WorldWideScience

Sample records for caraibes ensemble deux

  1. Folie à deux

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Jørgensen, Martin Balslev; Hageman, Ida

    2009-01-01

    Folie à deux or induced psychotic disorder is a rare psychiatric illness. The essential feature is a psychotic disorder shared by two emotionally close persons, usually close relatives. The disorder is characterized by a primary psychotic person who gradually imposes her delusional beliefs on the...... other person. The disorder usually resolves in the more passive person when the two are separated (e.g. by admittance of the primary psychotic person). This case report describes a shared delusional belief between two friends. Udgivelsesdato: 2009-Dec-14...

  2. Folie à deux

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    2009-01-01

    Folie à deux or induced psychotic disorder is a rare psychiatric illness. The essential feature is a psychotic disorder shared by two emotionally close persons, usually close relatives. The disorder is characterized by a primary psychotic person who gradually imposes her delusional beliefs on the...... other person. The disorder usually resolves in the more passive person when the two are separated (e.g. by admittance of the primary psychotic person). This case report describes a shared delusional belief between two friends. Udgivelsesdato: 2009-Dec...

  3. The tracking system CARAIBES: Control of the constraints required by the repository operator for the storage surface and time

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The French nuclear waste regulation requires the classification of nuclear waste into several categories according to the radioactive activity and the nature of the isotopes. According to this classification, a set of constraints to be respected for the processing of the packaging has been established in order to authorize the storage in a final surface repository. These constraints are very drastic and the repositories are managed by an independent institute. Furthermore, there are several kinds of packaging (from big bags to big containers). For each of them, depending on the waste category to be put inside, all the possible verifications and measurements have to be carried out to be sure that the agreement is entirely respected. The CARAIBES database appeared in 1999 and is presently used by all the nuclear research centres of the Commissariat a l'Energie Atomique. It was designed to assist people in the process of making up waste packaging in order to guarantee its release to a surface repository. All the data, ranging from the physical characteristics of the waste to more than three hundred efficiency curves necessary to assess the activity of the radio-nuclides measured by gamma spectrometry, are embodied into the framework of a Relational Database Management System in order to centralize and guarantee the coherence of the collected data. This framework is closely linked to the release approval, integrating the activity thresholds calculation early in the life cycle in order to choose the proper orientation for every waste packaging. The CARAIBES database is regularly audited by an independent institute in order to verify the good behaviour of the process which controls the compliance of the final packaging in terms of activity and nature of the waste before giving the authorisation for shipment to a surface repository. The people in charge of the database maintenance have to allow for the evolution concerning both the framework of the database and the

  4. Deux disques de musique peul

    OpenAIRE

    Borel, François

    2015-01-01

    Guinée : les Peuls du Wassolon — la danse des chasseurs. Enregistrements : Patrick Larue ; textes, traduction et commentaires : Patricia Pailleaud, Daniela Langer et Abdoulaye Diarra. 1 CD (DDD) OCORA C 558679, 1987. En coédition avec Les Films du Village. Nomades du désert : les Peulhs du Niger. Enregistrements, textes et production : Roselyne François et Manuel Gomes. 1 CD Playa Sound PS 65009, [1987]. Ces deux disques, publiés en 1987, ont un seul point commun, qui justifie d’ailleurs ce c...

  5. Ensembl 2012.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Flicek, Paul; Amode, M Ridwan; Barrell, Daniel; Beal, Kathryn; Brent, Simon; Carvalho-Silva, Denise; Clapham, Peter; Coates, Guy; Fairley, Susan; Fitzgerald, Stephen; Gil, Laurent; Gordon, Leo; Hendrix, Maurice; Hourlier, Thibaut; Johnson, Nathan; Kähäri, Andreas K; Keefe, Damian; Keenan, Stephen; Kinsella, Rhoda; Komorowska, Monika; Koscielny, Gautier; Kulesha, Eugene; Larsson, Pontus; Longden, Ian; McLaren, William; Muffato, Matthieu; Overduin, Bert; Pignatelli, Miguel; Pritchard, Bethan; Riat, Harpreet Singh; Ritchie, Graham R S; Ruffier, Magali; Schuster, Michael; Sobral, Daniel; Tang, Y Amy; Taylor, Kieron; Trevanion, Stephen; Vandrovcova, Jana; White, Simon; Wilson, Mark; Wilder, Steven P; Aken, Bronwen L; Birney, Ewan; Cunningham, Fiona; Dunham, Ian; Durbin, Richard; Fernández-Suarez, Xosé M; Harrow, Jennifer; Herrero, Javier; Hubbard, Tim J P; Parker, Anne; Proctor, Glenn; Spudich, Giulietta; Vogel, Jan; Yates, Andy; Zadissa, Amonida; Searle, Stephen M J

    2012-01-01

    The Ensembl project (http://www.ensembl.org) provides genome resources for chordate genomes with a particular focus on human genome data as well as data for key model organisms such as mouse, rat and zebrafish. Five additional species were added in the last year including gibbon (Nomascus leucogenys) and Tasmanian devil (Sarcophilus harrisii) bringing the total number of supported species to 61 as of Ensembl release 64 (September 2011). Of these, 55 species appear on the main Ensembl website and six species are provided on the Ensembl preview site (Pre!Ensembl; http://pre.ensembl.org) with preliminary support. The past year has also seen improvements across the project. PMID:22086963

  6. Ensembl 2012

    OpenAIRE

    Flicek, Paul; Amode, M. Ridwan; Barrell, Daniel; Beal, Kathryn; Brent, Simon; Carvalho-Silva, Denise; Clapham, Peter; Coates, Guy; Fairley, Susan; Fitzgerald, Stephen; Gil, Laurent; Gordon, Leo; Hendrix, Maurice; Hourlier, Thibaut; Johnson, Nathan

    2011-01-01

    The Ensembl project (http://www.ensembl.org) provides genome resources for chordate genomes with a particular focus on human genome data as well as data for key model organisms such as mouse, rat and zebrafish. Five additional species were added in the last year including gibbon (Nomascus leucogenys) and Tasmanian devil (Sarcophilus harrisii) bringing the total number of supported species to 61 as of Ensembl release 64 (September 2011). Of these, 55 species appear on the main Ensembl website ...

  7. Ensemble Methods

    Science.gov (United States)

    Re, Matteo; Valentini, Giorgio

    2012-03-01

    Ensemble methods are statistical and computational learning procedures reminiscent of the human social learning behavior of seeking several opinions before making any crucial decision. The idea of combining the opinions of different "experts" to obtain an overall “ensemble” decision is rooted in our culture at least from the classical age of ancient Greece, and it has been formalized during the Enlightenment with the Condorcet Jury Theorem[45]), which proved that the judgment of a committee is superior to those of individuals, provided the individuals have reasonable competence. Ensembles are sets of learning machines that combine in some way their decisions, or their learning algorithms, or different views of data, or other specific characteristics to obtain more reliable and more accurate predictions in supervised and unsupervised learning problems [48,116]. A simple example is represented by the majority vote ensemble, by which the decisions of different learning machines are combined, and the class that receives the majority of “votes” (i.e., the class predicted by the majority of the learning machines) is the class predicted by the overall ensemble [158]. In the literature, a plethora of terms other than ensembles has been used, such as fusion, combination, aggregation, and committee, to indicate sets of learning machines that work together to solve a machine learning problem [19,40,56,66,99,108,123], but in this chapter we maintain the term ensemble in its widest meaning, in order to include the whole range of combination methods. Nowadays, ensemble methods represent one of the main current research lines in machine learning [48,116], and the interest of the research community on ensemble methods is witnessed by conferences and workshops specifically devoted to ensembles, first of all the multiple classifier systems (MCS) conference organized by Roli, Kittler, Windeatt, and other researchers of this area [14,62,85,149,173]. Several theories have been

  8. Ensemble Methods

    Science.gov (United States)

    Re, Matteo; Valentini, Giorgio

    2012-03-01

    Ensemble methods are statistical and computational learning procedures reminiscent of the human social learning behavior of seeking several opinions before making any crucial decision. The idea of combining the opinions of different "experts" to obtain an overall “ensemble” decision is rooted in our culture at least from the classical age of ancient Greece, and it has been formalized during the Enlightenment with the Condorcet Jury Theorem[45]), which proved that the judgment of a committee is superior to those of individuals, provided the individuals have reasonable competence. Ensembles are sets of learning machines that combine in some way their decisions, or their learning algorithms, or different views of data, or other specific characteristics to obtain more reliable and more accurate predictions in supervised and unsupervised learning problems [48,116]. A simple example is represented by the majority vote ensemble, by which the decisions of different learning machines are combined, and the class that receives the majority of “votes” (i.e., the class predicted by the majority of the learning machines) is the class predicted by the overall ensemble [158]. In the literature, a plethora of terms other than ensembles has been used, such as fusion, combination, aggregation, and committee, to indicate sets of learning machines that work together to solve a machine learning problem [19,40,56,66,99,108,123], but in this chapter we maintain the term ensemble in its widest meaning, in order to include the whole range of combination methods. Nowadays, ensemble methods represent one of the main current research lines in machine learning [48,116], and the interest of the research community on ensemble methods is witnessed by conferences and workshops specifically devoted to ensembles, first of all the multiple classifier systems (MCS) conference organized by Roli, Kittler, Windeatt, and other researchers of this area [14,62,85,149,173]. Several theories have been

  9. NYYD Ensemble

    Index Scriptorium Estoniae

    2002-01-01

    NYYD Ensemble'i duost Traksmann - Lukk E.-S. Tüüri teosega "Symbiosis", mis on salvestatud ka hiljuti ilmunud NYYD Ensemble'i CDle. 2. märtsil Rakvere Teatri väikeses saalis ja 3. märtsil Rotermanni Soolalaos, kavas Tüür, Kaumann, Berio, Reich, Yun, Hauta-aho, Buckinx

  10. Les techniques d’optimisation multicritère en optimisation à deux niveaux

    OpenAIRE

    Pieume, Calice Olivier

    2011-01-01

    Cette thèse aborde l'optimisation multicritère et l'optimisation à deux niveaux. L'investigation porte principalement sur les méthodes, les applications et les liens possibles entre les deux classes d'optimisation. Premièrement, nous développons une méthode de résolution des problèmes d'optimisation linéaire multicritère. Pour ce faire, nous introduisons une nouvelle caractérisation des faces efficaces et exploitons le résultat selon lequel l'ensemble des tableaux idéaux associés aux sommets ...

  11. Trichobezoar gastrique - à propos de deux cas

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Karim Ibn Majdoub Hassani

    2010-09-01

    Full Text Available Le trichobezoar gastrique est une affection rare (un peu plus d’une dizaine de cas dans la littérature, qui affecte essentiellement des jeunes filles perturbées par des désordres psychologiques. Les auteurs rapportent deux cas de jeunes filles, hospitalisées pour volumineuse masse épigastrique. La fibroscopie gastrique a posé le diagnostic de trichobezoar. Une exérèse chirurgicale a été réalisée à travers une gastrotomie, sans complications. Un suivi psychiatrique des deux patientes a été recommandé. Le trichobezoar gastrique désigne l’accumulation inhabituelle de cheveux au niveau de l’estomac. Son diagnostic est facile en présence d’un contexte de trichophagie évocateur. La fibroscopie œsogastroduodénale est l’examen de référence permettant la visualisation du trichobezoar dont le traitement est essentiellement chirurgical.

  12. Report made on behalf of the commission of foreign affairs about the law project, adopted by the Senate, authorizing the ratification of the agreement between the French Republic, the European Atomic Energy Community and the International Atomic Energy Agency relative to the enforcement of warranties in the framework of the treaty of nuclear weapons prohibition in South America and the Caribbeans area (two protocols together); Rapport fait au nom de la commission des affaires etrangeres sur le projet de loi, adopte par le senat, autorisant la ratification de l'accord entre la Republique francaise, la Communaute europeenne de l'energie atomique et l'Agence internationale de l'energie atomique relatif a l'application de garanties dans le cadre du traite visant l'interdiction des armes nucleaires en Amerique latine et dans les Caraibes (ensemble deux protocoles)

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    NONE

    2004-07-01

    This report comments the reasons of the signature of the agreement between France, EURATOM and the IAEA for the reinforcement of IAEA's non-proliferation controls in the South America and Caribbean areas (law project no. 1329). The ratification of this agreement will have only few concrete consequences but will contribute to the promotion of non-proliferation and to the enforcement of warranties in the framework of the treaty of interdiction of nuclear weapons in South America and in the Caribbean area (signed in Vienna, Austria, on March 21, 2000). The commission of foreign affairs adopted this law project on March 3, 2004. (J.S.)

  13. Law project (no. 1329) adopted by the Senate and authorizing the ratification of the agreement between the French Republic, the European Atomic Energy Community and the International Atomic Energy Agency relative to the enforcement of warranties in the framework of the treaty of nuclear weapons prohibition in South America and the Caribbeans area (two protocols together); Projet de loi (no. 1329) adopte par le Senat autorisant la ratification de l'accord entre la Republique francaise, la Communaute europeenne de l'energie atomique et l'Agence internationale de l'energie atomique relatif a l'application de garanties dans le cadre du traite visant l'interdiction des armes nucleraires en Amerique latine et dans les Caraibes (ensemble deux protocoles)

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    NONE

    2004-01-01

    The French Senate adopted on January 6, 2004 the project of law which authorizes the ratification of the agreement between France, the European atomic energy community and the IAEA about the enforcement of warranties in the framework of the treaty of interdiction of nuclear weapons in South America and in the Caribbean area signed in Vienna (Austria) on March 21, 2000. The text of this treaty is attached to this law. (J.S.)

  14. Le genre à l'épreuve de l'Occupation : différence des sexes et répression judiciaire pour faits de collaboration, approche comparée des deux guerres mondiales

    OpenAIRE

    Bergère, Marc

    2015-01-01

    Par leur dimension totale, les deux guerres mondiales ont affecté l'ensemble des rapports sociaux. Elles invitent donc tout particulièrement à questionner le masculin et le féminin. Dans cette dynamique, la répression judiciaire des faits de la collaboration avec l'ennemi constitue un observatoire d'autant plus privilégié que, dans les deux cas, elle traduit un moment spécifique du rapport des sexes à la justice. Dès lors, après avoir établi les faits, il nous importera surtout de clarifier l...

  15. Intrication de deux atomes en utilisant le blocage de Rydberg

    Science.gov (United States)

    Gaëtan, A.

    2010-12-01

    Considérons un système quantique constitué de deux sous-systèmes : on dit qu'il est dans un état intriqué s'il existe des corrélations quantiques entre les états de ces derniers. La compréhension et la mise en œuvre d'états intriqués ont de nombreuses applications (métrologie quantique, étude des systèmes fortement corrélés, traitement quantique de l'information, etc.) et constituent le contexte général de ce travail de thèse. Plus en détail, nous démontrons la réalisation d'un état intriqué de deux atomes neutres piégés indépendamment. Pour cela, nous exploitons le phénomène de blocage de Rydberg : lorsqu'on essaie d'exciter simultanément deux atomes séparés de quelques micromètres vers un état de Rydberg donné, la forte interaction entre atomes de Rydberg peut empêcher cette excitation simultanée. Dans ce cas, seul un des deux atomes est excité et l'on génère ainsi des corrélations quantiques entre les états des deux atomes, c'est-à-dire de l'intrication. Dans notre expérience, deux atomes de 87Rb dans l'état fondamental 5S1/2 sont piégés chacun dans une pince optique microscopique, à une distance relative de 4 micromètres. En réalisant des transitions entre l'état 5S1/2 et l'état de Rydberg 58D3/2 par des transitions à deux photons, nous obtenons un état intriqué des deux atomes dans les sous-niveaux |5S1/2, f = 1, mf = 1> et |5S1/2, f = 2, mf = 2>. Afin de quantifier l'intrication, nous mesurons la fidélité par rapport à l'état-cible en réalisant des transitions Raman entre ces deux sous-niveaux. La fidélité des paires d'atomes présentes à la fin de l'expérience est supérieure à la valeur seuil de 0,5, ce qui prouve la création d'un état intriqué.

  16. Ensemble clustering in deterministic ensemble Kalman filters

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Javier Amezcua

    2012-07-01

    Full Text Available Ensemble clustering (EC can arise in data assimilation with ensemble square root filters (EnSRFs using non-linear models: an M-member ensemble splits into a single outlier and a cluster of M–1 members. The stochastic Ensemble Kalman Filter does not present this problem. Modifications to the EnSRFs by a periodic resampling of the ensemble through random rotations have been proposed to address it. We introduce a metric to quantify the presence of EC and present evidence to dispel the notion that EC leads to filter failure. Starting from a univariate model, we show that EC is not a permanent but transient phenomenon; it occurs intermittently in non-linear models. We perform a series of data assimilation experiments using a standard EnSRF and a modified EnSRF by a resampling though random rotations. The modified EnSRF thus alleviates issues associated with EC at the cost of traceability of individual ensemble trajectories and cannot use some of algorithms that enhance performance of standard EnSRF. In the non-linear regimes of low-dimensional models, the analysis root mean square error of the standard EnSRF slowly grows with ensemble size if the size is larger than the dimension of the model state. However, we do not observe this problem in a more complex model that uses an ensemble size much smaller than the dimension of the model state, along with inflation and localisation. Overall, we find that transient EC does not handicap the performance of the standard EnSRF.

  17. Online Learning with Ensembles

    OpenAIRE

    Urbanczik, R

    1999-01-01

    Supervised online learning with an ensemble of students randomized by the choice of initial conditions is analyzed. For the case of the perceptron learning rule, asymptotically the same improvement in the generalization error of the ensemble compared to the performance of a single student is found as in Gibbs learning. For more optimized learning rules, however, using an ensemble yields no improvement. This is explained by showing that for any learning rule $f$ a transform $\\tilde{f}$ exists,...

  18. Morphing ensemble Kalman filters

    OpenAIRE

    Beezley, Jonathan D.; Mandel, Jan

    2008-01-01

    A new type of ensemble filter is proposed, which combines an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) with the ideas of morphing and registration from image processing. This results in filters suitable for non-linear problems whose solutions exhibit moving coherent features, such as thin interfaces in wildfire modelling. The ensemble members are represented as the composition of one common state with a spatial transformation, called registration mapping, plus a residual. A fully automatic registration m...

  19. Morphing Ensemble Kalman Filters

    OpenAIRE

    Beezley, Jonathan D.; Mandel, Jan

    2007-01-01

    A new type of ensemble filter is proposed, which combines an ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) with the ideas of morphing and registration from image processing. This results in filters suitable for nonlinear problems whose solutions exhibit moving coherent features, such as thin interfaces in wildfire modeling. The ensemble members are represented as the composition of one common state with a spatial transformation, called registration mapping, plus a residual. A fully automatic registration met...

  20. L'entre-deux-guerres mathématique à travers les thèses soutenues en France

    OpenAIRE

    Leloup, Juliette

    2009-01-01

    L'entre-deux-guerres mathématique est étudié à partir des 242 thèses en sciences mathématiques soutenues en France. Ce corpus est analysé à trois niveaux différents. L'analyse de premier niveau consiste en une analyse quantitative de l'ensemble des doctorats. Elle permet de mettre en évidence les équilibres entre les différents domaines des sciences mathématiques et les différentes facultés de France, celle de Paris et celles de province. Les thèses soutenues en province sont alors étudiées s...

  1. Multilevel ensemble Kalman filtering

    OpenAIRE

    Hoel, Håkon; Law, Kody J. H.; Tempone, Raul

    2015-01-01

    This work embeds a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) sampling strategy into the Monte Carlo step of the ensemble Kalman filter (ENKF), thereby yielding a multilevel ensemble Kalman filter (MLENKF) which has provably superior asymptotic cost to a given accuracy level. The theoretical results are illustrated numerically.

  2. Towards Intelligent Ensembles

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Bureš, Tomáš; Krijt, F.; Plášil, F.; Hnětynka, P.; Jiráček, Z.

    New York,: ACM, 2015, Article No. 17. ISBN 978-1-4503-3393-1. [ECSAW '15. European Conference on Software Architecture Workshops. Dubrovnik (HR), 07.09.2015-08.09.2015] Institutional support: RVO:67985807 Keywords : distributed coordination * architectural adaptation * ensemble-based component systems * component model * emergent architecture * component ensembles * autonomic systems Subject RIV: JC - Computer Hardware ; Software

  3. Deux approches du risque d'inondation en France

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Bruno LEDOUX

    1994-12-01

    Full Text Available En France, les sources d’informations centralisées sur les risques naturels sont rares. Pourtant, une politique de prévention engagée par l’État nécessite de disposer d’une information à l’échelle nationale, d’évaluer les enjeux et de mobiliser les acteurs. Deux sources d’informations sont décrites et exploitées, qui permettent, par une représentation cartographique nationale, d’amorcer analyses et débats.

  4. Syndrome de Rhupus: à propos de deux observations

    OpenAIRE

    Hachicha, Imen; Fourati, Hela; Akrout, Rim; Baklouti, Sofien

    2012-01-01

    L'association lupus érythémateux systémique et polyarthrite rhumatoïde (rhupus)est une condition clinique rare. A travers le monde 50 cas de Rhupus ont été décrits. Nous en rapportons deux nouvelles observations de patientes Tunisiennes qui présentaient une polyarthrite érosive à prédominance distale avec des anticorps anti Sm positifs dans un cas et des anti-DNA natifs dans l'autre cas.

  5. A Classifier Ensemble of Binary Classifier Ensembles

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Sajad Parvin

    2011-09-01

    Full Text Available This paper proposes an innovative combinational algorithm to improve the performance in multiclass classification domains. Because the more accurate classifier the better performance of classification, the researchers in computer communities have been tended to improve the accuracies of classifiers. Although a better performance for classifier is defined the more accurate classifier, but turning to the best classifier is not always the best option to obtain the best quality in classification. It means to reach the best classification there is another alternative to use many inaccurate or weak classifiers each of them is specialized for a sub-space in the problem space and using their consensus vote as the final classifier. So this paper proposes a heuristic classifier ensemble to improve the performance of classification learning. It is specially deal with multiclass problems which their aim is to learn the boundaries of each class from many other classes. Based on the concept of multiclass problems classifiers are divided into two different categories: pairwise classifiers and multiclass classifiers. The aim of a pairwise classifier is to separate one class from another one. Because of pairwise classifiers just train for discrimination between two classes, decision boundaries of them are simpler and more effective than those of multiclass classifiers.The main idea behind the proposed method is to focus classifier in the erroneous spaces of problem and use of pairwise classification concept instead of multiclass classification concept. Indeed although usage of pairwise classification concept instead of multiclass classification concept is not new, we propose a new pairwise classifier ensemble with a very lower order. In this paper, first the most confused classes are determined and then some ensembles of classifiers are created. The classifiers of each of these ensembles jointly work using majority weighting votes. The results of these ensembles

  6. Ensemble Data Mining Methods

    Data.gov (United States)

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration — Ensemble Data Mining Methods, also known as Committee Methods or Model Combiners, are machine learning methods that leverage the power of multiple models to achieve...

  7. Ensembl variation resources

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Marin-Garcia Pablo

    2010-05-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background The maturing field of genomics is rapidly increasing the number of sequenced genomes and producing more information from those previously sequenced. Much of this additional information is variation data derived from sampling multiple individuals of a given species with the goal of discovering new variants and characterising the population frequencies of the variants that are already known. These data have immense value for many studies, including those designed to understand evolution and connect genotype to phenotype. Maximising the utility of the data requires that it be stored in an accessible manner that facilitates the integration of variation data with other genome resources such as gene annotation and comparative genomics. Description The Ensembl project provides comprehensive and integrated variation resources for a wide variety of chordate genomes. This paper provides a detailed description of the sources of data and the methods for creating the Ensembl variation databases. It also explores the utility of the information by explaining the range of query options available, from using interactive web displays, to online data mining tools and connecting directly to the data servers programmatically. It gives a good overview of the variation resources and future plans for expanding the variation data within Ensembl. Conclusions Variation data is an important key to understanding the functional and phenotypic differences between individuals. The development of new sequencing and genotyping technologies is greatly increasing the amount of variation data known for almost all genomes. The Ensembl variation resources are integrated into the Ensembl genome browser and provide a comprehensive way to access this data in the context of a widely used genome bioinformatics system. All Ensembl data is freely available at http://www.ensembl.org and from the public MySQL database server at ensembldb.ensembl.org.

  8. Ensembles on Random Patches

    OpenAIRE

    Louppe, Gilles; Geurts, Pierre

    2012-01-01

    In this paper, we consider supervised learning under the assumption that the available memory is small compared to the dataset size. This general framework is relevant in the context of big data, distributed databases and embedded systems. We investigate a very simple, yet effective, ensemble framework that builds each individual model of the ensemble from a random patch of data obtained by drawing random subsets of both instances and features from the whole dataset. We carry out an extensive...

  9. Du Lac de Geneve au Lac Baikal: deux metropoles en construction

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Guy Mettan

    2006-08-01

    'Annemasse dans un ensemble qui atteindrait environ un million d'habitants au total. Le lac Leman (Lac de Geneve faisant office de point commun entre ces villes, la region prendrait le nom de metropole lemanique ou de Bassin lemanique. Ce qui a pour avantage de ne pas mettre Geneve trop en evidence et de ne pas vexer les autres villes dont les noms seraient menaces de disparaitre au profit de Geneve.Pour reussir, ce rapprochement doit respecter quelques principes fondamentaux :1 developper les infrastructures communes et les moyens de communication entre les villes partenaires : la gestion de l''aeroport international de Geneve a ainsi ete ouvert a la France et aux representants de Lausanne. On projette de construire une troisieme voie pour l'autoroute et la ligne de chemin de fer qui relie Geneve a Lausanne. Sur le plan politique, les deputes des deux provin2ces militent dans la meme direction.2 respecter les identites traditionnelles et developper une identite commune autour d'un projet rassembleur. Le projet de fusion a echoue parce qu'il niait l'histoire et les traditions propres a chaque ville. Sans territoire et de tradition protestante calviniste, Geneve est universitaire, internationale, tres urbaine. Lausanne est lutherienne et plus enracinee dans une region agricole et viticole. La culture et l'economie, et surtout la fiscalite ne sont pas les memes. Cela reconnu, il convient malgre tout de developper des projets communs, qui rassemblent les habitants des deux regions et puissent peu a peu forger l'idee d'un destin commun. Pour Geneve et Lausanne, ce pourrait etre la vocation internationale, Geneve etant connue pour ses organisations internationales liees et le siege europeen de l'ONU tandis que Lausanne est devenue la capitale internationale du sport avec le CIO (Comite international olympique et federations sportives. Un deuxieme axe est de profiler l'ensemble de la metropole comme une region du savoir, avec ses universites, ses sieges d'entreprises multinationales et

  10. Outils de perçage à deux moteurs coaxiaux

    OpenAIRE

    MORARU, George; FRANGEARD, Didier

    2015-01-01

    La présente invention concerne le domaine de l’usinage par enlèvement de matière. L’invention a ainsi pour objet une machine d’usinage et, plus particulièrement, une machine de perçage ou de fraisage. La machine à la particularité d’intégrer deux moteurs électriques destinés à contrôler les mouvements d’avance et de rotation d’un outil, tout en permettant une action d’assistance vibratoire, particulièrement utile pour le perçage de matériaux difficiles à usiner.

  11. Die dramatiese discours in Pas de deux van Hugo Claus

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    R. Vaughan

    1990-05-01

    Full Text Available Drama is action, verbal drama is speech action, and the dramatic text is subject to a similar set of rules as that governing the extra-literary communication situation. Dramatic irony, the very essence of drama itself, is generated by a dual, mutually interactive process of communication, whereby the audience is “written into” the text in a way distinguishing it from other literary genres, and by a systematic flouting of the rules governing communication. Pas de deux demonstrates the peculiar duality of dramatic discourse by its complex exploitation of the breakdown/non-breakdown of Grice’s Co-operative Principle-. communication/non-communication becomes reversible and, therefore, mutually constitutive concepts “releasing meaning” and conveying the “ideology” of this play.

  12. Un capteur d'extensométrie miniature à deux voies

    OpenAIRE

    FERRAND, J.C.

    1982-01-01

    Un capteur d’extensométrie miniature à deux voies a été réalisé. Il permet de mesurer les déformations dans deux directions perpendiculaires, et sa sensibilité est de 5 microdéformations. Il s’applique sur le bois sans collage.

  13. The semantic similarity ensemble

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Andrea Ballatore

    2013-12-01

    Full Text Available Computational measures of semantic similarity between geographic terms provide valuable support across geographic information retrieval, data mining, and information integration. To date, a wide variety of approaches to geo-semantic similarity have been devised. A judgment of similarity is not intrinsically right or wrong, but obtains a certain degree of cognitive plausibility, depending on how closely it mimics human behavior. Thus selecting the most appropriate measure for a specific task is a significant challenge. To address this issue, we make an analogy between computational similarity measures and soliciting domain expert opinions, which incorporate a subjective set of beliefs, perceptions, hypotheses, and epistemic biases. Following this analogy, we define the semantic similarity ensemble (SSE as a composition of different similarity measures, acting as a panel of experts having to reach a decision on the semantic similarity of a set of geographic terms. The approach is evaluated in comparison to human judgments, and results indicate that an SSE performs better than the average of its parts. Although the best member tends to outperform the ensemble, all ensembles outperform the average performance of each ensemble's member. Hence, in contexts where the best measure is unknown, the ensemble provides a more cognitively plausible approach.

  14. Imprinting and recalling cortical ensembles.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Carrillo-Reid, Luis; Yang, Weijian; Bando, Yuki; Peterka, Darcy S; Yuste, Rafael

    2016-08-12

    Neuronal ensembles are coactive groups of neurons that may represent building blocks of cortical circuits. These ensembles could be formed by Hebbian plasticity, whereby synapses between coactive neurons are strengthened. Here we report that repetitive activation with two-photon optogenetics of neuronal populations from ensembles in the visual cortex of awake mice builds neuronal ensembles that recur spontaneously after being imprinted and do not disrupt preexisting ones. Moreover, imprinted ensembles can be recalled by single- cell stimulation and remain coactive on consecutive days. Our results demonstrate the persistent reconfiguration of cortical circuits by two-photon optogenetics into neuronal ensembles that can perform pattern completion. PMID:27516599

  15. Neural Network Ensembles

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Hansen, Lars Kai; Salamon, Peter

    1990-01-01

    We propose several means for improving the performance an training of neural networks for classification. We use crossvalidation as a tool for optimizing network parameters and architecture. We show further that the remaining generalization error can be reduced by invoking ensembles of similar...... networks....

  16. Le facteur temps ne sonne jamais deux fois

    CERN Document Server

    Klein, Etienne

    2009-01-01

    Chose déroutante, décidément, que le temps. Nous en parlons comme d'une notion familière, évidente, voire domestique, "gérable". Nous parlons même d'un "temps réel" pour évoquer l'instantanéité, c'est-à-dire le temps sur lequel nous n'avons aucune prise. Les physiciens, eux, l'ont couplé à l'espace, en ont fait une variable mathématique, abstraite, qu'ils intègrent dans des théories audacieuses, spectaculaires, si complexes qu'elles sont difficiles à traduire en langage courant. Certains disent même avoir identifié le moteur du temps. Quant aux philosophes, ils ne cessent depuis plus de deux millénaires de soumettre le temps au questionnement : est-il une sorte d'entité primitive, originaire, qui ne dériverait que d'elle-même? Ou procéderait-il au contraire d'une ou plusieurs autres entités, plus fondamentales: la relation de cause à effet, par exemple? Le temps s'écoule-t-il de lui-même ou a-t-il besoin des événements qui s'y déroulent pour passer? S'apparente-t-il au devenir,...

  17. Kingston Soundpainting Ensemble

    OpenAIRE

    Minors, Helen Julia

    2012-01-01

    This performance is designed to introduce teachers and school musicians to this live multidisciplinary live composing sign language. Led by Dr. Helen Julia Minors (soundpainter, trumpet, voice), the Kingston Soundpainting Ensemble, led by Dr. Minors at Kington University, is representated by a section a varied set of performers, using woodwind, brass, voice and percussion, spanning popular, classical and world styles. This performance consists of: Philip Warda (electronic instruments,...

  18. Effective Visualization of Temporal Ensembles.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hao, Lihua; Healey, Christopher G; Bass, Steffen A

    2016-01-01

    An ensemble is a collection of related datasets, called members, built from a series of runs of a simulation or an experiment. Ensembles are large, temporal, multidimensional, and multivariate, making them difficult to analyze. Another important challenge is visualizing ensembles that vary both in space and time. Initial visualization techniques displayed ensembles with a small number of members, or presented an overview of an entire ensemble, but without potentially important details. Recently, researchers have suggested combining these two directions, allowing users to choose subsets of members to visualization. This manual selection process places the burden on the user to identify which members to explore. We first introduce a static ensemble visualization system that automatically helps users locate interesting subsets of members to visualize. We next extend the system to support analysis and visualization of temporal ensembles. We employ 3D shape comparison, cluster tree visualization, and glyph based visualization to represent different levels of detail within an ensemble. This strategy is used to provide two approaches for temporal ensemble analysis: (1) segment based ensemble analysis, to capture important shape transition time-steps, clusters groups of similar members, and identify common shape changes over time across multiple members; and (2) time-step based ensemble analysis, which assumes ensemble members are aligned in time by combining similar shapes at common time-steps. Both approaches enable users to interactively visualize and analyze a temporal ensemble from different perspectives at different levels of detail. We demonstrate our techniques on an ensemble studying matter transition from hadronic gas to quark-gluon plasma during gold-on-gold particle collisions. PMID:26529728

  19. Shared Psychotic Disorder (Folie à Deux in Turkey

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Buket Cinemre

    2009-09-01

    Full Text Available Shared psychotic disorder or folie à deux is a rare and relatively unknown syndrome. Large case series are needed to find out and clarify the etiological factors and the phenomenology of shared psychotic disorder by comparing the cases from different society and cultures. In this study, we reviewed all reported cases of shared psychotic disorder that had been published or presented in Turkey since 1962. To reach this aim, we have searched Pubmed/Medline, ScienceDirect, Google Scholar, Ulakbim Turkish Medical Index, Turkish Psychiatric Index databases for published records originating from Turkey. We have also manually searched poster abstract books of congresses held in Turkey between 1962 and 2009. All cases eligible for inclusion into this study have been evaluated one by one and grouped as primary or secondary cases. The features of these cases were investigated for a number of variables including age, sex, educational level, occupation, the presence of shared delusion and hallucinations, diagnosis, management, onset of illness, family history, IQ, social isolation, the nature of the relationship and classification system used for diagnosis. The results have showed that the syndrome is more frequently observed among women, within same family members and between sisters. Social isolation was the most common risk factor in these patients and most patients shared hallucinations with their partners along with their delusions. Several secondary cases required antipsychotic drugs for the treatment of their symptoms. Though these features were inline with literature findings, the present findings from Turkish population were different from previous studies with regards to the presence of olfactory hallucinations, absence of grandiose delusions and the number of affected family members. The results mostly supported the challenges and discussions in western countries. To understand this most pathological form of interpersonal relationships

  20. Multilevel ensemble Kalman filtering

    KAUST Repository

    Hoel, Hakon

    2016-06-14

    This work embeds a multilevel Monte Carlo sampling strategy into the Monte Carlo step of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) in the setting of finite dimensional signal evolution and noisy discrete-time observations. The signal dynamics is assumed to be governed by a stochastic differential equation (SDE), and a hierarchy of time grids is introduced for multilevel numerical integration of that SDE. The resulting multilevel EnKF is proved to asymptotically outperform EnKF in terms of computational cost versus approximation accuracy. The theoretical results are illustrated numerically.

  1. Deux nouvelles lèvres de Cassidae au PPNB

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Gaëlle Le Dosseur

    2008-03-01

    Full Text Available En 2008, deux nouvelles lèvres de Cassidae ont été mises au jour sur deux sites néolithiques (Néolithique Précéramique B : PPNB du Levant Sud : Beisamoun et Yiftahel. Il s’agit d’objets façonnés sur la lèvre externe de coquillages méditerranéens appelés Phalium granulatum. Des aménagements pour la suspension (perforations aux extrémités laissent penser que ces objets ont été utilisés comme pendentifs ou qu’ils ont été cousus sur des vêtements ou des accessoires. Ces découvertes alimentent la discussion sur l’approvisionnement en matières premières mais aussi sur les parentés culturelles et les singularités de chaque site à cette époque. Si l’usage de lèvres de Cassidae est partagé par de nombreux sites PPNB, les modes de fabrication et de suspension ne sont pas strictement les mêmes sur tous. Ces variations reflètent-elles une évolution des modes de suspension dans le temps (au cours du PPNB moyen/récent ? Ou révèlent-elles des choix « contemporains » distincts, qui contribueraient à définir l’identité propre de chaque site ?   Après le Néolithique, l’usage des lèvres de Cassidae se poursuit aux Âges des métaux. À cette époque plus qu’au Néolithique, ces objets sont retrouvés dans des contextes funéraires. Il est difficile de savoir si cette situation résulte des méthodes de fouilles distinctes adoptées sur les sites néolithiques et sur ceux des Âges des métaux ou si elle est une réalité archéologique. Dans le second cas, on pourrait proposer que le sens donné aux lèvres de Cassidae, en partie reflété par le lieu de dépôt, a pu évoluer avec le temps.Two more cassid lips for the PPNBBeisamoun and Yiftahel In 2008, two new cassid lips have been found on two Neolithic sites (Pre Pottery Neolithic B, in the Southern Levant: Beisamoun and Yiftahel. These objects are shaped on the external lip of shells coming from the Mediterranean Sea and called Phalium

  2. Multinomial logistic regression ensembles.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lee, Kyewon; Ahn, Hongshik; Moon, Hojin; Kodell, Ralph L; Chen, James J

    2013-05-01

    This article proposes a method for multiclass classification problems using ensembles of multinomial logistic regression models. A multinomial logit model is used as a base classifier in ensembles from random partitions of predictors. The multinomial logit model can be applied to each mutually exclusive subset of the feature space without variable selection. By combining multiple models the proposed method can handle a huge database without a constraint needed for analyzing high-dimensional data, and the random partition can improve the prediction accuracy by reducing the correlation among base classifiers. The proposed method is implemented using R, and the performance including overall prediction accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity for each category is evaluated on two real data sets and simulation data sets. To investigate the quality of prediction in terms of sensitivity and specificity, the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) is also examined. The performance of the proposed model is compared to a single multinomial logit model and it shows a substantial improvement in overall prediction accuracy. The proposed method is also compared with other classification methods such as the random forest, support vector machines, and random multinomial logit model. PMID:23611203

  3. L’histoire du malade. Croisement de deux anthropologies

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Pauline Labey

    2010-05-01

    Full Text Available L’histoire des malades peut intégrer l’anthropologie de deux manières. Tout d’abord, elle peut utiliser l’anthropologie comme source de méthode et de questionnement. En écrivant une histoire de l’homme malade, l’historien se doit de saisir une situation corporelle individuelle et ses conséquences sociales dans un quotidien. Il interroge donc une société sur son rapport au corps, lorsqu’il est atteint par le mal, et sur son rapport à la norme, lorsqu’on s’en écarte. Ensuite, l’histoire des malades peut porter sur l’anthropologie comme discours, produit dans une période donnée. L’anthropologie est dès lors abordée en tant qu’objet de recherche. En croisant pratique et discours, il est possible de saisir les conséquences individuelles de l’évènement maladie. Pour le Moyen Age central, enjeux spirituels et enjeux institutionnels peuvent s’éclairer, grâce à cette double utilisation de l’anthropologie.The history of those who suffer from illness may integrate anthropology in two ways. First, anthropology can be used as method and a mode of questioning. In writing history of the sick, the historian must grasp a particular physiological situation and its social consequences in everyday life. He must question a society about its relationship with the body when it is affected by illness, and about what happens when an individual departs from the norm of health. Second, a history of the sick can use anthropology as a discourse, the product of a given period. In this case, anthropology is used as a subject of research. Combining practice and discourse, it is possible to apprehend individual consequences of an illness-event. This dual use of anthropology may clarify the spiritual and institutional consequences of illness in the central Middle Ages.La storia dei malati può integrare l’antropologia in due modi. In primo luogo, può utilizzare l’antropologia come fonte di metodi e di interrogativi

  4. Representative Ensembles in Statistical Mechanics

    OpenAIRE

    V. I. YUKALOV

    2007-01-01

    The notion of representative statistical ensembles, correctly representing statistical systems, is strictly formulated. This notion allows for a proper description of statistical systems, avoiding inconsistencies in theory. As an illustration, a Bose-condensed system is considered. It is shown that a self-consistent treatment of the latter, using a representative ensemble, always yields a conserving and gapless theory.

  5. PSO-Ensemble Demo Application

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    2004-01-01

    Within the framework of the PSO-Ensemble project (FU2101) a demo application has been created. The application use ECMWF ensemble forecasts. Two instances of the application are running; one for Nysted Offshore and one for the total production (except Horns Rev) in the Eltra area. The output is...

  6. Ensemble of Causal Trees

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We discuss the geometry of trees endowed with a causal structure using the conventional framework of equilibrium statistical mechanics. We show how this ensemble is related to popular growing network models. In particular we demonstrate that on a class of afine attachment kernels the two models are identical but they can differ substantially for other choice of weights. We show that causal trees exhibit condensation even for asymptotically linear kernels. We derive general formulae describing the degree distribution, the ancestor--descendant correlation and the probability that a randomly chosen node lives at a given geodesic distance from the root. It is shown that the Hausdorff dimension dH of the causal networks is generically infinite. (author)

  7. Ensemble of Causal Trees

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bialas, Piotr

    2003-10-01

    We discuss the geometry of trees endowed with a causal structure using the conventional framework of equilibrium statistical mechanics. We show how this ensemble is related to popular growing network models. In particular we demonstrate that on a class of afine attachment kernels the two models are identical but they can differ substantially for other choice of weights. We show that causal trees exhibit condensation even for asymptotically linear kernels. We derive general formulae describing the degree distribution, the ancestor--descendant correlation and the probability that a randomly chosen node lives at a given geodesic distance from the root. It is shown that the Hausdorff dimension dH of the causal networks is generically infinite.

  8. The nosological significance of Folie à Deux: a review of the literature

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Patel Anish

    2006-08-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background Folie à Deux is a rare syndrome that has attracted much clinical attention. There is increasing doubt over the essence of the condition and the validity of the original description, such that it remains an elusive entity difficult to define. Method We conducted a systematic review of the literature of all cases reporting the phenomenon of Folie à Deux, from the years 1993–2005. Results 64 cases were identified of which 42 met the inclusion criteria. The diagnoses in the primary and secondary were more heterogeneous than current diagnostic criteria suggest. There exists a high degree of similarity between the primary and secondary in terms of susceptibility to psychiatric illness, family and past psychiatric history, than previously thought. Conclusion Folie à Deux can occur in many situations outside the confines of the current classification systems and is not as rare as believed, and should alert the clinician to unrecognized psychiatric problems in the secondary.

  9. Le lupus systémique juvénile familial: à propos de deux familles

    OpenAIRE

    Krich, Sanaa; Inani, Kawtar; Meziane, Mariame; Souilmi, Fatima Zohta; Atmani, Samir; Hida, Mustapha; Harmouch, Taoufik; Amarti, Afaf; Mernissi, Fatima Zohra

    2015-01-01

    Le lupus érythémateux systémique (LES) juvénile est une connectivite rare, d’évolution plus sévère que chez l'adulte. Les cas familiaux sont exceptionnels. Il s'agissait de deux familles (5 patients atteints), chez qui on a objectivé un LES juvénile chez deux sæurs âgées de 14 ans et 6 ans respectivement chez la première famille, deux frères, âgés de 20 ans et 6 ans respectivement plus une sæur âgée de 10 ans chez la deuxième famille. Dans tout les cas le diagnostic de lupus systémique a été ...

  10. On Ensemble Nonlinear Kalman Filtering with Symmetric Analysis Ensembles

    KAUST Repository

    Luo, Xiaodong

    2010-09-19

    The ensemble square root filter (EnSRF) [1, 2, 3, 4] is a popular method for data assimilation in high dimensional systems (e.g., geophysics models). Essentially the EnSRF is a Monte Carlo implementation of the conventional Kalman filter (KF) [5, 6]. It is mainly different from the KF at the prediction steps, where it is some ensembles, rather then the means and covariance matrices, of the system state that are propagated forward. In doing this, the EnSRF is computationally more efficient than the KF, since propagating a covariance matrix forward in high dimensional systems is prohibitively expensive. In addition, the EnSRF is also very convenient in implementation. By propagating the ensembles of the system state, the EnSRF can be directly applied to nonlinear systems without any change in comparison to the assimilation procedures in linear systems. However, by adopting the Monte Carlo method, the EnSRF also incurs certain sampling errors. One way to alleviate this problem is to introduce certain symmetry to the ensembles, which can reduce the sampling errors and spurious modes in evaluation of the means and covariances of the ensembles [7]. In this contribution, we present two methods to produce symmetric ensembles. One is based on the unscented transform [8, 9], which leads to the unscented Kalman filter (UKF) [8, 9] and its variant, the ensemble unscented Kalman filter (EnUKF) [7]. The other is based on Stirling’s interpolation formula (SIF), which results in the divided difference filter (DDF) [10]. Here we propose a simplified divided difference filter (sDDF) in the context of ensemble filtering. The similarity and difference between the sDDF and the EnUKF will be discussed. Numerical experiments will also be conducted to investigate the performance of the sDDF and the EnUKF, and compare them to a well‐established EnSRF, the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF) [2].

  11. The Ensembl gene annotation system.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Aken, Bronwen L; Ayling, Sarah; Barrell, Daniel; Clarke, Laura; Curwen, Valery; Fairley, Susan; Fernandez Banet, Julio; Billis, Konstantinos; García Girón, Carlos; Hourlier, Thibaut; Howe, Kevin; Kähäri, Andreas; Kokocinski, Felix; Martin, Fergal J; Murphy, Daniel N; Nag, Rishi; Ruffier, Magali; Schuster, Michael; Tang, Y Amy; Vogel, Jan-Hinnerk; White, Simon; Zadissa, Amonida; Flicek, Paul; Searle, Stephen M J

    2016-01-01

    The Ensembl gene annotation system has been used to annotate over 70 different vertebrate species across a wide range of genome projects. Furthermore, it generates the automatic alignment-based annotation for the human and mouse GENCODE gene sets. The system is based on the alignment of biological sequences, including cDNAs, proteins and RNA-seq reads, to the target genome in order to construct candidate transcript models. Careful assessment and filtering of these candidate transcripts ultimately leads to the final gene set, which is made available on the Ensembl website. Here, we describe the annotation process in detail.Database URL: http://www.ensembl.org/index.html. PMID:27337980

  12. Les archives ouvertes et la veille scientifique, deux axes de réflexion

    OpenAIRE

    Chazelas, M.; Courtial, F.; Dassa, M.; Jannik, J.; Jannès-Ober, E.; Martin, C.

    2006-01-01

    / Compte rendu des communications présentées lors des Rencontres INIST/CNRS 2006 des professionnels de l'IST, portant sur deux thématiques : Archives institutionneles/archives ouvertes et veille scientifique/veille stratégique.

  13. A CLUE for CLUster Ensembles

    OpenAIRE

    Kurt Hornik

    2005-01-01

    Cluster ensembles are collections of individual solutions to a given clustering problem which are useful or necessary to consider in a wide range of applications. The R package clue provides an extensible computational environment for creating and analyzing cluster ensembles, with basic data structures for representing partitions and hierarchies, and facilities for computing on these, including methods for measuring proximity and obtaining consensus and "secondary" clusterings....

  14. Similarity measures for protein ensembles

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Lindorff-Larsen, Kresten; Ferkinghoff-Borg, Jesper

    2009-01-01

    Analyses of similarities and changes in protein conformation can provide important information regarding protein function and evolution. Many scores, including the commonly used root mean square deviation, have therefore been developed to quantify the similarities of different protein conformations...... synthetic example from molecular dynamics simulations. We then apply the algorithms to revisit the problem of ensemble averaging during structure determination of proteins, and find that an ensemble refinement method is able to recover the correct distribution of conformations better than standard single...

  15. The entropy of network ensembles

    OpenAIRE

    Bianconi, Ginestra

    2008-01-01

    In this paper we generalize the concept of random networks to describe networks with non trivial features by a statistical mechanics approach. This framework is able to describe ensembles of undirected, directed as well as weighted networks. These networks might have not trivial community structure or, in the case of networks embedded in a given space, non trivial distance dependence of the link probability. These ensembles are characterized by their entropy which evaluate the cardinality of ...

  16. Quantum Gibbs ensemble Monte Carlo

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We present a path integral Monte Carlo method which is the full quantum analogue of the Gibbs ensemble Monte Carlo method of Panagiotopoulos to study the gas-liquid coexistence line of a classical fluid. Unlike previous extensions of Gibbs ensemble Monte Carlo to include quantum effects, our scheme is viable even for systems with strong quantum delocalization in the degenerate regime of temperature. This is demonstrated by an illustrative application to the gas-superfluid transition of 4He in two dimensions

  17. Deformed Ginibre ensembles and integrable systems

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Orlov, A.Yu., E-mail: orlovs@ocean.ru

    2014-01-17

    We consider three Ginibre ensembles (real, complex and quaternion-real) with deformed measures and relate them to known integrable systems by presenting partition functions of these ensembles in form of fermionic expectation values. We also introduce double deformed Dyson–Wigner ensembles and compare their fermionic representations with those of Ginibre ensembles.

  18. Localization of atomic ensembles via superfluorescence

    OpenAIRE

    Macovei, M.; Evers, J.; Keitel, C. H.; Zubairy, M. S.

    2006-01-01

    The sub-wavelength localization of an ensemble of atoms concentrated to a small volume in space is investigated. The localization relies on the interaction of the ensemble with a standing wave laser field. The light scattered in the interaction of standing wave field and atom ensemble depends on the position of the ensemble relative to the standing wave nodes. This relation can be described by a fluorescence intensity profile, which depends on the standing wave field parameters, the ensemble ...

  19. Estimating preselected and postselected ensembles

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Massar, Serge [Laboratoire d' Information Quantique, C.P. 225, Universite libre de Bruxelles (U.L.B.), Av. F. D. Rooselvelt 50, B-1050 Bruxelles (Belgium); Popescu, Sandu [H. H. Wills Physics Laboratory, University of Bristol, Tyndall Avenue, Bristol BS8 1TL (United Kingdom); Hewlett-Packard Laboratories, Stoke Gifford, Bristol BS12 6QZ (United Kingdom)

    2011-11-15

    In analogy with the usual quantum state-estimation problem, we introduce the problem of state estimation for a pre- and postselected ensemble. The problem has fundamental physical significance since, as argued by Y. Aharonov and collaborators, pre- and postselected ensembles are the most basic quantum ensembles. Two new features are shown to appear: (1) information is flowing to the measuring device both from the past and from the future; (2) because of the postselection, certain measurement outcomes can be forced never to occur. Due to these features, state estimation in such ensembles is dramatically different from the case of ordinary, preselected-only ensembles. We develop a general theoretical framework for studying this problem and illustrate it through several examples. We also prove general theorems establishing that information flowing from the future is closely related to, and in some cases equivalent to, the complex conjugate information flowing from the past. Finally, we illustrate our approach on examples involving covariant measurements on spin-1/2 particles. We emphasize that all state-estimation problems can be extended to the pre- and postselected situation. The present work thus lays the foundations of a much more general theory of quantum state estimation.

  20. Ensemble algorithms in reinforcement learning.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wiering, Marco A; van Hasselt, Hado

    2008-08-01

    This paper describes several ensemble methods that combine multiple different reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms in a single agent. The aim is to enhance learning speed and final performance by combining the chosen actions or action probabilities of different RL algorithms. We designed and implemented four different ensemble methods combining the following five different RL algorithms: Q-learning, Sarsa, actor-critic (AC), QV-learning, and AC learning automaton. The intuitively designed ensemble methods, namely, majority voting (MV), rank voting, Boltzmann multiplication (BM), and Boltzmann addition, combine the policies derived from the value functions of the different RL algorithms, in contrast to previous work where ensemble methods have been used in RL for representing and learning a single value function. We show experiments on five maze problems of varying complexity; the first problem is simple, but the other four maze tasks are of a dynamic or partially observable nature. The results indicate that the BM and MV ensembles significantly outperform the single RL algorithms. PMID:18632380

  1. Ensemble Equivalence for Distinguishable Particles

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Antonio Fernández-Peralta

    2016-07-01

    Full Text Available Statistics of distinguishable particles has become relevant in systems of colloidal particles and in the context of applications of statistical mechanics to complex networks. In this paper, we present evidence that a commonly used expression for the partition function of a system of distinguishable particles leads to huge fluctuations of the number of particles in the grand canonical ensemble and, consequently, to nonequivalence of statistical ensembles. We will show that the alternative definition of the partition function including, naturally, Boltzmann’s correct counting factor for distinguishable particles solves the problem and restores ensemble equivalence. Finally, we also show that this choice for the partition function does not produce any inconsistency for a system of distinguishable localized particles, where the monoparticular partition function is not extensive.

  2. A mollified Ensemble Kalman filter

    CERN Document Server

    Bergemann, Kay

    2010-01-01

    It is well recognized that discontinuous analysis increments of sequential data assimilation systems, such as ensemble Kalman filters, might lead to spurious high frequency adjustment processes in the model dynamics. Various methods have been devised to continuously spread out the analysis increments over a fixed time interval centered about analysis time. Among these techniques are nudging and incremental analysis updates (IAU). Here we propose another alternative, which may be viewed as a hybrid of nudging and IAU and which arises naturally from a recently proposed continuous formulation of the ensemble Kalman analysis step. A new slow-fast extension of the popular Lorenz-96 model is introduced to demonstrate the properties of the proposed mollified ensemble Kalman filter.

