WorldWideScience

Sample records for reliability comparative analysis

  1. A Comparative Analysis of Open Source Software Reliability

    OpenAIRE

    Cobra Rahmani; Azad Azadmanesh; Lotfi Najjar

    2010-01-01

    The purpose of this study is to compare the fitting (goodness-of-fit) and prediction capabilities of three reliability models using the failure data of five popular open source software (OSS) products. The failure data are modeled by Weibull and two other Non Homogenous Poisson Process (NHPP) models (Yamada S-Shaped and Schneidewind). The OSS products considered are Eclipse, Apache HTTP Server 2, Firefox, MPlayer OS X, and ClamWin Free Antivirus. Weibull is chosen due to its popularity in lif...

  2. A reliability and comparative analysis of two standby system configurations.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Taylor, D. S.

    1973-01-01

    Equations are derived which enable one to calculate the system reliability for parallel or triple modular redundant systems with standby spares. Software error detection is introduced into the TMR/Spares system configuration in order to utilize fully all of the units. An indication of the sensitivity of the system reliability to an increase in the number of spares, partitioning, switching, variations in the powered and unpowered failures rates, and time is presented. A comparison of the parallel and the TMR/Spares system configurations, under similar conditions, is given.

  3. Analysis of reliability AAN laboratory with comparative method

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The AAN method is an analysis method which has good accuracy and precision. The samples of SRM 1646a Estuary sediment, SRM 1648 Urban particulate, SRM 1573 a Tomato leaves, and CRM No. 3 Chlorella was analyzed with AAN method in the AAN Laboratory at P2TRR. The analyzed method result show the 10 % relation of the element contain with long life time, if considered with certificate. These mean the result of the analysis done by the NAA in P2TRR is good

  4. Comparative analysis of different configurations of PLC-based safety systems from reliability point of view

    Science.gov (United States)

    Tapia, Moiez A.

    1993-12-01

    The study of a comparative analysis of distinct multiplex and fault-tolerant configurations for a PLC-based safety system from a reliability point of view is presented. It considers simplex, duplex and fault-tolerant triple redundancy configurations. The standby unit in case of a duplex configuration has a failure rate which is k times the failure rate of the standby unit, the value of k varying from 0 to 1. For distinct values of MTTR and MTTF of the main unit, MTBF and availability for these configurations are calculated. The effect of duplexing only the PLC module or only the sensors and the actuators module, on the MTBF of the configuration, is also presented. The results are summarized and merits and demerits of various configurations under distinct environments are discussed.

  5. Small nuclear power reactor emergency electric power supply system reliability comparative analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This work presents an analysis of the reliability of the emergency power supply system, of a small size nuclear power reactor. Three different configurations are investigated and their reliability analyzed. The fault tree method is used as the main tool of analysis. The work includes a bibliographic review of emergency diesel generator reliability and a discussion of the design requirements applicable to emergency electrical systems. The influence of common cause failure influences is considered using the beta factor model. The operator action is considered using human failure probabilities. A parametric analysis shows the strong dependence between the reactor safety and the loss of offsite electric power supply. It is also shown that common cause failures can be a major contributor to the system reliability. (author)

  6. Comparative Study Between Degradation Analysis and API 510 Remaining Life Evaluation Method for Feed Gas Filter Vessel Reliability Analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Masdi Muhammad; Mohd Amin A. Majid; Asad Ali

    2012-01-01

    The objective of this study is to use the wall thickness data for degradation analysis of feed gas filter vessel and compare the results with remaining life evaluation method provided in API 510. The exponential model for degradation fitted best to the degradation (wall thickness) data. Extrapolation of model gave the failure time for each thickness measurement location, thus providing a failure data set to be analyzed for the reliability function. The results obtained show that the deg...

  7. Comparative reliability studies and analysis of Au, Pd-coated Cu and Pd-doped Cu wire in microelectronics packaging.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chong Leong, Gan; Uda, Hashim

    2013-01-01

    This paper compares and discusses the wearout reliability and analysis of Gold (Au), Palladium (Pd) coated Cu and Pd-doped Cu wires used in fineline Ball Grid Array (BGA) package. Intermetallic compound (IMC) thickness measurement has been carried out to estimate the coefficient of diffusion (Do) under various aging conditions of different bonding wires. Wire pull and ball bond shear strengths have been analyzed and we found smaller variation in Pd-doped Cu wire compared to Au and Pd-doped Cu wire. Au bonds were identified to have faster IMC formation, compared to slower IMC growth of Cu. The obtained weibull slope, ? of three bonding wires are greater than 1.0 and belong to wearout reliability data point. Pd-doped Cu wire exhibits larger time-to-failure and cycles-to-failure in both wearout reliability tests in Highly Accelerated Temperature and Humidity (HAST) and Temperature Cycling (TC) tests. This proves Pd-doped Cu wire has a greater potential and higher reliability margin compared to Au and Pd-coated Cu wires. PMID:24244344

  8. Parametric statistical techniques for the comparative analysis of censored reliability data: a review

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper summarizes part of the work carried out to date on seeking analytical solutions to the two-sample problem with censored data in the context of reliability and maintenance optimization applications. For this purpose, parametric two-sample tests for failure and censored reliability data are introduced and their applicability/effectiveness in common engineering problems is reviewed

  9. Comparative Reliability Studies and Analysis of Au, Pd-Coated Cu and Pd-Doped Cu Wire in Microelectronics Packaging

    OpenAIRE

    Chong Leong, Gan; Uda, Hashim

    2013-01-01

    This paper compares and discusses the wearout reliability and analysis of Gold (Au), Palladium (Pd) coated Cu and Pd-doped Cu wires used in fineline Ball Grid Array (BGA) package. Intermetallic compound (IMC) thickness measurement has been carried out to estimate the coefficient of diffusion (Do) under various aging conditions of different bonding wires. Wire pull and ball bond shear strengths have been analyzed and we found smaller variation in Pd-doped Cu wire compared to Au and Pd-doped Cu...

  10. Comparative study on response surfaces for reliability analysis of spatially variable soil slope

    Science.gov (United States)

    Li, Liang; Chu, Xue-song

    2015-03-01

    This paper focuses on the performance of the second-order polynomial-based response surfaces on the reliability of spatially variable soil slope. A single response surface constructed to approximate the slope system failure performance function G( X) (called single RS) and multiple response surfaces constructed on finite number of slip surfaces (called multiple RS) are developed, respectively. Single RS and multiple RS are applied to evaluate the system failure probability p f for a cohesive soil slope together with Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). It is found that p f calculated by single RS deviates significantly from that obtained by searching a large number of potential slip surfaces, and this deviation becomes insignificant with the decrease of the number of random variables or the increase of the scale of fluctuation. In other words, single RS cannot approximate G( X) with reasonable accuracy. The value of p f from multiple response surfaces fits well with that obtained by searching a large number of potential slip surfaces. That is, multiple RS can estimate G( X) with reasonable accuracy.

  11. Comparative analysis of some reliability characteristics between two dissimilar redundant systems with replacement at common cause failure

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Ibrahim Yusuf

    2013-12-01

    Full Text Available In this paper, probabilistic models for two dissimilar redundant systems with replacement at each common cause failure have been developed to analyze and compare some reliability characteristics. Two configurations are studied under the assumption that each system is replaced at the occurrence of common cause failure. Configuration I is a 3-out-of-4 cold standby system, while configuration II is 3-out-of-5 cold standby system. Explicit expressions for mean time to system failure (MTSF, steady-state availability, busy period and profit function for the three models are analyzed using Kolmogorov’s forward equations method. Comparisons are performed for specific values of system parameters. Furthermore, we compare these reliability characteristics for the two configurations and find that configuration II is more reliable and efficient than configuration I.   Keywords: Redundancy, replacement, Common cause failure.

  12. Reliability and Regression Analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lane, David M.

    This applet, by David M. Lane of Rice University, demonstrates how the reliability of X and Y affect various aspects of the regression of Y on X. Java 1.1 is required and a full set of instructions is given in order to get the full value from the applet. Exercises and definitions to key terms are also given to help students understand reliability and regression analysis.

  13. Comparative analysis of some reliability characteristics between two dissimilar redundant systems with replacement at common cause failure

    OpenAIRE

    Ibrahim Yusuf; Bashir Yusuf

    2013-01-01

    In this paper, probabilistic models for two dissimilar redundant systems with replacement at each common cause failure have been developed to analyze and compare some reliability characteristics. Two configurations are studied under the assumption that each system is replaced at the occurrence of common cause failure. Configuration I is a 3-out-of-4 cold standby system, while configuration II is 3-out-of-5 cold standby system. Explicit expressions for mean time to system failure (MTSF), stead...

  14. Risk analysis and reliability

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Mathematical foundations of risk analysis are addressed. The importance of having the same probability space in order to compare different experiments is pointed out. Then the following topics are discussed: consequences as random variables with infinite expectations; the phenomenon of rare events; series-parallel systems and different kinds of randomness that could be imposed on such systems; and the problem of consensus of estimates of expert opinion

  15. Reliability Analysis Model

    Science.gov (United States)

    1970-01-01

    RAM program determines probability of success for one or more given objectives in any complex system. Program includes failure mode and effects, criticality and reliability analyses, and some aspects of operations, safety, flight technology, systems design engineering, and configuration analyses.

  16. Integrating reliability analysis and design

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This report describes the Interactive Reliability Analysis Project and demonstrates the advantages of using computer-aided design systems (CADS) in reliability analysis. Common cause failure problems require presentations of systems, analysis of fault trees, and evaluation of solutions to these. Results have to be communicated between the reliability analyst and the system designer. Using a computer-aided design system saves time and money in the analysis of design. Computer-aided design systems lend themselves to cable routing, valve and switch lists, pipe routing, and other component studies. At EG and G Idaho, Inc., the Applicon CADS is being applied to the study of water reactor safety systems

  17. NPP's auxiliaries reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The role of NPP auxiliaries (valves, heat-exchange equipment, water treatment equipment) in the provision of reliable and safe operation of NPPs with WWER-1000 and RBMK-1000 type reactors is evaluated. Basic indices of the auxiliary equipment safety are considered. A conclusion is drawn, that the auxiliary equipment is of sufficient (if not the leading) value in the provision of the NPP radiation safety being the main element of water treatment and NPP safety systems, which requires a high quality of its designing, production and operation directed to achieving the assigned reliability indices

  18. Cost analysis of reliability investigations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Taking Epsteins testing theory as a basis, premisses are formulated for the selection of cost-optimized reliability inspection plans. Using an example, the expected testing costs and inspection time periods of various inspection plan types, standardized on the basis of the exponential distribution, are compared. It can be shown that sequential reliability tests usually involve lower costs than failure or time-fixed tests. The most 'costly' test is to be expected with the inspection plan type NOt. (orig.)

  19. Reliability analysis and operator modelling

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The paper considers the state of operator modelling in reliability analysis. Operator models are needed in reliability analysis because operators are needed in process control systems. HRA methods must therefore be able to account both for human performance variability and for the dynamics of the interaction. A selected set of first generation HRA approaches is briefly described in terms of the operator model they use, their classification principle, and the actual method they propose. In addition, two examples of second generation methods are also considered. It is concluded that first generation HRA methods generally have very simplistic operator models, either referring to the time-reliability relationship or to elementary information processing concepts. It is argued that second generation HRA methods must recognise that cognition is embedded in a context, and be able to account for that in the way human reliability is analysed and assessed

  20. Reliability analysis of Angra I safety systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    An extensive reliability analysis of some safety systems of Angra I, are presented. The fault tree technique, which has been successfully used in most reliability studies of nuclear safety systems performed to date is employed. Results of a quantitative determination of the unvailability of the accumulator and the containment spray injection systems are presented. These results are also compared to those reported in WASH-1400. (E.G.)

  1. Applications of reliability degradation analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Reliability degradation analysis is the analysis of the occurrences of degradations and the times of maintenance to determine their reliability and risk implications. A program is presented for applying reliability degradation analyses to maintenance data collected at nuclear power plants. As a specific part of the program, time trending of maintenance data is illustrated. Maintenance data on residual heat removal (RHR) pumps and service water (SW) pumps at selected boiling water reactor (BWR) plants are evaluated to show how trends in maintenance data, which generally do not involve failures, can be used to understand effectiveness of maintenance. These trends also are translated to specific impacts on pump unavailability and on core-damage frequency (assuming that the trends in failure rate are the same as those observed for degradation rate). The second application shows the use of reliability degradation analysis to quantitatively evaluate the effect of maintenance, i.e., the quantitative change in component unavailability when no maintenance is performed. Assessment of these impacts are important since they measure the reliability and risk impacts of maintenance and can be fed back to the maintenance program to improve its effectiveness

  2. Reliability Analysis of Adhesive Bonded Scarf Joints

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Kimiaeifar, Amin; Toft, Henrik Stensgaard

    2012-01-01

    A probabilistic model for the reliability analysis of adhesive bonded scarfed lap joints subjected to static loading is developed. It is representative for the main laminate in a wind turbine blade subjected to flapwise bending. The structural analysis is based on a three dimensional (3D) finite element analysis (FEA). For the reliability analysis a design equation is considered which is related to a deterministic code-based design equation where reliability is secured by partial safety factors together with characteristic values for the material properties and loads. The failure criteria are formulated using a von Mises, a modified von Mises and a maximum stress failure criterion. The reliability level is estimated for the scarfed lap joint and this is compared with the target reliability level implicitly used in the wind turbine standard IEC 61400-1. A convergence study is performed to validate the FEA model, and a sensitivity analysis on the influence of various geometrical parameters and material properties on the maximum stress is conducted. Because the yield behavior of many polymeric structural adhesives is dependent on both deviatoric and hydrostatic stress components, different ratios of the compressive to tensile adhesive yield stresses in the failure criterion are considered. It is shown that the chosen failure criterion, the scarf angle and the load are significant for the assessment of the probability of failure.

  3. A Comparative Overview of Software Reliability Growth Models

    OpenAIRE

    Razeef Mohd; Quadri, S. M. K.; Nesar Ahmad

    2011-01-01

    A software reliability growth model is one of the fundamental technique to assess software reliability quantitatively. The software reliability growth model is required to have a good performance in terms of goodness-of-fit, predictability, and so forth. In this paper, we will summarize some existing Software Reliability Growth Models (SRGM’s). Our main focus in this paper will be to provide a comparative overview of the various SRGM’s in general. The comparison will mainly be on the basi...

  4. How to assess and compare inter-rater reliability, agreement and correlation of ratings: an exemplary analysis of mother-father and parent-teacher expressive vocabulary rating pairs

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    MargaritaStolarova

    2014-06-01

    Full Text Available This report has two main purposes. First, we combine well-known analytical approaches to conduct a comprehensive assessment of agreement and correlation of rating-pairs and to dis-entangle these often confused concepts, providing a best-practice example on concrete data and a tutorial for future reference. Second, we explore whether a screening questionnaire deve-loped for use with parents can be reliably employed with daycare teachers when assessing early expressive vocabulary. A total of 53 vocabulary rating pairs (34 parent-teacher and 19 mother-father pairs collected for two-year-old children (12 bilingual are evaluated. First, inter-rater reliability both within and across subgroups is assessed using the intra-class correlation coefficient (ICC. Next, based on this analysis of reliability and on the test-retest reliability of the employed tool, inter-rater agreement is analyzed, magnitude and direction of rating differences are considered. Finally, Pearson correlation coefficients of standardized vocabulary scores are calculated and compared across subgroups. The results underline the necessity to distinguish between reliability measures, agreement and correlation. They also demonstrate the impact of the employed reliability on agreement evaluations. This study provides evidence that parent-teacher ratings of children’s early vocabulary can achieve agreement and correlation comparable to those of mother-father ratings on the assessed vocabulary scale. Bilingualism of the evaluated child decreased the likelihood of raters’ agreement. We conclude that future reports of agree-ment, correlation and reliability of ratings will benefit from better definition of terms and stricter methodological approaches. The methodological tutorial provided here holds the potential to increase comparability across empirical reports and can help improve research practices and knowledge transfer to educational and therapeutic settings.

  5. Canoe slalom--competition analysis reliability.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hunter, Adam; Cochrane, Jodie; Sachlikidis, Alexi

    2007-05-01

    The aim of this study was to assess intra-observer and inter-observer reliability of data gathered from a lapsed-time time-motion analysis of canoe slalom competition. The data were collected using a definition set developed in conjunction with elite canoe slalom coaches. Competition runs from four national-standard paddlers in a national selection race were analysed in random order three times by three observers. For each run, observers identified various events specific to canoe slalom, including time taken between gates, touched and missed gates, turn times, major and minor avoidance, rolls, paddle in and out of water times, and stroke classification. The error of measurement was determined for each of these variables. For time taken between gates and turn times, the error was < or = 0.21 and < or = 0.39 s for intra-observer and inter-observer analysis, respectively. The error for stroke in and out of water times was < or = 0.08 and < or = 0.13 s for intra-observer and inter-observer analysis, respectively. Analysis of stroke classification identification for intra-observer comparisons revealed that 91% of the time identical stroke identification occurred. Inter-observer analysis revealed identical stroke identification was achieved 81% of the time. These reliability data compare favourably with previous time-motion analysis in other sports using fewer variables. PMID:17892093

  6. A Comparative Overview of Software Reliability Growth Models

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Razeef Mohd

    2011-02-01

    Full Text Available A software reliability growth model is one of the fundamental technique to assess software reliability quantitatively. The software reliability growth model is required to have a good performance in terms of goodness-of-fit, predictability, and so forth. In this paper, we will summarize some existing Software Reliability Growth Models (SRGM’s. Our main focus in this paper will be to provide a comparative overview of the various SRGM’s in general. The comparison will mainly be on the basis of what type of Testing-Effort Function (TEF is used by which type of probability distribution function, to describe Testing-Effort curve. First, we provide overview of Software Reliability and Software Reliability Growth Model. Next, with the intention of comparing various SRGMs we provide the Testing Effort Functions (TEFs given by various researchers. Then actual software data from the software projects have been used to demonstrate the comparison of SRGMs. The evaluation results from the various SRGMs are analyzed and compared to show which SRGM has fairly better prediction in estimating number of remaining faults, expected number of errors, future failure behavior from present and past failures, optimal release time and which SRGM comparatively describes the actual expenditure pattern more faithfully during software development process.

  7. Discrete event simulation versus conventional system reliability analysis approaches

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Kozine, Igor

    2010-01-01

    Discrete Event Simulation (DES) environments are rapidly developing and appear to be promising tools for building reliability and risk analysis models of safety-critical systems and human operators. If properly developed, they are an alternative to the conventional human reliability analysis models and systems analysis methods such as fault and event trees and Bayesian networks. As one part, the paper describes briefly the author’s experience in applying DES models to the analysis of safety-critical systems in different domains. The other part of the paper is devoted to comparing conventional approaches to system reliability analysis with DES.

