cylinder four stroke indirect diesel injection (IDI) engine fueled with Rice Bran Methyl Ester (RBME) with Isopropanol additive. The investigation is done through a combination of experimental data analysis and artificial neural network (ANN) modeling. The study used IDI engine experimental data to evaluat...
Verma, Rajeshwar P; Matthews, Edwin J
2015-03-01
Evaluation of potential chemical-induced eye injury through irritation and corrosion is required to ensure occupational and consumer safety for industrial, household and cosmetic ingredient chemicals. The historical method for evaluating eye irritant and corrosion potential of chemicals is the rabbit Draize test. However, the Draize test is controversial and its use is diminishing - the EU 7th Amendment to the Cosmetic Directive (76/768/EEC) and recast Regulation now bans marketing of new cosmetics having animal testing of their ingredients and requires non-animal alternative tests for safety assessments. Thus, in silico and/or in vitro tests are advocated. QSAR models for eye irritation have been reported for several small (congeneric) data sets; however, large global models have not been described. This report describes FDA/CFSAN's development of 21 ANN c-QSAR models (QSAR-21) to predict eye irritation using the ADMET Predictor program and a diverse training data set of 2928 chemicals. The 21 models had external (20% test set) and internal validation and average training/verification/test set statistics were: 88/88/85(%) sensitivity and 82/82/82(%) specificity, respectively. The new method utilized multiple artificial neural network (ANN) molecular descriptor selection functionalities to maximize the applicability domain of the battery. The eye irritation models will be used to provide information to fill the critical data gaps for the safety assessment of cosmetic ingredient chemicals. Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Hing Wah LEE
2009-03-01
Full Text Available In this study, a general purpose Artificial Neural Network (ANN model based on the feed-forward back-propagation (FFBP algorithm has been used to predict the deflections of a micromachined structures actuated electrostatically under different loadings and geometrical parameters. A limited range of simulation results obtained via CoventorWare™ numerical software will be used initially to train the neural network via back-propagation algorithm. The micromachined structures considered in the analyses are diaphragm, fixed-fixed beams and cantilevers. ANN simulation results are compared with results obtained via CoventorWare™ simulations and existing analytical work for validation purpose. The proposed ANN model accurately predicts the deflections of the micromachined structures with great reduction of simulation efforts, establishing the method superiority. This method can be extended for applications in other sensors particularly for modeling sensors applying electrostatic actuation which are difficult in nature due to the inherent non-linearity of the electro-mechanical coupling response.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
K. Prasada Rao
2017-09-01
Full Text Available Biodiesel is receiving increasing attention each passing day because of its fuel properties and compatibility. This study investigates the performance and emission characteristics of single cylinder four stroke indirect diesel injection (IDI engine fueled with Rice Bran Methyl Ester (RBME with Isopropanol additive. The investigation is done through a combination of experimental data analysis and artificial neural network (ANN modeling. The study used IDI engine experimental data to evaluate nine engine performance and emission parameters including Exhaust Gas Temperature (E.G.T, Brake Specific Fuel Consumption (BSFC, Brake Thermal Efficiency (B.The and various emissions like Hydrocarbons (HC, Carbon monoxide (CO, Carbon dioxide (CO2, Oxygen (O2, Nitrogen oxides (NOX and smoke. For the ANN modeling standard back propagation algorithm was found to be the optimum choice for training the model. A multi-layer perception (MLP network was used for non-linear mapping between the input and output parameters. It was found that ANN was able to predict the engine performance and exhaust emissions with a correlation coefficient of 0.995, 0.980, 0.999, 0.985, 0.999, 0.999, 0.980, 0.999, and 0.999 for E.G.T, BSFC, B.The, HC, O2, CO2, CO, NOX, smoke respectively.
Identification of drought in Dhalai river watershed using MCDM and ANN models
Aher, Sainath; Shinde, Sambhaji; Guha, Shantamoy; Majumder, Mrinmoy
2017-03-01
An innovative approach for drought identification is developed using Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models from surveyed drought parameter data around the Dhalai river watershed in Tripura hinterlands, India. Total eight drought parameters, i.e., precipitation, soil moisture, evapotranspiration, vegetation canopy, cropping pattern, temperature, cultivated land, and groundwater level were obtained from expert, literature and cultivator survey. Then, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and Analytic Network Process (ANP) were used for weighting of parameters and Drought Index Identification (DII). Field data of weighted parameters in the meso scale Dhalai River watershed were collected and used to train the ANN model. The developed ANN model was used in the same watershed for identification of drought. Results indicate that the Limited-Memory Quasi-Newton algorithm was better than the commonly used training method. Results obtained from the ANN model shows the drought index developed from the study area ranges from 0.32 to 0.72. Overall analysis revealed that, with appropriate training, the ANN model can be used in the areas where the model is calibrated, or other areas where the range of input parameters is similar to the calibrated region for drought identification.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Harjum Muharam
2008-09-01
Full Text Available This paper discusses technical analysis widely used by investors. There are many methods that exist and used by investor to predict the future value of a stock. In this paper we start from finding the value of Hurst (H exponent of LQ 45 Index to know the form of the Index. From H value, we could determinate that the time series data is purely random, or ergodic and ant persistent, or persistent to a certain trend. Two prediction tools were chosen, ARIMA (Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average which is the de facto standard for univariate prediction model in econometrics and Artificial Neural Network (ANN Back Propagation. Data left from ARIMA is used as an input for both methods. We compared prediction error from each method to determine which method is better. The result shows that LQ45 Index is persistent to a certain trend therefore predictable and for outputted sample data ARIMA outperforms ANN.
Analysis of RF MEMS Capacitive Switches by Using Switch EM ANN Models
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Z. Marinković
2015-11-01
Full Text Available Artificial neural networks (ANNs have appeared to be an alternative to the conventional models of RF MEMS switches. In this paper, neural models of an RF MEMS capacitive switch are developed and used for the electrical design of the switch. Namely, an ANN model relating the switch resonant frequency and the bridge dimensions is used to analyze efficiently the switch behavior with changes of bridge dimensions. Furthermore, it is illustrated how the developed model can be used for the determination of bridge dimensions in order to achieve the desired switch resonant frequency. In addition, application of a switch inverse ANN model for the determination of bridge dimensions is analyzed as well.
Partitioning and interpolation based hybrid ARIMA–ANN model for ...
Indian Academy of Sciences (India)
Time series forecasting; ARIMA; ANN; partitioning and interpolation; Box–Jenkins methodology ... Further, on different experimental TSD like sunspots TSD and electricity price TSD, the proposed hybrid model is applied along with four existing state-of-the-art models and it is found that the proposed model outperforms all ...
Using ANN and EPR models to predict carbon monoxide concentrations in urban area of Tabriz
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mohammad Shakerkhatibi
2015-09-01
Full Text Available Background: Forecasting of air pollutants has become a popular topic of environmental research today. For this purpose, the artificial neural network (AAN technique is widely used as a reliable method for forecasting air pollutants in urban areas. On the other hand, the evolutionary polynomial regression (EPR model has recently been used as a forecasting tool in some environmental issues. In this research, we compared the ability of these models to forecast carbon monoxide (CO concentrations in the urban area of Tabriz city. Methods: The dataset of CO concentrations measured at the fixed stations operated by the East Azerbaijan Environmental Office along with meteorological data obtained from the East Azerbaijan Meteorological Bureau from March 2007 to March 2013, were used as input for the ANN and EPR models. Results: Based on the results, the performance of ANN is more reliable in comparison with EPR. Using the ANN model, the correlation coefficient values at all monitoring stations were calculated above 0.85. Conversely, the R2 values for these stations were obtained <0.41 using the EPR model. Conclusion: The EPR model could not overcome the nonlinearities of input data. However, the ANN model displayed more accurate results compared to the EPR. Hence, the ANN models are robust tools for predicting air pollutant concentrations.
artificial neural network (ann) approach to electrical load
African Journals Online (AJOL)
2004-08-18
Aug 18, 2004 ... UNIVERSITY POWER HOUSE. A.A.AKINTOLA", G.A. ADEROUNMU and O.E. ... The model was tested using two of the seven feeders of the Obafemi. Awolowo University electric network. The results of .... The architecture of a neural network is the specific arrangement and connections of the neurons that.
Visual NNet: An Educational ANN's Simulation Environment Reusing Matlab Neural Networks Toolbox
Garcia-Roselló, Emilio; González-Dacosta, Jacinto; Lado, Maria J.; Méndez, Arturo J.; Garcia Pérez-Schofield, Baltasar; Ferrer, Fátima
2011-01-01
Artificial Neural Networks (ANN's) are nowadays a common subject in different curricula of graduate and postgraduate studies. Due to the complex algorithms involved and the dynamic nature of ANN's, simulation software has been commonly used to teach this subject. This software has usually been developed specifically for learning purposes, because…
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Neelamegam Premalatha
2016-06-01
Full Text Available Global solar radiation (GSR is an essential parameter for the design and operation of solar energy systems. Long-standing records of global solar radiation data are not available in many places because of the cost and maintenance of the measuring instruments. The major objective of this work is to develop an ANN model for accurately predicting solar radiation. Two ANN models with four different algorithms are considered in the present study. Meteorological data collected for the last 10 years from five different locations across India have been used to train the models. The best ANN algorithm and model are identified based on minimum mean absolute error (MAE and root mean square error (RMSE and maximum linear correlation coefficient (R. Further, the present study confirms that prediction accuracy of the ANN model depends on the complete set of data being used for training the network for the intended application. The developed ANN model has a low mean absolute percentage error (MAPE which ascertains the accuracy and suitability of the model to predict the monthly average global radiation so as to design or evaluate solar energy installations, where the meteorological data measuring facilities are not in place in India.
Park, Sechan; Kim, Minjeong; Kim, Minhae; Namgung, Hyeong-Gyu; Kim, Ki-Tae; Cho, Kyung Hwa; Kwon, Soon-Bark
2018-01-05
The indoor air quality of subway systems can significantly affect the health of passengers since these systems are widely used for short-distance transit in metropolitan urban areas in many countries. The particles generated by abrasion during subway operations and the vehicle-emitted pollutants flowing in from the street in particular affect the air quality in underground subway stations. Thus the continuous monitoring of particulate matter (PM) in underground station is important to evaluate the exposure level of PM to passengers. However, it is difficult to obtain indoor PM data because the measurement systems are expensive and difficult to install and operate for significant periods of time in spaces crowded with people. In this study, we predicted the indoor PM concentration using the information of outdoor PM, the number of subway trains running, and information on ventilation operation by the artificial neural network (ANN) model. As well, we investigated the relationship between ANN's performance and the depth of underground subway station. ANN model showed a high correlation between the predicted and actual measured values and it was able to predict 67∼80% of PM at 6 subway station. In addition, we found that platform shape and depth influenced the model performance. Copyright © 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Andy P. Dedecker
2002-01-01
Full Text Available Modelling has become an interesting tool to support decision making in water management. River ecosystem modelling methods have improved substantially during recent years. New concepts, such as artificial neural networks, fuzzy logic, evolutionary algorithms, chaos and fractals, cellular automata, etc., are being more commonly used to analyse ecosystem databases and to make predictions for river management purposes. In this context, artificial neural networks were applied to predict macroinvertebrate communities in the Zwalm River basin (Flanders, Belgium. Structural characteristics (meandering, substrate type, flow velocity and physical and chemical variables (dissolved oxygen, pH were used as predictive variables to predict the presence or absence of macroinvertebrate taxa in the headwaters and brooks of the Zwalm River basin. Special interest was paid to the frequency of occurrence of the taxa as well as the selection of the predictors and variables to be predicted on the prediction reliability of the developed models. Sensitivity analyses allowed us to study the impact of the predictive variables on the prediction of presence or absence of macroinvertebrate taxa and to define which variables are the most influential in determining the neural network outputs.
RSM and ANN Modeling of Micro Wire Electrical Discharge Machining of AL 2024 T351
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Sivaprakasam Palani
2015-01-01
Full Text Available This paper presents modeling and analysis of machining characteristics of Micro Wire Electro Discharge Machining (Micro-WEDM process on Aluminium alloy (AL 2024 T351 using the Response Surface Methodology (RSM and Artificial Neural Network (ANN. The input variables of Micro-WEDM process were voltage, capacitance and feed rate. The surface roughness and material removal rate are considered as a response variables. Experiments were carried out on Aluminium alloy using Central Composite Design (CCD. The RSM and ANN models have been developed based on experimental designs. Analysis of variance (ANOVA has been employed to test the significance of RSM model. It has been found out that all the three process parameters are significant and their interaction effects are also significant on the surface roughness and material removal rate. Finally predicted values were compared with ANN.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ting Zhou
2017-10-01
Full Text Available Reliable prediction of groundwater depth fluctuations has been an important component in sustainable water resources management. In this study, a data-driven prediction model combining discrete wavelet transform (DWT preprocess and support vector machine (SVM was proposed for groundwater depth forecasting. Regular artificial neural networks (ANN, regular SVM, and wavelet preprocessed artificial neural networks (WANN models were also developed for comparison. These methods were applied to the monthly groundwater depth records over a period of 37 years from ten wells in the Mengcheng County, China. Relative absolute error (RAE, Pearson correlation coefficient (r, root mean square error (RMSE, and Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE were adopted for model evaluation. The results indicate that wavelet preprocess extremely improved the training and test performance of ANN and SVM models. The WSVM model provided the most precise and reliable groundwater depth prediction compared with ANN, SVM, and WSVM models. The criterion of RAE, r, RMSE, and NSE values for proposed WSVM model are 0.20, 0.97, 0.18 and 0.94, respectively. Comprehensive comparisons and discussion revealed that wavelet preprocess extremely improves the prediction precision and reliability for both SVM and ANN models. The prediction result of SVM model is superior to ANN model in generalization ability and precision. Nevertheless, the performance of WANN is superior to SVM model, which further validates the power of data preprocess in data-driven prediction models. Finally, the optimal model, WSVM, is discussed by comparing its subseries performances as well as model performance stability, revealing the efficiency and universality of WSVM model in data driven prediction field.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
C. TURELI BILEN
2011-10-01
Full Text Available An evaluation of the performance of artificial networks (ANNs to estimate the weights of blue crab (Callinectes sapidus catches in Yumurtalık Cove (Iskenderun Bay that uses measured predictor variables is presented, including carapace width (CW, sex (male, female and female with eggs, and sampling month. Blue crabs (n=410 were collected each month between 15 September 1996 and 15 May 1998. Sex, CW, and sampling month were used and specified in the input layer of the network. The weights of the blue crabs were utilized in the output layer of the network. A multi-layer perception architecture model was used and was calibrated with the Levenberg Marguardt (LM algorithm. Finally, the values were determined by the ANN model using the actual data. The mean square error (MSE was measured as 3.3, and the best results had a correlation coefficient (R of 0.93. We compared the predictive capacity of the general linear model (GLM versus the Artificial Neural Network model (ANN for the estimation of the weights of blue crabs from independent field data. The results indicated the higher performance capacity of the ANN to predict weights compared to the GLM (R=0.97 vs. R=0.95, raw variable when evaluated against independent field data.
Damage level prediction of non-reshaped berm breakwater using ANN, SVM and ANFIS models
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Sukomal Mandal
2012-06-01
Full Text Available The damage analysis of coastal structure is very important as it involves many design parameters to be considered for the better and safe design of structure. In the present study experimental data for non-reshaped berm breakwater are collected from Marine Structures Laboratory, Department of Applied Mechanics and Hydraulics, NITK, Surathkal, India. Soft computing techniques like Artificial Neural Network (ANN, Support Vector Machine (SVM and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference system (ANFIS models are constructed using experimental data sets to predict the damage level of non-reshaped berm breakwater. The experimental data are used to train ANN, SVM and ANFIS models and results are determined in terms of statistical measures like mean square error, root mean square error, correlation coefficient and scatter index. The result shows that soft computing techniques i.e., ANN, SVM and ANFIS can be efficient tools in predicting damage levels of non reshaped berm breakwater.
Development and Testing of an ANN Model for Estimation of Runoff from a Snow Covered Catchment
Bhadra, A.; Bandyopadhyay, A.; Chakraborty, S.; Roy, S.; Kumar, T.
2017-06-01
In this study, an attempt has been made to develop an ANN model to estimate runoff from a snow covered catchment of eastern Himalaya using feed-forward back-propagation algorithm with Levenberg-Marquardt optimization technique. The ANN model was programmed in C++ whereas a user-friendly GUI was developed in VB. The effects of past days rainfall and present day temperature data was observed on the performance of the selected ANN architecture in modelling snowmelt and monsoon season runoff. For this purpose, 8 years' (2003-2010) daily data (rainfall, temperature, and discharge) were collected from CWC which were again divided into two parts (2003-2008 and 2009-2010) for training and testing of the ANN model, respectively. Initially it was found that the network can produce acceptable results with only rainfall data as input, but it needs at least past 3 days rainfall data to account for the antecedent moisture condition of the catchment. Networks 4-16-16-1 (with past 3 days rainfall) and 6-18-18-18-1 (with past 5 days rainfall) resulted modelling efficiency of 79.38 and 82.06% in training and 55.13 and 61.06% in validation, respectively. However, addition of present day temperature data as another input improved the performance in both training (ME 83.10 and 82.22%) and testing (ME 62.64 and 61.89%) marginally.
On The Comparison of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and ...
African Journals Online (AJOL)
PROF. OLIVER OSUAGWA
real life problems ranging from management sciences, business schools, and others [10], [12],. [14], [17]. Moreover, this study aims at comparisons of the model performance of neural network and statistical technique (Multinomial Logistic. Regression) in view of other objectives, using secondary data from the department of.
Wind speed forecasting in three different regions of Mexico, using a hybrid ARIMA-ANN model
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Cadenas, Erasmo [Facultad de Ingenieria Mecanica, Universidad Michoacana de San Nicolas de Hidalgo, Santiago Tapia No. 403, Centro (Mexico); Rivera, Wilfrido [Centro de Ivestigacion en Energia, Universidad Nacional Autonoma de Mexico, Apartado Postal 34, Temixco 62580, Morelos (Mexico)
2010-12-15
In this paper the wind speed forecasting in the Isla de Cedros in Baja California, in the Cerro de la Virgen in Zacatecas and in Holbox in Quintana Roo is presented. The time series utilized are average hourly wind speed data obtained directly from the measurements realized in the different sites during about one month. In order to do wind speed forecasting Hybrid models consisting of Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models were developed. The ARIMA models were first used to do the wind speed forecasting of the time series and then with the obtained errors ANN were built taking into account the nonlinear tendencies that the ARIMA technique could not identify, reducing with this the final errors. Once the Hybrid models were developed 48 data out of sample for each one of the sites were used to do the wind speed forecasting and the results were compared with the ARIMA and the ANN models working separately. Statistical error measures such as the mean error (ME), the mean square error (MSE) and the mean absolute error (MAE) were calculated to compare the three methods. The results showed that the Hybrid models predict the wind velocities with a higher accuracy than the ARIMA and ANN models in the three examined sites. (author)
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Cho, Daniel D; Wernicke, A Gabriella; Nori, Dattatreyudu; Chao, KSC; Parashar, Bhupesh; Chang, Jenghwa [Weill Cornell Medical College, NY, NY (United States)
2014-06-01
Purpose/Objective(s): The aim of this study is to build the estimator of toxicity using artificial neural network (ANN) for head and neck cancer patients Materials/Methods: An ANN can combine variables into a predictive model during training and considered all possible correlations of variables. We constructed an ANN based on the data from 73 patients with advanced H and N cancer treated with external beam radiotherapy and/or chemotherapy at our institution. For the toxicity estimator we defined input data including age, sex, site, stage, pathology, status of chemo, technique of external beam radiation therapy (EBRT), length of treatment, dose of EBRT, status of post operation, length of follow-up, the status of local recurrences and distant metastasis. These data were digitized based on the significance and fed to the ANN as input nodes. We used 20 hidden nodes (for the 13 input nodes) to take care of the correlations of input nodes. For training ANN, we divided data into three subsets such as training set, validation set and test set. Finally, we built the estimator for the toxicity from ANN output. Results: We used 13 input variables including the status of local recurrences and distant metastasis and 20 hidden nodes for correlations. 59 patients for training set, 7 patients for validation set and 7 patients for test set and fed the inputs to Matlab neural network fitting tool. We trained the data within 15% of errors of outcome. In the end we have the toxicity estimation with 74% of accuracy. Conclusion: We proved in principle that ANN can be a very useful tool for predicting the RT outcomes for high risk H and N patients. Currently we are improving the results using cross validation.
Gholamreza Asadollahfardi; Azadeh Hemati; Saber Moradinejad; Rashin Asadollahfardi
2013-01-01
Considering the significance of the Sodium Adsorption Ratio (SAR) for growing plants, its prediction is essential for water quality management for irrigation. The SAR prediction in Chelghazy River in Kurdistan, northwest of Iran, using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was studied. The study applied the Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) of the ANN to average monthly data, which was collected by the water authority of the Kurdistan province for the period of 1998-2009. The input parameters of the M...
Shekarrizfard, Maryam; Karimi-Jashni, A; Hadad, K
2012-01-01
In this paper, a novel method in the estimation and prediction of PM(10) is introduced using wavelet transform-based artificial neural networks (WT-ANN). First, the application of wavelet transform, selected for its temporal shift properties and multiresolution analysis characteristics enabling it to reduce disturbing perturbations in input training set data, is presented. Afterward, the circular statistical indices which are used in this method are formally introduced in order to investigate the relation between PM(10) levels and circular meteorological variables. Then, the results of the simulation of PM(10) based on WT-ANN by use of MATLAB software are discussed. The results of the above-mentioned simulation show an enhanced accuracy and speed in PM(10) estimation/prediction and a high degree of robustness compared with traditional ANN models.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Yasser Abdallah Mohamed Moussa
2013-12-01
Full Text Available Local scour downstream stilling basins is so complex that it makes it difficult to establish a general empirical model to provide accurate estimation for scour depth. Lack estimation of local scour can endanger to stability of hydraulic structure and can cause risk of failure. This paper presents Gene expression program (GEP and artificial neural network (ANNs, to simulate local scour depth downstream hydraulic structures. The experimental data is collected from the literature for the scour depth downstream the stilling basin through a trapezoidal channel. Using GEP approach gives satisfactory results compared with artificial neural network (ANN and multiple linear regression (MLR modeling in predicting the scour depth downstream of hydraulic structures.
Pelicano, Christian Mark; Rapadas, Nick; Cagatan, Gerard; Magdaluyo, Eduardo
2017-12-01
Herein, the crystallite size and band gap energy of zinc oxide (ZnO) quantum dots were predicted using artificial neural network (ANN). Three input factors including reagent ratio, growth time, and growth temperature were examined with respect to crystallite size and band gap energy as response factors. The generated results from neural network model were then compared with the experimental results. Experimental crystallite size and band gap energy of ZnO quantum dots were measured from TEM images and absorbance spectra, respectively. The Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) algorithm was used as the learning algorithm for the ANN model. The performance of the ANN model was then assessed through mean square error (MSE) and regression values. Based on the results, the ANN modelling results are in good agreement with the experimental data.
Optimum coagulant forecasting by modeling jar test experiments using ANNs
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
S. Haghiri
2018-01-01
Full Text Available Currently, the proper utilization of water treatment plants and optimizing their use is of particular importance. Coagulation and flocculation in water treatment are the common ways through which the use of coagulants leads to instability of particles and the formation of larger and heavier particles, resulting in improvement of sedimentation and filtration processes. Determination of the optimum dose of such a coagulant is of particular significance. A high dose, in addition to adding costs, can cause the sediment to remain in the filtrate, a dangerous condition according to the standards, while a sub-adequate dose of coagulants can result in the reducing the required quality and acceptable performance of the coagulation process. Although jar tests are used for testing coagulants, such experiments face many constraints with respect to evaluating the results produced by sudden changes in input water because of their significant costs, long time requirements, and complex relationships among the many factors (turbidity, temperature, pH, alkalinity, etc. that can influence the efficiency of coagulant and test results. Modeling can be used to overcome these limitations; in this research study, an artificial neural network (ANN multi-layer perceptron (MLP with one hidden layer has been used for modeling the jar test to determine the dosage level of used coagulant in water treatment processes. The data contained in this research have been obtained from the drinking water treatment plant located in Ardabil province in Iran. To evaluate the performance of the model, the mean squared error (MSE and correlation coefficient (R2 parameters have been used. The obtained values are within an acceptable range that demonstrates the high accuracy of the models with respect to the estimation of water-quality characteristics and the optimal dosages of coagulants; so using these models will allow operators to not only reduce costs and time taken to perform
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Emilio Jiménez-Macías
2014-01-01
Full Text Available This paper analyses the correlation between the acoustic emission signals and the main parameters of friction stir welding process based on artificial neural networks (ANNs. The acoustic emission signals in Z and Y directions have been acquired by the AE instrument NI USB-9234. Statistical and temporal parameters of discomposed acoustic emission signals using Wavelet Transform have been used as input of the ANN. The outputs of the ANN model include the parameters of tool rotation speed and travel speed, and tool profile, as well as the tensile strength. A multilayer feed-forward neural network has been selected and trained, using Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm for different network architectures. Finally, an analysis of the comparison between the measured and the calculated data is presented. The model obtained can be used to model and develop an automatic control of the parameters of the process and mechanical properties of joint, based on the acoustic emission signals.
Modelling flow dynamics in water distribution networks using ...
African Journals Online (AJOL)
Computational approaches can be used to detect leakages in water distribution networks. One such approach is the Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) technique. The advantage of ANNs is that they are robust and can be used to model complex linear and non-linear systems without making implicit assumptions. ANNs can ...
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Julio Rojas Naccha
2012-09-01
Full Text Available The predictive ability of Artificial Neural Network (ANN on the effect of the concentration (30, 40, 50 y 60 % w/w and temperature (30, 40 y 50°C of fructooligosaccharides solution, in the mass, moisture, volume and solids of osmodehydrated yacon cubes, and in the coefficients of the water means effective diffusivity with and without shrinkage was evaluated. The Feedforward type ANN with the Backpropagation training algorithms and the Levenberg-Marquardt weight adjustment was applied, using the following topology: 10-5 goal error, 0.01 learning rate, 0.5 moment coefficient, 2 input neurons, 6 output neurons, one hidden layer with 18 neurons, 15 training stages and logsig-pureline transfer functions. The overall average error achieved by the ANN was 3.44% and correlation coefficients were bigger than 0.9. No significant differences were found between the experimental values and the predicted values achieved by the ANN and with the predicted values achieved by a statistical model of second-order polynomial regression (p > 0.95.
Artificial neural networks (ANN): prediction of sensory measurements from instrumental data
Carvalho,Naiara Barbosa; Minim,Valéria Paula Rodrigues; Silva,Rita de Cássia dos Santos Navarro; Della Lucia,Suzana Maria; Minim,Luis Aantonio
2013-01-01
The objective of this study was to predict by means of Artificial Neural Network (ANN), multilayer perceptrons, the texture attributes of light cheesecurds perceived by trained judges based on instrumental texture measurements. Inputs to the network were the instrumental texture measurements of light cheesecurd (imitative and fundamental parameters). Output variables were the sensory attributes consistency and spreadability. Nine light cheesecurd formulations composed of different combination...
Mirian, Negin-Sadat; Sedehi, Morteza; Kheiri, Soleiman; Ahmadi, Ali
2016-01-01
In medical studies, when the joint prediction about occurrence of two events should be anticipated, a statistical bivariate model is used. Due to the limitations of usual statistical models, other methods such as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and hybrid models could be used. In this paper, we propose a hybrid Artificial Neural Network-Genetic Algorithm (ANN-GA) model to prediction the occurrence of heart block and death in myocardial infarction (MI) patients simultaneously. For fitting and comparing the models, 263 new patients with definite diagnosis of MI hospitalized in Cardiology Ward of Hajar Hospital, Shahrekord, Iran, from March, 2014 to March, 2016 were enrolled. Occurrence of heart block and death were employed as bivariate binary outcomes. Bivariate Logistic Regression (BLR), ANN and hybrid ANN-GA models were fitted to data. Prediction accuracy was used to compare the models. The codes were written in Matlab 2013a and Zelig package in R3.2.2. The prediction accuracy of BLR, ANN and hybrid ANN-GA models was obtained 77.7%, 83.69% and 93.85% for the training and 78.48%, 84.81% and 96.2% for the test data, respectively. In both training and test data set, hybrid ANN-GA model had better accuracy. ANN model could be a suitable alternative for modeling and predicting bivariate binary responses when the presuppositions of statistical models are not met in actual data. In addition, using optimization methods, such as hybrid ANN-GA model, could improve precision of ANN model.
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Yousefi, M.; Omid, M.; Rafiee, Sh. [Department of Agricultural Machinery Engineering, University of Tehran, Karaj (Iran, Islamic Republic of); Ghaderi, S.F. [Department of Industrial Engineering, University of Tehran, Tehran (Iran, Islamic Republic of)
2013-07-01
Iran's primary energy consumption (PEC) was modeled as a linear function of five socioeconomic and meteorological explanatory variables using particle swarm optimization (PSO) and artificial neural networks (ANNs) techniques. Results revealed that ANN outperforms PSO model to predict test data. However, PSO technique is simple and provided us with a closed form expression to forecast PEC. Energy demand was forecasted by PSO and ANN using represented scenario. Finally, adapting about 10% renewable energy revealed that based on the developed linear programming (LP) model under minimum CO2 emissions, Iran will emit about 2520 million metric tons CO2 in 2025. The LP model indicated that maximum possible development of hydropower, geothermal and wind energy resources will satisfy the aim of minimization of CO2 emissions. Therefore, the main strategic policy in order to reduce CO2 emissions would be exploitation of these resources.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Erna Rusliana Muhamad Saleh
2014-02-01
Full Text Available Wafer is type of biscuit frequently found on expired condition in market, therefore prediction method should be implemented to avoid this condition. apart from the prediction of shelf-life of wafer done by laboratory test, which were time-consuming, expensive, required trained panelists, complex equipment and suitable ambience, artificial neural network (ANN based dielectric parameters was proposed in nthis study. The aim of study was to develop model to predict shelf-life employing aNN based capacitance parameter. Back propagation algorithm with trial and error was applied in variations of nodes per hidden layer, number of hidden layers, activation functions, the function of learnings and epochs. The result of study was the model was able to predict wafer shelf-life. The accuracy level was shown by low MSE value (0.01 and high coefficient correlation value (89.25%. Keywords: artificial Neural Network, shelf-life, waffer, dielectric, capacitance ABSTRAK Wafer adalah jenis makanan kering yang sering ditemukan kedaluwarsa. Penentuan masa kedaluwarsa dengan observasi laboratorium memiliki beberapa kelemahan, diantaranya memakan waktu, panelis terlatih, suasana yang tepat, biaya dan alat uji yang kompleks. alternatif solusinya adalah penggunaan artificial Neural Network (ANN berbasiskan parameter kapasitansi. Tujuan kerja ilmiah ini adalah untuk memprediksi masa kedaluwarsa wafer menggunakan aNN berbasiskan parameter kapasitansi. algoritma pembelajaran yang digunakan adalah Backpropagation dengan trial and error variasi jumlah node per hidden layer, jumlah hidden layer, fungsi aktivasi, fungsi pembelajaran dan epoch. Hasil prediksi menunjukkan bahwa aNN hasil pelatihan yang dikombinasikan dengan parameter kapasitansi mampu memprediksi masa kedaluwarsa wafer dengan MSE terendah 0,01 dan R tertinggi 89,25%. Kata kunci: Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan, masa kedaluwarsa, wafer, dielektrik, kapasitansi
Forecasting currency circulation data of Bank Indonesia by using hybrid ARIMAX-ANN model
Prayoga, I. Gede Surya Adi; Suhartono, Rahayu, Santi Puteri
2017-05-01
The purpose of this study is to forecast currency inflow and outflow data of Bank Indonesia. Currency circulation in Indonesia is highly influenced by the presence of Eid al-Fitr. One way to forecast the data with Eid al-Fitr effect is using autoregressive integrated moving average with exogenous input (ARIMAX) model. However, ARIMAX is a linear model, which cannot handle nonlinear correlation structures of the data. In the field of forecasting, inaccurate predictions can be considered caused by the existence of nonlinear components that are uncaptured by the model. In this paper, we propose a hybrid model of ARIMAX and artificial neural networks (ANN) that can handle both linear and nonlinear correlation. This method was applied for 46 series of currency inflow and 46 series of currency outflow. The results showed that based on out-of-sample root mean squared error (RMSE), the hybrid models are up to10.26 and 10.65 percent better than ARIMAX for inflow and outflow series, respectively. It means that ANN performs well in modeling nonlinear correlation of the data and can increase the accuracy of linear model.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mohammad Ali Ahmadi
2015-06-01
In this work, novel and rigorous methods based on two different types of intelligent approaches including the artificial neural network (ANN linked to the particle swarm optimization (PSO tool are developed to precisely forecast the productivity of horizontal wells under pseudo-steady-state conditions. It was found that there is very good match between the modeling output and the real data taken from the literature, so that a very low average absolute error percentage is attained (e.g., <0.82%. The developed techniques can be also incorporated in the numerical reservoir simulation packages for the purpose of accuracy improvement as well as better parametric sensitivity analysis.
The Segmentation of Point Clouds with K-Means and ANN (artifical Neural Network)
Kuçak, R. A.; Özdemir, E.; Erol, S.
2017-05-01
Segmentation of point clouds is recently used in many Geomatics Engineering applications such as the building extraction in urban areas, Digital Terrain Model (DTM) generation and the road or urban furniture extraction. Segmentation is a process of dividing point clouds according to their special characteristic layers. The present paper discusses K-means and self-organizing map (SOM) which is a type of ANN (Artificial Neural Network) segmentation algorithm which treats the segmentation of point cloud. The point clouds which generate with photogrammetric method and Terrestrial Lidar System (TLS) were segmented according to surface normal, intensity and curvature. Thus, the results were evaluated. LIDAR (Light Detection and Ranging) and Photogrammetry are commonly used to obtain point clouds in many remote sensing and geodesy applications. By photogrammetric method or LIDAR method, it is possible to obtain point cloud from terrestrial or airborne systems. In this study, the measurements were made with a Leica C10 laser scanner in LIDAR method. In photogrammetric method, the point cloud was obtained from photographs taken from the ground with a 13 MP non-metric camera.
THE SEGMENTATION OF POINT CLOUDS WITH K-MEANS AND ANN (ARTIFICAL NEURAL NETWORK
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
R. A. Kuçak
2017-05-01
Full Text Available Segmentation of point clouds is recently used in many Geomatics Engineering applications such as the building extraction in urban areas, Digital Terrain Model (DTM generation and the road or urban furniture extraction. Segmentation is a process of dividing point clouds according to their special characteristic layers. The present paper discusses K-means and self-organizing map (SOM which is a type of ANN (Artificial Neural Network segmentation algorithm which treats the segmentation of point cloud. The point clouds which generate with photogrammetric method and Terrestrial Lidar System (TLS were segmented according to surface normal, intensity and curvature. Thus, the results were evaluated. LIDAR (Light Detection and Ranging and Photogrammetry are commonly used to obtain point clouds in many remote sensing and geodesy applications. By photogrammetric method or LIDAR method, it is possible to obtain point cloud from terrestrial or airborne systems. In this study, the measurements were made with a Leica C10 laser scanner in LIDAR method. In photogrammetric method, the point cloud was obtained from photographs taken from the ground with a 13 MP non-metric camera.
Artificial neural networks (ANN: prediction of sensory measurements from instrumental data
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Naiara Barbosa Carvalho
2013-12-01
Full Text Available The objective of this study was to predict by means of Artificial Neural Network (ANN, multilayer perceptrons, the texture attributes of light cheesecurds perceived by trained judges based on instrumental texture measurements. Inputs to the network were the instrumental texture measurements of light cheesecurd (imitative and fundamental parameters. Output variables were the sensory attributes consistency and spreadability. Nine light cheesecurd formulations composed of different combinations of fat and water were evaluated. The measurements obtained by the instrumental and sensory analyses of these formulations constituted the data set used for training and validation of the network. Network training was performed using a back-propagation algorithm. The network architecture selected was composed of 8-3-9-2 neurons in its layers, which quickly and accurately predicted the sensory texture attributes studied, showing a high correlation between the predicted and experimental values for the validation data set and excellent generalization ability, with a validation RMSE of 0.0506.
Maghrabi, Mahmoud M. T.; Kumar, Shiva; Bakr, Mohamed H.
2018-02-01
This work introduces a powerful digital nonlinear feed-forward equalizer (NFFE), exploiting multilayer artificial neural network (ANN). It mitigates impairments of optical communication systems arising due to the nonlinearity introduced by direct photo-detection. In a direct detection system, the detection process is nonlinear due to the fact that the photo-current is proportional to the absolute square of the electric field intensity. The proposed equalizer provides the most efficient computational cost with high equalization performance. Its performance is comparable to the benchmark compensation performance achieved by maximum-likelihood sequence estimator. The equalizer trains an ANN to act as a nonlinear filter whose impulse response removes the intersymbol interference (ISI) distortions of the optical channel. Owing to the proposed extensive training of the equalizer, it achieves the ultimate performance limit of any feed-forward equalizer (FFE). The performance and efficiency of the equalizer is investigated by applying it to various practical short-reach fiber optic communication system scenarios. These scenarios are extracted from practical metro/media access networks and data center applications. The obtained results show that the ANN-NFFE compensates for the received BER degradation and significantly increases the tolerance to the chromatic dispersion distortion.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mahmoud S. Nasr
2012-03-01
Full Text Available A reliable model for any Wastewater Treatment Plant WWTP is essential in order to provide a tool for predicting its performance and to form a basis for controlling the operation of the process. This would minimize the operation costs and assess the stability of environmental balance. This paper focuses on applying an Artificial Neural Network (ANN approach with a Feed-Forward Back-Propagation to predict the performance of EL-AGAMY WWTP-Alexandria in terms of Chemical Oxygen Demand (COD, Biochemical Oxygen Demand (BOD and Total Suspended Solids (TSSs data gathered during a research over a 1-year period. The study signifies that the ANN can predict the plant performance with correlation coefficient (R between the observed and predicted output variables reached up to 0.90. Moreover, ANN provides an effective analyzing and diagnosing tool to understand and simulate the non-linear behavior of the plant, and is used as a valuable performance assessment tool for plant operators and decision makers.
ANN modeling of water consumption in the lead-acid batteries
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Karimi, Mohammad Ali [Department of Chemistry, Payame-Noor University of Sirjan, Sirjan (Iran); Department of Chemistry, Shahid Bahonar University of Kerman, Kerman (Iran); Karami, Hassan [Department of Chemistry, Payame-Noor University of Abhar, Abhar (Iran); Mahdipour, Maryam [Department of Chemistry, Payame-Noor University of Sirjan, Sirjan (Iran); R and D Center, Sepahan Battery Industrial Complex, Oshtorjan Industrial Zone, Isfahan (Iran)
2007-10-25
Due to importance of the quantity of water loss in the life cycle of lead-acid batteries, water consumption tests were performed on 72 lead-acid batteries with low antimony grid alloy at different charge voltages and temperatures. Weight loss of batteries was measured during a period of 10 days. The behavior of batteries in different charge voltages and temperatures were modeled by artificial neural networks (ANNs) using MATLAB 7 media. Four temperatures were used in the training set, out of which three were used in prediction set and one in validation set. The network was trained by training and prediction data sets, and then was used for predicting water consumption in all three temperatures of prediction set. Finally, the network obtained was verified while being used in predicting water loss in defined temperatures of validation set. To achieve a better evaluation of the model ability, three models with different validation temperatures were used (model 1 = 50 C, model 2 = 60 C and model 3 = 70 C). There was a good agreement between predicted and experimental results at prediction and validation sets for all the models. Mean prediction errors in modeling charge voltage-temperature-time behavior in the water consumption quantity for models 1-3 were below 0.99%, 0.03%, and 0.76%, respectively. The model can be simply used by inexpert operators working in lead-acid battery industry. (author)
ANN modeling of water consumption in the lead-acid batteries
Karimi, Mohammad Ali; Karami, Hassan; Mahdipour, Maryam
Due to importance of the quantity of water loss in the life cycle of lead-acid batteries, water consumption tests were performed on 72 lead-acid batteries with low antimony grid alloy at different charge voltages and temperatures. Weight loss of batteries was measured during a period of 10 days. The behavior of batteries in different charge voltages and temperatures were modeled by artificial neural networks (ANNs) using MATLAB 7 media. Four temperatures were used in the training set, out of which three were used in prediction set and one in validation set. The network was trained by training and prediction data sets, and then was used for predicting water consumption in all three temperatures of prediction set. Finally, the network obtained was verified while being used in predicting water loss in defined temperatures of validation set. To achieve a better evaluation of the model ability, three models with different validation temperatures were used (model 1 = 50 °C, model 2 = 60 °C and model 3 = 70 °C). There was a good agreement between predicted and experimental results at prediction and validation sets for all the models. Mean prediction errors in modeling charge voltage-temperature-time behavior in the water consumption quantity for models 1-3 were below 0.99%, 0.03%, and 0.76%, respectively. The model can be simply used by inexpert operators working in lead-acid battery industry.
Liu, Yong; Munteanu, Cristian R; Fernandez-Lozano, Carlos; Pazos, Alejandro; Ran, Tao; Tan, Zhiliang; Yu, Yizun; Zhou, Chuanshe; Tang, Shaoxun; González-Díaz, Humberto
2017-01-01
The electrokinetic properties of the rumen microbiota are involved in cell surface adhesion and microbial metabolism. An in vitro study was carried out in batch culture to determine the effects of three levels of special surface area (SSA) of biomaterials and four levels of surface tension (ST) of culture medium on electrokinetic properties (Zeta potential, ξ; electrokinetic mobility, μe), fermentation parameters (volatile fatty acids, VFAs), and ST over fermentation processes (ST-a, γ). The obtained results were combined with previously published data (digestibility, D; pH; concentration of ammonia nitrogen, c(NH3-N)) to establish a predictive artificial neural network (ANN) model. Concepts of dual-time series analysis, perturbation theory (PT), and Box-Jenkins Operators were applied for the first time to develop an ANN model to predict the variations of the electrokinetic properties of microbiota. The best dual-time series Radial Basis Functions (RBR) model for ξ of rumen microbiota predicted ξ for >30,000 cases with a correlation coefficient >0.8. This model provided insight into the correlations between electrokinetic property (zeta potential) of rumen microbiota and the perturbations of physical factors (specific surface area and surface tension) of media, digestibility of substrate, and their metabolites (NH3-N, VFAs) in relation to environmental factors.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Yong Liu
2017-06-01
Full Text Available The electrokinetic properties of the rumen microbiota are involved in cell surface adhesion and microbial metabolism. An in vitro study was carried out in batch culture to determine the effects of three levels of special surface area (SSA of biomaterials and four levels of surface tension (ST of culture medium on electrokinetic properties (Zeta potential, ξ; electrokinetic mobility, μe, fermentation parameters (volatile fatty acids, VFAs, and ST over fermentation processes (ST-a, γ. The obtained results were combined with previously published data (digestibility, D; pH; concentration of ammonia nitrogen, c(NH3-N to establish a predictive artificial neural network (ANN model. Concepts of dual-time series analysis, perturbation theory (PT, and Box-Jenkins Operators were applied for the first time to develop an ANN model to predict the variations of the electrokinetic properties of microbiota. The best dual-time series Radial Basis Functions (RBR model for ξ of rumen microbiota predicted ξ for >30,000 cases with a correlation coefficient >0.8. This model provided insight into the correlations between electrokinetic property (zeta potential of rumen microbiota and the perturbations of physical factors (specific surface area and surface tension of media, digestibility of substrate, and their metabolites (NH3-N, VFAs in relation to environmental factors.
Rahmanian, Bashir; Pakizeh, Majid; Mansoori, Seyed Ali Akbar; Abedini, Reza
2011-03-15
In this study, micellar-enhanced ultrafiltration (MEUF) was applied to remove zinc ions from wastewater efficiently. Frequently, experimental design and artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been successfully used in membrane filtration process in recent years. In the present work, prediction of the permeate flux and rejection of metal ions by MEUF was tested, using design of experiment (DOE) and ANN models. In order to reach the goal of determining all the influential factors and their mutual effect on the overall performance the fractional factorial design has been used. The results show that due to the complexity in generalization of the MEUF process by any mathematical model, the neural network proves to be a very promising method in compared with fractional factorial design for the purpose of process simulation. These mathematical models are found to be reliable and predictive tools with an excellent accuracy, because their AARE was ±0.229%, ±0.017%, in comparison with experimental values for permeate flux and rejection, respectively. Copyright © 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
ANN & ANFIS Models for Prediction of Abrasive Wear of 3105 Aluminium Alloy with Polyurethane Coating
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
H. Alimam
2016-06-01
Full Text Available The quest for safety and reliability has increased significantly after Industrial revolution, so is the case for coating industries. In this paper 3105 Aluminium alloy sheet is coated with organic polyurethane coating. After the implementation of coating, various processes are undergone to check its reliability under elevated conditions. ANN & ANFIS model were developed and trained with an objective to find abrasive wear during the process. ANN & ANFIS model were compared with the experimental results. It is observed that the abrasive wear of a coated specimen can be predicted accurately and precisely using ANN and ANFIS models.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Seyedehelham Sadatiseyedmahalleh
2016-02-01
Full Text Available This research examines and proves this effectiveness connected with artificial neural networks (ANNs as an alternative approach to the use of Support Vector Machine (SVR in the tourism research. This method can be used for the tourism industry to define the turism’s demands in Iran. The outcome reveals the use of ANNs in tourism research might result in better quotations when it comes to prediction bias and accuracy. Even more applications of ANNs in the context of tourism demand evaluation is needed to establish and validate the effects.
An Emotional ANN (EANN) approach to modeling rainfall-runoff process
Nourani, Vahid
2017-01-01
This paper presents the first hydrological implementation of Emotional Artificial Neural Network (EANN), as a new generation of Artificial Intelligence-based models for daily rainfall-runoff (r-r) modeling of the watersheds. Inspired by neurophysiological form of brain, in addition to conventional weights and bias, an EANN includes simulated emotional parameters aimed at improving the network learning process. EANN trained by a modified version of back-propagation (BP) algorithm was applied to single and multi-step-ahead runoff forecasting of two watersheds with two distinct climatic conditions. Also to evaluate the ability of EANN trained by smaller training data set, three data division strategies with different number of training samples were considered for the training purpose. The overall comparison of the obtained results of the r-r modeling indicates that the EANN could outperform the conventional feed forward neural network (FFNN) model up to 13% and 34% in terms of training and verification efficiency criteria, respectively. The superiority of EANN over classic ANN is due to its ability to recognize and distinguish dry (rainless days) and wet (rainy days) situations using hormonal parameters of the artificial emotional system.
Neural networks as models of psychopathology.
Aakerlund, L; Hemmingsen, R
1998-04-01
Neural network modeling is situated between neurobiology, cognitive science, and neuropsychology. The structural and functional resemblance with biological computation has made artificial neural networks (ANN) useful for exploring the relationship between neurobiology and computational performance, i.e., cognition and behavior. This review provides an introduction to the theory of ANN and how they have linked theories from neurobiology and psychopathology in schizophrenia, affective disorders, and dementia.
Comparison of TS and ANN Models with the Results of Emission Scenarios in Rainfall Prediction
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
S. Babaei Hessar
2016-02-01
Full Text Available Introduction: Precipitation is one of the most important and sensitive parameters of the tropical climate that influence the catchments hydrological regime. The prediction of rainfall is vital for strategic planning and water resources management. Despite its importance, statistical rainfall forecasting, especially for long-term, has been proven to be a great challenge due to the dynamic nature of climate phenomena and random fluctuations involved in the process. Various methods, such as time series and artificial neural network models, have been proposed to predict the level of rainfall. But there is not enough attention to global warming and climate change issues. The main aim of this study is to investigate the conformity of artificial neural network and time series models with climate scenarios. Materials and Methods: For this study, 50 years of daily rainfall data (1961 to 2010 of the synoptic station of Urmia, Tabriz and Khoy was investigated. Data was obtained from Meteorological Organization of Iran. In the present study, the results of two Artificial Neural Network (ANN and Time Seri (TS methods were compared with the result of the Emission Scenarios (A2 & B1. HadCM3 model in LARS-WG software was used to generate rainfall for the next 18 years (2011-2029. The results of models were compared with climate scenarios over the next 18 years in the three synoptic stations located in the basin of the Lake Urmia. At the first stage, the best model of time series method was selected. The precipitation was estimated for the next 18 years using these models. For the same period, precipitation was forecast using artificial neural networks. Finally, the results of two models were compared with data generated under two scenarios (B1 and A2 in LARS-WG. Results and Discussion: Different order of AR, MA and ARMA was examined to select the best model of TS The results show that AR(1 was suitable for Tabriz and Khoy stations .In the Urmia station MA(1 was
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
T. Rajaee
2016-10-01
Full Text Available IntroductionThe water quality is an issue of ongoing concern. Evaluation of the quantity and quality of running waters is considerable in hydro-environmental management.The prediction and control of the quality of Karaj river water, as one of the important needed water supply sources of Tehran, possesses great importance. In this study, Performance of Artificial Neural Network (ANN, Wavelet Neural Network combination (WANN and multi linear regression (MLR models, to predict next month the Nitrate (NO3 and Chloride (CL ions of "gate ofBylaqan sluice" station located in Karaj River has been evaluated. Materials and MethodsIn this research two separate ANN models for prediction of NO3 and CL has been expanded. Each one of the parameters for prediction (NO3 / CL has been put related to the past amounts of the same time series (NO3 / CL and its amounts of Q in past months.From astatisticalperiod of10yearswas usedforthe input of the models. Hence 80% of entire data from (96 initial months of data as training set, next 10% of data (12 months and 10% of the end of time series (terminal 12 months were considered as for validation and test of the models, respectively. In WANNcombination model, the real monthly observed time series of river discharge (Q and mentioned qualityparameters(NO3 / CL were decomposed to some sub-time series at different levels by wavelet analysis.Then the decomposed quality parameters to predict and Q time series were used at different levels as inputs to the ANN technique for predicting one-step-ahead Nitrate and Chloride. These time series play various roles in the original time series and the behavior of each is distinct, so the contribution to the original time series varies from each other. In addition, prediction of high NO3 and CL values greater than mean of data that have great importancewere investigated by the models. The capability of the models was evaluated by Coefficient of Efficiency (E and the Root Mean Square
Mustafa, Yasmen A; Jaid, Ghydaa M; Alwared, Abeer I; Ebrahim, Mothana
2014-06-01
The application of advanced oxidation process (AOP) in the treatment of wastewater contaminated with oil was investigated in this study. The AOP investigated is the homogeneous photo-Fenton (UV/H2O2/Fe(+2)) process. The reaction is influenced by the input concentration of hydrogen peroxide H2O2, amount of the iron catalyst Fe(+2), pH, temperature, irradiation time, and concentration of oil in the wastewater. The removal efficiency for the used system at the optimal operational parameters (H2O2 = 400 mg/L, Fe(+2) = 40 mg/L, pH = 3, irradiation time = 150 min, and temperature = 30 °C) for 1,000 mg/L oil load was found to be 72%. The study examined the implementation of artificial neural network (ANN) for the prediction and simulation of oil degradation in aqueous solution by photo-Fenton process. The multilayered feed-forward networks were trained by using a backpropagation algorithm; a three-layer network with 22 neurons in the hidden layer gave optimal results. The results show that the ANN model can predict the experimental results with high correlation coefficient (R (2) = 0.9949). The sensitivity analysis showed that all studied variables (H2O2, Fe(+2), pH, irradiation time, temperature, and oil concentration) have strong effect on the oil degradation. The pH was found to be the most influential parameter with relative importance of 20.6%.
Multiresolution wavelet-ANN model for significant wave height forecasting.
Digital Repository Service at National Institute of Oceanography (India)
Deka, P.C.; Mandal, S.; Prahlada, R.
Hybrid wavelet artificial neural network (WLNN) has been applied in the present study to forecast significant wave heights (Hs). Here Discrete Wavelet Transformation is used to preprocess the time series data (Hs) prior to Artificial Neural Network...
Aplication of artificial neural network model in aviation specialist training
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Висиль Миколайович Казак
2016-02-01
Full Text Available This paper reviews the application of artificial neural network (ANN model in aviation specialist training. The ANN model is based on the dependence of residual knowledge of subjects of study on their individual abilities. The residual knowledge is the skills acquired by the subject before he is going for an occupation. The presented ANN model gives the possibility to predict the level of professional training of the specialists with high accuracy
Anne K. Bang: Islamic Sufi Networks in the Western Indian Ocean (c. 1880-1940. Ripples of Reform.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Angelika Brodersen
2015-03-01
Full Text Available This contribution offers a review of Anne K. Bang's book: Islamic Sufi Networks in the Western Indian Ocean (c. 1880-1940. Ripples of Reform. Islam in Africa, Volume 16. Leiden: Brill 2014. xiv + 227 pages, € 104.00, ISBN 978-900-425-1342.
Modeling the QSAR of ACE-Inhibitory Peptides with ANN and Its Applied Illustration
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ronghai He
2012-01-01
Full Text Available A quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR model of angiotensin-converting enzyme- (ACE- inhibitory peptides was built with an artificial neural network (ANN approach based on structural or activity data of 58 dipeptides (including peptide activity, hydrophilic amino acids content, three-dimensional shape, size, and electrical parameters, the overall correlation coefficient of the predicted versus actual data points is =0.928, and the model was applied in ACE-inhibitory peptides preparation from defatted wheat germ protein (DWGP. According to the QSAR model, the C-terminal of the peptide was found to have principal importance on ACE-inhibitory activity, that is, if the C-terminal is hydrophobic amino acid, the peptide's ACE-inhibitory activity will be high, and proteins which contain abundant hydrophobic amino acids are suitable to produce ACE-inhibitory peptides. According to the model, DWGP is a good protein material to produce ACE-inhibitory peptides because it contains 42.84% of hydrophobic amino acids, and structural information analysis from the QSAR model showed that proteases of Alcalase and Neutrase were suitable candidates for ACE-inhibitory peptides preparation from DWGP. Considering higher DH and similar ACE-inhibitory activity of hydrolysate compared with Neutrase, Alcalase was finally selected through experimental study.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
U. Feister
2008-06-01
Full Text Available Artificial Neural Networks (ANN are efficient tools to derive solar UV radiation from measured meteorological parameters such as global radiation, aerosol optical depths and atmospheric column ozone. The ANN model has been tested with different combinations of data from the two sites Potsdam and Lindenberg, and used to reconstruct solar UV radiation at eight European sites by more than 100 years into the past. Special emphasis will be given to the discussion of small-scale characteristics of input data to the ANN model.
