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Sample records for ballistic parameter estimation

  1. Theoretical optimal modulation frequencies for scattering parameter estimation and ballistic photon filtering in diffusive media

    CERN Document Server

    Panigrahi, Swapnesh; Ramachandran, Hema; Alouini, Mehdi

    2016-01-01

    The efficiency of using intensity modulated light for estimation of scattering properties of a turbid medium and for ballistic photon discrimination is theoretically quantified in this article. Using the diffusion model for modulated photon transport and considering a noisy quadrature demodulation scheme, the minimum-variance bounds on estimation of parameters of interest are analytically derived and analyzed. The existence of a variance-minimizing optimal modulation frequency is shown and its evolution with the properties of the intervening medium is derived and studied. Furthermore, a metric is defined to quantify the efficiency of ballistic photon filtering which may be sought when imaging through turbid media. The analytical derivation of this metric shows that the minimum modulation frequency required to attain significant ballistic discrimination depends only on the reduced scattering coefficient of the medium in a linear fashion for a highly scattering medium.

  2. Parameter Estimation

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Sales-Cruz, Mauricio; Heitzig, Martina; Cameron, Ian;

    2011-01-01

    In this chapter the importance of parameter estimation in model development is illustrated through various applications related to reaction systems. In particular, rate constants in a reaction system are obtained through parameter estimation methods. These approaches often require the application...... of optimisation techniques coupled with dynamic solution of the underlying model. Linear and nonlinear approaches to parameter estimation are investigated. There is also the application of maximum likelihood principles in the estimation of parameters, as well as the use of orthogonal collocation to...... generate a set of algebraic equations as the basis for parameter estimation.These approaches are illustrated using estimations of kinetic constants from reaction system models....

  3. A New Parameter Characterising the Ballistic Performance of Ceramics

    OpenAIRE

    Hoog, K.; Ernst, H.-J.; Wolf, T.

    1997-01-01

    Impacted by a long rod penetrator at 1800 m/s different ceramics of varying thickness and target configurations are investigated. A turning point of the residual penetration curve in the vicinity of thin ceramic layers was not found. The space equivalence factor for vanishing ceramic thickness is introduced as a target configuration independent parameter to describe the ballistic performance of materials. This factor denotes the maximum protection performance of a brittle material by assuming...

  4. ["Piggyback" shot: ballistic parameters of two simultaneously discharged airgun pellets].

    Science.gov (United States)

    Frank, Matthias; Schönekess, Holger C; Grossjohann, Rico; Ekkernkamp, Axel; Bockholdt, Britta

    2014-01-01

    Green and Good reported an uncommon case of homicide committed with an air rifle in 1982 (Am. J. Forensic Med. Pathol. 3: 361-365). The fatal wound was unusual in that two airgun pellets were loaded in so-called "piggyback" fashion into a single shot air rifle. Lack of further information on the ballistic characteristics of two airgun pellets as opposed to one conventionally loaded projectile led to this investigation. The mean kinetic energy (E) of the two pellets discharged in "piggyback" fashion was E = 3.6 J and E = 3.4 J, respectively. In comparison, average kinetic energy values of E = 12.5 J were calculated for conventionally discharged single diabolo pellets. Test shots into ballistic soap confirmed the findings of a single entrance wound as reported by Green and Good. While the ballistic background of pellets discharged in "piggyback" fashion could be clarified, the reason behind this mode of shooting remains unclear. PMID:24855739

  5. Ballistic parameters and trauma potential of direct-acting, powder-actuated fastening tools (nail guns).

    Science.gov (United States)

    Frank, Matthias; Franke, Ernst; Schönekess, Holger C; Jorczyk, Jörn; Bockholdt, Britta; Ekkernkamp, Axel

    2012-03-01

    Since their introduction in the 1950s in the construction and building trade, powder-actuated fastening tools (nail guns) are of forensic and traumatological importance. There are countless reports on both accidental and intentional injuries and fatalities caused by these tools in medical literature. While the ballistic parameters of so-called low-velocity fastening tools, where the expanding gases act on a captive piston that drives the fastener into the material, are well known, ballistic parameters of "high-velocity" tools, which operate like a firearm and release the energy of the propellant directly on the fastener, are unknown. Therefore, it was the aim of this work to investigate external ballistic parameters of cal. 9 and 6-mm fastening bolts discharged from four different direct-acting nail guns (Type Ideal, Record Piccolo S, Rapid Hammer R300, Titan Type 1). Average muzzle velocity ranged from 400 to 580 m/s, while average kinetic energy of the projectiles ranged from 385 to 547 J. Mean energy density of the projectiles ranged from 9 to 18 J/mm(2). To conclude, this work demonstrates that the muzzle velocity of direct-acting high-velocity tools is approximately five times higher than the muzzle velocity of piston-type tools. Hence, the much-cited comparison to the ballistic parameters of a cal. 22 handgun might be understated and a comparison to the widespread and well-known cal. 9 mm Luger might be more appropriate. PMID:21607714

  6. Estimation of frequency conversion efficiency of THz devices using a ballistic electron wave swing circuit model

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The ballistic electron wave swing device has previously been presented as a possible candidate for a simple power conversion technique to the THz -domain. This paper gives a simulative estimation of the power conversion efficiency. The harmonic balance simulations use an equivalent circuit model, which is also derived in this work from a mechanical model. To verify the validity of the circuit model, current waveforms are compared to Monte Carlo simulations of identical setups. Model parameters are given for a wide range of device configurations. The device configuration exhibiting the most conforming waveform is used further for determining the best conversion efficiency. The corresponding simulation setup is described. Simulation results implying a conversion efficiency of about 22% are presented. (paper)

  7. Estimation of frequency conversion efficiency of THz devices using a ballistic electron wave swing circuit model

    Science.gov (United States)

    Schildbach, Christian; Ong, Duu Sheng; Hartnagel, Hans; Schmidt, Lorenz-Peter

    2016-06-01

    The ballistic electron wave swing device has previously been presented as a possible candidate for a simple power conversion technique to the THz -domain. This paper gives a simulative estimation of the power conversion efficiency. The harmonic balance simulations use an equivalent circuit model, which is also derived in this work from a mechanical model. To verify the validity of the circuit model, current waveforms are compared to Monte Carlo simulations of identical setups. Model parameters are given for a wide range of device configurations. The device configuration exhibiting the most conforming waveform is used further for determining the best conversion efficiency. The corresponding simulation setup is described. Simulation results implying a conversion efficiency of about 22% are presented.

  8. Parameter Estimation Through Ignorance

    CERN Document Server

    Du, Hailiang

    2015-01-01

    Dynamical modelling lies at the heart of our understanding of physical systems. Its role in science is deeper than mere operational forecasting, in that it allows us to evaluate the adequacy of the mathematical structure of our models. Despite the importance of model parameters, there is no general method of parameter estimation outside linear systems. A new relatively simple method of parameter estimation for nonlinear systems is presented, based on variations in the accuracy of probability forecasts. It is illustrated on the Logistic Map, the Henon Map and the 12-D Lorenz96 flow, and its ability to outperform linear least squares in these systems is explored at various noise levels and sampling rates. As expected, it is more effective when the forecast error distributions are non-Gaussian. The new method selects parameter values by minimizing a proper, local skill score for continuous probability forecasts as a function of the parameter values. This new approach is easier to implement in practice than alter...

  9. Parameter estimation through ignorance.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Du, Hailiang; Smith, Leonard A

    2012-07-01

    Dynamical modeling lies at the heart of our understanding of physical systems. Its role in science is deeper than mere operational forecasting, in that it allows us to evaluate the adequacy of the mathematical structure of our models. Despite the importance of model parameters, there is no general method of parameter estimation outside linear systems. A relatively simple method of parameter estimation for nonlinear systems is introduced, based on variations in the accuracy of probability forecasts. It is illustrated on the logistic map, the Henon map, and the 12-dimensional Lorenz96 flow, and its ability to outperform linear least squares in these systems is explored at various noise levels and sampling rates. As expected, it is more effective when the forecast error distributions are non-Gaussian. The method selects parameter values by minimizing a proper, local skill score for continuous probability forecasts as a function of the parameter values. This approach is easier to implement in practice than alternative nonlinear methods based on the geometry of attractors or the ability of the model to shadow the observations. Direct measures of inadequacy in the model, the "implied ignorance," and the information deficit are introduced. PMID:23005513

  10. Phenological Parameters Estimation Tool

    Science.gov (United States)

    McKellip, Rodney D.; Ross, Kenton W.; Spruce, Joseph P.; Smoot, James C.; Ryan, Robert E.; Gasser, Gerald E.; Prados, Donald L.; Vaughan, Ronald D.

    2010-01-01

    The Phenological Parameters Estimation Tool (PPET) is a set of algorithms implemented in MATLAB that estimates key vegetative phenological parameters. For a given year, the PPET software package takes in temporally processed vegetation index data (3D spatio-temporal arrays) generated by the time series product tool (TSPT) and outputs spatial grids (2D arrays) of vegetation phenological parameters. As a precursor to PPET, the TSPT uses quality information for each pixel of each date to remove bad or suspect data, and then interpolates and digitally fills data voids in the time series to produce a continuous, smoothed vegetation index product. During processing, the TSPT displays NDVI (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index) time series plots and images from the temporally processed pixels. Both the TSPT and PPET currently use moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer (MODIS) satellite multispectral data as a default, but each software package is modifiable and could be used with any high-temporal-rate remote sensing data collection system that is capable of producing vegetation indices. Raw MODIS data from the Aqua and Terra satellites is processed using the TSPT to generate a filtered time series data product. The PPET then uses the TSPT output to generate phenological parameters for desired locations. PPET output data tiles are mosaicked into a Conterminous United States (CONUS) data layer using ERDAS IMAGINE, or equivalent software package. Mosaics of the vegetation phenology data products are then reprojected to the desired map projection using ERDAS IMAGINE

  11. Estimation of ballistic block landing energy during 2014 Mount Ontake eruption

    Science.gov (United States)

    Tsunematsu, Kae; Ishimine, Yasuhiro; Kaneko, Takayuki; Yoshimoto, Mitsuhiro; Fujii, Toshitsugu; Yamaoka, Koshun

    2016-05-01

    The 2014 Mount Ontake eruption started just before noon on September 27, 2014. It killed 58 people, and five are still missing (as of January 1, 2016). The casualties were mainly caused by the impact of ballistic blocks around the summit area. It is necessary to know the magnitude of the block velocity and energy to construct a hazard map of ballistic projectiles and design effective shelters and mountain huts. The ejection velocities of the ballistic projectiles were estimated by comparing the observed distribution of the ballistic impact craters on the ground with simulated distributions of landing positions under various sets of conditions. A three-dimensional numerical multiparticle ballistic model adapted to account for topographic effect was used to estimate the ejection angles. From these simulations, we have obtained an ejection angle of γ = 20° from vertical to horizontal and α = 20° from north to east. With these ejection angle conditions, the ejection speed was estimated to be between 145 and 185 m/s for a previously obtained range of drag coefficients of 0.62-1.01. The order of magnitude of the mean landing energy obtained using our numerical simulation was 104 J.

  12. Revisiting Cosmological parameter estimation

    CERN Document Server

    Prasad, Jayanti

    2014-01-01

    Constraining theoretical models with measuring the parameters of those from cosmic microwave background (CMB) anisotropy data is one of the most active areas in cosmology. WMAP, Planck and other recent experiments have shown that the six parameters standard $\\Lambda$CDM cosmological model still best fits the data. Bayesian methods based on Markov-Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) sampling have been playing leading role in parameter estimation from CMB data. In one of the recent studies \\cite{2012PhRvD..85l3008P} we have shown that particle swarm optimization (PSO) which is a population based search procedure can also be effectively used to find the cosmological parameters which are best fit to the WMAP seven year data. In the present work we show that PSO not only can find the best-fit point, it can also sample the parameter space quite effectively, to the extent that we can use the same analysis pipeline to process PSO sampled points which is used to process the points sampled by Markov Chains, and get consistent res...

  13. A Numerical Approach to Estimate the Ballistic Coefficient of Space Debris from TLE Orbital Data

    Science.gov (United States)

    Narkeliunas, Jonas

    2016-01-01

    theoretical simulations, even few continuous mode 10 kW ground-based lasers, focused by 1.5 m telescopes with adaptive optics, were enough to prevent significant amount of the debris collisions. Simulations were done by propagating all space objects in LEO by 1 year into the future and checking whether the probability of collision was high. For those space objects different ground-based lasers were used to divert them, afterwards collision probabilities were reevaluated. However, the actual accuracy of the LightForce software, which has been developed at NASA AmesResearch Center, depends on the veracity of the input parameters, one of which is the objects ballistic coefficient. It is a measure of bodys ability to overcome air resistance, which has a significant impact on the debris in LEO, and thus it is responsible for the shape of the trajectory of the debris. Having the exact values of the ballistic coefficient would make significantly better collision predictions, unfortunately, we do not know what are the values for most of the objects.In this research, we were working with part of LightForce code, which estimates the ballistic coefficient from ephemerides. Previously used method gave highly inaccurate values, when compared to known objects, and it needed to be changed. The goal of this work was to try out a different method of estimating the ballistic coefficient and to check whether or not it gives noticeable improvements.

  14. Estimating Ancestral Population Parameters

    OpenAIRE

    Wakeley, J.; Hey, J.

    1997-01-01

    The expected numbers of different categories of polymorphic sites are derived for two related models of population history: the isolation model, in which an ancestral population splits into two descendents, and the size-change model, in which a single population undergoes an instantaneous change in size. For the isolation model, the observed numbers of shared, fixed, and exclusive polymorphic sites are used to estimate the relative sizes of the three populations, ancestral plus two descendent...

  15. Estimating Risk Parameters

    OpenAIRE

    Aswath Damodaran

    1999-01-01

    Over the last three decades, the capital asset pricing model has occupied a central and often controversial place in most corporate finance analysts’ tool chests. The model requires three inputs to compute expected returns – a riskfree rate, a beta for an asset and an expected risk premium for the market portfolio (over and above the riskfree rate). Betas are estimated, by most practitioners, by regressing returns on an asset against a stock index, with the slope of the regression being the b...

  16. Influence of pellet seating on the external ballistic parameters of spring-piston air guns.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Werner, Ronald; Schultz, Benno; Frank, Matthias

    2016-09-01

    In firearm examiners' and forensic specialists' casework as well as in air gun proof testing, reliable measurement of the weapon's muzzle velocity is indispensable. While there are standardized and generally accepted procedures for testing the performance of air guns, the method of seating the diabolo pellets deeper into the breech of break barrel spring-piston air guns has not found its way into standardized test procedures. The influence of pellet seating on the external ballistic parameters was investigated using ten different break barrel spring-piston air guns. Test shots were performed with the diabolo pellets seated 2 mm deeper into the breech using a pellet seater. The results were then compared to reference shots with conventionally loaded diabolo pellets. Projectile velocity was measured with a high-precision redundant ballistic speed measurement system. In eight out of ten weapons, the muzzle energy increased significantly when the pellet seater was used. The average increase in kinetic energy was 31 % (range 9-96 %). To conclude, seating the pellet even slightly deeper into the breech of spring-piston air guns might significantly alter the muzzle energy. Therefore, it is strongly recommended that this effect is taken into account when accurate and reliable measurements of air gun muzzle velocity are necessary. PMID:27448569

  17. Experimental study of the coupling parameters influencing the terminal effects of thoracic blunt ballistic impacts.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Pavier, Julien; Langlet, André; Eches, Nicolas; Prat, Nicolas; Bailly, Patrice; Jacquet, Jean-François

    2015-07-01

    The objective of the study is to better understand how blunt projectile ballistic parameters and material properties influence the events leading to injuries. The present work focuses on lateral thoracic impacts and follows an experimental approach. The projectiles are made with a soft foam nose assembled with a rigid rear plastic part. The dynamic properties of the foams were first determined using the Split Hopkinson Pressure Bar (SHPB) system. The impact forces on a rigid wall were then measured to provide reference load data. Lastly, shots were made on isolated thoraxes of porcine cadavers to investigate the response in the vicinity of the impact (wall displacements, rib accelerations and strains, rib fractures). Results show that the severity of the response appears to be mainly correlated with the impulse and with the pre-impact momentum. PMID:25951500

  18. Estimating the shooting distance of a 9-mm Parabellum bullet via ballistic experiment.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bresson, F; Franck, O

    2009-11-20

    We demonstrate here how the shooting distance of a 9-mm Parabellum FMJ bullet (115gr) has been estimated via shooting experiments. Such a bullet was found by investigators near a concrete wall, fairly distorted at its tip. The bullet carries no evidence of multiple impact and no evidence of ballistic impact on the wall has been reported. We estimated the impact velocity by comparing the questioned bullet with a set of comparison bullets hitting a wall (rigid target) with different velocities. The shooting distance was recovered from the impact velocity by studying the typical behavior of a manufactured 9 mm bullet weighting 115g (7.45g), shot in pistol or a sub-machine gun. The results demonstrated that the questioned bullet was a lost bullet. The shooting distance also helped the investigators, narrowing the range of the estimated positions of the shooter. PMID:19733457

  19. Ballistic parameters and trauma potential of carbon dioxide-actuated arrow pistols.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Nguyen, Tien Thanh; Grossjohann, Rico; Ekkernkamp, Axel; Bockholdt, Britta; Frank, Matthias

    2015-05-01

    Medical literature abounds with reports of injuries and fatalities caused by arrows and crossbow bolts. Crossbows are of particular forensic and traumatological interest, because their mode of construction allows for temporary mechanical storage of energy. A newly developed type of pistol (Arcus Arrowstar), which belongs to the category of air and carbon dioxide weapons, discharges arrow-shaped bolts actuated by carbon dioxide cylinders. As, to the best of the authors' knowledge, literature contains no information on this uncommon subclass of weapons it is the aim of this work to provide the experimental data and to assess the trauma potential of these projectiles based on the ascertained physical parameters. Basic kinetic parameters of these carbon dioxide-actuated bolts (velocity v = 39 m/s, energy E = 7.2 J, energy density E' = 0.26 J/mm(2)) are similar to bolts discharged by pistol crossbows. Subsequent firing resulted in a continuous and fast decrease in kinetic energy of the arrows. Test shots into ballistic soap blocks reveal a high penetration capacity, especially when compared to conventional projectiles of equal kinetic energy values (like, e.g., airgun pellets). To conclude, these data demonstrate the high efficiency of arrow-shaped projectiles, which are also characterized by a high cross-sectional density (ratio of mass to cross-sectional area of a projectile). PMID:25246008

  20. Identification of the selected parameters of the model in the process of ballistic impact

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    K. Jamroziak

    2011-12-01

    Full Text Available Purpose: Analysis of the process of overshooting the material with high speed refers to the identification of certain properties of elasto-dissipative materials. The result of this identification is to determine the value of deformation on the basis of changes in the speed of the projectile inside the material until it stops or overshoot this material.Design/methodology/approach: On the basis of the proposed dynamic models of piercing the material using energy balance equations, dissipation of the energy of mass which strikes the shield has been described.Findings: Dependence of the values of elastic energy and dissipative energy has been derived based on the energy balance equations whose values determine the sensitivity of the analyzed parameters of the dynamic models of the overshooting process.Research limitations/implications: Dynamic models have been analyzed and the impact energy balance equations have been derived. Those equations were the basis to determine the constants and to show their mathematical and graphical interpretation.Practical implications: Derivation of the dependence for the constants, which are characteristic for the energy balance equations, allowed to describe by dependencies the selected parameters of the model, whose identification may be performed using a special quasi-statistical tests on special stand or in the manner as described.Originality/value: Presented work including the identification of piercing the ballistic shield is a part of work on the implementation of the degenerated models to describe these phenomena.

  1. Parameter estimation and inverse problems

    CERN Document Server

    Aster, Richard C; Thurber, Clifford H

    2005-01-01

    Parameter Estimation and Inverse Problems primarily serves as a textbook for advanced undergraduate and introductory graduate courses. Class notes have been developed and reside on the World Wide Web for faciliting use and feedback by teaching colleagues. The authors'' treatment promotes an understanding of fundamental and practical issus associated with parameter fitting and inverse problems including basic theory of inverse problems, statistical issues, computational issues, and an understanding of how to analyze the success and limitations of solutions to these probles. The text is also a practical resource for general students and professional researchers, where techniques and concepts can be readily picked up on a chapter-by-chapter basis.Parameter Estimation and Inverse Problems is structured around a course at New Mexico Tech and is designed to be accessible to typical graduate students in the physical sciences who may not have an extensive mathematical background. It is accompanied by a Web site that...

  2. Parameter Estimation Using VLA Data

    Science.gov (United States)

    Venter, Willem C.

    The main objective of this dissertation is to extract parameters from multiple wavelength images, on a pixel-to-pixel basis, when the images are corrupted with noise and a point spread function. The data used are from the field of radio astronomy. The very large array (VLA) at Socorro in New Mexico was used to observe planetary nebula NGC 7027 at three different wavelengths, 2 cm, 6 cm and 20 cm. A temperature model, describing the temperature variation in the nebula as a function of optical depth, is postulated. Mathematical expressions for the brightness distribution (flux density) of the nebula, at the three observed wavelengths, are obtained. Using these three equations and the three data values available, one from the observed flux density map at each wavelength, it is possible to solve for two temperature parameters and one optical depth parameter at each pixel location. Due to the fact that the number of unknowns equal the number of equations available, estimation theory cannot be used to smooth any noise present in the data values. It was found that a direct solution of the three highly nonlinear flux density equations is very sensitive to noise in the data. Results obtained from solving for the three unknown parameters directly, as discussed above, were not physical realizable. This was partly due to the effect of incomplete sampling at the time when the data were gathered and to noise in the system. The application of rigorous digital parameter estimation techniques result in estimated parameters that are also not physically realizable. The estimated values for the temperature parameters are for example either too high or negative, which is not physically possible. Simulation studies have shown that a "double smoothing" technique improves the results by a large margin. This technique consists of two parts: in the first part the original observed data are smoothed using a running window and in the second part a similar smoothing of the estimated parameters

  3. Effective parameters of quasi-ballistic Nb-InAs-N Josephson junctions

    Science.gov (United States)

    Correa, Juliet; Gwinn, Elisabeth; Thomas, Mason

    2003-03-01

    We present a study of the temperature dependence of long semiconductor-coupled Josephson junctions that are mesoscopic in length, L, but not in width, W>>L. We compare our data for the critical current, I_c(T), to a theory for long, diffusive SNS junctions. Â"LongÂ" junctions have Δ/ɛc >>1 where ɛc is the Thouless energy and Δ is the energy gap of the superconductor. Although our junctions are nominally ballistic in the length direction, we justify comparison to a diffusive theory^1 by the effects of normal reflections at the superconductor/quantum-well boundaries. Fits of the data to this theory return values of the diffusion constant that agree with the quantum well parameters, and an effective junction length, L', that is several times the lithographic length, indicating several normal reflections per Andreev reflection. ^1 P. Dubos, H. Courtois, B. Pannetier, F.K. Wilhelm, A.D. Azikin, and G. Schön, Phys. Rev. B 63, (2001).

  4. Improving absolute gravity estimates by the $L_p$-norm approximation of the ballistic trajectory

    CERN Document Server

    Nagornyi, V D; Araya, A

    2015-01-01

    Iteratively Re-weighted Least Squares (IRLS) were used to simulate the $L_p$-norm approximation of the ballistic trajectory in absolute gravimeters. Two iterations of the IRLS delivered sufficient accuracy of the approximation, with the bias indiscernible in random noise. The simulations were performed for different samplings of the trajectory and different distributions of the data noise. On the platykurtic distributions, the simulations found $L_p$-approximation with $p\\approx 3.25$ to yield several times more precise gravity estimates than those obtained with the standard least-squares ($p=2$). The similar improvement at $p\\approx 3.5$ was observed on real data measured at the excessive noise conditions.

  5. Load Estimation from Modal Parameters

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Aenlle, Manuel López; Brincker, Rune; Fernández, Pelayo Fernández; Canteli, Alfonso Fernández

    In Natural Input Modal Analysis the modal parameters are estimated just from the responses while the loading is not recorded. However, engineers are sometimes interested in knowing some features of the loading acting on a structure. In this paper, a procedure to determine the loading from a FRF...... matrix assembled from modal parameters and the experimental responses recorded using standard sensors, is presented. The method implies the inversion of the FRF which, in general, is not full rank matrix due to the truncation of the modal space. Furthermore, some ecommendations are included to improve...

  6. Inflation and cosmological parameter estimation

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Hamann, J.

    2007-05-15

    In this work, we focus on two aspects of cosmological data analysis: inference of parameter values and the search for new effects in the inflationary sector. Constraints on cosmological parameters are commonly derived under the assumption of a minimal model. We point out that this procedure systematically underestimates errors and possibly biases estimates, due to overly restrictive assumptions. In a more conservative approach, we analyse cosmological data using a more general eleven-parameter model. We find that regions of the parameter space that were previously thought ruled out are still compatible with the data; the bounds on individual parameters are relaxed by up to a factor of two, compared to the results for the minimal six-parameter model. Moreover, we analyse a class of inflation models, in which the slow roll conditions are briefly violated, due to a step in the potential. We show that the presence of a step generically leads to an oscillating spectrum and perform a fit to CMB and galaxy clustering data. We do not find conclusive evidence for a step in the potential and derive strong bounds on quantities that parameterise the step. (orig.)

  7. Estimation of Synchronous Machine Parameters

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Oddvar Hallingstad

    1980-01-01

    Full Text Available The present paper gives a short description of an interactive estimation program based on the maximum likelihood (ML method. The program may also perform identifiability analysis by calculating sensitivity functions and the Hessian matrix. For the short circuit test the ML method is able to estimate the q-axis subtransient reactance x''q, which is not possible by means of the conventional graphical method (another set of measurements has to be used. By means of the synchronization and close test, the ML program can estimate the inertial constant (M, the d-axis transient open circuit time constant (T'do, the d-axis subtransient o.c.t.c (T''do and the q-axis subtransient o.c.t.c (T''qo. In particular, T''qo is difficult to estimate by any of the methods at present in use. Parameter identifiability is thoroughly examined both analytically and by numerical methods. Measurements from a small laboratory machine are used.

  8. Parameter estimation and inverse problems

    CERN Document Server

    Aster, Richard C; Thurber, Clifford H

    2011-01-01

    Parameter Estimation and Inverse Problems, 2e provides geoscience students and professionals with answers to common questions like how one can derive a physical model from a finite set of observations containing errors, and how one may determine the quality of such a model. This book takes on these fundamental and challenging problems, introducing students and professionals to the broad range of approaches that lie in the realm of inverse theory. The authors present both the underlying theory and practical algorithms for solving inverse problems. The authors' treatment is approp

  9. Applied parameter estimation for chemical engineers

    CERN Document Server

    Englezos, Peter

    2000-01-01

    Formulation of the parameter estimation problem; computation of parameters in linear models-linear regression; Gauss-Newton method for algebraic models; other nonlinear regression methods for algebraic models; Gauss-Newton method for ordinary differential equation (ODE) models; shortcut estimation methods for ODE models; practical guidelines for algorithm implementation; constrained parameter estimation; Gauss-Newton method for partial differential equation (PDE) models; statistical inferences; design of experiments; recursive parameter estimation; parameter estimation in nonlinear thermodynam

  10. SURFACE VOLUME ESTIMATES FOR INFILTRATION PARAMETER ESTIMATION

    Science.gov (United States)

    Volume balance calculations used in surface irrigation engineering analysis require estimates of surface storage. These calculations are often performed by estimating upstream depth with a normal depth formula. That assumption can result in significant volume estimation errors when upstream flow d...

  11. Data Handling and Parameter Estimation

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Sin, Gürkan; Gernaey, Krist

    2016-01-01

    literature that are mostly based on the ActivatedSludge Model (ASM) framework and their appropriate extensions (Henze et al., 2000).The chapter presents an overview of the most commonly used methods in the estimation of parameters from experimental batch data, namely: (i) data handling and validation, (ii...... spatial scales. At full-scale wastewater treatment plants (WWTPs),mechanistic modelling using the ASM framework and concept (e.g. Henze et al., 2000) has become an important part of the engineering toolbox for process engineers. It supports plant design, operation, optimization and control applications......). Models have also been used as an integral part of the comprehensive analysis and interpretation of data obtained from a range of experimental methods from the laboratory, as well as pilot-scale studies to characterise and study wastewater treatment plants. In this regard, models help to properly explain...

  12. Influence of Various Process Parameters on Mechanical Properties and Ballistics of Nitramine-Based Advanced CMDB Propellants

    OpenAIRE

    S. N. Asthana; S. R. Gore; M. V. Vaidya; Venkatesan, K; P.G. Shrotri

    1991-01-01

    This paper reports the influence of important process parameters, namely mixing time and batch size; on the mechanical properties and ballistics of nitramine-based advanced CMDB propellants. Considerable improvement to the tune of 67 per cent in tensile strength was observed at a mixing time increase of 60-135 min. Scaling up of batch size from 8 to 25 kg resulted in 30 per cent higher tensile strength. Recorded enhancement of burning rate was of the order of 8 per cent in both the set...

  13. Shot noise effect on noise source and noise parameter of 10-nm-scale quasi-ballistic n-/p-type MOS devices

    Science.gov (United States)

    Jeon, Jongwook; Kang, Myounggon

    2016-05-01

    In this work, we investigated the noise source and noise parameters of a quasi-ballistic MOSFET at the high-frequency regime. We presented the shot noise properties in the measured drain current noise and its impact on the induced gate noise and the noise parameters of 10-nm-scale n-/p-type MOS (N/PMOS) devices for the first time. The measured noise sources and noise parameters were carefully analyzed with the shot and thermal noise models in all operation regions. On the basis of the results, new noise parameter models are proposed and the noise performance improvement in the quasi-ballistic regime is shown.

  14. Review Of Parameter Estimation Using Adaptive Filtering

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    LALITA RANI, SHALOO KIKAN

    2013-07-01

    Full Text Available In this paper, a comparative study of different adaptive filter algorithm for channel parameter estimation is described. We presented different parameter estimation approaches of adaptive filtering. An extended Kalman filter is then applied as a near-optimal solution to the adaptive channel parameter estimation problem. Kalman filtering is applied for motion parameters resulting in optimal pose estimation. A parallel Kalman filter is applied for joint estimation of code delay, multipath gains and Doppler shift. In this paper, a complete review of parameter estimation using adaptive filtering is explained.

  15. Estimation of Synchronous Machine Parameters

    OpenAIRE

    Oddvar Hallingstad

    1980-01-01

    The present paper gives a short description of an interactive estimation program based on the maximum likelihood (ML) method. The program may also perform identifiability analysis by calculating sensitivity functions and the Hessian matrix. For the short circuit test the ML method is able to estimate the q-axis subtransient reactance x''q, which is not possible by means of the conventional graphical method (another set of measurements has to be used). By means of the synchronization and close...

  16. Design of an Impact Test for Estimating the Deformation Energies of Projectiles in Wound Ballistics Studies

    OpenAIRE

    M. Jauhari; Bandyopadhyay, A

    1980-01-01

    The paper suggests an impact test which can be used to evaluate the deformation energies of small arm projectiles. Such an evaluation is of significance in wound ballistics studies while determining the amount of energy actually consumed in causing cavitation. Various sources of error inherent in the test have been discussed and it has been concluded that although approximate, the test can serve the useful purpose of providing a basis for interpreting the energy loss figures in gel on a ratio...

  17. Estimation of physical parameters in induction motors

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Børsting, H.; Knudsen, Morten; Rasmussen, Henrik;

    1994-01-01

    Parameter estimation in induction motors is a field of great interest, because accurate models are needed for robust dynamic control of induction motors......Parameter estimation in induction motors is a field of great interest, because accurate models are needed for robust dynamic control of induction motors...

  18. Postprocessing MPEG based on estimated quantization parameters

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Forchhammer, Søren

    2009-01-01

    the case where the coded stream is not accessible, or from an architectural point of view not desirable to use, and instead estimate some of the MPEG stream parameters based on the decoded sequence. The I-frames are detected and the quantization parameters are estimated from the coded stream and used...

  19. Estimation for large non-centrality parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Inácio, Sónia; Mexia, João; Fonseca, Miguel; Carvalho, Francisco

    2016-06-01

    We introduce the concept of estimability for models for which accurate estimators can be obtained for the respective parameters. The study was conducted for model with almost scalar matrix using the study of estimability after validation of these models. In the validation of these models we use F statistics with non centrality parameter τ =‖λ/‖2 σ2 when this parameter is sufficiently large we obtain good estimators for λ and α so there is estimability. Thus, we are interested in obtaining a lower bound for the non-centrality parameter. In this context we use for the statistical inference inducing pivot variables, see Ferreira et al. 2013, and asymptotic linearity, introduced by Mexia & Oliveira 2011, to derive confidence intervals for large non-centrality parameters (see Inácio et al. 2015). These results enable us to measure relevance of effects and interactions in multifactors models when we get highly statistically significant the values of F tests statistics.

  20. ESTIMATION ACCURACY OF EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION PARAMETERS

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    muhammad zahid rashid

    2011-04-01

    Full Text Available The exponential distribution is commonly used to model the behavior of units that have a constant failure rate. The two-parameter exponential distribution provides a simple but nevertheless useful model for the analysis of lifetimes, especially when investigating reliability of technical equipment.This paper is concerned with estimation of parameters of the two parameter (location and scale exponential distribution. We used the least squares method (LSM, relative least squares method (RELS, ridge regression method (RR,  moment estimators (ME, modified moment estimators (MME, maximum likelihood estimators (MLE and modified maximum likelihood estimators (MMLE. We used the mean square error MSE, and total deviation TD, as measurement for the comparison between these methods. We determined the best method for estimation using different values for the parameters and different sample sizes

  1. Translational Motion Compensation for Ballistic Targets Based on Delayed Conjugated Multiplication

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    He Si-san

    2014-10-01

    Full Text Available The micro-motion is combined with the high velocity of translation motion for ballistic targets. The translation motion should be compensated for micro-Doppler information extraction. A new method based on delay conjugate multiplication is proposed to compensate the translation motion of ballistic target. By delay conjugate multiplication of the received signal, the micro-Doppler information are canceled out and the translation motion parameters estimation problem is transformed as an multi-polynomial phase signal parameters estimation problem. Thus, the translation parameters can be estimated. Simulation results suggest that the proposed algorithm can achieve high-precision compensation for ballistic targets under low SNR.

  2. Distributed Parameter Estimation in Probabilistic Graphical Models

    OpenAIRE

    Mizrahi, Yariv Dror; Denil, Misha; De Freitas, Nando

    2014-01-01

    This paper presents foundational theoretical results on distributed parameter estimation for undirected probabilistic graphical models. It introduces a general condition on composite likelihood decompositions of these models which guarantees the global consistency of distributed estimators, provided the local estimators are consistent.

  3. Cosmological parameter estimation using Particle Swarm Optimization

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Constraining parameters of a theoretical model from observational data is an important exercise in cosmology. There are many theoretically motivated models, which demand greater number of cosmological parameters than the standard model of cosmology uses, and make the problem of parameter estimation challenging. It is a common practice to employ Bayesian formalism for parameter estimation for which, in general, likelihood surface is probed. For the standard cosmological model with six parameters, likelihood surface is quite smooth and does not have local maxima, and sampling based methods like Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) method are quite successful. However, when there are a large number of parameters or the likelihood surface is not smooth, other methods may be more effective. In this paper, we have demonstrated application of another method inspired from artificial intelligence, called Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for estimating cosmological parameters from Cosmic Microwave Background (CMB) data taken from the WMAP satellite

  4. Design of an Impact Test for Estimating the Deformation Energies of Projectiles in Wound Ballistics Studies

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    M. Jauhari

    1980-04-01

    Full Text Available The paper suggests an impact test which can be used to evaluate the deformation energies of small arm projectiles. Such an evaluation is of significance in wound ballistics studies while determining the amount of energy actually consumed in causing cavitation. Various sources of error inherent in the test have been discussed and it has been concluded that although approximate, the test can serve the useful purpose of providing a basis for interpreting the energy loss figures in gel on a rational and scientific basis.

  5. State and parameter estimation in bio processes

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Maher, M.; Roux, G.; Dahhou, B. [Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), 31 - Toulouse (France)]|[Institut National des Sciences Appliquees (INSA), 31 - Toulouse (France)

    1994-12-31

    A major difficulty in monitoring and control of bio-processes is the lack of reliable and simple sensors for following the evolution of the main state variables and parameters such as biomass, substrate, product, growth rate, etc... In this article, an adaptive estimation algorithm is proposed to recover the state and parameters in bio-processes. This estimator utilizes the physical process model and the reference model approach. Experimentations concerning estimation of biomass and product concentrations and specific growth rate, during batch, fed-batch and continuous fermentation processes are presented. The results show the performance of this adaptive estimation approach. (authors) 12 refs.

  6. Terminal ballistics

    CERN Document Server

    Rosenberg, Zvi

    2016-01-01

    This book comprehensively discusses essential aspects of terminal ballistics, combining experimental data, numerical simulations and analytical modeling. Employing a unique approach to numerical simulations as a measure of sensitivity for the major physical parameters, the new edition also includes the following features: new figures to better illustrate the problems discussed; improved explanations for the equation of state of a solid and for the cavity expansion process; new data concerning the Kolsky bar test; and a discussion of analytical modeling for the hole diameter in a thin metallic plate impacted by a shaped charge jet. The section on thick concrete targets penetrated by rigid projectiles has now been expanded to include the latest findings, and two new sections have been added: one on a novel approach to the perforation of thin concrete slabs, and one on testing the failure of thin metallic plates using a hydrodynamic ram.

  7. DEB parameters estimation for Mytilus edulis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Saraiva, S.; van der Meer, J.; Kooijman, S. A. L. M.; Sousa, T.

    2011-11-01

    The potential of DEB theory to simulate an organism life-cycle has been demonstrated at numerous occasions. However, its applicability requires parameter estimates that are not easily obtained by direct observations. During the last years various attempts were made to estimate the main DEB parameters for bivalve species. The estimation procedure was by then, however, rather ad-hoc and based on additional assumptions that were not always consistent with the DEB theory principles. A new approach has now been developed - the covariation method - based on simultaneous minimization of the weighted sum of squared deviations between data sets and model predictions in one single procedure. This paper presents the implementation of this method to estimate the DEB parameters for the blue mussel Mytilus edulis, using several data sets from the literature. After comparison with previous trials we conclude that the parameter set obtained by the covariation method leads to a better fit between model and observations, with potentially more consistency and robustness.

  8. On Carleman estimates with two large parameters

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We provide a general framework for the analysis and the derivation of Carleman estimates with two large parameters. For an appropriate form of weight functions strong pseudo-convexity conditions are shown to be necessary and sufficient.

  9. Nonlinear parameter identification: Ballistic range experience applicable to flight testing. [using Gauss-Newton method

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chapman, G.; Kirk, D.

    1974-01-01

    The parameter identification scheme being used is a differential correction least squares procedure (Gauss-Newton method). The position, orientation, and derivatives of these quantities with respect to the parameters of interest (i.e., sensitivity coefficients) are determined by digital integration of the equations of motion and the parametric differential equations. The application of this technique to three vastly different sets of data is used to illustrate the versatility of the method and to indicate some of the problems that still remain.

  10. Parameter Estimation of Partial Differential Equation Models

    KAUST Repository

    Xun, Xiaolei

    2013-09-01

    Partial differential equation (PDE) models are commonly used to model complex dynamic systems in applied sciences such as biology and finance. The forms of these PDE models are usually proposed by experts based on their prior knowledge and understanding of the dynamic system. Parameters in PDE models often have interesting scientific interpretations, but their values are often unknown and need to be estimated from the measurements of the dynamic system in the presence of measurement errors. Most PDEs used in practice have no analytic solutions, and can only be solved with numerical methods. Currently, methods for estimating PDE parameters require repeatedly solving PDEs numerically under thousands of candidate parameter values, and thus the computational load is high. In this article, we propose two methods to estimate parameters in PDE models: a parameter cascading method and a Bayesian approach. In both methods, the underlying dynamic process modeled with the PDE model is represented via basis function expansion. For the parameter cascading method, we develop two nested levels of optimization to estimate the PDE parameters. For the Bayesian method, we develop a joint model for data and the PDE and develop a novel hierarchical model allowing us to employ Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques to make posterior inference. Simulation studies show that the Bayesian method and parameter cascading method are comparable, and both outperform other available methods in terms of estimation accuracy. The two methods are demonstrated by estimating parameters in a PDE model from long-range infrared light detection and ranging data. Supplementary materials for this article are available online. © 2013 American Statistical Association.

  11. GEODYN- ORBITAL AND GEODETIC PARAMETER ESTIMATION

    Science.gov (United States)

    Putney, B.

    1994-01-01

    The Orbital and Geodetic Parameter Estimation program, GEODYN, possesses the capability to estimate that set of orbital elements, station positions, measurement biases, and a set of force model parameters such that the orbital tracking data from multiple arcs of multiple satellites best fits the entire set of estimation parameters. The estimation problem can be divided into two parts: the orbit prediction problem, and the parameter estimation problem. GEODYN solves these two problems by employing Cowell's method for integrating the orbit and a Bayesian least squares statistical estimation procedure for parameter estimation. GEODYN has found a wide range of applications including determination of definitive orbits, tracking instrumentation calibration, satellite operational predictions, and geodetic parameter estimation, such as the estimations for global networks of tracking stations. The orbit prediction problem may be briefly described as calculating for some later epoch the new conditions of state for the satellite, given a set of initial conditions of state for some epoch, and the disturbing forces affecting the motion of the satellite. The user is required to supply only the initial conditions of state and GEODYN will provide the forcing function and integrate the equations of motion of the satellite. Additionally, GEODYN performs time and coordinate transformations to insure the continuity of operations. Cowell's method of numerical integration is used to solve the satellite equations of motion and the variational partials for force model parameters which are to be adjusted. This method uses predictor-corrector formulas for the equations of motion and corrector formulas only for the variational partials. The parameter estimation problem is divided into three separate parts: 1) instrument measurement modeling and partial derivative computation, 2) data error correction, and 3) statistical estimation of the parameters. Since all of the measurements modeled by

  12. Statistics of Parameter Estimates: A Concrete Example

    KAUST Repository

    Aguilar, Oscar

    2015-01-01

    © 2015 Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics. Most mathematical models include parameters that need to be determined from measurements. The estimated values of these parameters and their uncertainties depend on assumptions made about noise levels, models, or prior knowledge. But what can we say about the validity of such estimates, and the influence of these assumptions? This paper is concerned with methods to address these questions, and for didactic purposes it is written in the context of a concrete nonlinear parameter estimation problem. We will use the results of a physical experiment conducted by Allmaras et al. at Texas A&M University [M. Allmaras et al., SIAM Rev., 55 (2013), pp. 149-167] to illustrate the importance of validation procedures for statistical parameter estimation. We describe statistical methods and data analysis tools to check the choices of likelihood and prior distributions, and provide examples of how to compare Bayesian results with those obtained by non-Bayesian methods based on different types of assumptions. We explain how different statistical methods can be used in complementary ways to improve the understanding of parameter estimates and their uncertainties.

  13. LISA parameter estimation using numerical merger waveforms

    CERN Document Server

    Thorpe, J I; Kelly, B J; Fahey, R P; Arnaud, K; Baker, J G

    2008-01-01

    Recent advances in numerical relativity provide a detailed description of the waveforms of coalescing massive black hole binaries (MBHBs), expected to be the strongest detectable LISA sources. We present a preliminary study of LISA's sensitivity to MBHB parameters using a hybrid numerical/analytic waveform for equal-mass, non-spinning holes. The Synthetic LISA software package is used to simulate the instrument response and the Fisher information matrix method is used to estimate errors in the parameters. Initial results indicate that inclusion of the merger signal can significantly improve the precision of some parameter estimates. For example, the median parameter errors for an ensemble of systems with total redshifted mass of one million Solar masses at a redshift of one were found to decrease by a factor of slightly more than two for signals with merger as compared to signals truncated at the Schwarzchild ISCO.

  14. LISA parameter estimation using numerical merger waveforms

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Thorpe, J I; McWilliams, S T; Kelly, B J; Fahey, R P; Arnaud, K; Baker, J G, E-mail: James.I.Thorpe@nasa.go [NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, 8800 Greenbelt Rd, Greenbelt, MD 20771 (United States)

    2009-05-07

    Recent advances in numerical relativity provide a detailed description of the waveforms of coalescing massive black hole binaries (MBHBs), expected to be the strongest detectable LISA sources. We present a preliminary study of LISA's sensitivity to MBHB parameters using a hybrid numerical/analytic waveform for equal-mass, non-spinning holes. The Synthetic LISA software package is used to simulate the instrument response, and the Fisher information matrix method is used to estimate errors in the parameters. Initial results indicate that inclusion of the merger signal can significantly improve the precision of some parameter estimates. For example, the median parameter errors for an ensemble of systems with total redshifted mass of 10{sup 6} M{sub o-dot} at a redshift of z approx 1 were found to decrease by a factor of slightly more than two for signals with merger as compared to signals truncated at the Schwarzchild ISCO.

  15. LISA parameter estimation using numerical merger waveforms

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Recent advances in numerical relativity provide a detailed description of the waveforms of coalescing massive black hole binaries (MBHBs), expected to be the strongest detectable LISA sources. We present a preliminary study of LISA's sensitivity to MBHB parameters using a hybrid numerical/analytic waveform for equal-mass, non-spinning holes. The Synthetic LISA software package is used to simulate the instrument response, and the Fisher information matrix method is used to estimate errors in the parameters. Initial results indicate that inclusion of the merger signal can significantly improve the precision of some parameter estimates. For example, the median parameter errors for an ensemble of systems with total redshifted mass of 106 Mo-dot at a redshift of z ∼ 1 were found to decrease by a factor of slightly more than two for signals with merger as compared to signals truncated at the Schwarzchild ISCO.

  16. Parameter Estimation of Noise Corrupted Sinusoids

    CERN Document Server

    O'Brien, Francis J; Johnnie, Nathan

    2011-01-01

    Existing algorithms for fitting the parameters of a sinusoid to noisy discrete time observations are not always successful due to initial value sensitivity and other issues. This paper demonstrates the techniques of FIR filtering, Fast Fourier Transform, and nonlinear least squares minimization as useful in the parameter estimation of amplitude, frequency and phase exemplified for a low-frequency time-delayed sinusoid describing simple harmonic motion. Alternative means are described for estimating frequency and phase angle. An autocorrelation function for harmonic motion is also derived.

  17. Modelling and parameter estimation of dynamic systems

    CERN Document Server

    Raol, JR; Singh, J

    2004-01-01

    Parameter estimation is the process of using observations from a system to develop mathematical models that adequately represent the system dynamics. The assumed model consists of a finite set of parameters, the values of which are calculated using estimation techniques. Most of the techniques that exist are based on least-square minimization of error between the model response and actual system response. However, with the proliferation of high speed digital computers, elegant and innovative techniques like filter error method, H-infinity and Artificial Neural Networks are finding more and mor

  18. Parameter estimation of the WMTD model

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    LUO Ji; QIU Hong-bing

    2009-01-01

    The MTD (mixture transition distribution) model based on Weibull distribution (WMTD model) is proposed in this paper, which is aimed at its parameter estimation. An EM algorithm for estimation is given and shown to work well by some simulations. And bootstrap method is used to obtain confidence regions for the parameters. Finally, the results of a real example--predicting stock prices--show that the WMTD model proposed is able to capture the features of the data from thick-tailed distribution better than GMTD (mixture transition distribution) model.

  19. Hurst Parameter Estimation Using Artificial Neural Networks

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    S..Ledesma-Orozco

    2011-08-01

    Full Text Available The Hurst parameter captures the amount of long-range dependence (LRD in a time series. There are severalmethods to estimate the Hurst parameter, being the most popular: the variance-time plot, the R/S plot, theperiodogram, and Whittle’s estimator. The first three are graphical methods, and the estimation accuracy depends onhow the plot is interpreted and calculated. In contrast, Whittle’s estimator is based on a maximum likelihood techniqueand does not depend on a graph reading; however, it is computationally expensive. A new method to estimate theHurst parameter is proposed. This new method is based on an artificial neural network. Experimental results showthat this method outperforms traditional approaches, and can be used on applications where a fast and accurateestimate of the Hurst parameter is required, i.e., computer network traffic control. Additionally, the Hurst parameterwas computed on series of different length using several methods. The simulation results show that the proposedmethod is at least ten times faster than traditional methods.

  20. Multi-Parameter Estimation for Orthorhombic Media

    KAUST Repository

    Masmoudi, Nabil

    2015-08-19

    Building reliable anisotropy models is crucial in seismic modeling, imaging and full waveform inversion. However, estimating anisotropy parameters is often hampered by the trade off between inhomogeneity and anisotropy. For instance, one way to estimate the anisotropy parameters is to relate them analytically to traveltimes, which is challenging in inhomogeneous media. Using perturbation theory, we develop travel-time approximations for orthorhombic media as explicit functions of the anellipticity parameters η1, η2 and a parameter Δγ in inhomogeneous background media. Specifically, our expansion assumes inhomogeneous ellipsoidal anisotropic background model, which can be obtained from well information and stacking velocity analysis. This approach has two main advantages: in one hand, it provides a computationally efficient tool to solve the orthorhombic eikonal equation, on the other hand, it provides a mechanism to scan for the best fitting anisotropy parameters without the need for repetitive modeling of traveltimes, because the coefficients of the traveltime expansion are independent of the perturbed parameters. Furthermore, the coefficients of the traveltime expansion provide insights on the sensitivity of the traveltime with respect to the perturbed parameters. We show the accuracy of the traveltime approximations as well as an approach for multi-parameter scanning in orthorhombic media.

  1. Performance Analysis of Parameter Estimation Using LASSO

    OpenAIRE

    Panahi, Ashkan; Viberg, Mats

    2012-01-01

    The Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) has gained attention in a wide class of continuous parametric estimation problems with promising results. It has been a subject of research for more than a decade. Due to the nature of LASSO, the previous analyses have been non-parametric. This ignores useful information and makes it difficult to compare LASSO to traditional estimators. In particular, the role of the regularization parameter and super-resolution properties of LASSO h...

  2. Biosorption Parameter Estimation with Genetic Algorithm

    OpenAIRE

    Yung-Tse Hung; Eui Yong Kim; Xiao Feng; Khim Hoong Chu

    2011-01-01

    In biosorption research, a fairly broad range of mathematical models are used to correlate discrete data points obtained from batch equilibrium, batch kinetic or fixed bed breakthrough experiments. Most of these models are inherently nonlinear in their parameters. Some of the models have enjoyed widespread use, largely because they can be linearized to allow the estimation of parameters by least-squares linear regression. Selecting a model for data correlation appears to be dictated by the ea...

  3. Spin bath narrowing with adaptive parameter estimation

    OpenAIRE

    Cappellaro, Paola

    2012-01-01

    We present a measurement scheme capable of achieving the quantum limit of parameter estimation using an adaptive strategy that minimizes the parameter's variance at each step. The adaptive rule we propose makes the scheme robust against errors, in particular imperfect readouts, a critical requirement to extend adaptive schemes from quantum optics to solid-state sensors. Thanks to recent advances in single-shot readout capabilities for electronic spins in the solid state (such as Nitrogen Vaca...

  4. Parameter Estimation of Noise Corrupted Sinusoids

    OpenAIRE

    O'Brien, Jr., W.,; Johnnie, Nathan

    2011-01-01

    Existing algorithms for fitting the parameters of a sinusoid to noisy discrete time observations are not always successful due to initial value sensitivity and other issues. This paper demonstrates the techniques of FIR filtering, Fast Fourier Transform, circular autocorreltion, and nonlinear least squares minimization as useful in the parameter estimation of amplitude, frequency and phase exemplified for a low-frequency time-delayed sinusoid describing simple harmonic motion. Alternative mea...