  3. Ensemble teleportation under suboptimal conditions

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The possibility of teleportation is certainly the most interesting consequence of quantum non-separability. In the present paper, the feasibility of teleportation is examined on the basis of the rigorous ensemble interpretation of quantum mechanics if non-ideal constraints are imposed on the teleportation scheme. Importance is attached both to the case of noisy Einstein-Podolsky-Rosen (EPR) ensembles and to the conditions under which automatic teleportation is still possible. The success of teleportation is discussed using a new fidelity measure which avoids the weaknesses of previous proposals

  4. Pattern classification using ensemble methods

    CERN Document Server

    Rokach, Lior

    2009-01-01

    Researchers from various disciplines such as pattern recognition, statistics, and machine learning have explored the use of ensemble methodology since the late seventies. Thus, they are faced with a wide variety of methods, given the growing interest in the field. This book aims to impose a degree of order upon this diversity by presenting a coherent and unified repository of ensemble methods, theories, trends, challenges and applications. The book describes in detail the classical methods, as well as the extensions and novel approaches developed recently. Along with algorithmic descriptions o

  5. The Ensembl Variant Effect Predictor.

    Science.gov (United States)

    McLaren, William; Gil, Laurent; Hunt, Sarah E; Riat, Harpreet Singh; Ritchie, Graham R S; Thormann, Anja; Flicek, Paul; Cunningham, Fiona

    2016-01-01

    The Ensembl Variant Effect Predictor is a powerful toolset for the analysis, annotation, and prioritization of genomic variants in coding and non-coding regions. It provides access to an extensive collection of genomic annotation, with a variety of interfaces to suit different requirements, and simple options for configuring and extending analysis. It is open source, free to use, and supports full reproducibility of results. The Ensembl Variant Effect Predictor can simplify and accelerate variant interpretation in a wide range of study designs. PMID:27268795

  6. Ensemble and constrained clustering with applications

    OpenAIRE

    Abdala, D.D. (Daniel)

    2011-01-01

    Diese Arbeit stellt neue Entwicklungen in Ensemble und Constrained Clustering vor und enthält die folgenden wesentlichen Beiträge: 1) Eine Vereinigung von Constrained und Ensemble Clustering in einem einheitlichen Framework. 2) Eine neue Methode zur Messung und Visualisierung der Variabilität von Ensembles. 3) Ein neues, Random Walker basiertes Verfahren für Ensemble Clustering. 4) Anwendung von Ensemble Clustering für Bildsegmentierung. 5) Eine neue Consensus-Funktion für das Ensemble Cluste...

  7. Mise au point de deux nouveaux matériaux à base de cobalt

    OpenAIRE

    CEA

    2014-01-01

    Des chercheurs du CEA, du CNRS, du Collège de France et de l’Université de Grenoble ont mis au point deux nouveaux matériaux à base de cobalt capables de remplacer le platine, métal rare et cher, dans la production d’hydrogène à partir d’eau (électrolyse). L’un peut fonctionner en solution aqueuse de pH neutre. Le second constitue le premier matériau catalytique « commutable » et sans métaux nobles jamais créé capable d’intervenir dans les deux réactions chimiques essentielles à l’électrolys...

  8. Tuberculose multirésistante chez l'enfant: à propos de deux cas

    Science.gov (United States)

    Slimani, Hajar; Bricha, Myriem; Sqalli, Fatima-Ezzahra; Hammi, Sanaa; Bourkadi, Jamal-Eddine

    2016-01-01

    La tuberculose multirésistante chez l'enfant est une forme grave de la tuberculose, présentant un problème majeur de santé surtout dans les pays en voie de développement. Nous présentons le cas de deux enfants suivis dans notre formation pour tuberculose multirésistante mis sous schéma thérapeutique de deuxième ligne. PMID:27279953

  9. Note sur deux espèces de Lepidocyclina des Indes Néerlandaises

    NARCIS (Netherlands)

    Schlumberger, C.

    1899-01-01

    Je dois à l’obligeance de Monsieur K. MARTIN professeur de Géologie à l’Université de Leiden l’envoi pour ma collection de foraminifères de quelques doubles des roches rapportées de Java par Monsieur VERBEEK et j’ai eu la bonne fortune d’y rencontrer deux espèces d’Orbitoïdes du sous-genre Lepidocyc

  10. Tuberculose multirésistante chez l'enfant: à propos de deux cas

    OpenAIRE

    Slimani, Hajar; Bricha, Myriem; Sqalli, Fatima-Ezzahra; Sanaa HAMMI; Bourkadi, Jamal-Eddine

    2016-01-01

    La tuberculose multirésistante chez l'enfant est une forme grave de la tuberculose, présentant un problème majeur de santé surtout dans les pays en voie de développement. Nous présentons le cas de deux enfants suivis dans notre formation pour tuberculose multirésistante mis sous schéma thérapeutique de deuxième ligne.

  11. Realisation de composants tout-fibre passifs bases sur des fibres optiques a deux coeurs

    Science.gov (United States)

    Jacob Poulin, Anne C.

    2002-01-01

    Les composants passifs tout-optique sont des elements de choix dans les systemes de communications optiques. Cette these presente l'utilisation experimentale de fibres a deux coeurs dissimilaires pour la realisation de filtres passe-bande. Les fibres a deux coeurs ont la particularite de favoriser un couplage d'un coeur a l'autre a intervalles reguliers lorsque les coeurs sont exactement identiques. Dans le cas ou une legere difference apparait, ce couplage est rapidement reduit a zero. La premiere partie de la these montre comment, par l'emploi d'une geometrie de fibre appropriee, il est possible de compenser cette desyntonisation et de fabriquer des coupleurs 100%. Les filtres obtenus ayant toutefois une largeur de bande trop grande pour les besoins du marche des communications optiques, il est montre dans la deuxieme partie de la these comment, en alliant la technologie des reseaux de Bragg avec celle des coupleurs, il est possible de realiser des filtres operant en transmission et possedant d'excellentes caracteristiques spectrales, toujours avec ces memes fibres a deux coeurs.

  12. Multimodel ensembles of wheat growth

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Martre, Pierre; Wallach, Daniel; Asseng, Senthold;

    2015-01-01

    such studies are difficult to organize and have only recently begun. We report on the largest ensemble study to date, of 27 wheat models tested in four contrasting locations for their accuracy in simulating multiple crop growth and yield variables. The relative error averaged over models was 24–38% for...

  13. Ensemble algorithms in reinforcement learning

    NARCIS (Netherlands)

    Wiering, Marco A; van Hasselt, Hado

    2008-01-01

    This paper describes several ensemble methods that combine multiple different reinforcement learning (RL) algorithms in a single agent. The aim is to enhance learning speed and final performance by combining the chosen actions or action probabilities of different RL algorithms. We designed and imple

  14. Spectral Diagonal Ensemble Kalman Filters

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Kasanický, Ivan; Mandel, Jan; Vejmelka, Martin

    2015-01-01

    Roč. 22, č. 4 (2015), s. 485-497. ISSN 1023-5809 R&D Projects: GA ČR GA13-34856S Grant ostatní: NSF(US) DMS -1216481 Institutional support: RVO:67985807 Keywords : data assimilation * ensemble Kalman filter * spectral representation Subject RIV: DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology Impact factor: 0.987, year: 2014

  15. Spectral Diagonal Ensemble Kalman Filters

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Kasanický, Ivan; Mandel, Jan; Vejmelka, Martin

    2015-01-01

    Roč. 22, č. 4 (2015), s. 485-497. ISSN 1023-5809 R&D Projects: GA ČR GA13-34856S Grant ostatní: NSF(US) DMS-1216481 Institutional support: RVO:67985807 Keywords : data assimilation * ensemble Kalman filter * spectral representation Subject RIV: DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology Impact factor: 0.987, year: 2014

  16. Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) [1 Deg.

    Data.gov (United States)

    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce — The Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) is a weather forecast model made up of 21 separate forecasts, or ensemble members. The National Centers for Environmental...

  17. Propriétés combinatoires des produits tensoriels d'ensembles convexes

    OpenAIRE

    Fonlupt, Jean

    1981-01-01

    Dans le premier chapitre on précise les définitions et notations utilisées par la suite et on rappelle certains résultats nécessaires ultérieurement. Dans le deuxième chapitre on définit à partir de deux ensembles convexes K1 et K2, le produit tensoriel direct note K1 cercle X K2 et polaire K1 d'Alemb. K2. Au troisième chapitre on étudie quelques propriétés faciales de K1 cercle x K2 et de K1d'alemb. K2. Au quatrième chapitre on étudie la relation entre K1 cercle X K2 et K1d'Alemb. K2. Enfin ...

  18. Spectral diagonal ensemble Kalman filters

    CERN Document Server

    Kasanický, Ivan; Vejmelka, Martin

    2015-01-01

    A new type of ensemble Kalman filter is developed, which is based on replacing the sample covariance in the analysis step by its diagonal in a spectral basis. It is proved that this technique improves the aproximation of the covariance when the covariance itself is diagonal in the spectral basis, as is the case, e.g., for a second-order stationary random field and the Fourier basis. The method is extended by wavelets to the case when the state variables are random fields, which are not spatially homogeneous. Efficient implementations by the fast Fourier transform (FFT) and discrete wavelet transform (DWT) are presented for several types of observations, including high-dimensional data given on a part of the domain, such as radar and satellite images. Computational experiments confirm that the method performs well on the Lorenz 96 problem and the shallow water equations with very small ensembles and over multiple analysis cycles.

  19. Spectral diagonal ensemble Kalman filters

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    I. Kasanický

    2015-01-01

    Full Text Available A new type of ensemble Kalman filter is developed, which is based on replacing the sample covariance in the analysis step by its diagonal in a spectral basis. It is proved that this technique improves the aproximation of the covariance when the covariance itself is diagonal in the spectral basis, as is the case, e.g., for a second-order stationary random field and the Fourier basis. The method is extended by wavelets to the case when the state variables are random fields which are not spatially homogeneous. Efficient implementations by the fast Fourier transform (FFT and discrete wavelet transform (DWT are presented for several types of observations, including high-dimensional data given on a part of the domain, such as radar and satellite images. Computational experiments confirm that the method performs well on the Lorenz 96 problem and the shallow water equations with very small ensembles and over multiple analysis cycles.

  20. Symanzik flow on HISQ ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Bazavov, A; Brown, N; DeTar, C; Foley, J; Gottlieb, Steven; Heller, U M; Hetrick, J E; Laiho, J; Levkova, L; Oktay, M; Sugar, R L; Toussaint, D; Van de Water, R S; Zhou, R

    2013-01-01

    We report on a scale determination with gradient-flow techniques on the $N_f = 2 + 1 + 1$ HISQ ensembles generated by the MILC collaboration. The lattice scale $w_0/a$, originally proposed by the BMW collaboration, is computed using Symanzik flow at four lattice spacings ranging from 0.15 to 0.06 fm. With a Taylor series ansatz, the results are simultaneously extrapolated to the continuum and interpolated to physical quark masses. We give a preliminary determination of the scale $w_0$ in physical units, along with associated systematic errors, and compare with results from other groups. We also present a first estimate of autocorrelation lengths as a function of flowtime for these ensembles.

  1. Triticeae resources in Ensembl Plants.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bolser, Dan M; Kerhornou, Arnaud; Walts, Brandon; Kersey, Paul

    2015-01-01

    Recent developments in DNA sequencing have enabled the large and complex genomes of many crop species to be determined for the first time, even those previously intractable due to their polyploid nature. Indeed, over the course of the last 2 years, the genome sequences of several commercially important cereals, notably barley and bread wheat, have become available, as well as those of related wild species. While still incomplete, comparison with other, more completely assembled species suggests that coverage of genic regions is likely to be high. Ensembl Plants (http://plants.ensembl.org) is an integrative resource organizing, analyzing and visualizing genome-scale information for important crop and model plants. Available data include reference genome sequence, variant loci, gene models and functional annotation. For variant loci, individual and population genotypes, linkage information and, where available, phenotypic information are shown. Comparative analyses are performed on DNA and protein sequence alignments. The resulting genome alignments and gene trees, representing the implied evolutionary history of the gene family, are made available for visualization and analysis. Driven by the case of bread wheat, specific extensions to the analysis pipelines and web interface have recently been developed to support polyploid genomes. Data in Ensembl Plants is accessible through a genome browser incorporating various specialist interfaces for different data types, and through a variety of additional methods for programmatic access and data mining. These interfaces are consistent with those offered through the Ensembl interface for the genomes of non-plant species, including those of plant pathogens, pests and pollinators, facilitating the study of the plant in its environment. PMID:25432969

  2. State Ensembles and Quantum Entropy

    Science.gov (United States)

    Kak, Subhash

    2016-06-01

    This paper considers quantum communication involving an ensemble of states. Apart from the von Neumann entropy, it considers other measures one of which may be useful in obtaining information about an unknown pure state and another that may be useful in quantum games. It is shown that under certain conditions in a two-party quantum game, the receiver of the states can increase the entropy by adding another pure state.

  3. Simple Deep Random Model Ensemble

    OpenAIRE

    ZHANG, XIAO-LEI; Wu, Ji

    2013-01-01

    Representation learning and unsupervised learning are two central topics of machine learning and signal processing. Deep learning is one of the most effective unsupervised representation learning approach. The main contributions of this paper to the topics are as follows. (i) We propose to view the representative deep learning approaches as special cases of the knowledge reuse framework of clustering ensemble. (ii) We propose to view sparse coding when used as a feature encoder as the consens...

  4. Ensemble learning incorporating uncertain registration.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Simpson, Ivor J A; Woolrich, Mark W; Andersson, Jesper L R; Groves, Adrian R; Schnabel, Julia A

    2013-04-01

    This paper proposes a novel approach for improving the accuracy of statistical prediction methods in spatially normalized analysis. This is achieved by incorporating registration uncertainty into an ensemble learning scheme. A probabilistic registration method is used to estimate a distribution of probable mappings between subject and atlas space. This allows the estimation of the distribution of spatially normalized feature data, e.g., grey matter probability maps. From this distribution, samples are drawn for use as training examples. This allows the creation of multiple predictors, which are subsequently combined using an ensemble learning approach. Furthermore, extra testing samples can be generated to measure the uncertainty of prediction. This is applied to separating subjects with Alzheimer's disease from normal controls using a linear support vector machine on a region of interest in magnetic resonance images of the brain. We show that our proposed method leads to an improvement in discrimination using voxel-based morphometry and deformation tensor-based morphometry over bootstrap aggregating, a common ensemble learning framework. The proposed approach also generates more reasonable soft-classification predictions than bootstrap aggregating. We expect that this approach could be applied to other statistical prediction tasks where registration is important. PMID:23288332

  5. Optimisation de la fonction MLI d’un onduleur de tension deux-niveaux

    OpenAIRE

    Capitaneanu, Stephan Laurentiu

    2002-01-01

    La fonction MLI (Modulation en Largeur d'Impulsion) ou PWM (Pulse Width Modulation) joue le rôle d'interface entre la partie commande d’un variateur de vitesse et la machine électrique associée. Cette fonction agit sur l'onduleur de tension (ou de courant) de la partie puissance du variateur et joue un rôle essentiel avec des conséquences sur toutes les performances du système. Nos travaux prennent en compte la machine asynchrone commandée à travers l'onduleur de tension deux-niveaux. Plusieu...

  6. Comment attirer deux ravageurs des framboises dans un même piège?

    OpenAIRE

    Baroffio, Catherine; Borg-Karlson, Anna-Karin; Cross, Jerry; Fountain, Michelle; Guibert, Virginie; Hall, David; Ralle, Baiba; Rogivue, Aude; Sigsgaard, Lene; Trandem, Nina; Wibe, Atle

    2015-01-01

    L’anthonome des framboises (Anthonomus rubi) et le ver des framboises (Byturus tomentosus) causent de grosses pertes dans les cultures biologiques de framboises. Dans le cadre du projet européen Core Organic 2, le projet «Softpest Multitrap» a testé une nouvelle approche pour controller simultanément ces deux ravageurs avec un piège commun, afin de proposer une alternative aux insecticides. Le but a été de définir la hauteur du piège, son design et lacombinaison de leurres optimale. Nos essai...

  7. Modélisation et simulation des usagers deux roues motorisés dans ARCHISIM

    OpenAIRE

    Bonte, L; ESPIE, S; Mathieu, P.

    2006-01-01

    Le but de ce travail est de proposer une approche permettant la simulation des usagers de deux-roues motorisés dans un modèle de trafic existant : ARCHISIM. ARCHISIM est un projet de l'INRETS qui a pour but de simuler l'évolution du trafic comme étant le résultat des différents comportements des acteurs de la simulation. Nous montrerons les différences avec les autres usagers de la route (automobilistes, piétons) et pourquoi ces comportements ne sont pas applicables, dans le cadre d'ARCHISIM,...

  8. Territorialisation et circulation des échanges sociaux dans deux sites de la banlieue parisienne

    OpenAIRE

    Benveniste, Annie

    2000-01-01

    L'article analyse la construction de nouvelles territorialités en liaison avec le développement des mouvements ethno-religieux. Deux sites ont été choisis qui avaient fait l'objet d'une recherche sur la ségrégation résidentielle : Sarcelles et Garges-les-Gonesse. L'analyse porte d'abord sur les transformations des espaces, leur appropriation et la recombinaison du public et du privé qui permet de s'émanciper des contraintes de la relégation. Elle porte ensuite sur les nouvelles formes de soli...

  9. Optimally choosing small ensemble members to produce robust climate simulations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This study examines the subset climate model ensemble size required to reproduce certain statistical characteristics from a full ensemble. The ensemble characteristics examined are the root mean square error, the ensemble mean and standard deviation. Subset ensembles are created using measures that consider the simulation performance alone or include a measure of simulation independence relative to other ensemble members. It is found that the independence measure is able to identify smaller subset ensembles that retain the desired full ensemble characteristics than either of the performance based measures. It is suggested that model independence be considered when choosing ensemble subsets or creating new ensembles. (letter)

  10. Caractéristiques biologiques de la truite de mer (Salmo trutta L. au Nord de l'Espagne, dans deux rivières des Asturies

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    TOLEDO Ma Del Mar

    1993-07-01

    Full Text Available Une première caractérisation des truites de mer des rivières du Nord de l'Espagne (Asturies est réalisée à partir de l'analyse de la structure de taille et d'âge, ainsi que celle de l'alimentation et des paramètres reproducteurs des poissons adultes. Les truites proviennent des captures réalisées à la ligne (de juin à août sur les rivières Cares et Narcea et par pêche électrique sur les zones de frayères du Narcea durant la saison de reproduction (novembre à janvier. Les truites de mer échantillonnées durant la saison de pêche ont une structure d'âge semblable sur les deux cours d'eau. Environ 85% des individus sont restés deux ans en eau douce avant de descendre en mer, et plus de 95% d'entre eux appartiennent aux classes d'âge de mer 0 + et 1 + . L'importance relative des poissons de 0 + de mer (finnock est légèrement plus élevée dans le Cares (68% que dans le Narcea (51 %. Le rapport des sexes est en faveur des femelles, quelle que soit la classe d'âge de mer. La structure d'âge marin des truites capturées en période de reproduction ne diffère pas de celle observée durant la saison de pêche, bien que montrant une haute proportion de 0 + de mer (32% de l'ensemble des poissons matures. Le taux de maturation chez les truites de 0 + de mer est particulièrement élevé ( 81% parmi les femelles et 100% chez les mâles et tous les individus des autres classes d'âge de mer sont matures. Le nombre d'oeufs (de 571 à 2086 oeufs par femelle et l'index gonadosomatique sont positivement corrélés à la taille et à l'âge de mer des femelles. La truite de mer se nourrit activement en eau douce durant la remontée estivale, puisque 81 % des estomacs examinés étaient pleins. Elle consomme principalement des Epheméroptères, des Diptères et des Trichoptères, mais son alimentation inclut également des proies d'origine terrestre, essentiellement des Arthropodes.

  11. Measuring social interaction in music ensembles.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Volpe, Gualtiero; D'Ausilio, Alessandro; Badino, Leonardo; Camurri, Antonio; Fadiga, Luciano

    2016-05-01

    Music ensembles are an ideal test-bed for quantitative analysis of social interaction. Music is an inherently social activity, and music ensembles offer a broad variety of scenarios which are particularly suitable for investigation. Small ensembles, such as string quartets, are deemed a significant example of self-managed teams, where all musicians contribute equally to a task. In bigger ensembles, such as orchestras, the relationship between a leader (the conductor) and a group of followers (the musicians) clearly emerges. This paper presents an overview of recent research on social interaction in music ensembles with a particular focus on (i) studies from cognitive neuroscience; and (ii) studies adopting a computational approach for carrying out automatic quantitative analysis of ensemble music performances. PMID:27069054

  12. Ensemble Methods Foundations and Algorithms

    CERN Document Server

    Zhou, Zhi-Hua

    2012-01-01

    An up-to-date, self-contained introduction to a state-of-the-art machine learning approach, Ensemble Methods: Foundations and Algorithms shows how these accurate methods are used in real-world tasks. It gives you the necessary groundwork to carry out further research in this evolving field. After presenting background and terminology, the book covers the main algorithms and theories, including Boosting, Bagging, Random Forest, averaging and voting schemes, the Stacking method, mixture of experts, and diversity measures. It also discusses multiclass extension, noise tolerance, error-ambiguity a

  13. A Localized Ensemble Kalman Smoother

    Science.gov (United States)

    Butala, Mark D.

    2012-01-01

    Numerous geophysical inverse problems prove difficult because the available measurements are indirectly related to the underlying unknown dynamic state and the physics governing the system may involve imperfect models or unobserved parameters. Data assimilation addresses these difficulties by combining the measurements and physical knowledge. The main challenge in such problems usually involves their high dimensionality and the standard statistical methods prove computationally intractable. This paper develops and addresses the theoretical convergence of a new high-dimensional Monte-Carlo approach called the localized ensemble Kalman smoother.

  14. A Selective Fuzzy Clustering Ensemble Algorithm

    OpenAIRE

    Kai Li; Peng Li

    2013-01-01

    To improve the performance of clustering ensemble method, a selective fuzzy clustering ensemble algorithm is proposed. It mainly includes selection of clustering ensemble members and combination of clustering results. In the process of member selection, measure method is defined to select the better clustering members. Then some selected clustering members are viewed as hyper-graph in order to select the more influential hyper-edges (or features) and to weight the selected features. For proce...

  15. Controllability of ensembles of linear dynamical systems

    OpenAIRE

    Schönlein, Michael; Helmke, Uwe

    2015-01-01

    We investigate the task of controlling ensembles of initial and terminal state vectors of parameter-dependent linear systems by applying parameter-independent open loop controls. Necessary, as well as sufficient, conditions for ensemble controllability are established, using tools from complex approximation theory. For real analytic families of linear systems it is shown that ensemble controllability holds only for systems with at most two independent parameters. We apply the results to netwo...

  16. A Gaussian mixture ensemble transform filter

    OpenAIRE

    Reich, Sebastian

    2011-01-01

    We generalize the popular ensemble Kalman filter to an ensemble transform filter where the prior distribution can take the form of a Gaussian mixture or a Gaussian kernel density estimator. The design of the filter is based on a continuous formulation of the Bayesian filter analysis step. We call the new filter algorithm the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter (EGMF). The EGMF is implemented for three simple test problems (Brownian dynamics in one dimension, Langevin dynamics in two dimensions, ...

  17. Coinfection pulmonaire par pneumocystis jirovecii et pseudomonas aeruginosa au cours du SIDA: à propos de deux cas

    OpenAIRE

    Mamoudou, Savadogo; Bellaud, Guillaume; Ana, Canestri; Gilles, Pialoux

    2015-01-01

    Rapporter deux cas cliniques de coinfections pulmonaires par Pneumocystis jirovecii et par Pseudomonas aeruginosa chez des patients vivant avec le VIH. Les deux patients étaient âgés respectivement de 32 ans et 46 ans. Un patient a été pris en charge à l'hôpital Yalgado Ouédraogo de Ouagadougou au Burkina Faso et l'autre a été pris en charge à l'hôpital Ténon de Paris, en France. Les deux souffraient de pneumopathie confirmée à la radiographie et à la tomodensitométrie. L'un des patients étai...

  18. Multi-Model Ensemble Wake Vortex Prediction

    Science.gov (United States)

    Koerner, Stephan; Holzaepfel, Frank; Ahmad, Nash'at N.

    2015-01-01

    Several multi-model ensemble methods are investigated for predicting wake vortex transport and decay. This study is a joint effort between National Aeronautics and Space Administration and Deutsches Zentrum fuer Luft- und Raumfahrt to develop a multi-model ensemble capability using their wake models. An overview of different multi-model ensemble methods and their feasibility for wake applications is presented. The methods include Reliability Ensemble Averaging, Bayesian Model Averaging, and Monte Carlo Simulations. The methodologies are evaluated using data from wake vortex field experiments.

  19. Visualizing ensembles in structural biology.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Melvin, Ryan L; Salsbury, Freddie R

    2016-06-01

    Displaying a single representative conformation of a biopolymer rather than an ensemble of states mistakenly conveys a static nature rather than the actual dynamic personality of biopolymers. However, there are few apparent options due to the fixed nature of print media. Here we suggest a standardized methodology for visually indicating the distribution width, standard deviation and uncertainty of ensembles of states with little loss of the visual simplicity of displaying a single representative conformation. Of particular note is that the visualization method employed clearly distinguishes between isotropic and anisotropic motion of polymer subunits. We also apply this method to ligand binding, suggesting a way to indicate the expected error in many high throughput docking programs when visualizing the structural spread of the output. We provide several examples in the context of nucleic acids and proteins with particular insights gained via this method. Such examples include investigating a therapeutic polymer of FdUMP (5-fluoro-2-deoxyuridine-5-O-monophosphate) - a topoisomerase-1 (Top1), apoptosis-inducing poison - and nucleotide-binding proteins responsible for ATP hydrolysis from Bacillus subtilis. We also discuss how these methods can be extended to any macromolecular data set with an underlying distribution, including experimental data such as NMR structures. PMID:27179343

  20. Hierarchical Bayes Ensemble Kalman Filtering

    CERN Document Server

    Tsyrulnikov, Michael

    2015-01-01

    Ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF), when applied to high-dimensional systems, suffers from an inevitably small affordable ensemble size, which results in poor estimates of the background error covariance matrix ${\\bf B}$. The common remedy is a kind of regularization, usually an ad-hoc spatial covariance localization (tapering) combined with artificial covariance inflation. Instead of using an ad-hoc regularization, we adopt the idea by Myrseth and Omre (2010) and explicitly admit that the ${\\bf B}$ matrix is unknown and random and estimate it along with the state (${\\bf x}$) in an optimal hierarchical Bayes analysis scheme. We separate forecast errors into predictability errors (i.e. forecast errors due to uncertainties in the initial data) and model errors (forecast errors due to imperfections in the forecast model) and include the two respective components ${\\bf P}$ and ${\\bf Q}$ of the ${\\bf B}$ matrix into the extended control vector $({\\bf x},{\\bf P},{\\bf Q})$. Similarly, we break the traditional backgrou...

  1. Faire territoire au quotidien dans les grands ensembles HLM

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Denis la Mache

    2012-05-01

    Full Text Available Cet article propose une lecture anthropologique de la manière dont les habitants des grands ensembles de périphéries urbaines délimitent, administrent, transforment matériellement et symboliquement les espaces et les lieux de leur quotidien pour faire territoire. Nous nous intéresserons à la fabrication de ces entités spatiales dont chaque individu se donne la liberté de disposer chaque jour selon un usage singulier et qu’il entoure d’un champ symbolique spécifique, garant d’identité. Ces « fabrications sociospatiales » seront abordées à partir d’une recherche empirique menée auprès d’habitants de deux terrains d’enquêtes situés dans des périphéries de villes moyennes.This paper proposes an anthropological reading of how the inhabitants of large urban peripheries define, administer, and process their daily spaces and places from a material as much as symbolical point of view to give sense to their territory. We will focus on the making of these spatial entities, witch everyone can dispose of everyday individually, to guarantee their identity. These “socio spatial creations” will be based on an empirical research, that is to say surveys conducted among the suburbians of two towns.

  2. Joys of Community Ensemble Playing: The Case of the Happy Roll Elastic Ensemble in Taiwan

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hsieh, Yuan-Mei; Kao, Kai-Chi

    2012-01-01

    The Happy Roll Elastic Ensemble (HREE) is a community music ensemble supported by Tainan Culture Centre in Taiwan. With enjoyment and friendship as its primary goals, it aims to facilitate the joys of ensemble playing and the spirit of social networking. This article highlights the key aspects of HREE's development in its first two years…

  3. Comment le monde contemporain adapte les deux mythes fondateurs de l’humanité ?

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Georges Lewi

    2014-12-01

    Full Text Available L’être humain, « un roseau, le plus faible de la nature, mais un roseau pensant », a besoin de trouver sa place dans une quête quasi maladive. Le petit être humain a autant besoin d’une boussole que d’un biberon. Voilà à quoi servent les mythes : à trouver enfin sa place parmi les oppositions binaires qui nous assaillent : dedans/dehors, montagne/vallée, homme/femme, mort/vivant, dominant/dominé, Artiste/artisan… Or dans cette géographie de l’intime social, deux mythes s’opposent depuis la nuit des temps : celui de l’âge d’or, mythe collectif du retour en arrière et celui de Pandore, mythe individuel de la fuite en avant. Notre société et nos contemporains n’échappent pas à cette « fatalité ».

  4. Simulation numérique du bruit de frottement lors du contact de deux surfaces rugueuses

    OpenAIRE

    Dang, Viet Hung; Le Bot, Alain

    2010-01-01

    Le bruit généré lors du frottement de deux surfaces rugueuses l'une contre l'autre révèle des régimes et des propriétés très étonnantes [1]. Cependant les expérimentations [2], bien que fondamentales, ne donnent pas accès aux grandeurs mécaniques locales comme les chocs inter-aspérités, les déformations, et pressions locales… Cette étude propose une approche numérique avec un modèle 1D basé sur la résolution des équations mécaniques par la technique de décomposition modale. Le traitement des ...

  5. Variations discursives dans deux situations contrastées de la presse ordinaire

    OpenAIRE

    Moirand, Sophie

    2009-01-01

    Cette étude vise à comparer deux discours sur la science : l’un, mis au jour à partir d’un corpus constitué d’articles référant au domaine de l’astronomie, renvoie à la situation prototypique de la vulgarisation scientifique, dans laquelle le médiateur tient son rôle de gestionnaire discursif entre l’univers de la science et celui du public ; l’autre, mis au jour à partir d’un corpus constitué d’articles publiés à propos de la maladie de la vache folle et des organismes génétiquement modifiés...

  6. Regards actuels sur la muséographie d’entre-deux-guerres

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    François Poncelet

    2008-10-01

    Full Text Available Durant l’entre-deux-guerres, la muséographie des musées d’art présente des évolutions remarquables. De nouvelles pratiques de mise en exposition sont élaborées, se développent et, pour certaines, perdurent jusqu’à aujourd’hui. Les débats dont elles sont issues ressemblent parfois singulièrement aux discussions qui animent les musées d’art actuels. Un regard en arrière s’impose …During the interwar period a remarkable evolution has been in museography of art galleries. New practices are elaborated, developed and continued for a long time – actually up to now for some. The debates in which they originated sometimes strangely resemble the discussions that animate the museums today. A look to back is necessary…  

  7. Les manuels scolaires bulgares au xxe siècle entre deux empires

    OpenAIRE

    Deyanova, Liliana

    2015-01-01

    Sur la base de l’étude de quelques types de manuels scolaires d’histoire, je me propose d’analyser les métamorphoses du récit concernant les deux empires qui ont eu un rôle clé dans l’histoire de la Bulgarie : l’Empire ottoman et l’Empire russe. Dans la mémoire nationale bulgare, les cinq siècles de « domination ottomane » («le joug turc »), dont le pays a été libéré à l’aide de la Russie en 1878, représentent l’archétype du malheur national : cruautés, massacres, villages incendiés, conversi...

  8. Elections présidentielles 2007, typologie des candidats. Les deux France

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Michel Bussi

    2007-04-01

    Full Text Available Depuis près de 25 ans, la géographie électorale de la France a été en grande partie marquée par la forte spatialisation du vote Front national, qui coupait en deux, d’Est en Ouest, le territoire national. Cependant, si cette  « lune brune »  s’est avérée durable de 1988 à 2007, les autres candidats apparaissaient jusqu’à présent indifférents à ce clivage géographique.   L’un des enseignements de ce scrutin semble l’élargissement de ce clivage Est/Ouest à d’autres courants, en particulier à l’...

  9. Layered Ensemble Architecture for Time Series Forecasting.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Rahman, Md Mustafizur; Islam, Md Monirul; Murase, Kazuyuki; Yao, Xin

    2016-01-01

    Time series forecasting (TSF) has been widely used in many application areas such as science, engineering, and finance. The phenomena generating time series are usually unknown and information available for forecasting is only limited to the past values of the series. It is, therefore, necessary to use an appropriate number of past values, termed lag, for forecasting. This paper proposes a layered ensemble architecture (LEA) for TSF problems. Our LEA consists of two layers, each of which uses an ensemble of multilayer perceptron (MLP) networks. While the first ensemble layer tries to find an appropriate lag, the second ensemble layer employs the obtained lag for forecasting. Unlike most previous work on TSF, the proposed architecture considers both accuracy and diversity of the individual networks in constructing an ensemble. LEA trains different networks in the ensemble by using different training sets with an aim of maintaining diversity among the networks. However, it uses the appropriate lag and combines the best trained networks to construct the ensemble. This indicates LEAs emphasis on accuracy of the networks. The proposed architecture has been tested extensively on time series data of neural network (NN)3 and NN5 competitions. It has also been tested on several standard benchmark time series data. In terms of forecasting accuracy, our experimental results have revealed clearly that LEA is better than other ensemble and nonensemble methods. PMID:25751882

  10. A Selective Fuzzy Clustering Ensemble Algorithm

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Kai Li

    2013-12-01

    Full Text Available To improve the performance of clustering ensemble method, a selective fuzzy clustering ensemble algorithm is proposed. It mainly includes selection of clustering ensemble members and combination of clustering results. In the process of member selection, measure method is defined to select the better clustering members. Then some selected clustering members are viewed as hyper-graph in order to select the more influential hyper-edges (or features and to weight the selected features. For processing hyper-edges with fuzzy membership, CSPA and MCLA consensus function are generalized. In the experiments, some UCI data sets are chosen to test the presented algorithm’s performance. From the experimental results, it can be seen that the proposed ensemble method can get better clustering ensemble result.

  11. Rydberg ensemble based CNOTN gates using STIRAP

    Science.gov (United States)

    Gujarati, Tanvi; Duan, Luming

    2016-05-01

    Schemes for implementation of CNOT gates in atomic ensembles are important for realization of quantum computing. We present here a theoretical scheme of a CNOTN gate with an ensemble of three-level atoms in the lambda configuration and a single two-level control atom. We work in the regime of Rydberg blockade for the ensemble atoms due to excitation of the Rydberg control atom. It is shown that using STIRAP, atoms from one ground state of the ensemble can be adiabatically transferred to the other ground state, depending on the state of the control atom. A thorough analysis of adiabatic conditions for this scheme and the influence of the radiative decay is provided. We show that the CNOTN process is immune to the decay rate of the excited level in ensemble atoms. This work is supported by the ARL, the IARPA LogiQ program, and the AFOSR MURI program.

  12. Generation of scenarios from calibrated ensemble forecasts with a dynamic ensemble copula coupling approach

    CERN Document Server

    Bouallegue, Zied Ben; Theis, Susanne E; Pinson, Pierre

    2015-01-01

    Probabilistic forecasts in the form of ensemble of scenarios are required for complex decision making processes. Ensemble forecasting systems provide such products but the spatio-temporal structures of the forecast uncertainty is lost when statistical calibration of the ensemble forecasts is applied for each lead time and location independently. Non-parametric approaches allow the reconstruction of spatio-temporal joint probability distributions at a low computational cost.For example, the ensemble copula coupling (ECC) method consists in rebuilding the multivariate aspect of the forecast from the original ensemble forecasts. Based on the assumption of error stationarity, parametric methods aim to fully describe the forecast dependence structures. In this study, the concept of ECC is combined with past data statistics in order to account for the autocorrelation of the forecast error. The new approach which preserves the dynamical development of the ensemble members is called dynamic ensemble copula coupling (...

  13. ENCORE: Software for Quantitative Ensemble Comparison.

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Matteo Tiberti

    2015-10-01

    Full Text Available There is increasing evidence that protein dynamics and conformational changes can play an important role in modulating biological function. As a result, experimental and computational methods are being developed, often synergistically, to study the dynamical heterogeneity of a protein or other macromolecules in solution. Thus, methods such as molecular dynamics simulations or ensemble refinement approaches have provided conformational ensembles that can be used to understand protein function and biophysics. These developments have in turn created a need for algorithms and software that can be used to compare structural ensembles in the same way as the root-mean-square-deviation is often used to compare static structures. Although a few such approaches have been proposed, these can be difficult to implement efficiently, hindering a broader applications and further developments. Here, we present an easily accessible software toolkit, called ENCORE, which can be used to compare conformational ensembles generated either from simulations alone or synergistically with experiments. ENCORE implements three previously described methods for ensemble comparison, that each can be used to quantify the similarity between conformational ensembles by estimating the overlap between the probability distributions that underlie them. We demonstrate the kinds of insights that can be obtained by providing examples of three typical use-cases: comparing ensembles generated with different molecular force fields, assessing convergence in molecular simulations, and calculating differences and similarities in structural ensembles refined with various sources of experimental data. We also demonstrate efficient computational scaling for typical analyses, and robustness against both the size and sampling of the ensembles. ENCORE is freely available and extendable, integrates with the established MDAnalysis software package, reads ensemble data in many common formats, and can

  14. Analyse du comportement thermodynamique pour deux systèmes de chauffage solaire – murs échangeurs de chaleur

    OpenAIRE

    Grigoraş, Cătălin; Mateescu, Theodor; Cherecheş, Nelu-Cristian

    2011-01-01

    Le but de ce travail est d’effectuer une nouvelle recherche dans le domaine du chauffage solaire passif et actif an étudiant le comportement thermodynamique de deux types de murs capteurs solaires et en même temps d’essayer d’encourager l’étude et la construction de maisons qui utilisent l’énergie solaire.

  15. Coinfection pulmonaire par pneumocystis jirovecii et pseudomonas aeruginosa au cours du SIDA: à propos de deux cas

    Science.gov (United States)

    Mamoudou, Savadogo; Bellaud, Guillaume; Ana, Canestri; Gilles, Pialoux

    2015-01-01

    Rapporter deux cas cliniques de coinfections pulmonaires par Pneumocystis jirovecii et par Pseudomonas aeruginosa chez des patients vivant avec le VIH. Les deux patients étaient âgés respectivement de 32 ans et 46 ans. Un patient a été pris en charge à l'hôpital Yalgado Ouédraogo de Ouagadougou au Burkina Faso et l'autre a été pris en charge à l'hôpital Ténon de Paris, en France. Les deux souffraient de pneumopathie confirmée à la radiographie et à la tomodensitométrie. L'un des patients était sévèrement immuno déprimé, contrairement à l'autre. L'examen bactériologique dans les crachats avait permis d'isoler Pseudomonas aeruginosa et Pneumocystis jirovecii chez les deux patients. Sous traitement, l’évolution a été favorable. Les coinfections morbides sont relativement fréquentes chez les patients vivant avec le VIH. Devant une symptomatologie respiratoire du sujet vivant avec le VIH, il faut savoir rechercher en plus du Bacille de Koch, Pneumocystis jirovecii et Pseudomonas aeruginosa par un lavage broncho alvéolaire. PMID:26516396

  16. Approximation et précision : deux facettes d'une même réalité

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Asnes Maria

    2014-07-01

    Full Text Available L'approximation et la précision semblent être à deux pôles opposés: en effet, l'approximation est souvent considérée comme l'imprécision étant donné qu'elle fournit une représentation inexacte d'une valeur connue ou inconnue. Pourtant, la langue nous confronte avec des cas où le même terme peut avoir un sens tantôt approximatif tantôt précis. S'agit-il alors de deux emplois complètement distincts ou de deux effets de sens issus du même noyau sémantique? Cette étude prend comme objet l'adverbe plutôt qui manifeste des emplois approximatifs ainsi que précis.. A travers l'étude de ce terme on montrera que l'approximation et la précision ne sont pas toujours des termes opposés, mais qu'ils relèvent de deux facettes d'une même réalité de base.

  17. Monuments épigraphiques de l’ensemble de Fatḥâbâd à Boukhara1

    OpenAIRE

    Babadžanov, Bahtijar

    2010-01-01

    L’ensemble de Fatḥâbâd est situé à un kilomètre à l’ouest environ de la forteresse extérieure de Boukhara. Son apparition est liée à l’activité d’Abû’l-Ma‘âlî Sa‘îd b. al-Muṭahhar, célèbre cheikh kubravî, plus connu sous le nom Sayf al-Dîn al-Bâkharzî al-Bukhârî. Son action, ainsi que le fonctionnement de cet ensemble ont été déjà étudiés en détail dans plusieurs ouvrages. De nos jours l’ensemble architectural comprend la khânaqâh et la tombe de Sayf al-Dîn Bâkharzî, le mausolée de deux pièce...

  18. Nonequilibrium representative ensembles for isolated quantum systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    An isolated quantum system is considered, prepared in a nonequilibrium initial state. In order to uniquely define the system dynamics, one has to construct a representative statistical ensemble. From the principle of least action it follows that the role of the evolution generator is played by a grand Hamiltonian, but not merely by its energy part. A theorem is proved expressing the commutators of field operators with operator products through variational derivatives of these products. A consequence of this theorem is the equivalence of the variational equations for field operators with the Heisenberg equations for the latter. A finite quantum system cannot equilibrate in the strict sense. But it can tend to a quasi-stationary state characterized by ergodic averages and the appropriate representative ensemble depending on initial conditions. Microcanonical ensemble, arising in the eigenstate thermalization, is just a particular case of representative ensembles. Quasi-stationary representative ensembles are defined by the principle of minimal information. The latter also implies the minimization of an effective thermodynamic potential. -- Highlights: → The evolution of a nonequilibrium isolated quantum system is considered. → The grand Hamiltonian is shown to be the evolution generator. → A theorem is proved connecting operator commutators with variational derivatives. → Quasi-stationary states are described by representative ensembles. → These ensembles, generally, depend on initial conditions.

  19. Hybrid Data Assimilation without Ensemble Filtering

    Science.gov (United States)

    Todling, Ricardo; Akkraoui, Amal El

    2014-01-01

    The Global Modeling and Assimilation Office is preparing to upgrade its three-dimensional variational system to a hybrid approach in which the ensemble is generated using a square-root ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and the variational problem is solved using the Grid-point Statistical Interpolation system. As in most EnKF applications, we found it necessary to employ a combination of multiplicative and additive inflations, to compensate for sampling and modeling errors, respectively and, to maintain the small-member ensemble solution close to the variational solution; we also found it necessary to re-center the members of the ensemble about the variational analysis. During tuning of the filter we have found re-centering and additive inflation to play a considerably larger role than expected, particularly in a dual-resolution context when the variational analysis is ran at larger resolution than the ensemble. This led us to consider a hybrid strategy in which the members of the ensemble are generated by simply converting the variational analysis to the resolution of the ensemble and applying additive inflation, thus bypassing the EnKF. Comparisons of this, so-called, filter-free hybrid procedure with an EnKF-based hybrid procedure and a control non-hybrid, traditional, scheme show both hybrid strategies to provide equally significant improvement over the control; more interestingly, the filter-free procedure was found to give qualitatively similar results to the EnKF-based procedure.

  20. Politiques agricoles et enjeux paysagers. Analyse sur deux territoires rhône-alpins

    OpenAIRE

    Dominique VOLLET

    2007-01-01

    Les paysages sont progressivement intégrés comme ressource potentielle de développement économique. Cette intégration se fait dans un ensemble de politiques sectorielles, y compris agricoles, pour des territoires présentant des caractéristiques et des stratégies de développement différenciées. Le niveau du territoire est-il en mesure de donner une certaine cohérence à cet ensemble hétérogène de politiques, notamment dans la façon d’y considérer le paysage ? Pour tenter de répondre à cette que...

  1. Derivation of Mayer Series from Canonical Ensemble

    Science.gov (United States)

    Xian-Zhi, Wang

    2016-02-01

    Mayer derived the Mayer series from both the canonical ensemble and the grand canonical ensemble by use of the cluster expansion method. In 2002, we conjectured a recursion formula of the canonical partition function of a fluid (X.Z. Wang, Phys. Rev. E 66 (2002) 056102). In this paper we give a proof for this formula by developing an appropriate expansion of the integrand of the canonical partition function. We further derive the Mayer series solely from the canonical ensemble by use of this recursion formula.

  2. Atomic clock ensemble in space

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Atomic Clock Ensemble in Space (ACES) is a mission using high-performance clocks and links to test fundamental laws of physics in space. Operated in the microgravity environment of the International Space Station, the ACES clocks, PHARAO and SHM, will generate a frequency reference reaching instability and inaccuracy at the 1 · 10−16 level. A link in the microwave domain (MWL) and an optical link (ELT) will make the ACES clock signal available to ground laboratories equipped with atomic clocks. Space-to-ground and ground-to-ground comparisons of atomic frequency standards will be used to test Einstein's theory of general relativity including a precision measurement of the gravitational red-shift, a search for time variations of fundamental constants, and Lorentz Invariance tests. Applications in geodesy, optical time transfer, and ranging will also be supported. ACES has now reached an advanced technology maturity, with engineering models completed and successfully tested and flight hardware under development. This paper presents the ACES mission concept and the status of its main instruments.

  3. Cooperative effects of neuronal ensembles.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Rose, G; Siebler, M

    1995-01-01

    Electrophysiological properties of neurons as the basic cellular elements of the central nervous system and their synaptic connections are well characterized down to a molecular level. However, the behavior of complex noisy networks formed by these constituents usually cannot simply be derived from the knowledge of its microscopic parameters. As a consequence, cooperative phenomena based on the interaction of neurons were postulated. This is a report on a study of global network spike activity as a function of synaptic interaction. We performed experiments in dissociated cultured hippocampal neurons and, for comparison, simulations of a mathematical model closely related to electrophysiology. Numeric analyses revealed that at a critical level of synaptic connectivity the firing behavior undergoes a phase transition. This cooperative effect depends crucially on the interaction of numerous cells and cannot be attributed to the spike threshold of individual neurons. In the experiment a drastic increase in the firing level was observed upon increase of synaptic efficacy by lowering of the extracellular magnesium concentration, which is compatible with our theoretical predictions. This "on-off" phenomenon demonstrates that even in small neuronal ensembles collective behavior can emerge which is not explained by the characteristics of single neurons. PMID:8542966

  4. Generation of scenarios from calibrated ensemble forecasts with a dynamic ensemble copula coupling approach

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Ben Bouallègue, Zied; Heppelmann, Tobias; Theis, Susanne E.;

    2015-01-01

    is applied for each lead time and location independently. Non-parametric approaches allow the reconstruction of spatio-temporal joint probability distributions at a low computational cost.For example, the ensemble copula coupling (ECC) method consists in rebuilding the multivariate aspect of the forecast...... from the original ensemble forecasts. Based on the assumption of error stationarity, parametric methods aim to fully describe the forecast dependence structures. In this study, the concept of ECC is combined with past data statistics in order to account for the autocorrelation of the forecast error....... The new approach which preserves the dynamical development of the ensemble members is called dynamic ensemble copula coupling (d-ECC). The ensemble based empirical copulas, ECC and d-ECC, are applied to wind forecasts from the high resolution ensemble system COSMO-DEEPS run operationally at the German...

  5. Transition from Poisson to circular unitary ensemble

    Indian Academy of Sciences (India)

    Vinayak; Akhilesh Pandey

    2009-09-01

    Transitions to universality classes of random matrix ensembles have been useful in the study of weakly-broken symmetries in quantum chaotic systems. Transitions involving Poisson as the initial ensemble have been particularly interesting. The exact two-point correlation function was derived by one of the present authors for the Poisson to circular unitary ensemble (CUE) transition with uniform initial density. This is given in terms of a rescaled symmetry breaking parameter Λ. The same result was obtained for Poisson to Gaussian unitary ensemble (GUE) transition by Kunz and Shapiro, using the contour-integral method of Brezin and Hikami. We show that their method is applicable to Poisson to CUE transition with arbitrary initial density. Their method is also applicable to the more general ℓ CUE to CUE transition where CUE refers to the superposition of ℓ independent CUE spectra in arbitrary ratio.

  6. Data assimilation the ensemble Kalman filter

    CERN Document Server

    Evensen, Geir

    2006-01-01

    Covers data assimilation and inverse methods, including both traditional state estimation and parameter estimation. This text and reference focuses on various popular data assimilation methods, such as weak and strong constraint variational methods and ensemble filters and smoothers.

  7. Irreplaceability of Neuronal Ensembles after Memory Allocation

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Naoki Matsuo

    2015-04-01

    Full Text Available Lesion studies suggest that an alternative system can compensate for damage to the primary region employed when animals acquire a memory. However, it is unclear whether functional compensation occurs at the cellular ensemble level. Here, we inhibited the activities of a specific subset of neurons activated during initial learning by utilizing a transgenic mouse that expresses tetanus toxin (TeNT under the control of the c-fos promoter. Notably, suppression interfered with relearning while sparing the ability to acquire and express fear memory for a distinct context. These results suggest that the activity of the initial ensemble is preferentially dedicated to the same learning and that it is not replaceable once it is allocated. Our results provide substantial insights into the machinery underlying how the brain allocates individual memories to discrete neuronal ensembles and how it ensures that repetitive learning strengthens memory by reactivating the same neuronal ensembles.

  8. Ensemble Machine Learning Methods and Applications

    CERN Document Server

    Ma, Yunqian

    2012-01-01

    It is common wisdom that gathering a variety of views and inputs improves the process of decision making, and, indeed, underpins a democratic society. Dubbed “ensemble learning” by researchers in computational intelligence and machine learning, it is known to improve a decision system’s robustness and accuracy. Now, fresh developments are allowing researchers to unleash the power of ensemble learning in an increasing range of real-world applications. Ensemble learning algorithms such as “boosting” and “random forest” facilitate solutions to key computational issues such as face detection and are now being applied in areas as diverse as object trackingand bioinformatics.   Responding to a shortage of literature dedicated to the topic, this volume offers comprehensive coverage of state-of-the-art ensemble learning techniques, including various contributions from researchers in leading industrial research labs. At once a solid theoretical study and a practical guide, the volume is a windfall for r...

  9. Deux approches de l'économie quantitative de l'entre-deux-guerres : l'économétrie de Ragnar Frisch face à l'empirisme de Wesley Clair Mitchell

    OpenAIRE

    DUPONT,A

    2001-01-01

    Au début du xX siècle se développe chez les économistes l'exigence d'un rapprochement de type nouveau entre la théorie et la réalité, rapprochement pensé dans la perspective de la mesure. L'économie quantitative s'élabore tout particulièrement à partir de 1910, autour de deux approches majeures.' l'empirisme et l'économétrie. Nous prendrons comme référent le champ de recherche du cycle des affaires pour comprendre et analyser les points communs et les divergences entre ces deux programmes, ca...

  10. Orbital magnetism in ensembles of ballistic billiards

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The magnetic response of ensembles of small two-dimensional structures at finite temperatures is calculated. Using semiclassical methods and numerical calculation it is demonstrated that only short classical trajectories are relevant. The magnetic susceptibility is enhanced in regular systems, where these trajectories appear in families. For ensembles of squares large paramagnetic susceptibility is obtained, in good agreement with recent measurements in the ballistic regime. (authors). 20 refs., 2 figs

  11. Coherent ensemble averaging techniques for impedance cardiography

    OpenAIRE

    Hurwitz, Barry E.; Shyu, Liang-Yu; Reddy, Sridhar P; Schneiderman, Neil; Nagel, Joachim H.

    1990-01-01

    EKG synchronized ensemble averaging of the impedance cardiogram tends to blur or suppress signal events due to signal jitter or event latency variability. Although ensemble averaging provides some improvement in the stability of the signal and signal to noise ratio under conditions of nonperiodic influences of respiration and motion, coherent averaging techniques were developed to determine whether further enhancement of the impedance cardiogram could be obtained. Physiological signals were o...

  12. Ensemble methods for noise in classification problems

    OpenAIRE

    Verbaeten, Sofie; Van Assche, Anneleen

    2003-01-01

    Ensemble methods combine a set of classifiers to construct a new classifier that is (often) more accurate than any of its component classifiers. In this paper, we use ensemble methods to identify noisy training examples. More precisely, we consider the problem of mislabeled training examples in classification tasks, and address this problem by pre-processing the training set, i.e. by identifying and removing outliers from the training set. We study a number of filter techniques that are based...