Annual totals of UV radiation derived from reconstructed daily UV values reflect interannual variations and long-term patterns that are compatible with variabilities and changes of measured input data, in particular global dimming by about 1980/1990, subsequent global brightening, volcanic eruption effects such as that of Mt. Pinatubo, and the long-term ozone decline since the 1970s. Patterns of annual erythemal UV radiation are very similar at sites located at latitudes close to each other, but different patterns occur between UV radiation at sites in different latitude regions.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Lein Michael
2008-09-01
Full Text Available Abstract Background To validate an artificial neural network (ANN based on the combination of PSA velocity (PSAV with a %free PSA-based ANN to enhance the discrimination between prostate cancer (PCa and benign prostate hyperplasia (BPH. Methods The study comprised 199 patients with PCa (n = 49 or BPH (n = 150 with at least three PSA estimations and a minimum of three months intervals between the measurements. Patients were classified into three categories according to PSAV and ANN velocity (ANNV calculated with the %free based ANN "ProstataClass". Group 1 includes the increasing PSA and ANN values, Group 2 the stable values, and Group 3 the decreasing values. Results 71% of PCa patients typically have an increasing PSAV. In comparison, the ANNV only shows this in 45% of all PCa patients. However, BPH patients benefit from ANNV since the stable values are significantly more (83% vs. 65% and increasing values are less frequently (11% vs. 21% if the ANNV is used instead of the PSAV. Conclusion PSAV has only limited usefulness for the detection of PCa with only 71% increasing PSA values, while 29% of all PCa do not have the typical PSAV. The ANNV cannot improve the PCa detection rate but may save 11–17% of unnecessary prostate biopsies in known BPH patients.
Fazli Shahri, Hamid Reza; Mahdavinejad, Ramezanali
2018-02-01
Thermal-based processes with Gaussian heat source often produce excessive temperature which can impose thermally-affected layers in specimens. Therefore, the temperature distribution and Heat Affected Zone (HAZ) of materials are two critical factors which are influenced by different process parameters. Measurement of the HAZ thickness and temperature distribution within the processes are not only difficult but also expensive. This research aims at finding a valuable knowledge on these factors by prediction of the process through a novel combinatory model. In this study, an integrated Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and genetic algorithm (GA) was used to predict the HAZ and temperature distribution of the specimens. To end this, a series of full factorial design of experiments were conducted by applying a Gaussian heat flux on Ti-6Al-4 V at first, then the temperature of the specimen was measured by Infrared thermography. The HAZ width of each sample was investigated through measuring the microhardness. Secondly, the experimental data was used to create a GA-ANN model. The efficiency of GA in design and optimization of the architecture of ANN was investigated. The GA was used to determine the optimal number of neurons in hidden layer, learning rate and momentum coefficient of both output and hidden layers of ANN. Finally, the reliability of models was assessed according to the experimental results and statistical indicators. The results demonstrated that the combinatory model predicted the HAZ and temperature more effective than a trial-and-error ANN model.
Hanief, M.; Wani, M. F.
2015-12-01
In this paper, surface roughness model for running-in and steady state of the wear process is proposed. In this work monotonously decreasing trend of surface roughness during running-in was assumed. The model was developed by considering the surface roughness as an explicit function of time during running-in, keeping other system parameters (velocity, load, hardness, etc.) constant. The proposed model being non-linear, optimal values of the model parameters were evaluated by Gauss-Newton (GN) algorithm. The experimental results adopted from the literature, for steel and Cu-Zn alloy specimens, were used for validation of the model. Artificial neural network (ANN) based model was also developed and was compared with the proposed model on the basis of statistical methods (coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE)).
Buch, A. M.; Narain, A.; Pandey, P. C.
1994-01-01
The simulation of runoff from a Himalayan Glacier basin using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is presented. The performance of the ANN model is found to be superior to the Energy Balance Model and the Multiple Regression model. The RMS Error is used as the figure of merit for judging the performance of the three models, and the RMS Error for the ANN model is the latest of the three models. The ANN is faster in learning and exhibits excellent system generalization characteristics.
Introducing Artificial Neural Networks through a Spreadsheet Model
Rienzo, Thomas F.; Athappilly, Kuriakose K.
2012-01-01
Business students taking data mining classes are often introduced to artificial neural networks (ANN) through point and click navigation exercises in application software. Even if correct outcomes are obtained, students frequently do not obtain a thorough understanding of ANN processes. This spreadsheet model was created to illuminate the roles of…
Vats, Siddharth; Negi, Sangeeta
2013-07-01
In present study, different parameters, i.e., percentage of NaOH, loading volume, microwave power (watt) and volume of water during pretreatment were optimized by ANN for release of polyphenols and sugars from pine fallen foliage. ANN used was feed forward back propagation type with 72 input, 72 output and 10 hidden layers coupled with Lvenberg-Marquardt (LM) training algorithms. The predicted optimal values by generated neural network for alkali pretreatment were 6 ml (0.5% NaOH)/g of substrate, soaking time of 10 min followed by 1 min of 100 W microwave. Pretreated sample on enzymatic hydrolysis at 50°C for 20 h with cocktail of cellulase, xylanase and laccase produced by locally isolated consortia released 668.9 mg/g of total sugar and 265.06 mg/g of total polyphenols. Optimization by ANN showed good yield, therefore, indicating its suitability for bioprocess modeling and control for release of reducing sugars and polyphenols from pine foliage. Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Space partitioning strategies for indoor WLAN positioning with cascade-connected ANN structures.
Borenović, Miloš; Nešković, Aleksandar; Budimir, Djuradj
2011-02-01
Position information in indoor environments can be procured using diverse approaches. Due to the ubiquitous presence of WLAN networks, positioning techniques in these environments are the scope of intense research. This paper explores two strategies for space partitioning when utilizing cascade-connected Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) structures for indoor WLAN positioning. A set of cascade-connected ANN structures with different space partitioning strategies are compared mutually and to the single ANN structure. The benefits of using cascade-connected ANNs structures are shown and discussed in terms of the size of the environment, number of subspaces and partitioning strategy. The optimal cascade-connected ANN structures with space partitioning show up to 50% decrease in median error and up to 12% decrease in the average error with respect to the single ANN model. Finally, the single ANN and the optimal cascade-connected ANN model are compared against other well-known positioning techniques.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Sunil Chamoli
2015-09-01
Full Text Available The turbulence promoters are widely used to enhance the performance of rectangular channel which were used for turbine blade passage cooling. In the present study, the influence of design parameters of the V down perforated baffle roughened rectangular channel on the heat transfer and friction factor was investigated using RSM and ANN. The quadratic model generated by RSM is used to predict the performance parameters, i.e. Nusselt number and friction factor with reasonably good accuracy. The optimum values of the design parameters of the V down perforated baffle roughened rectangular channel are relative roughness pitch of 2.6, relative roughness height of 0.33, open area ratio of 18% and Reynolds number of 18,500, in the desirable range of the order of 0.95. The training of the experimental data is carried out using 4-10-2 neural network and the predicted values are compared with the experimental values and found deviation in the range of ±10% among predicted and experimental values. The comparison of predicted values by RSM and ANN with the experimental values was carried out for each run of experiment and it was observed that the RSM predicted values are in accord with the experimental values in the uncertainty range of ±5%.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ahmad Hasan Nury
2017-01-01
Full Text Available Time-series analyses of temperature data are important for investigating temperature variation and predicting temperature change. Here, Mann–Kendall (M–K analyses of temperature time-series data in northeastern Bangladesh indicated increasing trends (Sen’s slope of maximum and minimum yearly temperature at Sylhet of 0.03 °C and 0.026 °C, respectively, and a minimum temperature at Sreemangal of 0.024 °C except for the maximum temperature at Sreemangal. The linear trends showed that the maximum temperature is increasing by 2.97 °C and 0.59 °C per hundred years, and the minimum, by 2.17 °C and 2.73 °C per hundred years at the Sylhet and Sreemangal stations, indicating that climate change is affecting temperature in this area. This paper presents an alternative method for temperature prediction by combining the wavelet technique with an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA model and an artificial neural network (ANN applied to monthly maximum and minimum temperature data. The data are divided into a training dataset (1957–2000 to construct the models and a testing dataset (2001–2012 to estimate their performance. The calibration and validation performance of the models is evaluated statistically, and the relative performance based on the predictive capability of out-of-sample forecasts is assessed. The results indicate that the wavelet-ARIMA model is more effective than the wavelet-ANN model.
Hu, Dawei; Zhang, Houkai; Zhou, Rui; Li, Ming; Sun, Yi
2013-02-01
When Bioregenerative Life Support System (BLSS) is used for long-term deep space exploration in the future, it is possible to perform closed-loop control on growth of microalgae to effectively regulate O2 production process in emergencies. However, designing controller of microalgae cultivating device (MCD) by means of traditional methods is very difficult or even impossible due to its highly nonlinearity and large operation scope. In our research, the Artificial Neural Network Model Reference Control (ANN-MRC) method was therefore utilized for model identification and controller design for O2 production process of a specific MCD prototype—photo bioreactor (PBR), based on actual experiment and computer simulation. The results demonstrated that the ANN-MRC servo controller could robustly and self-adaptively control and regulate the light intensity of PBR to make O2 concentrations in vent pipe be in line with step reference concentrations with prescribed dynamic response performance.
Balabin, Roman M; Lomakina, Ekaterina I
2011-04-21
In this study, we make a general comparison of the accuracy and robustness of five multivariate calibration models: partial least squares (PLS) regression or projection to latent structures, polynomial partial least squares (Poly-PLS) regression, artificial neural networks (ANNs), and two novel techniques based on support vector machines (SVMs) for multivariate data analysis: support vector regression (SVR) and least-squares support vector machines (LS-SVMs). The comparison is based on fourteen (14) different datasets: seven sets of gasoline data (density, benzene content, and fractional composition/boiling points), two sets of ethanol gasoline fuel data (density and ethanol content), one set of diesel fuel data (total sulfur content), three sets of petroleum (crude oil) macromolecules data (weight percentages of asphaltenes, resins, and paraffins), and one set of petroleum resins data (resins content). Vibrational (near-infrared, NIR) spectroscopic data are used to predict the properties and quality coefficients of gasoline, biofuel/biodiesel, diesel fuel, and other samples of interest. The four systems presented here range greatly in composition, properties, strength of intermolecular interactions (e.g., van der Waals forces, H-bonds), colloid structure, and phase behavior. Due to the high diversity of chemical systems studied, general conclusions about SVM regression methods can be made. We try to answer the following question: to what extent can SVM-based techniques replace ANN-based approaches in real-world (industrial/scientific) applications? The results show that both SVR and LS-SVM methods are comparable to ANNs in accuracy. Due to the much higher robustness of the former, the SVM-based approaches are recommended for practical (industrial) application. This has been shown to be especially true for complicated, highly nonlinear objects.
Artificial neural network models for biomass gasification in fluidized bed gasifiers
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Puig Arnavat, Maria; Hernández, J. Alfredo; Bruno, Joan Carles
2013-01-01
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been applied for modeling biomass gasification process in fluidized bed reactors. Two architectures of ANNs models are presented; one for circulating fluidized bed gasifiers (CFB) and the other for bubbling fluidized bed gasifiers (BFB). Both models determine...
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
M. Hanief
2017-06-01
Full Text Available The life of a cutting tool is greatly influenced by the forces acting on it during a cutting operation. A machining operation is a complex process. It is very difficult to develop a comprehensive model involving all the parameters. The present study aims to develop a model to investigate the effects of cutting parameters (speed, depth of cut and feed rate on the cutting forces during the turning operation of red brass (C23000 using high speed steel (HSS tool. The experimental results are based on full factorial design methodology to increase the reliability and confidence limit of the data. Artificial neural network and multiple regression approaches were used to model the cutting forces on the basis of cutting parameters. In order to check the adequacy of the regression model, analysis of variance (ANOVA was used. It was clear from the ANOVA that the regression model is capable to predict the cutting forces with high accuracy. However, ANN model was found to be more accurate than the regression model.
Shi, Bin; Wang, Peng; Jiang, Jiping; Liu, Rentao
2018-01-01
It is critical for surface water management systems to provide early warnings of abrupt, large variations in water quality, which likely indicate the occurrence of spill incidents. In this study, a combined approach integrating a wavelet artificial neural network (wavelet-ANN) model and high-frequency surrogate measurements is proposed as a method of water quality anomaly detection and warning provision. High-frequency time series of major water quality indexes (TN, TP, COD, etc.) were produced via a regression-based surrogate model. After wavelet decomposition and denoising, a low-frequency signal was imported into a back-propagation neural network for one-step prediction to identify the major features of water quality variations. The precisely trained site-specific wavelet-ANN outputs the time series of residual errors. A warning is triggered when the actual residual error exceeds a given threshold, i.e., baseline pattern, estimated based on long-term water quality variations. A case study based on the monitoring program applied to the Potomac River Basin in Virginia, USA, was conducted. The integrated approach successfully identified two anomaly events of TP variations at a 15-minute scale from high-frequency online sensors. A storm event and point source inputs likely accounted for these events. The results show that the wavelet-ANN model is slightly more accurate than the ANN for high-frequency surface water quality prediction, and it meets the requirements of anomaly detection. Analyses of the performance at different stations and over different periods illustrated the stability of the proposed method. By combining monitoring instruments and surrogate measures, the presented approach can support timely anomaly identification and be applied to urban aquatic environments for watershed management. Copyright © 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Chang Juan
2017-01-01
Full Text Available Precisely quantitative assessments of stream flow response to climatic change and permafrost thawing are highly challenging and urgent in cold regions. However, due to the notably harsh environmental conditions, there is little field monitoring data of runoff in permafrost regions, which has limited the development of physically based models in these regions. To identify the impacts of climate change in the runoff process in the Three-River Headwater Region (TRHR on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, two artificial neural network (ANN models, one with three input variables (previous runoff, air temperature, and precipitation and another with two input variables (air temperature and precipitation only, were developed to simulate and predict the runoff variation in the TRHR. The results show that the three-input variable ANN model has a superior real-time prediction capability and performs well in the simulation and forecasting of the runoff variation in the TRHR. Under the different scenarios conditions, the forecasting results of ANN model indicated that climate change has a great effect on the runoff processes in the TRHR. The results of this study are of practical significance for water resources management and the evaluation of the impacts of climatic change on the hydrological regime in long-term considerations.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Hayder O. Alwan
2017-05-01
Full Text Available This paper presents the effect of the static air-gap eccentricity on the performance of a three phase induction motor .The Artificial Neural Network (ANN approach has been used to detect this fault .This technique depends upon the amplitude of the positive and negative harmonics of the frequency. Two motors of (2.2 Kw have been used to achieve the actual fault and desirable data at no-load, half-load and full-load conditions. Motor Current Signature analysis (MCSA based on stator current has been used to detect eccentricity fault. Feed forward neural network and error back propagation training algorithms are used to perform the motor fault detection. The inputs of artificial neural network are the amplitudes of the positive and negative harmonics and the speed, and the output is the type of fault. The training of neural network is achieved by data through the experiments test on healthy and faulty motor and the diagnostic system can discriminate between “healthy” and “faulty” machine.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Erxu Pi
Full Text Available Temperature is one of the most significant environmental factors that affects germination of grass seeds. Reliable prediction of the optimal temperature for seed germination is crucial for determining the suitable regions and favorable sowing timing for turf grass cultivation. In this study, a back-propagation-artificial-neural-network-aided dual quintic equation (BP-ANN-QE model was developed to improve the prediction of the optimal temperature for seed germination. This BP-ANN-QE model was used to determine optimal sowing times and suitable regions for three Cynodon dactylon cultivars (C. dactylon, 'Savannah' and 'Princess VII'. Prediction of the optimal temperature for these seeds was based on comprehensive germination tests using 36 day/night (high/low temperature regimes (both ranging from 5/5 to 40/40°C with 5°C increments. Seed germination data from these temperature regimes were used to construct temperature-germination correlation models for estimating germination percentage with confidence intervals. Our tests revealed that the optimal high/low temperature regimes required for all the three bermudagrass cultivars are 30/5, 30/10, 35/5, 35/10, 35/15, 35/20, 40/15 and 40/20°C; constant temperatures ranging from 5 to 40°C inhibited the germination of all three cultivars. While comparing different simulating methods, including DQEM, Bisquare ANN-QE, and BP-ANN-QE in establishing temperature based germination percentage rules, we found that the R(2 values of germination prediction function could be significantly improved from about 0.6940-0.8177 (DQEM approach to 0.9439-0.9813 (BP-ANN-QE. These results indicated that our BP-ANN-QE model has better performance than the rests of the compared models. Furthermore, data of the national temperature grids generated from monthly-average temperature for 25 years were fit into these functions and we were able to map the germination percentage of these C. dactylon cultivars in the national scale
Neural network modeling of the light profile in a novel photobioreactor.
Salazar-Peña, R; Alcaraz-González, V; González-Álvarez, V; Snell-Castro, R; Méndez-Acosta, H O
2014-06-01
An artificial neural network (ANN) was implemented to model the light profile pattern inside a photobioreactor (PBR) that uses a toroidal light arrangement. The PBR uses Tequila vinasses as culture medium and purple non-sulfur bacteria Rhodopseudomonas palustris as biocatalyzer. The performance of the ANN was tested for a number of conditions and compared to those obtained by using deterministic models. Both ANN and deterministic models were validated experimentally. In all cases, at low biomass concentration, model predictions yielded determination coefficients greater than 0.9. Nevertheless, ANN yielded the more accurate predictions of the light pattern, at both low and high biomass concentration, when the bioreactor radius, the depth, the rotational speed of the stirrer and the biomass concentration were incorporated in the ANN structure. In comparison, most of the deterministic models failed to correlate the empirical data at high biomass concentration. These results show the usefulness of ANNs in the modeling of the light profile pattern in photobioreactors.
Maddah, Heydar; Ghasemi, Nahid; Keyvani, Bahram; Cheraghali, Ramin
2017-04-01
Present study provides an experimental investigation of the exergetic efficiency due to the flow and heat transfer of nanofluids in different geometries and flow regimes of the double pipe heat exchangers. The experiments with different Geometrical Progression Ratio (GPR) of twists as the new modified twisted tapes and different nanofluid concentration were performed under similar operation condition. Pitch length of the proposed twisted tapes and consequently the twist ratios changed along the twists with respect to the Geometrical Progression Ratio (GPR) whether reducer (RGPR 1). Regarding the experimental data, utilization of RGPR twists together with nanofluids tends to increase exergetic efficiency. Since the Prediction of exergetic efficiency from experimental process is complex and time consuming, artificial neural networks for identification of the relationship, which may exist between the thermal and flow parameters and exergetic efficiency, have been utilized. The network input consists of five parameters ({Re} ,\\Pr ,φ, Tr, GPR) that crucially dominate the heat transfer process. The results proved that the introduced ANN model is reliable and capable in proposing a proper development plan for a heat exchanger and/or to determine the optimal plan of operation for heat transfer process.
Modeling of methane emissions using artificial neural network approach
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Stamenković Lidija J.
2015-01-01
Full Text Available The aim of this study was to develop a model for forecasting CH4 emissions at the national level, using Artificial Neural Networks (ANN with broadly available sustainability, economical and industrial indicators as their inputs. ANN modeling was performed using two different types of architecture; a Backpropagation Neural Network (BPNN and a General Regression Neural Network (GRNN. A conventional multiple linear regression (MLR model was also developed in order to compare model performance and assess which model provides the best results. ANN and MLR models were developed and tested using the same annual data for 20 European countries. The ANN model demonstrated very good performance, significantly better than the MLR model. It was shown that a forecast of CH4 emissions at the national level using the ANN model can be made successfully and accurately for a future period of up to two years, thereby opening the possibility to apply such a modeling technique which can be used to support the implementation of sustainable development strategies and environmental management policies. [Projekat Ministarstva nauke Republike Srbije, br. 172007
(ann) based dynamic voltage restorer
African Journals Online (AJOL)
HOD
artificial intelligence to provide smart triggering pulses for the DVR to mitigate and to provide compensation against ... the starting of large induction motor [6]. ... ANN-based DVR under voltage sags and swells phenomena. In this case, the ANN is trained off-line, and the trained network is employed for on-line control.
Williams, J.; Poff, N.
2005-05-01
Machine learning techniques for ecological applications or "eco-informatics" are becoming increasingly useful and accessible for ecologists. We evaluated the predictive ability of three commercially available (i.e. user-friendly) software packages for artificial neural networks (ANNs), evolutionary algorithms (EAs), and classification/regression trees (Trees). We analyzed fish and habitat data for streams in the mid-Atlantic region of the U.S., which was collected by the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA). The data includes over 200 environmental descriptors summarizing watershed, stream, and water chemistry characteristics in addition to derived fish community metrics (i.e. richness, IBI scores, % exotics). In our analysis we predicted individual species presence/absence and fish community metrics as a function of these local and regional scale habitat variables. Predictive ability is evaluated with independent validation data. These approaches could prove especially useful for conservation or management applications where ecologists seek to utilize the most comprehensive data to make predictions at various scales. By employing "user-friendly" software we hope to show that ecologists, without extensive knowledge of computational science, can benefit from these techniques by extracting more information about complex ecosystems. Relative strengths and weaknesses of these three approaches are compared and recommendations for their use in conservation applications are presented.
Agatonovic-Kustrin, S; Loescher, Christine M; Singh, Ragini
2013-01-01
Echinacea preparations are among the most popular herbal remedies worldwide. Although it is generally assigned immune enhancement activities, the effectiveness of Echinacea is highly dependent on the Echinacea species, part of the plant used, the age of the plant, its location and the method of extraction. The aim of this study was to investigate the capacity of an artificial neural network (ANN) to analyse thin-layer chromatography (TLC) chromatograms as fingerprint patterns for quantitative estimation of three phenylpropanoid markers (chicoric acid, chlorogenic acid and echinacoside) in commercial Echinacea products. By applying samples with different weight ratios of marker compounds to the system, a database of chromatograms was constructed. One hundred and one signal intensities in each of the TLC chromatograms were correlated to the amounts of applied echinacoside, chlorogenic acid and chicoric acid using an ANN. The developed ANN correlation was used to quantify the amounts of three marker compounds in Echinacea commercial formulations. The minimum quantifiable level of 63, 154 and 98 ng and the limit of detection of 19, 46 and 29 ng were established for echinacoside, chlorogenic acid and chicoric acid respectively. A novel method for quality control of herbal products, based on TLC separation, high-resolution digital plate imaging and ANN data analysis has been developed. The method proposed can be adopted for routine evaluation of the phytochemical variability in Echinacea formulations available in the market. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
AnnAGNPS Model Application for Nitrogen Loading Assessment for the Future Midwest Landscape Study
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Michael A. Jackson
2011-02-01
Full Text Available The Future Midwest Landscape (FML project is part of the US Environmental Protection Agency (EPA’s new Ecosystem Services Research Program, undertaken to examine the variety of ways in which landscapes that include crop lands, conservation areas, wetlands, lakes, and streams affect human well-being. The goal of the FML project is to quantify current and future ecosystem services across the region and to examine changes expected to occur as a result of the growing demand for biofuels. This study is one of several pilots taking place under the umbrella of the FML research project. In this study, the USDA Annualized Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution (AnnAGNPS model was applied to the East Fork Kaskaskia River watershed (289.3 km2 located in the Kaskaskia River Basin within the Upper Mississippi River Basin in Illinois. The effect of different spatial resolutions on model performance was investigated by comparing the observed runoff with the AnnAGNPS simulated results. Alternative future scenarios such as meeting future biofuel target were also simulated and analyzed. All delineations of the study area (coarser to finer produced satisfactory results in simulating monthly and annual runoff. However, the size of the delineation does impact the simulation results. Finer delineations better represented the actual landscape and captured small critical areas that would be homogenized in coarser delineation. Those small critical areas are important to target to achieve maximum environment benefit. Simulations of alternative future scenarios showed that as corn production increases to meet future biofuel needs, total nitrogen loss increases. For this watershed, total N loss would be more than doubled if converting all corn/soybean rotation (15,871.2 ha to continuous corn comparing with the base year total N loss which is 11.2 kg/ha. Conservation practices are needed to reduce total nitrogen loss from the watershed. This study provides an important
Global optimization of a neural network-hidden Markov model hybrid.
Bengio, Y; De Mori, R; Flammia, G; Kompe, R
1992-01-01
The integration of multilayered and recurrent artificial neural networks (ANNs) with hidden Markov models (HMMs) is addressed. ANNs are suitable for approximating functions that compute new acoustic parameters, whereas HMMs have been proven successful at modeling the temporal structure of the speech signal. In the approach described, the ANN outputs constitute the sequence of observation vectors for the HMM. An algorithm is proposed for global optimization of all the parameters. Results on speaker-independent recognition experiments using this integrated ANN-HMM system on the TIMIT continuous speech database are reported.
Collaborative networks: Reference modeling
Camarinha-Matos, L.M.; Afsarmanesh, H.
2008-01-01
Collaborative Networks: Reference Modeling works to establish a theoretical foundation for Collaborative Networks. Particular emphasis is put on modeling multiple facets of collaborative networks and establishing a comprehensive modeling framework that captures and structures diverse perspectives of
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Zhongbao Wang
2014-01-01
Full Text Available A computer-aided design model based on the artificial neural network (ANN is proposed to directly obtain patch physical dimensions of the single-feed corner-truncated circularly polarized microstrip antenna (CPMA with an air gap for wideband applications. To take account of the effect of the air gap, an equivalent relative permittivity is introduced and adopted to calculate the resonant frequency and Q-factor of square microstrip antennas for obtaining the training data sets. ANN architectures using multilayered perceptrons (MLPs and radial basis function networks (RBFNs are compared. Also, six learning algorithms are used to train the MLPs for comparison. It is found that MLPs trained with the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM algorithm are better than RBFNs for the synthesis of the CPMA. An accurate model is achieved by using an MLP with three hidden layers. The model is validated by the electromagnetic simulation and measurements. It is enormously useful to antenna engineers for facilitating the design of the single-feed CPMA with an air gap.
Artificial neural network modeling of plasmonic transmission lines.
Andrawis, Robert R; Swillam, Mohamed A; El-Gamal, Mohamed A; Soliman, Ezzeldin A
2016-04-01
In this paper, new models based on an artificial neural network (ANN) are developed to predict the propagation characteristics of plasmonic nanostrip and coupled nanostrips transmission lines. The trained ANNs are capable of providing the required propagation characteristics with good accuracy and almost instantaneously. The nonlinear mapping performed by the trained ANNs is written as closed-form expressions, which facilitate the direct use of the results obtained in this research. The propagation characteristics of the investigated transmission lines include the effective refractive index and the characteristic impedance. The time needed to simulate 1000 different versions of the transmission line structure is about 48 h, using a full-wave electromagnetic solver compared to 3 s using the developed ANN model.
Modelling flow dynamics in water distribution networks using ...
African Journals Online (AJOL)
DR OKE
Keywords: Artificial neural network; Leakage detection technique; Water distribution; Leakages ... techniques, artificial neural networks (ANNs), genetic algorithms (GA), and probabilistic and evidential reasoning. ANNs are mimicry of ..... Implementation of an online artificial intelligence district meter area flow meter data.
Classifying Sources Influencing Indoor Air Quality (IAQ Using Artificial Neural Network (ANN
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Shaharil Mad Saad
2015-05-01
Full Text Available Monitoring indoor air quality (IAQ is deemed important nowadays. A sophisticated IAQ monitoring system which could classify the source influencing the IAQ is definitely going to be very helpful to the users. Therefore, in this paper, an IAQ monitoring system has been proposed with a newly added feature which enables the system to identify the sources influencing the level of IAQ. In order to achieve this, the data collected has been trained with artificial neural network or ANN—a proven method for pattern recognition. Basically, the proposed system consists of sensor module cloud (SMC, base station and service-oriented client. The SMC contain collections of sensor modules that measure the air quality data and transmit the captured data to base station through wireless network. The IAQ monitoring system is also equipped with IAQ Index and thermal comfort index which could tell the users about the room’s conditions. The results showed that the system is able to measure the level of air quality and successfully classify the sources influencing IAQ in various environments like ambient air, chemical presence, fragrance presence, foods and beverages and human activity.
National Research Council Canada - National Science Library
M R Shukri; M M Rahman; D Ramasamy; K Kadirgama
2015-01-01
This paper presents a study of engine performance using a mixture of palm oil methyl ester blends with diesel oil as biodiesel in a diesel engine, and optimizes the engine performance using artificial neural network (ANN) modeling...
Neural network versus classical time series forecasting models
Nor, Maria Elena; Safuan, Hamizah Mohd; Shab, Noorzehan Fazahiyah Md; Asrul, Mohd; Abdullah, Affendi; Mohamad, Nurul Asmaa Izzati; Lee, Muhammad Hisyam
2017-05-01
Artificial neural network (ANN) has advantage in time series forecasting as it has potential to solve complex forecasting problems. This is because ANN is data driven approach which able to be trained to map past values of a time series. In this study the forecast performance between neural network and classical time series forecasting method namely seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average models was being compared by utilizing gold price data. Moreover, the effect of different data preprocessing on the forecast performance of neural network being examined. The forecast accuracy was evaluated using mean absolute deviation, root mean square error and mean absolute percentage error. It was found that ANN produced the most accurate forecast when Box-Cox transformation was used as data preprocessing.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Salleh Abu
2007-08-01
Full Text Available Abstract Background Wax esters are important ingredients in cosmetics, pharmaceuticals, lubricants and other chemical industries due to their excellent wetting property. Since the naturally occurring wax esters are expensive and scarce, these esters can be produced by enzymatic alcoholysis of vegetable oils. In an enzymatic reaction, study on modeling and optimization of the reaction system to increase the efficiency of the process is very important. The classical method of optimization involves varying one parameter at a time that ignores the combined interactions between physicochemical parameters. RSM is one of the most popular techniques used for optimization of chemical and biochemical processes and ANNs are powerful and flexible tools that are well suited to modeling biochemical processes. Results The coefficient of determination (R2 and absolute average deviation (AAD values between the actual and estimated responses were determined as 1 and 0.002844 for ANN training set, 0.994122 and 1.289405 for ANN test set, and 0.999619 and 0.0256 for RSM training set respectively. The predicted optimum condition was: reaction time 7.38 h, temperature 53.9°C, amount of enzyme 0.149 g, and substrate molar ratio 1:3.41. The actual experimental percentage yield was 84.6% at optimum condition, which compared well to the maximum predicted value by ANN (83.9% and RSM (85.4%. The order of effective parameters on wax ester percentage yield were; respectively, time with 33.69%, temperature with 30.68%, amount of enzyme with 18.78% and substrate molar ratio with 16.85%, whereas R2 and AAD were determined as 0.99998696 and 1.377 for ANN, and 0.99991515 and 3.131 for RSM respectively. Conclusion Though both models provided good quality predictions in this study, yet the ANN showed a clear superiority over RSM for both data fitting and estimation capabilities.
Multi-criteria validation of artificial neural network rainfall-runoff modeling
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
R. Modarres
2009-03-01
Full Text Available In this study we propose a comprehensive multi-criteria validation test for rainfall-runoff modeling by artificial neural networks. This study applies 17 global statistics and 3 additional non-parametric tests to evaluate the ANNs. The weakness of global statistics for validation of ANN is demonstrated by rainfall-runoff modeling of the Plasjan Basin in the western region of the Zayandehrud watershed, Iran. Although the global statistics showed that the multi layer perceptron with 4 hidden layers (MLP4 is the best ANN for the basin comparing with other MLP networks and empirical regression model, the non-parametric tests illustrate that neither the ANNs nor the regression model are able to reproduce the probability distribution of observed runoff in validation phase. However, the MLP4 network is the best network to reproduce the mean and variance of the observed runoff based on non-parametric tests. The performance of ANNs and empirical model was also demonstrated for low, medium and high flows. Although the MLP4 network gives the best performance among ANNs for low, medium and high flows based on different statistics, the empirical model shows better results. However, none of the models is able to simulate the frequency distribution of low, medium and high flows according to non-parametric tests. This study illustrates that the modelers should select appropriate and relevant evaluation measures from the set of existing metrics based on the particular requirements of each individual applications.
Modeling and adaptive control of a camless engine using neural networks and estimation techniques
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Ashhab, S. [Hashemite Univ., Zarqa (Jordan). Dept. of Mechanical Engineering
2007-08-09
A system to control the cylinder air charge (CAC) in a camless internal combustion (IC) engine was recently developed. The performance of an IC engine connected to an adaptive artificial neural network (ANN) based feedback controller was then investigated. A control oriented model for the engine intake process was created based on thermodynamics laws and was validated against engine experimental data. Input-output data at a speed of 1500 RPM was generated and used to train an ANN model for the engine. The inputs were the intake valve lift (IVL) and closing timing (IVC). The output was the CAC. The controller consisted of a feedforward controller, CAC estimator, and on-line ANN parameter estimator. The feedforward controller provided IVL and IVC that satisfied the driver's torque demand and was the inverse of the engine ANN model. The on-line ANN used the error between the CAC measurement from the CAC estimator and its predicted value from the ANN to update the network's parameters. The feedforward controller was therefore adapted since its operation depended on the ANN model. The adaptation scheme improved the ANN prediction accuracy when the engine parts degraded, the speed changed or when modeling errors occurred. The engine controller exhibited good CAC tracking performance. Computer simulation demonstrated the capability of the camless engine controller. 17 refs., 5 figs.
A hybrid deep neural network and physically based distributed model for river stage prediction
hitokoto, Masayuki; sakuraba, Masaaki
2016-04-01
We developed the real-time river stage prediction model, using the hybrid deep neural network and physically based distributed model. As the basic model, 4 layer feed-forward artificial neural network (ANN) was used. As a network training method, the deep learning technique was applied. To optimize the network weight, the stochastic gradient descent method based on the back propagation method was used. As a pre-training method, the denoising autoencoder was used. Input of the ANN model is hourly change of water level and hourly rainfall, output data is water level of downstream station. In general, the desirable input of the ANN has strong correlation with the output. In conceptual hydrological model such as tank model and storage-function model, river discharge is governed by the catchment storage. Therefore, the change of the catchment storage, downstream discharge subtracted from rainfall, can be the potent input candidate of the ANN model instead of rainfall. From this point of view, the hybrid deep neural network and physically based distributed model was developed. The prediction procedure of the hybrid model is as follows; first, downstream discharge was calculated by the distributed model, and then estimates the hourly change of catchment storage form rainfall and calculated discharge as the input of the ANN model, and finally the ANN model was calculated. In the training phase, hourly change of catchment storage can be calculated by the observed rainfall and discharge data. The developed model was applied to the one catchment of the OOYODO River, one of the first-grade river in Japan. The modeled catchment is 695 square km. For the training data, 5 water level gauging station and 14 rain-gauge station in the catchment was used. The training floods, superior 24 events, were selected during the period of 2005-2014. Prediction was made up to 6 hours, and 6 models were developed for each prediction time. To set the proper learning parameters and network
Two Artificial Neural Networks for Modeling Discrete Survival Time of Censored Data
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Taysseer Sharaf
2015-01-01
Full Text Available Artificial neural network (ANN theory is emerging as an alternative to conventional statistical methods in modeling nonlinear functions. The popular Cox proportional hazard model falls short in modeling survival data with nonlinear behaviors. ANN is a good alternative to the Cox PH as the proportionality of the hazard assumption and model relaxations are not required. In addition, ANN possesses a powerful capability of handling complex nonlinear relations within the risk factors associated with survival time. In this study, we present a comprehensive comparison of two different approaches of utilizing ANN in modeling smooth conditional hazard probability function. We use real melanoma cancer data to illustrate the usefulness of the proposed ANN methods. We report some significant results in comparing the survival time of male and female melanoma patients.
Yarar, Alpaslan
2017-10-01
In this study, analytical and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model were used for determine the discharge coefficient of Ogee Spillways. For this aim, discharge coefficients of 11 different heads were calculated by using a test flume having 7.5 cm width, 15 cm depth and 5 m length, in the laboratory. Discharge coefficients were also computed by the formula for the same heads measured in the laboratory to investigate the accuracy of experimental setup. An ANN model was set by using the experimental results in order to estimate the discharge coefficient. Then, the performance of the ANN model was investigated. As the result, the coefficient of determination between ANN model and experimental setup is found R2= 0.98. ANN model is show a good consistency with experimental results.
Sahoo, Sasmita; Jha, Madan K.
2017-03-01
Effective characterization of lithology is vital for the conceptualization of complex aquifer systems, which is a prerequisite for the development of reliable groundwater-flow and contaminant-transport models. However, such information is often limited for most groundwater basins. This study explores the usefulness and potential of a hybrid soft-computing framework; a traditional artificial neural network with gradient descent-momentum training (ANN-GDM) and a traditional genetic algorithm (GA) based ANN (ANN-GA) approach were developed and compared with a novel hybrid self-organizing map (SOM) based ANN (SOM-ANN-GA) method for the prediction of lithology at a basin scale. This framework is demonstrated through a case study involving a complex multi-layered aquifer system in India, where well-log sites were clustered on the basis of sand-layer frequencies; within each cluster, subsurface layers were reclassified into four depth classes based on the maximum drilling depth. ANN models for each depth class were developed using each of the three approaches. Of the three, the hybrid SOM-ANN-GA models were able to recognize incomplete geologic pattern more reasonably, followed by ANN-GA and ANN-GDM models. It is concluded that the hybrid soft-computing framework can serve as a promising tool for characterizing lithology in groundwater basins with missing lithologic patterns.
Flood routing modelling with Artificial Neural Networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
R. Peters
2006-01-01
Full Text Available For the modelling of the flood routing in the lower reaches of the Freiberger Mulde river and its tributaries the one-dimensional hydrodynamic modelling system HEC-RAS has been applied. Furthermore, this model was used to generate a database to train multilayer feedforward networks. To guarantee numerical stability for the hydrodynamic modelling of some 60 km of streamcourse an adequate resolution in space requires very small calculation time steps, which are some two orders of magnitude smaller than the input data resolution. This leads to quite high computation requirements seriously restricting the application – especially when dealing with real time operations such as online flood forecasting. In order to solve this problem we tested the application of Artificial Neural Networks (ANN. First studies show the ability of adequately trained multilayer feedforward networks (MLFN to reproduce the model performance.
Navamani Kartic, D; Aditya Narayana, B Ch; Arivazhagan, M
2018-01-15
Sulfate ions pose a major threat and challenge in the treatment of industrial effluents. The sample of wastewater obtained from a pigment industry contained large quantities of sulfate in the form of sodium sulfate which resulted in high TDS. As the removal of sulfate from pigment industry effluent was not reported previously, this work was focused on removing the sulfate ions from the effluent by chemical precipitation using barium chloride. The efficiency of sulfate removal was nearly 100% at an excess dosage of barium chloride, which precipitates the dissolved sulfate ions in the form of barium sulfate. Optimization of the parameters was done using Response Surface Methodology (RSM). This work is the first attempt for modeling the removal of sulfate from pigment industry effluent using RSM and Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Prediction by both the models was evaluated and both of them exhibited good performance (R2 value > 0.99). It was observed that the prediction by RSM (R2 value 0.9986) was closer to the experimental results than ANN prediction (R2 value 0.9955). The influence on the pH and conductivity of the solution by dosage of precipitant was also studied. The formation of barium sulfate was confirmed by characterization of the precipitate. Therefore, the sulfate removed from the effluent was converted into a commercially valuable precipitate. Copyright © 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Mohruni, Amrifan Saladin; Yanis, Muhammad; Sharif, Safian; Yani, Irsyadi; Yuliwati, Erna; Ismail, Ahmad Fauzi; Shayfull, Zamree
2017-09-01
Thin-wall components as usually applied in the structural parts of aeronautical industry require significant challenges in machining. Unacceptable surface roughness can occur during machining of thin-wall. Titanium product such Ti6Al4V is mostly applied to get the appropriate surface texture in thin wall designed requirements. In this study, the comparison of the accuracy between Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) in the prediction of surface roughness was conducted. Furthermore, the machining tests were carried out under Minimum Quantity Lubrication (MQL) using AlCrN-coated carbide tools. The use of Coconut oil as cutting fluids was also chosen in order to evaluate its performance when involved in end milling. This selection of cutting fluids is based on the better performance of oxidative stability than that of other vegetable based cutting fluids. The cutting speed, feed rate, radial and axial depth of cut were used as independent variables, while surface roughness is evaluated as the dependent variable or output. The results showed that the feed rate is the most significant factors in increasing the surface roughness value followed by the radial depth of cut and lastly the axial depth of cut. In contrary, the surface becomes smoother with increasing the cutting speed. From a comparison of both methods, the ANN model delivered a better accuracy than the RSM model.
Spectrophotometric determination of synthetic colorants using PSO-GA-ANN.
Benvidi, Ali; Abbasi, Saleheh; Gharaghani, Sajjad; Dehghan Tezerjani, Marzieh; Masoum, Saeed
2017-04-01
Four common food colorants, containing tartrazine, sunset yellow, ponceau 4R and methyl orange, are simultaneously quantified without prior chemical separation. In this study, an effective artificial neural network (ANN) method is designed for modeling multicomponent absorbance data with the presence of shifts or changes of peak shapes in spectroscopic analysis. Gradient descent methods such as Levenberg-Marquardt function are usually used to determine the parameters of ANN. However, these methods may provide inappropriate parameters. In this paper, we propose combination of genetic algorithms (GA) and partial swarm optimization (PSO) to optimize parameters of ANN, and then the algorithm is used to process the relationship between the absorbance data and the concentration of analytes. The hybrid algorithm has the benefits of both PSO and GA techniques. The performance of this algorithm is compared to the performance of PSO-ANN, PC-ANN and ANN based Levenberg-Marquardt function. The obtained results revealed that the designed model can accurately determine colorant concentrations in real and synthetic samples. According to the observations, it is clear that the proposed hybrid method is a powerful tool to estimate the concentration of food colorants with a high degree of overlap using nonlinear artificial neural network. Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Artificial neural network modeling of dissolved oxygen in reservoir.
Chen, Wei-Bo; Liu, Wen-Cheng
2014-02-01
The water quality of reservoirs is one of the key factors in the operation and water quality management of reservoirs. Dissolved oxygen (DO) in water column is essential for microorganisms and a significant indicator of the state of aquatic ecosystems. In this study, two artificial neural network (ANN) models including back propagation neural network (BPNN) and adaptive neural-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) approaches and multilinear regression (MLR) model were developed to estimate the DO concentration in the Feitsui Reservoir of northern Taiwan. The input variables of the neural network are determined as water temperature, pH, conductivity, turbidity, suspended solids, total hardness, total alkalinity, and ammonium nitrogen. The performance of the ANN models and MLR model was assessed through the mean absolute error, root mean square error, and correlation coefficient computed from the measured and model-simulated DO values. The results reveal that ANN estimation performances were superior to those of MLR. Comparing to the BPNN and ANFIS models through the performance criteria, the ANFIS model is better than the BPNN model for predicting the DO values. Study results show that the neural network particularly using ANFIS model is able to predict the DO concentrations with reasonable accuracy, suggesting that the neural network is a valuable tool for reservoir management in Taiwan.
WE-A-201-00: Anne and Donald Herbert Distinguished Lectureship On Modern Statistical Modeling
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
NONE
2016-06-15
Regulatory Commission and may be remembered for his critique of the National Academy of Sciences BEIR III report (stating that their methodology “imposes a Delphic quality to the .. risk estimates”.) This led to his appointment as a member of the BEIR V committee. Don presented refresher courses at the AAPM, ASTRO and RSNA meetings and was active in the AAPM as a member or chair of several committees. He was the principal author of AAPM Report 43, which is essentially a critique of established clinical studies prior to 1992. He was co-editor of the Proceedings of many symposia on Time, Dose and Fractionation held in Madison, Wisconsin. He received the AAPM lifetime Achievement award in 2004. Don’s second wife of 46 years, Ann, predeceased him and he is survived by daughters Hillary and Emily, son John and two grandsons. Don was a true gentleman with a unique and erudite writing style illuminated by pithy quotations. If he had a fault it was, perhaps, that he did not realize how much smarter he was than the rest of us. This presentation draws heavily on a biography and video interview in the History and Heritage section of the AAPM website. The quote is his own. Andrzej Niemierko: Statistical modeling plays an essential role in modern medicine for quantitative evaluation of the effect of treatment. This session will feature an overview of statistical modeling techniques used for analyzing the many types of research data and an exploration of recent advances in new statistical modeling methodologies. Learning Objectives: To learn basics of statistical modeling methodology. To discuss statistical models that are frequently used in radiation oncology To discuss advanced modern statistical modeling methods and applications.
Chen, Chau-Kuang
2010-01-01
Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVM) approaches have been on the cutting edge of science and technology for pattern recognition and data classification. In the ANN model, classification accuracy can be achieved by using the feed-forward of inputs, back-propagation of errors, and the adjustment of connection weights. In…
Hybrid neural network model for the design of beam subjected to ...
Indian Academy of Sciences (India)
This paper demonstrates the applicability of Artiﬁcial Neural Networks (ANN) and Genetic Algorithms (GA) for the design of beams subjected to moment and shear. A hybrid neural network model which combines the features of feed forward neural networks and genetic algorithms has been developed for the design of beam ...
ANN Modeling of Electronic Nose Based on Co-doped SnO2 Nanofiber Sensor
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
S. KHALDI
2016-05-01
Full Text Available We present in this paper a novel neural network based technique to create a model incorporates intelligence for electronic nose. The idea is to create intelligent models; the first one, called selector, can select exactly the nature of gas detected. The second intelligent model is a corrector, which can automatically compensate the electronic nose’s response characteristics and discriminating exactly the detected gas (nature and concentration, and make the response increases all time when the temperature increases. The electronic nose is based on Co-doped SnO2 nanofiber sensor. The MATLAB environment is used during the design phase and optimization. The method discriminates qualitatively and quantitatively between six gases. The advantage of the method is that it uses a small representative database so we can easily implement the model in an electrical simulator.
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Lin, Jing-Fung, E-mail: jacklin@cc.feu.edu.tw [Department of Industrial Design, Far East University, Taiwan, ROC (China); Sheu, Jer-Jia [Department of Mechanical Engineering, Southern Taiwan University of Science and Technology, Taiwan, ROC (China)
2016-06-01
Citric acid coated (citrate-stabilized) magnetite (Fe{sub 3}O{sub 4}) magnetic nanoparticles have been conducted and applied in the biomedical fields. Using Taguchi-based measured retardances as the training data, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed for the prediction of retardance in citric acid (CA) coated ferrofluid (FF). According to the ANN simulation results in the training stage, the correlation coefficient between predicted retardances and measured retardances was found to be as high as 0.9999998. Based on the well-trained ANN model, the predicted retardance at excellent program from Taguchi method showed less error of 2.17% compared with a multiple regression (MR) analysis of statistical significance. Meanwhile, the parameter analysis at excellent program by the ANN model had the guiding significance to find out a possible program for the maximum retardance. It was concluded that the proposed ANN model had high ability for the prediction of retardance in CA coated FF. - Highlights: • The feedforward ANN is applied for modeling of retardance in CA coated FFs. • ANN can predict the retardance at excellent program with acceptable error to MR. • The proposed ANN has high ability for the prediction of retardance.
Dariani, Sharareh; Keshavarz, Mansoor; Parviz, Mohsen; Raoufy, Mohammad Reza; Gharibzadeh, Shahriar
2007-01-01
The aim of this study is to design an artificial neural network (ANN) to model force-velocity relation in skeletal muscle isotonic contraction. We obtained the data set, including physiological and morphometric parameters, by myography and morphometric measurements on frog gastrocnemius muscle. Then, we designed a multilayer perceptron ANN, the inputs of which are muscle volume, muscle optimum length, tendon length, preload, and afterload. The output of the ANN is contraction velocity. The experimental data were divided randomly into two parts. The first part was used to train the ANN. In order to validate the model, the second part of experimental data, which was not used in training, was employed to the ANN and then, its output was compared with Hill model and the experimental data. The behavior of ANN in high forces was more similar to experimental data, but in low forces the Hill model had better results. Furthermore, extrapolation of ANN performance showed that our model is more or less able to simulate eccentric contraction. Our results indicate that ANNs represent a powerful tool to capture some essential features of muscle isotonic contraction.
ANN modeling of cold cranking test for sealed lead-acid batteries
Karami, Hassan; Karimi, Mohammad Ali; Mahdipour, Maryam
A cold cranking test for 17 sealed lead-acid batteries with grids of lead-calcium alloy at -18 °C was performed at different discharge currents. Time-voltage behavior of the batteries during 10 s discharge, voltage values at discharge times of 30, 60 and 90 s, and time of discharge to reach a final voltage of 6 V are critical points in the cold cranking test. These were modeled by artificial neural networks in MATLAB 7 media. Nine discharge currents were used for the training set, five discharge currents for the prediction set and three discharge currents for the validation set. Maximum prediction errors in the modeling of the time-voltage behavior during a 10 s discharge (model 1), the voltage of critical points of 30, 60, 90 s (model 2) and the time to reach a final voltage of 6 V (model 3) were under 3.1%, 3.3%, and 3.5%, respectively for each model. The results obtained showed that the models can be used in the battery industry for the prediction of the cold cranking behavior of lead-acid batteries at high discharge currents based on experimental cold cranking data at low discharge currents without the use of expensive and complex instruments. A file (EXE file) based on the model obtained by WinNN 32 was prepared to enable inexpert operators in the lead-acid battery industry to use the method.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Xuedan Shi
2017-06-01
Full Text Available Rhodamine B (Rh B is a toxic dye that is harmful to the environment, humans, and animals, and thus the discharge of Rh B wastewater has become a critical concern. In the present study, reduced graphene oxide-supported nanoscale zero-valent iron (nZVI/rGO was used to treat Rh B aqueous solutions. The nZVI/rGO composites were synthesized with the chemical deposition method and were characterized using scanning electron microscopy (SEM, X-ray diffraction (XRD, Raman spectroscopy, N2-sorption, and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS analysis. The effects of several important parameters (initial pH, initial concentration, temperature, and contact time on the removal of Rh B by nZVI/rGO were optimized by response surface methodology (RSM and artificial neural network hybridized with genetic algorithm (ANN-GA. The results suggest that the ANN-GA model was more accurate than the RSM model. The predicted optimum value of Rh B removal efficiency (90.0% was determined using the ANN-GA model, which was compatible with the experimental value (86.4%. Moreover, the Langmuir, Freundlich, and Temkin isotherm equations were applied to fit the adsorption equilibrium data, and the Freundlich isotherm was the most suitable model for describing the process for sorption of Rh B onto the nZVI/rGO composites. The maximum adsorption capacity based on the Langmuir isotherm was 87.72 mg/g. The removal process of Rh B could be completed within 20 min, which was well described by the pseudo-second order kinetic model.
Shi, Xuedan; Ruan, Wenqian; Hu, Jiwei; Fan, Mingyi; Cao, Rensheng; Wei, Xionghui
2017-01-01
Rhodamine B (Rh B) is a toxic dye that is harmful to the environment, humans, and animals, and thus the discharge of Rh B wastewater has become a critical concern. In the present study, reduced graphene oxide-supported nanoscale zero-valent iron (nZVI/rGO) was used to treat Rh B aqueous solutions. The nZVI/rGO composites were synthesized with the chemical deposition method and were characterized using scanning electron microscopy (SEM), X-ray diffraction (XRD), Raman spectroscopy, N2-sorption, and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) analysis. The effects of several important parameters (initial pH, initial concentration, temperature, and contact time) on the removal of Rh B by nZVI/rGO were optimized by response surface methodology (RSM) and artificial neural network hybridized with genetic algorithm (ANN-GA). The results suggest that the ANN-GA model was more accurate than the RSM model. The predicted optimum value of Rh B removal efficiency (90.0%) was determined using the ANN-GA model, which was compatible with the experimental value (86.4%). Moreover, the Langmuir, Freundlich, and Temkin isotherm equations were applied to fit the adsorption equilibrium data, and the Freundlich isotherm was the most suitable model for describing the process for sorption of Rh B onto the nZVI/rGO composites. The maximum adsorption capacity based on the Langmuir isotherm was 87.72 mg/g. The removal process of Rh B could be completed within 20 min, which was well described by the pseudo-second order kinetic model. PMID:28587196
Shi, Xuedan; Ruan, Wenqian; Hu, Jiwei; Fan, Mingyi; Cao, Rensheng; Wei, Xionghui
2017-06-03
Rhodamine B (Rh B) is a toxic dye that is harmful to the environment, humans, and animals, and thus the discharge of Rh B wastewater has become a critical concern. In the present study, reduced graphene oxide-supported nanoscale zero-valent iron (nZVI/rGO) was used to treat Rh B aqueous solutions. The nZVI/rGO composites were synthesized with the chemical deposition method and were characterized using scanning electron microscopy (SEM), X-ray diffraction (XRD), Raman spectroscopy, N₂-sorption, and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS) analysis. The effects of several important parameters (initial pH, initial concentration, temperature, and contact time) on the removal of Rh B by nZVI/rGO were optimized by response surface methodology (RSM) and artificial neural network hybridized with genetic algorithm (ANN-GA). The results suggest that the ANN-GA model was more accurate than the RSM model. The predicted optimum value of Rh B removal efficiency (90.0%) was determined using the ANN-GA model, which was compatible with the experimental value (86.4%). Moreover, the Langmuir, Freundlich, and Temkin isotherm equations were applied to fit the adsorption equilibrium data, and the Freundlich isotherm was the most suitable model for describing the process for sorption of Rh B onto the nZVI/rGO composites. The maximum adsorption capacity based on the Langmuir isotherm was 87.72 mg/g. The removal process of Rh B could be completed within 20 min, which was well described by the pseudo-second order kinetic model.
Hermantoro; Rudiyanto; Slamet Suprayogi
2008-01-01
Land evaluation for specific purpose in plantation sector become very important due to increasing the competition in land use and the development of plantation sector. Land evaluation produces information of land economic values for specific land use. The objective of the research is to develop land evaluation method for cocoa estate using integrated model Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Geographical Information System (GIS). Back propagation ANN model were used to predict cocoa yield bas...
Chahor, Y.; Giménez, R.; Casalí, J.