  5. Robust estimation of hydrological model parameters

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    A. Bárdossy

    2008-11-01

    Full Text Available The estimation of hydrological model parameters is a challenging task. With increasing capacity of computational power several complex optimization algorithms have emerged, but none of the algorithms gives a unique and very best parameter vector. The parameters of fitted hydrological models depend upon the input data. The quality of input data cannot be assured as there may be measurement errors for both input and state variables. In this study a methodology has been developed to find a set of robust parameter vectors for a hydrological model. To see the effect of observational error on parameters, stochastically generated synthetic measurement errors were applied to observed discharge and temperature data. With this modified data, the model was calibrated and the effect of measurement errors on parameters was analysed. It was found that the measurement errors have a significant effect on the best performing parameter vector. The erroneous data led to very different optimal parameter vectors. To overcome this problem and to find a set of robust parameter vectors, a geometrical approach based on Tukey's half space depth was used. The depth of the set of N randomly generated parameters was calculated with respect to the set with the best model performance (Nash-Sutclife efficiency was used for this study for each parameter vector. Based on the depth of parameter vectors, one can find a set of robust parameter vectors. The results show that the parameters chosen according to the above criteria have low sensitivity and perform well when transfered to a different time period. The method is demonstrated on the upper Neckar catchment in Germany. The conceptual HBV model was used for this study.

  6. Aquifer parameter estimation from surface resistivity data.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Niwas, Sri; de Lima, Olivar A L

    2003-01-01

    This paper is devoted to the additional use, other than ground water exploration, of surface geoelectrical sounding data for aquifer hydraulic parameter estimation. In a mesoscopic framework, approximated analytical equations are developed separately for saline and for fresh water saturations. A few existing useful aquifer models, both for clean and shaley sandstones, are discussed in terms of their electrical and hydraulic effects, along with the linkage between the two. These equations are derived for insight and physical understanding of the phenomenon. In a macroscopic scale, a general aquifer model is proposed and analytical relations are derived for meaningful estimation, with a higher level of confidence, of hydraulic parameter from electrical parameters. The physical reasons for two different equations at the macroscopic level are explicitly explained to avoid confusion. Numerical examples from existing literature are reproduced to buttress our viewpoint. PMID:12533080

  7. Blind estimation of compartmental model parameters

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Computation of physiologically relevant kinetic parameters from dynamic PET or SPECT imaging requires knowledge of the blood input function. This work is concerned with developing methods to accurately estimate these kinetic parameters blindly; that is, without use of a directly measured blood input function. Instead, only measurements of the output functions - the tissue time-activity curves - are used. The blind estimation method employed here minimizes a set of cross-relation equations, from which the blood term has been factored out, to determine compartmental model parameters. The method was tested with simulated data appropriate for dynamic SPECT cardiac perfusion imaging with 99mTc-teboroxime and for dynamic PET cerebral blood flow imaging with 15O water. The simulations did not model the tomographic process. Noise levels typical of the respective modalities were employed. From three to eight different regions were simulated, each with different time-activity curves. The time-activity curve (24 or 70 time points) for each region was simulated with a compartment model. The simulation used a biexponential blood input function and washin rates between 0.2 and 1.3 min-1 and washout rates between 0.2 and 1.0 min-1. The system of equations was solved numerically and included constraints to bound the range of possible solutions. From the cardiac simulations, washin was determined to within a scale factor of the true washin parameters with less than 6% bias and 12% variability. 99mTc-teboroxime washout results had less than 5% bias, but variability ranged from 14% to 43%. The cerebral blood flow washin parameters were determined with less than 5% bias and 4% variability. The washout parameters were determined with less than 4% bias, but had 15-30% variability. Since washin is often the parameter of most use in clinical studies, the blind estimation approach may eliminate the current necessity of measuring the input function when performing certain dynamic studies

  8. Blind estimation of compartmental model parameters.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Di Bella, E V; Clackdoyle, R; Gullberg, G T

    1999-03-01

    Computation of physiologically relevant kinetic parameters from dynamic PET or SPECT imaging requires knowledge of the blood input function. This work is concerned with developing methods to accurately estimate these kinetic parameters blindly; that is, without use of a directly measured blood input function. Instead, only measurements of the output functions--the tissue time-activity curves--are used. The blind estimation method employed here minimizes a set of cross-relation equations, from which the blood term has been factored out, to determine compartmental model parameters. The method was tested with simulated data appropriate for dynamic SPECT cardiac perfusion imaging with 99mTc-teboroxime and for dynamic PET cerebral blood flow imaging with 15O water. The simulations did not model the tomographic process. Noise levels typical of the respective modalities were employed. From three to eight different regions were simulated, each with different time-activity curves. The time-activity curve (24 or 70 time points) for each region was simulated with a compartment model. The simulation used a biexponential blood input function and washin rates between 0.2 and 1.3 min(-1) and washout rates between 0.2 and 1.0 min(-1). The system of equations was solved numerically and included constraints to bound the range of possible solutions. From the cardiac simulations, washin was determined to within a scale factor of the true washin parameters with less than 6% bias and 12% variability. 99mTc-teboroxime washout results had less than 5% bias, but variability ranged from 14% to 43%. The cerebral blood flow washin parameters were determined with less than 5% bias and 4% variability. The washout parameters were determined with less than 4% bias, but had 15-30% variability. Since washin is often the parameter of most use in clinical studies, the blind estimation approach may eliminate the current necessity of measuring the input function when performing certain dynamic studies

  9. Parameter estimation in channel network flow simulation

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Han Longxi

    2008-01-01

    Simulations of water flow in channel networks require estimated values of roughness for all the individual channel segments that make up a network. When the number of individual channel segments is large, the parameter calibration workload is substantial and a high level of uncertainty in estimated roughness cannot be avoided. In this study, all the individual channel segments are graded according to the factors determining the value of roughness. It is assumed that channel segments with the same grade have the same value of roughness. Based on observed hydrological data, an optimal model for roughness estimation is built. The procedure of solving the optimal problem using the optimal model is described. In a test of its efficacy, this estimation method was applied successfully in the simulation of tidal water flow in a large complicated channel network in the lower reach of the Yangtze River in China.

  10. Nonparametric estimation of location and scale parameters

    KAUST Repository

    Potgieter, C.J.

    2012-12-01

    Two random variables X and Y belong to the same location-scale family if there are constants μ and σ such that Y and μ+σX have the same distribution. In this paper we consider non-parametric estimation of the parameters μ and σ under minimal assumptions regarding the form of the distribution functions of X and Y. We discuss an approach to the estimation problem that is based on asymptotic likelihood considerations. Our results enable us to provide a methodology that can be implemented easily and which yields estimators that are often near optimal when compared to fully parametric methods. We evaluate the performance of the estimators in a series of Monte Carlo simulations. © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

  11. Multiple Parameter Estimation With Quantized Channel Output

    CERN Document Server

    Mezghani, Amine; Nossek, Josef A

    2010-01-01

    We present a general problem formulation for optimal parameter estimation based on quantized observations, with application to antenna array communication and processing (channel estimation, time-of-arrival (TOA) and direction-of-arrival (DOA) estimation). The work is of interest in the case when low resolution A/D-converters (ADCs) have to be used to enable higher sampling rate and to simplify the hardware. An Expectation-Maximization (EM) based algorithm is proposed for solving this problem in a general setting. Besides, we derive the Cramer-Rao Bound (CRB) and discuss the effects of quantization and the optimal choice of the ADC characteristic. Numerical and analytical analysis reveals that reliable estimation may still be possible even when the quantization is very coarse.

  12. Sensor Placement for Modal Parameter Subset Estimation

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Ulriksen, Martin Dalgaard; Bernal, Dionisio; Damkilde, Lars

    2016-01-01

    The present paper proposes an approach for deciding on sensor placements in the context of modal parameter estimation from vibration measurements. The approach is based on placing sensors, of which the amount is determined a priori, such that the minimum Fisher information that the frequency...... responses carry on the selected modal parameter subset is, in some sense, maximized. The approach is validated in the context of a simple 10-DOF mass-spring-damper system by computing the variance of a set of identified modal parameters in a Monte Carlo setting for a set of sensor configurations, whose......). It is shown that the widely used Effective Independence (EI) method, which uses the modal amplitudes as surrogates for the parameters of interest, provides sensor configurations yielding theoretical lower bound variances whose maxima are up to 30 % larger than those obtained by use of the max-min approach....

  13. On closure parameter estimation in chaotic systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    J. Hakkarainen

    2012-02-01

    Full Text Available Many dynamical models, such as numerical weather prediction and climate models, contain so called closure parameters. These parameters usually appear in physical parameterizations of sub-grid scale processes, and they act as "tuning handles" of the models. Currently, the values of these parameters are specified mostly manually, but the increasing complexity of the models calls for more algorithmic ways to perform the tuning. Traditionally, parameters of dynamical systems are estimated by directly comparing the model simulations to observed data using, for instance, a least squares approach. However, if the models are chaotic, the classical approach can be ineffective, since small errors in the initial conditions can lead to large, unpredictable deviations from the observations. In this paper, we study numerical methods available for estimating closure parameters in chaotic models. We discuss three techniques: off-line likelihood calculations using filtering methods, the state augmentation method, and the approach that utilizes summary statistics from long model simulations. The properties of the methods are studied using a modified version of the Lorenz 95 system, where the effect of fast variables are described using a simple parameterization.

  14. Cosmological parameter estimation: impact of CMB aberration

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The peculiar motion of an observer with respect to the CMB rest frame induces an apparent deflection of the observed CMB photons, i.e. aberration, and a shift in their frequency, i.e. Doppler effect. Both effects distort the temperature multipoles alm's via a mixing matrix at any l. The common lore when performing a CMB based cosmological parameter estimation is to consider that Doppler affects only the l = 1 multipole, and neglect any other corrections. In this paper we reconsider the validity of this assumption, showing that it is actually not robust when sky cuts are included to model CMB foreground contaminations. Assuming a simple fiducial cosmological model with five parameters, we simulated CMB temperature maps of the sky in a WMAP-like and in a Planck-like experiment and added aberration and Doppler effects to the maps. We then analyzed with a MCMC in a Bayesian framework the maps with and without aberration and Doppler effects in order to assess the ability of reconstructing the parameters of the fiducial model. We find that, depending on the specific realization of the simulated data, the parameters can be biased up to one standard deviation for WMAP and almost two standard deviations for Planck. Therefore we conclude that in general it is not a solid assumption to neglect aberration in a CMB based cosmological parameter estimation

  15. CosmoSIS: modular cosmological parameter estimation

    CERN Document Server

    Zuntz, Joe; Jennings, Elise; Rudd, Douglas; Manzotti, Alessandro; Dodelson, Scott; Bridle, Sarah; Sehrish, Saba; Kowalkowski, James

    2014-01-01

    Cosmological parameter estimation is entering a new era. Large collaborations need to coordinate high-stakes analyses using multiple methods; furthermore such analyses have grown in complexity due to sophisticated models of cosmology and systematic uncertainties. In this paper we argue that modularity is the key to addressing these challenges: calculations should be broken up into interchangeable modular units with inputs and outputs clearly defined. We present a new framework for cosmological parameter estimation, CosmoSIS, designed to connect together, share, and advance development of inference tools across the community. We describe the modules already available in CosmoSIS, including CAMB, Planck, cosmic shear calculations, and a suite of samplers. We illustrate it using demonstration code that you can run out-of-the-box with the installer available at http://bitbucket.org/joezuntz/cosmosis

  16. Bayesian parameter estimation for effective field theories

    CERN Document Server

    Wesolowski, S; Furnstahl, R J; Phillips, D R; Thapaliya, A

    2015-01-01

    We present procedures based on Bayesian statistics for effective field theory (EFT) parameter estimation from data. The extraction of low-energy constants (LECs) is guided by theoretical expectations that supplement such information in a quantifiable way through the specification of Bayesian priors. A prior for natural-sized LECs reduces the possibility of overfitting, and leads to a consistent accounting of different sources of uncertainty. A set of diagnostic tools are developed that analyze the fit and ensure that the priors do not bias the EFT parameter estimation. The procedures are illustrated using representative model problems and the extraction of LECs for the nucleon mass expansion in SU(2) chiral perturbation theory from synthetic lattice data.

  17. Bayesian parameter estimation for effective field theories

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wesolowski, S.; Klco, N.; Furnstahl, R. J.; Phillips, D. R.; Thapaliya, A.

    2016-07-01

    We present procedures based on Bayesian statistics for estimating, from data, the parameters of effective field theories (EFTs). The extraction of low-energy constants (LECs) is guided by theoretical expectations in a quantifiable way through the specification of Bayesian priors. A prior for natural-sized LECs reduces the possibility of overfitting, and leads to a consistent accounting of different sources of uncertainty. A set of diagnostic tools is developed that analyzes the fit and ensures that the priors do not bias the EFT parameter estimation. The procedures are illustrated using representative model problems, including the extraction of LECs for the nucleon-mass expansion in SU(2) chiral perturbation theory from synthetic lattice data.

  18. Measurement Data Modeling and Parameter Estimation

    CERN Document Server

    Wang, Zhengming; Yao, Jing; Gu, Defeng

    2011-01-01

    Measurement Data Modeling and Parameter Estimation integrates mathematical theory with engineering practice in the field of measurement data processing. Presenting the first-hand insights and experiences of the authors and their research group, it summarizes cutting-edge research to facilitate the application of mathematical theory in measurement and control engineering, particularly for those interested in aeronautics, astronautics, instrumentation, and economics. Requiring a basic knowledge of linear algebra, computing, and probability and statistics, the book illustrates key lessons with ta

  19. Estimating Earthen Dam-Breach Parameters

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Mahdi Moharrampour

    2013-12-01

    Full Text Available Dam failure leads to release of high volume of water which causes huge waves in downstream. Failure in dam may cause financial loss but life losses depend on the drowned zone, population residing in downstream of the danger zone and warning time. Therefore, it is inevitable to predict dam failure and its resulting dangers to reduce life and financial losses. Flood simulation models simulate flood caused by dam failure (such as DAMBRK and FLDWAV, the resulting outflow in dam failure and its route in downstream of the river. Such models mostly focused on outflow hydrographs. In these models, physical development of failure is not simulated but they describe dam failure process as parametric process which is defined as form of failure, final size and time required for developing it (destruction time. Therefore, dam failure parameters should be estimated for simulating dam failure and applied as input information in simulation model. For this reason, failure of Bidakan earth dam located in Chahar Mahal va Bakhtiari Province has been simulated by estimating parameters of failure, analyzing uncertainty of experimental methods for estimating parameters of failure and applying SMPDBK model.

  20. Taking Variable Correlation into Consideration during Parameter Estimation

    OpenAIRE

    T.J. Santos; Pinto, J C.

    1998-01-01

    Variable correlations are usually neglected during parameter estimation. Very frequently these are gross assumptions and may potentially lead to inadequate interpretation of final estimation results. For this reason, variable correlation and model parameters are sometimes estimated simultaneously in certain parameter estimation procedures. It is shown, however, that usually taking variable correlation into consideration during parameter estimation may be inadequate and unnecessary, unless ind...

  1. PARAMETER ESTIMATION IN BREAD BAKING MODEL

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Hadiyanto Hadiyanto

    2012-05-01

    Full Text Available Bread product quality is highly dependent to the baking process. A model for the development of product quality, which was obtained by using quantitative and qualitative relationships, was calibrated by experiments at a fixed baking temperature of 200°C alone and in combination with 100 W microwave powers. The model parameters were estimated in a stepwise procedure i.e. first, heat and mass transfer related parameters, then the parameters related to product transformations and finally product quality parameters. There was a fair agreement between the calibrated model results and the experimental data. The results showed that the applied simple qualitative relationships for quality performed above expectation. Furthermore, it was confirmed that the microwave input is most meaningful for the internal product properties and not for the surface properties as crispness and color. The model with adjusted parameters was applied in a quality driven food process design procedure to derive a dynamic operation pattern, which was subsequently tested experimentally to calibrate the model. Despite the limited calibration with fixed operation settings, the model predicted well on the behavior under dynamic convective operation and on combined convective and microwave operation. It was expected that the suitability between model and baking system could be improved further by performing calibration experiments at higher temperature and various microwave power levels.  Abstrak  PERKIRAAN PARAMETER DALAM MODEL UNTUK PROSES BAKING ROTI. Kualitas produk roti sangat tergantung pada proses baking yang digunakan. Suatu model yang telah dikembangkan dengan metode kualitatif dan kuantitaif telah dikalibrasi dengan percobaan pada temperatur 200oC dan dengan kombinasi dengan mikrowave pada 100 Watt. Parameter-parameter model diestimasi dengan prosedur bertahap yaitu pertama, parameter pada model perpindahan masa dan panas, parameter pada model transformasi, dan

  2. Terminal Ballistics

    CERN Document Server

    Rosenberg, Zvi

    2012-01-01

    This book covers the important issues of terminal ballistics in a comprehensive way combining experimental data, numerical simulations and analytical modeling. The first chapter reviews the experimental equipment which are used for ballistic tests and the diagnostics for material characterization under impulsive loading conditions. The second chapter covers essential features of the codes which are used for terminal ballistics such as the Euler vs. Lagrange schemes and meshing techniques, as well as the most popular material models. The third chapter, devoted to the penetration mechanics of rigid penetrators, brings the update of modeling in this field. The fourth chapter deals with plate perforation and the fifth chapter deals with the penetration mechanics of shaped charge jets and eroding long rods. The last two chapters discuss several techniques for the disruption and defeating of the main threats in armor design. Throughout the book the authors demonstrate the advantages of numerical simulations in unde...

  3. Composite likelihood estimation of demographic parameters

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Garrigan Daniel

    2009-11-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background Most existing likelihood-based methods for fitting historical demographic models to DNA sequence polymorphism data to do not scale feasibly up to the level of whole-genome data sets. Computational economies can be achieved by incorporating two forms of pseudo-likelihood: composite and approximate likelihood methods. Composite likelihood enables scaling up to large data sets because it takes the product of marginal likelihoods as an estimator of the likelihood of the complete data set. This approach is especially useful when a large number of genomic regions constitutes the data set. Additionally, approximate likelihood methods can reduce the dimensionality of the data by summarizing the information in the original data by either a sufficient statistic, or a set of statistics. Both composite and approximate likelihood methods hold promise for analyzing large data sets or for use in situations where the underlying demographic model is complex and has many parameters. This paper considers a simple demographic model of allopatric divergence between two populations, in which one of the population is hypothesized to have experienced a founder event, or population bottleneck. A large resequencing data set from human populations is summarized by the joint frequency spectrum, which is a matrix of the genomic frequency spectrum of derived base frequencies in two populations. A Bayesian Metropolis-coupled Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMCMC method for parameter estimation is developed that uses both composite and likelihood methods and is applied to the three different pairwise combinations of the human population resequence data. The accuracy of the method is also tested on data sets sampled from a simulated population model with known parameters. Results The Bayesian MCMCMC method also estimates the ratio of effective population size for the X chromosome versus that of the autosomes. The method is shown to estimate, with reasonable

  4. Toward unbiased estimations of the statefinder parameters

    CERN Document Server

    Aviles, Alejandro; Luongo, Orlando

    2016-01-01

    With the use of simulated supernova catalogs, we show that the statefinder parameters turn out to be poorly and biased estimated by standard cosmography. To this end, we compute their standard deviations and several bias statistics on cosmologies near the concordance model, demonstrating that these are very large, making standard cosmography unsuitable for future and wider compilations of data. To overcome this issue, we propose a new method that consists in introducing the series of the Hubble function into the luminosity distance, instead of considering the usual direct Taylor expansions of the luminosity distance. Moreover, in order to speed up the numerical computations, we estimate the coefficients of our expansions in a hierarchical manner, in which the order of the expansion depends on the redshift of every single piece of data. In addition, we propose two hybrids methods that incorporates standard cosmography at low redshifts. The methods presented here perform better than the standard approach of cos...

  5. Parameter estimation using B-Trees

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Schmidt, Albrecht; Bøhlen, Michael H.

    2004-01-01

    This paper presents a method for accelerating algorithms for computing common statistical operations like parameter estimation or sampling on B-Tree indexed data; the work was carried out in the context of visualisation of large scientific data sets. The underlying idea is the following: the shape...... of balanced data structures like B-Trees encodes and reflects data semantics according to the balance criterion. For example, clusters in the index attribute are somewhat likely to be present not only on the data or leaf level of the tree but should propagate up into the interior levels. The paper...... also hints at opportunities and limitations of this approach for visualisation of large data sets. The advantages of the method are manifold. Not only does it enable advanced algorithms through a performance boost for basic operations like density estimation, but it also builds on functionality that is...

  6. Parameter Estimation in Active Plate Structures

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Araujo, A. L.; Lopes, H. M. R.; Vaz, M. A. P.;

    2006-01-01

    In this paper two non-destructive methods for elastic and piezoelectric parameter estimation in active plate structures with surface bonded piezoelectric patches are presented. These methods rely on experimental undamped natural frequencies of free vibration. The first solves the inverse problem...... through gradient based optimization techniques, while the second is based on a metamodel of the inverse problem, using artificial neural networks. A numerical higher order finite element laminated plate model is used in both methods and results are compared and discussed through a simulated and an...

  7. Fast cosmological parameter estimation using neural networks

    CERN Document Server

    Auld, T; Hobson, M P; Gull, S F

    2006-01-01

    We present a method for accelerating the calculation of CMB power spectra, matter power spectra and likelihood functions for use in cosmological parameter estimation. The algorithm, called CosmoNet, is based on training a multilayer perceptron neural network and shares all the advantages of the recently released Pico algorithm of Fendt & Wandelt, but has several additional benefits in terms of simplicity, computational speed, memory requirements and ease of training. We demonstrate the capabilities of CosmoNet by computing CMB power spectra over a box in the parameter space of flat \\Lambda CDM models containing the 3\\sigma WMAP1 confidence region. We also use CosmoNet to compute the WMAP3 likelihood for flat \\Lambda CDM models and show that marginalised posteriors on parameters derived are very similar to those obtained using CAMB and the WMAP3 code. We find that the average error in the power spectra is typically 2-3% of cosmic variance, and that CosmoNet is \\sim 7 \\times 10^4 faster than CAMB (for flat ...

  8. Multifrequency SAR data for estimating hydrological parameters

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The sensitivity of backscattering coefficients to some geophysical parameters which play a significant role in hydrological processes (vegetation biomass, soil moisture and surface roughness) is discussed. Experimental results show that P-band makes it possible the monitoring of forest biomass, L-band appears to be good for wide-leaf crops, and C- and X-bands for small-leaf crops. Moreover, L-band backscattering makes the highest contribution in estimating soil moisture and surface roughness. The sensitivity to spatial distribution of soil moisture and surface roughness is rather low, since both quantities affect the radar signal. However, observing data collected at different dates and averaged over several fields, the correlation to soil moisture is significant, since the effects of spatial roughness variations are smoothed. The retrieval of both soil moisture and surface roughness has been performed by means of a semiempirical model

  9. Translational Motion Compensation for Ballistic Targets Based on Delayed Conjugated Multiplication

    OpenAIRE

    He Si-san; Zhao Hui-ning; Zhang Yong-shun

    2014-01-01

    The micro-motion is combined with the high velocity of translation motion for ballistic targets. The translation motion should be compensated for micro-Doppler information extraction. A new method based on delay conjugate multiplication is proposed to compensate the translation motion of ballistic target. By delay conjugate multiplication of the received signal, the micro-Doppler information are canceled out and the translation motion parameters estimation problem is transformed as an multi-p...

  10. An Inhomogeneous Bayesian Texture Model for Spatially Varying Parameter Estimation

    OpenAIRE

    Dharmagunawardhana, Chathurika; Mahmoodi, Sasan; Bennett, Michael; Niranjan, Mahesan

    2014-01-01

    In statistical model based texture feature extraction, features based on spatially varying parameters achieve higher discriminative performances compared to spatially constant parameters. In this paper we formulate a novel Bayesian framework which achieves texture characterization by spatially varying parameters based on Gaussian Markov random fields. The parameter estimation is carried out by Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. The distributions of estimated spatially varying paramete...

  11. Ocean wave parameters estimation using backpropagation neural networks

    Digital Repository Service at National Institute of Oceanography (India)

    Mandal, S.; SubbaRao; Raju, D.H.

    In the present study, various ocean wave parameters are estimated from theoretical Pierson-Moskowitz spectra as well as measured ocean wave spectra using back propagation neural networks (BNN). Ocean wave parameters estimation by BNN shows...

  12. System and method for motor parameter estimation

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Luhrs, Bin; Yan, Ting

    2014-03-18

    A system and method for determining unknown values of certain motor parameters includes a motor input device connectable to an electric motor having associated therewith values for known motor parameters and an unknown value of at least one motor parameter. The motor input device includes a processing unit that receives a first input from the electric motor comprising values for the known motor parameters for the electric motor and receive a second input comprising motor data on a plurality of reference motors, including values for motor parameters corresponding to the known motor parameters of the electric motor and values for motor parameters corresponding to the at least one unknown motor parameter value of the electric motor. The processor determines the unknown value of the at least one motor parameter from the first input and the second input and determines a motor management strategy for the electric motor based thereon.

  13. Parameter estimation with Sandage-Loeb test

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Sandage-Loeb (SL) test directly measures the expansion rate of the universe in the redshift range of 2 ∼< z ∼< 5 by detecting redshift drift in the spectra of Lyman-α forest of distant quasars. We discuss the impact of the future SL test data on parameter estimation for the ΛCDM, the wCDM, and the w0waCDM models. To avoid the potential inconsistency with other observational data, we take the best-fitting dark energy model constrained by the current observations as the fiducial model to produce 30 mock SL test data. The SL test data provide an important supplement to the other dark energy probes, since they are extremely helpful in breaking the existing parameter degeneracies. We show that the strong degeneracy between Ωm and H0 in all the three dark energy models is well broken by the SL test. Compared to the current combined data of type Ia supernovae, baryon acoustic oscillation, cosmic microwave background, and Hubble constant, the 30-yr observation of SL test could improve the constraints on Ωm and H0 by more than 60% for all the three models. But the SL test can only moderately improve the constraint on the equation of state of dark energy. We show that a 30-yr observation of SL test could help improve the constraint on constant w by about 25%, and improve the constraints on w0 and wa by about 20% and 15%, respectively. We also quantify the constraining power of the SL test in the future high-precision joint geometric constraints on dark energy. The mock future supernova and baryon acoustic oscillation data are simulated based on the space-based project JDEM. We find that the 30-yr observation of SL test would help improve the measurement precision of Ωm, H0, and wa by more than 70%, 20%, and 60%, respectively, for the w0waCDM model

  14. Parameter estimation with Sandage-Loeb test

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Geng, Jia-Jia; Zhang, Jing-Fei; Zhang, Xin, E-mail: gengjiajia163@163.com, E-mail: jfzhang@mail.neu.edu.cn, E-mail: zhangxin@mail.neu.edu.cn [Department of Physics, College of Sciences, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110004 (China)

    2014-12-01

    The Sandage-Loeb (SL) test directly measures the expansion rate of the universe in the redshift range of 2 ∼< z ∼< 5 by detecting redshift drift in the spectra of Lyman-α forest of distant quasars. We discuss the impact of the future SL test data on parameter estimation for the ΛCDM, the wCDM, and the w{sub 0}w{sub a}CDM models. To avoid the potential inconsistency with other observational data, we take the best-fitting dark energy model constrained by the current observations as the fiducial model to produce 30 mock SL test data. The SL test data provide an important supplement to the other dark energy probes, since they are extremely helpful in breaking the existing parameter degeneracies. We show that the strong degeneracy between Ω{sub m} and H{sub 0} in all the three dark energy models is well broken by the SL test. Compared to the current combined data of type Ia supernovae, baryon acoustic oscillation, cosmic microwave background, and Hubble constant, the 30-yr observation of SL test could improve the constraints on Ω{sub m} and H{sub 0} by more than 60% for all the three models. But the SL test can only moderately improve the constraint on the equation of state of dark energy. We show that a 30-yr observation of SL test could help improve the constraint on constant w by about 25%, and improve the constraints on w{sub 0} and w{sub a} by about 20% and 15%, respectively. We also quantify the constraining power of the SL test in the future high-precision joint geometric constraints on dark energy. The mock future supernova and baryon acoustic oscillation data are simulated based on the space-based project JDEM. We find that the 30-yr observation of SL test would help improve the measurement precision of Ω{sub m}, H{sub 0}, and w{sub a} by more than 70%, 20%, and 60%, respectively, for the w{sub 0}w{sub a}CDM model.

  15. Estimation of high altitude Martian dust parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Pabari, Jayesh; Bhalodi, Pinali

    2016-07-01

    Dust devils are known to occur near the Martian surface mostly during the mid of Southern hemisphere summer and they play vital role in deciding background dust opacity in the atmosphere. The second source of high altitude Martian dust could be due to the secondary ejecta caused by impacts on Martian Moons, Phobos and Deimos. Also, the surfaces of the Moons are charged positively due to ultraviolet rays from the Sun and negatively due to space plasma currents. Such surface charging may cause fine grains to be levitated, which can easily escape the Moons. It is expected that the escaping dust form dust rings within the orbits of the Moons and therefore also around the Mars. One more possible source of high altitude Martian dust is interplanetary in nature. Due to continuous supply of the dust from various sources and also due to a kind of feedback mechanism existing between the ring or tori and the sources, the dust rings or tori can sustain over a period of time. Recently, very high altitude dust at about 1000 km has been found by MAVEN mission and it is expected that the dust may be concentrated at about 150 to 500 km. However, it is mystery how dust has reached to such high altitudes. Estimation of dust parameters before-hand is necessary to design an instrument for the detection of high altitude Martian dust from a future orbiter. In this work, we have studied the dust supply rate responsible primarily for the formation of dust ring or tori, the life time of dust particles around the Mars, the dust number density as well as the effect of solar radiation pressure and Martian oblateness on dust dynamics. The results presented in this paper may be useful to space scientists for understanding the scenario and designing an orbiter based instrument to measure the dust surrounding the Mars for solving the mystery. The further work is underway.

  16. Estimates of Armington parameters for a landlocked economy

    OpenAIRE

    Nganou, Jean-Pascal

    2005-01-01

    One of the most debated issues in the Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) literature concerns the validity of the key behavioral parameters used in the calibration process. CGE modelers seldom estimate those parameters, preferring to borrow from the handful of estimates available in the literature. The lack of data is often cited as a reason for this type of modus operandi (technique). Estimating key parameters is very crucial since CGE results are quite sensitive to parameter specification....

  17. Parameter estimation for estimation of bottom hole pressure during drilling.

    OpenAIRE

    Vea, Hans Kristian

    2009-01-01

    In this thesis we examine four bottom hole pressure estimators based on adaptive estimation of the friction pressure for the drill string and the annulus. Knowledge about the bottom hole pressure is crucial to achieve security and commercial objectives. Bottom hole pressure measurements transmitted by mud pulse telemetry have limited bandwidth and it is common to use additional models to estimate the bottom hole pressure when measurements are unavailable. The motivation for an adaptive approa...

  18. On drift parameter estimation in models with fractional Brownian motion

    CERN Document Server

    Kozachenko, Yuriy; Mishura, Yuliya

    2011-01-01

    We consider a stochastic differential equation involving standard and fractional Brownian motion with unknown drift parameter to be estimated. We investigate the standard maximum likelihood estimate of the drift parameter, two non-standard estimates and three estimates for the sequential estimation. Model strong consistency and some other properties are proved. The linear model and Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model are studied in detail. As an auxiliary result, an asymptotic behavior of the fractional derivative of the fractional Brownian motion is established.

  19. Parameter estimation in dynamic Casimir force measurements with known periodicity

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Cui, Song, E-mail: cuis@imre.a-star.edu.sg [Institute of Materials Research and Engineering, 3 Research Link, Singapore 117602 (Singapore); Soh, Yeng Chai, E-mail: eycsoh@ntu.edu.sg [School of Electrical and Electronics Engineering, Nanyang Technological University, 50 Nanyang Avenue, Singapore 639798 (Singapore)

    2011-12-05

    It is important to have an accurate estimate of the unknown parameters such as the separation distance between interacting materials in Casimir force measurements. Current methods tend to produce large estimation errors. In this Letter, we present a novel method based on an adaptive control approach to estimate the unknown parameters using large amplitude dynamic Casimir measurements at separation distances of below 1 μm where both electrostatic force and Casimir force are significant. The estimate is proved to be accurate and the effectiveness of our method is demonstrated via a numerical example. -- Highlights: ► Unknown parameters like separation gap are nonlinearly parameterized in Casimir force measurements ► A two-stage parameter estimation method is proposed to estimate unknown parameters accurately. ► Our method is proved to be effective by theoretical derivation and simulations. ► Our method can be applied to a broad range of nonlinear parameter estimation problems.

  20. Estimation of Kinetic Parameters in an Automotive SCR Catalyst Model

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Åberg, Andreas; Widd, Anders; Abildskov, Jens;

    2016-01-01

    A challenge during the development of models for simulation of the automotive Selective Catalytic Reduction catalyst is the parameter estimation of the kinetic parameters, which can be time consuming and problematic. The parameter estimation is often carried out on small-scale reactor tests, or p...

  1. Ballistic injury.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Fackler, M L

    1986-12-01

    Wound profiles made under controlled conditions in the wound ballistics laboratory at the Letterman Army Institute of Research showed the location along their tissue path at which projectiles cause tissue disruption and the type of disruption (crush from direct contact with the projectile or stretch from temporary cavitation). Comparison of wound profiles showed the fallacy in attempting to judge wound severity using velocity alone, and laid to rest the common belief that in treating a wound caused by a high-velocity missile, one needs to excise tissue far in excess of that which appears damaged. All penetrating projectile wounds, whether civilian or military, therefore should be treated the same regardless of projectile velocity. Diagnosis of the approximate amount and location of tissue disruption is made by physical examination and appropriate radiographic studies. These wounds are contaminated, and coverage with a penicillin-type antibiotic should be provided. PMID:3777618

  2. METHOD ON ESTIMATION OF DRUG'S PENETRATED PARAMETERS

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    刘宇红; 曾衍钧; 许景锋; 张梅

    2004-01-01

    Transdermal drug delivery system (TDDS) is a new method for drug delivery. The analysis of plenty of experiments in vitro can lead to a suitable mathematical model for the description of the process of the drug's penetration through the skin, together with the important parameters that are related to the characters of the drugs.After the research work of the experiments data,a suitable nonlinear regression model was selected. Using this model, the most important parameter-penetrated coefficient of 20 drugs was computed.In the result one can find, this work supports the theory that the skin can be regarded as singular membrane.

  3. Estimation of motility parameters from trajectory data

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Vestergaard, Christian L.; Pedersen, Jonas Nyvold; Mortensen, Kim I.;

    2015-01-01

    Given a theoretical model for a self-propelled particle or micro-organism, how does one optimally determine the parameters of the model from experimental data in the form of a time-lapse recorded trajectory? For very long trajectories, one has very good statistics, and optimality may matter little...... which similar results may be obtained also for self-propelled particles....

  4. M-Testing Using Finite and Infinite Dimensional Parameter Estimators

    OpenAIRE

    White, Halbert; Hong, Yongmiao

    1999-01-01

    The m-testing approach provides a general and convenient framework in which to view and construct specification tests for econometric models. Previous m-testing frameworks only consider test statistics that involve finite dimensional parameter estimators and infinite dimensional parameter estimators affecting the limit distribution of the m-test statistics. In this paper we propose a new m-testing framework using both finite and infinite dimensional parameter estimators, where the latter may ...

  5. On-line parameter estimation of a magnetic bearing

    OpenAIRE

    Delpoux, Romain; Floquet, Thierry

    2011-01-01

    This article presents a parameter estimation algorithm for a magnetic bearing. Such process have strongly nonlinear dynamics andare inherently unstable systems. A simplified model of the magnetic bearing is developed in order to be able to estimate certain parameters. These parameters are difficult to measure, and may slightly vary over time. The expression of the estimates is written as a function of integrals of the inputs and outputs of the system. The experiments show a fast and robust on...

  6. Parameter estimation using compensatory neural networks

    Indian Academy of Sciences (India)

    M Sinha; P K Kalra; K Kumar

    2000-04-01

    Proposed here is a new neuron model, a basis for Compensatory Neural Network Architecture (CNNA), which not only reduces the total number of interconnections among neurons but also reduces the total computing time for training. The suggested model has properties of the basic neuron model as well as the higher neuron model (multiplicative aggregation function). It can adapt to standard neuron and higher order neuron, as well as a combination of the two. This approach is found to estimate the orbit with accuracy significantly better than Kalman Filter (KF) and Feedforward Multilayer Neural Network (FMNN) (also simply referred to as Artificial Neural Network, ANN) with lambda-gamma learning. The typical simulation runs also bring out the superiority of the proposed scheme over Kalman filter from the standpoint of computation time and the amount of data needed for the desired degree of estimated accuracy for the specific problem of orbit determination.

  7. Muscle parameters estimation based on biplanar radiography.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Dubois, G; Rouch, P; Bonneau, D; Gennisson, J L; Skalli, W

    2016-11-01

    The evaluation of muscle and joint forces in vivo is still a challenge. Musculo-Skeletal (musculo-skeletal) models are used to compute forces based on movement analysis. Most of them are built from a scaled-generic model based on cadaver measurements, which provides a low level of personalization, or from Magnetic Resonance Images, which provide a personalized model in lying position. This study proposed an original two steps method to access a subject-specific musculo-skeletal model in 30 min, which is based solely on biplanar X-Rays. First, the subject-specific 3D geometry of bones and skin envelopes were reconstructed from biplanar X-Rays radiography. Then, 2200 corresponding control points were identified between a reference model and the subject-specific X-Rays model. Finally, the shape of 21 lower limb muscles was estimated using a non-linear transformation between the control points in order to fit the muscle shape of the reference model to the X-Rays model. Twelfth musculo-skeletal models were reconstructed and compared to their reference. The muscle volume was not accurately estimated with a standard deviation (SD) ranging from 10 to 68%. However, this method provided an accurate estimation the muscle line of action with a SD of the length difference lower than 2% and a positioning error lower than 20 mm. The moment arm was also well estimated with SD lower than 15% for most muscle, which was significantly better than scaled-generic model for most muscle. This method open the way to a quick modeling method for gait analysis based on biplanar radiography. PMID:27082150

  8. Incremental parameter estimation of kinetic metabolic network models

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Jia Gengjie

    2012-11-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background An efficient and reliable parameter estimation method is essential for the creation of biological models using ordinary differential equation (ODE. Most of the existing estimation methods involve finding the global minimum of data fitting residuals over the entire parameter space simultaneously. Unfortunately, the associated computational requirement often becomes prohibitively high due to the large number of parameters and the lack of complete parameter identifiability (i.e. not all parameters can be uniquely identified. Results In this work, an incremental approach was applied to the parameter estimation of ODE models from concentration time profiles. Particularly, the method was developed to address a commonly encountered circumstance in the modeling of metabolic networks, where the number of metabolic fluxes (reaction rates exceeds that of metabolites (chemical species. Here, the minimization of model residuals was performed over a subset of the parameter space that is associated with the degrees of freedom in the dynamic flux estimation from the concentration time-slopes. The efficacy of this method was demonstrated using two generalized mass action (GMA models, where the method significantly outperformed single-step estimations. In addition, an extension of the estimation method to handle missing data is also presented. Conclusions The proposed incremental estimation method is able to tackle the issue on the lack of complete parameter identifiability and to significantly reduce the computational efforts in estimating model parameters, which will facilitate kinetic modeling of genome-scale cellular metabolism in the future.

  9. Parameter and Uncertainty Estimation in Groundwater Modelling

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Jensen, Jacob Birk

    The data basis on which groundwater models are constructed is in general very incomplete, and this leads to uncertainty in model outcome. Groundwater models form the basis for many, often costly decisions and if these are to be made on solid grounds, the uncertainty attached to model results must...... be quantified. This study was motivated by the need to estimate the uncertainty involved in groundwater models.Chapter 2 presents an integrated surface/subsurface unstructured finite difference model that was developed and applied to a synthetic case study.The following two chapters concern calibration...... was applied.Capture zone modelling was conducted on a synthetic stationary 3-dimensional flow problem involving river, surface and groundwater flow. Simulated capture zones were illustrated as likelihood maps and compared with a deterministic capture zones derived from a reference model. The results showed...

  10. Control and Estimation of Distributed Parameter Systems

    CERN Document Server

    Kappel, F; Kunisch, K

    1998-01-01

    Consisting of 23 refereed contributions, this volume offers a broad and diverse view of current research in control and estimation of partial differential equations. Topics addressed include, but are not limited to - control and stability of hyperbolic systems related to elasticity, linear and nonlinear; - control and identification of nonlinear parabolic systems; - exact and approximate controllability, and observability; - Pontryagin's maximum principle and dynamic programming in PDE; and - numerics pertinent to optimal and suboptimal control problems. This volume is primarily geared toward control theorists seeking information on the latest developments in their area of expertise. It may also serve as a stimulating reader to any researcher who wants to gain an impression of activities at the forefront of a vigorously expanding area in applied mathematics.

  11. A Combined Algorithm for Ballistic Parameters of Bomb Trajectory%炸弹弹道落点参数拟合算法

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    李飞飞; 吕颖; 南英

    2013-01-01

    A combined algorithm is presented for ballistic parameters fitting of bomb trajectory with very large range of the initial release conditions .This data fitting algorithm is the combination of bivariate interpolation and neutral network algorithm .The relationship between ballistic trajectory parameters ( terminal time and gliding flight distance ) and bomb releasing initial conditions can be described with threshold and weight of neural network,and the errors created due to large range of initial release conditions,are corrected by bivariate interpolation .The combined algorithm was used for online calculation test of the releasing point of a certain type aerial bomb,and the result showed that the algorithm can implement online calculation of the releasing point in real time .A great deal of numerical simulation results show that the combined algorithm is simple and reliable,and has fine real-time performance and high fitting accuracy .%针对很宽大范围抛射条件下炸弹的标准弹道系数库,提出了炸弹弹道落点参数的一种组合拟合算法。该组合拟合算法由二元插值法与神经网络法组成。首先,采用BP神经网络对炸弹弹道落点进行离线拟合,由于抛射条件范围很宽大造成了一定的拟合误差;然后,利用二元插值实时在线修正神经网络拟合所产生的计算误差。采用此组合算法对某种型号航空炸弹的弹道落点进行实时在线运算测试,通过测试实例说明,应用此组合算法进行弹道落点在线实时运算不但实时在线特性良好、拟合精度高,而且具有运算简单、结果可靠的特性。

  12. FUZZY SUPERNOVA TEMPLATES. II. PARAMETER ESTIMATION

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Wide-field surveys will soon be discovering Type Ia supernovae (SNe) at rates of several thousand per year. Spectroscopic follow-up can only scratch the surface for such enormous samples, so these extensive data sets will only be useful to the extent that they can be characterized by the survey photometry alone. In a companion paper we introduced the Supernova Ontology with Fuzzy Templates (SOFT) method for analyzing SNe using direct comparison to template light curves, and demonstrated its application for photometric SN classification. In this work we extend the SOFT method to derive estimates of redshift and luminosity distance for Type Ia SNe, using light curves from the Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS) and Supernova Legacy Survey (SNLS) as a validation set. Redshifts determined by SOFT using light curves alone are consistent with spectroscopic redshifts, showing an rms scatter in the residuals of rmsz = 0.051. SOFT can also derive simultaneous redshift and distance estimates, yielding results that are consistent with the currently favored ΛCDM cosmological model. When SOFT is given spectroscopic information for SN classification and redshift priors, the rms scatter in Hubble diagram residuals is 0.18 mag for the SDSS data and 0.28 mag for the SNLS objects. Without access to any spectroscopic information, and even without any redshift priors from host galaxy photometry, SOFT can still measure reliable redshifts and distances, with an increase in the Hubble residuals to 0.37 mag for the combined SDSS and SNLS data set. Using Monte Carlo simulations, we predict that SOFT will be able to improve constraints on time-variable dark energy models by a factor of 2-3 with each new generation of large-scale SN surveys.

  13. Parameter Estimation of the T-Book

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper summarizes the statistical assumptions and methods that have been used in the work on the T-book, a reliability data handbook which is used in safety analyses of nuclear power plants in Sweden and in the Swedish design plants in Finland. The author discusses the conceptual framework for the description and handling of uncertainty. He briefly outlines the two-stage 'Bayes empirical Bayes' method. To express the inherent tail-uncertainty in the distribution of failure rate, a class of contaminated distributions with three (hyper) parameters is proposed. Attention is focused on the properties of this T-book approach with regard to how it can be used to describe the parametric uncertainties, how uncertainty distributions can be used for predictive purposes, and how distributions can be updated

  14. Sample Size and Item Parameter Estimation Precision When Utilizing the One-Parameter "Rasch" Model

    Science.gov (United States)

    Custer, Michael

    2015-01-01

    This study examines the relationship between sample size and item parameter estimation precision when utilizing the one-parameter model. Item parameter estimates are examined relative to "true" values by evaluating the decline in root mean squared deviation (RMSD) and the number of outliers as sample size increases. This occurs across…

  15. Ballistic trajectories

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bender, D. F.

    1978-01-01

    The only ballistic trajectory mode feasible for a close solar probe or for an orbit inclined approximately 90 degrees to the ecliptic is the Jupiter gravity assisted mode. A comparison of the trajectories of the Solar Polar and the Solar Probe Mission for 1983 launches is shown. The geometry of the solar encounter phase is practically the same for the 4.3 year orbit achieved by a Jupiter gravity assist and for a one year orbit. Data describing the geometry of an orbit with perihelion at 4 solar radii and aphelion at Jupiter are listed. The range of apparent directions of the solar wind if it is flowing radially outward from the Sun with a speed of either 150 or 300 km/sec is shown. The minimum sun-earth-probe angle during the solar encounter as a function of the earth-node angle and the orbital inclination is also shown. If the inclination is 60 degrees or more, the minimum SEP angle is not greatly different from the 90 degree value.

  16. Parameter Estimates in Differential Equation Models for Chemical Kinetics

    Science.gov (United States)

    Winkel, Brian

    2011-01-01

    We discuss the need for devoting time in differential equations courses to modelling and the completion of the modelling process with efforts to estimate the parameters in the models using data. We estimate the parameters present in several differential equation models of chemical reactions of order n, where n = 0, 1, 2, and apply more general…

  17. A neural network applied to estimate Burr XII distribution parameters

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Burr XII distribution can closely approximate many other well-known probability density functions such as the normal, gamma, lognormal, exponential distributions as well as Pearson type I, II, V, VII, IX, X, XII families of distributions. Considering a wide range of shape and scale parameters of the Burr XII distribution, it can have an important role in reliability modeling, risk analysis and process capability estimation. However, estimating parameters of the Burr XII distribution can be a complicated task and the use of conventional methods such as maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) and moment method (MM) is not straightforward. Some tables to estimate Burr XII parameters have been provided by Burr (1942) but they are not adequate for many purposes or data sets. Burr tables contain specific values of skewness and kurtosis and their corresponding Burr XII parameters. Using interpolation or extrapolation to estimate other values may provide inappropriate estimations. In this paper, we present a neural network to estimate Burr XII parameters for different values of skewness and kurtosis as inputs. A trained network is presented, and one can use it without previous knowledge about neural networks to estimate Burr XII distribution parameters. Accurate estimation of the Burr parameters is an extension of simulation studies.

  18. Parameter Estimation for a Computable General Equilibrium Model

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Arndt, Channing; Robinson, Sherman; Tarp, Finn

    We introduce a maximum entropy approach to parameter estimation for computable general equilibrium (CGE) models. The approach applies information theory to estimating a system of nonlinear simultaneous equations. It has a number of advantages. First, it imposes all general equilibrium constraints...... to estimating a CGE model of Mozambique....... Second, it permits incorporation of prior information on parameter values. Third, it can be applied in the absence of copious data. Finally, it supplies measures of the capacity of the model to reproduce the historical record and the statistical significance of parameter estimates. The method is applied...

  19. Parameter and State Estimator for State Space Models

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Ruifeng Ding

    2014-01-01

    Full Text Available This paper proposes a parameter and state estimator for canonical state space systems from measured input-output data. The key is to solve the system state from the state equation and to substitute it into the output equation, eliminating the state variables, and the resulting equation contains only the system inputs and outputs, and to derive a least squares parameter identification algorithm. Furthermore, the system states are computed from the estimated parameters and the input-output data. Convergence analysis using the martingale convergence theorem indicates that the parameter estimates converge to their true values. Finally, an illustrative example is provided to show that the proposed algorithm is effective.

  20. Estimating parameters of chaotic systems under noise-induced synchronization

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Kim et al. introduced in 2002 [Kim CM, Rim S, Kye WH. Sequential synchronization of chaotic systems with an application to communication. Phys Rev Lett 2002;88:014103] a hierarchically structured communication scheme based on sequential synchronization, a modification of noise-induced synchronization (NIS). We propose in this paper an approach that can estimate the parameters of chaotic systems under NIS. In this approach, a dimensionally-expanded parameter estimating system is first constructed according to the original chaotic system. By feeding chaotic transmitted signal and external driving signal, the parameter estimating system can be synchronized with the original chaotic system. Consequently, parameters would be estimated. Numerical simulation shows that this approach can estimate all the parameters of chaotic systems under two feeding modes, which implies the potential weakness of the chaotic communication scheme under NIS or sequential synchronization.

  1. Estimating parameters of chaotic systems under noise-induced synchronization

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Wu Xiaogang [Institute of PR and AI, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074 (China)], E-mail: seanwoo@mail.hust.edu.cn; Wang Zuxi [Institute of PR and AI, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074 (China)

    2009-01-30

    Kim et al. introduced in 2002 [Kim CM, Rim S, Kye WH. Sequential synchronization of chaotic systems with an application to communication. Phys Rev Lett 2002;88:014103] a hierarchically structured communication scheme based on sequential synchronization, a modification of noise-induced synchronization (NIS). We propose in this paper an approach that can estimate the parameters of chaotic systems under NIS. In this approach, a dimensionally-expanded parameter estimating system is first constructed according to the original chaotic system. By feeding chaotic transmitted signal and external driving signal, the parameter estimating system can be synchronized with the original chaotic system. Consequently, parameters would be estimated. Numerical simulation shows that this approach can estimate all the parameters of chaotic systems under two feeding modes, which implies the potential weakness of the chaotic communication scheme under NIS or sequential synchronization.

  2. Accurate Parameter Estimation for Unbalanced Three-Phase System

    OpenAIRE

    Yuan Chen; Hing Cheung So

    2014-01-01

    Smart grid is an intelligent power generation and control console in modern electricity networks, where the unbalanced three-phase power system is the commonly used model. Here, parameter estimation for this system is addressed. After converting the three-phase waveforms into a pair of orthogonal signals via the α β-transformation, the nonlinear least squares (NLS) estimator is developed for accurately finding the frequency, phase, and voltage parameters. The estimator is realized by the Newt...

  3. Efficient Estimation of Nonlinear Finite Population Parameters Using Nonparametrics

    OpenAIRE

    Goga, Camelia; Ruiz-Gazen, Anne

    2012-01-01

    Currently, the high-precision estimation of nonlinear parameters such as Gini indices, low-income proportions or other measures of inequality is particularly crucial. In the present paper, we propose a general class of estimators for such parameters that take into account univariate auxiliary information assumed to be known for every unit in the population. Through a nonparametric model-assisted approach, we construct a unique system of survey weights that can be used to estimate any nonlinea...

  4. Quantum estimation of coupled parameters and the role of entanglement

    OpenAIRE

    Kok, Pieter; Dunningham, Jacob; Ralph, Jason F.

    2015-01-01

    The quantum Cramer-Rao bound places a limit on the mean square error of a parameter estimation procedure, and its numerical value is determined by the quantum Fisher information. For single parameters, this leads to the well- known Heisenberg limit that surpasses the classical shot-noise limit. When estimating multiple parameters, the situation is more complicated and the quantum Cramer-Rao bound is generally not attainable. In such cases, the use of entanglement typically still offers an enh...

  5. Parameter Estimation of Photovoltaic Models via Cuckoo Search

    OpenAIRE

    Jieming Ma; Ting, T. O.; Ka Lok Man; Nan Zhang; Sheng-Uei Guan; Wong, Prudence W. H.

    2013-01-01

    Since conventional methods are incapable of estimating the parameters of Photovoltaic (PV) models with high accuracy, bioinspired algorithms have attracted significant attention in the last decade. Cuckoo Search (CS) is invented based on the inspiration of brood parasitic behavior of some cuckoo species in combination with the Lévy flight behavior. In this paper, a CS-based parameter estimation method is proposed to extract the parameters of single-diode models for commercial PV generators. S...