  8. Creep-rupture reliability analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Peralta-Duran, A.; Wirsching, P. H.

    1985-01-01

    A probabilistic approach to the correlation and extrapolation of creep-rupture data is presented. Time temperature parameters (TTP) are used to correlate the data, and an analytical expression for the master curve is developed. The expression provides a simple model for the statistical distribution of strength and fits neatly into a probabilistic design format. The analysis focuses on the Larson-Miller and on the Manson-Haferd parameters, but it can be applied to any of the TTP's. A method is developed for evaluating material dependent constants for TTP's. It is shown that optimized constants can provide a significant improvement in the correlation of the data, thereby reducing modelling error. Attempts were made to quantify the performance of the proposed method in predicting long term behavior. Uncertainty in predicting long term behavior from short term tests was derived for several sets of data. Examples are presented which illustrate the theory and demonstrate the application of state of the art reliability methods to the design of components under creep.

  9. A comparative method for improving the reliability of brittle components

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Calculating the absolute reliability built in a product is often an extremely difficult task because of the complexity of the physical processes and physical mechanisms underlying the failure modes, the complex influence of the environment and the operational loads, the variability associated with reliability-critical design parameters and the non-robustness of the prediction models. Predicting the probability of failure of loaded components with complex shape for example is associated with uncertainty related to: the type of existing flaws initiating fracture, the size distributions of the flaws, the locations and the orientations of the flaws and the microstructure and its local properties. Capturing these types of uncertainty, necessary for a correct prediction of the reliability of components is a formidable task which does not need to be addressed if a comparative reliability method is employed, especially if the focus is on reliability improvement. The new comparative method for improving the resistance to failure initiated by flaws proposed here is based on an assumed failure criterion, an equation linking the probability that a flaw will be critical with the probability of failure associated with the component and a finite element solution for the distribution of the principal stresses in the loaded component. The probability that a flaw will be critical is determined directly, after a finite number of steps equal to the number of finite elements into which thhe number of finite elements into which the component is divided. An advantage of the proposed comparative method for improving the resistance to failure initiated by flaws is that it does not rely on a Monte Carlo simulation and does not depend on knowledge of the size distribution of the flaws and the material properties. This essentially eliminates uncertainty associated with the material properties and the population of flaws. On the basis of a theoretical analysis we also show that, contrary to the common belief, in general, for non-interacting flaws randomly located in a stressed volume, the distribution of the minimum failure stress is not necessarily described by a Weibull distribution. For the simple case of a single group of flaws all of which become critical beyond a particular threshold value for example, the Weibull distribution fails to predict correctly the probability of failure. If in a particular load range, no new critical flaws are created by increasing the applied stress, the Weibull distribution also fails to predict correctly the probability of failure of the component. In these cases however, the probability of failure is correctly predicted by the suggested alternative equation. The suggested equation is the correct mathematical formulation of the weakest-link concept related to random flaws in a stressed volume. The equation does not require any assumption concerning the physical nature of the flaws and the physical mechanism of failure and can be applied in any situation of locally initiated failure by non-interacting entities

  10. Power system reliability analysis using fault trees

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The power system reliability analysis method is developed from the aspect of reliable delivery of electrical energy to customers. The method is developed based on the fault tree analysis, which is widely applied in the Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA). The method is adapted for the power system reliability analysis. The method is developed in a way that only the basic reliability parameters of the analysed power system are necessary as an input for the calculation of reliability indices of the system. The modeling and analysis was performed on an example power system consisting of eight substations. The results include the level of reliability of current power system configuration, the combinations of component failures resulting in a failed power delivery to loads, and the importance factors for components and subsystems. (author)

  11. Reliability analysis of software based safety functions

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The methods applicable in the reliability analysis of software based safety functions are described in the report. Although the safety functions also include other components, the main emphasis in the report is on the reliability analysis of software. The check list type qualitative reliability analysis methods, such as failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA), are described, as well as the software fault tree analysis. The safety analysis based on the Petri nets is discussed. The most essential concepts and models of quantitative software reliability analysis are described. The most common software metrics and their combined use with software reliability models are discussed. The application of software reliability models in PSA is evaluated; it is observed that the recent software reliability models do not produce the estimates needed in PSA directly. As a result from the study some recommendations and conclusions are drawn. The need of formal methods in the analysis and development of software based systems, the applicability of qualitative reliability engineering methods in connection to PSA and the need to make more precise the requirements for software based systems and their analyses in the regulatory guides should be mentioned. (orig.). (46 refs., 13 figs., 1 tab.)

  12. On Bayesian System Reliability Analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The view taken in this thesis is that reliability, the probability that a system will perform a required function for a stated period of time, depends on a person's state of knowledge. Reliability changes as this state of knowledge changes, i.e. when new relevant information becomes available. Most existing models for system reliability prediction are developed in a classical framework of probability theory and they overlook some information that is always present. Probability is just an analytical tool to handle uncertainty, based on judgement and subjective opinions. It is argued that the Bayesian approach gives a much more comprehensive understanding of the foundations of probability than the so called frequentistic school. A new model for system reliability prediction is given in two papers. The model encloses the fact that component failures are dependent because of a shared operational environment. The suggested model also naturally permits learning from failure data of similar components in non identical environments. 85 refs

  13. Integrated Methodology for Software Reliability Analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Marian Pompiliu CRISTESCU

    2012-01-01

    Full Text Available The most used techniques to ensure safety and reliability of the systems are applied together as a whole, and in most cases, the software components are usually overlooked or to little analyzed. The present paper describes the applicability of fault trees analysis software system, analysis defined as Software Fault Tree Analysis (SFTA, fault trees are evaluated using binary decision diagrams, all of these being integrated and used with help from Java library reliability.

  14. Reliability analysis for stiff versus flexible piping

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The overall objective of this research project is to develop a technical basis for flexible piping designs which will improve piping reliability and minimize the use of pipe supports, snubbers, and pipe whip restraints. The current study was conducted to establish the necessary groundwork based on the piping reliability analysis. A confirmatory piping reliability assessment indicated that removing rigid supports and snubbers tends to either improve or affect very little the piping reliability. We then investigated a couple of changes to be implemented in Regulatory Guide (RG) 1.61 and RG 1.122 aimed at more flexible piping design. We concluded that these changes substantially reduce calculated piping responses and allows piping redesigns with significant reduction in number of supports and snubbers without violating ASME code requirements. Furthermore, the more flexible piping redesigns are capable of exhibiting reliability levels equal to or higher than the original stiffer design. An investigation of the malfunction of pipe whip restraints confirmed that the malfunction introduced higher thermal stresses and tended to reduce the overall piping reliability. Finally, support and component reliabilities were evaluated based on available fragility data. Our result indicated that the support reliability usually exhibits a moderate decrease as the piping flexibility increases. Most on-line pumps and valves showed an insignificant reduction in reliability for a more flexibreduction in reliability for a more flexible piping design. (orig.)

  15. Reliability analysis of stiff versus flexible piping

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The overall objective of this research project is to develop a technical basis for flexible piping designs which will improve piping reliability and minimize the use of pipe supports, snubbers, and pipe whip restraints. The current study was conducted to establish the necessary groundwork based on the piping reliability analysis. A confirmatory piping reliability assessment indicated that removing rigid supports and snubbers tends to either improve or affect very little the piping reliability. The authors then investigated a couple of changes to be implemented in Regulatory Guide (RG) 1.61 and RG 1.122 aimed at more flexible piping design. They concluded that these changes substantially reduce calculated piping responses and allow piping redesigns with significant reduction in number of supports and snubbers without violating ASME code requirements. Furthermore, the more flexible piping redesigns are capable of exhibiting reliability levels equal to or higher than the original stiffer design. An investigation of the malfunction of pipe whip restraints confirmed that the malfunction introduced higher thermal stresses and tended to reduce the overall piping reliability. Finally, support and component reliabilities were evaluated based on available fragility data. Results indicated that the support reliability usually exhibits a moderate decrease as the piping flexibility increases. Most on-line pumps and valves showed an insignificant reduction in reliability for a moreficant reduction in reliability for a more flexible piping design

  16. How useful and reliable are disaster databases in the context of climate and global change? A comparative case study analysis in Peru

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    C. Huggel

    2014-06-01

    Full Text Available Loss and damage caused by weather and climate related disasters have increased over the past decades, and growing exposure and wealth have been identified as main drivers of this increase. Disaster databases are a primary tool for the analysis of disaster characteristics and trends at global or national scales, and support disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation. However, the quality, consistency and completeness of different disaster databases are highly variable. Even though such variation critically influences the outcome of any study, comparative analyses of different disaster databases are still rare to date. Furthermore, there is an unequal geographic distribution of current disaster trend studies, with developing countries being under-represented. Here, we analyze three different disaster databases for the developing country context of Peru; a global database (EM-DAT, a regional Latin American (DesInventar and a national database (SINPAD. The analysis is performed across three dimensions, (1 spatial scales, from local to regional (provincial and national scale; (2 time scales, from single events to decadal trends; and (3 disaster categories and metrics, including the number of disaster occurrence, and damage metrics such as people killed and affected. Results show limited changes in disaster occurrence in the Cusco and Apurímac regions in southern Peru over the past four decades, but strong trends in people affected at the national scale. We furthermore found large variations of the disaster parameters studied over different spatial and temporal scales, depending on the disaster database analyzed. We conclude and recommend that the type, method and source of documentation should be carefully evaluated for any analysis of disaster databases; reporting criteria should be improved and documentation efforts strengthened.

  17. How useful and reliable are disaster databases in the context of climate and global change? A comparative case study analysis in Peru

    Science.gov (United States)

    Huggel, C.; Raissig, A.; Rohrer, M.; Romero, G.; Diaz, A.; Salzmann, N.

    2015-03-01

    Damage caused by weather- and climate-related disasters have increased over the past decades, and growing exposure and wealth have been identified as main drivers of this increase. Disaster databases are a primary tool for the analysis of disaster characteristics and trends at global or national scales, and they support disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation. However, the quality, consistency and completeness of different disaster databases are highly variable. Even though such variation critically influences the outcome of any study, comparative analyses of different databases are still rare to date. Furthermore, there is an unequal geographic distribution of current disaster trend studies, with developing countries being underrepresented. Here, we analyze three different disaster databases in the developing-country context of Peru: a global database (Emergency Events Database: EM-DAT), a multinational Latin American database (DesInventar) and a national database (Peruvian National Information System for the Prevention of Disasters: SINPAD). The analysis is performed across three dimensions: (1) spatial scales, from local to regional (provincial) and national scale; (2) timescales, from single events to decadal trends; and (3) disaster categories and metrics, including the number of single disaster event occurrence, or people killed and affected. Results show limited changes in disaster occurrence in the Cusco and ApurÍmac regions in southern Peru over the past four decades but strong positive trends in people affected at the national scale. We furthermore found large variations of the disaster metrics studied over different spatial and temporal scales, depending on the disaster database analyzed. We conclude and recommend that the type, method and source of documentation should be carefully evaluated for any analysis of disaster databases; reporting criteria should be improved and documentation efforts strengthened.

  18. Reliability analysis of Angra I safety systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A group of individuals formed at COPPE (Coordenacao dos Programas de Pos-graduacao em Engenharia) for reliability studies in nuclear power plants, are presented. The techniques used in that analysis and some examples are presented. (E.G.)

  19. Space Mission Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) Project

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration — The purpose of this project is to extend current ground-based Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) techniques to a long-duration, space-based tool to more effectively...

  20. Reliability graph with general gates (RGGG). A novel method for reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    There are several methods for system reliability analysis such as reliability graphs, fault tree analyses, Markov chains, and Monte Carlo simulations. Among the existing methods, the reliability graphs are the most intuitive modeling method, but they are not widely used due to their limited expression power. In this paper, an intuitive and practical method for system reliability analysis named the reliability graph with general gates (RGGG) is reviewed. The proposed method introduces general gates to the conventional reliability graph method, which creates a one-to-one match from the actual structure of the system to the reliability graph of the system. A quantitative evaluation method is proposed by transforming the RGGG to an equivalent Bayesian network without losing the intuitiveness of the model. In addition, a method of analyzing the dynamic systems and repairable systems which uses the RGGG is introduced, and appropriate algorithms for the quantitative analyses are explained. It is concluded that the RGGG method is intuitive and easy-to-use in the analyses of static, dynamic, and repairable systems compared with other methods while its analysis results are the same as those of other methods. (author)

  1. Reliability analysis of steel-containment strength

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A best estimate and uncertainty assessment of the resistance of the St. Lucie, Cherokee, Perry, WPPSS and Browns Ferry containment vessels was performed. The Monte Carlo simulation technique and second moment approach were compared as a means of calculating the probability distribution of the containment resistance. A uniform static internal pressure was used and strain ductility was taken as the failure criterion. Approximate methods were developed and calibrated with finite element analysis. Both approximate and finite element analyses were performed on the axisymmetric containment structure. An uncertainty assessment of the containment strength was then performed by the second moment reliability method. Based upon the approximate methods, the cumulative distribution for the resistance of each of the five containments (shell modes only) is presented

  2. Reliability Generalization (RG) Analysis: The Test Is Not Reliable

    Science.gov (United States)

    Warne, Russell

    2008-01-01

    Literature shows that most researchers are unaware of some of the characteristics of reliability. This paper clarifies some misconceptions by describing the procedures, benefits, and limitations of reliability generalization while using it to illustrate the nature of score reliability. Reliability generalization (RG) is a meta-analytic method…

  3. Reliability analysis techniques for the design engineer

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper describes a fault tree analysis package that eliminates most of the housekeeping tasks involved in proceeding from the initial construction of a fault tree to the final stage of presenting a reliability analysis in a safety report. It is suitable for designers with relatively little training in reliability analysis and computer operation. Users can rapidly investigate the reliability implications of various options at the design stage and evolve a system which meets specified reliability objectives. Later independent review is thus unlikely to reveal major shortcomings necessitating modification and project delays. The package operates interactively, allowing the user to concentrate on the creative task of developing the system fault tree, which may be modified and displayed graphically. For preliminary analysis, system data can be derived automatically from a generic data bank. As the analysis proceeds, improved estimates of critical failure rates and test and maintenance schedules can be inserted. The technique is applied to the reliability analysis of the recently upgraded HIFAR Containment Isolation System. (author)

  4. Reliability Analysis of Data Storage Systems

    OpenAIRE

    Venkatesan, Vinodh

    2012-01-01

    Modern data storage systems are extremely large and consist of several tens or hundreds of nodes. In such systems, node failures are daily events, and safeguarding data from them poses a serious design challenge. The focus of this thesis is on the data reliability analysis of storage systems and, in particular, on the effect of different design choices and parameters on the system reliability. Data redundancy, in the form of replication or advanced erasure codes, is used to protect data from ...

  5. Reliability analysis of the RRV-1 robot

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The remote reconnaissance vehicle (RRV) has been deployed to take radiation readings and video recordings of the inaccessible basement elevation of the Three Mile Island Unit 2 reactor building. In the event of its failure, the RRV could not be manually retrieved due to the high radiation levels; thus, a reliability analysis was conducted to identify faults that could render the RRV irretrievable. A reliability improvement strategy based on the analysis results was developed and implemented. The analysis and conclusions are described in the paper

  6. RHR system reliability analysis of Krsko NPP

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this paper Systems reliability analysis is applied to residual heat Removal System in Krsko NPP. Fault tree method is used. Qualitative analysis of the fault tree was made using FTAP-2 computer code, and quantitative using IMPORT code. results are evaluated and their possible application is given. (author)

  7. Comparative risk analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this paper, the risks of various energy systems are discussed considering severe accidents analysis, particularly the probabilistic safety analysis, and probabilistic safety criteria, and the applications of these criteria and analysis. The comparative risk analysis has demonstrated that the largest source of risk in every society is from daily small accidents. Nevertheless, we have to be more concerned about severe accidents. The comparative risk analysis of five different energy systems (coal, oil, gas, LWR and STEC (Solar)) for the public has shown that the main sources of risks are coal and oil. The latest comparative risk study of various energy has been conducted in the USA and has revealed that the number of victims from coal is 42 as many than victims from nuclear. A study for severe accidents from hydro-dams in United States has estimated the probability of dam failures at 1 in 10,000 years and the number of victims between 11,000 and 260,000. The average occupational risk from coal is one fatal accident in 1,000 workers/year. The probabilistic safety analysis is a method that can be used to assess nuclear energy risks, and to analyze the severe accidents, and to model all possible accident sequences and consequences. The 'Fault tree' analysis is used to know the probability of failure of the different systems at each point of accident sequences and to calculate the probability of risks. After calculating the probability of failure, the criteria for judginbility of failure, the criteria for judging the numerical results have to be developed, that is the quantitative and qualitative goals. To achieve these goals, several systems have been devised by various countries members of AIEA. The probabilistic safety ana-lysis method has been developed by establishing a computer program permit-ting to know different categories of safety related information. 19 tabs. (author)

  8. Reliability analysis of ship structure system with multi-defects

    Science.gov (United States)

    An, Hai; An, Weigang; Zhao, Weitao

    2010-11-01

    This paper analyzes the influence of multi-defects including the initial distortions, welding residual stresses, cracks and local dents on the ultimate strength of the plate element, and has worked out expressions of reliability calculation and sensitivity analysis of the plate element. Reliability analysis is made for the system with multi-defects plate elements. Failure mechanism, failure paths and the calculating approach to global reliability index are also worked out. After plate elements with multi-defects fail, the formula of reverse node forces which affect the residual structure is deduced, so are the sensitivity expressions of the system reliability index. This ensures calculating accuracy and rationality for reliability analysis, and makes it convenient to find weakness plate elements which affect the reliability of the structure system. Finally, for the validity of the approach proposed, we take the numerical example of a ship cabin to compare and contrast the reliability and the sensitivity analysis of the structure system with multi-defects with those of the structure system with no defects. The approach has implications for the structure design, rational maintenance and renewing strategy.