  13. Calibrating ensemble reliability whilst preserving spatial structure

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Jonathan Flowerdew

    2014-03-01

    Full Text Available Ensemble forecasts aim to improve decision-making by predicting a set of possible outcomes. Ideally, these would provide probabilities which are both sharp and reliable. In practice, the models, data assimilation and ensemble perturbation systems are all imperfect, leading to deficiencies in the predicted probabilities. This paper presents an ensemble post-processing scheme which directly targets local reliability, calibrating both climatology and ensemble dispersion in one coherent operation. It makes minimal assumptions about the underlying statistical distributions, aiming to extract as much information as possible from the original dynamic forecasts and support statistically awkward variables such as precipitation. The output is a set of ensemble members preserving the spatial, temporal and inter-variable structure from the raw forecasts, which should be beneficial to downstream applications such as hydrological models. The calibration is tested on three leading 15-d ensemble systems, and their aggregation into a simple multimodel ensemble. Results are presented for 12 h, 1° scale over Europe for a range of surface variables, including precipitation. The scheme is very effective at removing unreliability from the raw forecasts, whilst generally preserving or improving statistical resolution. In most cases, these benefits extend to the rarest events at each location within the 2-yr verification period. The reliability and resolution are generally equivalent or superior to those achieved using a Local Quantile-Quantile Transform, an established calibration method which generalises bias correction. The value of preserving spatial structure is demonstrated by the fact that 3×3 averages derived from grid-scale precipitation calibration perform almost as well as direct calibration at 3×3 scale, and much better than a similar test neglecting the spatial relationships. Some remaining issues are discussed regarding the finite size of the output

  14. Controlling balance in an ensemble Kalman filter

    OpenAIRE

    G. A. Gottwald

    2014-01-01

    We present a method to control unbalanced fast dynamics in an ensemble Kalman filter by introducing a weak constraint on the imbalance in a spatially sparse observational network. We show that the balance constraint produces significantly more balanced analyses than ensemble Kalman filters without balance constraints and than filters implementing incremental analysis updates (IAU). Furthermore, our filter with the weak constraint on imbalance produces good rms error statisti...

  15. Towards a GME ensemble forecasting system: Ensemble initialization using the breeding technique

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Jan D. Keller

    2008-12-01

    Full Text Available The quantitative forecast of precipitation requires a probabilistic background particularly with regard to forecast lead times of more than 3 days. As only ensemble simulations can provide useful information of the underlying probability density function, we built a new ensemble forecasting system (GME-EFS based on the GME model of the German Meteorological Service (DWD. For the generation of appropriate initial ensemble perturbations we chose the breeding technique developed by Toth and Kalnay (1993, 1997, which develops perturbations by estimating the regions of largest model error induced uncertainty. This method is applied and tested in the framework of quasi-operational forecasts for a three month period in 2007. The performance of the resulting ensemble forecasts are compared to the operational ensemble prediction systems ECMWF EPS and NCEP GFS by means of ensemble spread of free atmosphere parameters (geopotential and temperature and ensemble skill of precipitation forecasting. This comparison indicates that the GME ensemble forecasting system (GME-EFS provides reasonable forecasts with spread skill score comparable to that of the NCEP GFS. An analysis with the continuous ranked probability score exhibits a lack of resolution for the GME forecasts compared to the operational ensembles. However, with significant enhancements during the 3 month test period, the first results of our work with the GME-EFS indicate possibilities for further development as well as the potential for later operational usage.

  16. Passeport pour les deux infinis vers l'infiniment grand, vers l'infiniment petit

    CERN Document Server

    Arnaud, Nicolas; Kerhoas-Cavata, Sophie; Paul, Jacques; Robert-Esil, Jean-Luc; Royole-Degieux, Perrine

    2013-01-01

    Où commence l'infiniment grand ? Où finit l'infiniment petit ? Les chercheurs ont identifié le rayonnement fossile émis il y a 13,7 milliards d'année et qui permet de remonter aux origines de l'Univers. A l'opposé, le modèle standard a identifié 12 particules élémentaires et trois forces fondamentales qui permettent de décrire la constitution ultime de la matière. Est-ce à dire que tout est terminé, que plus rien n'est à découvrir ? Certainement pas ! Tandis que les outils d'observation deviennent plus précis, la nécessité d'établir des passerelles entre l'infiniment grand et l'infini petit devient pressante. Dans ce livre illustré en couleur, les plus grands spécialistes présentent un panorama des connaissances actuelles pour voyager à la découverte des deux infinis. Cette nouvelle édition à jour tient compte des derniers réusultats du LHC dans sa quête du fameux boson de Higgs, et intègre les premières images du rayonnement fossile provenant du satellite Planck.

  17. Meaning of temperature in different thermostatistical ensembles.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hänggi, Peter; Hilbert, Stefan; Dunkel, Jörn

    2016-03-28

    Depending on the exact experimental conditions, the thermodynamic properties of physical systems can be related to one or more thermostatistical ensembles. Here, we survey the notion of thermodynamic temperature in different statistical ensembles, focusing in particular on subtleties that arise when ensembles become non-equivalent. The 'mother' of all ensembles, the microcanonical ensemble, uses entropy and internal energy (the most fundamental, dynamically conserved quantity) to derive temperature as a secondary thermodynamic variable. Over the past century, some confusion has been caused by the fact that several competing microcanonical entropy definitions are used in the literature, most commonly the volume and surface entropies introduced by Gibbs. It can be proved, however, that only the volume entropy satisfies exactly the traditional form of the laws of thermodynamics for a broad class of physical systems, including all standard classical Hamiltonian systems, regardless of their size. This mathematically rigorous fact implies that negative 'absolute' temperatures and Carnot efficiencies more than 1 are not achievable within a standard thermodynamical framework. As an important offspring of microcanonical thermostatistics, we shall briefly consider the canonical ensemble and comment on the validity of the Boltzmann weight factor. We conclude by addressing open mathematical problems that arise for systems with discrete energy spectra. PMID:26903095

  18. Conductor gestures influence evaluations of ensemble performance.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Morrison, Steven J; Price, Harry E; Smedley, Eric M; Meals, Cory D

    2014-01-01

    Previous research has found that listener evaluations of ensemble performances vary depending on the expressivity of the conductor's gestures, even when performances are otherwise identical. It was the purpose of the present study to test whether this effect of visual information was evident in the evaluation of specific aspects of ensemble performance: articulation and dynamics. We constructed a set of 32 music performances that combined auditory and visual information and were designed to feature a high degree of contrast along one of two target characteristics: articulation and dynamics. We paired each of four music excerpts recorded by a chamber ensemble in both a high- and low-contrast condition with video of four conductors demonstrating high- and low-contrast gesture specifically appropriate to either articulation or dynamics. Using one of two equivalent test forms, college music majors and non-majors (N = 285) viewed sixteen 30 s performances and evaluated the quality of the ensemble's articulation, dynamics, technique, and tempo along with overall expressivity. Results showed significantly higher evaluations for performances featuring high rather than low conducting expressivity regardless of the ensemble's performance quality. Evaluations for both articulation and dynamics were strongly and positively correlated with evaluations of overall ensemble expressivity. PMID:25104944

  19. Heinrich Heine et Annette von Droste-Hülshoff Deux poètes d ‘Allemagne

    OpenAIRE

    Kortländer, Bernd

    2011-01-01

    L’article tente un rapprochement entre deux poètes que l’on a peu l’habitude de nommer à la suite l’un de l’autre, Heinrich Heine et Annette von Droste-Hülshoff. Cette comparaison de deux figures majeures de la poésie allemande du Vormärz permet de faire ressortir, à travers leur dissemblance radicale, les spécificités de chacune. Du point de vue de l’œuvre même les différences sautent d’emblée aux yeux. A la musicalité et à l’élégance de Heine s’oppose du côté de Droste une langue qui renonc...

  20. L’analyse du discours et ses entre-deux : notes sur son histoire au Brésil

    OpenAIRE

    Puccinelli Orlandi, Eni

    2014-01-01

    À Paul Henry pour l’excellence théorique avec laquelle, dès le début, il a exploré la force et les nuances de l’analyse du discours. Introduction Mettant hors du champ de la réflexion discursive la notion d’« intervalle », je propose une pratique matérialiste de l’analyse du discours par son inscription dans un espace d’« entre-deux », jusqu’au sein même de l’histoire des théories linguistiques. À la différence de celle d’intervalle, l’idée d’entre-deux renvoie à des espaces simultanément hab...

  1. Ensemble postprocessing for probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bentzien, S.; Friederichs, P.

    2012-12-01

    Precipitation is one of the most difficult weather variables to predict in hydrometeorological applications. In order to assess the uncertainty inherent in deterministic numerical weather prediction (NWP), meteorological services around the globe develop ensemble prediction systems (EPS) based on high-resolution NWP systems. With non-hydrostatic model dynamics and without parameterization of deep moist convection, high-resolution NWP models are able to describe convective processes in more detail and provide more realistic mesoscale structures. However, precipitation forecasts are still affected by displacement errors, systematic biases and fast error growth on small scales. Probabilistic guidance can be achieved from an ensemble setup which accounts for model error and uncertainty of initial and boundary conditions. The German Meteorological Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst, DWD) provides such an ensemble system based on the German-focused limited-area model COSMO-DE. With a horizontal grid-spacing of 2.8 km, COSMO-DE is the convection-permitting high-resolution part of the operational model chain at DWD. The COSMO-DE-EPS consists of 20 realizations of COSMO-DE, driven by initial and boundary conditions derived from 4 global models and 5 perturbations of model physics. Ensemble systems like COSMO-DE-EPS are often limited with respect to ensemble size due to the immense computational costs. As a consequence, they can be biased and exhibit insufficient ensemble spread, and probabilistic forecasts may be not well calibrated. In this study, probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecasts are derived from COSMO-DE-EPS and evaluated at more than 1000 rain gauges located all over Germany. COSMO-DE-EPS is a frequently updated ensemble system, initialized 8 times a day. We use the time-lagged approach to inexpensively increase ensemble spread, which results in more reliable forecasts especially for extreme precipitation events. Moreover, we will show that statistical

  2. A Unification of Ensemble Square Root Kalman Filters

    OpenAIRE

    Nerger, Lars; Janjic Pfander, Tijana; Schröter, Jens; Hiller, Wolfgang

    2012-01-01

    In recent years, several ensemble-based Kalman filter algorithms have been developed that have been classified as ensemble square-root Kalman filters. Parallel to this development, the SEIK (Singular ``Evolutive'' Interpolated Kalman) filter has been introduced and applied in several studies. Some publications note that the SEIK filter is an ensemble Kalman filter or even an ensemble square-root Kalman filter. This study examines the relation of the SEIK filter to ensemble square-root filters...

  3. On the Convergence of the Ensemble Kalman Filter

    OpenAIRE

    Mandel, Jan; Cobb, Loren; Beezley, Jonathan D.

    2009-01-01

    Convergence of the ensemble Kalman filter in the limit for large ensembles to the Kalman filter is proved. In each step of the filter, convergence of the ensemble sample covariance follows from a weak law of large numbers for exchangeable random variables, the continuous mapping theorem gives convergence in probability of the ensemble members, and $L^p$ bounds on the ensemble then give $L^p$ convergence.

  4. A multisite seasonal ensemble streamflow forecasting technique

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bracken, Cameron; Rajagopalan, Balaji; Prairie, James

    2010-03-01

    We present a technique for providing seasonal ensemble streamflow forecasts at several locations simultaneously on a river network. The framework is an integration of two recent approaches: the nonparametric multimodel ensemble forecast technique and the nonparametric space-time disaggregation technique. The four main components of the proposed framework are as follows: (1) an index gauge streamflow is constructed as the sum of flows at all the desired spatial locations; (2) potential predictors of the spring season (April-July) streamflow at this index gauge are identified from the large-scale ocean-atmosphere-land system, including snow water equivalent; (3) the multimodel ensemble forecast approach is used to generate the ensemble flow forecast at the index gauge; and (4) the ensembles are disaggregated using a nonparametric space-time disaggregation technique resulting in forecast ensembles at the desired locations and for all the months within the season. We demonstrate the utility of this technique in skillful forecast of spring seasonal streamflows at four locations in the Upper Colorado River Basin at different lead times. Where applicable, we compare the forecasts to the Colorado Basin River Forecast Center's Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) and the National Resource Conservation Service "coordinated" forecast, which is a combination of the ESP, Statistical Water Supply, a principal component regression technique, and modeler knowledge. We find that overall, the proposed method is equally skillful to existing operational models while tending to better predict wet years. The forecasts from this approach can be a valuable input for efficient planning and management of water resources in the basin.

  5. Individual differences in ensemble perception reveal multiple, independent levels of ensemble representation.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Haberman, Jason; Brady, Timothy F; Alvarez, George A

    2015-04-01

    Ensemble perception, including the ability to "see the average" from a group of items, operates in numerous feature domains (size, orientation, speed, facial expression, etc.). Although the ubiquity of ensemble representations is well established, the large-scale cognitive architecture of this process remains poorly defined. We address this using an individual differences approach. In a series of experiments, observers saw groups of objects and reported either a single item from the group or the average of the entire group. High-level ensemble representations (e.g., average facial expression) showed complete independence from low-level ensemble representations (e.g., average orientation). In contrast, low-level ensemble representations (e.g., orientation and color) were correlated with each other, but not with high-level ensemble representations (e.g., facial expression and person identity). These results suggest that there is not a single domain-general ensemble mechanism, and that the relationship among various ensemble representations depends on how proximal they are in representational space. PMID:25844624

  6. Folie a deux: a case report [v1; ref status: indexed, http://f1000r.es/SD4pSL

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Sobia Haqqi

    2012-09-01

    Full Text Available Folie a deux, to date, remains a rare, yet a challenging psychiatric diagnosis. We discuss two cases that were identified in our out-patient clinics. One case was lost to follow up, while the other one showed improvement over time with appropriate management. Conclusion: As with any rare disorder, recognition and correct referral for rare diagnosis like folie a deux is of paramount importance.

  7. Deux modèles de fondation dans les Recherches logiques

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Thomas Nenon

    2009-02-01

    Full Text Available Cette étude essaye d’établir qu’il y a deux notions très différentes de « fondation » à l’œuvre dans les Recherches logiques de Husserl. Dans la IIIème Recherche, où le terme est formellement introduit, lorsqu’il se demande quels sont les contenus qui peuvent exister d’une manière autonome (indépendants et lesquels peuvent exister uniquement en tant que moments d’autre chose (dépendants, Husserl suit ce que j’appelle un « modèle ontologique ». Selon ce modèle, le concret possède une priorité sur à l’abstrait qui est fondé en lui. Dans la VIème Recherche, en revanche, Husserl s’oriente principalement sur un « modèle gnoséologique » qui voit le complexe comme fondé sur ce qui est relativement simple, étant donné que les expériences d’ordre supérieur (telles les perceptions de types d’objets plus complexes sont « fondées sur » des expériences plus simples, bien qu’elles ne puissent pas y être réduites. L’exemple principal ici est celui des intuitions catégoriales : fondées sur les intuitions sensibles, elles n’y sont pas réductibles. Mais cette distinction entre deux sens différents du terme de « fondation » peut également nous aider à mieux comprendre de nombreuses thèses husserliennes plutôt controversées. Par exemple, elle peut nous permettre de mieux comprendre dans quelle mesure faire l’expérience d’un être humain comme un tout se fonde sur l’expérience d’un corps physique, et cela même si l’étant que nous rencontrons inclut à la fois des aspects corporels et des aspects spirituels – les deux étant vus, d’une manière essentielle, comme des moments de cette unique personne qui fait l’objet de notre expérience.This essay attempts to establish that there are two very different notions of “foundation” at work in Husserl’s Logical Investigation. In the Third Investigation where the term is formally introduced, Husserl is using what

  8. Simulations in generalized ensembles through noninstantaneous switches

    Science.gov (United States)

    Giovannelli, Edoardo; Cardini, Gianni; Chelli, Riccardo

    2015-10-01

    Generalized-ensemble simulations, such as replica exchange and serial generalized-ensemble methods, are powerful simulation tools to enhance sampling of free energy landscapes in systems with high energy barriers. In these methods, sampling is enhanced through instantaneous transitions of replicas, i.e., copies of the system, between different ensembles characterized by some control parameter associated with thermodynamical variables (e.g., temperature or pressure) or collective mechanical variables (e.g., interatomic distances or torsional angles). An interesting evolution of these methodologies has been proposed by replacing the conventional instantaneous (trial) switches of replicas with noninstantaneous switches, realized by varying the control parameter in a finite time and accepting the final replica configuration with a Metropolis-like criterion based on the Crooks nonequilibrium work (CNW) theorem. Here we revise these techniques focusing on their correlation with the CNW theorem in the framework of Markovian processes. An outcome of this report is the derivation of the acceptance probability for noninstantaneous switches in serial generalized-ensemble simulations, where we show that explicit knowledge of the time dependence of the weight factors entering such simulations is not necessary. A generalized relationship of the CNW theorem is also provided in terms of the underlying equilibrium probability distribution at a fixed control parameter. Illustrative calculations on a toy model are performed with serial generalized-ensemble simulations, especially focusing on the different behavior of instantaneous and noninstantaneous replica transition schemes.

  9. The Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX)

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wood, A. W.; Thielen, J.; Pappenberger, F.; Schaake, J. C.; Hartman, R. K.

    2012-12-01

    The Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction Experiment was established in March, 2004, at a workshop hosted by the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF). With support from the US National Weather Service (NWS) and the European Commission (EC), the HEPEX goal was to bring the international hydrological and meteorological communities together to advance the understanding and adoption of hydrological ensemble forecasts for decision support in emergency management and water resources sectors. The strategy to meet this goal includes meetings that connect the user, forecast producer and research communities to exchange ideas, data and methods; the coordination of experiments to address specific challenges; and the formation of testbeds to facilitate shared experimentation. HEPEX has organized about a dozen international workshops, as well as sessions at scientific meetings (including AMS, AGU and EGU) and special issues of scientific journals where workshop results have been published. Today, the HEPEX mission is to demonstrate the added value of hydrological ensemble prediction systems (HEPS) for emergency management and water resources sectors to make decisions that have important consequences for economy, public health, safety, and the environment. HEPEX is now organised around six major themes that represent core elements of a hydrologic ensemble prediction enterprise: input and pre-processing, ensemble techniques, data assimilation, post-processing, verification, and communication and use in decision making. This poster presents an overview of recent and planned HEPEX activities, highlighting case studies that exemplify the focus and objectives of HEPEX.

  10. Ensemble habitat mapping of invasive plant species

    Science.gov (United States)

    Stohlgren, T.J.; Ma, P.; Kumar, S.; Rocca, M.; Morisette, J.T.; Jarnevich, C.S.; Benson, N.

    2010-01-01

    Ensemble species distribution models combine the strengths of several species environmental matching models, while minimizing the weakness of any one model. Ensemble models may be particularly useful in risk analysis of recently arrived, harmful invasive species because species may not yet have spread to all suitable habitats, leaving species-environment relationships difficult to determine. We tested five individual models (logistic regression, boosted regression trees, random forest, multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS), and maximum entropy model or Maxent) and ensemble modeling for selected nonnative plant species in Yellowstone and Grand Teton National Parks, Wyoming; Sequoia and Kings Canyon National Parks, California, and areas of interior Alaska. The models are based on field data provided by the park staffs, combined with topographic, climatic, and vegetation predictors derived from satellite data. For the four invasive plant species tested, ensemble models were the only models that ranked in the top three models for both field validation and test data. Ensemble models may be more robust than individual species-environment matching models for risk analysis. ?? 2010 Society for Risk Analysis.

  11. Ensemble approach for differentiation of malignant melanoma

    Science.gov (United States)

    Rastgoo, Mojdeh; Morel, Olivier; Marzani, Franck; Garcia, Rafael

    2015-04-01

    Melanoma is the deadliest type of skin cancer, yet it is the most treatable kind depending on its early diagnosis. The early prognosis of melanoma is a challenging task for both clinicians and dermatologists. Due to the importance of early diagnosis and in order to assist the dermatologists, we propose an automated framework based on ensemble learning methods and dermoscopy images to differentiate melanoma from dysplastic and benign lesions. The evaluation of our framework on the recent and public dermoscopy benchmark (PH2 dataset) indicates the potential of proposed method. Our evaluation, using only global features, revealed that ensembles such as random forest perform better than single learner. Using random forest ensemble and combination of color and texture features, our framework achieved the highest sensitivity of 94% and specificity of 92%.

  12. Clustering-based selective neural network ensemble

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    FU Qiang; HU Shang-xu; ZHAO Sheng-ying

    2005-01-01

    An effective ensemble should consist of a set of networks that are both accurate and diverse. We propose a novel clustering-based selective algorithm for constructing neural network ensemble, where clustering technology is used to classify trained networks according to similarity and optimally select the most accurate individual network from each cluster to make up the ensemble. Empirical studies on regression of four typical datasets showed that this approach yields significantly smaller en semble achieving better performance than other traditional ones such as Bagging and Boosting. The bias variance decomposition of the predictive error shows that the success of the proposed approach may lie in its properly tuning the bias/variance trade-offto reduce the prediction error (the sum of bias2 and variance).

  13. Luminescence simulations of ensembles of silicon nanocrystals

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Lockwood, Ross; Meldrum, Al [Department of Physics, University of Alberta, Edmonton (Canada)

    2009-05-15

    The luminescence of silicon nanocrystals (NCs) has attracted a great deal of interest due to the numerous potential photonic applications of light-emitting silicon. However, the excitation mechanisms and cluster-cluster interactions in densely-packed ensembles, as well as the recombination processes that influence the emission spectrum and lifetime are not yet well understood. In order to generate a more complete picture of the controlling parameters in the luminescence, a dynamic Monte Carlo model that incorporates several key physical processes for luminescent nanocrystal ensembles is developed. The model simulates Forster-type multipole energy transfer, tunnelling interactions, radiative decay and non-radiative trapping in physically realistic (lognormal) distributions of silicon NCs. The results of the simulation illustrate the effects of the NC size distribution, homogeneous and inhomogeneous broadening, NC packing density, and non-radiative trapping on the ensemble luminescence spectrum. (copyright 2009 WILEY-VCH Verlag GmbH and Co. KGaA, Weinheim) (orig.)

  14. Matrix averages relating to Ginibre ensembles

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Forrester, Peter J [Department of Mathematics and Statistics, University of Melbourne, Victoria 3010 (Australia); Rains, Eric M [Department of Mathematics, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA 91125 (United States)], E-mail: p.forrester@ms.unimelb.edu.au

    2009-09-25

    The theory of zonal polynomials is used to compute the average of a Schur polynomial of argument AX, where A is a fixed matrix and X is from the real Ginibre ensemble. This generalizes a recent result of Sommers and Khoruzhenko (2009 J. Phys. A: Math. Theor. 42 222002), and furthermore allows analogous results to be obtained for the complex and real quaternion Ginibre ensembles. As applications, the positive integer moments of the general variance Ginibre ensembles are computed in terms of generalized hypergeometric functions; these are written in terms of averages over matrices of the same size as the moment to give duality formulas, and the averages of the power sums of the eigenvalues are expressed as finite sums of zonal polynomials.

  15. Control and Synchronization of Neuron Ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Li, Jr-Shin; Ruths, Justin

    2011-01-01

    Synchronization of oscillations is a phenomenon prevalent in natural, social, and engineering systems. Controlling synchronization of oscillating systems is motivated by a wide range of applications from neurological treatment of Parkinson's disease to the design of neurocomputers. In this article, we study the control of an ensemble of uncoupled neuron oscillators described by phase models. We examine controllability of such a neuron ensemble for various phase models and, furthermore, study the related optimal control problems. In particular, by employing Pontryagin's maximum principle, we analytically derive optimal controls for spiking single- and two-neuron systems, and analyze the applicability of the latter to an ensemble system. Finally, we present a robust computational method for optimal control of spiking neurons based on pseudospectral approximations. The methodology developed here is universal to the control of general nonlinear phase oscillators.

  16. Embedded random matrix ensembles in quantum physics

    CERN Document Server

    Kota, V K B

    2014-01-01

    Although used with increasing frequency in many branches of physics, random matrix ensembles are not always sufficiently specific to account for important features of the physical system at hand. One refinement which retains the basic stochastic approach but allows for such features consists in the use of embedded ensembles.  The present text is an exhaustive introduction to and survey of this important field. Starting with an easy-to-read introduction to general random matrix theory, the text then develops the necessary concepts from the beginning, accompanying the reader to the frontiers of present-day research. With some notable exceptions, to date these ensembles have primarily been applied in nuclear spectroscopy. A characteristic example is the use of a random two-body interaction in the framework of the nuclear shell model. Yet, topics in atomic physics, mesoscopic physics, quantum information science and statistical mechanics of isolated finite quantum systems can also be addressed using these ensemb...

  17. Ensemble Kalman methods for inverse problems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) was introduced by Evensen in 1994 (Evensen 1994 J. Geophys. Res. 99 10143–62) as a novel method for data assimilation: state estimation for noisily observed time-dependent problems. Since that time it has had enormous impact in many application domains because of its robustness and ease of implementation, and numerical evidence of its accuracy. In this paper we propose the application of an iterative ensemble Kalman method for the solution of a wide class of inverse problems. In this context we show that the estimate of the unknown function that we obtain with the ensemble Kalman method lies in a subspace A spanned by the initial ensemble. Hence the resulting error may be bounded above by the error found from the best approximation in this subspace. We provide numerical experiments which compare the error incurred by the ensemble Kalman method for inverse problems with the error of the best approximation in A, and with variants on traditional least-squares approaches, restricted to the subspace A. In so doing we demonstrate that the ensemble Kalman method for inverse problems provides a derivative-free optimization method with comparable accuracy to that achieved by traditional least-squares approaches. Furthermore, we also demonstrate that the accuracy is of the same order of magnitude as that achieved by the best approximation. Three examples are used to demonstrate these assertions: inversion of a compact linear operator; inversion of piezometric head to determine hydraulic conductivity in a Darcy model of groundwater flow; and inversion of Eulerian velocity measurements at positive times to determine the initial condition in an incompressible fluid. (paper)

  18. Native ultrametricity of sparse random ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Avetisov, V.; Krapivsky, P. L.; Nechaev, S.

    2016-01-01

    We investigate the eigenvalue density in ensembles of large sparse Bernoulli random matrices. Analyzing in detail the spectral density of ensembles of linear subgraphs, we discuss its ultrametric nature and show that near the spectrum boundary, the tails of the spectral density exhibit a Lifshitz singularity typical for Anderson localization. We pay attention to an intriguing connection of the spectral density to the Dedekind η-function. We conjecture that ultrametricity emerges in rare-event statistics and is inherit to generic complex sparse systems.

  19. Ensemble Enabled Weighted PageRank

    CERN Document Server

    Luo, Dongsheng; Hu, Renjun; Duan, Liang; Ma, Shuai

    2016-01-01

    This paper describes our solution for WSDM Cup 2016. Ranking the query independent importance of scholarly articles is a critical and challenging task, due to the heterogeneity and dynamism of entities involved. Our approach is called Ensemble enabled Weighted PageRank (EWPR). To do this, we first propose Time-Weighted PageRank that extends PageRank by introducing a time decaying factor. We then develop an ensemble method to assemble the authorities of the heterogeneous entities involved in scholarly articles. We finally propose to use external data sources to further improve the ranking accuracy. Our experimental study shows that our EWPR is a good choice for ranking scholarly articles.

  20. Efficient inference of protein structural ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Lane, Thomas J; Beauchamp, Kyle A; Pande, Vijay S

    2014-01-01

    It is becoming clear that traditional, single-structure models of proteins are insufficient for understanding their biological function. Here, we outline one method for inferring, from experiments, not only the most common structure a protein adopts (native state), but the entire ensemble of conformations the system can adopt. Such ensemble mod- els are necessary to understand intrinsically disordered proteins, enzyme catalysis, and signaling. We suggest that the most difficult aspect of generating such a model will be finding a small set of configurations to accurately model structural heterogeneity and present one way to overcome this challenge.

  1. SEIK - the unknown ensemble Kalman filter

    OpenAIRE

    Nerger, Lars; Janjic Pfander, Tijana; Hiller, Wolfgang; Schröter, Jens

    2009-01-01

    The SEIK filter (Singular "Evolutive" Interpolated Kalman filter) hasbeen introduced in 1998 by D.T. Pham as a variant of the SEEK filter,which is a reduced-rank approximation of the Extended KalmanFilter. In recent years, it has been shown that the SEIK filter isan ensemble-based Kalman filter that uses a factorization rather thansquare-root of the state error covariance matrix. Unfortunately, theexistence of the SEIK filter as an ensemble-based Kalman filter withsimilar efficiency as the la...

  2. Ensemble computing for the petroleum industry

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Computer downsizing is one of the most often used buzzwords in today's competitive business, and the petroleum industry is at the forefront of this revolution. Ensemble computing provides the key for computer downsizing with its first incarnation, i.e., workstation farms. This paper concerns the importance of increasing the productivity cycle and not just the execution time of a job. The authors introduce the concept of ensemble computing and workstation farms. The they discuss how different computing paradigms can be addressed by workstation farms

  3. Total probabilities of ensemble runoff forecasts

    Science.gov (United States)

    Olav Skøien, Jon; Bogner, Konrad; Salamon, Peter; Smith, Paul; Pappenberger, Florian

    2016-04-01

    Ensemble forecasting has for a long time been used as a method in meteorological modelling to indicate the uncertainty of the forecasts. However, as the ensembles often exhibit both bias and dispersion errors, it is necessary to calibrate and post-process them. Two of the most common methods for this are Bayesian Model Averaging (Raftery et al., 2005) and Ensemble Model Output Statistics (EMOS) (Gneiting et al., 2005). There are also methods for regionalizing these methods (Berrocal et al., 2007) and for incorporating the correlation between lead times (Hemri et al., 2013). Engeland and Steinsland Engeland and Steinsland (2014) developed a framework which can estimate post-processing parameters which are different in space and time, but still can give a spatially and temporally consistent output. However, their method is computationally complex for our larger number of stations, and cannot directly be regionalized in the way we would like, so we suggest a different path below. The target of our work is to create a mean forecast with uncertainty bounds for a large number of locations in the framework of the European Flood Awareness System (EFAS - http://www.efas.eu) We are therefore more interested in improving the forecast skill for high-flows rather than the forecast skill of lower runoff levels. EFAS uses a combination of ensemble forecasts and deterministic forecasts from different forecasters to force a distributed hydrologic model and to compute runoff ensembles for each river pixel within the model domain. Instead of showing the mean and the variability of each forecast ensemble individually, we will now post-process all model outputs to find a total probability, the post-processed mean and uncertainty of all ensembles. The post-processing parameters are first calibrated for each calibration location, but assuring that they have some spatial correlation, by adding a spatial penalty in the calibration process. This can in some cases have a slight negative

  4. Analyse de la richesse piscicole de quatre ensembles hydrographiques français

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    PONT D.

    1995-04-01

    Full Text Available L'analyse des variations de richesse en espèces piscicoles autochtones le long des gradients longitudinaux de quatre ensembles hydrographiques français met en évidence un accroissement amont-aval similaire par type de bassins (grands bassins de la Seine et du Rhône et fleuves côtiers breton et du Languedoc-Roussillon. Les richesses spécifiques sont comparables à l'amont (0 à 4 km de la source et diffèrent significativement plus en aval. Dans les deux grands bassins, la pente est le premier facteur explicatif de la variation de la richesse en espèces autochtones, suivi de la distance à la source, de l'altitude et de la largeur. A une échelle d'espace supérieure, le positionnement géographique (latitude n'a pas d'effet significatif. Dans ces bassins, la richesse en espèces autochtones serait d'abord régulée par les conditions prévalant aux échelles locales et de la zonation.

  5. Science, Linguistique, Littérature : trois disciplines, deux discours, une culture

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Sandrine SORLIN

    2010-09-01

    Full Text Available Cet article propose une réflexion sur les frontières épistémologiques et méthodologiques qui séparent trois disciplines universitaires. Portées par un discours propre à l’économie de leur discipline, la littérature et la science se pensent l’une l’autre comme « deux cultures » antinomiques. Or chaque discipline aborde son objet d’étude à partir d’un paradigme qui est culturellement déterminé. La concomitance de l’apparition des « théories du chaos » en science et du mouvement postmoderne en littérature dans les années 70 par exemple s’explique par leur appartenance à une même culture qui, à un moment donné, a opéré un changement de paradigme informant toutes les disciplines. La linguistique n’y a pas échappé ; pourtant le problème de ses frontières demeure. Nous mettrons en avant la transversalité de cette discipline, laquelle permet - entre autres - de rendre compte non seulement d’un style littéraire mais aussi de ce qu’on peut appeler la « rhétorique » ou la textualité de la science.This paper aims at considering the methodological and epistemological boundaries separating three academic disciplines. Underlain by a discourse that is proper to the economy of their discipline, literature and science regard each other as two opposite cultures. Yet each tackles its object of study through a culturally-determined paradigm. The simultaneous birth of chaos theory in science and postmodern aestheticism in literature in the 70s for instance can only be accounted for if we think of them as belonging to the same culture, which, at some point, brought about a change in paradigm that informed all disciplines. Linguistics underwent the same process. Yet the question of its boundaries remains. We will see to what extent linguistics can be seen as cross-disciplinary, in its study of the rhetoric of both literary and scientific textuality.  

  6. Ensemble. Mobile Learning to Promote Social Inclusion

    OpenAIRE

    G. Bonaiuti; Ranieri, M.; P. Ravotto

    2010-01-01

    Final English Booklet of Ensemble project. Mobile learning, or m-learning, is the new term that is gaining ground in the educational technology vocabulary. The project has tried to find out how mobile devices could be integrated into learning settings to improve social inclusion.

  7. Symplectic structure of the real Ginibre ensemble

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Sommers, Hans-Juergen [Fachbereich Physik, Universitaet Duisburg-Essen, 47048 Duisburg (Germany)

    2007-07-20

    We give a simple derivation of all n-point densities for the eigenvalues of the real Ginibre ensemble with even dimension N as quaternion determinants. A very simple symplectic kernel governs both the real and complex correlations. One- and two-point correlations are discussed in more detail. Scaling forms for large dimension N are derived. (fast track communication)

  8. Tiered Evaluation in Large Ensemble Settings.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Scott, David

    1998-01-01

    Discusses the use of a tiered evaluation system (TES) that allows students to work at different levels, enables teachers to assess progress objectively, and presents students with appropriate challenges in the music ensembles. Focuses on how TES works and its advantages, considers the challenges and flexibility of TES, and provides samples. (CMK)

  9. Partition Function of Interacting Calorons Ensemble

    CERN Document Server

    Deldar, Sedigheh

    2015-01-01

    We present a method for computing the partition function of a caloron ensemble taking into account the interaction of calorons. We focus on caloron-Dirac string interaction and show that the metric that Diakonov and Petrov offered works well in the limit where this interaction occurs. We suggest computing the correlation function of two polyakov loops by applying Ewald's method.

  10. Partition function of interacting calorons ensemble

    Science.gov (United States)

    Deldar, S.; Kiamari, M.

    2016-01-01

    We present a method for computing the partition function of a caloron ensemble taking into account the interaction of calorons. We focus on caloron-Dirac string interaction and show that the metric that Diakonov and Petrov offered, works well in the limit where this interaction occurs. We suggest computing the correlation function of two polyakov loops by applying Ewald's method.

  11. NYYD Ensemble ja Riho Sibul / Anneli Remme

    Index Scriptorium Estoniae

    Remme, Anneli, 1968-

    2001-01-01

    Gavin Bryarsi teos "Jesus' Blood Never Failed Me Yet" NYYD Ensemble'i ja Riho Sibula esituses 27. detsembril Pauluse kirikus Tartus ja 28. detsembril Rootsi- Mihkli kirikus Tallinnas. Kaastegevad Tartu Ülikooli Kammerkoor (Tartus) ja kammerkoor Voces Musicales (Tallinnas). Kunstiline juht Olari Elts

  12. Conductor gestures influence evaluations of ensemble performance

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Steven eMorrison

    2014-07-01

    Full Text Available Previous research has found that listener evaluations of ensemble performances vary depending on the expressivity of the conductor’s gestures, even when performances are otherwise identical. It was the purpose of the present study to test whether this effect of visual information was evident in the evaluation of specific aspects of ensemble performance, articulation and dynamics. We constructed a set of 32 music performances that combined auditory and visual information and were designed to feature a high degree of contrast along one of two target characteristics: articulation and dynamics. We paired each of four music excerpts recorded by a chamber ensemble in both a high- and low-contrast condition with video of four conductors demonstrating high- and low-contrast gesture specifically appropriate to either articulation or dynamics. Using one of two equivalent test forms, college music majors and nonmajors (N = 285 viewed sixteen 30-second performances and evaluated the quality of the ensemble’s articulation, dynamics, technique and tempo along with overall expressivity. Results showed significantly higher evaluations for performances featuring high rather than low conducting expressivity regardless of the ensemble’s performance quality. Evaluations for both articulation and dynamics were strongly and positively correlated with evaluations of overall ensemble expressivity.

  13. Embedded feature ranking for ensemble MLP classifiers

    OpenAIRE

    Windeatt, T; Duangsoithong, R; Smith, R

    2011-01-01

    A feature ranking scheme for multilayer perceptron (MLP) ensembles is proposed, along with a stopping criterion based upon the out-of-bootstrap estimate. To solve multi-class problems feature ranking is combined with modified error-correcting output coding. Experimental results on benchmark data demonstrate the versatility of the MLP base classifier in removing irrelevant features.

  14. Ensemble Filtering in Air Quality Models

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Eben, Kryštof; Juruš, Pavel; Resler, Jaroslav; Belda, M.; Pelikán, Emil

    Brno : Masaryk University, 2007 - (Horová, I.; Hřebíček, J.) ISBN 978-80-210-4333-6. [ TIES 2007. Annual Meeting of the International Environmental Society /18./. 16.08.2007-20.08.2007, Mikulov] Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z10300504 Keywords : air quality models * data assimilation * ensemble filtering

  15. Lorentz-invariant ensembles of vector backgrounds

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We consider gauge field theories in the presence of ensembles of vector backgrounds. While Lorentz invariance is explicitly broken in the presence of any single background, here, the Lorentz invariance of the theory is restored by averaging over a Lorentz-invariant ensemble of backgrounds, i.e., a set of background vectors that is mapped onto itself under Lorentz transformations. This framework is used to study the effects of a non-trivial but Lorentz-invariant vacuum structure or mass dimension two vector condensates by identifying the background with a shift of the gauge field. Up to now, the ensembles used in the literature comprise configurations corresponding to non-zero field tensors together with such with vanishing field strength. We find that even when constraining the ensembles to pure gauge configurations, the usual high-energy degrees of freedom are removed from the spectrum of asymptotic states in the presence of said backgrounds in Euclidean and in Minkowski space. We establish this result not only for the propagators to all orders in the background and otherwise at tree level but for the full propagator

  16. The Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction Experiment (HEPEX)

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wood, Andy; Wetterhall, Fredrik; Ramos, Maria-Helena

    2015-04-01

    The Hydrologic Ensemble Prediction Experiment was established in March, 2004, at a workshop hosted by the European Center for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF), and co-sponsored by the US National Weather Service (NWS) and the European Commission (EC). The HEPEX goal was to bring the international hydrological and meteorological communities together to advance the understanding and adoption of hydrological ensemble forecasts for decision support. HEPEX pursues this goal through research efforts and practical implementations involving six core elements of a hydrologic ensemble prediction enterprise: input and pre-processing, ensemble techniques, data assimilation, post-processing, verification, and communication and use in decision making. HEPEX has grown through meetings that connect the user, forecast producer and research communities to exchange ideas, data and methods; the coordination of experiments to address specific challenges; and the formation of testbeds to facilitate shared experimentation. In the last decade, HEPEX has organized over a dozen international workshops, as well as sessions at scientific meetings (including AMS, AGU and EGU) and special issues of scientific journals where workshop results have been published. Through these interactions and an active online blog (www.hepex.org), HEPEX has built a strong and active community of nearly 400 researchers & practitioners around the world. This poster presents an overview of recent and planned HEPEX activities, highlighting case studies that exemplify the focus and objectives of HEPEX.

  17. Semi-classical approximation and microcanonical ensemble

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    For quantum mechanical systems with spherically symmetric potential the improved W.K.B. approximation of Elworthy and Truman corresponds to the classical microcanonical ensemble in the limit where (h/2π) goes to zero, at least for small time. (orig.)

  18. Canonical Ensemble Model for Black Hole Radiation

    Indian Academy of Sciences (India)

    Jingyi Zhang

    2014-09-01

    In this paper, a canonical ensemble model for the black hole quantum tunnelling radiation is introduced. In this model the probability distribution function corresponding to the emission shell is calculated to second order. The formula of pressure and internal energy of the thermal system is modified, and the fundamental equation of thermodynamics is also discussed.

  19. Land Cover Mapping Using Ensemble Feature Selection Methods

    CERN Document Server

    Gidudu, A; Marwala, T

    2008-01-01

    Ensemble classification is an emerging approach to land cover mapping whereby the final classification output is a result of a consensus of classifiers. Intuitively, an ensemble system should consist of base classifiers which are diverse i.e. classifiers whose decision boundaries err differently. In this paper ensemble feature selection is used to impose diversity in ensembles. The features of the constituent base classifiers for each ensemble were created through an exhaustive search algorithm using different separability indices. For each ensemble, the classification accuracy was derived as well as a diversity measure purported to give a measure of the inensemble diversity. The correlation between ensemble classification accuracy and diversity measure was determined to establish the interplay between the two variables. From the findings of this paper, diversity measures as currently formulated do not provide an adequate means upon which to constitute ensembles for land cover mapping.

  20. Space Applications for Ensemble Detection and Analysis Project

    Data.gov (United States)

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration — Ensemble Detection is both a measurement technique and analysis tool. Like a prism that separates light into spectral bands, an ensemble detector mixes a signal...

  1. Ensemble-based Kalman Filters in Strongly Nonlinear Dynamics

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Zhaoxia PU; Joshua HACKER

    2009-01-01

    This study examines the effectiveness of ensemble Kalman filters in data assimilation with the strongly nonlinear dynamics of the Lorenz-63 model, and in particular their use in predicting the regime transition that occurs when the model jumps from one basin of attraction to the other. Four configurations of the ensemble-based Kalman filtering data assimilation techniques, including the ensemble Kalman filter, ensemble adjustment Kalman filter, ensemble square root filter and ensemble transform Kalman filter, are evaluated with their ability in predicting the regime transition (also called phase transition) and also are compared in terms of their sensitivity to both observational and sampling errors. The sensitivity of each ensemble-based filter to the size of the ensemble is also examined.

  2. Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) [2.5 Deg.

    Data.gov (United States)

    National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, Department of Commerce — The Global Ensemble Forecast System (GEFS) is a weather forecast model made up of 21 separate forecasts, or ensemble members. The National Centers for Environmental...

  3. Semaine d'Etude Mathématiques et Entreprises 1 : Deux problèmes sur les parcs solaires.

    OpenAIRE

    Aguillon, Nina; Benzekry, Sebastien; Bettinelli, Jérémie; Bochard, Pierre; Bonnotte, Nicolas; Delgado, Gabriel; Imbert-Gérard, Lise-Marie; Lepoultier, Guilhem; Navoret, Laurent; Parini, Enea

    2011-01-01

    Le premier problème consiste à étudier le placement quasi-optimal de parcs de panneaux solaires dans une région géographique définie. Si on suppose que la puissance d'un parc est directement proportionnelle à sa surface, on voudra maximiser la somme des surfaces des parcs. Néanmoins, la construction de tels parcs solaires est souvent soumise à des contraintes légales portant sur la puissance maximale de chaque parc et sur la distance entre deux parcs. Les idées proposées dans ce rapport tiend...

  4. Vers une institutionnalisation de l’agriculture bio ? Étude de deux manifestations promotionnelles en Alsace

    OpenAIRE

    Dam, Denise Van; Nizet, Jean; Streith, Michel

    2011-01-01

    L’agriculture biologique en tant que nouveau mouvement social économique est parcourue par des tensions. Dans cet article nous posons l’hypothèse qu’elles font évoluer le mouvement vers l’institutionnalisation. Nous testons cette hypothèse en comparant deux événements promotionnels du bio en Alsace : la Foire Eco-Bio d’Alsace, créée en 1982 dans un contexte hostile au bio et le Salon BiObernai, créé en 2004 dans un contexte plus accueillant. Nous observons ces évolutions au travers du prisme ...

  5. Sur la stabilite des Ondes Spheriques et le Mouvement d'un Fluide entre deux Plaques Infinies

    OpenAIRE

    Roussier-Michon, Violaine

    2003-01-01

    Cette thèse a pour objet le comportement asymptotique de solutions globales d'Equations aux Dérivées Partielles d'évolution paraboliques semilinéaires. A travers deux exemples distincts, on traite de la convergence en temps des solutions vers des solutions particulières (ondes progressives, solutions autosimilaires). Dans un premier temps, on étudie la stabilité asymptotique des ondes progressives à symétrie sphérique dans une équation de réaction-diffusion scalaire avec non-linéarité bistabl...

  6. Les infections à Pseudomonas aeruginosa au service des maladies infectieuses du CHU YO, Burkina Faso: à propos deux cas

    OpenAIRE

    Mamoudou, Savadogo; Lassina, Dao; Fla, Koueta

    2015-01-01

    Nous rapportons deux cas d'infection à Pseudomonas aeruginosa: un cas de méningite et un cas d'infection urinaire. Les auteurs rappellent qu’à côté des étiologies classiques des méningites et des infections urinaires, des germes résistants comme Pseudomonas aeruginosa peuvent être responsables d'infections à localisation méningées et urinaires et dont il faut connaître pour une bonne prise en charge. Le traitement de ces infections requiert un antibiogramme au regard de la grande capacité de ...

  7. Black Hole Statistical Mechanics and The Angular Velocity Ensemble

    CERN Document Server

    Thomson, Mitchell

    2012-01-01

    An new ensemble - the angular velocity ensemble - is derived using Jaynes' method of maximising entropy subject to prior information constraints. The relevance of the ensemble to black holes is motivated by a discussion of external parameters in statistical mechanics and their absence from the Hamiltonian of general relativity. It is shown how this leads to difficulty in deriving entropy as a function of state and recovering the first law of thermodynamics from the microcanonical and canonical ensembles applied to black holes.

  8. Evaluation of an ensemble-based incremental variational data assimilation

    OpenAIRE

    Yang, Yin; Robinson, Cordelia; Heitz, Dominique; Mémin, Etienne

    2014-01-01

    In this work, we aim at studying ensemble based optimal control strategies for data assimilation. Such formulation nicely combines the ingredients of ensemble Kalman filters and variational data assimilation (4DVar). In the same way as variational assimilation schemes, it is formulated as the minimization of an objective function, but similarly to ensemble filter, it introduces in its objective function an empirical ensemble-based background-error covariance and works in an off-line smoothing...

  9. Data assimilation in integrated hydrological modeling using ensemble Kalman filtering

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Rasmussen, Jørn; Madsen, H.; Jensen, Karsten Høgh;

    2015-01-01

    Groundwater head and stream discharge is assimilated using the ensemble transform Kalman filter in an integrated hydrological model with the aim of studying the relationship between the filter performance and the ensemble size. In an attempt to reduce the required number of ensemble members, an...

  10. A COMPREHENSIVE EVOLUTIONARY APPROACH FOR NEURAL NETWORK ENSEMBLES AUTOMATIC DESIGN

    OpenAIRE

    Bukhtoyarov, V.; Semenkin, E.

    2010-01-01

    A new comprehensive approach for neural network ensembles design is proposed. It consists of a method of neural networks automatic design and a method of automatic formation of an ensemble solution on the basis of separate neural networks solutions. It is demonstrated that the proposed approach is not less effective than a number of other approaches for neural network ensembles design.

  11. Sampling Motif-Constrained Ensembles of Networks

    Science.gov (United States)

    Fischer, Rico; Leitão, Jorge C.; Peixoto, Tiago P.; Altmann, Eduardo G.

    2015-10-01

    The statistical significance of network properties is conditioned on null models which satisfy specified properties but that are otherwise random. Exponential random graph models are a principled theoretical framework to generate such constrained ensembles, but which often fail in practice, either due to model inconsistency or due to the impossibility to sample networks from them. These problems affect the important case of networks with prescribed clustering coefficient or number of small connected subgraphs (motifs). In this Letter we use the Wang-Landau method to obtain a multicanonical sampling that overcomes both these problems. We sample, in polynomial time, networks with arbitrary degree sequences from ensembles with imposed motifs counts. Applying this method to social networks, we investigate the relation between transitivity and homophily, and we quantify the correlation between different types of motifs, finding that single motifs can explain up to 60% of the variation of motif profiles.

  12. Sampling motif-constrained ensembles of networks

    CERN Document Server

    Fischer, Rico; Peixoto, Tiago P; Altmann, Eduardo G

    2015-01-01

    The statistical significance of network properties is conditioned on null models which satisfy spec- ified properties but that are otherwise random. Exponential random graph models are a principled theoretical framework to generate such constrained ensembles, but which often fail in practice, either due to model inconsistency, or due to the impossibility to sample networks from them. These problems affect the important case of networks with prescribed clustering coefficient or number of small connected subgraphs (motifs). In this paper we use the Wang-Landau method to obtain a multicanonical sampling that overcomes both these problems. We sample, in polynomial time, net- works with arbitrary degree sequences from ensembles with imposed motifs counts. Applying this method to social networks, we investigate the relation between transitivity and homophily, and we quantify the correlation between different types of motifs, finding that single motifs can explain up to 60% of the variation of motif profiles.

  13. Eigenstate Gibbs Ensemble in Integrable Quantum Systems

    CERN Document Server

    Nandy, Sourav; Das, Arnab; Dhar, Abhishek

    2016-01-01

    The Eigenstate Thermalization Hypothesis implies that for a thermodynamically large system in one of its eigenstates, the reduced density matrix describing any finite subsystem is determined solely by a set of {\\it relevant} conserved quantities. In a generic system, only the energy plays that role and hence eigenstates appear locally thermal. Integrable systems, on the other hand, possess an extensive number of such conserved quantities and hence the reduced density matrix requires specification of an infinite number of parameters (Generalized Gibbs Ensemble). However, here we show by unbiased statistical sampling of the individual eigenstates with a given finite energy density, that the local description of an overwhelming majority of these states of even such an integrable system is actually Gibbs-like, i.e. requires only the energy density of the eigenstate. Rare eigenstates that cannot be represented by the Gibbs ensemble can also be sampled efficiently by our method and their local properties are then s...

  14. Ensemble annealing of complex physical systems

    CERN Document Server

    Habeck, Michael

    2015-01-01

    Algorithms for simulating complex physical systems or solving difficult optimization problems often resort to an annealing process. Rather than simulating the system at the temperature of interest, an annealing algorithm starts at a temperature that is high enough to ensure ergodicity and gradually decreases it until the destination temperature is reached. This idea is used in popular algorithms such as parallel tempering and simulated annealing. A general problem with annealing methods is that they require a temperature schedule. Choosing well-balanced temperature schedules can be tedious and time-consuming. Imbalanced schedules can have a negative impact on the convergence, runtime and success of annealing algorithms. This article outlines a unifying framework, ensemble annealing, that combines ideas from simulated annealing, histogram reweighting and nested sampling with concepts in thermodynamic control. Ensemble annealing simultaneously simulates a physical system and estimates its density of states. The...

  15. Ensemble Forecasting of Major Solar Flares

    CERN Document Server

    Guerra, J A; Uritsky, V M

    2015-01-01

    We present the results from the first ensemble prediction model for major solar flares (M and X classes). Using the probabilistic forecasts from three models hosted at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (NASA-GSFC) and the NOAA forecasts, we developed an ensemble forecast by linearly combining the flaring probabilities from all four methods. Performance-based combination weights were calculated using a Monte Carlo-type algorithm by applying a decision threshold $P_{th}$ to the combined probabilities and maximizing the Heidke Skill Score (HSS). Using the probabilities and events time series from 13 recent solar active regions (2012 - 2014), we found that a linear combination of probabilities can improve both probabilistic and categorical forecasts. Combination weights vary with the applied threshold and none of the tested individual forecasting models seem to provide more accurate predictions than the others for all values of $P_{th}$. According to the maximum values of HSS, a performance-based weights ...

  16. Quark ensembles with the infinite correlation length

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A number of exactly integrable (quark) models of quantum field theory with the infinite correlation length have been considered. It has been shown that the standard vacuum quark ensemble—Dirac sea (in the case of the space-time dimension higher than three)—is unstable because of the strong degeneracy of a state, which is due to the character of the energy distribution. When the momentum cutoff parameter tends to infinity, the distribution becomes infinitely narrow, leading to large (unlimited) fluctuations. Various vacuum ensembles—Dirac sea, neutral ensemble, color superconductor, and BCS state—have been compared. In the case of the color interaction between quarks, the BCS state has been certainly chosen as the ground state of the quark ensemble

  17. Face Recognition using Optimal Representation Ensemble

    CERN Document Server

    Li, Hanxi; Gao, Yongsheng

    2011-01-01

    Recently, the face recognizers based on linear representations have been shown to deliver state-of-the-art performance. In real-world applications, however, face images usually suffer from expressions, disguises and random occlusions. The problematic facial parts undermine the validity of the linear-subspace assumption and thus the recognition performance deteriorates significantly. In this work, we address the problem in a learning-inference-mixed fashion. By observing that the linear-subspace assumption is more reliable on certain face patches rather than on the holistic face, some Bayesian Patch Representations (BPRs) are randomly generated and interpreted according to the Bayes' theory. We then train an ensemble model over the patch-representations by minimizing the empirical risk w.r.t the "leave-one-out margins". The obtained model is termed Optimal Representation Ensemble (ORE), since it guarantees the optimality from the perspective of Empirical Risk Minimization. To handle the unknown patterns in tes...

  18. The ensemble of random Markov matrices

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The ensemble of random Markov matrices is introduced as a set of Markov or stochastic matrices with the maximal Shannon entropy. The statistical properties of the stationary distribution π, the average entropy growth rate h and the second-largest eigenvalue ν across the ensemble are studied. It is shown and heuristically proven that the entropy growth rate and second-largest eigenvalue of Markov matrices scale on average with the dimension of the matrices d as h∼log(O(d)) and |ν|∼d−1/2, respectively, yielding the asymptotic relation hτc∼1/2 between the entropy h and the correlation decay time τ = −1/log|ν|. Additionally, the correlation between h and τc is analysed; it decreases with increasing dimension d

  19. DEECO: an ensemble-based component system

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Bureš, Tomáš; Gerostathopoulos, I.; Hnětynka, P.; Keznikl, Jaroslav; Kit, M.; Plášil, F.