  6. PARAMETER ESTIMATION IN LINEAR REGRESSION MODELS FOR LONGITUDINAL CONTAMINATED DATA

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    QianWeimin; LiYumei

    2005-01-01

    The parameter estimation and the coefficient of contamination for the regression models with repeated measures are studied when its response variables are contaminated by another random variable sequence. Under the suitable conditions it is proved that the estimators which are established in the paper are strongly consistent estimators.

  7. Micrometeor Observations Using the Arecibo 430 MHz Radar. I. Determination of the Ballistic Parameter from Measured Doppler Velocity and Deceleration Results

    Science.gov (United States)

    Janches, D.; Mathews, J. D.; Meisel, D. D.; Zhou, Q.-H.

    2000-05-01

    We present a sample of radar meteors detected during the November 1997 Leonids shower period using the narrow-beam, high-power Arecibo Observatory 430-MHz radar. During this period ˜7700 events were detected over 73 h of observations that included six mornings. Near apex-crossing, 6-10 events per minute were observed in the ˜300-m diameter beam. From these events a total of 390 meteors are characterized by a clear linear deceleration as derived from the radial Doppler speed determined from the meteor-echo leading-edge (head-echo). We interpret our results in terms of the meteor ballistic parameter—the ratio of the meteoroid mass to cross-sectional area—yielding a physical characterization of these particles prior to any assumptions regarding meteoroid shape and mass density. In addition, we compare these measurements with the results of a numerical solution of the meteor deceleration equation and find them in good agreement. The size and dynamical mass of the meteoroids are estimated considering these particles to be spheres with densities of 3 g/cm 3. We also discuss atmospheric energy-loss mechanisms of these meteroids. We believe these are the first radar meteor decelerations detected since those ones reported by J. V. Evans (1966, J. Geophys. Res. 71, 171-188) and F. Verniani (1966, J. Geophys. Res. 71, 2749-2761; 1973, J. Geophys. Res. 78, 8429-8462) and the first ones for meteors of this size.

  8. Parameter Estimation for Generalized Brownian Motion with Autoregressive Increments

    CERN Document Server

    Fendick, Kerry

    2011-01-01

    This paper develops methods for estimating parameters for a generalization of Brownian motion with autoregressive increments called a Brownian ray with drift. We show that a superposition of Brownian rays with drift depends on three types of parameters - a drift coefficient, autoregressive coefficients, and volatility matrix elements, and we introduce methods for estimating each of these types of parameters using multidimensional times series data. We also cover parameter estimation in the contexts of two applications of Brownian rays in the financial sphere: queuing analysis and option valuation. For queuing analysis, we show how samples of queue lengths can be used to estimate the conditional expectation functions for the length of the queue and for increments in its net input and lost potential output. For option valuation, we show how the Black-Scholes-Merton formula depends on the price of the security on which the option is written through estimates not only of its volatility, but also of a coefficient ...

  9. Impacts of Different Types of Measurements on Estimating Unsaturatedflow Parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Shi, L.

    2015-12-01

    This study evaluates the value of different types of measurements for estimating soil hydraulic parameters. A numerical method based on ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is presented to solely or jointly assimilate point-scale soil water head data, point-scale soil water content data, surface soil water content data and groundwater level data. This study investigates the performance of EnKF under different types of data, the potential worth contained in these data, and the factors that may affect estimation accuracy. Results show that for all types of data, smaller measurements errors lead to faster convergence to the true values. Higher accuracy measurements are required to improve the parameter estimation if a large number of unknown parameters need to be identified simultaneously. The data worth implied by the surface soil water content data and groundwater level data is prone to corruption by a deviated initial guess. Surface soil moisture data are capable of identifying soil hydraulic parameters for the top layers, but exert less or no influence on deeper layers especially when estimating multiple parameters simultaneously. Groundwater level is one type of valuable information to infer the soil hydraulic parameters. However, based on the approach used in this study, the estimates from groundwater level data may suffer severe degradation if a large number of parameters must be identified. Combined use of two or more types of data is helpful to improve the parameter estimation.

  10. Parameter Estimation in Epidemiology: from Simple to Complex Dynamics

    Science.gov (United States)

    Aguiar, Maíra; Ballesteros, Sebastién; Boto, João Pedro; Kooi, Bob W.; Mateus, Luís; Stollenwerk, Nico

    2011-09-01

    We revisit the parameter estimation framework for population biological dynamical systems, and apply it to calibrate various models in epidemiology with empirical time series, namely influenza and dengue fever. When it comes to more complex models like multi-strain dynamics to describe the virus-host interaction in dengue fever, even most recently developed parameter estimation techniques, like maximum likelihood iterated filtering, come to their computational limits. However, the first results of parameter estimation with data on dengue fever from Thailand indicate a subtle interplay between stochasticity and deterministic skeleton. The deterministic system on its own already displays complex dynamics up to deterministic chaos and coexistence of multiple attractors.

  11. A simulation of water pollution model parameter estimation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Kibler, J. F.

    1976-01-01

    A parameter estimation procedure for a water pollution transport model is elaborated. A two-dimensional instantaneous-release shear-diffusion model serves as representative of a simple transport process. Pollution concentration levels are arrived at via modeling of a remote-sensing system. The remote-sensed data are simulated by adding Gaussian noise to the concentration level values generated via the transport model. Model parameters are estimated from the simulated data using a least-squares batch processor. Resolution, sensor array size, and number and location of sensor readings can be found from the accuracies of the parameter estimates.

  12. Response-Based Estimation of Sea State Parameters

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Nielsen, Ulrik Dam

    2007-01-01

    Reliable estimation of the on-site sea state parameters is essential to decision support systems for safe navigation of ships. The sea state parameters can be estimated by Bayesian Modelling which uses complex-valued frequency response functions (FRF) to estimate the wave spectrum on the basis of...... measured ship responses. It is therefore interesting to investigate how the filtering aspect, introduced by FRF, affects the final outcome of the estimation procedures. The paper contains a study based on numerical generated time series, and the study shows that filtering has an influence on the...

  13. Parameter estimation during a transient - application to BWR stability

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Tambouratzis, T. [Institute of Nuclear Technology - Radiation Protection, NCSR ' Demokritos' , Aghia Paraskevi, Athens 153 10 (Greece)]. E-mail: tatiana@ipta.demokritos.gr; Antonopoulos-Domis, M. [Institute of Nuclear Technology - Radiation Protection, NCSR ' Demokritos' , Aghia Paraskevi, Athens 153 10 (Greece)

    2004-12-01

    The estimation of system parameters is of obvious practical interest. During transient operation, these parameters are expected to change, whereby the system is rendered time-varying and classical signal processing techniques are not applicable. A novel methodology is proposed here, which combines wavelet multi-resolution analysis and selective wavelet coefficient removal with classical signal processing techniques in order to provide short-term estimates of the system parameters of interest. The use of highly overlapping time-windows further monitors the gradual changes in system parameter values. The potential of the proposed methodology is demonstrated with numerical experiments for the problem of stability evaluation of boiling water reactors during a transient.

  14. Parameter estimation during a transient - application to BWR stability

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The estimation of system parameters is of obvious practical interest. During transient operation, these parameters are expected to change, whereby the system is rendered time-varying and classical signal processing techniques are not applicable. A novel methodology is proposed here, which combines wavelet multi-resolution analysis and selective wavelet coefficient removal with classical signal processing techniques in order to provide short-term estimates of the system parameters of interest. The use of highly overlapping time-windows further monitors the gradual changes in system parameter values. The potential of the proposed methodology is demonstrated with numerical experiments for the problem of stability evaluation of boiling water reactors during a transient

  15. Another Look at the EWMA Control Chart with Estimated Parameters

    NARCIS (Netherlands)

    N.A. Saleh; M.A. Mahmoud; L.A. Jones-Farmer; I. Zwetsloot; W.H. Woodall

    2015-01-01

    The authors assess the in-control performance of the exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control chart in terms of the SDARL and percentiles of the ARL distribution when the process parameters are estimated.

  16. Kalman filter data assimilation: Targeting observations and parameter estimation

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper studies the effect of targeted observations on state and parameter estimates determined with Kalman filter data assimilation (DA) techniques. We first provide an analytical result demonstrating that targeting observations within the Kalman filter for a linear model can significantly reduce state estimation error as opposed to fixed or randomly located observations. We next conduct observing system simulation experiments for a chaotic model of meteorological interest, where we demonstrate that the local ensemble transform Kalman filter (LETKF) with targeted observations based on largest ensemble variance is skillful in providing more accurate state estimates than the LETKF with randomly located observations. Additionally, we find that a hybrid ensemble Kalman filter parameter estimation method accurately updates model parameters within the targeted observation context to further improve state estimation

  17. Robust Parameter and Signal Estimation in Induction Motors

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Børsting, H.

    been used as a third input. - the rotor speed and the driving torque of the induction motor have successfully been estimated based on measurements of the terminal quantities only. The following methods have been applied: a recursive prediction error method and a method based on a steady state model of...... robust estimation of the rotor speed and driving torque of the induction motor based only on measurements of stator voltages and currents. Only contimuous-time models have been used, which means that physical related signals and parameters are estimated directly and not indirectly by some discrete......: - identifiability has been treated in theory and practice in connection with parameter and signal estimation in induction motors. - a non recursive prediction error method has successfully been used to estimate physical related parameters in a continuous-time model of the induction motor. The speed of the rotor has...

  18. Kalman filter application for distributed parameter estimation in reactor systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    An application of the Kalman filter has been developed for the real-time identification of a distributed parameter in a nuclear power plant. This technique can be used to improve numerical method-based best-estimate simulation of complex systems such as nuclear power plants. The application to a reactor system involves a unique modal model that approximates physical components, such as the reactor, as a coupled oscillator, i.e., a modal model with coupled modes. In this model both states and parameters are described by an orthogonal expansion. The Kalman filter with the sequential least-squares parameter estimation algorithm was used to estimate the modal coefficients of all states and one parameter. Results show that this state feedback algorithm is an effective way to parametrically identify a distributed parameter system in the presence of uncertainties

  19. Dynamic noise, chaos and parameter estimation in population biology

    OpenAIRE

    Stollenwerk, N.; Aguiar, M; Ballesteros, S.; Boto, J.; Kooi, B. W.; Mateus, L.

    2012-01-01

    We revisit the parameter estimation framework for population biological dynamical systems, and apply it to calibrate various models in epidemiology with empirical time series, namely influenza and dengue fever. When it comes to more complex models such as multi-strain dynamics to describe the virus–host interaction in dengue fever, even the most recently developed parameter estimation techniques, such as maximum likelihood iterated filtering, reach their computational limits. However, the fir...

  20. Estimation of Clarinet Reed Parameters by Inverse Modelling

    OpenAIRE

    CHATZIIOANNOU, Vasileios; van Walstijn, Maarten

    2012-01-01

    Analysis of the acoustical functioning of musical instruments invariably involves the estimation of model parameters. The broad aim of this paper is to develop methods for estimation of clarinet reed parameters that are representative of actual playing conditions. This presents various challenges because of the di?culties of measuring the directly relevant variables without interfering with the control of the instrument. An inverse modelling approach is therefore proposed, in which the equati...

  1. Estimates of primary ejecta and local material for the Orientale basin: Implications for the formation and ballistic sedimentation of multi-ring basins

    Science.gov (United States)

    Xie, Minggang; Zhu, Meng-Hua

    2016-04-01

    A clear understanding of thickness distributions of primary ejecta and local material is critical to interpreting the process of ballistic sedimentation, provenances of lunar samples, the evolution of the lunar surface, and the origin of multi-ring basins. The youngest lunar multi-ring basin, Orientale, provides the best preserved structure for determining the thicknesses of primary ejecta and local material. In general, the primary ejecta thickness was often estimated using crater morphometry. However, previous methods ignored either crater erosion, the crater interior geometry, or both. In addition, ejecta deposits were taken as mostly primary ejecta. And, as far as we know, the local material thickness had not been determined for the Orientale. In this work, we proposed a model based on matching measurements of partially filled pre-Orientale craters (PFPOCs) with the simulations of crater erosion to determine their thicknesses. We provided estimates of primary ejecta thickness distribution with the thickness of 0.85 km at Cordillera ring and a decay power law exponent of b = 2.8, the transient crater radius of 200 km, excavation volume of 2.3 ×106 km3, primary ejecta volume of 2.8 ×106 km3. These results suggest that previous works (e.g., Fassett et al., 2011; Moore et al., 1974) might overestimate the primary ejecta thicknesses of Orientale, and the primary ejecta thickness model of Pike (1974a) for multi-ring basins may give better estimates than the widely cited model of McGetchin et al. (1973) and the scaling law for impacts into Ottawa Sand (Housen et al., 1983). Structural uplift decays slower than previously thought, and rim relief is mostly rim uplift for Orientale. The main reason for rim uplift may be the fracturing and squeezing upward of the surrounding rocks. The proportion of local material to ejecta deposits increases with increasing radial distance from basin center, and the thickness of local material is larger than that of primary ejecta at

  2. Simultaneous optimal experimental design for in vitro binding parameter estimation.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ernest, C Steven; Karlsson, Mats O; Hooker, Andrew C

    2013-10-01

    Simultaneous optimization of in vitro ligand binding studies using an optimal design software package that can incorporate multiple design variables through non-linear mixed effect models and provide a general optimized design regardless of the binding site capacity and relative binding rates for a two binding system. Experimental design optimization was employed with D- and ED-optimality using PopED 2.8 including commonly encountered factors during experimentation (residual error, between experiment variability and non-specific binding) for in vitro ligand binding experiments: association, dissociation, equilibrium and non-specific binding experiments. Moreover, a method for optimizing several design parameters (ligand concentrations, measurement times and total number of samples) was examined. With changes in relative binding site density and relative binding rates, different measurement times and ligand concentrations were needed to provide precise estimation of binding parameters. However, using optimized design variables, significant reductions in number of samples provided as good or better precision of the parameter estimates compared to the original extensive sampling design. Employing ED-optimality led to a general experimental design regardless of the relative binding site density and relative binding rates. Precision of the parameter estimates were as good as the extensive sampling design for most parameters and better for the poorly estimated parameters. Optimized designs for in vitro ligand binding studies provided robust parameter estimation while allowing more efficient and cost effective experimentation by reducing the measurement times and separate ligand concentrations required and in some cases, the total number of samples. PMID:23943088

  3. Accelerated maximum likelihood parameter estimation for stochastic biochemical systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Daigle Bernie J

    2012-05-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background A prerequisite for the mechanistic simulation of a biochemical system is detailed knowledge of its kinetic parameters. Despite recent experimental advances, the estimation of unknown parameter values from observed data is still a bottleneck for obtaining accurate simulation results. Many methods exist for parameter estimation in deterministic biochemical systems; methods for discrete stochastic systems are less well developed. Given the probabilistic nature of stochastic biochemical models, a natural approach is to choose parameter values that maximize the probability of the observed data with respect to the unknown parameters, a.k.a. the maximum likelihood parameter estimates (MLEs. MLE computation for all but the simplest models requires the simulation of many system trajectories that are consistent with experimental data. For models with unknown parameters, this presents a computational challenge, as the generation of consistent trajectories can be an extremely rare occurrence. Results We have developed Monte Carlo Expectation-Maximization with Modified Cross-Entropy Method (MCEM2: an accelerated method for calculating MLEs that combines advances in rare event simulation with a computationally efficient version of the Monte Carlo expectation-maximization (MCEM algorithm. Our method requires no prior knowledge regarding parameter values, and it automatically provides a multivariate parameter uncertainty estimate. We applied the method to five stochastic systems of increasing complexity, progressing from an analytically tractable pure-birth model to a computationally demanding model of yeast-polarization. Our results demonstrate that MCEM2 substantially accelerates MLE computation on all tested models when compared to a stand-alone version of MCEM. Additionally, we show how our method identifies parameter values for certain classes of models more accurately than two recently proposed computationally efficient methods

  4. Simultaneous estimation of parameters in the bivariate Emax model.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Magnusdottir, Bergrun T; Nyquist, Hans

    2015-12-10

    In this paper, we explore inference in multi-response, nonlinear models. By multi-response, we mean models with m > 1 response variables and accordingly m relations. Each parameter/explanatory variable may appear in one or more of the relations. We study a system estimation approach for simultaneous computation and inference of the model and (co)variance parameters. For illustration, we fit a bivariate Emax model to diabetes dose-response data. Further, the bivariate Emax model is used in a simulation study that compares the system estimation approach to equation-by-equation estimation. We conclude that overall, the system estimation approach performs better for the bivariate Emax model when there are dependencies among relations. The stronger the dependencies, the more we gain in precision by using system estimation rather than equation-by-equation estimation. PMID:26190048

  5. Parameter estimation of hidden periodic model in random fields

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    何书元

    1999-01-01

    Two-dimensional hidden periodic model is an important model in random fields. The model is used in the field of two-dimensional signal processing, prediction and spectral analysis. A method of estimating the parameters for the model is designed. The strong consistency of the estimators is proved.

  6. A Fully Conditional Estimation Procedure for Rasch Model Parameters.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Choppin, Bruce

    A strategy for overcoming problems with the Rasch model's inability to handle missing data involves a pairwise algorithm which manipulates the data matrix to separate out the information needed for the estimation of item difficulty parameters in a test. The method of estimation compares two or three items at a time, separating out the ability…

  7. Parameter estimation in stochastic rainfall-runoff models

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Jonsdottir, Harpa; Madsen, Henrik; Palsson, Olafur Petur

    A parameter estimation method for stochastic rainfall-runoff models is presented. The model considered in the paper is a conceptual stochastic model, formulated in continuous-discrete state space form. The model is small and a fully automatic optimization is, therefore, possible for estimating all...

  8. Variance gamma process simulation and it's parameters estimation

    OpenAIRE

    Kuzmina, A. V.

    2010-01-01

    Variance gamma process is a three parameter process. Variance gamma process is simulated as a gamma time-change Brownian motion and as a difference of two independent gamma processes. Estimations of simulated variance gamma process parameters are presented in this paper.

  9. Computational methods for estimation of parameters in hyperbolic systems

    Science.gov (United States)

    Banks, H. T.; Ito, K.; Murphy, K. A.

    1983-01-01

    Approximation techniques for estimating spatially varying coefficients and unknown boundary parameters in second order hyperbolic systems are discussed. Methods for state approximation (cubic splines, tau-Legendre) and approximation of function space parameters (interpolatory splines) are outlined and numerical findings for use of the resulting schemes in model "one dimensional seismic inversion' problems are summarized.

  10. Estimation of Parameters of the Beta-Extreme Value Distribution

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Zafar Iqbal

    2008-09-01

    Full Text Available In this research paper The Beta Extreme Value Type (III distribution which is developed by Zafar and Aleem (2007 is considered and parameters are estimated by using moments of the Beta-Extreme Value (Type III Distribution when the parameters ‘m’ & ‘n’ are real and moments of the Beta-Extreme Value (Type III Distribution when the parameters ‘m��� & ‘n’ are integers and then a Comparison between rth moments about origin when parameters are ‘m’ & ‘n’ are real and when parameters are ‘m’ & ‘n’ are integers. At the end second method, method of Maximum Likelihood is used to estimate the unknown parameters of the Beta Extreme Value Type (III distribution.

  11. Ballistic quality assurance

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This review describes the ballistic quality assurance for stereotactic intracranial irradiation treatments delivered with Gamma KnifeR either dedicated or adapted medical linear accelerators. Specific and periodic controls should be performed in order to check the mechanical stability for both irradiation and collimation systems. If this step remains under the responsibility of the medical physicist, it should be done in agreement with the manufacturer's technical support. At this time, there are no recent published guidelines. With technological developments, both frequency and accuracy should be assessed in each institution according to the treatment mode: single versus hypo-fractionated dose, circular collimator versus micro-multi-leaf collimators. In addition, 'end-to-end' techniques are mandatory to find the origin of potential discrepancies and to estimate the global ballistic accuracy of the delivered treatment. Indeed, they include frames, non-invasive immobilization devices, localizers, multimodal imaging for delineation and in-room positioning imaging systems. The final precision that could be reasonably achieved is more or less 1 mm. (authors)

  12. Adaptive Unified Biased Estimators of Parameters in Linear Model

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Hu Yang; Li-xing Zhu

    2004-01-01

    To tackle multi collinearity or ill-conditioned design matrices in linear models,adaptive biased estimators such as the time-honored Stein estimator,the ridge and the principal component estimators have been studied intensively.To study when a biased estimator uniformly outperforms the least squares estimator,some suficient conditions are proposed in the literature.In this paper,we propose a unified framework to formulate a class of adaptive biased estimators.This class includes all existing biased estimators and some new ones.A suficient condition for outperforming the least squares estimator is proposed.In terms of selecting parameters in the condition,we can obtain all double-type conditions in the literature.

  13. Bayesian estimation of one-parameter qubit gates

    OpenAIRE

    Teklu, Berihu; Olivares, Stefano; Paris, Matteo G. A.

    2008-01-01

    We address estimation of one-parameter unitary gates for qubit systems and seek for optimal probes and measurements. Single- and two-qubit probes are analyzed in details focusing on precision and stability of the estimation procedure. Bayesian inference is employed and compared with the ultimate quantum limits to precision, taking into account the biased nature of Bayes estimator in the non asymptotic regime. Besides, through the evaluation of the asymptotic a posteriori distribution for the ...

  14. Parameter Estimation and Experimental Design in Groundwater Modeling

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    SUN Ne-zheng

    2004-01-01

    This paper reviews the latest developments on parameter estimation and experimental design in the field of groundwater modeling. Special considerations are given when the structure of the identified parameter is complex and unknown. A new methodology for constructing useful groundwater models is described, which is based on the quantitative relationships among the complexity of model structure, the identifiability of parameter, the sufficiency of data, and the reliability of model application.

  15. Global parameter estimation methods for stochastic biochemical systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Poovathingal Suresh

    2010-08-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background The importance of stochasticity in cellular processes having low number of molecules has resulted in the development of stochastic models such as chemical master equation. As in other modelling frameworks, the accompanying rate constants are important for the end-applications like analyzing system properties (e.g. robustness or predicting the effects of genetic perturbations. Prior knowledge of kinetic constants is usually limited and the model identification routine typically includes parameter estimation from experimental data. Although the subject of parameter estimation is well-established for deterministic models, it is not yet routine for the chemical master equation. In addition, recent advances in measurement technology have made the quantification of genetic substrates possible to single molecular levels. Thus, the purpose of this work is to develop practical and effective methods for estimating kinetic model parameters in the chemical master equation and other stochastic models from single cell and cell population experimental data. Results Three parameter estimation methods are proposed based on the maximum likelihood and density function distance, including probability and cumulative density functions. Since stochastic models such as chemical master equations are typically solved using a Monte Carlo approach in which only a finite number of Monte Carlo realizations are computationally practical, specific considerations are given to account for the effect of finite sampling in the histogram binning of the state density functions. Applications to three practical case studies showed that while maximum likelihood method can effectively handle low replicate measurements, the density function distance methods, particularly the cumulative density function distance estimation, are more robust in estimating the parameters with consistently higher accuracy, even for systems showing multimodality. Conclusions The parameter

  16. Maximum Likelihood Estimation of the Identification Parameters and Its Correction

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    2002-01-01

    By taking the subsequence out of the input-output sequence of a system polluted by white noise, anindependent observation sequence and its probability density are obtained and then a maximum likelihood estimation of theidentification parameters is given. In order to decrease the asymptotic error, a corrector of maximum likelihood (CML)estimation with its recursive algorithm is given. It has been proved that the corrector has smaller asymptotic error thanthe least square methods. A simulation example shows that the corrector of maximum likelihood estimation is of higherapproximating precision to the true parameters than the least square methods.

  17. Biases on cosmological parameter estimators from galaxy cluster number counts

    CERN Document Server

    Penna-Lima, M; Wuensche, C A

    2013-01-01

    The abundance of galaxy clusters is becoming a standard cosmological probe. In particular, Sunyaev-Zel'dovich (SZ) surveys are promising probes of the Dark Energy (DE) equation of state (eqos), given their ability to find distant clusters and provide estimates for their mass. However, current SZ catalogs contain tens to hundreds of objects. In this case, it is not guaranteed that maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of cosmological parameters are unbiased. In this work we study estimators from cluster abundance for some cosmological parameters. We derive an unbinned likelihood for cluster abundance, showing that it is equivalent to the one commonly used in the literature. We use the Monte Carlo (MC) approach to determine the presence of bias using this likelihood and its behavior with both area and depth of the survey, and the number of cosmological parameters fitted simultaneously. Assuming perfect knowledge on mass and redshift, we obtain that some estimators have non negligible biases. For example, the bias ...

  18. Image-driven parameter estimation for low grade gliomas

    CERN Document Server

    Gholami, Amir; Biros, George

    2014-01-01

    We present a numerical scheme for solving a parameter estimation problem for a model of low-grade glioma growth. Our goal is to estimate tumor infiltration into the brain parenchyma for a reaction-diffusion tumor growth model. We use a constrained optimization formulation that results in a system of nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs). In our formulation, we estimate the parameters using the data from segmented images at two different time instances, along with white matter fiber directions derived from diffusion tensor imaging (DTI). The parameters we seek to estimate are the spatial tumor concentration and the extent of anisotropic tumor diffusion. The optimization problem is solved with a Gauss-Newton reduced space algorithm. We present the formulation, outline the numerical algorithms and conclude with numerical experiments on synthetic datasets. Our results show the feasibility of the proposed methodology.

  19. The Robustness Optimization of Parameter Estimation in Chaotic Control Systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Zhen Xu

    2014-10-01

    Full Text Available Standard particle swarm optimization algorithm has problems of bad adaption and weak robustness in the parameter estimation model of chaotic control systems. In light of this situation, this paper puts forward a new estimation model based on improved particle swarm optimization algorithm. It firstly constrains the search space of the population with Tent and Logistic double mapping to regulate the initialized population size, optimizes the fitness value by evolutionary state identification strategy so as to avoid its premature convergence, optimizes the inertia weight by the nonlinear decrease strategy to reach better global and local optimal solution, and then optimizes the iteration of particle swarm optimization algorithm with the hybridization concept from genetic algorithm. Finally, this paper applies it into the parameter estimation of chaotic systems control. Simulation results show that the proposed parameter estimation model shows higher accuracy, anti-noise ability and robustness compared with the model based on standard particle swarm optimization algorithm.

  20. Iterative methods for distributed parameter estimation in parabolic PDE

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Vogel, C.R. [Montana State Univ., Bozeman, MT (United States); Wade, J.G. [Bowling Green State Univ., OH (United States)

    1994-12-31

    The goal of the work presented is the development of effective iterative techniques for large-scale inverse or parameter estimation problems. In this extended abstract, a detailed description of the mathematical framework in which the authors view these problem is presented, followed by an outline of the ideas and algorithms developed. Distributed parameter estimation problems often arise in mathematical modeling with partial differential equations. They can be viewed as inverse problems; the `forward problem` is that of using the fully specified model to predict the behavior of the system. The inverse or parameter estimation problem is: given the form of the model and some observed data from the system being modeled, determine the unknown parameters of the model. These problems are of great practical and mathematical interest, and the development of efficient computational algorithms is an active area of study.

  1. A software for parameter estimation in dynamic models

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    M. Yuceer

    2008-12-01

    Full Text Available A common problem in dynamic systems is to determine parameters in an equation used to represent experimental data. The goal is to determine the values of model parameters that provide the best fit to measured data, generally based on some type of least squares or maximum likelihood criterion. In the most general case, this requires the solution of a nonlinear and frequently non-convex optimization problem. Some of the available software lack in generality, while others do not provide ease of use. A user-interactive parameter estimation software was needed for identifying kinetic parameters. In this work we developed an integration based optimization approach to provide a solution to such problems. For easy implementation of the technique, a parameter estimation software (PARES has been developed in MATLAB environment. When tested with extensive example problems from literature, the suggested approach is proven to provide good agreement between predicted and observed data within relatively less computing time and iterations.

  2. The Minimax Estimator of Stochastic Regression Coefficients and Parameters in the Class of All Estimators

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Li Wen XU; Song Gui WANG

    2007-01-01

    In this paper, the authors address the problem of the minimax estimator of linear com-binations of stochastic regression coefficients and parameters in the general normal linear model with random effects. Under a quadratic loss function, the minimax property of linear estimators is inves- tigated. In the class of all estimators, the minimax estimator of estimable functions, which is unique with probability 1, is obtained under a multivariate normal distribution.

  3. Evaluating parasite densities and estimation of parameters in transmission systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Heinzmann D.

    2008-09-01

    Full Text Available Mathematical modelling of parasite transmission systems can provide useful information about host parasite interactions and biology and parasite population dynamics. In addition good predictive models may assist in designing control programmes to reduce the burden of human and animal disease. Model building is only the first part of the process. These models then need to be confronted with data to obtain parameter estimates and the accuracy of these estimates has to be evaluated. Estimation of parasite densities is central to this. Parasite density estimates can include the proportion of hosts infected with parasites (prevalence or estimates of the parasite biomass within the host population (abundance or intensity estimates. Parasite density estimation is often complicated by highly aggregated distributions of parasites within the hosts. This causes additional challenges when calculating transmission parameters. Using Echinococcus spp. as a model organism, this manuscript gives a brief overview of the types of descriptors of parasite densities, how to estimate them and on the use of these estimates in a transmission model.

  4. Traveltime approximations and parameter estimation for orthorhombic media

    KAUST Repository

    Masmoudi, Nabil

    2016-05-30

    Building anisotropy models is necessary for seismic modeling and imaging. However, anisotropy estimation is challenging due to the trade-off between inhomogeneity and anisotropy. Luckily, we can estimate the anisotropy parameters Building anisotropy models is necessary for seismic modeling and imaging. However, anisotropy estimation is challenging due to the trade-off between inhomogeneity and anisotropy. Luckily, we can estimate the anisotropy parameters if we relate them analytically to traveltimes. Using perturbation theory, we have developed traveltime approximations for orthorhombic media as explicit functions of the anellipticity parameters η1, η2, and Δχ in inhomogeneous background media. The parameter Δχ is related to Tsvankin-Thomsen notation and ensures easier computation of traveltimes in the background model. Specifically, our expansion assumes an inhomogeneous ellipsoidal anisotropic background model, which can be obtained from well information and stacking velocity analysis. We have used the Shanks transform to enhance the accuracy of the formulas. A homogeneous medium simplification of the traveltime expansion provided a nonhyperbolic moveout description of the traveltime that was more accurate than other derived approximations. Moreover, the formulation provides a computationally efficient tool to solve the eikonal equation of an orthorhombic medium, without any constraints on the background model complexity. Although, the expansion is based on the factorized representation of the perturbation parameters, smooth variations of these parameters (represented as effective values) provides reasonable results. Thus, this formulation provides a mechanism to estimate the three effective parameters η1, η2, and Δχ. We have derived Dix-type formulas for orthorhombic medium to convert the effective parameters to their interval values.

  5. A symptotic Bias for GMM and GEL Estimators with Estimated Nuisance Parameter

    OpenAIRE

    Newey, Whitney K.; Joaquim J. S. Ramalho; Smith, Richard J.

    2003-01-01

    This papers studies and compares the asymptotic bias of GMM and generalized empirical likelihood (GEL) estimators in the presence of estimated nuisance parameters. We consider cases in which the nuisance parameter is estimated from independent and identical samples. A simulation experiment is conducted for covariance structure models. Empirical likelihood offers much reduced mean and median bias, root mean squared error and mean absolute error, as compared with two-step GMM and other GEL meth...

  6. Parameter estimation for chaotic systems by particle swarm optimization

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Parameter estimation for chaotic systems is an important issue in nonlinear science and has attracted increasing interests from various research fields, which could be essentially formulated as a multi-dimensional optimization problem. As a novel evolutionary computation technique, particle swarm optimization (PSO) has attracted much attention and wide applications, owing to its simple concept, easy implementation and quick convergence. However, to the best of our knowledge, there is no published work on PSO for estimating parameters of chaotic systems. In this paper, a PSO approach is applied to estimate the parameters of Lorenz system. Numerical simulation and the comparisons demonstrate the effectiveness and robustness of PSO. Moreover, the effect of population size on the optimization performances is investigated as well

  7. Adaptive distributed parameter and input estimation in linear parabolic PDEs

    KAUST Repository

    Mechhoud, Sarra

    2016-01-01

    In this paper, we discuss the on-line estimation of distributed source term, diffusion, and reaction coefficients of a linear parabolic partial differential equation using both distributed and interior-point measurements. First, new sufficient identifiability conditions of the input and the parameter simultaneous estimation are stated. Then, by means of Lyapunov-based design, an adaptive estimator is derived in the infinite-dimensional framework. It consists of a state observer and gradient-based parameter and input adaptation laws. The parameter convergence depends on the plant signal richness assumption, whereas the state convergence is established using a Lyapunov approach. The results of the paper are illustrated by simulation on tokamak plasma heat transport model using simulated data.

  8. CTER—Rapid estimation of CTF parameters with error assessment

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Penczek, Pawel A., E-mail: Pawel.A.Penczek@uth.tmc.edu [Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, The University of Texas Medical School, 6431 Fannin MSB 6.220, Houston, TX 77054 (United States); Fang, Jia [Department of Biochemistry and Molecular Biology, The University of Texas Medical School, 6431 Fannin MSB 6.220, Houston, TX 77054 (United States); Li, Xueming; Cheng, Yifan [The Keck Advanced Microscopy Laboratory, Department of Biochemistry and Biophysics, University of California, San Francisco, CA 94158 (United States); Loerke, Justus; Spahn, Christian M.T. [Institut für Medizinische Physik und Biophysik, Charité – Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Charitéplatz 1, 10117 Berlin (Germany)

    2014-05-01

    In structural electron microscopy, the accurate estimation of the Contrast Transfer Function (CTF) parameters, particularly defocus and astigmatism, is of utmost importance for both initial evaluation of micrograph quality and for subsequent structure determination. Due to increases in the rate of data collection on modern microscopes equipped with new generation cameras, it is also important that the CTF estimation can be done rapidly and with minimal user intervention. Finally, in order to minimize the necessity for manual screening of the micrographs by a user it is necessary to provide an assessment of the errors of fitted parameters values. In this work we introduce CTER, a CTF parameters estimation method distinguished by its computational efficiency. The efficiency of the method makes it suitable for high-throughput EM data collection, and enables the use of a statistical resampling technique, bootstrap, that yields standard deviations of estimated defocus and astigmatism amplitude and angle, thus facilitating the automation of the process of screening out inferior micrograph data. Furthermore, CTER also outputs the spatial frequency limit imposed by reciprocal space aliasing of the discrete form of the CTF and the finite window size. We demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of CTER using a data set collected on a 300 kV Tecnai Polara (FEI) using the K2 Summit DED camera in super-resolution counting mode. Using CTER we obtained a structure of the 80S ribosome whose large subunit had a resolution of 4.03 Å without, and 3.85 Å with, inclusion of astigmatism parameters. - Highlights: • We describe methodology for estimation of CTF parameters with error assessment. • Error estimates provide means for automated elimination of inferior micrographs. • High computational efficiency allows real-time monitoring of EM data quality. • Accurate CTF estimation yields structure of the 80S human ribosome at 3.85 Å.

  9. CTER—Rapid estimation of CTF parameters with error assessment

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In structural electron microscopy, the accurate estimation of the Contrast Transfer Function (CTF) parameters, particularly defocus and astigmatism, is of utmost importance for both initial evaluation of micrograph quality and for subsequent structure determination. Due to increases in the rate of data collection on modern microscopes equipped with new generation cameras, it is also important that the CTF estimation can be done rapidly and with minimal user intervention. Finally, in order to minimize the necessity for manual screening of the micrographs by a user it is necessary to provide an assessment of the errors of fitted parameters values. In this work we introduce CTER, a CTF parameters estimation method distinguished by its computational efficiency. The efficiency of the method makes it suitable for high-throughput EM data collection, and enables the use of a statistical resampling technique, bootstrap, that yields standard deviations of estimated defocus and astigmatism amplitude and angle, thus facilitating the automation of the process of screening out inferior micrograph data. Furthermore, CTER also outputs the spatial frequency limit imposed by reciprocal space aliasing of the discrete form of the CTF and the finite window size. We demonstrate the efficiency and accuracy of CTER using a data set collected on a 300 kV Tecnai Polara (FEI) using the K2 Summit DED camera in super-resolution counting mode. Using CTER we obtained a structure of the 80S ribosome whose large subunit had a resolution of 4.03 Å without, and 3.85 Å with, inclusion of astigmatism parameters. - Highlights: • We describe methodology for estimation of CTF parameters with error assessment. • Error estimates provide means for automated elimination of inferior micrographs. • High computational efficiency allows real-time monitoring of EM data quality. • Accurate CTF estimation yields structure of the 80S human ribosome at 3.85 Å

  10. Estimation of shape model parameters for 3D surfaces

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Erbou, Søren Gylling Hemmingsen; Darkner, Sune; Fripp, Jurgen; Ourselin, Sébastien; Ersbøll, Bjarne Kjær

    surfaces using distance maps, which enables the estimation of model parameters without the requirement of point correspondence. For applications with acquisition limitations such as speed and cost, this formulation enables the fitting of a statistical shape model to arbitrarily sampled data. The method is......Statistical shape models are widely used as a compact way of representing shape variation. Fitting a shape model to unseen data enables characterizing the data in terms of the model parameters. In this paper a Gauss-Newton optimization scheme is proposed to estimate shape model parameters of 3D...... applied to a database of 3D surfaces from a section of the porcine pelvic bone extracted from 33 CT scans. A leave-one-out validation shows that the parameters of the first 3 modes of the shape model can be predicted with a mean difference within [-0.01,0.02] from the true mean, with a standard deviation...

  11. Accelerated gravitational-wave parameter estimation with reduced order modeling

    CERN Document Server

    Canizares, Priscilla; Gair, Jonathan; Raymond, Vivien; Smith, Rory; Tiglio, Manuel

    2014-01-01

    Inferring the astrophysical parameters of coalescing compact binaries is a key science goal of the upcoming advanced LIGO-Virgo gravitational-wave detector network and, more generally, gravitational-wave astronomy. However, current parameter estimation approaches for such scenarios can lead to computationally intractable problems in practice. Therefore there is a pressing need for new, fast and accurate Bayesian inference techniques. In this letter we demonstrate that a reduced order modeling approach enables rapid parameter estimation studies. By implementing a reduced order quadrature scheme within the LIGO Algorithm Library, we show that Bayesian inference on the 9-dimensional parameter space of non-spinning binary neutron star inspirals can be sped up by a factor of 30 for the early advanced detectors' configurations. This speed-up will increase to about $150$ as the detectors improve their low-frequency limit to 10Hz, reducing to hours analyses which would otherwise take months to complete. Although thes...

  12. Estimation of distances to stars with stellar parameters from LAMOST

    CERN Document Server

    Carlin, Jeffrey L; Newberg, Heidi Jo; Beers, Timothy C; Chen, Li; Deng, Licai; Guhathakurta, Puragra; Hou, Jinliang; Hou, Yonghui; Lepine, Sebastien; Li, Guangwei; Luo, A-Li; Smith, Martin C; Wu, Yue; Yang, Ming; Yanny, Brian; Zhang, Haotong; Zheng, Zheng

    2015-01-01

    We present a method to estimate distances to stars with spectroscopically derived stellar parameters. The technique is a Bayesian approach with likelihood estimated via comparison of measured parameters to a grid of stellar isochrones, and returns a posterior probability density function for each star's absolute magnitude. This technique is tailored specifically to data from the Large Sky Area Multi-object Fiber Spectroscopic Telescope (LAMOST) survey. Because LAMOST obtains roughly 3000 stellar spectra simultaneously within each ~5-degree diameter "plate" that is observed, we can use the stellar parameters of the observed stars to account for the stellar luminosity function and target selection effects. This removes biasing assumptions about the underlying populations, both due to predictions of the luminosity function from stellar evolution modeling, and from Galactic models of stellar populations along each line of sight. Using calibration data of stars with known distances and stellar parameters, we show ...

  13. Parameter estimation of an aeroelastic aircraft using neural networks

    Indian Academy of Sciences (India)

    S C Raisinghani; A K Ghosh

    2000-04-01

    Application of neural networks to the problem of aerodynamic modelling and parameter estimation for aeroelastic aircraft is addressed. A neural model capable of predicting generalized force and moment coefficients using measured motion and control variables only, without any need for conventional normal elastic variables ortheirtime derivatives, is proposed. Furthermore, it is shown that such a neural model can be used to extract equivalent stability and control derivatives of a flexible aircraft. Results are presented for aircraft with different levels of flexibility to demonstrate the utility ofthe neural approach for both modelling and estimation of parameters.

  14. Estimates of Genetic Parameters for Racing Times of Thoroughbred Horses

    OpenAIRE

    EKİZ, Bülent; KOÇAK, Ömür

    2007-01-01

    The aim of this study was to estimate the genetic parameters for racing times, which are needed for a selection program of Thoroughbred horses in Turkey. The racing records used in the study were obtained from the Turkish Jockey Club. The trait used in the study was racing time for racing distances of 1200, 1300, 1400, 1500, 1600, 1700, 1800, 1900, 2000, 2100, 2200, and 2400 m. The data from each racing distance were analyzed separately. Genetic parameters were estimated by REML procedure usi...

  15. On Modal Parameter Estimates from Ambient Vibration Tests

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Agneni, A.; Brincker, Rune; Coppotelli, B.

    2004-01-01

    Modal parameter estimates from ambient vibration testing are turning into the preferred technique when one is interested in systems under actual loadings and operational conditions. Moreover, with this approach, expensive devices to excite the structure are not needed, since it can be adequately...... excited by human activities, wind, gust, etc. In this paper, the comparison between two differeiit vibration testing techniques is presented. The first approach takes advantage of the Frequency Domain Decomposition, FDD, of the response cross power spectral densities to estimate both the natural...... parameters of two simple structures (a beam and a plate), excited by an acoustical random signal....

  16. Estimation of the elastic Earth parameters from the SLR technique

    Science.gov (United States)

    Rutkowska, Milena

    ABSTRACT. The global elastic parameters (Love and Shida numbers) associated with the tide variations for satellite and stations are estimated from the Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) data. The study is based on satellite observations taken by the global network of the ground stations during the period from January 1, 2005 until January 1, 2007 for monthly orbital arcs of Lageos 1 satellite. The observation equations contain unknown for orbital arcs, some constants and elastic Earth parameters which describe tide variations. The adjusted values are discussed and compared with geophysical estimations of Love numbers. All computations were performed employing the NASA software GEODYN II (eddy et al. 1990).

  17. Usefulness of single nucleotide polymorphism data for estimating population parameters.

    OpenAIRE

    Kuhner, M K; Beerli, P; Yamato, J; Felsenstein, J

    2000-01-01

    Single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) data can be used for parameter estimation via maximum likelihood methods as long as the way in which the SNPs were determined is known, so that an appropriate likelihood formula can be constructed. We present such likelihoods for several sampling methods. As a test of these approaches, we consider use of SNPs to estimate the parameter Theta = 4N(e)micro (the scaled product of effective population size and per-site mutation rate), which is related to the br...

  18. Parameter Estimation in Stochastic Differential Equations; An Overview

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Nielsen, Jan Nygaard; Madsen, Henrik; Young, P. C.

    2000-01-01

    This paper presents an overview of the progress of research on parameter estimation methods for stochastic differential equations (mostly in the sense of Ito calculus) over the period 1981-1999. These are considered both without measurement noise and with measurement noise, where the discretely...... observed stochastic differential equations are embedded in a continuous-discrete time state space model. Every attempts has been made to include results from other scientific disciplines. Maximum likelihood estimation of parameters in nonlinear stochastic differential equations is in general not possible...

  19. Application of genetic algorithms for parameter estimation in liquid chromatography

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In chromatography, complex inverse problems related to the parameters estimation and process optimization are presented. Metaheuristics methods are known as general purpose approximated algorithms which seek and hopefully find good solutions at a reasonable computational cost. These methods are iterative process to perform a robust search of a solution space. Genetic algorithms are optimization techniques based on the principles of genetics and natural selection. They have demonstrated very good performance as global optimizers in many types of applications, including inverse problems. In this work, the effectiveness of genetic algorithms is investigated to estimate parameters in liquid chromatography

  20. Estimation of effective hydrogeological parameters in heterogeneous and anisotropic aquifers

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lin, Hsien-Tsung; Tan, Yih-Chi; Chen, Chu-Hui; Yu, Hwa-Lung; Wu, Shih-Ching; Ke, Kai-Yuan

    2010-07-01

    SummaryObtaining reasonable hydrological input parameters is a key challenge in groundwater modeling. Analysis of temporal evolution during pump-induced drawdown is one common approach used to estimate the effective transmissivity and storage coefficients in a heterogeneous aquifer. In this study, we propose a Modified Tabu search Method (MTM), an improvement drawn from an alliance between the Tabu Search (TS) and the Adjoint State Method (ASM) developed by Tan et al. (2008). The latter is employed to estimate effective parameters for anisotropic, heterogeneous aquifers. MTM is validated by several numerical pumping tests. Comparisons are made to other well-known techniques, such as the type-curve method (TCM) and the straight-line method (SLM), to provide insight into the challenge of determining the most effective parameter for an anisotropic, heterogeneous aquifer. The results reveal that MTM can efficiently obtain the best representative and effective aquifer parameters in terms of the least mean square errors of the drawdown estimations. The use of MTM may involve less artificial errors than occur with TCM and SLM, and lead to better solutions. Therefore, effective transmissivity is more likely to be comprised of the geometric mean of all transmissivities within the cone of depression based on a precise estimation of MTM. Further investigation into the applicability of MTM shows that a higher level of heterogeneity in an aquifer can induce an uncertainty in estimations, while the changes in correlation length will affect the accuracy of MTM only once the degree of heterogeneity has also risen.

  1. Parameter Estimation for Single Diode Models of Photovoltaic Modules

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Hansen, Clifford [Sandia National Lab. (SNL-NM), Albuquerque, NM (United States). Photovoltaic and Distributed Systems Integration Dept.

    2015-03-01

    Many popular models for photovoltaic system performance employ a single diode model to compute the I - V curve for a module or string of modules at given irradiance and temperature conditions. A single diode model requires a number of parameters to be estimated from measured I - V curves. Many available parameter estimation methods use only short circuit, o pen circuit and maximum power points for a single I - V curve at standard test conditions together with temperature coefficients determined separately for individual cells. In contrast, module testing frequently records I - V curves over a wide range of irradi ance and temperature conditions which, when available , should also be used to parameterize the performance model. We present a parameter estimation method that makes use of a fu ll range of available I - V curves. We verify the accuracy of the method by recov ering known parameter values from simulated I - V curves . We validate the method by estimating model parameters for a module using outdoor test data and predicting the outdoor performance of the module.

  2. Estimation of diffusion parameters for discretely observed diffusion processes

    OpenAIRE

    Sørensen, Helle

    2002-01-01

    We study the estimation of diffusion parameters for one-dimensional, ergodic diffusion processes that are discretely observed. We discuss a method based on a functional relationship between the drift function, the diffusion function and the invariant density and use empirical process theory to show that the estimator is $\\sqrt{n}$-consistent and in certain cases weakly convergent. The Chan-Karolyi-Longstaff-Sanders (CKLS) model is used as an example and a numerical example i...

  3. Estimation of dynamic stability parameters from drop model flight tests

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chambers, J. R.; Iliff, K. W.

    1981-01-01

    The overall remotely piloted drop model operation, descriptions, instrumentation, launch and recovery operations, piloting concept, and parameter identification methods are discussed. Static and dynamic stability derivatives were obtained for an angle attack range from -20 deg to 53 deg. It is indicated that the variations of the estimates with angle of attack are consistent for most of the static derivatives, and the effects of configuration modifications to the model were apparent in the static derivative estimates.

  4. Multi-criteria parameter estimation for the Unified Land Model

    OpenAIRE

    B. Livneh; Lettenmaier, D. P.

    2012-01-01

    We describe a parameter estimation framework for the Unified Land Model (ULM) that utilizes multiple independent data sets over the continental United States. These include a satellite-based evapotranspiration (ET) product based on MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES) imagery, an atmospheric-water balance based ET estimate that utilizes North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) atmospheric fields, terrestrial water...

  5. Multi-criteria parameter estimation for the unified land model

    OpenAIRE

    B. Livneh; Lettenmaier, D. P.

    2012-01-01

    We describe a parameter estimation framework for the Unified Land Model (ULM) that utilizes multiple independent data sets over the Continental United States. These include a satellite-based evapotranspiration (ET) product based on MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Geostationary Operation Environmental Satellites (GOES) imagery, an atmospheric-water balance based ET estimate that utilizes North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR) atmospheric fields, terrestrial wa...

  6. Comparison of Jump-Diffusion Parameters Using Passage Times Estimation

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    K. Khaldi

    2014-01-01

    Full Text Available The main purposes of this paper are two contributions: (1 it presents a new method, which is the first passage time generalized for all passage times (PT method, in order to estimate the parameters of stochastic jump-diffusion process. (2 It compares in a time series model, share price of gold, the empirical results of the estimation and forecasts obtained with the PT method and those obtained by the moments method applied to the MJD model.

  7. Human ECG signal parameters estimation during controlled physical activity

    Science.gov (United States)

    Maciejewski, Marcin; Surtel, Wojciech; Dzida, Grzegorz

    2015-09-01

    ECG signal parameters are commonly used indicators of human health condition. In most cases the patient should remain stationary during the examination to decrease the influence of muscle artifacts. During physical activity, the noise level increases significantly. The ECG signals were acquired during controlled physical activity on a stationary bicycle and during rest. Afterwards, the signals were processed using a method based on Pan-Tompkins algorithms to estimate their parameters and to test the method.

  8. Parameter estimation in systems biology models using spline approximation

    OpenAIRE

    Yeung Lam F; Zhan Choujun

    2011-01-01

    Abstract Background Mathematical models for revealing the dynamics and interactions properties of biological systems play an important role in computational systems biology. The inference of model parameter values from time-course data can be considered as a "reverse engineering" process and is still one of the most challenging tasks. Many parameter estimation methods have been developed but none of these methods is effective for all cases and can overwhelm all other approaches. Instead, vari...

  9. Parameter Estimation of Superimposed Damped Sinusoids Using Exponential Windows

    OpenAIRE

    Al-Radhawi, Muhammad Ali; Abed-Meraim, Karim

    2014-01-01

    This paper presents a preprocessing technique based on exponential windowing (EW) for parameter estimation of superimposed exponentially damped sinusoids. It is shown that the EW technique significantly improves the robustness to noise over two other commonly used preprocessing techniques: subspace decomposition and higher order statistics. An ad-hoc but efficient approach for the EW parameter selection is provided and shown to provide close to CRB performance.

  10. Bayesian estimation of parameters in a regional hydrological model

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    K. Engeland

    2002-01-01

    Full Text Available This study evaluates the applicability of the distributed, process-oriented Ecomag model for prediction of daily streamflow in ungauged basins. The Ecomag model is applied as a regional model to nine catchments in the NOPEX area, using Bayesian statistics to estimate the posterior distribution of the model parameters conditioned on the observed streamflow. The distribution is calculated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC analysis. The Bayesian method requires formulation of a likelihood function for the parameters and three alternative formulations are used. The first is a subjectively chosen objective function that describes the goodness of fit between the simulated and observed streamflow, as defined in the GLUE framework. The second and third formulations are more statistically correct likelihood models that describe the simulation errors. The full statistical likelihood model describes the simulation errors as an AR(1 process, whereas the simple model excludes the auto-regressive part. The statistical parameters depend on the catchments and the hydrological processes and the statistical and the hydrological parameters are estimated simultaneously. The results show that the simple likelihood model gives the most robust parameter estimates. The simulation error may be explained to a large extent by the catchment characteristics and climatic conditions, so it is possible to transfer knowledge about them to ungauged catchments. The statistical models for the simulation errors indicate that structural errors in the model are more important than parameter uncertainties. Keywords: regional hydrological model, model uncertainty, Bayesian analysis, Markov Chain Monte Carlo analysis

  11. Optimal measurement locations for parameter estimation of non linear distributed parameter systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    J. E. Alaña

    2010-12-01

    Full Text Available A sensor placement approach for the purpose of accurately estimating unknown parameters of a distributed parameter system is discussed. The idea is to convert the sensor location problem to a classical experimental design. The technique consists of analysing the extrema values of the sensitivity coefficients derived from the system and their corresponding spatial positions. This information is used to formulate an efficient computational optimum experiment design on discrete domains. The scheme studied is verified by a numerical example regarding the chemical reaction in a tubular reactor for two possible scenarios; stable and unstable operation conditions. The resulting approach is easy to implement and good estimates for the parameters of the system are obtained. This study shows that the measurement location plays an essential role in the parameter estimation procedure.