2012-04-01
Nowadays agricultural activities face two important challenges. They must be efficient from an economic point of view but with low environment impacts (soil erosion risk, nutrient/pesticide contamination, greenhouse gases emissions, etc.). In this context, hydrological and erosion models appear as remarkable tools when looking for the best management practices. AnnAGNPS (Annualized Agricultural Non Point Source Pollution) is a continuous simulation watershed-scale model that estimates yield and transit of surface water, sediment, nutrients, and pesticides through a watershed. This model has been successfully evaluated -in terms of annual runoff and sediment yield- in a small (around 200 ha) agricultural watershed located in central eastern part of Navarre (Spain), named Latxaga. The watershed is under a humid Sub-Mediterranean climate. It is cultivated almost entirely with winter cereals (wheat and barley) following conventional soil and tillage management practices. The remaining 15% of the watershed is covered by urban and shrub areas. The aim of this work is to evaluate in Latxga watershed the effect of potential and realistic changes in land use and management on surface runoff and sediment yield by using AnnAGNPS. Six years (2003 - 2008) of daily climate data were considered in the simulation. This dataset is the same used in the model evaluation previously made. Six different scenarios regarding soil use and management were considered: i) 60% cereals25% sunflower; ii) 60% cereals, 25% rapeseed; iii) 60% cereals, 25% legumes; iv) 60% cereals, 25% sunflower + rapeseed+ legumes, in equal parts; v) cereals, and alternatively different amount of shrubs (from 20% to 100% ); vi) only cereal but under different combinations of conventional tillage and no-tillage management. Overall, no significant differences in runoff generation were observed with the exception of scenario iii (in which legume is the main alternative crops), whit a slight increase in predicted
Amani, Mohammad; Amani, Pouria; Kasaeian, Alibakhsh; Mahian, Omid; Pop, Ioan; Wongwises, Somchai
2017-12-12
This research investigates the applicability of an ANN and genetic algorithms for modeling and multiobjective optimization of the thermal conductivity and viscosity of water-based spinel-type MnFe 2 O 4 nanofluid. Levenberg-Marquardt, quasi-Newton, and resilient backpropagation methods are employed to train the ANN. The support vector machine (SVM) method is also presented for comparative purposes. Experimental results demonstrate the efficacy of the developed ANN with the LM-BR training algorithm and the 3-10-10-2 structure for the prediction of the thermophysical properties of nanofluids in terms of the significantly superior accuracy compared to developing the correlation and employing SVM regression. Moreover, the genetic algorithm is implemented to determine the optimal conditions, i.e., maximum thermal conductivity and minimum nanofluid viscosity, based on the developed ANN.
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Thyagarajan, T.; Ponnavaikko, M. [Crescent Engineering Coll., Madras (India); Shanmugam, J. [Madras Inst. of Tech. (India); Panda, R.C.; Rao, P.G. [Central Leather Research Inst., Madras (India)
1998-07-01
This paper reviews the developments in the model based control of drying systems using Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs). Survey of current research works reveals the growing interest in the application of ANN in modeling and control of non-linear, dynamic and time-variant systems. Over 115 articles published in this area are reviewed. All landmark papers are systematically classified in chronological order, in three distinct categories; namely, conventional feedback controllers, model based controllers using conventional methods and model based controllers using ANN for drying process. The principles of ANN are presented in detail. The problems and issues of the drying system and the features of various ANN models are dealt with up-to-date. ANN based controllers lead to smoother controller outputs, which would increase actuator life. The paper concludes with suggestions for improving the existing modeling techniques as applied to predicting the performance characteristics of dryers. The hybridization techniques, namely, neural with fuzzy logic and genetic algorithms, presented, provide, directions for pursuing further research for the implementation of appropriate control strategies. The authors opine that the information presented here would be highly beneficial for pursuing research in modeling and control of drying process using ANN. 118 refs.
Mekras, N.; Artemakis, I.
2012-09-01
In this paper a methodology and an application example are presented aiming to show how Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) can be used to model manufacturing processes when mathematical models are missing or are not applicable e.g. due to the micro- & nano-scaling, due to non-conventional processes, etc. Besides the ANNs methodology, the results of a Software System developed will be presented, which was used to create ANNs models for micro & nano manufacturing processes. More specifically results of a specific application example will be presented, concerning the modeling of extrusion processes for polymeric micro-tubes. ANNs models are capable for modeling manufacturing processes as far as adequate experimental and/or historical data of processes' inputs & outputs are available for their training. The POLYTUBES ANNs models have been trained and tested with experimental data records of process' inputs and outputs concerning a micro-extrusion process of polymeric micro-tubes for several materials such as: COC, PC, PET, PETG, PP and PVDF. The main ANN model of the extrusion application example has 3 inputs and 9 outputs. The inputs are: tube's inner & outer diameters, and the material density. The model outputs are 9 process parameters, which correspond to the specific inputs e.g. process temperature, die inner & outer diameters, extrusion pressure, draw speed etc. The training of the ANN model was completed, when the errors for the model's outputs, which expressed the difference between the training target values and the ANNs outputs, were minimized to acceptable levels. After the training, the micro-extrusion ANN is capable to simulate the process and can be used to calculate model's outputs, which are the process parameters for any new set of inputs. By this way a satisfactory functional approximation of the whole process is achieved. This research work has been supported by the EU FP7 NMP project POLYTUBES.
Prakash, Om; Khan, Feroz; Sangwan, Rajender Singh; Misra, Laxminarain
2013-01-01
The present study deals with the development of an artificial neural network based quantitative structure activity relationship (QSAR) model for virtual screening of active compounds which contain androstenedione carbonskeleton or their similar skeleton at the core. An empirical data modeling (with fitted data mapping) has been performed on the basis of bioassay record for human breast cancer cell line MCF7. The whole experimental data set was considered as test set. Standard feed-forward back-propagation neural network technique was applied to build the model. Leave-One- Out (LOO) cross-validation was performed to evaluate the performance of the model. The mapped model became the basis for selection best mapped compounds followed by development of Pharmacophore specific secondary QSAR model. In the present study, two best mapped molecules '4beta-hydroxy Withanolide-E' and '7, 8-Dehydrocalotropin' were used for development of the secondary QSAR model. These secondary-QSAR models were resulted with R2 LOOCV value 0.9845 and 0.9666 respectively. Docking studies, in silico phamacokinetic and toxicity analysis was also done for selected compounds. The screened compounds CID_73621, CID_16757497, CID_301751, CID_390666 and CID_46830222 were found with promising binding affinity value with aromatase with reference to the co-crystallized control compound androstenedione. Due to excellent extent of variance coverage in ANN based QSAR map model, it can be used as a robust non-linear QSAR model for androstenedione carbon-skeleton containing molecules and the protocol can be used to derive secondary QSAR models for other compounds set.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Umut Okkan
2011-07-01
Full Text Available Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN, which is mathematical modelingtools inspired by the properties of the biological neural system, has been typically used inthe studies of hydrological time series modeling. These modeling studies generally includethe standart feed forward backpropagation (FFBP algorithms such as gradient-descent,gradient-descent with momentum rate and, conjugate gradient etc. As the standart FFBPalgorithms have some disadvantages relating to the time requirement and slowconvergency in training, Newton and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithms, which arealternative approaches to standart FFBP algorithms, were improved and also used in theapplications. In this study, an application of Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm based ANN(LM-ANN for the modeling of monthly inflows of Demirkopru Dam, which is located inthe Gediz basin, was presented. The LM-ANN results were also compared with gradientdescentwith momentum rate algorithm based FFBP model (GDM-ANN. When thestatistics of the long-term and also seasonal-term outputs are compared, it can be seen thatthe LM-ANN model that has been developed, is more sensitive for prediction of theinflows. In addition, LM-ANN approach can be used for modeling of other hydrologicalcomponents in terms of a rapid assessment and its robustness.
Modeling the citation network by network cosmology.
Xie, Zheng; Ouyang, Zhenzheng; Zhang, Pengyuan; Yi, Dongyun; Kong, Dexing
2015-01-01
Citation between papers can be treated as a causal relationship. In addition, some citation networks have a number of similarities to the causal networks in network cosmology, e.g., the similar in-and out-degree distributions. Hence, it is possible to model the citation network using network cosmology. The casual network models built on homogenous spacetimes have some restrictions when describing some phenomena in citation networks, e.g., the hot papers receive more citations than other simultaneously published papers. We propose an inhomogenous causal network model to model the citation network, the connection mechanism of which well expresses some features of citation. The node growth trend and degree distributions of the generated networks also fit those of some citation networks well.
Modeling the citation network by network cosmology.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Zheng Xie
Full Text Available Citation between papers can be treated as a causal relationship. In addition, some citation networks have a number of similarities to the causal networks in network cosmology, e.g., the similar in-and out-degree distributions. Hence, it is possible to model the citation network using network cosmology. The casual network models built on homogenous spacetimes have some restrictions when describing some phenomena in citation networks, e.g., the hot papers receive more citations than other simultaneously published papers. We propose an inhomogenous causal network model to model the citation network, the connection mechanism of which well expresses some features of citation. The node growth trend and degree distributions of the generated networks also fit those of some citation networks well.
Roy, Kunal; Pratim Roy, Partha
2009-07-01
Twenty-eight structurally diverse cytochrome 3A4 (CYP3A4) inhibitors have been subjected to quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) studies. The analyses were performed with electronic, spatial, topological, and thermodynamic descriptors calculated using Cerius 2 version 10 software. The statistical tools used were linear [multiple linear regression with factor analysis as preprocessing step (FA-MLR), stepwise MLR, partial least squares (PLS), genetic function algorithm (GFA), genetic PLS (G/PLS)] and non-linear methods [artificial neural network (ANN)]. All the five linear modeling methods indicate the importance of n-octanol/water partition coefficient (logP) along with different topological and electronic parameters. The best model obtained from the training set (stepwise regression) based on highest external predictive R(2) value and lowest RMSEP value also showed good internal predictive power. Other models like FA-MLR, PLS, GFA and G/PLS are also of statistically significant internal and external validation characteristics. The best model [according to r(m)(2) for the test set, as defined by P.P. Roy, K. Roy, QSAR Comb. Sci. 27 (2008) 302-313] obtained from ANN showed a good r(2) value (determination coefficient between observed and predicted values) for the test set compounds, which was superior to those of other statistical models except the stepwise regression derived model. However, based upon the r(m)(2) value (test set), which penalizes a model for large differences between observed and predicted values, the stepwise MLR model was found to be inferior to other methods except PLS. Considering r(m)(2) value for the whole set, the G/PLS derived model appears to be the best predictive model for this data set. For choosing the best predictive model from among comparable models, r(m)(2) for the whole set calculated based on leave-one-out predicted values of the training set and model-derived predicted values for the test set compounds is suggested
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Andersen, Kasper Winther
Three main topics are presented in this thesis. The first and largest topic concerns network modelling of functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) and Diffusion Weighted Imaging (DWI). In particular nonparametric Bayesian methods are used to model brain networks derived from resting state f...... for their ability to reproduce node clustering and predict unseen data. Comparing the models on whole brain networks, BCD and IRM showed better reproducibility and predictability than IDM, suggesting that resting state networks exhibit community structure. This also points to the importance of using models, which...... allow for complex interactions between all pairs of clusters. In addition, it is demonstrated how the IRM can be used for segmenting brain structures into functionally coherent clusters. A new nonparametric Bayesian network model is presented. The model builds upon the IRM and can be used to infer...
Chronopoulos, Kostas I; Tsiros, Ioannis X; Dimopoulos, Ioannis F; Alvertos, Nikolaos
2008-12-01
In this work artificial neural network (ANN) models are developed to estimate meteorological data values in areas with sparse meteorological stations. A more traditional interpolation model (multiple regression model, MLR) is also used to compare model results and performance. The application site is a canyon in a National Forest located in southern Greece. Four meteorological stations were established in the canyon; the models were then applied to estimate air temperature values as a function of the corresponding values of one or more reference stations. The evaluation of the ANN model results showed that fair to very good air temperature estimations may be achieved depending on the number of the meteorological stations used as reference stations. In addition, the ANN model was found to have better performance than the MLR model: mean absolute error values were found to be in the range 0.82-1.72 degrees C and 0.90-1.81 degrees C, for the ANN and the MLR models, respectively. These results indicate that ANN models may provide advantages over more traditional models or methods for temperature and other data estimations in areas where meteorological stations are sparse; they may be adopted, therefore, as an important component in various environmental modeling and management studies.
Evaluation of an artificial neural network rainfall disaggregation model.
Burian, S J; Durran, S R
2002-01-01
Previous research produced an artificial neural network (ANN) temporal rainfall disaggregation model. After proper training the model can disaggregate hourly rainfall records into sub-hourly time increments. In this paper we present results from continued evaluations of the performance of the ANN model specifically examining how the errors in the disaggregated rainfall hyetograph translate to errors in the prediction of the runoff hydrograph. Using a rainfall-runoff model of a hypothetical watershed we compare the runoff hydrographs produced by the ANN-predicted 15-minute increment rainfall pattern to runoff hydrographs produced by (1) the observed 15-minute increment rainfall pattern, (2) the observed hourly-increment rainfall pattern, and (3) the 15-minute increment rainfall pattern produced by a disaggregation model based on geometric similarity. For 98 test storms the peak discharges produced by the ANN model rainfall pattern had a median under-prediction of 16.6%. This relative error was less than the median under-prediction in peak discharge when using the observed 15-minute rainfall patterns aggregated to hourly increments (40.8%), and when using rainfall patterns produced by the geometric similarity rainfall disaggregation model (21.9%).
An artificial neural network model for rainfall forecasting in Bangkok, Thailand
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
N. Q. Hung
2009-08-01
Full Text Available This paper presents a new approach using an Artificial Neural Network technique to improve rainfall forecast performance. A real world case study was set up in Bangkok; 4 years of hourly data from 75 rain gauge stations in the area were used to develop the ANN model. The developed ANN model is being applied for real time rainfall forecasting and flood management in Bangkok, Thailand. Aimed at providing forecasts in a near real time schedule, different network types were tested with different kinds of input information. Preliminary tests showed that a generalized feedforward ANN model using hyperbolic tangent transfer function achieved the best generalization of rainfall. Especially, the use of a combination of meteorological parameters (relative humidity, air pressure, wet bulb temperature and cloudiness, the rainfall at the point of forecasting and rainfall at the surrounding stations, as an input data, advanced ANN model to apply with continuous data containing rainy and non-rainy period, allowed model to issue forecast at any moment. Additionally, forecasts by ANN model were compared to the convenient approach namely simple persistent method. Results show that ANN forecasts have superiority over the ones obtained by the persistent model. Rainfall forecasts for Bangkok from 1 to 3 h ahead were highly satisfactory. Sensitivity analysis indicated that the most important input parameter besides rainfall itself is the wet bulb temperature in forecasting rainfall.
(ann) based dynamic voltage restorer
African Journals Online (AJOL)
HOD
artificial intelligence to provide smart triggering pulses for the DVR to mitigate and to provide compensation against voltage sags and swells. The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was trained ... 90% of the nominal rms value and lasting for 0.5cycles. (10msec for 50Hz power system) up to 1 minute. It is considered as the most ...
Xi, Qing; Li, Zhao-Fu; Luo, Chuan
2014-05-01
Sensitivity analysis of hydrology and water quality parameters has a great significance for integrated model's construction and application. Based on AnnAGNPS model's mechanism, terrain, hydrology and meteorology, field management, soil and other four major categories of 31 parameters were selected for the sensitivity analysis in Zhongtian river watershed which is a typical small watershed of hilly region in the Taihu Lake, and then used the perturbation method to evaluate the sensitivity of the parameters to the model's simulation results. The results showed that: in the 11 terrain parameters, LS was sensitive to all the model results, RMN, RS and RVC were generally sensitive and less sensitive to the output of sediment but insensitive to the remaining results. For hydrometeorological parameters, CN was more sensitive to runoff and sediment and relatively sensitive for the rest results. In field management, fertilizer and vegetation parameters, CCC, CRM and RR were less sensitive to sediment and particulate pollutants, the six fertilizer parameters (FR, FD, FID, FOD, FIP, FOP) were particularly sensitive for nitrogen and phosphorus nutrients. For soil parameters, K is quite sensitive to all the results except the runoff, the four parameters of the soil's nitrogen and phosphorus ratio (SONR, SINR, SOPR, SIPR) were less sensitive to the corresponding results. The simulation and verification results of runoff in Zhongtian watershed show a good accuracy with the deviation less than 10% during 2005- 2010. Research results have a direct reference value on AnnAGNPS model's parameter selection and calibration adjustment. The runoff simulation results of the study area also proved that the sensitivity analysis was practicable to the parameter's adjustment and showed the adaptability to the hydrology simulation in the Taihu Lake basin's hilly region and provide reference for the model's promotion in China.
PEM Fuel Cell Modelling Using Artificial Neural Networks
Doumbia, Mamadou Lamine
2016-01-01
Fuel cells are electrochemical devices that convert the chemical energy of a reaction directly into dc electrical energy. Proton Exchange Membrane (PEM) fuel cell is a suitable alternative for both electrical transportation and stationary applications. In this article, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) modelling approach of a PEM fuel cell is developed. This model describes the behaviour of PEM fuel cell voltage under both steady-state and transient conditions. Moreover, the prediction of th...
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mohammad Taghi Ameli
2012-01-01
Full Text Available Transmission Network Expansion Planning (TNEP is a basic part of power network planning that determines where, when and how many new transmission lines should be added to the network. So, the TNEP is an optimization problem in which the expansion purposes are optimized. Artificial Intelligence (AI tools such as Genetic Algorithm (GA, Simulated Annealing (SA, Tabu Search (TS and Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs are methods used for solving the TNEP problem. Today, by using the hybridization models of AI tools, we can solve the TNEP problem for large-scale systems, which shows the effectiveness of utilizing such models. In this paper, a new approach to the hybridization model of Probabilistic Neural Networks (PNNs and Harmony Search Algorithm (HSA was used to solve the TNEP problem. Finally, by considering the uncertain role of the load based on a scenario technique, this proposed model was tested on the Garver’s 6-bus network.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ganchimeg Ganbold
2017-03-01
Full Text Available There are several statistical classification algorithms available for landuse/land cover classification. However, each has a certain bias orcompromise. Some methods like the parallel piped approach in supervisedclassification, cannot classify continuous regions within a feature. Onthe other hand, while unsupervised classification method takes maximumadvantage of spectral variability in an image, the maximally separableclusters in spectral space may not do much for our perception of importantclasses in a given study area. In this research, the output of an ANNalgorithm was compared with the Possibilistic c-Means an improvementof the fuzzy c-Means on both moderate resolutions Landsat8 and a highresolution Formosat 2 images. The Formosat 2 image comes with an8m spectral resolution on the multispectral data. This multispectral imagedata was resampled to 10m in order to maintain a uniform ratio of1:3 against Landsat 8 image. Six classes were chosen for analysis including:Dense forest, eucalyptus, water, grassland, wheat and riverine sand. Using a standard false color composite (FCC, the six features reflecteddifferently in the infrared region with wheat producing the brightestpixel values. Signature collection per class was therefore easily obtainedfor all classifications. The output of both ANN and FCM, were analyzedseparately for accuracy and an error matrix generated to assess the qualityand accuracy of the classification algorithms. When you compare theresults of the two methods on a per-class-basis, ANN had a crisperoutput compared to PCM which yielded clusters with pixels especiallyon the moderate resolution Landsat 8 imagery.
ANN-Based Control of a Wheeled Inverted Pendulum System Using an Extended DBD Learning Algorithm
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
David Cruz
2016-05-01
Full Text Available This paper presents a dynamic model for a self-balancing vehicle using the Euler-Lagrange approach. The design and deployment of an artificial neuronal network (ANN in a closed-loop control is described. The ANN is characterized by integration of the extended delta-bar-delta algorithm (DBD, which accelerates the adjustment of synaptic weights. The results of the control strategy in the dynamic model of the robot are also presented.
Sarve, Antaram; Sonawane, Shriram S; Varma, Mahesh N
2015-09-01
The present study estimates the prediction capability of response surface methodology (RSM) and artificial neural network (ANN) models for biodiesel synthesis from sesame (Sesamum indicum L.) oil under ultrasonication (20 kHz and 1.2 kW) using barium hydroxide as a basic heterogeneous catalyst. RSM based on a five level, four factor central composite design, was employed to obtain the best possible combination of catalyst concentration, methanol to oil molar ratio, temperature and reaction time for maximum FAME content. Experimental data were evaluated by applying RSM integrating with desirability function approach. The importance of each independent variable on the response was investigated by using sensitivity analysis. The optimum conditions were found to be catalyst concentration (1.79 wt%), methanol to oil molar ratio (6.69:1), temperature (31.92°C), and reaction time (40.30 min). For these conditions, experimental FAME content of 98.6% was obtained, which was in reasonable agreement with predicted one. The sensitivity analysis confirmed that catalyst concentration was the main factors affecting the FAME content with the relative importance of 36.93%. The lower values of correlation coefficient (R(2)=0.781), root mean square error (RMSE=4.81), standard error of prediction (SEP=6.03) and relative percent deviation (RPD=4.92) for ANN compared to those R(2) (0.596), RMSE (6.79), SEP (8.54) and RPD (6.48) for RSM proved better prediction capability of ANN in predicting the FAME content. Copyright © 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Hand Posture Prediction Using Neural Networks within a Biomechanical Model
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Marta C. Mora
2012-10-01
Full Text Available This paper proposes the use of artificial neural networks (ANNs in the framework of a biomechanical hand model for grasping. ANNs enhance the model capabilities as they substitute estimated data for the experimental inputs required by the grasping algorithm used. These inputs are the tentative grasping posture and the most open posture during grasping. As a consequence, more realistic grasping postures are predicted by the grasping algorithm, along with the contact information required by the dynamic biomechanical model (contact points and normals. Several neural network architectures are tested and compared in terms of prediction errors, leading to encouraging results. The performance of the overall proposal is also shown through simulation, where a grasping experiment is replicated and compared to the real grasping data collected by a data glove device.
A constructive algorithm for unsupervised learning with incremental neural network
Wang, Jenq-Haur; Wang, Hsin-Yang; Chen, Yen-Lin; Liu, Chuan-Ming
2015-01-01
Artificial neural network (ANN) has wide applications such as data processing and classification. However, comparing with other classification methods, ANN needs enormous memory space and training time to build the model. This makes ANN infeasible in practical applications. In this paper, we try to integrate the ideas of human learning mechanism with the existing models of ANN. We propose an incremental neural network construction framework for unsupervised learning. In this framework, a neur...
Nair, Archana; Singh, Gurjeet; Mohanty, U. C.
2018-01-01
The monthly prediction of summer monsoon rainfall is very challenging because of its complex and chaotic nature. In this study, a non-linear technique known as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has been employed on the outputs of Global Climate Models (GCMs) to bring out the vagaries inherent in monthly rainfall prediction. The GCMs that are considered in the study are from the International Research Institute (IRI) (2-tier CCM3v6) and the National Centre for Environmental Prediction (Coupled-CFSv2). The ANN technique is applied on different ensemble members of the individual GCMs to obtain monthly scale prediction over India as a whole and over its spatial grid points. In the present study, a double-cross-validation and simple randomization technique was used to avoid the over-fitting during training process of the ANN model. The performance of the ANN-predicted rainfall from GCMs is judged by analysing the absolute error, box plots, percentile and difference in linear error in probability space. Results suggest that there is significant improvement in prediction skill of these GCMs after applying the ANN technique. The performance analysis reveals that the ANN model is able to capture the year to year variations in monsoon months with fairly good accuracy in extreme years as well. ANN model is also able to simulate the correct signs of rainfall anomalies over different spatial points of the Indian domain.
Nair, Archana; Singh, Gurjeet; Mohanty, U. C.
2017-08-01
The monthly prediction of summer monsoon rainfall is very challenging because of its complex and chaotic nature. In this study, a non-linear technique known as Artificial Neural Network (ANN) has been employed on the outputs of Global Climate Models (GCMs) to bring out the vagaries inherent in monthly rainfall prediction. The GCMs that are considered in the study are from the International Research Institute (IRI) (2-tier CCM3v6) and the National Centre for Environmental Prediction (Coupled-CFSv2). The ANN technique is applied on different ensemble members of the individual GCMs to obtain monthly scale prediction over India as a whole and over its spatial grid points. In the present study, a double-cross-validation and simple randomization technique was used to avoid the over-fitting during training process of the ANN model. The performance of the ANN-predicted rainfall from GCMs is judged by analysing the absolute error, box plots, percentile and difference in linear error in probability space. Results suggest that there is significant improvement in prediction skill of these GCMs after applying the ANN technique. The performance analysis reveals that the ANN model is able to capture the year to year variations in monsoon months with fairly good accuracy in extreme years as well. ANN model is also able to simulate the correct signs of rainfall anomalies over different spatial points of the Indian domain.
Modeling network technology deployment rates with different network models
Chung, Yoo
2011-01-01
To understand the factors that encourage the deployment of a new networking technology, we must be able to model how such technology gets deployed. We investigate how network structure influences deployment with a simple deployment model and different network models through computer simulations. The results indicate that a realistic model of networking technology deployment should take network structure into account.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
George P. Papaioannou
2016-08-01
Full Text Available In this work we propose a new hybrid model, a combination of the manifold learning Principal Components (PC technique and the traditional multiple regression (PC-regression, for short and medium-term forecasting of daily, aggregated, day-ahead, electricity system-wide load in the Greek Electricity Market for the period 2004–2014. PC-regression is shown to effectively capture the intraday, intraweek and annual patterns of load. We compare our model with a number of classical statistical approaches (Holt-Winters exponential smoothing of its generalizations Error-Trend-Seasonal, ETS models, the Seasonal Autoregressive Moving Average with exogenous variables, Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average with eXogenous (SARIMAX model as well as with the more sophisticated artificial intelligence models, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN and Support Vector Machines (SVM. Using a number of criteria for measuring the quality of the generated in-and out-of-sample forecasts, we have concluded that the forecasts of our hybrid model outperforms the ones generated by the other model, with the SARMAX model being the next best performing approach, giving comparable results. Our approach contributes to studies aimed at providing more accurate and reliable load forecasting, prerequisites for an efficient management of modern power systems.
Artificial neural network model for earthquake prediction with radon monitoring
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Kuelahci, Fatih [Science and Art Faculty, Physics Department, Firat University, Elazig 23169 (Turkey)], E-mail: fatihkulahci@firat.edu.tr; Inceoez, Murat [Engineering Faculty, Geology Department, Firat University, Elazig 23169 (Turkey); Dogru, Mahmut [Science and Art Faculty, Physics Department, Firat University, Elazig 23169 (Turkey)], E-mail: mdogru@firat.edu.tr; Aksoy, Ercan [Engineering Faculty, Geology Department, Firat University, Elazig 23169 (Turkey); Baykara, Oktay [Education Faculty, Science Education Division, Firat University, Elazig 23169 (Turkey)
2009-01-15
Apart from the linear monitoring studies concerning the relationship between radon and earthquake, an artificial neural networks (ANNs) model approach is presented starting out from non-linear changes of the eight different parameters during the earthquake occurrence. A three-layer Levenberg-Marquardt feedforward learning algorithm is used to model the earthquake prediction process in the East Anatolian Fault System (EAFS). The proposed ANN system employs individual training strategy with fixed-weight and supervised models leading to estimations. The average relative error between the magnitudes of the earthquakes acquired by ANN and measured data is about 2.3%. The relative error between the test and earthquake data varies between 0% and 12%. In addition, the factor analysis was applied on all data and the model output values to see the statistical variation. The total variance of 80.18% was explained with four factors by this analysis. Consequently, it can be concluded that ANN approach is a potential alternative to other models with complex mathematical operations.
Chen, Ting; Li, Liqing; Huang, Xiubao
2005-06-01
Physical, statistical and artificial neural network (ANN) models are established for predicting the fibre diameter of melt blown nonwovens from the processing parameters. The results show that the ANN model yields a very accurate prediction (average error of 0.013%), and a reasonably good ANN model can be achieved with relatively few data points. Because the physical model is based on the inherent physical principles of the phenomena of interest, it can yield reasonably good prediction results when experimental data are not available and the entire physical procedure is of interest. This area of research has great potential in the field of computer assisted design in melt blowing technology.
Kisi, Ozgur; Sanikhani, Hadi; Cobaner, Murat
2017-08-01
The applicability of artificial neural networks (ANN), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), and genetic programming (GP) techniques in estimating soil temperatures (ST) at different depths is investigated in this study. Weather data from two stations, Mersin and Adana, Turkey, were used as inputs to the applied models in order to model monthly STs. The first part of the study focused on comparison of ANN, ANFIS, and GP models in modeling ST of two stations at the depths of 10, 50, and 100 cm. GP was found to perform better than the ANN and ANFIS-SC in estimating monthly ST. The effect of periodicity (month of the year) on models' accuracy was also investigated. Including periodicity component in models' inputs considerably increased their accuracies. The root mean square error (RMSE) of ANN models was respectively decreased by 34 and 27 % for the depths of 10 and 100 cm adding the periodicity input. In the second part of the study, the accuracies of the ANN, ANFIS, and GP models were compared in estimating ST of Mersin Station using the climatic data of Adana Station. The ANN models generally performed better than the ANFIS-SC and GP in modeling ST of Mersin Station without local climatic inputs.
Neural Network Program Package for Prosody Modeling
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
J. Santarius
2004-04-01
Full Text Available This contribution describes the programme for one part of theautomatic Text-to-Speech (TTS synthesis. Some experiments (for example[14] documented the considerable improvement of the naturalness ofsynthetic speech, but this approach requires completing the inputfeature values by hand. This completing takes a lot of time for bigfiles. We need to improve the prosody by other approaches which useonly automatically classified features (input parameters. Theartificial neural network (ANN approach is used for the modeling ofprosody parameters. The program package contains all modules necessaryfor the text and speech signal pre-processing, neural network training,sensitivity analysis, result processing and a module for the creationof the input data protocol for Czech speech synthesizer ARTIC [1].
Estimation of Paddy Equilibrium Moisture Sorption Using ANNs
Amiri Chayjan, R.; Moazez, Y.
In this research, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) used for prediction of Equilibrium Moisture Content (EMC) of three varieties of paddy (Sadri, Tarom and Khazar) as a new method. Feed forward back propagation and cascade forward back propagation networks with Levenberg-Marquardt and Bayesian regularization training algorithms used for training of input patterns. Optimized trained network has the ability of EMC prediction to test patterns at thermal boundary of 20-40°C and relative humidity boundary of 13.5-87% with R2 = 0.9929 and mean absolute error 0.0229. Comparison between optimized ANN result and empirical model of Henderson showed that artificial neural network not only can simultaneously predict the EMC of samples of all varieties but also has better coefficient of determination and less mean absolute error.
Modelling the growth of Leuconostoc mesenteroides by Artificial Neural Networks.
García-Gimeno, R M; Hervás-Martínez, C; Rodríguez-Pérez, R; Zurera-Cosano, G
2005-12-15
The combined effect of temperature (10.5 to 24.5 degrees C), pH level (5.5 to 7.5), sodium chloride level (0.25% to 6.25%) and sodium nitrite level (0 to 200 ppm) on the predicted specific growth rate (Gr), lag-time (Lag) and maximum population density (yEnd) of Leuconostoc mesenteroides under aerobic and anaerobic conditions, was studied using an Artificial Neural Network-based model (ANN) in comparison with Response Surface Methodology (RS). For both aerobic and anaerobic conditions, two types of ANN model were elaborated, unidimensional for each of the growth parameters, and multidimensional in which the three parameters Gr, Lag, and yEnd are combined. Although in general no significant statistical differences were observed between both types of model, we opted for the unidimensional model, because it obtained the lowest mean value for the standard error of prediction for generalisation. The ANN models developed provided reliable estimates for the three kinetic parameters studied; the SEP values in aerobic conditions ranged from between 2.82% for Gr, 6.05% for Lag and 10% for yEnd, a higher degree accuracy than those of the RS model (Gr: 9.54%; Lag: 8.89%; yEnd: 10.27%). Similar results were observed for anaerobic conditions. During external validation, a higher degree of accuracy (Af) and bias (Bf) were observed for the ANN model compared with the RS model. ANN predictive growth models are a valuable tool, enabling swift determination of L. mesenteroides growth parameters.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Kyung-Il Chin
2013-08-01
Full Text Available This study proposes an artificial neural network (ANN-based thermal control method for buildings with double skin envelopes that has rational relationships between the ANN model input and output. The relationship between the indoor air temperature and surrounding environmental factors was investigated based on field measurement data from an actual building. The results imply that the indoor temperature was not significantly influenced by vertical solar irradiance, but by the outdoor and cavity temperature. Accordingly, a new ANN model developed in this study excluded solar irradiance as an input variable for predicting the future indoor temperature. The structure and learning method of this new ANN model was optimized, followed by the performance tests of a variety of internal and external envelope opening strategies for the heating and cooling seasons. The performance tests revealed that the optimized ANN-based logic yielded better temperature conditions than the non-ANN based logic. This ANN-based logic increased overall comfortable periods and decreased the frequency of overshoots and undershoots out of the thermal comfort range. The ANN model proved that it has the potential to be successfully applied in the temperature control logic for double skin-enveloped buildings. The ANN model, which was proposed in this study, effectively predicted future indoor temperatures for the diverse opening strategies. The ANN-based logic optimally determined the operation of heating and cooling systems as well as opening conditions for the double skin envelopes.
Nilsaz-Dezfouli, Hamid; Abu-Bakar, Mohd Rizam; Arasan, Jayanthi; Adam, Mohd Bakri; Pourhoseingholi, Mohamad Amin
2017-01-01
In cancer studies, the prediction of cancer outcome based on a set of prognostic variables has been a long-standing topic of interest. Current statistical methods for survival analysis offer the possibility of modelling cancer survivability but require unrealistic assumptions about the survival time distribution or proportionality of hazard. Therefore, attention must be paid in developing nonlinear models with less restrictive assumptions. Artificial neural network (ANN) models are primarily useful in prediction when nonlinear approaches are required to sift through the plethora of available information. The applications of ANN models for prognostic and diagnostic classification in medicine have attracted a lot of interest. The applications of ANN models in modelling the survival of patients with gastric cancer have been discussed in some studies without completely considering the censored data. This study proposes an ANN model for predicting gastric cancer survivability, considering the censored data. Five separate single time-point ANN models were developed to predict the outcome of patients after 1, 2, 3, 4, and 5 years. The performance of ANN model in predicting the probabilities of death is consistently high for all time points according to the accuracy and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Chih-Chieh Young
2015-01-01
Full Text Available Accurate prediction of water level fluctuation is important in lake management due to its significant impacts in various aspects. This study utilizes four model approaches to predict water levels in the Yuan-Yang Lake (YYL in Taiwan: a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model, an artificial neural network (ANN model (back propagation neural network, BPNN, a time series forecasting (autoregressive moving average with exogenous inputs, ARMAX model, and a combined hydrodynamic and ANN model. Particularly, the black-box ANN model and physically based hydrodynamic model are coupled to more accurately predict water level fluctuation. Hourly water level data (a total of 7296 observations was collected for model calibration (training and validation. Three statistical indicators (mean absolute error, root mean square error, and coefficient of correlation were adopted to evaluate model performances. Overall, the results demonstrate that the hydrodynamic model can satisfactorily predict hourly water level changes during the calibration stage but not for the validation stage. The ANN and ARMAX models better predict the water level than the hydrodynamic model does. Meanwhile, the results from an ANN model are superior to those by the ARMAX model in both training and validation phases. The novel proposed concept using a three-dimensional hydrodynamic model in conjunction with an ANN model has clearly shown the improved prediction accuracy for the water level fluctuation.
Ma, Yongwen; Huang, Mingzhi; Wan, Jinquan; Hu, Kang; Wang, Yan; Zhang, Huiping
2011-01-01
In this paper, a hybrid artificial neural network (ANN) - genetic algorithm (GA) numerical technique was successfully developed to deal with complicated problems that cannot be solved by conventional solutions. ANNs and Gas were used to model and simulate the process of removing chemical oxygen demand (COD) in an anoxic/oxic system. The minimization of the error function with respect to the network parameters (weights and biases) has been considered as training of the network. Real-coded genetic algorithm was used to train the network in an unsupervised manner. Meanwhile the important process parameters, such as the influent COD (COD(in)), reflux ratio (R(r)), carbon-nitrogen ratio (C/N) and the effluent COD (COD(out)) were considered. The result shows that compared with the performance of ANN model, the performance of the GA-ANN (genetic algorithm - artificial neural network) network was found to be more impressive. Using ANN, the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), mean squared error (MSE) and correlation coefficient (R) were 9.33×10(-4), 2.82 and 0.98596, respectively; while for the GA-ANN, they were converged to be 4.18×10(-4), 1.12 and 0.99476, respectively.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Neela Deshpande
2014-12-01
Full Text Available In the recent past Artificial Neural Networks (ANN have emerged out as a promising technique for predicting compressive strength of concrete. In the present study back propagation was used to predict the 28 day compressive strength of recycled aggregate concrete (RAC along with two other data driven techniques namely Model Tree (MT and Non-linear Regression (NLR. Recycled aggregate is the current need of the hour owing to its environmental friendly aspect of re-use of the construction waste. The study observed that, prediction of 28 day compressive strength of RAC was done better by ANN than NLR and MT. The input parameters were cubic meter proportions of Cement, Natural fine aggregate, Natural coarse Aggregates, recycled aggregates, Admixture and Water (also called as raw data. The study also concluded that ANN performs better when non-dimensional parameters like Sand–Aggregate ratio, Water–total materials ratio, Aggregate–Cement ratio, Water–Cement ratio and Replacement ratio of natural aggregates by recycled aggregates, were used as additional input parameters. Study of each network developed using raw data and each non dimensional parameter facilitated in studying the impact of each parameter on the performance of the models developed using ANN, MT and NLR as well as performance of the ANN models developed with limited number of inputs. The results indicate that ANN learn from the examples and grasp the fundamental domain rules governing strength of concrete.
Modeling Epidemic Network Failures
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Ruepp, Sarah Renée; Fagertun, Anna Manolova
2013-01-01
This paper presents the implementation of a failure propagation model for transport networks when multiple failures occur resulting in an epidemic. We model the Susceptible Infected Disabled (SID) epidemic model and validate it by comparing it to analytical solutions. Furthermore, we evaluate...
Prediction Model for Predicting Powdery Mildew using ANN for Medicinal Plant— Picrorhiza kurrooa
Shivling, V. D.; Ghanshyam, C.; Kumar, Rakesh; Kumar, Sanjay; Sharma, Radhika; Kumar, Dinesh; Sharma, Atul; Sharma, Sudhir Kumar
2017-02-01
Plant disease fore casting system is an important system as it can be used for prediction of disease, further it can be used as an alert system to warn the farmers in advance so as to protect their crop from being getting infected. Fore casting system will predict the risk of infection for crop by using the environmental factors that favor in germination of disease. In this study an artificial neural network based system for predicting the risk of powdery mildew in Picrorhiza kurrooa was developed. For development, Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation algorithm was used having a single hidden layer of ten nodes. Temperature and duration of wetness are the major environmental factors that favor infection. Experimental data was used as a training set and some percentage of data was used for testing and validation. The performance of the system was measured in the form of the coefficient of correlation (R), coefficient of determination (R2), mean square error and root mean square error. For simulating the network an inter face was developed. Using this interface the network was simulated by putting temperature and wetness duration so as to predict the level of risk at that particular value of the input data.
Prediction of Splitting Tensile Strength of Concrete Containing Zeolite and Diatomite by ANN
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
E. Gülbandılar
2017-01-01
Full Text Available This study was designed to investigate with two different artificial neural network (ANN prediction model for the behavior of concrete containing zeolite and diatomite. For purpose of constructing this model, 7 different mixes with 63 specimens of the 28, 56 and 90 days splitting tensile strength experimental results of concrete containing zeolite, diatomite, both zeolite and diatomite used in training and testing for ANN systems was gathered from the tests. The data used in the ANN models are arranged in a format of seven input parameters that cover the age of samples, Portland cement, zeolite, diatomite, aggregate, water and hyper plasticizer and an output parameter which is splitting tensile strength of concrete. In the model, the training and testing results have shown that two different ANN systems have strong potential as a feasible tool for predicting 28, 56 and 90 days the splitting tensile strength of concrete containing zeolite and diatomite.
Tosun, Erdi; Aydin, Kadir; Bilgili, Mehmet
2016-01-01
This study deals with usage of linear regression (LR) and artificial neural network (ANN) modeling to predict engine performance; torque and exhaust emissions; and carbon monoxide, oxides of nitrogen (CO, NOx) of a naturally aspirated diesel engine fueled with standard diesel, peanut biodiesel (PME) and biodiesel-alcohol (EME, MME, PME) mixtures. Experimental work was conducted to obtain data to train and test the models. Backpropagation algorithm was used as a learning algorithm of ANN in th...
Playing tag with ANN: boosted top identification with pattern recognition
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Almeida, Leandro G. [Institut de Biologie de l’École Normale Supérieure (IBENS), Inserm 1024- CNRS 8197,46 rue d’Ulm, 75005 Paris (France); Backović, Mihailo [Center for Cosmology, Particle Physics and Phenomenology - CP3,Universite Catholique de Louvain,Louvain-la-neuve (Belgium); Cliche, Mathieu [Laboratory for Elementary Particle Physics, Cornell University,Ithaca, NY 14853 (United States); Lee, Seung J. [Department of Physics, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology,335 Gwahak-ro, Yuseong-gu, Daejeon 305-701 (Korea, Republic of); School of Physics, Korea Institute for Advanced Study,Seoul 130-722 (Korea, Republic of); Perelstein, Maxim [Laboratory for Elementary Particle Physics, Cornell University,Ithaca, NY 14853 (United States)
2015-07-17
Many searches for physics beyond the Standard Model at the Large Hadron Collider (LHC) rely on top tagging algorithms, which discriminate between boosted hadronic top quarks and the much more common jets initiated by light quarks and gluons. We note that the hadronic calorimeter (HCAL) effectively takes a “digital image' of each jet, with pixel intensities given by energy deposits in individual HCAL cells. Viewed in this way, top tagging becomes a canonical pattern recognition problem. With this motivation, we present a novel top tagging algorithm based on an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), one of the most popular approaches to pattern recognition. The ANN is trained on a large sample of boosted tops and light quark/gluon jets, and is then applied to independent test samples. The ANN tagger demonstrated excellent performance in a Monte Carlo study: for example, for jets with p{sub T} in the 1100–1200 GeV range, 60% top-tag efficiency can be achieved with a 4% mis-tag rate. We discuss the physical features of the jets identified by the ANN tagger as the most important for classification, as well as correlations between the ANN tagger and some of the familiar top-tagging observables and algorithms.
Rahman, M Tauhid Ur; Tabassum, Faheemah; Rasheduzzaman, Md; Saba, Humayra; Sarkar, Lina; Ferdous, Jannatul; Uddin, Syed Zia; Zahedul Islam, A Z M
2017-10-17
Change analysis of land use and land cover (LULC) is a technique to study the environmental degradation and to control the unplanned development. Analysis of the past changing trend of LULC along with modeling future LULC provides a combined opportunity to evaluate and guide the present and future land use policy. The southwest coastal region of Bangladesh, especially Assasuni Upazila of Satkhira District, is the most vulnerable to natural disasters and has faced notable changes in its LULC due to the combined effects of natural and anthropogenic causes. The objectives of this study are to illustrate the temporal dynamics of LULC change in Assasuni Upazila over the last 27 years (i.e., between 1989 and 2015) and also to predict future land use change using CA-ANN (cellular automata and artificial neural network) model for the year 2028. Temporal dynamics of LULC change was analyzed, employing supervised classification of multi-temporal Landsat images. Then, prediction of future LULC was carried out by CA-ANN model using MOLUSCE plugin of QGIS. The analysis of LULC change revealed that the LULC of Assasuni had changed notably during 1989 to 2015. "Bare lands" decreased by 21% being occupied by other land uses, especially by "shrimp farms." Shrimp farm area increased by 25.9% during this period, indicating a major occupational transformation from agriculture to shrimp aquaculture in the study area during the period under study. Reduction in "settlement" area revealed the trend of migration from the Upazila. The predicted LULC for the year 2028 showed that reduction in bare land area would continue and 1595.97 ha bare land would transform into shrimp farm during 2015 to 2028. Also, the impacts of the changing LULC on the livelihood of local people and migration status of the Upazila were analyzed from the data collected through focus group discussions and questionnaire surveys. The analysis revealed that the changing LULC and the occupational shift from paddy
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Ahmadi, Seyed Hamid; Sepaskhah, A R; Andersen, Mathias Neumann
2014-01-01
Root length density (RLD) is a highly wanted parameter for use in crop growth modeling but difficult to measure under field conditions. Therefore, artificial neural networks (ANNs) were implemented to predict the RLD of field grown potatoes that were subject to three irrigation strategies and three...... soil textures with different soil water status and soil densities. The objectives of the study were to test whether soil textural information, soil water status, and soil density might be used by ANN to simulate RLD at harvest. In the study 63 data pairs were divided into data sets of training (80......% of the data) and testing (20% of the data). A feed forward three-layer perceptron network and the sigmoid, hyperbolic tangent, and linear transfer functions were used for the ANN modeling. The RLDs (target variable) in different soil layers were predicted by nine ANNs representing combinations (models...
Using artificial neural networks to model aluminium based sheet forming processes and tools details
Mekras, N.
2017-09-01
In this paper, a methodology and a software system will be presented concerning the use of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) for modeling aluminium based sheet forming processes. ANNs models’ creation is based on the training of the ANNs using experimental, trial and historical data records of processes’ inputs and outputs. ANNs models are useful in cases that processes’ mathematical models are not accurate enough, are not well defined or are missing e.g. in cases of complex product shapes, new material alloys, new process requirements, micro-scale products, etc. Usually, after the design and modeling of the forming tools (die, punch, etc.) and before mass production, a set of trials takes place at the shop floor for finalizing processes and tools details concerning e.g. tools’ minimum radii, die/punch clearance, press speed, process temperature, etc. and in relation with the material type, the sheet thickness and the quality achieved from the trials. Using data from the shop floor trials and forming theory data, ANNs models can be trained and created, and can be used to estimate processes and tools final details, hence supporting efficient set-up of processes and tools before mass production starts. The proposed ANNs methodology and the respective software system are implemented within the EU H2020 project LoCoMaTech for the aluminium-based sheet forming process HFQ (solution Heat treatment, cold die Forming and Quenching).
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Hongshan Zhao
2012-05-01
Full Text Available Short-term solar irradiance forecasting (STSIF is of great significance for the optimal operation and power predication of grid-connected photovoltaic (PV plants. However, STSIF is very complex to handle due to the random and nonlinear characteristics of solar irradiance under changeable weather conditions. Artificial Neural Network (ANN is suitable for STSIF modeling and many research works on this topic are presented, but the conciseness and robustness of the existing models still need to be improved. After discussing the relation between weather variations and irradiance, the characteristics of the statistical feature parameters of irradiance under different weather conditions are figured out. A novel ANN model using statistical feature parameters (ANN-SFP for STSIF is proposed in this paper. The input vector is reconstructed with several statistical feature parameters of irradiance and ambient temperature. Thus sufficient information can be effectively extracted from relatively few inputs and the model complexity is reduced. The model structure is determined by cross-validation (CV, and the Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm (LMA is used for the network training. Simulations are carried out to validate and compare the proposed model with the conventional ANN model using historical data series (ANN-HDS, and the results indicated that the forecast accuracy is obviously improved under variable weather conditions.
Savala, Rajiv; Dey, Pranab; Gupta, Nalini
2017-12-20
To distinguish follicular adenoma (FA) and follicular carcinoma (FC) of thyroid in fine needle aspiration cytology (FNAC) is a challenging problem. In this article, we attempted to build an artificial neural network (ANN) model from the cytological and morphometric features of the FNAC smears of thyroid to distinguish FA from FC. The cytological features and morphometric analysis were done on the FNAC smears of histology proven cases of FA (26) and FC (31). The cytological features were analysed semi-quantitatively by two independent observers (RS and PD). These data were used to make an ANN model to differentiate FA versus FC on FNAC material. The performance of this ANN model was assessed by analysing the confusion matrix and receiving operator curve. There were 39 cases in training set, 9 cases each in validation and test sets. In the test group, ANN model successfully distinguished all cases (9/9) of FA and FC. The area under receiver operating curve was 1. The present ANN model is efficient to diagnose follicular adenoma and carcinoma cases on cytology smears without any error. In future, this ANN model will be able to diagnose follicular adenoma and carcinoma cases on thyroid aspirate. This study has immense potential in future. This is an open ended ANN model and more parameters and more cases can be included to make the model much stronger. © 2017 Wiley Periodicals, Inc.
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Jimenez, Rafael C; Albar, Juan P; Bhak, Jong
2013-01-01
We present iAnn, an open source community-driven platform for dissemination of life science events, such as courses, conferences and workshops. iAnn allows automatic visualisation and integration of customised event reports. A central repository lies at the core of the platform: curators add subm...... disseminated to all portals that query the system. To facilitate the visualization of announcements, iAnn provides powerful filtering options and views, integrated in Google Maps and Google Calendar. All iAnn widgets are freely available....
2009-01-01
Võru kultuurimajas Kannel etendub 17. aprillil Rakvere teatri noortelavastus "Kuidas elad? ...Ann?!" Aidi Valliku jutustuse põhjal. Lavastaja Sven Heiberg. Mängivad ka Viljandi Kultuuriakadeemia teatritudengid
Rangaswamy, T.; Vidhyashankar, S.; Madhusudan, M.; Bharath Shekar, H. R.
2015-04-01
The current trends of engineering follow the basic rule of innovation in mechanical engineering aspects. For the engineers to be efficient, problem solving aspects need to be viewed in a multidimensional perspective. One such methodology implemented is the fusion of technologies from other disciplines in order to solve the problems. This paper mainly deals with the application of Neural Networks in order to analyze the performance parameters of an XD3P Peugeot engine (used in Ministry of Defence). The basic propaganda of the work is divided into two main working stages. In the former stage, experimentation of an IC engine is carried out in order to obtain the primary data. In the latter stage the primary database formed is used to design and implement a predictive neural network in order to analyze the output parameters variation with respect to each other. A mathematical governing equation for the neural network is obtained. The obtained polynomial equation describes the characteristic behavior of the built neural network system. Finally, a comparative study of the results is carried out.
Lan, Zhou; Zhao, Chen; Guo, Weiqun; Guan, Xiong; Zhang, Xiaolin
2015-01-01
Spinosyns, products of secondary metabolic pathway of Saccharopolyspora spinosa, show high insecticidal activity, but difficulty in enhancing the spinosad yield affects wide application. The fermentation process is a key factor in this case. The response surface methodology (RMS) and artificial neural network (ANN) modeling were applied to optimize medium components for spinosad production using S. spinosa strain CGMCC4.1365. Experiments were performed using a rotatable central composite design, and the data obtained were used to construct an ANN model and an RSM model. Using a genetic algorithm (GA), the input space of the ANN model was optimized to obtain optimal values of medium component concentrations. The regression coefficients (R(2)) for the ANN and RSM models were 0.9866 and 0.9458, respectively, indicating that the fitness of the ANN model was higher. The maximal spinosad yield (401.26 mg/l) was obtained using ANN/GA-optimized concentrations. The hybrid ANN/GA approach provides a viable alternative to the conventional RSM approach for the modeling and optimization of fermentation processes. © 2015 S. Karger AG, Basel.
Validation of an ANN Flow Prediction Model Using a Multt-Station Cluster Analysis
Demirel, M.C.; Booij, Martijn J.; Kahya, E.
2012-01-01
The objective of this study is to validate a flow prediction model for a hydrometric station using a multistation criterion in addition to standard single-station performance criteria. In this contribution we used cluster analysis to identify the regional flow height, i.e., water-level patterns and
Models of educational institutions' networking
Shilova Olga Nikolaevna
2015-01-01
The importance of educational institutions' networking in modern sociocultural conditions and a definition of networking in education are presented in the article. The results of research levels, methods and models of educational institutions' networking are presented and substantially disclosed.
Daily Crude Oil Price Forecasting Using Hybridizing Wavelet and Artificial Neural Network Model
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ani Shabri
2014-01-01
Full Text Available A new method based on integrating discrete wavelet transform and artificial neural networks (WANN model for daily crude oil price forecasting is proposed. The discrete Mallat wavelet transform is used to decompose the crude price series into one approximation series and some details series (DS. The new series obtained by adding the effective one approximation series and DS component is then used as input into the ANN model to forecast crude oil price. The relative performance of WANN model was compared to regular ANN model for crude oil forecasting at lead times of 1 day for two main crude oil price series, West Texas Intermediate (WTI and Brent crude oil spot prices. In both cases, WANN model was found to provide more accurate crude oil prices forecasts than individual ANN model.
Beam orientation in stereotactic radiosurgery using an artificial neural network.
Skrobala, Agnieszka; Malicki, Julian
2014-05-01
To investigate the feasibility of using an artificial neural network (ANN) to generate beam orientations in stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS). A dataset of 669 intracranial lesions was used to build, train, and validate three ANNs. In ANN1, Cartesian coordinates described the localization of the PTV and OARs. In ANN2, a genetic algorithm was used to optimize the model. In ANN3, vectors were used to define the distance between the PTV and OARs. In all ANNs, inputs consisted of the treatment plan parameters plus the patient's particular geometric parameters; outputs were beam and table angles. The ANN- and human-generated plans were then compared using dose-volume histograms, root-mean-square (RMS) and Gamma index methods. The mean volume of PTV covered by the 95% isodose was 99.2% in the MP's plan vs. 99.3%, 98.5% and 99.2% for ANN1, ANN2, and ANN3, respectively. No significant differences were observed between the plans. ANN1 showed the best agreement (Gamma index) with the human planner. While RMS errors in the three ANN models were comparable, ANN1 showed the lowest (best) values. ANN models were able to determine beam orientation in SRS. ANN-generated treatment plans were comparable to human-designed plans. Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ireland Ltd. All rights reserved.
Response surface and neural network based predictive models of cutting temperature in hard turning
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mozammel Mia
2016-11-01
Full Text Available The present study aimed to develop the predictive models of average tool-workpiece interface temperature in hard turning of AISI 1060 steels by coated carbide insert. The Response Surface Methodology (RSM and Artificial Neural Network (ANN were employed to predict the temperature in respect of cutting speed, feed rate and material hardness. The number and orientation of the experimental trials, conducted in both dry and high pressure coolant (HPC environments, were planned using full factorial design. The temperature was measured by using the tool-work thermocouple. In RSM model, two quadratic equations of temperature were derived from experimental data. The analysis of variance (ANOVA and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE were performed to suffice the adequacy of the models. In ANN model, 80% data were used to train and 20% data were employed for testing. Like RSM, herein, the error analysis was also conducted. The accuracy of the RSM and ANN model was found to be ⩾99%. The ANN models exhibit an error of ∼5% MAE for testing data. The regression coefficient was found to be greater than 99.9% for both dry and HPC. Both these models are acceptable, although the ANN model demonstrated a higher accuracy. These models, if employed, are expected to provide a better control of cutting temperature in turning of hardened steel.
Response surface and neural network based predictive models of cutting temperature in hard turning.
Mia, Mozammel; Dhar, Nikhil R
2016-11-01
The present study aimed to develop the predictive models of average tool-workpiece interface temperature in hard turning of AISI 1060 steels by coated carbide insert. The Response Surface Methodology (RSM) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) were employed to predict the temperature in respect of cutting speed, feed rate and material hardness. The number and orientation of the experimental trials, conducted in both dry and high pressure coolant (HPC) environments, were planned using full factorial design. The temperature was measured by using the tool-work thermocouple. In RSM model, two quadratic equations of temperature were derived from experimental data. The analysis of variance (ANOVA) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) were performed to suffice the adequacy of the models. In ANN model, 80% data were used to train and 20% data were employed for testing. Like RSM, herein, the error analysis was also conducted. The accuracy of the RSM and ANN model was found to be ⩾99%. The ANN models exhibit an error of ∼5% MAE for testing data. The regression coefficient was found to be greater than 99.9% for both dry and HPC. Both these models are acceptable, although the ANN model demonstrated a higher accuracy. These models, if employed, are expected to provide a better control of cutting temperature in turning of hardened steel.