    New York: ACM, 2013, s. 81-90. ISBN 978-1-4503-2122-8. [CBSE 2013. International ACM SIGSOFT Symposium on Component-Based Software Engineering /16./. Vancouver (CA), 17.06.2013-21.06.2013] Grant ostatní: GA AV ČR(CZ) GAP202/11/0312; UK(CZ) SVV-2013-267312 Institutional support: RVO:67985807 Keywords : component model * emergent architecture * component ensembles * autonomic systems * development process * runtime framework Subject RIV: IN - Informatics, Computer Science

  20. Spectral Diagonal Covariance in Ensemble Kalman Filter

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Kasanický, Ivan; Eben, Kryštof; Mandel, Jan; Vejmelka, Martin

    Munich: Ludwig Maximilians University, 2014. s. 10-10. [ISDA 2014. International Conference on Intelligent Systems Design and Applications. 24.02.2014-28.02.2014, Munich] R&D Projects: GA ČR GA13-34856S Grant ostatní: NSF DMS -1216481 Institutional support: RVO:67985807 Keywords : data assimilation * ensemble Kalman filter * diagonal covariance Subject RIV: DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology http://www.isda2014.physik.uni-muenchen.de/index.html

  1. Ensemble Data Assimilation: Algorithms and Software

    OpenAIRE

    Nerger, Lars

    2014-01-01

    Ensemble data assimilation is nowadays applied to various problems to estimate a model state and model parameters by combining the model predictions with observational data. At the Alfred Wegener Institute, the assimilation focuses on ocean-sea ice models and coupled ocean-biogeochemical models. The high dimension of realistic models requires particularly efficient algorithms that are also usable on supercomputers. For the application of such filters, the Parallel Data Assimilation Framework ...

  2. Statistical Ensemble Theory of Gompertz Growth Model

    OpenAIRE

    Takuya Yamano

    2009-01-01

    An ensemble formulation for the Gompertz growth function within the framework of statistical mechanics is presented, where the two growth parameters are assumed to be statistically distributed. The growth can be viewed as a self-referential process, which enables us to use the Bose-Einstein statistics picture. The analytical entropy expression pertain to the law can be obtained in terms of the growth velocity distribution as well as the Gompertz function itself for the whole process.

  3. Statistical Ensemble Theory of Gompertz Growth Model

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Takuya Yamano

    2009-11-01

    Full Text Available An ensemble formulation for the Gompertz growth function within the framework of statistical mechanics is presented, where the two growth parameters are assumed to be statistically distributed. The growth can be viewed as a self-referential process, which enables us to use the Bose-Einstein statistics picture. The analytical entropy expression pertain to the law can be obtained in terms of the growth velocity distribution as well as the Gompertz function itself for the whole process.

  4. Ensemble Robustness of Deep Learning Algorithms

    OpenAIRE

    Feng, Jiashi; Zahavy, Tom; Kang, Bingyi; Xu, Huan; Mannor, Shie

    2016-01-01

    The question why deep learning algorithms perform so well in practice has attracted increasing research interest. However, most of well-established approaches, such as hypothesis capacity, robustness or sparseness, have not provided complete explanations, due to the high complexity of the deep learning algorithms and their inherent randomness. In this work, we introduce a new approach~\\textendash~ensemble robustness~\\textendash~towards characterizing the generalization performance of generic ...

  5. Spectral Diagonal Covariance in Ensemble Kalman Filter

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Kasanický, Ivan; Eben, Kryštof; Mandel, Jan; Vejmelka, Martin

    Munich : Ludwig Maximilians University, 2014. s. 10-10. [ISDA 2014. International Conference on Intelligent Systems Design and Applications. 24.02.2014-28.02.2014, Munich] R&D Projects: GA ČR GA13-34856S Grant ostatní: NSF DMS-1216481 Institutional support: RVO:67985807 Keywords : data assimilation * ensemble Kalman filter * diagonal covariance Subject RIV: DG - Athmosphere Sciences, Meteorology http://www.isda2014.physik.uni-muenchen.de/index.html

  6. Ensemble Models with Trees and Rules

    OpenAIRE

    Akdemir, Deniz

    2011-01-01

    In this article, we have proposed several approaches for post processing a large ensemble of prediction models or rules. The results from our simulations show that the post processing methods we have considered here are promising. We have used the techniques developed here for estimation of quantitative traits from markers, on the benchmark "Bostob Housing"data set and in some simulations. In most cases, the produced models had better prediction performance than, for example, the ones produce...

  7. Analyse expérimentale du comportement biomécanique de deux types d'implants d'ostéosynthèse

    OpenAIRE

    Gómez Clemente, Raquel

    2010-01-01

    Ce projet s´inscrit dans une étude sur l´analyse du comportement biomécanique de deux types d´implants d´ostéosynthèse des fractures condyliennes latérales du coude chez le chien. Il est en relation avec l´entreprise SYNTHES qui fabrique les vis qui vont être utilisées dans l´étude, et des vétérinaires. Ces deux types d´implants sont deux vis différentes, une pleine et une cannulée. Dans ce projet la problématique de l´étude, et la recherche bibliographique faite pour étudier des angles, posi...

  8. Implication de LRP1 et ShcA dans deux pathologies cardiovasculaires : l'arthérosclérose et l'insuffisance cardiaque

    OpenAIRE

    Mlih, Mohamed

    2012-01-01

    Les maladies cardiovasculaires sont la première cause de mortalité dans le monde. Une meilleure compréhension des mécanismes physiopathologiques est nécessaire. Dans ce travail de thèse nous nous sommes intéressés à deux pathologies cardiovasculaires : l’athérosclérose et l’insuffisance cardiaque. Récemment, nous avons identifié le récepteur LRP1 et la protéine adaptatrice ShcA comme étant deux protéines impliquées dans deux de ces pathologies cardiovasculaires. Nousavons montré que ShcA joue...

  9. Multivariate localization methods for ensemble Kalman filtering

    KAUST Repository

    Roh, S.

    2015-05-08

    In ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF), the small number of ensemble members that is feasible to use in a practical data assimilation application leads to sampling variability of the estimates of the background error covariances. The standard approach to reducing the effects of this sampling variability, which has also been found to be highly efficient in improving the performance of EnKF, is the localization of the estimates of the covariances. One family of localization techniques is based on taking the Schur (entry-wise) product of the ensemble-based sample covariance matrix and a correlation matrix whose entries are obtained by the discretization of a distance-dependent correlation function. While the proper definition of the localization function for a single state variable has been extensively investigated, a rigorous definition of the localization function for multiple state variables has been seldom considered. This paper introduces two strategies for the construction of localization functions for multiple state variables. The proposed localization functions are tested by assimilating simulated observations experiments into the bivariate Lorenz 95 model with their help.

  10. Multivariate localization methods for ensemble Kalman filtering

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    S. Roh

    2015-05-01

    Full Text Available In ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF, the small number of ensemble members that is feasible to use in a practical data assimilation application leads to sampling variability of the estimates of the background error covariances. The standard approach to reducing the effects of this sampling variability, which has also been found to be highly efficient in improving the performance of EnKF, is the localization of the estimates of the covariances. One family of localization techniques is based on taking the Schur (entry-wise product of the ensemble-based sample covariance matrix and a correlation matrix whose entries are obtained by the discretization of a distance-dependent correlation function. While the proper definition of the localization function for a single state variable has been extensively investigated, a rigorous definition of the localization function for multiple state variables has been seldom considered. This paper introduces two strategies for the construction of localization functions for multiple state variables. The proposed localization functions are tested by assimilating simulated observations experiments into the bivariate Lorenz 95 model with their help.

  11. Developments of a Targeted Ensemble Prediction System

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hersbach, H.; Mureau, R.; Opsteegh, J. D.; Barkmeijer, J.

    2003-04-01

    Based on results presented in a previous paper, an Ensemble Prediction System, especially designed for the short-range to early-medium range for the European domain (TEPS), was further developed. Between 1 January 1999 and 27 February 2000 this system was run for two cases per week. Results were compared to the ensemble prediction system (EPS) that was operational at the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts at the time. The focus was on weather parameters. Several configurations were tested. Besides perturbations that optimize total error growth for the European domain at 48 h, perturbations relevant for shorter forecast times were included as well. Firstly, in accordance with EPS, evolved northern hemispheric singular vectors (ETEPS) and secondly, targeted singular vectors with an optimization time of 12 h (STEPS) were added. Compared to EPS, ensemble spread was increased in the short range, having a beneficial effect on statistical properties such as reliability and the frequency of outliers. Spread-skill correlations improved as well. Best performance was found for the STEPS configuration. The impact on Brier scores, relative operating characteristic curves and cost-loss analyses was less clear. From the singular vector point of view, the positive impact of using targeted perturbations is evident. However, after integration (STEPS or ETEPS), it was difficult to find synoptic cases in which this clear impact is still present.

  12. Microcanonical ensemble extensive thermodynamics of Tsallis statistics

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The microscopic foundation of the generalized equilibrium statistical mechanics based on the Tsallis entropy is given by using the Gibbs idea of statistical ensembles of the classical and quantum mechanics.The equilibrium distribution functions are derived by the thermodynamic method based upon the use of the fundamental equation of thermodynamics and the statistical definition of the functions of the state of the system. It is shown that if the entropic index ξ = 1/q - 1 in the microcanonical ensemble is an extensive variable of the state of the system, then in the thermodynamic limit z bar = 1/(q - 1)N = const the principle of additivity and the zero law of thermodynamics are satisfied. In particular, the Tsallis entropy of the system is extensive and the temperature is intensive. Thus, the Tsallis statistics completely satisfies all the postulates of the equilibrium thermodynamics. Moreover, evaluation of the thermodynamic identities in the microcanonical ensemble is provided by the Euler theorem. The principle of additivity and the Euler theorem are explicitly proved by using the illustration of the classical microcanonical ideal gas in the thermodynamic limit

  13. Gradient Flow Analysis on MILC HISQ Ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Bazavov, A; Brown, N; DeTar, C; Foley, J; Gottlieb, Steven; Heller, U M; Hetrick, J E; Komijani, J; Laiho, J; Levkova, L; Oktay, M; Sugar, R L; Toussaint, D; Van de Water, R S; Zhou, R

    2014-01-01

    We report on a preliminary scale determination with gradient-flow techniques on the $N_f = 2 + 1 + 1$ HISQ ensembles generated by the MILC collaboration. The ensembles include four lattice spacings, ranging from 0.15 to 0.06 fm, and both physical and unphysical values of the quark masses. The scales $\\sqrt{t_0}/a$ and $w_0/a$ are computed using Symanzik flow and the cloverleaf definition of $\\langle E \\rangle$ on each ensemble. Then both scales and the meson masses $aM_\\pi$ and $aM_K$ are adjusted for mistunings in the charm mass. Using a combination of continuum chiral perturbation theory and a Taylor series ansatz in the lattice spacing, the results are simultaneously extrapolated to the continuum and interpolated to physical quark masses. Our preliminary results are $\\sqrt{t_0} = 0.1422(7)$fm and $w_0 = 0.1732(10)$fm. We also find the continuum mass-dependence of $w_0$.

  14. Multivariate localization methods for ensemble Kalman filtering

    Science.gov (United States)

    Roh, S.; Jun, M.; Szunyogh, I.; Genton, M. G.

    2015-12-01

    In ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF), the small number of ensemble members that is feasible to use in a practical data assimilation application leads to sampling variability of the estimates of the background error covariances. The standard approach to reducing the effects of this sampling variability, which has also been found to be highly efficient in improving the performance of EnKF, is the localization of the estimates of the covariances. One family of localization techniques is based on taking the Schur (element-wise) product of the ensemble-based sample covariance matrix and a correlation matrix whose entries are obtained by the discretization of a distance-dependent correlation function. While the proper definition of the localization function for a single state variable has been extensively investigated, a rigorous definition of the localization function for multiple state variables that exist at the same locations has been seldom considered. This paper introduces two strategies for the construction of localization functions for multiple state variables. The proposed localization functions are tested by assimilating simulated observations experiments into the bivariate Lorenz 95 model with their help.

  15. Ras Conformational Ensembles, Allostery, and Signaling.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lu, Shaoyong; Jang, Hyunbum; Muratcioglu, Serena; Gursoy, Attila; Keskin, Ozlem; Nussinov, Ruth; Zhang, Jian

    2016-06-01

    Ras proteins are classical members of small GTPases that function as molecular switches by alternating between inactive GDP-bound and active GTP-bound states. Ras activation is regulated by guanine nucleotide exchange factors that catalyze the exchange of GDP by GTP, and inactivation is terminated by GTPase-activating proteins that accelerate the intrinsic GTP hydrolysis rate by orders of magnitude. In this review, we focus on data that have accumulated over the past few years pertaining to the conformational ensembles and the allosteric regulation of Ras proteins and their interpretation from our conformational landscape standpoint. The Ras ensemble embodies all states, including the ligand-bound conformations, the activated (or inactivated) allosteric modulated states, post-translationally modified states, mutational states, transition states, and nonfunctional states serving as a reservoir for emerging functions. The ensemble is shifted by distinct mutational events, cofactors, post-translational modifications, and different membrane compositions. A better understanding of Ras biology can contribute to therapeutic strategies. PMID:26815308

  16. Ensemble Clustering using Semidefinite Programming with Applications.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Singh, Vikas; Mukherjee, Lopamudra; Peng, Jiming; Xu, Jinhui

    2010-05-01

    In this paper, we study the ensemble clustering problem, where the input is in the form of multiple clustering solutions. The goal of ensemble clustering algorithms is to aggregate the solutions into one solution that maximizes the agreement in the input ensemble. We obtain several new results for this problem. Specifically, we show that the notion of agreement under such circumstances can be better captured using a 2D string encoding rather than a voting strategy, which is common among existing approaches. Our optimization proceeds by first constructing a non-linear objective function which is then transformed into a 0-1 Semidefinite program (SDP) using novel convexification techniques. This model can be subsequently relaxed to a polynomial time solvable SDP. In addition to the theoretical contributions, our experimental results on standard machine learning and synthetic datasets show that this approach leads to improvements not only in terms of the proposed agreement measure but also the existing agreement measures based on voting strategies. In addition, we identify several new application scenarios for this problem. These include combining multiple image segmentations and generating tissue maps from multiple-channel Diffusion Tensor brain images to identify the underlying structure of the brain. PMID:21927539

  17. Quantum statistical ensemble for emissive correlated systems

    Science.gov (United States)

    Shakirov, Alexey M.; Shchadilova, Yulia E.; Rubtsov, Alexey N.

    2016-06-01

    Relaxation dynamics of complex quantum systems with strong interactions towards the steady state is a fundamental problem in statistical mechanics. The steady state of subsystems weakly interacting with their environment is described by the canonical ensemble which assumes the probability distribution for energy to be of the Boltzmann form. The emergence of this probability distribution is ensured by the detailed balance of the transitions induced by the interaction with the environment. Here we consider relaxation of an open correlated quantum system brought into contact with a reservoir in the vacuum state. We refer to such a system as emissive since particles irreversibly evaporate into the vacuum. The steady state of the system is a statistical mixture of the stable eigenstates. We found that, despite the absence of the detailed balance, the stationary probability distribution over these eigenstates is of the Boltzmann form in each N -particle sector. A quantum statistical ensemble corresponding to the steady state is characterized by different temperatures in the different sectors, in contrast to the Gibbs ensemble. We investigate the transition rates between the eigenstates to understand the emergence of the Boltzmann distribution and find their exponential dependence on the transition energy. We argue that this property of transition rates is generic for a wide class of emissive quantum many-body systems.

  18. Multivariate localization methods for ensemble Kalman filtering

    KAUST Repository

    Roh, S.

    2015-12-03

    In ensemble Kalman filtering (EnKF), the small number of ensemble members that is feasible to use in a practical data assimilation application leads to sampling variability of the estimates of the background error covariances. The standard approach to reducing the effects of this sampling variability, which has also been found to be highly efficient in improving the performance of EnKF, is the localization of the estimates of the covariances. One family of localization techniques is based on taking the Schur (element-wise) product of the ensemble-based sample covariance matrix and a correlation matrix whose entries are obtained by the discretization of a distance-dependent correlation function. While the proper definition of the localization function for a single state variable has been extensively investigated, a rigorous definition of the localization function for multiple state variables that exist at the same locations has been seldom considered. This paper introduces two strategies for the construction of localization functions for multiple state variables. The proposed localization functions are tested by assimilating simulated observations experiments into the bivariate Lorenz 95 model with their help.

  19. L’évolution diachronique des concepts environnementaux des deux rives de L’Atlantique. La construction du concept de RIPARIA comme un patrimoine culturel

    OpenAIRE

    Hermon, Ella

    2015-01-01

    La gestion de l’eau, conçue comme un patrimoine culturel par le filtre de son histoire, est indissociable des écosystèmes des bords de l’eau que nous avons identifiés avec le concept de RIPARIA. Sa définition comme concept environnemental à la recherche d’une méthode d’analyse systémique puise ses racines dans l’évolution diachronique des concepts environnementaux des deux rives de l’Atlantique. Deux approches parallèles de la définition de concepts environnementaux, ont ...

  20. Folie à deux dissociative in prepubertal children: report of two cases with EEGs Folie à deux desordem dissociativa em crianças antes da puberdade: relato de dois casos com EEGs

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    A.H. CHAPMAN

    1998-09-01

    Full Text Available A case of folie à deux dissociative (dissociative hysteria disorder in an 8 and 12 year-old sister and brother is presented. Illnesses of this type are very rare and there is little medical literature on this subject. Our patients, almost simultaneously, abruptly had complete loss of memory, disorientation, loss of awareness about who they were, and much anxiety, which lasted about 15 hours. Both patients were physically well and no abnormalities were found on physical examination, routines laboratory tests and EEG studies. Speculations about the emotional and interpersonal causes of this illness in these two patients are given.É apresentado um caso da desordem dissociativa folie à deux (histeria dissociativa em um casal de irmãos, sendo que o menino tem 12 anos e a menina 8. Doenças desse tipo são raras e existem poucas referências sobre o assunto na literatura médica. Os pacientes por nós atendidos, de repente e quase simultaneamente, apresentaram distúrbios acentuados da memória, desorientação, perda de auto-identidade e muita ansiedade; esse estado confusional durou aproximadamente 15 horas. Os dois tinham boa saúde física e não apresentavam anormalidades no exame clínico. Os exames laboratoriais de rotina estavam normais. Foram avaliados por meio de EEGs que estavam dentro dos limites da normalidade. Na discussão, são apresentadas considerações especulativas sobre as causas emocionais e interpessoais que possam ter propiciado o aparecimento dessa desordem nos dois pacientes.

  1. Ensemble Data Assimilation Without Ensembles: Methodology and Application to Ocean Data Assimilation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Keppenne, Christian L.; Rienecker, Michele M.; Kovach, Robin M.; Vernieres, Guillaume

    2013-01-01

    Two methods to estimate background error covariances for data assimilation are introduced. While both share properties with the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), they differ from it in that they do not require the integration of multiple model trajectories. Instead, all the necessary covariance information is obtained from a single model integration. The first method is referred-to as SAFE (Space Adaptive Forecast error Estimation) because it estimates error covariances from the spatial distribution of model variables within a single state vector. It can thus be thought of as sampling an ensemble in space. The second method, named FAST (Flow Adaptive error Statistics from a Time series), constructs an ensemble sampled from a moving window along a model trajectory. The underlying assumption in these methods is that forecast errors in data assimilation are primarily phase errors in space and/or time.

  2. The MIP ensemble simulation: local ensemble statistics in the Cosmic Web

    Science.gov (United States)

    Aragon-Calvo, M. A.

    2016-01-01

    We present a new technique that allows us to compute ensemble statistics on a local basis, directly relating halo properties to their local environment. This is achieved by the use of a correlated ensemble in which the large-scale structure (LSS) is common to all realizations while having each an independent halo population. The correlated ensemble can be stacked, effectively increasing the halo number density by an arbitrary factor, thus breaking the fundamental limit in the halo number density given by the halo mass function. This technique allows us to compute local ensemble statistics of the matter/halo distribution at any position in the simulation box, while removing the intrinsic stochasticity in the halo formation process and directly relating halo properties to their environment. We introduce the Multum In Parvo correlated ensemble simulation consisting of 220 realizations on a 32 h-1 Mpc box with 2563 particles each. This is equivalent in terms of effective volume and number of particles to a box of ˜193 h-1 Mpc of side with ˜15403 particles containing ˜5 × 106 haloes with a minimum mass of 3.25 × 109 h-1 M⊙. The potential of the technique presented here is illustrated by computing the local ensemble statistics of the halo ellipticity and halo shape-LSS alignment. We show that, while there are general trends in the ellipticity and alignment of haloes with their LSS, there are also significant spatial variations which has important implications for observational studies of galaxy shape and alignment.

  3. De praeceptis ferendis: good practice in multi-model ensembles

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    I. Kioutsioukis

    2014-06-01

    Full Text Available Ensembles of air quality models have been formally and empirically shown to outperform single models in many cases. Evidence suggests that ensemble error is reduced when the members form a diverse and accurate ensemble. Diversity and accuracy are hence two factors that should be taken care of while designing ensembles in order for them to provide better predictions. There exists a trade-off between diversity and accuracy for which one cannot be gained without expenses of the other. Theoretical aspects like the bias-variance-covariance decomposition and the accuracy-diversity decomposition are linked together and support the importance of creating ensemble that incorporates both the elements. Hence, the common practice of unconditional averaging of models without prior manipulation limits the advantages of ensemble averaging. We demonstrate the importance of ensemble accuracy and diversity through an inter-comparison of ensemble products for which a sound mathematical framework exists, and provide specific recommendations for model selection and weighting for multi model ensembles. To this end we have devised statistical tools that can be used for diagnostic evaluation of ensemble modelling products, complementing existing operational methods.

  4. Deux extraits commentés des Basses Œuvres1 de ‘Abduh Khāl

    OpenAIRE

    Lagrange, Frédéric

    2014-01-01

    Le romancier saoudien ‘Abduh Khāl, dans son roman Tarmī bi‑sharar (Les Basses Œuvres) paru en 2009 et couronné par l’International Prize for Arab Fiction en 2010, tend un miroir peu flatteur au Royaume wahhabite : ce monologue d’un tortionnaire violeur au service d’un mystérieux Maître du Palais dans une Djedda déformée par l’affairisme figurant allégoriquement le régime présente un pays corrompu par sa soumission à l’absolutisme. Deux extraits sont ici commentés, en soulignant les rapports i...

  5. Les infections à Pseudomonas aeruginosa au service des maladies infectieuses du CHU YO, Burkina Faso: à propos deux cas

    Science.gov (United States)

    Mamoudou, Savadogo; Lassina, Dao; Fla, Koueta

    2015-01-01

    Nous rapportons deux cas d'infection à Pseudomonas aeruginosa: un cas de méningite et un cas d'infection urinaire. Les auteurs rappellent qu’à côté des étiologies classiques des méningites et des infections urinaires, des germes résistants comme Pseudomonas aeruginosa peuvent être responsables d'infections à localisation méningées et urinaires et dont il faut connaître pour une bonne prise en charge. Le traitement de ces infections requiert un antibiogramme au regard de la grande capacité de résistance de Pseudomonas aeruginosa en milieu hospitalier. La limitation des gestes invasifs et l'application rigoureuse des mesures de prévention des infections en milieu hospitalier contribueront à lutter efficacement contre ces infections en milieu de soins. PMID:26491521

  6. À propos du compte rendu des deux volumes de Chants populaires de la Grande Lande, de Félix Arnaudin

    OpenAIRE

    Mabru, Lothaire

    2010-01-01

    Dans le précédent volume des Cahiers de musiques traditionnelles, Eliane Gauzit et Pierre Bec ont produit un compte rendu concernant les deux tomes des Chants populaires de la Grande Lande de Félix Arnaudin, auxquels j’avais participé. Dans ce texte ils m’accusent de manque de rigueur scientifique et de négligence dans mon travail d’édition des chants collectés par Arnaudin. Ce n’est pas la première fois qu’ils s’en prennent à moi à ce sujet, puisqu’ils ont publiquement émis leurs critiques à...

  7. Excitation de plasmons et de phonons par battement de deux ondes électromagnétiques transversales dans un plasma

    OpenAIRE

    Lehner, T.

    1988-01-01

    Le battement de deux ondes électromagnétiques dans un plasma pour produire une onde longitudinale (plasmon ou phonon) est réalisé expérimentalement à l'aide d'un double banc micro-onde en bande centimétrique. La détection du couplage se fait : (a) soit par une méthode d'absorption directe sur l'une des pompes ; (b) soit par diffusion hétérodyne d'une troisième onde dans des conditions de quasi-absorption. Ces méthodes de détection sont optimales : la première satisfait la relation de Manley-R...

  8. Le modèle probabiliste de l'alignement local de deux séquences

    OpenAIRE

    Nicodème, Pierre

    1997-01-01

    Nous décrivons le modèle probabiliste utilisé pour calibrer l'alignement local de deux séquences, quand un schéma de score additif est utilisé. Ce modèle est utilisé en particulier par le logiciel BLAST (Basic Local Alignment Search Tool), qui est employé fréquemment par les biologistes. Asymptotiquement, la probabilité associée au score d'un alignement optimal vérifie une loi des valeurs extrêmes. Nous analysons différents aspects des outils mathématiques (modèles de marche aléatoire, décomp...

  9. Écritures hypermédiatiques: remarques sur deux cédéroms d'auteur

    OpenAIRE

    Clément, Jean

    2000-01-01

    L'avènement du livre numérique fait apparaître de nouvelles formes d'écriture. Dans le domaine de la fiction, en particulier, on assiste à la naissance d'un nouveau genre à la croisée des jeux vidéos, de l'hypertexte et de la littérature expérimentale. À travers deux exemples, ce sont quelques-unes des caractéristiques du genre qui sont étudiées ici : refondation du pacte de lecture, dissémination des énoncés, nouvelles modalités narratives, déconstruction du récit, interactivité....

  10. Seasonal hydrological ensemble forecasts over Europe

    Science.gov (United States)

    Arnal, Louise; Wetterhall, Fredrik; Stephens, Elisabeth; Cloke, Hannah; Pappenberger, Florian

    2016-04-01

    This study investigates the limits of predictability in dynamical seasonal discharge forecasting, in both space and time, over Europe. Seasonal forecasts have an important socioeconomic value. Applications are numerous and cover hydropower management, spring flood prediction, low flow prediction for navigation and agricultural water demands. Additionally, the constant increase in NWP skill for longer lead times and the predicted increase in the intensity and frequency of hydro-meteorological extremes, have amplified the incentive to promote and further improve hydrological forecasts on sub-seasonal to seasonal timescales. In this study, seasonal hydrological forecasts (SEA), driven by the ECMWF's System 4 in hindcast mode, were analysed against an Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) benchmark. The ESP was forced with an ensemble of resampled historical meteorological observations and started with perfect initial conditions. Both forecasts were produced by the LISFLOOD model, run on the pan-European scale with a spatial resolution of 5 by 5 km. The forecasts were issued monthly on a daily time step, from 1990 until the current time, up to a lead time of 7 months. The seasonal discharge forecasts were analysed against the ESP on a catchment scale in terms of their accuracy, skill and sharpness, using a diverse set of verification metrics (e.g. KGE, CRPSS and ROC). Additionally, a reverse-ESP was constructed by forcing the LISFLOOD model with a single perfect meteorological set of observations and initiated from an ensemble of resampled historical initial conditions. The comparison of the ESP with the reverse-ESP approach enabled the identification of the respective contribution of meteorological forcings and hydrologic initial conditions errors to seasonal discharge forecasting uncertainties in Europe. These results could help pinpoint target elements of the forecasting chain which, after being improved, could lead to substantial increase in discharge predictability

  11. Bayesian ensemble refinement by replica simulations and reweighting

    CERN Document Server

    Hummer, Gerhard

    2015-01-01

    We describe different Bayesian ensemble refinement methods, examine their interrelation, and discuss their practical application. With ensemble refinement, the properties of dynamic and partially disordered (bio)molecular structures can be characterized by integrating a wide range of experimental data, including measurements of ensemble-averaged observables. We start from a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior is a functional that ranks different configuration space distributions. By maximizing this posterior, we derive an optimal Bayesian ensemble distribution. For discrete configurations, this optimal distribution is identical to that obtained by the maximum entropy "ensemble refinement of SAXS" (EROS) formulation. Bayesian replica ensemble refinement enhances the sampling of relevant configurations by imposing restraints on averages of observables in coupled replica molecular dynamics simulations. We find that the strength of the restraint scales with the number of replicas and we show that this sca...

  12. Skill forecasting from ensemble predictions of wind power

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Pinson, Pierre; Nielsen, Henrik Aalborg; Madsen, Henrik;

    2009-01-01

    risk indices aiming to give a comprehensive signal on the expected level of forecast uncertainty. Ensemble predictions of wind generation are used as input. A proposal for the definition of prediction risk indices is given. Such skill forecasts are based on the spread of ensemble forecasts (i.e. a set......Optimal management and trading of wind generation calls for the providing of uncertainty estimates along with the commonly provided short-term wind power point predictions. Alternative approaches for the use of probabilistic forecasting are introduced. More precisely, focus is given to prediction...... power ensemble predictions are derived from the conversion of ECMWF and NCEP ensemble forecasts of meteorological variables to wind power ensemble forecasts, as well as by a lagged average approach alternative. The ability of prediction risk indices calculated from the various types of ensembles...

  13. The role of Gibbs ensembles in statistical thermodynamics

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The motives are elucidated that force Gibbs to introduce the notion of ensemble when formulating the statistical thermodynamics. The term 'Gibbs ensemble' is analyzed in detail and its relation to the notion of probability is revealed. The examination of contemporary literature in pertaining field shows clearly that the term 'Gibbs ensemble' is used now only as a synonym of the statistical distribution function and nothing else. This implies, in particular, that the initial notion of the Gibbs ensemble, as the set of a large (more precisely, infinite) number of copies of the thermodynamical system under consideration, becomes now unnecessary in the mathematical tools of the statistical thermodynamics and when presenting its essentials, too. Furthermore, in its original meaning the term 'Gibbs ensemble' served in the last century only for definition of probability. Now a proper place of this term is presumably in interpretation of the statistical thermodynamics in a complete analogy as the quantum ensembles have been proposed for interpretation of quantum mechanics

  14. A Framework for Non-Equilibrium Statistical Ensemble Theory

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    BI Qiao; HE Zu-Tan; LIU Jie

    2011-01-01

    Since Gibbs synthesized a general equilibrium statistical ensemble theory, many theorists have attempted to generalized the Gibbsian theory to non-equilibrium phenomena domain, however the status of the theory of nonequilibrium phenomena can not be said as firm as well established as the Gibbsian ensemble theory. In this work, we present a framework for the non-equilibrium statistical ensemble formalism based on a subdynamic kinetic equation (SKE) rooted from the Brussels-Austin school and followed by some up-to-date works. The constructed key is to use a similarity transformation between Gibbsian ensembles formalism based on Liouville equation and the subdynamic ensemble formalism based on the SKE. Using this formalism, we study the spin-Boson system, as cases of weak coupling or strongly coupling, and obtain the reduced density operators for the Canonical ensembles easily.

  15. Cavity-Controlled Chemistry in Molecular Ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Herrera, Felipe; Spano, Frank C.

    2016-06-01

    The demonstration of strong and ultrastrong coupling regimes of cavity QED with polyatomic molecules has opened new routes to control chemical dynamics at the nanoscale. We show that strong resonant coupling of a cavity field with an electronic transition can effectively decouple collective electronic and nuclear degrees of freedom in a disordered molecular ensemble, even for molecules with high-frequency quantum vibrational modes having strong electron-vibration interactions. This type of polaron decoupling can be used to control chemical reactions. We show that the rate of electron transfer reactions in a cavity can be orders of magnitude larger than in free space for a wide class of organic molecular species.

  16. Supervised Ensemble Classification of Kepler Variable Stars

    CERN Document Server

    Bass, Gideon

    2016-01-01

    Variable star analysis and classification is an important task in the understanding of stellar features and processes. While historically classifications have been done manually by highly skilled experts, the recent and rapid expansion in the quantity and quality of data has demanded new techniques, most notably automatic classification through supervised machine learning. We present an expansion of existing work on the field by analyzing variable stars in the {\\em Kepler} field using an ensemble approach, combining multiple characterization and classification techniques to produce improved classification rates. Classifications for each of the roughly 150,000 stars observed by {\\em Kepler} are produced separating the stars into one of 14 variable star classes.

  17. Modeling Coordination Problems in a Music Ensemble

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Frimodt-Møller, Søren R.

    2008-01-01

    This paper considers in general terms, how musicians are able to coordinate through rational choices in a situation of (temporary) doubt in an ensemble performance. A fictitious example involving a 5-bar development in an unknown piece of music is analyzed in terms of epistemic logic, more...... specifically a multi-agent system, where it is shown that perfect coordination can only be certain to take place if the musicians have common knowledge of certain rules of the composition. We subsequently argue, however, that the musicians need not agree on the central features of the piece of music in order...

  18. Cavity-controlled chemistry in molecular ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Herrera, Felipe

    2015-01-01

    The demonstration of strong and ultrastrong coupling regimes of cavity QED with polyatomic molecules has opened new routes to control chemical dynamics at the nanoscale. We show that strong resonant coupling of a cavity field with an electronic transition can effectively decouple collective electronic and nuclear degrees of freedom in a disordered molecular ensemble, even for molecules with high-frequency quantum vibrational modes having strong electron-vibration interactions. This type of polaron decoupling can be used to control chemical reactions. We show that the rate of electron transfer reactions in a cavity can be orders of magnitude larger than in free space, for a wide class of organic molecular species.

  19. Probabilistic Flash Flood Forecasting using Stormscale Ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hardy, J.; Gourley, J. J.; Kain, J. S.; Clark, A.; Novak, D.; Hong, Y.

    2013-12-01

    Flash flooding is one of the most costly and deadly natural hazards in the US and across the globe. The loss of life and property from flash floods could be mitigated with better guidance from hydrological models, but these models have limitations. For example, they are commonly initialized using rainfall estimates derived from weather radars, but the time interval between observations of heavy rainfall and a flash flood can be on the order of minutes, particularly for small basins in urban settings. Increasing the lead time for these events is critical for protecting life and property. Therefore, this study advances the use of quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) from a stormscale NWP ensemble system into a distributed hydrological model setting to yield basin-specific, probabilistic flash flood forecasts (PFFFs). Rainfall error characteristics of the individual members are first diagnosed and quantified in terms of structure, amplitude, and location (SAL; Wernli et al., 2008). Amplitude and structure errors are readily correctable due to their diurnal nature, and the fine scales represented by the CAPS QPF members are consistent with radar-observed rainfall, mainly showing larger errors with afternoon convection. To account for the spatial uncertainty of the QPFs, we use an elliptic smoother, as in Marsh et al. (2012), to produce probabilistic QPFs (PQPFs). The elliptic smoother takes into consideration underdispersion, which is notoriously associated with stormscale ensembles, and thus, is good for targeting the approximate regions that may receive heavy rainfall. However, stormscale details contained in individual members are still needed to yield reasonable flash flood simulations. Therefore, on a case study basis, QPFs from individual members are then run through the hydrological model with their predicted structure and corrected amplitudes, but the locations of individual rainfall elements are perturbed within the PQPF elliptical regions using Monte

  20. Black Hole Statistical Mechanics and The Angular Velocity Ensemble

    OpenAIRE

    Thomson, Mitchell; Dyer, Charles C.

    2012-01-01

    An new ensemble - the angular velocity ensemble - is derived using Jaynes' method of maximising entropy subject to prior information constraints. The relevance of the ensemble to black holes is motivated by a discussion of external parameters in statistical mechanics and their absence from the Hamiltonian of general relativity. It is shown how this leads to difficulty in deriving entropy as a function of state and recovering the first law of thermodynamics from the microcanonical and canonica...

  1. Random matrix ensembles with column/row constraints: II

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We numerically analyze the random matrix ensembles of real-symmetric matrices with column/row constraints for many system conditions e.g. disorder type, matrix-size and basis-connectivity. The results reveal a rich behavior hidden beneath the spectral statistics and also confirm our analytical predictions, presented in part I of this paper, about the analogy of their spectral fluctuations with those of a critical Brownian ensemble which appears between Poisson and Gaussian orthogonal ensemble. (paper)

  2. Enhanced ensemble-based 4DVar scheme for data assimilation

    OpenAIRE

    Yang, Yin; Robinson, Cordelia; Heitz, Dominique; Mémin, Etienne

    2015-01-01

    International audience Ensemble based optimal control schemes combine the components of ensemble Kalman filters and variational data assimilation (4DVar). They are trendy because they are easier to implement than 4DVar. In this paper, we evaluate a modified version of an ensemble based optimal control strategy for image data assimilation. This modified method is assessed with a Shallow Water model combined with synthetic data and original incomplete experimental depth sensor observations. ...

  3. Data assimilation with the weighted ensemble Kalman filter

    OpenAIRE

    Papadakis, Nicolas; Mémin, Etienne; Cuzol, Anne; Gengembre, Nicolas

    2010-01-01

    In this paper, two data assimilation methods based on sequential Monte Carlo sampling are studied and compared: the ensemble Kalman filter and the particle filter. Each of these techniques has its own advantages and drawbacks. In this work, we try to get the best of each method by combining them. The proposed algorithm, called the weighted ensemble Kalman filter, consists to rely on the Ensemble Kalman Filter updates of samples in order to define a proposal distribution for the particle filte...

  4. The dynamics of exploitation in ensembles of source and sink

    OpenAIRE

    Friedrich, T.

    2012-01-01

    The ensemble is a new entity on a higher level of complexity composed of source and sink. When substrate is transferred from source to sink within the transfer space or the ensemble space non-linearity is observed. Saturating production functions of source and sink in combination with linear cost functions generate superadditivity and subadditivity in the productivity of the ensemble. In a reaction chain the source produces a product that will be used by the sink to produce a different pr...

  5. Unconditional two-mode squeezing of separated atomic ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Parkins, A S; Solano, E

    2005-01-01

    We propose schemes for the unconditional preparation of a two-mode squeezed state of effective bosonic modes realized in a pair of atomic ensembles interacting collectively with optical cavity and laser fields. The scheme uses Raman transitions between stable atomic ground states and under ideal conditions produces pure entangled states in the steady state. The scheme works both for ensembles confined within a single cavity and for ensembles confined in separate, cascaded cavities.

  6. Enhanced Sampling in the Well-Tempered Ensemble

    OpenAIRE

    Bonomi, M.; Parrinello, M

    2009-01-01

    We introduce the well-tempered ensemble (WTE) which is the biased ensemble sampled by well-tempered metadynamics when the energy is used as collective variable. WTE can be designed so as to have approximately the same average energy as the canonical ensemble but much larger fluctuations. These two properties lead to an extremely fast exploration of phase space. An even greater efficiency is obtained when WTE is combined with parallel tempering. Unbiased Boltzmann averages are computed on the ...

  7. Mixture EMOS model for calibrating ensemble forecasts of wind speed

    OpenAIRE

    Baran, Sándor; Lerch, Sebastian

    2015-01-01

    Ensemble model output statistics (EMOS) is a statistical tool for post-processing forecast ensembles of weather variables obtained from multiple runs of numerical weather prediction models in order to produce calibrated predictive probability density functions (PDFs). The EMOS predictive PDF is given by a parametric distribution with parameters depending on the ensemble forecasts. We propose an EMOS model for calibrating wind speed forecasts based on weighted mixtures of truncated normal (TN)...

  8. Triality and the grand canonical ensemble in QCD

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    QCD in the usual finite temperature formulation is using the grand canonical ensemble with chemical potential zero. We demonstrate that this description may give wrong predictions. QCD in the canonical formulation does not explicitly break Z(3) symmetry. It behaves in this sense like pure gluonic QCD. There are no metastable states in the canonical ensemble description as predicted in the grand canonical ensemble formalism. ((orig.))

  9. Convergence of the Square Root Ensemble Kalman Filter in the Large Ensemble Limit

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Kwiatkowski, E.; Mandel, Jan

    2015-01-01

    Roč. 3, č. 1 (2015), s. 1-17. ISSN 2166-2525 R&D Projects: GA ČR GA13-34856S Institutional support: RVO:67985807 Keywords : data assimilation * Lp laws of large numbers * Hilbert space * ensemble Kalman filter Subject RIV: IN - Informatics, Computer Science

  10. Bayesian ensemble refinement by replica simulations and reweighting

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hummer, Gerhard; Köfinger, Jürgen

    2015-12-01

    We describe different Bayesian ensemble refinement methods, examine their interrelation, and discuss their practical application. With ensemble refinement, the properties of dynamic and partially disordered (bio)molecular structures can be characterized by integrating a wide range of experimental data, including measurements of ensemble-averaged observables. We start from a Bayesian formulation in which the posterior is a functional that ranks different configuration space distributions. By maximizing this posterior, we derive an optimal Bayesian ensemble distribution. For discrete configurations, this optimal distribution is identical to that obtained by the maximum entropy "ensemble refinement of SAXS" (EROS) formulation. Bayesian replica ensemble refinement enhances the sampling of relevant configurations by imposing restraints on averages of observables in coupled replica molecular dynamics simulations. We show that the strength of the restraints should scale linearly with the number of replicas to ensure convergence to the optimal Bayesian result in the limit of infinitely many replicas. In the "Bayesian inference of ensembles" method, we combine the replica and EROS approaches to accelerate the convergence. An adaptive algorithm can be used to sample directly from the optimal ensemble, without replicas. We discuss the incorporation of single-molecule measurements and dynamic observables such as relaxation parameters. The theoretical analysis of different Bayesian ensemble refinement approaches provides a basis for practical applications and a starting point for further investigations.

  11. Ensemble atmospheric dispersion calculations for decision support systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This document describes two approaches to long-range atmospheric dispersion of pollutants based on the ensemble concept. In the first part of the report some experiences related to the exercises undertaken under the ENSEMBLE project of the European Union are presented. The second part is devoted to the implementation of mesoscale numerical prediction models RAMS and atmospheric dispersion model HYPACT on Beowulf cluster and theirs usage for ensemble forecasting and long range atmospheric ensemble dispersion calculations based on available meteorological data from NCEO, NOAA (USA). (author)

  12. Fractional exclusion statistics and the Random Matrix Boson Ensemble

    CERN Document Server

    Hernández-Quiroz, Saul; Benet, Luis; Flores, Jorge; Cocho, Germinal

    2012-01-01

    The k-body Gaussian Embedded Ensemble of Random Matrices is considered for N bosons distributed on two single-particle levels. When k = N, the ensemble is equivalent to the Gaussian Orthogonal Ensemble (GOE), and when k = 2 it corresponds to the Two-body Random Ensemble (TBRE) for bosons. It is shown that the energy spectrum leads to a rank function which is of the form of a discrete generalized beta distribution. The same distribution is obtained assuming N non-interacting quasiparticles that obey the fractional exclusion statistics introduced by Haldane two decades ago.

  13. Ensemble Kalman filtering with residual nudging

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Xiaodong Luo

    2012-10-01

    Full Text Available Covariance inflation and localisation are two important techniques that are used to improve the performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF by (in effect adjusting the sample covariances of the estimates in the state space. In this work, an additional auxiliary technique, called residual nudging, is proposed to monitor and, if necessary, adjust the residual norms of state estimates in the observation space. In an EnKF with residual nudging, if the residual norm of an analysis is larger than a pre-specified value, then the analysis is replaced by a new one whose residual norm is no larger than a pre-specified value. Otherwise, the analysis is considered as a reasonable estimate and no change is made. A rule for choosing the pre-specified value is suggested. Based on this rule, the corresponding new state estimates are explicitly derived in case of linear observations. Numerical experiments in the 40-dimensional Lorenz 96 model show that introducing residual nudging to an EnKF may improve its accuracy and/or enhance its stability against filter divergence, especially in the small ensemble scenario.

  14. Reformulation of Ensemble Averages via Coordinate Mapping.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Schultz, Andrew J; Moustafa, Sabry G; Lin, Weisong; Weinstein, Steven J; Kofke, David A

    2016-04-12

    A general framework is established for reformulation of the ensemble averages commonly encountered in statistical mechanics. This "mapped-averaging" scheme allows approximate theoretical results that have been derived from statistical mechanics to be reintroduced into the underlying formalism, yielding new ensemble averages that represent exactly the error in the theory. The result represents a distinct alternative to perturbation theory for methodically employing tractable systems as a starting point for describing complex systems. Molecular simulation is shown to provide one appealing route to exploit this advance. Calculation of the reformulated averages by molecular simulation can proceed without contamination by noise produced by behavior that has already been captured by the approximate theory. Consequently, accurate and precise values of properties can be obtained while using less computational effort, in favorable cases, many orders of magnitude less. The treatment is demonstrated using three examples: (1) calculation of the heat capacity of an embedded-atom model of iron, (2) calculation of the dielectric constant of the Stockmayer model of dipolar molecules, and (3) calculation of the pressure of a Lennard-Jones fluid. It is observed that improvement in computational efficiency is related to the appropriateness of the underlying theory for the condition being simulated; the accuracy of the result is however not impacted by this. The framework opens many avenues for further development, both as a means to improve simulation methodology and as a new basis to develop theories for thermophysical properties. PMID:26950263

  15. Deterministic Mean-Field Ensemble Kalman Filtering

    KAUST Repository

    Law, Kody J. H.

    2016-05-03

    The proof of convergence of the standard ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) from Le Gland, Monbet, and Tran [Large sample asymptotics for the ensemble Kalman filter, in The Oxford Handbook of Nonlinear Filtering, Oxford University Press, Oxford, UK, 2011, pp. 598--631] is extended to non-Gaussian state-space models. A density-based deterministic approximation of the mean-field limit EnKF (DMFEnKF) is proposed, consisting of a PDE solver and a quadrature rule. Given a certain minimal order of convergence k between the two, this extends to the deterministic filter approximation, which is therefore asymptotically superior to standard EnKF for dimension d<2k. The fidelity of approximation of the true distribution is also established using an extension of the total variation metric to random measures. This is limited by a Gaussian bias term arising from nonlinearity/non-Gaussianity of the model, which arises in both deterministic and standard EnKF. Numerical results support and extend the theory.

  16. Ensemble Kalman filtering with residual nudging

    KAUST Repository

    Luo, X.

    2012-10-03

    Covariance inflation and localisation are two important techniques that are used to improve the performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) by (in effect) adjusting the sample covariances of the estimates in the state space. In this work, an additional auxiliary technique, called residual nudging, is proposed to monitor and, if necessary, adjust the residual norms of state estimates in the observation space. In an EnKF with residual nudging, if the residual norm of an analysis is larger than a pre-specified value, then the analysis is replaced by a new one whose residual norm is no larger than a pre-specified value. Otherwise, the analysis is considered as a reasonable estimate and no change is made. A rule for choosing the pre-specified value is suggested. Based on this rule, the corresponding new state estimates are explicitly derived in case of linear observations. Numerical experiments in the 40-dimensional Lorenz 96 model show that introducing residual nudging to an EnKF may improve its accuracy and/or enhance its stability against filter divergence, especially in the small ensemble scenario.

  17. Group theory for embedded random matrix ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Kota, V. K. B.

    2015-04-01

    Embedded random matrix ensembles are generic models for describing statistical properties of finite isolated quantum many-particle systems. For the simplest spinless fermion (or boson) systems with say m fermions (or bosons) in N single particle states and interacting with say k-body interactions, we have EGUE(k) [embedded GUE of k-body interactions) with GUE embedding and the embedding algebra is U(N). In this paper, using EGUE(k) representation for a Hamiltonian that is fc-body and an independent EGUE(t) representation for a transition operator that is t-body and employing the embedding U(N) algebra, finite-N formulas for moments up to order four are derived, for the first time, for the transition strength densities (transition strengths multiplied by the density of states at the initial and final energies). In the asymptotic limit, these formulas reduce to those derived for the EGOE version and establish that in general bivariate transition strength densities take bivariate Gaussian form for isolated finite quantum systems. Extension of these results for other types of transition operators and EGUE ensembles with further symmetries are discussed.

  18. Minimalist ensemble algorithms for genome-wide protein localization prediction

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Lin Jhih-Rong

    2012-07-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background Computational prediction of protein subcellular localization can greatly help to elucidate its functions. Despite the existence of dozens of protein localization prediction algorithms, the prediction accuracy and coverage are still low. Several ensemble algorithms have been proposed to improve the prediction performance, which usually include as many as 10 or more individual localization algorithms. However, their performance is still limited by the running complexity and redundancy among individual prediction algorithms. Results This paper proposed a novel method for rational design of minimalist ensemble algorithms for practical genome-wide protein subcellular localization prediction. The algorithm is based on combining a feature selection based filter and a logistic regression classifier. Using a novel concept of contribution scores, we analyzed issues of algorithm redundancy, consensus mistakes, and algorithm complementarity in designing ensemble algorithms. We applied the proposed minimalist logistic regression (LR ensemble algorithm to two genome-wide datasets of Yeast and Human and compared its performance with current ensemble algorithms. Experimental results showed that the minimalist ensemble algorithm can achieve high prediction accuracy with only 1/3 to 1/2 of individual predictors of current ensemble algorithms, which greatly reduces computational complexity and running time. It was found that the high performance ensemble algorithms are usually composed of the predictors that together cover most of available features. Compared to the best individual predictor, our ensemble algorithm improved the prediction accuracy from AUC score of 0.558 to 0.707 for the Yeast dataset and from 0.628 to 0.646 for the Human dataset. Compared with popular weighted voting based ensemble algorithms, our classifier-based ensemble algorithms achieved much better performance without suffering from inclusion of too many individual

  19. A Comparison of Ensemble Kalman Filters for Storm Surge Assimilation

    KAUST Repository

    Altaf, M. U.

    2014-08-01

    This study evaluates and compares the performances of several variants of the popular ensembleKalman filter for the assimilation of storm surge data with the advanced circulation (ADCIRC) model. Using meteorological data from Hurricane Ike to force the ADCIRC model on a domain including the Gulf ofMexico coastline, the authors implement and compare the standard stochastic ensembleKalman filter (EnKF) and three deterministic square root EnKFs: the singular evolutive interpolated Kalman (SEIK) filter, the ensemble transform Kalman filter (ETKF), and the ensemble adjustment Kalman filter (EAKF). Covariance inflation and localization are implemented in all of these filters. The results from twin experiments suggest that the square root ensemble filters could lead to very comparable performances with appropriate tuning of inflation and localization, suggesting that practical implementation details are at least as important as the choice of the square root ensemble filter itself. These filters also perform reasonably well with a relatively small ensemble size, whereas the stochastic EnKF requires larger ensemble sizes to provide similar accuracy for forecasts of storm surge.

  20. Crossover ensembles of random matrices and skew-orthogonal polynomials

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Highlights: → We study crossover ensembles of Jacobi family of random matrices. → We consider correlations for orthogonal-unitary and symplectic-unitary crossovers. → We use the method of skew-orthogonal polynomials and quaternion determinants. → We prove universality of spectral correlations in crossover ensembles. → We discuss applications to quantum conductance and communication theory problems. - Abstract: In a recent paper (S. Kumar, A. Pandey, Phys. Rev. E, 79, 2009, p. 026211) we considered Jacobi family (including Laguerre and Gaussian cases) of random matrix ensembles and reported exact solutions of crossover problems involving time-reversal symmetry breaking. In the present paper we give details of the work. We start with Dyson's Brownian motion description of random matrix ensembles and obtain universal hierarchic relations among the unfolded correlation functions. For arbitrary dimensions we derive the joint probability density (jpd) of eigenvalues for all transitions leading to unitary ensembles as equilibrium ensembles. We focus on the orthogonal-unitary and symplectic-unitary crossovers and give generic expressions for jpd of eigenvalues, two-point kernels and n-level correlation functions. This involves generalization of the theory of skew-orthogonal polynomials to crossover ensembles. We also consider crossovers in the circular ensembles to show the generality of our method. In the large dimensionality limit, correlations in spectra with arbitrary initial density are shown to be universal when expressed in terms of a rescaled symmetry breaking parameter. Applications of our crossover results to communication theory and quantum conductance problems are also briefly discussed.

  1. Practice Makes Perfect?: Effective Practice Instruction in Large Ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Prichard, Stephanie

    2012-01-01

    Helping young musicians learn how to practice effectively is a challenge faced by all music educators. This article presents a system of individual music practice instruction that can be seamlessly integrated within large-ensemble rehearsals. Using a step-by-step approach, large-ensemble conductors can teach students to identify and isolate…

  2. Programming in the Zone: Repertoire Selection for the Large Ensemble

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hopkins, Michael

    2013-01-01

    One of the great challenges ensemble directors face is selecting high-quality repertoire that matches the musical and technical levels of their ensembles. Thoughtful repertoire selection can lead to increased student motivation as well as greater enthusiasm for the music program from parents, administrators, teachers, and community members. Common…

  3. Ensembles and their modules as objects of cartosemiotic inquiry

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Hansgeorg Schlichtmann

    2010-01-01

    Full Text Available The structured set of signs in a map face -- here called map-face aggregate or MFA -- and the associated marginal notes make up an ensemble of modules or components (modular ensemble. Such ensembles are recognized where groups of entries are intuitively viewed as complex units, which includes the case that entries are consulted jointly and thus are involved in the same process of sign reception. Modular ensembles are amenable to semiotic study, just as are written or pictorial stories. Four kinds (one of them mentioned above are discussed in detail, two involving single MFAs, the other two being assemblages of maps, such as atlases. In terms of their internal structure, two types are recognized: the combinate (or grouping, in which modules are directly linked by combinatorial relations (example above, and the cumulate (or collection (of documents, in which modules are indirectly related through some conceptual commonality (example: series of geological maps. The discussion then turns to basic points concerning modular ensembles (identification of a module, internal organization of an ensemble, and characteristics which establish an ensemble as a unit and further to a few general semiotic concepts as they relate to the present research. Since this paper originated as a reaction to several of A. Wolodtschenko’s recent publications, it concludes with comments on some of his arguments which pertain to modular ensembles.