  12. Parameter Estimation for a Class of Lifetime Models

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Xinyang Ji

    2014-01-01

    Full Text Available Our purpose in this paper is to present a better method of parametric estimation for a bivariate nonlinear regression model, which takes the performance indicator of rubber aging as the dependent variable and time and temperature as the independent variables. We point out that the commonly used two-step method (TSM, which splits the model and estimate parameters separately, has limitation. Instead, we apply the Marquardt’s method (MM to implement parametric estimation directly for the model and compare these two methods of parametric estimation by random simulation. Our results show that MM has better effect of data fitting, more reasonable parametric estimates, and smaller prediction error compared with TSM.

  13. Online vegetation parameter estimation using passive microwave remote sensing observations

    Science.gov (United States)

    In adaptive system identification the Kalman filter can be used to identify the coefficient of the observation operator of a linear system. Here the ensemble Kalman filter is tested for adaptive online estimation of the vegetation opacity parameter of a radiative transfer model. A state augmentatio...

  14. Estimation of Parameters of Gravitational Waves from Pulsars

    OpenAIRE

    Krolak, A

    1997-01-01

    The problem of search for nearly periodic gravitational wave sources in the data from laser interferometric detectors is discussed using a simple model of the signal. Accuracies of estimation of the parameters and computational requirements to do the search are assessed.

  15. Stability of Parameter Estimates in the Split Population Exponential Distribution.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Miley, Alan D.

    1978-01-01

    The split-population exponential design suggested by Maltz and McCleary to predict parolee recidivism (TM 502 998) was applied to discharged psychiatric inpatients. Parameter estimates changed systematically as greater and greater observation time was allowed in the computation, thus limiting extrapolability. (Author/GDC)

  16. A Sparse Bayesian Learning Algorithm With Dictionary Parameter Estimation

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Hansen, Thomas Lundgaard; Badiu, Mihai Alin; Fleury, Bernard Henri; Rao, Bhaskar D.

    This paper concerns sparse decomposition of a noisy signal into atoms which are specified by unknown continuous-valued parameters. An example could be estimation of the model order, frequencies and amplitudes of a superposition of complex sinusoids. The common approach is to reduce the continuous...

  17. Synchronous Generator Model Parameter Estimation Based on Noisy Dynamic Waveforms

    Science.gov (United States)

    Berhausen, Sebastian; Paszek, Stefan

    2016-01-01

    In recent years, there have occurred system failures in many power systems all over the world. They have resulted in a lack of power supply to a large number of recipients. To minimize the risk of occurrence of power failures, it is necessary to perform multivariate investigations, including simulations, of power system operating conditions. To conduct reliable simulations, the current base of parameters of the models of generating units, containing the models of synchronous generators, is necessary. In the paper, there is presented a method for parameter estimation of a synchronous generator nonlinear model based on the analysis of selected transient waveforms caused by introducing a disturbance (in the form of a pseudorandom signal) in the generator voltage regulation channel. The parameter estimation was performed by minimizing the objective function defined as a mean square error for deviations between the measurement waveforms and the waveforms calculated based on the generator mathematical model. A hybrid algorithm was used for the minimization of the objective function. In the paper, there is described a filter system used for filtering the noisy measurement waveforms. The calculation results of the model of a 44 kW synchronous generator installed on a laboratory stand of the Institute of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science of the Silesian University of Technology are also given. The presented estimation method can be successfully applied to parameter estimation of different models of high-power synchronous generators operating in a power system.

  18. Parameter Estimates in Differential Equation Models for Population Growth

    Science.gov (United States)

    Winkel, Brian J.

    2011-01-01

    We estimate the parameters present in several differential equation models of population growth, specifically logistic growth models and two-species competition models. We discuss student-evolved strategies and offer "Mathematica" code for a gradient search approach. We use historical (1930s) data from microbial studies of the Russian biologist,…

  19. A parameter estimation framework for patient-specific hemodynamic computations

    Science.gov (United States)

    Itu, Lucian; Sharma, Puneet; Passerini, Tiziano; Kamen, Ali; Suciu, Constantin; Comaniciu, Dorin

    2015-01-01

    We propose a fully automated parameter estimation framework for performing patient-specific hemodynamic computations in arterial models. To determine the personalized values of the windkessel models, which are used as part of the geometrical multiscale circulation model, a parameter estimation problem is formulated. Clinical measurements of pressure and/or flow-rate are imposed as constraints to formulate a nonlinear system of equations, whose fixed point solution is sought. A key feature of the proposed method is a warm-start to the optimization procedure, with better initial solution for the nonlinear system of equations, to reduce the number of iterations needed for the calibration of the geometrical multiscale models. To achieve these goals, the initial solution, computed with a lumped parameter model, is adapted before solving the parameter estimation problem for the geometrical multiscale circulation model: the resistance and the compliance of the circulation model are estimated and compensated. The proposed framework is evaluated on a patient-specific aortic model, a full body arterial model, and multiple idealized anatomical models representing different arterial segments. For each case it leads to the best performance in terms of number of iterations required for the computational model to be in close agreement with the clinical measurements.

  20. Parameter estimation of an air-bearing suspended test table

    Science.gov (United States)

    Fu, Zhenxian; Lin, Yurong; Liu, Yang; Chen, Xinglin; Chen, Fang

    2015-02-01

    A parameter estimation approach is proposed for parameter determination of a 3-axis air-bearing suspended test table. The table is to provide a balanced and frictionless environment for spacecraft ground test. To balance the suspension, the mechanical parameters of the table, including its angular inertias and centroid deviation from its rotating center, have to be determined first. Then sliding masses on the table can be adjusted by stepper motors to relocate the centroid of the table to its rotating center. Using the angular momentum theorem and the coriolis theorem, dynamic equations are derived describing the rotation of the table under the influence of gravity imbalance torque and activating torques. To generate the actuating torques, use of momentum wheels is proposed, whose virtue is that no active control is required to the momentum wheels, which merely have to spin at constant rates, thus avoiding the singularity problem and the difficulty of precisely adjusting the output torques, issues associated with control moment gyros. The gyroscopic torques generated by the momentum wheels, as they are forced by the table to precess, are sufficient to activate the table for parameter estimation. Then least-square estimation is be employed to calculate the desired parameters. The effectiveness of the method is validated by simulation.

  1. A parameter identifiability and estimation study in Yesilirmak River.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Berber, R; Yuceer, M; Karadurmus, E

    2009-01-01

    Water quality models have relatively large number of parameters, which need to be estimated against observed data through a non-trivial task that is associated with substantial difficulties. This work involves a systematic model calibration and validation study for river water quality. The model considered was composed of dynamic mass balances for eleven pollution constituents, stemming from QUAL2E water quality model by considering a river segment as a series of continuous stirred-tank reactors (CSTRs). Parameter identifiability was analyzed from the perspective of sensitivity measure and collinearity index, which indicated that 8 parameters would fall within the identifiability range. The model parameters were then estimated by an integration based optimization algorithm coupled with sequential quadratic programming. Dynamic field data consisting of major pollutant concentrations were collected from sampling stations along Yesilirmak River around the city of Amasya in Turkey, and compared with model predictions. The calibrated model responses were in good agreement with the observed river water quality data, and this indicated that the suggested procedure provided an effective means for reliable estimation of model parameters and dynamic simulation for river streams. PMID:19214006

  2. Tsunami Prediction and Earthquake Parameters Estimation in the Red Sea

    KAUST Repository

    Sawlan, Zaid A

    2012-12-01

    Tsunami concerns have increased in the world after the 2004 Indian Ocean tsunami and the 2011 Tohoku tsunami. Consequently, tsunami models have been developed rapidly in the last few years. One of the advanced tsunami models is the GeoClaw tsunami model introduced by LeVeque (2011). This model is adaptive and consistent. Because of different sources of uncertainties in the model, observations are needed to improve model prediction through a data assimilation framework. Model inputs are earthquake parameters and topography. This thesis introduces a real-time tsunami forecasting method that combines tsunami model with observations using a hybrid ensemble Kalman filter and ensemble Kalman smoother. The filter is used for state prediction while the smoother operates smoothing to estimate the earthquake parameters. This method reduces the error produced by uncertain inputs. In addition, state-parameter EnKF is implemented to estimate earthquake parameters. Although number of observations is small, estimated parameters generates a better tsunami prediction than the model. Methods and results of prediction experiments in the Red Sea are presented and the prospect of developing an operational tsunami prediction system in the Red Sea is discussed.

  3. PARAMETER ESTIMATION METHODOLOGY FOR NONLINEAR SYSTEMS: APPLICATION TO INDUCTION MOTOR

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    G.KENNE; F.FLORET; H.NKWAWO; F.LAMNABHI-LAGARRIGUE

    2005-01-01

    This paper deals with on-line state and parameter estimation of a reasonably large class of nonlinear continuous-time systems using a step-by-step sliding mode observer approach. The method proposed can also be used for adaptation to parameters that vary with time. The other interesting feature of the method is that it is easily implementable in real-time. The efficiency of this technique is demonstrated via the on-line estimation of the electrical parameters and rotor flux of an induction motor. This application is based on the standard model of the induction motor expressed in rotor coordinates with the stator current and voltage as well as the rotor speed assumed to be measurable.Real-time implementation results are then reported and the ability of the algorithm to rapidly estimate the motor parameters is demonstrated. These results show the robustness of this approach with respect to measurement noise, discretization effects, parameter uncertainties and modeling inaccuracies.Comparisons between the results obtained and those of the classical recursive least square algorithm are also presented. The real-time implementation results show that the proposed algorithm gives better performance than the recursive least square method in terms of the convergence rate and the robustness with respect to measurement noise.

  4. Estimation of rice biophysical parameters using multitemporal RADARSAT-2 images

    Science.gov (United States)

    Li, S.; Ni, P.; Cui, G.; He, P.; Liu, H.; Li, L.; Liang, Z.

    2016-04-01

    Compared with optical sensors, synthetic aperture radar (SAR) has the capability of acquiring images in all-weather conditions. Thus, SAR images are suitable for using in rice growth regions that are characterized by frequent cloud cover and rain. The objective of this paper was to evaluate the probability of rice biophysical parameters estimation using multitemporal RADARSAT-2 images, and to develop the estimation models. Three RADARSTA-2 images were acquired during the rice critical growth stages in 2014 near Meishan, Sichuan province, Southwest China. Leaf area index (LAI), the fraction of photosynthetically active radiation (FPAR), height, biomass and canopy water content (WC) were observed at 30 experimental plots over 5 periods. The relationship between RADARSAT-2 backscattering coefficients (σ 0) or their ratios and rice biophysical parameters were analysed. These biophysical parameters were significantly and consistently correlated with the VV and VH σ 0 ratio (σ 0 VV/ σ 0 VH) throughout all growth stages. The regression model were developed between biophysical parameters and σ 0 VV/ σ 0 VH. The results suggest that the RADARSAT-2 data has great potential capability for the rice biophysical parameters estimation and the timely rice growth monitoring.

  5. Modal parameters estimation using ant colony optimisation algorithm

    Science.gov (United States)

    Sitarz, Piotr; Powałka, Bartosz

    2016-08-01

    The paper puts forward a new estimation method of modal parameters for dynamical systems. The problem of parameter estimation has been simplified to optimisation which is carried out using the ant colony system algorithm. The proposed method significantly constrains the solution space, determined on the basis of frequency plots of the receptance FRFs (frequency response functions) for objects presented in the frequency domain. The constantly growing computing power of readily accessible PCs makes this novel approach a viable solution. The combination of deterministic constraints of the solution space with modified ant colony system algorithms produced excellent results for systems in which mode shapes are defined by distinctly different natural frequencies and for those in which natural frequencies are similar. The proposed method is fully autonomous and the user does not need to select a model order. The last section of the paper gives estimation results for two sample frequency plots, conducted with the proposed method and the PolyMAX algorithm.

  6. Estimating Arrhenius parameters using temperature programmed molecular dynamics

    Science.gov (United States)

    Imandi, Venkataramana; Chatterjee, Abhijit

    2016-07-01

    Kinetic rates at different temperatures and the associated Arrhenius parameters, whenever Arrhenius law is obeyed, are efficiently estimated by applying maximum likelihood analysis to waiting times collected using the temperature programmed molecular dynamics method. When transitions involving many activated pathways are available in the dataset, their rates may be calculated using the same collection of waiting times. Arrhenius behaviour is ascertained by comparing rates at the sampled temperatures with ones from the Arrhenius expression. Three prototype systems with corrugated energy landscapes, namely, solvated alanine dipeptide, diffusion at the metal-solvent interphase, and lithium diffusion in silicon, are studied to highlight various aspects of the method. The method becomes particularly appealing when the Arrhenius parameters can be used to find rates at low temperatures where transitions are rare. Systematic coarse-graining of states can further extend the time scales accessible to the method. Good estimates for the rate parameters are obtained with 500-1000 waiting times.

  7. Power Network Parameter Estimation Method Based on Data Mining Technology

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    ZHANG Qi-ping; WANG Cheng-min; HOU Zhi-fian

    2008-01-01

    The parameter values which actually change with the circumstances, weather and load level etc.produce great effect to the result of state estimation. A new parameter estimation method based on data mining technology was proposed. The clustering method was used to classify the historical data in supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) database as several types. The data processing technology was impliedto treat the isolated point, missing data and yawp data in samples for classified groups. The measurement data which belong to each classification were introduced to the linear regression equation in order to gain the regression coefficient and actual parameters by the least square method. A practical system demonstrates the high correctness, reliability and strong practicability of the proposed method.

  8. Summary of the DREAM8 Parameter Estimation Challenge: Toward Parameter Identification for Whole-Cell Models.

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Jonathan R Karr

    2015-05-01

    Full Text Available Whole-cell models that explicitly represent all cellular components at the molecular level have the potential to predict phenotype from genotype. However, even for simple bacteria, whole-cell models will contain thousands of parameters, many of which are poorly characterized or unknown. New algorithms are needed to estimate these parameters and enable researchers to build increasingly comprehensive models. We organized the Dialogue for Reverse Engineering Assessments and Methods (DREAM 8 Whole-Cell Parameter Estimation Challenge to develop new parameter estimation algorithms for whole-cell models. We asked participants to identify a subset of parameters of a whole-cell model given the model's structure and in silico "experimental" data. Here we describe the challenge, the best performing methods, and new insights into the identifiability of whole-cell models. We also describe several valuable lessons we learned toward improving future challenges. Going forward, we believe that collaborative efforts supported by inexpensive cloud computing have the potential to solve whole-cell model parameter estimation.

  9. Seamless continental-domain hydrologic model parameter estimations with Multi-Scale Parameter Regionalization

    Science.gov (United States)

    Mizukami, Naoki; Clark, Martyn; Newman, Andrew; Wood, Andy

    2016-04-01

    Estimation of spatially distributed parameters is one of the biggest challenges in hydrologic modeling over a large spatial domain. This problem arises from methodological challenges such as the transfer of calibrated parameters to ungauged locations. Consequently, many current large scale hydrologic assessments rely on spatially inconsistent parameter fields showing patchwork patterns resulting from individual basin calibration or spatially constant parameters resulting from the adoption of default or a-priori estimates. In this study we apply the Multi-scale Parameter Regionalization (MPR) framework (Samaniego et al., 2010) to generate spatially continuous and optimized parameter fields for the Variable Infiltration Capacity (VIC) model over the contiguous United States(CONUS). The MPR method uses transfer functions that relate geophysical attributes (e.g., soil) to model parameters (e.g., parameters that describe the storage and transmission of water) at the native resolution of the geophysical attribute data and then scale to the model spatial resolution with several scaling functions, e.g., arithmetic mean, harmonic mean, and geometric mean. Model parameter adjustments are made by calibrating the parameters of the transfer function rather than the model parameters themselves. In this presentation, we first discuss conceptual challenges in a "model agnostic" continental-domain application of the MPR approach. We describe development of transfer functions for the soil parameters, and discuss challenges associated with extending MPR for VIC to multiple models. Next, we discuss the "computational shortcut" of headwater basin calibration where we estimate the parameters for only 500 headwater basins rather than conducting simulations for every grid box across the entire domain. We first performed individual basin calibration to obtain a benchmark of the maximum achievable performance in each basin, and examined their transferability to the other basins. We then

  10. Nonlinear Parameter Estimation in Microbiological Degradation Systems and Statistic Test for Common Estimation

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Sommer, Helle Mølgaard; Holst, Helle; Spliid, Henrik; Arvin, Erik

    1995-01-01

    Three identical microbiological experiments were carried out and analysed in order to examine the variability of the parameter estimates. The microbiological system consisted of a substrate (toluene) and a biomass (pure culture) mixed together in an aquifer medium. The degradation of the substrate...... and the growth of the biomass are described by the Monod model consisting of two nonlinear coupled first-order differential equations. The objective of this study was to estimate the kinetic parameters in the Monod model and to test whether the parameters from the three identical experiments have the...... same values. Estimation of the parameters was obtained using an iterative maximum likelihood method and the test used was an approximative likelihood ratio test. The test showed that the three sets of parameters were identical only on a 4% alpha level....

  11. Concurrent learning for parameter estimation using dynamic state-derivative estimators

    OpenAIRE

    Kamalapurkar, Rushikesh; Reish, Ben; Chowdhary, Girish; Dixon, Warren E.

    2015-01-01

    A concurrent learning (CL)-based parameter estimator is developed to identify the unknown parameters in a linearly parameterized uncertain control-affine nonlinear system. Unlike state-of-the-art CL techniques that assume knowledge of the state-derivative or rely on numerical smoothing, CL is implemented using a dynamic state-derivative estimator. A novel purging algorithm is introduced to discard possibly erroneous data recorded during the transient phase for concurrent learning. Since purgi...

  12. Seafloor elastic parameters estimation based on AVO inversion

    Science.gov (United States)

    Liu, Yangting; Liu, Xuewei

    2015-12-01

    Seafloor elastic parameters play an important role in many fields as diverse as marine construction, seabed resources exploration and seafloor acoustics. In order to estimate seafloor elastic parameters, we perform AVO inversion with seafloor reflected seismic data. As a particular reflection interface, the seafloor reflector does not support S-waves and the elastic parameters change dramatically across it. Conventional approximations to the Zoeppritz equations are not applicable for the seafloor situation. In this paper, we perform AVO inversion with the exact Zoeppritz equations through an unconstrained optimization method. Our synthetic study proves that the inversion method does not show strong dependence on the initial model for both unconsolidated and semi-consolidated seabed situations. The inversion uncertainty of the elastic parameters increases with the noise level, and decreases with the incidence angle range. Finally, we perform inversion of data from the South China Sea, and obtain satisfactory results, which are in good agreement with previous research.

  13. Cosmological parameter estimation using Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO)

    CERN Document Server

    Prasad, Jayanti

    2011-01-01

    Obtaining the set of cosmological parameters consistent with observational data is an important exercise in current cosmological research. It involves finding the global maximum of the likelihood function in the multi-dimensional parameter space. Currently sampling based methods, which are in general stochastic in nature, like Markov-Chain Monte Carlo(MCMC), are being commonly used for parameter estimation. The beauty of stochastic methods is that the computational cost grows, at the most, linearly in place of exponentially (as in grid based approaches) with the dimensionality of the search space. MCMC methods sample the full joint probability distribution (posterior) from which one and two dimensional probability distributions, best fit (average) values of parameters and then error bars can be computed. In the present work we demonstrate the application of another stochastic method, named Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO), that is widely used in the field of engineering and artificial intelligence, for cosmo...

  14. Parameter estimation in nonlinear models for pesticide degradation

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A wide class of environmental transfer models is formulated as ordinary or partial differential equations. With the availability of fast computers, the numerical solution of large systems became feasible. The main difficulty in performing a realistic and convincing simulation of the fate of a substance in the biosphere is not the implementation of numerical techniques but rather the incomplete data basis for parameter estimation. Parameter estimation is a synonym for statistical and numerical procedures to derive reasonable numerical values for model parameters from data. The classical method is the familiar linear regression technique which dates back to the 18th century. Because it is easy to handle, linear regression has long been established as a convenient tool for analysing relationships. However, the wide use of linear regression has led to an overemphasis of linear relationships. In nature, most relationships are nonlinear and linearization often gives a poor approximation of reality. Furthermore, pure regression models are not capable to map the dynamics of a process. Therefore, realistic models involve the evolution in time (and space). This leads in a natural way to the formulation of differential equations. To establish the link between data and dynamical models, numerical advanced parameter identification methods have been developed in recent years. This paper demonstrates the application of these techniques to estimation problems in the field of pesticide dynamics. (7 refs., 5 figs., 2 tabs.)

  15. Informed spectral analysis: audio signal parameter estimation using side information

    Science.gov (United States)

    Fourer, Dominique; Marchand, Sylvain

    2013-12-01

    Parametric models are of great interest for representing and manipulating sounds. However, the quality of the resulting signals depends on the precision of the parameters. When the signals are available, these parameters can be estimated, but the presence of noise decreases the resulting precision of the estimation. Furthermore, the Cramér-Rao bound shows the minimal error reachable with the best estimator, which can be insufficient for demanding applications. These limitations can be overcome by using the coding approach which consists in directly transmitting the parameters with the best precision using the minimal bitrate. However, this approach does not take advantage of the information provided by the estimation from the signal and may require a larger bitrate and a loss of compatibility with existing file formats. The purpose of this article is to propose a compromised approach, called the 'informed approach,' which combines analysis with (coded) side information in order to increase the precision of parameter estimation using a lower bitrate than pure coding approaches, the audio signal being known. Thus, the analysis problem is presented in a coder/decoder configuration where the side information is computed and inaudibly embedded into the mixture signal at the coder. At the decoder, the extra information is extracted and is used to assist the analysis process. This study proposes applying this approach to audio spectral analysis using sinusoidal modeling which is a well-known model with practical applications and where theoretical bounds have been calculated. This work aims at uncovering new approaches for audio quality-based applications. It provides a solution for challenging problems like active listening of music, source separation, and realistic sound transformations.

  16. Estimation of atmospheric parameters from time-lapse imagery

    Science.gov (United States)

    McCrae, Jack E.; Basu, Santasri; Fiorino, Steven T.

    2016-05-01

    A time-lapse imaging experiment was conducted to estimate various atmospheric parameters for the imaging path. Atmospheric turbulence caused frame-to-frame shifts of the entire image as well as parts of the image. The statistics of these shifts encode information about the turbulence strength (as characterized by Cn2, the refractive index structure function constant) along the optical path. The shift variance observed is simply proportional to the variance of the tilt of the optical field averaged over the area being tracked. By presuming this turbulence follows the Kolmogorov spectrum, weighting functions can be derived which relate the turbulence strength along the path to the shifts measured. These weighting functions peak at the camera and fall to zero at the object. The larger the area observed, the more quickly the weighting function decays. One parameter we would like to estimate is r0 (the Fried parameter, or atmospheric coherence diameter.) The weighting functions derived for pixel sized or larger parts of the image all fall faster than the weighting function appropriate for estimating the spherical wave r0. If we presume Cn2 is constant along the path, then an estimate for r0 can be obtained for each area tracked, but since the weighting function for r0 differs substantially from that for every realizable tracked area, it can be expected this approach would yield a poor estimator. Instead, the weighting functions for a number of different patch sizes can be combined through the Moore-Penrose pseudo-inverse to create a new weighting function which yields the least-squares optimal linear combination of measurements for estimation of r0. This approach is carried out, and it is observed that this approach is somewhat noisy because the pseudo-inverse assigns weights much greater than one to many of the observations.

  17. Visco-piezo-elastic parameter estimation in laminated plate structures

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Araujo, A. L.; Mota Soares, C. M.; Herskovits, J.;

    2009-01-01

    measured natural frequencies of free vibration and corresponding modal loss factors. An equivalent single layer higher order numerical model is used for the free vibration analysis of active laminated plate structures and the response of the model is adjusted in order to match the experimental data, hence......A parameter estimation technique is presented in this article, for identification of elastic, piezoelectric and viscoelastic properties of active laminated composite plates with surface-bonded piezoelectric patches. The inverse method presented uses experimental data in the form of a set of...... data. Results are presented for the estimation of elastic, piezoelectric and viscoelastic properties in laminated plates....

  18. J-A Hysteresis Model Parameters Estimation using GA

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Bogomir Zidaric

    2005-01-01

    Full Text Available This paper presents the Jiles and Atherton (J-A hysteresis model parameter estimation for soft magnetic composite (SMC material. The calculation of Jiles and Atherton hysteresis model parameters is based on experimental data and genetic algorithms (GA. Genetic algorithms operate in a given area of possible solutions. Finding the best solution of a problem in wide area of possible solutions is uncertain. A new approach in use of genetic algorithms is proposed to overcome this uncertainty. The basis of this approach is in genetic algorithm built in another genetic algorithm.

  19. On an algebraic method for derivatives estimation and parameter estimation for partial derivatives systems

    OpenAIRE

    Ushirobira, Rosane; Korporal, Anja; PERRUQUETTI, Wilfrid

    2014-01-01

    International audience — In this communication, we discuss two estimation problems dealing with partial derivatives systems. Namely, estimating partial derivatives of a multivariate noisy signal and identifying parameters of partial differential equations. The multivariate noisy signal is expressed as a truncated Taylor expression in a small time interval. An algebraic method can be then used to estimate its partial derivatives in the opera-tional domain. The same approach applies for the ...

  20. Analysis of neutron scattering data: Visualization and parameter estimation

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Beauchamp, J.J.; Fedorov, V.; Hamilton, W.A.; Yethiraj, M.

    1998-09-01

    Traditionally, small-angle neutron and x-ray scattering (SANS and SAXS) data analysis requires measurements of the signal and corrections due to the empty sample container, detector efficiency and time-dependent background. These corrections are then made on a pixel-by-pixel basis and estimates of relevant parameters (e.g., the radius of gyration) are made using the corrected data. This study was carried out in order to determine whether treatment of the detector efficiency and empty sample cell in a more statistically sound way would significantly reduce the uncertainties in the parameter estimators. Elements of experiment design are shortly discussed in this paper. For instance, we studied the way the time for a measurement should be optimally divided between the counting for signal, background and detector efficiency. In Section 2 we introduce the commonly accepted models for small-angle neutron and x-scattering and confine ourselves to the Guinier and Rayleigh models and their minor generalizations. The traditional approaches of data analysis are discussed only to the extent necessary to allow their comparison with the proposed techniques. Section 3 describes the main stages of the proposed method: visual data exploration, fitting the detector sensitivity function, and fitting a compound model. This model includes three additive terms describing scattering by the sampler, scattering with an empty container and a background noise. We compare a few alternatives for the first term by applying various scatter plots and computing sums of standardized squared residuals. Possible corrections due to smearing effects and randomness of estimated parameters are also shortly discussed. In Section 4 the robustness of the estimators with respect to low and upper bounds imposed on the momentum value is discussed. We show that for the available data set the most accurate and stable estimates are generated by models containing double terms either of Guinier's or Rayleigh

  1. CosmoSIS: A System for MC Parameter Estimation

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Zuntz, Joe [Manchester U.; Paterno, Marc [Fermilab; Jennings, Elise [Chicago U., EFI; Rudd, Douglas [U. Chicago; Manzotti, Alessandro [Chicago U., Astron. Astrophys. Ctr.; Dodelson, Scott [Chicago U., Astron. Astrophys. Ctr.; Bridle, Sarah [Manchester U.; Sehrish, Saba [Fermilab; Kowalkowski, James [Fermilab

    2015-01-01

    Cosmological parameter estimation is entering a new era. Large collaborations need to coordinate high-stakes analyses using multiple methods; furthermore such analyses have grown in complexity due to sophisticated models of cosmology and systematic uncertainties. In this paper we argue that modularity is the key to addressing these challenges: calculations should be broken up into interchangeable modular units with inputs and outputs clearly defined. We present a new framework for cosmological parameter estimation, CosmoSIS, designed to connect together, share, and advance development of inference tools across the community. We describe the modules already available in Cosmo- SIS, including camb, Planck, cosmic shear calculations, and a suite of samplers. We illustrate it using demonstration code that you can run out-of-the-box with the installer available at http://bitbucket.org/joezuntz/cosmosis.

  2. PARAMETER ESTIMATION OF THE HYBRID CENSORED LOMAX DISTRIBUTION

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Samir Kamel Ashour

    2010-12-01

    Full Text Available Survival analysis is used in various fields for analyzing data involving the duration between two events. It is also known as event history analysis, lifetime data analysis, reliability analysis or time to event analysis. One of the difficulties which arise in this area is the presence of censored data. The lifetime of an individual is censored when it cannot be exactly measured but partial information is available. Different circumstances can produce different types of censoring. The two most common censoring schemes used in life testing experiments are Type-I and Type-II censoring schemes. Hybrid censoring scheme is mixture of Type-I and Type-II censoring scheme. In this paper we consider the estimation of parameters of Lomax distribution based on hybrid censored data. The parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood and Bayesian methods. The Fisher information matrix has been obtained and it can be used for constructing asymptotic confidence intervals.

  3. Estimating parameters of chaotic systems synchronized by external driving signal

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Wu Xiaogang [Institute of PR and AI, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074 (China)]. E-mail: seanwoo@mail.hust.edu.cn; Wang Zuxi [Institute of PR and AI, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan 430074 (China)

    2007-07-15

    Noise-induced synchronization (NIS) has evoked great research interests recently. Two uncoupled identical chaotic systems can achieve complete synchronization (CS) by feeding a common noise with appropriate intensity. Actually, NIS belongs to the category of external feedback control (EFC). The significance of applying EFC in secure communication lies in fact that the trajectory of chaotic systems is disturbed so strongly by external driving signal that phase space reconstruction attack fails. In this paper, however, we propose an approach that can accurately estimate the parameters of the chaotic systems synchronized by external driving signal through chaotic transmitted signal, driving signal and their derivatives. Numerical simulation indicates that this approach can estimate system parameters and external coupling strength under two driving modes in a very rapid manner, which implies that EFC is not superior to other methods in secure communication.

  4. Estimating parameters of chaotic systems synchronized by external driving signal

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Noise-induced synchronization (NIS) has evoked great research interests recently. Two uncoupled identical chaotic systems can achieve complete synchronization (CS) by feeding a common noise with appropriate intensity. Actually, NIS belongs to the category of external feedback control (EFC). The significance of applying EFC in secure communication lies in fact that the trajectory of chaotic systems is disturbed so strongly by external driving signal that phase space reconstruction attack fails. In this paper, however, we propose an approach that can accurately estimate the parameters of the chaotic systems synchronized by external driving signal through chaotic transmitted signal, driving signal and their derivatives. Numerical simulation indicates that this approach can estimate system parameters and external coupling strength under two driving modes in a very rapid manner, which implies that EFC is not superior to other methods in secure communication

  5. A Bayesian framework for parameter estimation in dynamical models.

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Flávio Codeço Coelho

    Full Text Available Mathematical models in biology are powerful tools for the study and exploration of complex dynamics. Nevertheless, bringing theoretical results to an agreement with experimental observations involves acknowledging a great deal of uncertainty intrinsic to our theoretical representation of a real system. Proper handling of such uncertainties is key to the successful usage of models to predict experimental or field observations. This problem has been addressed over the years by many tools for model calibration and parameter estimation. In this article we present a general framework for uncertainty analysis and parameter estimation that is designed to handle uncertainties associated with the modeling of dynamic biological systems while remaining agnostic as to the type of model used. We apply the framework to fit an SIR-like influenza transmission model to 7 years of incidence data in three European countries: Belgium, the Netherlands and Portugal.

  6. On optimal detection and estimation of the FCN parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Yatskiv, Y.

    2009-09-01

    Statistical approach for detection and estimation of parameters of short-term quasi- periodic processes was used in order to investigate the Free Core Nutation (FCN) signal in the Celestial Pole Offset (CPO). The results show that this signal is very unstable and that it disappeared in year 2000. The amplitude of oscillation with period of about 435 days is larger for dX as compared with that for dY .

  7. Estimation of Secondary Meteorological Parameters Using Mining Data Techniques

    OpenAIRE

    Rosabel Zerquera Díaz; Ayleen Morales Montejo; Gil Cruz Lemus; Alejandro Rosete Suárez

    2010-01-01

    This work develops a process of Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD) at the Higher Polytechnic Institute José Antonio Echeverría for the group of Environmental Research in collaboration with the Center of Information Management and Energy Development (CUBAENERGÍA) in order to obtain a data model to estimate the behavior of secondary weather parameters from surface data. It describes some aspects of Data Mining and its application in the meteorological environment, also selects and describes...

  8. Bayesian estimation of parameters in a regional hydrological model

    OpenAIRE

    Engeland, K.; Gottschalk, L.

    2002-01-01

    This study evaluates the applicability of the distributed, process-oriented Ecomag model for prediction of daily streamflow in ungauged basins. The Ecomag model is applied as a regional model to nine catchments in the NOPEX area, using Bayesian statistics to estimate the posterior distribution of the model parameters conditioned on the observed streamflow. The distribution is calculated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) analysis. The Bayesian method requires formulation of a likelihood funct...

  9. Bayesian estimation of parameters in a regional hydrological model

    OpenAIRE

    Engeland, K.; Gottschalk, L.

    2002-01-01

    This study evaluates the applicability of the distributed, process-oriented Ecomag model for prediction of daily streamflow in ungauged basins. The Ecomag model is applied as a regional model to nine catchments in the NOPEX area, using Bayesian statistics to estimate the posterior distribution of the model parameters conditioned on the observed streamflow. The distribution is calculated by Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) analysis. The Bayesian method requires formulation of ...

  10. Kinetic parameter estimation from TGA: Optimal design of TGA experiments

    OpenAIRE

    Dirion, Jean-Louis; Reverte, Cédric; Cabassud, Michel

    2008-01-01

    This work presents a general methodology to determine kinetic models of solid thermal decomposition with thermogravimetric analysis (TGA) instruments. The goal is to determine a simple and robust kinetic model for a given solid with the minimum of TGA experiments. From this last point of view, this work can be seen as an attempt to find the optimal design of TGA experiments for kinetic modelling. Two computation tools were developed. The first is a nonlinear parameter estimation procedure for...

  11. Estimation of parameters of interior permanent magnet synchronous motors

    CERN Document Server

    Hwang, C C; Pan, C T; Chang, T Y

    2002-01-01

    This paper presents a magnetic circuit model to the estimation of machine parameters of an interior permanent magnet synchronous machine. It extends the earlier work of Hwang and Cho that focused mainly on the magnetic aspects of motor design. The proposed model used to calculate EMF, d- and q-axis reactances. These calculations are compared to those from finite element analysis and measurement with good agreement.

  12. Parameter estimation for fractional birth and fractional death processes

    OpenAIRE

    Cahoy, Dexter O.; Polito, Federico

    2013-01-01

    The fractional birth and the fractional death processes are more desirable in practice than their classical counterparts as they naturally provide greater flexibility in modeling growing and decreasing systems. In this paper, we propose formal parameter estimation procedures for the fractional Yule, the fractional linear death, and the fractional sublinear death processes. The methods use all available data possible, are computationally simple and asymptotically unbiased. The procedures explo...

  13. Estimation of water diffusivity parameters on grape dynamic drying

    OpenAIRE

    Ramos, Inês N.; Miranda, João M.R.; Brandão, Teresa R. S.; Cristina L.M. Silva

    2010-01-01

    A computer program was developed, aiming at estimating water diffusivity parameters in a dynamic drying process with grapes, assessing the predictability of corresponding non-isothermal drying curves. It numerically solves Fick’s second law for a sphere, by explicit finite differences, in a shrinking system, with anisotropic properties and changing boundary conditions. Experiments were performed in a pilot convective dryer, with simulated air conditions observed in a solar dryer, for modellin...

  14. Iterative importance sampling algorithms for parameter estimation problems

    OpenAIRE

    Morzfeld, Matthias; Day, Marcus S.; Grout, Ray W.; Pau, George Shu Heng; Finsterle, Stefan A.; Bell, John B.

    2016-01-01

    In parameter estimation problems one approximates a posterior distribution over uncertain param- eters defined jointly by a prior distribution, a numerical model, and noisy data. Typically, Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) is used for the numerical solution of such problems. An alternative to MCMC is importance sampling, where one draws samples from a proposal distribution, and attaches weights to each sample to account for the fact that the proposal distribution is not the posterior distribut...

  15. Estimation of Parameters in Mean-Reverting Stochastic Systems

    OpenAIRE

    2014-01-01

    Stochastic differential equation (SDE) is a very important mathematical tool to describe complex systems in which noise plays an important role. SDE models have been widely used to study the dynamic properties of various nonlinear systems in biology, engineering, finance, and economics, as well as physical sciences. Since a SDE can generate unlimited numbers of trajectories, it is difficult to estimate model parameters based on experimental observations which may represent only one trajectory...

  16. Marginalized Particle Filters for Bayesian Estimation of Gaussian Noise Parameters

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Saha, S.; Okzan, E.; Gustafsson, F.; Šmídl, Václav

    Edinburgh : IET, 2010, s. 1-8. ISBN 978-0-9824438-1-1. [13th International Conference on Information Fusion. Edinburgh (GB), 26.07.2010-29.07.2010] Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z10750506 Keywords : marginalized particle filter * unknown noise statistics * bayesian conjugate prior Subject RIV: BC - Control Systems Theory http://library.utia.cas.cz/separaty/2010/AS/smidl-marginalized particle filters for bayesian estimation of gaussian noise parameters.pdf

  17. Multi-criteria parameter estimation for the unified land model

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    B. Livneh

    2012-04-01

    Full Text Available We describe a parameter estimation framework for the Unified Land Model (ULM that utilizes multiple independent data sets over the Continental United States. These include a satellite-based evapotranspiration (ET product based on MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS and Geostationary Operation Environmental Satellites (GOES imagery, an atmospheric-water balance based ET estimate that utilizes North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR atmospheric fields, terrestrial water storage content (TWSC data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE, and streamflow (Q primarily from the United States Geological Survey (USGS stream gauges. The study domain includes 10 large-scale (≥105 km2 river basins and 250 smaller-scale (<104 km2 tributary basins. ULM, which is essentially a merger of the Noah Land Surface Model and Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting model, is the basis for these experiments. Calibrations were made using each of the criteria individually, in addition to combinations of multiple criteria, with multi-criteria skill scores computed for all cases. At large-scales calibration to Q resulted in the best overall performance, whereas certain combinations of ET and TWSC calibrations lead to large errors in other criteria. At small scales, about one-third of the basins had their highest Q performance from multi-criteria calibrations (to Q and ET suggesting that traditional calibration to Q may benefit by supplementing observed Q with remote sensing estimates of ET. Model streamflow errors using optimized parameters were mostly due to over (under estimation of low (high flows. Overall, uncertainties in remote-sensing data proved to be a limiting factor in the utility of multi-criteria parameter estimation.

  18. Multi-criteria parameter estimation for the Unified Land Model

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    B. Livneh

    2012-08-01

    Full Text Available We describe a parameter estimation framework for the Unified Land Model (ULM that utilizes multiple independent data sets over the continental United States. These include a satellite-based evapotranspiration (ET product based on MODerate resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS and Geostationary Operational Environmental Satellites (GOES imagery, an atmospheric-water balance based ET estimate that utilizes North American Regional Reanalysis (NARR atmospheric fields, terrestrial water storage content (TWSC data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE, and streamflow (Q primarily from the United States Geological Survey (USGS stream gauges. The study domain includes 10 large-scale (≥105 km2 river basins and 250 smaller-scale (<104 km2 tributary basins. ULM, which is essentially a merger of the Noah Land Surface Model and Sacramento Soil Moisture Accounting Model, is the basis for these experiments. Calibrations were made using each of the data sets individually, in addition to combinations of multiple criteria, with multi-criteria skill scores computed for all cases. At large scales, calibration to Q resulted in the best overall performance, whereas certain combinations of ET and TWSC calibrations lead to large errors in other criteria. At small scales, about one-third of the basins had their highest Q performance from multi-criteria calibrations (to Q and ET suggesting that traditional calibration to Q may benefit by supplementing observed Q with remote sensing estimates of ET. Model streamflow errors using optimized parameters were mostly due to over (under estimation of low (high flows. Overall, uncertainties in remote-sensing data proved to be a limiting factor in the utility of multi-criteria parameter estimation.

  19. Model parameters estimation and sensitivity by genetic algorithms

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this paper we illustrate the possibility of extracting qualitative information on the importance of the parameters of a model in the course of a Genetic Algorithms (GAs) optimization procedure for the estimation of such parameters. The Genetic Algorithms' search of the optimal solution is performed according to procedures that resemble those of natural selection and genetics: an initial population of alternative solutions evolves within the search space through the four fundamental operations of parent selection, crossover, replacement, and mutation. During the search, the algorithm examines a large amount of solution points which possibly carries relevant information on the underlying model characteristics. A possible utilization of this information amounts to create and update an archive with the set of best solutions found at each generation and then to analyze the evolution of the statistics of the archive along the successive generations. From this analysis one can retrieve information regarding the speed of convergence and stabilization of the different control (decision) variables of the optimization problem. In this work we analyze the evolution strategy followed by a GA in its search for the optimal solution with the aim of extracting information on the importance of the control (decision) variables of the optimization with respect to the sensitivity of the objective function. The study refers to a GA search for optimal estimates of the effective parameters in a lumped nuclear reactor model of literature. The supporting observation is that, as most optimization procedures do, the GA search evolves towards convergence in such a way to stabilize first the most important parameters of the model and later those which influence little the model outputs. In this sense, besides estimating efficiently the parameters values, the optimization approach also allows us to provide a qualitative ranking of their importance in contributing to the model output. The

  20. Estimation of stellar atmospheric parameters from SDSS/SEGUE spectra

    Science.gov (United States)

    Re Fiorentin, P.; Bailer-Jones, C. A. L.; Lee, Y. S.; Beers, T. C.; Sivarani, T.; Wilhelm, R.; Allende Prieto, C.; Norris, J. E.

    2007-06-01

    We present techniques for the estimation of stellar atmospheric parameters (T_eff, log~g, [Fe/H]) for stars from the SDSS/SEGUE survey. The atmospheric parameters are derived from the observed medium-resolution (R = 2000) stellar spectra using non-linear regression models trained either on (1) pre-classified observed data or (2) synthetic stellar spectra. In the first case we use our models to automate and generalize parametrization produced by a preliminary version of the SDSS/SEGUE Spectroscopic Parameter Pipeline (SSPP). In the second case we directly model the mapping between synthetic spectra (derived from Kurucz model atmospheres) and the atmospheric parameters, independently of any intermediate estimates. After training, we apply our models to various samples of SDSS spectra to derive atmospheric parameters, and compare our results with those obtained previously by the SSPP for the same samples. We obtain consistency between the two approaches, with RMS deviations on the order of 150 K in T_eff, 0.35 dex in log~g, and 0.22 dex in [Fe/H]. The models are applied to pre-processed spectra, either via Principal Component Analysis (PCA) or a Wavelength Range Selection (WRS) method, which employs a subset of the full 3850-9000Å spectral range. This is both for computational reasons (robustness and speed), and because it delivers higher accuracy (better generalization of what the models have learned). Broadly speaking, the PCA is demonstrated to deliver more accurate atmospheric parameters when the training data are the actual SDSS spectra with previously estimated parameters, whereas WRS appears superior for the estimation of log~g via synthetic templates, especially for lower signal-to-noise spectra. From a subsample of some 19 000 stars with previous determinations of the atmospheric parameters, the accuracies of our predictions (mean absolute errors) for each parameter are T_eff to 170/170 K, log~g to 0.36/0.45 dex, and [Fe/H] to 0.19/0.26 dex, for methods (1

  1. Estimating hydraulic parameters when poroelastic effects are significant.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Berg, Steven J; Hsieh, Paul A; Illman, Walter A

    2011-01-01

    For almost 80 years, deformation-induced head changes caused by poroelastic effects have been observed during pumping tests in multilayered aquifer-aquitard systems. As water in the aquifer is released from compressive storage during pumping, the aquifer is deformed both in the horizontal and vertical directions. This deformation in the pumped aquifer causes deformation in the adjacent layers, resulting in changes in pore pressure that may produce drawdown curves that differ significantly from those predicted by traditional groundwater theory. Although these deformation-induced head changes have been analyzed in several studies by poroelasticity theory, there are at present no practical guidelines for the interpretation of pumping test data influenced by these effects. To investigate the impact that poroelastic effects during pumping tests have on the estimation of hydraulic parameters, we generate synthetic data for three different aquifer-aquitard settings using a poroelasticity model, and then analyze the synthetic data using type curves and parameter estimation techniques, both of which are based on traditional groundwater theory and do not account for poroelastic effects. Results show that even when poroelastic effects result in significant deformation-induced head changes, it is possible to obtain reasonable estimates of hydraulic parameters using methods based on traditional groundwater theory, as long as pumping is sufficiently long so that deformation-induced effects have largely dissipated. PMID:21204832

  2. Estimating cellular parameters through optimization procedures: elementary principles and applications

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Akatsuki eKimura

    2015-03-01

    Full Text Available Construction of quantitative models is a primary goal of quantitative biology, which aims to understand cellular and organismal phenomena in a quantitative manner. In this article, we introduce optimization procedures to search for parameters in a quantitative model that can reproduce experimental data. The aim of optimization is to minimize the sum of squared errors (SSE in a prediction or to maximize likelihood. A (local maximum of likelihood or (local minimum of the SSE can efficiently be identified using gradient approaches. Addition of a stochastic process enables us to identify the global maximum/minimum without becoming trapped in local maxima/minima. Sampling approaches take advantage of increasing computational power to test numerous sets of parameters in order to determine the optimum set. By combining Bayesian inference with gradient or sampling approaches, we can estimate both the optimum parameters and the form of the likelihood function related to the parameters. Finally, we introduce four examples of research that utilize parameter optimization to obtain biological insights from quantified data: transcriptional regulation, bacterial chemotaxis, morphogenesis, and cell cycle regulation. With practical knowledge of parameter optimization, cell and developmental biologists can develop realistic models that reproduce their observations and thus, obtain mechanistic insights into phenomena of interest.

  3. Learn-As-You-Go Acceleration of Cosmological Parameter Estimates

    CERN Document Server

    Aslanyan, Grigor; Price, Layne C

    2015-01-01

    Cosmological analyses can be accelerated by approximating slow calculations using a training set, which is either precomputed or generated dynamically. However, this approach is only safe if the approximations are well understood and controlled. This paper surveys issues associated with the use of machine-learning based emulation strategies for accelerating cosmological parameter estimation. We describe a learn-as-you-go algorithm that is implemented in the Cosmo++ code and (1) trains the emulator while simultaneously estimating posterior probabilities; (2) identifies unreliable estimates, computing the exact numerical likelihoods if necessary; and (3) progressively learns and updates the error model as the calculation progresses. We explicitly describe and model the emulation error and show how this can be propagated into the posterior probabilities. We apply these techniques to the Planck likelihood and the calculation of $\\Lambda$CDM posterior probabilities. The computation is significantly accelerated wit...

  4. Maximum-likelihood fits to histograms for improved parameter estimation

    CERN Document Server

    Fowler, Joseph W

    2013-01-01

    Straightforward methods for adapting the familiar chi^2 statistic to histograms of discrete events and other Poisson distributed data generally yield biased estimates of the parameters of a model. The bias can be important even when the total number of events is large. For the case of estimating a microcalorimeter's energy resolution at 6 keV from the observed shape of the Mn K-alpha fluorescence spectrum, a poor choice of chi^2 can lead to biases of at least 10% in the estimated resolution when up to thousands of photons are observed. The best remedy is a Poisson maximum-likelihood fit, through a simple modification of the standard Levenberg-Marquardt algorithm for chi^2 minimization. Where the modification is not possible, another approach allows iterative approximation of the maximum-likelihood fit.

  5. Estimating demographic parameters using hidden process dynamic models.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Gimenez, Olivier; Lebreton, Jean-Dominique; Gaillard, Jean-Michel; Choquet, Rémi; Pradel, Roger

    2012-12-01

    Structured population models are widely used in plant and animal demographic studies to assess population dynamics. In matrix population models, populations are described with discrete classes of individuals (age, life history stage or size). To calibrate these models, longitudinal data are collected at the individual level to estimate demographic parameters. However, several sources of uncertainty can complicate parameter estimation, such as imperfect detection of individuals inherent to monitoring in the wild and uncertainty in assigning a state to an individual. Here, we show how recent statistical models can help overcome these issues. We focus on hidden process models that run two time series in parallel, one capturing the dynamics of the true states and the other consisting of observations arising from these underlying possibly unknown states. In a first case study, we illustrate hidden Markov models with an example of how to accommodate state uncertainty using Frequentist theory and maximum likelihood estimation. In a second case study, we illustrate state-space models with an example of how to estimate lifetime reproductive success despite imperfect detection, using a Bayesian framework and Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation. Hidden process models are a promising tool as they allow population biologists to cope with process variation while simultaneously accounting for observation error. PMID:22373775

  6. The Truth About Ballistic Coefficients

    CERN Document Server

    Courtney, Michael

    2007-01-01

    The ballistic coefficient of a bullet describes how it slows in flight due to air resistance. This article presents experimental determinations of ballistic coefficients showing that the majority of bullets tested have their previously published ballistic coefficients exaggerated from 5-25% by the bullet manufacturers. These exaggerated ballistic coefficients lead to inaccurate predictions of long range bullet drop, retained energy and wind drift.

  7. Genetic Algorithm-based Affine Parameter Estimation for Shape Recognition

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Yuxing Mao

    2014-06-01

    Full Text Available Shape recognition is a classically difficult problem because of the affine transformation between two shapes. The current study proposes an affine parameter estimation method for shape recognition based on a genetic algorithm (GA. The contributions of this study are focused on the extraction of affine- invariant features, the individual encoding scheme, and the fitness function construction policy for a GA. First, the affine-invariant characteristics of the centroid distance ratios (CDRs of any two opposite contour points to the barycentre are analysed. Using different intervals along the azimuth angle, the different numbers of CDRs of two candidate shapes are computed as representations of the shapes, respectively. Then, the CDRs are selected based on predesigned affine parameters to construct the fitness function. After that, a GA is used to search for the affine parameters with optimal matching between candidate shapes, which serve as actual descriptions of the affine transformation between the shapes. Finally, the CDRs are resampled based on the estimated parameters to evaluate the similarity of the shapes for classification. The experimental results demonstrate the robust performance of the proposed method in shape recognition with translation, scaling, rotation and distortion.

  8. Estimation of Physical Parameters in Linear and Nonlinear Dynamic Systems

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Knudsen, Morten

    for certain input in the time or frequency domain, are emphasised. Consequently, some special techniques are required, in particular for input signal design and model validation. The model structure containing physical parameters is constructed from basic physical laws (mathematical modelling). It is...... possible and essential to utilise this physical insight in the input design and validation procedures. This project has two objectives: 1. To develop and apply theories and techniques that are compatible with physical insight and robust to violation of assumptions and approximations, for system...... sensitivity and the relative parameter variance and confidence ellipsoid is demonstrated. The relation is based on a new theorem on maxima of an ellipsoid. The procedure for input signal design and physical parameter estimation is tested on a number of examples, linear as well as nonlinear and simulated as...

  9. Parameter estimation in a spatial unit root autoregressive model

    CERN Document Server

    Baran, Sándor

    2011-01-01

    Spatial autoregressive model $X_{k,\\ell}=\\alpha X_{k-1,\\ell}+\\beta X_{k,\\ell-1}+\\gamma X_{k-1,\\ell-1}+\\epsilon_{k,\\ell}$ is investigated in the unit root case, that is when the parameters are on the boundary of the domain of stability that forms a tetrahedron with vertices $(1,1,-1), \\ (1,-1,1),\\ (-1,1,1)$ and $(-1,-1,-1)$. It is shown that the limiting distribution of the least squares estimator of the parameters is normal and the rate of convergence is $n$ when the parameters are in the faces or on the edges of the tetrahedron, while on the vertices the rate is $n^{3/2}$.