Modeling of pulsed heat load in a cryogenic SHe loop using Artificial Neural Networks
Savoldi Richard, L.; Bonifetto, R.; Carli, S.; Grand Blanc, M.; Zanino, R.
2013-10-01
The pulsed heat load to the cryoplant is an important issue in the design and operation of tokamaks adopting superconducting (SC) magnets for the magnetic confinement, as the International Thermonuclear Experimental Reactor (ITER). The smoothing of the heat load during plasma operation is being addressed by experiments, e.g. in the HELIOS facility at CEA Grenoble, and simulations. The assessment of the operation of the cryoplant mainly requires the knowledge of the evolution of the heat load to the liquid helium (LHe) baths that are used as interfaces/buffers between the magnets cooling loops and the cryoplant itself. In this paper, an innovative approach based on Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) is presented, leading to a simplified but fast model of the transient heat load from the magnets to the LHe baths. An ANN model is developed for the HELIOS loop and the resulting network is trained using detailed transient simulations performed with the 4C code, which was previously extensively validated against experimental data from HELIOS. The predictive capability of the (simplified) ANN model is then demonstrated by considering another, independent dataset, not used during the ANN training, and comparing the evolution of the heat load to the LHe bath computed by the ANNs with that obtained from the (detailed) 4C model.
Feng, Feifei; Wu, Yiming; Wu, Yongjun; Nie, Guangjin; Ni, Ran
2012-10-01
To evaluate the diagnosis potential of artificial neural network (ANN) model combined with six tumor markers in auxiliary diagnosis of lung cancer, to differentiate lung cancer from lung benign disease, normal control, and gastrointestinal cancers. Serum carcino-embryonic antigen (CEA), gastrin, neurone specific enolase (NSE), sialic acid (SA), Cu/Zn, Ca were measured through different experimental procedures in 117 lung cancer patients, 93 lung benign disease patients, 111 normal control, 47 gastric cancer patients, 50 patients with colon cancer and 50 esophagus cancer patients, 19 parameters of basic information were surveyed among lung cancer, lung benign disease and normal control, then developed and evaluated ANN models to distinguish lung cancer. Using the ANN model with the six serum tumor markers and 19 parameters to distinguish lung cancer from benign lung disease and healthy people, the sensitivity was 98.3%, the specificity was 99.5% and the accuracy was 96.9%. Another three ANN models with the six serum tumor markers were employed to differentiate lung cancer from three gastrointestinal cancers, the sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of distinguishing lung cancer from gastric cancer by the ANN model of lung cancer-gastric cancer were 100%, 83.3% and 93.5%, respectively; The sensitivity, specificity and accuracy of discriminating lung cancer by lung cancer-colon cancer ANN model were 90.0%, 90.0%, and 90.0%; And which were 86.7%, 84.6%, and 86.0%, respectively, by lung cancer-esophagus cancer ANN model. ANN model built with the six serum tumor markers could distinguish lung cancer, not only from lung benign disease and normal people, but also from three common gastrointestinal cancers. And our evidence indicates the ANN model maybe is an excellent and intelligent system to discriminate lung cancer.
Techniques for Modelling Network Security
Lech Gulbinovič
2012-01-01
The article compares modelling techniques for network security, including the theory of probability, Markov processes, Petri networks and application of stochastic activity networks. The paper introduces the advantages and disadvantages of the above proposed methods and accepts the method of modelling the network of stochastic activity as one of the most relevant. The stochastic activity network allows modelling the behaviour of the dynamic system where the theory of probability is inappropri...
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Yasir Hassan Ali
2015-01-01
Full Text Available The thickness of an oil film lubricant can contribute to less gear tooth wear and surface failure. The purpose of this research is to use artificial neural network (ANN computational modelling to correlate spur gear data from acoustic emissions, lubricant temperature, and specific film thickness (λ. The approach is using an algorithm to monitor the oil film thickness and to detect which lubrication regime the gearbox is running either hydrodynamic, elastohydrodynamic, or boundary. This monitoring can aid identification of fault development. Feed-forward and recurrent Elman neural network algorithms were used to develop ANN models, which are subjected to training, testing, and validation process. The Levenberg-Marquardt back-propagation algorithm was applied to reduce errors. Log-sigmoid and Purelin were identified as suitable transfer functions for hidden and output nodes. The methods used in this paper shows accurate predictions from ANN and the feed-forward network performance is superior to the Elman neural network.
A novel soft sensor model based on artificial neural network in the ...
African Journals Online (AJOL)
Some crucial process variables in fermentation process could not be measured directly. Soft sensor technology provided an effective way to solve the problem. There has been considerable interest in modeling a soft sensor by using artificial neural network (ANN) in bioprocess. To generate a more efficient soft sensor ...
Neural Networks to model the innovativeness perception of co-creative firms
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Tanev, Stoyan
2012-01-01
contribution is to make a quantitative analysis in order to assess the relationship between value co-creation and innovation in technology-driven ﬁrms: we are using Artiﬁcial Neural Network (ANN) to investigate the relationship between value co-creation and innovativeness, and Self Organising Map (SOM) models...
An artificial Radial Basis Function (RBF) neural network model was developed for the prediction of mass transfer of the phospholipids from canola meal in supercritical CO2 fluid. The RBF kind of artificial neural networks (ANN) with orthogonal least squares (OLS) learning algorithm were used for mod...
Shi, Hon-Yi; Tsai, Jinn-Tsong; Chen, Yao-Mei; Culbertson, Richard; Chang, Hong-Tai; Hou, Ming-Feng
2012-08-01
The purpose of this study was to validate the use of artificial neural network (ANN) models for predicting quality of life (QOL) after breast cancer surgery and to compare the predictive capability of ANNs with that of linear regression (LR) models. The European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire and its supplementary breast cancer measure were completed by 402 breast cancer patients at baseline and at 2 years postoperatively. The accuracy of the system models were evaluated in terms of mean square error (MSE) and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). A global sensitivity analysis was also performed to assess the relative significance of input parameters in the system model and to rank the variables in order of importance. Compared to the LR model, the ANN model generally had smaller MSE and MAPE values in both the training and testing datasets. Most ANN models had MAPE values ranging from 4.70 to 19.96 %, and most had high prediction accuracy. The ANN model also outperformed the LR model in terms of prediction accuracy. According to global sensitivity analysis, pre-operative functional status was the best predictor of QOL after surgery. Compared with the conventional LR model, the ANN model in the study was more accurate for predicting patient-reported QOL and had higher overall performance indices. Further refinements are expected to obtain sufficient performance improvements for its routine use in clinical practice as an adjunctive decision-making tool.
Modeling the corrosion initiation time of slag concrete using the artificial neural network
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
O.A. Hodhod
2014-12-01
Full Text Available This paper focuses on the Artificial Neural Network (ANN as an alternative approach to simulate the corrosion initiation time of slag concrete obtained from the error function solution to Fick’s second law of diffusion. The adopted network architecture consists of four neurons in the input layer, which represents the values of concrete cover depth, apparent chloride diffusion coefficient, chloride threshold value and surface chloride concentration, and one neuron in the output layer, which represents the value of the corresponding corrosion initiation time. Back Propagation (BP algorithm was employed for the ANN training in which a Tansig function was used as the nonlinear transfer function. The research results obtained from both ANN model and the error function solution to Fick’s second law of diffusion demonstrate that the corrosion initiation time of slag concrete increases with increasing both the concrete cover and the chloride threshold value and decreases with increasing both the surface chloride concentration and the chloride diffusion coefficient. Through the comparison of the estimated results from ANN model and the error function solution to Fick’s second law of diffusion, it was clear that there was a high correlation between the corrosion initiation time obtained from the error function solution to Fick’s second law of diffusion and the corresponding corrosion initiation time predicted by the ANN model.
Wavelet Neural Network Model for Yield Spread Forecasting
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Firdous Ahmad Shah
2017-11-01
Full Text Available In this study, a hybrid method based on coupling discrete wavelet transforms (DWTs and artificial neural network (ANN for yield spread forecasting is proposed. The discrete wavelet transform (DWT using five different wavelet families is applied to decompose the five different yield spreads constructed at shorter end, longer end, and policy relevant area of the yield curve to eliminate noise from them. The wavelet coefficients are then used as inputs into Levenberg-Marquardt (LM ANN models to forecast the predictive power of each of these spreads for output growth. We find that the yield spreads constructed at the shorter end and policy relevant areas of the yield curve have a better predictive power to forecast the output growth, whereas the yield spreads, which are constructed at the longer end of the yield curve do not seem to have predictive information for output growth. These results provide the robustness to the earlier results.
Development of Artificial Neural-Network-Based Models for the Simulation of Spring Discharge
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
M. Mohan Raju
2011-01-01
Full Text Available The present study demonstrates the application of artificial neural networks (ANNs in predicting the weekly spring discharge. The study was based on the weekly spring discharge from a spring located near Ranichauri in Tehri Garhwal district of Uttarakhand, India. Five models were developed for predicting the spring discharge based on a weekly interval using rainfall, evaporation, temperature with a specified lag time. All models were developed both with one and two hidden layers. Each model was developed with many trials by selecting different network architectures and different number of hidden neurons; finally a best predicting model presented against each developed model. The models were trained with three different algorithms, that is, quick-propagation algorithm, batch backpropagation algorithm, and Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm using weekly data from 1999 to 2005. A best model for the simulation was selected from the three presented algorithms using the statistical criteria such as correlation coefficient (, determination coefficient, or Nash Sutcliff's efficiency (DC. Finally, optimized number of neurons were considered for the best model. Training and testing results revealed that the models were predicting the weekly spring discharge satisfactorily. Based on these criteria, ANN-based model results in better agreement for the computation of spring discharge. LMR models were also developed in the study, and they also gave good results, but, when compared with the ANN methodology, ANN resulted in better optimized values.
Jeon, Jin Pyeong; Kim, Chulho; Oh, Byoung-Doo; Kim, Sun Jeong; Kim, Yu-Seop
2017-12-05
To assess and compare predictive factors for persistent hemodynamic depression (PHD) after carotid artery angioplasty and stenting (CAS) using artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple logistic regression (MLR) or support vector machines (SVM) models. A retrospective data set of patients (n=76) who underwent CAS from 2007 to 2014 was used as input (training cohort) to a back-propagation ANN using TensorFlow platform. PHD was defined when systolic blood pressure was less than 90mmHg or heart rate was less 50 beats/min that lasted for more than one hour. The resulting ANN was prospectively tested in 33 patients (test cohort) and compared with MLR or SVM models according to accuracy and receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis. No significant difference in baseline characteristics between the training cohort and the test cohort was observed. PHD was observed in 21 (27.6%) patients in the training cohort and 10 (30.3%) patients in the test cohort. In the training cohort, the accuracy of ANN for the prediction of PHD was 98.7% and the area under the ROC curve (AUROC) was 0.961. In the test cohort, the number of correctly classified instances was 32 (97.0%) using the ANN model. In contrast, the accuracy rate of MLR or SVM model was both 75.8%. ANN (AUROC: 0.950; 95% CI [confidence interval]: 0.813-0.996) showed superior predictive performance compared to MLR model (AUROC: 0.796; 95% CI: 0.620-0.915, p<0.001) or SVM model (AUROC: 0.885; 95% CI: 0.725-0.969, p<0.001). The ANN model seems to have more powerful prediction capabilities than MLR or SVM model for persistent hemodynamic depression after CAS. External validation with a large cohort is needed to confirm our results. Copyright © 2017. Published by Elsevier B.V.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Hongwei Nan
2012-05-01
Full Text Available Soil erosion has been recognized as one of the major threats to our environment and water quality worldwide, especially in China. To mitigate nonpoint source water quality problems caused by soil erosion, best management practices (BMPs and/or conservation programs have been adopted. Watershed models, such as the Annualized Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollutant Loading model (AnnAGNPS, have been developed to aid in the evaluation of watershed response to watershed management practices. The model has been applied worldwide and proven to be a very effective tool in identifying the critical areas which had serious erosion, and in aiding in decision-making processes for adopting BMPs and/or conservation programs so that cost/benefit can be maximized and non-point source pollution control can be achieved in the most efficient way. The main goal of this study was to assess the characteristics of soil erosion, sediment and sediment delivery of a watershed so that effective conservation measures can be implemented. To achieve the overall objective of this study, all necessary data for the 4,184 km^{2} Daning River watershed in the Three-Gorge region of the Yangtze River of China were assembled. The model was calibrated using observed monthly runoff from 1998 to 1999 (Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency of 0.94 and R^{2} of 0.94 and validated using the observed monthly runoff from 2003 to 2005 (Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency of 0.93 and R^{2} of 0.93. Additionally, the model was validated using annual average sediment of 2000–2002 (relative error of −0.34 and 2003–2004 (relative error of 0.18 at Wuxi station. Post validation simulation showed that approximately 48% of the watershed was under the soil loss tolerance released by the Ministry of Water Resources of China (500 t·km^{−2}·y^{−1}. However, 8% of the watershed had soil erosion of exceeding 5,000 t·km^{−2}
Darwish, Hany W.; Hassan, Said A.; Salem, Maissa Y.; El-Zeany, Badr A.
2014-03-01
Different chemometric models were applied for the quantitative analysis of Amlodipine (AML), Valsartan (VAL) and Hydrochlorothiazide (HCT) in ternary mixture, namely, Partial Least Squares (PLS) as traditional chemometric model and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) as advanced model. PLS and ANN were applied with and without variable selection procedure (Genetic Algorithm GA) and data compression procedure (Principal Component Analysis PCA). The chemometric methods applied are PLS-1, GA-PLS, ANN, GA-ANN and PCA-ANN. The methods were used for the quantitative analysis of the drugs in raw materials and pharmaceutical dosage form via handling the UV spectral data. A 3-factor 5-level experimental design was established resulting in 25 mixtures containing different ratios of the drugs. Fifteen mixtures were used as a calibration set and the other ten mixtures were used as validation set to validate the prediction ability of the suggested methods. The validity of the proposed methods was assessed using the standard addition technique.
modeling of modeling of reservoir in reservoir in artificial neu
African Journals Online (AJOL)
eobe
the three hydropower reser parameters parameters and Artificial rtificial rtificial Neural Network (ANN) eural Network (ANN) and the modeled reservoir inflow .... MODELING OF RESERVOIR INFLOW FOR HYDROPOWER DAMS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK ..... Based Model of an Industrial Oil-Fired Boiler”.
Modeling Network Interdiction Tasks
2015-09-17
allow professionals and families to stay in touch through voice or video calls. Power grids provide electricity to homes , offices, and recreational...instances using IBMr ILOGr CPLEXr Optimization Studio V12.6. For each instance, two solutions are deter- mined. First, the MNDP-a model is solved with no...three values: 0.25, 0.50, or 0.75. The DMP-a model is solved for the various random network instances using IBMr ILOGr CPLEXr Optimization Studio V12.6
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mohd. Saqib
2016-09-01
Full Text Available In this study, an Artificial Neural Networks (ANN model is built and verified for quick estimation of the structural parameter obtained for a concrete gravity dam section due to seismic excitation. The database of numerous inputs and outputs obtained through Abaqus which are further converted into dimensionless forms in the statistical software (MATLAB to build the ANN model. The developed model can be used for accurate estimation of this parameter. The results showed an excellent capability of the model to predict the outputs with high accuracy and reduced computational time.
Anne-Ly Reimaa : "Suhtlemisel on oluline avatus" / Anne-Ly Reimaa ; interv. Tiia Linnard
Reimaa, Anne-Ly
2005-01-01
Ilmunud ka: Severnoje Poberezhje : Subbota 3. september lk. 5. Intervjueeritav oma tööst Brüsselis, kus esindab Eesti linnade liitu ja Eesti maaomavalitsuste liitu. Arvamust avaldavad Anne Jundas ja Kaia Kaldvee. Lisa: CV
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Christiansen, Niels Hørbye; Voie, Per Erlend Torbergsen; Høgsberg, Jan Becker
2015-01-01
simultaneously, this method is very demanding in terms of numerical efficiency and computational power. Therefore, this method has not yet proved to be feasible. It has recently been shown how a hybrid method combining classical numerical models and artificial neural networks (ANN) can provide a dramatic...... model. Hence, in principal it is possible to achieve reliable experimental data for much larger water depths than what the actual depth of the test basin would suggest. However, since the computations must be faster than real time, as the numerical simulations and the physical experiment run...... reduction in computational effort when performing time domain simulation of mooring lines. The hybrid method uses a classical numerical model to generate simulation data, which are then subsequently used to train the ANN. After successful training the ANN is able to take over the simulation at a speed two...
Coevolutionary modeling in network formation
Al-Shyoukh, Ibrahim
2014-12-03
Network coevolution, the process of network topology evolution in feedback with dynamical processes over the network nodes, is a common feature of many engineered and natural networks. In such settings, the change in network topology occurs at a comparable time scale to nodal dynamics. Coevolutionary modeling offers the possibility to better understand how and why network structures emerge. For example, social networks can exhibit a variety of structures, ranging from almost uniform to scale-free degree distributions. While current models of network formation can reproduce these structures, coevolutionary modeling can offer a better understanding of the underlying dynamics. This paper presents an overview of recent work on coevolutionary models of network formation, with an emphasis on the following three settings: (i) dynamic flow of benefits and costs, (ii) transient link establishment costs, and (iii) latent preferential attachment.
Mendyk, Aleksander; Güres, Sinan; Jachowicz, Renata; Szlęk, Jakub; Polak, Sebastian; Wiśniowska, Barbara; Kleinebudde, Peter
2015-01-01
The purpose of this work was to develop a mathematical model of the drug dissolution (Q) from the solid lipid extrudates based on the empirical approach. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) and genetic programming (GP) tools were used. Sensitivity analysis of ANNs provided reduction of the original input vector. GP allowed creation of the mathematical equation in two major approaches: (1) direct modeling of Q versus extrudate diameter (d) and the time variable (t) and (2) indirect modeling through Weibull equation. ANNs provided also information about minimum achievable generalization error and the way to enhance the original dataset used for adjustment of the equations' parameters. Two inputs were found important for the drug dissolution: d and t. The extrudates length (L) was found not important. Both GP modeling approaches allowed creation of relatively simple equations with their predictive performance comparable to the ANNs (root mean squared error (RMSE) from 2.19 to 2.33). The direct mode of GP modeling of Q versus d and t resulted in the most robust model. The idea of how to combine ANNs and GP in order to escape ANNs' black-box drawback without losing their superior predictive performance was demonstrated. Open Source software was used to deliver the state-of-the-art models and modeling strategies.
Lawrentschuk, Nathan; Lockwood, Gina; Davies, Peter; Evans, Andy; Sweet, Joan; Toi, Ants; Fleshner, Neil E
2011-03-01
Complex statistical models utilizing multiple inputs to derive a risk assessment may benefit prostate cancer (PC) detection where focus has been on prostate-specific antigen (PSA). This study develops a polychotomous logistic regression (PR) model and an artificial neural network (ANN) for predicting biopsy results, particularly for clinically significant PC. There were 3,025 men undergoing TRUS-guided biopsy (BX) with PSA <10 ng/ml selected. BX outcome classified as benign, atypical small acinar proliferation or high-grade prostatic intraepithelial neoplasia (ASAP/PIN), non-significant (NSPC) or clinically significant PC (CSPC). PR and ANN models were developed to distinguish between BX categories. Predictors were age, PSA, abnormal digital rectal examination (DRE), positive transrectal ultrasound (TRUS) and prostate volume. Among the BXs, 44% were benign, 14% ASAP/PIN, 16% NSPC and 25% CSPC. Median age, PSA and volume were 64 years, 5.7 ng/ml and 50 cc. TRUS lesion was present in 47%, and DRE was abnormal in 39%. PR and ANN models did not differ on percentage BX outcomes correctly predicted (55, 57%, respectively) and were equally poor for both ASAP/PIN (0%) and NSPC (2%). For PR and ANN, 74-78% ASAP/PIN predicted benign, 2% NSPC and 20-24% CSPC. For NSPC, 69-71% predicted benign, 27-29% CSPC. Benign outcomes were well identified (86-88%), although 12-13% classified CSPC. CSPC was correctly identified in 65-66% with misclassifications largely benign (33% for PR and ANN). Neither PR nor ANN was able to distinguish between the four biopsy outcomes: ASAP/PIN and NSPC were not distinguished from benign or CSPC. ANN did not perform better than PR. Inclusion of additional predictors may increase the performance of statistical models in predicting BX outcome.
ANN-based wavelet analysis for predicting electrical signal from photovoltaic power supply system
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Mellit, A. [Medea Univ., Medea (Algeria). Inst. of Science Engineering, Dept. of Electronics
2007-07-01
This study was conducted to predict different electrical signals from a photovoltaic power supply system (PVPS) using an artificial neural networks (ANN) with wavelet analysis. It involved the creation of a database of electrical signals (PV-generator current, voltage, battery current voltage, regulator current and voltage) obtained from an experimental PVPS system installed in the south of Algeria. The potential applications were for sizing and analyzing the performance of PVPS systems; control of maximum power point tracker (MPPT) in order to deliver the maximum energy from the PV-array; prediction of the optimal configuration (PV-array and battery sizing) of PVPS systems; expert configuration of PV-systems; faults diagnosis; supervision; and, control and monitoring. First, based on the wavelet analysis each electrical signal was mapped in several time frequency domains. The PV-system was then divided into 3-subsystems corresponding to ANN-PV generator model, ANN-battery model, and ANN-regulator model. An example of day-by-day prediction for each electrical signal was presented. The results of the proposed approach were in good agreement with experimental results. In addition, the accuracy of the proposed approach was more satisfactory when only ANN was used. It was concluded that this methodology offers the possibility of developing a new expert configuration of PVPS by implementing the soft computing ANN-wavelet program with a digital signal processing (DSP) circuit. 26 refs., 1 tab., 5 figs.
Do Network Models Just Model Networks? On The Applicability of Network-Oriented Modeling
Treur, J.; Shmueli, Erez
2017-01-01
In this paper for a Network-Oriented Modelling perspective based on temporal-causal networks it is analysed how generic and applicable it is as a general modelling approach and as a computational paradigm. This results in an answer to the question in the title different from: network models just
Modeling of surface dust concentrations using neural networks and kriging
Buevich, Alexander G.; Medvedev, Alexander N.; Sergeev, Alexander P.; Tarasov, Dmitry A.; Shichkin, Andrey V.; Sergeeva, Marina V.; Atanasova, T. B.
2016-12-01
Creating models which are able to accurately predict the distribution of pollutants based on a limited set of input data is an important task in environmental studies. In the paper two neural approaches: (multilayer perceptron (MLP)) and generalized regression neural network (GRNN)), and two geostatistical approaches: (kriging and cokriging), are using for modeling and forecasting of dust concentrations in snow cover. The area of study is under the influence of dust emissions from a copper quarry and a several industrial companies. The comparison of two mentioned approaches is conducted. Three indices are used as the indicators of the models accuracy: the mean absolute error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE) and relative root mean square error (RRMSE). Models based on artificial neural networks (ANN) have shown better accuracy. When considering all indices, the most precision model was the GRNN, which uses as input parameters for modeling the coordinates of sampling points and the distance to the probable emissions source. The results of work confirm that trained ANN may be more suitable tool for modeling of dust concentrations in snow cover.
May, D; Sivakumar, M
2008-01-01
Urban stormwater quality is influenced by many interrelated processes. However, the site-specific nature of these complex processes makes stormwater quality difficult to predict using physically based process models. This has resulted in the need for more empirical techniques. In this study, artificial neural networks (ANN) were used to model urban stormwater quality. A total of 5 different constituents were analyzed-chemical oxygen demand, lead, suspended solids, total Kjeldahl nitrogen, and total phosphorus. Input variables were selected using stepwise linear regression models, calibrated on logarithmically transformed data. Artificial neural networks models were then developed and compared with the regression models. The results from the analyses indicate that multiple linear regression models were more applicable for predicting urban stormwater quality than ANN models.
Parameters estimation of squirrel-cage induction motors using ANN and ANFIS
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mehdi Ahmadi Jirdehi
2016-03-01
Full Text Available In the transient behavior analysis of a squirrel-cage induction motor, the parameters of the single-cage and double-cage models are studied. These parameters are usually hard to obtain. This paper presents two new methods to predict the induction motor parameters in the single-cage and double-cage models based on artificial neural network (ANN and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS. For this purpose, the experimental data (manufacturer data of 20 induction motors with the different power are used. The experimental data are including of the starting torque and current, maximum torque, full load sleep, efficiency, rated active power and reactive power. The obtained results from the proposed ANN and ANFIS models are compared with each other and with the experimental data, which show a good agreement between the predicted values and the experimental data. But the proposed ANFIS model is more accurate than the proposed ANN model.
Utilizing neural networks in magnetic media modeling and field computation: A review.
Adly, Amr A; Abd-El-Hafiz, Salwa K
2014-11-01
Magnetic materials are considered as crucial components for a wide range of products and devices. Usually, complexity of such materials is defined by their permeability classification and coupling extent to non-magnetic properties. Hence, development of models that could accurately simulate the complex nature of these materials becomes crucial to the multi-dimensional field-media interactions and computations. In the past few decades, artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been utilized in many applications to perform miscellaneous tasks such as identification, approximation, optimization, classification and forecasting. The purpose of this review article is to give an account of the utilization of ANNs in modeling as well as field computation involving complex magnetic materials. Mostly used ANN types in magnetics, advantages of this usage, detailed implementation methodologies as well as numerical examples are given in the paper.
Utilizing neural networks in magnetic media modeling and field computation: A review
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Amr A. Adly
2014-11-01
Full Text Available Magnetic materials are considered as crucial components for a wide range of products and devices. Usually, complexity of such materials is defined by their permeability classification and coupling extent to non-magnetic properties. Hence, development of models that could accurately simulate the complex nature of these materials becomes crucial to the multi-dimensional field-media interactions and computations. In the past few decades, artificial neural networks (ANNs have been utilized in many applications to perform miscellaneous tasks such as identification, approximation, optimization, classification and forecasting. The purpose of this review article is to give an account of the utilization of ANNs in modeling as well as field computation involving complex magnetic materials. Mostly used ANN types in magnetics, advantages of this usage, detailed implementation methodologies as well as numerical examples are given in the paper.
Artificial Neural Network versus Linear Models Forecasting Doha Stock Market
Yousif, Adil; Elfaki, Faiz
2017-12-01
The purpose of this study is to determine the instability of Doha stock market and develop forecasting models. Linear time series models are used and compared with a nonlinear Artificial Neural Network (ANN) namely Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) Technique. It aims to establish the best useful model based on daily and monthly data which are collected from Qatar exchange for the period starting from January 2007 to January 2015. Proposed models are for the general index of Qatar stock exchange and also for the usages in other several sectors. With the help of these models, Doha stock market index and other various sectors were predicted. The study was conducted by using various time series techniques to study and analyze data trend in producing appropriate results. After applying several models, such as: Quadratic trend model, double exponential smoothing model, and ARIMA, it was concluded that ARIMA (2,2) was the most suitable linear model for the daily general index. However, ANN model was found to be more accurate than time series models.
He, Jianxun; Valeo, Caterina; Chu, Angus; Neumann, Norman F.
2011-03-01
SummaryEvent-based stormwater runoff quantity and quality modeling remains a challenge since the processes of rainfall induced pollutant discharge are not completely understood. The complexity of physically-based models often limits the practical use of quality models in practice. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are a data driven modeling approach that can avoid the necessity of fully understanding complex physical processes. In this paper, feed-forward multi-layer perceptron (MLP) network, a popular type of ANN, was applied to predict stormwater runoff quantity and quality including turbidity, specific conductance, water temperature, pH, and dissolved oxygen (DO) in storm events. A recently proposed input selection algorithm based on partial mutual information (PMI), which identifies input variables in a stepwise manner, was employed to select input variable sets for the development of ANNs. The ANNs developed via this approach could produce satisfactory prediction of event-based stormwater runoff quantity and quality. In particular, this approach demonstrated a superior performance over the approach involving ANNs fed by inputs selected using partial correlation and all potential inputs in flow modeling. This result suggests the applicability of PMI in developing ANN models. In addition, the ANN for flow outperformed conventional multiple linear regression (MLR) and multiple nonlinear regression (MNLR) models. For an ANN development of turbidity (multiplied by flow rate) and specific conductance, significant improvement was achieved by including a previous 3-week total rainfall amount into their input variable sets. This antecedent rainfall variable is considered a factor in the availability of land surface pollutants for wash-off. A sensitivity analysis demonstrated the potential role of this rainfall variable on modeling particulate solids and dissolved matters in stormwater runoff.
Dynamic model of a PEM electrolyser based on artificial neural networks
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Chavez-Ramirez, A.U.; Munoz-Guerrero, R.; Sanchez-Huerta, V.; Ramirez-Arredondo, Juan M.; Ornelas, R.; Arriaga, L.G.; Siracusano, S.; Brunaccini, G.; Napoli, G.; Antonucci, V.; Arico, A.S.
2011-01-15
Hydrogen production by electrolysis is emerging as a promising way to meet future fuel demand, and developing models capable of simulating the operation of electrolysis devices is indispensable to efficiently design power generation systems, reduce manufacturing costs and save resources. The nonlinear nature of the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) plays a key role in developing models predicting the performance of complex systems. The behaviour of a Polymer Electrolyte Membrane (PEM) Electrolyser of three cell stack was modelled successfully using a Multilayer Perceptron Network (MLP). This dynamic model was trained to learn the internal relationships of this electrolysis device and predict its behaviour without physical equations. Electric current supply and operation temperature were used as input vector able to predict each cell voltage behaviour. An accuracy (< 2%) was reached after comparing the single cell performance of the real electrolyser versus the ANN based model. This predictive model can be used as a virtual device into a more complex energy system.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Marijana Zekić-Sušac
2013-02-01
Full Text Available Despite increased interest in the entrepreneurial intentions and career choices of young adults, reliable prediction models are yet to be developed. Two nonparametric methods were used in this paper to model entrepreneurial intentions: principal component analysis (PCA and artificial neural networks (ANNs. PCA was used to perform feature extraction in the first stage of modelling, while artificial neural networks were used to classify students according to their entrepreneurial intentions in the second stage. Four modelling strategies were tested in order to find the most efficient model. Dataset was collected in an international survey on entrepreneurship self-efficacy and identity. Variables describe students’ demographics, education, attitudes, social and cultural norms, self-efficacy and other characteristics. The research reveals benefits from the combination of the PCA and ANNs in modeling entrepreneurial intentions, and provides some ideas for further research.
Neural Network Modeling of AChE Inhibition by New Carbazole-Bearing Oxazolones.
Cavas, Levent; Topcam, Gamze; Gundogdu-Hizliates, Cevher; Ergun, Yavuz
2017-12-13
Acetylcholine esterase (AChE) is one of the targeted enzymes in the therapy of important neurodegenerative diseases such as Alzheimer's disease. Many studies on carbazole- and oxazolone-based compounds have been conducted in the last decade due to the importance of these compounds. New carbazole-bearing oxazolones were synthesized from several carbazole aldehydes and p-nitrobenzoyl glycine as AChE inhibitors by the Erlenmeyer reaction in the present study. The inhibitory effects of three carbazole-bearing oxazolone derivatives on AChE were studied in vitro and the experimental results were modeled using artificial neural network (ANN). The developed ANN provided sufficient correlation between several dependent systems, including enzyme inhibition. The inhibition data for AChE were modeled by a two-layered ANN architecture. High correlation coefficients were observed between the experimental and predicted ANN results. Synthesized carbazole-bearing oxazolone derivatives inhibited AChE under in vitro conditions, and further research involving in vivo studies is recommended. An ANN may be a useful alternative modeling approach for enzyme inhibition.
Artificial neural network and regression models for flow velocity at sediment incipient deposition
Safari, Mir-Jafar-Sadegh; Aksoy, Hafzullah; Mohammadi, Mirali
2016-10-01
A set of experiments for the determination of flow characteristics at sediment incipient deposition has been carried out in a trapezoidal cross-section channel. Using experimental data, a regression model is developed for computing velocity of flow in a trapezoidal cross-section channel at the incipient deposition condition and is presented together with already available regression models of rectangular, circular, and U-shape channels. A generalized regression model is also provided by combining the available data of any cross-section. For comparison of the models, a powerful tool, the artificial neural network (ANN) is used for modelling incipient deposition of sediment in rigid boundary channels. Three different ANN techniques, namely, the feed-forward back propagation (FFBP), generalized regression (GR), and radial basis function (RBF), are applied using six input variables; flow discharge, flow depth, channel bed slope, hydraulic radius, relative specific mass of sediment and median size of sediment particles; all taken from laboratory experiments. Hydrodynamic forces acting on sediment particles in the flow are considered in the regression models indirectly for deriving particle Froude number and relative particle size, both being dimensionless. The accuracy of the models is studied by the root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), the discrepancy ratio (Dr) and the concordance coefficient (CC). Evaluation of the models finds ANN models superior and some regression models with an acceptable performance. Therefore, it is concluded that appropriately constructed ANN and regression models can be developed and used for the rigid boundary channel design.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
G-A. Tselentis
2010-12-01
Full Text Available Complex application domains involve difficult pattern classification problems. This paper introduces a model of MMI attenuation and its dependence on engineering ground motion parameters based on artificial neural networks (ANNs and genetic algorithms (GAs. The ultimate goal of this investigation is to evaluate the target-region applicability of ground-motion attenuation relations developed for a host region based on training an ANN using the seismic patterns of the host region. This ANN learning is based on supervised learning using existing data from past earthquakes. The combination of these two learning procedures (that is, GA and ANN allows us to introduce a new method for pattern recognition in the context of seismological applications. The performance of this new GA-ANN regression method has been evaluated using a Greek seismological database with satisfactory results.
Modeling of a PEM Fuel Cell Stack using Partial Least Squares and Artificial Neural Networks
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Han, In-Su; Shin, Hyun Khil [GS Caltex Corp, Daejeon (Korea, Republic of)
2015-04-15
We present two data-driven modeling methods, partial least square (PLS) and artificial neural network (ANN), to predict the major operating and performance variables of a polymer electrolyte membrane (PEM) fuel cell stack. PLS and ANN models were constructed using the experimental data obtained from the testing of a 30 kW-class PEM fuel cell stack, and then were compared with each other in terms of their prediction and computational performances. To reduce the complexity of the models, we combined a variables importance on PLS projection (VIP) as a variable selection method into the modeling procedure in which the predictor variables are selected from a set of input operation variables. The modeling results showed that the ANN models outperformed the PLS models in predicting the average cell voltage and cathode outlet temperature of the fuel cell stack. However, the PLS models also offered satisfactory prediction performances although they can only capture linear correlations between the predictor and output variables. Depending on the degree of modeling accuracy and speed, both ANN and PLS models can be employed for performance predictions, offline and online optimizations, controls, and fault diagnoses in the field of PEM fuel cell designs and operations.
Mizera, Mikołaj; Krause, Anna; Zalewski, Przemysław; Skibiński, Robert; Cielecka-Piontek, Judyta
2017-03-01
Mathematical modeling of Quantitative Structure - Property Relationships met great interest in fields of in silico drug design and more recently, pharmaceutical analysis. In our approach we proposed automated method of creation Quantitative Structure-Retention Relationship (QSRR) for analysis of triptans, selective serotonin 5-HT1 receptor agonists used for the treatment of acute headache. The method was created using hybrid machine learning approach, namely Genetic algorithm (GA) coupled with artificial neutral networks (ANN). Performance of proposed hybrid GA-ANN model was evaluated with predicting relative retention times of naratriptan hydrochloride impurities. Several ANN types were coupled with GA and tested: single-layer ANN (SL-ANN), double-layer ANN (D-ANN) and higher order architectures: pi-sigma ANN (PS-ANN) and sigma-pi-sigma ANN (SPS-ANN). Partial Least Squares (PLS) method was used as a reference. The separation of naratriptan hydrochloride and its related products (impurities and degradation products) was obtained by developing a gradient high-performance liquid chromatography method with diode-array detector (HPLC-DAD). Degradation products during acid-basic hydrolysis were identified with an electrospray ionization tandem mass spectrometry (Q-TOF-MS/MS) detector. Independent data for outer validation of QSRR model was obtained from the determination of related products of sumatriptan succinate via an HPLC-DAD method. Accuracy of QSRR was measured by inner-validation on naratriptan data and outer validation on sumatriptan succinate samples. The best performing model were PS-ANN and SPS-ANN with mean errors of 8% (Q2=0.87) and 15% (Q2=0.77) on an inner-validation data set, respectively. Validation on similar samples from an outer validation data set of sumatriptan succinate impurities gave mean errors of 18% (R(2)pred=0.64) and 17% (R(2)pred=0.63) for the PS-ANN and SPS-ANN models, respectively. Copyright © 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Erdi Tosun
2016-12-01
Full Text Available This study deals with usage of linear regression (LR and artificial neural network (ANN modeling to predict engine performance; torque and exhaust emissions; and carbon monoxide, oxides of nitrogen (CO, NOx of a naturally aspirated diesel engine fueled with standard diesel, peanut biodiesel (PME and biodiesel-alcohol (EME, MME, PME mixtures. Experimental work was conducted to obtain data to train and test the models. Backpropagation algorithm was used as a learning algorithm of ANN in the multilayered feedforward networks. Engine speed (rpm and fuel properties, cetane number (CN, lower heating value (LHV and density (ρ were used as input parameters in order to predict performance and emission parameters. It was shown that while linear regression modeling approach was deficient to predict desired parameters, more accurate results were obtained with the usage of ANN.
Rogers, Leah L.; Dowla, Farid U.
1994-02-01
A new approach to nonlinear groundwater management methodology is presented which optimizes aquifer remediation with the aid of artificial neural networks (ANNs). The methodology allows solute transport simulations, usually the main computational component of management models, to be run in parallel. The ANN technology, inspired by neurobiological theories of massive interconnection and parallelism, has been successfully applied to a variety of optimization problems. In this new approach, optimal management solutions are found by (1) first training an ANN to predict the outcome of the flow and transport code, and (2) then using the trained ANN to search through many pumping realizations to find an optimal one for successful remediation. The behavior of complex groundwater scenarios with spatially variable transport parameters and multiple contaminant plumes is simulated with a two-dimensional hybrid finite-difference/finite-element flow and transport code. The flow and transport code develops the set of examples upon which the network is trained. The input of the ANN characterizes the different realizations of pumping, with each input indicating the pumping level of a well. The output is capable of characterizing the objectives and constraints of the optimization, such as attainment of regulatory goals, value of cost functions and cleanup time, and mass of contaminant removal. The supervised learning algorithm of back propagation was used to train the network. The conjugate gradient method and weight elimination procedures are used to speed convergence and improve performance, respectively. Once trained, the ANN begins a search through various realizations of pumping patterns to determine whether or not they will be successful. The search is directed by a simple genetic algorithm. The resulting management solutions are consistent with those resulting from a more conventional optimization technique, which combines solute transport modeling and nonlinear programming
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Shang-Ming Huang
2017-11-01
Full Text Available 2-Ethylhexyl salicylate, an ultraviolet filter, is widely used to protect skin against sunlight-induced harmful effects in the cosmetic industry. In this study, the green synthesis of 2-ethylhexyl salicylate using immobilized lipase through a solvent-free and reduced pressure evaporation system was investigated. A Box–Behnken design was employed to develop an artificial neural network (ANN model. The parameters for an optimal architecture of an ANN were set out: a quick propagation algorithm, a hyperbolic tangent transfer function, 10,000 iterations, and six nodes within the hidden layer. The best-fitting performance of the ANN was determined by the coefficient of determination and the root-mean-square error between the correlation of predicted and experimental data, indicating that the ANN displayed excellent data-fitting properties. Finally, the experimental conditions of synthesis were well established with the optimal parameters to obtain a high conversion of 2-ethylhexyl salicylate. In conclusion, this study efficiently replaces the traditional solvents with a green process for the synthesis of 2-ethylhexyl salicylate to avoid environmental contamination, and this process is well-modeled by a methodological ANN for optimization, which might be a benefit for industrial production.
Prediction of the nutrient content in dairy manure using artificial neural network modeling.
Chen, L J; Cui, L Y; Xing, L; Han, L J
2008-12-01
Nutrients in animal manure are valuable inputs in agronomic crop production. Timely and reliable information on animal manure nutrient content will facilitate the utilization of manure as organic fertilizer and reduce any associated potential environmental problems. The objective of this study was to investigate the feasibility of using multiple linear regression (MLR), polynomial regression, and artificial neural network (ANN) models to determine nutrient content in dairy manure. Fresh manure samples (n = 86) from Holstein dairy cattle were collected from 34 dairy farms located in Beijing city, China. All samples were analyzed for nutrient content (ammonium nitrogen, total potassium, total nitrogen, and total phosphorus) by standard laboratory methods. The physicochemical properties (specific gravity, electrical conductivity, and pH) of dairy manure samples were measured. Relationships between nutrient content and physicochemical properties were explored by MLR, polynomial regression, and ANN models. Several parameters (R(2), modeling efficiency statistic, mean squared error of prediction, mean bias, linear bias, and maximum bias) were calculated to evaluate model performance. The residual analysis results indicated that all MLR models for the testing data set had significant mean and linear bias. When compared with MLR and polynomial regression models, the ANN model for all nutrient contents had better performance with higher R(2) and modeling efficiency statistics and lower mean squared error of prediction, mean bias, linear bias, and maximum bias. These findings demonstrated that the ANN model may be an appropriate tool to predict dairy manure nutrient content.
Wilczyńska-Piliszek, Agata J; Piliszek, Sławomir; Falandysz, Jerzy
2012-01-01
Polychlorinated azobenzenes (PCABs) can be found as contaminant by products in 3,4-dichloroaniline and its derivatives and in the herbicides Diuron, Linuron, Methazole, Neburon, Propanil and SWEP. Trans congeners of PCABs are physically and chemically more stable and so are environmentally relevant, when compared to unstable cis congeners. In this study, to fulfill gaps on environmentally relevant partitioning properties of PCABs, the values of n-octanol/water partition coefficients (log K(OW)) have been determined for 209 congeners of chloro-trans-azobenzene (Ct-AB) by means of quantitative structure-property relationship (QSPR) approach and artificial neural networks (ANN) predictive ability. The QSPR methods used based on geometry optimalization and quantum-chemical structural descriptors, which were computed on the level of density functional theory (DFT) using B3LYP functional and 6-311++G basis set in Gaussian 03 and of the semi-empirical quantum chemistry method (PM6) of the molecular orbital package (MOPAC). Polychlorinated dibenzo-p-dioxins (PCDDs), -furans (PCDFs) and -biphenyls (PCBs), to which PCABs are related, were reference compounds in this study. An experimentally obtained data on physical and chemical properties of PCDD/Fs and PCBs were reference data for ANN predictions of log K(OW) values of Ct-ABs in this study. Both calculation methods gave similar results in term of absolute log K(OW) values, while the models generated by PM6 are considered highly efficient in time spent, when compared to these by DFT. The estimated log K(OW) values of 209 Ct-ABs varied between 5.22-5.57 and 5.45-5.60 for Mono-, 5.56-6.00 and 5.59-6.07 for Di-, 5.89-6.56 and 5.91-6.46 for Tri-, 6.10-7.05 and 6.13-6.80 for Tetra-, 6.43-7.39 and 6.48-7.14 for Penta-, 6.61-7.78 and 6.98-7.42 for Hexa-, 7.41-7.94 and 7.34-7.86 for Hepta-, 7.99-8.17 and 7.72-8.20 for Octa-, 8.35-8.42 and 8.10-8.62 for NonaCt-ABs, and 8.52-8.60 and 8.81-8.83 for DecaCt-AB. These log K(OW) values
Artificial Neural Networks for Thermochemical Conversion of Biomass
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Puig Arnavat, Maria; Bruno, Joan Carles
2015-01-01
Artificial neural networks (ANNs), extensively used in different fields, have been applied for modeling biomass gasification processes in fluidized bed reactors. Two ANN models are presented, one for circulating fluidized bed gasifiers and another for bubbling fluidized bed gasifiers. Both models...... with the published experimental data used (R2 > 0.98) and are better than those achieved using a modified thermodynamic equilibrium model. Furthermore, a sensitivity analysis has been applied in each ANN model showing that all selected input variables are important....
Pappu, J Sharon Mano; Gummadi, Sathyanarayana N
2016-11-01
This study examines the use of unstructured kinetic model and artificial neural networks as predictive tools for xylitol production by Debaryomyces nepalensis NCYC 3413 in bioreactor. An unstructured kinetic model was proposed in order to assess the influence of pH (4, 5 and 6), temperature (25°C, 30°C and 35°C) and volumetric oxygen transfer coefficient kLa (0.14h(-1), 0.28h(-1) and 0.56h(-1)) on growth and xylitol production. A feed-forward back-propagation artificial neural network (ANN) has been developed to investigate the effect of process condition on xylitol production. ANN configuration of 6-10-3 layers was selected and trained with 339 experimental data points from bioreactor studies. Results showed that simulation and prediction accuracy of ANN was apparently higher when compared to unstructured mechanistic model under varying operational conditions. ANN was found to be an efficient data-driven tool to predict the optimal harvest time in xylitol production. Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
An ANN That Applies Pragmatic Decision on Texts.
Aretoulaki, Maria; Tsujii, Jun-ichi
A computer-based artificial neural network (ANN) that learns to classify sentences in a text as important or unimportant is described. The program is designed to select the sentences that are important enough to be included in composition of an abstract of the text. The ANN is embedded in a conventional symbolic environment consisting of…
Mehri, M
2013-04-01
Application of appropriate models to approximate the performance function warrants more precise prediction and helps to make the best decisions in the poultry industry. This study reevaluated the factors affecting hatchability in laying hens from 29 to 56 wk of age. Twenty-eight data lines representing 4 inputs consisting of egg weight, eggshell thickness, egg sphericity, and yolk/albumin ratio and 1 output, hatchability, were obtained from the literature and used to train an artificial neural network (ANN). The prediction ability of ANN was compared with that of fuzzy logic to evaluate the fitness of these 2 methods. The models were compared using R(2), mean absolute deviation (MAD), mean squared error (MSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), and bias. The developed model was used to assess the relative importance of each variable on the hatchability by calculating the variable sensitivity ratio. The statistical evaluations showed that the ANN-based model predicted hatchability more accurately than fuzzy logic. The ANN-based model had a higher determination of coefficient (R(2) = 0.99) and lower residual distribution (MAD = 0.005; MSE = 0.00004; MAPE = 0.732; bias = 0.0012) than fuzzy logic (R(2) = 0.87; MAD = 0.014; MSE = 0.0004; MAPE = 2.095; bias = 0.0046). The sensitivity analysis revealed that the most important variable in the ANN-based model of hatchability was egg weight (variable sensitivity ratio, VSR = 283.11), followed by yolk/albumin ratio (VSR = 113.16), eggshell thickness (VSR = 16.23), and egg sphericity (VSR = 3.63). The results of this research showed that the universal approximation capability of ANN made it a powerful tool to approximate complex functions such as hatchability in the incubation process.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Beigi Mohsen
2017-01-01
Full Text Available The present study aimed at investigation of deep bed drying of rough rice kernels at various thin layers at different drying air temperatures and flow rates. A comparative study was performed between mathematical thin layer models and artificial neural networks to estimate the drying curves of rough rice. The suitability of nine mathematical models in simulating the drying kinetics was examined and the Midilli model was determined as the best approach for describing drying curves. Different feed forward-back propagation artificial neural networks were examined to predict the moisture content variations of the grains. The ANN with 4-18-18-1 topology, transfer function of hyperbolic tangent sigmoid and a Levenberg-Marquardt back propagation training algorithm provided the best results with the maximum correlation coefficient and the minimum mean square error values. Furthermore, it was revealed that ANN modeling had better performance in prediction of drying curves with lower root mean square error values.
Particle swarm optimization of a neural network model in a ...
Indian Academy of Sciences (India)
This paper presents a particle swarm optimization (PSO) technique to train an artificial neural network (ANN) for prediction of flank wear in drilling, and compares the network performance with that of the back propagation neural network (BPNN). This analysis is carried out following a series of experiments employing high ...
Modeling semiflexible polymer networks
Broedersz, Chase P.; MacKintosh, Fred C.
2014-01-01
Here, we provide an overview of theoretical approaches to semiflexible polymers and their networks. Such semiflexible polymers have large bending rigidities that can compete with the entropic tendency of a chain to crumple up into a random coil. Many studies on semiflexible polymers and their assemblies have been motivated by their importance in biology. Indeed, crosslinked networks of semiflexible polymers form a major structural component of tissue and living cells. Reconstituted networks o...
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Chuan Luo
2015-09-01
Full Text Available The application of hydrological and water quality models is an efficient approach to better understand the processes of environmental deterioration. This study evaluated the ability of the Annualized Agricultural Non-Point Source (AnnAGNPS model to predict runoff, total nitrogen (TN and total phosphorus (TP loading in a typical small watershed of a hilly region near Taihu Lake, China. Runoff was calibrated and validated at both an annual and monthly scale, and parameter sensitivity analysis was performed for TN and TP before the two water quality components were calibrated. The results showed that the model satisfactorily simulated runoff at annual and monthly scales, both during calibration and validation processes. Additionally, results of parameter sensitivity analysis showed that the parameters Fertilizer rate, Fertilizer organic, Canopy cover and Fertilizer inorganic were more sensitive to TN output. In terms of TP, the parameters Residue mass ratio, Fertilizer rate, Fertilizer inorganic and Canopy cover were the most sensitive. Based on these sensitive parameters, calibration was performed. TN loading produced satisfactory results for both the calibration and validation processes, whereas the performance of TP loading was slightly poor. The simulation results showed that AnnAGNPS has the potential to be used as a valuable tool for the planning and management of watersheds.
Modelling the Shear Behaviour of Clean Rock Discontinuities Using Artificial Neural Networks
Dantas Neto, Silvrano Adonias; Indraratna, Buddhima; Oliveira, David Américo Fortuna; de Assis, André Pacheco
2017-07-01
Since the mechanical behaviour of rock masses is influenced by the shear behaviour of their discontinuities, analytical models are being developed to describe the shear behaviour of rock discontinuities. The aim of this paper is to present a model to predict the shear behaviour of clean rock discontinuities developed by using artificial neural networks (ANN), as an alternative to the existing analytical models which sometimes require certain parameters obtained from large-scale laboratory tests which are not always available. Results from direct shear tests on different boundary conditions and types of discontinuities have been used to develop this ANN model, whose input parameters contain the boundary normal stiffness, the initial normal stress, the joint roughness coefficient, the compressive strength of the intact rock, the basic friction angle and the horizontal displacement of a joint. This proposed ANN model fits the experimental data better than some existing analytical models, and it can satisfactorily describe how governing parameters influence the shear behaviour of clean rock discontinuities. This paper also presents a practical application where the proposed ANN model is used to analyse the stability of a rock slope.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Rachid Darnag
2017-02-01
Full Text Available Support vector machines (SVM represent one of the most promising Machine Learning (ML tools that can be applied to develop a predictive quantitative structure–activity relationship (QSAR models using molecular descriptors. Multiple linear regression (MLR and artificial neural networks (ANNs were also utilized to construct quantitative linear and non linear models to compare with the results obtained by SVM. The prediction results are in good agreement with the experimental value of HIV activity; also, the results reveal the superiority of the SVM over MLR and ANN model. The contribution of each descriptor to the structure–activity relationships was evaluated.
Neural network dose models for knowledge-based planning in pancreatic SBRT.
Campbell, Warren G; Miften, Moyed; Olsen, Lindsey; Stumpf, Priscilla; Schefter, Tracey; Goodman, Karyn A; Jones, Bernard L
2017-10-10
Stereotactic body radiation therapy (SBRT) for pancreatic cancer requires a skillful approach to deliver ablative doses to the tumor while limiting dose to the highly sensitive duodenum, stomach, and small bowel. Here, we develop knowledge-based artificial neural network dose models (ANN-DMs) to predict dose distributions that would be approved by experienced physicians. Arc-based SBRT treatment plans for 43 pancreatic cancer patients were planned, delivering 30-33 Gy in five fractions. Treatments were overseen by one of two physicians with individual treatment approaches, with variations in prescribed dose, target volume delineation, and primary organs-at-risk. Using dose distributions calculated by a commercial treatment planning system (TPS), physician-approved treatment plans were used to train ANN-DMs that could predict physician-approved dose distributions based on a set of geometric parameters (vary from voxel to voxel) and plan parameters (constant across all voxels for a given patient). Patient datasets were randomly allocated, with 2/3(rds) used for training, and 1/3(rd) used for validation. Differences between TPS and ANN-DM dose distributions were used to evaluate model performance. ANN-DM design, including neural network structure and parameter choices, were evaluated to optimize dose model performance. Remarkable improvements in ANN-DM accuracy (i.e., from >30% to models for the treatment style of each physician. Increased neural network complexity (i.e., more layers, more neurons per layer) did not improve dose model accuracy. Mean dose errors were less than 5% at all distances from the PTV, and mean absolute dose errors were on the order of 5%, but no more than 10%. Dose-volume histogram errors (in cm(3) ) demonstrated good model performance above 25 Gy, but much larger errors were seen at lower doses. ANN-DM dose distributions showed excellent overall agreement with TPS dose distributions, and accuracy was substantially improved when each physician
Complex Networks in Psychological Models
Wedemann, R. S.; Carvalho, L. S. A. V. D.; Donangelo, R.
We develop schematic, self-organizing, neural-network models to describe mechanisms associated with mental processes, by a neurocomputational substrate. These models are examples of real world complex networks with interesting general topological structures. Considering dopaminergic signal-to-noise neuronal modulation in the central nervous system, we propose neural network models to explain development of cortical map structure and dynamics of memory access, and unify different mental processes into a single neurocomputational substrate. Based on our neural network models, neurotic behavior may be understood as an associative memory process in the brain, and the linguistic, symbolic associative process involved in psychoanalytic working-through can be mapped onto a corresponding process of reconfiguration of the neural network. The models are illustrated through computer simulations, where we varied dopaminergic modulation and observed the self-organizing emergent patterns at the resulting semantic map, interpreting them as different manifestations of mental functioning, from psychotic through to normal and neurotic behavior, and creativity.
Ground Motion Prediction Model Using Artificial Neural Network
Dhanya, J.; Raghukanth, S. T. G.
2017-12-01
This article focuses on developing a ground motion prediction equation based on artificial neural network (ANN) technique for shallow crustal earthquakes. A hybrid technique combining genetic algorithm and Levenberg-Marquardt technique is used for training the model. The present model is developed to predict peak ground velocity, and 5% damped spectral acceleration. The input parameters for the prediction are moment magnitude (M w), closest distance to rupture plane (R rup), shear wave velocity in the region (V s30) and focal mechanism (F). A total of 13,552 ground motion records from 288 earthquakes provided by the updated NGA-West2 database released by Pacific Engineering Research Center are utilized to develop the model. The ANN architecture considered for the model consists of 192 unknowns including weights and biases of all the interconnected nodes. The performance of the model is observed to be within the prescribed error limits. In addition, the results from the study are found to be comparable with the existing relations in the global database. The developed model is further demonstrated by estimating site-specific response spectra for Shimla city located in Himalayan region.