  4. Ensemble dispersion forecasting - Part 2. Application and evaluation

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Galmarini, S.; Bianconi, R.; Addis, R.; Andronopoulos, S.; Astrup, P.; Bartzis, J.C.; Bellasio, R.; Buckley, R.; Champion, H.; Chino, M.; D'Amours, R.; Davakis, E.; Eleveld, H.; Glaab, H.; Manning, A.; Mikkelsen, T.; Pechinger, U.; Polreich, E.; Prodanova, M.; Slaper, H.; Syrakov, D.; Terada, H.; Auwera, L. Van der

    2004-01-01

    The data collected during the long-range European tracer experiment (ETEX) conducted in 1994, are used to estimate quantitatively the ensemble dispersion concept presented in Part I. The modeling groups taking part to the ENSEMBLE activities (see, Part I) repeated model simulations of the...

  5. An iterative ensemble Kalman filter for reservoir engineering applications

    NARCIS (Netherlands)

    Krymskaya, M.V.; Hanea, R.G.; Verlaan, M.

    2009-01-01

    The study has been focused on examining the usage and the applicability of ensemble Kalman filtering techniques to the history matching procedures. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is often applied nowadays to solving such a problem. Meanwhile, traditional EnKF requires assumption of the distributi

  6. Competitive Learning Neural Network Ensemble Weighted by Predicted Performance

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ye, Qiang

    2010-01-01

    Ensemble approaches have been shown to enhance classification by combining the outputs from a set of voting classifiers. Diversity in error patterns among base classifiers promotes ensemble performance. Multi-task learning is an important characteristic for Neural Network classifiers. Introducing a secondary output unit that receives different…

  7. Improving land resource evaluation using fuzzy neural network ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    XUE, Y.-J.; HU, Y.-M.; Liu, S.-G.; YANG, J.-F.; CHEN, Q.-C.; BAO, S.-T.

    2007-01-01

    Land evaluation factors often contain continuous-, discrete- and nominal-valued attributes. In traditional land evaluation, these different attributes are usually graded into categorical indexes by land resource experts, and the evaluation results rely heavily on experts' experiences. In order to overcome the shortcoming, we presented a fuzzy neural network ensemble method that did not require grading the evaluation factors into categorical indexes and could evaluate land resources by using the three kinds of attribute values directly. A fuzzy back propagation neural network (BPNN), a fuzzy radial basis function neural network (RBFNN), a fuzzy BPNN ensemble, and a fuzzy RBFNN ensemble were used to evaluate the land resources in Guangdong Province. The evaluation results by using the fuzzy BPNN ensemble and the fuzzy RBFNN ensemble were much better than those by using the single fuzzy BPNN and the single fuzzy RBFNN, and the error rate of the single fuzzy RBFNN or fuzzy RBFNN ensemble was lower than that of the single fuzzy BPNN or fuzzy BPNN ensemble, respectively. By using the fuzzy neural network ensembles, the validity of land resource evaluation was improved and reliance on land evaluators' experiences was considerably reduced. ?? 2007 Soil Science Society of China.

  8. Exact ensemble density-functional theory for excited states

    CERN Document Server

    Yang, Zeng-hui; Pribram-Jones, Aurora; Burke, Kieron; Needs, Richard J; Ullrich, Carsten A

    2014-01-01

    We construct exact Kohn-Sham potentials for the ensemble density-functional theory (EDFT) of excited states from the ground and excited states of helium. The exchange-correlation potential is compared with current approximations, which miss prominent features. The ensemble derivative discontinuity is tested, and the virial theorem is proven and illustrated.

  9. Ensemble Forecast: A New Approach to Uncertainty and Predictability

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    2005-01-01

    Ensemble techniques have been used to generate daily numerical weather forecasts since the 1990s in numerical centers around the world due to the increase in computation ability. One of the main purposes of numerical ensemble forecasts is to try to assimilate the initial uncertainty (initial error) and the forecast uncertainty (forecast error) by applying either the initial perturbation method or the multi-model/multiphysics method. In fact, the mean of an ensemble forecast offers a better forecast than a deterministic (or control) forecast after a short lead time (3 5 days) for global modelling applications. There is about a 1-2-day improvement in the forecast skill when using an ensemble mean instead of a single forecast for longer lead-time. The skillful forecast (65% and above of an anomaly correlation) could be extended to 8 days (or longer) by present-day ensemble forecast systems. Furthermore, ensemble forecasts can deliver a probabilistic forecast to the users, which is based on the probability density function (PDF)instead of a single-value forecast from a traditional deterministic system. It has long been recognized that the ensemble forecast not only improves our weather forecast predictability but also offers a remarkable forecast for the future uncertainty, such as the relative measure of predictability (RMOP) and probabilistic quantitative precipitation forecast (PQPF). Not surprisingly, the success of the ensemble forecast and its wide application greatly increase the confidence of model developers and research communities.

  10. Photon scattering from strongly driven atomic ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Jin, Lu-ling; Macovei, Mihai

    2011-01-01

    The second order correlation function for light emitted from a strongly and near-resonantly driven dilute cloud of atoms is discussed. Because of the strong driving, the fluorescence spectrum separates into distinct peaks, for which the spectral properties can be defined individually. It is shown that the second-order correlations for various combinations of photons from different spectral lines exhibit bunching together with super- or sub-Poissonian photon statistics, tunable by the choice of the detector positions. Additionally, a Cauchy-Schwarz inequality is violated for photons emitted from particular spectral bands. The emitted light intensity is proportional to the square of the number of particles, and thus can potentially be intense. Three different averaging procedures to model ensemble disorder are compared.

  11. Ensemble based convergence assessment of biomolecular trajectories

    CERN Document Server

    Lyman, E; Lyman, Edward; Zuckerman, Daniel M.

    2006-01-01

    Assessing the convergence of a biomolecular simulation is an essential part of any computational investigation. This is because many important quantities (e.g., free energy differences) depend on the relative populations of different conformers; insufficient convergence translates into systematic errors. Here we present a simple method to self-consistently assess the convergence of a simulation. Standard clustering methods first generate a set of reference structures to any desired precision. The trajectory is then classified by proximity to the reference structures, yielding a one-dimensional histogram of structurally distinct populations. Comparing ensembles of different trajectories (or different parts of the same trajectory) built with the same reference structures provides a sensitive, quantitative measure of convergence. Please note: this is a preliminary manuscript, and should be read as such. Comments are most welcome, especially regarding pertinent prior work.

  12. Ensemble Kalman Filtering without a Model

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hamilton, Franz; Berry, Tyrus; Sauer, Timothy

    2016-01-01

    Methods of data assimilation are established in physical sciences and engineering for the merging of observed data with dynamical models. When the model is nonlinear, methods such as the ensemble Kalman filter have been developed for this purpose. At the other end of the spectrum, when a model is not known, the delay coordinate method introduced by Takens has been used to reconstruct nonlinear dynamics. In this article, we merge these two important lines of research. A model-free filter is introduced based on the filtering equations of Kalman and the data-driven modeling of Takens. This procedure replaces the model with dynamics reconstructed from delay coordinates, while using the Kalman update formulation to reconcile new observations. We find that this combination of approaches results in comparable efficiency to parametric methods in identifying underlying dynamics, and may actually be superior in cases of model error.

  13. Optimal Spatial Prediction Using Ensemble Machine Learning.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Davies, Molly Margaret; van der Laan, Mark J

    2016-05-01

    Spatial prediction is an important problem in many scientific disciplines. Super Learner is an ensemble prediction approach related to stacked generalization that uses cross-validation to search for the optimal predictor amongst all convex combinations of a heterogeneous candidate set. It has been applied to non-spatial data, where theoretical results demonstrate it will perform asymptotically at least as well as the best candidate under consideration. We review these optimality properties and discuss the assumptions required in order for them to hold for spatial prediction problems. We present results of a simulation study confirming Super Learner works well in practice under a variety of sample sizes, sampling designs, and data-generating functions. We also apply Super Learner to a real world dataset. PMID:27130244

  14. ARM Cloud Retrieval Ensemble Data Set (ACRED)

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Zhao, C; Xie, S; Klein, SA; McCoy, R; Comstock, JM; Delanoë, J; Deng, M; Dunn, M; Hogan, RJ; Jensen, MP; Mace, GG; McFarlane, SA; O’Connor, EJ; Protat, A; Shupe, MD; Turner, D; Wang, Z

    2011-09-12

    This document describes a new Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) data set, the ARM Cloud Retrieval Ensemble Data Set (ACRED), which is created by assembling nine existing ground-based cloud retrievals of ARM measurements from different cloud retrieval algorithms. The current version of ACRED includes an hourly average of nine ground-based retrievals with vertical resolution of 45 m for 512 layers. The techniques used for the nine cloud retrievals are briefly described in this document. This document also outlines the ACRED data availability, variables, and the nine retrieval products. Technical details about the generation of ACRED, such as the methods used for time average and vertical re-grid, are also provided.

  15. Predicting protein dynamics from structural ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Copperman, J

    2015-01-01

    The biological properties of proteins are uniquely determined by their structure and dynamics. A protein in solution populates a structural ensemble of metastable configurations around the global fold. From overall rotation to local fluctuations, the dynamics of proteins can cover several orders of magnitude in time scales. We propose a simulation-free coarse-grained approach which utilizes knowledge of the important metastable folded states of the protein to predict the protein dynamics. This approach is based upon the Langevin Equation for Protein Dynamics (LE4PD), a Langevin formalism in the coordinates of the protein backbone. The linear modes of this Langevin formalism organize the fluctuations of the protein, so that more extended dynamical cooperativity relates to increasing energy barriers to mode diffusion. The accuracy of the LE4PD is verified by analyzing the predicted dynamics across a set of seven different proteins for which both relaxation data and NMR solution structures are available. Using e...

  16. An educational model for ensemble streamflow simulation and uncertainty analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    A. AghaKouchak

    2013-02-01

    Full Text Available This paper presents the hands-on modeling toolbox, HBV-Ensemble, designed as a complement to theoretical hydrology lectures, to teach hydrological processes and their uncertainties. The HBV-Ensemble can be used for in-class lab practices and homework assignments, and assessment of students' understanding of hydrological processes. Using this modeling toolbox, students can gain more insights into how hydrological processes (e.g., precipitation, snowmelt and snow accumulation, soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff generation are interconnected. The educational toolbox includes a MATLAB Graphical User Interface (GUI and an ensemble simulation scheme that can be used for teaching uncertainty analysis, parameter estimation, ensemble simulation and model sensitivity. HBV-Ensemble was administered in a class for both in-class instruction and a final project, and students submitted their feedback about the toolbox. The results indicate that this educational software had a positive impact on students understanding and knowledge of uncertainty in hydrological modeling.

  17. Excitations and benchmark ensemble density functional theory for two electrons

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A new method for extracting ensemble Kohn-Sham potentials from accurate excited state densities is applied to a variety of two-electron systems, exploring the behavior of exact ensemble density functional theory. The issue of separating the Hartree energy and the choice of degenerate eigenstates is explored. A new approximation, spin eigenstate Hartree-exchange, is derived. Exact conditions that are proven include the signs of the correlation energy components and the asymptotic behavior of the potential for small weights of the excited states. Many energy components are given as a function of the weights for two electrons in a one-dimensional flat box, in a box with a large barrier to create charge transfer excitations, in a three-dimensional harmonic well (Hooke's atom), and for the He atom singlet-triplet ensemble, singlet-triplet-singlet ensemble, and triplet bi-ensemble

  18. Induced Ginibre ensemble of random matrices and quantum operations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A generalization of the Ginibre ensemble of non-Hermitian random square matrices is introduced. The corresponding probability measure is induced by the ensemble of rectangular Gaussian matrices via a quadratization procedure. We derive the joint probability density of eigenvalues for such an induced Ginibre ensemble and study various spectral correlation functions for complex and real matrices, and analyse universal behaviour in the limit of large dimensions. In this limit, the eigenvalues of the induced Ginibre ensemble cover uniformly a ring in the complex plane. The real induced Ginibre ensemble is shown to be useful to describe the statistical properties of evolution operators associated with random quantum operations for which the dimensions of the input state and the output state do differ. (paper)

  19. Excitations and benchmark ensemble density functional theory for two electrons

    CERN Document Server

    Pribram-Jones, Aurora; Trail, John R; Burke, Kieron; Needs, Richard J; Ullrich, Carsten A

    2014-01-01

    A new method for extracting ensemble Kohn-Sham potentials from accurate excited state densities is applied to a variety of two electron systems, exploring the behavior of exact ensemble density functional theory. The issue of separating the Hartree energy and the choice of degenerate eigenstates is explored. A new approximation, spin eigenstate Hartree-exchange (SEHX), is derived. Exact conditions that are proven include the signs of the correlation energy components, the virial theorem for both exchange and correlation, and the asymptotic behavior of the potential for small weights of the excited states. Many energy components are given as a function of the weights for two electrons in a one-dimensional flat box, in a box with a large barrier to create charge transfer excitations, in a three-dimensional harmonic well (Hooke's atom), and for the He atom singlet-triplet ensemble, singlet-triplet-singlet ensemble, and triplet bi-ensemble.

  20. Emergence of overlap in ensembles of spatial multiplexes and statistical mechanics of spatial interacting networks ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Halu, Arda; Bianconi, Ginestra

    2013-01-01

    Spatial networks range from the brain networks, to transportation networks and infrastructures. Recently interacting and multiplex networks are attracting great attention because their dynamics and robustness cannot be understood without treating at the same time several networks. Here we present maximal entropy ensembles of spatial multiplex and spatial interacting networks that can be used in order to model spatial multilayer network structures and to build null models of real datasets. We show that spatial multiplex naturally develop a significant overlap of the links, a noticeable property of many multiplexes that can affect significantly the dynamics taking place on them. Additionally, we characterize ensembles of spatial interacting networks and we analyse the structure of interacting airport and railway networks in India, showing the effect of space in determining the link probability.

  1. Emergence of overlap in ensembles of spatial multiplexes and statistical mechanics of spatial interacting networks ensembles

    OpenAIRE

    Halu, Arda; Mukherjee, Satyam; Bianconi, Ginestra

    2013-01-01

    Spatial networks range from the brain networks, to transportation networks and infrastructures. Recently interacting and multiplex networks are attracting great attention because their dynamics and robustness cannot be understood without treating at the same time several networks. Here we present maximal entropy ensembles of spatial multiplex and spatial interacting networks that can be used in order to model spatial multilayer network structures and to build null models of real datasets. We ...

  2. Robust Ensemble Filtering and Its Relation to Covariance Inflation in the Ensemble Kalman Filter

    KAUST Repository

    Luo, Xiaodong

    2011-12-01

    A robust ensemble filtering scheme based on the H∞ filtering theory is proposed. The optimal H∞ filter is derived by minimizing the supremum (or maximum) of a predefined cost function, a criterion different from the minimum variance used in the Kalman filter. By design, the H∞ filter is more robust than the Kalman filter, in the sense that the estimation error in the H∞ filter in general has a finite growth rate with respect to the uncertainties in assimilation, except for a special case that corresponds to the Kalman filter. The original form of the H∞ filter contains global constraints in time, which may be inconvenient for sequential data assimilation problems. Therefore a variant is introduced that solves some time-local constraints instead, and hence it is called the time-local H∞ filter (TLHF). By analogy to the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), the concept of ensemble time-local H∞ filter (EnTLHF) is also proposed. The general form of the EnTLHF is outlined, and some of its special cases are discussed. In particular, it is shown that an EnKF with certain covariance inflation is essentially an EnTLHF. In this sense, the EnTLHF provides a general framework for conducting covariance inflation in the EnKF-based methods. Some numerical examples are used to assess the relative robustness of the TLHF–EnTLHF in comparison with the corresponding KF–EnKF method.

  3. Path ensembles for conformational transitions in adenylate kinase using weighted--ensemble path sampling

    CERN Document Server

    Bhatt, Divesh

    2009-01-01

    We perform first path sampling simulations of conformational transitions of semi--atomistic protein models. We generate an ensemble of pathways for conformational transitions between open and closed forms of adenylate kinase using weighted ensemble path sampling method. Such an ensemble of pathways is critical in determining the important regions of configuration space sampled during a transition. To different semi--atomistic models are used: one is a pure Go model, whereas the other includes level of residue specificity via use of Miyajawa--Jernigan type interactions and hydrogen bonding. For both the models, we find that the open form of adenylate kinase is more flexible and the the transition from open to close is significantly faster than the reverse transition. We find that the transition occurs via the AMP binding domain snapping shut at a fairly fast time scale. On the other hand, the flexible lid domain fluctuates significantly and the shutting of the AMP binding domain does not depend upon the positi...

  4. Folie à Deux – A Clinical Case of Folie Imposée in a Mother/Child Relationship

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Marta Nascimento

    2012-12-01

    Full Text Available Background: Even though the origin of the concept of shared delusion is not consensual, the term folie a deux was introduced in 1877 by two french researchers – Lasègue and Falret. According to the original concept, a person (inductor, cognitively dominant, develops a delusional idea that progressively imposes to a second person (induced, with whom he keeps a close relationship. The four psychopathologic subtypes known – folie imposée, folie simultanée, folie communiquée and folie induite, were described in the final of the XIX century, but its classification and conceptualization was assigned to the american researcher Gralnick (1942. Aim, materials and methods: It is intended to highlight some clinical aspects of the shared delusion disorder, its epidemiological and psycopathogenic characterization and therapeutical approach. In order to achieve it, the authors presented a clinical case report and respective non systematic literature review. Results: It is a case of shared delusion of the type folie imposée in a pair mother/son. The inductor (son suffers from bipolar disorder and asperger syndrome and shared with his mother (induced and carer a persecutory delusion. Conclusions: It is highlighted the importance of a social isolation context and close contact between both members in the genesis of the disease; it is discussed the subject of the cognitive dominance between the inductor and the induced and the implications of the separation of the pair mother/son, as primary therapeutic action.

  5. Folie à Deux – A Clinical Case of Folie Imposée in a Mother/Child Relationship

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Marta Nascimento

    2013-11-01

    Full Text Available Background: Even though the origin of the concept of shared delusion is not consensual, the term folie a deux was introduced in 1877 by two french researchers – Lasègue and Falret. According to the original concept, a person (inductor, cognitively dominant, develops a delusional idea that progressively imposes to a second person (induced, with whom he keeps a close relationship. The four psychopathologic subtypes known – folie imposée, folie simultanée, folie communiquée and folie induite, were described in the final of the XIX century, but its classification and conceptualization was assigned to the american researcher Gralnick (1942. Aim, materials and methods: It is intended to highlight some clinical aspects of the shared delusion disorder, its epidemiological and psycopathogenic characterization and therapeutical approach. In order to achieve it, the authors presented a clinical case report and respective non systematic literature review. Results: It is a case of shared delusion of the type folie imposée in a pair mother/son. The inductor (son suffers from bipolar disorder and asperger syndrome and shared with his mother (induced and carer a persecutory delusion. Conclusions: It is highlighted the importance of a social isolation context and close contact between both members in the genesis of the disease; it is discussed the subject of the cognitive dominance between the inductor and the induced and the implications of the separation of the pair mother/son, as primary therapeutic action.

  6. Assessing the impact of land use change on hydrology by ensemble modelling (LUCHEM) II: Ensemble combinations and predictions

    Science.gov (United States)

    Viney, N.R.; Bormann, H.; Breuer, L.; Bronstert, A.; Croke, B.F.W.; Frede, H.; Graff, T.; Hubrechts, L.; Huisman, J.A.; Jakeman, A.J.; Kite, G.W.; Lanini, J.; Leavesley, G.; Lettenmaier, D.P.; Lindstrom, G.; Seibert, J.; Sivapalan, M.; Willems, P.

    2009-01-01

    This paper reports on a project to compare predictions from a range of catchment models applied to a mesoscale river basin in central Germany and to assess various ensemble predictions of catchment streamflow. The models encompass a large range in inherent complexity and input requirements. In approximate order of decreasing complexity, they are DHSVM, MIKE-SHE, TOPLATS, WASIM-ETH, SWAT, PRMS, SLURP, HBV, LASCAM and IHACRES. The models are calibrated twice using different sets of input data. The two predictions from each model are then combined by simple averaging to produce a single-model ensemble. The 10 resulting single-model ensembles are combined in various ways to produce multi-model ensemble predictions. Both the single-model ensembles and the multi-model ensembles are shown to give predictions that are generally superior to those of their respective constituent models, both during a 7-year calibration period and a 9-year validation period. This occurs despite a considerable disparity in performance of the individual models. Even the weakest of models is shown to contribute useful information to the ensembles they are part of. The best model combination methods are a trimmed mean (constructed using the central four or six predictions each day) and a weighted mean ensemble (with weights calculated from calibration performance) that places relatively large weights on the better performing models. Conditional ensembles, in which separate model weights are used in different system states (e.g. summer and winter, high and low flows) generally yield little improvement over the weighted mean ensemble. However a conditional ensemble that discriminates between rising and receding flows shows moderate improvement. An analysis of ensemble predictions shows that the best ensembles are not necessarily those containing the best individual models. Conversely, it appears that some models that predict well individually do not necessarily combine well with other models in

  7. Jeu de plans de référence, alternance de deux axes narratifs et effet de mimétisme dans La neige en deuil

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Mariam Faransis

    2013-11-01

    La présente étude en illustre un cas, en décrivant la composition d’un extrait de La neige en deuil, en termes de paramètres énonciatifs discursifs, dits, par l’auteure, plans de référence, reformulation, notionnelle et terminologique, de la distinction d’É. BENVENISTE de deux plans d’énonciation : plan de l’histoire vs plan du discours, et en montrant comment l’articulation de la composition donne lieu à l’alternance de deux axes narratifs, décrits, à leur tour, par des concepts narratologiques pris à G. GENETTE, pour circonscrire, par là, les fonctions correspondantes et leur intérêt dans l’économie générale du roman.

  8. Risque de Défaut et Risque de Liquidité : Une Etude de Deux Composantes du Spread de Crédit

    OpenAIRE

    Hayette Gatfaoui

    2003-01-01

    La marge de taux obligataire ou encore le spread de crédit est réputé(e) pour son rôle de mesure du risque de crédit. Dans ce contexte, l’attention est portée à deux de ses principales composantes : le risque de défaut et le risque de liquidité. L’évolution du risque de défaut dépend alors de l’articulation entre ces deux quantités que l’on ne sait pas encore distinguer l’une de l’autre. Dans un contexte de crise financière, le risque de défaut l’emporte sur le risque de liquidité, ce qui se ...

  9. Comparaison de deux systèmes de rotation de postes dans le cadre de la prévention des troubles musculosquelettiques

    OpenAIRE

    Gerling, Anne; Aublet-Cuvelier, Agnès; Aptel, Michel

    2014-01-01

    La rotation est souvent perçue par les entreprises comme une des réponses à la prévention des troubles musculosquelettiques (TMS) car elle apporte une variabilité à la fois biomécanique et psychosociale dans les exigences des postes de travail. Deux systèmes de rotation de postes sont comparés dans le cadre d’une démarche de prévention des TMS du membre supérieur (MS). Pour ce faire, deux outils sont utilisés, l’un basé sur la cotation des efforts et des postures de l’épaule dominante et l’au...

  10. Lutte chimique contre le gui (Viscum album L.). Penetration, transport, efficacite de deux herbicides phloeme-mobiles (2,4-DB et glyphosate)

    OpenAIRE

    Baillon, F.; Chamel, A; Fer, A.; Frochot, Henri

    1988-01-01

    Une méthode de lutte chimique contre le gui des feuillus (Viscum album album, BALL) a été envisagée à l’aide de deux herbicides phloème-mobiles (2,4-DB et glyphosate) appliqués sur les feuilles du parasite. Avant leur distribution dans le parasite, les herbicides doivent pénétrer à travers la cuticule des feuilles. L’influence de plusieurs paramètres (concentration, pH, cires cuticulaires solubles) sur la fixation et la perméabilité cuticulaires des deux herbicides a été étudiée in vitro...

  11. De l’impact du TGV sur deux quartiers de gare : Nancy Grand Coeur et Metz Amphithéâtre

    OpenAIRE

    Hecker, Anne

    2012-01-01

    L’arrivée du TGV Est-Européen au coeur de Metz et de Nancy a offert aux deux cités rivales lorraines l’opportunité de requalifier leurs entrées de ville et de réhabiliter des friches ferroviaires d’arrière-gare. En dépit de situations originelles très différentes, l’évolution des deux projets les amène à une forte convergence. Un point les distingue néanmoins : alors que l’une cherche à fondre ce nouveau quartier dans le centre-ville, l’autre tend à la réalisation d’un nouveau coeur d’agglomé...

  12. Les intellectuels français de l’entre-deux guerres : le tragique de la condition humaine chez Malraux et Martin du Gard

    OpenAIRE

    Ana Maria Alves

    2015-01-01

    Composé de deux périodes séparées par la crise économique de 1929, l’entre-deux-guerres se distingue par une coupure entre les années vingt et les années trente. En littérature, cet intervalle de temps est marqué par un renouveau dans tous les genres. Notre objectif est, tout d’abord, de contextualiser ce cycle qui nous permettra de choisir, par la suite, un genre. Notre élection se posera sur le roman qui puise sa matière dans l’actualité, sur « le roman moderne [qui] est un moyen d’expre...

  13. Mengus (Nicolas) et Hugel (André), Entre deux fronts. Les incorporés de force alsaciens dans la Waffen SS

    OpenAIRE

    Muller, Claude

    2012-01-01

    Que l’on nous permette de regrouper dans une même recension ces deux ouvrages procédant d’une même logique et évoquant le même thème. Ecrits à deux mains, l’une collationnant et rédigeant, l’autre corrigeant et enrichissant, ils proposent au lecteur une accumulation, voire une juxtaposition de témoignages d’Alsaciens, incorporés de force par l’Allemagne nazie, tant dans la Wehrmacht que dans les Waffen SS. Depuis une dizaine d’années, Nicolas Mengus et André Hugel recueillent patiemment les t...

  14. Accidentologie des deux-roues motorisés : Vers une meilleure prise en compte de leur diversité. Rapport Introductif (R0.1)

    OpenAIRE

    Van Elslande, P.; Fouquet, K.; Vincensini, M.; Nussbaum, F.; Roynard, M.

    2008-01-01

    Cette étude a pour objectif d'appréhender et mieux comprendre les interactions de facteurs et les mécanismes en jeu dans les accidents des deux-roues motorisés. Elle vise également à mettre en évidence la diversité de ces accidents de façon à permettre la définition de mesures plus adaptée à chaque problème en jeu. Les deux-roues motorisés se distinguent des autres modes de transport terrestres par des différences d'ordre dynamique, perceptif, mais aussi comportemental, attitudinal et social....

  15. Étude pétrographique et géochimique comparative du support en mortier de deux tables à marqueterie de pierres

    OpenAIRE

    Raynaud, Suzanne; Lacaze, Yannick; Bruguier, Olivier; La Boisse (de), Henri; Fabre, René

    2008-01-01

    Les tables à marqueterie de pierre ont été créées comme catalogues pour présenter les pierres marbrières disponibles sur le marché au xviie et xviiiesiècle. Notre étude porte sur deux tables dont le plateau est une marqueterie de pierres marbrières provenant très majoritairement de la région Languedoc-Roussillon. Dans les deux cas, la marqueterie de pierre est montée sur un support en mortier, technique de fabrication connue dans les ateliers français. Le plus célèbre de ces ateliers est l’at...

  16. Deux programmes d’éducation environnementale pour la conservation des grands singes africains: Club Ebobo et Club P.A.N.

    OpenAIRE

    Borchers, Claudia; Riedel, Julia; Boesch, Christophe; Breuer, Thomas

    2009-01-01

    Dans cet article, nous présentons deux projets d’éducation au respect de l’environnement. Utilisés depuis des années, ils ont pour objectif d’attirer l’attention des populations voisines à des zones riches en grands singes sur la nécessité de protéger ces grands singes ainsi que leur habitat naturel, la forêt tropicale. Le Club Ebobo est actif autour du parc national de Noubalé-Ndoki en République du Congo, le Club P.A.N. autour du parc national de Taï en Côte d’Ivoire. Dans les deux projets,...

  17. Analyse électromagnétique rigoureuse et rapide d'un problème multi-échelle et variable de transmission entre deux antennes ULB

    OpenAIRE

    Guelilia, Zakaria; Loison, Renaud; Gillard, Raphaël

    2015-01-01

    National audience Dans ce papier, une méthode rapide et rigoureuse (MM-DG-FDTD) est proposée, validée et exploitée pour analyser électromagnétiquement des problèmes multi-échelles de transmission entre deux antennes ULB dans lesquels la position de l'antenne de réception varie.

  18. Ostéome ostéoïde intra-articulaire de la hanche: deux observations et revue de la littérature

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Ellouz Zoubir

    2011-01-01

    Full Text Available L’ostéome ostéoïde est une tumeur osseuse bénigne qui affecte les adultes jeunes et se localise préférentiellement au niveau des os longs. La localisation intra-articulaire est rare et atteint le plus souvent la hanche. La symptomatologie clinique est alors atypique et peut faire errer le diagnostic constituant un défi diagnostique pour les cliniciens. Nous rapportons deux observations d’ostéome ostéoïde intra-articulaires de la hanche chez deux hommes âgés 24 et 45 ans, révélés par des douleurs de la hanche gauche de type inflammatoire évoluant depuis un an et un an et demi respectivement. Chez les deux patients, le tableau atypique de l’ostéome ostéoïde a été à l’origine d’un retard diagnostic. La tomodensitométrie est dans cette indication l’examen le plus spécifique qui a permis d’évoquer le diagnostic d’ostéome ostéoïde. Une fois le diagnostic est posé, l’exérèse chirurgicale à ciel ouvert a permis la guérison avec disparition totale des douleurs. L’examen histologique a confirmé le diagnostic final d’ostéome ostéoïde intra-articulaire dans les deux cas.

  19. Ensemble-type numerical uncertainty information from single model integrations

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Rauser, Florian, E-mail: florian.rauser@mpimet.mpg.de; Marotzke, Jochem; Korn, Peter

    2015-07-01

    We suggest an algorithm that quantifies the discretization error of time-dependent physical quantities of interest (goals) for numerical models of geophysical fluid dynamics. The goal discretization error is estimated using a sum of weighted local discretization errors. The key feature of our algorithm is that these local discretization errors are interpreted as realizations of a random process. The random process is determined by the model and the flow state. From a class of local error random processes we select a suitable specific random process by integrating the model over a short time interval at different resolutions. The weights of the influences of the local discretization errors on the goal are modeled as goal sensitivities, which are calculated via automatic differentiation. The integration of the weighted realizations of local error random processes yields a posterior ensemble of goal approximations from a single run of the numerical model. From the posterior ensemble we derive the uncertainty information of the goal discretization error. This algorithm bypasses the requirement of detailed knowledge about the models discretization to generate numerical error estimates. The algorithm is evaluated for the spherical shallow-water equations. For two standard test cases we successfully estimate the error of regional potential energy, track its evolution, and compare it to standard ensemble techniques. The posterior ensemble shares linear-error-growth properties with ensembles of multiple model integrations when comparably perturbed. The posterior ensemble numerical error estimates are of comparable size as those of a stochastic physics ensemble.

  20. Validation spatiale de deux modèles de simulation : l’exemple des plantations industrielles au Chili

    OpenAIRE

    Maestripieri, Nicolas; Paegelow, Martin

    2013-01-01

    La commune de San Juan de la Costa (province d’Osorno – 10ème Région de Los Lagos) connaît depuis la fin des années 1980 une expansion remarquable des plantations de pins et d’eucalyptus. Ces boisements sont à l’origine de nombreuses perturbations environnementales mais aussi sociales dans une région considérée comme un hotspot de biodiversité. Si les processus de changement d’occupation et d’utilisation du sol (lucc) sont dans l’ensemble bien connus, les zones de forêts natives susceptibles ...

  1. Construction of High-accuracy Ensemble of Classifiers

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Hedieh Sajedi

    2014-04-01

    Full Text Available There have been several methods developed to construct ensembles. Some of these methods, such as Bagging and Boosting are meta-learners, i.e. they can be applied to any base classifier. The combination of methods should be selected in order that classifiers cover each other weaknesses. In ensemble, the output of several classifiers is used only when they disagree on some inputs. The degree of disagreement is called diversity of the ensemble. Another factor that plays a significant role in performing an ensemble is accuracy of the basic classifiers. It can be said that all the procedures of constructing ensembles seek to achieve a balance between these two parameters, and successful methods can reach a better balance. The diversity of the members of an ensemble is known as an important factor in determining its generalization error. In this paper, we present a new approach for generating ensembles. The proposed approach uses Bagging and Boosting as the generators of base classifiers. Subsequently, the classifiers are partitioned by means of a clustering algorithm. We introduce a selection phase for construction the final ensemble and three different selection methods are proposed for applying in this phase. In the first proposed selection method, a classifier is selected randomly from each cluster. The second method selects the most accurate classifier from each cluster and the third one selects the nearest classifier to the center of each cluster to construct the final ensemble. The results of the experiments on well-known datasets demonstrate the strength of our proposed approach, especially applying the selection of the most accurate classifiers from clusters and employing Bagging generator.

  2. Diagnostic studies of ensemble forecast "jumps"

    Science.gov (United States)

    Magnusson, Linus; Hewson, Tim; Ferranti, Laura; Rodwell, Mark

    2016-04-01

    During 2015 we saw exceptional consistency in successive seasonal forecasts produced at ECMWF, for the winter period 2015/16, right across the globe. This winter was characterised by a well-predicted and unusually strong El Nino, and some have ascribed the consistency to that. For most of December this consistency was mirrored in the (separate) ECMWF monthly forecast system, which correctly predicted anomalously strong (mild) zonal flow, over the North Atlantic and western Eurasia, even in forecasts for weeks 3 and 4. In monthly forecasts in general these weeks are often devoid of strong signals. However in late December and early January strong signals, even in week 2, proved to be incorrect, most notably over the North Atlantic and Eurasian sectors. Indeed on at least two occasions the outcome was beyond the ensemble forecast range over Scandinavia. In one of these conditions flipped from extreme mild to extreme cold as a high latitude block developed. Temperature prediction is very important to many customers, notably those dealing with renewable energy, because cold weather causes increased demand but also tends to coincide with reduced wind power production. So understandably jumps can cause consternation amongst some customer groups, and are very difficult to handle operationally. This presentation will discuss the results of initial diagnostic investigations into what caused the "ensemble jumps", particularly at the week two lead, though reference will also be made to a related shorter range (day 3) jump that was important for flooding over the UK. Initial results suggest that an inability of the ECMWF model to correctly represent convective outbreaks over North America (that for winter-time were quite extreme) played an important role. Significantly, during this period, an unusually large amount of upper air data over North America was rejected or ascribed low weight. These results bear similarities to previous diagnostic studies at ECMWF, wherein major

  3. Étude comparative de l’innocuité de deux vaccins commerciaux contre la babésiose canine provoquée par Babesia canis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Freyburger L.

    2011-11-01

    Full Text Available L’innocuité de deux vaccins commercialisés en France contre la babésiose canine – Nobivac Piro® (NP et Pirodog® (P – a été étudiée. Leur impact local, général et biochimique a été comparé, en conditions expérimentales maîtrisées, sur un groupe témoin (T et deux groupes vaccinés deux fois à 21 jours d’intervalle. Tous les chiens ont présenté une réaction locale modérée. Cependant, le groupe NP a présenté une réaction locale significativement plus intense que le groupe P. Ceci est objectivé par les paramètres cliniques et biologiques. Aucune différence statistiquement significative n’est mise en évidence entre les évolutions des groupes P et T.

  4. Filtering single atoms from Rydberg blockaded mesoscopic ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Petrosyan, David; Mølmer, Klaus

    2015-01-01

    We propose an efficient method to filter out single atoms from trapped ensembles with unknown number of atoms. The method employs stimulated adiabatic passage to reversibly transfer a single atom to the Rydberg state which blocks subsequent Rydberg excitation of all the other atoms within the ensemble. This triggers the excitation of Rydberg blockaded atoms to short lived intermediate states and their subsequent decay to untrapped states. Using an auxiliary microwave field to carefully engineer the dissipation, we obtain a nearly deterministic single-atom source. Our method is applicable to small atomic ensembles in individual microtraps and in lattice arrays.

  5. Stochastic dynamics simulations in a new generalized ensemble

    CERN Document Server

    Hansmann, Uwe H E; Okamoto, Y; Hansmann, Ulrich H.E.; Eisenmenger, Frank; Okamoto, Yuko

    1998-01-01

    We develop a formulation for molecular dynamics, Langevin, and hybrid Monte Carlo algorithms in the recently proposed generalized ensemble that is based on a physically motivated realisation of Tsallis weights. The effectiveness of the methods are tested with an energy function for a protein system. Simulations in this generalized ensemble by the three methods are performed for a penta peptide, Met-enkephalin. For each algorithm, it is shown that from only one simulation run one can not only find the global-minimum-energy conformation but also obtain probability distributions in canonical ensemble at any temperature, which allows the calculation of any thermodynamic quantity as a function of temperature.

  6. Quantum storage based on collective excitations in atomic ensemble

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The authors reviews a new protocol of quantum memory based on the quasi-pin wave excitation of the Λ systems fixed the sites of lattice. This protocol tries to avoid the disadvantage of the quantum memory scheme based on free atom ensemble, the quantum decoherence induced by the quantum leakage of collective state. Especially, authors discover a universal dynamic symmetry hidden in various ensemble based quantum storage scheme. To understand the significance of this work exactly, authors also give a brief introduction to our systematical studies on collective symmetric excitons in quantum ensemble, which is the necessary to propose the present scheme for quantum memory. (author)

  7. Ensemble estimators for multivariate entropy estimation

    CERN Document Server

    Sricharan, Kumar

    2012-01-01

    The problem of estimation of density functionals like entropy and mutual information has received much attention in the statistics and information theory communities. A large class of estimators of functionals of the probability density suffer from the curse of dimensionality, wherein the exponent in the MSE rate of convergence decays increasingly slowly as the dimension $d$ of the samples increases. In particular, the rate is often glacially slow of order $O(T^{-{\\gamma}/{d}})$, where $T$ is the number of samples, and $\\gamma>0$ is a rate parameter. Examples of such estimators include kernel density estimators, $k$-NN density estimators, $k$-NN entropy estimators, intrinsic dimension estimators and other examples. In this paper, we propose a weighted convex combination of an ensemble of such estimators, where optimal weights can be chosen such that the weighted estimator converges at a much faster dimension invariant rate of $O(T^{-1})$. Furthermore, we show that these optimal weights can be determined by so...

  8. Asymptotic expansions for the Gaussian unitary ensemble

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Haagerup, Uffe; Thorbjørnsen, Steen

    2012-01-01

    Let g : R ¿ C be a C8-function with all derivatives bounded and let trn denote the normalized trace on the n × n matrices. In Ref. 3 Ercolani and McLaughlin established asymptotic expansions of the mean value ¿{trn(g(Xn))} for a rather general class of random matrices Xn, including the Gaussian...... Unitary Ensemble (GUE). Using an analytical approach, we provide in the present paper an alternative proof of this asymptotic expansion in the GUE case. Specifically we derive for a random matrix Xn that where k is an arbitrary positive integer. Considered as mappings of g, we determine the coefficients...... aj(g), j ¿ N, as distributions (in the sense of L. Schwarts). We derive a similar asymptotic expansion for the covariance Cov{Trn[f(Xn)], Trn[g(Xn)]}, where f is a function of the same kind as g, and Trn = n trn. Special focus is drawn to the case where and for ¿, µ in C\\R. In this case the mean and...

  9. Model error estimation in ensemble data assimilation

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    S. Gillijns

    2007-01-01

    Full Text Available A new methodology is proposed to estimate and account for systematic model error in linear filtering as well as in nonlinear ensemble based filtering. Our results extend the work of Dee and Todling (2000 on constant bias errors to time-varying model errors. In contrast to existing methodologies, the new filter can also deal with the case where no dynamical model for the systematic error is available. In the latter case, the applicability is limited by a matrix rank condition which has to be satisfied in order for the filter to exist. The performance of the filter developed in this paper is limited by the availability and the accuracy of observations and by the variance of the stochastic model error component. The effect of these aspects on the estimation accuracy is investigated in several numerical experiments using the Lorenz (1996 model. Experimental results indicate that the availability of a dynamical model for the systematic error significantly reduces the variance of the model error estimates, but has only minor effect on the estimates of the system state. The filter is able to estimate additive model error of any type, provided that the rank condition is satisfied and that the stochastic errors and measurement errors are significantly smaller than the systematic errors. The results of this study are encouraging. However, it remains to be seen how the filter performs in more realistic applications.

  10. Orchestrating Distributed Resource Ensembles for Petascale Science

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Baldin, Ilya; Mandal, Anirban; Ruth, Paul; Yufeng, Xin

    2014-04-24

    Distributed, data-intensive computational science applications of interest to DOE scientific com- munities move large amounts of data for experiment data management, distributed analysis steps, remote visualization, and accessing scientific instruments. These applications need to orchestrate ensembles of resources from multiple resource pools and interconnect them with high-capacity multi- layered networks across multiple domains. It is highly desirable that mechanisms are designed that provide this type of resource provisioning capability to a broad class of applications. It is also important to have coherent monitoring capabilities for such complex distributed environments. In this project, we addressed these problems by designing an abstract API, enabled by novel semantic resource descriptions, for provisioning complex and heterogeneous resources from multiple providers using their native provisioning mechanisms and control planes: computational, storage, and multi-layered high-speed network domains. We used an extensible resource representation based on semantic web technologies to afford maximum flexibility to applications in specifying their needs. We evaluated the effectiveness of provisioning using representative data-intensive ap- plications. We also developed mechanisms for providing feedback about resource performance to the application, to enable closed-loop feedback control and dynamic adjustments to resource allo- cations (elasticity). This was enabled through development of a novel persistent query framework that consumes disparate sources of monitoring data, including perfSONAR, and provides scalable distribution of asynchronous notifications.

  11. Misusability Weight Measure Using Ensemble Approaches

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Sridevi Sakhamuri1 V.Ramachandran 2 Dr.Rupa

    2013-09-01

    Full Text Available Assigning a misusability weight to a given dataset is strongly related to the way the data is presented (e.g., tabular data, structured or free text and is domain specific. Therefore, one measure of misusability weight cannot fit all types of data in every domain but it gives a fair idea on how to proceed to handle sensitive data. Previous approaches such as M-score models that consider number of entities, anonymity levels, number of properties and values of properties to estimate misusability value for a data record has better efficiency in deducting record sensitivities. Quality of data, Quantity data, and the distinguishing attributes are vital factors that can influence Mscore. Combined with record ranking and knowledge models prior Approaches used one domain expert for deducting sensitive information. But for better performance and accuracy we propose to use the effect of combining knowledge from several experts (e.g., ensemble of knowledge models. Also we plan to extend the computations of sensitivity level of sensitive attributes to be objectively obtained by using machine learning techniques such as SVM classifier along with expert scoring models. This approach particularly fits the sensitive parameter values to the customer value based on customer activity which is far more efficient compared to face value specification with human involvement. A practical implementation of the proposed system validates our claim.

  12. General approaches in ensemble quantum computing

    Indian Academy of Sciences (India)

    V Vimalan; N Chandrakumar

    2008-01-01

    We have developed methodology for NMR quantum computing focusing on enhancing the efficiency of initialization, of logic gate implementation and of readout. Our general strategy involves the application of rotating frame pulse sequences to prepare pseudopure states and to perform logic operations. We demonstrate experimentally our methodology for both homonuclear and heteronuclear spin ensembles. On model two-spin systems, the initialization time of one of our sequences is three-fourths (in the heteronuclear case) or one-fourth (in the homonuclear case), of the typical pulsed free precession sequences, attaining the same initialization efficiency. We have implemented the logical SWAP operation in homonuclear AMX spin systems using selective isotropic mixing, reducing the duration taken to a third compared to the standard re-focused INEPT-type sequence. We introduce the 1D version for readout of the rotating frame SWAP operation, in an attempt to reduce readout time. We further demonstrate the Hadamard mode of 1D SWAP, which offers 2N-fold reduction in experiment time for a system with -working bits, attaining the same sensitivity as the standard 1D version.

  13. Group Theory for Embedded Random Matrix Ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Kota, V K B

    2014-01-01

    Embedded random matrix ensembles are generic models for describing statistical properties of finite isolated quantum many-particle systems. For the simplest spinless fermion (or boson) systems with say $m$ fermions (or bosons) in $N$ single particle states and interacting with say $k$-body interactions, we have EGUE($k$) [embedded GUE of $k$-body interactions) with GUE embedding and the embedding algebra is $U(N)$. In this paper, using EGUE($k$) representation for a Hamiltonian that is $k$-body and an independent EGUE($t$) representation for a transition operator that is $t$-body and employing the embedding $U(N)$ algebra, finite-$N$ formulas for moments up to order four are derived, for the first time, for the transition strength densities (transition strengths multiplied by the density of states at the initial and final energies). In the asymptotic limit, these formulas reduce to those derived for the EGOE version and establish that in general bivariate transition strength densities take bivariate Gaussian ...

  14. Protective clothing ensembles and physical employment standards.

    Science.gov (United States)

    McLellan, Tom M; Havenith, George

    2016-06-01

    Physical employment standards (PESs) exist for certain occupational groups that also require the use of protective clothing ensembles (PCEs) during their normal work. This review addresses whether these current PESs appropriately incorporate the physiological burden associated with wearing PCEs during respective tasks. Metabolic heat production increases because of wearing PCE; this increase is greater than that because of simply the weight of the clothing and can vary 2-fold among individuals. This variation negates a simple adjustment to the PES for the effect of the clothing on metabolic rate. As a result, PES testing that only simulates the weight of the clothing and protective equipment does not adequately accommodate this effect. The physiological heat strain associated with the use of PCEs is also not addressed with current PESs. Typically the selection tests of a PES lasts less than 20 min, whereas the requirement for use of PCE in the workplace may approach 1 h before cooling strategies can be employed. One option that might be considered is to construct a heat stress test that requires new recruits and incumbents to work for a predetermined duration while exposed to a warm environmental temperature while wearing the PCE. PMID:27277562

  15. Quantum metrology with cold atomic ensembles

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Mitchell Morgan W.

    2013-08-01

    Full Text Available Quantum metrology uses quantum features such as entanglement and squeezing to improve the sensitivity of quantum-limited measurements. Long established as a valuable technique in optical measurements such as gravitational-wave detection, quantum metrology is increasingly being applied to atomic instruments such as matter-wave interferometers, atomic clocks, and atomic magnetometers. Several of these new applications involve dual optical/atomic quantum systems, presenting both new challenges and new opportunities. Here we describe an optical magnetometry system that achieves both shot-noise-limited and projection-noise-limited performance, allowing study of optical magnetometry in a fully-quantum regime [1]. By near-resonant Faraday rotation probing, we demonstrate measurement-based spin squeezing in a magnetically-sensitive atomic ensemble [2-4]. The versatility of this system allows us also to design metrologically-relevant optical nonlinearities, and to perform quantum-noise-limited measurements with interacting photons. As a first interaction-based measurement [5], we implement a non-linear metrology scheme proposed by Boixo et al. with the surprising feature of precision scaling better than the 1/N “Heisenberg limit” [6].

  16. Ensemble Kalman filtering with residual nudging

    CERN Document Server

    Luo, Xiaodong; 10.3402/tellusa.v64i0.17130

    2012-01-01

    Covariance inflation and localization are two important techniques that are used to improve the performance of the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) by (in effect) adjusting the sample covariances of the estimates in the state space. In this work an additional auxiliary technique, called residual nudging, is proposed to monitor and, if necessary, adjust the residual norms of state estimates in the observation space. In an EnKF with residual nudging, if the residual norm of an analysis is larger than a pre-specified value, then the analysis is replaced by a new one whose residual norm is no larger than a pre-specified value. Otherwise the analysis is considered as a reasonable estimate and no change is made. A rule for choosing the pre-specified value is suggested. Based on this rule, the corresponding new state estimates are explicitly derived in case of linear observations. Numerical experiments in the 40-dimensional Lorenz 96 model show that introducing residual nudging to an EnKF may improve its accuracy and/o...

  17. Cluster ensembles, quantization and the dilogarithm

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Fock, Vladimir; Goncharov, Alexander B.

    2009-01-01

    algebra of functions on the -deformed -space has a large center, which includes the algebra of functions on the original -space. The main example is provided by the pair of moduli spaces assigned in [ 7 ] to a topological surface with a finite set of points at the boundary and a split semisimple algebraic......A cluster ensemble is a pair of positive spaces (i.e. varieties equipped with positive atlases), coming with an action of a symmetry group . The space is closely related to the spectrum of a cluster algebra [ 12 ]. The two spaces are related by a morphism . The space is equipped with a closed -form...... group . It is an algebraic-geometric avatar of higher Teichmüller theory on related to . We suggest that there exists a duality between the and spaces. In particular, we conjecture that the tropical points of one of the spaces parametrise a basis in the space of functions on the Langlands dual space. We...

  18. A past discharge assimilation system for ensemble streamflow forecasts over France - Part 2: Impact on the ensemble streamflow forecasts

    Science.gov (United States)

    Thirel, G.; Martin, E.; Mahfouf, J.-F.; Massart, S.; Ricci, S.; Regimbeau, F.; Habets, F.

    2010-08-01

    The use of ensemble streamflow forecasts is developing in the international flood forecasting services. Ensemble streamflow forecast systems can provide more accurate forecasts and useful information about the uncertainty of the forecasts, thus improving the assessment of risks. Nevertheless, these systems, like all hydrological forecasts, suffer from errors on initialization or on meteorological data, which lead to hydrological prediction errors. This article, which is the second part of a 2-part article, concerns the impacts of initial states, improved by a streamflow assimilation system, on an ensemble streamflow prediction system over France. An assimilation system was implemented to improve the streamflow analysis of the SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU (SIM) hydro-meteorological suite, which initializes the ensemble streamflow forecasts at Météo-France. This assimilation system, using the Best Linear Unbiased Estimator (BLUE) and modifying the initial soil moisture states, showed an improvement of the streamflow analysis with low soil moisture increments. The final states of this suite were used to initialize the ensemble streamflow forecasts of Météo-France, which are based on the SIM model and use the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) 10-day Ensemble Prediction System (EPS). Two different configurations of the assimilation system were used in this study: the first with the classical SIM model and the second using improved soil physics in ISBA. The effects of the assimilation system on the ensemble streamflow forecasts were assessed for these two configurations, and a comparison was made with the original (i.e. without data assimilation and without the improved physics) ensemble streamflow forecasts. It is shown that the assimilation system improved most of the statistical scores usually computed for the validation of ensemble predictions (RMSE, Brier Skill Score and its decomposition, Ranked Probability Skill Score, False Alarm Rate, etc

  19. A past discharge assimilation system for ensemble streamflow forecasts over France – Part 2: Impact on the ensemble streamflow forecasts

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    G. Thirel

    2010-08-01

    Full Text Available The use of ensemble streamflow forecasts is developing in the international flood forecasting services. Ensemble streamflow forecast systems can provide more accurate forecasts and useful information about the uncertainty of the forecasts, thus improving the assessment of risks. Nevertheless, these systems, like all hydrological forecasts, suffer from errors on initialization or on meteorological data, which lead to hydrological prediction errors. This article, which is the second part of a 2-part article, concerns the impacts of initial states, improved by a streamflow assimilation system, on an ensemble streamflow prediction system over France. An assimilation system was implemented to improve the streamflow analysis of the SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU (SIM hydro-meteorological suite, which initializes the ensemble streamflow forecasts at Météo-France. This assimilation system, using the Best Linear Unbiased Estimator (BLUE and modifying the initial soil moisture states, showed an improvement of the streamflow analysis with low soil moisture increments. The final states of this suite were used to initialize the ensemble streamflow forecasts of Météo-France, which are based on the SIM model and use the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF 10-day Ensemble Prediction System (EPS. Two different configurations of the assimilation system were used in this study: the first with the classical SIM model and the second using improved soil physics in ISBA. The effects of the assimilation system on the ensemble streamflow forecasts were assessed for these two configurations, and a comparison was made with the original (i.e. without data assimilation and without the improved physics ensemble streamflow forecasts. It is shown that the assimilation system improved most of the statistical scores usually computed for the validation of ensemble predictions (RMSE, Brier Skill Score and its decomposition, Ranked Probability Skill Score, False Alarm

  20. Phase-selective entrainment of nonlinear oscillator ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Zlotnik, Anatoly; Nagao, Raphael; Kiss, István Z.; Li-Shin, Jr.

    2016-03-01

    The ability to organize and finely manipulate the hierarchy and timing of dynamic processes is important for understanding and influencing brain functions, sleep and metabolic cycles, and many other natural phenomena. However, establishing spatiotemporal structures in biological oscillator ensembles is a challenging task that requires controlling large collections of complex nonlinear dynamical units. In this report, we present a method to design entrainment signals that create stable phase patterns in ensembles of heterogeneous nonlinear oscillators without using state feedback information. We demonstrate the approach using experiments with electrochemical reactions on multielectrode arrays, in which we selectively assign ensemble subgroups into spatiotemporal patterns with multiple phase clusters. The experimentally confirmed mechanism elucidates the connection between the phases and natural frequencies of a collection of dynamical elements, the spatial and temporal information that is encoded within this ensemble, and how external signals can be used to retrieve this information.