  10. Estimates of genetic parameters for fat yield in Murrah buffaloes

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Manoj Kumar

    2016-03-01

    Full Text Available Aim: The present study was performed to investigate the effect of genetic and non-genetic factors affecting milk fat yield and to estimate genetic parameters of monthly test day fat yields (MTDFY and lactation 305-day fat yield (L305FY in Murrah buffaloes. Materials and Methods: The data on total of 10381 MTDFY records comprising the first four lactations of 470 Murrah buffaloes calved from 1993 to 2014 were assessed. These buffaloes were sired by 75 bulls maintained in an organized farm at ICAR-National Dairy Research Institute, Karnal. Least squares maximum likelihood program was used to estimate genetic and non-genetic parameters. Heritability estimates were obtained using paternal half-sib correlation method. Genetic and phenotypic correlations among MTDFY, and 305-day fat yield were calculated from the analysis of variance and covariance matrix among sire groups. Results: The overall least squares mean of L305FY was found to be 175.74±4.12 kg. The least squares mean of overall MTDFY ranged from 3.33±0.14 kg (TD-11 to 7.06±0.17 kg (TD-3. The h2 estimate of L305FY was found to be 0.33±0.16 in this study. The estimates of phenotypic and genetic correlations between 305-day fat yield and different MTDFY ranged from 0.32 to 0.48 and 0.51 to 0.99, respectively. Conclusions: In this study, all the genetic and non-genetic factors except age at the first calving group, significantly affected the traits under study. The estimates of phenotypic and genetic correlations of MTDFY with 305-day fat yield was generally higher in the MTDFY-5 of lactation suggesting that this TD yields could be used as the selection criteria for early evaluation and selection of Murrah buffaloes.

  11. Combined Estimation of Hydrogeologic Conceptual Model and Parameter Uncertainty

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Meyer, Philip D.; Ye, Ming; Neuman, Shlomo P.; Cantrell, Kirk J.

    2004-03-01

    The objective of the research described in this report is the development and application of a methodology for comprehensively assessing the hydrogeologic uncertainties involved in dose assessment, including uncertainties associated with conceptual models, parameters, and scenarios. This report describes and applies a statistical method to quantitatively estimate the combined uncertainty in model predictions arising from conceptual model and parameter uncertainties. The method relies on model averaging to combine the predictions of a set of alternative models. Implementation is driven by the available data. When there is minimal site-specific data the method can be carried out with prior parameter estimates based on generic data and subjective prior model probabilities. For sites with observations of system behavior (and optionally data characterizing model parameters), the method uses model calibration to update the prior parameter estimates and model probabilities based on the correspondence between model predictions and site observations. The set of model alternatives can contain both simplified and complex models, with the requirement that all models be based on the same set of data. The method was applied to the geostatistical modeling of air permeability at a fractured rock site. Seven alternative variogram models of log air permeability were considered to represent data from single-hole pneumatic injection tests in six boreholes at the site. Unbiased maximum likelihood estimates of variogram and drift parameters were obtained for each model. Standard information criteria provided an ambiguous ranking of the models, which would not justify selecting one of them and discarding all others as is commonly done in practice. Instead, some of the models were eliminated based on their negligibly small updated probabilities and the rest were used to project the measured log permeabilities by kriging onto a rock volume containing the six boreholes. These four

  12. 主动段终点参数对弹道导弹射程的影响研究%The Influence of Termination Point Parameters on Ballistic Missile Range

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    王瑞臣; 洪贞启; 李建林

    2011-01-01

    主动段终点参数直接影响弹道导弹的战术技术指标实现与否.通过简化弹道导弹的飞行弹道模型,分析计算了主动段终点参数对弹道导弹射程及落点精度的影响大小.在导弹武器系统作战使用过程中应注意把握,尽量减小干扰因素对弹道导弹主动段终点参数的影响.%Whether the tactical technique index of ballistic missile is reached is affected by the parameters of powered-flight phase termination point. The trajectory model is set up in this paper, and the influence of terminition point parameters on range and accuracy is analyzed. The influence of some factors on ballistic missile accuracy should be reduced in the process of operation of missile weapon system.

  13. Novel metaheuristic for parameter estimation in nonlinear dynamic biological systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Banga Julio R

    2006-11-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background We consider the problem of parameter estimation (model calibration in nonlinear dynamic models of biological systems. Due to the frequent ill-conditioning and multi-modality of many of these problems, traditional local methods usually fail (unless initialized with very good guesses of the parameter vector. In order to surmount these difficulties, global optimization (GO methods have been suggested as robust alternatives. Currently, deterministic GO methods can not solve problems of realistic size within this class in reasonable computation times. In contrast, certain types of stochastic GO methods have shown promising results, although the computational cost remains large. Rodriguez-Fernandez and coworkers have presented hybrid stochastic-deterministic GO methods which could reduce computation time by one order of magnitude while guaranteeing robustness. Our goal here was to further reduce the computational effort without loosing robustness. Results We have developed a new procedure based on the scatter search methodology for nonlinear optimization of dynamic models of arbitrary (or even unknown structure (i.e. black-box models. In this contribution, we describe and apply this novel metaheuristic, inspired by recent developments in the field of operations research, to a set of complex identification problems and we make a critical comparison with respect to the previous (above mentioned successful methods. Conclusion Robust and efficient methods for parameter estimation are of key importance in systems biology and related areas. The new metaheuristic presented in this paper aims to ensure the proper solution of these problems by adopting a global optimization approach, while keeping the computational effort under reasonable values. This new metaheuristic was applied to a set of three challenging parameter estimation problems of nonlinear dynamic biological systems, outperforming very significantly all the methods previously

  14. Periodic orbits of hybrid systems and parameter estimation via AD

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Rhythmic, periodic processes are ubiquitous in biological systems; for example, the heart beat, walking, circadian rhythms and the menstrual cycle. Modeling these processes with high fidelity as periodic orbits of dynamical systems is challenging because: (1) (most) nonlinear differential equations can only be solved numerically; (2) accurate computation requires solving boundary value problems; (3) many problems and solutions are only piecewise smooth; (4) many problems require solving differential-algebraic equations; (5) sensitivity information for parameter dependence of solutions requires solving variational equations; and (6) truncation errors in numerical integration degrade performance of optimization methods for parameter estimation. In addition, mathematical models of biological processes frequently contain many poorly-known parameters, and the problems associated with this impedes the construction of detailed, high-fidelity models. Modelers are often faced with the difficult problem of using simulations of a nonlinear model, with complex dynamics and many parameters, to match experimental data. Improved computational tools for exploring parameter space and fitting models to data are clearly needed. This paper describes techniques for computing periodic orbits in systems of hybrid differential-algebraic equations and parameter estimation methods for fitting these orbits to data. These techniques make extensive use of automatic differentiation to accurately and efficiently evaluate derivatives for time integration, parameter sensitivities, root finding and optimization. The boundary value problem representing a periodic orbit in a hybrid system of differential algebraic equations is discretized via multiple-shooting using a high-degree Taylor series integration method (GM00, Phi03). Numerical solutions to the shooting equations are then estimated by a Newton process yielding an approximate periodic orbit. A metric is defined for computing the distance

  15. Periodic orbits of hybrid systems and parameter estimation via AD.

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Guckenheimer, John. (Cornell University); Phipps, Eric Todd; Casey, Richard (INRIA Sophia-Antipolis)

    2004-07-01

    Rhythmic, periodic processes are ubiquitous in biological systems; for example, the heart beat, walking, circadian rhythms and the menstrual cycle. Modeling these processes with high fidelity as periodic orbits of dynamical systems is challenging because: (1) (most) nonlinear differential equations can only be solved numerically; (2) accurate computation requires solving boundary value problems; (3) many problems and solutions are only piecewise smooth; (4) many problems require solving differential-algebraic equations; (5) sensitivity information for parameter dependence of solutions requires solving variational equations; and (6) truncation errors in numerical integration degrade performance of optimization methods for parameter estimation. In addition, mathematical models of biological processes frequently contain many poorly-known parameters, and the problems associated with this impedes the construction of detailed, high-fidelity models. Modelers are often faced with the difficult problem of using simulations of a nonlinear model, with complex dynamics and many parameters, to match experimental data. Improved computational tools for exploring parameter space and fitting models to data are clearly needed. This paper describes techniques for computing periodic orbits in systems of hybrid differential-algebraic equations and parameter estimation methods for fitting these orbits to data. These techniques make extensive use of automatic differentiation to accurately and efficiently evaluate derivatives for time integration, parameter sensitivities, root finding and optimization. The boundary value problem representing a periodic orbit in a hybrid system of differential algebraic equations is discretized via multiple-shooting using a high-degree Taylor series integration method [GM00, Phi03]. Numerical solutions to the shooting equations are then estimated by a Newton process yielding an approximate periodic orbit. A metric is defined for computing the distance

  16. NEWBOX: A computer program for parameter estimation in diffusion problems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In the analysis of experiments to determine amounts of material transferred form 1 medium to another (e.g., the escape of chemically hazardous and radioactive materials from solids), there are at least 3 important considerations. These are (1) is the transport amenable to treatment by established mass transport theory; (2) do methods exist to find estimates of the parameters which will give a best fit, in some sense, to the experimental data; and (3) what computational procedures are available for evaluating the theoretical expressions. The authors have made the assumption that established mass transport theory is an adequate model for the situations under study. Since the solutions of the diffusion equation are usually nonlinear in some parameters (diffusion coefficient, reaction rate constants, etc.), use of a method of parameter adjustment involving first partial derivatives can be complicated and prone to errors in the computation of the derivatives. In addition, the parameters must satisfy certain constraints; for example, the diffusion coefficient must remain positive. For these reasons, a variant of the constrained simplex method of M. J. Box has been used to estimate parameters. It is similar, but not identical, to the downhill simplex method of Nelder and Mead. In general, they calculate the fraction of material transferred as a function of time from expressions obtained by the inversion of the Laplace transform of the fraction transferred, rather than by taking derivatives of a calculated concentration profile. With the above approaches to the 3 considerations listed at the outset, they developed a computer program NEWBOX, usable on a personal computer, to calculate the fractional release of material from 4 different geometrical shapes (semi-infinite medium, finite slab, finite circular cylinder, and sphere), accounting for several different boundary conditions

  17. The Method of Analysis Derived Coefficients of Database as a New Method of Historical Research (for Example, a Database of Ballistic Parameters of Naval Artillery

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Nicholas W. Mitiukov

    2015-12-01

    Full Text Available In paper there is proposed a new method of historical research, based on analysis of derivatives coefficients of database (for example, the form factor in the database of ballistic data. This method has a much greater protection from subjectivism and direct falsification, compared with the analysis obtained directly from the source of the numerical series, as any intentional or unintentional distortion of the raw data provides a significant contrast ratio derived from the average sample values. Application of this method to the analysis of ballistic data base of naval artillery allowed to find the facts, forcing a new look at some of the events in the history data on the German naval artillery before World War I, probably overpriced for disinformation opponents of the Entente; during the First World War, Spain, apparently held secret talks with the firm Bofors ended purchase of Swedish shells; the first Russian naval rifled guns were created obvious based on the project Blackly, not Krupp as traditionally considered.

  18. PARAMETER ESTIMATION OF VALVE STICTION USING ANT COLONY OPTIMIZATION

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    S. Kalaivani

    2012-07-01

    Full Text Available In this paper, a procedure for quantifying valve stiction in control loops based on ant colony optimization has been proposed. Pneumatic control valves are widely used in the process industry. The control valve contains non-linearities such as stiction, backlash, and deadband that in turn cause oscillations in the process output. Stiction is one of the long-standing problems and it is the most severe problem in the control valves. Thus the measurement data from an oscillating control loop can be used as a possible diagnostic signal to provide an estimate of the stiction magnitude. Quantification of control valve stiction is still a challenging issue. Prior to doing stiction detection and quantification, it is necessary to choose a suitable model structure to describe control-valve stiction. To understand the stiction phenomenon, the Stenman model is used. Ant Colony Optimization (ACO, an intelligent swarm algorithm, proves effective in various fields. The ACO algorithm is inspired from the natural trail following behaviour of ants. The parameters of the Stenman model are estimated using ant colony optimization, from the input-output data by minimizing the error between the actual stiction model output and the simulated stiction model output. Using ant colony optimization, Stenman model with known nonlinear structure and unknown parameters can be estimated.

  19. Temporal Parameters Estimation for Wheelchair Propulsion Using Wearable Sensors

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Manoela Ojeda

    2014-01-01

    Full Text Available Due to lower limb paralysis, individuals with spinal cord injury (SCI rely on their upper limbs for mobility. The prevalence of upper extremity pain and injury is high among this population. We evaluated the performance of three triaxis accelerometers placed on the upper arm, wrist, and under the wheelchair, to estimate temporal parameters of wheelchair propulsion. Twenty-six participants with SCI were asked to push their wheelchair equipped with a SMARTWheel. The estimated stroke number was compared with the criterion from video observations and the estimated push frequency was compared with the criterion from the SMARTWheel. Mean absolute errors (MAE and mean absolute percentage of error (MAPE were calculated. Intraclass correlation coefficients and Bland-Altman plots were used to assess the agreement. Results showed reasonable accuracies especially using the accelerometer placed on the upper arm where the MAPE was 8.0% for stroke number and 12.9% for push frequency. The ICC was 0.994 for stroke number and 0.916 for push frequency. The wrist and seat accelerometer showed lower accuracy with a MAPE for the stroke number of 10.8% and 13.4% and ICC of 0.990 and 0.984, respectively. Results suggested that accelerometers could be an option for monitoring temporal parameters of wheelchair propulsion.

  20. Parameter Estimation of Induction Motors Using Water Cycle Optimization

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    M. Yazdani-Asrami

    2013-12-01

    Full Text Available This paper presents the application of recently introduced water cycle algorithm (WCA to optimize the parameters of exact and approximate induction motor from the nameplate data. Considering that induction motors are widely used in industrial applications, these parameters have a significant effect on the accuracy and efficiency of the motors and, ultimately, the overall system performance. Therefore, it is essential to develop algorithms for the parameter estimation of the induction motor. The fundamental concepts and ideas which underlie the proposed method is inspired from nature and based on the observation of water cycle process and how rivers and streams flow to the sea in the real world. The objective function is defined as the minimization of the real values of the relative error between the measured and estimated torques of the machine in different slip points. The proposed WCA approach has been applied on two different sample motors. Results of the proposed method have been compared with other previously applied Meta heuristic methods on the problem, which show the feasibility and the fast convergence of the proposed approach.

  1. Stealth Bias in Gravitational-Wave Parameter Estimation

    CERN Document Server

    Vallisneri, Michele

    2013-01-01

    Inspiraling binaries of compact objects are primary targets for current and future gravitational-wave observatories. Waveforms computed in General Relativity are used to search for these sources, and will probably be used to extract source parameters from detected signals. However, if a different theory of gravity happens to be correct in the strong-field regime, source-parameter estimation may be affected by a fundamental bias: that is, by systematic errors induced due to the use of waveforms derived in the incorrect theory. If the deviations from General Relativity are not large enough to be detectable on their own and yet these systematic errors remain significant (i.e., larger than the statistical uncertainties in parameter estimation), fundamental bias cannot be corrected in a single observation, and becomes stealth bias. In this article we develop a scheme to determine in which cases stealth bias could be present in gravitational-wave astronomy. For a given observation, the answer depends on the detecti...

  2. Spatial dependence clusters in the estimation of forest structural parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wulder, Michael Albert

    1999-12-01

    In this thesis we provide a summary of the methods by which remote sensing may be applied in forestry, while also acknowledging the various limitations which are faced. The application of spatial statistics to high spatial resolution imagery is explored as a means of increasing the information which may be extracted from digital images. A number of high spatial resolution optical remote sensing satellites that are soon to be launched will increase the availability of imagery for the monitoring of forest structure. This technological advancement is timely as current forest management practices have been altered to reflect the need for sustainable ecosystem level management. The low accuracy level at which forest structural parameters have been estimated in the past is partly due to low image spatial resolution. A large pixel is often composed of a number of surface features, resulting in a spectral value which is due to the reflectance characteristics of all surface features within that pixel. In the case of small pixels, a portion of a surface feature may be represented by a single pixel. When a single pixel represents a portion of a surface object, the potential to isolate distinct surface features exists. Spatial statistics, such as the Gets statistic, provide for an image processing method to isolate distinct surface features. In this thesis, high spatial resolution imagery sensed over a forested landscape is processed with spatial statistics to combine distinct image objects into clusters, representing individual or groups of trees. Tree clusters are a means to deal with the inevitable foliage overlap which occurs within complex mixed and deciduous forest stands. The generation of image objects, that is, clusters, is necessary to deal with the presence of spectrally mixed pixels. The ability to estimate forest inventory and biophysical parameters from image clusters generated from spatially dependent image features is tested in this thesis. The inventory

  3. Metamaterials for Ballistic Electrons

    CERN Document Server

    Dragoman, D; Dragoman, Daniela; Dragoman, Mircea

    2007-01-01

    The paper presents a metamaterial for ballistic electrons, which consists of a quantum barrier formed in a semiconductor with negative effective electron mass. This barrier is the analogue of a metamaterial for electromagnetic waves in media with negative electrical permittivity and magnetic permeability. Besides applications similar to those of optical metamaterials, a nanosized slab of a metamaterial for ballistic electrons, sandwiched between quantum wells of positive effective mass materials, reveals unexpected conduction properties, e.g. single or multiple room temperature negative differential conductance regions at very low voltages and with considerable peak-to-valley ratios, while the traversal time of ballistic electrons can be tuned to larger or smaller values than in the absence of the metamaterial slab. Thus, slow and fast electrons, analogous to slow and fast light, occur in metamaterials for ballistic electrons.

  4. Ballistic Test Facility

    Data.gov (United States)

    Federal Laboratory Consortium — The Ballistic Test Facility is comprised of two outdoor and one indoor test ranges, which are all instrumented for data acquisition and analysis. Full-size aircraft...

  5. Parameters estimation and measurement of thermophysical properties of liquids

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Remy, B.; Degiovanni, A. [Ecole Nationale Superieure et de Mecanique, Univ. Henri Poincare-Nancy 1, Inst. National Polytechnique de Lorraine, Vandoeuvre Les Nancy (France); Lab. d' Energetique et de Mecanique Theorique et Appliquee, Univ. Henri Poincare-Nancy 1, Inst. National Polytechnique de Lorraine, Vandoeuvre Les Nancy (France)

    2005-09-01

    The goal purchased in this paper is to implement an experimental bench allowing the measurement of the thermal diffusivity and conductivity of liquids. The principle of the measurement based on a pulsed method is presented. The entire problem is solved through the thermal quadrupoles method. Then, the parameters estimation problem that is specially difficult in this case due to the presence of the walls of the measurement cell is described and an optimal thickness for these walls is defined from a sensitivity study. Finally, we show how it is possible to take into account the radiative transfer within the fluid in the estimation problem, before presenting the set-up and some experimental results. (author)

  6. Estimating seismic demand parameters using the endurance time method

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Ramin MADARSHAHIAN; Homayoon ESTEKANCHI; Akbar MAHVASHMOHAMMADI

    2011-01-01

    The endurance time (ET) method is a time history based dynamic analysis in which structures are subjected to gradually intensifying excitations and their performances are judged based on their responses at various excitation levels.Using this method,the computational effort required for estimating probable seismic demand parameters can be reduced by an order of magnitude.Calculation of the maximum displacement or target displacement is a basic requirement for estimating performance based on structural design.The purpose of this paper is to compare the results of the nonlinear ET method with the nonlinear static pushover (NSP) method of FEMA 356 by evaluating performances and target displacements of steel frames.This study will lead to a deeper insight into the capabilities and limitations of the ET method.The results are further compared with those of the standard nonlinear response history analysis.We conclude that results from the ET analysis are in proper agreement with those from standard procedures.

  7. Observer based parallel IM speed and parameter estimation

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Skoko Saša

    2014-01-01

    Full Text Available The detailed presentation of modern algorithm for the rotor speed estimation of an induction motor (IM is shown. The algorithm includes parallel speed and resistance parameter estimation and allows a robust shaft-sensorless operation in diverse conditions, including full load and low speed operation with a large thermal drift. The direct connection between the injected electric signal in the d-axis and the component of injected rotor flux were pointed at. The algorithm that has been applied in the paper uses the extracted component of the injected rotor flux in the d-axis from the observer state vector and filtrated measured electricity of one motor phase. By applying the mentioned algorithm, the system converges towards the given reference. [Projekat Ministarstva nauke Republike Srbije, br. III 42004

  8. Optimization-based particle filter for state and parameter estimation

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Li Fu; Qi Fei; Shi Guangming; Zhang Li

    2009-01-01

    In recent years, the theory of particle filter has been developed and widely used for state and parameter estimation in nonlinear/non-Gaussian systems. Choosing good importance density is a critical issue in particle filter design. In order to improve the approximation of posterior distribution, this paper provides an optimization-based algorithm (the steepest descent method) to generate the proposal distribution and then sample particles from the distribution. This algorithm is applied in 1-D case, and the simulation results show that the proposed particle filter performs better than the extended Kalman filter (EKF), the standard particle filter (PF), the extended Kalman particle filter (PF-EKF) and the unscented particle filter (UPF) both in efficiency and in estimation precision.

  9. Energy parameter estimation in solar powered wireless sensor networks

    KAUST Repository

    Mousa, Mustafa

    2014-02-24

    The operation of solar powered wireless sensor networks is associated with numerous challenges. One of the main challenges is the high variability of solar power input and battery capacity, due to factors such as weather, humidity, dust and temperature. In this article, we propose a set of tools that can be implemented onboard high power wireless sensor networks to estimate the battery condition and capacity as well as solar power availability. These parameters are very important to optimize sensing and communications operations and maximize the reliability of the complete system. Experimental results show that the performance of typical Lithium Ion batteries severely degrades outdoors in a matter of weeks or months, and that the availability of solar energy in an urban solar powered wireless sensor network is highly variable, which underlines the need for such power and energy estimation algorithms. © Springer International Publishing Switzerland 2014.

  10. Synchronization and parameter estimations of an uncertain Rikitake system

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this Letter we address the synchronization and parameter estimation of the uncertain Rikitake system, under the assumption the state is partially known. To this end we use the master/slave scheme in conjunction with the adaptive control technique. Our control approach consists of proposing a slave system which has to follow asymptotically the uncertain Rikitake system, refereed as the master system. The gains of the slave system are adjusted continually according to a convenient adaptation control law, until the measurable output errors converge to zero. The convergence analysis is carried out by using the Barbalat's Lemma. Under this context, uncertainty means that although the system structure is known, only a partial knowledge of the corresponding parameter values is available.

  11. Pedotransfer functions estimating soil hydraulic properties using different soil parameters

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Børgesen, Christen Duus; Iversen, Bo Vangsø; Jacobsen, Ole Hørbye;

    2008-01-01

    Estimates of soil hydraulic properties using pedotransfer functions (PTF) are useful in many studies such as hydrochemical modelling and soil mapping. The objective of this study was to calibrate and test parametric PTFs that predict soil water retention and unsaturated hydraulic conductivity...... parameters. The PTFs are based on neural networks and the Bootstrap method using different sets of predictors and predict the van Genuchten/Mualem parameters. A Danish soil data set (152 horizons) dominated by sandy and sandy loamy soils was used in the development of PTFs to predict the Mualem hydraulic...... of the hydraulic properties of the studied soils. We found that introducing measured water content as a predictor generally gave lower errors for water retention predictions and higher errors for conductivity predictions. The best of the developed PTFs for predicting hydraulic conductivity was tested against PTFs...

  12. Estimation of the reconstruction parameters for Atom Probe Tomography

    CERN Document Server

    Gault, Baptiste; Stephenson, Leigh T; Moody, Michael P; Muddle, Barry C; Ringer, Simon P

    2015-01-01

    The application of wide field-of-view detection systems to atom probe experiments emphasizes the importance of careful parameter selection in the tomographic reconstruction of the analysed volume, as the sensitivity to errors rises steeply with increases in analysis dimensions. In this paper, a self-consistent method is presented for the systematic determination of the main reconstruction parameters. In the proposed approach, the compression factor and the field factor are determined using geometrical projections from the desorption images. A 3D Fourier transform is then applied to a series of reconstructions and, comparing to the known material crystallography, the efficiency of the detector is estimated. The final results demonstrate a significant improvement in the accuracy of the reconstructed volumes.

  13. Parameter Estimation of Reverse Osmosis Process Model for Desalination

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Rames C Panda

    2013-10-01

    Full Text Available The present work pertains to modelling and identification of seawater desalination system using reverse osmosis. Initially the manipulated variable (feed pressure and recycle ratio and the measured variables (flowrate, concentration and pH of permeate are identified from reverse osmosis desalination system. The model of reverse osmosis was developed from the first principle approach using the mass balance equation (taking into consideration effect of concentration polarisation from which the transfer function model was developed. The parameters of multi-input multi-output model are identified using the autoregressive exogenous linear identification technique. The states of the process model were also estimated using Kalman filter and parameters are identified by nonlinear least square (NNLS algorithm. The plant’s data of spiral wound model are given as input to all the identification methods. The results obtained from the predicted and the linear models are in good agreement with these obtained for the same plant data.

  14. The basel II risk parameters estimation, validation, and stress testing

    CERN Document Server

    Engelmann, Bernd

    2006-01-01

    In the last decade the banking industry has experienced a significant development in the understanding of credit risk. Refined methods were proposed concerning the estimation of key risk parameters like default probabilities. Further, a large v- ume of literature on the pricing and measurement of credit risk in a portfolio c- text has evolved. This development was partly reflected by supervisors when they agreed on the new revised capital adequacy framework, Basel II. Under Basel II, the level of regulatory capital depends on the risk characteristics of each credit while a portfolio context is

  15. Singularity of Some Software Reliability Models and Parameter Estimation Method

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    2000-01-01

    According to the principle, “The failure data is the basis of software reliability analysis”, we built a software reliability expert system (SRES) by adopting the artificial intelligence technology. By reasoning out the conclusion from the fitting results of failure data of a software project, the SRES can recommend users “the most suitable model” as a software reliability measurement model. We believe that the SRES can overcome the inconsistency in applications of software reliability models well. We report investigation results of singularity and parameter estimation methods of experimental models in SRES.

  16. Parameter estimation using NOON states over a relativistic quantum channel

    OpenAIRE

    Hosler, Dominic; Kok, Pieter

    2013-01-01

    We study the effect of the acceleration of the observer on a parameter estimation protocol using NOON states. An inertial observer, Alice, prepares a NOON state in Unruh modes of the quantum field, and sends it to an accelerated observer, Rob. We calculate the quantum Fisher information of the state received by Rob. We find the counter-intuitive result that the single rail encoding outperforms the dual rail. The NOON states have an optimal $N$ for the maximum information extractable by Rob, g...

  17. Parameter estimation for exponential signals by the quadratic interpolation

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Wu, R.C.; Yang, T.Y. [I-Shou Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan (China). Dept. of Electrical Engineering; Tsai, J.I. [Kao Yuan Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan (China). Dept. of Electronic Engineering; Ou, T.C. [National Sun Yat-Sen Univ., Kaohsiung, Taiwan (China). Dept. of Electrical Engineering

    2008-07-01

    This paper proposed a method to analyze an exponent signal, which can improve the accuracy and convergence of parameter estimation. The method can be used to find the exact frequency, damping, amplitude and phase of molds. It takes a simulated signal and fits it to a real one. The 3 major processes of the method include an initial value setting, a gradient method and quadratic interpolation. In the initial value setting, the mold parameter is analyzed with the two highest amplitudes of each mold, and the precise values can be found. The difference between simulated and practical signals could be expressed as a least mean square problem. The gradient method provides the initial condition to the quadratic interpolation, which in turn can find the optimal solution in a few iterations. The minimum error search is accomplished by the quadratic interpolation, which could improve the search efficiency and reduce iteration time. After a few iterations, the method will obtain the exact harmonic parameters. The method has the advantage of being accurate since the mold parameters are found by least mean square, which makes object functions decrease to a minimum. Since the approximate values are obtained in the initial value setting, this method offers rapid and excellent convergence. 9 refs., 1 tab., 5 figs.

  18. Linear Estimation of Location and Scale Parameters Using Partial Maxima

    CERN Document Server

    Papadatos, Nickos

    2010-01-01

    Consider an i.i.d. sample X^*_1,X^*_2,...,X^*_n from a location-scale family, and assume that the only available observations consist of the partial maxima (or minima)sequence, X^*_{1:1},X^*_{2:2},...,X^*_{n:n}, where X^*_{j:j}=max{X^*_1,...,X^*_j}. This kind of truncation appears in several circumstances, including best performances in athletics events. In the case of partial maxima, the form of the BLUEs (best linear unbiased estimators) is quite similar to the form of the well-known Lloyd's (1952, Least-squares estimation of location and scale parameters using order statistics, Biometrika, vol. 39, pp. 88-95) BLUEs, based on (the sufficient sample of) order statistics, but, in contrast to the classical case, their consistency is no longer obvious. The present paper is mainly concerned with the scale parameter, showing that the variance of the partial maxima BLUE is at most of order O(1/log n), for a wide class of distributions.

  19. Estimation of Secondary Meteorological Parameters Using Mining Data Techniques

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Rosabel Zerquera Díaz

    2010-10-01

    Full Text Available This work develops a process of Knowledge Discovery in Databases (KDD at the Higher Polytechnic Institute José Antonio Echeverría for the group of Environmental Research in collaboration with the Center of Information Management and Energy Development (CUBAENERGÍA in order to obtain a data model to estimate the behavior of secondary weather parameters from surface data. It describes some aspects of Data Mining and its application in the meteorological environment, also selects and describes the CRISP-DM methodology and data analysis tool WEKA. Tasks used: attribute selection and regression, technique: neural network of multilayer perceptron type and algorithms: CfsSubsetEval, BestFirst and MultilayerPerceptron. Estimation models are obtained for secondary meteorological parameters: height of convective mixed layer, height of mechanical mixed layer and convective velocity scale, necessary for the study of patterns of dispersion of pollutants in Cujae's area. The results set a precedent for future research and for the continuity of this in its first stage.

  20. Estimating Friction Parameters in Reaction Wheels for Attitude Control

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Valdemir Carrara

    2013-01-01

    Full Text Available The ever-increasing use of artificial satellites in both the study of terrestrial and space phenomena demands a search for increasingly accurate and reliable pointing systems. It is common nowadays to employ reaction wheels for attitude control that provide wide range of torque magnitude, high reliability, and little power consumption. However, the bearing friction causes the response of wheel to be nonlinear, which may compromise the stability and precision of the control system as a whole. This work presents a characterization of a typical reaction wheel of 0.65 Nms maximum angular momentum storage, in order to estimate their friction parameters. It used a friction model that takes into account the Coulomb friction, viscous friction, and static friction, according to the Stribeck formulation. The parameters were estimated by means of a nonlinear batch least squares procedure, from data raised experimentally. The results have shown wide agreement with the experimental data and were also close to a deterministic model, previously obtained for this wheel. This model was then employed in a Dynamic Model Compensator (DMC control, which successfully reduced the attitude steady state error of an instrumented one-axis air-bearing table.

  1. Parameter estimation and hypothesis testing in linear models

    CERN Document Server

    Koch, Karl-Rudolf

    1999-01-01

    The necessity to publish the second edition of this book arose when its third German edition had just been published. This second English edition is there­ fore a translation of the third German edition of Parameter Estimation and Hypothesis Testing in Linear Models, published in 1997. It differs from the first English edition by the addition of a new chapter on robust estimation of parameters and the deletion of the section on discriminant analysis, which has been more completely dealt with by the author in the book Bayesian In­ ference with Geodetic Applications, Springer-Verlag, Berlin Heidelberg New York, 1990. Smaller additions and deletions have been incorporated, to im­ prove the text, to point out new developments or to eliminate errors which became apparent. A few examples have been also added. I thank Springer-Verlag for publishing this second edition and for the assistance in checking the translation, although the responsibility of errors remains with the author. I also want to express my thanks...

  2. Hidden Markov Models approach used for life parameters estimations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In modern electronics and in electrical applications design is very important to be able to predict the actual product life or, at least, to be able to provide the end user with a reasonable estimate of such parameter. It is important to be able to define the availability as a key parameter because, although other performance indicators (as the mean time before failures MTBF or mean time to failure MTTF) exist, they are often misused. To study the availability of an electrical, electronic or an electromechanical system, different methods can be used. The most common one relies on memory-less Markovian state space analysis due to the fact that a little information is needed, and under simple hypothesis, it is possible to gather some outcomes on the availability of steady state value. In this paper the authors, starting from classical approach of Markov models, introduce an extension known as Hidden Markov Models approach to overcome the limits of the previous one in estimating the system availability performance over time. Such a technique can be used to improve the logistic aspects connected with optimal maintenance planning. The provided dissertation in general can be used in different contexts without losing in generality

  3. Flower Pollination Algorithm based solar PV parameter estimation

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Highlights: • Flower Pollination Algorithm (FPA) is proposed for estimating the parameters of the solar modules. • The performance of the proposed extraction technique is tested using three different sources of data. • The proposed FPA provides the best performance among the other recent techniques. • It is recommended as the fastest and the most accurate optimization technique. - Abstract: Developing a highly accurate simulation technique for Photovoltaic (PV) systems prior to the installation is very important to increase the overall efficiency of using such systems. Providing a more accurate optimization algorithm to extract the optimal parameters of the PV models is therefore continuously required. Flower Pollination Algorithm (FPA) is proposed as a new optimization method to extract the optimal parameters of a single diode and a double diode models. The proposed extraction technique is tested using three different sources of data. The first source is the data reported in the previous literature, while the second source is the experimental data measured at the laboratory. The third source is the experimental data obtained from the data sheets of different types of solar modules. The FPA results are compared with the results of the previous literature to validate the performance of the proposed technique. The results prove that FPA achieves the least error between the extracted and the measured data relative to the other techniques over the entire ranges of different environmental conditions, specially at low irradiation levels. Moreover, FPA outperforms the other techniques from the point of view of both the convergence speed and the convergence time. In addition, comparison of (I–V) characteristics of the extracted parameters by FPA and that of the experimental data shows unnoticed deviation between them. That is why the Flower Pollination Algorithm is recommended as the fastest and the most accurate optimization technique for the optimal parameters

  4. 弹道参数对弹丸落点的影响分析%Effect of the Ballistic Parameters on Bomb Falling Point

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    侯宏录; 王赛; 闫帅

    2009-01-01

    针对现代炮弹引信高精度修正技术要求,研究初始条件误差对弹丸落点的影响.提出一种比较辨识弹丸落点及精度的方法,通过建立弹道数学模型,利用龙格-库塔法实时快速的解算理论弹道,分析了弹道散布及其影响弹道散布的因素.用初速、弹道系数、射角参数对弹道散布影响进行仿真,仿真结果表明:积分步长h=0.05 s时,获得的理论弹道与射程相比,距离射程误差仅为0.7%.%For the requirement of the technique of high accuracy correction fuze in modern artillery,the effect of the initial condition error on the bullet falling point is studied. A new method,which implements comparison and identification of bomb falling point and its accuracy,is proposed. Firstly, based on the establishment of mathematical model, the method of Runge- Kutta is used to solve the theoretical trajectory in real-time.The projectile dispersion and the factors that affect the spread of projectile are analyzed.The impacts of muzzle velocity, ballistic coefficient and fire angle on the ballistic dispersion are simulated respectively.When the integral step is 0.05 s,compared with the ,the error of range of the theoretical trajectory is 0.7%.

  5. Bayesian Approach in Estimation of Scale Parameter of Nakagami Distribution

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Azam Zaka

    2014-08-01

    Full Text Available Normal 0 false false false EN-US X-NONE X-NONE Nakagami distribution is a flexible life time distribution that may offer a good fit to some failure data sets. It has applications in attenuation of wireless signals traversing multiple paths, deriving unit hydrographs in hydrology, medical imaging studies etc. In this research, we obtain Bayesian estimators of the scale parameter of Nakagami distribution. For the posterior distribution of this parameter, we consider Uniform, Inverse Exponential and Levy priors. The three loss functions taken up are Squared Error Loss function, Quadratic Loss Function and Precautionary Loss function. The performance of an estimator is assessed on the basis of its relative posterior risk. Monte Carlo Simulations are used to compare the performance of the estimators. It is discovered that the PLF produces the least posterior risk when uniform priors is used. SELF is the best when inverse exponential and Levy Priors are used. /* Style Definitions */ table.MsoNormalTable {mso-style-name:"Table Normal"; mso-tstyle-rowband-size:0; mso-tstyle-colband-size:0; mso-style-noshow:yes; mso-style-priority:99; mso-style-qformat:yes; mso-style-parent:""; mso-padding-alt:0in 5.4pt 0in 5.4pt; mso-para-margin-top:0in; mso-para-margin-right:0in; mso-para-margin-bottom:10.0pt; mso-para-margin-left:0in; line-height:115%; mso-pagination:widow-orphan; font-size:11.0pt; font-family:"Calibri","sans-serif"; mso-ascii-font-family:Calibri; mso-ascii-theme-font:minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family:"Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-theme-font:minor-fareast; mso-hansi-font-family:Calibri; mso-hansi-theme-font:minor-latin;}

  6. Estimation of genetic parameters for reproductive traits in alpacas.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Cruz, A; Cervantes, I; Burgos, A; Morante, R; Gutiérrez, J P

    2015-12-01

    One of the main deficiencies affecting animal breeding programs in Peruvian alpacas is the low reproductive performance leading to low number of animals available to select from, decreasing strongly the selection intensity. Some reproductive traits could be improved by artificial selection, but very few information about genetic parameters exists for these traits in this specie. The aim of this study was to estimate genetic parameters for six reproductive traits in alpacas both in Suri (SU) and Huacaya (HU) ecotypes, as well as their genetic relationship with fiber and morphological traits. Dataset belonging to Pacomarca experimental farm collected between 2000 and 2014 was used. Number of records for age at first service (AFS), age at first calving (AFC), copulation time (CT), pregnancy diagnosis (PD), gestation length (GL), and calving interval (CI) were, respectively, 1704, 854, 19,770, 5874, 4290 and 934. Pedigree consisted of 7742 animals. Regarding reproductive traits, model of analysis included additive and residual random effects for all traits, and also permanent environmental effect for CT, PD, GL and CI traits, with color and year of recording as fixed effects for all the reproductive traits and also age at mating and sex of calf for GL trait. Estimated heritabilities, respectively for HU and SU were 0.19 and 0.09 for AFS, 0.45 and 0.59 for AFC, 0.04 and 0.05 for CT, 0.07 and 0.05 for PD, 0.12 and 0.20 for GL, and 0.14 and 0.09 for CI. Genetic correlations between them ranged from -0.96 to 0.70. No important genetic correlations were found between reproductive traits and fiber or morphological traits in HU. However, some moderate favorable genetic correlations were found between reproductive and either fiber and morphological traits in SU. According to estimated genetic correlations, some reproductive traits might be included as additional selection criteria in HU. PMID:26490188

  7. Learn-as-you-go acceleration of cosmological parameter estimates

    Science.gov (United States)

    Aslanyan, Grigor; Easther, Richard; Price, Layne C.

    2015-09-01

    Cosmological analyses can be accelerated by approximating slow calculations using a training set, which is either precomputed or generated dynamically. However, this approach is only safe if the approximations are well understood and controlled. This paper surveys issues associated with the use of machine-learning based emulation strategies for accelerating cosmological parameter estimation. We describe a learn-as-you-go algorithm that is implemented in the Cosmo++ code and (1) trains the emulator while simultaneously estimating posterior probabilities; (2) identifies unreliable estimates, computing the exact numerical likelihoods if necessary; and (3) progressively learns and updates the error model as the calculation progresses. We explicitly describe and model the emulation error and show how this can be propagated into the posterior probabilities. We apply these techniques to the Planck likelihood and the calculation of ΛCDM posterior probabilities. The computation is significantly accelerated without a pre-defined training set and uncertainties in the posterior probabilities are subdominant to statistical fluctuations. We have obtained a speedup factor of 6.5 for Metropolis-Hastings and 3.5 for nested sampling. Finally, we discuss the general requirements for a credible error model and show how to update them on-the-fly.

  8. On-line estimation of concentration parameters in fermentation processes

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    XIONG Zhi-hua; HUANG Guo-hong; SHAO Hui-he

    2005-01-01

    It has long been thought that bioprocess, with their inherent measurement difficulties and complex dynamics, posed almost insurmountable problems to engineers. A novel software sensor is proposed to make more effective use of those measurements that are already available, which enable improvement in fermentation process control. The proposed method is based on mixtures of Gaussian processes (GP) with expectation maximization (EM) algorithm employed for parameter estimation of mixture of models. The mixture model can alleviate computational complexity of GP and also accord with changes of operating condition in fermentation processes, i.e., it would certainly be able to examine what types of process-knowledge would be most relevant for local models' specific operating points of the process and then combine them into a global one. Demonstrated by on-line estimate of yeast concentration in fermentation industry as an example, it is shown that soft sensor based state estimation is a powerful technique for both enhancing automatic control performance of biological systems and implementing on-line monitoring and optimization.

  9. Application of Parameter Estimation for Diffusions and Mixture Models

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Nolsøe, Kim

    The first part of this thesis proposes a method to determine the preferred number of structures, their proportions and the corresponding geometrical shapes of an m-membered ring molecule. This is obtained by formulating a statistical model for the data and constructing an algorithm which samples ...... restricted to be a polynomial. Through a simulation study we compare for the CIR process the obtained estimator with an estimator derived from utilizing the extended Kalman filter. The simulation study shows that the two estimation methods perform equally well.......The first part of this thesis proposes a method to determine the preferred number of structures, their proportions and the corresponding geometrical shapes of an m-membered ring molecule. This is obtained by formulating a statistical model for the data and constructing an algorithm which samples...... physically realizable; this is obtained by utilizing the geometry of the structures. Determining the shapes, number of structures and proportions for an m-membered ring molecule is of interest, since these quantities determine the chemical properties. The second part of this thesis deals with parameter...

  10. Estimation of Shower Parameters in Wavefront Sampling Technique

    CERN Document Server

    Chitnis, V R

    2001-01-01

    Wavefront sampling experiments record arrival times of \\v{C}erenkov photons with high precision at various locations in \\v{C}erenkov pool using a distributed array of telescopes. It was shown earlier that this photon front can be fitted with a spherical surface traveling at a speed of light and originating from a single point on the shower axis. Radius of curvature of the spherical shower front ($R$) is approximately equal to the height of shower maximum from observation level. For a given primary species, it is also found that $R$ varies with the primary energy ($E$) and this provides a method of estimating the primary energy. In general, one can estimate the arrival times at each telescope using the radius of curvature, arrival direction of the primary and the core location. This, when compared with the data enables us to estimate the above parameters for each shower. This method of obtaining the arrival direction alleviates the difficulty in the form of systematics arising out of the plane wavefront approx...

  11. Statistical Parameter Estimation in Ultrasound Backscattering from Tissue Mimicking Media.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chen, Jian-Feng

    Several tissue characterization parameters, including the effective scatterer number density and the backscatter coefficient, were derived from the statistical properties of ultrasonic echo signals. The effective scatterer number density is the actual scatterer number density in a medium multiplied by a frequency-dependent factor that depends on the differential scattering cross-sections of all scatterers. The method described in this thesis for determining the scatterer number density explicitly retains both the temporal nature of the data acquisition and the properties of the ultrasound field in the data reduction. Moreover, it accounts for the possibility that different sets of scatterers may dominate the echo signal at different frequencies. The random processes involved in forming ultrasound echo signals from random media give rise to an uncertainty in the estimated effective scatterer number density. This uncertainty is evaluated using error propagation. The statistical uncertainty depends on the effective number of scatterers contributing to the segmented echo signal, increasing when the effective number of scatterers increases. Tests of the scatterer number density data reduction method and the statistical uncertainty estimator were done using phantoms with known ultrasound scattering properties. Good agreement was found between measured values and those calculated from first-principles. The properties of the non-Gaussian and non-Rayleigh parameters of ultrasound echo signals are also studied. Both parameters depend on the measurement system, including the transducer field and pulse frequency content, as well as on the medium's properties. The latter is expressed in terms of the scatterer number density and the second and fourth moments of the medium's scattering function. A simple relationship between the non-Gaussian and non-Rayleigh parameters is derived and verified experimentally. Finally, a reference phantom method is proposed for measuring the

  12. A Fortran IV Program for Estimating Parameters through Multiple Matrix Sampling with Standard Errors of Estimate Approximated by the Jackknife.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Shoemaker, David M.

    Described and listed herein with concomitant sample input and output is the Fortran IV program which estimates parameters and standard errors of estimate per parameters for parameters estimated through multiple matrix sampling. The specific program is an improved and expanded version of an earlier version. (Author/BJG)

  13. Colocated MIMO Radar: Beamforming, Waveform design, and Target Parameter Estimation

    KAUST Repository

    Jardak, Seifallah

    2014-04-01

    Thanks to its improved capabilities, the Multiple Input Multiple Output (MIMO) radar is attracting the attention of researchers and practitioners alike. Because it transmits orthogonal or partially correlated waveforms, this emerging technology outperformed the phased array radar by providing better parametric identifiability, achieving higher spatial resolution, and designing complex beampatterns. To avoid jamming and enhance the signal to noise ratio, it is often interesting to maximize the transmitted power in a given region of interest and minimize it elsewhere. This problem is known as the transmit beampattern design and is usually tackled as a two-step process: a transmit covariance matrix is firstly designed by minimizing a convex optimization problem, which is then used to generate practical waveforms. In this work, we propose simple novel methods to generate correlated waveforms using finite alphabet constant and non-constant-envelope symbols. To generate finite alphabet waveforms, the proposed method maps easily generated Gaussian random variables onto the phase-shift-keying, pulse-amplitude, and quadrature-amplitude modulation schemes. For such mapping, the probability density function of Gaussian random variables is divided into M regions, where M is the number of alphabets in the corresponding modulation scheme. By exploiting the mapping function, the relationship between the cross-correlation of Gaussian and finite alphabet symbols is derived. The second part of this thesis covers the topic of target parameter estimation. To determine the reflection coefficient, spatial location, and Doppler shift of a target, maximum likelihood estimation yields the best performance. However, it requires a two dimensional search problem. Therefore, its computational complexity is prohibitively high. So, we proposed a reduced complexity and optimum performance algorithm which allows the two dimensional fast Fourier transform to jointly estimate the spatial location

  14. Estimation of the Alpha Factor Parameters Using the ICDE Database

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Kang, Dae Il; Hwang, M. J.; Han, S. H

    2007-04-15

    Detailed common cause failure (CCF) analysis generally need for the data for CCF events of other nuclear power plants because the CCF events rarely occur. KAERI has been participated at the international common cause failure data exchange (ICDE) project to get the data for the CCF events. The operation office of the ICDE project sent the CCF event data for EDG to the KAERI at December 2006. As a pilot study, we performed the detailed CCF analysis of EDGs for Yonggwang Units 3 and 4 and Ulchin Units 3 and 4 using the ICDE database. There are two onsite EDGs for each NPP. When an offsite power and the two onsite EDGs are not available, one alternate AC (AAC) diesel generator (hereafter AAC) is provided. Two onsite EDGs and the AAC are manufactured by the same company, but they are designed differently. We estimated the Alpha Factor and the CCF probability for the cases where three EDGs were assumed to be identically designed, and for those were assumed to be not identically designed. For the cases where three EDGs were assumed to be identically designed, double CCF probabilities of Yonggwang Units 3/4 and Ulchin Units 3/4 for 'fails to start' were estimated as 2.20E-4 and 2.10E-4, respectively. Triple CCF probabilities of those were estimated as 2.39E-4 and 2.42E-4, respectively. As each NPP has no experience for 'fails to run', Yonggwang Units 3/4 and Ulchin Units 3/4 have the same CCF probability. The estimated double and triple CCF probabilities for 'fails to run' are 4.21E-4 and 4.61E-4, respectively. Quantification results show that the system unavailability for the cases where the three EDGs are identical is higher than that where the three EDGs are different. The estimated system unavailability of the former case was increased by 3.4% comparing with that of the latter. As a future study, a computerization work for the estimations of the CCF parameters will be performed.

  15. Ballistic Impact of Dense Particle Suspensions

    CERN Document Server

    Marr, Bradley J; Higgins, Andrew J; Frost, David L; Ouellet, Simon

    2011-01-01

    The ballistic impact of various dense particle suspensions is of interest for the development of superior materials for personal protective equipment. The dynamic response of the fluids under impact of a fragment simulating projectile at various incident velocities was examined for this purpose. High-speed fluid dynamic videos of these ballistic impacts were used to analyze the effects of various suspension parameters on the response of the fluids. It was found experimentally that the shear thickening behaviour of the suspensions dominated the response at low incident velocities, but the results converge based on density at higher impact velocities.

  16. Robustness of Modal Parameter Estimation Methods Applied to Lightweight Structures

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Dickow, Kristoffer Ahrens; Kirkegaard, Poul Henning; Andersen, Lars Vabbersgaard

    2013-01-01

    of nominally identical test subjects. However, the literature on modal testing of timber structures is rather limited and the applicability and robustness of dierent curve tting methods for modal analysis of such structures is not described in detail. The aim of this paper is to investigate the......On-going research is concerned with the losses that occur at junctions in lightweight building structures. Recently the authors have investigated the underlying uncertainties related to both measurement, material and craftsmanship of timber junctions by means of repeated modal testing on a number...... robustness of two parameter estimation methods built into the commercial modal testing software B&K Pulse Re ex Advanced Modal Analysis. The investigations are done by means of frequency response functions generated from a nite-element model and subjected to articial noise before being analyzed with Pulse Re...

  17. Cosmological Parameter Estimation with Large Scale Structure Observations

    CERN Document Server

    Di Dio, Enea; Durrer, Ruth; Lesgourgues, Julien

    2014-01-01

    We estimate the sensitivity of future galaxy surveys to cosmological parameters, using the redshift dependent angular power spectra of galaxy number counts, $C_\\ell(z_1,z_2)$, calculated with all relativistic corrections at first order in perturbation theory. We pay special attention to the redshift dependence of the non-linearity scale and present Fisher matrix forecasts for Euclid-like and DES-like galaxy surveys. We compare the standard $P(k)$ analysis with the new $C_\\ell(z_1,z_2)$ method. We show that for surveys with photometric redshifts the new analysis performs significantly better than the $P(k)$ analysis. For spectroscopic redshifts, however, the large number of redshift bins which would be needed to fully profit from the redshift information, is severely limited by shot noise. We also identify surveys which can measure the lensing contribution and we study the monopole, $C_0(z_1,z_2)$.

  18. Estimating Phenomenological Parameters in Multi-Assets Markets

    Science.gov (United States)

    Raffaelli, Giacomo; Marsili, Matteo

    Financial correlations exhibit a non-trivial dynamic behavior. This is reproduced by a simple phenomenological model of a multi-asset financial market, which takes into account the impact of portfolio investment on price dynamics. This captures the fact that correlations determine the optimal portfolio but are affected by investment based on it. Such a feedback on correlations gives rise to an instability when the volume of investment exceeds a critical value. Close to the critical point the model exhibits dynamical correlations very similar to those observed in real markets. We discuss how the model's parameter can be estimated in real market data with a maximum likelihood principle. This confirms the main conclusion that real markets operate close to a dynamically unstable point.

  19. Multiphase flow parameter estimation based on laser scattering

    Science.gov (United States)

    Vendruscolo, Tiago P.; Fischer, Robert; Martelli, Cicero; Rodrigues, Rômulo L. P.; Morales, Rigoberto E. M.; da Silva, Marco J.