Chun, Felix K-H; Karakiewicz, Pierre I; Briganti, Alberto; Walz, Jochen; Kattan, Michael W; Huland, Hartwig; Graefen, Markus
2007-04-01
To evaluate several methods of predicting prostate cancer-related outcomes, i.e. nomograms, look-up tables, artificial neural networks (ANN), classification and regression tree (CART) analyses and risk-group stratification (RGS) models, all of which represent valid alternatives. We present four direct comparisons, where a nomogram was compared to either an ANN, a look-up table, a CART model or a RGS model. In all comparisons we assessed the predictive accuracy and performance characteristics of both models. Nomograms have several advantages over ANN, look-up tables, CART and RGS models, the most fundamental being a higher predictive accuracy and better performance characteristics. These results suggest that nomograms are more accurate and have better performance characteristics than their alternatives. However, ANN, look-up tables, CART analyses and RGS models all rely on methodologically sound and valid alternatives, which should not be abandoned.
A novel approach to parameter uncertainty analysis of hydrological models using neural networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
D. P. Solomatine
2009-07-01
Full Text Available In this study, a methodology has been developed to emulate a time consuming Monte Carlo (MC simulation by using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN for the assessment of model parametric uncertainty. First, MC simulation of a given process model is run. Then an ANN is trained to approximate the functional relationships between the input variables of the process model and the synthetic uncertainty descriptors estimated from the MC realizations. The trained ANN model encapsulates the underlying characteristics of the parameter uncertainty and can be used to predict uncertainty descriptors for the new data vectors. This approach was validated by comparing the uncertainty descriptors in the verification data set with those obtained by the MC simulation. The method is applied to estimate the parameter uncertainty of a lumped conceptual hydrological model, HBV, for the Brue catchment in the United Kingdom. The results are quite promising as the prediction intervals estimated by the ANN are reasonably accurate. The proposed techniques could be useful in real time applications when it is not practicable to run a large number of simulations for complex hydrological models and when the forecast lead time is very short.
Ann Tenno salapaigad / Margit Tõnson
Tõnson, Margit, 1978-
2011-01-01
Fotograaf Ann Tenno aiandushuvist, pildistamisest maailma erinevates paikades. Uutest suundadest (fototöötlus, fractal art, soojuskaameraga pildistamine) tema loomingus. Katkendeid Ann Tenno 2010. aastal ilmunud proosaraamatust "Üle unepiiri"
Developing Personal Network Business Models
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Saugstrup, Dan; Henten, Anders
2006-01-01
on the 'state of the art' in the field of business modeling. Furthermore, the paper suggests three generic business models for PNs: a service oriented model, a self-organized model, and a combination model. Finally, examples of relevant services and applications in relation to three different cases......The aim of the paper is to examine the issue of business modeling in relation to personal networks, PNs. The paper builds on research performed on business models in the EU 1ST MAGNET1 project (My personal Adaptive Global NET). The paper presents the Personal Network concept and briefly reports...... are presented and analyzed in light of business modeling of PN....
Kapania, Rakesh K.; Liu, Youhua
1998-01-01
The use of continuum models for the analysis of discrete built-up complex aerospace structures is an attractive idea especially at the conceptual and preliminary design stages. But the diversity of available continuum models and hard-to-use qualities of these models have prevented them from finding wide applications. In this regard, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN or NN) may have a great potential as these networks are universal approximators that can realize any continuous mapping, and can provide general mechanisms for building models from data whose input-output relationship can be highly nonlinear. The ultimate aim of the present work is to be able to build high fidelity continuum models for complex aerospace structures using the ANN. As a first step, the concepts and features of ANN are familiarized through the MATLAB NN Toolbox by simulating some representative mapping examples, including some problems in structural engineering. Then some further aspects and lessons learned about the NN training are discussed, including the performances of Feed-Forward and Radial Basis Function NN when dealing with noise-polluted data and the technique of cross-validation. Finally, as an example of using NN in continuum models, a lattice structure with repeating cells is represented by a continuum beam whose properties are provided by neural networks.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Hyun-Joo Oh
2017-09-01
Full Text Available The main purpose of this paper is to present some potential applications of sophisticated data mining techniques, such as artificial neural network (ANN and boosted tree (BT, for landslide susceptibility modeling in the Yongin area, Korea. Initially, landslide inventory was detected from visual interpretation using digital aerial photographic maps with a high resolution of 50 cm taken before and after the occurrence of landslides. The debris flows were randomly divided into two groups: training and validation sets with a 50:50 proportion. Additionally, 18 environmental factors related to landslide occurrence were derived from the topography, soil, and forest maps. Subsequently, the data mining techniques were applied to identify the influence of environmental factors on landslide occurrence of the training set and assess landslide susceptibility. Finally, the landslide susceptibility indexes from ANN and BT were compared with a validation set using a receiver operating characteristics curve. The slope gradient, topographic wetness index, and timber age appear to be important factors in landslide occurrence from both models. The validation result of ANN and BT showed 82.25% and 90.79%, which had reasonably good performance. The study shows the benefit of selecting optimal data mining techniques in landslide susceptibility modeling. This approach could be used as a guideline for choosing environmental factors on landslide occurrence and add influencing factors into landslide monitoring systems. Furthermore, this method can rank landslide susceptibility in urban areas, thus providing helpful information when selecting a landslide monitoring site and planning land-use.
Development of Artificial Neural Network Model of Crude Oil Distillation Column
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ali Hussein Khalaf
2016-02-01
Full Text Available Artificial neural network in MATLAB simulator is used to model Baiji crude oil distillation unit based on data generated from aspen-HYSYS simulator. Thirteen inputs, six outputs and over 1487 data set are used to model the actual unit. Nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs (NARXand back propagation algorithm are used for training. Seventy percent of data are used for training the network while the remaining thirty percent are used for testing and validating the network to determine its prediction accuracy. One hidden layer and 34 hidden neurons are used for the proposed network with MSE of 0.25 is obtained. The number of neuron are selected based on less MSE for the network. The model founded to predict the optimal operating conditions for different objective functions within the training limit since ANN models are poor extrapolators. They are usually only reliable within the range of data that they had been trained for.
Development of Artificial Neural Network Model of Crude Oil Distillation Column
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Duraid F. Ahmed
2016-02-01
Full Text Available Artificial neural network in MATLAB simulator is used to model Baiji crude oil distillation unit based on data generated from aspen-HYSYS simulator. Thirteen inputs, six outputs and over 1487 data set are used to model the actual unit. Nonlinear autoregressive network with exogenous inputs (NARX and back propagation algorithm are used for training. Seventy percent of data are used for training the network while the remaining thirty percent are used for testing and validating the network to determine its prediction accuracy. One hidden layer and 34 hidden neurons are used for the proposed network with MSE of 0.25 is obtained. The number of neuron are selected based on less MSE for the network. The model founded to predict the optimal operating conditions for different objective functions within the training limit since ANN models are poor extrapolators. They are usually only reliable within the range of data that they had been trained for.
Feature Selection and ANN Solar Power Prediction
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Daniel O’Leary
2017-01-01
Full Text Available A novel method of solar power forecasting for individuals and small businesses is developed in this paper based on machine learning, image processing, and acoustic classification techniques. Increases in the production of solar power at the consumer level require automated forecasting systems to minimize loss, cost, and environmental impact for homes and businesses that produce and consume power (prosumers. These new participants in the energy market, prosumers, require new artificial neural network (ANN performance tuning techniques to create accurate ANN forecasts. Input masking, an ANN tuning technique developed for acoustic signal classification and image edge detection, is applied to prosumer solar data to improve prosumer forecast accuracy over traditional macrogrid ANN performance tuning techniques. ANN inputs tailor time-of-day masking based on error clustering in the time domain. Results show an improvement in prediction to target correlation, the R2 value, lowering inaccuracy of sample predictions by 14.4%, with corresponding drops in mean average error of 5.37% and root mean squared error of 6.83%.
A model of coauthorship networks
Zhou, Guochang; Li, Jianping; Xie, Zonglin
2017-10-01
A natural way of representing the coauthorship of authors is to use a generalization of graphs known as hypergraphs. A random geometric hypergraph model is proposed here to model coauthorship networks, which is generated by placing nodes on a region of Euclidean space randomly and uniformly, and connecting some nodes if the nodes satisfy particular geometric conditions. Two kinds of geometric conditions are designed to model the collaboration patterns of academic authorities and basic researches respectively. The conditions give geometric expressions of two causes of coauthorship: the authority and similarity of authors. By simulation and calculus, we show that the forepart of the degree distribution of the network generated by the model is mixture Poissonian, and the tail is power-law, which are similar to these of some coauthorship networks. Further, we show more similarities between the generated network and real coauthorship networks: the distribution of cardinalities of hyperedges, high clustering coefficient, assortativity, and small-world property
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
K. P. Moustris
2012-01-01
Full Text Available An attempt is made to forecast the daily maximum surface ozone concentration for the next 24 hours, within the greater Athens area (GAA. For this purpose, we applied Multiple Linear Regression (MLR models against a forecasting model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN approach. The availability of basic meteorological parameters is of great importance in order to forecast the ozone’s concentration levels. Modelling was based on recorded meteorological and air pollution data from thirteen monitoring sites within the GAA (network of the Hellenic Ministry of the Environment, Energy and Climate Change over five years from 2001 to 2005. The evaluation of the performance of the constructed models, using appropriate statistical indices, shows clearly that in every aspect, the prognostic model by far is the ANN model. This suggests that the ANN model can be used to issue warnings for the general population and mainly sensitive groups.
Wang, Fei; Wang, Xuan; Chen, Bin; Zhao, Ying; Yang, Zhifeng
2013-05-01
Accurate and reliable forecasting is important for the sustainable management of ecosystems. Chlorophyll a (Chl a) simulation and forecasting can provide early warning information and enable managers to make appropriate decisions for protecting lake ecosystems. In this study, we proposed a method for Chl a simulation in a lake that coupled the wavelet analysis and the artificial neural networks (WA-ANN). The proposed method had the advantage of data preprocessing, which reduced noise and managed nonstationary data. Fourteen variables were included in the developed and validated model, relating to hydrologic, ecological and meteorologic time series data from January 2000 to December 2009 at the Lake Baiyangdian study area, North China. The performance of the proposed WA-ANN model for monthly Chl a simulation in the lake ecosystem was compared with a multiple stepwise linear regression (MSLR) model, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and a regular ANN model. The results showed that the WA-ANN model was suitable for Chl a simulation providing a more accurate performance than the MSLR, ARIMA, and ANN models. We recommend that the proposed method be widely applied to further facilitate the development and implementation of lake ecosystem management.
Wang, Fei; Wang, Xuan; Chen, Bin; Zhao, Ying; Yang, Zhifeng
2013-05-01
Accurate and reliable forecasting is important for the sustainable management of ecosystems. Chlorophyll a (Chl a) simulation and forecasting can provide early warning information and enable managers to make appropriate decisions for protecting lake ecosystems. In this study, we proposed a method for Chl a simulation in a lake that coupled the wavelet analysis and the artificial neural networks (WA-ANN). The proposed method had the advantage of data preprocessing, which reduced noise and managed nonstationary data. Fourteen variables were included in the developed and validated model, relating to hydrologic, ecological and meteorologic time series data from January 2000 to December 2009 at the Lake Baiyangdian study area, North China. The performance of the proposed WA-ANN model for monthly Chl a simulation in the lake ecosystem was compared with a multiple stepwise linear regression (MSLR) model, an autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and a regular ANN model. The results showed that the WA-ANN model was suitable for Chl a simulation providing a more accurate performance than the MSLR, ARIMA, and ANN models. We recommend that the proposed method be widely applied to further facilitate the development and implementation of lake ecosystem management.
2016-11-09
standpoint remains more of an art than a science . Even when well executed, the ongoing evolution of the network may violate initial, security-critical design...from a security standpoint remains more of an art than a science . Even when well executed, the ongoing evolution of the network may violate initial...is outside the scope of this paper. As such, we focus on event probabilities. The output of the network porosity model is a stream of timestamped
Husseini, Ghaleb A; Mjalli, Farouq S; Pitt, William G; Abdel-Jabbar, Nabil M
2009-12-01
We have been developing a drug delivery system that uses Pluronic P105 micelles to sequester a chemotherapeutic drug--namely, Doxorubicin (Dox)--until it reaches the cancer site. Ultrasound is then applied to release the drug directly to the tumor and in the process minimize the adverse side effects of chemotherapy on non-tumor tissues. Here, we present an artificial neural network (ANN) model that attempts to model the dynamic release of Dox from P105 micelles under different ultrasonic power intensities at two frequencies. The developed ANN model is then utilized to optimize the ultrasound application to achieve a target drug release at the tumor site via an ANN-based model predictive control. The parameters of the controller are then tuned to achieve good reference signal tracking. We were successful in designing and testing a controller capable of adjusting the ultrasound frequency, intensity, and pulse length to sustain constant Dox release.
Kõnelused Tartus / Anne Untera
Untera, Anne, 1951-
2007-01-01
8.-10. V Tartus toimunud eesti, läti ja saksa kunstiteadlaste ühisseminarist. Alexander Knorre rääkis Karl August Senffi, Ilona Audere Friedrich Ludwig von Maydelli, Mai Levin Karl Alexander von Winkleri, Kristiana Abele Johann Walter-Kurau (1869-1932), Anne Untera Konstantin ja Sally von Kügelgeni, Epp Preem Julie Hagen-Schwartzi, Friedrich Gross Eduard von Gebhardti ja Katharina Hadding Ida Kerkoviuse (1879-1970) loomingust
Use of artificial neural networks for electrical conductivity modeling in Asi River
Ghorbani, Mohammad Ali; Aalami, Mohammad Taghi; Naghipour, Leila
2017-07-01
This study aims to model monthly electrical conductivity (EC) values in the Asi River using artificial neural networks (ANNs) to evaluate water quality conditions using pH, temperature, water discharge, sodium, sum of calcium and magnesium concentrations. The results are compared using multiple linear regression (MLR). Recorded data are available at a gauging site in Antakya, Turkey, for the period from 1984 to 2008. Comparing the modeled values by ANNs with the experimental data indicates that neural network model with seven neurons in hidden layer provides accurate results ( R 2 = 0.968, RMSE = 46.927 µS/cm, MAE = 32.462 µS/cm and MRSE = 0.0029 for the training data and R 2 = 0.965, RMSE = 50.810 µS/cm, MAE = 37.495 µS/cm and MRSE = 0.0024 for the testing data). The Garson method of the connection weights of the network was used to study the relative % contribution of each of the input variables. It was found that the sum of calcium and magnesium concentration and temperature had the most effect on the predicted EC. The results indicate that two proposed models were able to approximate the EC parameter reasonably well; however, the ANN was found to perform better than the MLR model.
Telecommunications network modelling, planning and design
Evans, Sharon
2003-01-01
Telecommunication Network Modelling, Planning and Design addresses sophisticated modelling techniques from the perspective of the communications industry and covers some of the major issues facing telecommunications network engineers and managers today. Topics covered include network planning for transmission systems, modelling of SDH transport network structures and telecommunications network design and performance modelling, as well as network costs and ROI modelling and QoS in 3G networks.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ahmad Danial Azzahari
2016-01-01
Full Text Available A gel polymer electrolyte system based on phthaloylchitosan was prepared. The effects of process variables, such as lithium iodide, caesium iodide, and 1-butyl-3-methylimidazolium iodide were investigated using a distance-based ternary mixture experimental design. A comparative approach was made between response surface methodology (RSM and artificial neural network (ANN to predict the ionic conductivity. The predictive capabilities of the two methodologies were compared in terms of coefficient of determination R2 based on the validation data set. It was shown that the developed ANN model had better predictive outcome as compared to the RSM model.
Aghav, R M; Kumar, Sunil; Mukherjee, S N
2011-04-15
This paper illustrates the application of artificial neural network (ANN) for prediction of performances in competitive adsorption of phenol and resorcinol from aqueous solution by conventional and low cost carbonaceous adsorbent materials, such as activated carbon (AC), wood charcoal (WC) and rice husk ash (RHA). The three layer's feed forward neural network with back propagation algorithm in MATLAB environment was used for estimation of removal efficiencies of phenol and resorcinol in bi-solute water environment based on 29 sets of laboratory batch study results. The input parameters used for training of the neural network include amount of adsorbent (g/L), initial concentrations of phenol (mg/L) and resorcinol (mg/L), contact time (h), and pH. The removal efficiencies of phenol and resorcinol were considered as an output of the neural network. The performances of the developed ANN models were also measured using statistical parameters, such as mean error, mean square error, root mean square error, and linear regression. The comparison of the removal efficiencies of pollutants using ANN model and experimental results showed that ANN modeling in competitive adsorption of phenolic compounds reasonably corroborated with the experimental results. Copyright © 2011 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Campus network security model study
Zhang, Yong-ku; Song, Li-ren
2011-12-01
Campus network security is growing importance, Design a very effective defense hacker attacks, viruses, data theft, and internal defense system, is the focus of the study in this paper. This paper compared the firewall; IDS based on the integrated, then design of a campus network security model, and detail the specific implementation principle.
Modelling and Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Output Using Artificial Neural Networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Aminmohammad Saberian
2014-01-01
Full Text Available This paper presents a solar power modelling method using artificial neural networks (ANNs. Two neural network structures, namely, general regression neural network (GRNN feedforward back propagation (FFBP, have been used to model a photovoltaic panel output power and approximate the generated power. Both neural networks have four inputs and one output. The inputs are maximum temperature, minimum temperature, mean temperature, and irradiance; the output is the power. The data used in this paper started from January 1, 2006, until December 31, 2010. The five years of data were split into two parts: 2006–2008 and 2009-2010; the first part was used for training and the second part was used for testing the neural networks. A mathematical equation is used to estimate the generated power. At the end, both of these networks have shown good modelling performance; however, FFBP has shown a better performance comparing with GRNN.
Artificial neural network model for estimating the soil respiration under different land uses
Ebrahimi, Mitra; Sarikhani, Mohammad Reza; Safari Sinegani, Ali Akbar; Ahmadi, Abbas; Keesstra, Saskia
2017-04-01
Soil respiration is a biological process in microbes that convert organic carbon to atmospheric CO2. This process is considered to be one of the largest global carbon fluxes and is affected by different physicochemical and biological properties of soil, land usageuse, vegetation types and climate patterns. The aim of this study was to estimate the soil basal (BR) and substrate induced respiration (SIR) of 150 data obtained from soil samples collected from depth (0-25 cm) under different land uses by Artificial Neural Network. Soil samples were chosen from three provinces of Iran, with humid subtropical and semi-arid climate patterns. In each soil sample, soil texture, pH, electrical conductivity (EC), calcium carbonate equivalent (CCE), organic carbon (OC), OC fractionation data e.g. light fraction OC (LOC), heavy fraction OC (HOC), cold water extractable OC (COC) and warm water extractable OC (WOC), population of fungi, bacteria and actinomycete, BR and SIR were measured. Our goal was to use the most efficient ANN-model to predict soil respiration with simple soil data. Our results indicated that in an ANN model containing all the measured parameters, the R2 and RMSE values for BR prediction were 0.64 and 0.047 while these statistical indicators for SIR obtained 0.58 and 0.15, respectively. The R2 and RMSE values of the BR-ANN and SIR-ANN predicted models comprising 7 variables (including OC, pH, EC, CCE and soil texture) were estimated at 0.66, 0.043 and 0.52, 0.16, respectively. It was concluded that ANN modeling is a reliable method for predicting soil respiration. KEYWORDS: Artificial neural network; Land use; Soil physicochemical properties; Soil respiration; Soil microorganism
Kayastha, Nagendra; Solomatine, Dimitri
2013-04-01
A single hydrological model (process-based or data driven) might not equally well describe the characteristic of a complex rainfall-runoff relationship. One possibility here is building several specialized (local) models which can be specifically oriented at a particular process in the same model structure and combining them using weighting scheme the result can be called a multi-model, or a committee model. In this approach first we build the individual specialized models which are mainly calibrated on various regimes corresponding to hydrological sub-processes for example, low flow and high flow, and combining their outputs using the ideas of a fuzzy membership with various parameterisations. This experiment explores the several committee models of specialized hydrological models [1, 2] which are employed for rainfall-runoff model prediction. Comparison of three committee models are demonstrated which constructed from specialized models: (1) processes-based conceptual HBV rainfall-runoff model (CRRM) (2) rainfall-runoff model based on artificial neural networks (ANN) and (3) combination of CRRM and ANN. The weights assigned to each specialized model's output are based on fuzzy membership functions which are different at every time step depending on the current value of flow. Comparison results indicated that committee model CRRM-ANN built from the high flow HBV model and low flow ANN model outperformed other models. Bagmati catchment in Nepal and Leaf catchment in USA are considered as case studies. [1] Fenicia, F., Solomatine, D. P., Savenije, H. H. G. and Matgen, P. Soft combination of local models in a multi-objective framework. Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 11, 1797-1809, Special Issue "Data-driven approaches, optimization and model integration: hydrological applications", R. Abrahart, L. See, D. Solomatine, and E. Toth (eds.), 2007. [2] Kayastha N., J. Ye, Fenicia, F., Solomatine, D. P. Fuzzy committees of specialized rainfall-runoff models: further enhancements
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Hermantoro
2008-04-01
Full Text Available Land evaluation for specific purpose in plantation sector become very important due to increasing the competition in land use and the development of plantation sector. Land evaluation produces information of land economic values for specific land use. The objective of the research is to develop land evaluation method for cocoa estate using integrated model Artificial Neural Network (ANN and Geographical Information System (GIS. Back propagation ANN model were used to predict cocoa yield base on land qualities parameter. The result shows that the best of ANN model to predict cocoa yield have 15 input layer, 15 hidden layer, and 1 output layer. with the determination coefficient (r2 of 0.99 and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE of 93.83 in the training process, otherwise in the testing found the r2of O. 76 and RMSE of 113.83. In verification stage the integrated model ofANN and GIS was used to evaluate land suitability of Wijayaarga Cocoa Plantation is seem accurate in predicting cocoa yield and easers to mapping the land suitability unit.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Pan-Sang Kang
2016-06-01
Full Text Available Polymer flooding is now considered a technically- and commercially-proven method for enhanced oil recovery (EOR. The viscosity of the injected polymer solution is the key property for successful polymer flooding. Given that the viscosity of a polymer solution has a non-linear relationship with various influential parameters (molecular weight, degree of hydrolysis, polymer concentration, cation concentration of polymer solution, shear rate, temperature and that measurement of viscosity based on these parameters is a time-consuming process, the range of solution samples and the measurement conditions need to be limited and precise. Viscosity estimation of the polymer solution is effective for these purposes. An artificial neural network (ANN was applied to the viscosity estimation of FlopaamTM 3330S, FlopaamTM 3630S and AN-125 solutions, three commonly-used EOR polymers. The viscosities measured and estimated by ANN and the Carreau model using Lee’s correlation, the only method for estimating the viscosity of an EOR polymer solution in unmeasured conditions, were compared. Estimation accuracy was evaluated by the average absolute relative deviation, which has been widely used for accuracy evaluation of the results of ANN models. In all conditions, the accuracy of the ANN model is higher than that of the Carreau model using Lee’s correlation.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mingyue Qiu
Full Text Available In the business sector, it has always been a difficult task to predict the exact daily price of the stock market index; hence, there is a great deal of research being conducted regarding the prediction of the direction of stock price index movement. Many factors such as political events, general economic conditions, and traders' expectations may have an influence on the stock market index. There are numerous research studies that use similar indicators to forecast the direction of the stock market index. In this study, we compare two basic types of input variables to predict the direction of the daily stock market index. The main contribution of this study is the ability to predict the direction of the next day's price of the Japanese stock market index by using an optimized artificial neural network (ANN model. To improve the prediction accuracy of the trend of the stock market index in the future, we optimize the ANN model using genetic algorithms (GA. We demonstrate and verify the predictability of stock price direction by using the hybrid GA-ANN model and then compare the performance with prior studies. Empirical results show that the Type 2 input variables can generate a higher forecast accuracy and that it is possible to enhance the performance of the optimized ANN model by selecting input variables appropriately.
A neural network model for estimating soil phosphorus using terrain analysis
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ali Keshavarzi
2015-12-01
Full Text Available Artificial neural network (ANN model was developed and tested for estimating soil phosphorus (P in Kouhin watershed area (1000 ha, Qazvin province, Iran using terrain analysis. Based on the soil distribution correlation, vegetation growth pattern across the topographically heterogeneous landscape, the topographic and vegetation attributes were used in addition to pedologic information for the development of ANN model in area for estimating of soil phosphorus. Totally, 85 samples were collected and tested for phosphorus contents and corresponding attributes were estimated by the digital elevation model (DEM. In order to develop the pedo-transfer functions, data linearity was checked, correlated and 80% was used for modeling and ANN was tested using 20% of collected data. Results indicate that 68% of the variation in soil phosphorus could be explained by elevation and Band 1 data and significant correlation was observed between input variables and phosphorus contents. There was a significant correlation between soil P and terrain attributes which can be used to derive the pedo-transfer function for soil P estimation to manage nutrient deficiency. Results showed that P values can be calculated more accurately with the ANN-based pedo-transfer function with the input topographic variables along with the Band 1.
Qiu, Mingyue; Song, Yu
2016-01-01
In the business sector, it has always been a difficult task to predict the exact daily price of the stock market index; hence, there is a great deal of research being conducted regarding the prediction of the direction of stock price index movement. Many factors such as political events, general economic conditions, and traders' expectations may have an influence on the stock market index. There are numerous research studies that use similar indicators to forecast the direction of the stock market index. In this study, we compare two basic types of input variables to predict the direction of the daily stock market index. The main contribution of this study is the ability to predict the direction of the next day's price of the Japanese stock market index by using an optimized artificial neural network (ANN) model. To improve the prediction accuracy of the trend of the stock market index in the future, we optimize the ANN model using genetic algorithms (GA). We demonstrate and verify the predictability of stock price direction by using the hybrid GA-ANN model and then compare the performance with prior studies. Empirical results show that the Type 2 input variables can generate a higher forecast accuracy and that it is possible to enhance the performance of the optimized ANN model by selecting input variables appropriately.
Tayyab, Muhammad; Zhou, Jianzhong; Dong, Xiaohua; Ahmad, Ijaz; Sun, Na
2017-09-01
Artificial neural network (ANN) models combined with time series decomposition are widely employed to calculate the river flows; however, the influence of the application of diverse decomposing approaches on assessing correctness is inadequately compared and examined. This study investigates the certainty of monthly streamflow by applying ANNs including feed forward back propagation neural network and radial basis function neural network (RBFNN) models integrated with discrete wavelet transform (DWT), at Jinsha River basin in the upper reaches of Yangtze River of China. The effect of the noise factor of the decomposed time series on the prediction correctness has also been argued in this paper. Data have been analyzed by comparing the simulation outputs of the models with the correlation coefficient (R) root mean square errors, mean absolute errors, mean absolute percentage error and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency. Results show that time series decomposition technique DWT contributes in improving the accuracy of streamflow prediction, as compared to single ANN's. The detailed comparative analysis showed that the RBFNN integrated with DWT has better forecasting capabilities as compared to other developed models. Moreover, for high-precision streamflow prediction, the high-frequency section of the original time series is very crucial, which is understandable in flood season.
ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK FOR MODELS OF HUMAN OPERATOR
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Martin Ruzek
2017-12-01
Full Text Available This paper presents a new approach to mental functions modeling with the use of artificial neural networks. The artificial neural networks seems to be a promising method for the modeling of a human operator because the architecture of the ANN is directly inspired by the biological neuron. On the other hand, the classical paradigms of artificial neural networks are not suitable because they simplify too much the real processes in biological neural network. The search for a compromise between the complexity of biological neural network and the practical feasibility of the artificial network led to a new learning algorithm. This algorithm is based on the classical multilayered neural network; however, the learning rule is different. The neurons are updating their parameters in a way that is similar to real biological processes. The basic idea is that the neurons are competing for resources and the criterion to decide which neuron will survive is the usefulness of the neuron to the whole neural network. The neuron is not using "teacher" or any kind of superior system, the neuron receives only the information that is present in the biological system. The learning process can be seen as searching of some equilibrium point that is equal to a state with maximal importance of the neuron for the neural network. This position can change if the environment changes. The name of this type of learning, the homeostatic artificial neural network, originates from this idea, as it is similar to the process of homeostasis known in any living cell. The simulation results suggest that this type of learning can be useful also in other tasks of artificial learning and recognition.
Neural network modeling of emotion
Levine, Daniel S.
2007-03-01
This article reviews the history and development of computational neural network modeling of cognitive and behavioral processes that involve emotion. The exposition starts with models of classical conditioning dating from the early 1970s. Then it proceeds toward models of interactions between emotion and attention. Then models of emotional influences on decision making are reviewed, including some speculative (not and not yet simulated) models of the evolution of decision rules. Through the late 1980s, the neural networks developed to model emotional processes were mainly embodiments of significant functional principles motivated by psychological data. In the last two decades, network models of these processes have become much more detailed in their incorporation of known physiological properties of specific brain regions, while preserving many of the psychological principles from the earlier models. Most network models of emotional processes so far have dealt with positive and negative emotion in general, rather than specific emotions such as fear, joy, sadness, and anger. But a later section of this article reviews a few models relevant to specific emotions: one family of models of auditory fear conditioning in rats, and one model of induced pleasure enhancing creativity in humans. Then models of emotional disorders are reviewed. The article concludes with philosophical statements about the essential contributions of emotion to intelligent behavior and the importance of quantitative theories and models to the interdisciplinary enterprise of understanding the interactions of emotion, cognition, and behavior.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
J. Prakash Maran
2013-09-01
Full Text Available In this study, a comparative approach was made between artificial neural network (ANN and response surface methodology (RSM to predict the mass transfer parameters of osmotic dehydration of papaya. The effects of process variables such as temperature, osmotic solution concentration and agitation speed on water loss, weight reduction, and solid gain during osmotic dehydration were investigated using a three-level three-factor Box-Behnken experimental design. Same design was utilized to train a feed-forward multilayered perceptron (MLP ANN with back-propagation algorithm. The predictive capabilities of the two methodologies were compared in terms of root mean square error (RMSE, mean absolute error (MAE, standard error of prediction (SEP, model predictive error (MPE, chi square statistic (χ2, and coefficient of determination (R2 based on the validation data set. The results showed that properly trained ANN model is found to be more accurate in prediction as compared to RSM model.
Utilizing neural networks in magnetic media modeling and field computation: A review
Amr A. Adly; Abd-El-Hafiz, Salwa K.
2013-01-01
Magnetic materials are considered as crucial components for a wide range of products and devices. Usually, complexity of such materials is defined by their permeability classification and coupling extent to non-magnetic properties. Hence, development of models that could accurately simulate the complex nature of these materials becomes crucial to the multi-dimensional field-media interactions and computations. In the past few decades, artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been utilized in ma...
Modeling semiflexible polymer networks
Broedersz, C.P.; MacKintosh, F.C.
2014-01-01
This is an overview of theoretical approaches to semiflexible polymers and their networks. Such semiflexible polymers have large bending rigidities that can compete with the entropic tendency of a chain to crumple up into a random coil. Many studies on semiflexible polymers and their assemblies have
Sergeev, A. P.; Tarasov, D. A.; Buevich, A. G.; Shichkin, A. V.; Tyagunov, A. G.; Medvedev, A. N.
2017-06-01
Modeling of spatial distribution of pollutants in the urbanized territories is difficult, especially if there are multiple emission sources. When monitoring such territories, it is often impossible to arrange the necessary detailed sampling. Because of this, the usual methods of analysis and forecasting based on geostatistics are often less effective. Approaches based on artificial neural networks (ANNs) demonstrate the best results under these circumstances. This study compares two models based on ANNs, which are multilayer perceptron (MLP) and generalized regression neural networks (GRNNs) with the base geostatistical method - kriging. Models of the spatial dust distribution in the snow cover around the existing copper quarry and in the area of emissions of a nickel factory were created. To assess the effectiveness of the models three indices were used: the mean absolute error (MAE), the root-mean-square error (RMSE), and the relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE). Taking into account all indices the model of GRNN proved to be the most accurate which included coordinates of the sampling points and the distance to the likely emission source as input parameters for the modeling. Maps of spatial dust distribution in the snow cover were created in the study area. It has been shown that the models based on ANNs were more accurate than the kriging, particularly in the context of a limited data set.
Modeling Slump of Ready Mix Concrete Using Genetically Evolved Artificial Neural Networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Vinay Chandwani
2014-01-01
Full Text Available Artificial neural networks (ANNs have been the preferred choice for modeling the complex and nonlinear material behavior where conventional mathematical approaches do not yield the desired accuracy and predictability. Despite their popularity as a universal function approximator and wide range of applications, no specific rules for deciding the architecture of neural networks catering to a specific modeling task have been formulated. The research paper presents a methodology for automated design of neural network architecture, replacing the conventional trial and error technique of finding the optimal neural network. The genetic algorithms (GA stochastic search has been harnessed for evolving the optimum number of hidden layer neurons, transfer function, learning rate, and momentum coefficient for backpropagation ANN. The methodology has been applied for modeling slump of ready mix concrete based on its design mix constituents, namely, cement, fly ash, sand, coarse aggregates, admixture, and water-binder ratio. Six different statistical performance measures have been used for evaluating the performance of the trained neural networks. The study showed that, in comparison to conventional trial and error technique of deciding the neural network architecture and training parameters, the neural network architecture evolved through GA was of reduced complexity and provided better prediction performance.
Modeling the adsorption of benzeneacetic acid on CaO2 nanoparticles using artificial neural network
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Sapana S. Madan
2016-12-01
Full Text Available The present work reported a method for removal of benzeneacetic acid from water solution using CaO2 nanoparticle as adsorbent and modeling the adsorption process using artificial neural network (ANN. CaO2 nanoparticles were synthesized by a chemical precipitation technique. The characterization and confirmation of nanoparticles have been done by using different techniques such as X-ray powder diffraction (XRD, high resolution field emission scanning electron microscope (HR-FESEM,transmittance electron microscopy (TEM and high-resolution TEM (HRTEM analysis. ANN model was developed by using elite-ANN software. The network was trained using experimental data at optimum temperature and time with different CaO2 nanoparticle dosage (0.002–0.05 g and initial benzeneacetic acid concentration (0.03–0.099 mol/L. Root mean square error (RMS of 3.432, average percentage error (APE of 5.813 and coefficient of determination (R2 of 0.989 were found for prediction and modeling of benzeneacetic acid removal. The trained artificial neural network is employed to predict the output of the given set of input parameters. The single-stage batch adsorber design of the adsorption of benzeneacetic acid onto CaO2 nanoparticles has been studied with well fitted Langmuir isotherm equation which is homogeneous and has monolayer sorption capacity.
Maleki, E.
2015-12-01
Friction stir welding (FSW) is a relatively new solid-state joining technique that is widely adopted in manufacturing and industry fields to join different metallic alloys that are hard to weld by conventional fusion welding. Friction stir welding is a very complex process comprising several highly coupled physical phenomena. The complex geometry of some kinds of joints makes it difficult to develop an overall governing equations system for theoretical behavior analyse of the friction stir welded joints. Weld quality is predominantly affected by welding effective parameters, and the experiments are often time consuming and costly. On the other hand, employing artificial intelligence (AI) systems such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) as an efficient approach to solve the science and engineering problems is considerable. In present study modeling of FSW effective parameters by ANNs is investigated. To train the networks, experimental test results on thirty AA-7075-T6 specimens are considered, and the networks are developed based on back propagation (BP) algorithm. ANNs testing are carried out using different experimental data that they are not used during networks training. In this paper, rotational speed of tool, welding speed, axial force, shoulder diameter, pin diameter and tool hardness are regarded as inputs of the ANNs. Yield strength, tensile strength, notch-tensile strength and hardness of welding zone are gathered as outputs of neural networks. According to the obtained results, predicted values for the hardness of welding zone, yield strength, tensile strength and notch-tensile strength have the least mean relative error (MRE), respectively. Comparison of the predicted and the experimental results confirms that the networks are adjusted carefully, and the ANN can be used for modeling of FSW effective parameters.
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Shokir, Eissa Mohamed El-Moghawry; El-Midany, Ayman Abdel-Hamid [Cairo University, Giza (Egypt); Al-Homadhi, Emad Souliman; Al-Mahdy, Osama [King Saud University, Riyadh (Saudi Arabia)
2014-08-15
This paper presents the application of artificial neural networks (ANN) to develop new models of liquid solvent dissolution of supercritical fluids with solutes in the presence of cosolvents. The neural network model of the liquid solvent dissolution of CO{sub 2} was built as a function of pressure, temperature, and concentrations of the solutes and cosolvents. Different experimental measurements of liquid solvent dissolution of supercritical fluids (CO{sub 2}) with solutes in the presence of cosolvents were collected. The collected data are divided into two parts. The first part was used in building the models, and the second part was used to test and validate the developed models against the Peng- Robinson equation of state. The developed ANN models showed high accuracy, within the studied variables range, in predicting the solubility of the 2-naphthol, anthracene, and aspirin in the supercritical fluid in the presence and absence of co-solvents compared to (EoS). Therefore, the developed ANN models could be considered as a good tool in predicting the solubility of tested solutes in supercritical fluid.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Esfahanian Mehri
2013-01-01
Full Text Available In this study, the capabilities of response surface methodology (RSM and artificial neural networks (ANN for modeling and optimization of ethanol production from glucoseusing Saccharomyces cerevisiae in batch fermentation process were investigated. Effect of three independent variables in a defined range of pH (4.2-5.8, temperature (20-40ºC and glucose concentration (20-60 g/l on the cell growth and ethanol production was evaluated. Results showed that prediction accuracy of ANN was apparently similar to RSM. At optimum condition of temperature (32°C, pH (5.2 and glucose concentration (50 g/l suggested by the statistical methods, the maximum cell dry weight and ethanol concentration obtained from RSM were 12.06 and 16.2 g/l whereas experimental values were 12.09 and 16.53 g/l, respectively. The present study showed that using ANN as fitness function, the maximum cell dry weight and ethanol concentration were 12.05 and 16.16 g/l, respectively. Also, the coefficients of determination for biomass and ethanol concentration obtained from RSM were 0.9965 and 0.9853 and from ANN were 0.9975 and 0.9936, respectively. The process parameters optimization was successfully conducted using RSM and ANN; however prediction by ANN was slightly more precise than RSM. Based on experimental data maximum yield of ethanol production of 0.5 g ethanol/g substrate (97 % of theoretical yield was obtained.
Data Assimilation using Artificial Neural Networks for the global FSU atmospheric model
Cintra, Rosangela; Cocke, Steven; Campos Velho, Haroldo
2015-04-01
Data assimilation is the process by which measurements and model predictions are combined to obtain an accurate representation of the state of the modeled system. Uncertainty is the characteristic of the atmosphere, coupled with inevitable inadequacies in observations and computer models and increase errors in weather forecasts. Data assimilation is a technique to generate an initial condition to a weather or climate forecasts. This paper shows the results of a data assimilation technique using artificial neural networks (ANN) to obtain the initial condition to the atmospheric general circulation model (AGCM) for the Florida State University in USA. The Local Ensemble Transform Kalman filter (LETKF) is implemented with Florida State University Global Spectral Model (FSUGSM). The ANN data assimilation is made to emulate the initial condition from LETKF to run the FSUGSM. LETKF is a version of Kalman filter with Monte-Carlo ensembles of short-term forecasts to solve the data assimilation problem. The model FSUGSM is a multilevel (27 vertical levels) spectral primitive equation model with a vertical sigma coordinate. All variables are expanded horizontally in a truncated series of spherical harmonic functions (at resolution T63) and a transform technique is applied to calculate the physical processes in real space. The LETKF data assimilation experiments are based in synthetic observations data (surface pressure, absolute temperature, zonal component wind, meridional component wind and humidity). For the ANN data assimilation scheme, we use Multilayer Perceptron (MLP-DA) with supervised training algorithm where ANN receives input vectors with their corresponding response or target output from LETKF scheme. An automatic tool that finds the optimal representation to these ANNs configures the MLP-DA in this experiment. After the training process, the scheme MLP-DA is seen as a function of data assimilation where the inputs are observations and a short-range forecast to
Mandal, Sumantra; Sivaprasad, P. V.; Dube, R. K.
2007-12-01
An artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed to predict the microstructural evolution of a 15Cr-15Ni-2.2Mo-Ti modified austenitic stainless steel (Alloy D9) during dynamic recrystallization (DRX). The input parameters were strain, strain rate, and temperature whereas microstructural features namely, %DRX and average grain size were the output parameters. The ANN was trained with the database obtained from various industrial scale metal-forming operations like forge hammer, hydraulic press, and rolling carried out in the temperature range 1173-1473 K to various strain levels. The performance of the model was evaluated using a wide variety of statistical indices and the predictability of the model was found to be good. The combined influence of temperature and strain on microstructural features has been simulated employing the developed model. The results were found to be consistent with the relevant fundamental metallurgical phenomena.
Mobility Model for Tactical Networks
Rollo, Milan; Komenda, Antonín
In this paper a synthetic mobility model which represents behavior and movement pattern of heterogeneous units in disaster relief and battlefield scenarios is proposed. These operations usually take place in environment without preexisting communication infrastructure and units thus have to be connected by wireless communication network. Units cooperate to fulfill common tasks and communication network has to serve high amount of communication requests, especially data, voice and video stream transmissions. To verify features of topology control, routing and interaction protocols software simulations are usually used, because of their scalability, repeatability and speed. Behavior of all these protocols relies on the mobility model of the network nodes, which has to resemble real-life movement pattern. Proposed mobility model is goal-driven and provides support for various types of units, group mobility and realistic environment model with obstacles. Basic characteristics of the mobility model like node spatial distribution and average node degree were analyzed.
Neural Network Control of CSTR for Reversible Reaction Using Reverence Model Approach
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Duncan ALOKO
2007-01-01
Full Text Available In this work, non-linear control of CSTR for reversible reaction is carried out using Neural Network as design tool. The Model Reverence approach in used to design ANN controller. The idea is to have a control system that will be able to achieve improvement in the level of conversion and to be able to track set point change and reject load disturbance. We use PID control scheme as benchmark to study the performance of the controller. The comparison shows that ANN controller out perform PID in the extreme range of non-linearity.This paper represents a preliminary effort to design a simplified neutral network control scheme for a class of non-linear process. Future works will involve further investigation of the effectiveness of thin approach for the real industrial chemical process
Zaki, Mohammad Reza; Varshosaz, Jaleh; Fathi, Milad
2015-05-20
Multivariate nature of drug loaded nanospheres manufacturing in term of multiplicity of involved factors makes it a time consuming and expensive process. In this study genetic algorithm (GA) and artificial neural network (ANN), two tools inspired by natural process, were employed to optimize and simulate the manufacturing process of agar nanospheres. The efficiency of GA was evaluated against the response surface methodology (RSM). The studied responses included particle size, poly dispersity index, zeta potential, drug loading and release efficiency. GA predicted greater extremum values for response factors compared to RSM. However, real values showed some deviations from predicted data. Appropriate agreement was found between ANN model predicted and real values for all five response factors with high correlation coefficients. GA was more successful than RSM in optimization and along with ANN were efficient tools in optimizing and modeling the fabrication process of drug loaded in agar nanospheres. Copyright © 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Modelling freeway networks by hybrid stochastic models
Boel, R.; Mihaylova, L.
2004-01-01
Traffic flow on freeways is a nonlinear, many-particle phenomenon, with complex interactions between the vehicles. This paper presents a stochastic hybrid model of freeway traffic at a time scale and at a level of detail suitable for on-line flow estimation, for routing and ramp metering control. The model describes the evolution of continuous and discrete state variables. The freeway is considered as a network of components, each component representing a different section of the network. The...
ANN reconstruction of geoelectrical parameters of the Minou fault zone by scalar CSAMT data
Spichak, V.; Fukuoka, K.; Kobayashi, T.; Mogi, T.; Popova, I.; Shima, H.
2002-01-01
Scalar controlled source AMT data collected in a northern part of the Minou fault area (Kyushu Island, Japan) are interpreted by means of the ANN Expert System MT-NET in terms of 3-D earth macro-parameters. A number of synthetic responses created in advance by means of forward modeling in typical 3-D geoelectrical models (conductive and resistive local bodies, fault, dyke, etc.) formed sequences for teaching an artificial neural network (ANN). MT-NET, once taught to the correspondence between the data images and the model parameters, is able to recognize unknown parameters given even incomplete and noisy data. The results of ANN reconstruction are compared with the resistivity distribution obtained for the same area using fast 3-D imaging based on synthesis of 1-D Bostick transforms of the apparent resistivities beneath each site as well as on 2-D TM mode inversion along four profiles. The best-fitting model reconstructed by ANN belongs to the guessed model class formed by "dykes buried in the two-layered earth", on the one hand, and to the equivalence class formed by all models giving rms misfit less than the noise level in the data, on the other hand.
Nestorov, I S; Hadjitodorov, S T; Petrov, I; Rowland, M
1999-01-01
The aim of the current study was to compare the predictive performance of a mechanistically based model and an empirical artificial neural network (ANN) model to describe the relationship between the tissue-to-unbound plasma concentration ratios (Kpu's) of 14 rat tissues and the lipophilicity (LogP) of a series of nine 5-n-alkyl-5-ethyl barbituric acids. The mechanistic model comprised the water content, binding capacity, number of the binding sites, and binding association constant of each tissue. A backpropagation ANN with 2 hidden layers (33 neurons in the first layer, 9 neurons in the second) was used for the comparison. The network was trained by an algorithm with adaptive momentum and learning rate, programmed using the ANN Toolbox of MATLAB. The predictive performance of both models was evaluated using a leave-one-out procedure and computation of both the mean prediction error (ME, showing the prediction bias) and the mean squared prediction error (MSE, showing the prediction accuracy). The ME of the mechanistic model was 18% (range, 20 to 57%), indicating a tendency for overprediction; the MSE is 32% (range, 6 to 104%). The ANN had almost no bias: the ME was 2% (range, 36 to 64%) and had greater precision than the mechanistic model, MSE 18% (range, 4 to 70%). Generally, neither model appeared to be a significantly better predictor of the Kpu's in the rat.
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Bozorgmehri, S. [School of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, North Kargar at Jalal-Exp Way, Tehran (Iran, Islamic Republic of); Renewable Energy Department, Niroo Research Institute (NRI), End of Dadman Blvd., Shahrak Ghodes, Tehran (Iran, Islamic Republic of); Hamedi, M. [School of Mechanical Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Tehran, North Kargar at Jalal-Exp Way, Tehran (Iran, Islamic Republic of)
2012-02-15
An artificial neural network (ANN) and a genetic algorithm (GA) are employed to model and optimize cell parameters to improve the performance of singular, intermediate-temperature, solid oxide fuel cells (IT-SOFCs). The ANN model uses a feed-forward neural network with an error back-propagation algorithm. The ANN is trained using experimental data as a black-box without using physical models. The developed model is able to predict the performance of the SOFC. An optimization algorithm is utilized to select the optimal SOFC parameters. The optimal values of four cell parameters (anode support thickness, anode support porosity, electrolyte thickness, and functional layer cathode thickness) are determined by using the GA under different conditions. The results show that these optimum cell parameters deliver the highest maximum power density under different constraints on the anode support thickness, porosity, and electrolyte thickness. (Copyright copyright 2012 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH and Co. KGaA, Weinheim)
Okut, Hayrettin; Wu, Xiao-Liao; Rosa, Guilherme J M; Bauck, Stewart; Woodward, Brent W; Schnabel, Robert D; Taylor, Jeremy F; Gianola, Daniel
2013-09-11
Artificial neural networks (ANN) mimic the function of the human brain and are capable of performing massively parallel computations for data processing and knowledge representation. ANN can capture nonlinear relationships between predictors and responses and can adaptively learn complex functional forms, in particular, for situations where conventional regression models are ineffective. In a previous study, ANN with Bayesian regularization outperformed a benchmark linear model when predicting milk yield in dairy cattle or grain yield of wheat. Although breeding values rely on the assumption of additive inheritance, the predictive capabilities of ANN are of interest from the perspective of their potential to increase the accuracy of prediction of molecular breeding values used for genomic selection. This motivated the present study, in which the aim was to investigate the accuracy of ANN when predicting the expected progeny difference (EPD) of marbling score in Angus cattle. Various ANN architectures were explored, which involved two training algorithms, two types of activation functions, and from 1 to 4 neurons in hidden layers. For comparison, BayesCπ models were used to select a subset of optimal markers (referred to as feature selection), under the assumption of additive inheritance, and then the marker effects were estimated using BayesCπ with π set equal to zero. This procedure is referred to as BayesCpC and was implemented on a high-throughput computing cluster. The ANN with Bayesian regularization method performed equally well for prediction of EPD as BayesCpC, based on prediction accuracy and sum of squared errors. With the 3K-SNP panel, for example, prediction accuracy was 0.776 using BayesCpC, and ranged from 0.776 to 0.807 using BRANN. With the selected 700-SNP panel, prediction accuracy was 0.863 for BayesCpC and ranged from 0.842 to 0.858 for BRANN. However, prediction accuracy for the ANN with scaled conjugate gradient back-propagation was lower
APLIKASI MODEL ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS UNTUK STOCK FORECASTING DI PASAR MODAL INDONESIA
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Christian Herdinata
2017-03-01
Full Text Available This research showed the applicat ion of model Art if icial Neural Networks (ANN orJaringan Syaraf Tiruan (JST at the f ield of monetary science, especially for the applicat ion off inancial forecast ing. ANN or JST was a new alternat ive for the applicat ion of f inancialforecast ing.The purpose of this research was to know whether the stock index instantaneouslyand fully ref lect historical informat ion, in Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX. The research usedcomparison between return of technical t rading rule based Art if icial Neural Networks (ANNmodel and return of buy & hold st rategy. The result showed that the weakness form ofef f icient market hypothesis was rejected in the Indonesian capital market . Expectat ion ofthis research was giving informat ion and securing the market perpet rators that st ill enabledto get abnormal of return by doing commerce in chnical through forecast ing of model Art ificial Neural Networks (ANN or Jaringan Syaraf Tiruan ( JST.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ashok Kumar Sahoo
2015-04-01
Full Text Available The present paper deals with the development of prediction model using response surface methodology and artificial neural network and optimizes the process parameter using 3D surface plot. The experiment has been conducted using coated carbide insert in machining AISI 1040 steel under dry environment. The coefficient of determination value for RSM model is found to be high (R2 = 0.99 close to unity. It indicates the goodness of fit for the model and high significance of the model. The percentage of error for RSM model is found to be only from -2.63 to 2.47. The maximum error between ANN model and experimental lies between -1.27 and 0.02 %, which is significantly less than the RSM model. Hence, both the proposed RSM and ANN prediction model sufficiently predict the surface roughness, accurately. However, ANN prediction model seems to be better compared with RSM model. From the 3D surface plots, the optimal parametric combination for the lowest surface roughness is d1-f1-v3 i.e. depth of cut of 0.1 mm, feed of 0.04 mm/rev and cutting speed of 260 m/min respectively.
Network model of security system
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Adamczyk Piotr
2016-01-01
Full Text Available The article presents the concept of building a network security model and its application in the process of risk analysis. It indicates the possibility of a new definition of the role of the network models in the safety analysis. Special attention was paid to the development of the use of an algorithm describing the process of identifying the assets, vulnerability and threats in a given context. The aim of the article is to present how this algorithm reduced the complexity of the problem by eliminating from the base model these components that have no links with others component and as a result and it was possible to build a real network model corresponding to reality.
Artificial Neural Network model for the determination of GSM Rxlevel from atmospheric parameters
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Julia Ofure Eichie
2017-04-01
Full Text Available Accurate received signal level (Rxlevel values are useful for mobile telecommunication network planning. Rxlevel is affected by the dynamics of the atmosphere through which it propagates. Adequate knowledge of the prevailing atmospheric conditions in an environment is essential for proper network planning. However most of the existing GSM received signal determination model are function of distance between point of signal reception and transmitting site thus necessitating the development of a model that involve the use of atmospheric parameters in the determination of received GSM signal level. In this paper, a three stage approach was used in the development of the model using some atmospheric parameters such as atmospheric temperature, relative humidity and dew point. The selected and easily measurable atmospheric parameters were used as input parameters in developing two new models for computing the Rxlevel of GSM signal using a three-step approach. Data acquisition and pre-processing serves as the first stage and formulation of ANN design and the development of parametric model for the Rxlevel using ANN synaptic weights form the second stage of the proposed approach. The third stage involves the use of ANN weight and bias values, and network architecture in the development of the model equation. In evaluating the performance of the proposed models, network parameters were varied and the results obtained using mean squared error (MSE as performance measure showed the developed model with 33 neurons in the hidden layer and tansig activation, function in both the hidden and output layers as the optimal model with least MSE value of 0.056. Thus showing that the developed model has an acceptable accuracy value as demonstrated from comparison of results with actual measured values.
Assessment of spatial distribution of soil heavy metals using ANN-GA, MSLR and satellite imagery.
Naderi, Arman; Delavar, Mohammad Amir; Kaboudin, Babak; Askari, Mohammad Sadegh
2017-05-01
This study aims to assess and compare heavy metal distribution models developed using stepwise multiple linear regression (MSLR) and neural network-genetic algorithm model (ANN-GA) based on satellite imagery. The source identification of heavy metals was also explored using local Moran index. Soil samples (n = 300) were collected based on a grid and pH, organic matter, clay, iron oxide contents cadmium (Cd), lead (Pb) and zinc (Zn) concentrations were determined for each sample. Visible/near-infrared reflectance (VNIR) within the electromagnetic ranges of satellite imagery was applied to estimate heavy metal concentrations in the soil using MSLR and ANN-GA models. The models were evaluated and ANN-GA model demonstrated higher accuracy, and the autocorrelation results showed higher significant clusters of heavy metals around the industrial zone. The higher concentration of Cd, Pb and Zn was noted under industrial lands and irrigation farming in comparison to barren and dryland farming. Accumulation of industrial wastes in roads and streams was identified as main sources of pollution, and the concentration of soil heavy metals was reduced by increasing the distance from these sources. In comparison to MLSR, ANN-GA provided a more accurate indirect assessment of heavy metal concentrations in highly polluted soils. The clustering analysis provided reliable information about the spatial distribution of soil heavy metals and their sources.
A Multilayer Model of Computer Networks
Shchurov, Andrey A.
2015-01-01
The fundamental concept of applying the system methodology to network analysis declares that network architecture should take into account services and applications which this network provides and supports. This work introduces a formal model of computer networks on the basis of the hierarchical multilayer networks. In turn, individual layers are represented as multiplex networks. The concept of layered networks provides conditions of top-down consistency of the model. Next, we determined the...