  9. Large-scale reliability analysis by decomposition and integration

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this decade, the risk analysis for light water reactor nuclear power plants and other related facilities has become of remarkable importance. However, the plants or facilities to be analyzed are, in most cases, large-scale and complicated. Fault tree analysis for such a large-scale and complicated system often requires extremely time- and cost-consuming works. In this paper, a new method for the reliability analysis of the large-scale and complicated system (large-scale reliability analysis, hereinafter) is presented. The method enables the large-scale reliability analysis to be carried out practically and efficiently by decomposing the system into several subsystems and integrating the results obtained through reliability analyses for subsystems. For the demonstration of the methodology, a reliability analysis for a safety-related system of BWR nuclear power plants is provided. The merits of the method are confirmed by this application and the validity is shown by comparing the result with that of Interim Reliability Evaluation Program

  10. Reliability analysis of HVDC grid combined with power flow simulations

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Yang, Yongtao; Langeland, Tore; Solvik, Johan [DNV AS, Hoevik (Norway); Stewart, Emma [DNV KEMA, Camino Ramon, CA (United States)

    2012-07-01

    Based on a DC grid power flow solver and the proposed GEIR, we carried out reliability analysis for a HVDC grid test system proposed by CIGRE working group B4-58, where the failure statistics are collected from literature survey. The proposed methodology is used to evaluate the impact of converter configuration on the overall reliability performance of the HVDC grid, where the symmetrical monopole configuration is compared with the bipole with metallic return wire configuration. The results quantify the improvement on reliability by using the later alternative. (orig.)

  11. Reliability modelling and analysis of thermal MEMS

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Muratet, Sylvaine [LAAS-CNRS 7, avenue du Colonel Roche 31077 TOULOUSE Cedex (France); Lavu, Srikanth [MIcroSystems Engineering Centre, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, Scotland (United Kingdom); Fourniols, Jean-Yves [LAAS-CNRS 7, avenue du Colonel Roche 31077 TOULOUSE Cedex (France); Bell, George [Institute for System Level Integration, Alba Centre, Alba Campus, Livingston EH54 7EG, Scotland (United Kingdom); Desmulliez, Marc P Y [MIcroSystems Engineering Centre, Heriot-Watt University, Edinburgh EH14 4AS, Scotland (United Kingdom)

    2006-04-01

    This paper presents a MEMS reliability study methodology based on the novel concept of 'virtual prototyping'. This methodology can be used for the development of reliable sensors or actuators and also to characterize their behaviour in specific use conditions and applications. The methodology is demonstrated on the U-shaped micro electro thermal actuator used as test vehicle. To demonstrate this approach, a 'virtual prototype' has been developed with the modeling tools MatLab and VHDL-AMS. A best practice FMEA (Failure Mode and Effect Analysis) is applied on the thermal MEMS to investigate and assess the failure mechanisms. Reliability study is performed by injecting the identified defaults into the 'virtual prototype'. The reliability characterization methodology predicts the evolution of the behavior of these MEMS as a function of the number of cycles of operation and specific operational conditions.

  12. Failure data and system reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Discussions are given for the meanings of risk and safety assessment. Handling of data is important in the quest to perform probabilistic safety assessments (PSAs). Distribution functions of failure data and related statistical quantities are explained in details. Some topics regarding reliability analysis are also introduced in this lecture note. They include maintenance activity, matrix expressions of maintained systems, Boolean expression of a system reliability and analysis method for loop structures. Finally, dependent failure and common cause failure are discussed, paying much attention to the models of common cause failure (CCF). (author)

  13. Culture Representation in Human Reliability Analysis

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    David Gertman; Julie Marble; Steven Novack

    2006-12-01

    Understanding human-system response is critical to being able to plan and predict mission success in the modern battlespace. Commonly, human reliability analysis has been used to predict failures of human performance in complex, critical systems. However, most human reliability methods fail to take culture into account. This paper takes an easily understood state of the art human reliability analysis method and extends that method to account for the influence of culture, including acceptance of new technology, upon performance. The cultural parameters used to modify the human reliability analysis were determined from two standard industry approaches to cultural assessment: Hofstede’s (1991) cultural factors and Davis’ (1989) technology acceptance model (TAM). The result is called the Culture Adjustment Method (CAM). An example is presented that (1) reviews human reliability assessment with and without cultural attributes for a Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition (SCADA) system attack, (2) demonstrates how country specific information can be used to increase the realism of HRA modeling, and (3) discusses the differences in human error probability estimates arising from cultural differences.

  14. Reliability Analysis of a Steel Frame

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    M. Sýkora

    2002-01-01

    Full Text Available A steel frame with haunches is designed according to Eurocodes. The frame is exposed to self-weight, snow, and wind actions. Lateral-torsional buckling appears to represent the most critical criterion, which is considered as a basis for the limit state function. In the reliability analysis, the probabilistic models proposed by the Joint Committee for Structural Safety (JCSS are used for basic variables. The uncertainty model coefficients take into account the inaccuracy of the resistance model for the haunched girder and the inaccuracy of the action effect model. The time invariant reliability analysis is based on Turkstra's rule for combinations of snow and wind actions. The time variant analysis describes snow and wind actions by jump processes with intermittencies. Assuming a 50-year lifetime, the obtained values of the reliability index b vary within the range from 3.95 up to 5.56. The cross-profile IPE 330 designed according to Eurocodes seems to be adequate. It appears that the time invariant reliability analysis based on Turkstra's rule provides considerably lower values of b than those obtained by the time variant analysis.

  15. Small nuclear power reactor emergency electric power supply system reliability comparative analysis; Analise da confiabilidade do sistema de suprimento de energia eletrica de emergencia de um reator nuclear de pequeno porte

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Bonfietti, Gerson

    2003-07-01

    This work presents an analysis of the reliability of the emergency power supply system, of a small size nuclear power reactor. Three different configurations are investigated and their reliability analyzed. The fault tree method is used as the main tool of analysis. The work includes a bibliographic review of emergency diesel generator reliability and a discussion of the design requirements applicable to emergency electrical systems. The influence of common cause failure influences is considered using the beta factor model. The operator action is considered using human failure probabilities. A parametric analysis shows the strong dependence between the reactor safety and the loss of offsite electric power supply. It is also shown that common cause failures can be a major contributor to the system reliability. (author)

  16. TRIGA - INR research reactor reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    For a better operation we have to find and use every day new methods and strategies, based on the newest scientific and technical discoveries. Among such new techniques we could quote the probabilistic assessments. Probabilistic safety and statistical analysis provided insights useful for the reactor operation. The TRIGA Materials Test and Research reactor was commissioned at the beginning of 1980. Since then there were made extended tests on CANDU type fuel and structural materials. During the reactor operations there were unexpected shutdowns and failures of diverse reactor components. The data collected were statistically processed in order to obtain a reliability data base. This paper tried, indifferently of the cause, to analyze thoroughly the events. The study emphasizes that the most reactor's scrams took place in the first year of operation. The scrams number began to diminish thereafter but in the end of eighties it began to increase again. The greatest number of scrams were caused by the reactor electrical control and instrumentation. An important number of scrams were caused by the irradiation devices. The main conclusion of this study is that the insights are very useful to our operational procedures, to improve the maintenance strategy and the logbook recording. The data collected are useful to be compared with similar data bases for other research reactors. (authors)

  17. Reliability Analysis of Structural Timber Systems

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    SØrensen, John Dalsgaard; Hoffmeyer, P.

    2000-01-01

    Structural systems like timber trussed rafters and roof elements made of timber can be expected to have some degree of redundancy and nonlinear/plastic behaviour when the loading consists of for example snow or imposed load. In this paper this system effect is modelled and the statistic characteristics of the load-bearing capacity is estimated in the form of a characteristic value and a coefficient of variation. These two values are of primary importance for codes of practice based on the partial safety factor format since the partial safety factor is closely related to the coefficient of variation. In the paper a stochastic model is described for the strength of a single piece of timber taking into account the stochastic variation of the strength and stiffness with length. Also stochastic models for different types of loads are formulated. First, simple representative systems with different types of redundancy and non-linearity are considered. The statistical characteristics of the load bearing capacity aredetermined by reliability analysis. Next, more complex systems are considered modelling the mechanical behaviour of timber roof elements I stressed skin panels made of timber. Using the above stochastic models, statistical characteristics (distribution function, 5% quantile and coefficient of variation) are determined. Generally, the results show that taking the system effects into account the characteristic load bearing capacity can be increased and the partial safety factor decreased compared to the values obtained if the system effects are not considered.

  18. A reliability analysis for the grinding process

    OpenAIRE

    Tolvanen, Pekka

    2011-01-01

    This Bachelor’s thesis was made in collaboration with the Service Product Center Espoo of Outotec (Finland) Oy during the spring semester 2011. The main objectives of this thesis were to create a reliability analysis of the mineral enrichment process grinding circuit and to examine the possibilities for the analysis as a company’s new service product. The scope for this thesis was limited by the mandator. As the machinery of the process industry is getting older, the role of maintenance ...

  19. Comparative reliability of cheiloscopy and palatoscopy in human identification

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Sharma Preeti

    2009-01-01

    Full Text Available Background: Establishing a person?s identity in postmortem scenarios can be a very difficult process. Dental records, fingerprint and DNA comparisons are probably the most common techniques used in this context, allowing fast and reliable identification processes. However, under certain circumstances they cannot always be used; sometimes it is necessary to apply different and less known techniques. In forensic identification, lip prints and palatal rugae patterns can lead us to important information and help in a person?s identification. This study aims to ascertain the use of lip prints and palatal rugae pattern in identification and sex differentiation. Materials and Methods: A total of 100 subjects, 50 males and 50 females were selected from among the students of Subharti Dental College, Meerut. The materials used to record lip prints were lipstick, bond paper, cellophane tape, a brush for applying the lipstick, and a magnifying lens. To study palatal rugae, alginate impressions were taken and the dental casts analyzed for their various patterns. Results: Statistical analysis (applying Z-test for proportion showed significant difference for type I, I?, IV and V lip patterns (P < 0.05 in males and females, while no significant difference was observed for the same in the palatal rugae patterns (P > 0.05. Conclusion: This study not only showed that palatal rugae and lip prints are unique to an individual, but also that lip prints is more reliable for recognition of the sex of an individual.

  20. Reflections on the perspectives of reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Current reliability technology and availability of reliability data enable meaningful analyses to be carried out for the quantified reliability and safety values of many types of systems. This does not necessarily mean that precise numeric values can be obtained and interpreted. It rather means that answers can be produced within an acceptable degree of accuracy and used as a basis for decision making. Improvements in existing techniques and data are still required and further validation is necessary. However, there appears to be problems in the grey area between deterministic analysis and statistically meaningful probabilistic analysis. These problems relate to what may be described as 'rare' events. Such events may require important considerations both within and outside the practical systems being studied. Three main facets seem to need further attention: methods for recognizing rare events of significance, techniques for describing and enumerating the patterns of rare event occurrences and means for communicating the results of such enumerations. Even with current techniques it is often the lessons learnt about system behaviour which arise from the attempt to quantify reliability and the discipline of thought which comes out of the process of analysis which are more important than the attainment of a precise numeric answer at the end of the day

  1. Reliability and risk analysis methods research plan

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This document presents a plan for reliability and risk analysis methods research to be performed mainly by the Reactor Risk Branch (RRB), Division of Risk Analysis and Operations (DRAO), Office of Nuclear Regulatory Research. It includes those activities of other DRAO branches which are very closely related to those of the RRB. Related or interfacing programs of other divisions, offices and organizations are merely indicated. The primary use of this document is envisioned as an NRC working document, covering about a 3-year period, to foster better coordination in reliability and risk analysis methods development between the offices of Nuclear Regulatory Research and Nuclear Reactor Regulation. It will also serve as an information source for contractors and others to more clearly understand the objectives, needs, programmatic activities and interfaces together with the overall logical structure of the program

  2. Human reliability analysis of control room operators

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Santos, Isaac J.A.L.; Carvalho, Paulo Victor R.; Grecco, Claudio H.S. [Instituto de Engenharia Nuclear (IEN), Rio de Janeiro, RJ (Brazil)

    2005-07-01

    Human reliability is the probability that a person correctly performs some system required action in a required time period and performs no extraneous action that can degrade the system Human reliability analysis (HRA) is the analysis, prediction and evaluation of work-oriented human performance using some indices as human error likelihood and probability of task accomplishment. Significant progress has been made in the HRA field during the last years, mainly in nuclear area. Some first-generation HRA methods were developed, as THERP (Technique for human error rate prediction). Now, an array of called second-generation methods are emerging as alternatives, for instance ATHEANA (A Technique for human event analysis). The ergonomics approach has as tool the ergonomic work analysis. It focus on the study of operator's activities in physical and mental form, considering at the same time the observed characteristics of operator and the elements of the work environment as they are presented to and perceived by the operators. The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology to analyze the human reliability of the operators of industrial plant control room, using a framework that includes the approach used by ATHEANA, THERP and the work ergonomics analysis. (author)

  3. ZERBERUS - the code for reliability analysis of crack containing structures

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Brief description of the First- and Second Order Reliability Methods, being the theoretical background of the code, is given. The code structure is described in detail, with special emphasis to the new application fields. The numerical example investigates failure probability of steam generator tubing affected by stress corrosion cracking. The changes necessary to accommodate this analysis within the ZERBERUS code are explained. Analysis results are compared to different Monte Carlo techniques. (orig./HP)

  4. Sensitivity analysis in a structural reliability context

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This thesis' subject is sensitivity analysis in a structural reliability context. The general framework is the study of a deterministic numerical model that allows to reproduce a complex physical phenomenon. The aim of a reliability study is to estimate the failure probability of the system from the numerical model and the uncertainties of the inputs. In this context, the quantification of the impact of the uncertainty of each input parameter on the output might be of interest. This step is called sensitivity analysis. Many scientific works deal with this topic but not in the reliability scope. This thesis' aim is to test existing sensitivity analysis methods, and to propose more efficient original methods. A bibliographical step on sensitivity analysis on one hand and on the estimation of small failure probabilities on the other hand is first proposed. This step raises the need to develop appropriate techniques. Two variables ranking methods are then explored. The first one proposes to make use of binary classifiers (random forests). The second one measures the departure, at each step of a subset method, between each input original density and the density given the subset reached. A more general and original methodology reflecting the impact of the input density modification on the failure probability is then explored. The proposed methods are then applied on the CWNR case, which motivates this thesis. (author)

  5. Structural reliability analysis and seismic risk assessment

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper presents a reliability analysis method for safety evaluation of nuclear structures. By utilizing this method, it is possible to estimate the limit state probability in the lifetime of structures and to generate analytically the fragility curves for PRA studies. The earthquake ground acceleration, in this approach, is represented by a segment of stationary Gaussian process with a zero mean and a Kanai-Tajimi Spectrum. All possible seismic hazard at a site represented by a hazard curve is also taken into consideration. Furthermore, the limit state of a structure is analytically defined and the corresponding limit state surface is then established. Finally, the fragility curve is generated and the limit state probability is evaluated. In this paper, using a realistic reinforced concrete containment as an example, results of the reliability analysis of the containment subjected to dead load, live load and ground earthquake acceleration are presented and a fragility curve for PRA studies is also constructed

  6. System reliability analysis with natural language and expert's subjectivity

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper introduces natural language expressions and expert's subjectivity to system reliability analysis. To this end, this paper defines a subjective measure of reliability and presents the method of the system reliability analysis using the measure. The subjective measure of reliability corresponds to natural language expressions of reliability estimation, which is represented by a fuzzy set defined on [0,1]. The presented method deals with the dependence among subsystems and employs parametrized operations of subjective measures of reliability which can reflect expert 's subjectivity towards the analyzed system. The analysis results are also expressed by linguistic terms. Finally this paper gives an example of the system reliability analysis by the presented method

  7. Seismic reliability analysis of vertical pumps

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper deals with the evaluation of the cumulative damage of a vertical pump's rotor shaft subjected to earthquake excitation. The equation of motion is derived, and the behavior of the rotor is calculated. The torsional moment due to the collision is calculated and used to evaluate the cumulative damage of the shaft. From this analysis, it is clear that the shaft of the vertical pump for a nuclear power plant has enough reliability to withstand earthquake excitation. (author)

  8. The quantitative failure of human reliability analysis

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Bennett, C.T.

    1995-07-01

    This philosophical treatise argues the merits of Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) in the context of the nuclear power industry. Actually, the author attacks historic and current HRA as having failed in informing policy makers who make decisions based on risk that humans contribute to systems performance. He argues for an HRA based on Bayesian (fact-based) inferential statistics, which advocates a systems analysis process that employs cogent heuristics when using opinion, and tempers itself with a rational debate over the weight given subjective and empirical probabilities.

  9. Infusing Reliability Techniques into Software Safety Analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Shi, Ying

    2015-01-01

    Software safety analysis for a large software intensive system is always a challenge. Software safety practitioners need to ensure that software related hazards are completely identified, controlled, and tracked. This paper discusses in detail how to incorporate the traditional reliability techniques into the entire software safety analysis process. In addition, this paper addresses how information can be effectively shared between the various practitioners involved in the software safety analyses. The author has successfully applied the approach to several aerospace applications. Examples are provided to illustrate the key steps of the proposed approach.