    2015-07-01

    The flow of multiple constituents inside a pipe or vessel, known as multiphase flow, is commonly found in many industry branches. The measurement of the individual flow rates in such flow is still a challenge, which usually requires a combination of several sensor types. However, in many applications, especially in industrial process control, it is not necessary to know the absolute flow rate of the respective phases, but rather to continuously monitor flow conditions in order to quickly detect deviations from the desired parameters. Here we show how a simple and low-cost sensor design can achieve this, by using machine-learning techniques to distinguishing the characteristic patterns of oblique laser light scattered at the phase interfaces. The sensor is capable of estimating individual phase fluxes (as well as their changes) in multiphase flows and may be applied to safety applications due to its quick response time.

  20. Dynamic systems models new methods of parameter and state estimation

    CERN Document Server

    2016-01-01

    This monograph is an exposition of a novel method for solving inverse problems, a method of parameter estimation for time series data collected from simulations of real experiments. These time series might be generated by measuring the dynamics of aircraft in flight, by the function of a hidden Markov model used in bioinformatics or speech recognition or when analyzing the dynamics of asset pricing provided by the nonlinear models of financial mathematics. Dynamic Systems Models demonstrates the use of algorithms based on polynomial approximation which have weaker requirements than already-popular iterative methods. Specifically, they do not require a first approximation of a root vector and they allow non-differentiable elements in the vector functions being approximated. The text covers all the points necessary for the understanding and use of polynomial approximation from the mathematical fundamentals, through algorithm development to the application of the method in, for instance, aeroplane flight dynamic...

  1. Enhancing parameter precision of optimal quantum estimation by quantum screening

    Science.gov (United States)

    Jiang, Huang; You-Neng, Guo; Qin, Xie

    2016-02-01

    We propose a scheme of quantum screening to enhance the parameter-estimation precision in open quantum systems by means of the dynamics of quantum Fisher information. The principle of quantum screening is based on an auxiliary system to inhibit the decoherence processes and erase the excited state to the ground state. By comparing the case without quantum screening, the results show that the dynamics of quantum Fisher information with quantum screening has a larger value during the evolution processes. Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11374096), the Natural Science Foundation of Guangdong Province, China (Grants No. 2015A030310354), and the Project of Enhancing School with Innovation of Guangdong Ocean University (Grants Nos. GDOU2014050251 and GDOU2014050252).

  2. Multiphase flow parameter estimation based on laser scattering

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The flow of multiple constituents inside a pipe or vessel, known as multiphase flow, is commonly found in many industry branches. The measurement of the individual flow rates in such flow is still a challenge, which usually requires a combination of several sensor types. However, in many applications, especially in industrial process control, it is not necessary to know the absolute flow rate of the respective phases, but rather to continuously monitor flow conditions in order to quickly detect deviations from the desired parameters. Here we show how a simple and low-cost sensor design can achieve this, by using machine-learning techniques to distinguishing the characteristic patterns of oblique laser light scattered at the phase interfaces. The sensor is capable of estimating individual phase fluxes (as well as their changes) in multiphase flows and may be applied to safety applications due to its quick response time. (paper)

  3. Analysis of Wave Directional Spreading by Bayesian Parameter Estimation

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    钱桦; 莊士贤; 高家俊

    2002-01-01

    A spatial array of wave gauges installed on an observatoion platform has been designed and arranged to measure the lo-cal features of winter monsoon directional waves off Taishi coast of Taiwan. A new method, named the Bayesian ParameterEstimation Method( BPEM), is developed and adopted to determine the main direction and the directional spreading parame-ter of directional spectra. The BPEM could be considered as a regression analysis to find the maximum joint probability ofparameters, which best approximates the observed data from the Bayesian viewpoint. The result of the analysis of field wavedata demonstrates the highly dependency of the characteristics of normalized directional spreading on the wave age. The Mit-suyasu type empirical formula of directional spectnun is therefore modified to be representative of monsoon wave field. More-over, it is suggested that Smax could be expressed as a function of wave steepness. The values of Smax decrease with increas-ing steepness. Finally, a local directional spreading model, which is simple to be utilized in engineering practice, is prop-osed.

  4. ESTIMATION OF THE VISCOSITY PARAMETER IN ACCRETION DISKS OF BLAZARS

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    For an optical monitoring blazar sample set whose typical minimum variability timescale is about 1 hr, we estimate a mean value of the viscosity parameter in their accretion disk. We assume that optical variability on timescales of hours is caused by local instabilities in the inner accretion disk. Comparing the observed variability timescales to the thermal timescales of α-disk models, we could obtain constraints on the viscosity parameter (α) and the intrinsic Eddington ratio (Lin/LEdd=m-dot), 0.104 ≤ α ≤ 0.337, and 0.0201 ≤ L in/LEdd ≤ 0.1646. These narrow ranges suggest that all these blazars are observed in a single state, and thus provide a new evidence for the unification of flat-spectrum radio quasars and BL Lacs into a single blazar population. The values of α we derive are consistent with the theoretical expectation α ∼ 0.1-0.3 of Narayan and Mcclintock for advection-dominated accretion flow and are also compatible with Pessah et al.'s predictions (α ≥ 0.1) by numerical simulations in which magnetohydrodynamic turbulence is driven by the saturated magnetorotational instability.

  5. Cosmological parameter estimation and Bayesian model comparison using VSA data

    CERN Document Server

    Slosar, A; Cleary, K; Davies, R D; Davis, R J; Dickinson, C; Genova-Santos, R; Grainge, K; Gutíerrez, C M; Hafez, Y A; Hobson, M P; Jones, M E; Kneissl, R; Lancaster, K; Lasenby, A; Leahy, J P; Maisinger, K; Marshall, P J; Pooley, G G; Rebolo, R; Rubiño-Martín, J A; Rusholme, B A; Saunders, R D E; Savage, R; Scott, P F; Molina, P J S; Taylor, A C; Titterington, D; Waldram, E M; Watson, R A; Wilkinson, A; Slosar, Anze; Carreira, Pedro; Cleary, Kieran; Davies, Rod D.; Davis, Richard J.; Dickinson, Clive; Genova-Santos, Ricardo; Grainge, Keith; Gutierrez, Carlos M.; Hafez, Yaser A.; Hobson, Michael P.; Jones, Michael E.; Kneissl, Rudiger; Lancaster, Katy; Lasenby, Anthony; Maisinger, Klaus; Marshall, Phil J.; Pooley, Guy G.; Rebolo, Rafael; Rubino-Martin, Jose Alberto; Rusholme, Ben; Saunders, Richard D. E.; Savage, Richard; Scott, Paul F.; Molina, Pedro J. Sosa; Taylor, Angela C.; Titterington, David; Waldram, Elizabeth; Watson, Robert A.; Wilkinson, Althea

    2003-01-01

    We constrain the basic comological parameters using the first observations by the Very Small Array (VSA) in its extended configuration, together with existing cosmic microwave background data and other cosmological observations. We estimate cosmological parameters for four different models of increasing complexity. In each case, careful consideration is given to implied priors and the Bayesian evidence is calculated in order to perform model selection. We find that the data are most convincingly explained by a simple flat Lambda-CDM cosmology without tensor modes. In this case, combining just the VSA and COBE data sets yields the 68 per cent confidence intervals Omega_b h^2=0.034 (+0.007, -0.007), Omega_dm h^2 = 0.18 (+0.06, -0.04), h=0.72 (+0.15,-0.13), n_s=1.07 (+0.06,-0.06) and sigma_8=1.17 (+0.25, -0.20). The most general model considered includes spatial curvature, tensor modes, massive neutrinos and a parameterised equation of state for the dark energy. In this case, by combining all recent cosmological...

  6. Art in Internal Ballistics

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    K.S. Bhaskara Rao

    1982-04-01

    Full Text Available A review of the computations in Internal Ballistic Systems for developing pressure and velocity space curves, called primary problem and differential variations due to change in initial phase space of loading conditions, called secondary problem, is presented. In the concluding part, the general aspects of the secondary problem are analysed and reported.

  7. Art in Internal Ballistics

    OpenAIRE

    K.S. Bhaskara Rao; Sharma, K. C.

    1982-01-01

    A review of the computations in Internal Ballistic Systems for developing pressure and velocity space curves, called primary problem and differential variations due to change in initial phase space of loading conditions, called secondary problem, is presented. In the concluding part, the general aspects of the secondary problem are analysed and reported.

  8. Modeling and parameter estimation for hydraulic system of excavator's arm

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    HE Qing-hua; HAO Peng; ZHANG Da-qing

    2008-01-01

    A retrofitted electro-bydraulic proportional system for hydraulic excavator was introduced firstly. According to the principle and characteristic of load independent flow distribution(LUDV)system, taking boom hydraulic system as an example and ignoring the leakage of hydraulic cylinder and the mass of oil in it,a force equilibrium equation and a continuous equation of hydraulic cylinder were set up.Based On the flow equation of electro-hydraulic proportional valve, the pressure passing through the valve and the difference of pressure were tested and analyzed.The results show that the difference of pressure does not change with load, and it approximates to 2.0 MPa. And then, assume the flow across the valve is directly proportional to spool displacement andis not influenced by load, a simplified model of electro-hydraulic system was put forward. At the same time, by analyzing the structure and load-bearing of boom instrument, and combining moment equivalent equation of manipulator with rotating law, the estimation methods and equations for such parameters as equivalent mass and bearing force of hydraulic cylinder were set up. Finally, the step response of flow of boom cylinder was tested when the electro-hydraulic proportional valve was controlled by the stepcurrent. Based on the experiment curve, the flow gain coefficient of valve is identified as 2.825×10-4m3/(s·A)and the model is verified.

  9. Estimation of parameters of K-meson structure functions

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    On the basis of multiparton recombination model with the use of the Kuti-Weisskopf parametrization there have been analyzed the available experimental data on inclusive spectra of the vector and tensor mesons in the reactions K±p → MX (M=ρ, φ, K(890), K(1430) in the kaon fragmentation region at high energies (32-110 GeV/c) with the aim to extract the parameters of the K-meson structure functions. For the suppression factor of the kaon strange sea the value λs=0.18±0.01 is obtained. The kaon longitudinal momentum fraction carried away by nonstrange valence quarks and sea partons respectively are NV>=0.17, SV>=0.30 and S>=0.53. Estimates are obtained for the summary longitudinal momentum fractions carried away by nonstrange sea quark-antiquark pairs NS>=0.23±0.06, strange sea quark-antiquark pairs SS>=0.02±0.01 and gluons G>=0.28±0.09. 26 refs.; 4 figs.; 1 tab

  10. Anaerobic biodegradability of fish remains: experimental investigation and parameter estimation.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Donoso-Bravo, Andres; Bindels, Francoise; Gerin, Patrick A; Vande Wouwer, Alain

    2015-01-01

    The generation of organic waste associated with aquaculture fish processing has increased significantly in recent decades. The objective of this study is to evaluate the anaerobic biodegradability of several fish processing fractions, as well as water treatment sludge, for tilapia and sturgeon species cultured in recirculated aquaculture systems. After substrate characterization, the ultimate biodegradability and the hydrolytic rate were estimated by fitting a first-order kinetic model with the biogas production profiles. In general, the first-order model was able to reproduce the biogas profiles properly with a high correlation coefficient. In the case of tilapia, the skin/fin, viscera, head and flesh presented a high level of biodegradability, above 310 mLCH₄gCOD⁻¹, whereas the head and bones showed a low hydrolytic rate. For sturgeon, the results for all fractions were quite similar in terms of both parameters, although viscera presented the lowest values. Both the substrate characterization and the kinetic analysis of the anaerobic degradation may be used as design criteria for implementing anaerobic digestion in a recirculating aquaculture system. PMID:25812103

  11. SBML-PET: a Systems Biology Markup Language-based parameter estimation tool

    OpenAIRE

    Zi, Z.; Klipp, E.

    2006-01-01

    The estimation of model parameters from experimental data remains a bottleneck for a major breakthrough in systems biology. We present a Systems Biology Markup Language (SBML) based Parameter Estimation Tool (SBML-PET). The tool is designed to enable parameter estimation for biological models including signaling pathways, gene regulation networks and metabolic pathways. SBML-PET supports import and export of the models in the SBML format. It can estimate the parameters by fitting a variety of...

  12. On Parameters Estimation of Lomax Distribution under General Progressive Censoring

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Bander Al-Zahrani

    2013-01-01

    Full Text Available We consider the estimation problem of the probability S=P(Yestimator and Bayes estimators are obtained using the symmetric and asymmetric balanced loss functions. The Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC methods are used to accomplish some complex calculations. Comparisons are made between Bayesian and maximum likelihood estimators via Monte Carlo simulation study.

  13. "Sample-Independent" Item Parameters? An Investigation of the Stability of IRT Item Parameters Estimated from Small Data Sets.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Sireci, Stephen G.

    Whether item response theory (IRT) is useful to the small-scale testing practitioner is examined. The stability of IRT item parameters is evaluated with respect to the classical item parameters (i.e., p-values, biserials) obtained from the same data set. Previous research investigating the effect of sample size on IRT parameter estimation has…

  14. Variational methods to estimate terrestrial ecosystem model parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Delahaies, Sylvain; Roulstone, Ian

    2016-04-01

    Carbon is at the basis of the chemistry of life. Its ubiquity in the Earth system is the result of complex recycling processes. Present in the atmosphere in the form of carbon dioxide it is adsorbed by marine and terrestrial ecosystems and stored within living biomass and decaying organic matter. Then soil chemistry and a non negligible amount of time transform the dead matter into fossil fuels. Throughout this cycle, carbon dioxide is released in the atmosphere through respiration and combustion of fossils fuels. Model-data fusion techniques allow us to combine our understanding of these complex processes with an ever-growing amount of observational data to help improving models and predictions. The data assimilation linked ecosystem carbon (DALEC) model is a simple box model simulating the carbon budget allocation for terrestrial ecosystems. Over the last decade several studies have demonstrated the relative merit of various inverse modelling strategies (MCMC, ENKF, 4DVAR) to estimate model parameters and initial carbon stocks for DALEC and to quantify the uncertainty in the predictions. Despite its simplicity, DALEC represents the basic processes at the heart of more sophisticated models of the carbon cycle. Using adjoint based methods we study inverse problems for DALEC with various data streams (8 days MODIS LAI, monthly MODIS LAI, NEE). The framework of constraint optimization allows us to incorporate ecological common sense into the variational framework. We use resolution matrices to study the nature of the inverse problems and to obtain data importance and information content for the different type of data. We study how varying the time step affect the solutions, and we show how "spin up" naturally improves the conditioning of the inverse problems.

  15. Bootstrap Standard Errors for Maximum Likelihood Ability Estimates When Item Parameters Are Unknown

    Science.gov (United States)

    Patton, Jeffrey M.; Cheng, Ying; Yuan, Ke-Hai; Diao, Qi

    2014-01-01

    When item parameter estimates are used to estimate the ability parameter in item response models, the standard error (SE) of the ability estimate must be corrected to reflect the error carried over from item calibration. For maximum likelihood (ML) ability estimates, a corrected asymptotic SE is available, but it requires a long test and the…

  16. Uncertainty of Modal Parameters Estimated by ARMA Models

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Jensen, Jacob Laigaard; Brincker, Rune; Rytter, Anders

    1990-01-01

    In this paper the uncertainties of identified modal parameters such as eidenfrequencies and damping ratios are assed. From the measured response of dynamic excited structures the modal parameters may be identified and provide important structural knowledge. However the uncertainty of the paramete...

  17. Parameter estimation and determinability analysis applied to Drosophila gap gene circuits

    NARCIS (Netherlands)

    Ashyraliyev, M.; Jaeger, J.; Blom, J.G.

    2008-01-01

    Background

    Mathematical modeling of real-life processes often requires the estimation of unknown parameters. Once the parameters are found by means of optimization, it is important to assess the quality of the parameter estimates, especially if parameter values are used to draw biological c

  18. New ranked set sampling for estimating the population parameters

    OpenAIRE

    Zamanzade, Ehsan; Al-Omari, Amer Ibrahim

    2014-01-01

    In this paper, a new modification of ranked set sampling (RSS) is suggested, namely; unified ranked set sampling (URSS) for estimating the population mean and variance. The performance of the empirical mean and variance estimators based on URSS are compared with their counterparts in ranked set sampling and simple random sampling (SRS) via Monte Carlo simulation. Simulation results indicate that the URSS estimators perform better than their counterparts using RSS and SRS designs when the rank...

  19. Estimating atmospheric parameters and reducing noise for multispectral imaging

    Science.gov (United States)

    Conger, James Lynn

    2014-02-25

    A method and system for estimating atmospheric radiance and transmittance. An atmospheric estimation system is divided into a first phase and a second phase. The first phase inputs an observed multispectral image and an initial estimate of the atmospheric radiance and transmittance for each spectral band and calculates the atmospheric radiance and transmittance for each spectral band, which can be used to generate a "corrected" multispectral image that is an estimate of the surface multispectral image. The second phase inputs the observed multispectral image and the surface multispectral image that was generated by the first phase and removes noise from the surface multispectral image by smoothing out change in average deviations of temperatures.

  20. Ballistic motion planning

    OpenAIRE

    Campana, Mylène; Laumond, Jean-Paul

    2016-01-01

    This paper addresses the motion planning problem for a jumping point-robot. Each jump consists in a ballistic motion linking two positions in contact with obstacle surfaces. A solution path is thus a sequence of parabola arcs. The originality of the approach is to consider non-sliding constraints at contact points: slipping avoidance is handled by constraining takeoff and landing velocity vectors to belong to 3D friction cones. Furthermore the magnitude of these velocities is bounded. A balli...

  1. Ballistic deficit correction

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The EUROGAM data-acquisition has to handle a large number of events/s. Typical in-beam experiments using heavy-ion fusion reactions assume the production of about 50 000 compound nuclei per second deexciting via particle and γ-ray emissions. The very powerful γ-ray detection of EUROGAM is expected to produce high-fold event rates as large as 104 events/s. Such high count rates introduce, in a common dead time mode, large dead times for the whole system associated with the processing of the pulse, its digitization and its readout (from the preamplifier pulse up to the readout of the information). In order to minimize the dead time the shaping time constant τ, usually about 3 μs for large volume Ge detectors has to be reduced. Smaller shaping times, however, will adversely affect the energy resolution due to ballistic deficit. One possible solution is to operate the linear amplifier, with a somewhat smaller shaping time constant (in the present case we choose τ = 1.5 μs), in combination with a ballistic deficit compensator. The ballistic deficit can be corrected in different ways using a Gated Integrator, a hardware correction or even a software correction. In this paper we present a comparative study of the software and hardware corrections as well as gated integration

  2. Asymptotic Parameter Estimation for a Class of Linear Stochastic Systems Using Kalman-Bucy Filtering

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Xiu Kan

    2012-01-01

    Full Text Available The asymptotic parameter estimation is investigated for a class of linear stochastic systems with unknown parameter θ:dXt=(θα(t+β(tXtdt+σ(tdWt. Continuous-time Kalman-Bucy linear filtering theory is first used to estimate the unknown parameter θ based on Bayesian analysis. Then, some sufficient conditions on coefficients are given to analyze the asymptotic convergence of the estimator. Finally, the strong consistent property of the estimator is discussed by comparison theorem.

  3. Asymptotic Parameter Estimation for a Class of Linear Stochastic Systems Using Kalman-Bucy Filtering

    OpenAIRE

    Xiu Kan; Huisheng Shu; Yan Che

    2012-01-01

    The asymptotic parameter estimation is investigated for a class of linear stochastic systems with unknown parameter θ:dXt=(θα(t)+β(t)Xt)dt+σ(t)dWt. Continuous-time Kalman-Bucy linear filtering theory is first used to estimate the unknown parameter θ based on Bayesian analysis. Then, some sufficient conditions on coefficients are given to analyze the asymptotic convergence of the estimator. Finally, the strong consistent property of the estimator is discussed by comparison theorem.

  4. Asymptotically Median Unbiased Estimation of Coefficient Variance in a Time Varying Parameter Model

    OpenAIRE

    Stock, James H.; Mark W. Watson

    1996-01-01

    This paper considers the estimation of the variance of coefficients in time varying parameter models with stationary regressors. The maximum likelihood estimator has large point mass at zero. We therefore develop asymptotically median unbiased estimators and confidence intervals by inverting median functions of regression-based parameter stability test statistics, computed under the constant-parameter null. These estimators have good asymptotic relative efficiencies for small to moderate amou...

  5. Improved Parameter Estimation for First-Order Markov Process

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Deepak Batra

    2009-01-01

    Full Text Available This correspondence presents a linear transformation, which is used to estimate correlation coefficient of first-order Markov process. It outperforms zero-forcing (ZF, minimum mean-squared error (MMSE, and whitened least-squares (WTLSs estimators by controlling output noise variance at the cost of increased computational complexity.

  6. Weibull Parameters Estimation Based on Physics of Failure Model

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Kostandyan, Erik; Sørensen, John Dalsgaard

    2012-01-01

    Reliability estimation procedures are discussed for the example of fatigue development in solder joints using a physics of failure model. The accumulated damage is estimated based on a physics of failure model, the Rainflow counting algorithm and the Miner’s rule. A threshold model is used for de...

  7. Robust Speed and Parameter Estimation in Induction Motors

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Børsting, H.; Vadstrup, P.

    This paper presents a Model Reference Adaptive System (MRAS) for the estimation of the induction motor speed, based on measured terminal voltages and currents.......This paper presents a Model Reference Adaptive System (MRAS) for the estimation of the induction motor speed, based on measured terminal voltages and currents....

  8. Compressive Parameter Estimation for Sparse Translation-Invariant Signals Using Polar Interpolation

    OpenAIRE

    Fyhn, Karsten; Duarte, Marco F.; Jensen, Søren Holdt

    2013-01-01

    We propose new compressive parameter estimation algorithms that make use of polar interpolation to improve the estimator precision. Our work extends previous approaches involving polar interpolation for compressive parameter estimation in two aspects: (i) we extend the formulation from real non-negative amplitude parameters to arbitrary complex ones, and (ii) we allow for mismatch between the manifold described by the parameters and its polar approximation. To quantify the improvements afford...

  9. Single-Channel Blind Estimation of Reverberation Parameters

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Doire, C.S.J.; Brookes, M. D.; Naylor, P. A.;

    2015-01-01

    The reverberation of an acoustic channel can be characterised by two frequency-dependent parameters: the reverberation time and the direct-to-reverberant energy ratio. This paper presents an algorithm for blindly determining these parameters from a single-channel speech signal. The algorithm uses...

  10. Automated Modal Parameter Estimation of Civil Engineering Structures

    OpenAIRE

    Andersen, Palle; Brincker, Rune; Goursat, Maurice; Mevel, Laurent

    2007-01-01

    In this paper the problems of doing automatic modal parameter extraction of ambient excited civil engineering structures is considered. Two different approaches for obtaining the modal parameters automatically are presented: The Frequency Domain Decomposition (FDD) technique and a correlation-driven Stochastic Subspace Identification (SSI) technique. Finally, the techniques are demonstrated on real data

  11. Automated Modal Parameter Estimation of Civil Engineering Structures

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Andersen, Palle; Brincker, Rune; Goursat, Maurice;

    In this paper the problems of doing automatic modal parameter extraction of ambient excited civil engineering structures is considered. Two different approaches for obtaining the modal parameters automatically are presented: The Frequency Domain Decomposition (FDD) technique and a correlation-dri......-driven Stochastic Subspace Identification (SSI) technique. Finally, the techniques are demonstrated on real data...

  12. Uncertainty of Modal Parameters Estimated by ARMA Models

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Jensen, Jakob Laigaard; Brincker, Rune; Rytter, Anders

    In this paper the uncertainties of identified modal parameters such as eigenfrequencies and damping ratios are assessed. From the measured response of dynamic excited structures the modal parameters may be identified and provide important structural knowledge. However the uncertainty of the param...

  13. Moving Ship SAR Imaging Based on Parameter Estimation

    OpenAIRE

    Yun Yajiao; Qi Xiangyang; Li Ning

    2016-01-01

    The Doppler parameters of moving targets affect the conventional Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) imaging. In this study, the relation between the motion and Doppler parameters is established. With improved popular technology, a set of moving ship SAR imaging processes is proposed to obtain a focused and rightlocated image. Simulations and experimental data are used to verify the method.

  14. Distributed Dynamic State Estimator, Generator Parameter Estimation and Stability Monitoring Demonstration

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Meliopoulos, Sakis; Cokkinides, George; Fardanesh, Bruce; Hedrington, Clinton

    2013-12-31

    This is the final report for this project that was performed in the period: October1, 2009 to June 30, 2013. In this project, a fully distributed high-fidelity dynamic state estimator (DSE) that continuously tracks the real time dynamic model of a wide area system with update rates better than 60 times per second is achieved. The proposed technology is based on GPS-synchronized measurements but also utilizes data from all available Intelligent Electronic Devices in the system (numerical relays, digital fault recorders, digital meters, etc.). The distributed state estimator provides the real time model of the system not only the voltage phasors. The proposed system provides the infrastructure for a variety of applications and two very important applications (a) a high fidelity generating unit parameters estimation and (b) an energy function based transient stability monitoring of a wide area electric power system with predictive capability. Also the dynamic distributed state estimation results are stored (the storage scheme includes data and coincidental model) enabling an automatic reconstruction and “play back” of a system wide disturbance. This approach enables complete play back capability with fidelity equal to that of real time with the advantage of “playing back” at a user selected speed. The proposed technologies were developed and tested in the lab during the first 18 months of the project and then demonstrated on two actual systems, the USVI Water and Power Administration system and the New York Power Authority’s Blenheim-Gilboa pumped hydro plant in the last 18 months of the project. The four main thrusts of this project, mentioned above, are extremely important to the industry. The DSE with the achieved update rates (more than 60 times per second) provides a superior solution to the “grid visibility” question. The generator parameter identification method fills an important and practical need of the industry. The “energy function” based

  15. Steering and collimating ballistic electrons with amphoteric refraction

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    We show that amphoteric refraction of ballistic electrons, i.e., positive or negative refraction depending on the incidence angle, occurs at an interface between an isotropic and an anisotropic medium and can be employed to steer and collimate electron beams. The steering angle is determined by the materials’ parameters, but the degree of collimation can be tuned in a significant range by changing the energy of ballistic electrons.

  16. Dynamic ventilation scintigraphy: a comparison of parameter estimation gating models

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Two procedures for providing the synchronization of ventilation scintigraphic data to create dynamic displays of the pulmonary cycle are described and compared. These techniques are based on estimating instantaneous lung volume by pneumotachometry and by scintigraphy. Twenty-three patients were studied by these two techniques. The results indicate that the estimation of the times of end-inspiration and end-expiration are equivalent by the two techniques but the morphologies of the two estimated time-volume waveforms are not equivalent. Ventilation cinescintigraphy based on time division gating but not on isovolume division gating can be equivalently generated from list mode acquired data by employing either technique described

  17. BIASED BEARINGS-ONIKY PARAMETER ESTIMATION FOR BISTATIC SYSTEM

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Xu Benlian; Wang Zhiquan

    2007-01-01

    According to the biased angles provided by the bistatic sensors,the necessary condition of observability and Cramer-Rao low bounds for the bistatic system are derived and analyzed,respectively.Additionally,a dual Kalman filter method is presented with the purpose of eliminating the effect of biased angles on the state variable estimation.Finally,Monte-Carlo simulations are conducted in the observable scenario.Simulation results show that the proposed theory holds true,and the dual Kalman filter method can estimate state variable and biased angles simultaneously.Furthermore,the estimated results can achieve their Cramer-Rao low bounds.

  18. A novel algorithm for sensorless motion control, parameter identication and position estimation

    OpenAIRE

    Kahalil , Islam; KUNT, Emrah Deniz; Şabanoviç, Asif; SABANOVIC, Asif

    2009-01-01

    This article demonstrates that an actuator can be used as a single platform for measurement, control and estimation by designing a chain of estimators and performing simple off-line experiments. Making use of the fact that rejected torque from the dynamical system consists of all the system dynamics beside all external disturbances. The rejected torque waves are estimated using the actuator parameters, and used for an off-line experiment for parameter estimation, then the estimated rejecte...

  19. Nearly best linear estimates of logistic parameters based on complete ordered statistics

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    2001-01-01

    Deals with the determination of the nearly best linear estimates of location and scale parameters of a logistic population, when both parameters are unknown, by introducing Bloms semi-empirical α, β-correction′into the asymptotic mean and covariance formulae with complete and ordered samples taken into consideration and various nearly best linear estimates established and points out the high efficiency of these estimators relative to the best linear unbiased estimators (BLUEs) and other linear estimators makes them useful in practice.

  20. Survivability Armor Ballistic Laboratory (SABL)

    Data.gov (United States)

    Federal Laboratory Consortium — The SABL provides independent analysis, ballistic testing, data collection, data reduction and qualification of current and advanced armors. Capabilities: The SABL...

  1. Bayesian Shrinkage Estimation of Quantitative Trait Loci Parameters

    OpenAIRE

    Wang, Hui; Zhang, Yuan-Ming; Li, Xinmin; Masinde, Godfred L.; Mohan, Subburaman; Baylink, David J.; Xu, Shizhong

    2005-01-01

    Mapping multiple QTL is a typical problem of variable selection in an oversaturated model because the potential number of QTL can be substantially larger than the sample size. Currently, model selection is still the most effective approach to mapping multiple QTL, although further research is needed. An alternative approach to analyzing an oversaturated model is the shrinkage estimation in which all candidate variables are included in the model but their estimated effects are forced to shrink...

  2. Estimation of poroelastic parameters from seismograms using Biot theory

    CERN Document Server

    De Barros, Louis

    2010-01-01

    We investigate the possibility to extract information contained in seismic waveforms propagating in fluid-filled porous media by developing and using a full waveform inversion procedure valid for layered structures. To reach this objective, we first solve the forward problem by implementing the Biot theory in a reflectivity-type simulation program. We then study the sensitivity of the seismic response of stratified media to the poroelastic parameters. Our numerical tests indicate that the porosity and consolidation parameter are the most sensitive parameters in forward and inverse modeling, whereas the permeability has only a very limited influence on the seismic response. Next, the analytical expressions of the sensitivity operators are introduced in a generalized least-square inversion algorithm based on an iterative modeling of the seismic waveforms. The application of this inversion procedure to synthetic data shows that the porosity as well as the fluid and solid parameters can be correctly reconstructed...

  3. Symbolic dynamics approach to parameter estimation without initial value

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Symbolic dynamics, which partitions the infinite number of finite length trajectories into a finite number of trajectory sets, allows a simplified and 'coarse-grained' description of the dynamics of a system with a limited number of symbols. In this Letter, we will show that control parameters affect dynamical characters of symbolic sequences. To be more specific, we will analyze how control parameters affect statistical property of Skewed Tent map symbolic sequences. Besides, we will also analyze how control parameters affect ergodic property of both Logistic map and Tent map symbolic sequences. Both theoretical and experimental results show that the above mentioned effects of control parameters discourage the use of chaotic symbolic sequences in cryptography. Furthermore, we will propose an improved scheme utilizing asymptotic deterministic randomness to avoid the undesirable effects.

  4. Symbolic dynamics approach to parameter estimation without initial value

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Wang Kai, E-mail: kaiwang@seu.edu.c [Department of Radio Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing (China); Pei Wenjiang; Hou Xubo; Shen Yi; He Zhenya [Department of Radio Engineering, Southeast University, Nanjing (China)

    2009-12-14

    Symbolic dynamics, which partitions the infinite number of finite length trajectories into a finite number of trajectory sets, allows a simplified and 'coarse-grained' description of the dynamics of a system with a limited number of symbols. In this Letter, we will show that control parameters affect dynamical characters of symbolic sequences. To be more specific, we will analyze how control parameters affect statistical property of Skewed Tent map symbolic sequences. Besides, we will also analyze how control parameters affect ergodic property of both Logistic map and Tent map symbolic sequences. Both theoretical and experimental results show that the above mentioned effects of control parameters discourage the use of chaotic symbolic sequences in cryptography. Furthermore, we will propose an improved scheme utilizing asymptotic deterministic randomness to avoid the undesirable effects.

  5. Estimation of beech pyrolysis kinetic parameters by Shuffled Complex Evolution.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ding, Yanming; Wang, Changjian; Chaos, Marcos; Chen, Ruiyu; Lu, Shouxiang

    2016-01-01

    The pyrolysis kinetics of a typical biomass energy feedstock, beech, was investigated based on thermogravimetric analysis over a wide heating rate range from 5K/min to 80K/min. A three-component (corresponding to hemicellulose, cellulose and lignin) parallel decomposition reaction scheme was applied to describe the experimental data. The resulting kinetic reaction model was coupled to an evolutionary optimization algorithm (Shuffled Complex Evolution, SCE) to obtain model parameters. To the authors' knowledge, this is the first study in which SCE has been used in the context of thermogravimetry. The kinetic parameters were simultaneously optimized against data for 10, 20 and 60K/min heating rates, providing excellent fits to experimental data. Furthermore, it was shown that the optimized parameters were applicable to heating rates (5 and 80K/min) beyond those used to generate them. Finally, the predicted results based on optimized parameters were contrasted with those based on the literature. PMID:26551654

  6. Estimating the parameters of the Sgr A* black hole

    CERN Document Server

    De Paolis, F; Nucita, A A; Qadir, A; Zakharov, A F

    2010-01-01

    The measurement of relativistic effects around the galactic center may allow in the near future to strongly constrain the parameters of the supermassive black hole likely present at the galactic center (Sgr A*). As a by-product of these measurements it would be possible to severely constrain, in addition, also the parameters of the mass-density distributions of both the innermost star cluster and the dark matter clump around the galactic center.

  7. Retrospective forecast of ETAS model with daily parameters estimate

    Science.gov (United States)

    Falcone, Giuseppe; Murru, Maura; Console, Rodolfo; Marzocchi, Warner; Zhuang, Jiancang

    2016-04-01

    We present a retrospective ETAS (Epidemic Type of Aftershock Sequence) model based on the daily updating of free parameters during the background, the learning and the test phase of a seismic sequence. The idea was born after the 2011 Tohoku-Oki earthquake. The CSEP (Collaboratory for the Study of Earthquake Predictability) Center in Japan provided an appropriate testing benchmark for the five 1-day submitted models. Of all the models, only one was able to successfully predict the number of events that really happened. This result was verified using both the real time and the revised catalogs. The main cause of the failure was in the underestimation of the forecasted events, due to model parameters maintained fixed during the test. Moreover, the absence in the learning catalog of an event similar to the magnitude of the mainshock (M9.0), which drastically changed the seismicity in the area, made the learning parameters not suitable to describe the real seismicity. As an example of this methodological development we show the evolution of the model parameters during the last two strong seismic sequences in Italy: the 2009 L'Aquila and the 2012 Reggio Emilia episodes. The achievement of the model with daily updated parameters is compared with that of same model where the parameters remain fixed during the test time.

  8. An improved method for nonlinear parameter estimation: a case study of the Rössler model

    Science.gov (United States)

    He, Wen-Ping; Wang, Liu; Jiang, Yun-Di; Wan, Shi-Quan

    2016-08-01

    Parameter estimation is an important research topic in nonlinear dynamics. Based on the evolutionary algorithm (EA), Wang et al. (2014) present a new scheme for nonlinear parameter estimation and numerical tests indicate that the estimation precision is satisfactory. However, the convergence rate of the EA is relatively slow when multiple unknown parameters in a multidimensional dynamical system are estimated simultaneously. To solve this problem, an improved method for parameter estimation of nonlinear dynamical equations is provided in the present paper. The main idea of the improved scheme is to use all of the known time series for all of the components in some dynamical equations to estimate the parameters in single component one by one, instead of estimating all of the parameters in all of the components simultaneously. Thus, we can estimate all of the parameters stage by stage. The performance of the improved method was tested using a classic chaotic system—Rössler model. The numerical tests show that the amended parameter estimation scheme can greatly improve the searching efficiency and that there is a significant increase in the convergence rate of the EA, particularly for multiparameter estimation in multidimensional dynamical equations. Moreover, the results indicate that the accuracy of parameter estimation and the CPU time consumed by the presented method have no obvious dependence on the sample size.

  9. Uncertainties in the Item Parameter Estimates and Robust Automated Test Assembly

    Science.gov (United States)

    Veldkamp, Bernard P.; Matteucci, Mariagiulia; de Jong, Martijn G.

    2013-01-01

    Item response theory parameters have to be estimated, and because of the estimation process, they do have uncertainty in them. In most large-scale testing programs, the parameters are stored in item banks, and automated test assembly algorithms are applied to assemble operational test forms. These algorithms treat item parameters as fixed values,…

  10. Estimated genetic parameters for carcass traits of Brahman cattle.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Riley, D G; Chase, C C; Hammond, A C; West, R L; Johnson, D D; Olson, T A; Coleman, S W

    2002-04-01

    Heritabilities and genetic and phenotypic correlations were estimated from feedlot and carcass data collected from Brahman calves (n = 504) in central Florida from 1996 to 2000. Data were analyzed using animal models in MTDFREML. Models included contemporary group (n = 44; groups of calves of the same sex, fed in the same pen, slaughtered on the same day) as a fixed effect and calf age in days at slaughter as a continuous variable. Estimated feedlot trait heritabilities were 0.64, 0.67, 0.47, and 0.26 for ADG, hip height at slaughter, slaughter weight, and shrink. The USDA yield grade estimated heritability was 0.71; heritabilities for component traits of yield grade, including hot carcass weight, adjusted 12th rib backfat thickness, loin muscle area, and percentage kidney, pelvic, and heart fat were 0.55, 0.63, 0.44, and 0.46, respectively. Heritability estimates for dressing percentage, marbling score, USDA quality grade, cutability, retail yield, and carcass hump height were 0.77, 0.44, 0.47, 0.71, 0.5, and 0.54, respectively. Estimated genetic correlations of adjusted 12th rib backfat thickness with ADG, slaughter weight, marbling score, percentage kidney, pelvic, and heart fat, and yield grade (0.49, 0.46, 0.56, 0.63, and 0.93, respectively) were generally larger than most literature estimates. Estimated genetic correlations of marbling score with ADG, percentage shrink, loin muscle area, percentage kidney, pelvic, and heart fat, USDA yield grade, cutability, retail yield, and carcass hump height were 0.28, 0.49, 0.44, 0.27, 0.45, -0.43, 0.27, and 0.43, respectively. Results indicate that sufficient genetic variation exists within the Brahman breed for design and implementation of effective selection programs for important carcass quality and yield traits. PMID:12008662

  11. Empirical estimation of school siting parameter towards improving children's safety

    Science.gov (United States)

    Aziz, I. S.; Yusoff, Z. M.; Rasam, A. R. A.; Rahman, A. N. N. A.; Omar, D.

    2014-02-01

    Distance from school to home is a key determination in ensuring the safety of hildren. School siting parameters are made to make sure that a particular school is located in a safe environment. School siting parameters are made by Department of Town and Country Planning Malaysia (DTCP) and latest review was on June 2012. These school siting parameters are crucially important as they can affect the safety, school reputation, and not to mention the perception of the pupil and parents of the school. There have been many studies to review school siting parameters since these change in conjunction with this ever-changing world. In this study, the focus is the impact of school siting parameter on people with low income that live in the urban area, specifically in Johor Bahru, Malaysia. In achieving that, this study will use two methods which are on site and off site. The on site method is to give questionnaires to people and off site is to use Geographic Information System (GIS) and Statistical Product and Service Solutions (SPSS), to analyse the results obtained from the questionnaire. The output is a maps of suitable safe distance from school to house. The results of this study will be useful to people with low income as their children tend to walk to school rather than use transportation.

  12. Sugarcane maturity estimation through edaphic-climatic parameters

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Scarpari Maximiliano Salles

    2004-01-01

    Full Text Available Sugarcane (Saccharum officinarum L. grows under different weather conditions directly affecting crop maturation. Raw material quality predicting models are important tools in sugarcane crop management; the goal of these models is to provide productivity estimates during harvesting, increasing the efficiency of strategical and administrative decisions. The objective of this work was developing a model to predict Total Recoverable Sugars (TRS during harvesting, using data related to production factors such as soil water storage and negative degree-days. The database of a sugar mill for the crop seasons 1999/2000, 2000/2001 and 2001/2002 was analyzed, and statistical models were tested to estimate raw material. The maturity model for a one-year old sugarcane proved to be significant, with a coefficient of determination (R² of 0.7049*. No differences were detected between measured and estimated data in the simulation (P < 0.05.

  13. Analysis of distorted measurements -- parameter estimation and unfolding

    CERN Document Server

    Zech, Guenter

    2016-01-01

    1. Parameter inference from distorted measurements is discussed. 2. Smeared measurements are unfolded without explicit regularization. The corresponding results are unbiased and permit to fit parameters and to apply quantitative goodness-of-fit tests. 3. Common unfolding methods (iterative EM with early stopping, truncated SVD, ML fits with curvature, entropy and norm penalties) are tested and compared to each other with the regularization parameter adjusted to minimize the integrated square error (ISE) in all cases. Apart from histogram representations, spline approximations are considered. All simulations indicate that the EM method leads to smaller ISEs than the competing approaches. Especially promising is the EM unfolding to spline approximations. The studies are based on different distributions, event numbers, resolutions and enough independent simulations to obtain conclusive results. It is proposed to unfold data with the EM method to b-spline approximations and to supplement the results with histogra...

  14. Phase noise effects on turbulent weather radar spectrum parameter estimation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lee, Jonggil; Baxa, Ernest G., Jr.

    1990-01-01

    Accurate weather spectrum moment estimation is important in the use of weather radar for hazardous windshear detection. The effect of the stable local oscillator (STALO) instability (jitter) on the spectrum moment estimation algorithm is investigated. Uncertainty in the stable local oscillator will affect both the transmitted signal and the received signal since the STALO provides transmitted and reference carriers. The proposed approach models STALO phase jitter as it affects the complex autocorrelation of the radar return. The results can therefore by interpreted in terms of any source of system phase jitter for which the model is appropriate and, in particular, may be considered as a cumulative effect of all radar system sources.

  15. The physical parameters estimation of physiologically worked heart prosthesis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Gawlikowski, M.; Pustelny, T.; Kustosz, R.

    2006-11-01

    One of possible cardiac failure therapy is mechanical heart supporting. The following types of ventricular assist devices (VAD) are clinically used: diaphragm displacement, centrifugal and axial pumps. Each of supporting devices produces different hemodynamical effect and affects the circulatory system in various ways. It causes impossibility of therapeutic effect comparison obtained by different pumps' treatment. A lack of defined physical parameters describing phenomena inside the pump and its influence on circulatory system are an obstacle during new supporting devices designing. The goal of investigations is to create a set of physical parameters which characterized pump's operating and its cooperation with circulatory system.

  16. Online Parameter Estimation for a Centrifugal Decanter System

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Larsen, Jesper Abildgaard; Alstrøm, Preben

    2014-01-01

    In many processing plants decanter systems are used for separation of heterogenious mixtures, and even though they account for a large fraction of the energy consumption, most decanters just runs at a fixed setpoint. Here, multi model estimation is applied to a waste water treatment plant, and it...

  17. EVALUATING SOIL EROSION PARAMETER ESTIMATES FROM DIFFERENT DATA SOURCES

    Science.gov (United States)

    Topographic factors and soil loss estimates that were derived from thee data sources (STATSGO, 30-m DEM, and 3-arc second DEM) were compared. Slope magnitudes derived from the three data sources were consistently different. Slopes from the DEMs tended to provide a flattened sur...

  18. Efficient estimates of cochlear hearing loss parameters in individual listeners

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Fereczkowski, Michal; Jepsen, Morten Løve; Dau, Torsten

    2013-01-01

    It has been suggested that the level corresponding to the knee-point of the basilar membrane (BM) input/output (I/O) function can be used to estimate the amount of inner- and outer hair-cell loss (IHL, OHL) in listeners with a moderate cochlear hearing impairment Plack et al. (2004). According to...

  19. Determination of parameters for digital meter of doppler radars systems for the artillery systems

    OpenAIRE

    Kaninskiy, Valeriy; Budaretskiy, Yuriy; Grabchak, Volodymyr; Prokopenko, Vyacheslav

    2010-01-01

    analytical choice of the digital meter parameters based on digital systems of phase synchronization (DSPS) is considered, also the simulation model design in order to perform the optimization of its parameters and to determine the temporary characteristics and the accuracy of the motion parameters of objects estimating, for the systems with autonomous navigation and ballistic training artillery systems.

  20. An Non-parametrical Approach to Estimate Location Parameters under Simple Order

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    孙旭

    2005-01-01

    This paper deals with estimating parameters under simple order when samples come from location models. Based on the idea of Hodges and Lehmann estimator (H-L estimator), a new approach to estimate parameters is proposed, which is difference with the classical L1 isotoaic regression and L2 isotonic regression. An algorithm to corupute estimators is given. Simulations by the Monte-Carlo method is applied to compare the likelihood functions with respect to L1 estimators and weighted isotonic H-L estimators.

  1. Unconstrained parameter estimation for assessment of dynamic cerebral autoregulation.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chacón, M; Nuñez, N; Henríquez, C; Panerai, R B

    2008-10-01

    Measurement of dynamic cerebral autoregulation (CA), the transient response of cerebral blood flow (CBF) to changes in arterial blood pressure (ABP), has been performed with an index of autoregulation (ARI), related to the parameters of a second-order differential equation model, namely gain (K), damping factor (D) and time constant (T). Limitations of the ARI were addressed by increasing its numerical resolution and generalizing the parameter space. In 16 healthy subjects, recordings of ABP (Finapres) and CBF velocity (ultrasound Doppler) were performed at rest, before, during and after 5% CO(2) breathing, and for six repeated thigh cuff maneuvers. The unconstrained model produced lower predictive error (p < 0.001) than the original model. Unconstrained parameters (K'-D'-T') were significantly different from K-D-T but were still sensitive to different measurement conditions, such as the under-regulation induced by hypercapnia. The intra-subject variability of K' was significantly lower than that of the ARI and this parameter did not show the unexpected occurrences of zero values as observed with the ARI and the classical value of K. These results suggest that K' could be considered as a more stable and reliable index of dynamic autoregulation than ARI. Further studies are needed to validate this new index under different clinical conditions. PMID:18799835

  2. Estimation of atomic interaction parameters by photon counting

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Kiilerich, Alexander Holm; Mølmer, Klaus

    2014-01-01

    Detection of radiation signals is at the heart of precision metrology and sensing. In this article we show how the fluctuations in photon counting signals can be exploited to optimally extract information about the physical parameters that govern the dynamics of the emitter. For a simple two...

  3. Estimation of Medium Voltage Cable Parameters for PD Detection

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Villefrance, Rasmus; Holbøll, Joachim T.; Henriksen, Mogens

    measured signal at the cable terminations to a specific PD-amplitude and location on the cable, the attenuation and the transmission speed of PD-pulses on the cable have to be known. Consequently, the main parameter to be determined is the complex propagation constant which consists of the attenuation and...

  4. LIKELIHOOD ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS USING SIMULTANEOUSLY MONITORED PROCESSES

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Friis-Hansen, Peter; Ditlevsen, Ove Dalager

    2004-01-01

    The topic is maximum likelihood inference from several simultaneously monitored response processes of a structure to obtain knowledge about the parameters of other not monitored but important response processes when the structure is subject to some Gaussian load field in space and time. The...

  5. Bootstrap Co-integration Rank Testing: The Effect of Bias-Correcting Parameter Estimates

    OpenAIRE

    Cavaliere, Giuseppe; Taylor, A. M. Robert; Trenkler, Carsten

    2013-01-01

    In this paper we investigate bootstrap-based methods for bias-correcting the first-stage parameter estimates used in some recently developed bootstrap implementations of the co-integration rank tests of Johansen (1996). In order to do so we adapt the framework of Kilian (1998) which estimates the bias in the original parameter estimates using the average bias in the corresponding parameter esti- mates taken across a large number of auxiliary bootstrap replications. A number of possible imp...

  6. An autoencoder of stellar spectra and its application in automatically estimating atmospheric parameters

    OpenAIRE

    Yang, Tan; Li, Xiangru

    2015-01-01

    This article investigates the problem of estimating stellar atmospheric parameters from spectra. Feature extraction is a key procedure in estimating stellar parameters automatically. We propose a scheme for spectral feature extraction and atmospheric parameter estimation using the following three procedures: firstly, learn a set of basic structure elements (BSE) from stellar spectra using an autoencoder; secondly, extract representative features from stellar spectra based on the learned BSEs ...

  7. Parameter estimation from multinomial trees to jump diffusions with k means clustering

    OpenAIRE

    Lee, Kiseop; Xu, Mingxin

    2007-01-01

    Ever since the pioneering work of Cox, Ross and Rubinstein, tree models have been popular among asset pricing methods. On the other hand, statistical estimation of parameters of tree models has not been studied as much. In this paper, we use K Means Clustering method to estimate the parameters of multinomial trees. By the weak convergence property of multinomial trees to continuous-time models, we show that this method can be in turn used to estimate parameters in continuous time models, illu...

  8. A Note on Parameter Estimations of Panel Vector Autoregressive Models with Intercorrelation

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Jian-hong Wu; Li-xing Zhu; Zai-xing Li

    2009-01-01

    This note considers parameter estimation for panel vector autoregressive models with intercorrela-tion. Conditional least squares estimators are derived and the asymptotic normality is established. A simulation is carried out for illustration.

  9. Estimation of radiation cell inactivation probability model parameters by experimental survival curves

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A simple method of estimation of probability irradiated cells inactivation model parameters ''a'' and ''b'' is described. The examples of this estimation are considered for bacteria, yeast and mammalian cells

  10. THE SUPERIORITY OF EMPIRICAL BAYES ESTIMATION OF PARAMETERS IN PARTITIONED NORMAL LINEAR MODEL

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Zhang Weiping; Wei Laisheng

    2008-01-01

    In this article, the empirical Bayes (EB) estimators are constructed for the estimable functions of the parameters in partitioned normal linear model. The superiorities of the EB estimators over ordinary least-squares (LS) estimator are investigated under mean square error matrix (MSEM) criterion.

  11. Parameter estimation of analog circuits based on the fractional wavelet method

    Science.gov (United States)

    Yong, Deng; He, Zhang

    2015-03-01

    Aiming at the problem of parameter estimation in analog circuits, a new approach is proposed. The approach is based on the fractional wavelet to derive the Volterra series model of the circuit under test (CUT). By the gradient search algorithm used in the Volterra model, the unknown parameters in the CUT are estimated and the Volterra model is identified. The simulations show that the parameter estimation results of the proposed method in the paper are better than those of other parameter estimation methods. Project supported by the Key Research Project of Sichuan Provincial Department of Education, China (No. 13ZA0186).

  12. An Iterated Local Search Algorithm for Estimating the Parameters of the Gamma/Gompertz Distribution

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Behrouz Afshar-Nadjafi

    2014-01-01

    Full Text Available Extensive research has been devoted to the estimation of the parameters of frequently used distributions. However, little attention has been paid to estimation of parameters of Gamma/Gompertz distribution, which is often encountered in customer lifetime and mortality risks distribution literature. This distribution has three parameters. In this paper, we proposed an algorithm for estimating the parameters of Gamma/Gompertz distribution based on maximum likelihood estimation method. Iterated local search (ILS is proposed to maximize likelihood function. Finally, the proposed approach is computationally tested using some numerical examples and results are analyzed.

  13. Geo-Statistical Approach to Estimating Asteroid Exploration Parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lincoln, William; Smith, Jeffrey H.; Weisbin, Charles

    2011-01-01

    NASA's vision for space exploration calls for a human visit to a near earth asteroid (NEA). Potential human operations at an asteroid include exploring a number of sites and analyzing and collecting multiple surface samples at each site. In this paper two approaches to formulation and scheduling of human exploration activities are compared given uncertain information regarding the asteroid prior to visit. In the first approach a probability model was applied to determine best estimates of mission duration and exploration activities consistent with exploration goals and existing prior data about the expected aggregate terrain information. These estimates were compared to a second approach or baseline plan where activities were constrained to fit within an assumed mission duration. The results compare the number of sites visited, number of samples analyzed per site, and the probability of achieving mission goals related to surface characterization for both cases.