Ongen, Atakan; Ozcan, H Kurtulus; Arayıcı, Semiha
2013-12-15
This paper reports on the calorific value of synthetic gas (syngas) produced by gasification of dewatered sludge derived from treatment of tannery wastewater. Proximate and ultimate analyses of samples were performed. Thermochemical conversion alters the chemical structure of the waste. Dried air was used as a gasification agent at varying flow rates, which allowed the feedstock to be quickly converted into gas by means of different heterogeneous reactions. A lab-scale updraft fixed-bed steel reactor was used for thermochemical conversion of sludge samples. Artificial neural network (ANN) modeling techniques were used to observe variations in the syngas related to operational conditions. Modeled outputs showed that temporal changes of model predictions were in close accordance with real values. Correlation coefficients (r) showed that the ANN used in this study gave results with high sensitivity. Copyright © 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Li, Qiongge; Chan, Maria F
2017-01-01
Over half of cancer patients receive radiotherapy (RT) as partial or full cancer treatment. Daily quality assurance (QA) of RT in cancer treatment closely monitors the performance of the medical linear accelerator (Linac) and is critical for continuous improvement of patient safety and quality of care. Cumulative longitudinal QA measurements are valuable for understanding the behavior of the Linac and allow physicists to identify trends in the output and take preventive actions. In this study, artificial neural networks (ANNs) and autoregressive moving average (ARMA) time-series prediction modeling techniques were both applied to 5-year daily Linac QA data. Verification tests and other evaluations were then performed for all models. Preliminary results showed that ANN time-series predictive modeling has more advantages over ARMA techniques for accurate and effective applicability in the dosimetry and QA field. © 2016 New York Academy of Sciences.
Data modeling of network dynamics
Jaenisch, Holger M.; Handley, James W.; Faucheux, Jeffery P.; Harris, Brad
2004-01-01
This paper highlights Data Modeling theory and its use for text data mining as a graphical network search engine. Data Modeling is then used to create a real-time filter capable of monitoring network traffic down to the port level for unusual dynamics and changes in business as usual. This is accomplished in an unsupervised fashion without a priori knowledge of abnormal characteristics. Two novel methods for converting streaming binary data into a form amenable to graphics based search and change detection are introduced. These techniques are then successfully applied to 1999 KDD Cup network attack data log-on sessions to demonstrate that Data Modeling can detect attacks without prior training on any form of attack behavior. Finally, two new methods for data encryption using these ideas are proposed.
Phosphorus component in AnnAGNPS
Yuan, Y.; Bingner, R.L.; Theurer, F.D.; Rebich, R.A.; Moore, P.A.
2005-01-01
The USDA Annualized Agricultural Non-Point Source Pollution model (AnnAGNPS) has been developed to aid in evaluation of watershed response to agricultural management practices. Previous studies have demonstrated the capability of the model to simulate runoff and sediment, but not phosphorus (P). The main purpose of this article is to evaluate the performance of AnnAGNPS on P simulation using comparisons with measurements from the Deep Hollow watershed of the Mississippi Delta Management Systems Evaluation Area (MDMSEA) project. A sensitivity analysis was performed to identify input parameters whose impact is the greatest on P yields. Sensitivity analysis results indicate that the most sensitive variables of those selected are initial soil P contents, P application rate, and plant P uptake. AnnAGNPS simulations of dissolved P yield do not agree well with observed dissolved P yield (Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency of 0.34, R2 of 0.51, and slope of 0.24); however, AnnAGNPS simulations of total P yield agree well with observed total P yield (Nash-Sutcliffe coefficient of efficiency of 0.85, R2 of 0.88, and slope of 0.83). The difference in dissolved P yield may be attributed to limitations in model simulation of P processes. Uncertainties in input parameter selections also affect the model's performance.
Artificial Neural Network Modeling of Pt/C Cathode Degradation in PEM Fuel Cells
Maleki, Erfan; Maleki, Nasim
2016-08-01
Use of computational modeling with a few experiments is considered useful to obtain the best possible result for a final product, without performing expensive and time-consuming experiments. Proton exchange membrane fuel cells (PEMFCs) can produce clean electricity, but still require further study. An oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) takes place at the cathode, and carbon-supported platinum (Pt/C) is commonly used as an electrocatalyst. The harsh conditions during PEMFC operation result in Pt/C degradation. Observation of changes in the Pt/C layer under operating conditions provides a tool to study the lifetime of PEMFCs and overcome durability issues. Recently, artificial neural networks (ANNs) have been used to solve, predict, and optimize a wide range of scientific problems. In this study, several rates of change at the cathode were modeled using ANNs. The backpropagation (BP) algorithm was used to train the network, and experimental data were employed for network training and testing. Two different models are constructed in the present study. First, the potential cycles, temperature, and humidity are used as inputs to predict the resulting Pt dissolution rate of the Pt/C at the cathode as the output parameter of the network. Thereafter, the Pt dissolution rate and Pt ion diffusivity are regarded as inputs to obtain values of the Pt particle radius change rate, Pt mass loss rate, and surface area loss rate as outputs. The networks are finely tuned, and the modeling results agree well with experimental data. The modeled responses of the ANNs are acceptable for this application.
Application of ANN and fuzzy logic algorithms for streamflow ...
Indian Academy of Sciences (India)
Tokar and Johnson (1999) developed ANN model to predict daily streamflow from daily rainfall, evaporation, temperature and snowmelt for watershed. ANN can also be applied to streamflow forecasting (Shivakumar et al. 2002;. Sinha Jitendra et al. 2013), reservoir inflow fore- casting (Jain and Srivastava 1999), sediment ...
Sebti, Aicha; Souahi, Fatiha; Mohellebi, Faroudja; Igoud, Sadek
2017-07-01
This research focuses on the application of an artificial neural network (ANN) to predict the removal efficiency of tartrazine from simulated wastewater using a photocatalytic process under solar illumination. A program is developed in Matlab software to optimize the neural network architecture and select the suitable combination of training algorithm, activation function and hidden neurons number. The experimental results of a batch reactor operated under different conditions of pH, TiO2 concentration, initial organic pollutant concentration and solar radiation intensity are used to train, validate and test the networks. While negligible mineralization is demonstrated, the experimental results show that under sunlight irradiation, 85% of tartrazine is removed after 300 min using only 0.3 g/L of TiO2 powder. Therefore, irradiation time is prolonged and almost 66% of total organic carbon is reduced after 15 hours. ANN 5-8-1 with Bayesian regulation back-propagation algorithm and hyperbolic tangent sigmoid transfer function is found to be able to predict the response with high accuracy. In addition, the connection weights approach is used to assess the importance contribution of each input variable on the ANN model response. Among the five experimental parameters, the irradiation time has the greatest effect on the removal efficiency of tartrazine.
Thermal Network Modelling Handbook
1972-01-01
Thermal mathematical modelling is discussed in detail. A three-fold purpose was established: (1) to acquaint the new user with the terminology and concepts used in thermal mathematical modelling, (2) to present the more experienced and occasional user with quick formulas and methods for solving everyday problems, coupled with study cases which lend insight into the relationships that exist among the various solution techniques and parameters, and (3) to begin to catalog in an orderly fashion the common formulas which may be applied to automated conversational language techniques.
[Application of an artificial neural network in the design of sustained-release dosage forms].
Wei, X H; Wu, J J; Liang, W Q
2001-09-01
To use the artificial neural network (ANN) in Matlab 5.1 tool-boxes to predict the formulations of sustained-release tablets. The solubilities of nine drugs and various ratios of HPMC: Dextrin for 63 tablet formulations were used as the ANN model input, and in vitro accumulation released at 6 sampling times were used as output. The ANN model was constructed by selecting the optimal number of iterations (25) and model structure in which there are one hidden layer and five hidden layer nodes. The optimized ANN model was used for prediction of formulation based on desired target in vitro dissolution-time profiles. ANN predicted profiles based on ANN predicted formulations were closely similar to the target profiles. The ANN could be used for predicting the dissolution profiles of sustained release dosage form and for the design of optimal formulation.
A hybrid ARIMA and neural network model applied to forecast catch volumes of Selar crumenophthalmus
Aquino, Ronald L.; Alcantara, Nialle Loui Mar T.; Addawe, Rizavel C.
2017-11-01
The Selar crumenophthalmus with the English name big-eyed scad fish, locally known as matang-baka, is one of the fishes commonly caught along the waters of La Union, Philippines. The study deals with the forecasting of catch volumes of big-eyed scad fish for commercial consumption. The data used are quarterly caught volumes of big-eyed scad fish from 2002 to first quarter of 2017. This actual data is available from the open stat database published by the Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA)whose task is to collect, compiles, analyzes and publish information concerning different aspects of the Philippine setting. Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) models, Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model and the Hybrid model consisting of ARIMA and ANN were developed to forecast catch volumes of big-eyed scad fish. Statistical errors such as Mean Absolute Errors (MAE) and Root Mean Square Errors (RMSE) were computed and compared to choose the most suitable model for forecasting the catch volume for the next few quarters. A comparison of the results of each model and corresponding statistical errors reveals that the hybrid model, ARIMA-ANN (2,1,2)(6:3:1), is the most suitable model to forecast the catch volumes of the big-eyed scad fish for the next few quarters.
Fuzzified Data Based Neural Network Modeling for Health Assessment of Multistorey Shear Buildings
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Deepti Moyi Sahoo
2013-01-01
Full Text Available The present study intends to propose identification methodologies for multistorey shear buildings using the powerful technique of Artificial Neural Network (ANN models which can handle fuzzified data. Identification with crisp data is known, and also neural network method has already been used by various researchers for this case. Here, the input and output data may be in fuzzified form. This is because in general we may not get the corresponding input and output values exactly (in crisp form, but we have only the uncertain information of the data. This uncertain data is assumed in terms of fuzzy number, and the corresponding problem of system identification is investigated.
Network Models of Mechanical Assemblies
Whitney, Daniel E.
Recent network research has sought to characterize complex systems with a number of statistical metrics, such as power law exponent (if any), clustering coefficient, community behavior, and degree correlation. Use of such metrics represents a choice of level of abstraction, a balance of generality and detailed accuracy. It has been noted that "social networks" consistently display clustering coefficients that are higher than those of random or generalized random networks, that they have small world properties such as short path lengths, and that they have positive degree correlations (assortative mixing). "Technological" or "non-social" networks display many of these characteristics except that they generally have negative degree correlations (disassortative mixing). [Newman 2003i] In this paper we examine network models of mechanical assemblies. Such systems are well understood functionally. We show that there is a cap on their average nodal degree and that they have negative degree correlations (disassortative mixing). We identify specific constraints arising from first principles, their structural patterns, and engineering practice that suggest why they have these properties. In addition, we note that their main "motif" is closed loops (as it is for electric and electronic circuits), a pattern that conventional network analysis does not detect but which is used by software intended to aid in the design of such systems.
Service entity network virtualization architecture and model
Jin, Xue-Guang; Shou, Guo-Chu; Hu, Yi-Hong; Guo, Zhi-Gang
2017-07-01
Communication network can be treated as a complex network carrying a variety of services and service can be treated as a network composed of functional entities. There are growing interests in multiplex service entities where individual entity and link can be used for different services simultaneously. Entities and their relationships constitute a service entity network. In this paper, we introduced a service entity network virtualization architecture including service entity network hierarchical model, service entity network model, service implementation and deployment of service entity networks. Service entity network oriented multiplex planning model were also studied and many of these multiplex models were characterized by a significant multiplex of the links or entities in different service entity network. Service entity networks were mapped onto shared physical resources by dynamic resource allocation controller. The efficiency of the proposed architecture was illustrated in a simulation environment that allows for comparative performance evaluation. The results show that, compared to traditional networking architecture, this architecture has a better performance.
[Artificial neural networks and their application in drug addiction medicine].
Buscema, P M
2000-01-01
This article presents the use of a new processing technology: artificial neural networks (ANN) modeling. We introduce the reader, in an easy way, to types of problems for which researchers can use this technology. ANN represents a powerful way for understanding, predicting, and simulating complex and chaotic dynamics. We believe that social fields, human psychology, and behaviors, which are nonlinear in their essence, need an adequate methodology such as ANN in order to best investigate and comprehend them.
Coupled Model of Artificial Neural Network and Grey Model for Tendency Prediction of Labor Turnover
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Yueru Ma
2014-01-01
Full Text Available The tendency of labor turnover in the Chinese enterprise shows the characteristics of seasonal fluctuations and irregular distribution of various factors, especially the Chinese traditional social and cultural characteristics. In this paper, we present a coupled model for the tendency prediction of labor turnover. In the model, a time series of tendency prediction of labor turnover was expressed as trend item and its random item. Trend item of tendency prediction of labor turnover is predicted using Grey theory. Random item of trend item is calculated by artificial neural network model (ANN. A case study is presented by the data of 24 months in a Chinese matured enterprise. The model uses the advantages of “accumulative generation” of a Grey prediction method, which weakens the original sequence of random disturbance factors and increases the regularity of data. It also takes full advantage of the ANN model approximation performance, which has a capacity to solve economic problems rapidly, describes the nonlinear relationship easily, and avoids the defects of Grey theory.
Nemati, Pedram; Imani, Mohammad; Farahmandghavi, Farhid; Mirzadeh, Hamid; Marzban-Rad, Ehsan; Nasrabadi, Ali Motie
2013-08-01
Over the past few decades, mathematical modelling and simulation of drug delivery systems has been steadily gained interest as a focus for academic and industrial attention. Here, simulation of dexamethasone (DEX, a corticosteroid anti-inflammatory agent) release profile from drug-eluting cochlear implant coatings is reported using artificial neural networks. The devices were fabricated as monolithic dispersions of the pharmaceutically active ingredient in a silicone rubber matrix. A two-phase exponential model was fitted on the experimentally obtained DEX release profiles. An artificial neural network (ANN) was trained to determine formulation parameters (i.e. DEX loading percentage, the devices surface area and their geometry) for a specific experimentally obtained drug release profile. In a reverse strategy, an ANN was trained for determining expected drug release profiles for the same set of formulation parameters. An algorithm was developed by combining the two previously developed ANNs in a serial manner, and this was successfully used for simulating the developed drug-eluting cochlear implant coatings. The models were validated by a leave-one-out method and performing new experiments. The developed ANN algorithms were capable to bilaterally predict drug release profile for a known set of formulation parameters or find out the levels for input formulation parameters to obtain a desired DEX release profile. © 2013 Royal Pharmaceutical Society.
Polymer networks: Modeling and applications
Masoud, Hassan
Polymer networks are an important class of materials that are ubiquitously found in natural, biological, and man-made systems. The complex mesoscale structure of these soft materials has made it difficult for researchers to fully explore their properties. In this dissertation, we introduce a coarse-grained computational model for permanently cross-linked polymer networks than can properly capture common properties of these materials. We use this model to study several practical problems involving dry and solvated networks. Specifically, we analyze the permeability and diffusivity of polymer networks under mechanical deformations, we examine the release of encapsulated solutes from microgel capsules during volume transitions, and we explore the complex tribological behavior of elastomers. Our simulations reveal that the network transport properties are defined by the network porosity and by the degree of network anisotropy due to mechanical deformations. In particular, the permeability of mechanically deformed networks can be predicted based on the alignment of network filaments that is characterized by a second order orientation tensor. Moreover, our numerical calculations demonstrate that responsive microcapsules can be effectively utilized for steady and pulsatile release of encapsulated solutes. We show that swollen gel capsules allow steady, diffusive release of nanoparticles and polymer chains, whereas gel deswelling causes burst-like discharge of solutes driven by an outward flow of the solvent initially enclosed within a shrinking capsule. We further demonstrate that this hydrodynamic release can be regulated by introducing rigid microscopic rods in the capsule interior. We also probe the effects of velocity, temperature, and normal load on the sliding of elastomers on smooth and corrugated substrates. Our friction simulations predict a bell-shaped curve for the dependence of the friction coefficient on the sliding velocity. Our simulations also illustrate
Nastos, P. T.; Paliatsos, A. G.; Koukouletsos, K. V.; Larissi, I. K.; Moustris, K. P.
2014-07-01
Extreme daily precipitation events are involved in significant environmental damages, even in life loss, because of causing adverse impacts, such as flash floods, in urban and sometimes in rural areas. Thus, long-term forecast of such events is of great importance for the preparation of local authorities in order to confront and mitigate the adverse consequences. The objective of this study is to estimate the possibility of forecasting the maximum daily precipitation for the next coming year. For this reason, appropriate prognostic models, such as Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) were developed and applied. The data used for the analysis concern annual maximum daily precipitation totals, which have been recorded at the National Observatory of Athens (NOA), during the long term period 1891-2009. To evaluate the potential of daily extreme precipitation forecast by the applied ANNs, a different period for validation was considered than the one used for the ANNs training. Thus, the datasets of the period 1891-1980 were used as training datasets, while the datasets of the period 1981-2009 as validation datasets. Appropriate statistical indices, such as the coefficient of determination (R2), the index of agreement (IA), the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and the Mean Bias Error (MBE), were applied to test the reliability of the models. The findings of the analysis showed that, a quite satisfactory relationship (R2 = 0.482, IA = 0.817, RMSE = 16.4 mm and MBE = + 5.2 mm) appears between the forecasted and the respective observed maximum daily precipitation totals one year ahead. The developed ANN seems to overestimate the maximum daily precipitation totals appeared in 1988 while underestimate the maximum in 1999, which could be attributed to the relatively low frequency of occurrence of these extreme events within GAA having impact on the optimum training of ANN.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Wenqian Ruan
2017-12-01
Full Text Available The commercially available nanoscale zerovalent zinc (nZVZ was used as an adsorbent for the removal of malachite green (MG from aqueous solutions. This material was characterized by X-ray diffraction and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy. The advanced experimental design tools were adopted to study the effect of process parameters (viz. initial pH, temperature, contact time and initial concentration and to reduce number of trials and cost. Response surface methodology and rapidly developing artificial intelligence technologies, i.e., artificial neural network coupled with particle swarm optimization (ANN-PSO and artificial neural network coupled with genetic algorithm (ANN-GA were employed for predicting the optimum process variables and obtaining the maximum removal efficiency of MG. The results showed that the removal efficiency predicted by ANN-GA (94.12% was compatible with the experimental value (90.72%. Furthermore, the Langmuir isotherm was found to be the best model to describe the adsorption of MG onto nZVZ, while the maximum adsorption capacity was calculated to be 1000.00 mg/g. The kinetics for adsorption of MG onto nZVZ was found to follow the pseudo-second-order kinetic model. Thermodynamic parameters (ΔG0, ΔH0 and ΔS0 were calculated from the Van’t Hoff plot of lnKc vs. 1/T in order to discuss the removal mechanism of MG.
Target-Centric Network Modeling
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Mitchell, Dr. William L.; Clark, Dr. Robert M.
In Target-Centric Network Modeling: Case Studies in Analyzing Complex Intelligence Issues, authors Robert Clark and William Mitchell take an entirely new approach to teaching intelligence analysis. Unlike any other book on the market, it offers case study scenarios using actual intelligence......, and collaborative sharing in the process of creating a high-quality, actionable intelligence product. The case studies reflect the complexity of twenty-first century intelligence issues by dealing with multi-layered target networks that cut across political, economic, social, technological, and military issues....... Working through these cases, students will learn to manage and evaluate realistic intelligence accounts....
Kulkarni, Pranav; Chellam, Shankararaman
2010-09-01
Artificial neural network (ANN) models were developed to predict disinfection by-product (DBP) formation during municipal drinking water treatment using the Information Collection Rule Treatment Studies database complied by the United States Environmental Protection Agency. The formation of trihalomethanes (THMs), haloacetic acids (HAAs), and total organic halide (TOX) upon chlorination of untreated water, and after conventional treatment, granular activated carbon treatment, and nanofiltration were quantified using ANNs. Highly accurate predictions of DBP concentrations were possible using physically meaningful water quality parameters as ANN inputs including dissolved organic carbon (DOC) concentration, ultraviolet absorbance at 254nm and one cm path length (UV(254)), bromide ion concentration (Br(-)), chlorine dose, chlorination pH, contact time, and reaction temperature. This highlights the ability of ANNs to closely capture the highly complex and non-linear relationships underlying DBP formation. Accurate simulations suggest the potential use of ANNs for process control and optimization, comparison of treatment alternatives for DBP control prior to piloting, and even to reduce the number of experiments to evaluate water quality variations when operating conditions are changed. Changes in THM and HAA speciation and bromine substitution patterns following treatment are also discussed. Copyright 2010 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Kobayashi Takeshi
2004-09-01
Full Text Available Abstract Background Screening of various gene markers such as single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP and correlation between these markers and development of multifactorial disease have previously been studied. Here, we propose a susceptible marker-selectable artificial neural network (ANN for predicting development of allergic disease. Results To predict development of childhood allergic asthma (CAA and select susceptible SNPs, we used an ANN with a parameter decreasing method (PDM to analyze 25 SNPs of 17 genes in 344 Japanese people, and select 10 susceptible SNPs of CAA. The accuracy of the ANN model with 10 SNPs was 97.7% for learning data and 74.4% for evaluation data. Important combinations were determined by effective combination value (ECV defined in the present paper. Effective 2-SNP or 3-SNP combinations were found to be concentrated among the 10 selected SNPs. Conclusion ANN can reliably select SNP combinations that are associated with CAA. Thus, the ANN can be used to characterize development of complex diseases caused by multiple factors. This is the first report of automatic selection of SNPs related to development of multifactorial disease from SNP data of more than 300 patients.
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Piggott, W T; Aceves, S M; Flowers, D L; Chen, J Y
2007-09-26
We have added the capability to look at in-cylinder fuel distributions using a previously developed ignition model within a fluid mechanics code (KIVA3V) that uses an artificial neural network (ANN) to predict ignition (The combined code: KIVA3V-ANN). KIVA3V-ANN was originally developed and validated for analysis of Homogeneous Charge Compression Ignition (HCCI) combustion, but it is also applicable to the more difficult problem of Premixed Charge Compression Ignition (PCCI) combustion. PCCI combustion refers to cases where combustion occurs as a nonmixing controlled, chemical kinetics dominated, autoignition process, where the fuel, air, and residual gas mixtures are not necessarily as homogeneous as in HCCI combustion. This paper analyzes the effects of introducing charge non-uniformity into a KIVA3V-ANN simulation. The results are compared to experimental results, as well as simulation results using a more physically representative and computationally intensive code (KIVA3V-MPI-MZ), which links a fluid mechanics code to a multi-zone detailed chemical kinetics solver. The results indicate that KIVA3V-ANN produces reasonable approximations to the more accurate KIVA3V-MPI-MZ at a much reduced computational cost.
Taniguchi, Kristine; Gudiño, Napoleon; Biggs, Trent; Castillo, Carlos; Langendoen, Eddy; Bingner, Ron; Taguas, Encarnación; Liden, Douglas; Yuan, Yongping
2015-04-01
Several watersheds cross the US-Mexico boundary, resulting in trans-boundary environmental problems. Erosion in Tijuana, Mexico, increases the rate of sediment deposition in the Tijuana Estuary in the United States, altering the structure and function of the ecosystem. The well-being of residents in Tijuana is compromised by damage to infrastructure and homes built adjacent to stream channels, gully formation in dirt roads, and deposition of trash. We aim to understand the dominant source of sediment contributing to the sediment budget of the watershed (channel, gully, or rill erosion), where the hotspots of erosion are located, and what the impact of future planned and unplanned land use changes and Best Management Practices (BMPs) will be on sediment and storm flow. We will be using a mix of field methods, including 3D photo-reconstruction of stream channels, with two models, CONCEPTS and AnnAGNPS to constrain estimates of the sediment budget and impacts of land use change. Our research provides an example of how 3D photo-reconstruction and Structure from Motion (SfM) can be used to model channel evolution.
Babapour, R; Naghdi, R; Ghajar, I; Ghodsi, R
2015-07-01
Rock proportion of subsoil directly influences the cost of embankment in forest road construction. Therefore, developing a reliable framework for rock ratio estimation prior to the road planning could lead to more light excavation and less cost operations. Prediction of rock proportion was subjected to statistical analyses using the application of Artificial Neural Network (ANN) in MATLAB and five link functions of ordinal logistic regression (OLR) according to the rock type and terrain slope properties. In addition to bed rock and slope maps, more than 100 sample data of rock proportion were collected, observed by geologists, from any available bed rock of every slope class. Four predictive models were developed for rock proportion, employing independent variables and applying both the selected probit link function of OLR and Layer Recurrent and Feed forward back propagation networks of Neural Networks. In ANN, different numbers of neurons are considered for the hidden layer(s). Goodness of the fit measures distinguished that ANN models produced better results than OLR with R (2) = 0.72 and Root Mean Square Error = 0.42. Furthermore, in order to show the applicability of the proposed approach, and to illustrate the variability of rock proportion resulted from the model application, the optimum models were applied to a mountainous forest in where forest road network had been constructed in the past.
An ANN-based approach to predict blast-induced ground vibration of Gol-E-Gohar iron ore mine, Iran
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mahdi Saadat
2014-02-01
Full Text Available Blast-induced ground vibration is one of the inevitable outcomes of blasting in mining projects and may cause substantial damage to rock mass as well as nearby structures and human beings. In this paper, an attempt has been made to present an application of artificial neural network (ANN to predict the blast-induced ground vibration of the Gol-E-Gohar (GEG iron mine, Iran. A four-layer feed-forward back propagation multi-layer perceptron (MLP was used and trained with Levenberg–Marquardt algorithm. To construct ANN models, the maximum charge per delay, distance from blasting face to monitoring point, stemming and hole depth were taken as inputs, whereas peak particle velocity (PPV was considered as an output parameter. A database consisting of 69 data sets recorded at strategic and vulnerable locations of GEG iron mine was used to train and test the generalization capability of ANN models. Coefficient of determination (R2 and mean square error (MSE were chosen as the indicators of the performance of the networks. A network with architecture 4-11-5-1 and R2 of 0.957 and MSE of 0.000722 was found to be optimum. To demonstrate the supremacy of ANN approach, the same 69 data sets were used for the prediction of PPV with four common empirical models as well as multiple linear regression (MLR analysis. The results revealed that the proposed ANN approach performs better than empirical and MLR models.
Parametric Identification of Aircraft Loads: An Artificial Neural Network Approach
2016-03-30
Undergraduate Student Paper Postgraduate Student Paper Parametric Identification of Aircraft Loads: An Artificial Neural Network Approach...monitoring, flight parameter, nonlinear modeling, Artificial Neural Network , typical loadcase. Introduction Aircraft load monitoring is an... Neural Networks (ANN), i.e. the BP network and Kohonen Clustering Network , are applied and revised by Kalman Filter and Genetic Algorithm to build
CNEM: Cluster Based Network Evolution Model
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Sarwat Nizamani
2015-01-01
Full Text Available This paper presents a network evolution model, which is based on the clustering approach. The proposed approach depicts the network evolution, which demonstrates the network formation from individual nodes to fully evolved network. An agglomerative hierarchical clustering method is applied for the evolution of network. In the paper, we present three case studies which show the evolution of the networks from the scratch. These case studies include: terrorist network of 9/11 incidents, terrorist network of WMD (Weapons Mass Destruction plot against France and a network of tweets discussing a topic. The network of 9/11 is also used for evaluation, using other social network analysis methods which show that the clusters created using the proposed model of network evolution are of good quality, thus the proposed method can be used by law enforcement agencies in order to further investigate the criminal networks
Artificial Neural Network Models for Long Lead Streamflow Forecasts using Climate Information
Kumar, J.; Devineni, N.
2007-12-01
Information on season ahead stream flow forecasts is very beneficial for the operation and management of water supply systems. Daily streamflow conditions at any particular reservoir primarily depend on atmospheric and land surface conditions including the soil moisture and snow pack. On the other hand recent studies suggest that developing long lead streamflow forecasts (3 months ahead) typically depends on exogenous climatic conditions particularly Sea Surface Temperature conditions (SST) in the tropical oceans. Examples of some oceanic variables are El Nino Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO). Identification of such conditions that influence the moisture transport into a given basin poses many challenges given the nonlinear dependency between the predictors (SST) and predictand (stream flows). In this study, we apply both linear and nonlinear dependency measures to identify the predictors that influence the winter flows into the Neuse basin. The predictor identification approach here adopted uses simple correlation coefficients to spearman rank correlation measures for detecting nonlinear dependency. All these dependency measures are employed with a lag 3 time series of the high flow season (January - February - March) using 75 years (1928-2002) of stream flows recorded in to the Falls Lake, Neuse River Basin. Developing streamflow forecasts contingent on these exogenous predictors will play an important role towards improved water supply planning and management. Recently, the soft computing techniques, such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) have provided an alternative method to solve complex problems efficiently. ANNs are data driven models which trains on the examples given to it. The ANNs functions as universal approximators and are non linear in nature. This paper presents a study aiming towards using climatic predictors for 3 month lead time streamflow forecast. ANN models representing the physical process of the system are
Biological transportation networks: Modeling and simulation
Albi, Giacomo
2015-09-15
We present a model for biological network formation originally introduced by Cai and Hu [Adaptation and optimization of biological transport networks, Phys. Rev. Lett. 111 (2013) 138701]. The modeling of fluid transportation (e.g., leaf venation and angiogenesis) and ion transportation networks (e.g., neural networks) is explained in detail and basic analytical features like the gradient flow structure of the fluid transportation network model and the impact of the model parameters on the geometry and topology of network formation are analyzed. We also present a numerical finite-element based discretization scheme and discuss sample cases of network formation simulations.
Szaleniec, Maciej
2012-01-01
Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are introduced as robust and versatile tools in quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) modeling. Their application to the modeling of enzyme reactivity is discussed, along with methodological issues. Methods of input variable selection, optimization of network internal structure, data set division and model validation are discussed. The application of ANNs in the modeling of enzyme activity over the last 20 years is briefly recounted. The discussed methodology is exemplified by the case of ethylbenzene dehydrogenase (EBDH). Intelligent Problem Solver and genetic algorithms are applied for input vector selection, whereas k-means clustering is used to partition the data into training and test cases. The obtained models exhibit high correlation between the predicted and experimental values (R(2) > 0.9). Sensitivity analyses and study of the response curves are used as tools for the physicochemical interpretation of the models in terms of the EBDH reaction mechanism. Neural networks are shown to be a versatile tool for the construction of robust QSAR models that can be applied to a range of aspects important in drug design and the prediction of biological activity.
Modeling Self-Healing of Concrete Using Hybrid Genetic Algorithm–Artificial Neural Network
Ramadan Suleiman, Ahmed; Nehdi, Moncef L.
2017-01-01
This paper presents an approach to predicting the intrinsic self-healing in concrete using a hybrid genetic algorithm–artificial neural network (GA–ANN). A genetic algorithm was implemented in the network as a stochastic optimizing tool for the initial optimal weights and biases. This approach can assist the network in achieving a global optimum and avoid the possibility of the network getting trapped at local optima. The proposed model was trained and validated using an especially built database using various experimental studies retrieved from the open literature. The model inputs include the cement content, water-to-cement ratio (w/c), type and dosage of supplementary cementitious materials, bio-healing materials, and both expansive and crystalline additives. Self-healing indicated by means of crack width is the model output. The results showed that the proposed GA–ANN model is capable of capturing the complex effects of various self-healing agents (e.g., biochemical material, silica-based additive, expansive and crystalline components) on the self-healing performance in cement-based materials. PMID:28772495
Modeling Self-Healing of Concrete Using Hybrid Genetic Algorithm–Artificial Neural Network
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ahmed Ramadan Suleiman
2017-02-01
Full Text Available This paper presents an approach to predicting the intrinsic self-healing in concrete using a hybrid genetic algorithm–artificial neural network (GA–ANN. A genetic algorithm was implemented in the network as a stochastic optimizing tool for the initial optimal weights and biases. This approach can assist the network in achieving a global optimum and avoid the possibility of the network getting trapped at local optima. The proposed model was trained and validated using an especially built database using various experimental studies retrieved from the open literature. The model inputs include the cement content, water-to-cement ratio (w/c, type and dosage of supplementary cementitious materials, bio-healing materials, and both expansive and crystalline additives. Self-healing indicated by means of crack width is the model output. The results showed that the proposed GA–ANN model is capable of capturing the complex effects of various self-healing agents (e.g., biochemical material, silica-based additive, expansive and crystalline components on the self-healing performance in cement-based materials.
Modeling Self-Healing of Concrete Using Hybrid Genetic Algorithm-Artificial Neural Network.
Ramadan Suleiman, Ahmed; Nehdi, Moncef L
2017-02-07
This paper presents an approach to predicting the intrinsic self-healing in concrete using a hybrid genetic algorithm-artificial neural network (GA-ANN). A genetic algorithm was implemented in the network as a stochastic optimizing tool for the initial optimal weights and biases. This approach can assist the network in achieving a global optimum and avoid the possibility of the network getting trapped at local optima. The proposed model was trained and validated using an especially built database using various experimental studies retrieved from the open literature. The model inputs include the cement content, water-to-cement ratio (w/c), type and dosage of supplementary cementitious materials, bio-healing materials, and both expansive and crystalline additives. Self-healing indicated by means of crack width is the model output. The results showed that the proposed GA-ANN model is capable of capturing the complex effects of various self-healing agents (e.g., biochemical material, silica-based additive, expansive and crystalline components) on the self-healing performance in cement-based materials.
Pavone, Andrea; Svensson, Jakob; Langenberg, Andreas; Pablant, Novimir; Wolf, Robert C.
2017-10-01
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) can reduce the computation time required for the application of Bayesian inference on large amounts of data by several orders of magnitude, making real-time analysis possible and, at the same time, providing a reliable alternative to more conventional inversion routines. The large scale fusion experiment Wendelstein 7-X (W7-X) requires tens of diagnostics for plasma parameter measurements and is using the Minerva Bayesian modelling framework as its main inference engine, which can handle joint inference in complex systems made of several physics models. Conventional inversion routines are applied to measured data to infer the posterior distribution of the free parameters of the models implemented in the framework. We have trained ANNs on a training set made of samples from the prior distribution of the free parameters and the corresponding data calculated with the forward model, so that the trained ANNs constitute a surrogate model of the physics model. The ANNs have been then applied to 2D images measured by an X-ray spectrometer, representing the spectral emission from plasma impurities measured along a fan of lines of sight covering a major fraction of the plasma cross-section, for the inference of ion temperature profiles and then compared with the conventional inversion routines, showing that they constitute a robust and reliable alternative for real time plasma parameter inference.
Kolokythas, Kostantinos; Vasileios, Salamalikis; Athanassios, Argiriou; Kazantzidis, Andreas
2015-04-01
The wind is a result of complex interactions of numerous mechanisms taking place in small or large scales, so, the better knowledge of its behavior is essential in a variety of applications, especially in the field of power production coming from wind turbines. In the literature there is a considerable number of models, either physical or statistical ones, dealing with the problem of simulation and prediction of wind speed. Among others, Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) are widely used for the purpose of wind forecasting and, in the great majority of cases, outperform other conventional statistical models. In this study, a number of ANNs with different architectures, which have been created and applied in a dataset of wind time series, are compared to Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) statistical models. The data consist of mean hourly wind speeds coming from a wind farm on a hilly Greek region and cover a period of one year (2013). The main goal is to evaluate the models ability to simulate successfully the wind speed at a significant point (target). Goodness-of-fit statistics are performed for the comparison of the different methods. In general, the ANN showed the best performance in the estimation of wind speed prevailing over the ARIMA models.
Mathematical Modelling Plant Signalling Networks
Muraro, D.
2013-01-01
During the last two decades, molecular genetic studies and the completion of the sequencing of the Arabidopsis thaliana genome have increased knowledge of hormonal regulation in plants. These signal transduction pathways act in concert through gene regulatory and signalling networks whose main components have begun to be elucidated. Our understanding of the resulting cellular processes is hindered by the complex, and sometimes counter-intuitive, dynamics of the networks, which may be interconnected through feedback controls and cross-regulation. Mathematical modelling provides a valuable tool to investigate such dynamics and to perform in silico experiments that may not be easily carried out in a laboratory. In this article, we firstly review general methods for modelling gene and signalling networks and their application in plants. We then describe specific models of hormonal perception and cross-talk in plants. This mathematical analysis of sub-cellular molecular mechanisms paves the way for more comprehensive modelling studies of hormonal transport and signalling in a multi-scale setting. © EDP Sciences, 2013.
A Pruning Neural Network Model in Credit Classification Analysis
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Yajiao Tang
2018-01-01
Full Text Available Nowadays, credit classification models are widely applied because they can help financial decision-makers to handle credit classification issues. Among them, artificial neural networks (ANNs have been widely accepted as the convincing methods in the credit industry. In this paper, we propose a pruning neural network (PNN and apply it to solve credit classification problem by adopting the well-known Australian and Japanese credit datasets. The model is inspired by synaptic nonlinearity of a dendritic tree in a biological neural model. And it is trained by an error back-propagation algorithm. The model is capable of realizing a neuronal pruning function by removing the superfluous synapses and useless dendrites and forms a tidy dendritic morphology at the end of learning. Furthermore, we utilize logic circuits (LCs to simulate the dendritic structures successfully which makes PNN be implemented on the hardware effectively. The statistical results of our experiments have verified that PNN obtains superior performance in comparison with other classical algorithms in terms of accuracy and computational efficiency.
Energy modelling in sensor networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
D. Schmidt
2007-06-01
Full Text Available Wireless sensor networks are one of the key enabling technologies for the vision of ambient intelligence. Energy resources for sensor nodes are very scarce. A key challenge is the design of energy efficient communication protocols. Models of the energy consumption are needed to accurately simulate the efficiency of a protocol or application design, and can also be used for automatic energy optimizations in a model driven design process. We propose a novel methodology to create models for sensor nodes based on few simple measurements. In a case study the methodology was used to create models for MICAz nodes. The models were integrated in a simulation environment as well as in a SDL runtime framework of a model driven design process. Measurements on a test application that was created automatically from an SDL specification showed an 80% reduction in energy consumption compared to an implementation without power saving strategies.
[Artificial neural networks for decision making in urologic oncology].
Remzi, M; Djavan, B
2007-06-01
This chapter presents a detailed introduction regarding Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and their contribution to modern Urologic Oncology. It includes a description of ANNs methodology and points out the differences between Artifical Intelligence and traditional statistic models in terms of usefulness for patients and clinicians, and its advantages over current statistical analysis.
Mohd-Safar, Noor Zuraidin; Ndzi, David Lorater; Kagalidis, Ioannis; Yang, Yanyan; Zakaria, Ammar
2016-01-01
This paper evaluates the performance of localized weather forecasting model using Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with different ANN algorithms in a tropical climate. Three ANN algorithms namely, Levenberg-Marquardt, Bayesian Regularization and Scaled Conjugate Gradient are used in the short-term weather forecasting model. The study focuses on the data from North-West Malaysia (Chuping). Meteorological data such as atmospheric pressure, temperature, dew point, humidity and wind speed are used...
Larsen, Peter E; Cseke, Leland J; Miller, R Michael; Collart, Frank R
2014-10-21
Rising atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide and ozone will impact productivity and carbon sequestration in forest ecosystems. The scale of this process and the potential economic consequences provide an incentive for the development of models to predict the types and rates of ecosystem responses and feedbacks that result from and influence of climate change. In this paper, we use phenotypic and molecular data derived from the Aspen Free Air CO2 Enrichment site (Aspen-FACE) to evaluate modeling approaches for ecosystem responses to changing conditions. At FACE, it was observed that different aspen clones exhibit clone-specific responses to elevated atmospheric levels of carbon dioxide and ozone. To identify the molecular basis for these observations, we used artificial neural networks (ANN) to examine above and below-ground community phenotype responses to elevated carbon dioxide, elevated ozone and gene expression profiles. The aspen community models generated using this approach identified specific genes and subnetworks of genes associated with variable sensitivities for aspen clones. The ANN model also predicts specific co-regulated gene clusters associated with differential sensitivity to elevated carbon dioxide and ozone in aspen species. The results suggest ANN is an effective approach to predict relevant gene expression changes resulting from environmental perturbation and provides useful information for the rational design of future biological experiments. Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Modeling of Soft sensor based on Artificial Neural Network for Galactic Cosmic Rays Application
Suparta, W.; Putro, W. S.
2014-10-01
For successful designing of space radiation Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) model, we develop a soft sensor based on the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model. At the first step, the soft sensor based ANN was constructed as an alternative to model space radiation environment. The structure of ANN in this model is using Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Levenberg Marquardt algorithms with 3 inputs and 2 outputs. In the input variable, we use 12 years data (Corr, Uncorr and Press) of GCR particles obtained from Neutron Monitor of Bartol University (Fort Smith area) and the target output is (Corr and Press) from the same source but for Inuvik area in the Polar Regions. In the validation step, we obtained the Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) value of Corr 3.8670e-004 and Press 1.3414e-004 and Variance Accounted For (VAF) of Corr 99.9839 % and Press 99.9831% during the training section. After all the results obtained, then we applied into a Matlab GUI simulation (soft sensor simulation). This simulation will display the estimation of output value from input (Corr and Press). Testing results showed an error of 0.133% and 0.014% for Corr and Press, respectively.
Wu, Xiuhong; Wang, Shaoyan; Zhang, Renzhuang; Gao, Zhiming
2014-03-07
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) were regarded as data-mapping networks with strong nonlinear fitting abilities. A 2-6-2 network was used to determine the competitive adsorption isotherm of 2-phenylethanol (PE) and 3-phenylpropanol (PP). The ANN results were forms of data mapping rather than theoretical mathematical model. The ANN architecture was established after training with a set of experimental data. The established ANN was applied to predict the adsorption isotherms of PE and PP. The selection of parameters for the ANN was discussed. The results indicate that ANN has excellent potential for use in non-linear chromatography for the prediction of adsorption isotherms. Copyright © 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Probabilistic logic modeling of network reliability for hybrid network architectures
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Wyss, G.D.; Schriner, H.K.; Gaylor, T.R.
1996-10-01
Sandia National Laboratories has found that the reliability and failure modes of current-generation network technologies can be effectively modeled using fault tree-based probabilistic logic modeling (PLM) techniques. We have developed fault tree models that include various hierarchical networking technologies and classes of components interconnected in a wide variety of typical and atypical configurations. In this paper we discuss the types of results that can be obtained from PLMs and why these results are of great practical value to network designers and analysts. After providing some mathematical background, we describe the `plug-and-play` fault tree analysis methodology that we have developed for modeling connectivity and the provision of network services in several current- generation network architectures. Finally, we demonstrate the flexibility of the method by modeling the reliability of a hybrid example network that contains several interconnected ethernet, FDDI, and token ring segments. 11 refs., 3 figs., 1 tab.
Generalization performance of regularized neural network models
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Larsen, Jan; Hansen, Lars Kai
1994-01-01
Architecture optimization is a fundamental problem of neural network modeling. The optimal architecture is defined as the one which minimizes the generalization error. This paper addresses estimation of the generalization performance of regularized, complete neural network models. Regularization...
Plant Growth Models Using Artificial Neural Networks
Bubenheim, David
1997-01-01
In this paper, we descrive our motivation and approach to devloping models and the neural network architecture. Initial use of the artificial neural network for modeling the single plant process of transpiration is presented.
Introducing Synchronisation in Deterministic Network Models
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Schiøler, Henrik; Jessen, Jan Jakob; Nielsen, Jens Frederik D.
2006-01-01
The paper addresses performance analysis for distributed real time systems through deterministic network modelling. Its main contribution is the introduction and analysis of models for synchronisation between tasks and/or network elements. Typical patterns of synchronisation are presented leading...
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Erol Kilickap
2017-10-01
Full Text Available In this paper, an experimental study was conducted to determine the effect of different cutting parameters such as cutting speed, feed rate, and depth of cut on cutting force, surface roughness, and tool wear in the milling of Ti-6242S alloy using the cemented carbide (WC end mills with a 10 mm diameter. Data obtained from experiments were defined both Artificial Neural Network (ANN and Response Surface Methodology (RSM. ANN trained network using Levenberg-Marquardt (LM and weights were trained. On the other hand, the mathematical models in RSM were created applying Box Behnken design. Values obtained from the ANN and the RSM was found to be very close to the data obtained from experimental studies. The lowest cutting force and surface roughness were obtained at high cutting speeds and low feed rate and depth of cut. The minimum tool wear was obtained at low cutting speed, feed rate, and depth of cut.
Obituary: Anne Barbara Underhill, 1920-2003
Roman, Nancy Grace
2003-12-01
Anne was born in Vancouver, British Columbia on 12 June 1920. Her parents were Frederic Clare Underhill, a civil engineer and Irene Anna (née Creery) Underhill. She had a twin brother and three younger brothers. As a young girl she was active in Girl Guides and graduated from high school winning the Lieutenant Governor's medal as one of the top students in the Province. She also excelled in high school sports. Her mother died when Anne was 18 and, while undertaking her university studies, Anne assisted in raising her younger brothers. Her twin brother was killed in Italy during World War II (1944), a loss that Anne felt deeply. Possibly because of fighting to get ahead in astronomy, a field overwhelming male when she started, she frequently appeared combative. At the University of British Columbia, Anne obtained a BA (honors) in Chemistry (1942), followed by a MA in 1944. After working for the NRC in Montreal for a year, she studied at the University of Toronto prior to entering the University of Chicago in 1946 to obtain her PhD. Her thesis was the first model computed for a multi-layered stellar atmosphere (1948). During this time she worked with Otto Struve, developing a lifetime interest in hot stars and the analysis of their high dispersion spectra. She received two fellowships from the University Women of Canada. She received a U.S. National Research Fellowship to work at the Copenhagen Observatory, and upon its completion, she returned to British Columbia to work at the Dominion Astrophysical Observatory as a research scientist from 1949--1962. During this period she spent a year at Harvard University as a visiting professor and at Princeton where she used their advanced computer to write the first code for modeling stellar atmospheres. Anne was invited to the University of Utrecht (Netherlands) as a full professor in 1962. She was an excellent teacher, well liked by the students in her classes, and by the many individuals that she guided throughout her
Haghani, Shima; Sedehi, Morteza; Kheiri, Soleiman
2017-09-02
Traditional statistical models often are based on certain presuppositions and limitations that may not presence in actual data and lead to turbulence in estimation or prediction. In these situations, artificial neural networks (ANNs) could be suitable alternative rather than classical statistical methods. A prospective cohort study. The study was conducted in Shahrekord Blood Transfusion Center, Shahrekord, central Iran, on blood donors from 2008-2009. The accuracy of the proposed model to prediction of number of return to blood donations was compared with classical statistical models. A number of 864 donors who had a first-time successful donation were followed for five years. Number of return for blood donation was considered as response variable. Poisson regression (PR), negative binomial regression (NBR), zero-inflated Poisson regression (ZIPR) and zero-inflated negative binomial regression (ZINBR) as well as ANN model were fitted to data. MSE criterion was used to compare models. To fitting the models, STATISTICA 10 and, R 3.2.2 was used RESULTS: The MSE of PR, NBR, ZIPR, ZINBR and ANN models was obtained 2.71, 1.01, 1.54, 0.094 and 0.056 for the training and 4.05, 9.89, 3.99, 2.53 and 0.27 for the test data, respectively. The ANN model had the least MSE in both training, and test data set and has a better performance than classic models. ANN could be a suitable alternative for modeling such data because of fewer restrictions.
Estimation of storage time of yogurt with artificial neural network modeling.
Sofu, A; Ekinci, F Y
2007-07-01
Changes in the physical, chemical, and microbiological structure of yogurt determine the storage and shelf life of the product. In this study, microbial counts and pH values of yogurt during storage were determined at d 1, 7, and 14. Simultaneously, image processing of yogurt was digitized by using a machine vision system (MVS) to determine color changes during storage, and the obtained data were modeled with an artificial neural network (ANN) for prediction of shelf life of set-type whole-fat and low-fat yogurts. The ANN models were developed using back-propagation networks with a single hidden layer and sigmoid activation functions. The input variables of the network were pH; total aerobic, yeast, mold, and coliform counts; and color analysis values measured by the machine vision system. The output variable was the storage time of the yogurt. The modeling results showed that there was excellent agreement between the experimental data and predicted values, with a high determination coefficient (R2 = 0.9996) showing that the developed model was able to analyze nonlinear multivariant data with very good performance, fewer parameters, and shorter calculation time. The model might be an alternative method to control the expiration date of yogurt shown in labeling and provide consumers with a safer food supply.
Everson, Howard T.; And Others
This paper explores the feasibility of neural computing methods such as artificial neural networks (ANNs) and abductory induction mechanisms (AIM) for use in educational measurement. ANNs and AIMS methods are contrasted with more traditional statistical techniques, such as multiple regression and discriminant function analyses, for making…
An Intelligent Ensemble Neural Network Model for Wind Speed Prediction in Renewable Energy Systems
Ranganayaki, V.; Deepa, S. N.
2016-01-01
Various criteria are proposed to select the number of hidden neurons in artificial neural network (ANN) models and based on the criterion evolved an intelligent ensemble neural network model is proposed to predict wind speed in renewable energy applications. The intelligent ensemble neural model based wind speed forecasting is designed by averaging the forecasted values from multiple neural network models which includes multilayer perceptron (MLP), multilayer adaptive linear neuron (Madaline), back propagation neural network (BPN), and probabilistic neural network (PNN) so as to obtain better accuracy in wind speed prediction with minimum error. The random selection of hidden neurons numbers in artificial neural network results in overfitting or underfitting problem. This paper aims to avoid the occurrence of overfitting and underfitting problems. The selection of number of hidden neurons is done in this paper employing 102 criteria; these evolved criteria are verified by the computed various error values. The proposed criteria for fixing hidden neurons are validated employing the convergence theorem. The proposed intelligent ensemble neural model is applied for wind speed prediction application considering the real time wind data collected from the nearby locations. The obtained simulation results substantiate that the proposed ensemble model reduces the error value to minimum and enhances the accuracy. The computed results prove the effectiveness of the proposed ensemble neural network (ENN) model with respect to the considered error factors in comparison with that of the earlier models available in the literature. PMID:27034973
An Intelligent Ensemble Neural Network Model for Wind Speed Prediction in Renewable Energy Systems.
Ranganayaki, V; Deepa, S N
2016-01-01
Various criteria are proposed to select the number of hidden neurons in artificial neural network (ANN) models and based on the criterion evolved an intelligent ensemble neural network model is proposed to predict wind speed in renewable energy applications. The intelligent ensemble neural model based wind speed forecasting is designed by averaging the forecasted values from multiple neural network models which includes multilayer perceptron (MLP), multilayer adaptive linear neuron (Madaline), back propagation neural network (BPN), and probabilistic neural network (PNN) so as to obtain better accuracy in wind speed prediction with minimum error. The random selection of hidden neurons numbers in artificial neural network results in overfitting or underfitting problem. This paper aims to avoid the occurrence of overfitting and underfitting problems. The selection of number of hidden neurons is done in this paper employing 102 criteria; these evolved criteria are verified by the computed various error values. The proposed criteria for fixing hidden neurons are validated employing the convergence theorem. The proposed intelligent ensemble neural model is applied for wind speed prediction application considering the real time wind data collected from the nearby locations. The obtained simulation results substantiate that the proposed ensemble model reduces the error value to minimum and enhances the accuracy. The computed results prove the effectiveness of the proposed ensemble neural network (ENN) model with respect to the considered error factors in comparison with that of the earlier models available in the literature.
Pandey, Daya Shankar; Das, Saptarshi; Pan, Indranil; Leahy, James J; Kwapinski, Witold
2016-12-01
In this paper, multi-layer feed forward neural networks are used to predict the lower heating value of gas (LHV), lower heating value of gasification products including tars and entrained char (LHVp) and syngas yield during gasification of municipal solid waste (MSW) during gasification in a fluidized bed reactor. These artificial neural networks (ANNs) with different architectures are trained using the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) back-propagation algorithm and a cross validation is also performed to ensure that the results generalise to other unseen datasets. A rigorous study is carried out on optimally choosing the number of hidden layers, number of neurons in the hidden layer and activation function in a network using multiple Monte Carlo runs. Nine input and three output parameters are used to train and test various neural network architectures in both multiple output and single output prediction paradigms using the available experimental datasets. The model selection procedure is carried out to ascertain the best network architecture in terms of predictive accuracy. The simulation results show that the ANN based methodology is a viable alternative which can be used to predict the performance of a fluidized bed gasifier. Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Chen, Jian; Chen, Jie; Ding, Hong-Yan; Pan, Qin-Shi; Hong, Wan-Dong; Xu, Gang; Yu, Fang-You; Wang, Yu-Min
2015-01-01
The statistical methods to analyze and predict the related dangerous factors of deep fungal infection in lung cancer patients were several, such as logic regression analysis, meta-analysis, multivariate Cox proportional hazards model analysis, retrospective analysis, and so on, but the results are inconsistent. A total of 696 patients with lung cancer were enrolled. The factors were compared employing Student's t-test or the Mann-Whitney test or the Chi-square test and variables that were significantly related to the presence of deep fungal infection selected as candidates for input into the final artificial neural network analysis (ANN) model. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) and area under curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the performance of the artificial neural network (ANN) model and logistic regression (LR) model. The prevalence of deep fungal infection from lung cancer in this entire study population was 32.04%(223/696), deep fungal infections occur in sputum specimens 44.05% (200/454). The ratio of candida albicans was 86.99% (194/223) in the total fungi. It was demonstrated that older (≥65 years), use of antibiotics, low serum albumin concentrations (≤37.18 g /L), radiotherapy, surgery, low hemoglobin hyperlipidemia (≤93.67 g /L), long time of hospitalization (≥14 days) were apt to deep fungal infection and the ANN model consisted of the seven factors. The AUC of ANN model (0.829±0.019) was higher than that of LR model (0.756±0.021). The artificial neural network model with variables consisting of age, use of antibiotics, serum albumin concentrations, received radiotherapy, received surgery, hemoglobin, time of hospitalization should be useful for predicting the deep fungal infection in lung cancer.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Sepehr Sadighi
2013-12-01
Full Text Available An artificial neural network (ANN and kinetic-based models for a pilot scale vacuum gas oil (VGO hydrocracking plant are presented in this paper. Reported experimental data in the literature were used to develop, train, and check these models. The proposed models are capable of predicting the yield of all main hydrocracking products including dry gas, light naphtha, heavy naphtha, kerosene, diesel, and unconverted VGO (residue. Results showed that kinetic-based and artificial neural models have specific capabilities to predict yield of hydrocracking products. The former is able to accurately predict the yield of lighter products, i.e. light naphtha, heavy naphtha and kerosene. However, ANN model is capable of predicting yields of diesel and residue with higher precision. The comparison shows that the ANN model is superior to the kinetic-base models. © 2013 BCREC UNDIP. All rights reservedReceived: 9th April 2013; Revised: 13rd August 2013; Accepted: 18th August 2013[How to Cite: Sadighi, S., Zahedi, G.R. (2013. Comparison of Kinetic-based and Artificial Neural Network Modeling Methods for a Pilot Scale Vacuum Gas Oil Hydrocracking Reactor. Bulletin of Chemical Reaction Engineering & Catalysis, 8 (2: 125-136. (doi:10.9767/bcrec.8.2.4722.125-136][Permalink/DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.9767/bcrec.8.2.4722.125-136
Modeling the Dynamics of Compromised Networks
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Soper, B; Merl, D M
2011-09-12
Accurate predictive models of compromised networks would contribute greatly to improving the effectiveness and efficiency of the detection and control of network attacks. Compartmental epidemiological models have been applied to modeling attack vectors such as viruses and worms. We extend the application of these models to capture a wider class of dynamics applicable to cyber security. By making basic assumptions regarding network topology we use multi-group epidemiological models and reaction rate kinetics to model the stochastic evolution of a compromised network. The Gillespie Algorithm is used to run simulations under a worst case scenario in which the intruder follows the basic connection rates of network traffic as a method of obfuscation.