  10. A comparative study on the reliability criteria determination

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    There are two methods to determine the reliability criteria for maintenance effectiveness monitoring; using the failure probability, and the importance from PRA. Comparisons of the results from these two methods provides an insight on the relevancy of setting the reliability criteria to improve the maintenance effectiveness. (author)

  11. Research on reliability analysis application in PHWR type nuclear power plants

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The main topic of this study is the research on reliability analysis application in PHWR type nuclear power plants. For this topic, traditional Canadian reliability assessment methodology was compared to the risk-informed application methodology which is an issue, and the applicable reliability assessment methodology

  12. Reliability analysis of the diesel generators

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Operating Experience of the Diesel generators of the Italian Nuclear Power Plants has been analysed, in order to evaluate their quality level in comparison with the requirements defined in the design and to identify possible improving measures to be implemented both on operating and under construction plants. The collected data have been classified and elaborated, with the purpose to evaluate availability on demand and reliability in operation for each diesel. A comparison between the calculated reliability parameters and the corresponding international ones was also performed. Recurring failure modes were specifically analysed. In addition, an analysis of homogeneity for the diesels of the same plant and of all the plants is reported as well. In such a way, some critical subsystems of DGs has been identified. Moreover hardware modifications and surveillance program improvements have been found out, such to ensure better performance of the on-site electric power system

  13. Advances in human reliability analysis in Mexico

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) is a very important part of Probabilistic Risk Analysis (PRA), and constant work is dedicated to improving methods, guidance and data in order to approach realism in the results as well as looking for ways to use these to reduce accident frequency at plants. Further, in order to advance in these areas, several HRA studies are being performed globally. Mexico has participated in the International HRA Empirical study with the objective of -benchmarking- HRA methods by comparing HRA predictions to actual crew performance in a simulator, as well as in the empirical study on a US nuclear power plant currently in progress. The focus of the first study was the development of an understanding of how methods are applied by various analysts, and characterize the methods for their capability to guide the analysts to identify potential human failures, and associated causes and performance shaping factors. The HRA benchmarking study has been performed by using the Halden simulator, 14 European crews, and 15 HRA equipment s (NRC, EPRI, and foreign HRA equipment s using different HRA methods). This effort in Mexico is reflected through the work being performed on updating the Laguna Verde PRA to comply with the ASME PRA standard. In order to be considered an HRA with technical adequacy, that is, be considered as a capability category II, for risk-informed applications, the methodology used for the HRA in the original PRA is not considered sufficientloriginal PRA is not considered sufficiently detailed, and the methodology had to upgraded. The HCR/CBDT/THERP method was chosen, since this is used in many nuclear plants with similar design. The HRA update includes identification and evaluation of human errors that can occur during testing and maintenance, as well as human errors that can occur during an accident using the Emergency Operating Procedures. The review of procedures for maintenance, surveillance and operation is a necessary step in HRA and provides insight into the possible mechanisms for human error at the plant. (Author)

  14. Reliability Analysis Techniques for Communication Networks in Nuclear Power Plant

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The objectives of this project is to investigate and study existing reliability analysis techniques for communication networks in order to develop reliability analysis models for nuclear power plant's safety-critical networks. It is necessary to make a comprehensive survey of current methodologies for communication network reliability. Major outputs of this study are design characteristics of safety-critical communication networks, efficient algorithms for quantifying reliability of communication networks, and preliminary models for assessing reliability of safety-critical communication networks

  15. Multiaxial fatigue reliability analysis of railroad wheels

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A general methodology for fatigue reliability degradation of railroad wheels is proposed in this paper. Both fatigue crack initiation and crack propagation life are included in the proposed methodology using previously developed multiaxial fatigue models by the same authors. A response surface method in conjunction with design of experiments is used to develop a closed form approximation of the fatigue damage accumulation with respect to the input random variables. The total fatigue life of railroad wheels under stochastic loading is simulated, accounting for the spatial and temporal randomness of the fatigue damage. The field observations of railroad wheel fatigue failures are compared with the numerical predictions using the proposed methodology

  16. Structural reliability analysis based on the cokriging technique

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Approximation methods are widely used in structural reliability analysis because they are simple to create and provide explicit functional relationships between the responses and variables in stead of the implicit limit state function. Recently, the kriging method which is a semi-parameter interpolation technique that can be used for deterministic optimization and structural reliability has gained popularity. However, to fully exploit the kriging method, especially in high-dimensional problems, a large number of sample points should be generated to fill the design space and this can be very expensive and even impractical in practical engineering analysis. Therefore, in this paper, a new method-the cokriging method, which is an extension of kriging, is proposed to calculate the structural reliability. cokriging approximation incorporates secondary information such as the values of the gradients of the function being approximated. This paper explores the use of the cokriging method for structural reliability problems by comparing it with the Kriging method based on some numerical examples. The results indicate that the cokriging procedure described in this work can generate approximation models to improve on the accuracy and efficiency for structural reliability problems and is a viable alternative to the kriging.

  17. Improved reliability analysis method based on the failure assessment diagram

    Science.gov (United States)

    Zhou, Yu; Zhang, Zheng; Zhong, Qunpeng

    2012-07-01

    With the uncertainties related to operating conditions, in-service non-destructive testing (NDT) measurements and material properties considered in the structural integrity assessment, probabilistic analysis based on the failure assessment diagram (FAD) approach has recently become an important concern. However, the point density revealing the probabilistic distribution characteristics of the assessment points is usually ignored. To obtain more detailed and direct knowledge from the reliability analysis, an improved probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) assessment method is proposed. By integrating 2D kernel density estimation (KDE) technology into the traditional probabilistic assessment, the probabilistic density of the randomly distributed assessment points is visualized in the assessment diagram. Moreover, a modified interval sensitivity analysis is implemented and compared with probabilistic sensitivity analysis. The improved reliability analysis method is applied to the assessment of a high pressure pipe containing an axial internal semi-elliptical surface crack. The results indicate that these two methods can give consistent sensitivities of input parameters, but the interval sensitivity analysis is computationally more efficient. Meanwhile, the point density distribution and its contour are plotted in the FAD, thereby better revealing the characteristics of PFM assessment. This study provides a powerful tool for the reliability analysis of critical structures.

  18. A taxonomy for human reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A human interaction taxonomy (classification scheme) was developed to facilitate human reliability analysis in a probabilistic safety evaluation of a nuclear power plant, being performed at Ontario Hydro. A human interaction occurs, by definition, when operators or maintainers manipulate, or respond to indication from, a plant component or system. The taxonomy aids the fault tree analyst by acting as a heuristic device. It helps define the range and type of human errors to be identified in the construction of fault trees, while keeping the identification by different analysts consistent. It decreases the workload associated with preliminary quantification of the large number of identified interactions by including a category called 'simple interactions'. Fault tree analysts quantify these according to a procedure developed by a team of human reliability specialists. The interactions which do not fit into this category are called 'complex' and are quantified by the human reliability team. The taxonomy is currently being used in fault tree construction in a probabilistic safety evaluation. As far as can be determined at this early stage, the potential benefits of consistency and completeness in identifying human interactions and streamlining the initial quantification are being realized

  19. Reliability analysis of containment isolation systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This report summarizes the results of the Reliability Analysis of Containment Isolation System Project. Work was performed in five basic areas: design review, operating experience review, related research review, generic analysis and plant specific analysis. Licensee Event Reports (LERs) and Integrated Leak Rate Test (ILRT) reports provided the major sources of containment performance information used in this study. Data extracted from LERs were assembled into a computer data base. Qualitative and quantitative information developed for containment performance under normal operating conditions and design basis accidents indicate that there is room for improvement. A rough estimate of overall containment unavailability for relatively small leaks which violate plant technical specifications is 0.3. An estimate of containment unavailability due to large leakage events is in the range of 0.001 to 0.01. These estimates are dependent on several assumptions (particularly on event duration times) which are documented in the report

  20. Bayesian networks with applications in reliability analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Langseth, Helge

    2002-01-01

    A common goal of the papers in this thesis is to propose, formalize and exemplify the use of Bayesian networks as a modelling tool in reliability analysis. The papers span work in which Bayesian networks are merely used as a modelling tool (Paper I), work where models are specially designed to utilize the inference algorithms of Bayesian networks (Paper II and Paper III), and work where the focus has been on extending the applicability of Bayesian networks to very large domains (Paper IV and ...

  1. The reliability of relationship satisfaction: a reliability generalization meta-analysis.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Graham, James M; Diebels, Kate J; Barnow, Zoe B

    2011-02-01

    We conducted a reliability-generalization meta-analysis of 7 of the most frequently used measures of relationship satisfaction: the Locke-Wallace Marital Adjustment Test (LWMAT), the Kansas Marital Satisfaction Scale (KMS), the Quality of Marriage Index, the Relationship Assessment Scale, the Marital Opinion Questionnaire, Karney and Bradbury's (1997) semantic differential scale, and the Couples Satisfaction Index. Six hundred thirty-nine reliability coefficients from 398 articles and 636,806 individuals provided internal consistency reliability estimates for this meta-analysis. We present the average score reliabilities for each measure, characterize the variance in score reliabilities across studies, and consider sample and study characteristics that are predictive of score reliability. Overall, the KMS and the LWMAT appear to be the strongest and weakest measures, respectively, from a reliability perspective. We discuss the importance of considering reliability invariance when making cross-group comparisons and provide recommendations for researchers when electing a measure of relationship satisfaction. PMID:21355645

  2. RELAV - RELIABILITY/AVAILABILITY ANALYSIS PROGRAM

    Science.gov (United States)

    Bowerman, P. N.

    1994-01-01

    RELAV (Reliability/Availability Analysis Program) is a comprehensive analytical tool to determine the reliability or availability of any general system which can be modeled as embedded k-out-of-n groups of items (components) and/or subgroups. Both ground and flight systems at NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory have utilized this program. RELAV can assess current system performance during the later testing phases of a system design, as well as model candidate designs/architectures or validate and form predictions during the early phases of a design. Systems are commonly modeled as System Block Diagrams (SBDs). RELAV calculates the success probability of each group of items and/or subgroups within the system assuming k-out-of-n operating rules apply for each group. The program operates on a folding basis; i.e. it works its way towards the system level from the most embedded level by folding related groups into single components. The entire folding process involves probabilities; therefore, availability problems are performed in terms of the probability of success, and reliability problems are performed for specific mission lengths. An enhanced cumulative binomial algorithm is used for groups where all probabilities are equal, while a fast algorithm based upon "Computing k-out-of-n System Reliability", Barlow & Heidtmann, IEEE TRANSACTIONS ON RELIABILITY, October 1984, is used for groups with unequal probabilities. Inputs to the program include a description of the system and any one of the following: 1) availabilities of the items, 2) mean time between failures and mean time to repairs for the items from which availabilities are calculated, 3) mean time between failures and mission length(s) from which reliabilities are calculated, or 4) failure rates and mission length(s) from which reliabilities are calculated. The results are probabilities of success of each group and the system in the given configuration. RELAV assumes exponential failure distributions for reliability calculations and infinite repair resources for availability calculations. No more than 967 items or groups can be modeled by RELAV. If larger problems can be broken into subsystems of 967 items or less, the subsystem results can be used as item inputs to a system problem. The calculated availabilities are steady-state values. Group results are presented in the order in which they were calculated (from the most embedded level out to the system level). This provides a good mechanism to perform trade studies. Starting from the system result and working backwards, the granularity gets finer; therefore, system elements that contribute most to system degradation are detected quickly. RELAV is a C-language program originally developed under the UNIX operating system on a MASSCOMP MC500 computer. It has been modified, as necessary, and ported to an IBM PC compatible with a math coprocessor. The current version of the program runs in the DOS environment and requires a Turbo C vers. 2.0 compiler. RELAV has a memory requirement of 103 KB and was developed in 1989. RELAV is a copyrighted work with all copyright vested in NASA.

  3. SURE reliability analysis: Program and mathematics

    Science.gov (United States)

    Butler, Ricky W.; White, Allan L.

    1988-01-01

    The SURE program is a new reliability analysis tool for ultrareliable computer system architectures. The computational methods on which the program is based provide an efficient means for computing accurate upper and lower bounds for the death state probabilities of a large class of semi-Markov models. Once a semi-Markov model is described using a simple input language, the SURE program automatically computes the upper and lower bounds on the probability of system failure. A parameter of the model can be specified as a variable over a range of values directing the SURE program to perform a sensitivity analysis automatically. This feature, along with the speed of the program, makes it especially useful as a design tool.

  4. Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System (IRRAS)

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System (IRRAS) is a state-of-the-art, microcomputer-based probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) model development and analysis tool to address key nuclear plant safety issues. IRRAS is an integrated software tool that gives the user the ability to create and analyze fault trees and accident sequences using a microcomputer. This program provides functions that range from graphical fault tree construction to cut set generation and quantification. Version 1.0 of the IRRAS program was released in February of 1987. Since that time, many user comments and enhancements have been incorporated into the program providing a much more powerful and user-friendly system. This version has been designated IRRAS 4.0 and is the subject of this Reference Manual. Version 4.0 of IRRAS provides the same capabilities as Version 1.0 and adds a relational data base facility for managing the data, improved functionality, and improved algorithm performance

  5. Advancing Usability Evaluation through Human Reliability Analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper introduces a novel augmentation to the current heuristic usability evaluation methodology. The SPAR-H human reliability analysis method was developed for categorizing human performance in nuclear power plants. Despite the specialized use of SPAR-H for safety critical scenarios, the method also holds promise for use in commercial off-the-shelf software usability evaluations. The SPAR-H method shares task analysis underpinnings with human-computer interaction, and it can be easily adapted to incorporate usability heuristics as performance shaping factors. By assigning probabilistic modifiers to heuristics, it is possible to arrive at the usability error probability (UEP). This UEP is not a literal probability of error but nonetheless provides a quantitative basis to heuristic evaluation. When combined with a consequence matrix for usability errors, this method affords ready prioritization of usability issues

  6. Comparative Reliability of Two Measures of Family Functioning. Draft.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Baranowski, Tom; And Others

    The test reliability of two tests of family functioning--the Family Environment Scale (FES) and the Family Adaptability and Cohesion Evaluation Scales (FACES-II)--was studied in 111 Anglo American, Black American, and Mexican American Families. The sample included children in grades three to six, as well as adults. The FES was administered to the…

  7. Models of network reliability analysis, combinatorics, and Monte Carlo

    CERN Document Server

    Gertsbakh, Ilya B

    2009-01-01

    Unique in its approach, Models of Network Reliability: Analysis, Combinatorics, and Monte Carlo provides a brief introduction to Monte Carlo methods along with a concise exposition of reliability theory ideas. From there, the text investigates a collection of principal network reliability models, such as terminal connectivity for networks with unreliable edges and/or nodes, network lifetime distribution in the process of its destruction, network stationary behavior for renewable components, importance measures of network elements, reliability gradient, and network optimal reliability synthesis

  8. Reliability analysis of MURR safety functions

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This study investigated use of improved methods of reliability analysis (over those used in the WASH-1400 report) in reactor safety studies. The methods of event and fault trees that are used to analyze the accident sequences and the safety functions are described. Most importantly, an improvement over the current methods is used to construct the correct mathematical relationship between a system and its components a more advanced method of estimating failure rates and failure probabilities is presented, and a methodology is introduced solving existing problems in past studies (that had employed subjective probabilities). These methods are investigated in the framework of the University of Missouri Research Reactor (MURR) safety functions. Two significant classes of accidents (Loss of Flow and Loss of Coolant) are analyzed in this research project. Examples are presented showing the difference in the results from using the WASH

  9. Human Reliability Analysis For Computerized Procedures

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper provides a characterization of human reliability analysis (HRA) issues for computerized procedures in nuclear power plant control rooms. It is beyond the scope of this paper to propose a new HRA approach or to recommend specific methods or refinements to those methods. Rather, this paper provides a review of HRA as applied to traditional paper-based procedures, followed by a discussion of what specific factors should additionally be considered in HRAs for computerized procedures. Performance shaping factors and failure modes unique to computerized procedures are highlighted. Since there is no definitive guide to HRA for paper-based procedures, this paper also serves to clarify the existing guidance on paper-based procedures before delving into the unique aspects of computerized procedures.

  10. HUMAN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS FOR COMPUTERIZED PROCEDURES

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Ronald L. Boring; David I. Gertman; Katya Le Blanc

    2011-09-01

    This paper provides a characterization of human reliability analysis (HRA) issues for computerized procedures in nuclear power plant control rooms. It is beyond the scope of this paper to propose a new HRA approach or to recommend specific methods or refinements to those methods. Rather, this paper provides a review of HRA as applied to traditional paper-based procedures, followed by a discussion of what specific factors should additionally be considered in HRAs for computerized procedures. Performance shaping factors and failure modes unique to computerized procedures are highlighted. Since there is no definitive guide to HRA for paper-based procedures, this paper also serves to clarify the existing guidance on paper-based procedures before delving into the unique aspects of computerized procedures.

  11. Structural reliability analysis of spillway gates

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Concerns regarding the deterioration and the need to rehabilitate several of the major components of aging concrete dams in southern Quebec are discussed. Most of the dams were built before 1960 and are reaching their design life. This paper described an analytical procedure for determining if spillway gates need to be replaced or how much longer they can be expected to last. The procedure is based on reliability analysis and incorporates a model to predict the rate of corrosion of the gates. The procedure accounts for the variability in loads, deterioration processes and the geometrical and mechanical properties of the gates. Bayesian statistics are included to allow the model to be adjusted as new data becomes available. 16 refs., 2 tabs., 7 figs

  12. Human Reliability Analysis for Small Modular Reactors

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Ronald L. Boring; David I. Gertman

    2012-06-01

    Because no human reliability analysis (HRA) method was specifically developed for small modular reactors (SMRs), the application of any current HRA method to SMRs represents tradeoffs. A first- generation HRA method like THERP provides clearly defined activity types, but these activity types do not map to the human-system interface or concept of operations confronting SMR operators. A second- generation HRA method like ATHEANA is flexible enough to be used for SMR applications, but there is currently insufficient guidance for the analyst, requiring considerably more first-of-a-kind analyses and extensive SMR expertise in order to complete a quality HRA. Although no current HRA method is optimized to SMRs, it is possible to use existing HRA methods to identify errors, incorporate them as human failure events in the probabilistic risk assessment (PRA), and quantify them. In this paper, we provided preliminary guidance to assist the human reliability analyst and reviewer in understanding how to apply current HRA methods to the domain of SMRs. While it is possible to perform a satisfactory HRA using existing HRA methods, ultimately it is desirable to formally incorporate SMR considerations into the methods. This may require the development of new HRA methods. More practicably, existing methods need to be adapted to incorporate SMRs. Such adaptations may take the form of guidance on the complex mapping between conventional light water reactors and small modular reactors. While many behaviors and activities are shared between current plants and SMRs, the methods must adapt if they are to perform a valid and accurate analysis of plant personnel performance in SMRs.

  13. Probabilistic risk assessment course documentation. Volume 3. System reliability and analysis techniques, Session A - reliability

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This course in System Reliability and Analysis Techniques focuses on the quantitative estimation of reliability at the systems level. Various methods are reviewed, but the structure provided by the fault tree method is used as the basis for system reliability estimates. The principles of fault tree analysis are briefly reviewed. Contributors to system unreliability and unavailability are reviewed, models are given for quantitative evaluation, and the requirements for both generic and plant-specific data are discussed. Also covered are issues of quantifying component faults that relate to the systems context in which the components are embedded. All reliability terms are carefully defined. 44 figs., 22 tabs

  14. Validation of Methodology for Reliability Analysis of Passive Safety Systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The passive safety systems base their operation on natural forces (e.g. gravity, gas expansion) that can be consider always reliable; anyway they may fail their mission because of the change of the boundary conditions (e.g. fouling in the pipes, presence of un-condensable gases etc.) that reduce their reliability value to less than one. The extensive use of passive safety systems, mainly in advanced reactors design, makes necessary to deeply study the approach to their reliability assessment, so to apply a structured methodology that, with statistical and physical consideration, tries to reproduce reality with an acceptable degree of approximation, but that has to be carefully validated as well. The classical risk assessment tools used to study reliability (e.g., Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA), FTA, Hazard Operational Analysis (HAZOP), etc.) are not adequate to solve this problem because these tools are devoted to the analysis of operation of physical component, while in our case the analysis is devoted to consider the deviation from expected system behavior due to ''alterations'' in the environmental conditions. Different methodologies have been proposed (e.g. REPAS/RMPS, APSRA) with the aim to evaluate the reliability of the passive systems based on the natural circulation phenomenon to be adopted in the PSA safety study of nuclear power plants. In this paper the result of the activity aimed at validating the calculation of the reliability applied to an experimental facility is described. The experimental facility is a simple vertical square shaped natural circulation loop, where the horizontal lower tube is heated and the upper horizontal tube is cooled. An experimental test matrix is setup where the power at the lower horizontal tube is fixed, while different temperatures at the heat sink are applied. The range of the temperatures at the heat sink is selected in order to have unstable natural circulation and at certain value stable. The natural circulation loop simulates a passive system with a fixed reliability experimentally obtained that has to be compared with the calculated one. This activity has been performed in the framework of the IAEA-CRPI31018 titled ''Development of Methodologies for the Assessment of Passive Safety System Performance in Advanced Reactors''.(author).