  14. Three Phase Induction Motor parameters Estimation Using Artificial Intelligence Methods

    OpenAIRE

    FATHALLAHNEZHAD, Abolfazl; KHAJEZADEH, Alimorad

    2015-01-01

    Abstract. The electrical tools and power networks have vital role in new modern world. In industrial, high percentage of electrical energy is consumed by electrical motors. For this reason, the energy consumption evaluation of motors is substantial topic. As the request of electrical energy growths, it is significant to exchange improper machines with neoteric energy fit ones. The initial task towards gaining this target is to estimate the available machines efficiencies exactly to specify ho...

  15. Parameter estimation and optimal experimental design in flow reactors

    OpenAIRE

    Carraro, Thomas

    2005-01-01

    In this work we present numerical techniques, based on the finite element method, for the simulation of reactive flows in a chemical flow reactor as well as for the identification of the kinetic of the reactions using measurements of observable quantities. We present the case of a real experiment in which the reaction rate is estimated by means of concentration measurements. We introduce methods for the optimal experimental design of experiments in the context of reactive flows modeled by par...

  16. Influence of parameter estimation uncertainty in Kriging: Part 1 - Theoretical Development

    OpenAIRE

    E. Todini

    2001-01-01

    This paper deals with a theoretical approach to assessing the effects of parameter estimation uncertainty both on Kriging estimates and on their estimated error variance. Although a comprehensive treatment of parameter estimation uncertainty is covered by full Bayesian Kriging at the cost of extensive numerical integration, the proposed approach has a wide field of application, given its relative simplicity. The approach is based upon a truncated Taylor expansion approximation and, within the...

  17. Influence of parameter estimation uncertainty in Kriging: Part 1 - Theoretical Development

    OpenAIRE

    E. Todini

    2001-01-01

    This paper deals with a theoretical approach to assessing the effects of parameter estimation uncertainty both on Kriging estimates and on their estimated error variance. Although a comprehensive treatment of parameter estimation uncertainty is covered by full Bayesian Kriging at the cost of extensive numerical integration, the proposed approach has a wide field of application, given its relative simplicity. The approach is based upon a truncated Taylor expansion approxim...

  18. Bootstrap methods for lasso-type estimators under a moving-parameter framework

    OpenAIRE

    Cai, W; Lee, SMS

    2012-01-01

    We study the distributions of Lasso-type regression estimators in a moving-parameter asymptotic framework, and consider various bootstrap methods for estimating them accordingly. We show, in particular, that the distribution functions of Lasso-type estimators, including even those possessing the oracle properties such as the adaptive Lasso and the SCAD, cannot be consistently estimated by the bootstraps uniformly over the space of the regression parameters, especially when some of the regre...

  19. Estimation of efficiency of damping parameters in seismic insulation systems

    OpenAIRE

    Yu.L. Rutman; N.V. Kovaleva

    2012-01-01

    In the design of seismic isolation systems, one of the key and most difficult issues is the damping optimal parameters choice. If the damping is negligible, it is possible (at a certain frequency of external influence) that quasi-resonant processes, which lead to the disappearance of seismic insulation effect, will emerge. If the damping forces are large, it entails a significant load increase on the protected object, which also reduces the effect of seismic insulation.Development technique o...

  20. Parameter estimation for online condition monitoring of robotic machines

    OpenAIRE

    Hui, T.; Liu, Honghai; Brown, David J.

    2008-01-01

    This paper proposes a novel learning approach to online condition monitoring of robotic machines. The real-time learning process comprises three stages, domain knowledge defining, random learning and ordinal learning. Domain knowledge defining abstracts the model of a robotic machine; random learning and ordinal learning stages train the parameters of the abstract model with random data selection and ordinal data selection, respectively. Simulation results have proved that the pro-posed metho...

  1. Inverse parameter estimation in a layered unsaturated field soil

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Abbaspour, K.; Kasteel, R.; Schulin, R.

    2000-02-01

    Identification of soil hydraulic parameters is an important step for modeling soil water flow and transport behavior. Parameter fitting by inverse modeling is becoming increasingly attractive as a way to avoid experimental difficulties. In this study, the authors linked the inverse program SUFI (Sequential Uncertainty domain FItting) with the one-dimensional flow model HYDRUS5 to investigate the applicability of inverse modeling to the water regime of a layered field soil. Measured pressure head and water content data from an irrigation and drainage experiment were used. The soil profile at the experimental site consisted of at least five soil layers, including a compacted pan. They formulated a total of eight inverse scenarios in an effort to explain the observed pressure head and water content data. Important processes in the experiment included, among others, air entrapment and preferential flow. The authors obtained a relatively precise simulation of pressure head and water content only after accounting for a pan layer and treating the irrigation and the drainage phases separately. They found that fitting alone, even with 20 to 30 parameters, could not account satisfactorily for the soil hydraulic behavior. Rather, correct accounting of the soil hydraulic processes as well as the soil system proved to be essential.

  2. Sensor-less parameter estimation of electromagnetic transducer and experimental verification

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ikegame, Toru; Takagi, Kentaro; Inoue, Tsuyoshi; Jikuya, Ichiro

    2015-04-01

    In this paper, a new sensor-less parameter estimation method is proposed for electromagnetic shunt damping. The purpose is to estimate parameters of an electromagnetic transducer and a vibrating structure. The frequency domain measurements of an electrical admittance are only supposed to be available but any other sensor measurements are not; therefore, the estimation problem is nontrivial. Two types of numerical optimization, a linear optimization to select an initial seed and a nonlinear optimization to determine a final estimate, are presented. The effectiveness of the method is demonstrated by vibration control experiments as well as parameter estimation experiments.

  3. Optimal Parameter and Uncertainty Estimation of a Land Surface Model: Sensitivity to Parameter Ranges and Model Complexities

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Youlong XIA; Zong-Liang YANG; Paul L. STOFFA; Mrinal K. SEN

    2005-01-01

    Most previous land-surface model calibration studies have defined global ranges for their parameters to search for optimal parameter sets. Little work has been conducted to study the impacts of realistic versus global ranges as well as model complexities on the calibration and uncertainty estimates. The primary purpose of this paper is to investigate these impacts by employing Bayesian Stochastic Inversion (BSI)to the Chameleon Surface Model (CHASM). The CHASM was designed to explore the general aspects of land-surface energy balance representation within a common modeling framework that can be run from a simple energy balance formulation to a complex mosaic type structure. The BSI is an uncertainty estimation technique based on Bayes theorem, importance sampling, and very fast simulated annealing.The model forcing data and surface flux data were collected at seven sites representing a wide range of climate and vegetation conditions. For each site, four experiments were performed with simple and complex CHASM formulations as well as realistic and global parameter ranges. Twenty eight experiments were conducted and 50 000 parameter sets were used for each run. The results show that the use of global and realistic ranges gives similar simulations for both modes for most sites, but the global ranges tend to produce some unreasonable optimal parameter values. Comparison of simple and complex modes shows that the simple mode has more parameters with unreasonable optimal values. Use of parameter ranges and model complexities have significant impacts on frequency distribution of parameters, marginal posterior probability density functions, and estimates of uncertainty of simulated sensible and latent heat fluxes.Comparison between model complexity and parameter ranges shows that the former has more significant impacts on parameter and uncertainty estimations.

  4. Rapid gravitational wave parameter estimation with a single spin: Systematic uncertainties in parameter estimation with the SpinTaylorF2 approximation

    CERN Document Server

    Miller, Brandon; Littenberg, Tyson B; Farr, Ben

    2015-01-01

    Reliable low-latency gravitational wave parameter estimation is essential to target limited electromagnetic followup facilities toward astrophysically interesting and electromagnetically relevant sources of gravitational waves. In this study, we examine the tradeoff between speed and accuracy. Specifically, we estimate the astrophysical relevance of systematic errors in the posterior parameter distributions derived using a fast-but-approximate waveform model, SpinTaylorF2 (STF2), in parameter estimation with lalinference_mcmc. Though efficient, the STF2 approximation to compact binary inspiral employs approximate kinematics (e.g., a single spin) and an approximate waveform (e.g., frequency domain versus time domain). More broadly, using a large astrophysically-motivated population of generic compact binary merger signals, we report on the effectualness and limitations of this single-spin approximation as a method to infer parameters of generic compact binary sources. For most low-mass compact binary sources, ...

  5. Parameters influencing deposit estimation when using water sensitive papers

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Emanuele Cerruto

    2013-10-01

    Full Text Available The aim of the study was to assess the possibility of using water sensitive papers (WSP to estimate the amount of deposit on the target when varying the spray characteristics. To identify the main quantities influencing the deposit, some simplifying hypotheses were applied to simulate WSP behaviour: log-normal distribution of the diameters of the drops and circular stains randomly placed on the images. A very large number (4704 of images of WSPs were produced by means of simulation. The images were obtained by simulating drops of different arithmetic mean diameter (40-300 μm, different coefficient of variation (0.1-1.5, and different percentage of covered surface (2-100%, not considering overlaps. These images were considered to be effective WSP images and then analysed using image processing software in order to measure the percentage of covered surface, the number of particles, and the area of each particle; the deposit was then calculated. These data were correlated with those used to produce the images, varying the spray characteristics. As far as the drop populations are concerned, a classification based on the volume median diameter only should be avoided, especially in case of high variability. This, in fact, results in classifying sprays with very low arithmetic mean diameter as extremely or ultra coarse. The WSP image analysis shows that the relation between simulated and computed percentage of covered surface is independent of the type of spray, whereas impact density and unitary deposit can be estimated from the computed percentage of covered surface only if the spray characteristics (arithmetic mean and coefficient of variation of the drop diameters are known. These data can be estimated by analysing the particles on the WSP images. The results of a validation test show good agreement between simulated and computed deposits, testified by a high (0.93 coefficient of determination.

  6. Estimates of roughness parameters for arrays of obstacles

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Duijm, N.J.

    1999-01-01

    Some methods are evaluated and extended to estimate roughness length and zero plane displacement height for atmospheric flow over arrays of obstacles, typically buildings. It appears that the method proposed by Bottema, with an extension to account for low density obstacle arrays, performs best....... Procedures are proposed to represent irregular obstacle arrangements by a representative regular array to which Bottema's method can be applied. It is shown that this can be done without loss of accuracy, in general, roughness length can be predicted within a factor of two in more than 74% of the cases (95...

  7. Parameter estimates in binary black hole collisions using neural networks

    CERN Document Server

    Carrillo, M; González, J A; Guzmán, F S

    2016-01-01

    We present an algorithm based on artificial neural networks (ANNs), that estimates the mass ratio in a binary black hole collision out of given Gravitational Wave (GW) strains. In this analysis, the ANN is trained with a sample of GW signals generated with numerical simulations. The effectiveness of the algorithm is evaluated with GWs generated also with simulations for given mass ratios unknown to the ANN. We measure the accuracy of the algorithm in the interpolation and extrapolation regimes. We present the results for noise free signals and signals contaminated with Gaussian noise, in order to foresee the dependence of the method accuracy in terms of the signal to noise ratio.

  8. How to exploit external model of data for parameter estimation?

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Kárný, Miroslav; Andrýsek, Josef; Bodini, A.; Guy, Tatiana Valentine; Kracík, Jan; Ruggeri, F.

    2006-01-01

    Roč. 20, č. 1 (2006), s. 41-50. ISSN 0890-6327 R&D Projects: GA AV ČR(CZ) 1ET100750401; GA MŠk(CZ) 1M0572; GA ČR GP102/03/P010; GA AV ČR(CZ) 1ET100750404 Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z10750506 Keywords : Bayseian estimation * decision making * fully probabilistic design * Kullback-Leibler divergence Subject RIV: BB - Applied Statistics, Operational Research Impact factor: 0.580, year: 2006 http://library.utia.cas.cz/prace/20060018.pdf

  9. Flight investigation of various control inputs intended for parameter estimation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Shafer, M. F.

    1984-01-01

    NASA's F-8 digital fly-by-wire aircraft has been subjected to stability and control derivative assessments, leading to the proposal of improved control inputs for more efficient control derivative estimation. This will reduce program costs by reducing flight test and data analysis requirements. Inputs were divided into sinusoidal types and cornered types. Those with corners produced the best set of stability and control derivatives for the unaugmented flight control system mode. Small inputs are noted to have provided worse derivatives than larger ones.

  10. Estimation of State and Parameters of Traffic System

    Czech Academy of Sciences Publication Activity Database

    Pecherková, Pavla; Homolová, Jitka; Duník, J.

    Angers: INSTICC and University of Angers, 2007, s. 1-6. ISBN 978-972-8865-83-2. [International Conference on Informatics in Control, Automation and Robotics /4./. Angers (FR), 09.05.2007-12.05.2007] R&D Projects: GA MDS(CZ) 1F43A/003/120; GA MŠk 1M0572 Institutional research plan: CEZ:AV0Z10750506 Keywords : nonlinear filtering * identification * state estimation * state space model Subject RIV: BC - Control Systems Theory ftp://ropucha.utia.cas.cz/../../users/WWW/as.utia.cas.cz/publications/2007/PeHoDu_07.pdf

  11. Improved Differential Evolution Algorithm for Parameter Estimation to Improve the Production of Biochemical Pathway

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Chuii Khim Chong

    2012-06-01

    Full Text Available This paper introduces an improved Differential Evolution algorithm (IDE which aims at improving its performance in estimating the relevant parameters for metabolic pathway data to simulate glycolysis pathway for yeast. Metabolic pathway data are expected to be of significant help in the development of efficient tools in kinetic modeling and parameter estimation platforms. Many computation algorithms face obstacles due to the noisy data and difficulty of the system in estimating myriad of parameters, and require longer computational time to estimate the relevant parameters. The proposed algorithm (IDE in this paper is a hybrid of a Differential Evolution algorithm (DE and a Kalman Filter (KF. The outcome of IDE is proven to be superior than Genetic Algorithm (GA and DE. The results of IDE from experiments show estimated optimal kinetic parameters values, shorter computation time and increased accuracy for simulated results compared with other estimation algorithms

  12. SHAPE PARAMETERS USED IN GROWTH ESTIMATION OF TUMORS USING MAMMOGRAPHY

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    SONALI BHADORIA

    2012-06-01

    Full Text Available Analysis of tumor size is very important input for the doctors in deciding the stage of the cancer and surgical approach. Various parameters gives different information about the tumor. This affects treatment decisions, and hence plays a significant role. This paper proposes the effective methodology for analysis of shape and size ofthe tumors present in the breast using mammograms. It gives detail study of each tumor present in the mammogram and predicts the growth rate. It is a powerful tools to assist the doctors in the treatment related to breast cancer.

  13. Sample Covariance Based Parameter Estimation For Digital Communications

    OpenAIRE

    Villares Piera, Javier

    2005-01-01

    En aquesta tesi s'estudia el problema d'estimació cega de segon ordre en comunicacions digitals. En aquest camp, els símbols transmesos esdevenen paràmetres no desitjats (nuisance parameters) d'estadística no gaussiana que degraden les prestacions de l'estimador. En aquest context, l'estimador de màxima versemblança (ML) és normalment desconegut excepte si la relació senyal-soroll (SNR) és prou baixa. En aquest cas particular, l'estimador ML és una funció quadràtica del vector de dades rebude...

  14. Influence of statistical time range on estimating seismicity parameters

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    2001-01-01

    The influence of non-uniqueness in selecting statistical time ranges on seismicity parameters of b value and annual mean occurrence rate n4 is widely analyzed and studied. The studied result states that the influence of statistical time range on the b value is generally smaller than on the annual mean rate. Owing to the exponentially functional relation between the annual mean rate and b value, the variation of b value by varying statistical time range brings about decrease or increase in the annual mean rates of each magnitude interval with power progression law. These results will exert a synthetic effect on seismic safety evaluation results in various regions in our country.

  15. Distribution Line Parameter Estimation Under Consideration of Measurement Tolerances

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Prostejovsky, Alexander; Gehrke, Oliver; Kosek, Anna Magdalena;

    2016-01-01

    tolerances, noise, and asynchronous timestamps. A measurement tolerance compensation model and an alternative representation of the power flow equations without voltage phase angles are introduced. The line parameters are obtained using numeric methods. The simulation demonstrates in case of the series...... conductance that the absolute compensated error is −1.05% and −1.07% for both representations, as opposed to the expected uncompensated error of −79.68%. Identification of a laboratory distribution line using real measurement data grid yields a deviation of 6.75% and 4.00%, respectively, from a calculation...

  16. Estimation of source parameters of Chamoli Earthquake, India

    Indian Academy of Sciences (India)

    Y Pandey; R Dharmaraju; P K S Chauhan

    2001-06-01

    The devastating earthquake (mb = 6.6) at Chamoli, Garhwal Himalaya, which occurred in the morning hours on 29th March 1999, was recorded on Delhi Strong Motion Accelerograph (DSMA) Network operated by the Central Building Research Institute, Roorkee. In this paper the source parameters of this event calculated from the Strong Motion Data are presented. The seismic moment for this event has been found to be of the order of 1025 dyne.cm and the moment mag- nitude has been calculated in the range of 6.53-6.69 at different stations. The stress drop and source radius for the earthquake are also calculated.

  17. Estimation of the Processing Parameters in Electron Beam Thermal Treatments

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    DULAU Mircea

    2014-05-01

    Full Text Available Electron beam have many special properties which make them particularly well suited for use in materials handling through melting, welding, surface treatment, etc., taking into account that this manufacturing is performed in vacuum. The use of electron beam for surface limited heat treatment of workpiece has brought about a noticeable extension of the beam technologies. Some theoretical aspects and simulation results are presented in this paper, considering a high power electron beam processing system and Matlab facilities. This paper can be used in power engineering and electro-technologies fields as a guideline, in order to simulate and analyse the process parameters.

  18. Estimation of forest parameters using airborne laser scanning data

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    J. Cohen

    2015-12-01

    Full Text Available Methods for the estimation of forest characteristics by airborne laser scanning (ALS data have been introduced by several authors. Tree height (TH and canopy closure (CC describing the forest properties can be used in forest, construction and industry applications, as well as research and decision making. The National Land Survey has been collecting ALS data from Finland since 2008 to generate a nationwide high resolution digital elevation model. Although this data has been collected in leaf-off conditions, it still has the potential to be utilized in forest mapping. A method where this data is used for the estimation of CC and TH in the boreal forest region is presented in this paper. Evaluation was conducted in eight test areas across Finland by comparing the results with corresponding Multi-Source National Forest Inventory (MS-NFI datasets. The ALS based CC and TH maps were generally in a good agreement with the MS-NFI data. As expected, deciduous forests caused some underestimation in CC and TH, but the effect was not major in any of the test areas. The processing chain has been fully automated enabling fast generation of forest maps for different areas.

  19. Estimation of forest parameters using airborne laser scanning data

    Science.gov (United States)

    Cohen, J.

    2015-12-01

    Methods for the estimation of forest characteristics by airborne laser scanning (ALS) data have been introduced by several authors. Tree height (TH) and canopy closure (CC) describing the forest properties can be used in forest, construction and industry applications, as well as research and decision making. The National Land Survey has been collecting ALS data from Finland since 2008 to generate a nationwide high resolution digital elevation model. Although this data has been collected in leaf-off conditions, it still has the potential to be utilized in forest mapping. A method where this data is used for the estimation of CC and TH in the boreal forest region is presented in this paper. Evaluation was conducted in eight test areas across Finland by comparing the results with corresponding Multi-Source National Forest Inventory (MS-NFI) datasets. The ALS based CC and TH maps were generally in a good agreement with the MS-NFI data. As expected, deciduous forests caused some underestimation in CC and TH, but the effect was not major in any of the test areas. The processing chain has been fully automated enabling fast generation of forest maps for different areas.

  20. A two parameter ratio-product-ratio estimator using auxiliary information

    CERN Document Server

    Chami, Peter S; Thomas, Doneal

    2012-01-01

    We propose a two parameter ratio-product-ratio estimator for a finite population mean in a simple random sample without replacement following the methodology in Ray and Sahai (1980), Sahai and Ray (1980), Sahai and Sahai (1985) and Singh and Ruiz Espejo (2003). The bias and mean square error of our proposed estimator are obtained to the first degree of approximation. We derive conditions for the parameters under which the proposed estimator has smaller mean square error than the sample mean, ratio and product estimators. We carry out an application showing that the proposed estimator outperforms the traditional estimators using groundwater data taken from a geological site in the state of Florida.

  1. Ballistic bunching theory of electron cyclotron resonance masers

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Baik, C. W.; Jeon, S. G.; Park, G. S. [Seoul National University, Seoul (Korea, Republic of)

    2003-12-15

    A bunching parameter which determines the strength of modulation in electron cyclotron resonance masers (ECRM) is derived using a ballistic bunching theory. Unlike klystrons that utilize space bunching, this bunching parameter strongly depends on the beam velocity ratio due to phase bunching in ECRM. The dependencies of the beam velocity ratio ({approx} {alpha}{sup 2}), the interaction length ({approx} d), and the input drive power ({approx} P{sub in}{sup 1/2}) on the bunching parameter are derived. The orbital phase bunching results calculated using the ballistic bunching theory and a large-signal code are compared and show reasonable agreement.

  2. Modeling internal ballistics of gas combustion guns.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Schorge, Volker; Grossjohann, Rico; Schönekess, Holger C; Herbst, Jörg; Bockholdt, Britta; Ekkernkamp, Axel; Frank, Matthias

    2016-05-01

    Potato guns are popular homemade guns which work on the principle of gas combustion. They are usually constructed for recreational rather than criminal purposes. Yet some serious injuries and fatalities due to these guns are reported. As information on the internal ballistics of homemade gas combustion-powered guns is scarce, it is the aim of this work to provide an experimental model of the internal ballistics of these devices and to investigate their basic physical parameters. A gas combustion gun was constructed with a steel tube as the main component. Gas/air mixtures of acetylene, hydrogen, and ethylene were used as propellants for discharging a 46-mm caliber test projectile. Gas pressure in the combustion chamber was captured with a piezoelectric pressure sensor. Projectile velocity was measured with a ballistic speed measurement system. The maximum gas pressure, the maximum rate of pressure rise, the time parameters of the pressure curve, and the velocity and path of the projectile through the barrel as a function of time were determined according to the pressure-time curve. The maximum gas pressure was measured to be between 1.4 bar (ethylene) and 4.5 bar (acetylene). The highest maximum rate of pressure rise was determined for hydrogen at (dp/dt)max = 607 bar/s. The muzzle energy was calculated to be between 67 J (ethylene) and 204 J (acetylene). To conclude, this work provides basic information on the internal ballistics of homemade gas combustion guns. The risk of injury to the operator or bystanders is high, because accidental explosions of the gun due to the high-pressure rise during combustion of the gas/air mixture may occur. PMID:26239103

  3. Being surveyed can change later behavior and related parameter estimates.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Zwane, Alix Peterson; Zinman, Jonathan; Van Dusen, Eric; Pariente, William; Null, Clair; Miguel, Edward; Kremer, Michael; Karlan, Dean S; Hornbeck, Richard; Giné, Xavier; Duflo, Esther; Devoto, Florencia; Crepon, Bruno; Banerjee, Abhijit

    2011-02-01

    Does completing a household survey change the later behavior of those surveyed? In three field studies of health and two of microlending, we randomly assigned subjects to be surveyed about health and/or household finances and then measured subsequent use of a related product with data that does not rely on subjects' self-reports. In the three health experiments, we find that being surveyed increases use of water treatment products and take-up of medical insurance. Frequent surveys on reported diarrhea also led to biased estimates of the impact of improved source water quality. In two microlending studies, we do not find an effect of being surveyed on borrowing behavior. The results suggest that limited attention could play an important but context-dependent role in consumer choice, with the implication that researchers should reconsider whether, how, and how much to survey their subjects. PMID:21245314

  4. Estimation of parameters of K-meson structure functions

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In the framework of the multiparton recombination model with Kuti-Weisskopf parametrization the available experimental data on inclusive spectra of vector and tensor mesons in the reactions K±p→MX (M=ρ, φ, K(890), K(1430) in kaon fragmentation range at high energies (32-110 GeV/c) have been analyzed. The analysis was aimed at obtaining the parameters of the K-meson structure functions. The kaon strange sea suppression factor is found to the λS=0.18±0.01. The fractions of the kaon longitudinal momentum carried away by the strange and nonstrage valence quarks and by sea partons are, respectively, NV>=0.17, SV>=0.30, and S>=0.53

  5. Comparison of parameter estimation algorithms in hydrological modelling

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Blasone, Roberta-Serena; Madsen, Henrik; Rosbjerg, Dan

    Local search methods have been applied successfully in calibration of simple groundwater models, but might fail in locating the optimum for models of increased complexity, due to the more complex shape of the response surface. Global search algorithms have been demonstrated to perform well for...... these types of models, although at a more expensive computational cost. The main purpose of this study is to investigate the performance of a global and a local parameter optimization algorithm, respectively, the Shuffled Complex Evolution (SCE) algorithm and the gradient-based Gauss......-Marquardt-Levenberg algorithm (implemented in the PEST software), when applied to a steady-state and a transient groundwater model. The results show that PEST can have severe problems in locating the global optimum and in being trapped in local regions of attractions. The global SCE procedure is, in general, more effective and...

  6. A class of shrinkage estimators for the shape parameter of the Weibull lifetime model

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Zuhair Alhemyari

    2012-03-01

    Full Text Available In this paper, we propose two classes of shrinkage estimators for the shape parameter of the Weibull distribution in censored samples. The proposed estimators are studied theoretically and have been compared numerically with existing estimators. Computer intensive calculations for bias and relative efficiency show that for, different values of levels of significance and for varying constants involved in the proposed estimators, the proposed testimators fare better than classical and existing estimators

  7. Estimation of the parameters of electromagnetic field at induction device by the aid of computer simulation

    OpenAIRE

    Stefanov, Goce; Sarac, Vasilija

    2010-01-01

    In the paper is presented a method for estimation of parameters of electromagnetic field at induction device with computer simulations. Also in the paper is made a comparison of the results to the estimation the parameters of the electromagnetic field produced by simulations, with theoretical results. Simulation is made in ELTA program, product of the Fluxcontrol.

  8. The Effect of COMC on the Stability of LSAT Item Parameter Estimates. LSAC Research Report Series.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Reese, Lynda; McKinley, Robert

    In item calibration using LOGIST (M. Wingersky, R. Patrick, and F. Lord, 1987), when the program determines that it cannot accurately estimate the c-parameter for a particular item due to insufficient information at the lower levels of ability, an estimate of the c-parameters, called COMC, is obtained by combining all such items. The purpose of…

  9. Selection of the Linear Regression Model According to the Parameter Estimation

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    2000-01-01

    In this paper, based on the theory of parameter estimation, we give a selection method and ,in a sense of a good character of the parameter estimation,we think that it is very reasonable. Moreover,we offera calculation method of selection statistic and an applied example.

  10. On the design of experimental separation processes for maximum accuracy in the estimation of their parameters

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The optimal design of experimental separation processes for maximum accuracy in the estimation of process parameters is discussed. The sensitivity factor correlates the inaccuracy of the analytical methods with the inaccuracy of the estimation of the enrichment ratio. It is minimized according to the design parameters of the experiment and the characteristics of the analytical method

  11. Deep-water gravity waves: theoretical estimating of wave parameters

    CERN Document Server

    Mindlin, Ilia M

    2014-01-01

    This paper addresses deep-water gravity waves of finite amplitude generated by an initial disturbance to the water. It is assumed that the horizontal dimensions of the initially disturbed body of the water are much larger than the magnitude of the free surface displacement in the origin of the waves. Initially the free surface has not yet been displaced from its equilibrium position, but the velocity field has already become different from zero. This means that the water at rest initially is set in motion suddenly by an impulse. Duration of formation of the wave origin and the maximum water elevation in the origin are estimated using the arrival times of the waves and the maximum wave-heights at certain locations obtained from gauge records at the locations, and the distances between the centre of the origin and each of the locations. For points situated at a long distance from the wave origin, forecast is made for the travel time and wave height at the points. The forecast is based on the data recorded by th...

  12. Estimation of cauliflower mass transfer parameters during convective drying

    Science.gov (United States)

    Sahin, Medine; Doymaz, İbrahim

    2016-05-01

    The study was conducted to evaluate the effect of pre-treatments such as citric acid and hot water blanching and air temperature on drying and rehydration characteristics of cauliflower slices. Experiments were carried out at four different drying air temperatures of 50, 60, 70 and 80 °C with the air velocity of 2.0 m/s. It was observed that drying and rehydration characteristics of cauliflower slices were greatly influenced by air temperature and pre-treatment. Six commonly used mathematical models were evaluated to predict the drying kinetics of cauliflower slices. The Midilli et al. model described the drying behaviour of cauliflower slices at all temperatures better than other models. The values of effective moisture diffusivities (D eff ) were determined using Fick's law of diffusion and were between 4.09 × 10-9 and 1.88 × 10-8 m2/s. Activation energy was estimated by an Arrhenius type equation and was 23.40, 29.09 and 26.39 kJ/mol for citric acid, blanch and control samples, respectively.

  13. Estimation of relativistic accretion disk parameters from iron line emission

    CERN Document Server

    Pariev, V I; Miller, W A; Pariev, Vladimir I.; Bromley, Benjamin C.; Miller, Warner A.

    2000-01-01

    The observed iron K-alpha fluorescence lines in Seyfert-1 galaxies provide strong evidence for an accretion disk near a supermassive black hole as a source of the emission. Here we present an analysis of the geometrical and kinematic properties of the disk based on the extreme frequency shifts of a line profile as determined by measurable flux in both the red and blue wings. The edges of the line are insensitive to the distribution of the X-ray flux over the disk, and hence provide a robust alternative to profile fitting of disk parameters. Our approach yields new, strong bounds on the inclination angle of the disk and the location of the emitting region. We apply our method to interpret observational data from MCG-6-30-15 and find that the commonly assumed inclination 30 deg for the accretion disk in MCG-6-30-15 is inconsistent with the position of the blue edge of the line at a 3 sigma level. A thick turbulent disk model or the presence of highly ionized iron may reconcile the bounds on inclination from the...

  14. Computational approaches to parameter estimation and model selection in immunology

    Science.gov (United States)

    Baker, C. T. H.; Bocharov, G. A.; Ford, J. M.; Lumb, P. M.; Norton, S. J.; Paul, C. A. H.; Junt, T.; Krebs, P.; Ludewig, B.

    2005-12-01

    One of the significant challenges in biomathematics (and other areas of science) is to formulate meaningful mathematical models. Our problem is to decide on a parametrized model which is, in some sense, most likely to represent the information in a set of observed data. In this paper, we illustrate the computational implementation of an information-theoretic approach (associated with a maximum likelihood treatment) to modelling in immunology.The approach is illustrated by modelling LCMV infection using a family of models based on systems of ordinary differential and delay differential equations. The models (which use parameters that have a scientific interpretation) are chosen to fit data arising from experimental studies of virus-cytotoxic T lymphocyte kinetics; the parametrized models that result are arranged in a hierarchy by the computation of Akaike indices. The practical illustration is used to convey more general insight. Because the mathematical equations that comprise the models are solved numerically, the accuracy in the computation has a bearing on the outcome, and we address this and other practical details in our discussion.

  15. A clustering approach for estimating parameters of a profile hidden Markov model.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Aghdam, Rosa; Pezeshk, Hamid; Malekpour, Seyed Amir; Shemehsavar, Soudabeh; Eslahchi, Changiz

    2013-01-01

    A Profile Hidden Markov Model (PHMM) is a standard form of a Hidden Markov Models used for modeling protein and DNA sequence families based on multiple alignment. In this paper, we implement Baum-Welch algorithm and the Bayesian Monte Carlo Markov Chain (BMCMC) method for estimating parameters of small artificial PHMM. In order to improve the prediction accuracy of the estimation of the parameters of the PHMM, we classify the training data using the weighted values of sequences in the PHMM then apply an algorithm for estimating parameters of the PHMM. The results show that the BMCMC method performs better than the Maximum Likelihood estimation. PMID:23865165

  16. Joint state and parameter estimation for a class of cascade systems: Application to a hemodynamic model

    KAUST Repository

    Zayane, Chadia

    2014-06-01

    In this paper, we address a special case of state and parameter estimation, where the system can be put on a cascade form allowing to estimate the state components and the set of unknown parameters separately. Inspired by the nonlinear Balloon hemodynamic model for functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging problem, we propose a hierarchical approach. The system is divided into two subsystems in cascade. The state and input are first estimated from a noisy measured signal using an adaptive observer. The obtained input is then used to estimate the parameters of a linear system using the modulating functions method. Some numerical results are presented to illustrate the efficiency of the proposed method.

  17. Estimation of power feedback parameters of pulse reactor IBR-2M on transients

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Parameters of the IBR-2M reactor power feedback (PFB) on a model of the reactor dynamics by mathematical treatment of two registered transients are estimated. Frequency characteristics and the pulse transient characteristics corresponding to these PFB parameters are calculated. PFB parameters received thus can be considered as their express tentative estimation as real measurements in this case occupy no more than 30 minutes. Total PFB is negative at 1 and 2 MW. At the received estimations of PFB parameters in a self-regulation mode it is possible to consider the stability margins of the IBR-2M reactor satisfactory

  18. Simultaneous Estimation of Photometric Redshifts and SED Parameters: Improved Techniques and a Realistic Error Budget

    CERN Document Server

    Acquaviva, Viviana; Gawiser, Eric

    2015-01-01

    We seek to improve the accuracy of joint galaxy photometric redshift estimation and spectral energy distribution (SED) fitting. By simulating different sources of uncorrected systematic errors, we demonstrate that if the uncertainties on the photometric redshifts are estimated correctly, so are those on the other SED fitting parameters, such as stellar mass, stellar age, and dust reddening. Furthermore, we find that if the redshift uncertainties are over(under)-estimated, the uncertainties in SED parameters tend to be over(under)-estimated by similar amounts. These results hold even in the presence of severe systematics and provide, for the first time, a mechanism to validate the uncertainties on these parameters via comparison with spectroscopic redshifts. We propose a new technique (annealing) to re-calibrate the joint uncertainties in the photo-z and SED fitting parameters without compromising the performance of the SED fitting + photo-z estimation. This procedure provides a consistent estimation of the mu...

  19. Methods for Estimating the 2-Parameter Weibull Distribution with Type-I Censored Data

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Chris Bambey Guure

    2013-01-01

    Full Text Available This study is concerned with the two-parameter Weibull distribution which has and is still being used as a model in life testing and reliability engineering. We seek to find out whether Rank Regression Method can be a good alternative to that of the world publicised traditional method known as Maximum Likelihood for estimating two parameters of the Weibull distribution. The methods under consideration are: Maximum Likelihood Estimation, Least Square Estimation on Y and that of Least Square Estimation on X. These estimators are derived for Random Type-I censored samples. These methods were compared using Mean Square Error and Mean Percentage Error through simulation study with small, medium and large sample sizes in estimating the Weibull parameters under Type-I censored data. The observations that are made based on this study are that Maximum Likelihood Estimator stands out when estimating the scale parameter followed by Least Square Estimator on X but for the shape parameter Least Square Estimator on X performed better than Maximum Likelihood Estimator thereby making it a good alternative method to MLE.

  20. Estimating Vegetation Parameters from Interferometric and Polarimetric Radar Using Physical Scattering Models

    Science.gov (United States)

    Treuhaft, Robert N.

    1999-01-01

    Radar data from vegetated land surfaces depend on many structural and compositional parameters describing the terrain. Because early, noninterferometric radar systems usually constituted an insufficient observation set from which to estimate parameters of the terrain, statistical regression techniques were used which incorporated some level of apriori knowledge or field measurements. With the advent of radar interferometry and polarimetric interferometry, potentially at multiple baselines, the observation set is now approaching that required to quantitatively estimate the parameters describing a vegetated land surface. Quantitative estimation entails formulating a physical scattering model relating the radar observations to the vegetation and surface parameters on which they depend. This paper describes the physics of candidate scattering models, and shows how the models determine the estimable parameter set. It also indicates the measurement accuracy of parameters such as vegetation height, height-to-base-of-live-crown, and surface topography with multibaseline polarimetric interferometry.

  1. Bayesian estimation of regularization parameters for deformable surface models

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Cunningham, G.S.; Lehovich, A.; Hanson, K.M.

    1999-02-20

    In this article the authors build on their past attempts to reconstruct a 3D, time-varying bolus of radiotracer from first-pass data obtained by the dynamic SPECT imager, FASTSPECT, built by the University of Arizona. The object imaged is a CardioWest total artificial heart. The bolus is entirely contained in one ventricle and its associated inlet and outlet tubes. The model for the radiotracer distribution at a given time is a closed surface parameterized by 482 vertices that are connected to make 960 triangles, with nonuniform intensity variations of radiotracer allowed inside the surface on a voxel-to-voxel basis. The total curvature of the surface is minimized through the use of a weighted prior in the Bayesian framework, as is the weighted norm of the gradient of the voxellated grid. MAP estimates for the vertices, interior intensity voxels and background count level are produced. The strength of the priors, or hyperparameters, are determined by maximizing the probability of the data given the hyperparameters, called the evidence. The evidence is calculated by first assuming that the posterior is approximately normal in the values of the vertices and voxels, and then by evaluating the integral of the multi-dimensional normal distribution. This integral (which requires evaluating the determinant of a covariance matrix) is computed by applying a recent algorithm from Bai et. al. that calculates the needed determinant efficiently. They demonstrate that the radiotracer is highly inhomogeneous in early time frames, as suspected in earlier reconstruction attempts that assumed a uniform intensity of radiotracer within the closed surface, and that the optimal choice of hyperparameters is substantially different for different time frames.

  2. Bayesian estimation of regularization parameters for deformable surface models

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this article the authors build on their past attempts to reconstruct a 3D, time-varying bolus of radiotracer from first-pass data obtained by the dynamic SPECT imager, FASTSPECT, built by the University of Arizona. The object imaged is a CardioWest total artificial heart. The bolus is entirely contained in one ventricle and its associated inlet and outlet tubes. The model for the radiotracer distribution at a given time is a closed surface parameterized by 482 vertices that are connected to make 960 triangles, with nonuniform intensity variations of radiotracer allowed inside the surface on a voxel-to-voxel basis. The total curvature of the surface is minimized through the use of a weighted prior in the Bayesian framework, as is the weighted norm of the gradient of the voxellated grid. MAP estimates for the vertices, interior intensity voxels and background count level are produced. The strength of the priors, or hyperparameters, are determined by maximizing the probability of the data given the hyperparameters, called the evidence. The evidence is calculated by first assuming that the posterior is approximately normal in the values of the vertices and voxels, and then by evaluating the integral of the multi-dimensional normal distribution. This integral (which requires evaluating the determinant of a covariance matrix) is computed by applying a recent algorithm from Bai et. al. that calculates the needed determinant efficiently. They demonstrate that the radiotracer is highly inhomogeneous in early time frames, as suspected in earlier reconstruction attempts that assumed a uniform intensity of radiotracer within the closed surface, and that the optimal choice of hyperparameters is substantially different for different time frames

  3. ESTIMATION OF RELATIVISTIC ACCRETION DISK PARAMETERS FROM IRON LINE EMISSION

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    V. PARIEV; B. BROMLEY; W. MILLER

    2001-03-01

    The observed iron K{alpha} fluorescence lines in Seyfert I galaxies provide strong evidence for an accretion disk near a supermassive black hole as a source of the emission. Here we present an analysis of the geometrical and kinematic properties of the disk based on the extreme frequency shifts of a line profile as determined by measurable flux in both the red and blue wings. The edges of the line are insensitive to the distribution of the X-ray flux over the disk, and hence provide a robust alternative to profile fitting of disk parameters. Our approach yields new, strong bounds on the inclination angle of the disk and the location of the emitting region. We apply our method to interpret observational data from MCG-6-30-15 and find that the commonly assumed inclination 30{degree} for the accretion disk in MCG-6-30-15 is inconsistent with the position of the blue edge of the line at a 3{sigma} level. A thick turbulent disk model or the presence of highly ionized iron may reconcile the bounds on inclination from the line edges with the full line profile fits based on simple, geometrically thin disk models. The bounds on the innermost radius of disk emission indicate that the black hole in MCG-6-30-15 is rotating faster than 30% of theoretical maximum. When applied to data from NGC 4151, our method gives bounds on the inclination angle of the X-ray emitting inner disk of 50 {+-} 10{degree}, consistent with the presence of an ionization cone grazing the disk as proposed by Pedlar et al. (1993). The frequency extrema analysis also provides limits to the innermost disk radius in another Seyfert 1 galaxy, NGC 3516, and is suggestive of a thick disk model.

  4. [Terminal ballistics. 3].

    Science.gov (United States)

    Marini, F; Mangiante, G; Dagradi, V; Radin, S; Carolo, F; Giarolli, M; Della Giacoma, G; Tosi, D; Merico, G; Tenci, A

    1993-01-01

    This brief chapter, focusing essentially on a single topic, has been written in homage to Emile Theodor Kocker, a masterful exponent of the art of surgery and founder of the culture of terminal ballistics. For most of the literature we are indebted to Fackler and Dougherty, who, with the particular grasp, and fair of historians, act as guides on a trial which is only apparently retrograde, but which actually bears eloquent witness to the fact that even in the most physically tangible of arts, namely the art of surgery, inspired curiosity may help us to go well beyond the limits of our day and age. This chapter is also dedicated to the memory of another great surgeon, Vittorio Pettinari, who for one of the authors was an incomparable mentor and past-master of such curiosity. PMID:7923495

  5. Secondary data value for geostatistical estimation of flow and transport parameters in low-permeability media

    OpenAIRE

    Huysmans; Dassargues, Alain

    2006-01-01

    This study investigates the relative data value of different types of secondaryinformation to estimate the flow and transport parameters in low-permeability media. Data from four boreholes in two different clay formations are analyzed. Cross-validation is used to estimate the relevance of the different types of secondary data. The flow and transport parameters (hydraulic conductivity, diffusion coefficient and diffusion accessible porosity) are first estimated by kriging using primary informa...

  6. ALGORITHM FOR THE DETECTION AND PARAMETER ESTIMATION OF MULTICOMPONENT LFM SIGNALS

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    Yuan Weiming; Wang Min; Wu Shunjun

    2005-01-01

    A novel algorithm based on Radon-Ambiguity Transform (RAT) and Adaptive Signal Decomposition (ASD) is presented for the detection and parameter estimation of multicomponent Linear Frequency Modulated (LFM) signals. The key problem lies in the chirplet estimation.Genetic algorithm is employed to search for the optimization parameter of chirplet. High estimation accuracy can be obtained even at low Signal-to-Noise Ratio(SNR). Finally simulation results are provided to demonstrate the performance of the proposed algorithm.

  7. ESTIMATION OF WEIBULL PARAMETERS USING A RANDOMIZED NEIGHBORHOOD SEARCH FOR THE SEVERITY OF FIRE ACCIDENTS

    OpenAIRE

    Soontorn Boonta; Anchalee Sattayatham; Pairote Sattayatham

    2013-01-01

    In this study, we applied Randomized Neighborhood Search (RNS) to estimate the Weibull parameters to determine the severity of fire accidents; the data were provided by the Thai Reinsurance Public Co., Ltd. We compared this technique with other frequently-used techniques: the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE), the Method of Moments (MOM), the Least Squares Method (LSM) and the weighted least squares method (WLSM) and found that RNS estimates the parameters more accurately than do MLE, MOM, L...

  8. Applications using estimates of forest parameters derived from satellite and forest inventory data

    OpenAIRE

    Reese, Heather; Nilsson, Mats; Sandström, Per; Olsson, Håkan

    2002-01-01

    From the combination of optical satellite data, digital map data, and forest inventory plot data, continuous estimates have been made for several forest parameters (wood volume, age and biomass). Five different project areas within Sweden are presented which have utilized these estimates for a range of applications. The method for estimating the forest parameters was a ”k-Nearest Neighbor” algorithm, which used a weighted mean value of k spectrally similar reference plots. Reference data were...

  9. ESTIMATION OF WEIBULL PARAMETERS USING A RANDOMIZED NEIGHBORHOOD SEARCH FOR THE SEVERITY OF FIRE ACCIDENTS

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Soontorn Boonta

    2013-01-01

    Full Text Available In this study, we applied Randomized Neighborhood Search (RNS to estimate the Weibull parameters to determine the severity of fire accidents; the data were provided by the Thai Reinsurance Public Co., Ltd. We compared this technique with other frequently-used techniques: the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE, the Method of Moments (MOM, the Least Squares Method (LSM and the weighted least squares method (WLSM and found that RNS estimates the parameters more accurately than do MLE, MOM, LSM or WLSM."

  10. Parameter estimation with bio-inspired meta-heuristic optimization : modeling the dynamics of endocytosis.

    OpenAIRE

    Tashkova Katerina; Korošec Peter; Šilc Jurij; Todorovski Ljupčo; Džeroski Sašo

    2011-01-01

    Abstract Background We address the task of parameter estimation in models of the dynamics of biological systems based on ordinary differential equations (ODEs) from measured data, where the models are typically non-linear and have many parameters, the measurements are imperfect due to noise, and the studied system can often be only partially observed. A representative task is to estimate the parameters in a model of the dynamics of endocytosis, i.e., endosome maturation, reflected in a cut-ou...

  11. Estimating the Integrated Parameter of the Locally Parametric Model in High-Frequency Data

    OpenAIRE

    Potiron, Yoann

    2016-01-01

    In this paper, we give a general time-varying parameter model, where the multidimensional parameter follows a continuous local martingale. As such, we call it the locally parametric model. The quantity of interest is defined as the integrated value over time of the parameter process $\\Theta := T^{-1} \\int_0^T \\theta_t^* dt$. We provide a local parametric estimator of $\\Theta$ based on the original (non time-varying) parametric model estimator and conditions under which we can show consistency...

  12. Estimating the Parameters of Stochastic Volatility Models using Option Price Data

    OpenAIRE

    Stan Hurn; Ken Lindsay; Andrew McClelland

    2012-01-01

    This paper describes a maximum likelihood method for estimating the parameters of Heston's model of stochastic volatility using data on an underlying market index and the prices of options written on that index. Parameters of the physical measure (associated with the index) and the parameters of the risk-neutral measure (associated with the options) are identified including the equity and volatility risk premia. The estimation is implemented using a particle filter. The computational load of ...

  13. Sample estimation of distribution parameters if upper and lower bounds of random variable are known

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The point and interval distribution parameter estimators are obtained by direct numerical approximation of the definition integral with the use of upper and lower bounds of distributed random variable. Like in Bayesian estimation, the distribution parameters are treated as random variables, and their uncertainty is described as a distribution. The Monte Carlo procedure is involved to get the posteriori parameter distributions and the correspondent confidence interval limits.

  14. Use of timesat to estimate phenological parameters in Northwestern Patagonia

    Science.gov (United States)

    Oddi, Facundo; Minotti, Priscilla; Ghermandi, Luciana; Lasaponara, Rosa

    2015-04-01

    Under a global change context, ecosystems are receiving high pressure and the ecology science play a key role for monitoring and assessment of natural resources. To achieve an effective resources management to develop an ecosystem functioning knowledge based on spatio-temporal perspective is useful. Satellite imagery periodically capture the spectral response of the earth and remote sensing have been widely utilized as classification and change detection tool making possible evaluate the intra and inter-annual plant dynamics. Vegetation spectral indices (e.g., NDVI) are particularly suitable to study spatio-temporal processes related to plant phenology and remote sensing specific software, such as TIMESAT, has been developed to carry out time series analysis of spectral indexes. We used TIMESAT software applied to series of 25 years of NDVI bi-monthly composites (240 images covering the period 1982-2006) from the NOAA-AVHRR sensor (8 x 8 km) to assessment plant pheonology over 900000 ha of shrubby-grasslands in the Northwestern of Patagonia, Argentina. The study area corresponds to a Mediterranean environment and is part of a gradient defined by a sharp drop west-east in the precipitation regime (600 mm to 280 mm). We fitted the temporal series of NDVI data to double logistic functions by least-squares methods evaluating three seasonality parameters: a) start of growing season, b) growing season length, c) NDVI seasonal integral. According to fitted models by TIMESAT, start average of growing season was the second half of September (± 10 days) with beginnings latest in the east (dryer areas). The average growing season length was 180 days (± 15 days) without a clear spatial trend. The NDVI seasonal integral showed a clear trend of decrease in west-east direction following the precipitation gradient. The temporal and spatial information allows revealing important patterns of ecological interest, which can be of great importance to environmental monitoring. In this

  15. Rapid gravitational wave parameter estimation with a single spin: Systematic uncertainties in parameter estimation with the SpinTaylorF2 approximation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Miller, B.; O'Shaughnessy, R.; Littenberg, T. B.; Farr, B.

    2015-08-01

    Reliable low-latency gravitational wave parameter estimation is essential to target limited electromagnetic follow-up facilities toward astrophysically interesting and electromagnetically relevant sources of gravitational waves. In this study, we examine the trade-off between speed and accuracy. Specifically, we estimate the astrophysical relevance of systematic errors in the posterior parameter distributions derived using a fast-but-approximate waveform model, SpinTaylorF2 (stf2), in parameter estimation with lalinference_mcmc. Though efficient, the stf2 approximation to compact binary inspiral employs approximate kinematics (e.g., a single spin) and an approximate waveform (e.g., frequency domain versus time domain). More broadly, using a large astrophysically motivated population of generic compact binary merger signals, we report on the effectualness and limitations of this single-spin approximation as a method to infer parameters of generic compact binary sources. For most low-mass compact binary sources, we find that the stf2 approximation estimates compact binary parameters with biases comparable to systematic uncertainties in the waveform. We illustrate by example the effect these systematic errors have on posterior probabilities most relevant to low-latency electromagnetic follow-up: whether the secondary has a mass consistent with a neutron star (NS); whether the masses, spins, and orbit are consistent with that neutron star's tidal disruption; and whether the binary's angular momentum axis is oriented along the line of sight.

  16. Parameter estimation for time-delay chaotic system by particle swarm optimization

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The knowledge about time delays and parameters is very important for control and synchronization of time-delay chaotic system. In this paper, parameter estimation for time-delay chaotic system is given by treating the time delay as an additional parameter. The parameter estimation is converted to an optimization problem, which finds a best parameter combination such that an objective function is minimized. Particle swarm optimization (PSO) is used to optimize the objective function through particles' cooperation and evolution. Two illustrative examples are given to show the validity of the proposed method.

  17. Estimation of the scale parameter of gamma model in presence of outlier observations

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    M. E. Ghitany

    1990-01-01

    Full Text Available This paper considers the Bayesian point estimation of the scale parameter for a two-parameter gamma life-testing model in presence of several outlier observations in the data. The Bayesian analysis is carried out under the assumption of squared error loss function and fixed or random shape parameter.

  18. Joint Multi-Fiber NODDI Parameter Estimation and Tractography Using the Unscented Information Filter.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Reddy, Chinthala P; Rathi, Yogesh

    2016-01-01

    Tracing white matter fiber bundles is an integral part of analyzing brain connectivity. An accurate estimate of the underlying tissue parameters is also paramount in several neuroscience applications. In this work, we propose to use a joint fiber model estimation and tractography algorithm that uses the NODDI (neurite orientation dispersion diffusion imaging) model to estimate fiber orientation dispersion consistently and smoothly along the fiber tracts along with estimating the intracellular and extracellular volume fractions from the diffusion signal. While the NODDI model has been used in earlier works to estimate the microstructural parameters at each voxel independently, for the first time, we propose to integrate it into a tractography framework. We extend this framework to estimate the NODDI parameters for two crossing fibers, which is imperative to trace fiber bundles through crossings as well as to estimate the microstructural parameters for each fiber bundle separately. We propose to use the unscented information filter (UIF) to accurately estimate the model parameters and perform tractography. The proposed approach has significant computational performance improvements as well as numerical robustness over the unscented Kalman filter (UKF). Our method not only estimates the confidence in the estimated parameters via the covariance matrix, but also provides the Fisher-information matrix of the state variables (model parameters), which can be quite useful to measure model complexity. Results from in-vivo human brain data sets demonstrate the ability of our algorithm to trace through crossing fiber regions, while estimating orientation dispersion and other biophysical model parameters in a consistent manner along the tracts. PMID:27147956

  19. Joint Multi-Fiber NODDI Parameter Estimation and Tractography using the Unscented Information Filter

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Yogesh eRathi

    2016-04-01

    Full Text Available Tracing white matter fiber bundles is an integral part of analyzing brain connectivity. An accurate estimate of the underlying tissue parameters is also paramount in several neuroscience applications. In this work, we propose to use a joint fiber model estimation and tractography algorithm that uses the NODDI (neurite orientation dispersion diffusion imaging model to estimate fiber orientation dispersion consistently and smoothly along the fiber tracts along with estimating the intracellular and extracellular volume fractions from the diffusion signal. While the NODDI model has been used in earlier works to estimate the microstructural parameters at each voxel independently, for the first time, we propose to integrate it into a tractography framework. We extend this framework to estimate the NODDI parameters for two crossing fibers, which is imperative to trace fiber bundles through crossings as well as to estimate the microstructural parameters for each fiber bundle separately. We propose to use the unscented information filter (UIF to accurately estimate the model parameters and perform tractography. The proposed approach has significant computational performance improvements as well as numerical robustness over the unscented Kalman filter (UKF. Our method not only estimates the confidence in the estimated parameters via the covariance matrix, but also provides the Fisher-information matrix of the state variables (model parameters, which can be quite useful to measure model complexity. Results from in-vivo human brain data sets demonstrate the ability of our algorithm to trace through crossing fiber regions, while estimating orientation dispersion and other biophysical model parameters in a consistent manner along the tracts.