Vickram, A S; Kamini, A Rao; Das, Raja; Pathy, M Ramesh; Parameswari, R; Archana, K; Sridharan, T B
2016-08-01
Seminal fluid is the secretion from many glands comprised of several organic and inorganic compounds including free amino acids, proteins, fructose, glucosidase, zinc, and other scavenging elements like Mg(2+), Ca(2+), K(+), and Na(+). Therefore, in the view of development of novel approaches and proper diagnosis to male infertility, overall understanding of the biochemical and molecular composition and its role in regulation of sperm quality is highly desirable. Perhaps this can be achieved through artificial intelligence. This study was aimed to elucidate and predict various biochemical markers present in human seminal plasma with three different neural network models. A total of 177 semen samples were collected for this research (both fertile and infertile samples) and immediately processed to prepare a semen analysis report, based on the protocol of the World Health Organization (WHO [2010]). The semen samples were then categorized into oligoasthenospermia (n=35), asthenospermia (n=35), azoospermia (n=22), normospermia (n=34), oligospermia (n=34), and control (n=17). The major biochemical parameters like total protein content, fructose, glucosidase, and zinc content were elucidated by standard protocols. All the biochemical markers were predicted by using three different artificial neural network (ANN) models with semen parameters as inputs. Of the three models, the back propagation neural network model (BPNN) yielded the best results with mean absolute error 0.025, -0.080, 0.166, and -0.057 for protein, fructose, glucosidase, and zinc, respectively. This suggests that BPNN can be used to predict biochemical parameters for the proper diagnosis of male infertility in assisted reproductive technology (ART) centres. AAS: absorption spectroscopy; AI: artificial intelligence; ANN: artificial neural networks; ART: assisted reproductive technology; BPNN: back propagation neural network model; DT: decision tress; MLP: multilayer perceptron; PESA: percutaneous
RMBNToolbox: random models for biochemical networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Niemi Jari
2007-05-01
Full Text Available Abstract Background There is an increasing interest to model biochemical and cell biological networks, as well as to the computational analysis of these models. The development of analysis methodologies and related software is rapid in the field. However, the number of available models is still relatively small and the model sizes remain limited. The lack of kinetic information is usually the limiting factor for the construction of detailed simulation models. Results We present a computational toolbox for generating random biochemical network models which mimic real biochemical networks. The toolbox is called Random Models for Biochemical Networks. The toolbox works in the Matlab environment, and it makes it possible to generate various network structures, stoichiometries, kinetic laws for reactions, and parameters therein. The generation can be based on statistical rules and distributions, and more detailed information of real biochemical networks can be used in situations where it is known. The toolbox can be easily extended. The resulting network models can be exported in the format of Systems Biology Markup Language. Conclusion While more information is accumulating on biochemical networks, random networks can be used as an intermediate step towards their better understanding. Random networks make it possible to study the effects of various network characteristics to the overall behavior of the network. Moreover, the construction of artificial network models provides the ground truth data needed in the validation of various computational methods in the fields of parameter estimation and data analysis.
Application of artificial neural networks for response surface modelling in HPLC method development
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mohamed A. Korany
2012-01-01
Full Text Available This paper discusses the usefulness of artificial neural networks (ANNs for response surface modelling in HPLC method development. In this study, the combined effect of pH and mobile phase composition on the reversed-phase liquid chromatographic behaviour of a mixture of salbutamol (SAL and guaiphenesin (GUA, combination I, and a mixture of ascorbic acid (ASC, paracetamol (PAR and guaiphenesin (GUA, combination II, was investigated. The results were compared with those produced using multiple regression (REG analysis. To examine the respective predictive power of the regression model and the neural network model, experimental and predicted response factor values, mean of squares error (MSE, average error percentage (Er%, and coefficients of correlation (r were compared. It was clear that the best networks were able to predict the experimental responses more accurately than the multiple regression analysis.
Kurtulus, Bedri; Razack, Moumtaz
2010-02-01
SummaryThis paper compares two methods for modeling karst aquifers, which are heterogeneous, highly non-linear, and hierarchical systems. There is a clear need to model these systems given the crucial role they play in water supply in many countries. In recent years, the main components of soft computing (fuzzy logic (FL), and Artificial Neural Networks, (ANNs)) have come to prevail in the modeling of complex non-linear systems in different scientific and technologic disciplines. In this study, Artificial Neural Networks and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Interface System (ANFIS) methods were used for the prediction of daily discharge of karstic aquifers and their capability was compared. The approach was applied to 7 years of daily data of La Rochefoucauld karst system in south-western France. In order to predict the karst daily discharges, single-input (rainfall, piezometric level) vs. multiple-input (rainfall and piezometric level) series were used. In addition to these inputs, all models used measured or simulated discharges from the previous days with a specified delay. The models were designed in a Matlab™ environment. An automatic procedure was used to select the best calibrated models. Daily discharge predictions were then performed using the calibrated models. Comparing predicted and observed hydrographs indicates that both models (ANN and ANFIS) provide close predictions of the karst daily discharges. The summary statistics of both series (observed and predicted daily discharges) are comparable. The performance of both models is improved when the number of inputs is increased from one to two. The root mean square error between the observed and predicted series reaches a minimum for two-input models. However, the ANFIS model demonstrates a better performance than the ANN model to predict peak flow. The ANFIS approach demonstrates a better generalization capability and slightly higher performance than the ANN, especially for peak discharges.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
M. J. García-Rodríguez
2010-06-01
Full Text Available This paper presents an approach for assessing earthquake-triggered landslide susceptibility using artificial neural networks (ANNs. The computational method used for the training process is a back-propagation learning algorithm. It is applied to El Salvador, one of the most seismically active regions in Central America, where the last severe destructive earthquakes occurred on 13 January 2001 (M_{w} 7.7 and 13 February 2001 (M_{w} 6.6. The first one triggered more than 600 landslides (including the most tragic, Las Colinas landslide and killed at least 844 people.
The ANN is designed and programmed to develop landslide susceptibility analysis techniques at a regional scale. This approach uses an inventory of landslides and different parameters of slope instability: slope gradient, elevation, aspect, mean annual precipitation, lithology, land use, and terrain roughness. The information obtained from ANN is then used by a Geographic Information System (GIS to map the landslide susceptibility. In a previous work, a Logistic Regression (LR was analysed with the same parameters considered in the ANN as independent variables and the occurrence or non-occurrence of landslides as dependent variables. As a result, the logistic approach determined the importance of terrain roughness and soil type as key factors within the model. The results of the landslide susceptibility analysis with ANN are checked using landslide location data. These results show a high concordance between the landslide inventory and the high susceptibility estimated zone. Finally, a comparative analysis of the ANN and LR models are made. The advantages and disadvantages of both approaches are discussed using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC curves.
Mahanty, Biswanath; Zafar, Mohd; Park, Hung-Suck
2013-01-01
The characteristics and impact of industrial sludges of paper, chemical, petrochemical, automobile, and food industries situated in the Ulsan Industrial Complex, Ulsan, Republic of Korea in co-digestion for biogas production were assessed by artificial neural network (ANN) and statistical regression models. The regression model was based on a simplex-centroid mixture design and the ANN was based on a resilient back-propagation algorithm (topology 5-7-1). Using connection weights and bias of the trained ANN model, the impact of each sludge of co-digestion was assessed using Garsons' algorithm. Results suggested that the modelling and predictability of ANN were superior to the regression model with accuracy (A(f)) 1.01, bias (B(f)) 1.00, root mean square error 3.56, and standard error of prediction 2.51%. Sludge from the chemical industry showed the highest impact on specific methane yield (SMY(VS)) with a relative importance of 28.59% followed by sludges from paper (20.07%), food (19.59%), petrochemical (15.92%), and automobile (15.82%) industries. The interactions between diverse industrial sludges were successfully modelled and partitioned into various synergistic and antagonistic effects on SMY(VS). Synergistic interactions between the chemical industry sludge and either petrochemical or food industry sludges on SMY(VS) were detected. However, strong negative interaction between automobile sludge and other sludges was observed. This study indicates that though the ANN model performed better in prediction and impact assessments, the regression model reveals the synergistic and antagonistic interactions among sludges.
A. R. Moghadassi; Parvizian,F.; Hosseini, S.M.; Fazlali,A. R.
2009-01-01
Equations of state are useful for description of fluid properties such as pressure-volume-temperature (PVT). However, the success estimation of such correlations depends mainly on the range of data which have originated. Therefore new models are highly required. In this work a new method is proposed based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) for estimation of PVT properties of compounds. The data sets were collected from Perry's Chemical Engineers' Handbook. Different training schemes for the b...
MODELLING STUDIES BY APPLICATION OF ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK USING MATLAB
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
K. S. ARJUN
2015-11-01
Full Text Available Four ANN models to estimate Bubble point pressure (Pb, Oil Formation Volume Factor (Bob, Bubble point solution Gas Oil Ratio (Rsob and Stock Tank Vent GOR (RST in the absence of Pressure, Volume and Temperature (PVT analysis, were proposed as a function of readily available field data. The estimated Rsob and RST values from the proposed models can be used as a basic input variable in many PVT correlations in order to estimate other fluid properties such as the Pb and Bob. Another proposed ANN model has the ability to predict and interpolate average reservoir pressure accurately by employing oil, water and gas production rates and number of producers are used as four inputs for the proposed model without the wells having to be closed. Another ANN model proposed is to predict the performance of oil production within water injection reservoirs, which can be utilized to find the most economical scenario of water injection to maximize ultimate oil recovery. It has reasonable accuracy, requires little data and can forecast quickly. ANN approach to solving the identified pipeline damage problem gives satisfactory results as the error between the ANN output and the target is very tolerable. The results conclusively proved with error 0.0027 that it has the ability to accurately predict the pipeline damage probability by employing the model data obtained in this study.
Guarnaccia, Claudio; Quartieri, Joseph; Tepedino, Carmine
2017-06-01
The dangerous effect of noise on human health is well known. Both the auditory and non-auditory effects are largely documented in literature, and represent an important hazard in human activities. Particular care is devoted to road traffic noise, since it is growing according to the growth of residential, industrial and commercial areas. For these reasons, it is important to develop effective models able to predict the noise in a certain area. In this paper, a hybrid predictive model is presented. The model is based on the mixing of two different approach: the Time Series Analysis (TSA) and the Artificial Neural Network (ANN). The TSA model is based on the evaluation of trend and seasonality in the data, while the ANN model is based on the capacity of the network to "learn" the behavior of the data. The mixed approach will consist in the evaluation of noise levels by means of TSA and, once the differences (residuals) between TSA estimations and observed data have been calculated, in the training of a ANN on the residuals. This hybrid model will exploit interesting features and results, with a significant variation related to the number of steps forward in the prediction. It will be shown that the best results, in terms of prediction, are achieved predicting one step ahead in the future. Anyway, a 7 days prediction can be performed, with a slightly greater error, but offering a larger range of prediction, with respect to the single day ahead predictive model.
Santos, C. A. G.; Freire, P. K. M. M.; Silva, G. B. L.; Silva, R. M.
2014-09-01
This paper proposes the use of discrete wavelet transform (DWT) to remove the high-frequency components (details) of an original signal, because the noises generally present in time series (e.g. streamflow records) may influence the prediction quality. Cleaner signals could then be used as inputs to an artificial neural network (ANN) in order to improve the model performance of daily discharge forecasting. Wavelet analysis provides useful decompositions of original time series in high and low frequency components. The present application uses the Coiflet wavelets to decompose hydrological data, as there have been few reports in the literature. Finally, the proposed technique is tested using the inflow records to the Três Marias reservoir in São Francisco River basin, Brazil. This transformed signal is used as input for an ANN model to forecast inflows seven days ahead, and the error RMSE decreased by more than 50% (i.e. from 454.2828 to 200.0483).
Mehrizad, Ali; Gharbani, Parvin
2016-01-01
The present study deals with use of central composite design (CCD) and artificial neural network (ANN) in modeling and optimization of reactive blue 21 (RB21) removal from aqueous media under photo-ozonation process. Four effective operational parameters (including: initial concentration of RB21, O(3) concentration, UV light intensity and reaction time) were chosen and the experiments were designed by CCD based on response surface methodology (RSM). The obtained results from the CCD model were used in modeling the process by ANN. Under optimum condition (O(3) concentration of 3.95 mg L(-1), UV intensity of 20.5 W m(-2), reaction time of 7.77 min and initial dye concentration of 40.21 mg L(-1)), RB21 removal efficiency reached to up 98.88%. A topology of ANN with a three-layer consisting of four input neurons, 14 hidden neurons and one output neuron was designed. The relative significance of each major factor was calculated based on the connection weights of the ANN model. Dye and ozone concentrations were the most important variables in the photo-ozonation of RB21, followed by reaction time and UV light intensity. The comparison of predicted values by CCD and ANN with experimental results showed that both methods were highly efficient in the modeling of the process.
Evaluation of neural networks to identify types of activity using accelerometers
Vries, S.I. de; Garre, F.G.; Engbers, L.H.; Hildebrandt, V.H.; Buuren, S. van
2011-01-01
Purpose: To develop and evaluate two artificial neural network (ANN) models based on single-sensor accelerometer data and an ANN model based on the data of two accelerometers for the identification of types of physical activity in adults. Methods: Forty-nine subjects (21 men and 28 women; age range
Network Bandwidth Utilization Forecast Model on High Bandwidth Network
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Yoo, Wucherl; Sim, Alex
2014-07-07
With the increasing number of geographically distributed scientific collaborations and the scale of the data size growth, it has become more challenging for users to achieve the best possible network performance on a shared network. We have developed a forecast model to predict expected bandwidth utilization for high-bandwidth wide area network. The forecast model can improve the efficiency of resource utilization and scheduling data movements on high-bandwidth network to accommodate ever increasing data volume for large-scale scientific data applications. Univariate model is developed with STL and ARIMA on SNMP path utilization data. Compared with traditional approach such as Box-Jenkins methodology, our forecast model reduces computation time by 83.2percent. It also shows resilience against abrupt network usage change. The accuracy of the forecast model is within the standard deviation of the monitored measurements.
Network bandwidth utilization forecast model on high bandwidth networks
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Yoo, Wuchert (William) [Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States); Sim, Alex [Lawrence Berkeley National Lab. (LBNL), Berkeley, CA (United States)
2015-03-30
With the increasing number of geographically distributed scientific collaborations and the scale of the data size growth, it has become more challenging for users to achieve the best possible network performance on a shared network. We have developed a forecast model to predict expected bandwidth utilization for high-bandwidth wide area network. The forecast model can improve the efficiency of resource utilization and scheduling data movements on high-bandwidth network to accommodate ever increasing data volume for large-scale scientific data applications. Univariate model is developed with STL and ARIMA on SNMP path utilization data. Compared with traditional approach such as Box-Jenkins methodology, our forecast model reduces computation time by 83.2%. It also shows resilience against abrupt network usage change. The accuracy of the forecast model is within the standard deviation of the monitored measurements.
Artificial neural networks and prostate cancer--tools for diagnosis and management.
Hu, Xinhai; Cammann, Henning; Meyer, Hellmuth-A; Miller, Kurt; Jung, Klaus; Stephan, Carsten
2013-03-01
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are mathematical models that are based on biological neural networks and are composed of interconnected groups of artificial neurons. ANNs are used to map and predict outcomes in complex relationships between given 'inputs' and sought-after 'outputs' and can also be used find patterns in datasets. In medicine, ANN applications have been used in cancer diagnosis, staging and recurrence prediction since the mid-1990s, when an enormous effort was initiated, especially in prostate cancer detection. Modern ANNs can incorporate new biomarkers and imaging data to improve their predictive power and can offer a number of advantages as clinical decision making tools, such as easy handling of distribution-free input parameters. Most importantly, ANNs consider nonlinear relationships among input data that cannot always be recognized by conventional analyses. In the future, complex medical diagnostic and treatment decisions will be increasingly based on ANNs and other multivariate models.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ganga Sahay Meena
2014-12-01
Full Text Available Different culture conditions viz. additional carbon and nitrogen content, inoculum size and age, temperature and pH of the mixed culture of Bifidobacterium bifidum and Lactobacillus acidophilus were optimized using response surface methodology (RSM and artificial neural network (ANN. Kinetic growth models were fitted for the cultivations using a Fractional Factorial (FF design experiments for different variables. This novel concept of combining the optimization and modeling presented different optimal conditions for the mixture of B. bifidum and L. acidophilus growth from their one variable at-a-time (OVAT optimization study. Through these statistical tools, the product yield (cell mass of the mixture of B. bifidum and L. acidophilus was increased. Regression coefficients (R2 of both the statistical tools predicted that ANN was better than RSM and the regression equation was solved with the help of genetic algorithms (GA. The normalized percentage mean squared error obtained from the ANN and RSM models were 0.08 and 0.3%, respectively. The optimum conditions for the maximum biomass yield were at temperature 38°C, pH 6.5, inoculum volume 1.60 mL, inoculum age 30 h, carbon content 42.31% (w/v, and nitrogen content 14.20% (w/v. The results demonstrated a higher prediction accuracy of ANN compared to RSM.
Arefi-Oskoui, Samira; Khataee, Alireza; Vatanpour, Vahid
2017-07-10
In this research, MgAl-CO32- nanolayered double hydroxide (NLDH) was synthesized through a facile coprecipitation method, followed by a hydrothermal treatment. The prepared NLDHs were used as a hydrophilic nanofiller for improving the performance of the PVDF-based ultrafiltration membranes. The main objective of this research was to obtain the optimized formula of NLDH/PVDF nanocomposite membrane presenting the best performance using computational techniques as a cost-effective method. For this aim, an artificial neural network (ANN) model was developed for modeling and expressing the relationship between the performance of the nanocomposite membrane (pure water flux, protein flux and flux recovery ratio) and the affecting parameters including the NLDH, PVP 29000 and polymer concentrations. The effects of the mentioned parameters and the interaction between the parameters were investigated using the contour plot predicted with the developed model. Scanning electron microscopy (SEM), atomic force microscopy (AFM), and water contact angle techniques were applied to characterize the nanocomposite membranes and to interpret the predictions of the ANN model. The developed ANN model was introduced to genetic algorithm (GA) as a bioinspired optimizer to determine the optimum values of input parameters leading to high pure water flux, protein flux, and flux recovery ratio. The optimum values for NLDH, PVP 29000 and the PVDF concentration were determined to be 0.54, 1, and 18 wt %, respectively. The performance of the nanocomposite membrane prepared using the optimum values proposed by GA was investigated experimentally, in which the results were in good agreement with the values predicted by ANN model with error lower than 6%. This good agreement confirmed that the nanocomposite membranes prformance could be successfully modeled and optimized by ANN-GA system.
Podder, M S; Majumder, C B
2016-02-15
In the present study, a thorough investigation has been done on the removal efficiency of both As(III) and As (V) from synthetic wastewater by phycoremediation of Botryococcus braunii algal biomass. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are practised for predicting % phycoremediation efficiency of both As(III) and As(V) ions. The influence of several parameters for example initial pH, inoculum size, contact time and initial arsenic concentration (either As(III) or As(V)) was examined systematically. The maximum phycoremediation of As(III) and As(V) was found to be 85.22% and 88.15% at pH9.0, equilibrium time of 144h by using algal inoculum size of 10% (v/v) and initial arsenic concentration of 50mg/L. The data acquired from laboratory scale experimental set up was utilized for training a three-layer feed-forward back propagation (BP) with Levenberg-Marquardt (LM) training algorithm having 4:5:1 architecture. A comparison between the experimental data and model outputs provided a high correlation coefficient (R(2)all_ANN equal to 0.9998) and exhibited that the model was capable for predicting the phycoremediation of both As(III) and As(V) from wastewater. The network topology was optimized by changing number of neurons in hidden layers. ANNs are efficient to model and simulate highly non-liner multivariable relationships. Absolute error and Standard deviation (SD) with respect to experimental output were calculated for ANN model outputs. The comparison of phycoremediation efficiencies of both As(III) and As(V) between experimental results and ANN model outputs exhibited that ANN model can determine the behaviour of As(III) and As(V) elimination process under various circumstances. Copyright © 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Artificial neural network model for simulation of water distribution in sprinkle irrigation
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Paulo L. de Menezes
2015-09-01
Full Text Available ABSTRACTDetermining uniformity coefficients of sprinkle irrigation systems, in general, depends on field trials, which require time and financial resources. One alternative to reduce time and expense is the use of simulations. The objective of this study was to develop an artificial neural network (ANN to simulate sprinkler precipitation, using the values of operating pressure, wind speed, wind direction and sprinkler nozzle diameter as the input parameters. Field trials were performed with one sprinkler operating in a grid of 16 x 16, collectors with spacing of 1.5 m and different combinations of nozzles, pressures, and wind conditions. The ANN model showed good results in the simulation of precipitation, with Spearman's correlation coefficient (rs ranging from 0.92 to 0.97 and Willmott agreement index (d from 0.950 to 0.991, between the observed and simulated values for ten analysed trials. The ANN model shows promise in the simulation of precipitation in sprinkle irrigation systems.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Z. Rahmati
2015-06-01
Full Text Available Species distribution maps have been widely developed based on ecological niche theory together with statistical and geographical information system in plant ecology. The current study aimed to evaluate Artificial Neural Network (ANN in mapping potential habitat of Ferula ovina Boiss in Ferydunshar rangelands, Isfahan. This is known as valuable forage and medicinal species. Environmental data (independent variables and species occurrence data (dependent variable were required to determine potential habitat of a given species. Some physical and chemical soil properties, climate and physiographic variables were mapped for the entire studied area using krigging and inverse distance weighting methods. F. ovina occurrence data were collected from 278 sites including 137 presence and 141 absence sites. The relationships between the studied environmental variables and F. ovina occurrence data were explored using ANN method. According to the sensitivity analysis, occurrence of F. ovina mostly correlated with silt and sand percentage, elevation slope, and organic matter. Model evaluation based on Kappa coefficient (0.66 and Receiver operating characteristic (ROC=0.9 showed good model fitness in relation to reality on local scales. The ANN technique enables managers to identify appropriate areas for rehabilitation practices such as direct seeding and planting.
An acoustical model based monitoring network
Wessels, P.W.; Basten, T.G.H.; Eerden, F.J.M. van der
2010-01-01
In this paper the approach for an acoustical model based monitoring network is demonstrated. This network is capable of reconstructing a noise map, based on the combination of measured sound levels and an acoustic model of the area. By pre-calculating the sound attenuation within the network the
Analysis of Artificial Neural Network in Erosion Modeling: A Case Study of Serang Watershed
Arif, N.; Danoedoro, P.; Hartono
2017-12-01
Erosion modeling is an important measuring tool for both land users and decision makers to evaluate land cultivation and thus it is necessary to have a model to represent the actual reality. Erosion models are a complex model because of uncertainty data with different sources and processing procedures. Artificial neural networks can be relied on for complex and non-linear data processing such as erosion data. The main difficulty in artificial neural network training is the determination of the value of each network input parameters, i.e. hidden layer, momentum, learning rate, momentum, and RMS. This study tested the capability of artificial neural network application in the prediction of erosion risk with some input parameters through multiple simulations to get good classification results. The model was implemented in Serang Watershed, Kulonprogo, Yogyakarta which is one of the critical potential watersheds in Indonesia. The simulation results showed the number of iterations that gave a significant effect on the accuracy compared to other parameters. A small number of iterations can produce good accuracy if the combination of other parameters was right. In this case, one hidden layer was sufficient to produce good accuracy. The highest training accuracy achieved in this study was 99.32%, occurred in ANN 14 simulation with combination of network input parameters of 1 HL; LR 0.01; M 0.5; RMS 0.0001, and the number of iterations of 15000. The ANN training accuracy was not influenced by the number of channels, namely input dataset (erosion factors) as well as data dimensions, rather it was determined by changes in network parameters.
An adaptive complex network model for brain functional networks.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ignacio J Gomez Portillo
Full Text Available Brain functional networks are graph representations of activity in the brain, where the vertices represent anatomical regions and the edges their functional connectivity. These networks present a robust small world topological structure, characterized by highly integrated modules connected sparsely by long range links. Recent studies showed that other topological properties such as the degree distribution and the presence (or absence of a hierarchical structure are not robust, and show different intriguing behaviors. In order to understand the basic ingredients necessary for the emergence of these complex network structures we present an adaptive complex network model for human brain functional networks. The microscopic units of the model are dynamical nodes that represent active regions of the brain, whose interaction gives rise to complex network structures. The links between the nodes are chosen following an adaptive algorithm that establishes connections between dynamical elements with similar internal states. We show that the model is able to describe topological characteristics of human brain networks obtained from functional magnetic resonance imaging studies. In particular, when the dynamical rules of the model allow for integrated processing over the entire network scale-free non-hierarchical networks with well defined communities emerge. On the other hand, when the dynamical rules restrict the information to a local neighborhood, communities cluster together into larger ones, giving rise to a hierarchical structure, with a truncated power law degree distribution.
Sequential Short-Text Classification with Recurrent and Convolutional Neural Networks
Lee, Ji Young; Dernoncourt, Franck
2016-01-01
Recent approaches based on artificial neural networks (ANNs) have shown promising results for short-text classification. However, many short texts occur in sequences (e.g., sentences in a document or utterances in a dialog), and most existing ANN-based systems do not leverage the preceding short texts when classifying a subsequent one. In this work, we present a model based on recurrent neural networks and convolutional neural networks that incorporates the preceding short texts. Our model ac...
Witek-Krowiak, Anna; Chojnacka, Katarzyna; Podstawczyk, Daria; Dawiec, Anna; Pokomeda, Karol
2014-05-01
A review on the application of response surface methodology (RSM) and artificial neural networks (ANN) in biosorption modelling and optimization is presented. The theoretical background of the discussed methods with the application procedure is explained. The paper describes most frequently used experimental designs, concerning their limitations and typical applications. The paper also presents ways to determine the accuracy and the significance of model fitting for both methodologies described herein. Furthermore, recent references on biosorption modelling and optimization with the use of RSM and the ANN approach are shown. Special attention was paid to the selection of factors and responses, as well as to statistical analysis of the modelling results. Copyright © 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
A. R. Moghadassi
2009-03-01
Full Text Available Equations of state are useful for description of fluid properties such as pressure-volume-temperature (PVT. However, the success estimation of such correlations depends mainly on the range of data which have originated. Therefore new models are highly required. In this work a new method is proposed based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN for estimation of PVT properties of compounds. The data sets were collected from Perry's Chemical Engineers' Handbook. Different training schemes for the back-propagation learning algorithm, such as; Scaled Conjugate Gradient (SCG, Levenberg-Marquardt (LM and Resilient back Propagation (RP methods were used. The accuracy and trend stability of the trained networks were tested against unseen data. The LM algorithm with sixty neurons in the hidden layer has proved to be the best suitable algorithm with the minimum Mean Square Error (MSE of 0.000606. The ANN's capability to estimate the PVT properties is one of the best estimating method with high performance.
Modeling gene regulatory networks: A network simplification algorithm
Ferreira, Luiz Henrique O.; de Castro, Maria Clicia S.; da Silva, Fabricio A. B.
2016-12-01
Boolean networks have been used for some time to model Gene Regulatory Networks (GRNs), which describe cell functions. Those models can help biologists to make predictions, prognosis and even specialized treatment when some disturb on the GRN lead to a sick condition. However, the amount of information related to a GRN can be huge, making the task of inferring its boolean network representation quite a challenge. The method shown here takes into account information about the interactome to build a network, where each node represents a protein, and uses the entropy of each node as a key to reduce the size of the network, allowing the further inferring process to focus only on the main protein hubs, the ones with most potential to interfere in overall network behavior.
Ceylan, Halil; Gopalakrishnan, Kasthurirangan; Birkan Bayrak, Mustafa; Guclu, Alper
2013-09-01
The need to rapidly and cost-effectively evaluate the present condition of pavement infrastructure is a critical issue concerning the deterioration of ageing transportation infrastructure all around the world. Nondestructive testing (NDT) and evaluation methods are well-suited for characterising materials and determining structural integrity of pavement systems. The falling weight deflectometer (FWD) is a NDT equipment used to assess the structural condition of highway and airfield pavement systems and to determine the moduli of pavement layers. This involves static or dynamic inverse analysis (referred to as backcalculation) of FWD deflection profiles in the pavement surface under a simulated truck load. The main objective of this study was to employ biologically inspired computational systems to develop robust pavement layer moduli backcalculation algorithms that can tolerate noise or inaccuracies in the FWD deflection data collected in the field. Artificial neural systems, also known as artificial neural networks (ANNs), are valuable computational intelligence tools that are increasingly being used to solve resource-intensive complex engineering problems. Unlike the linear elastic layered theory commonly used in pavement layer backcalculation, non-linear unbound aggregate base and subgrade soil response models were used in an axisymmetric finite element structural analysis programme to generate synthetic database for training and testing the ANN models. In order to develop more robust networks that can tolerate the noisy or inaccurate pavement deflection patterns in the NDT data, several network architectures were trained with varying levels of noise in them. The trained ANN models were capable of rapidly predicting the pavement layer moduli and critical pavement responses (tensile strains at the bottom of the asphalt concrete layer, compressive strains on top of the subgrade layer and the deviator stresses on top of the subgrade layer), and also pavement
The model of social crypto-network
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Марк Миколайович Орел
2015-06-01
Full Text Available The article presents the theoretical model of social network with the enhanced mechanism of privacy policy. It covers the problems arising in the process of implementing the mentioned type of network. There are presented the methods of solving problems arising in the process of building the social network with privacy policy. It was built a theoretical model of social networks with enhanced information protection methods based on information and communication blocks
Entropy Characterization of Random Network Models
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Pedro J. Zufiria
2017-06-01
Full Text Available This paper elaborates on the Random Network Model (RNM as a mathematical framework for modelling and analyzing the generation of complex networks. Such framework allows the analysis of the relationship between several network characterizing features (link density, clustering coefficient, degree distribution, connectivity, etc. and entropy-based complexity measures, providing new insight on the generation and characterization of random networks. Some theoretical and computational results illustrate the utility of the proposed framework.
The model of social crypto-network
Марк Миколайович Орел
2015-01-01
The article presents the theoretical model of social network with the enhanced mechanism of privacy policy. It covers the problems arising in the process of implementing the mentioned type of network. There are presented the methods of solving problems arising in the process of building the social network with privacy policy. It was built a theoretical model of social networks with enhanced information protection methods based on information and communication blocks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Dubitzky Werner
2010-09-01
Full Text Available Abstract Background A gene-regulatory network (GRN refers to DNA segments that interact through their RNA and protein products and thereby govern the rates at which genes are transcribed. Creating accurate dynamic models of GRNs is gaining importance in biomedical research and development. To improve our understanding of continuous deterministic modeling methods employed to construct dynamic GRN models, we have carried out a comprehensive comparative study of three commonly used systems of ordinary differential equations: The S-system (SS, artificial neural networks (ANNs, and the general rate law of transcription (GRLOT method. These were thoroughly evaluated in terms of their ability to replicate the reference models' regulatory structure and dynamic gene expression behavior under varying conditions. Results While the ANN and GRLOT methods appeared to produce robust models even when the model parameters deviated considerably from those of the reference models, SS-based models exhibited a notable loss of performance even when the parameters of the reverse-engineered models corresponded closely to those of the reference models: this is due to the high number of power terms in the SS-method, and the manner in which they are combined. In cross-method reverse-engineering experiments the different characteristics, biases and idiosynchracies of the methods were revealed. Based on limited training data, with only one experimental condition, all methods produced dynamic models that were able to reproduce the training data accurately. However, an accurate reproduction of regulatory network features was only possible with training data originating from multiple experiments under varying conditions. Conclusions The studied GRN modeling methods produced dynamic GRN models exhibiting marked differences in their ability to replicate the reference models' structure and behavior. Our results suggest that care should be taking when a method is chosen for a
Modeling Diagnostic Assessments with Bayesian Networks
Almond, Russell G.; DiBello, Louis V.; Moulder, Brad; Zapata-Rivera, Juan-Diego
2007-01-01
This paper defines Bayesian network models and examines their applications to IRT-based cognitive diagnostic modeling. These models are especially suited to building inference engines designed to be synchronous with the finer grained student models that arise in skills diagnostic assessment. Aspects of the theory and use of Bayesian network models…
Bayesian Network Webserver: a comprehensive tool for biological network modeling.
Ziebarth, Jesse D; Bhattacharya, Anindya; Cui, Yan
2013-11-01
The Bayesian Network Webserver (BNW) is a platform for comprehensive network modeling of systems genetics and other biological datasets. It allows users to quickly and seamlessly upload a dataset, learn the structure of the network model that best explains the data and use the model to understand relationships between network variables. Many datasets, including those used to create genetic network models, contain both discrete (e.g. genotype) and continuous (e.g. gene expression traits) variables, and BNW allows for modeling hybrid datasets. Users of BNW can incorporate prior knowledge during structure learning through an easy-to-use structural constraint interface. After structure learning, users are immediately presented with an interactive network model, which can be used to make testable hypotheses about network relationships. BNW, including a downloadable structure learning package, is available at http://compbio.uthsc.edu/BNW. (The BNW interface for adding structural constraints uses HTML5 features that are not supported by current version of Internet Explorer. We suggest using other browsers (e.g. Google Chrome or Mozilla Firefox) when accessing BNW). ycui2@uthsc.edu. Supplementary data are available at Bioinformatics online.
Pradhan, B.; Buchroithner, M. F.; Mansor, S.
2009-04-01
This paper presents the assessment results of spatially based probabilistic three models using Geoinformation Techniques (GIT) for landslide susceptibility analysis at Penang Island in Malaysia. Landslide locations within the study areas were identified by interpreting aerial photographs, satellite images and supported with field surveys. Maps of the topography, soil type, lineaments and land cover were constructed from the spatial data sets. There are nine landslide related factors were extracted from the spatial database and the neural network, frequency ratio and logistic regression coefficients of each factor was computed. Landslide susceptibility maps were drawn for study area using neural network, frequency ratios and logistic regression models. For verification, the results of the analyses were compared with actual landslide locations in study area. The verification results show that frequency ratio model provides higher prediction accuracy than the ANN and regression models.
Nox: Anne Carson's Scrapbook Elegy
Palleau-Papin, Françoise
2014-01-01
In the narrative Nox, Anne Carson composes an elegy for her deceased brother, as much as an elegy to the reproduction of the work of art, from the wax tablet to the digital age, by way of the stencil reproduction, to sustain a reflection on our times. She thus invites her readers to a creative reading, that encompasses loss and death.; Dans son récit Nox, Anne Carson compose une élégie à son frère disparu autant qu'une élégie à l'histoire de la reproduction de l'œuvre d'art, depuis la tablett...
Artificial neural networks and decision tree model analysis of liver cancer proteomes.
Luk, John M; Lam, Brian Y; Lee, Nikki P Y; Ho, David W; Sham, Pak C; Chen, Lei; Peng, Jirun; Leng, Xisheng; Day, Philip J; Fan, Sheung-Tat
2007-09-14
Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a heterogeneous cancer and usually diagnosed at late advanced tumor stages of high lethality. The present study attempted to obtain a proteome-wide analysis of HCC in comparison with adjacent non-tumor liver tissues, in order to facilitate biomarkers' discovery and to investigate the mechanisms of HCC development. A cohort of 66 Chinese patients with HCC was included for proteomic profiling study by two-dimensional gel electrophoresis (2-DE) analysis. Artificial neural network (ANN) and decision tree (CART) data-mining methods were employed to analyze the profiling data and to delineate significant patterns and trends for discriminating HCC from non-malignant liver tissues. Protein markers were identified by tandem MS/MS. A total of 132 proteome datasets were generated by 2-DE expression profiling analysis, and each with 230 consolidated protein expression intensities. Both the data-mining algorithms successfully distinguished the HCC phenotype from other non-malignant liver samples. The detection sensitivity and specificity of ANN were 96.97% and 87.88%, while those of CART were 81.82% and 78.79%, respectively. The three biological classifiers in the CART model were identified as cytochrome b5, heat shock 70 kDa protein 8 isoform 2, and cathepsin B. The 2-DE-based proteomic profiling approach combined with the ANN or CART algorithm yielded satisfactory performance on identifying HCC and revealed potential candidate cancer biomarkers.
Plumb, A Philip; Rowe, Raymond C; York, Peter; Doherty, Christopher
2002-09-01
The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of experimental design strategy on the modeling of a film coating formulation by artificial neural networks (ANNs). Box-Behnken, central composite and pseudo-random designs of 102, 90 and 100 simulated records, respectively were used to train a multilayer perceptron (MLP) ANN comprising six input and two output nodes separated by a single hidden layer of five nodes. Network over-training was limited by using a test set of 40 pseudo-randomly distributed records. The models were validated using a set of 60 pseudo-randomly distributed records. Crack velocity was highly curved with respect to pigment particle size and size distribution. Similarly, film opacity was highly curved in response to pigment concentration and film thickness. The Box-Behnken and central composite designs generated models that were unable to predict crack velocity and showed extensive bias in prediction of film opacity. The pseudo-random design was unable to predict crack velocity of the test data set but yielded acceptable predictions for the validation set. Film opacity was well predicted by the pseudo-random design model. The poor predictive ability of the Box-Behnken and central composite models was attributed to poor interpolation of the high curvature of the response surfaces. In contrast, the pseudo-random design mapped the interior of the design space allowing improved interpolation and predictive ability. It is concluded that Box-Behnken and central composite experimental designs are inappropriate for ANN modeling of highly curved responses and that extensive internal mapping of the design space is essential to generate predictive ANN models.
Duardo-Sánchez, Aliuska; Munteanu, Cristian R; Riera-Fernández, Pablo; López-Díaz, Antonio; Pazos, Alejandro; González-Díaz, Humberto
2014-01-27
(k)(i) values were used as inputs for different ANNs in order to discriminate correct node connectivity patterns from incorrect random patterns. The MIANN models obtained present good values of Sensitivity/Specificity (%): MRNs (78/78), IWDBNs (90/88), and SFLN (86/84). These preliminary results are very promising from the point of view of a first exploratory study and suggest that the use of these models could be extended to the high-throughput re-evaluation of connectivity in known complex networks (collation).
Modeling of the height control system using artificial neural networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
A. R Tahavvor
2016-09-01
Full Text Available Introduction Automation of agricultural and machinery construction has generally been enhanced by intelligent control systems due to utility and efficiency rising, ease of use, profitability and upgrading according to market demand. A broad variety of industrial merchandise are now supplied with computerized control systems of earth moving processes to be performed by construction and agriculture field vehicle such as grader, backhoe, tractor and scraper machines. A height control machine which is used in measuring base thickness is consisted of two mechanical and electronic parts. The mechanical part is consisted of conveyor belt, main body, electrical engine and invertors while the electronic part is consisted of ultrasonic, wave transmitter and receiver sensor, electronic board, control set, and microcontroller. The main job of these controlling devices consists of the topographic surveying, cutting and filling of elevated and spotted low area, and these actions fundamentally dependent onthe machine's ability in elevation and thickness measurement and control. In this study, machine was first tested and then some experiments were conducted for data collection. Study of system modeling in artificial neural networks (ANN was done for measuring, controlling the height for bases by input variable input vectors such as sampling time, probe speed, conveyer speed, sound wave speed and speed sensor are finally the maximum and minimum probe output vector on various conditions. The result reveals the capability of this procedure for experimental recognition of sensors' behavior and improvement of field machine control systems. Inspection, calibration and response, diagnosis of the elevation control system in combination with machine function can also be evaluated by some extra development of this system. Materials and Methods Designing and manufacture of the planned apparatus classified in three dissimilar, mechanical and electronic module, courses of
Appraisal of ANN and ANFIS for Predicting Vertical Total Electron ...
African Journals Online (AJOL)
The propagation of the GPS signals are interfered by free electrons which are the massive particles in the ionosphere region and results in delays in the ... Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) algorithms have been developed for the prediction of VTEC in the ionosphere.
QSAR modelling of integrin antagonists using enhanced Bayesian regularised genetic neural networks.
Jalali-Heravi, M; Mani-Varnosfaderani, A
2011-06-01
Bayesian regularised genetic neural network (BRGNN) has been used for modelling the inhibition activity of 141 biphenylalanine derivatives as integrin antagonists. Three local pattern search (PS) methods, simulated annealing and threshold acceptance were combined with BRGNN in the form of a hybrid genetic algorithm (HGA). The results obtained revealed that PS is a suitable method for improving the ability of BRGNN to break out from the local minima. The proposed HGA technique is able to retrieve important variables from complex systems and nonlinear search spaces for optimisation. Two models with 8-3-1 artificial neural network (ANN) architectures were developed for describing α₄β₇ and α₄β₁ modulatory activities of integrin antagonists. Monte Carlo cross-validation was performed to validate the models and Q₂ values of 0.75 and 0.74 were obtained for α₄β₇ and α₄β₁ inhibitory activities, respectively. The scrambling technique was used for sensitivity analysis of descriptors appearing in ANN models. Frequencies of repetition and sensitivity analysis of molecular descriptors revealed that 3D-Morse descriptors are influential factors for describing α₄β₇ inhibitory activity, while in the case of α₄β₁ inhibitory activity, the Randic shape index, the lowest eigenvalue of the Burden matrix and the number of rotatable bonds are important parameters.
Artificial neural network model of pork meat cubes osmotic dehydratation
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Pezo Lato L.
2013-01-01
Full Text Available Mass transfer of pork meat cubes (M. triceps brachii, shaped as 1x1x1 cm, during osmotic dehydration (OD and under atmospheric pressure was investigated in this paper. The effects of different parameters, such as concentration of sugar beet molasses (60-80%, w/w, temperature (20-50ºC, and immersion time (1-5 h in terms of water loss (WL, solid gain (SG, final dry matter content (DM, and water activity (aw, were investigated using experimental results. Five artificial neural network (ANN models were developed for the prediction of WL, SG, DM, and aw in OD of pork meat cubes. These models were able to predict process outputs with coefficient of determination, r2, of 0.990 for SG, 0.985 for WL, 0.986 for aw, and 0.992 for DM compared to experimental measurements. The wide range of processing variables considered for the formulation of these models, and their easy implementation in a spreadsheet calculus make it very useful and practical for process design and control.
Object Oriented Modeling Of Social Networks
Zeggelink, Evelien P.H.; Oosten, Reinier van; Stokman, Frans N.
1996-01-01
The aim of this paper is to explain principles of object oriented modeling in the scope of modeling dynamic social networks. As such, the approach of object oriented modeling is advocated within the field of organizational research that focuses on networks. We provide a brief introduction into the
Bayesian estimation of the network autocorrelation model
Dittrich, D.; Leenders, R.T.A.J.; Mulder, J.
2017-01-01
The network autocorrelation model has been extensively used by researchers interested modeling social influence effects in social networks. The most common inferential method in the model is classical maximum likelihood estimation. This approach, however, has known problems such as negative bias of
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Kovačević Strahinja Z.
2013-01-01
Full Text Available In the present paper, the antifungal activity of a series of benzoxazole and oxazolo[ 4,5-b]pyridine derivatives was evaluated against Candida albicans by using quantitative structure-activity relationships chemometric methodology with artificial neural network (ANN regression approach. In vitro antifungal activity of the tested compounds was presented by minimum inhibitory concentration expressed as log(1/cMIC. In silico pharmacokinetic parameters related to absorption, distribution, metabolism and excretion (ADME were calculated for all studied compounds by using PreADMET software. A feedforward back-propagation ANN with gradient descent learning algorithm was applied for modelling of the relationship between ADME descriptors (blood-brain barrier penetration, plasma protein binding, Madin-Darby cell permeability and Caco-2 cell permeability and experimental log(1/cMIC values. A 4-6-1 ANN was developed with the optimum momentum and learning rates of 0.3 and 0.05, respectively. An excellent correlation between experimental antifungal activity and values predicted by the ANN was obtained with a correlation coefficient of 0.9536. [Projekat Ministarstva nauke Republike Srbije, br. 172012 i br. 172014
Agent-based modeling and network dynamics
Namatame, Akira
2016-01-01
The book integrates agent-based modeling and network science. It is divided into three parts, namely, foundations, primary dynamics on and of social networks, and applications. The book begins with the network origin of agent-based models, known as cellular automata, and introduce a number of classic models, such as Schelling’s segregation model and Axelrod’s spatial game. The essence of the foundation part is the network-based agent-based models in which agents follow network-based decision rules. Under the influence of the substantial progress in network science in late 1990s, these models have been extended from using lattices into using small-world networks, scale-free networks, etc. The book also shows that the modern network science mainly driven by game-theorists and sociophysicists has inspired agent-based social scientists to develop alternative formation algorithms, known as agent-based social networks. The book reviews a number of pioneering and representative models in this family. Upon the gi...
Egg hatchability prediction by multiple linear regression and artificial neural networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
AC Bolzan
2008-06-01
Full Text Available An artificial neural network (ANN was compared with a multiple linear regression statistical method to predict hatchability in an artificial incubation process. A feedforward neural network architecture was applied. Network trainings were made by the backpropagation algorithm based on data obtained from industrial incubations. The ANN model was chosen as it produced data that fit better the experimental data as compared to the multiple linear regression model, which used coefficients determined by minimum square method. The proposed simulation results of these approaches indicate that this ANN can be used for incubation performance prediction.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Dawei Han
2012-02-01
Full Text Available The application of ANNs (Artifi cial Neural Networks has been studied by many researchers in modelling rainfall runoff processes. However, the work so far has been focused on the rainfall data from traditional raingauges. Weather radar is a modern technology which could provide high resolution rainfall in time and space. In this study, a comparison in rainfall runoff modelling between the raingauge and weather radar has been carried out. The data were collected from Brue catchment in Southwest of England, with 49 raingauges covering 136 km2 and two C-band weather radars. This raingauge network is extremely dense (for research purposes and does not represent the usual raingauge density in operational flood forecasting systems. The ANN models were set up with both lumped and spatial rainfall input. The results showed that raingauge data outperformed radar data in all the events tested, regardless of the lumped and spatial input. La aplicación de Redes Neuronales Artificiales (RNA en el modelado de lluvia-flujo ha sido estudiada ampliamente. Sin embargo, hasta ahora se han utilizado datos provenientes de pluviómetros tradicionales. Los radares meteorológicos son una tecnología moderna que puede proveer datos de lluvia de alta resolución en tiempo y espacio. Este es un trabajo de comparación en el modelado lluvia-flujo entre pluviómetros y radares meteorológicos. Los datos provienen de la cuenca del río Brue en el suroeste de Inglaterra, con 49 pluviómetros cubriendo 136 km2 y dos radares meteorológicos en la banda C. Esta red de pluviómetros es extremadamente densa (para investigación y no representa la densidad usual en sistemas de predicción de inundaciones. Los modelos de RNA fueron implementados con datos de entrada de lluvia tanto espaciados como no distribuidos. Los resultados muestran que los datos de los pluviómetros fueron mejores que los datos de los radares en todos los eventos probados.
Artificial neural networks predict survival from pancreatic cancer after radical surgery.
Ansari, Daniel; Nilsson, Johan; Andersson, Roland; Regnér, Sara; Tingstedt, Bobby; Andersson, Bodil
2013-01-01
Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are nonlinear pattern recognition techniques that can be used as a tool in medical decision making. The objective of this study was to develop an ANN model for predicting survival in patients with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). A flexible nonlinear survival model based on ANNs was designed by using clinical and histopathological data from 84 patients who underwent resection for PDAC. Seven of 33 potential risk variables were selected to construct the ANN, including lymph node metastasis, differentiation, body mass index, age, resection margin status, peritumoral inflammation, and American Society of Anesthesiologists grade. Three variables (ie, lymph node metastasis, leukocyte count, and tumor location) were significant according to Cox regression analysis. Harrell's concordance index for the ANN model was .79, and for Cox regression it was .67. For the first time, ANNs have been used to successfully predict individual long-term survival for patients after radical surgery for PDAC. Copyright © 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
Modeling data throughput on communication networks
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Eldridge, J.M.
1993-11-01
New challenges in high performance computing and communications are driving the need for fast, geographically distributed networks. Applications such as modeling physical phenomena, interactive visualization, large data set transfers, and distributed supercomputing require high performance networking [St89][Ra92][Ca92]. One measure of a communication network`s performance is the time it takes to complete a task -- such as transferring a data file or displaying a graphics image on a remote monitor. Throughput, defined as the ratio of the number of useful data bits transmitted per the time required to transmit those bits, is a useful gauge of how well a communication system meets this performance measure. This paper develops and describes an analytical model of throughput. The model is a tool network designers can use to predict network throughput. It also provides insight into those parts of the network that act as a performance bottleneck.
Yu, Lei; Kang, Jian
2009-09-01
This research aims to explore the feasibility of using computer-based models to predict the soundscape quality evaluation of potential users in urban open spaces at the design stage. With the data from large scale field surveys in 19 urban open spaces across Europe and China, the importance of various physical, behavioral, social, demographical, and psychological factors for the soundscape evaluation has been statistically analyzed. Artificial neural network (ANN) models have then been explored at three levels. It has been shown that for both subjective sound level and acoustic comfort evaluation, a general model for all the case study sites is less feasible due to the complex physical and social environments in urban open spaces; models based on individual case study sites perform well but the application range is limited; and specific models for certain types of location/function would be reliable and practical. The performance of acoustic comfort models is considerably better than that of sound level models. Based on the ANN models, soundscape quality maps can be produced and this has been demonstrated with an example.
The purpose of this study was to develop a method of classifying cancers to specific diagnostic categories based on their gene expression signatures using artificial neural networks (ANNs). We trained the ANNs using the small, round blue-cell tumors (SRBCTs) as a model. These cancers belong to four distinct diagnostic categories and often present diagnostic dilemmas in clinical practice. The ANNs correctly classified all samples and identified the genes most relevant to the classification.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Bangzhu Zhu
2012-02-01
Full Text Available Due to the movement and complexity of the carbon market, traditional monoscale forecasting approaches often fail to capture its nonstationary and nonlinear properties and accurately describe its moving tendencies. In this study, a multiscale ensemble forecasting model integrating empirical mode decomposition (EMD, genetic algorithm (GA and artificial neural network (ANN is proposed to forecast carbon price. Firstly, the proposed model uses EMD to decompose carbon price data into several intrinsic mode functions (IMFs and one residue. Then, the IMFs and residue are composed into a high frequency component, a low frequency component and a trend component which have similar frequency characteristics, simple components and strong regularity using the fine-to-coarse reconstruction algorithm. Finally, those three components are predicted using an ANN trained by GA, i.e., a GAANN model, and the final forecasting results can be obtained by the sum of these three forecasting results. For verification and testing, two main carbon future prices with different maturity in the European Climate Exchange (ECX are used to test the effectiveness of the proposed multiscale ensemble forecasting model. Empirical results obtained demonstrate that the proposed multiscale ensemble forecasting model can outperform the single random walk (RW, ARIMA, ANN and GAANN models without EMD preprocessing and the ensemble ARIMA model with EMD preprocessing.
Performance measurement of plate fin heat exchanger by exploration: ANN, ANFIS, GA, and SA
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
A.K. Gupta
2017-01-01
Full Text Available An experimental work is conducted on counter flow plate fin compact heat exchanger using offset strip fin under different mass flow rates. The training, testing, and validation set of data has been collected by conducting experiments. Next, artificial neural network merged with Genetic Algorithm (GA utilized to measure the performance of plate-fin compact heat exchanger. The main aim of present research is to measure the performance of plate-fin compact heat exchanger and to provide full explanations. An artificial neural network predicted simulated data, which verified with experimental data under 10–20% error. Then, the authors examined two well-known global search techniques, simulated annealing and the genetic algorithm. The proposed genetic algorithm and Simulated Annealing (SA results have been summarized. The parameters are impartially important for good results. With the emergence of a new data-driven modeling technique, Neuro-fuzzy based systems are established in academic and practical applications. The neuro-fuzzy interference system (ANFIS has also been examined to undertake the problem related to plate-fin heat exchanger performance measurement under various parameters. Moreover, Parallel with ANFIS model and Artificial Neural Network (ANN model has been created with emphasizing the accuracy of the different techniques. A wide range of statistical indicators used to assess the performance of the models. Based on the comparison, it was revealed that technical ANFIS improve the accuracy of estimates in the small pool and tropical ANN.
Ngadisih, Bhandary, Netra P.; Yatabe, Ryuichi; Dahal, Ranjan K.
2016-05-01
West Java Province is the most landslide risky area in Indonesia owing to extreme geo-morphological conditions, climatic conditions and densely populated settlements with immense completed and ongoing development activities. So, a landslide susceptibility map at regional scale in this province is a fundamental tool for risk management and land-use planning. Logistic regression and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) models are the most frequently used tools for landslide susceptibility assessment, mainly because they are capable of handling the nature of landslide data. The main objective of this study is to apply logistic regression and ANN models and compare their performance for landslide susceptibility mapping in volcanic mountains of West Java Province. In addition, the model application is proposed to identify the most contributing factors to landslide events in the study area. The spatial database built in GIS platform consists of landslide inventory, four topographical parameters (slope, aspect, relief, distance to river), three geological parameters (distance to volcano crater, distance to thrust and fault, geological formation), and two anthropogenic parameters (distance to road, land use). The logistic regression model in this study revealed that slope, geological formations, distance to road and distance to volcano are the most influential factors of landslide events while, the ANN model revealed that distance to volcano crater, geological formation, distance to road, and land-use are the most important causal factors of landslides in the study area. Moreover, an evaluation of the model showed that the ANN model has a higher accuracy than the logistic regression model.
Tomatis, S.; Rancati, T.; Fiorino, C.; Vavassori, V.; Fellin, G.; Cagna, E.; Mauro, F. A.; Girelli, G.; Monti, A.; Baccolini, M.; Naldi, G.; Bianchi, C.; Menegotti, L.; Pasquino, M.; Stasi, M.; Valdagni, R.