  15. Reliability Analysis of A System Using Intuitionstic Fuzzy Sets

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    M.K.Sharma

    2012-07-01

    Full Text Available In General fuzzy sets are used to analyze the system Reliability. Present paper attempts to review the fuzzy/possibility tools when dealing with reliability of series-parallel network systems. Various issues of reasoning-based approaches in this framework are reviewed, discussed and compared with the standard approaches of reliability. To analyze the fuzzy system reliability, the reliability of each component of the system is considered as a trapezoidal intuitionstic fuzzy number. Trapezoidal intuitionstic fuzzy number arithmetic operations are also performed to evaluate the fuzzy reliability of the system. A numerical example is also given to illustrate the method.

  16. Reliability analysis of digital reactor protection system

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability analysis of the digital reactor protection system (RPS) is an essential part in the probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) of the advanced boiling water reactor (ABWR). In this study, the reliability model and methodology were modified to evaluate the reliability of the digital RPS installed in the Japanese ABWR plant. The hardware failure rates in the foreign data source of digital components were applied, based on the similarity of the function of the digital components. The hardware failure rates of the digital components were estimated to range from 10-5 (/hr) to 10-7 (/hr), according to the types of the components. The software error events and their recovery factors in the design and fabrication stages were evaluated, considering the verification and validation process provided by the Japanese industry guideline. Then, the software failure probability of the programmable digital component was evaluated, utilizing the probability of software error events and their recovery factors. This probability was estimated to be 3.3 10-7 (/demand), which was about one order higher than that of our previous estimation. These models and results were applied to evaluate the reactor trip system (RTS) and the engineered safety feature (ESF) actuation system of the ABWR plant, both of which are the subsystems of the RPS. The unavailability of the digital RTS was estimated to be the mean value of 7.2 10-6 (/demand). If an e of 7.2 10-6 (/demand). If an alternate rod insertion (ARI) and a manual scram were considered, the unavailability was estimated to decrease to 1.6 10-9. The ECCS unavailability was estimated to be also nearly equal to the same values as the previous estimation, because the system unavailability was dominated by the unavailability of the mechanical components, such as pumps, valves, etc. The sensitivity analyses were conducted systematically, in order to evaluate the effect of the modeling uncertainty on the RTS unavailability. The results indicated that the unavailability of the digital RTS only changed within the range of factor 2, even though the various assumptions were used on the hardware and the software failure of the digital components. (authors)

  17. Modeling human reliability analysis using MIDAS

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper documents current efforts to infuse human reliability analysis (HRA) into human performance simulation. The Idaho National Laboratory is teamed with NASA Ames Research Center to bridge the SPAR-H HRA method with NASA's Man-machine Integration Design and Analysis System (MIDAS) for use in simulating and modeling the human contribution to risk in nuclear power plant control room operations. It is anticipated that the union of MIDAS and SPAR-H will pave the path for cost-effective, timely, and valid simulated control room operators for studying current and next generation control room configurations. This paper highlights considerations for creating the dynamic HRA framework necessary for simulation, including event dependency and granularity. This paper also highlights how the SPAR-H performance shaping factors can be modeled in MIDAS across static, dynamic, and initiator conditions common to control room scenarios. This paper concludes with a discussion of the relationship of the workload factors currently in MIDAS and the performance shaping factors in SPAR-H. (authors)

  18. Meta-Analysis of Scale Reliability Using Latent Variable Modeling

    Science.gov (United States)

    Raykov, Tenko; Marcoulides, George A.

    2013-01-01

    A latent variable modeling approach is outlined that can be used for meta-analysis of reliability coefficients of multicomponent measuring instruments. Important limitations of efforts to combine composite reliability findings across multiple studies are initially pointed out. A reliability synthesis procedure is discussed that is based on…

  19. Discrete Event Simulation and Petri net Modeling for Reliability Analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Behrooz Safarinejadian 1

    2012-01-01

    Analytical methods in reliability analysis are useful for studying simple problems. For complex networks with cross-linked (non-series/parallel) component configurations, it is difficult to use mathematical reliability analysis. Powerful methods for reliability analysis of such systems have been developed using discrete event simulation. The main drawback of these methods is that they are computer time intensive. In this paper, the main idea behind these methods is further explored and modifi...

  20. Travel time Reliability Analysis Using Entropy

    OpenAIRE

    Neveen Shlayan; Vidhya Kumaresan; Pushkin Kachroo; Brian Hoeft

    2013-01-01

    Travel time reliability is a measure that is commonly extracted from travel time measurements. It has served as a vital indicator of the transportation system’s performance making the concept of obtaining reliability from travel time data very useful. Travel time is a good indicator of the performance of a particular highway segment. However, it does not convey all aspects of the overall performance of the transportation system. Travel Time Reliability is defined as the consistency of traff...

  1. Mechanical Properties for Reliability Analysis of Structures in Glassy Carbon

    CERN Document Server

    Garion, Cédric

    2014-01-01

    Despite its good physical properties, the glassy carbon material is not widely used, especially for structural applications. Nevertheless, its transparency to particles and temperature resistance are interesting properties for the applications to vacuum chambers and components in high energy physics. For example, it has been proposed for fast shutter valve in particle accelerator [1] [2]. The mechanical properties have to be carefully determined to assess the reliability of structures in such a material. In this paper, mechanical tests have been carried out to determine the elastic parameters, the strength and toughness on commercial grades. A statistical approach, based on the Weibull’s distribution, is used to characterize the material both in tension and compression. The results are compared to the literature and the difference of properties for these two loading cases is shown. Based on a Finite Element analysis, a statistical approach is applied to define the reliability of a structural component in gl...

  2. Issues in benchmarking human reliability analysis methods : a literature review.

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Lois, Erasmia (US Nuclear Regulatory Commission); Forester, John Alan; Tran, Tuan Q. (Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, ID); Hendrickson, Stacey M. Langfitt; Boring, Ronald L. (Idaho National Laboratory, Idaho Falls, ID)

    2008-04-01

    There is a diversity of human reliability analysis (HRA) methods available for use in assessing human performance within probabilistic risk assessment (PRA). Due to the significant differences in the methods, including the scope, approach, and underlying models, there is a need for an empirical comparison investigating the validity and reliability of the methods. To accomplish this empirical comparison, a benchmarking study is currently underway that compares HRA methods with each other and against operator performance in simulator studies. In order to account for as many effects as possible in the construction of this benchmarking study, a literature review was conducted, reviewing past benchmarking studies in the areas of psychology and risk assessment. A number of lessons learned through these studies are presented in order to aid in the design of future HRA benchmarking endeavors.

  3. Reliability Analysis for Safety Grade PLC(POSAFE-Q)

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Safety Grade PLC(Programmable Logic Controller), POSAFE-Q, was developed recently in accordance with nuclear regulatory and requirements. In this paper, describe reliability analysis for digital safety grade PLC (especially POSAFE-Q). Reliability analysis scope is Prediction, Calculation of MTBF (Mean Time Between Failure), FMEA (Failure Mode Effect Analysis), PFD (Probability of Failure on Demand). (author)

  4. Reliability Analysis of a Mono-Tower Platform

    OpenAIRE

    Kirkegaard, Poul Henning; Enevoldsen, I.; Sørensen, John Dalsgaard; Brincker, Rune

    2010-01-01

    In this paper a reliability analysis of a Mono-tower platform is presented. The failure modes, considered, are yelding in the tube cross-sections, and fatigue failure in the butt welds. The fatigue failure mode is investigated with a fatigue model, where the fatigue strength is expressed through SN relations. In determining the cumulative fatigue damage, Palmgren-Miner's rule is applied. Element reliability as well as systems reliability is estimated using first-order reliability methods(FORM...

  5. Individual Differences in Human Reliability Analysis

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Jeffrey C. Joe; Ronald L. Boring

    2014-06-01

    While human reliability analysis (HRA) methods include uncertainty in quantification, the nominal model of human error in HRA typically assumes that operator performance does not vary significantly when they are given the same initiating event, indicators, procedures, and training, and that any differences in operator performance are simply aleatory (i.e., random). While this assumption generally holds true when performing routine actions, variability in operator response has been observed in multiple studies, especially in complex situations that go beyond training and procedures. As such, complexity can lead to differences in operator performance (e.g., operator understanding and decision-making). Furthermore, psychological research has shown that there are a number of known antecedents (i.e., attributable causes) that consistently contribute to observable and systematically measurable (i.e., not random) differences in behavior. This paper reviews examples of individual differences taken from operational experience and the psychological literature. The impact of these differences in human behavior and their implications for HRA are then discussed. We propose that individual differences should not be treated as aleatory, but rather as epistemic. Ultimately, by understanding the sources of individual differences, it is possible to remove some epistemic uncertainty from analyses.

  6. The European benchmark exercise on human reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Joint Research Center of the European Commission has organized a Human Factors Reliability Benchmark Exercise (HF-RBE) with the aim of assessing the state of the art in human reliability modeling and assessment in a PSA framework. Fifteen teams from eleven countries, representative of the parties involved in PSA studies, participated in the HF-RBE. The HF-RBE was organized in two reference study cases: one of the analysis of routine functional Test and Maintenance (T and M) procedures and one on the analysis of operator response during an operational transient. This paper analyses the results of the HF-RBE on a comparative basis. The aim of this analysis was to compare the procedures, modeling techniques and quantification methods used, to obtain insight in the causes and magnitude of the variability observed in the results and to get an understanding of the current state of the art in the field, identifying the limitations that are still inherent to the different approaches

  7. Semantic compared cross impact analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Thorleuchter, Dirk; Den Poel, Dirk

    2014-01-01

    The aim of cross impact analysis (CIA) is to predict the impact of a first event on a second. For organizations strategic planning, it is helpful to identify the impacts among organizations internal events and to compare these impacts to the corresponding impacts of external events from organizations competitors. For this, literature has introduced compared cross impact analysis (CCIA) that depicts advantages and disadvantages of the relationships between organizations events to the relations...

  8. Affordable reliability engineering life-cycle cost analysis for sustainability & logistical support

    CERN Document Server

    Wessels, William R

    2015-01-01

    How Can Reliability Analysis Impact Your Company's Bottom Line?While reliability investigations can be expensive, they can also add value to a product that far exceeds its cost. Affordable Reliability Engineering: Life-Cycle Cost Analysis for Sustainability & Logistical Support shows readers how to achieve the best cost for design development testing and evaluation and compare options for minimizing costs while keeping reliability above specifications. The text is based on the premise that all system sustainment costs result from part failure. It examines part failure in the design and sustain

  9. Application of Support Vector Machine to Reliability Analysis of Engine Systems

    OpenAIRE

    Zhang Xinfeng; Zhao Yan

    2013-01-01

    Reliability analysis plays a very important role for assessing the performance and making maintenance plans of engine systems. This research presents a comparative study of the predictive performances of support vector machines (SVM) , least square support vector machine (LSSVM) and neural network time series models for forecasting failures and reliability in engine systems. Further, the reliability indexes of engine systems are computed by the weibull probability paper programmed with Matlab...

  10. Probabilistic safety analysis and human reliability analysis. Proceedings. Working material

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    An international meeting on Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) and Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) was jointly organized by Electricite de France - Research and Development (EDF DER) and SRI International in co-ordination with the International Atomic Energy Agency. The meeting was held in Paris 21-23 November 1994. A group of international and French specialists in PSA and HRA participated at the meeting and discussed the state of the art and current trends in the following six topics: PSA Methodology; PSA Applications; From PSA to Dependability; Incident Analysis; Safety Indicators; Human Reliability. For each topic a background paper was prepared by EDF/DER and reviewed by the international group of specialists who attended the meeting. The results of this meeting provide a comprehensive overview of the most important questions related to the readiness of PSA for specific uses and areas where further research and development is required. Refs, figs, tabs

  11. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF PISTON MANUFACTURING SYSTEM

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Amit Kumar

    2011-01-01

    Full Text Available Now days, internal combustion engines are used in most of the automobiles andmechanical machineries. The piston is a part without which no internal combustion engine canwork i.e., piston plays a vital role in almost all types of vehicles. So, the reliability of pistonmanufacturing system is most essential for the proper functioning of vehicles. In this paper, faulttree method is used to analyze the reliability of piston manufacturing system. Also, risk reductionworth is adopted as a measure of importance for identifying the crucial element that hassignificant impact on the reliability.

  12. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF PISTON MANUFACTURING SYSTEM

    OpenAIRE

    Amit Kumar; Sneh Lata

    2011-01-01

    Now days, internal combustion engines are used in most of the automobiles andmechanical machineries. The piston is a part without which no internal combustion engine canwork i.e., piston plays a vital role in almost all types of vehicles. So, the reliability of pistonmanufacturing system is most essential for the proper functioning of vehicles. In this paper, faulttree method is used to analyze the reliability of piston manufacturing system. Also, risk reductionworth is adopted as a measure o...

  13. POSSIBILITY AND EVIDENCE-BASED RELIABILITY ANALYSIS AND DESIGN OPTIMIZATION

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Hong-Zhong Huang

    2013-01-01

    Full Text Available Engineering design under uncertainty has gained considerable attention in recent years. A great multitude of new design optimization methodologies and reliability analysis approaches are put forth with the aim of accommodating various uncertainties. Uncertainties in practical engineering applications are commonly classified into two categories, i.e., aleatory uncertainty and epistemic uncertainty. Aleatory uncertainty arises because of unpredictable variation in the performance and processes of systems, it is irreducible even adding more data or knowledge. On the other hand, epistemic uncertainty stems from lack of knowledge of the system due to limited data, measurement limitations, or simplified approximations in modeling system behavior and it can be reduced by obtaining more data or knowledge. More specifically, aleatory uncertainty is naturally represented by a statistical distribution and its associated parameters can be characterized by sufficient data. If, however, the data is limited and can be quantified in a statistical sense, epistemic uncertainty can be considered as an alternative tool in such a situation. Of the several optional treatments for epistemic uncertainty, possibility theory and evidence theory have proved to be the most computationally efficient and stable for reliability analysis and engineering design optimization. This study first attempts to provide a better understanding of uncertainty in engineering design by giving a comprehensive overview of its classifications, theories and design considerations. Then a review is conducted of general topics such as the foundations and applications of possibility theory and evidence theory. This overview includes the most recent results from theoretical research, computational developments and performance improvement of possibility theory and evidence theory with an emphasis on revealing the capability and characteristics of quantifying uncertainty from different perspectives. Possibility and evidence theory-based reliability methods have many advantages for practical engineering when compared with traditional probability-based reliability methods. They can work well under limited data while the latter need large amounts of information, more than possible in engineering practice due to aleatory and epistemic uncertainties. The possible directions for future work are summarized.

  14. Ringhals 2 steam control system reliability/thermal-hydraulic analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper evaluates the reliability of the proposed Westinghouse Distributed Processing Family (WDPF) control system and compares it to the reliability of the existing mechanical/ hydraulic control system at the Ringhals 2 nuclear power plant. The probabilities of the postulated failures in the existing control system are contrasted to those that would exist for the WDPF enhanced control and protection system. This paper is limited to a discussion about the reliability that relates to failures that have the potential to cause an overpressure in the moisture separator/reheaters (MSRs) of the Ringhals 2 plant. This power plant was built at a time when the requirements (in Sweden) did not include overpressure relief valves in the MSR. When the plant was originally constructed, the mechanical/ hydraulic control system was designed to be, and was used as, a method to prevent an overpressure condition in the MSR. The control system response time was fast enough to close the MSR inlet lines in the event that one or more discharge line valves was closed or failed closed. The authors also include a thermal-hydraulic analysis of some of the postulated (very low probability) secondary-side transients

  15. Reliability analysis of reactor systems by applying probability method

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Probability method was chosen for analysing the reactor system reliability is considered realistic since it is based on verified experimental data. In fact this is a statistical method. The probability method developed takes into account the probability distribution of permitted levels of relevant parameters and their particular influence on the reliability of the system as a whole. The proposed method is rather general, and was used for problem of thermal safety analysis of reactor system. This analysis enables to analyze basic properties of the system under different operation conditions, expressed in form of probability they show the reliability of the system on the whole as well as reliability of each component

  16. Reliability block diagram with general gates and its application to system reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Highlights: ? Conventional reliability block diagram is extended to enhance the expression power. ? The mathematical definition of the proposed method is provided. ? For quantitative analysis, how to develop an equivalent Bayesian network is provided. ? The usefulness of the proposed method is demonstrated with two examples. - Abstract: For those systems that can be modeled with perfect nodes and unreliable arcs such as communication systems, a reliability graph with general gates (RGGG) was developed. Similarly, for more efficient system reliability analysis of those systems that can be modeled with unreliable nodes and perfect arcs, a reliability block diagram with general gates (RBDGG) was developed as an intuitive and easy-to-use method for system reliability analysis. One of the unique characteristics of RBDGG is to allow node connection relations of general gates such as the AND gate and the k-out-of-n gate other than the OR gate connection relation of the conventional reliability block diagram (RBD). Mathematical formulations for RBDGG and a method of mapping a RBDGG model into an equivalent Bayesian network model without losing the one-to-one matching characteristic of the RBDGG for quantitative analysis is also provided. With the application to two example systems, the usefulness of the proposed RBDGG is demonstrated.

  17. Design and Analysis for Reliability of Wireless Sensor Network

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Yongxian Song

    2012-12-01

    Full Text Available Reliability is an important performance indicator of wireless sensor network, to some application fields, which have high demands in terms of reliability, it is particularly important to ensure reliability of network. At present, the reliability research findings of wireless sensor network are much more at home and abroad, but they mainly improve network reliability from the networks topology, reliable protocol and application layer fault correction and so on, and reliability of network is comprehensive considered from hardware and software aspects is much less. This paper adopts bionic hardware to implement bionic reconfigurable of wireless sensor network nodes, so as to the nodes have able to change their structure and behavior autonomously and dynamically, in the cases of the part hardware are failure, and the nodes can realize bionic self-healing. Secondly, Markov state diagram and probability analysis method are adopted to realize solution of functional model for reliability, establish the relationship between reliability and characteristic parameters for sink nodes, analyze sink nodes reliability model, so as to determine the reasonable parameters of the model and ensure reliability of sink nodes.

  18. Reliability analysis of redundant disk arrays ?????? ??????????? ?????????? ?????????? ???????? ????????

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    ?. ?. ???????