  20. Statistical Distances and Their Applications to Biophysical Parameter Estimation: Information Measures, M-Estimates, and Minimum Contrast Methods

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Peter R. J. North

    2013-03-01

    Full Text Available Radiative transfer models predicting the bidirectional reflectance factor (BRF of leaf canopies are powerful tools that relate biophysical parameters such as leaf area index (LAI, fractional vegetation cover fV and the fraction of photosynthetically active radiation absorbed by the green parts of the vegetation canopy (fAPAR to remotely sensed reflectance data. One of the most successful approaches to biophysical parameter estimation is the inversion of detailed radiative transfer models through the construction of Look-Up Tables (LUTs. The solution of the inverse problem requires additional information on canopy structure, soil background and leaf properties, and the relationships between these parameters and the measured reflectance data are often nonlinear. The commonly used approach for optimization of a solution is based on minimization of the least squares estimate between model and observations (referred to as cost function or distance; here we will also use the terms “statistical distance” or “divergence” or “metric”, which are common in the statistical literature. This paper investigates how least-squares minimization and alternative distances affect the solution to the inverse problem. The paper provides a comprehensive list of different cost functions from the statistical literature, which can be divided into three major classes: information measures, M-estimates and minimum contrast methods. We found that, for the conditions investigated, Least Square Estimation (LSE is not an optimal statistical distance for the estimation of biophysical parameters. Our results indicate that other statistical distances, such as the two power measures, Hellinger, Pearson chi-squared measure, Arimoto and Koenker–Basset distances result in better estimates of biophysical parameters than LSE; in some cases the parameter estimation was improved by 15%.

  1. Estimability analysis for optimization of hysteretic soil hydraulic parameters using data of a field irrigation experiment

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ngo, Viet V.; Gerke, Horst H.; Badorreck, Annika

    2014-05-01

    The estimability analysis has been proposed to improve the quality of parameter optimization. For field data, wetting and drying processes may complicate optimization of soil hydraulic parameters. The objectives of this study were to apply estimability analysis for improving optimization of soil hydraulic parameters and compare models with and without considering hysteresis. Soil water pressure head data of a field irrigation experiment were used. The one-dimensional vertical water movement in variably-saturated soil was described with the Richards equation using the HYDRUS-1D code. Estimability of the unimodal van Genuchten - Mualem hydraulic model parameters as well as of the hysteretic parameter model of Parker and Lenhard was classified according to a sensitivity coefficient matrix. The matrix was obtained by sequentially calculating effects of initial parameter variations on changes in the simulated pressure head values. Optimization was carried out by means of the Levenberg-Marquardt method as implemented in the HYDRUS-1D code. The parameters α, Ks, θs, and n in the nonhysteretic model were found sensitive and parameter θs and n strongly correlated with parameter n in the nonhysteretic model. When assuming hysteresis, the estimability was highest for αw and decreased with soil depth for Ks and αd, and increased for θs and n. The hysteretic model could approximate the pressure heads in the soil by considering parameters from wetting and drying periods separately as initial estimates. The inverse optimization could be carried out more efficiently with most estimable parameters. Despite the weaknesses of the local optimization algorithm and the inflexibility of the unimodal van Genuchten model, the results suggested that estimability analysis could be considered as a guidance to better define the optimization scenarios and then improved the determination of soil hydraulic parameters.

  2. Ballistic studies on layered structures

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper presents the ballistic behavior and penetration mechanism of metal-metal and metal-fabric layered structures against 7.62 armour piercing projectiles at a velocity of 840 ± 15 m/s at 30o angle of impact and compares the ballistic results with that of homogeneous metallic steel armour. This study also describes the effect of keeping a gap between the target layers. Experimental results showed that among the investigated materials, the best ballistic performance was attained with metal-fabric layered structures. The improvements in ballistic performance were analyzed in terms of mode of failure and fracture mechanisms of the samples by using optical and electron microscope, X-ray radiography and hardness measurement equipments.

  3. Effects of control inputs on the estimation of stability and control parameters of a light airplane

    Science.gov (United States)

    Cannaday, R. L.; Suit, W. T.

    1977-01-01

    The maximum likelihood parameter estimation technique was used to determine the values of stability and control derivatives from flight test data for a low-wing, single-engine, light airplane. Several input forms were used during the tests to investigate the consistency of parameter estimates as it relates to inputs. These consistencies were compared by using the ensemble variance and estimated Cramer-Rao lower bound. In addition, the relationship between inputs and parameter correlations was investigated. Results from the stabilator inputs are inconclusive but the sequence of rudder input followed by aileron input or aileron followed by rudder gave more consistent estimates than did rudder or ailerons individually. Also, square-wave inputs appeared to provide slightly improved consistency in the parameter estimates when compared to sine-wave inputs.

  4. Comparing Parameter Estimation Techniques for an Electrical Power Transformer Oil Temperature Prediction Model

    Science.gov (United States)

    Morris, A. Terry

    1999-01-01

    This paper examines various sources of error in MIT's improved top oil temperature rise over ambient temperature model and estimation process. The sources of error are the current parameter estimation technique, quantization noise, and post-processing of the transformer data. Results from this paper will show that an output error parameter estimation technique should be selected to replace the current least squares estimation technique. The output error technique obtained accurate predictions of transformer behavior, revealed the best error covariance, obtained consistent parameter estimates, and provided for valid and sensible parameters. This paper will also show that the output error technique should be used to minimize errors attributed to post-processing (decimation) of the transformer data. Models used in this paper are validated using data from a large transformer in service.

  5. Parameter estimation of Lorenz chaotic system using a hybrid swarm intelligence algorithm

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lazzús, Juan A.; Rivera, Marco; López-Caraballo, Carlos H.

    2016-03-01

    A novel hybrid swarm intelligence algorithm for chaotic system parameter estimation is present. For this purpose, the parameters estimation on Lorenz systems is formulated as a multidimensional problem, and a hybrid approach based on particle swarm optimization with ant colony optimization (PSO-ACO) is implemented to solve this problem. Firstly, the performance of the proposed PSO-ACO algorithm is tested on a set of three representative benchmark functions, and the impact of the parameter settings on PSO-ACO efficiency is studied. Secondly, the parameter estimation is converted into an optimization problem on a three-dimensional Lorenz system. Numerical simulations on Lorenz model and comparisons with results obtained by other algorithms showed that PSO-ACO is a very powerful tool for parameter estimation with high accuracy and low deviations.

  6. Comparison of approaches for parameter estimation on stochastic models: Generic least squares versus specialized approaches.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Zimmer, Christoph; Sahle, Sven

    2016-04-01

    Parameter estimation for models with intrinsic stochasticity poses specific challenges that do not exist for deterministic models. Therefore, specialized numerical methods for parameter estimation in stochastic models have been developed. Here, we study whether dedicated algorithms for stochastic models are indeed superior to the naive approach of applying the readily available least squares algorithm designed for deterministic models. We compare the performance of the recently developed multiple shooting for stochastic systems (MSS) method designed for parameter estimation in stochastic models, a stochastic differential equations based Bayesian approach and a chemical master equation based techniques with the least squares approach for parameter estimation in models of ordinary differential equations (ODE). As test data, 1000 realizations of the stochastic models are simulated. For each realization an estimation is performed with each method, resulting in 1000 estimates for each approach. These are compared with respect to their deviation to the true parameter and, for the genetic toggle switch, also their ability to reproduce the symmetry of the switching behavior. Results are shown for different set of parameter values of a genetic toggle switch leading to symmetric and asymmetric switching behavior as well as an immigration-death and a susceptible-infected-recovered model. This comparison shows that it is important to choose a parameter estimation technique that can treat intrinsic stochasticity and that the specific choice of this algorithm shows only minor performance differences. PMID:26826353

  7. Parameter Estimation for a crop model: separate and joint calibration of soil and plant parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hildebrandt, A.; Jackisch, C.; Luis, S.

    2008-12-01

    Vegetation plays a major role both in the atmospheric and terrestrial water cycle. A great deal of vegetation cover in the developed world consists of agricultural used land (i.e. 44 % of the territory of the EU). Therefore, crop models have become increasingly prominent for studying the impact of Global Change both on economic welfare as well as on influence of vegetation on climate, and feedbacks with hydrological processes. By doing so, it is implied that crop models properly reflect the soil water balance and vertical exchange with the atmosphere. Although crop models can be incorporated in Surface Vegetation Atmosphere Transfer Schemes for that purpose, their main focus has traditionally not been on predicting water and energy fluxes, but yield. In this research we use data from two lysimeters in Brandis (Saxony, Germany), which have been planted with the crops of the surrounding farm, to test the capability of the crop model in SWAP. The lysimeters contain different natural soil cores, leading to substantially different yield. This experiment gives the opportunity to test, if the crop model is portable - that is if a calibrated crop can be moved between different locations. When using the default parameters for the respective environment, the model does neither quantitatively nor qualitatively reproduce the difference in yield and LAI for the different lysimeters. The separate calibration of soil and plant parameter was poor compared to the joint calibration of plant and soil parameters. This suggests that the model is not portable, but needs to be calibrated for individual locations, based on measurements or expert knowledge.

  8. Internal Ballistics of Recoilless Guns

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Asim Ray

    1967-01-01

    Full Text Available A new method for calculating the ballistics of recoilless guns during the period of burning of the propellant has been obtained. Ballistics have also been calculated by exact numerical integration in a few cases and these results have been compared with those obtained by the method described in this paper. It has been found that the results obtained by these two methods agree satisfactorily.

  9. Decoherence in ballistic mesoscopic interferometers

    OpenAIRE

    Seelig, Georg; Pilgram, Sebastian; Buttiker, Markus

    2003-01-01

    We provide a theoretical explanation for two recent experiments on decoherence of Aharonov-Bohm oscillations in two- and multi-terminal ballistic rings. We consider decoherence due to charge fluctuations and emphasize the role of charge exchange between the system and the reservoir or nearby gates. A time-dependent scattering matrix approach is shown to be a convenient tool for the discussion of decoherence in ballistic conductors.

  10. Motion parameter estimation of multiple ground moving targets in multi-static passive radar systems

    Science.gov (United States)

    Subedi, Saurav; Zhang, Yimin D.; Amin, Moeness G.; Himed, Braham

    2014-12-01

    Multi-static passive radar (MPR) systems typically use narrowband signals and operate under weak signal conditions, making them difficult to reliably estimate motion parameters of ground moving targets. On the other hand, the availability of multiple spatially separated illuminators of opportunity provides a means to achieve multi-static diversity and overall signal enhancement. In this paper, we consider the problem of estimating motion parameters, including velocity and acceleration, of multiple closely located ground moving targets in a typical MPR platform with focus on weak signal conditions, where traditional time-frequency analysis-based methods become unreliable or infeasible. The underlying problem is reformulated as a sparse signal reconstruction problem in a discretized parameter search space. While the different bistatic links have distinct Doppler signatures, they share the same set of motion parameters of the ground moving targets. Therefore, such motion parameters act as a common sparse support to enable the exploitation of group sparsity-based methods for robust motion parameter estimation. This provides a means of combining signal energy from all available illuminators of opportunity and, thereby, obtaining a reliable estimation even when each individual signal is weak. Because the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of motion parameters involves a multi-dimensional search and its performance is sensitive to target position errors, we also propose a technique that decouples the target motion parameters, yielding a two-step process that sequentially estimates the acceleration and velocity vectors with a reduced dimensionality of the parameter search space. We compare the performance of the sequential method against the ML estimation with the consideration of imperfect knowledge of the initial target positions. The Cramér-Rao bound (CRB) of the underlying parameter estimation problem is derived for a general multiple-target scenario in an MPR system

  11. Projectile penetration into ballistic gelatin.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Swain, M V; Kieser, D C; Shah, S; Kieser, J A

    2014-01-01

    Ballistic gelatin is frequently used as a model for soft biological tissues that experience projectile impact. In this paper we investigate the response of a number of gelatin materials to the penetration of spherical steel projectiles (7 to 11mm diameter) with a range of lower impacting velocities (number of predictive relationships available in the literature, it is found that over the range of projectiles and compositions used, the results fit a simple relationship that takes into account the projectile diameter, the threshold velocity for penetration into the gelatin and a value of the shear modulus of the gelatin estimated from the threshold velocity for penetration. The normalised depth is found to fit the elastic Froude number when this is modified to allow for a threshold impact velocity. The normalised penetration data are found to best fit this modified elastic Froude number with a slope of 1/2 instead of 1/3 as suggested by Akers and Belmonte (2006). Possible explanations for this difference are discussed. PMID:24184862

  12. Application of Novel Lateral Tire Force Sensors to Vehicle Parameter Estimation of Electric Vehicles.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Nam, Kanghyun

    2015-01-01

    This article presents methods for estimating lateral vehicle velocity and tire cornering stiffness, which are key parameters in vehicle dynamics control, using lateral tire force measurements. Lateral tire forces acting on each tire are directly measured by load-sensing hub bearings that were invented and further developed by NSK Ltd. For estimating the lateral vehicle velocity, tire force models considering lateral load transfer effects are used, and a recursive least square algorithm is adapted to identify the lateral vehicle velocity as an unknown parameter. Using the estimated lateral vehicle velocity, tire cornering stiffness, which is an important tire parameter dominating the vehicle's cornering responses, is estimated. For the practical implementation, the cornering stiffness estimation algorithm based on a simple bicycle model is developed and discussed. Finally, proposed estimation algorithms were evaluated using experimental test data. PMID:26569246

  13. A novel navigation method used in a ballistic missile

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The traditional strapdown inertial/celestial integrated navigation method used in a ballistic missile cannot accurately estimate the accelerometer bias. It might cause a divergence of navigation errors. To solve this problem, a new navigation method named strapdown inertial/starlight refractive celestial integrated navigation is proposed. To verify the feasibility of the proposed method, a simulated program of a ballistic missile is presented. The simulation results indicated that, when multiple refraction stars are used, the proposed method can accurately estimate the accelerometer bias, and suppress the divergence of navigation errors completely. Specifically, in order to apply this method to a ballistic missile, a novel measurement equation based on stellar refraction was developed. Furthermore a method to calculate the number of refraction stars observed by the stellar sensor was given. Finally, the relationship between the number of refraction stars used and the navigation accuracy is analysed. (paper)

  14. Parameters estimation of sandwich beam model with rigid polyurethane foam core

    Science.gov (United States)

    Barbieri, Nilson; Barbieri, Renato; Winikes, Luiz Carlos

    2010-02-01

    In this work, the physical parameters of sandwich beams made with the association of hot-rolled steel, Polyurethane rigid foam and High Impact Polystyrene, used for the assembly of household refrigerators and food freezers are estimated using measured and numeric frequency response functions (FRFs). The mathematical models are obtained using the finite element method (FEM) and the Timoshenko beam theory. The physical parameters are estimated using the amplitude correlation coefficient and genetic algorithm (GA). The experimental data are obtained using the impact hammer and four accelerometers displaced along the sample (cantilevered beam). The parameters estimated are Young's modulus and the loss factor of the Polyurethane rigid foam and the High Impact Polystyrene.

  15. GEODYN system description, volume 1. [computer program for estimation of orbit and geodetic parameters

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chin, M. M.; Goad, C. C.; Martin, T. V.

    1972-01-01

    A computer program for the estimation of orbit and geodetic parameters is presented. The areas in which the program is operational are defined. The specific uses of the program are given as: (1) determination of definitive orbits, (2) tracking instrument calibration, (3) satellite operational predictions, and (4) geodetic parameter estimation. The relationship between the various elements in the solution of the orbit and geodetic parameter estimation problem is analyzed. The solution of the problems corresponds to the orbit generation mode in the first case and to the data reduction mode in the second case.

  16. On Drift Parameter Estimation in Models with Fractional Brownian Motion by Discrete Observations

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Yuliya Mishura

    2014-06-01

    Full Text Available We study a problem of an unknown drift parameter estimation in a stochastic differen- tial equation driven by fractional Brownian motion. We represent the likelihood ratio as a function of the observable process. The form of this representation is in general rather complicated. However, in the simplest case it can be simplified and we can discretize it to establish the a. s. convergence of the discretized version of maximum likelihood estimator to the true value of parameter. We also investigate a non-standard estimator of the drift parameter showing further its strong consistency. 

  17. Quantum estimation of physical parameters in the spacetime of a rotating planet

    CERN Document Server

    Kohlrus, Jan; Louko, Jorma; Fuentes, Ivette

    2015-01-01

    We employ quantum estimation techniques to obtain ultimate bounds on precision measurements of gravitational parameters of the spacetime outside a rotating planet. Spacetime curvature affects the frequency distribution of a photon sent from Earth to a satellite, and this change encodes parameters of the spacetime. This allows us to achieve precise measurements of parameters of Earth such as its Schwarzschild radius and equatorial angular velocity. We then are able to provide a comparison with the state-of-the-art in parameter estimation obtained through classical means. Extensions and future directions are also discussed.

  18. Application of Joint Parameter Identification and State Estimation to a Fault-Tolerant Robot System

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Sun, Zhen; Yang, Zhenyu

    The joint parameter identification and state estimation technique is applied to develop a fault-tolerant space robot system. The potential faults in the considered system are abrupt parametric faults, which indicate that some system parameters will immediately deviate from their nominal values if a......, it would further simplify the reconfigurable design task and possibly speed up the system recovery, if the system state information under the new operating circumstance can be available along with faulty parameter information. The joint parameter identification and state estimation using the combined...

  19. Optimal Experiment Design for Quantum State and Process Tomography and Hamiltonian Parameter Estimation

    CERN Document Server

    Kosut, R L; Rabitz, H; Kosut, Robert; Walmsley, Ian A.; Rabitz, Herschel

    2004-01-01

    A number of problems in quantum state and system identification are addressed. Specifically, it is shown that the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) approach, already known to apply to quantum state tomography, is also applicable to quantum process tomography (estimating the Kraus operator sum representation (OSR)), Hamiltonian parameter estimation, and the related problems of state and process (OSR) distribution estimation. Except for Hamiltonian parameter estimation, the other MLE problems are formally of the same type of convex optimization problem and therefore can be solved very efficiently to within any desired accuracy. Associated with each of these estimation problems, and the focus of the paper, is an optimal experiment design (OED) problem invoked by the Cramer-Rao Inequality: find the number of experiments to be performed in a particular system configuration to maximize estimation accuracy; a configuration being any number of combinations of sample times, hardware settings, prepared initial states...

  20. A more informative estimation procedure for the parameters of a diffusion process

    Science.gov (United States)

    Basso, A.; Pianca, P.

    1999-07-01

    The estimation procedures for the parameters of a diffusion process with constant coefficients have mainly focused on volatility. Nevertheless, even if the knowledge of the volatility alone suffices to compute the Black and Scholes option prices, other financial application models assume that the price dynamics follows a log-normal process and requires the knowledge of both parameters. On the other hand, while the usual ML estimator of volatility gives satisfactory results, the estimation of drift is much less accurate; moreover, the drift-estimated value highly depends on the phases of the business cycle included in the sample data. This contribution explicitly imposes a risk aversion or risk neutral assumption into the ML estimation procedure and makes a constrained maximization of the sample likelihood function. The aim is twofold: to obtain estimated values which are consistent with a widely accepted assumption and use the risk aversion constraint in order to improve the accuracy of the estimates.

  1. Joint state and parameter estimation of the hemodynamic model by particle smoother expectation maximization method

    Science.gov (United States)

    Aslan, Serdar; Taylan Cemgil, Ali; Akın, Ata

    2016-08-01

    Objective. In this paper, we aimed for the robust estimation of the parameters and states of the hemodynamic model by using blood oxygen level dependent signal. Approach. In the fMRI literature, there are only a few successful methods that are able to make a joint estimation of the states and parameters of the hemodynamic model. In this paper, we implemented a maximum likelihood based method called the particle smoother expectation maximization (PSEM) algorithm for the joint state and parameter estimation. Main results. Former sequential Monte Carlo methods were only reliable in the hemodynamic state estimates. They were claimed to outperform the local linearization (LL) filter and the extended Kalman filter (EKF). The PSEM algorithm is compared with the most successful method called square-root cubature Kalman smoother (SCKS) for both state and parameter estimation. SCKS was found to be better than the dynamic expectation maximization (DEM) algorithm, which was shown to be a better estimator than EKF, LL and particle filters. Significance. PSEM was more accurate than SCKS for both the state and the parameter estimation. Hence, PSEM seems to be the most accurate method for the system identification and state estimation for the hemodynamic model inversion literature. This paper do not compare its results with Tikhonov-regularized Newton—CKF (TNF-CKF), a recent robust method which works in filtering sense.

  2. MODELLING AND PARAMETER ESTIMATION IN REACTIVE CONTINUOUS MIXTURES: THE CATALYTIC CRACKING OF ALKANES. PART I

    OpenAIRE

    F. C. PEIXOTO; J. L. de Medeiros

    1999-01-01

    Fragmentation kinetics is employed to model a continuous reactive mixture. An explicit solution is found and experimental data on the catalytic cracking of a mixture of alkanes are used for deactivation and kinetic parameter estimation.

  3. Adjoint Weighted Kinetics Parameter Estimation in the Monte Carlo Wielandt Calculations

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Choi, Sung Hoon; Shim, Hyung Jin [Seoul National Univ., Seoul (Korea, Republic of)

    2013-10-15

    In order to eliminate this huge memory consumption in the current adjoint estimation method, we have developed a new method in which the pedigree of a single history is utilized by applying the MC Wielandt method. The Wielandt method allows the estimations of the adjoint flux and adjoint-weighted parameters within a single cycle neutron simulations. The effectiveness of the new method is demonstrated in the kinetics parameter estimations for an infinite homogeneous two-group problem and the Godiva facility. We have developed an efficient algorithm for the adjoint-weighted kinetics parameter estimation in the MC Wielandt calculations which can significantly reduce the memory usage. From the numerical applications, it is demonstrated that the new method can predict the kinetics parameters with great accuracy.

  4. Linearly Supporting Feature Extraction For Automated Estimation Of Stellar Atmospheric Parameters

    CERN Document Server

    Li, Xiangru; Comte, Georges; Luo, Ali; Zhao, Yongheng; Wang, Yongjun

    2015-01-01

    We describe a scheme to extract linearly supporting (LSU) features from stellar spectra to automatically estimate the atmospheric parameters $T_{eff}$, log$~g$, and [Fe/H]. "Linearly supporting" means that the atmospheric parameters can be accurately estimated from the extracted features through a linear model. The successive steps of the process are as follow: first, decompose the spectrum using a wavelet packet (WP) and represent it by the derived decomposition coefficients; second, detect representative spectral features from the decomposition coefficients using the proposed method Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LARS)$_{bs}$; third, estimate the atmospheric parameters $T_{eff}$, log$~g$, and [Fe/H] from the detected features using a linear regression method. One prominent characteristic of this scheme is its ability to evaluate quantitatively the contribution of each detected feature to the atmospheric parameter estimate and also to trace back the physical significance of that feature. Th...

  5. An autoencoder of stellar spectra and its application in automatically estimating atmospheric parameters

    CERN Document Server

    Yang, Tan

    2015-01-01

    This article investigates the problem of estimating stellar atmospheric parameters from spectra. Feature extraction is a key procedure in estimating stellar parameters automatically. We propose a scheme for spectral feature extraction and atmospheric parameter estimation using the following three procedures: firstly, learn a set of basic structure elements (BSE) from stellar spectra using an autoencoder; secondly, extract representative features from stellar spectra based on the learned BSEs through some procedures of convolution and pooling; thirdly, estimate stellar parameters ($T_{eff}$, log$~g$, [Fe/H]) using a back-propagation (BP) network. The proposed scheme has been evaluated on both real spectra from Sloan Digital Sky Survey (SDSS)/Sloan Extension for Galactic Understanding and Exploration (SEGUE) and synthetic spectra calculated from Kurucz's new opacity distribution function (NEWODF) models. The best mean absolute errors (MAEs) are 0.0060 dex for log$~T_{eff}$, 0.1978 dex for log$~g$ and 0.1770 dex...

  6. Parameter Estimation of a Closed Loop Coupled Tank Time Varying System using Recursive Methods

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This project investigates the direct identification of closed loop plant using discrete-time approach. The uses of Recursive Least Squares (RLS), Recursive Instrumental Variable (RIV) and Recursive Instrumental Variable with Centre-Of-Triangle (RIV + COT) in the parameter estimation of closed loop time varying system have been considered. The algorithms were applied in a coupled tank system that employs covariance resetting technique where the time of parameter changes occur is unknown. The performances of all the parameter estimation methods, RLS, RIV and RIV + COT were compared. The estimation of the system whose output was corrupted with white and coloured noises were investigated. Covariance resetting technique successfully executed when the parameters change. RIV + COT gives better estimates than RLS and RIV in terms of convergence and maximum overshoot

  7. POSTERIOR ESTIMATES OF TWO PARAMETER EXPONENTIAL DISTRIBUTION USING S-PLUS SOFTWARE

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    S.P. Ahmad

    2010-01-01

    Full Text Available This paper deals with the Bayesian estimation of parameters of exponential distributionunder different priors. The numerical and graphical illustration of posterior densities of theparameters of interest has been done in S-PLUS Software.

  8. Estimating deep seafloor interface and volume roughness parameters using the multibeam-hydrosweep system

    Digital Repository Service at National Institute of Oceanography (India)

    Chakraborty, B.; Schenke, H.W.; Kodagali, V.N.; Hagen, R.

    parameters employing Helmholtz-Kirchhoff theory. Beyond 20 degrees incidence angles, an application of Rayleigh-Rice theory is made by using a necessary splicing technique (combining both of the theories at 20 degrees incidence angle).The estimated interface...

  9. Asymptotic behavior of CLS estimator of autoregressive parameter for nonprimitive unstable INAR(2) models

    CERN Document Server

    Barczy, Matyas; Pap, Gyula

    2010-01-01

    In this paper the asymptotic behavior of conditional least squares estimators of the autoregressive parameter for nonprimitive unstable integer-valued autoregressive models of order 2 (INAR(2)) is described.

  10. Methodology to estimate parameters of an excitation system based on experimental conditions

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Saavedra-Montes, A.J. [Carrera 80 No 65-223, Bloque M8 oficina 113, Escuela de Mecatronica, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, Medellin (Colombia); Calle 13 No 100-00, Escuela de Ingenieria Electrica y Electronica, Universidad del Valle, Cali, Valle (Colombia); Ramirez-Scarpetta, J.M. [Calle 13 No 100-00, Escuela de Ingenieria Electrica y Electronica, Universidad del Valle, Cali, Valle (Colombia); Malik, O.P. [2500 University Drive N.W., Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, University of Calgary, Calgary, Alberta (Canada)

    2011-01-15

    A methodology to estimate the parameters of a potential-source controlled rectifier excitation system model is presented in this paper. The proposed parameter estimation methodology is based on the characteristics of the excitation system. A comparison of two pseudo random binary signals, two sampling periods for each one, and three estimation algorithms is also presented. Simulation results from an excitation control system model and experimental results from an excitation system of a power laboratory setup are obtained. To apply the proposed methodology, the excitation system parameters are identified at two different levels of the generator saturation curve. The results show that it is possible to estimate the parameters of the standard model of an excitation system, recording two signals and the system operating in closed loop with the generator. The normalized sum of squared error obtained with experimental data is below 10%, and with simulation data is below 5%. (author)

  11. [Terminal ballistics. 1].

    Science.gov (United States)

    Mangiante, G; Dagradi, V; Radin, S; Carolo, F; Giarolli, M; Tenci, A; Merico, G; Tosi, D; Acerbi, A; Della Giacoma, G

    1993-01-01

    We have chosen to conceive of terminal ballistics as a violent and extremely rapid confrontation between two forms of resistance before the final state of rest is reached. This definition, which cannot help but don the admittedly loud and outlandish garb of physics, is the most promising for the purposes of biological interpretation. The main characters on this stage are two, but only one of these really plays the lead, namely the human target, which acts out the basic roles inherent in its physical make-up; the other, the bullet, remains a background figure, frozen in its walk-on part, and ready for the next performance. This modus operandi, which is no simplification, but rather an academic necessity, enables us to focus on images which stand out more clearly as a result of an intensive macroscopic spotlight which brings out the features of the individual phenomena, broken down into a succession of close-ups, and subtracts them from the cold physical nature of this or that form of inert matter, which here is merely an occasional, disagreeable witness, or even more, a standing from time to time for but one of the infinite facets of the biological composite being. Here, then, faced with a kind of exploded macrophotograph of a complex kaleidoscope, we see the animal universe, of which we capture so far the plasticity, the subdivisibility, the anisotropy and the cavitation. PMID:7923493

  12. Stochastic Diffusion Search: A Comparison of Swarm Intelligence Parameter Estimation Algorithms with RANSAC

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Howard Williams

    2014-05-01

    Full Text Available Stochastic diffusion search (SDS is a multi-agent global optimisation technique based on the behaviour of ants, rooted in the partial evaluation of an objective function and direct communication between agents. Standard SDS, the fundamental algorithm at work in all SDS processes, is presented here. Parameter estimation is the task of suitably fitting a model to given data; some form of parameter estimation is a key element of many computer vision processes. Here, the task of hyperplane estimation in many dimensions is investigated. Following RANSAC (random sample consensus, a widely used optimisation technique and a standard technique for many parameter estimation problems, increasingly sophisticated data-driven forms of SDS are developed. The performance of these SDS algorithms and RANSAC is analysed and compared for a hyperplane estimation task. SDS is shown to perform similarly to RANSAC, with potential for tuning to particular search problems for improved results.

  13. The Importance of the Range Parameter for Estimation and Prediction in Geostatistics

    CERN Document Server

    Kaufman, Cari

    2011-01-01

    Two canonical problems in geostatistics are estimating the parameters in a specified family of stochastic process models and predicting the process at new locations. A number of asymptotic results for these problems over a fixed spatial domain indicate that, for a Gaussian process with Mat\\'ern covariance function, one can fix the range parameter controlling the rate of decay of the process and obtain results that are asymptotically equivalent to the case that the range parameter is known. We discuss why these results do not always provide the appropriate intuition for finite samples. Moreover, we prove that a number of these asymptotic results may be extended to the case that the variance and range parameters are jointly estimated via maximum likelihood or maximum tapered likelihood. Our simulation results show that performance on a variety of metrics is improved and asymptotic approximations are applicable for smaller sample sizes when the range parameter is estimated. These effects are particularly apparen...

  14. Stepglue, AN Effective Method for Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Analysis of Geochemical Models with Wide Parameter Dimensionality

    Science.gov (United States)

    Sharifi, A.; Kalin, L.; Hantush, M. M.

    2013-12-01

    The Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation (GLUE) method is a practical tool for evaluating parameter uncertainty and distinguishing behavioral parameter sets, which are deemed acceptable in reproducing observed behavior of a system, from non-behavioral sets. When a conventional GLUE methodology is applied to a complex geochemical model, depending on the type of observed constituent used for model verification, parameters effecting more than one process might end up having different behavioral distributions. To overcome this problem, we propose a Stepwise GLUE procedure (StepGLUE), which can better identify the behavioral distributions of the model parameters regardless of the data being used for model verification. StepGLUE method uses a three step approach for identifying parameter behavioral domains that produce optimal results for all model constituents. In step 0, model parameters are divided into two groups: group A consisting of parameters exclusive to a single constituent (e.g. denitrification rate, which only effects nitrate pool) and group B consisting of parameters affecting more than constituent (e.g. nitrification rate which engages both ammonia and nitrate related processes). In step 1, for each constituent (like nitrate), we identify the most sensitive parameters through Kolmogorov-Smirnov (KS) test, using a single-constituent likelihood measure. If any of the parameters listed in group A end up being sensitive, new parameter values are generated for them according to their behavioral distributions. This process is necessary to avoid carrying over parameter uncertainty of one constituent to other constituents in the model. At the end of step one, new series of Monte Carlo simulations are performed with modified parameters. In step 2 (parameter oriented phase), we re-evaluate constituent sensitivity to all model parameters using KS test, however, this time the focus is on parameters in group B. For each of the group B parameters that show up in

  15. Wavelet Estimation of a Long Memory Parameter In the Stock Market

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    XIONG Zheng-feng

    2001-01-01

    In this paper, Using the daily stock return data, we show that Shanghai stock market prices exhibit long memory process, and estimate the long-memory parameters by wavelet. Using the sparse wavelet representation of a matrix operator, we are able to approximate an ARFIMA models likelihood function with the series's wavelet coefficients and their variances. Maximization of this approximate likelihood function over the long memory parameter space results in the approximate wavelet maximum likelihood estimates of the ARFIMA model.

  16. Asymptotic Prediction Mean Squared Error for Strongly Dependent Processes with Estimated Parameters

    OpenAIRE

    Naoya Katayama

    2004-01-01

    In this paper we deal with the prediction theory of long memory processes. After investigating the general theory relating to convergence of moments of the nonlinear least squares estimators, we evaluate the asymptotic prediction mean squared error of two predictors. One is defined by using the estimator of the differencing parameter and the other is defined by using a fixed, known differencing parameter, which is, in other words, one parametric predictor of the seasonally integrated autoregr...

  17. Parameter estimation of sinusoidal signals by using principle of signal matched-phase

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    2002-01-01

    A method for estimating frequency, amplitude and phase of a sinusoidal signal is presented based on the principle of signal matched-phase. The formulae for estimating signal parameters are derived, and the algorithm of searching for signal parameters is also given in the case where the signal frequency is unknown. The algorithm is simple and time_saving. The simulation results show that this new method is valid.

  18. Parameters Estimation for the Spherical Model of the Human Knee Joint Using Vector Method

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ciszkiewicz, A.; Knapczyk, J.

    2014-08-01

    Position and displacement analysis of a spherical model of a human knee joint using the vector method was presented. Sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation were performed using the evolutionary algorithm method. Computer simulations for the mechanism with estimated parameters proved the effectiveness of the prepared software. The method itself can be useful when solving problems concerning the displacement and loads analysis in the knee joint

  19. Parameters Estimation For A Patellofemoral Joint Of A Human Knee Using A Vector Method

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ciszkiewicz, A.; Knapczyk, J.

    2015-08-01

    Position and displacement analysis of a spherical model of a human knee joint using the vector method was presented. Sensitivity analysis and parameter estimation were performed using the evolutionary algorithm method. Computer simulations for the mechanism with estimated parameters proved the effectiveness of the prepared software. The method itself can be useful when solving problems concerning the displacement and loads analysis in the knee joint.

  20. Performance of the maximum likelihood estimators for the parameters of multivariate generalized Gaussian distributions

    OpenAIRE

    Bombrun, Lionel; Pascal, Frédéric; Tourneret, Jean-Yves; Berthoumieu, Yannick

    2012-01-01

    This paper studies the performance of the maximum likelihood estimators (MLE) for the parameters of multivariate generalized Gaussian distributions. When the shape parameter belongs to ]0,1[, we have proved that the scatter matrix MLE exists and is unique up to a scalar factor. After providing some elements about this proof, an estimation algorithm based on a Newton-Raphson recursion is investigated. Some experiments illustrate the convergence speed of this algorithm. The bias and consistency...

  1. Dynamic Block-Based Parameter Estimation for MRF Classification of High-Resolution Images

    OpenAIRE

    Aghighi, Hossein; Trinder, John; Tarabalka, Yuliya; Lim, Samsung

    2014-01-01

    A Markov random field is a graphical model that is commonly used to combine spectral information and spatial context into image classification problems. The contributions of the spatial versus spectral energies are typically defined by using a smoothing parameter, which is often set empirically. We propose a new framework to estimate the smoothing parameter. For this purpose, we introduce the new concepts of dynamic blocks and class label co-occurrence matrices. The estimation is then based o...

  2. A comparison of flight input techniques for parameter estimation of highly-augmented aircraft

    OpenAIRE

    Gates, Russell J.

    1995-01-01

    Parameter estimation is an inverse process in which stability derivatives are determined from time history flight data by matching the aircraft mathematical model's computed response with the measured response of the aircraft. Accurate parameter estimation depends mainly on instrumentation and input technique. Input technique is the focus of this thesis in which both classical inputs and optimal inputs were applied under the same flight conditions to the High Angle of Attack Research Vehicle ...

  3. Quasi-Newton methods for parameter estimation in functional differential equations

    Science.gov (United States)

    Brewer, Dennis W.

    1988-01-01

    A state-space approach to parameter estimation in linear functional differential equations is developed using the theory of linear evolution equations. A locally convergent quasi-Newton type algorithm is applied to distributed systems with particular emphasis on parameters that induce unbounded perturbations of the state. The algorithm is computationally implemented on several functional differential equations, including coefficient and delay estimation in linear delay-differential equations.

  4. Development of Genetic Algorithm based Neural Network model for parameter estimation of Fast Breeder Reactor Subsystem

    OpenAIRE

    Subhra Rani Patra; R. Jehadeesan; Rajeswari, S.

    2012-01-01

    This work provides the construction of Genetic Algorithm based Neural Network for parameter estimation of Fast Breeder Test Reactor (FBTR) Subsystem. The parameter estimated here is temperature of Intermediate Heat Exchanger of Fast Breeder Test Reactor. Genetic Algorithm based Neural Network is a global search algorithm having less probability of being trapped in local minimum problem as compared to Standard Back Propagation algorithm which is a local search algorithm. The various developmen...

  5. Estimation of boundary parameters and prediction of transmission loss based upon ray acoustics

    Institute of Scientific and Technical Information of China (English)

    GUO Yuhong; FAN Minyi; HUI Junying

    2000-01-01

    Estimation of boundary parameters and prediction of transmission loss using a coherent channel model based upon ray acoustics and sound propagation data collected in field experiments are presented. Comparison between the prediction results and the experiment data indicates that the adopted sound propagation model is valuable, both selection and estimation methods on boundary parameters are reasonable, and the prediction performance of transmission loss is favorable.

  6. The Use of Cuckoo Search in Estimating the Parameters of Software Reliability Growth Models

    OpenAIRE

    AL-Saati, Dr. Najla Akram; Abd-AlKareem, Marwa

    2013-01-01

    This work aims to investigate the reliability of software products as an important attribute of computer programs; it helps to decide the degree of trustworthiness a program has in accomplishing its specific functions. This is done using the Software Reliability Growth Models (SRGMs) through the estimation of their parameters. The parameters are estimated in this work based on the available failure data and with the search techniques of Swarm Intelligence, namely, the Cuckoo Search (CS) due t...

  7. Estimation of the reliability function for two-parameter exponentiated Rayleigh or Burr type X distribution

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Anupam Pathak

    2014-11-01

    Full Text Available Abstract: Problem Statement: The two-parameter exponentiated Rayleigh distribution has been widely used especially in the modelling of life time event data. It provides a statistical model which has a wide variety of application in many areas and the main advantage is its ability in the context of life time event among other distributions. The uniformly minimum variance unbiased and maximum likelihood estimation methods are the way to estimate the parameters of the distribution. In this study we explore and compare the performance of the uniformly minimum variance unbiased and maximum likelihood estimators of the reliability function R(t=P(X>t and P=P(X>Y for the two-parameter exponentiated Rayleigh distribution. Approach: A new technique of obtaining these parametric functions is introduced in which major role is played by the powers of the parameter(s and the functional forms of the parametric functions to be estimated are not needed.  We explore the performance of these estimators numerically under varying conditions. Through the simulation study a comparison are made on the performance of these estimators with respect to the Biasness, Mean Square Error (MSE, 95% confidence length and corresponding coverage percentage. Conclusion: Based on the results of simulation study the UMVUES of R(t and ‘P’ for the two-parameter exponentiated Rayleigh distribution found to be superior than MLES of R(t and ‘P’.

  8. Bayesian-MCMC-based parameter estimation of stealth aircraft RCS models

    Science.gov (United States)

    Xia, Wei; Dai, Xiao-Xia; Feng, Yuan

    2015-12-01

    When modeling a stealth aircraft with low RCS (Radar Cross Section), conventional parameter estimation methods may cause a deviation from the actual distribution, owing to the fact that the characteristic parameters are estimated via directly calculating the statistics of RCS. The Bayesian-Markov Chain Monte Carlo (Bayesian-MCMC) method is introduced herein to estimate the parameters so as to improve the fitting accuracies of fluctuation models. The parameter estimations of the lognormal and the Legendre polynomial models are reformulated in the Bayesian framework. The MCMC algorithm is then adopted to calculate the parameter estimates. Numerical results show that the distribution curves obtained by the proposed method exhibit improved consistence with the actual ones, compared with those fitted by the conventional method. The fitting accuracy could be improved by no less than 25% for both fluctuation models, which implies that the Bayesian-MCMC method might be a good candidate among the optimal parameter estimation methods for stealth aircraft RCS models. Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 61101173), the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant No. 613206), the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China (Grant No. 2012AA01A308), the State Scholarship Fund by the China Scholarship Council (CSC), and the Oversea Academic Training Funds, and University of Electronic Science and Technology of China (UESTC).

  9. A new method to estimate parameters of linear compartmental models using artificial neural networks

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    At present, the preferred tool for parameter estimation in compartmental analysis is an iterative procedure; weighted nonlinear regression. For a large number of applications, observed data can be fitted to sums of exponentials whose parameters are directly related to the rate constants/coefficients of the compartmental models. Since weighted nonlinear regression often has to be repeated for many different data sets, the process of fitting data from compartmental systems can be very time consuming. Furthermore the minimization routine often converges to a local (as opposed to global) minimum. In this paper, we examine the possibility of using artificial neural networks instead of weighted nonlinear regression in order to estimate model parameters. We train simple feed-forward neural networks to produce as outputs the parameter values of a given model when kinetic data are fed to the networks' input layer. The artificial neural networks produce unbiased estimates and are orders of magnitude faster than regression algorithms. At noise levels typical of many real applications, the neural networks are found to produce lower variance estimates than weighted nonlinear regression in the estimation of parameters from mono- and biexponential models. These results are primarily due to the inability of weighted nonlinear regression to converge. These results establish that artificial neural networks are powerful tools for estimating parameters for simple compartmental models. (author)

  10. Subsonic flight test evaluation of a propulsion system parameter estimation process for the F100 engine

    Science.gov (United States)

    Orme, John S.; Gilyard, Glenn B.

    1992-01-01

    Integrated engine-airframe optimal control technology may significantly improve aircraft performance. This technology requires a reliable and accurate parameter estimator to predict unmeasured variables. To develop this technology base, NASA Dryden Flight Research Facility (Edwards, CA), McDonnell Aircraft Company (St. Louis, MO), and Pratt & Whitney (West Palm Beach, FL) have developed and flight-tested an adaptive performance seeking control system which optimizes the quasi-steady-state performance of the F-15 propulsion system. This paper presents flight and ground test evaluations of the propulsion system parameter estimation process used by the performance seeking control system. The estimator consists of a compact propulsion system model and an extended Kalman filter. The extended Laman filter estimates five engine component deviation parameters from measured inputs. The compact model uses measurements and Kalman-filter estimates as inputs to predict unmeasured propulsion parameters such as net propulsive force and fan stall margin. The ability to track trends and estimate absolute values of propulsion system parameters was demonstrated. For example, thrust stand results show a good correlation, especially in trends, between the performance seeking control estimated and measured thrust.

  11. Robust nonlinear autoregressive moving average model parameter estimation using stochastic recurrent artificial neural networks

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Chon, K H; Hoyer, D; Armoundas, A A; Holstein-Rathlou, N H; Marsh, D J

    1999-01-01

    In this study, we introduce a new approach for estimating linear and nonlinear stochastic autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model parameters, given a corrupt signal, using artificial recurrent neural networks. This new approach is a two-step approach in which the parameters of the deterministic...... part of the stochastic ARMA model are first estimated via a three-layer artificial neural network (deterministic estimation step) and then reestimated using the prediction error as one of the inputs to the artificial neural networks in an iterative algorithm (stochastic estimation step). The prediction...... error is obtained by subtracting the corrupt signal of the estimated ARMA model obtained via the deterministic estimation step from the system output response. We present computer simulation examples to show the efficacy of the proposed stochastic recurrent neural network approach in obtaining accurate...

  12. Parameter Estimation and Hypothesis Testing of Two Negative Binomial Distribution Population with Missing Data

    Science.gov (United States)

    Zhao, Zhiwen

    Our purpose is to deal with the parameter estimation and hypothesis testing on the equality of two negative binomial distribution populations with missing data. The consistency and asymptotic normality of the estimations are proved. In addition statistic on testing equality of two negative distributions and its limiting distribution are obtained.

  13. IRT Item Parameter Recovery with Marginal Maximum Likelihood Estimation Using Loglinear Smoothing Models

    Science.gov (United States)

    Casabianca, Jodi M.; Lewis, Charles

    2015-01-01

    Loglinear smoothing (LLS) estimates the latent trait distribution while making fewer assumptions about its form and maintaining parsimony, thus leading to more precise item response theory (IRT) item parameter estimates than standard marginal maximum likelihood (MML). This article provides the expectation-maximization algorithm for MML estimation…

  14. Optimal experiment selection for parameter estimation in biological differential equation models

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Transtrum Mark K

    2012-07-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background Parameter estimation in biological models is a common yet challenging problem. In this work we explore the problem for gene regulatory networks modeled by differential equations with unknown parameters, such as decay rates, reaction rates, Michaelis-Menten constants, and Hill coefficients. We explore the question to what extent parameters can be efficiently estimated by appropriate experimental selection. Results A minimization formulation is used to find the parameter values that best fit the experiment data. When the data is insufficient, the minimization problem often has many local minima that fit the data reasonably well. We show that selecting a new experiment based on the local Fisher Information of one local minimum generates additional data that allows one to successfully discriminate among the many local minima. The parameters can be estimated to high accuracy by iteratively performing minimization and experiment selection. We show that the experiment choices are roughly independent of which local minima is used to calculate the local Fisher Information. Conclusions We show that by an appropriate choice of experiments, one can, in principle, efficiently and accurately estimate all the parameters of gene regulatory network. In addition, we demonstrate that appropriate experiment selection can also allow one to restrict model predictions without constraining the parameters using many fewer experiments. We suggest that predicting model behaviors and inferring parameters represent two different approaches to model calibration with different requirements on data and experimental cost.

  15. Estimating stellar fundamental parameters using PCA: application to early type stars of GES data

    CERN Document Server

    Farah, W; Paletou, F; Blomme, R

    2015-01-01

    This work addresses a procedure to estimate fundamental stellar parameters such as T eff , logg, [Fe/H], and v sin i using a dimensionality reduction technique called Principal Component Analysis (PCA), applied to a large database of synthetic spectra. This technique shows promising results for inverting stellar parameters of observed targets from Gaia ESO Survey.

  16. Mean-square state and parameter estimation for stochastic linear systems with Gaussian and Poisson noises

    Science.gov (United States)

    Basin, M.; Maldonado, J. J.; Zendejo, O.

    2016-07-01

    This paper proposes new mean-square filter and parameter estimator design for linear stochastic systems with unknown parameters over linear observations, where unknown parameters are considered as combinations of Gaussian and Poisson white noises. The problem is treated by reducing the original problem to a filtering problem for an extended state vector that includes parameters as additional states, modelled as combinations of independent Gaussian and Poisson processes. The solution to this filtering problem is based on the mean-square filtering equations for incompletely polynomial states confused with Gaussian and Poisson noises over linear observations. The resulting mean-square filter serves as an identifier for the unknown parameters. Finally, a simulation example shows effectiveness of the proposed mean-square filter and parameter estimator.

  17. Simultaneous Estimation of Photometric Redshifts and SED Parameters: Improved Techniques and a Realistic Error Budget

    Science.gov (United States)

    Acquaviva, Viviana; Raichoor, Anand; Gawiser, Eric

    2015-05-01

    We seek to improve the accuracy of joint galaxy photometric redshift estimation and spectral energy distribution (SED) fitting. By simulating different sources of uncorrected systematic errors, we demonstrate that if the uncertainties in the photometric redshifts are estimated correctly, so are those on the other SED fitting parameters, such as stellar mass, stellar age, and dust reddening. Furthermore, we find that if the redshift uncertainties are over(under)-estimated, the uncertainties in SED parameters tend to be over(under)-estimated by similar amounts. These results hold even in the presence of severe systematics and provide, for the first time, a mechanism to validate the uncertainties on these parameters via comparison with spectroscopic redshifts. We propose a new technique (annealing) to re-calibrate the joint uncertainties in the photo-z and SED fitting parameters without compromising the performance of the SED fitting + photo-z estimation. This procedure provides a consistent estimation of the multi-dimensional probability distribution function in SED fitting + z parameter space, including all correlations. While the performance of joint SED fitting and photo-z estimation might be hindered by template incompleteness, we demonstrate that the latter is “flagged” by a large fraction of outliers in redshift, and that significant improvements can be achieved by using flexible stellar populations synthesis models and more realistic star formation histories. In all cases, we find that the median stellar age is better recovered than the time elapsed from the onset of star formation. Finally, we show that using a photometric redshift code such as EAZY to obtain redshift probability distributions that are then used as priors for SED fitting codes leads to only a modest bias in the SED fitting parameters and is thus a viable alternative to the simultaneous estimation of SED parameters and photometric redshifts.

  18. Quantum estimation of physical parameters in the spacetime of a rotating planet

    OpenAIRE

    Kohlrus, Jan; Bruschi, David Edward; Louko, Jorma; Fuentes, Ivette

    2015-01-01

    We employ quantum estimation techniques to obtain ultimate bounds on precision measurements of gravitational parameters of the spacetime outside a rotating planet. Spacetime curvature affects the frequency distribution of a photon sent from Earth to a satellite, and this change encodes parameters of the spacetime. This allows us to achieve precise measurements of parameters of Earth such as its Schwarzschild radius and equatorial angular velocity. We then are able to provide a comparison with...

  19. Estimation of genetic relationships between growth curve parameters in Guilan sheep

    OpenAIRE

    Ghavi Hossein-Zadeh, Navid

    2015-01-01

    The objective of this study was to estimate variance components and genetic parameters for growth curve parameters in Guilan sheep. Studied traits were parameters of Brody growth model which included A (asymptotic mature weight), B (initial animal weight) and K (maturation rate). The data set and pedigree information used in this study were obtained from the Agricultural Organization of Guilan province (Rasht, Iran) and comprised 8647 growth curve records of lambs from birth to 240 days of ag...

  20. Parameter estimation using the genetic algorithm and its impact on quantitative precipitation forecast

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Y. H. Lee

    2006-12-01

    Full Text Available In this study, optimal parameter estimations are performed for both physical and computational parameters in a mesoscale meteorological model, and their impacts on the quantitative precipitation forecasting (QPF are assessed for a heavy rainfall case occurred at the Korean Peninsula in June 2005. Experiments are carried out using the PSU/NCAR MM5 model and the genetic algorithm (GA for two parameters: the reduction rate of the convective available potential energy in the Kain-Fritsch (KF scheme for cumulus parameterization, and the Asselin filter parameter for numerical stability. The fitness function is defined based on a QPF skill score. It turns out that each optimized parameter significantly improves the QPF skill. Such improvement is maximized when the two optimized parameters are used simultaneously. Our results indicate that optimizations of computational parameters as well as physical parameters and their adequate applications are essential in improving model performance.