  1. Prediction of Weather Impacted Airport Capacity using Ensemble Learning

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wang, Yao Xun

    2011-01-01

    Ensemble learning with the Bagging Decision Tree (BDT) model was used to assess the impact of weather on airport capacities at selected high-demand airports in the United States. The ensemble bagging decision tree models were developed and validated using the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) Aviation System Performance Metrics (ASPM) data and weather forecast at these airports. The study examines the performance of BDT, along with traditional single Support Vector Machines (SVM), for airport runway configuration selection and airport arrival rates (AAR) prediction during weather impacts. Testing of these models was accomplished using observed weather, weather forecast, and airport operation information at the chosen airports. The experimental results show that ensemble methods are more accurate than a single SVM classifier. The airport capacity ensemble method presented here can be used as a decision support model that supports air traffic flow management to meet the weather impacted airport capacity in order to reduce costs and increase safety.

  2. Protein Remote Homology Detection Based on an Ensemble Learning Approach

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chen, Junjie; Liu, Bingquan; Huang, Dong

    2016-01-01

    Protein remote homology detection is one of the central problems in bioinformatics. Although some computational methods have been proposed, the problem is still far from being solved. In this paper, an ensemble classifier for protein remote homology detection, called SVM-Ensemble, was proposed with a weighted voting strategy. SVM-Ensemble combined three basic classifiers based on different feature spaces, including Kmer, ACC, and SC-PseAAC. These features consider the characteristics of proteins from various perspectives, incorporating both the sequence composition and the sequence-order information along the protein sequences. Experimental results on a widely used benchmark dataset showed that the proposed SVM-Ensemble can obviously improve the predictive performance for the protein remote homology detection. Moreover, it achieved the best performance and outperformed other state-of-the-art methods. PMID:27294123

  3. Ensemble vs. time averages in financial time series analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Seemann, Lars; Hua, Jia-Chen; McCauley, Joseph L.; Gunaratne, Gemunu H.

    2012-12-01

    Empirical analysis of financial time series suggests that the underlying stochastic dynamics are not only non-stationary, but also exhibit non-stationary increments. However, financial time series are commonly analyzed using the sliding interval technique that assumes stationary increments. We propose an alternative approach that is based on an ensemble over trading days. To determine the effects of time averaging techniques on analysis outcomes, we create an intraday activity model that exhibits periodic variable diffusion dynamics and we assess the model data using both ensemble and time averaging techniques. We find that ensemble averaging techniques detect the underlying dynamics correctly, whereas sliding intervals approaches fail. As many traded assets exhibit characteristic intraday volatility patterns, our work implies that ensemble averages approaches will yield new insight into the study of financial markets’ dynamics.

  4. Ensemble-based Probabilistic Forecasting at Horns Rev

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Pinson, Pierre; Madsen, Henrik

    2009-01-01

    probabilistic forecasts, the resolution of which may be maximized by using meteorological ensemble predictions as input. The paper concentrates on the test case of the Horns Rev wind form over a period of approximately 1 year, in order to describe, apply and discuss a complete ensemble-based probabilistic...... forecasting methodology. In a first stage, ensemble forecasts of meteorological variables are converted to power through a suitable power curve model. This modelemploys local polynomial regression, and is adoptively estimated with an orthogonal fitting method. The obtained ensemble forecasts of wind power are...... then converted into predictive distributions with an original adaptive kernel dressing method. The shape of the kernels is driven by a mean-variance model, the parameters of which ore recursively estimated in order to maximize the overall skill of obtained predictive distributions. Such a methodology...

  5. Average Stopping Set Weight Distribution of Redundant Random Matrix Ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Wadayama, Tadashi

    2007-01-01

    In this paper, redundant random matrix ensembles (abbreviated as redundant random ensembles) are defined and their stopping set (SS) weight distributions are analyzed. A redundant random ensemble consists of a set of binary matrices with linearly dependent rows. These linearly dependent rows (redundant rows) significantly reduce the number of stopping sets of small size. An upper and lower bound on the average SS weight distribution of the redundant random ensembles are shown. From these bounds, the trade-off between the number of redundant rows (corresponding to decoding complexity of BP on BEC) and the critical exponent of the asymptotic growth rate of SS weight distribution (corresponding to decoding performance) can be derived. It is shown that, in some cases, a dense matrix with linearly dependent rows yields asymptotically (i.e., in the regime of small erasure probability) better performance than regular LDPC matrices with comparable parameters.

  6. Ensembles on configuration space classical, quantum, and beyond

    CERN Document Server

    Hall, Michael J W

    2016-01-01

    This book describes a promising approach to problems in the foundations of quantum mechanics, including the measurement problem. The dynamics of ensembles on configuration space is shown here to be a valuable tool for unifying the formalisms of classical and quantum mechanics, for deriving and extending the latter in various ways, and for addressing the quantum measurement problem. A description of physical systems by means of ensembles on configuration space can be introduced at a very fundamental level: the basic building blocks are a configuration space, probabilities, and Hamiltonian equations of motion for the probabilities. The formalism can describe both classical and quantum systems, and their thermodynamics, with the main difference being the choice of ensemble Hamiltonian. Furthermore, there is a natural way of introducing ensemble Hamiltonians that describe the evolution of hybrid systems; i.e., interacting systems that have distinct classical and quantum sectors, allowing for consistent descriptio...

  7. Low energy level spacing distribution in the atomic table ensemble

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We have analysed the nearest neighbour spacing distributions for the atomic table ensemble. The analysis carried out indicates that the random matrix theory arguments extend even to the ground state domain of atoms. (orig.)

  8. Inter-comparison study of the ENSEMBLE project

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    During the days of the Chernobyl accident, the European national long-range dispersion forecasts would differ because of differences in national models, and differences in weather prediction methods. ENSEMBLE project was launched for a reconciliation and harmonization of the disparate long-range dispersion forecasts. Responsible European emergency organizations in addition to Canadian, Japanese, Korean and US agencies have participated in ENSEMBLE. KAERI joined the inter-comparison study for the exercise on the 901-001 scenario in ENSEMBLE. KAERI was assigned KR1 as a national code and 53 as a model number. The model of KAERI was compared with the other models of the participants in ENSEMBLE. The comparative results are presented with the scatter plots and statistical methods in this paper. (author)

  9. An educational model for ensemble streamflow simulation and uncertainty analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    A. AghaKouchak

    2012-06-01

    Full Text Available This paper presents a hands-on modeling toolbox, HBV-Ensemble, designed as a complement to theoretical hydrology lectures, to teach hydrological processes and their uncertainties. The HBV-Ensemble can be used for in-class lab practices and homework assignments, and assessment of students' understanding of hydrological processes. Using this model, students can gain more insights into how hydrological processes (e.g., precipitation, snowmelt and snow accumulation, soil moisture, evapotranspiration and runoff generation are interconnected. The model includes a MATLAB Graphical User Interface (GUI and an ensemble simulation scheme that can be used for not only hydrological processes, but also for teaching uncertainty analysis, parameter estimation, ensemble simulation and model sensitivity.

  10. Level repulsion in constrained Gaussian random-matrix ensembles

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Introducing sets of constraints, we define new classes of random-matrix ensembles, the constrained Gaussian unitary (CGUE) and the deformed Gaussian unitary (DGUE) ensembles. The latter interpolate between the GUE and the CGUE. We derive a sufficient condition for GUE-type level repulsion to persist in the presence of constraints. For special classes of constraints, we extend this approach to the orthogonal and to the symplectic ensembles. A generalized Fourier theorem relates the spectral properties of the constraining ensembles with those of the constrained ones. We find that in the DGUEs, level repulsion always prevails at a sufficiently short distance and may be lifted only in the limit of strictly enforced constraints

  11. Level repulsion in constrained Gaussian random-matrix ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Papenbrock, T.; Pluhar, Z.; Weidenmüller, H. A.

    2006-08-01

    Introducing sets of constraints, we define new classes of random-matrix ensembles, the constrained Gaussian unitary (CGUE) and the deformed Gaussian unitary (DGUE) ensembles. The latter interpolate between the GUE and the CGUE. We derive a sufficient condition for GUE-type level repulsion to persist in the presence of constraints. For special classes of constraints, we extend this approach to the orthogonal and to the symplectic ensembles. A generalized Fourier theorem relates the spectral properties of the constraining ensembles with those of the constrained ones. We find that in the DGUEs, level repulsion always prevails at a sufficiently short distance and may be lifted only in the limit of strictly enforced constraints.

  12. Time and ensemble averaging in time series analysis

    CERN Document Server

    Latka, Miroslaw; Jernajczyk, Wojciech; West, Bruce J

    2010-01-01

    In many applications expectation values are calculated by partitioning a single experimental time series into an ensemble of data segments of equal length. Such single trajectory ensemble (STE) is a counterpart to a multiple trajectory ensemble (MTE) used whenever independent measurements or realizations of a stochastic process are available. The equivalence of STE and MTE for stationary systems was postulated by Wang and Uhlenbeck in their classic paper on Brownian motion (Rev. Mod. Phys. 17, 323 (1945)) but surprisingly has not yet been proved. Using the stationary and ergodic paradigm of statistical physics -- the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) Langevin equation, we revisit Wang and Uhlenbeck's postulate. In particular, we find that the variance of the solution of this equation is different for these two ensembles. While the variance calculated using the MTE quantifies the spreading of independent trajectories originating from the same initial point, the variance for STE measures the spreading of two correlated r...

  13. Establishing EPR-channels between Nanomechanics and Atomic Ensembles

    OpenAIRE

    Hammerer, K.; Aspelmeyer, M.; Polzik, E. S.; Zoller, P.

    2008-01-01

    We suggest to interface nanomechanical systems via an optical quantum bus to atomic ensembles, for which means of high precision state preparation, manipulation and measurement are available. This allows in particular for a Quantum Non-Demolition Bell measurement, projecting the coupled system, atomic ensemble - nanomechanical resonator, into an entangled EPR-state. The entanglement is observable even for nanoresonators initially well above their ground states and can be utilized for teleport...

  14. Assessing creativity in computer music ensembles: a computational approach

    OpenAIRE

    Comajuncosas, Josep M.

    2016-01-01

    Over the last decade Laptop Orchestras and Mobile Ensembles have proliferated. As a result, a large body of research has arisen on infrastructure, evaluation, design principles and compositional methodologies for Computer Music Ensembles (CME). However, little has been addressed and very little is known about the challenges and opportunities provided by CMEs for creativity in musical performance. Therefore, one of the most common issues CMEs have to deal with is the lack of ...

  15. Bayesian Tracking of Emerging Epidemics Using Ensemble Optimal Statistical Interpolation

    OpenAIRE

    Cobb, Loren; Krishnamurthy, Ashok; Mandel, Jan; Beezley, Jonathan D.

    2014-01-01

    We present a preliminary test of the Ensemble Optimal Statistical Interpolation (EnOSI) method for the statistical tracking of an emerging epidemic, with a comparison to its popular relative for Bayesian data assimilation, the Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF). The spatial data for this test was generated by a spatial susceptible-infectious-removed (S-I-R) epidemic model of an airborne infectious disease. Both tracking methods in this test employed Poisson rather than Gaussian noise, so as to han...

  16. Defining critical thresholds for ensemble flood forecasting and warning

    OpenAIRE

    Weeink, Werner H.A.; Ramos, Maria-Helena; Booij, Martijn J.; Andreassian, Vazken; Maarten S. Krol

    2010-01-01

    The use of weather ensemble predictions in ensemble flood forecasting is an acknowledged procedure to include the uncertainty of meteorological forecasts in a probabilistic streamflow prediction system. Operational flood forecasters can thus get an overview of the probability of exceeding a critical discharge or water level, and decide on whether a flood warning should be issued or not. This process offers several challenges to forecasters: 1) how to define critical thresholds along all the r...

  17. Sensitivity tests for an ensemble Kalman filter for aerosol assimilation

    OpenAIRE

    N. A. J. Schutgens; T. Miyoshi; Takemura, T.; Nakajima, T

    2010-01-01

    We present sensitivity tests for a global aerosol assimilation system utilizing AERONET observations of AOT (aerosol optical thickness) and AAE (aerosol Ångström exponent). The assimilation system employs an ensemble Kalman filter which requires optimization of three numerical parameters: ensemble size nens, local patch size npatch and inflation factor ρ. In addition, experiments are performed to test ...

  18. Generalized Gibbs canonical ensemble: A possible physical scenario

    OpenAIRE

    Velazquez, L.

    2007-01-01

    After reviewing some fundamental results derived from the introduction of the generalized Gibbs canonical ensemble, such as the called thermodynamic uncertainty relation, it is described a physical scenario where such a generalized ensemble naturally appears as a consequence of a modification of the energetic interchange mechanism between the interest system and its surrounding, which could be relevant within the framework of long-range interacting systems.

  19. On the distribution of eigenvalues of certain matrix ensembles

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Invariant random matrix ensembles with weak confinement potentials of the eigenvalues, corresponding to indeterminate moment problems, are investigated. These ensembles are characterized by the fact that the mean density of eigenvalues tends to a continuous function with increasing matrix dimension contrary to the usual cases where it grows indefinitely. It is demonstrated that the standard asymptotic formulae are not applicable in these cases and that the asymptotic distribution of eigenvalues can deviate from the classical ones. (author)

  20. Ensemble averaging applied to the flow of a multiphase mixture

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Ensemble averaging theorems are used to derive a two-fluid model describing the flow of a dilute fluid-solid mixture. The model is valid for mixtures containing particles that are small compared to the length scales describing variations in ensemble-averaged field quantities, such as fluid or particle phase density, pressure or velocity. For the case where the mixture is pseudo-homogeneous, the equations obtained reproduce the Einstein viscosity correction

  1. Clustering Categorical Data:A Cluster Ensemble Approach

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    He Zengyou(何增友); Xu Xiaofei; Deng Shengchun

    2003-01-01

    Clustering categorical data, an integral part of data mining,has attracted much attention recently. In this paper, the authors formally define the categorical data clustering problem as an optimization problem from the viewpoint of cluster ensemble, and apply cluster ensemble approach for clustering categorical data. Experimental results on real datasets show that better clustering accuracy can be obtained by comparing with existing categorical data clustering algorithms.

  2. Sampling the isothermal-isobaric ensemble by Langevin dynamics

    OpenAIRE

    Gao, Xingyu; Fang, Jun; Wang, Han

    2016-01-01

    We present a new method of conducting molecular dynamics simulation in isothermal-isobaric ensemble based on Langevin equations of motion. The stochastic coupling to all particle and cell degrees of freedoms is introduced in a correct way, in the sense that the stationary configurational distribution is proved to be in consistent with that of the isothermal-isobaric ensemble. In order to apply the proposed method in computer simulations, a second order symmetric numerical integration scheme i...

  3. Scalable Ensemble Learning and Computationally Efficient Variance Estimation

    OpenAIRE

    LeDell, Erin

    2015-01-01

    Ensemble machine learning methods are often used when the true prediction function is not easily approximated by a single algorithm. The Super Learner algorithm is an ensemble method that has been theoretically proven to represent an asymptotically optimal system for learning. The Super Learner, also known as stacking, combines multiple, typically diverse, base learning algorithms into a single, powerful prediction function through a secondary learning process called metalearning. Although...

  4. Ensemble forecasting of major solar flares: First results

    Science.gov (United States)

    Guerra, J. A.; Pulkkinen, A.; Uritsky, V. M.

    2015-10-01

    We present the results from the first ensemble prediction model for major solar flares (M and X classes). The primary aim of this investigation is to explore the construction of an ensemble for an initial prototyping of this new concept. Using the probabilistic forecasts from three models hosted at the Community Coordinated Modeling Center (NASA-GSFC) and the NOAA forecasts, we developed an ensemble forecast by linearly combining the flaring probabilities from all four methods. Performance-based combination weights were calculated using a Monte Carlo-type algorithm that applies a decision threshold Pth to the combined probabilities and maximizing the Heidke Skill Score (HSS). Using the data for 13 recent solar active regions between years 2012 and 2014, we found that linear combination methods can improve the overall probabilistic prediction and improve the categorical prediction for certain values of decision thresholds. Combination weights vary with the applied threshold and none of the tested individual forecasting models seem to provide more accurate predictions than the others for all values of Pth. According to the maximum values of HSS, a performance-based weights calculated by averaging over the sample, performed similarly to a equally weighted model. The values Pth for which the ensemble forecast performs the best are 25% for M-class flares and 15% for X-class flares. When the human-adjusted probabilities from NOAA are excluded from the ensemble, the ensemble performance in terms of the Heidke score is reduced.

  5. Three-model ensemble wind prediction in southern Italy

    Science.gov (United States)

    Torcasio, Rosa Claudia; Federico, Stefano; Calidonna, Claudia Roberta; Avolio, Elenio; Drofa, Oxana; Landi, Tony Christian; Malguzzi, Piero; Buzzi, Andrea; Bonasoni, Paolo

    2016-03-01

    Quality of wind prediction is of great importance since a good wind forecast allows the prediction of available wind power, improving the penetration of renewable energies into the energy market. Here, a 1-year (1 December 2012 to 30 November 2013) three-model ensemble (TME) experiment for wind prediction is considered. The models employed, run operationally at National Research Council - Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate (CNR-ISAC), are RAMS (Regional Atmospheric Modelling System), BOLAM (BOlogna Limited Area Model), and MOLOCH (MOdello LOCale in H coordinates). The area considered for the study is southern Italy and the measurements used for the forecast verification are those of the GTS (Global Telecommunication System). Comparison with observations is made every 3 h up to 48 h of forecast lead time. Results show that the three-model ensemble outperforms the forecast of each individual model. The RMSE improvement compared to the best model is between 22 and 30 %, depending on the season. It is also shown that the three-model ensemble outperforms the IFS (Integrated Forecasting System) of the ECMWF (European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecast) for the surface wind forecasts. Notably, the three-model ensemble forecast performs better than each unbiased model, showing the added value of the ensemble technique. Finally, the sensitivity of the three-model ensemble RMSE to the length of the training period is analysed.

  6. Improving ensemble forecasting with q-norm bred vectors

    Science.gov (United States)

    Pazo, Diego; Lopez, Juan Manuel; Rodriguez, Miguel Angel

    2016-04-01

    Error breeding is a popular and simple method to generate initial perturbations for use in ensemble forecasting that is used for operational purposes in many weather/climate centres worldwide. There is a widespread belief among practitioners that the type of norm used in the periodic normalizations of BVs does not have an effect on the performance of ensemble forecasting systems. However, we have recently reported that BVs constructed with different norms have indeed very different dynamical and spatial properties. In particular, BVs constructed with the 0-norm or geometric norm has nice properties (e.g. enhancement of the ensemble diversity), which in principle render it more adequate to construct ensembles than other norm types like the Euclidean one. These advantages are clearly demonstrated here in a simple experiment of ensemble forecasting for the Lorenz-96 model with ensembles of BVs. Our simple numerical assimilation experiment shows how the increased statistical diversity of geometric BVs leads to improved scores regarding forecasting capabilities as compared with BVs constructed with the standard Euclidean norm.

  7. Ensembles of a small number of conformations with relative populations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In our previous work, we proposed a new way to represent protein native states, using ensembles of a small number of conformations with relative Populations, or ESP in short. Using Ubiquitin as an example, we showed that using a small number of conformations could greatly reduce the potential of overfitting and assigning relative populations to protein ensembles could significantly improve their quality. To demonstrate that ESP indeed is an excellent alternative to represent protein native states, in this work we compare the quality of two ESP ensembles of Ubiquitin with several well-known regular ensembles or average structure representations. Extensive amount of significant experimental data are employed to achieve a thorough assessment. Our results demonstrate that ESP ensembles, though much smaller in size comparing to regular ensembles, perform equally or even better sometimes in all four different types of experimental data used in the assessment, namely, the residual dipolar couplings, residual chemical shift anisotropy, hydrogen exchange rates, and solution scattering profiles. This work further underlines the significance of having relative populations in describing the native states

  8. Effects of ensembles on methane hydrate nucleation kinetics.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Zhang, Zhengcai; Liu, Chan-Juan; Walsh, Matthew R; Guo, Guang-Jun

    2016-06-21

    By performing molecular dynamics simulations to form a hydrate with a methane nano-bubble in liquid water at 250 K and 50 MPa, we report how different ensembles, such as the NPT, NVT, and NVE ensembles, affect the nucleation kinetics of the methane hydrate. The nucleation trajectories are monitored using the face-saturated incomplete cage analysis (FSICA) and the mutually coordinated guest (MCG) order parameter (OP). The nucleation rate and the critical nucleus are obtained using the mean first-passage time (MFPT) method based on the FS cages and the MCG-1 OPs, respectively. The fitting results of MFPT show that hydrate nucleation and growth are coupled together, consistent with the cage adsorption hypothesis which emphasizes that the cage adsorption of methane is a mechanism for both hydrate nucleation and growth. For the three different ensembles, the hydrate nucleation rate is quantitatively ordered as follows: NPT > NVT > NVE, while the sequence of hydrate crystallinity is exactly reversed. However, the largest size of the critical nucleus appears in the NVT ensemble, rather than in the NVE ensemble. These results are helpful for choosing a suitable ensemble when to study hydrate formation via computer simulations, and emphasize the importance of the order degree of the critical nucleus. PMID:27222203

  9. Hybrid Intrusion Detection Using Ensemble of Classification Methods

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    M.Govindarajan

    2014-01-01

    Full Text Available One of the major developments in machine learning in the past decade is the ensemble method, which finds highly accurate classifier by combining many moderately accurate component classifiers. In this research work, new ensemble classification methods are proposed for homogeneous ensemble classifiers using bagging and heterogeneous ensemble classifiers using arcing classifier and their performances are analyzed in terms of accuracy. A Classifier ensemble is designed using Radial Basis Function (RBF and Support Vector Machine (SVM as base classifiers. The feasibility and the benefits of the proposed approaches are demonstrated by the means of real and benchmark data sets of intrusion detection. The main originality of the proposed approach is based on three main parts: preprocessing phase, classification phase and combining phase. A wide range of comparative experiments are conducted for real and benchmark data sets of intrusion detection. The accuracy of base classifiers is compared with homogeneous and heterogeneous models for data mining problem. The proposed ensemble methods provide significant improvement of accuracy compared to individual classifiers and also heterogeneous models exhibit better results than homogeneous models for real and benchmark data sets of intrusion detection.

  10. Ensembles of a small number of conformations with relative populations

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Vammi, Vijay, E-mail: vsvammi@iastate.edu; Song, Guang, E-mail: gsong@iastate.edu [Iowa State University, Bioinformatics and Computational Biology Program, Department of Computer Science (United States)

    2015-12-15

    In our previous work, we proposed a new way to represent protein native states, using ensembles of a small number of conformations with relative Populations, or ESP in short. Using Ubiquitin as an example, we showed that using a small number of conformations could greatly reduce the potential of overfitting and assigning relative populations to protein ensembles could significantly improve their quality. To demonstrate that ESP indeed is an excellent alternative to represent protein native states, in this work we compare the quality of two ESP ensembles of Ubiquitin with several well-known regular ensembles or average structure representations. Extensive amount of significant experimental data are employed to achieve a thorough assessment. Our results demonstrate that ESP ensembles, though much smaller in size comparing to regular ensembles, perform equally or even better sometimes in all four different types of experimental data used in the assessment, namely, the residual dipolar couplings, residual chemical shift anisotropy, hydrogen exchange rates, and solution scattering profiles. This work further underlines the significance of having relative populations in describing the native states.

  11. Hierarchical ensemble-based data fusion for structural health monitoring

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In structural health monitoring, damage detection results always have uncertainty because of three factors: measurement noise, modeling error and environment changes. Data fusion can lead to the improved accuracy of a classification decision as compared to a decision based on any individual data source alone. Ensemble approaches constitute a relatively new breed of algorithms used for data fusion. In this paper, we introduced a hierarchical ensemble scheme to the data fusion field. The hierarchical ensemble scheme was based on the Dempster–Shafer (DS) theory and the Rotation Forest (RF) method, it was called a hierarchical ensemble because the RF method itself was an ensemble method. The DS theory was used to combine the output of RF based on different data sources. The validation accuracy of the RF model was considered in the improvement of the performance of the hierarchical ensemble. Health monitoring of a small-scale two-story frame structure with different damages subject to shaking table tests was used as an example to validate the efficiency of the proposed scheme. The experimental results indicated that the proposed scheme will improve the identification accuracy and increase the reliability of identification

  12. Evolutionary Ensemble for In Silico Prediction of Ames Test Mutagenicity

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chen, Huanhuan; Yao, Xin

    Driven by new regulations and animal welfare, the need to develop in silico models has increased recently as alternative approaches to safety assessment of chemicals without animal testing. This paper describes a novel machine learning ensemble approach to building an in silico model for the prediction of the Ames test mutagenicity, one of a battery of the most commonly used experimental in vitro and in vivo genotoxicity tests for safety evaluation of chemicals. Evolutionary random neural ensemble with negative correlation learning (ERNE) [1] was developed based on neural networks and evolutionary algorithms. ERNE combines the method of bootstrap sampling on training data with the method of random subspace feature selection to ensure diversity in creating individuals within an initial ensemble. Furthermore, while evolving individuals within the ensemble, it makes use of the negative correlation learning, enabling individual NNs to be trained as accurate as possible while still manage to maintain them as diverse as possible. Therefore, the resulting individuals in the final ensemble are capable of cooperating collectively to achieve better generalization of prediction. The empirical experiment suggest that ERNE is an effective ensemble approach for predicting the Ames test mutagenicity of chemicals.

  13. EnsembleGASVR: A novel ensemble method for classifying missense single nucleotide polymorphisms

    KAUST Repository

    Rapakoulia, Trisevgeni

    2014-04-26

    Motivation: Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) are considered the most frequently occurring DNA sequence variations. Several computational methods have been proposed for the classification of missense SNPs to neutral and disease associated. However, existing computational approaches fail to select relevant features by choosing them arbitrarily without sufficient documentation. Moreover, they are limited to the problem ofmissing values, imbalance between the learning datasets and most of them do not support their predictions with confidence scores. Results: To overcome these limitations, a novel ensemble computational methodology is proposed. EnsembleGASVR facilitates a twostep algorithm, which in its first step applies a novel evolutionary embedded algorithm to locate close to optimal Support Vector Regression models. In its second step, these models are combined to extract a universal predictor, which is less prone to overfitting issues, systematizes the rebalancing of the learning sets and uses an internal approach for solving the missing values problem without loss of information. Confidence scores support all the predictions and the model becomes tunable by modifying the classification thresholds. An extensive study was performed for collecting the most relevant features for the problem of classifying SNPs, and a superset of 88 features was constructed. Experimental results show that the proposed framework outperforms well-known algorithms in terms of classification performance in the examined datasets. Finally, the proposed algorithmic framework was able to uncover the significant role of certain features such as the solvent accessibility feature, and the top-scored predictions were further validated by linking them with disease phenotypes. © The Author 2014.

  14. Holy Balls!: Part Deux

    Science.gov (United States)

    Belden, Jesse; Jandron, Michael; Truscott, Tadd

    2012-11-01

    A Waboba® (WAter BOuncing BAll) demonstrates remarkable water skipping behavior, even at relatively large impact angles. The highly compliant nature of these elastic spheres results in significant deformation into a disk-like shape upon impact. The increased wetted area and force coefficient generates a large hydrodynamic force that more readily lifts the ball off the water surface. However, elasticity introduces some surprising phenomena, such as material waves that propagate on the sphere and interact with the water cavity. Depending upon impact conditions, material waves may propagate in various directions combining to create multiple modes of deformation and complicated fluid-structure interactions. Furthermore, the timescales of deformation and wave propagation depend on the material properties and impact conditions. In this talk, we will discuss skipping regimes in terms of impact parameters and material properties and relate failed skipping behavior to the structure-fluid interaction caused by deformation. The critical timescales for deformation, wave propagation and collision will be related to the relevant physical parameters of the problem.

  15. Proust deux mille treize

    OpenAIRE

    Dyer, Nathalie Mauriac

    2013-01-01

    Alors que, le 29 mai 1913, le public du tout nouveau théâtre des Champs-Élysées se déchaîne à la première du Sacre du printemps, Proust est probablement chez lui, en train de corriger les placards d’un premier volume qui a failli s’appeler « Le Temps perdu » ou encore « Charles Swann ». L’année suivante, il se flattera, sous couvert d’anonymat, qu’un même critique ait pu distinguer à la fois le Sacre et Du côté de chez Swann, qu’il définit comme faisant partie des « plus curieuses productions...

  16. Deux regards, un monde

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Andrea Moorhead

    2012-10-01

    Full Text Available L’Américaine Andrea Moorhead explique comment elle en est venue à écrire en français alors qu’elle est native de Buffalo, près des chutes du Niagara. Elle interroge les différentes dispositions et dispositifs poétiques en français et en anglais, et souligne en particulier le rôle de l’inconscient et de l’enfance. Écrire en français, selon l’auteur, n’est pas la traduction d’un état anglais : c’est un mouvement intérieur qui répond aux exigences de l’esprit, car le regard, le lien avec soi et avec les autres, l’énoncé lui-même sont différents. Écrire en anglais porte la franchise des Saxons et la mélancolie des Celtes, alors qu’écrire en français laisse entrer le murmure du subconscient et la douleur du monde. L’auteur montre que l’anglais est une langue à la fois poétique et pragmatique et qu’en français, la tension vient plutôt de l’abstraction et de la finesse du regard. Le bilinguisme poétique représente à ses yeux la foi dans une humanité planétaire.

  17. Chapitre 1. Deux logiques

    OpenAIRE

    Mol, Annemarie

    2013-01-01

    Le choix individuel est un idéal largement partagé. Le fait n’a rien d’étrange car qui aimerait être soumis aux autres ? Ce livre cherche pourtant à remettre en question cet idéal. Je ne questionne pas le choix en général mais plutôt sa généralisation. D’autres idéaux, comme « le bon soin », sont en effet mis à mal par cette généralisation. Dans le domaine des soins de santé, auquel ce livre est consacré, « le choix du patient » et « le bon soin » peuvent parfois se compléter, mais le plus so...

  18. Comparing climate change impacts on crops in Belgium based on CMIP3 and EU-ENSEMBLES multi-model ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Vanuytrecht, E.; Raes, D.; Willems, P.; Semenov, M.

    2012-04-01

    Global Circulation Models (GCMs) are sophisticated tools to study the future evolution of the climate. Yet, the coarse scale of GCMs of hundreds of kilometers raises questions about the suitability for agricultural impact assessments. These assessments are often made at field level and require consideration of interactions at sub-GCM grid scale (e.g., elevation-dependent climatic changes). Regional climate models (RCMs) were developed to provide climate projections at a spatial scale of 25-50 km for limited regions, e.g. Europe (Giorgi and Mearns, 1991). Climate projections from GCMs or RCMs are available as multi-model ensembles. These ensembles are based on large data sets of simulations produced by modelling groups worldwide, who performed a set of coordinated climate experiments in which climate models were run for a common set of experiments and various emissions scenarios (Knutti et al., 2010). The use of multi-model ensembles in climate change studies is an important step in quantifying uncertainty in impact predictions, which will underpin more informed decisions for adaptation and mitigation to changing climate (Semenov and Stratonovitch, 2010). The objective of our study was to evaluate the effect of the spatial scale of climate projections on climate change impacts for cereals in Belgium. Climate scenarios were based on two multi-model ensembles, one comprising 15 GCMs of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project phase 3 (CMIP3; Meehl et al., 2007) with spatial resolution of 200-300 km, the other comprising 9 RCMs of the EU-ENSEMBLES project (van der Linden and Mitchell, 2009) with spatial resolution of 25 km. To be useful for agricultural impact assessments, the projections of GCMs and RCMs were downscaled to the field level. Long series (240 cropping seasons) of local-scale climate scenarios were generated by the LARS-WG weather generator (Semenov et al., 2010) via statistical inference. Crop growth and development were simulated with the Aqua

  19. A past discharge assimilation system for ensemble streamflow forecasts over France – Part 2: Impact on the ensemble streamflow forecasts

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    G. Thirel

    2010-04-01

    Full Text Available The use of ensemble streamflow forecasts is developing in the international flood forecasting services. Such systems can provide more accurate forecasts and useful information about the uncertainty of the forecasts, thus improving the assessment of risks. Nevertheless, these systems, like all hydrological forecasts, suffer from errors on initialization or on meteorological data, which lead to hydrological prediction errors. This article, which is the second part of a 2-part article, concerns the impacts of initial states, improved by a streamflow assimilation system, on an ensemble streamflow prediction system over France. An assimilation system was implemented to improve the streamflow analysis of the SAFRAN-ISBA-MODCOU (SIM hydro-meteorological suite, which initializes the ensemble streamflow forecasts at Météo-France. This assimilation system, using the Best Linear Unbiased Estimator (BLUE and modifying the initial soil moisture states, showed an improvement of the streamflow analysis with low soil moisture increments. The final states of this suite were used to initialize the ensemble streamflow forecasts of Météo-France, which are based on the SIM model and use the European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF 10-day Ensemble Prediction System (EPS. Two different configurations of the assimilation system were used in this study: the first with the classical SIM model and the second using improved soil physics in ISBA. The effects of the assimilation system on the ensemble streamflow forecasts were assessed for these two configurations, and a comparison was made with the original (i.e. without data assimilation and without the improved physics ensemble streamflow forecasts. It is shown that the assimilation system improved most of the statistical scores usually computed for the validation of ensemble predictions (RMSE, Brier Skill Score and its decomposition, Ranked Probability Skill Score, False Alarm Rate, etc., especially

  20. Combining 2-m temperature nowcasting and short range ensemble forecasting

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    A. Kann

    2011-12-01

    Full Text Available During recent years, numerical ensemble prediction systems have become an important tool for estimating the uncertainties of dynamical and physical processes as represented in numerical weather models. The latest generation of limited area ensemble prediction systems (LAM-EPSs allows for probabilistic forecasts at high resolution in both space and time. However, these systems still suffer from systematic deficiencies. Especially for nowcasting (0–6 h applications the ensemble spread is smaller than the actual forecast error. This paper tries to generate probabilistic short range 2-m temperature forecasts by combining a state-of-the-art nowcasting method and a limited area ensemble system, and compares the results with statistical methods. The Integrated Nowcasting Through Comprehensive Analysis (INCA system, which has been in operation at the Central Institute for Meteorology and Geodynamics (ZAMG since 2006 (Haiden et al., 2011, provides short range deterministic forecasts at high temporal (15 min–60 min and spatial (1 km resolution. An INCA Ensemble (INCA-EPS of 2-m temperature forecasts is constructed by applying a dynamical approach, a statistical approach, and a combined dynamic-statistical method. The dynamical method takes uncertainty information (i.e. ensemble variance from the operational limited area ensemble system ALADIN-LAEF (Aire Limitée Adaptation Dynamique Développement InterNational Limited Area Ensemble Forecasting which is running operationally at ZAMG (Wang et al., 2011. The purely statistical method assumes a well-calibrated spread-skill relation and applies ensemble spread according to the skill of the INCA forecast of the most recent past. The combined dynamic-statistical approach adapts the ensemble variance gained from ALADIN-LAEF with non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR which yields a statistical mbox{correction} of the first and second moment (mean bias and dispersion for Gaussian distributed continuous

  1. Protein Ensembles: How Does Nature Harness Thermodynamic Fluctuations for Life? The Diverse Functional Roles of Conformational Ensembles in the Cell.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wei, Guanghong; Xi, Wenhui; Nussinov, Ruth; Ma, Buyong

    2016-06-01

    All soluble proteins populate conformational ensembles that together constitute the native state. Their fluctuations in water are intrinsic thermodynamic phenomena, and the distributions of the states on the energy landscape are determined by statistical thermodynamics; however, they are optimized to perform their biological functions. In this review we briefly describe advances in free energy landscape studies of protein conformational ensembles. Experimental (nuclear magnetic resonance, small-angle X-ray scattering, single-molecule spectroscopy, and cryo-electron microscopy) and computational (replica-exchange molecular dynamics, metadynamics, and Markov state models) approaches have made great progress in recent years. These address the challenging characterization of the highly flexible and heterogeneous protein ensembles. We focus on structural aspects of protein conformational distributions, from collective motions of single- and multi-domain proteins, intrinsically disordered proteins, to multiprotein complexes. Importantly, we highlight recent studies that illustrate functional adjustment of protein conformational ensembles in the crowded cellular environment. We center on the role of the ensemble in recognition of small- and macro-molecules (protein and RNA/DNA) and emphasize emerging concepts of protein dynamics in enzyme catalysis. Overall, protein ensembles link fundamental physicochemical principles and protein behavior and the cellular network and its regulation. PMID:26807783

  2. Particle Swarm Optimization Based Selective Ensemble of Online Sequential Extreme Learning Machine

    OpenAIRE

    Yang Liu; Bo He; Diya Dong; Yue Shen; Tianhong Yan; Rui Nian; Amaury Lendasse

    2015-01-01

    A novel particle swarm optimization based selective ensemble (PSOSEN) of online sequential extreme learning machine (OS-ELM) is proposed. It is based on the original OS-ELM with an adaptive selective ensemble framework. Two novel insights are proposed in this paper. First, a novel selective ensemble algorithm referred to as particle swarm optimization selective ensemble is proposed, noting that PSOSEN is a general selective ensemble method which is applicable to any learning algorithms, inclu...

  3. On the proper use of Ensembles for Predictive Uncertainty assessment

    Science.gov (United States)

    Todini, Ezio; Coccia, Gabriele; Ortiz, Enrique

    2015-04-01

    Probabilistic forecasting has become popular in the last decades. Hydrological probabilistic forecasts have been based either on uncertainty processors (Krzysztofowic, 1999; Todini, 2004; Todini, 2008) or on ensembles, following meteorological traditional approaches and the establishment of the HEPEX program (http://hepex.irstea.fr. Unfortunately, the direct use of ensembles as a measure of the predictive density is an incorrect practice, because the ensemble measures the spread of the forecast instead of, following the definition of predictive uncertainty, the conditional probability of the future outcome conditional on the forecast. Only few correct approaches are reported in the literature, which correctly use the ensemble to estimate an expected conditional predictive density (Reggiani et al., 2009), similarly to what is done when several predictive models are available as in the BMA (Raftery et al., 2005) or MCP(Todini, 2008; Coccia and Todini, 2011) approaches. A major problem, limiting the correct use of ensembles, is in fact the difficulty of defining the time dependence of the ensemble members, due to the lack of a consistent ranking: in other words, when dealing with multiple models, the ith model remains the ith model regardless to the time of forecast, while this does not happen when dealing with ensemble members, since there is no definition for the ith member of an ensemble. Nonetheless, the MCP approach (Todini, 2008; Coccia and Todini, 2011), essentially based on a multiple regression in the Normal space, can be easily extended to use ensembles to represent the local (in time) smaller or larger conditional predictive uncertainty, as a function of the ensemble spread. This is done by modifying the classical linear regression equations, impliying perfectly observed predictors, to alternative regression equations similar to the Kalman filter ones, allowing for uncertain predictors. In this way, each prediction in time accounts for both the predictive

  4. Critical adsorption and critical Casimir forces in the canonical ensemble

    Science.gov (United States)

    Gross, Markus; Vasilyev, Oleg; Gambassi, Andrea; Dietrich, S.

    2016-08-01

    Critical properties of a liquid film between two planar walls are investigated in the canonical ensemble, within which the total number of fluid particles, rather than their chemical potential, is kept constant. The effect of this constraint is analyzed within mean-field theory (MFT) based on a Ginzburg-Landau free-energy functional as well as via Monte Carlo simulations of the three-dimensional Ising model with fixed total magnetization. Within MFT and for finite adsorption strengths at the walls, the thermodynamic properties of the film in the canonical ensemble can be mapped exactly onto a grand canonical ensemble in which the corresponding chemical potential plays the role of the Lagrange multiplier associated with the constraint. However, due to a nonintegrable divergence of the mean-field order parameter profile near a wall, the limit of infinitely strong adsorption turns out to be not well-defined within MFT, because it would necessarily violate the constraint. The critical Casimir force (CCF) acting on the two planar walls of the film is generally found to behave differently in the canonical and grand canonical ensembles. For instance, the canonical CCF in the presence of equal preferential adsorption at the two walls is found to have the opposite sign and a slower decay behavior as a function of the film thickness compared to its grand canonical counterpart. We derive the stress tensor in the canonical ensemble and find that it has the same expression as in the grand canonical case, but with the chemical potential playing the role of the Lagrange multiplier associated with the constraint. The different behavior of the CCF in the two ensembles is rationalized within MFT by showing that, for a prescribed value of the thermodynamic control parameter of the film, i.e., density or chemical potential, the film pressures are identical in the two ensembles, while the corresponding bulk pressures are not.

  5. Regionalization of post-processed ensemble runoff forecasts

    Science.gov (United States)

    Olav Skøien, Jon; Bogner, Konrad; Salamon, Peter; Smith, Paul; Pappenberger, Florian

    2016-05-01

    For many years, meteorological models have been run with perturbated initial conditions or parameters to produce ensemble forecasts that are used as a proxy of the uncertainty of the forecasts. However, the ensembles are usually both biased (the mean is systematically too high or too low, compared with the observed weather), and has dispersion errors (the ensemble variance indicates a too low or too high confidence in the forecast, compared with the observed weather). The ensembles are therefore commonly post-processed to correct for these shortcomings. Here we look at one of these techniques, referred to as Ensemble Model Output Statistics (EMOS) (Gneiting et al., 2005). Originally, the post-processing parameters were identified as a fixed set of parameters for a region. The application of our work is the European Flood Awareness System (www.efas.eu" target="_blank">http://www.efas.eu), where a distributed model is run with meteorological ensembles as input. We are therefore dealing with a considerably larger data set than previous analyses. We also want to regionalize the parameters themselves for other locations than the calibration gauges. The post-processing parameters are therefore estimated for each calibration station, but with a spatial penalty for deviations from neighbouring stations, depending on the expected semivariance between the calibration catchment and these stations. The estimated post-processed parameters can then be used for regionalization of the postprocessing parameters also for uncalibrated locations using top-kriging in the rtop-package (Skøien et al., 2006, 2014). We will show results from cross-validation of the methodology and although our interest is mainly in identifying exceedance probabilities for certain return levels, we will also show how the rtop package can be used for creating a set of post-processed ensembles through simulations.

  6. Quantifying Monte Carlo uncertainty in ensemble Kalman filter

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Thulin, Kristian; Naevdal, Geir; Skaug, Hans Julius; Aanonsen, Sigurd Ivar

    2009-01-15

    This report is presenting results obtained during Kristian Thulin PhD study, and is a slightly modified form of a paper submitted to SPE Journal. Kristian Thulin did most of his portion of the work while being a PhD student at CIPR, University of Bergen. The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is currently considered one of the most promising methods for conditioning reservoir simulation models to production data. The EnKF is a sequential Monte Carlo method based on a low rank approximation of the system covariance matrix. The posterior probability distribution of model variables may be estimated fram the updated ensemble, but because of the low rank covariance approximation, the updated ensemble members become correlated samples from the posterior distribution. We suggest using multiple EnKF runs, each with smaller ensemble size to obtain truly independent samples from the posterior distribution. This allows a point-wise confidence interval for the posterior cumulative distribution function (CDF) to be constructed. We present a methodology for finding an optimal combination of ensemble batch size (n) and number of EnKF runs (m) while keeping the total number of ensemble members ( m x n) constant. The optimal combination of n and m is found through minimizing the integrated mean square error (MSE) for the CDFs and we choose to define an EnKF run with 10.000 ensemble members as having zero Monte Carlo error. The methodology is tested on a simplistic, synthetic 2D model, but should be applicable also to larger, more realistic models. (author). 12 refs., figs.,tabs

  7. Identification de composés phénoliques extraits de deux plantes de la pharmacopée ivoirienne

    OpenAIRE

    Kabran, Gui Roger; Mamyrbékova-Békro, J A; Pirat, Jean-Luc; Bekro, Yves-Alain; Sommerer, Nicolas; VERBAERE, Arnaud; Meudec, Emmanuelle

    2014-01-01

    Combretum paniculatum Vent. et Nymphaea lotus Linn. sont deux plantes de la pharmacopée ivoirienne, employées en thérapie traditionnelle pour traiter plusieurs pathologies. Les analyses au moyen de la GC-MS et LC-MS desdites plantes, ont permis de mettre en évidence leurs constituants phénoliques. 10 composés phénoliques ont été identifiés dans C. paniculatum au nombre desquels 1 acide-phénol (acide gallique); 4 ellagitanins (casuarictine, HHDPglucose, trigalloylHHDP-glucose, acide chébuliniq...

  8. Braudel et Schumpeter : deux manières de voir le capitalisme ? (Braudel and Schumpeter : two different ways to consider capitalism ? )

    OpenAIRE

    Fabrice Dannequin

    2004-01-01

    Etudier le capitalisme peut se réaliser de façon fructueuse par la comparaison/confrontation d'auteurs comme Fernand Braudel et Joseph Schumpeter. Certes, le marché et le capitalisme sont imbriqués chez l'économiste, alors que chez l'historien les activités capitalistes ne constituent qu'une des modalités de l'échange au sein d'une tripartition. Néanmoins, dans les deux approches, les institutions, comme la monnaie et la concurrence, jouent un rôle fondamental. Le capitalisme connaît égalemen...

  9. Dimension et autonomisation psycho-affectives dans deux dispositifs hybrides – Études de cas en master 2

    OpenAIRE

    Chaplier, Claire; Crosnier, Élisabeth

    2014-01-01

    Actuellement, dans les formations universitaires Lansad-sciences (langues pour spécialistes d'autres disciplines), les enseignants-chercheurs doivent repenser l'enseignement de l'anglais en raison des contraintes institutionnelles. Dans cet article, nous décrivons l'expérience que nous avons menée auprès d'étudiants en 2ème année de master (M2) à travers deux dispositifs hybrides. Nous émettons l'hypothèse qu'un module d'anglais dans lequel la dimension psycho-affective est au centre de la mi...

  10. Les descendants de migrants maghrébins en France et turcs en Allemagne: deux types de mise à distance sociale?

    OpenAIRE

    Tucci, Ingrid

    2010-01-01

    Comment s’articulent la question des inégalités sociales et de leur évolution et la question des modes de participation développés par les descendants de migrants au sein de cadres nationaux spécifiques aux niveaux historique, culturel, institutionnel et structurel ? Cet article se fonde sur l’exploitation de deux grandes enquêtes (l’enquête Étude de l’histoire familiale pour la France et le Panel socio-économique pour l’Allemagne) pour montrer que les modes de participation à l’école et au m...

  11. Increasing the horizontal resolution of ensemble forecasts at CMC

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    G. Pellerin

    2003-01-01

    Full Text Available Ensemble forecasts are run operationally since February 1998 at the Canadian Meteorological Centre, with outputs up to ten days. The ensemble size was increased from eight to sixteen members in August 1999. The method of producing the perturbed analyses consists of running independent assimilation cycles that use perturbed sets of observations and are driven by eight different models, mainly different in their physical parameterizations. Perturbed analyses are doubled by taking opposite pairs. A multi-model approach is then used to obtain the forecasts. The ensemble output has been used to generate several products. In view of increasing computing facilities, the ensemble prediction system horizontal resolution was increased to TL149 in June 2001. Heights at 500 hPa and mean sea-level pressure maps are regularly used. Charts of precipitation with the probability of precipitation being above various thresholds are also produced at each run. The probabilistic forecast of the 24-h accumulated precipitation has shown skill as demonstrated by the relative operating characteristic (ROC. Verifications of the ensemble forecasts will be presented.

  12. Quantumness of correlations, quantumness of ensembles and quantum data hiding

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We study the quantumness of correlations for ensembles of bi- and multi-partite systems and relate it to the task of quantum data hiding. Quantumness is here intended in the sense of minimum average disturbance under local measurements. We consider a very general framework, but focus on local complete von Neumann measurements as the cause of the disturbance, and, later on, on the trace-distance as a quantifier of the disturbance. We discuss connections with entanglement and previously defined notions of quantumness of correlations. We prove that a large class of quantifiers of the quantumness of correlations are entanglement monotones for pure bipartite states. In particular, we define an entanglement of disturbance for pure states, for which we give an analytical expression. Such a measure coincides with negativity and concurrence for the case of two qubits. We compute general bounds on disturbance for both single states and ensembles, and consider several examples, including the uniform Haar ensemble of pure states, and pairs of qubit states. Finally, we show that the notion of ensemble quantumness of correlations is most relevant in quantum data hiding. Indeed, while it is known that entanglement is not necessary for a good quantum data-hiding scheme, we prove that ensemble quantumness of correlations is necessary. (paper)

  13. An adaptive additive inflation scheme for Ensemble Kalman Filters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Sommer, Matthias; Janjic, Tijana

    2016-04-01

    Data assimilation for atmospheric dynamics requires an accurate estimate for the uncertainty of the forecast in order to obtain an optimal combination with available observations. This uncertainty has two components, firstly the uncertainty which originates in the the initial condition of that forecast itself and secondly the error of the numerical model used. While the former can be approximated quite successfully with an ensemble of forecasts (an additional sampling error will occur), little is known about the latter. For ensemble data assimilation, ad-hoc methods to address model error include multiplicative and additive inflation schemes, possibly also flow-dependent. The additive schemes rely on samples for the model error e.g. from short-term forecast tendencies or differences of forecasts with varying resolutions. However since these methods work in ensemble space (i.e. act directly on the ensemble perturbations) the sampling error is fixed and can be expected to affect the skill substiantially. In this contribution we show how inflation can be generalized to take into account more degrees of freedom and what improvements for future operational ensemble data assimilation can be expected from this, also in comparison with other inflation schemes.

  14. De quelques stéréotypes catégorisateurs du même et de l’autre dans les discours de Dakar, ou l’Afrique fantasmée de deux présidents français

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Détrie Catherine

    2014-07-01

    Notre but est non seulement de pointer la complexité des systèmes représentationnels de l’autre, mais aussi de faire émerger les prémices de systèmes organisés et complexes. En effet, chemin faisant, au-delà de la description des stéréotypes de l’Afrique dans deux discours présidentiels français, s’esquisse la problématique des idéologies et du déjà-dit qui gouverne la production des discours, dans un contexte bien précis qui impose ses contraintes : les relations franco-africaines. Dans un tel contexte, marqué par les thématiques, entre autres, de l’interculturalité, de la gestion délicate d’un passé commun, de relations de dominance, la catégorisation de l’autre est un acte de pouvoir, lourd de conséquences tant il participe à la construction ou à la reconduction de l’ordre social. La stéréotypie apparaît donc comme un lieu privilégié où s’élabore l’ipséité : nommer l’autre, c’est aussi mettre en scène le soi-même. Deux constats principaux se dégagent de cette analyse : d’une part, la permanence de schémas antinomiques issus de l’idéologie coloniale dans le discours de Nicolas Sarkozy, suggérant que l’idéologie du développement et l’idéologie coloniale entretiennent entre elles non seulement des relations de rupture, mais aussi de continuité, d’autre part, le fait que l’impératif économique du développement constitue le dénominateur commun à l’ensemble des stéréotypes, qui, en retour, servent d’arguments pour cette conclusion.

  15. Quantum teleportation between remote atomic-ensemble quantum memories

    CERN Document Server

    Bao, Xiao-Hui; Li, Che-Ming; Yuan, Zhen-Sheng; Lu, Chao-Yang; Pan, Jian-Wei

    2012-01-01

    Quantum teleportation and quantum memory are two crucial elements for large-scale quantum networks. With the help of prior distributed entanglement as a "quantum channel", quantum teleportation provides an intriguing means to faithfully transfer quantum states among distant locations without actual transmission of the physical carriers. Quantum memory enables controlled storage and retrieval of fast-flying photonic quantum bits with stationary matter systems, which is essential to achieve the scalability required for large-scale quantum networks. Combining these two capabilities, here we realize quantum teleportation between two remote atomic-ensemble quantum memory nodes, each composed of 100 million rubidium atoms and connected by a 150-meter optical fiber. The spinwave state of one atomic ensemble is mapped to a propagating photon, and subjected to Bell-state measurements with another single photon that is entangled with the spinwave state of the other ensemble. Two-photon detection events herald the succe...

  16. Locally Accessible Information of Multisite Quantum Ensembles Violates Monogamy

    CERN Document Server

    De, Aditi Sen

    2011-01-01

    Locally accessible information is a useful information-theoretic physical quantity of an ensemble of multiparty quantum states. We find it has properties akin to quantum as well as classical correlations of single multiparty quantum states. It satisfies monotonicity under local quantum operations and classical communication. However we show that it does not follow monogamy, an important property usually satisfied by quantum correlations, and actually violates any such relation to the maximal extent. Violation is obtained even for locally indistinguishable, but globally orthogonal, multisite ensembles. The results assert that while single multiparty quantum states are monogamous with respect to their shared quantum correlations, ensembles of multiparty quantum states may not be so. The results have potential implications for quantum communication systems.

  17. A Flexible Approach for the Statistical Visualization of Ensemble Data

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Potter, K. [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT (United States). SCI Institute; Wilson, A. [Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States); Bremer, P. [Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States); Williams, Dean N. [Lawrence Livermore National Lab. (LLNL), Livermore, CA (United States); Pascucci, V. [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT (United States). SCI Institute; Johnson, C. [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT (United States). SCI Institute

    2009-09-29

    Scientists are increasingly moving towards ensemble data sets to explore relationships present in dynamic systems. Ensemble data sets combine spatio-temporal simulation results generated using multiple numerical models, sampled input conditions and perturbed parameters. While ensemble data sets are a powerful tool for mitigating uncertainty, they pose significant visualization and analysis challenges due to their complexity. We present a collection of overview and statistical displays linked through a high level of interactivity to provide a framework for gaining key scientific insight into the distribution of the simulation results as well as the uncertainty associated with the data. In contrast to methods that present large amounts of diverse information in a single display, we argue that combining multiple linked statistical displays yields a clearer presentation of the data and facilitates a greater level of visual data analysis. We demonstrate this approach using driving problems from climate modeling and meteorology and discuss generalizations to other fields.