2012-03-01
The aim of this study was to develop a model exploiting artificial neural networks (ANNs) to correlate dosimetric and clinical variables with late rectal bleeding in prostate cancer patients undergoing radical radiotherapy and to compare the ANN results with those of a standard logistic regression (LR) analysis. 718 men included in the AIROPROS 0102 trial were analyzed. This multicenter protocol was characterized by the prospective evaluation of rectal toxicity, with a minimum follow-up of 36 months. Radiotherapy doses were between 70 and 80 Gy. Information was recorded for comorbidity, previous abdominal surgery, use of drugs and hormonal therapy. For each patient, a rectal dose-volume histogram (DVH) of the whole treatment was recorded and the equivalent uniform dose (EUD) evaluated as an effective descriptor of the whole DVH. Late rectal bleeding of grade ≥ 2 was considered to define positive events in this study (52 of 718 patients). The overall population was split into training and verification sets, both of which were involved in model instruction, and a test set, used to evaluate the predictive power of the model with independent data. Fourfold cross-validation was also used to provide realistic results for the full dataset. The LR was performed on the same data. Five variables were selected to predict late rectal bleeding: EUD, abdominal surgery, presence of hemorrhoids, use of anticoagulants and androgen deprivation. Following a receiver operating characteristic analysis of the independent test set, the areas under the curves (AUCs) were 0.704 and 0.655 for ANN and LR, respectively. When evaluated with cross-validation, the AUC was 0.714 for ANN and 0.636 for LR, which differed at a significance level of p = 0.03. When a practical discrimination threshold was selected, ANN could classify data with sensitivity and specificity both equal to 68.0%, whereas these values were 61.5% for LR. These data provide reasonable evidence that results obtained with
Neural network modelling of rainfall interception in four different forest stands
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ibrahim Yurtseven
2013-12-01
Full Text Available The objective of this study is to reveal whether it is possible to predict rainfall, throughfall and stemflow in forest ecosystems with less effort, using several measurements of rainfall interception (hereafter interception and an artificial neural network based linear regression model (ANN model. To this end, the Kerpe Research Forest in the province of Kocaeli, which houses stands of mixed deciduous-broadleaf forest (Castanea sativa Mill., Fagus orientalis Lipsky, Quercus spp., black pine (Pinus nigra Arnold, maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Aiton and Monterey pine (Pinus radiata D. Don, was selected study site. Four different forest stands were observed for a period of two years, during which rainfall, throughfall and stemflow measurements were conducted. These measurements were separately calculated for each individual stand, based on interception values and the use of stemflow data in strict accordance with the rainfall data, and the measured throughfall interception values were compared with values estimated by the ANN model. In this comparison, 70% of the total data was used for testing, and 30% was used for estimation and performance evaluation. No significant differences were found between values predicted with the help of the model and the measured values. In other words, interception values predicted by the ANN models were parallel with the measured values. In this study, the most success was achieved with the models of the Monterey pine stand (r2 = 0.9968; Mean Squared Error MSE = 0.16 and the mixed deciduous forest stand (r2 = 0.9964; MSE = 0.08, followed by models of the maritime pine stand (r2 = 0.9405; MSE = 1.27 and the black pine stand (r2 = 0.843, MSE = 17.36.
Neural network modelling of rainfall interception in four different forest stands
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
İbrahim Yurtseven
2013-11-01
Full Text Available The objective of this study is to reveal whether it is possible to predict rainfall, through fall and stem flow in forest ecosystems with less effort, using several measurements of rainfall interception (hereafter ‘interception’ and an artificial neural network based linear regression model (ANN model. To this end, the Kerpe Research Forest in the province of Kocaeli, which houses stands of mixed deciduous-broadleaf forest (Castanea sativa Mill., Fagusorientalis Lipsky, Quercus spp., black pine (Pinus nigra Arnold, maritime pine (Pinus pinaster Aiton and Monterey pine (Pinus radiata D. Don, was selected study site. Four different forest stands were observed for a period of two years, during which rainfall, throughfall and stemflow measurements were conducted. These measurements were separately calculated for each individual stand, based on interception values and the use of stemflow data in strict accordance with the rainfall data, and the measured throughfall interceptionvalues were compared with values estimated by the ANN model.In this comparison, 70% of the total data was used for testing, and 30% was used for estimation and performance evaluation. No significant differences were found between values predicted with the help of the model and the measured values. In other words, interception values predicted by the ANN models were parallel with the measured values. In this study, the most success was achieved with the models of the Monterey pine stand (r2 = 0.9968; Mean Squared Error MSE = 0.16 and the mixed deciduous forest stand (r2 = 0.9964; MSE = 0.08, followed by models of the maritime pine stand (r2 = 0.9405; MSE = 1.27 and the black pine stand (r2 = 0.843, MSE = 17.36.
Maleki, Afshin; Daraei, Hiua; Alaei, Loghman; Faraji, Aram
2014-01-01
Four stepwise multiple linear regressions (SMLR) and a genetic algorithm (GA) based multiple linear regressions (MLR), together with artificial neural network (ANN) models, were applied for quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) modeling of dissociation constants (Kd) of 62 arylsulfonamide (ArSA) derivatives as human carbonic anhydrase II (HCA II) inhibitors. The best subsets of molecular descriptors were selected by SMLR and GA-MLR methods. These selected variables were used to generate MLR and ANN models. The predictability power of models was examined by an external test set and cross validation. In addition, some tests were done to examine other aspects of the models. The results show that for certain purposes GA-MLR is better than SMLR and for others, ANN overcomes MLR models.
Hapugoda, J. C.; Sooriyarachchi, M. R.
2017-09-01
Survival time of patients with a disease and the incidence of that particular disease (count) is frequently observed in medical studies with the data of a clustered nature. In many cases, though, the survival times and the count can be correlated in a way that, diseases that occur rarely could have shorter survival times or vice versa. Due to this fact, joint modelling of these two variables will provide interesting and certainly improved results than modelling these separately. Authors have previously proposed a methodology using Generalized Linear Mixed Models (GLMM) by joining the Discrete Time Hazard model with the Poisson Regression model to jointly model survival and count model. As Aritificial Neural Network (ANN) has become a most powerful computational tool to model complex non-linear systems, it was proposed to develop a new joint model of survival and count of Dengue patients of Sri Lanka by using that approach. Thus, the objective of this study is to develop a model using ANN approach and compare the results with the previously developed GLMM model. As the response variables are continuous in nature, Generalized Regression Neural Network (GRNN) approach was adopted to model the data. To compare the model fit, measures such as root mean square error (RMSE), absolute mean error (AME) and correlation coefficient (R) were used. The measures indicate the GRNN model fits the data better than the GLMM model.
Selection in sugarcane families with artificial neural networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Bruno Portela Brasileiro
2015-04-01
Full Text Available The objective of this study was to evaluate Artificial Neural Networks (ANN applied in an selection process within sugarcane families. The best ANN model produced no mistake, but was able to classify all genotypes correctly, i.e., the network made the same selective choice as the breeder during the simulation individual best linear unbiased predictor (BLUPIS, demonstrating the ability of the ANN to learn from the inputs and outputs provided in the training and validation phases. Since the ANN-based selection facilitates the identification of the best plants and the development of a new selection strategy in the best families, to ensure that the best genotypes of the population are evaluated in the following stages of the breeding program, we recommend to rank families by BLUP, followed by selection of the best families and finally, select the seedlings by ANN, from information at the individual level in the best families.
Spatial Disaggregation of Areal Rainfall Using Two Different Artificial Neural Networks Models
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Sungwon Kim
2015-06-01
Full Text Available The objective of this study is to develop artificial neural network (ANN models, including multilayer perceptron (MLP and Kohonen self-organizing feature map (KSOFM, for spatial disaggregation of areal rainfall in the Wi-stream catchment, an International Hydrological Program (IHP representative catchment, in South Korea. A three-layer MLP model, using three training algorithms, was used to estimate areal rainfall. The Levenberg–Marquardt training algorithm was found to be more sensitive to the number of hidden nodes than were the conjugate gradient and quickprop training algorithms using the MLP model. Results showed that the networks structures of 11-5-1 (conjugate gradient and quickprop and 11-3-1 (Levenberg-Marquardt were the best for estimating areal rainfall using the MLP model. The networks structures of 1-5-11 (conjugate gradient and quickprop and 1-3-11 (Levenberg–Marquardt, which are the inverse networks for estimating areal rainfall using the best MLP model, were identified for spatial disaggregation of areal rainfall using the MLP model. The KSOFM model was compared with the MLP model for spatial disaggregation of areal rainfall. The MLP and KSOFM models could disaggregate areal rainfall into individual point rainfall with spatial concepts.
Võlli, Anne-Ly, 1976-
2009-01-01
MTÜ Jõgevamaa Omavalitsuste Aktiviseerimiskeskus kinnitas avaliku konkursi tulemusel juhatuse liikmeks Anne-Ly Võlli, kelle ülesandeks on keskuse tegevuse juhtimine ja koostöö arendamine partneromavalitsuste ja teiste koostööpartnerite vahel
LFC based adaptive PID controller using ANN and ANFIS techniques
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Mohamed I. Mosaad
2014-12-01
Full Text Available This paper presents an adaptive PID Load Frequency Control (LFC for power systems using Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN oriented by Genetic Algorithm (GA. PID controller parameters are tuned off-line by using GA to minimize integral error square over a wide-range of load variations. The values of PID controller parameters obtained from GA are used to train both ANFIS and ANN. Therefore, the two proposed techniques could, online, tune the PID controller parameters for optimal response at any other load point within the operating range. Testing of the developed techniques shows that the adaptive PID-LFC could preserve optimal performance over the whole loading range. Results signify superiority of ANFIS over ANN in terms of performance measures.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Armin Alipour
2014-01-01
Full Text Available Reference evapotranspiration (ETO is one of the major parameters affecting hydrological cycle. Use of satellite images can be very helpful to compensate for lack of reliable weather data. This study aimed to determine ETO using land surface temperature (LST data acquired from MODIS sensor. LST data were considered as inputs of two data-driven models including artificial neural network (ANN and M5 model tree to estimate ETO values and their results were compared with calculated ETO by FAO-Penman-Monteith (FAO-PM equation. Climatic data of five weather stations in Khuzestan province, which is located in the southeastern Iran, were employed in order to calculate ETO. LST data extracted from corresponding points of MODIS images were used in training of ANN and M5 model tree. Among study stations, three stations (Amirkabir, Farabi, and Gazali were selected for creating the models and two stations (Khazaei and Shoeybie for testing. In Khazaei station, the coefficient of determination (R2 values for comparison between calculated ETO by FAO-PM and estimated ETO by ANN and M5 tree model were 0.79 and 0.80, respectively. In a similar manner, R2 values for Shoeybie station were 0.86 and 0.85. In general, the results showed that both models can properly estimate ETO by means of LST data derived from MODIS sensor.
ANN-PSO Integrated Optimization Methodology for Intelligent Control of MMC Machining
Chandrasekaran, Muthumari; Tamang, Santosh
2017-08-01
Metal Matrix Composites (MMC) show improved properties in comparison with non-reinforced alloys and have found increased application in automotive and aerospace industries. The selection of optimum machining parameters to produce components of desired surface roughness is of great concern considering the quality and economy of manufacturing process. In this study, a surface roughness prediction model for turning Al-SiCp MMC is developed using Artificial Neural Network (ANN). Three turning parameters viz., spindle speed ( N), feed rate ( f) and depth of cut ( d) were considered as input neurons and surface roughness was an output neuron. ANN architecture having 3 -5 -1 is found to be optimum and the model predicts with an average percentage error of 7.72 %. Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) technique is used for optimizing parameters to minimize machining time. The innovative aspect of this work is the development of an integrated ANN-PSO optimization method for intelligent control of MMC machining process applicable to manufacturing industries. The robustness of the method shows its superiority for obtaining optimum cutting parameters satisfying desired surface roughness. The method has better convergent capability with minimum number of iterations.
Settings in Social Networks : a Measurement Model
Schweinberger, Michael; Snijders, Tom A.B.
2003-01-01
A class of statistical models is proposed that aims to recover latent settings structures in social networks. Settings may be regarded as clusters of vertices. The measurement model is based on two assumptions. (1) The observed network is generated by hierarchically nested latent transitive
Settings in social networks : A measurement model
Schweinberger, M; Snijders, TAB
2003-01-01
A class of statistical models is proposed that aims to recover latent settings structures in social networks. Settings may be regarded as clusters of vertices. The measurement model is based on two assumptions. (1) The observed network is generated by hierarchically nested latent transitive
Spinal Cord Injury Model System Information Network
... the UAB-SCIMS Contact the UAB-SCIMS UAB Spinal Cord Injury Model System Newly Injured Health Daily Living Consumer ... Information Network The University of Alabama at Birmingham Spinal Cord Injury Model System (UAB-SCIMS) maintains this Information Network ...
Radio Channel Modeling in Body Area Networks
An, L.; Bentum, Marinus Jan; Meijerink, Arjan; Scanlon, W.G.
2009-01-01
A body area network (BAN) is a network of bodyworn or implanted electronic devices, including wireless sensors which can monitor body parameters or to de- tect movements. One of the big challenges in BANs is the propagation channel modeling. Channel models can be used to understand wave propagation
Radio channel modeling in body area networks
An, L.; Bentum, Marinus Jan; Meijerink, Arjan; Scanlon, W.G.
2010-01-01
A body area network (BAN) is a network of bodyworn or implanted electronic devices, including wireless sensors which can monitor body parameters or to detect movements. One of the big challenges in BANs is the propagation channel modeling. Channel models can be used to understand wave propagation in
Network interconnections: an architectural reference model
Butscher, B.; Lenzini, L.; Morling, R.; Vissers, C.A.; Popescu-Zeletin, R.; van Sinderen, Marten J.; Heger, D.; Krueger, G.; Spaniol, O.; Zorn, W.
1985-01-01
One of the major problems in understanding the different approaches in interconnecting networks of different technologies is the lack of reference to a general model. The paper develops the rationales for a reference model of network interconnection and focuses on the architectural implications for
Performance modeling of network data services
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Haynes, R.A.; Pierson, L.G.
1997-01-01
Networks at major computational organizations are becoming increasingly complex. The introduction of large massively parallel computers and supercomputers with gigabyte memories are requiring greater and greater bandwidth for network data transfers to widely dispersed clients. For networks to provide adequate data transfer services to high performance computers and remote users connected to them, the networking components must be optimized from a combination of internal and external performance criteria. This paper describes research done at Sandia National Laboratories to model network data services and to visualize the flow of data from source to sink when using the data services.
Learning Bayesian Network Model Structure from Data
National Research Council Canada - National Science Library
Margaritis, Dimitris
2003-01-01
In this thesis I address the important problem of the determination of the structure of directed statistical models, with the widely used class of Bayesian network models as a concrete vehicle of my ideas...
NC truck network model development research.
2008-09-01
This research develops a validated prototype truck traffic network model for North Carolina. The model : includes all counties and metropolitan areas of North Carolina and major economic areas throughout the : U.S. Geographic boundaries, population a...
Network models in economics and finance
Pardalos, Panos; Rassias, Themistocles
2014-01-01
Using network models to investigate the interconnectivity in modern economic systems allows researchers to better understand and explain some economic phenomena. This volume presents contributions by known experts and active researchers in economic and financial network modeling. Readers are provided with an understanding of the latest advances in network analysis as applied to economics, finance, corporate governance, and investments. Moreover, recent advances in market network analysis that focus on influential techniques for market graph analysis are also examined. Young researchers will find this volume particularly useful in facilitating their introduction to this new and fascinating field. Professionals in economics, financial management, various technologies, and network analysis, will find the network models presented in this book beneficial in analyzing the interconnectivity in modern economic systems.
Modelling the structure of complex networks
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Herlau, Tue
networks has been independently studied as mathematical objects in their own right. As such, there has been both an increased demand for statistical methods for complex networks as well as a quickly growing mathematical literature on the subject. In this dissertation we explore aspects of modelling complex......A complex network is a systems in which a discrete set of units interact in a quantifiable manner. Representing systems as complex networks have become increasingly popular in a variety of scientific fields including biology, social sciences and economics. Parallel to this development complex....... The next chapters will treat some of the various symmetries, representer theorems and probabilistic structures often deployed in the modelling complex networks, the construction of sampling methods and various network models. The introductory chapters will serve to provide context for the included written...
A Network Formation Model Based on Subgraphs
Chandrasekhar, Arun
2016-01-01
We develop a new class of random-graph models for the statistical estimation of network formation that allow for substantial correlation in links. Various subgraphs (e.g., links, triangles, cliques, stars) are generated and their union results in a network. We provide estimation techniques for recovering the rates at which the underlying subgraphs were formed. We illustrate the models via a series of applications including testing for incentives to form cross-caste relationships in rural India, testing to see whether network structure is used to enforce risk-sharing, testing as to whether networks change in response to a community's exposure to microcredit, and show that these models significantly outperform stochastic block models in matching observed network characteristics. We also establish asymptotic properties of the models and various estimators, which requires proving a new Central Limit Theorem for correlated random variables.
Sanchez, P.; Hinojosa, J.; Ruiz, R.
2005-06-01
Recently, neuromodeling methods of microwave devices have been developed. These methods are suitable for the model generation of novel devices. They allow fast and accurate simulations and optimizations. However, the development of libraries makes these methods to be a formidable task, since they require massive input-output data provided by an electromagnetic simulator or measurements and repeated artificial neural network (ANN) training. This paper presents a strategy reducing the cost of library development with the advantages of the neuromodeling methods: high accuracy, large range of geometrical and material parameters and reduced CPU time. The library models are developed from a set of base prior knowledge input (PKI) models, which take into account the characteristics common to all the models in the library, and high-level ANNs which give the library model outputs from base PKI models. This technique is illustrated for a microwave multiconductor tunable phase shifter using anisotropic substrates. Closed-form relationships have been developed and are presented in this paper. The results show good agreement with the expected ones.
Annely Peebo kutsus presidendi kontserdile / Maria Ulfsak
Ulfsak, Maria, 1981-
2003-01-01
Laulja Anneli Peebo kohtus president Arnold Rüütliga, et anda üle kutse Andrea Bocelli ja Annely Peebo ühiskontserdile. Vt. samas: Andrea Bocelli ja Annely Peebo kontsert Tallinna lauluväljakul 23. augustil; Andrea Bocelli
Artificial Neural Network Model for Low Strength RC Beam Shear ...
African Journals Online (AJOL)
This research was to investigate how the shear strength prediction of low strength reinforced concrete beams will improve under an ANN model. An existing database of 310 reinforced concrete beams without web reinforcement was divided into three sets of training, validation and testing. A total of 224 different architectural ...
Gossip spread in social network Models
Johansson, Tobias
2017-04-01
Gossip almost inevitably arises in real social networks. In this article we investigate the relationship between the number of friends of a person and limits on how far gossip about that person can spread in the network. How far gossip travels in a network depends on two sets of factors: (a) factors determining gossip transmission from one person to the next and (b) factors determining network topology. For a simple model where gossip is spread among people who know the victim it is known that a standard scale-free network model produces a non-monotonic relationship between number of friends and expected relative spread of gossip, a pattern that is also observed in real networks (Lind et al., 2007). Here, we study gossip spread in two social network models (Toivonen et al., 2006; Vázquez, 2003) by exploring the parameter space of both models and fitting them to a real Facebook data set. Both models can produce the non-monotonic relationship of real networks more accurately than a standard scale-free model while also exhibiting more realistic variability in gossip spread. Of the two models, the one given in Vázquez (2003) best captures both the expected values and variability of gossip spread.
Synergistic effects in threshold models on networks
Juul, Jonas S.; Porter, Mason A.
2018-01-01
Network structure can have a significant impact on the propagation of diseases, memes, and information on social networks. Different types of spreading processes (and other dynamical processes) are affected by network architecture in different ways, and it is important to develop tractable models of spreading processes on networks to explore such issues. In this paper, we incorporate the idea of synergy into a two-state ("active" or "passive") threshold model of social influence on networks. Our model's update rule is deterministic, and the influence of each meme-carrying (i.e., active) neighbor can—depending on a parameter—either be enhanced or inhibited by an amount that depends on the number of active neighbors of a node. Such a synergistic system models social behavior in which the willingness to adopt either accelerates or saturates in a way that depends on the number of neighbors who have adopted that behavior. We illustrate that our model's synergy parameter has a crucial effect on system dynamics, as it determines whether degree-k nodes are possible or impossible to activate. We simulate synergistic meme spreading on both random-graph models and networks constructed from empirical data. Using a heterogeneous mean-field approximation, which we derive under the assumption that a network is locally tree-like, we are able to determine which synergy-parameter values allow degree-k nodes to be activated for many networks and for a broad family of synergistic models.
Digital Repository Service at National Institute of Oceanography (India)
Varkey, G.; Suresh, T.; Matondkar, S.G.P.; Desa, E.; Kamath, S.S.
total suspended matter values from water samples obtained at discrete depths at the same location. An artificial neural network (ANN) model has been used to derive suspended matter from the spectral values of beam attenuation coefficients measured using...
Optimized null model for protein structure networks.
Milenković, Tijana; Filippis, Ioannis; Lappe, Michael; Przulj, Natasa
2009-06-26
Much attention has recently been given to the statistical significance of topological features observed in biological networks. Here, we consider residue interaction graphs (RIGs) as network representations of protein structures with residues as nodes and inter-residue interactions as edges. Degree-preserving randomized models have been widely used for this purpose in biomolecular networks. However, such a single summary statistic of a network may not be detailed enough to capture the complex topological characteristics of protein structures and their network counterparts. Here, we investigate a variety of topological properties of RIGs to find a well fitting network null model for them. The RIGs are derived from a structurally diverse protein data set at various distance cut-offs and for different groups of interacting atoms. We compare the network structure of RIGs to several random graph models. We show that 3-dimensional geometric random graphs, that model spatial relationships between objects, provide the best fit to RIGs. We investigate the relationship between the strength of the fit and various protein structural features. We show that the fit depends on protein size, structural class, and thermostability, but not on quaternary structure. We apply our model to the identification of significantly over-represented structural building blocks, i.e., network motifs, in protein structure networks. As expected, choosing geometric graphs as a null model results in the most specific identification of motifs. Our geometric random graph model may facilitate further graph-based studies of protein conformation space and have important implications for protein structure comparison and prediction. The choice of a well-fitting null model is crucial for finding structural motifs that play an important role in protein folding, stability and function. To our knowledge, this is the first study that addresses the challenge of finding an optimized null model for RIGs, by
Optimized null model for protein structure networks.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Tijana Milenković
Full Text Available Much attention has recently been given to the statistical significance of topological features observed in biological networks. Here, we consider residue interaction graphs (RIGs as network representations of protein structures with residues as nodes and inter-residue interactions as edges. Degree-preserving randomized models have been widely used for this purpose in biomolecular networks. However, such a single summary statistic of a network may not be detailed enough to capture the complex topological characteristics of protein structures and their network counterparts. Here, we investigate a variety of topological properties of RIGs to find a well fitting network null model for them. The RIGs are derived from a structurally diverse protein data set at various distance cut-offs and for different groups of interacting atoms. We compare the network structure of RIGs to several random graph models. We show that 3-dimensional geometric random graphs, that model spatial relationships between objects, provide the best fit to RIGs. We investigate the relationship between the strength of the fit and various protein structural features. We show that the fit depends on protein size, structural class, and thermostability, but not on quaternary structure. We apply our model to the identification of significantly over-represented structural building blocks, i.e., network motifs, in protein structure networks. As expected, choosing geometric graphs as a null model results in the most specific identification of motifs. Our geometric random graph model may facilitate further graph-based studies of protein conformation space and have important implications for protein structure comparison and prediction. The choice of a well-fitting null model is crucial for finding structural motifs that play an important role in protein folding, stability and function. To our knowledge, this is the first study that addresses the challenge of finding an optimized null model
Minovski, Nikola; Župerl, Špela; Drgan, Viktor; Novič, Marjana
2013-01-08
Alongside the validation, the concept of applicability domain (AD) is probably one of the most important aspects which determine the quality as well as reliability of the established quantitative structure-activity relationship (QSAR) models. To date, a variety of approaches for AD estimation have been devised which can be applied to particular type of QSAR models and their practical utilization is extensively elaborated in the literature. The present study introduces a novel, simple, and effective distance-based method for estimation of the AD in case of developed and validated predictive counter-propagation artificial neural network (CP ANN) models through a proficient exploitation of the euclidean distance (ED) metric in the structure-representation vector space. The performance of the method was evaluated and explained in a case study by using a pre-built and validated CP ANN model for prediction of the transport activity of the transmembrane protein bilitranslocase for a diverse set of compounds. The method was tested on two more datasets in order to confirm its performance for evaluation of the applicability domain in CP ANN models. The chemical compounds determined as potential outliers, i.e., outside of the CP ANN model AD, were confirmed in a comparative AD assessment by using the leverage approach. Moreover, the method offers a graphical depiction of the AD for fast and simple determination of the extreme points. Copyright © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
Ede Kurreli preemia Anneli Tammikule
2004-01-01
23. septembrist Eesti Tarbekunsti- ja Disainimuuseumis Maria Puki ja Ivar Lubjaku kujundatud eesti kaasaegse ehtekunsti näitus "Laegas". Avamisel esitleti EKA ehte- ja sepakunsti eriala tutvustavat raamatut "Metall 2" ja anti 2004. a. Ede Kurreli preemia Anneli Tammikule roostevabast terasest fotosöövitatud sarja "2D-3D credit" eest. Parima üliõpilastöö autor Kertu Tuberg. 24. IX toimuva ettekannete päeva kava
Towards Reproducible Descriptions of Neuronal Network Models
Nordlie, Eilen; Gewaltig, Marc-Oliver; Plesser, Hans Ekkehard
2009-01-01
Progress in science depends on the effective exchange of ideas among scientists. New ideas can be assessed and criticized in a meaningful manner only if they are formulated precisely. This applies to simulation studies as well as to experiments and theories. But after more than 50 years of neuronal network simulations, we still lack a clear and common understanding of the role of computational models in neuroscience as well as established practices for describing network models in publications. This hinders the critical evaluation of network models as well as their re-use. We analyze here 14 research papers proposing neuronal network models of different complexity and find widely varying approaches to model descriptions, with regard to both the means of description and the ordering and placement of material. We further observe great variation in the graphical representation of networks and the notation used in equations. Based on our observations, we propose a good model description practice, composed of guidelines for the organization of publications, a checklist for model descriptions, templates for tables presenting model structure, and guidelines for diagrams of networks. The main purpose of this good practice is to trigger a debate about the communication of neuronal network models in a manner comprehensible to humans, as opposed to machine-readable model description languages. We believe that the good model description practice proposed here, together with a number of other recent initiatives on data-, model-, and software-sharing, may lead to a deeper and more fruitful exchange of ideas among computational neuroscientists in years to come. We further hope that work on standardized ways of describing—and thinking about—complex neuronal networks will lead the scientific community to a clearer understanding of high-level concepts in network dynamics, and will thus lead to deeper insights into the function of the brain. PMID:19662159
Towards reproducible descriptions of neuronal network models.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Eilen Nordlie
2009-08-01
Full Text Available Progress in science depends on the effective exchange of ideas among scientists. New ideas can be assessed and criticized in a meaningful manner only if they are formulated precisely. This applies to simulation studies as well as to experiments and theories. But after more than 50 years of neuronal network simulations, we still lack a clear and common understanding of the role of computational models in neuroscience as well as established practices for describing network models in publications. This hinders the critical evaluation of network models as well as their re-use. We analyze here 14 research papers proposing neuronal network models of different complexity and find widely varying approaches to model descriptions, with regard to both the means of description and the ordering and placement of material. We further observe great variation in the graphical representation of networks and the notation used in equations. Based on our observations, we propose a good model description practice, composed of guidelines for the organization of publications, a checklist for model descriptions, templates for tables presenting model structure, and guidelines for diagrams of networks. The main purpose of this good practice is to trigger a debate about the communication of neuronal network models in a manner comprehensible to humans, as opposed to machine-readable model description languages. We believe that the good model description practice proposed here, together with a number of other recent initiatives on data-, model-, and software-sharing, may lead to a deeper and more fruitful exchange of ideas among computational neuroscientists in years to come. We further hope that work on standardized ways of describing--and thinking about--complex neuronal networks will lead the scientific community to a clearer understanding of high-level concepts in network dynamics, and will thus lead to deeper insights into the function of the brain.
Implementation of neural network for color properties of polycarbonates
Saeed, U.; Ahmad, S.; Alsadi, J.; Ross, D.; Rizvi, G.
2014-05-01
In present paper, the applicability of artificial neural networks (ANN) is investigated for color properties of plastics. The neural networks toolbox of Matlab 6.5 is used to develop and test the ANN model on a personal computer. An optimal design is completed for 10, 12, 14,16,18 & 20 hidden neurons on single hidden layer with five different algorithms: batch gradient descent (GD), batch variable learning rate (GDX), resilient back-propagation (RP), scaled conjugate gradient (SCG), levenberg-marquardt (LM) in the feed forward back-propagation neural network model. The training data for ANN is obtained from experimental measurements. There were twenty two inputs including resins, additives & pigments while three tristimulus color values L*, a* and b* were used as output layer. Statistical analysis in terms of Root-Mean-Squared (RMS), absolute fraction of variance (R squared), as well as mean square error is used to investigate the performance of ANN. LM algorithm with fourteen neurons on hidden layer in Feed Forward Back-Propagation of ANN model has shown best result in the present study. The degree of accuracy of the ANN model in reduction of errors is proven acceptable in all statistical analysis and shown in results. However, it was concluded that ANN provides a feasible method in error reduction in specific color tristimulus values.
Characterization and Modeling of Network Traffic
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Shawky, Ahmed; Bergheim, Hans; Ragnarsson, Olafur
2011-01-01
This paper attempts to characterize and model backbone network traffic, using a small number of statistics. In order to reduce cost and processing power associated with traffic analysis. The parameters affecting the behaviour of network traffic are investigated and the choice is that inter......-arrival time, IP addresses, port numbers and transport protocol are the only necessary parameters to model network traffic behaviour. In order to recreate this behaviour, a complex model is needed which is able to recreate traffic behaviour based on a set of statistics calculated from the parameters values....... The model investigates the traffic generation mechanisms, and grouping traffic into flows and applications....
Modeling, Optimization & Control of Hydraulic Networks
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Tahavori, Maryamsadat
2014-01-01
in water network is pressure management. By reducing the pressure in the water network, the leakage can be reduced significantly. Also it reduces the amount of energy consumption in water networks. The primary purpose of this work is to develop control algorithms for pressure control in water supply....... The nonlinear network model is derived based on the circuit theory. A suitable projection is used to reduce the state vector and to express the model in standard state-space form. Then, the controllability of nonlinear nonaffine hydraulic networks is studied. The Lie algebra-based controllability matrix is used...... to solve nonlinear optimal control problems. In the water supply system model, the hydraulic resistance of the valve is estimated by real data and it is considered to be a disturbance. The disturbance in our system is updated every 24 hours based on the amount of water usage by consumers every day. Model...
Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)
Ongen, Atakan, E-mail: aongen@istanbul.edu.tr; Kurtulus Ozcan, H.; Arayıcı, Semiha
2013-12-15
Highlights: • We model calorific value of syn-gas from tannery industry treatment sludge. • We monitor variation of gas composition in produced gas. • Heating value of produced gas is around 1500 kcal/m{sup 3}. • Model predictions are in close accordance with real values. -- Abstract: This paper reports on the calorific value of synthetic gas (syngas) produced by gasification of dewatered sludge derived from treatment of tannery wastewater. Proximate and ultimate analyses of samples were performed. Thermochemical conversion alters the chemical structure of the waste. Dried air was used as a gasification agent at varying flow rates, which allowed the feedstock to be quickly converted into gas by means of different heterogeneous reactions. A lab-scale updraft fixed-bed steel reactor was used for thermochemical conversion of sludge samples. Artificial neural network (ANN) modeling techniques were used to observe variations in the syngas related to operational conditions. Modeled outputs showed that temporal changes of model predictions were in close accordance with real values. Correlation coefficients (r) showed that the ANN used in this study gave results with high sensitivity.
Modeling urban land use changes in Lanzhou based on artificial neural network and cellular automata
Xu, Xibao; Zhang, Jianming; Zhou, Xiaojian
2008-10-01
This paper presented a model to simulate urban land use changes based on artificial neural network (ANN) and cellular automata (CA). The model was scaled down at the intra-urban level with subtle land use categorization, developed with Matlab 7.2 and loosely coupled with GIS. Urban land use system is a very complicated non-linear social system influenced by many factors. In this paper, four aspects of a totality 17 factors, including physical, social-economic, neighborhoods and policy, were considered synthetically. ANN was proposed as a solution of CA model calibration through its training to acquire the multitudinous parameters as a substitute for the complex transition rules. A stochastic perturbation parameter v was added into the model, and five different scenarios with different values of v and the threshold were designed for simulations and predictions to explore their effects on urban land use changes. Simulations of 2005 and predictions of 2015 under the five different scenarios were made and evaluated. Finally, the advantages and disadvantages of the model were discussed.
Buyukada, Musa
2016-09-01
Co-combustion of coal and peanut hull (PH) were investigated using artificial neural networks (ANN), particle swarm optimization, and Monte Carlo simulation as a function of blend ratio, heating rate, and temperature. The best prediction was reached by ANN61 multi-layer perception model with a R(2) of 0.99994. Blend ratio of 90 to 10 (PH to coal, wt%), temperature of 305°C, and heating rate of 49°Cmin(-1) were determined as the optimum input values and yield of 87.4% was obtained under PSO optimized conditions. The validation experiments resulted in yields of 87.5%±0.2 after three replications. Monte Carlo simulations were used for the probabilistic assessments of stochastic variability and uncertainty associated with explanatory variables of co-combustion process. Copyright © 2016 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
Hu, Dawei; Liu, Hong; Yang, Chenliang; Hu, Enzhu
As a subsystem of the bioregenerative life support system (BLSS), light-algae bioreactor (LABR) has properties of high reaction rate, efficiently synthesizing microalgal biomass, absorbing CO2 and releasing O2, so it is significant for BLSS to provide food and maintain gas balance. In order to manipulate the LABR properly, it has been designed as a closed-loop control system, and technology of Artificial Neural Network-Model Predictive Control (ANN-MPC) is applied to design the controller for LABR in which green microalgae, Spirulina platensis is cultivated continuously. The conclusion is drawn by computer simulation that ANN-MPC controller can intelligently learn the complicated dynamic performances of LABR, and automatically, robustly and self-adaptively regulate the light intensity illuminating on the LABR, hence make the growth of microalgae in the LABR be changed in line with the references, meanwhile provide appropriate damping to improve markedly the transient response performance of LABR.
A network model of the interbank market
Li, Shouwei; He, Jianmin; Zhuang, Yaming
2010-12-01
This work introduces a network model of an interbank market based on interbank credit lending relationships. It generates some network features identified through empirical analysis. The critical issue to construct an interbank network is to decide the edges among banks, which is realized in this paper based on the interbank’s degree of trust. Through simulation analysis of the interbank network model, some typical structural features are identified in our interbank network, which are also proved to exist in real interbank networks. They are namely, a low clustering coefficient and a relatively short average path length, community structures, and a two-power-law distribution of out-degree and in-degree.
Model for Microcirculation Transportation Network Design
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Qun Chen
2012-01-01
Full Text Available The idea of microcirculation transportation was proposed to shunt heavy traffic on arterial roads through branch roads. The optimization model for designing micro-circulation transportation network was developed to pick out branch roads as traffic-shunting channels and determine their required capacity, trying to minimize the total reconstruction expense and land occupancy subject to saturation and reconstruction space constraints, while accounting for the route choice behaviour of network users. Since micro-circulation transportation network design problem includes both discrete and continuous variables, a discretization method was developed to convert two groups of variables (discrete variables and continuous variables into one group of new discrete variables, transforming the mixed network design problem into a new kind of discrete network design problem with multiple values. The genetic algorithm was proposed to solve the new discrete network design problem. Finally a numerical example demonstrated the efficiency of the model and algorithm.
Revallo, M.; Valach, F.; Hejda, P.; Bochníček, J.
2014-04-01
A model to forecast 1-hour lead Dst index is proposed. Our approach is based on artificial neural networks (ANN) combined with an analytical model of the solar wind-magnetosphere interaction. Previously, the hourly solar wind parameters have been considered in the analytical model, all of them provided by registration of the ACE satellite. They were the solar wind magnetic field component Bz, velocity V, particle density n and temperature T. The solar wind parameters have been used to compute analytically the discontinuity in magnetic field across the magnetopause, denoted as [Bt]. This quantity has been shown to be important in connection with ground magnetic field variations. The method was published, in which the weighted sum of a sequence of [Bt] was proposed to produce the value of Dst index. The maximum term in the sum, possessing the maximum weight, is the one denoting the contribution of the current state of the near-Earth solar wind. The role of the older states is less important - the weights exponentially decay. Moreover, the terms turn to zero if Bz⪯0. In this study, we set up a more comprehensive model on the basis of the ANNs. The model is driven by input time histories of the discontinuity in magnetic field [Bt], which are provided by the analytical model. At the output of such revised model, the Dst index is obtained and compared with the real data records. In this way we replaced those exponential weights in the published method with another set of weights determined by the neural networks. We retrospectively tested our models with real data from solar cycle 23. The ANN approach provided better results than a simple method based on exponentially decaying weights. Moreover, we have shown that our ANN model could be used to predict Dst 1 h ahead. We assessed the predictive capability of the model with a set of independent events and found correlation coefficient CC=0.74±0.13 and prediction efficiency PE=0.44±0.15. We also compared our model with
ESTIMATION OF PV MODULE SURFACE TEMPERATURE USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Can Coskun
2016-12-01
Full Text Available This study aimed to use the artificial neural network (ANN method to estimate the surface temperature of a photovoltaic (PV panel. Using the experimentally obtained PV data, the accuracy of the ANN model was evaluated. To train the artificial neural network (ANN, outer temperature solar radiation and wind speed values were inputs and surface temperature was an output. The ANN was used to estimate PV panel surface temperature. Using the Levenberg-Marquardt (LM algorithm the feed forward artificial neural network was trained. Two back propagation type ANN algorithms were used and their performance was compared with the estimate from the LM algorithm. To train the artificial neural network, experimental data were used for two thirds with the remaining third used for testing. Additionally scaled conjugate gradient (SCG back propagation and resilient back propagation (RB type ANN algorithms were used for comparison with the LM algorithm. The performances of these three types of artificial neural network were compared and mean error rates of between 0.005962 and 0.012177% were obtained. The best estimate was produced by the LM algorithm. Estimation of PV surface temperature with artificial neural networks provides better results than conventional correlation methods. This study showed that artificial neural networks may be effectively used to estimate PV surface temperature.
Modelling of virtual production networks
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
2011-03-01
Full Text Available Nowadays many companies, especially small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs, specialize in a limited field of production. It requires forming virtual production networks of cooperating enterprises to manufacture better, faster and cheaper. Apart from that, some production orders cannot be realized, because there is not a company of sufficient production potential. In this case the virtual production networks of cooperating companies can realize these production orders. These networks have larger production capacity and many different resources. Therefore it can realize many more production orders together than each of them separately. Such organization allows for executing high quality product. The maintenance costs of production capacity and used resources are not so high. In this paper a methodology of rapid prototyping of virtual production networks is proposed. It allows to execute production orders on time considered existing logistic constraints.
Modeling Epidemics Spreading on Social Contact Networks.
Zhang, Zhaoyang; Wang, Honggang; Wang, Chonggang; Fang, Hua
2015-09-01
Social contact networks and the way people interact with each other are the key factors that impact on epidemics spreading. However, it is challenging to model the behavior of epidemics based on social contact networks due to their high dynamics. Traditional models such as susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) model ignore the crowding or protection effect and thus has some unrealistic assumption. In this paper, we consider the crowding or protection effect and develop a novel model called improved SIR model. Then, we use both deterministic and stochastic models to characterize the dynamics of epidemics on social contact networks. The results from both simulations and real data set conclude that the epidemics are more likely to outbreak on social contact networks with higher average degree. We also present some potential immunization strategies, such as random set immunization, dominating set immunization, and high degree set immunization to further prove the conclusion.
Random graph models for dynamic networks
Zhang, Xiao; Moore, Cristopher; Newman, Mark E. J.
2017-10-01
Recent theoretical work on the modeling of network structure has focused primarily on networks that are static and unchanging, but many real-world networks change their structure over time. There exist natural generalizations to the dynamic case of many static network models, including the classic random graph, the configuration model, and the stochastic block model, where one assumes that the appearance and disappearance of edges are governed by continuous-time Markov processes with rate parameters that can depend on properties of the nodes. Here we give an introduction to this class of models, showing for instance how one can compute their equilibrium properties. We also demonstrate their use in data analysis and statistical inference, giving efficient algorithms for fitting them to observed network data using the method of maximum likelihood. This allows us, for example, to estimate the time constants of network evolution or infer community structure from temporal network data using cues embedded both in the probabilities over time that node pairs are connected by edges and in the characteristic dynamics of edge appearance and disappearance. We illustrate these methods with a selection of applications, both to computer-generated test networks and real-world examples.
Modeling the interdependent network based on two-mode networks
An, Feng; Gao, Xiangyun; Guan, Jianhe; Huang, Shupei; Liu, Qian
2017-10-01
Among heterogeneous networks, there exist obviously and closely interdependent linkages. Unlike existing research primarily focus on the theoretical research of physical interdependent network model. We propose a two-layer interdependent network model based on two-mode networks to explore the interdependent features in the reality. Specifically, we construct a two-layer interdependent loan network and develop several dependent features indices. The model is verified to enable us to capture the loan dependent features of listed companies based on loan behaviors and shared shareholders. Taking Chinese debit and credit market as case study, the main conclusions are: (1) only few listed companies shoulder the main capital transmission (20% listed companies occupy almost 70% dependent degree). (2) The control of these key listed companies will be more effective of avoiding the spreading of financial risks. (3) Identifying the companies with high betweenness centrality and controlling them could be helpful to monitor the financial risk spreading. (4) The capital transmission channel among Chinese financial listed companies and Chinese non-financial listed companies are relatively strong. However, under greater pressure of demand of capital transmission (70% edges failed), the transmission channel, which constructed by debit and credit behavior, will eventually collapse.
An endogenous model of the credit network
He, Jianmin; Sui, Xin; Li, Shouwei
2016-01-01
In this paper, an endogenous credit network model of firm-bank agents is constructed. The model describes the endogenous formation of firm-firm, firm-bank and bank-bank credit relationships. By means of simulations, the model is capable of showing some obvious similarities with empirical evidence found by other scholars: the upper-tail of firm size distribution can be well fitted with a power-law; the bank size distribution can be lognormally distributed with a power-law tail; the bank in-degrees of the interbank credit network as well as the firm-bank credit network fall into two-power-law distributions.
Tensor network models of multiboundary wormholes
Peach, Alex; Ross, Simon F.
2017-05-01
We study the entanglement structure of states dual to multiboundary wormhole geometries using tensor network models. Perfect and random tensor networks tiling the hyperbolic plane have been shown to provide good models of the entanglement structure in holography. We extend this by quotienting the plane by discrete isometries to obtain models of the multiboundary states. We show that there are networks where the entanglement structure is purely bipartite, extending results obtained in the large temperature limit. We analyse the entanglement structure in a range of examples.
Bozkurt, Ömer Özgür; Biricik, Göksel; Tayşi, Ziya Cihan
2017-01-01
Load information plays an important role in deregulated electricity markets, since it is the primary factor to make critical decisions on production planning, day-to-day operations, unit commitment and economic dispatch. Being able to predict the load for a short term, which covers one hour to a few days, equips power generation facilities and traders with an advantage. With the deregulation of electricity markets, a variety of short term load forecasting models are developed. Deregulation in Turkish Electricity Market has started in 2001 and liberalization is still in progress with rules being effective in its predefined schedule. However, there is a very limited number of studies for Turkish Market. In this study, we introduce two different models for current Turkish Market using Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average (SARIMA) and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and present their comparative performances. Building models that cope with the dynamic nature of deregulated market and are able to run in real-time is the main contribution of this study. We also use our ANN based model to evaluate the effect of several factors, which are claimed to have effect on electrical load.
Barthès, Laurent; Mallet, Cécile; Brisseau, O.
2006-01-01
Attenuation due to the propagation of radio waves through the Earth's atmosphere plays a major role in satellite link attenuation at frequencies beyond 20 GHz. This paper presents the development of an artificial neural network (ANN) to separate out the respective roles played by the three types of contributor, namely, gases (oxygen and water vapor), clouds, and rain, to the overall attenuation of radio waves. Whereas the inputs to the ANN are the total attenuation measured at either one, two...
River flow modeling using artificial neural networks in Kapuas river, West Kalimantan, Indonesia
Herawati, Henny; Suripin, Suharyanto
2017-11-01
Kapuas River is located in the province of West Kalimantan. Kapuas river length is 1,086 km and river basin areas about 100,000 Km2. The availability of river flow data in the Long River and very wide catchments are difficult to obtain, while river flow data are essential for planning waterworks. To predict the water flow in the catchment area requires a lot of hydrology coefficient, so it is very difficult to predict and obtain results that closer to the real conditions. This paper demonstrates that artificial neural network (ANN) could be used to predict the water flow. The ANN technique can be used to predict the incidence of water discharge that occurs in the Kapuas River based on rainfall and evaporation data. With the data available to do training on the artificial neural network model is obtained mean square error (MSE) 0.00007. The river flow predictions could be carried out after the training. The results showed differences in water discharge measurement and prediction of about 4%.
Stochastic discrete model of karstic networks
Jaquet, O.; Siegel, P.; Klubertanz, G.; Benabderrhamane, H.
Karst aquifers are characterised by an extreme spatial heterogeneity that strongly influences their hydraulic behaviour and the transport of pollutants. These aquifers are particularly vulnerable to contamination because of their highly permeable networks of conduits. A stochastic model is proposed for the simulation of the geometry of karstic networks at a regional scale. The model integrates the relevant physical processes governing the formation of karstic networks. The discrete simulation of karstic networks is performed with a modified lattice-gas cellular automaton for a representative description of the karstic aquifer geometry. Consequently, more reliable modelling results can be obtained for the management and the protection of karst aquifers. The stochastic model was applied jointly with groundwater modelling techniques to a regional karst aquifer in France for the purpose of resolving surface pollution issues.
Designing Network-based Business Model Ontology
DEFF Research Database (Denmark)
Hashemi Nekoo, Ali Reza; Ashourizadeh, Shayegheh; Zarei, Behrouz
2015-01-01
Survival on dynamic environment is not achieved without a map. Scanning and monitoring of the market show business models as a fruitful tool. But scholars believe that old-fashioned business models are dead; as they are not included the effect of internet and network in themselves. This paper...... is going to propose e-business model ontology from the network point of view and its application in real world. The suggested ontology for network-based businesses is composed of individuals` characteristics and what kind of resources they own. also, their connections and pre-conceptions of connections...... such as shared-mental model and trust. However, it mostly covers previous business model elements. To confirm the applicability of this ontology, it has been implemented in business angel network and showed how it works....
The use of artificial neural networks in experimental data acquisition and aerodynamic design
Meade, Andrew J., Jr.
1991-01-01
It is proposed that an artificial neural network be used to construct an intelligent data acquisition system. The artificial neural networks (ANN) model has a potential for replacing traditional procedures as well as for use in computational fluid dynamics validation. Potential advantages of the ANN model are listed. As a proof of concept, the author modeled a NACA 0012 airfoil at specific conditions, using the neural network simulator NETS, developed by James Baffes of the NASA Johnson Space Center. The neural network predictions were compared to the actual data. It is concluded that artificial neural networks can provide an elegant and valuable class of mathematical tools for data analysis.
Queueing Models for Mobile Ad Hoc Networks
de Haan, Roland
2009-01-01
This thesis presents models for the performance analysis of a recent communication paradigm: \\emph{mobile ad hoc networking}. The objective of mobile ad hoc networking is to provide wireless connectivity between stations in a highly dynamic environment. These dynamics are driven by the mobility of
Modelling traffic congestion using queuing networks
Indian Academy of Sciences (India)
Traffic Flow-Density diagrams are obtained using simple Jackson queuing network analysis. Such simple analytical models can be used to capture the effect of non- homogenous traffic. Keywords. Flow-density curves; uninterrupted traffic; Jackson networks. 1. Introduction. Traffic management has become very essential in ...
Application of artificial neural networks in computer-aided diagnosis.
Liu, Bei
2015-01-01
Computer-aided diagnosis is a diagnostic procedure in which a radiologist uses the outputs of computer analysis of medical images as a second opinion in the interpretation of medical images, either to help with lesion detection or to help determine if the lesion is benign or malignant. Artificial neural networks (ANNs) are usually employed to formulate the statistical models for computer analysis. Receiver operating characteristic curves are used to evaluate the performance of the ANN alone, as well as the diagnostic performance of radiologists who take into account the ANN output as a second opinion. In this chapter, we use mammograms to illustrate how an ANN model is trained, tested, and evaluated, and how a radiologist should use the ANN output as a second opinion in CAD.
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
paresa soulimani
2016-06-01
Full Text Available Pearl millet has tolerance to harsh growing conditions such as drought. It is at least equivalent to maize and generally superior to sorghum in protein content and metabolizable energy levels. Thus it is of importance for poultry feeding. Amino acid (AA determination is expensive and time consuming. Therefore nutritionists have prompted a search for alternatives to estimate AA levels. Traditionally, two methods of predicting AA levels have been developed using multiple linear regression (MLR with an input of either CP or proximate analysis. Artificial neural networks (ANN may be more effective to predict AA concentration in feedstuff. Therefore a study was conducted to predict the AAs level in pearl millet with either MLR or ANN. Fifty two samples of pearl millet’s data lines contained chemical compositions and AAs which collected from literature were used to find the relationship between chemical analysis as xi and AA contents as y. For both MLR and ANN models chemical composition (dry matter, ash, crude fiber, crude protein, ether extract was used as inputs and each individual AA was the output in each model. The results of this study showed that it is possible to predict AAs with a simple analytical determination of proximate analysis. Furthermore ANN models could more effectively identify the relationship between AAs and proximate analysis than linear regression model.
Lee, Sanghoon; Yoon, Heesung; Park, Byeong-Hak; Lee, Kang-Kun
2017-04-01
Groundwater use has been increased for various purposes like agriculture, industry or drinking water in recent years, the issue related to sustainability on the groundwater use also has been raised. Accordingly, forecasting the groundwater level is of great importance for planning sustainable use of groundwater. In a small island surrounded by the Han River, South Korea, seasonal fluctuation of the groundwater level is characterized by multiple factors such as recharge/discharge event of the Paldang dam, Water Curtain Cultivation (WCC) during the winter season, operation of Groundwater Heat Pump System (GWHP). For a period when the dam operation is only occurred in the study area, a prediction of the groundwater level can be easily achieved by a simple cross-correlation model. However, for a period when the WCC and the GWHP systems are working together, the groundwater level prediction is challenging due to its unpredictable operation of the two systems. This study performed Artificial Neural Network (ANN) model to forecast the groundwater level in the river area reflecting the various predictable/unpredictable factors. For constructing the ANN models, two monitoring wells, YSN1 and YSO8, which are located near the injection and abstraction wells for the GWHP system were selected, respectively. By training with the groundwater level data measured in January 2015 to August 2015, response of groundwater level by each of the surface water level, the WCC and the GWHP system were evaluated. Consequentially, groundwater levels in December 2015 to March 2016 were predicted by ANN models, providing optimal fits in comparison to the observed water levels. This study suggests that the ANN model is a useful tool to forecast the groundwater level in terms of the management of groundwater. Acknowledgement : Financial support was provided by the "R&D Project on Environmental Management of Geologic CO2 Storage" from the KEITI (Project Number: 2014001810003) This research was
Neural network modeling of energy use and greenhouse gas emissions of watermelon production systems
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Ashkan Nabavi-Pelesaraei
2016-01-01
Full Text Available This study was conducted in order to determine energy consumption, model and analyze the input–output, energy efficiencies and GHG emissions for watermelon production using artificial neural networks (ANNs in the Guilan province of Iran, based on three different farm sizes. For this purpose, the initial data was collected from 120 watermelon producers in Langroud and Chaf region, two small cities in the Guilan province. The results indicated that total average energy input for watermelon production was 40228.98 MJ ha–1. Also, chemical fertilizers (with 76.49% were the highest energy inputs for watermelon production. Moreover, the share of non-renewable energy (with 96.24% was more than renewable energy (with 3.76% in watermelon production. The rate of energy use efficiency, energy productivity and net energy was calculated as 1.29, 0.68 kg MJ−1 and 11733.64 MJ ha−1, respectively. With respect to GHG analysis, the average of total GHG emissions was calculated about 1015 kgCO2eq. ha−1. The results illustrated that share of nitrogen (with 54.23% was the highest in GHG emissions for watermelon production, followed by diesel fuel (with 16.73% and electricity (with 15.45%. In this study, Levenberg–Marquardt learning Algorithm was used for training ANNs based on data collected from watermelon producers. The ANN model with 11–10–2 structure was the best one for predicting the watermelon yield and GHG emissions. In the best topology, the coefficient of determination (R2 was calculated as 0.969 and 0.995 for yield and GHG emissions of watermelon production, respectively. Furthermore, the results of sensitivity analysis revealed that the seed and human labor had the highest sensitivity in modeling of watermelon yield and GHG emissions, respectively.
Sulfur dioxide AQI modeling by artificial neural network in Tehran between 2007 and 2013
Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)
Saeed Motesaddi
2015-12-01
Full Text Available Background: Air pollution and concerns about health impacts have been raised in metropolitan cities like Tehran. Trend and prediction of air pollutants can show the effectiveness of strategies for the management and control of air pollution. Artificial neural network (ANN technique is widely used as a reliable method for modeling of air pollutants in urban areas. Therefore, the aim of current study was to evaluate the trend of sulfur dioxide (SO2 air quality index (AQI in Tehran using ANN. Methods: The dataset of SO2 concentration and AQI in Tehran between 2007 and 2013 for 2550 days were obtained from air quality monitoring fix stations belonging to the Department of Environment (DOE. These data were used as input for the ANN and nonlinear autoregressive (NAR model using Matlab (R2014a software. Results: Daily and annual mean concentration of SO2 except 2008 (0.037 ppm was less than the EPA standard (0.14 and 0.03 ppm, respectively. Trend of SO2 AQI showed the variation of SO2 during different days, but the study declined overtime and the predicted trend is higher than the actual trend. Conclusion: The trend of SO2 AQI in this study, despite daily fluctuations in ambient air of Tehran over the period of the study have decreased and the difference between the predicted and actual trends can be related to various factors, such as change in management and control of SO2 emissions strategy and lack of effective parameters in SO2 emissions in predicting model.
Ennouri, Karim; Ben Ayed, Rayda; Triki, Mohamed Ali; Ottaviani, Ennio; Mazzarello, Maura; Hertelli, Fathi; Zouari, Nabil
2017-07-01
The aim of the present work was to develop a model that supplies accurate predictions of the yields of delta-endotoxins and proteases produced by B. thuringiensis var. kurstaki HD-1. Using available medium ingredients as variables, a mathematical method, based on Plackett-Burman design (PB), was employed to analyze and compare data generated by the Bootstrap method and processed by multiple linear regressions (MLR) and artificial neural networks (ANN) including multilayer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF) models. The predictive ability of these models was evaluated by comparison of output data through the determination of coefficient (R 2 ) and mean square error (MSE) values. The results demonstrate that the prediction of the yields of