    2013-07-01

    Full Text Available Redundant disk arrays for fault-tolerant data storages and reliability models of repairable systems are discussed. Simplified formulas for mean time to data loss (MTTDL assessment with taking into consideration fault and repair specificity and calculation examples are also provided.??????????????? ??????????? ?????????? ???????? ???????, ?????????????? ???????????????? ???????? ??????, ? ????? ?????? ?????????? ????????????????? ?????? ? ??????? ?????????? ?????? ??? ??????? ???????? ??????? ????????? ?? ?????????? ????????? ??????? ? ??????? ?????? ? ?????? ????????? ??????? ? ?????????????? ?????????? ?? ????????? ?????? ? ???????.

  19. Systems reliability analysis for the national ignition facility

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A Reliability, Availability and Maintainability (RAM) analysis was initiated for the National Ignition Facility (NIF). The NIF is an inertial confinement fusion research facility designed to achieve controlled thermonuclear reaction; the preferred site for the NIF is the Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory (LLNL). The NIF RAM analysis has three purposes: (1) to allocate top level reliability and availability goals for the systems, (2) to develop an operability model for optimum maintainability, and (3) to determine the achievability of the allocated goals of the RAM parameters for the NIF systems and the facility operation as a whole. An allocation model assigns the reliability and availability goals for front line and support systems by a top-down approach; reliability analysis uses a bottom-up approach to determine the system reliability and availability from component level to system level

  20. Failure analysis of wafer-level reliability testing failure

    Science.gov (United States)

    Oh, Chong K.; Neo, Soh P.; Bi, Jian H.; Wu, Zong M.; Goh, Lian C.; Redkar, Shailesh

    1999-08-01

    Wafer-level reliability (WLR) testing is an important tool that is used during the productization phase to investigate the reliability performance of devices and materials before full qualification cycle. The rapid nature of the WLR testing permits the process engineer to evaluate process variation and to obtain almost instantaneous feedback about its reliability impact. Fast reliability feedback is essential to help the process engineer build reliability into our product during the productization phase. Understand the root cause and failure mechanism after WLR testing, failure analysis plays a very important role. This paper describes the fundamental requirements for failure analysis equipment needed, the failure analysis and preparatory techniques used to locate the failure sites and cases study will be presented.

  1. Reliability Analysis Using Fault Tree Analysis: A Review

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Ahmed Ali Baig

    2013-06-01

    Full Text Available This paper reviews the literature published on the recent modifications made in the field of risk assessment using Fault Tree Analysis (FTAin the last decade. This method was developed in 1960’s for the evaluation and estimation of system reliability and safety. In this paper we have presented the general procedure for FTA, its application in various fields and the modifications that have been made through the time to overcome the inadequacies of the method. In the last section some of the future wok is also discussed with a simplified methodology.

  2. Reliability, Validity, Comparability and Practical Utility of Cybercrime-Related Data, Metrics, and Information

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Nir Kshetri

    2013-02-01

    Full Text Available With an increasing pervasiveness, prevalence and severity of cybercrimes, various metrics, measures and statistics have been developed and used to measure various aspects of this phenomenon. Cybercrime-related data, metrics, and information, however, pose important and difficult dilemmas regarding the issues of reliability, validity, comparability and practical utility. While many of the issues of the cybercrime economy are similar to other underground and underworld industries, this economy also has various unique aspects. For one thing, this industry also suffers from a problem partly rooted in the incredibly broad definition of the term “cybercrime”. This article seeks to provide insights and analysis into this phenomenon, which is expected to advance our understanding into cybercrime-related information.

  3. Reliability analysis of grid connected small wind turbine power electronics

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Grid connection of small permanent magnet generator (PMG) based wind turbines requires a power conditioning system comprising a bridge rectifier, a dc-dc converter and a grid-tie inverter. This work presents a reliability analysis and an identification of the least reliable component of the power conditioning system of such grid connection arrangements. Reliability of the configuration is analyzed for the worst case scenario of maximum conversion losses at a particular wind speed. The analysis reveals that the reliability of the power conditioning system of such PMG based wind turbines is fairly low and it reduces to 84% of initial value within one year. The investigation is further enhanced by identifying the least reliable component within the power conditioning system and found that the inverter has the dominant effect on the system reliability, while the dc-dc converter has the least significant effect. The reliability analysis demonstrates that a permanent magnet generator based wind energy conversion system is not the best option from the point of view of power conditioning system reliability. The analysis also reveals that new research is required to determine a robust power electronics configuration for small wind turbine conversion systems.

  4. Evaluating some Reliability Analysis Methodologies in Seismic Design

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    A. E. Ghoulbzouri

    2011-01-01

    Full Text Available Problem statement: Accounting for uncertainties that are present in geometric and material data of reinforced concrete buildings is performed in this study within the context of performance based seismic engineering design. Approach: Reliability of the expected performance state is assessed by using various methodologies based on finite element nonlinear static pushover analysis and specialized reliability software package. Reliability approaches that were considered included full coupling with an external finite element code and surface response based methods in conjunction with either first order reliability method or importance sampling method. Various types of probability distribution functions that model parameters uncertainties were introduced. Results: The probability of failure according to the used reliability analysis method and to the selected distribution of probabilities was obtained. Convergence analysis of the importance sampling method was performed. The required duration of analysis as function of the used reliability method was evaluated. Conclusion/Recommendations: It was found that reliability results are sensitive to the used reliability analysis method and to the selected distribution of probabilities. Durations of analysis for coupling methods were found to be higher than those associated to surface response based methods; one should however include time needed to derive these lasts. For the reinforced concrete building considered in this study, it was found that significant variations exist between all the considered reliability methodologies. The full coupled importance sampling method is recommended, but the first order reliability method applied on a surface response model can be used with good accuracy. Finally, the distributions of probabilities should be carefully identified since giving the mean and the standard deviation were found to be insufficient.

  5. Reliability analysis of wind turbines exposed to dynamic loads

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    SØrensen, John Dalsgaard

    2014-01-01

    Wind turbines are exposed to highly dynamic loads that cause fatigue and extreme load effects which are subject to significant uncertainties. Further, reduction of cost of energy for wind turbines are very important in order to make wind energy competitive compared to other energy sources. Therefore the turbine components should be designed to have sufficient reliability with respect to both extreme and fatigue loads also not be too costly (and safe). This paper presents models for uncertainty modeling and reliability assessment of especially the structural components such as tower, blades, substructure and foundation considering especially fatigue loads. The function of a wind turbine is highly dependent on many electrical and mechanical components as well as a control system also reliability aspects of these components are discussed and it is described how there reliability influences the reliability of the structural components. Illustrative examples are presented considering uncertainty modeling and reliability assessment for structural wind turbine components exposed to extreme loads and fatigue, respectively.

  6. Passive system reliability analysis challenges and a step towards resolution

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In recent years, there have been a lot of efforts to quantify reliability of passive systems of type B. Some of such methodologies proposed are REPAS, RMPS and APSRA. These methods have uncovered some of the very important aspects related to passive system performance and reliability. However they lack to explain the important issues in model uncertainties, dynamic reliability and time dependence and variation of process parameters. This paper presents an improved methodology 'APSRA+' which will overcome the issue of process parameter deviations and their interdependencies. This APSRA+ also features a Monte Carlo simulation based dynamic reliability analysis, which will take care of dynamic failure characteristics of components used in passive systems. (author)

  7. Reliability analysis of PLC safety equipment

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Yu, J.; Kim, J. Y. [Chungnam Nat. Univ., Daejeon (Korea, Republic of)

    2006-06-15

    FMEA analysis for Nuclear Safety Grade PLC, failure rate prediction for nuclear safety grade PLC, sensitivity analysis for components failure rate of nuclear safety grade PLC, unavailability analysis support for nuclear safety system.

  8. Reliability analysis of PLC safety equipment

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    FMEA analysis for Nuclear Safety Grade PLC, failure rate prediction for nuclear safety grade PLC, sensitivity analysis for components failure rate of nuclear safety grade PLC, unavailability analysis support for nuclear safety system

  9. Reliability

    Science.gov (United States)

    Edwin P. Christmann

    2008-11-01

    In essence, reliability is the consistency of test results. To understand the meaning of reliability and how it relates to validity, imagine going to an airport to take flight #007 from Pittsburgh to San Diego. If, every time the airplane makes the flight

  10. Reliability evaluation for radionuclide transport analysis code MATRICS

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A reliability evaluation for radionuclide transport analysis code, MATRICS, used in radionuclide transport analysis in the natural barrier system PA in H12 report has been carried out. Sensitivity analysis to radionuclide transport parameter in MATRICS and analytical solution has been performed, and the results of each analysis have been compared. Additionally sensitivity analysis using Talbot Method, Crump method and Hosono method has been carried out, and the results of each inverse Laplace transform method has been compared. The conclusions obtained from the results of the evaluation are summarized as follows. In case of the infinite matrix diffusion distance, an error among the results of each calculation is maximum about 0.4% in the range of Pe number from 1.0 to 100. And, an error among the results of each calculation is maximum about 5.5% in the range of transmissivity from 1.0x10-10 to 1.0x10-5 (m2/s). In case of the finite matrix diffusion distance (0.03-1.0(m)), an error among the results of each calculation is maximum about 0.7% in the range of Pe number from 1.0 to 100. And, an error among the results of each calculation is maximum about 2.4% in the range of transmissivity from 1.0x10-10 to 1.0x10-5 (m2/s). By comparing Talbot method with other inverse Laplace transform method, Talbot method is confirmed to give similar results with other inverse Laplace transform method in the range of Pe nlace transform method in the range of Pe number from 5.0x10-1 to 2.0x103, and that of transmissivity below 1.0x10-7(m2/s). Therefore, it is concluded that the reliability of MATRICS are confirmed by conducting sensitivity analysis in the range of Pe number and transmissivity coefficient used in H12 report. (author)

  11. Reliability analysis of repairable systems using system dynamics modeling and simulation

    Science.gov (United States)

    Srinivasa Rao, M.; Naikan, V. N. A.

    2014-07-01

    Repairable standby system's study and analysis is an important topic in reliability. Analytical techniques become very complicated and unrealistic especially for modern complex systems. There have been attempts in the literature to evolve more realistic techniques using simulation approach for reliability analysis of systems. This paper proposes a hybrid approach called as Markov system dynamics (MSD) approach which combines the Markov approach with system dynamics simulation approach for reliability analysis and to study the dynamic behavior of systems. This approach will have the advantages of both Markov as well as system dynamics methodologies. The proposed framework is illustrated for a standby system with repair. The results of the simulation when compared with that obtained by traditional Markov analysis clearly validate the MSD approach as an alternative approach for reliability analysis.

  12. Analysis of Computer Network Reliability and Criticality: Technique and Features

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Iraj Elyasi-Komari

    2011-10-01

    Full Text Available The paper describes modern technologies of Computer Network Reliability. Software tool is developed to estimate of the CCN critical failure probability (construction of a criticality matrix by results of the FME(CA-technique. The internal information factors, such as collisions and congestion of switchboards, routers and servers, influence on a network reliability and safety (besides of hardware and software reliability and external extreme factors. The means and features of Failures Modes and Effects (Critical Analysis (FME(CA for reliability and criticality analysis of corporate computer networks (CCN are considered. The examples of FME(CA-Technique for structured cable system (SCS is given. We also discuss measures that can be used for criticality analysis and possible means of criticality reduction. Finally, we describe a technique and basic principles of dependable development and deployment of computer networks that are based on results of FMECA analysis and procedures of optimization choice of means for fault-tolerance ensuring.

  13. Simulation Approach to Mission Risk and Reliability Analysis Project

    National Aeronautics and Space Administration — It is proposed to develop and demonstrate an integrated total-system risk and reliability analysis approach that is based on dynamic, probabilistic simulation. This...

  14. Reliability analysis of digital safety systems at nuclear power plants

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Reliability analysis of digital reactor protection systems built on the basis of TELEPERM XS is described, and experience gained by the Slovak RELKO company during the past 20 years in this domain is highlighted. (orig.)

  15. Processing and analysis of reliability data on stator cooling pump

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Based on actual failure data, reliability analysis of the nuclear power plant generator stator cooling water pump was given in this paper. The data were processed by statistical mathematics methods including empirical analysis, exponential and Weibull distribution fitting,and fitting results were verified. Finally, the comparison of reliability curves of exponential distribution and Weibull distribution of a component of generator stator cooling water pump was performed, and a practical equipment maintenance management was given. (authors)

  16. Reliability methods of nuclear power plant safety analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The application of reliability methods in the quantification of the frequency of occurrence of accident chains is described. This is a part of a study concerned with the reliability analysis of the safety of unit 1 of the Dukovany nuclear power plant. Methods of event trees and failure trees are used, employing the TREE MASTER computer code. By way of example, the system of hydroaccumulators serving the emergency aftercooling of the reactor in a LOCA is described in detail. An example of reliability analysis of the human factor is also briefly outlined. (Z.M.). 6 figs., 3 tabs., 4 refs

  17. Comparative Analysis of Classifier Fusers

    OpenAIRE

    Marcin Zmyslony; Michal Wozniak; Konrad Jackowski

    2012-01-01

    There are many methods of decision making by an ensemble of classifiers. The most popular are methods that have their origin in voting method, where the decision of the common classifier is a combination of individual classifiers’ outputs. This work presents comparative analysis of some classifier fusion methods based on weighted voting of classifiers’ responses and combination of classifiers’ discriminant functions. We discus different methods of producing combined classifiers based on...

  18. Discrete Event Simulation and Petri net Modeling for Reliability Analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Behrooz Safarinejadian 1

    2012-05-01

    Full Text Available Analytical methods in reliability analysis are useful for studying simple problems. For complex networks with cross-linked (non-series/parallel component configurations, it is difficult to use mathematical reliability analysis. Powerful methods for reliability analysis of such systems have been developed using discrete event simulation. The main drawback of these methods is that they are computer time intensive. In this paper, the main idea behind these methods is further explored and modified in order to reduce the computational loads. The modified approach presented here leads to a great time saving which is very important for reliability analysis of large scale systems. This modified method is then modeled by Petri net, which is a powerful modeling tool. The network reliability modeling technique developed in the paper has two main advantages. First, it can be easily implemented through a systematic and standard approach. Second, the developed model will greatly help solving the reliability analysis problem since it is simple and graphical.

  19. Automated model generation for reliability analysis programs

    Science.gov (United States)

    Johnson, Sally C.; Butler, Ricky W.

    1987-01-01

    Semi-Markov models (a generalization of Markov models) can be used to calculate the reliability of virtually any fault-tolerant system. However, the process of delineating all of the states and transitions in the model of a complex system can be devastatingly tedious and error-prone. The ASSIST program allows the user to describe the semi-Markov model in a high-level language. Instead of specifying the individual states of the model, the user specifies the rules governing the behavior of the system, and these are used by ASSIST to automatically generate the model. A small number of statements in the abstract language can be used to describe a very large, complex model. Because no assumptions are made about the system being modeled, the ASSIST program can be used to generate models describing the behavior of any type of system. The ASSIST program and its input language are described and illustrated by examples.

  20. ETARA - EVENT TIME AVAILABILITY, RELIABILITY ANALYSIS

    Science.gov (United States)

    Viterna, L. A.

    1994-01-01

    The ETARA system was written to evaluate the performance of the Space Station Freedom Electrical Power System, but the methodology and software can be modified to simulate any system that can be represented by a block diagram. ETARA is an interactive, menu-driven reliability, availability, and maintainability (RAM) simulation program. Given a Reliability Block Diagram representation of a system, the program simulates the behavior of the system over a specified period of time using Monte Carlo methods to generate block failure and repair times as a function of exponential and/or Weibull distributions. ETARA can calculate availability parameters such as equivalent availability, state availability (percentage of time at a particular output state capability), continuous state duration and number of state occurrences. The program can simulate initial spares allotment and spares replenishment for a resupply cycle. The number of block failures are tabulated both individually and by block type. ETARA also records total downtime, repair time, and time waiting for spares. Maintenance man-hours per year and system reliability, with or without repair, at or above a particular output capability can also be calculated. The key to using ETARA is the development of a reliability or availability block diagram. The block diagram is a logical graphical illustration depicting the block configuration necessary for a function to be successfully accomplished. Each block can represent a component, a subsystem, or a system. The function attributed to each block is considered for modeling purposes to be either available or unavailable; there are no degraded modes of block performance. A block does not have to represent physically connected hardware in the actual system to be connected in the block diagram. The block needs only to have a role in contributing to an available system function. ETARA can model the RAM characteristics of systems represented by multilayered, nesting block diagrams. There are no restrictions on the number of total blocks or on the number of blocks in a series, parallel, or M-of-N parallel subsystem. In addition, the same block can appear in more than one subsystem if such an arrangement is necessary for an accurate model. ETARA 3.3 is written in APL2 for IBM PC series computers or compatibles running MS-DOS and the APL2 interpreter. Hardware requirements for the APL2 system include 640K of RAM, 2Mb of extended memory, and an 80386 or 80486 processor with an 80x87 math co-processor. The standard distribution medium for this package is a set of two 5.25 inch 360K MS-DOS format diskettes. A sample executable is included. The executable contains licensed material from the APL2 for the IBM PC product which is program property of IBM; Copyright IBM Corporation 1988 - All rights reserved. It is distributed with IBM's permission. The contents of the diskettes are compressed using the PKWARE archiving tools. The utility to unarchive the files, PKUNZIP.EXE, is included. ETARA was developed in 1990 and last updated in 1991.