  18. Ensembles of detectors for online detection of transient changes

    Science.gov (United States)

    Artemov, Alexey; Burnaev, Evgeny

    2015-12-01

    Classical change-point detection procedures assume a change-point model to be known and a change consisting in establishing a new observations regime, i.e. the change lasts infinitely long. These modeling assumptions contradicts applied problems statements. Therefore, even theoretically optimal statistics in practice very often fail when detecting transient changes online. In this work in order to overcome limitations of classical change-point detection procedures we consider approaches to constructing ensembles of change-point detectors, i.e. algorithms that use many detectors to reliably identify a change-point. We propose a learning paradigm and specific implementations of ensembles for change detection of short-term (transient) changes in observed time series. We demonstrate by means of numerical experiments that the performance of an ensemble is superior to that of the conventional change-point detection procedures.

  19. Cavity quantum electrodynamics with a Rydberg-blocked atomic ensemble

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Guerlin, Christine; Brion, Etienne; Esslinger, Tilman;

    2010-01-01

    effective Jaynes-Cummings model. We use numerical simulations to show that the cavity transmission can be used to reveal detailed properties of the Jaynes-Cummings ladder of excited states and that the atomic nonlinearity gives rise to highly nontrivial photon emission from the cavity. Finally, we suggest......The realization of a Jaynes-Cummings model in the optical domain is proposed for an atomic ensemble. The scheme exploits the collective coupling of the atoms to a quantized cavity mode and the nonlinearity introduced by coupling to high-lying Rydberg states. A two-photon transition resonantly...... couples the single-atom ground state |g> to a Rydberg state |e>via a nonresonant intermediate state |i>, but due to the interaction between Rydberg atoms only a single atom can be resonantly excited in the ensemble. This restricts the state space of the ensemble to the collective ground state |G> and the...

  20. Properties of the Affine Invariant Ensemble Sampler in high dimensions

    CERN Document Server

    Huijser, David; Brewer, Brendon J

    2015-01-01

    We present theoretical and practical properties of the affine-invariant ensemble sampler Markov chain Monte Carlo method. In high dimensions the affine-invariant ensemble sampler shows unusual and undesirable properties. We demonstrate this with an $n$-dimensional correlated Gaussian toy problem with a known mean and covariance structure, and analyse the burn-in period. The burn-in period seems to be short, however upon closer inspection we discover the mean and the variance of the target distribution do not match the expected, known values. This problem becomes greater as $n$ increases. We therefore conclude that the affine-invariant ensemble sampler should be used with caution in high dimensional problems. We also present some theoretical results explaining this behaviour.

  1. Evaluation of LDA Ensembles Classifiers for Brain Computer Interface

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Brain Computer Interface (BCI) translates brain activity into computer commands. To increase the performance of the BCI, to decode the user intentions it is necessary to get better the feature extraction and classification techniques. In this article the performance of a three linear discriminant analysis (LDA) classifiers ensemble is studied. The system based on ensemble can theoretically achieved better classification results than the individual counterpart, regarding individual classifier generation algorithm and the procedures for combine their outputs. Classic algorithms based on ensembles such as bagging and boosting are discussed here. For the application on BCI, it was concluded that the generated results using ER and AUC as performance index do not give enough information to establish which configuration is better.

  2. Adaptive calibration of (u,v)‐wind ensemble forecasts

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Pinson, Pierre

    2012-01-01

    the adaptive calibration of ECMWF ensemble forecasts of (u,v)‐wind at 10 m above ground level over Europe over a three‐year period between December 2006 and December 2009. Substantial improvements in (bivariate) reliability and in various deterministic/probabilistic scores are observed. Finally, the...... sufficient reliability. The original framework introduced here allows for an adaptive bivariate calibration of these ensemble forecasts. The originality of this methodology lies in the fact that calibrated ensembles still consist of a set of (space–time) trajectories, after translation and dilation. In...... parallel, the parameters of the models employed for improving the stochastic properties of the generating processes involved are adaptively and recursively estimated to accommodate smooth changes in the process characteristics and to lower computational costs. The approach is applied and evaluated based on...

  3. Generalized Hypergeometric Ensembles: Statistical Hypothesis Testing in Complex Networks

    CERN Document Server

    Casiraghi, Giona; Scholtes, Ingo; Schweitzer, Frank

    2016-01-01

    Statistical ensembles define probability spaces of all networks consistent with given aggregate statistics and have become instrumental in the analysis of relational data on networked systems. Their numerical and analytical study provides the foundation for the inference of topological patterns, the definition of network-analytic measures, as well as for model selection and statistical hypothesis testing. Contributing to the foundation of these important data science techniques, in this article we introduce generalized hypergeometric ensembles, a framework of analytically tractable statistical ensembles of finite, directed and weighted networks. This framework can be interpreted as a generalization of the classical configuration model, which is commonly used to randomly generate networks with a given degree sequence or distribution. Our generalization rests on the introduction of dyadic link propensities, which capture the degree-corrected tendencies of pairs of nodes to form edges between each other. Studyin...

  4. Probabilistic Quantitative Precipitation Forecasting Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics

    CERN Document Server

    Scheuerer, Michael

    2013-01-01

    Statistical post-processing of dynamical forecast ensembles is an essential component of weather forecasting. In this article, we present a post-processing method that generates full predictive probability distributions for precipitation accumulations based on ensemble model output statistics (EMOS). We model precipitation amounts by a generalized extreme value distribution that is left-censored at zero. This distribution permits modelling precipitation on the original scale without prior transformation of the data. A closed form expression for its continuous rank probability score can be derived and permits computationally efficient model fitting. We discuss an extension of our approach that incorporates further statistics characterizing the spatial variability of precipitation amounts in the vicinity of the location of interest. The proposed EMOS method is applied to daily 18-h forecasts of 6-h accumulated precipitation over Germany in 2011 using the COSMO-DE ensemble prediction system operated by the Germa...

  5. An ensemble of SVM classifiers based on gene pairs.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Tong, Muchenxuan; Liu, Kun-Hong; Xu, Chungui; Ju, Wenbin

    2013-07-01

    In this paper, a genetic algorithm (GA) based ensemble support vector machine (SVM) classifier built on gene pairs (GA-ESP) is proposed. The SVMs (base classifiers of the ensemble system) are trained on different informative gene pairs. These gene pairs are selected by the top scoring pair (TSP) criterion. Each of these pairs projects the original microarray expression onto a 2-D space. Extensive permutation of gene pairs may reveal more useful information and potentially lead to an ensemble classifier with satisfactory accuracy and interpretability. GA is further applied to select an optimized combination of base classifiers. The effectiveness of the GA-ESP classifier is evaluated on both binary-class and multi-class datasets. PMID:23668348

  6. Enhanced Sampling in the Well-Tempered Ensemble

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bonomi, M.; Parrinello, M.

    2010-05-01

    We introduce the well-tempered ensemble (WTE) which is the biased ensemble sampled by well-tempered metadynamics when the energy is used as collective variable. WTE can be designed so as to have approximately the same average energy as the canonical ensemble but much larger fluctuations. These two properties lead to an extremely fast exploration of phase space. An even greater efficiency is obtained when WTE is combined with parallel tempering. Unbiased Boltzmann averages are computed on the fly by a recently developed reweighting method [M. Bonomi , J. Comput. Chem. 30, 1615 (2009)JCCHDD0192-865110.1002/jcc.21305]. We apply WTE and its parallel tempering variant to the 2d Ising model and to a Gō model of HIV protease, demonstrating in these two representative cases that convergence is accelerated by orders of magnitude.

  7. Ultrafast Rabi oscillation of a Gaussian atom ensemble

    CERN Document Server

    Lee, Han-gyeol; Ahn, Jaewook

    2014-01-01

    We investigate Rabi oscillation of an atom ensemble in Gaussian spatial distribution. By using the ultrafast laser interaction with the cold atomic rubidium vapor spatially confined in a magneto-optical trap, the oscillatory behavior of the atom excitation is probed as a function of the laser pulse power. Theoretical model calculation predicts that the oscillation peaks of the ensemble-atom Rabi flopping fall on the simple Rabi oscillation curve of a single atom and the experimental result shows good agreement with the prediction. We also test the the three-pulse composite interaction $R_x(\\pi/2)R_y(\\pi)R_x(\\pi/2)$ to develop a robust method to achieve a higher fidelity population inversion of the atom ensemble.

  8. Circular β ensembles,CMV representation,characteristic polynomials

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    2009-01-01

    In this note we first briefly review some recent progress in the study of the circular β ensemble on the unit circle,where β > 0 is a model parameter.In the special cases β = 1,2 and 4,this ensemble describes the joint probability density of eigenvalues of random orthogonal,unitary and sympletic matrices,respectively.For general β,Killip and Nenciu discovered a five-diagonal sparse matrix model,the CMV representation.This representation is new even in the case β = 2;and it has become a powerful tool for studying the circular β ensemble.We then give an elegant derivation for the moment identities of characteristic polynomials via the link with orthogonal polynomials on the unit circle.

  9. Recovery of the fidelity amplitude for the Gaussian ensembles

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Using supersymmetry techniques analytical expressions for the average of the fidelity amplitude fε(τ) (ψ(0)|exp(2πiHετ) exp(-2πiH0τ)|ψ(0)) are obtained, where Hε = H0+√ε/2π) V, and H0 and Hε are taken from the Gaussian unitary ensemble (GUE) or the Gaussian orthogonal ensemble (GOE), respectively. As long as the perturbation strength is small compared to the mean level spacing, a Gaussian decay of the fidelity amplitude is observed, whereas for stronger perturbations a change to a single-exponential decay takes place, in accordance with results from the literature. Close to the Heisenberg time τ = 1, however, a partial revival of the fidelity is found, which hitherto remained unnoticed. Random matrix simulations have been performed for the three Gaussian ensembles. For the case of the GOE and the GUE they are in perfect agreement with the analytical results

  10. Efficient Kernel-Based Ensemble Gaussian Mixture Filtering

    KAUST Repository

    Liu, Bo

    2015-11-11

    We consider the Bayesian filtering problem for data assimilation following the kernel-based ensemble Gaussian-mixture filtering (EnGMF) approach introduced by Anderson and Anderson (1999). In this approach, the posterior distribution of the system state is propagated with the model using the ensemble Monte Carlo method, providing a forecast ensemble that is then used to construct a prior Gaussian-mixture (GM) based on the kernel density estimator. This results in two update steps: a Kalman filter (KF)-like update of the ensemble members and a particle filter (PF)-like update of the weights, followed by a resampling step to start a new forecast cycle. After formulating EnGMF for any observational operator, we analyze the influence of the bandwidth parameter of the kernel function on the covariance of the posterior distribution. We then focus on two aspects: i) the efficient implementation of EnGMF with (relatively) small ensembles, where we propose a new deterministic resampling strategy preserving the first two moments of the posterior GM to limit the sampling error; and ii) the analysis of the effect of the bandwidth parameter on contributions of KF and PF updates and on the weights variance. Numerical results using the Lorenz-96 model are presented to assess the behavior of EnGMF with deterministic resampling, study its sensitivity to different parameters and settings, and evaluate its performance against ensemble KFs. The proposed EnGMF approach with deterministic resampling suggests improved estimates in all tested scenarios, and is shown to require less localization and to be less sensitive to the choice of filtering parameters.

  11. Four-dimensional Localization and the Iterative Ensemble Kalman Smoother

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bocquet, M.

    2015-12-01

    The iterative ensemble Kalman smoother (IEnKS) is a data assimilation method meant for efficiently tracking the state ofnonlinear geophysical models. It combines an ensemble of model states to estimate the errors similarly to the ensemblesquare root Kalman filter, with a 4D-variational analysis performed within the ensemble space. As such it belongs tothe class of ensemble variational methods. Recently introduced 4DEnVar or the 4D-LETKF can be seen as particular casesof the scheme. The IEnKS was shown to outperform 4D-Var, the ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and smoother, with low-ordermodels in all investigated dynamical regimes. Like any ensemble method, it could require the use of localization of theanalysis when the state space dimension is high. However, localization for the IEnKS is not as straightforward as forthe EnKF. Indeed, localization needs to be defined across time, and it needs to be as much as possible consistent withthe dynamical flow within the data assimilation variational window. We show that a Liouville equation governs the timeevolution of the localization operator, which is linked to the evolution of the error correlations. It is argued thatits time integration strongly depends on the forecast dynamics. Using either covariance localization or domainlocalization, we propose and test several localization strategies meant to address the issue: (i) a constant and uniformlocalization, (ii) the propagation through the window of a restricted set of dominant modes of the error covariancematrix, (iii) the approximate propagation of the localization operator using model covariant local domains. Theseschemes are illustrated on the one-dimensional Lorenz 40-variable model.

  12. Bred vectors with customizable scale: 'À la carte' ensemble perturbations

    Science.gov (United States)

    Homar Santaner, V.; Stensrud, D. J.

    2009-09-01

    Short-range forecasts of severe weather are one of the most challenging tasks faced by the atmospheric science community. Our persistent failure to generate accurate numerical forecasts of tornadoes, large hail, heavy precipitation or strong wind events is caused by two fundamental aspects of numerical forecast systems: the chaotic nature of the governing equations and the large uncertainties in both the atmospheric state and the models that govern its evolution. Currently, we cope with both sources of error by describing the state of the atmosphere in a probabilistic manner. In this framework, forecasting becomes predicting the probability density function (pdf) of future states, given the pdf of initial states that are compatible with available observations and previous forecasts. This probabilistic perspective is often created by generating ensembles of deterministic predictions that are aimed at sampling the most important sources of uncertainty in the forecasting system. The ensemble generation/sampling strategy is a crucial aspect of their performance and various methods have been proposed. Although global forecasting offices have been using ensembles of perturbed initial conditions for medium-range operational forecasts since 1994, no consensus exists regarding the optimum sampling strategy for high resolution short-range ensemble forecasts with predicting skill in the mesoscale. Bred vectors, however, have been hypothesized to better capture the growing modes in the highly nonlinear mesoscale dynamics of severe episodes than singular vectors or observation perturbations. Yet even this technique is not able to produce enough diversity in the ensembles to accurately and routinely predict extreme phenomena such as severe weather. Thus, we propose a new method to generate ensembles of initial conditions perturbations that is based on the breeding technique. Given a standard bred mode, a set of customized perturbations is derived with specified amplitudes and

  13. Probabilistic Determination of Native State Ensembles of Proteins

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Olsson, Simon; Vögeli, Beat Rolf; Cavalli, Andrea;

    2014-01-01

    ensemble accurately describes both local and nonlocal backbone fluctuations as judged by its reproduction of complementary experimental data. While it is difficult to assess precise time-scales of the observed motions, our results suggest that it is possible to construct realistic conformational ensembles......The motions of biological macromolecules are tightly coupled to their functions. However, while the study of fast motions has become increasingly feasible in recent years, the study of slower, biologically important motions remains difficult. Here, we present a method to construct native state...

  14. ENSEMBLE methods to reconcile disparate national long range dispersion forecasts

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Mikkelsen, Torben; Galmarini, S.; Bianconi, R.;

    2003-01-01

    and Web-based software evaluation and exchange tools have been created for real-time reconciliation and harmonisation of real-time dispersion forecastsfrom meteorological and emergency centres across Europe during an accident. The new ENSEMBLE software tools is available to participating national....... ENSEMBLE addresses the problem of achieving a common coherent strategy across European national emergency management when national long-range dispersion forecasts differ from one another during an accidentalatmospheric release of radioactive material. A series of new decision-making “ENSEMBLE” procedures...

  15. A new ensemble model for short term wind power prediction

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Madsen, Henrik; Albu, Razvan-Daniel; Felea, Ioan;

    2012-01-01

    As the objective of this study, a non-linear ensemble system is used to develop a new model for predicting wind speed in short-term time scale. Short-term wind power prediction becomes an extremely important field of research for the energy sector. Regardless of the recent advancements in the re......-search of prediction models, it was observed that different models have different capabilities and also no single model is suitable under all situations. The idea behind EPS (ensemble prediction systems) is to take advantage of the unique features of each subsystem to detain diverse patterns that exist in...

  16. A Brief Tutorial on the Ensemble Kalman Filter

    OpenAIRE

    Mandel, Jan

    2009-01-01

    The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a recursive filter suitable for problems with a large number of variables, such as discretizations of partial differential equations in geophysical models. The EnKF originated as a version of the Kalman filter for large problems (essentially, the covariance matrix is replaced by the sample covariance), and it is now an important data assimilation component of ensemble forecasting. EnKF is related to the particle filter (in this context, a particle is the s...

  17. Heralded atomic-ensemble quantum memory for photon polarization states

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We describe the mapping of quantum states between single photons and an atomic ensemble. In particular, we demonstrate a heralded quantum memory based on the mapping of a photon polarization state onto a single collective-spin excitation (magnon) shared between two atomic ensembles. The polarization fidelity above 90(2)% for any input polarization far exceeds the classical limit of 2/3. The process also constitutes a quantum non-destructive probe that detects and regenerates a photon without measuring its polarization.

  18. Inhomogeneous dephasing masks coherence lifetimes in ensemble measurements

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    An open question at the forefront of modern physical sciences is what role, if any, quantum effects may play in biological sensing and energy transport mechanisms. One area of such research concerns the possibility of coherent energy transport in photosynthetic systems. Spectroscopic evidence of long-lived quantum coherence in photosynthetic light-harvesting pigment protein complexes (PPCs), along with theoretical modeling of PPCs, has indicated that coherent energy transport might boost efficiency of energy transport in photosynthesis. Accurate assessment of coherence lifetimes is crucial for modeling the extent to which quantum effects participate in this energy transfer, because such quantum effects can only contribute to mechanisms proceeding on timescales over which the coherences persist. While spectroscopy is a useful way to measure coherence lifetimes, inhomogeneity in the transition energies across the measured ensemble may lead to underestimation of coherence lifetimes from spectroscopic experiments. Theoretical models of antenna complexes generally model a single system, and direct comparison of single system models to ensemble averaged experimental data may lead to systematic underestimation of coherence lifetimes, distorting much of the current discussion. In this study, we use simulations of the Fenna-Matthews-Olson complex to model single complexes as well as averaged ensembles to demonstrate and roughly quantify the effect of averaging over an inhomogeneous ensemble on measured coherence lifetimes. We choose to model the Fenna-Matthews-Olson complex because that system has been a focus for much of the recent discussion of quantum effects in biology, and use an early version of the well known environment-assisted quantum transport model to facilitate straightforward comparison between the current model and past work. Although ensemble inhomogeneity is known to lead to shorter lifetimes of observed oscillations (simply inhomogeneous spectral

  19. Normal random matrix ensemble as a growth problem

    OpenAIRE

    Teodorescu, R.; Bettelheim, E.; Agam, O.; Zabrodin, A.; Wiegmann, P.

    2004-01-01

    In general or normal random matrix ensembles, the support of eigenvalues of large size matrices is a planar domain (or several domains) with a sharp boundary. This domain evolves under a change of parameters of the potential and of the size of matrices. The boundary of the support of eigenvalues is a real section of a complex curve. Algebro-geometrical properties of this curve encode physical properties of random matrix ensembles. This curve can be treated as a limit of a spectral curve which...

  20. Spatio-Temporal Ensemble Prediction on Mobile Broadband Network Data

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Samulevicius, Saulius; Pitarch, Yoann; Pedersen, Torben Bach; Sørensen, Troels Bundgaard

    2013-01-01

    network nodes, fully or partly, in low traffic loads. To accomplish such a dynamic network optimization, it is crucial to predict very accurately low traffic periods. In this paper, we tackle this problem using data mining and propose Spatio-Temporal Ensemble Prediction (STEP). In a nutshell, STEP is...... based on the following two main ideas: (1) since traffic shows very different behaviors depending on both the temporal and the spatial contexts, several prediction models are built to fit these characteristics; (2) we propose an ensemble prediction technique that accurately predicts low traffic periods....... We empirically show on a real dataset that our approach outperforms standard methods on the low traffic prediction task...

  1. Reservoir History Matching Using Ensemble Kalman Filters with Anamorphosis Transforms

    KAUST Repository

    Aman, Beshir M.

    2012-12-01

    This work aims to enhance the Ensemble Kalman Filter performance by transforming the non-Gaussian state variables into Gaussian variables to be a step closer to optimality. This is done by using univariate and multivariate Box-Cox transformation. Some History matching methods such as Kalman filter, particle filter and the ensemble Kalman filter are reviewed and applied to a test case in the reservoir application. The key idea is to apply the transformation before the update step and then transform back after applying the Kalman correction. In general, the results of the multivariate method was promising, despite the fact it over-estimated some variables.

  2. Global large time dynamics and the generalized Gibbs ensemble

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We study the large time dynamics of a macroscopically large quantum system under a sudden quench. We show, first of all, that for a generic system in the thermodynamic limit the Gibbs distribution correctly captures the large time dynamics of its global observables. In contrast, for an integrable system, the generalized Gibbs ensemble captures its global large time dynamics only if the system can be thought of as a number of noninteracting uncorrelated fermionic degrees of freedom. The conditions for the generalized Gibbs ensemble to capture the large time dynamics of local quantities are likely to be far less restrictive, but this question is not systematically addressed here. (paper)

  3. Random matrix ensembles with column/row constraints: I

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We analyze statistical properties of a complex system subjected to conditions which manifests through specific constraints on the column/row sum of the matrix elements of its Hermitian operators. The presence of additional constraints besides real-symmetric nature leads to new correlations among their eigenfunctions, hinders a complete delocalization of dynamics and affects the eigenvalues too. The statistical analysis of the latter indicates the presence of a new universality class analogous to that of a special type of Brownian ensemble appearing between Poisson and Gaussian orthogonal ensemble. (paper)

  4. Campagne Seacarib 2: Decrochements et frontieres de plaques dans les Caraibes

    OpenAIRE

    Mercier de Lepinay, B.

    1990-01-01

    In November/December 1987, the R/V Jean-Charcot conducted geophysical surveys (Seabeam bathymetry, single-channel seismic reflection, gravimetry and magnetism) along the northern caribbean boundary, between Cuba, Haiti and Jamaica (Pointe-a-Pitre/Santiago de Cuba/Fort-de-France). During that cruise, we focused our attention on the following themes: the transition between typical oceanic crust and thinned continental crust associated with early rifting; the structures associated with the Orien...

  5. Un aspect nouveau de la prospection sismique en appliquant la théorie des sous-ensembles flous Improvement of Seismic Prospecting by Using Fuzzy Subsets Theory

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Bois P.

    2006-11-01

    Full Text Available Durant les dix dernières années, la théorie des sous-ensembles flous a connu un intérêt croissant grâce aux travaux de Zadeh [1]. Cette théorie a vu son champ d'application s'étendre à différentes branches des mathématiques pures et appliquées en particulier à la topologie, à la théorie des graphes, des automates et à la reconnaissance des formes. Son but est d'analyser l'imprécision qui se glisse partout dans le comportement humain et dans la connaissance humaine. Cet article donne deux applications de la théorie des sous-ensembles flous à la prospection sismique. La première concerne l'interprétation d'une section sismique qui consiste à tracer une carte du sous-sol montrant la position des différents horizons sismiques situés au dessous de la surface du sol. Le problème qui se pose au sismicien est de trouver la structure géologique correspondante dans un plan vertical à la surface du sol. La seconde est la détermination de la nature des réservoirs contenant des hydrocarbures. On utilisera une méthode s'appuyant sur la reconnaissance des formes avec apprentissage préalable. Cette méthode consiste à comparer la nature d'un réservoir qui a été foré à celle d'un réservoir inconnu. Le réservoir connu joue le rôle du moniteur dans le processus d'apprentissage. Pour ce faire, un algorithme est conçu utilisant la méthode de Burg appliquée à des portions de traces sismiques représentatives des deux réservoirs. Enfin, une analyse floue des données représentant ces deux réservoirs sert de critère pour décider s'ils sont de nature identique ou différente. During the past decade, interest in fuzzy subsets theory has led to the development of a well-organized theory developed by Zadeh [1]. This theory has grown up, exploring and developing various branches of pure and applied mathematics, including topology, graph theory, mapping, automata and pattern recognition. Basically, the theory of fuzzy subsets

  6. Hydrogen adsorption on bimetallic PdAu(111) surface alloys:minimum adsorption ensemble, ligand and ensemble effects, and ensemble confinement

    OpenAIRE

    Takehiro, Naoki; Liu, Ping; Bergbreiter, Andreas; K. Nørskov, Jens; Behm, R. Juergen

    2014-01-01

    The adsorption of hydrogen on structurally well defined PdAu-Pd(111) monolayer surface alloys was investigated in a combined experimental and theoretical study, aiming at a quantitative understanding of the adsorption and desorption properties of individual PdAu nanostructures. Combining the structural information obtained by high resolution scanning tunneling microscopy (STM), in particular on the abundance of specific adsorption ensembles at different Pd surface concentrations, with informa...

  7. Ensemble: a system ensemble dispersion forecast in case of nuclear emergencies

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In case of nuclear power plant failure or any other accident that would produce the dispersion of volatile radioactive material in the atmosphere, the first and immediate concern relates to where the material is going to be transported by the atmospheric flow and deposited at the ground. Forecasting the dispersion of radioactive material in the atmosphere is normally demanded to national meteorological offices and radiation protection agencies, which make use of long-range, transport and dispersion models coupled with meteorological forecasts to support the national decision making process. When managing the trans-national character of a release at long range, there are aspects that are of crucial relevance: - The real time accessibility to several model results concerning the prediction of the dispersion in order to base counter action on a wider spectrum of forecasted scenarios. - The possibility to verify, during the accident, the reliability of the model predictions in quantitative and qualitative terms by estimating the overall consistency of the predictions and the forecast uncertainty. Towards the fulfilment of these tasks, the ENSEMBLE system has been developed and is presented in this paper

  8. Korean Percussion Ensemble ("Samulnori") in the General Music Classroom

    Science.gov (United States)

    Kang, Sangmi; Yoo, Hyesoo

    2016-01-01

    This article introduces "samulnori" (Korean percussion ensemble), its cultural background, and instructional methods as parts of a classroom approach to teaching upper-level general music. We introduce five of eight sections from "youngnam nong-ak" (a style of samulnori) as a repertoire for teaching Korean percussion music to…

  9. The Wilson loop in the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble

    CERN Document Server

    Gurau, Razvan

    2016-01-01

    Using the supersymmetric formalism we compute exactly at finite $N$ the expectation of the Wilson loop in the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble and derive an exact formula for the spectral density at finite $N$. We obtain the same result by a second method relying on enumerative combinatorics and show that it leads to a novel proof of the Harer-Zagier series formula.

  10. Enhancing COSMO-DE ensemble forecasts by inexpensive techniques

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Zied Ben Bouallègue

    2013-02-01

    Full Text Available COSMO-DE-EPS, a convection-permitting ensemble prediction system based on the high-resolution numerical weather prediction model COSMO-DE, is pre-operational since December 2010, providing probabilistic forecasts which cover Germany. This ensemble system comprises 20 members based on variations of the lateral boundary conditions, the physics parameterizations and the initial conditions. In order to increase the sample size in a computationally inexpensive way, COSMO-DE-EPS is combined with alternative ensemble techniques: the neighborhood method and the time-lagged approach. Their impact on the quality of the resulting probabilistic forecasts is assessed. Objective verification is performed over a six months period, scores based on the Brier score and its decomposition are shown for June 2011. The combination of the ensemble system with the alternative approaches improves probabilistic forecasts of precipitation in particular for high precipitation thresholds. Moreover, combining COSMO-DE-EPS with only the time-lagged approach improves the skill of area probabilities for precipitation and does not deteriorate the skill of 2 m-temperature and wind gusts forecasts.

  11. Enhancing COSMO-DE ensemble forecasts by inexpensive techniques

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Ben Bouallegue, Zied; Theis, Susanne E.; Gebhardt, Christoph [Deutscher Wetterdienst, Offenbach am Main (Germany)

    2013-02-15

    COSMO-DE-EPS, a convection-permitting ensemble prediction system based on the high-resolution numerical weather prediction model COSMO-DE, is pre-operational since December 2010, providing probabilistic forecasts which cover Germany. This ensemble system comprises 20 members based on variations of the lateral boundary conditions, the physics parameterizations and the initial conditions. In order to increase the sample size in a computationally inexpensive way, COSMO-DE-EPS is combined with alternative ensemble techniques: the neighborhood method and the time-lagged approach. Their impact on the quality of the resulting probabilistic forecasts is assessed. Objective verification is performed over a six months period, scores based on the Brier score and its decomposition are shown for June 2011. The combination of the ensemble system with the alternative approaches improves probabilistic forecasts of precipitation in particular for high precipitation thresholds. Moreover, combining COSMO-DE-EPS with only the time-lagged approach improves the skill of area probabilities for precipitation and does not deteriorate the skill of 2 m-temperature and wind gusts forecasts. (orig.)

  12. Equivalence of dynamical ensembles and Navier Stokes equations

    OpenAIRE

    Gallavotti, Giovanni

    1996-01-01

    A reversible version of the Navier Stokes equation is studied. A conjecture emerges stating the equivalence between the reversible equation and the usual Navier Stokes equation. The latter appears as a statement of ensembles equivalence in the limit of infinite Reynolds number, which plays the role of the thermodynamic limit.

  13. Nonlinear stability and ergodicity of ensemble based Kalman filters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Tong, Xin T.; Majda, Andrew J.; Kelly, David

    2016-02-01

    The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) and ensemble square root filter (ESRF) are data assimilation methods used to combine high dimensional, nonlinear dynamical models with observed data. Despite their widespread usage in climate science and oil reservoir simulation, very little is known about the long-time behavior of these methods and why they are effective when applied with modest ensemble sizes in large dimensional turbulent dynamical systems. By following the basic principles of energy dissipation and controllability of filters, this paper establishes a simple, systematic and rigorous framework for the nonlinear analysis of EnKF and ESRF with arbitrary ensemble size, focusing on the dynamical properties of boundedness and geometric ergodicity. The time uniform boundedness guarantees that the filter estimate will not diverge to machine infinity in finite time, which is a potential threat for EnKF and ESQF known as the catastrophic filter divergence. Geometric ergodicity ensures in addition that the filter has a unique invariant measure and that initialization errors will dissipate exponentially in time. We establish these results by introducing a natural notion of observable energy dissipation. The time uniform bound is achieved through a simple Lyapunov function argument, this result applies to systems with complete observations and strong kinetic energy dissipation, but also to concrete examples with incomplete observations. With the Lyapunov function argument established, the geometric ergodicity is obtained by verifying the controllability of the filter processes; in particular, such analysis for ESQF relies on a careful multivariate perturbation analysis of the covariance eigen-structure.

  14. Boundary conditions in first order gravity: Hamiltonian and Ensemble

    OpenAIRE

    Aros, Rodrigo

    2005-01-01

    In this work two different boundary conditions for first order gravity, corresponding to a null and a negative cosmological constant respectively, are studied. Both boundary conditions allows to obtain the standard black hole thermodynamics. Furthermore both boundary conditions define a canonical ensemble. Additionally the quasilocal energy definition is obtained for the null cosmological constant case.

  15. Stokes identification in an atomic ensemble using a filtering system

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Luo Xiao-Ming; Ning Bo; Chen Li-Qing; Zhou Yue; Zhong Zhi-Ping; Jiang Shuo

    2009-01-01

    Polarization filtering and atomic cell filtering are applied in the identification of Stokes signals in an atomic ensemble, and reduce the noise to a level of 10~(-5) and 10~(-4) respectively. Good Stokes signals are then obtained. In this article the two filtering systems and the final Stokes output are presented, and the optimization of the polarization filtering system is highlighted.

  16. Applications of Random Matrix Ensembles in Nuclear Systems

    OpenAIRE

    Duras, Maciej M.

    2003-01-01

    The random matrix ensembles (RME), especially Gaussian RME and Ginibre RME, are applied to nuclear systems, molecular systems, and two-dimensional electron systems (Wigner-Dyson electrostatic analogy). Measures of quantum chaos and quantum integrability with respect to eigenergies of quantum systems are defined and calculated.

  17. The National Solo and Ensemble Contest 1929-1937

    Science.gov (United States)

    Meyers, Brian D.

    2012-01-01

    This study is the first investigation of the nine-year history of the National Solo and Ensemble Contests, held in the United States in conjunction with the National School Band and Orchestra Contests of the late 1920s and early to mid-1930s. Primary sources used include letters from those involved with the planning of the contests, meeting…

  18. Ensemble: an Architecture for Mission-Operations Software

    Science.gov (United States)

    Norris, Jeffrey; Powell, Mark; Fox, Jason; Rabe, Kenneth; Shu, IHsiang; McCurdy, Michael; Vera, Alonso

    2008-01-01

    Ensemble is the name of an open architecture for, and a methodology for the development of, spacecraft mission operations software. Ensemble is also potentially applicable to the development of non-spacecraft mission-operations- type software. Ensemble capitalizes on the strengths of the open-source Eclipse software and its architecture to address several issues that have arisen repeatedly in the development of mission-operations software: Heretofore, mission-operations application programs have been developed in disparate programming environments and integrated during the final stages of development of missions. The programs have been poorly integrated, and it has been costly to develop, test, and deploy them. Users of each program have been forced to interact with several different graphical user interfaces (GUIs). Also, the strategy typically used in integrating the programs has yielded serial chains of operational software tools of such a nature that during use of a given tool, it has not been possible to gain access to the capabilities afforded by other tools. In contrast, the Ensemble approach offers a low-risk path towards tighter integration of mission-operations software tools.

  19. Measures of trajectory ensemble disparity in nonequilibrium statistical dynamics

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Many interesting divergence measures between conjugate ensembles of nonequilibrium trajectories can be experimentally determined from the work distribution of the process. Herein, we review the statistical and physical significance of several of these measures, in particular the relative entropy (dissipation), Jeffreys divergence (hysteresis), Jensen–Shannon divergence (time-asymmetry), Chernoff divergence (work cumulant generating function), and Rényi divergence

  20. Glycosylation site prediction using ensembles of Support Vector Machine classifiers

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Silvescu Adrian

    2007-11-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background Glycosylation is one of the most complex post-translational modifications (PTMs of proteins in eukaryotic cells. Glycosylation plays an important role in biological processes ranging from protein folding and subcellular localization, to ligand recognition and cell-cell interactions. Experimental identification of glycosylation sites is expensive and laborious. Hence, there is significant interest in the development of computational methods for reliable prediction of glycosylation sites from amino acid sequences. Results We explore machine learning methods for training classifiers to predict the amino acid residues that are likely to be glycosylated using information derived from the target amino acid residue and its sequence neighbors. We compare the performance of Support Vector Machine classifiers and ensembles of Support Vector Machine classifiers trained on a dataset of experimentally determined N-linked, O-linked, and C-linked glycosylation sites extracted from O-GlycBase version 6.00, a database of 242 proteins from several different species. The results of our experiments show that the ensembles of Support Vector Machine classifiers outperform single Support Vector Machine classifiers on the problem of predicting glycosylation sites in terms of a range of standard measures for comparing the performance of classifiers. The resulting methods have been implemented in EnsembleGly, a web server for glycosylation site prediction. Conclusion Ensembles of Support Vector Machine classifiers offer an accurate and reliable approach to automated identification of putative glycosylation sites in glycoprotein sequences.

  1. Ligand and ensemble effects in adsorption on alloy surfaces

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Liu, Ping; Nørskov, Jens Kehlet

    2001-01-01

    Density functional theory is used to study the adsorption of carbon monoxide, oxygen and nitrogen on various Au/Pd(111) bimetallic alloy surfaces. By varying the Au content in the surface we are able to make a clear separation into geometrical (or ensemble) effects and electronic (or ligand......) effects determining the adsorption properties....

  2. Ensemble nonequivalence in random graphs with modular structure

    CERN Document Server

    Garlaschelli, Diego; Roccaverde, Andrea

    2016-01-01

    Breaking of equivalence between the microcanonical ensemble and the canonical ensemble, describing a large system subject to hard and soft constraints, respectively, was recently shown to occur in large random graphs. Hard constraints must be met by every graph, soft constraints must be met only on average, subject to maximal entropy. In Squartini et al. (2015) it was shown that ensembles of random graphs are non-equivalent when the degrees of the nodes are constrained, in the sense of a non-zero limiting specific relative entropy as the number of nodes diverges. In that paper, the nodes were placed either on a single layer (uni-partite graphs) or on two layers (bi-partite graphs). In the present paper we consider an arbitrary number of intra-connected and inter-connected layers, thus allowing for modular graphs with a multi-partite, multiplex, block-model or community structure. We give a full classification of ensemble equivalence, proving that breakdown occurs if and only if the number of local constraints...

  3. Nanoelectrode ensemble based on multiwalled carbon nanotubes for electrochemical analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Музика, Катерина Миколаївна; Білаш, Олена Михайлівна

    2012-01-01

    The technique of nanoelectrode ensembles development based on multiwall carbon nanotubes has been demonstrated. The obtained NEE has higher Faraday/capacitive current ratio compared to conventional electrodes of the same area, indicating a lower limit of redox-active compounds detection

  4. Malignancy and Abnormality Detection of Mammograms using Classifier Ensembling

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Nawazish Naveed

    2011-07-01

    Full Text Available The breast cancer detection and diagnosis is a critical and complex procedure that demands high degree of accuracy. In computer aided diagnostic systems, the breast cancer detection is a two stage procedure. First, to classify the malignant and benign mammograms, while in second stage, the type of abnormality is detected. In this paper, we have developed a novel architecture to enhance the classification of malignant and benign mammograms using multi-classification of malignant mammograms into six abnormality classes. DWT (Discrete Wavelet Transformation features are extracted from preprocessed images and passed through different classifiers. To improve accuracy, results generated by various classifiers are ensembled. The genetic algorithm is used to find optimal weights rather than assigning weights to the results of classifiers on the basis of heuristics. The mammograms declared as malignant by ensemble classifiers are divided into six classes. The ensemble classifiers are further used for multiclassification using one-against-all technique for classification. The output of all ensemble classifiers is combined by product, median and mean rule. It has been observed that the accuracy of classification of abnormalities is more than 97% in case of mean rule. The Mammographic Image Analysis Society dataset is used for experimentation.

  5. ENSEMBLE methods to reconcile disparate national long range dispersion forecasting

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Mikkelsen, T.; Galmarini, S.; Bianconi, R.; French, S. (eds.)

    2003-11-01

    ENSEMBLE is a web-based decision support system for real-time exchange and evaluation of national long-range dispersion forecasts of nuclear releases with cross-boundary consequences. The system is developed with the purpose to reconcile among disparate national forecasts for long-range dispersion. ENSEMBLE addresses the problem of achieving a common coherent strategy across European national emergency management when national long-range dispersion forecasts differ from one another during an accidental atmospheric release of radioactive material. A series of new decision-making 'ENSEMBLE' procedures and Web-based software evaluation and exchange tools have been created for real-time reconciliation and harmonisation of real-time dispersion forecasts from meteorological and emergency centres across Europe during an accident. The new ENSEMBLE software tools is available to participating national emergency and meteorological forecasting centres, which may choose to integrate them directly into operational emergency information systems, or possibly use them as a basis for future system development. (au)

  6. A Real Quaternion Spherical Ensemble of Random Matrices

    Science.gov (United States)

    Mays, Anthony

    2013-10-01

    One can identify a tripartite classification of random matrix ensembles into geometrical universality classes corresponding to the plane, the sphere and the anti-sphere. The plane is identified with Ginibre-type (iid) matrices and the anti-sphere with truncations of unitary matrices. This paper focusses on an ensemble corresponding to the sphere: matrices of the form Y= A -1 B, where A and B are independent N× N matrices with iid standard Gaussian real quaternion entries. By applying techniques similar to those used for the analogous complex and real spherical ensembles, the eigenvalue joint probability density function and correlation functions are calculated. This completes the exploration of spherical matrices using the traditional Dyson indices β=1,2,4. We find that the eigenvalue density (after stereographic projection onto the sphere) has a depletion of eigenvalues along a ring corresponding to the real axis, with reflective symmetry about this ring. However, in the limit of large matrix dimension, this eigenvalue density approaches that of the corresponding complex ensemble, a density which is uniform on the sphere. This result is in keeping with the spherical law (analogous to the circular law for iid matrices), which states that for matrices having the spherical structure Y= A -1 B, where A and B are independent, iid matrices the (stereographically projected) eigenvalue density tends to uniformity on the sphere.

  7. Power to Detect Intervention Effects on Ensembles of Social Networks

    Science.gov (United States)

    Sweet, Tracy M.; Junker, Brian W.

    2016-01-01

    The hierarchical network model (HNM) is a framework introduced by Sweet, Thomas, and Junker for modeling interventions and other covariate effects on ensembles of social networks, such as what would be found in randomized controlled trials in education research. In this article, we develop calculations for the power to detect an intervention…

  8. Scale-free brain ensemble modulated by phase synchronization

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Dan WU; Chao-yi LI; Jie LIU; Jing LU; De-zhong YAO

    2014-01-01

    To listen to brain activity as a piece of music, we proposed the scale-free brainwave music (SFBM) technology, which could translate the scalp electroencephalogram (EEG) into music notes according to the power law of both EEG and music. In the current study, this methodology was further extended to a musical ensemble of two channels. First, EEG data from two selected channels are translated into musical instrument digital interface (MIDI) sequences, where the EEG parameters modulate the pitch, duration, and volume of each musical note. The phase synchronization index of the two channels is computed by a Hilbert transform. Then the two MIDI sequences are integrated into a chorus according to the phase synchronization index. The EEG with a high synchronization index is represented by more consonant musical intervals, while the low index is expressed by inconsonant musical intervals. The brain ensemble derived from real EEG segments illustrates differences in harmony and pitch distribution during the eyes-closed and eyes-open states. Furthermore, the scale-free phenomena exist in the brainwave ensemble. Therefore, the scale-free brain ensemble modulated by phase synchronization is a new attempt to express the EEG through an auditory and musical way, and it can be used for EEG monitoring and bio-feedback.

  9. Implementing the Deutsch-Jozsa algorithm with macroscopic ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Semenenko, Henry; Byrnes, Tim

    2016-05-01

    Quantum computing implementations under consideration today typically deal with systems with microscopic degrees of freedom such as photons, ions, cold atoms, and superconducting circuits. The quantum information is stored typically in low-dimensional Hilbert spaces such as qubits, as quantum effects are strongest in such systems. It has, however, been demonstrated that quantum effects can be observed in mesoscopic and macroscopic systems, such as nanomechanical systems and gas ensembles. While few-qubit quantum information demonstrations have been performed with such macroscopic systems, a quantum algorithm showing exponential speedup over classical algorithms is yet to be shown. Here, we show that the Deutsch-Jozsa algorithm can be implemented with macroscopic ensembles. The encoding that we use avoids the detrimental effects of decoherence that normally plagues macroscopic implementations. We discuss two mapping procedures which can be chosen depending upon the constraints of the oracle and the experiment. Both methods have an exponential speedup over the classical case, and only require control of the ensembles at the level of the total spin of the ensembles. It is shown that both approaches reproduce the qubit Deutsch-Jozsa algorithm, and are robust under decoherence.

  10. ENSEMBLE methods to reconcile disparate national long range dispersion forecasting

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    ENSEMBLE is a web-based decision support system for real-time exchange and evaluation of national long-range dispersion forecasts of nuclear releases with cross-boundary consequences. The system is developed with the purpose to reconcile among disparate national forecasts for long-range dispersion. ENSEMBLE addresses the problem of achieving a common coherent strategy across European national emergency management when national long-range dispersion forecasts differ from one another during an accidental atmospheric release of radioactive material. A series of new decision-making 'ENSEMBLE' procedures and Web-based software evaluation and exchange tools have been created for real-time reconciliation and harmonisation of real-time dispersion forecasts from meteorological and emergency centres across Europe during an accident. The new ENSEMBLE software tools is available to participating national emergency and meteorological forecasting centres, which may choose to integrate them directly into operational emergency information systems, or possibly use them as a basis for future system development. (au)

  11. Orchestrating Literacies: Print Literacy Learning Opportunities within Multimodal Intergenerational Ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    McKee, Lori L.; Heydon, Rachel M.

    2015-01-01

    This exploratory case study considered the opportunities for print literacy learning within multimodal ensembles that featured art, singing and digital media within the context of an intergenerational programme that brought together 13 kindergarten children (4 and 5 years) with seven elder companions. Study questions concerned how reading and…

  12. From Alternating Sign Matrices to the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble

    OpenAIRE

    Gorin, Vadim

    2013-01-01

    The aim of this note is to prove that fluctuations of uniformly random alternating sign matrices (equivalently, configurations of the six-vertex model with domain wall boundary conditions) near the boundary are described by the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble and the GUE-corners process.

  13. From Alternating Sign Matrices to the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble

    Science.gov (United States)

    Gorin, Vadim

    2014-11-01

    The aim of this note is to prove that fluctuations of uniformly random alternating sign matrices (equivalently, configurations of the 6-vertex model with domain wall boundary conditions) near the boundary are described by the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble and the GUE-corners process.

  14. Wave Extremes in the North East Atlantic from Ensemble Forecasts

    CERN Document Server

    Breivik, Øyvind; Bidlot, Jean-Raymond; Carrasco, Ana; Saetra, Øyvind; 10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00738.1

    2013-01-01

    A method for estimating return values from ensembles of forecasts at advanced lead times is presented. Return values of significant wave height in the North-East Atlantic, the Norwegian Sea and the North Sea are computed from archived +240-h forecasts of the ECMWF ensemble prediction system (EPS) from 1999 to 2009. We make three assumptions: First, each forecast is representative of a six-hour interval and collectively the data set is then comparable to a time period of 226 years. Second, the model climate matches the observed distribution, which we confirm by comparing with buoy data. Third, the ensemble members are sufficiently uncorrelated to be considered independent realizations of the model climate. We find anomaly correlations of 0.20, but peak events (>P97) are entirely uncorrelated. By comparing return values from individual members with return values of subsamples of the data set we also find that the estimates follow the same distribution and appear unaffected by correlations in the ensemble. The a...

  15. Variabilité chimique et intérêt économique des huiles essentielles de deux menthes sauvages : Mentha pulegium (Fliou) et Mentha rotundifolia (Domrane) de l’ouest algérien.

    OpenAIRE

    TAALBI, Amina

    2016-01-01

    Notre travail s’est basé principalement sur une étude de la variabilité chimique et l’intérêt économique des huiles essentielles de deux menthes sauvages de l’ouest algérien: Mentha pulegium et Mentha rotundifolia. Ces deux menthes, largement répandue en Algérie, de la famille des Lamiaceae sont connus dans le monde pour leurs propriétés thérapeutiques (antiseptique, antinévralgique, analgésique…) et l’intérêt économique de leurs huiles essentielles....

  16. Activité biologique des poudres et des huiles essentielles de deux plantes aromatiques (Pseudoeviisus integrifolius Salib et Nepera nepetella L.) sur les ravageurs du blé et des légumes secs"

    OpenAIRE

    kassemi, naima

    2015-01-01

    La toxicité des huiles essentielles, ainsi que les poudres des feuilles extraites de deux espèces aromatique P. in:egrfoIius et N. nepetella a été testée vis-à-vis Callosobruchus macularus, Acanthoscelides obtectus, Sitophilus granarius, Rhyzopertha dominica et Tribolium castaneum, afm d'évaluer quelques paramètres biologiques des ravageurs de stocks à savoir la mortalité des adultes, la fécondité et l'émergence des adultes. Les essais par deux types de traitement, contact et inha...

  17. Configurations sociales et spatiales de deux quartiers « politique de la ville » contrastés. Éléments d’observation comparés

    OpenAIRE

    Bailleau, Francis; Pattegay, Patrice; Fontaine, Séverine; Menzel, Abdel

    2014-01-01

    Cet article repose sur une recherche ethnologique concernant la vie ordinaire des jeunes dans deux quartiers défavorisés de deux villes moyennes, l’une, traditionnellement bourgeoise, l’autre, traditionnellement ouvrière, intégrant un passé riche en luttes économiques et sociales. Un couple de jeunes enquêteurs a passé trois mois dans chaque quartier, vivant avec les jeunes.L’organisation de l’espace dans les « quartiers » et la fonction de la ville-centre engendrent des conséquences majeures...

  18. Extraction à deux phases aqueuses à l'aide d'alcools polyéthoxylés en vue de l'élimination de polluants organiques et d'ions métalliques

    OpenAIRE

    Nogueira Duarte, Lindemberg de Jesus

    2005-01-01

    Au-delà d'une température appelée “point de trouble” (TC) les solutions aqueuses de la plupart des tensioactifs non ioniques polyéthoxylés se séparent en deux phases liquides en équilibre : le coacervat, riche en tensioactif, et la phase diluée. Grâce à la solubilisation micellaire de composés hydrophobes, amphiphiles ou même ioniques et à leur concentration dans le (faible) volume de coacervat, une extraction à deux phases aqueuses (extraction par point de trouble ou par coacervat) peut être...

  19. Incorporating RNA-seq data into the zebrafish Ensembl genebuild.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Collins, John E; White, Simon; Searle, Stephen M J; Stemple, Derek L

    2012-10-01

    Ensembl gene annotation provides a comprehensive catalog of transcripts aligned to the reference sequence. It relies on publicly available species-specific and orthologous transcripts plus their inferred protein sequence. The accuracy of gene models is improved by increasing the species-specific component that can be cost-effectively achieved using RNA-seq. Two zebrafish gene annotations are presented in Ensembl version 62 built on the Zv9 reference sequence. Firstly, RNA-seq data from five tissues and seven developmental stages were assembled into 25,748 gene models. A 3'-end capture and sequencing protocol was developed to predict the 3' ends of transcripts, and 46.1% of the original models were subsequently refined. Secondly, a standard Ensembl genebuild, incorporating carefully filtered elements from the RNA-seq-only build, followed by a merge with the manually curated VEGA database, produced a comprehensive annotation of 26,152 genes represented by 51,569 transcripts. The RNA-seq-only and the Ensembl/VEGA genebuilds contribute contrasting elements to the final genebuild. The RNA-seq genebuild was used to adjust intron/exon boundaries of orthologous defined models, confirm their expression, and improve 3' untranslated regions. Importantly, the inferred protein alignments within the Ensembl genebuild conferred proof of model contiguity for the RNA-seq models. The zebrafish gene annotation has been enhanced by the incorporation of RNA-seq data and the pipeline will be used for other organisms. Organisms with little species-specific cDNA data will generally benefit the most. PMID:22798491

  20. A variational ensemble scheme for noisy image data assimilation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Yang, Yin; Robinson, Cordelia; Heitz, Dominique; Mémin, Etienne

    2014-05-01

    Data assimilation techniques aim at recovering a system state variables trajectory denoted as X, along time from partially observed noisy measurements of the system denoted as Y. These procedures, which couple dynamics and noisy measurements of the system, fulfill indeed a twofold objective. On one hand, they provide a denoising - or reconstruction - procedure of the data through a given model framework and on the other hand, they provide estimation procedures for unknown parameters of the dynamics. A standard variational data assimilation problem can be formulated as the minimization of the following objective function with respect to the initial discrepancy, η, from the background initial guess: δ« J(η(x)) = 1∥Xb (x) - X (t ,x)∥2 + 1 tf∥H(X (t,x ))- Y (t,x)∥2dt. 2 0 0 B 2 t0 R (1) where the observation operator H links the state variable and the measurements. The cost function can be interpreted as the log likelihood function associated to the a posteriori distribution of the state given the past history of measurements and the background. In this work, we aim at studying ensemble based optimal control strategies for data assimilation. Such formulation nicely combines the ingredients of ensemble Kalman filters and variational data assimilation (4DVar). It is also formulated as the minimization of the objective function (1), but similarly to ensemble filter, it introduces in its objective function an empirical ensemble-based background-error covariance defined as: B ≡ )(Xb - )T>. (2) Thus, it works in an off-line smoothing mode rather than on the fly like sequential filters. Such resulting ensemble variational data assimilation technique corresponds to a relatively new family of methods [1,2,3]. It presents two main advantages: first, it does not require anymore to construct the adjoint of the dynamics tangent linear operator, which is a considerable advantage with respect to the method's implementation, and second, it enables the handling of a flow

  1. Anoplastie périnéale simple pour le traitement des malformations anorectales basses chez l'adulte, à propos de deux cas

    Science.gov (United States)

    Echchaoui, Abdelmoughit; Benyachou, Malika; Hafidi, Jawad; Fathi, Nahed; Mohammadine, Elhamid; ELmazouz, Samir; Gharib, Nour-eddine; Abbassi, Abdellah

    2014-01-01

    Les malformations anorectales chez l'adulte sont des anomalies congénitales rares du tube digestif qui prédominent chez le sexe féminin. Notre étude porte sur deux observations de malformation anorectale basses vues et traitées au stade adulte par les 2 équipes (plasticiens et viscéralistes) à l'Hôpital Avicenne à Rabat. Il s'agit d'un homme de 24 ans avec une dyschésie anale l'autre cas est une femme de 18 ans avec une malformation anovulvaire Les caractéristiques cliniques combinées avec les imageries radiologiques (lavement baryté, et la manométrie anorectale) ont confirmé qu'il s'agit d'une malfomation anorectale basse. Les deux cas sont corrigés par une reconstruction sphinctérienne, réimplantation anale avec anoplastie périnéale. Les suites opératoires étaient simples, pas de souffrance cutanée ou nécrose, avec changement de pansement gras chaque jour. Le résultat fonctionnel (la continence) était favorable pour les 2 patients. La présentation des MAR à l’âge adulte est rare, d’étiologie mal connu, elles apparaissent selon le mode sporadique. Les caractéristiques cliniques, couplées à l'imagerie (lavement baryté, IRM pelvienne), l'endoscopie et la manométrie anorectale, permettent de confirmer le diagnostic et classer ces anomalies en 3 types: basses, intermédiaires, et hautes. Les formes basses sont traités d'emblée par une réimplantation anale et anoplastie périnéale simple tels nos deux cas, elles peuvent être traités dans certains cas par un abaissement anorectale associé à une plastie V-Y permettant ainsi un emplacement anatomique correct de l'anus; alors que les formes hautes ou intermédiaires relèvent d'une chirurgie complexe avec souvent une dérivation digestive transitoire. Contrairement aux autres formes, Les formes basses ont un pronostic fonctionnel favorable. PMID:25667689

  2. Reduction of predictive uncertainty in estimating irrigation water requirement through multi-model ensembles and ensemble averaging

    Science.gov (United States)

    Multsch, S.; Exbrayat, J.-F.; Kirby, M.; Viney, N. R.; Frede, H.-G.; Breuer, L.