  1. Reliability and vulnerability analyses of critical infrastructures: Comparing two approaches in the context of power systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Society depends on services provided by critical infrastructures, and hence it is important that they are reliable and robust. Two main approaches for gaining knowledge required for designing and improving critical infrastructures are reliability analysis and vulnerability analysis. The former analyses the ability of the system to perform its intended function; the latter analyses its inability to withstand strains and the effects of the consequent failures. The two approaches have similarities but also some differences with respect to what type of information they generate about the system. In this view, the main purpose of this paper is to discuss and contrast these approaches. To strengthen the discussion and exemplify its findings, a Monte Carlo-based reliability analysis and a vulnerability analysis are considered in their application to a relatively simple, but representative, system the IEEE RTS96 electric power test system. The exemplification reveals that reliability analysis provides a good picture of the system likely behaviour, but fails to capture a large portion of the high consequence scenarios, which are instead captured in the vulnerability analysis. Although these scenarios might be estimated to have small probabilities of occurrence, they should be identified, considered and treated cautiously, as probabilistic analyses should not be the only input to decision-making for the design and protection of critical infrastructures. The general conclusion that can be drawn from the findings of the example is that vulnerability analysis should be used to complement reliability studies, as well as other forms of probabilistic risk analysis. Measures should be sought for reducing both the vulnerability, i.e. improving the system ability to withstand strains and stresses, and the reliability, i.e. improving the likely behaviour

  2. Reliability and risk analysis of large systems with ageing components

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Applications of limit reliability functions to the reliability evaluation of large multi-state systems composed of independent components are considered. The main emphasis is on multi-state systems with ageing components because of the importance of such an approach in safety analysis, assessment and prediction, and analysing the effectiveness of operation processes of real technical systems. The results concerned with multi-state series systems are applied to the reliability evaluation and risk function determination of a homogeneous bus transportation system. Results on limit reliability functions of a homogeneous multi-state 'm out of n' system are applied to durability evaluation of a steel rope. A non-homogeneous series-parallel pipeline systems composed of several lines of pipe segments is estimated as well. Moreover, the reliability evaluation of the model homogeneous parallel-series electrical energy distribution system is performed

  3. Energy investment cost benefit analysis reliability

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Much accuracy is required in methods to find out the profitability and choice of an energy investment. Beginning from a conventional cost-benefit analysis, this article discusses both profitability and other related problems

  4. Reliability analysis of cluster-based ad-hoc networks

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The mobile ad-hoc wireless network (MAWN) is a new and emerging network scheme that is being employed in a variety of applications. The MAWN varies from traditional networks because it is a self-forming and dynamic network. The MAWN is free of infrastructure and, as such, only the mobile nodes comprise the network. Pairs of nodes communicate either directly or through other nodes. To do so, each node acts, in turn, as a source, destination, and relay of messages. The virtue of a MAWN is the flexibility this provides; however, the challenge for reliability analyses is also brought about by this unique feature. The variability and volatility of the MAWN configuration makes typical reliability methods (e.g. reliability block diagram) inappropriate because no single structure or configuration represents all manifestations of a MAWN. For this reason, new methods are being developed to analyze the reliability of this new networking technology. New published methods adapt to this feature by treating the configuration probabilistically or by inclusion of embedded mobility models. This paper joins both methods together and expands upon these works by modifying the problem formulation to address the reliability analysis of a cluster-based MAWN. The cluster-based MAWN is deployed in applications with constraints on networking resources such as bandwidth and energy. This paper presents the problem's formulation, a discussion of applicable reliability metrics for the MAWN, and ill reliability metrics for the MAWN, and illustration of a Monte Carlo simulation method through the analysis of several example networks

  5. Application of system reliability analysis feedback to improve system availability

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Though all the perceived operational and maintenance requirement are normally well taken care-of at design stage itself, still the scope for improvement either in system design or in operational/maintenance practices, never ends in order to further improve the system's performance/reliability. This paper brings out a case study as to how Reliability Analysis feedback has been gainfully utilized in identification of and reduction of individual component maintenance down time, which was indirectly degrading the reliability of one of the Reactor Shutdown system (namely Secondary Shutdown System-Sass), at KAPS. (author)

  6. Research on Law’s Mask Texture Analysis System Reliability

    OpenAIRE

    Gan Hong Seng; Tan Tian Swee; Hum Yan Chai

    2014-01-01

    Texture analysis of X-ray bone image using Laws’ mask for direct evaluation of the bone quality has been popular. Nevertheless, detailed reliability evaluation of the system classification has been relatively unknown. In this study, we will examine the reliability of the Laws’ mask system classification by using the confusion matrix approach. The precise detection system by using standard deviation statistical descriptor is supported by the true positive of 87.5% and true negative of 83.3...

  7. Fatigue reliability analysis under two-stage loading

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    On the basis of the two-dimensional probabilistic Miner's rule, a new method of fatigue reliability analysis under two-stage loading is established. Eight large samples of testing data under low-high and high-low two-stage cyclic loading are used in the experimental verification. It is showed that the reliability-based predictions of the residual fatigue life as well as of the total fatigue life agree very well with the experimental results

  8. Advanced reliability method for fatigue analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wu, Y.-T.; Wirsching, P. H.

    1984-01-01

    When design factors are considered as random variables and the failure condition cannot be expressed by a closed form algebraic inequality, computations of risk (or probability of failure) may become extremely difficult or very inefficient. This study suggests using a simple and easily constructed second degree polynomial to approximate the complicated limit state in the neighborhood of the design point; a computer analysis relates the design variables at selected points. Then a fast probability integration technique (i.e., the Rackwitz-Fiessler algorithm) can be used to estimate risk. The capability of the proposed method is demonstrated in an example of a low cycle fatigue problem for which a computer analysis is required to perform local strain analysis to relate the design variables. A comparison of the performance of this method is made with a far more costly Monte Carlo solution. Agreement of the proposed method with Monte Carlo is considered to be good.

  9. Wind farm layout : a reliability and investment analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Eriksson, Emil

    2008-01-01

    Investment and maintenance costs are higher for offshore wind power compared to onshore. Also, wind turbine components offshore are subjected to higher physical stresses compared to components onshore, due to harder winds. These strong winds often lead to longer outage times of failed offshore components compared to onshore. The reliability of the Swedish offshore wind farm Lillgrund is analysed in this report. The consequence of a component failure might be a smaller energy production than e...

  10. Human reliability analysis methods for probabilistic safety assessment

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Human reliability analysis (HRA) of a probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) includes identifying human actions from safety point of view, modelling the most important of them in PSA models, and assessing their probabilities. As manifested by many incidents and studies, human actions may have both positive and negative effect on safety and economy. Human reliability analysis is one of the areas of probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) that has direct applications outside the nuclear industry. The thesis focuses upon developments in human reliability analysis methods and data. The aim is to support PSA by extending the applicability of HRA. The thesis consists of six publications and a summary. The summary includes general considerations and a discussion about human actions in the nuclear power plant (NPP) environment. A condensed discussion about the results of the attached publications is then given, including new development in methods and data. At the end of the summary part, the contribution of the publications to good practice in HRA is presented. In the publications, studies based on the collection of data on maintenance-related failures, simulator runs and expert judgement are presented in order to extend the human reliability analysis database. Furthermore, methodological frameworks are presented to perform a comprehensive HRA, including shutdown conditions, to study reliability of decision making, and to study the effects of wrong human actions. In the last pucts of wrong human actions. In the last publication, an interdisciplinary approach to analysing human decision making is presented. The publications also include practical applications of the presented methodological frameworks. (orig.)

  11. Simplified Plant Analysis Risk (SPAR) Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) Methodology: Comparisons with other HRA Methods

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Byers, James Clifford; Gertman, David Ira; Hill, Susan Gardiner; Blackman, Harold Stabler; Gentillon, Cynthia Ann; Hallbert, Bruce Perry; Haney, Lon Nolan

    2000-08-01

    The 1994 Accident Sequence Precursor (ASP) human reliability analysis (HRA) methodology was developed for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission (USNRC) in 1994 by the Idaho National Engineering and Environmental Laboratory (INEEL). It was decided to revise that methodology for use by the Simplified Plant Analysis Risk (SPAR) program. The 1994 ASP HRA methodology was compared, by a team of analysts, on a point-by-point basis to a variety of other HRA methods and sources. This paper briefly discusses how the comparisons were made and how the 1994 ASP HRA methodology was revised to incorporate desirable aspects of other methods. The revised methodology was renamed the SPAR HRA methodology.

  12. Comparative analysis of collaboration networks

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this paper we carry out a comparative analysis of the word network as the collaboration network based on the novel by M. Bulgakov 'Master and Margarita', the synonym network of the Russian language as well as the Russian movie actor network. We have constructed one-mode projections of these networks, defined degree distributions for them and have calculated main characteristics. In the paper a generation algorithm of collaboration networks has been offered which allows one to generate networks statistically equivalent to the studied ones. It lets us reveal a structural correlation between word network, synonym network and movie actor network. We show that the degree distributions of all analyzable networks are described by the distribution of q-type.

  13. Comparative Analysis of Classifier Fusers

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Marcin Zmyslony

    2012-06-01

    Full Text Available There are many methods of decision making by an ensemble of classifiers. The most popular are methods that have their origin in voting method, where the decision of the common classifier is a combination of individual classifiers’ outputs. This work presents comparative analysis of some classifier fusion methods based on weighted voting of classifiers’ responses and combination of classifiers’ discriminant functions. We discus different methods of producing combined classifiers based on weights. We show that it is notpossible to obtain classifier better than an abstract model of committee known as an Oracle if it is based only on weighted voting but models based on discriminant function or classifier using feature values and class numbers could outperform the Oracle as well. Delivered conclusions are confirmed by the results of computer experiments carried out on benchmark and computer generated data.

  14. Comparative analysis of collaboration networks

    Science.gov (United States)

    Progulova, Tatiana; Gadjiev, Bahruz

    2011-03-01

    In this paper we carry out a comparative analysis of the word network as the collaboration network based on the novel by M. Bulgakov "Master and Margarita", the synonym network of the Russian language as well as the Russian movie actor network. We have constructed one-mode projections of these networks, defined degree distributions for them and have calculated main characteristics. In the paper a generation algorithm of collaboration networks has been offered which allows one to generate networks statistically equivalent to the studied ones. It lets us reveal a structural correlation between word network, synonym network and movie actor network. We show that the degree distributions of all analyzable networks are described by the distribution of q-type.

  15. The Reliability of Content Analysis of Computer Conference Communication

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Rattleff, Pernille

    2007-01-01

    The focus of this article is the reliability of content analysis of students' computer conference communication. Content analysis is often used when researching the relationship between learning and the use of information and communications technology in educational settings. A number of studies where content analysis is used and classification systems are developed are presented and discussed along with the author's own development and use of a classification system. However, the question of the reliability of content analysis is not often addressed or discussed in the literature. On examining the reliability of classifications in an empirical study of study groups' academic discussions in computer conferences in a distance education course, the present author found the reliability to be extraordinarily low. For some classifications the deviation was as high as 13% when the same person (coder) classified the same computer conference message at two different times. When two different coders classified the same computer conference messages, the deviation was as high as 27%. This low reliability-and the lack of discussion of this crucial matter in the literature-has profound implications. Not just for the author's own research but for all studies and results based upon content analysis of computer conference communication. Therefore, this issue needs to be addressed. A possible solution-where each computer conference message can be classified as having both one and/or other kinds of information-is proposed. This might not be a solution to the problem of low reliability of content analysis and the use of classification systems, but it does shed light on the problem and goes some way towards reducing it.

  16. How to assess and compare inter-rater reliability, agreement and correlation of ratings: an exemplary analysis of mother-father and parent-teacher expressive vocabulary rating pairs

    OpenAIRE

    MargaritaStolarova; TanjaRinker

    2014-01-01

    This report has two main purposes. First, we combine well-known analytical approaches to conduct a comprehensive assessment of agreement and correlation of rating-pairs and to dis-entangle these often confused concepts, providing a best-practice example on concrete data and a tutorial for future reference. Second, we explore whether a screening questionnaire deve-loped for use with parents can be reliably employed with daycare teachers when assessing early expressive vocabulary. A total of 53...

  17. Distribution-level electricity reliability: Temporal trends using statistical analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper helps to address the lack of comprehensive, national-scale information on the reliability of the U.S. electric power system by assessing trends in U.S. electricity reliability based on the information reported by the electric utilities on power interruptions experienced by their customers. The research analyzes up to 10 years of electricity reliability information collected from 155 U.S. electric utilities, which together account for roughly 50% of total U.S. electricity sales. We find that reported annual average duration and annual average frequency of power interruptions have been increasing over time at a rate of approximately 2% annually. We find that, independent of this trend, installation or upgrade of an automated outage management system is correlated with an increase in the reported annual average duration of power interruptions. We also find that reliance on IEEE Standard 1366-2003 is correlated with higher reported reliability compared to reported reliability not using the IEEE standard. However, we caution that we cannot attribute reliance on the IEEE standard as having caused or led to higher reported reliability because we could not separate the effect of reliance on the IEEE standard from other utility-specific factors that may be correlated with reliance on the IEEE standard. - Highlights: ? We assess trends in electricity reliability based on the information reported by the electric utilities. ? We use rigorous statistical techniques e use rigorous statistical techniques to account for utility-specific differences. ? We find modest declines in reliability analyzing interruption duration and frequency experienced by utility customers. ? Installation or upgrade of an OMS is correlated to an increase in reported duration of power interruptions. ? We find reliance in IEEE Standard 1366 is correlated with higher reported reliability.

  18. Some Aspects in High Quality Reliability Data Collection and Analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Living probabilistic safety assessment of nuclear power plant requires quantitative reliability parameters. To obtain high quality reliability data in complicated systems such as nuclear power plant, there needs to understand hardware such as plant, systems, and components, and to consider software such as culture, human, management, organization, and to understand plant life cycles such as design, installation, operation and maintenance in a wholly integrated manner. Now we are in a situation to set up of a new establishment of reliability database systems in Korea for living PSA in near future. A few but not less important cases to be reminded which I have experienced during the very initial phase of reliability data collection and analysis for the sample plant and components are introduced here. (author)

  19. Reliability of the Decay Heat Removal System of Phenix, Concepts and Qualitative Reliability Analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The decay heat removal in the Phenix Reactor has been designed with high level of safety and redundancy so that it should exist at least one way of removal whatever incident would be generated. In the following paragraph, we indicate the principal criteria used in the design, the different ways of operating and the global and qualitative reliability analysis in order to show the high degree of safety

  20. Notes on numerical reliability of several statistical analysis programs

    Science.gov (United States)

    Landwehr, J.M.; Tasker, Gary D.

    1999-01-01

    This report presents a benchmark analysis of several statistical analysis programs currently in use in the USGS. The benchmark consists of a comparison between the values provided by a statistical analysis program for variables in the reference data set ANASTY and their known or calculated theoretical values. The ANASTY data set is an amendment of the Wilkinson NASTY data set that has been used in the statistical literature to assess the reliability (computational correctness) of calculated analytical results.

  1. Bayesian Inference for NASA Probabilistic Risk and Reliability Analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Dezfuli, Homayoon; Kelly, Dana; Smith, Curtis; Vedros, Kurt; Galyean, William

    2009-01-01

    This document, Bayesian Inference for NASA Probabilistic Risk and Reliability Analysis, is intended to provide guidelines for the collection and evaluation of risk and reliability-related data. It is aimed at scientists and engineers familiar with risk and reliability methods and provides a hands-on approach to the investigation and application of a variety of risk and reliability data assessment methods, tools, and techniques. This document provides both: A broad perspective on data analysis collection and evaluation issues. A narrow focus on the methods to implement a comprehensive information repository. The topics addressed herein cover the fundamentals of how data and information are to be used in risk and reliability analysis models and their potential role in decision making. Understanding these topics is essential to attaining a risk informed decision making environment that is being sought by NASA requirements and procedures such as 8000.4 (Agency Risk Management Procedural Requirements), NPR 8705.05 (Probabilistic Risk Assessment Procedures for NASA Programs and Projects), and the System Safety requirements of NPR 8715.3 (NASA General Safety Program Requirements).

  2. Reliability analysis of reactor inspection robot(RIROB)

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This report describes the method and the result of the reliability analysis of RIROB developed in Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute. There are many classic techniques and models for the reliability analysis. These techniques and models have been used widely and approved in other industries such as aviation and nuclear industry. Though these techniques and models have been approved in real fields they are still insufficient for the complicated systems such RIROB which are composed of computer, networks, electronic parts, mechanical parts, and software. Particularly the application of these analysis techniques to digital and software parts of complicated systems is immature at this time thus expert judgement plays important role in evaluating the reliability of the systems at these days. In this report we proposed a method which combines diverse evidences relevant to the reliability to evaluate the reliability of complicated systems such as RIROB. The proposed method combines diverse evidences and performs inference in formal and in quantitative way by using the benefits of Bayesian Belief Nets (BBN)

  3. Reliability-Based Robustness Analysis for a Croatian Sports Hall

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    ?izmar, Dean; Kirkegaard, Poul Henning

    2011-01-01

    This paper presents a probabilistic approach for structural robustness assessment for a timber structure built a few years ago. The robustness analysis is based on a structural reliability based framework for robustness and a simplified mechanical system modelling of a timber truss system. A complex timber structure with a large number of failure modes is modelled with only a few dominant failure modes. First, a component based robustness analysis is performed based on the reliability indices of the remaining elements after the removal of selected critical elements. The robustness is expressed and evaluated by a robustness index. Next, the robustness is assessed using system reliability indices where the probabilistic failure model is modelled by a series system of parallel systems.

  4. Reliability Analysis of Dynamic Stability in Waves

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    SØborg, Anders Veldt

    2004-01-01

    The assessment of a ship's intact stability is traditionally based on a semi-empirical deterministic concept that evaluates the characteristics of ship's calm water restoring leverarm curves. Today the ship is considered safe with respect to dynamic stability if its calm water leverarm curves exhibit sufficient characteristics with respect to slope at zero heel (GM value), maximum leverarm, positive range of stability and area below the leverarm curve. The rule-based requirements to calm water leverarm curves are entirely based on experience obtained from vessels in operation and recorded accidents in the past. The rules therefore only leaves little room for evaluation and improvement of safety of a ship's dynamic stability. A few studies have evaluated the probability of ship stability loss in waves using Monte Carlo simulations. However, since this probability may be in the order of 10-4 per ship year such brute force Monte-Carlo simulations are not always feasible due to the required computational resources. Previous studies of dynamic stability of ships in waves typically focused on the capsizing event. In this study the objective is to establish a procedure that can identify "critical wave patterns" that most likely will lead to the occurrence of a considered adverse event. Examples of such adverse events are stability loss, loss of maneuverability, cargo damage, and seasickness. The adverse events related to dynamic stability are considered as a function of the roll angle, the roll velocity, and the roll acceleration. This study will therefore describe how considered adverse events can be combined into a single utility function that in its scale expresses different magnitudes of the criticality (or assessed consequences) of the adverse events. It will be illustrated how the distribution of the exceedance probability may be established by an estimation of the out-crossing rate of the "safe set" defined by the utility function. This out-crossing rate will be established using the so-called Madsen's Formula.A bi-product of this analysis is a set of short wave time series that at different exceedance levels may be used in a codified evaluation of a vessels intact stability in waves.