    2015-04-01

    Irrigation agriculture plays an increasingly important role in food supply. Many evapotranspiration models are used today to estimate the water demand for irrigation. They consider different stages of crop growth by empirical crop coefficients to adapt evapotranspiration throughout the vegetation period. We investigate the importance of the model structural versus model parametric uncertainty for irrigation simulations by considering six evapotranspiration models and five crop coefficient sets to estimate irrigation water requirements for growing wheat in the Murray-Darling Basin, Australia. The study is carried out using the spatial decision support system SPARE:WATER. We find that structural model uncertainty among reference ET is far more important than model parametric uncertainty introduced by crop coefficients. These crop coefficients are used to estimate irrigation water requirement following the single crop coefficient approach. Using the reliability ensemble averaging (REA) technique, we are able to reduce the overall predictive model uncertainty by more than 10%. The exceedance probability curve of irrigation water requirements shows that a certain threshold, e.g. an irrigation water limit due to water right of 400 mm, would be less frequently exceeded in case of the REA ensemble average (45%) in comparison to the equally weighted ensemble average (66%). We conclude that multi-model ensemble predictions and sophisticated model averaging techniques are helpful in predicting irrigation demand and provide relevant information for decision making.

  3. The Oral Tradition in the Sankofa Drum and Dance Ensemble: Student Perceptions

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hess, Juliet

    2009-01-01

    The Sankofa Drum and Dance Ensemble is a Ghanaian drum and dance ensemble that focusses on music in the Ewe tradition. It is based in an elementary school in the Greater Toronto Area and consists of students in Grade 4 through Grade 8. Students in the ensemble study Ghanaian traditional Ewe drumming and dancing in the oral tradition. Nine students…

  4. The Effects of Classical Guitar Ensembles on Student Self-Perceptions and Acquisition of Music Skills

    Science.gov (United States)

    Kramer, John R.

    2012-01-01

    Classical guitar ensembles are increasing in the United States as popular alternatives to band, choir, and orchestra. Classical guitar ensembles are offered at many middle and high schools as fine arts electives as one of the only options for classical guitarists to participate in ensembles. The purpose of this study was to explore the development…

  5. Bertrand Badie, Les deux Etats. Pouvoirs et société en Occident et en terre d'Islam, Paris, Fayard, 1986, 334 p.

    OpenAIRE

    MOURIM, Khosro E.

    2005-01-01

    L'excellent ouvrage de B. Badie se veut une réflexion théorique. Partant de l'hypothèse qu'il n'y a pas de sociologie universelle appliquable uniformément à toutes les cultures, l'auteur s'engage d'abord dans une réflexion sociologique sur les origines culturelles de la modernité occidentale en comparaison avec le monde musulman. Mais au delà d'un simple regard porté sur les “ contrastes de deux dynamiques culturelles ”, il propose un système d'explication différencié et suffisamment s...

  6. IniRobot et Poppy Éducation : deux kits robotiques libres pour l'enseignement de l'informatique et de la robotique

    OpenAIRE

    Roy, Didier; Oudeyer, Pierre-Yves

    2016-01-01

    Deux dispositifs robotiques pour l'enseignement de l'informatique et de la robotique.IniRobot repose sur l'usage du robot Thymio II, conçu notamment par l'EPFL (Lausanne), et s'adresse principalement aux élèves de l'école primaire et du début du collège.Poppy Education utilise la plateforme Poppy développé par l'équipe de recherche Flowers d'Inria BSO et est destiné aux élèves de fin de collège, de lycée et de l'enseignement supérieur.Les robots utilisés sont open-source et libres, avec la pa...

  7. L'évolution de l'activisme actionnarial en France au cours des deux dernières décennies

    OpenAIRE

    Girard, Carine; Gates, Stephen

    2013-01-01

    Le paysage de la recherche portant sur l'activisme actionnarial a beaucoup évolué au cours de ces deux dernières décennies, depuis les recherches fondatrices dont le socle est la théorie positive de l'agence. L'objectif de cette étude exploratoire est d'illustrer cette évolution, à travers une synthèse des travaux empiriques menés dans un contexte institutionnel et légal peu connu des chercheurs anglo-saxons : le contexte français. De cette synthèse, nous proposerons un nouveau modèle concept...

  8. Anoplastie périnéale simple pour le traitement des malformations anorectales basses chez l'adulte, à propos de deux cas

    OpenAIRE

    Abdelmoughit ECHCHAOUI; Benyachou, Malika; Hafidi, Jawad; Fathi, Nahed; Mohammadine, Elhamid; ELmazouz, Samir; Gharib, Nour-eddine; Abbassi, Abdellah

    2014-01-01

    Les malformations anorectales chez l'adulte sont des anomalies congénitales rares du tube digestif qui prédominent chez le sexe féminin. Notre étude porte sur deux observations de malformation anorectale basses vues et traitées au stade adulte par les 2 équipes (plasticiens et viscéralistes) à l'Hôpital Avicenne à Rabat. Il s'agit d'un homme de 24 ans avec une dyschésie anale l'autre cas est une femme de 18 ans avec une malformation anovulvaire Les caractéristiques cliniques combinées avec le...

  9. Al-tasnît et al-zullîqa, deux techniques de chasse et de pêche du lac Manzala

    OpenAIRE

    Henein, Nessim Henry

    2008-01-01

    Je remercie E. Perrin qui s’est chargée des dernières relectures de cet article. Ces deux techniques sont extraites d’un livre sur la pêche et la chasse dans le lac Manzala, auquel je travaille depuis des années et qui va être publié par l’Institut français d’Archéologie orientale. La première, connue sous le nom de tasnît, concerne la chasse aux oiseaux migrateurs. La seconde – al-zullîqa – permet de capturer des poissons dans de larges plans d’eau gagnés sur le lac et entourés de digues, dé...

  10. Arnaud et Hoël, deux évêques du Mans au service de Guillaume le Conquérant

    OpenAIRE

    Hillion, Yannick

    2005-01-01

    Après sa fragile conquête du comté du Maine en 1063, le duc de Normandie Guillaume devait absolument contrôler l’évêché du Mans face à l’Anjou conquérant et à l’aristocratie mancelle, elle-même encline à retrouver son indépendance. Le choix du duc, devenu roi d’Angleterre en 1066, se porta sur deux clercs, Arnaud et Hoël, dont les épiscopats caractérisèrent l’occupation normande du comté, de 1065 à 1096. Arnaud et Hoël, issu sans doute d’une même famille cléricale avranchine, sont des « homin...

  11. Deux adaptations cinématographiques contemporaines de contes allemands : Milchwald de Christoph Hochhäusler (2003) et Hotel de Jessica Hausner (2004)

    OpenAIRE

    Gomez, Anne-Sophie

    2014-01-01

    Au début des années 2000, plusieurs jeunes réalisateurs germanophones s’emparèrent de la matière des contes pour en proposer une vision plus personnelle, articulée autour d’effets de réminiscence, de variation et d’ellipse. Notre étude se concentre sur deux exemples. Le premier est celui de Milchwald (Le Bois lacté) réalisé en 2003 par le jeune cinéaste allemand Christoph Hochhäusler. Dans ce long-métrage, le spectateur identifie aisément des motifs empruntés au conte Hänsel et Gretel, comme ...

  12. Generating precipitation ensembles for flood alert and risk management

    Science.gov (United States)

    Caseri, Angelica; Javelle, Pierre; Ramos, Maria-Helena; Leblois, Etienne

    2015-04-01

    Floods represent one of the major natural disasters that are often responsible for fatalities and economic losses. Flood warning systems are needed to anticipate the arrival of severe events and mitigate their impacts. Flood alerts are particularly important for risk management and response in the nowcasting of flash floods. In this case, precipitation fields observed in real time play a crucial role and observational uncertainties must be taken into account. In this study, we investigate the potential of a framework which combines a geostatistical conditional simulation method that considers information from precipitation radar and rain gauges, and a distributed rainfall-runoff model to generate an ensemble of precipitation fields and produce probabilistic flood alert maps. We adapted the simulation method proposed by Leblois and Creutin (2013), based on the Turning Band Method (TBM) and a conditional simulation approach, to consider the temporal and spatial characteristics of radar data and rain gauge measurements altogether and generate precipitation ensembles. The AIGA system developed by Irstea and Météo-France for predicting flash floods in the French Mediterranean region (Javelle et al., 2014) was used to transform the generated precipitation ensembles into ensembles of discharge at the outlet of the studied catchments. Finally, discharge ensembles were translated into maps providing information on the probability of exceeding a given flood threshold. A total of 19 events that occurred between 2009 and 2013 in the Var region (southeastern France), a region prone to flash floods, was used to illustrate the approach. Results show that the proposed method is able to simulate an ensemble of realistic precipitation fields and capture peak flows of flash floods. This was shown to be particularly useful at ungauged catchments, where uncertainties on the evaluation of flood peaks are high. The results obtained also show that the approach developed can be used to

  13. Comparaison des performances de deux souches de truite commune (Salmo trutta L. (domestique et hybride sauvage x domestique introduites au stade alevin dans un ruisseau

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    NIHOUARN A.

    1990-10-01

    Full Text Available La production d'un hybride mâle sauvage x femelle domestique, chez la truite commune (Salmo trutta a parfois été proposée pour le repeuplement (CUINAT, 1971. Nos précédents travaux (MAISSE et al., 1983 ont montré que ces sujets sont plus difficiles à élever que ceux dont les deux parents sont domestiques. La présente étude a porté sur la comparaison des performances des hybrides et des domestiques déversés simultanément dans un ruisseau où la reproduction de la truite est compromise par le colmatage du fond. Les déversements ont été effectués sur la totalité du ruisseau, en mai, deux années de suite. Des inventaires ont été réalisés sur des secteurs représentatifs en mai, avant les déversements, et en octobre. Les résultats ont montré que les taux d'implantation, tant en 0+ qu'en 1+, ne différaient pas suivant l'origine des poissons. De plus, sur chacun des secteurs inventoriés, les individus d'origine domestique ont gardé l'avantage de taille qu'ils avaient au moment du déversement. L'intérêt d'un tel croisement est discuté en fonction des diverses stratégies de repeuplement à mettre en œuvre.

  14. Deux restaurants à New York: l'un franco-maghrébin, l'autre africain. Two restaurants in New York : one is Franco-Maghrebian, the other is African -Recent creations of "well-tempered" exoticisms

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Jean-Pierre Hassoun

    2010-12-01

    Full Text Available L’article repose sur une enquête ethnographique conduite en 2008-2009 à Manhattan auprès de huit entrepreneurs devenus Chef et/ou managers de restaurant après avoir immigré à New York. Aucun d’entre eux n’a été formé dans une institution culinaire et tous proposent des cuisines de régions du monde (Afrique, Afrique du Nord encore absentes, ou peu présentes à New York. A partir de deux études de cas plus détaillées, l’auteur s’interroge sur les stratégies marchandes autour de cette altérité et les limites du cosmopolitisme propre au « globalisme ». La trajectoire du restaurateur se transforme en héritage par le biais d’un ego-récit qui s’utilise comme une ressource commerciale. Les restaurateurs intériorisent les désirs des clients. Plus que la recherche de goûts inconnus ou d’une altérité radicale imaginée comme authentique, ceux-ci veulent avant tout identifier les ingrédients ingérés, avoir une idée de leur provenance, et respecter un ensemble (instable de normes nutritionnelles subsumé aujourd’hui à Manhattan par la catégorie indigène healthy. Les restaurateurs anticipent ces désirs en opérant sur les plats un travail de retrait, de séparation et de substitution des ingrédients. L’exotisme s’est mis au régime.This paper is based on ethnographic fieldwork (november 2008-january 2009 in Manhattan with eight entrepreneurs who became Chef and/or restaurant manager after they immigrated in New York. Not any one has an academic culinary background and they all propose food from regions (Africa, and North Africa which are not yet offered (or not much offered in the city. The author stresses on two cases studies to question informal market strategies, cosmopolitanism and globalism limits. Restaurant owner’s trajectory – a narrative which becomes a heritage - is used as a market resource. Restaurants internalize and anticipate customers’ desires; In fact town people doesn

  15. Characterizing RNA ensembles from NMR data with kinematic models

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Fonseca, Rasmus; Pachov, Dimitar V.; Bernauer, Julie;

    2014-01-01

    Functional mechanisms of biomolecules often manifest themselves precisely in transient conformational substates. Researchers have long sought to structurally characterize dynamic processes in non-coding RNA, combining experimental data with computer algorithms. However, adequate exploration of co...... trans-activation response element stem-loop. Ensemble-based interpretations of averaged data can aid in formulating and testing dynamic, motion-based hypotheses of functional mechanisms in RNAs with broad implications for RNA engineering and therapeutic intervention.......Functional mechanisms of biomolecules often manifest themselves precisely in transient conformational substates. Researchers have long sought to structurally characterize dynamic processes in non-coding RNA, combining experimental data with computer algorithms. However, adequate exploration of...... the conformational landscapes of 3D RNA encoded by NMR proton chemical shifts. KGSrna resolves motionally averaged NMR data into structural contributions; when coupled with residual dipolar coupling data, a KGSrna ensemble revealed a previously uncharacterized transient excited state of the HIV-1...

  16. Number of cliques in random scale-free network ensembles

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bianconi, Ginestra; Marsili, Matteo

    2006-12-01

    In this paper we calculate the average number of cliques in random scale-free networks in the limit of large network size N≫1. We consider first the hidden variable ensemble and subsequently the Molloy Reed ensemble. In both cases we find that cliques, i.e. fully connected subgraphs, appear also when the average degree is finite. This is in contrast to what happens in Erdös and Renyi graphs in which diverging average degree is required to observe cliques of size c>3. Moreover we show that in random scale-free networks the clique number, i.e. the size of the largest clique present in the network, diverges with the system size.

  17. Real-Time Fourier Synthesis of Ensembles with Timbral Interpolation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Haken, Lippold

    1990-01-01

    In Fourier synthesis, natural musical sounds are produced by summing time-varying sinusoids. Sounds are analyzed to find the amplitude and frequency characteristics for their sinusoids; interpolation between the characteristics of several sounds is used to produce intermediate timbres. An ensemble can be synthesized by summing all the sinusoids for several sounds, but in practice it is difficult to perform such computations in real time. To solve this problem on inexpensive hardware, it is useful to take advantage of the masking effects of the auditory system. By avoiding the computations for perceptually unimportant sinusoids, and by employing other computation reduction techniques, a large ensemble may be synthesized in real time on the Platypus signal processor. Unlike existing computation reduction techniques, the techniques described in this thesis do not sacrifice independent fine control over the amplitude and frequency characteristics of each sinusoid.

  18. Observation Quality Control with a Robust Ensemble Kalman Filter

    KAUST Repository

    Roh, Soojin

    2013-12-01

    Current ensemble-based Kalman filter (EnKF) algorithms are not robust to gross observation errors caused by technical or human errors during the data collection process. In this paper, the authors consider two types of gross observational errors, additive statistical outliers and innovation outliers, and introduce a method to make EnKF robust to gross observation errors. Using both a one-dimensional linear system of dynamics and a 40-variable Lorenz model, the performance of the proposed robust ensemble Kalman filter (REnKF) was tested and it was found that the new approach greatly improves the performance of the filter in the presence of gross observation errors and leads to only a modest loss of accuracy with clean, outlier-free, observations.

  19. Impact of hybrid GSI analysis using ETR ensembles

    Indian Academy of Sciences (India)

    V S Prasad; C J Johny

    2016-04-01

    Performance of a hybrid assimilation system combining 3D Var based NGFS (NCMRWF Global ForecastSystem) with ETR (Ensemble Transform with Rescaling) based Global Ensemble Forecast (GEFS) ofresolution T-190L28 is investigated. The experiment is conducted for a period of one week in June 2013and forecast skills over different spatial domains are compared with respect to mean analysis state.Rainfall forecast is verified over Indian region against combined observations of IMD and NCMRWF.Hybrid assimilation produced marginal improvements in overall forecast skill in comparison with 3DVar. Hybrid experiment made significant improvement in wind forecasts in all the regions on verificationagainst mean analysis. The verification of forecasts with radiosonde observations also show improvementin wind forecasts with the hybrid assimilation. On verification against observations, hybrid experimentshows more improvement in temperature and wind forecasts at upper levels. Both hybrid and operational3D Var failed in prediction of extreme rainfall event over Uttarakhand on 17 June, 2013.

  20. Common Axioms for Inferring Classical Ensemble Dynamics and Quantum Theory

    CERN Document Server

    Parwani, R R

    2005-01-01

    Within a hamiltonian framework, the same set of physically motivated axioms is used to construct both the classical ensemble Hamilton-Jacobi equation and Schrodingers equation. Crucial roles are played by the assumptions of universality and simplicity (Occam's Razor) which restrict the number and type of of arbitrary constants that appear in the hamiltonian. In this approach, non-relativistic quantum theory is seen as the unique single parameter extension of the classical ensemble dynamics. The method is contrasted with other related constructions in the literature. Possible generalisation to the relativistic case, and some consequences of relaxing the axioms, are also discussed: for example, simple extensions of the linear Schrodinger equation lead to higher-derivative nonlinear corrections that are possibly related to gravity.

  1. Operational hydrological data assimilation with the recursive ensemble Kalman filter

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    H. K. McMillan

    2013-01-01

    Full Text Available This paper describes the design and use of a recursive ensemble Kalman filter (REnKF to assimilate streamflow data in an operational flow forecasting system of seven catchments in New Zealand. The REnKF iteratively updates past and present model states (soil water, aquifer and surface storages, with lags up to the concentration time of the catchment, to improve model initial conditions and hence flow forecasts. We found the REnKF overcame instabilities in the standard EnKF, which were associated with the natural lag time between upstream catchment wetness and flow at the gauging locations. The forecast system performance was correspondingly improved in terms of Nash–Sutcliffe score, persistence index and bounding of the measured flow by the model ensemble. We present descriptions of filter design parameters and explanations and examples of filter behaviour, as an information source for other groups wishing to assimilate discharge observations for operational forecasting.

  2. Weighted ensemble transform Kalman filter for image assimilation

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Sebastien Beyou

    2013-01-01

    Full Text Available This study proposes an extension of the Weighted Ensemble Kalman filter (WEnKF proposed by Papadakis et al. (2010 for the assimilation of image observations. The main focus of this study is on a novel formulation of the Weighted filter with the Ensemble Transform Kalman filter (WETKF, incorporating directly as a measurement model a non-linear image reconstruction criterion. This technique has been compared to the original WEnKF on numerical and real world data of 2-D turbulence observed through the transport of a passive scalar. In particular, it has been applied for the reconstruction of oceanic surface current vorticity fields from sea surface temperature (SST satellite data. This latter technique enables a consistent recovery along time of oceanic surface currents and vorticity maps in presence of large missing data areas and strong noise.

  3. Macrostate equivalence of two general ensembles and specific relative entropies

    Science.gov (United States)

    Mori, Takashi

    2016-08-01

    The two criteria of ensemble equivalence, i.e., macrostate equivalence and measure equivalence, are investigated for a general pair of states. Macrostate equivalence implies the two ensembles are indistinguishable by the measurement of macroscopic quantities obeying the large-deviation principle, and measure equivalence means that the specific relative entropy of these two states vanishes in the thermodynamic limit. It is shown that measure equivalence implies a macrostate equivalence for a general pair of states by deriving an inequality connecting the large-deviation rate functions to the specific relative Renyi entropies. The result is applicable to both quantum and classical systems. As applications, a sufficient condition for thermalization, the time scale of quantum dynamics of macrovariables, and the second law with strict irreversibility in a quantum quench are discussed.

  4. Ensemble-Based Assimilation of Aerosol Observations in GEOS-5

    Science.gov (United States)

    Buchard, V.; Da Silva, A.

    2016-01-01

    MERRA-2 is the latest Aerosol Reanalysis produced at NASA's Global Modeling Assimilation Office (GMAO) from 1979 to present. This reanalysis is based on a version of the GEOS-5 model radiatively coupled to GOCART aerosols and includes assimilation of bias corrected Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) from AVHRR over ocean, MODIS sensors on both Terra and Aqua satellites, MISR over bright surfaces and AERONET data. In order to assimilate lidar profiles of aerosols, we are updating the aerosol component of our assimilation system to an Ensemble Kalman Filter (EnKF) type of scheme using ensembles generated routinely by the meteorological assimilation. Following the work performed with the first NASA's aerosol reanalysis (MERRAero), we first validate the vertical structure of MERRA-2 aerosol assimilated fields using CALIOP data over regions of particular interest during 2008.

  5. Ensemble structure description of Lys63-linked diubiquitin.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Liu, Zhu; Tang, Chun

    2016-06-01

    The data described herein are related to the article entitled "Lys63-linked ubiquitin chain adopts multiple conformational states for specific target recognition" [1], and to the coordinates for the ensemble structure of Lys63-linked diubiquitin (PDB code 2N2K). A Lys63-linked diubiquitin exists in three conformational states with different orientations for the two subunits, each responsible for binding to a target protein and encoding a specific cell signal. An atomic entry in the ensemble structure file consists multiple lines, representing alternative locations of the atom and recapitulating the dynamics of the protein. Experimental details about obtaining strictly intramolecular paramagnetic restraints and determining the relative occupancies of the conformational states are presented. The experimental design and procedures in this Data article can be useful for characterizing the structure and dynamics of other multi-domain proteins. PMID:26955652

  6. Generation of Exotic Quantum States of a Cold Atomic Ensemble

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Christensen, Stefan Lund

    . Furthermore, the nonclassical properties of the created state is inferred through the use of atomic quadrature quasi-probability distributions. The second generated state is a collective-single-excitation state — the atomic equivalent of a single photon. This state is created by the detection of a heralding......Over the last decades quantum effects have become more and more controllable, leading to the implementations of various quantum information protocols. These protocols are all based on utilizing quantum correlation. In this thesis we consider how states of an atomic ensemble with such correlations...... can be created and characterized. First we consider a spin-squeezed state. This state is generated by performing quantum non-demolition measurements of the atomic population difference. We show a spectroscopically relevant noise reduction of -1.7dB, the ensemble is in a many-body entangled state...

  7. Current path in light emitting diodes based on nanowire ensembles

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Light emitting diodes (LEDs) have been fabricated using ensembles of free-standing (In, Ga)N/GaN nanowires (NWs) grown on Si substrates in the self-induced growth mode by molecular beam epitaxy. Electron-beam-induced current analysis, cathodoluminescence as well as biased μ-photoluminescence spectroscopy, transmission electron microscopy, and electrical measurements indicate that the electroluminescence of such LEDs is governed by the differences in the individual current densities of the single-NW LEDs operated in parallel, i.e. by the inhomogeneity of the current path in the ensemble LED. In addition, the optoelectronic characterization leads to the conclusion that these NWs exhibit N-polarity and that the (In, Ga)N quantum well states in the NWs are subject to a non-vanishing quantum confined Stark effect. (paper)

  8. Hippocampal ensemble dynamics timestamp events in long-term memory.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Rubin, Alon; Geva, Nitzan; Sheintuch, Liron; Ziv, Yaniv

    2015-01-01

    The capacity to remember temporal relationships between different events is essential to episodic memory, but little is currently known about its underlying mechanisms. We performed time-lapse imaging of thousands of neurons over weeks in the hippocampal CA1 of mice as they repeatedly visited two distinct environments. Longitudinal analysis exposed ongoing environment-independent evolution of episodic representations, despite stable place field locations and constant remapping between the two environments. These dynamics time-stamped experienced events via neuronal ensembles that had cellular composition and activity patterns unique to specific points in time. Temporally close episodes shared a common timestamp regardless of the spatial context in which they occurred. Temporally remote episodes had distinct timestamps, even if they occurred within the same spatial context. Our results suggest that days-scale hippocampal ensemble dynamics could support the formation of a mental timeline in which experienced events could be mnemonically associated or dissociated based on their temporal distance. PMID:26682652

  9. Ensemble interpretation of the EPR-Bell correlations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The EPR-Bell correlations between the spins of a pair of particles originally in a singlet state are discussed both on the basis of the mathematical formalism of quantum mechanics and the ensemble interpretation. It is shown that the correlations predicted by the mathematical formalism are in agreement with those expected on the basis of the ensemble interpretation, if the electrons are treated as distinguishable particles after they separate and undergo observation. In this case, the correlations are only in partial agreement with a gedanken experiment of Mermin on the subject. It is pointed out, however, that agreement with Mermin's conclusions is possible if one treats the electrons as indistinguishable even when they are subjected to observation, though there is no obvious theoretical justification for doing so. (author). 8 refs

  10. Scalable quantum information transfer between nitrogen-vacancy-center ensembles

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Zhang, Feng-yang, E-mail: zhangfy1986@gmail.com [School of Physics and Materials Engineering, Dalian Nationalities University, Dalian 116600 (China); School of Physics and Optoelectronic Technology, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024 (China); Yang, Chui-Ping [Department of Physics, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou, Zhejiang 310036 (China); Song, He-Shan [School of Physics and Optoelectronic Technology, Dalian University of Technology, Dalian 116024 (China)

    2015-04-15

    We propose an architecture for realizing quantum information transfer (QIT). In this architecture, a LC circuit is used to induce the necessary interaction between flux qubits, each magnetically coupling to a nitrogen-vacancy center ensemble (NVCE). We explicitly show that for resonant interaction and large detuning cases, high-fidelity QIT between two spatially-separated NVCEs can be implemented. Our proposal can be extended to achieve QIT between any two selected NVCEs in a large hybrid system by adjusting system parameters, which is important in large scale quantum information processing. - Highlights: • Quantum information transfer between any two selected NV ensembles is implemented. • This architecture is robust against the dissipation of the system. • We explicitly show that for resonant interaction and large detuning cases.

  11. Ensembles of Protein Molecules as Statistical Analog Computers

    CERN Document Server

    Eliashberg, V

    2003-01-01

    A class of analog computers built from large numbers of microscopic probabilistic machines is discussed. It is postulated that such computers are implemented in biological systems as ensembles of protein molecules. The formalism is based on an abstract computational model referred to as Protein Molecule Machine (PMM). A PMM is a continuous-time first-order Markov system with real input and output vectors, a finite set of discrete states, and the input-dependent conditional probability densities of state transitions. The output of a PMM is a function of its input and state. The components of input vector, called generalized potentials, can be interpreted as membrane potential, and concentrations of neurotransmitters. The components of output vector, called generalized currents, can represent ion currents, and the flows of second messengers. An Ensemble of PMMs (EPMM) is a set of independent identical PMMs with the same input vector, and the output vector equal to the sum of output vectors of individual PMMs. T...

  12. A Multiresolution Ensemble Kalman Filter using Wavelet Decomposition

    CERN Document Server

    Hickmann, Kyle S

    2015-01-01

    We present a method of using classical wavelet based multiresolution analysis to separate scales in model and observations during data assimilation with the ensemble Kalman filter. In many applications, the underlying physics of a phenomena involve the interaction of features at multiple scales. Blending of observational and model error across scales can result in large forecast inaccuracies since large errors at one scale are interpreted as inexact data at all scales. Our method uses a transformation of the observation operator in order to separate the information from different scales of the observations. This naturally induces a transformation of the observation covariance and we put forward several algorithms to efficiently compute the transformed covariance. Another advantage of our multiresolution ensemble Kalman filter is that scales can be weighted independently to adjust each scale's effect on the forecast. To demonstrate feasibility we present applications to a one dimensional Kuramoto-Sivashinsky (...

  13. Ensemble learning approaches to predicting complications of blood transfusion.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Murphree, Dennis; Ngufor, Che; Upadhyaya, Sudhindra; Madde, Nagesh; Clifford, Leanne; Kor, Daryl J; Pathak, Jyotishman

    2015-08-01

    Of the 21 million blood components transfused in the United States during 2011, approximately 1 in 414 resulted in complication [1]. Two complications in particular, transfusion-related acute lung injury (TRALI) and transfusion-associated circulatory overload (TACO), are especially concerning. These two alone accounted for 62% of reported transfusion-related fatalities in 2013 [2]. We have previously developed a set of machine learning base models for predicting the likelihood of these adverse reactions, with a goal towards better informing the clinician prior to a transfusion decision. Here we describe recent work incorporating ensemble learning approaches to predicting TACO/TRALI. In particular we describe combining base models via majority voting, stacking of model sets with varying diversity, as well as a resampling/boosting combination algorithm called RUSBoost. We find that while the performance of many models is very good, the ensemble models do not yield significantly better performance in terms of AUC. PMID:26737958

  14. Novel algorithm for constructing support vector machine regression ensemble

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Li Bo; Li Xinjun; Zhao Zhiyan

    2006-01-01

    A novel algorithm for constructing support vector machine regression ensemble is proposed. As to regression prediction, support vector machine regression(SVMR) ensemble is proposed by resampling from given training data sets repeatedly and aggregating several independent SVMRs, each of which is trained to use a replicated training set. After training, several independently trained SVMRs need to be aggregated in an appropriate combination manner. Generally, the linear weighting is usually used like expert weighting score in Boosting Regression and it is without optimization capacity. Three combination techniques are proposed, including simple arithmetic mean,linear least square error weighting and nonlinear hierarchical combining that uses another upper-layer SVMR to combine several lower-layer SVMRs. Finally, simulation experiments demonstrate the accuracy and validity of the presented algorithm.

  15. Continuous Measurement Quantum State Tomography of Atomic Ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Riofrío, Carlos A

    2011-01-01

    Quantum state tomography is a fundamental tool in quantum information processing. It allows us to estimate the state of a quantum system by measuring different observables on many identically prepared copies of the system. This is, in general, a very time-consuming task that requires a large number of measurements. There are, however, systems in which the data acquisition can be done more efficiently. In fact, an ensemble of quantum systems can be prepared and manipulated by external fields while being continuously and collectively probed, producing enough information to estimate its state. This provides a basis for continuous measurement quantum tomography. In this protocol, an ensemble of identically prepared systems is collectively probed and controlled in a time-dependent manner to create an informationally complete continuous measurement record. The measurement history is then inverted to determine the state at the initial time. We use two different estimation methods: maximum likelihood and compressed s...

  16. Control of inhomogeneous atomic ensembles of hyperfine qudits

    CERN Document Server

    Mischuck, Brian E; Deutsch, Ivan H

    2011-01-01

    We study the ability to control d-dimensional quantum systems (qudits) encoded in the hyperfine spin of alkali-metal atoms through the application of radio- and microwave-frequency magnetic fields in the presence of inhomogeneities in amplitude and detuning. Such a capability is essential to the design of robust pulses that mitigate the effects of experimental uncertainty and also for application to tomographic addressing of particular members of an extended ensemble. We study the problem of preparing an arbitrary state in the Hilbert space from an initial fiducial state. We prove that inhomogeneous control of qudit ensembles is possible based on a semi-analytic protocol that synthesizes the target through a sequence of alternating rf and microwave-driven SU(2) rotations in overlapping irreducible subspaces. Several examples of robust control are studied, and the semi-analytic protocol is compared to a brute force, full numerical search. For small inhomogeneities, < 1%, both approaches achieve average fide...

  17. Storm Surge Simulation and Ensemble Forecast for Hurricane Irene (2011)

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lin, N.; Emanuel, K.

    2012-12-01

    Hurricane Irene, raking the U.S. East Coast during the period of 26-30 August 2011, caused widespread damage estimated at $15.8 billion and was responsible for 49 direct deaths (Avila and Cangialosi, 2011). Although the most severe impact in the northeastern U.S. was catastrophic inland flooding, with its unusually large size, Irene also generated high waves and storm surges and caused moderate to major coastal flooding. The most severe surge damage occurred between Oregon Inlet and Cape Hatteras in North Carolina (NC). Significant storm surge damage also occurred along southern Chesapeake Bay, and moderate and high surges were observed along the coast from New Jersey (NJ) northward. A storm surge of 0.9-1.8 m caused hundreds of millions of dollars in property damage in New York City (NYC) and Long Island, despite the fact that the storm made landfall to the west of NYC with peak winds of no more than tropical storm strength. Making three U.S. landfalls (in NC, NJ, and NY), Hurricane Irene provides a unique case for studying storm surge along the eastern U.S. coastline. We apply the hydrodynamic model ADCIRC (Luettich et al. 1992) to conduct surge simulations for Pamlico Sound, Chesapeake Bay, and NYC, using best track data and parametric wind and pressure models. The results agree well with tidal-gauge observations. Then we explore a new methodology for storm surge ensemble forecasting and apply it to Irene. This method applies a statistical/deterministic hurricane model (Emanuel et al. 2006) to generate large numbers of storm ensembles under the storm environment described by the 51 ECMWF ensemble members. The associated surge ensembles are then generated with the ADCIRC model. The numerical simulation is computationally efficient, making the method applicable to real-time storm surge ensemble forecasting. We report the results for NYC in this presentation. The ADCIRC simulation using the best track data generates a storm surge of 1.3 m and a storm tide of 2.1 m

  18. Ensemble polarimetric SAR image classification based on contextual sparse representation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Zhang, Lamei; Wang, Xiao; Zou, Bin; Qiao, Zhijun

    2016-05-01

    Polarimetric SAR image interpretation has become one of the most interesting topics, in which the construction of the reasonable and effective technique of image classification is of key importance. Sparse representation represents the data using the most succinct sparse atoms of the over-complete dictionary and the advantages of sparse representation also have been confirmed in the field of PolSAR classification. However, it is not perfect, like the ordinary classifier, at different aspects. So ensemble learning is introduced to improve the issue, which makes a plurality of different learners training and obtained the integrated results by combining the individual learner to get more accurate and ideal learning results. Therefore, this paper presents a polarimetric SAR image classification method based on the ensemble learning of sparse representation to achieve the optimal classification.

  19. Ensemble meteorological reconstruction using circulation analogues of 1781–1785

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    P. Yiou

    2013-09-01

    Full Text Available This paper uses a method of atmospheric flow analogues to reconstruct an ensemble of atmospheric variables (namely sea-level pressure, surface temperature and wind speed between 1781 and 1785. The properties of this ensemble are investigated and tested against observations of temperature. The goal of the paper is to assess whether the atmospheric circulation during the Laki volcanic eruption (in 1783 and the subsequent winter were similar to the conditions that prevailed in the winter 2009/2010 and during spring 2010. We find that the three months following the Laki eruption in June 1783 barely have analogues in 2010. The cold winter of 1783/1784 yields circulation analogues in 2009/2010. Our analysis suggests that it is unlikely that the Laki eruption was responsible for the cold winter of 1783/1784, of the relatively short memory of the atmospheric circulation.

  20. 4D-Var or Ensemble Kalman Filter

    Science.gov (United States)

    Kalnay, E.; Li, H.; Yang, S.; Miyoshi, T.; Ballabrera, J.

    2007-05-01

    We consider the relative advantages of two advanced data assimilation systems, 4D-Var and ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF), currently in use or considered for operational implementation. We explore the impact of tuning assimilation parameters such as the assimilation window length and background error covariance in 4D-Var, the variance inflation in EnKF, and the effect of model errors and reduced observation coverage in both systems. For short assimilation windows EnKF gives more accurate analyses. Both systems reach similar levels of accuracy if long windows are used for 4D-Var, and for infrequent observations, when ensemble perturbations grow nonlinearly and become non-Gaussian, 4D-Var attains lower errors than EnKF. Results obtained with variations of EnKF using operational models and both simulated and real observations are reviewed. A table summarizes the pros and cons of the two methods.

  1. ENSEMBLE DESIGN OF MASQUERADER DETECTION SYSTEMS FOR INFORMATION SECURITY

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    T. Subbulakshmi

    2011-01-01

    Full Text Available Masqueraders are a category of intruders who impersonate other people on a computer system and use this entry point to use the information stored in the systems or throw other attacks into the network. This paper focuses on Ensemble Design of a Masquerader Detection System using Decision trees and Support Vector Machines for classification with two kernel functions linear and linear BSpline. The key idea is to find out specific patterns of command sequence that tells about user behaviour on a system, and use them to build classifiers that can perfectly recognize anomalous and normal behaviour. Real time truncated command line data set collected from a debian Linux server is used for performance comparison of the developed classifiers with the standard truncated command line data set of Schonlau[4]. The results show that Ensemble Design of Masquerader Detection Systems is much faster than individual Decision trees or Support Vector Machines.

  2. Evaluating reliability and resolution of ensemble forecasts using information theory

    Science.gov (United States)

    Weijs, Steven; van de Giesen, Nick

    2010-05-01

    Ensemble forecasts are increasingly popular for the communication of uncertainty towards the public and decision makers. Ideally, an ensemble forecast reflects both the uncertainty and the information in a forecast, which means that the spread in the ensemble should accurately represent the true uncertainty. For ensembles to be useful, they should be probabilistic, as probability is the language to precisely describe an incomplete state of knowledge, that is typical for forecasts. Information theory provides the ideal tools to deal with uncertainty and information in forecasts. Essential to the use and development of models and forecasts are ways to evaluate their quality. Without a proper definition of what is good, it is impossible to improve forecasts. In contrast to forecast value, which is user dependent, forecast quality, which is defined as the correspondence between forecasts and observations, can be objectively defined, given the question that is asked. The evaluation of forecast quality is known as forecast verification. Numerous techniques for forecast verification have been developed over the past decades. The Brier score (BS) and the derived Ranked Probability Score (RPS) are among the most widely used scores for measuring forecast quality. Both of these scores can be split into three additive components: uncertainty, reliability and resolution. While the first component, uncertainty, just depends on the inherent variability in the forecasted event, the latter two measure different aspects of the quality of forecasts themselves. Resolution measures the difference between the conditional probabilities and the marginal probabilities of occurrence. The third component, reliability, measures the conditional bias in the probability estimates, hence unreliability would be a better name. In this work, we argue that information theory should be adopted as the correct framework for measuring quality of probabilistic ensemble forecasts. We use the information

  3. Random matrix ensembles for PT-symmetric systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Recently much effort has been made towards the introduction of non-Hermitian random matrix models respecting PT-symmetry. Here we show that there is a one-to-one correspondence between complex PT-symmetric matrices and split-complex and split-quaternionic versions of Hermitian matrices. We introduce two new random matrix ensembles of (a) Gaussian split-complex Hermitian; and (b) Gaussian split-quaternionic Hermitian matrices, of arbitrary sizes. We conjecture that these ensembles represent universality classes for PT-symmetric matrices. For the case of 2 × 2 matrices we derive analytic expressions for the joint probability distributions of the eigenvalues, the one-level densities and the level spacings in the case of real eigenvalues. (fast track communication)

  4. Two-point Correlator Fits on HISQ Ensembles

    CERN Document Server

    Bazavov, A; Bouchard, C; DeTar, C; Du, D; El-Khadra, A X; Foley, J; Freeland, E D; Gamiz, E; Gottlieb, Steven; Heller, U M; Hetrick, J E; Kim, J; Kronfeld, A S; Laiho, J; Levkova, L; Lightman, M; Mackenzie, P B; Neil, E T; Oktay, M; Simone, J N; Sugar, R L; Toussaint, D; Van de Water, R S; Zhou, R

    2012-01-01

    We present our methods to fit the two point correlators for light, strange, and charmed pseudoscalar meson physics with the highly improved staggered quark (HISQ) action. We make use of the least-squares fit including the full covariance matrix of the correlators and including Gaussian constraints on some parameters. We fit the correlators on a variety of the HISQ ensembles. The lattice spacing ranges from 0.15 fm down to 0.06 fm. The light sea quark mass ranges from 0.2 times the strange quark mass down to the physical light quark mass. The HISQ ensembles also include lattices with different volumes and with unphysical values of the strange quark mass. We use the results from this work to obtain our preliminary results of $f_D$, $f_{D_s}$, $f_{D_s}/f_{D}$, and ratios of quark masses presented in another talk [1].

  5. Verification of intense precipitation forecasts from single models and ensemble prediction systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    F. Atger

    2001-01-01

    Full Text Available The performance of single models and ensemble prediction systems has been investigated with respect to quantitative precipitation forecasts. Evaluation is based on the potential economic value of + 72 h/ + 96 h forecasts. The verification procedure consists of taking into account all precipitation amounts that are predicted in the vicinity of an observation in order to compute spatial, multi-event contingency tables. A probabilistic forecast from an ensemble can thus be compared to a probabilistic forecast from a single model run. The main results are the following: (1 The performance of the forecasts increases with the precipitation threshold. High levels of potential value reflect high hit rates that are obtained at the expense of a high frequency of false alarms. (2 The ECMWF ensemble performs better than a single forecast based on the same model, even when the resolution of the ensemble is lower. This is true for the NCEP ensemble as well, but only for morning precipitations. (3 The ECMWF ensemble performs better than the 5-member NCEP ensemble running at 12:00 UTC, even when the population of the former is reduced to 5 members. (4 The impact of reducing the population of the ECMWF ensemble is rather small. Differences between 51 members and 21 members are hardly significant. (5 A 2-member poorman ensemble consisting of the control forecasts of the ECMWF and the NCEP ensembles performs as well as the ECMWF ensemble for afternoon precipitations.

  6. A Bayesian Ensemble Regression Framework on the Angry Birds Game

    OpenAIRE

    Tziortziotis, Nikolaos; Papagiannis, Georgios; Blekas, Konstantinos

    2014-01-01

    An ensemble inference mechanism is proposed on the Angry Birds domain. It is based on an efficient tree structure for encoding and representing game screenshots, where it exploits its enhanced modeling capability. This has the advantage to establish an informative feature space and modify the task of game playing to a regression analysis problem. To this direction, we assume that each type of object material and bird pair has its own Bayesian linear regression model. In this way, a multi-mode...

  7. Quantum parallelism as a tool for ensemble spin dynamics calculations

    OpenAIRE

    Alvarez, Gonzalo A.; Danieli, Ernesto P.; Levstein, Patricia R.; Pastawski, Horacio M.

    2007-01-01

    Efficient simulations of quantum evolutions of spin-1/2 systems are relevant for ensemble quantum computation as well as in typical NMR experiments. We propose an efficient method to calculate the dynamics of an observable provided that the initial excitation is "local". It resorts a single entangled pure initial state built as a superposition, with random phases, of the pure elements that compose the mixture. This ensures self-averaging of any observable, drastically reducing the calculation...

  8. The Beta-MANOVA Ensemble with General Covariance

    OpenAIRE

    Dubbs, Alexander; Edelman, Alan

    2013-01-01

    We find the joint generalized singular value distribution and largest generalized singular value distributions of the $\\beta$-MANOVA ensemble with positive diagonal covariance, which is general. This has been done for the continuous $\\beta > 0$ case for identity covariance (in eigenvalue form), and by setting the covariance to $I$ in our model we get another version. For the diagonal covariance case, it has only been done for $\\beta = 1,2,4$ cases (real, complex, and quaternion matrix entries...

  9. Poisson ensembles of loops of one-dimensional diffusions

    OpenAIRE

    Lupu, Titus

    2013-01-01

    141 pages We study the analogue of Poisson ensembles of Markov loops ("loop soups") in the setting of one-dimensional diffusions. We give a detailed description of the corresponding intensity measure. The properties of this measure on loops lead us to an extension of Vervaat's bridge-to-excursion transformation that relates the bridges conditioned by their minimum and the excursions of all the diffusion we consider and not just the Brownian motion. Further we describe the Poisson point pro...

  10. Fluctuations in a quasi-stationary shallow cumulus cloud ensemble

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    M. Sakradzija

    2015-01-01

    Full Text Available We propose an approach to stochastic parameterisation of shallow cumulus clouds to represent the convective variability and its dependence on the model resolution. To collect information about the individual cloud lifecycles and the cloud ensemble as a whole, we employ a large eddy simulation (LES model and a cloud tracking algorithm, followed by conditional sampling of clouds at the cloud-base level. In the case of a shallow cumulus ensemble, the cloud-base mass flux distribution is bimodal, due to the different shallow cloud subtypes, active and passive clouds. Each distribution mode can be approximated using a Weibull distribution, which is a generalisation of exponential distribution by accounting for the change in distribution shape due to the diversity of cloud lifecycles. The exponential distribution of cloud mass flux previously suggested for deep convection parameterisation is a special case of the Weibull distribution, which opens a way towards unification of the statistical convective ensemble formalism of shallow and deep cumulus clouds. Based on the empirical and theoretical findings, a stochastic model has been developed to simulate a shallow convective cloud ensemble. It is formulated as a compound random process, with the number of convective elements drawn from a Poisson distribution, and the cloud mass flux sampled from a mixed Weibull distribution. Convective memory is accounted for through the explicit cloud lifecycles, making the model formulation consistent with the choice of the Weibull cloud mass flux distribution function. The memory of individual shallow clouds is required to capture the correct convective variability. The resulting distribution of the subgrid convective states in the considered shallow cumulus case is scale-adaptive – the smaller the grid size, the broader the distribution.

  11. Classical model for bulk-ensemble NMR quantum computation

    OpenAIRE

    Schack, R.; Caves, C. M.

    1999-01-01

    We present a classical model for bulk-ensemble NMR quantum computation: the quantum state of the NMR sample is described by a probability distribution over the orientations of classical tops, and quantum gates are described by classical transition probabilities. All NMR quantum computing experiments performed so far with three quantum bits can be accounted for in this classical model. After a few entangling gates, the classical model suffers an exponential decrease of the measured signal, whe...

  12. Automatic Genre Classification of Latin Music Using Ensemble of Classifiers

    OpenAIRE

    Silla Jr, Carlos N.; Kaestner, Celso A.A.; Koerich, Alessandro L.

    2006-01-01

    This paper presents a novel approach to the task of automatic music genre classification which is based on ensemble learning. Feature vectors are extracted from three 30-second music segments from the beginning, middle and end of each music piece. Individual classifiers are trained to account for each music segment. During classification, the output provided by each classifier is combined with the aim of improving music genre classification accuracy. Experiments carried out on a dataset conta...

  13. ANALYSIS OF SST IMAGES BY WEIGHTED ENSEMBLE TRANSFORM KALMAN FILTER

    OpenAIRE

    Sai, Gorthi; Beyou, Sébastien; Memin, Etienne

    2011-01-01

    International audience This paper presents a novel, efficient scheme for the analysis of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) ocean images. We consider the estimation of the velocity fields and vorticity values from a sequence of oceanic images. The contribution of this paper lies in proposing a novel, robust and simple approach based onWeighted Ensemble Transform Kalman filter (WETKF) data assimilation technique for the analysis of real SST images, that may contain coast regions or large areas o...

  14. Marginalized Particle Filtering Framework for Tuning of Ensemble Filters

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Šmídl, Václav; Hofman, Radek

    2011-01-01

    Roč. 139, č. 11 (2011), s. 3589-3599. ISSN 0027-0644 R&D Projects: GA MV VG20102013018; GA ČR GP102/08/P250 Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z10750506 Keywords : ensemble finter * marginalized particle filter * data assimilation Subject RIV: BB - Applied Statistics, Operational Research Impact factor: 2.688, year: 2011 http://library.utia.cas.cz/separaty/2011/AS/smidl-0367533.pdf

  15. Global large time dynamics and the generalized Gibbs ensemble

    OpenAIRE

    Gurarie, Victor

    2012-01-01

    We study the large time dynamics of a macroscopically large quantum systems under a sudden quench. We show that, first of all, for a generic system in the thermodynamic limit the Gibbs distribution correctly captures the large time dynamics of its global observables. In contrast, for an integrable system, the generalized Gibbs ensemble captures its global large time dynamics only if the system can be thought of as a number of noninteracting uncorrelated fermionic degrees of freedom. The condi...

  16. Using ensemble data assimilation to forecast hydrological flumes

    OpenAIRE

    Amour, I.; Mussa, Z.; Bibov, A.; Kauranne, T.

    2013-01-01

    Data assimilation, commonly used in weather forecasting, means combining a mathematical forecast of a target dynamical system with simultaneous measurements from that system in an optimal fashion. We demonstrate the benefits obtainable from data assimilation with a dam break flume simulation in which a shallow-water equation model is complemented with wave meter measurements. Data assimilation is conducted with a Variational Ensemble Kalman Filter (VEnKF) algorithm. The resu...

  17. Gradient Flow and Scale Setting on MILC HISQ Ensembles

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Bazavov, A. [Brookhaven National Lab. (BNL), Upton, NY (United States); Bernard, C. [Washington Univ., St. Louis, MO (United States); Brown, N. [Washington Univ., St. Louis, MO (United States); Komijani, J. [Washington Univ., St. Louis, MO (United States); DeTar, C. [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT (United States); Foley, J. [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT (United States); Levkova, L. [Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT (United States); Gottlieb, Steven [Indiana Univ., Bloomington, IN (United States); Heller, U. M. [American Physical Society (APS), Ridge, NY (United States); Laiho, J. [Syracuse Univ., NY (United States); Sugar, R. L. [Univ. of California, Santa Barbara, CA (United States); Toussaint, D. [Univ. of Arizona, Tucson, AZ (United States); Van de Water, R. S. [Fermi National Accelerator Lab. (FNAL), Batavia, IL (United States)

    2015-03-25

    We report on a scale determination with gradient-ow techniques on the Nf = 2 + 1 + 1 HISQ ensembles generated by the MILC collaboration. The ensembles include four lattice spacings, ranging from approximately 0.15 to 0.06 fm, and both physical and unphysical values of the quark masses. The scales p √t0/a and w0/a and their tree-level improvements,√t0;imp and w0;imp, are computed on each ensemble using Symanzik ow and the cloverleaf de_nition of the energy density E. Using a combination of continuum chiral perturbation theory and a Taylor-series ansatz for the lattice-spacing and strong-coupling dependence, the results are simultaneously extrapolated to the continuum and interpolated to physical quark masses. We also determine the scales p t0 = 0:1416(+8-5) fm and w0 = 0:1717(+12-11) fm, where the errors are sums, in quadrature, of statistical and all systematic errors. The precision of w0 and √t0 is comparable to or more precise than the best previous estimates, respectively. We also find the continuum mass-dependence of w0 that will be useful for estimating the scales of other ensembles. Furthermore, we estimate the integrated autocorrelation length of . For long ow times, the autocorrelation length of appears to be comparable to or smaller than that of the topological charge.

  18. Quantum computing with collective ensembles of multi-level systems

    OpenAIRE

    Brion, E.; Moelmer, K.; Saffman, M.

    2007-01-01

    We propose a new physical approach for encoding and processing of quantum information in ensembles of multi-level quantum systems, where the different bits are not carried by individual particles but associated with the collective population of different internal levels. One- and two-bit gates are implemented by collective internal state transitions taking place in the presence of an excitation blockade mechanism which restricts the population of each internal state to the values zero and uni...

  19. Mobile learning e inclusione sociale : il caso ensemble

    OpenAIRE

    G. Bonaiuti; Ranieri, M

    2010-01-01

    Questo lavoro presentato nell'ambito del congresso TICE Mediterranee 2009 (Università Milano Bicocca, 28 - 29 may 2009) e pubblicato su ISDM, illustra i risultati del progetto pilota ENSEMBLE finanziato dalla Comunità europea nell'ambito del LLL Programme (2008-2010). Esso si rivolge ad adulti e pre-adolescenti con l'obiettivo di promuovere l'integrazione interculturale e di favorire la comunicazione intergenerazionale, avvalendosi di tecnologie mobile relativamente semplici e alla portata di...

  20. Disease-associated mutations that alter the RNA structural ensemble.

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Matthew Halvorsen

    2010-08-01

    Full Text Available Genome-wide association studies (GWAS often identify disease-associated mutations in intergenic and non-coding regions of the genome. Given the high percentage of the human genome that is transcribed, we postulate that for some observed associations the disease phenotype is caused by a structural rearrangement in a regulatory region of the RNA transcript. To identify such mutations, we have performed a genome-wide analysis of all known disease-associated Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs from the Human Gene Mutation Database (HGMD that map to the untranslated regions (UTRs of a gene. Rather than using minimum free energy approaches (e.g. mFold, we use a partition function calculation that takes into consideration the ensemble of possible RNA conformations for a given sequence. We identified in the human genome disease-associated SNPs that significantly alter the global conformation of the UTR to which they map. For six disease-states (Hyperferritinemia Cataract Syndrome, beta-Thalassemia, Cartilage-Hair Hypoplasia, Retinoblastoma, Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD, and Hypertension, we identified multiple SNPs in UTRs that alter the mRNA structural ensemble of the associated genes. Using a Boltzmann sampling procedure for sub-optimal RNA structures, we are able to characterize and visualize the nature of the conformational changes induced by the disease-associated mutations in the structural ensemble. We observe in several cases (specifically the 5' UTRs of FTL and RB1 SNP-induced conformational changes analogous to those observed in bacterial regulatory Riboswitches when specific ligands bind. We propose that the UTR and SNP combinations we identify constitute a "RiboSNitch," that is a regulatory RNA in which a specific SNP has a structural consequence that results in a disease phenotype. Our SNPfold algorithm can help identify RiboSNitches by leveraging GWAS data and an analysis of the mRNA structural ensemble.