  5. Distribution System Reliability Analysis for Smart Grid Applications

    Science.gov (United States)

    Aljohani, Tawfiq Masad

    Reliability of power systems is a key aspect in modern power system planning, design, and operation. The ascendance of the smart grid concept has provided high hopes of developing an intelligent network that is capable of being a self-healing grid, offering the ability to overcome the interruption problems that face the utility and cost it tens of millions in repair and loss. To address its reliability concerns, the power utilities and interested parties have spent extensive amount of time and effort to analyze and study the reliability of the generation and transmission sectors of the power grid. Only recently has attention shifted to be focused on improving the reliability of the distribution network, the connection joint between the power providers and the consumers where most of the electricity problems occur. In this work, we will examine the effect of the smart grid applications in improving the reliability of the power distribution networks. The test system used in conducting this thesis is the IEEE 34 node test feeder, released in 2003 by the Distribution System Analysis Subcommittee of the IEEE Power Engineering Society. The objective is to analyze the feeder for the optimal placement of the automatic switching devices and quantify their proper installation based on the performance of the distribution system. The measures will be the changes in the reliability system indices including SAIDI, SAIFI, and EUE. The goal is to design and simulate the effect of the installation of the Distributed Generators (DGs) on the utility's distribution system and measure the potential improvement of its reliability. The software used in this work is DISREL, which is intelligent power distribution software that is developed by General Reliability Co.

  6. Reliability based analysis and design of anchor retrofitted concrete gravity dams

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Kazemi, M.R. [Hannah Kazemi and Company Ltd., Vancouver, BC (Canada)

    2004-07-01

    This paper demonstrates that reliability based analysis and design of stabilized concrete gravity dams provides a consistent level of structural reliability, particularly where remedial design is necessary. An applied reliability based model in estimating the safety of concrete gravity dam monoliths was presented. As an example, traditional safety methods and sliding stability of the Pine Flat Dam were compared with results obtained from 2-dimensional finite element and reliability analyses. A comparison of sliding stability analysis results revealed that traditional measurement methods produced safety factor value that is 25 per cent below acceptable levels. Time history dependant reliability based design approaches produced a safety index at 10 per cent below acceptable limits. Considerations included the fact that a high number of random variables define a typical structural problem and that the joint probability density of all involved variables was difficult to model. It was concluded that reliability based design and finite element analysis were recommended for safety evaluation and design of concrete dams, with the same methods being applicable to stability analysis and design of arch dams. 13 refs., 3 tabs., 6 figs.

  7. Dynamic system reliability analysis with mixed component failure data

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    An attempt to convert failure probabilities per demand data to average failure rates from a knowledge of component demand rates in the time dependent reliability analysis of the system with static failure modelling techniques (e.g. fault trees) and the results are reported. 3 refs, 1 fig

  8. Human reliability analysis of Lingao Nuclear Power Station

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The necessity of human reliability analysis (HRA) of Lingao Nuclear Power Station are analyzed, and the method and operation procedures of HRA is briefed. One of the human factors events (HFE) is analyzed in detail and some questions of HRA are discussed. The authors present the analytical results of 61 HFEs, and make a brief introduction of HRA contribution to Lingao Nuclear Power Station

  9. Safety and reliability analysis of R-5 safety logic

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Safety and reliability analysis of the R-5 reactor safety logic is presented. The analysis is based on fault free method. The index for reliability is shut down rate/year based on spurious (safe) failure rate of a channel. For R-5 it comes to 0.5/year. Fractional Dead Time (FDT) represents the fraction of operating time that the safety logic is unavailable and hence unable to protect. FDT is based on unsafe failure rate of a channel. FDTs of ET (poison injection trip), and the signal processing part (SP) of XT (neutronic and coolant pressure trips) and AT (absolute and conditioning trips) for R-5 come to 4x10-10, 4x10-4 and 4x10-5 respectively. Assumptions made in the analysis of safety logic are mentioned, however common made failure (CMF) analysis is not included. (M.G.B.)

  10. Reliable analysis for pressure vessel based on ANSYS

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    With the PDS of ANSYS procedure, the ramdomicity of the actually structure design parameters is simulated, by taking the wall thickness, pressure load and elastic module as input random variables. Based on the reliability analysis of the pressure vessel by Monte-Carlo procedure, the stress probability distribution of this finite element analysis model and the sensitivity of the design parameters such as the pressure load and wall thickness to the stress distribution are obtained. (authors)

  11. A Most Probable Point-Based Method for Reliability Analysis, Sensitivity Analysis and Design Optimization

    Science.gov (United States)

    Hou, Gene J.-W.; Gumbert, Clyde R.; Newman, Perry A.

    2004-01-01

    A major step in a most probable point (MPP)-based method for reliability analysis is to determine the MPP. This is usually accomplished by using an optimization search algorithm. The optimal solutions associated with the MPP provide measurements related to safety probability. This study focuses on two commonly used approximate probability integration methods; i.e., the Reliability Index Approach (RIA) and the Performance Measurement Approach (PMA). Their reliability sensitivity equations are first derived in this paper, based on the derivatives of their respective optimal solutions. Examples are then provided to demonstrate the use of these derivatives for better reliability analysis and Reliability-Based Design Optimization (RBDO).

  12. Human Reliability Analysis for Digital Human-Machine Interfaces

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Ronald L. Boring

    2014-06-01

    This paper addresses the fact that existing human reliability analysis (HRA) methods do not provide guidance on digital human-machine interfaces (HMIs). Digital HMIs are becoming ubiquitous in nuclear power operations, whether through control room modernization or new-build control rooms. Legacy analog technologies like instrumentation and control (I&C) systems are costly to support, and vendors no longer develop or support analog technology, which is considered technologically obsolete. Yet, despite the inevitability of digital HMI, no current HRA method provides guidance on how to treat human reliability considerations for digital technologies.

  13. FAMILIARIZATION, RELIABILITY, AND COMPARABILITY OF A 40-M MAXIMAL SHUTTLE RUN TEST

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Mark Glaister

    2009-03-01

    Full Text Available The aims of this study were to examine familiarization and reliability associated with a 40-m maximal shuttle run test (40-m MST, and to compare performance measures from the test with those of a typical unidirectional multiple sprint running test (UMSRT. 12 men and 4 women completed four trials of the 40-m MST (8 × 40-m; 20 s rest periods followed by one trial of a UMSRT (12 × 30-m; repeated every 35 s; with seven days between trials. All trials were conducted indoors and performance times were recorded via twin-beam photocells. Significant between-trial differences in mean 40-m MST times were indicative of learning effects between trials 1 and 2. Test-retest reliability across the remaining trials as determined by coefficient of variation (CV and intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC revealed: a very good reliability for measures of fastest and mean shuttle time (CV = 1.1 - 1.3%; ICC = 0.91 - 0.92; b good reliability for measures of blood lactate (CV = 10.1 - 23.9%; ICC = 0.74 - 0.82 and ratings of perceived exertion (CV = 5.3 - 7.6%; ICC = 0.79 - 0.84; and c poor reliability for measures of fatigue (CV = 38.7%; ICC = 0.59. Comparisons between performance indices of the 40-m MST and the UMSRT revealed significant correlations between all measures, except pre-test blood lactate concentration (r = 0. 47. Whilst the 40-m MST does not appear to provide more information than can be gleaned from a typical UMSRT, following the completion of a familiarization trial, the 40-m MST provides an alternative and, except for fatigue measures, reliable means of evaluating repeated sprint ability

  14. Accident Sequence Evaluation Program: Human reliability analysis procedure

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This document presents a shortened version of the procedure, models, and data for human reliability analysis (HRA) which are presented in the Handbook of Human Reliability Analysis With emphasis on Nuclear Power Plant Applications (NUREG/CR-1278, August 1983). This shortened version was prepared and tried out as part of the Accident Sequence Evaluation Program (ASEP) funded by the US Nuclear Regulatory Commission and managed by Sandia National Laboratories. The intent of this new HRA procedure, called the ''ASEP HRA Procedure,'' is to enable systems analysts, with minimal support from experts in human reliability analysis, to make estimates of human error probabilities and other human performance characteristics which are sufficiently accurate for many probabilistic risk assessments. The ASEP HRA Procedure consists of a Pre-Accident Screening HRA, a Pre-Accident Nominal HRA, a Post-Accident Screening HRA, and a Post-Accident Nominal HRA. The procedure in this document includes changes made after tryout and evaluation of the procedure in four nuclear power plants by four different systems analysts and related personnel, including human reliability specialists. The changes consist of some additional explanatory material (including examples), and more detailed definitions of some of the terms. 42 refs

  15. Reliability analysis of rotor blades of tidal stream turbines

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Tidal stream turbines are used for converting kinetic energy of tidal currents into electricity. There are a number of uncertainties involved in the design of such devices and their components. To ensure safety of the turbines these uncertainties must be taken into account. The paper shows how this may be achieved for the design of rotor blades of horizontal-axis tidal stream turbines in the context of bending failure due to extreme loading. Initially, basic characteristics of such turbines in general and their blades in particular are briefly described. A probabilistic model of tidal current velocity fluctuations, which are the main source of load uncertainty, is then presented. This is followed by the description of reliability analysis of the blades, which takes into account uncertainties associated with tidal current speed, the blade resistance and the model used to calculate bending moments in the blades. Finally, the paper demonstrates how results of the reliability analysis can be applied to set values of the partial factors for the blade design. - Highlights: • A probabilistic model of the maximum of tidal current velocity fluctuations is proposed. • Reliability analysis of rotor blades of a tidal stream turbine is described. • Influence of pitch control system on the blade reliability is investigated. • Partial safety factors for the design of tidal turbine rotor blades are calibrated

  16. Strength Reliability Analysis of Turbine Blade Using Surrogate Models

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Wei Duan

    2014-05-01

    Full Text Available There are many stochastic parameters that have an effect on the reliability of steam turbine blades performance in practical operation. In order to improve the reliability of blade design, it is necessary to take these stochastic parameters into account. In this study, a variable cross-section twisted blade is investigated and geometrical parameters, material parameters and load parameters are considered as random variables. A reliability analysis method as a combination of a Finite Element Method (FEM, a surrogate model and Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS, is applied to solve the blade reliability analysis. Based on the blade finite element parametrical model and the experimental design, two kinds of surrogate models, Polynomial Response Surface (PRS and Artificial Neural Network (ANN, are applied to construct the approximation analytical expressions between the blade responses (including maximum stress and deflection and random input variables, which act as a surrogate of finite element solver to drastically reduce the number of simulations required. Then the surrogate is used for most of the samples needed in the Monte Carlo method and the statistical parameters and cumulative distribution functions of the maximum stress and deflection are obtained by Monte Carlo simulation. Finally, the probabilistic sensitivities analysis, which combines the magnitude of the gradient and the width of the scatter range of the random input variables, is applied to evaluate how much the maximum stress and deflection of the blade are influenced by the random nature of input parameters.

  17. A framework for intelligent reliability centered maintenance analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    To improve the efficiency of reliability-centered maintenance (RCM) analysis, case-based reasoning (CBR), as a kind of artificial intelligence (AI) technology, was successfully introduced into RCM analysis process, and a framework for intelligent RCM analysis (IRCMA) was studied. The idea for IRCMA is based on the fact that the historical records of RCM analysis on similar items can be referenced and used for the current RCM analysis of a new item. Because many common or similar items may exist in the analyzed equipment, the repeated tasks of RCM analysis can be considerably simplified or avoided by revising the similar cases in conducting RCM analysis. Based on the previous theory studies, an intelligent RCM analysis system (IRCMAS) prototype was developed. This research has focused on the description of the definition, basic principles as well as a framework of IRCMA, and discussion of critical techniques in the IRCMA. Finally, IRCMAS prototype is presented based on a case study

  18. Reliability Analysis of Free Jet Scour Below Dams

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Chuanqi Li

    2012-12-01

    Full Text Available Current formulas for calculating scour depth below of a free over fall are mostly deterministic in nature and do not adequately consider the uncertainties of various scouring parameters. A reliability-based assessment of scour, taking into account uncertainties of parameters and coefficients involved, should be performed. This paper studies the reliability of a dam foundation under the threat of scour. A model for calculating the reliability of scour and estimating the probability of failure of the dam foundation subjected to scour is presented. The Maximum Entropy Method is applied to construct the probability density function (PDF of the performance function subject to the moment constraints. Monte Carlo simulation (MCS is applied for uncertainty analysis. An example is considered, and there liability of its scour is computed, the influence of various random variables on the probability failure is analyzed.

  19. Radioactivity Analysis for Reliability Assessment in the Environmental Samples

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The objective of this research was to assess the reliability of data and to improve nuclear analytical techniques concerning the Domestic Radioactivity Intercomparison program for environmental radioactivity monitoring of Jeju from 1998 to 2006. Gross beta for filter papers and water samples was determined, and gamma nuclides for natural and artificial nuclides in soil and water samples were analyzed. The gross beta activity of all samples except for the water samples of 1998 and 1999 showed a good agreement within the confidence intervals. In gamma nuclides, and of soil samples and most nuclides in the water samples, with the exception of several nuclides, were evaluated to be reliable. Based on these results, it is considered that a reliable method for the analysis and monitoring of environmental radioactivity were established, which may play an important role in case of emergency radiation accident

  20. Adjoint operator approach to functional reliability analysis of passive fluid dynamical systems

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Arul, A. John [Reactor Engineering Group, Indira Gandhi Centre for Atomic Research, Kalpakkam 603102 (India)], E-mail: arul@igcar.gov.in; Iyer, N. Kannan [Department of Mechanical Engineering, IITB, Mumbai 400078 (India); Velusamy, K. [Reactor Engineering Group, Indira Gandhi Centre for Atomic Research, Kalpakkam 603102 (India)

    2009-12-15

    Reliability analysis of passive systems mainly involves quantification of the margin to safety limits in probabilistic terms. For systems represented by complex models, propagating input uncertainty to get the response uncertainty and hence probability information requires intensive computational effort. Here a computationally efficient method for the functional reliability analysis of passive fluid dynamical systems is presented. The approach is based on continuous adjoint operator technique to generate a response surface approximating the given system model from the sensitivity coefficients. A numerical application of this method to the reliability analysis of heat transport in an asymmetrical natural convection loop is demonstrated. Computational efficiency and accuracy compared with the direct Monte-Carlo and forward response surface methods.

  1. Development of a human reliability analysis methodology during PHWR outages

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The quality of probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) has become more important with emphasis on risk-informed regulation and application (RIR and A) in nuclear power industry. Human reliability analysis is definitely related to the quality of PSA because human errors have been identified as major contributors to PSA. According to NRC's 'Office of analysis and evaluation of operational data (AEOD)', 82% of the reactor trips and accident during outage is caused by the events related to human errors. There is, however, no one HRA method universally accepted. Furthermore, HRA during PHWR outage has not been performed around the world. Therefore, it is necessary to perform HRA during PHWR outage for the purpose of increasing the quality of PHWR PSA. In this study, Event Trees during PHWR outage were developed, and 10 human actions which should be quantified were derived from the Event Trees. A new HRA model during PHWR outage was also developed, the human actions were quantified with this model. The quantified values were compared with the values from 'Generic CANDU Probabilistic Safety Assessment' and the values estimated using ASEP. Core Damage Frequency was estimated of 6.96 x 10-5 using the Event Trees and the HRA model. It was 17 % higher value than CDF estimated using AECL data. It was considered the differences between the HEPs for OPHTS make CDF higher. Therefore, complementary study of reestimating HEP for OPHTS in detail is required for increasing the in detail is required for increasing the qualities of HRA and PSA. It is considered the Event Trees and the HRA model developed in this study can be important references when performing PSA during PHWR outage in the future

  2. Virtual stress amplitude-based low cycle fatigue reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A method for virtual stress amplitude-based low cycle fatigue reliability analysis is developed. Different from existent methods, probability-based modified Ramberg-Osgood stress-strain relations (P-?-? curves) are newly introduced to take into account the scatter of stress-strain responses, where the metallurgical quality of material is not enough good i.e. weld metal to show a same stress-strain response for different specimens under same loading level. In addition, a virtual stress amplitude-based analysis is used to be in agreement with the existent codes for nuclear components. i.e. ASME section III. The analysis is performed by a principle of the stochastic analysis system in same safety level concurrently. Combined the probability-based modified Ramberg-Osgood stress-strain relations, the probability-based Langer S-N curves (P-S-N curves) and the Neuber's local stress-strain rule, the method can be applied to predict the fatigue life at specified reliability and loading history and to estimate the reliability at specified loading history and expectation fatigue life. Applicability of the method has been indicated by a test analysis of 1Cr18Ni9ti steel-weld metal, which was used for machining the pipes of some nuclear reactors, during low cycle fatigue

  3. A study of operational and testing reliability in software reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Software reliability is an important aspect of any complex equipment today. Software reliability is usually estimated based on reliability models such as nonhomogeneous Poisson process (NHPP) models. Software systems are improving in testing phase, while it normally does not change in operational phase. Depending on whether the reliability is to be predicted for testing phase or operation phase, different measure should be used. In this paper, two different reliability concepts, namely, the operational reliability and the testing reliability, are clarified and studied in detail. These concepts have been mixed up or even misused in some existing literature. Using different reliability concept will lead to different reliability values obtained and it will further lead to different reliability-based decisions made. The difference of the estimated reliabilities is studied and the effect on the optimal release time is investigated

  4. 78 FR 45447 - Revisions to Modeling, Data, and Analysis Reliability Standard

    Science.gov (United States)

    2013-07-29

    ...Order No. 782] Revisions to Modeling, Data, and Analysis Reliability Standard...Commission (Commission) approves Modeling, Data, and Analysis (MOD) Reliability...1\\ the Commission approves Modeling, Data, and Analysis (MOD)...

  5. Reliability and availability analysis of two alternative evacuation systems designed for the Next European Torus (NET)

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper discusses the reliability and availability issues in case of two different evacuation system designs which have been proposed for the Next European Torus (NET). One of these designs uses turbo molecular pumps while the other employs cryogenic pumps to evacuate waste products from the torus after every fusion cycle. The aim of this paper is to assess and compare the feasibility of the above two designs form the reliability and availability point of view. A detailed failure mode analysis has been carried out for these two systems and appropriate mathematical mdoels have been developed to calculate their respective reliabilities. Using these mathematical models an extensive parameter study of the system reliability has been carried out over a given range of the component reliabilities. This parameter study shows that the maximum value of the turbo molecular pump system reliability is 96% while the corresponding value for the cryogenic pump system is only 81.6%. The target value for the system availability is 99.9%. This requires that the system mean repair time should be 48 h, appropriate modifications must be made to the turbo pump system design to increase its reliabilump system design to increase its reliability accordingly. (author). 4 refs.; 10 figs

  6. Reliability analysis of maintenance operations for railway tracks

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Railway engineering is confronted with problems due to degradation of the railway network that requires important and costly maintenance work. However, because of the lack of knowledge on the geometrical and mechanical parameters of the track, it is difficult to optimize the maintenance management. In this context, this paper presents a new methodology to analyze the behavior of railway tracks. It combines new diagnostic devices which permit to obtain an important amount of data and thus to make statistics on the geometric and mechanical parameters and a non-intrusive stochastic approach which can be coupled with any mechanical model. Numerical results show the possibilities of this methodology for reliability analysis of different maintenance operations. In the future this approach will give important informations to railway managers to optimize maintenance operations using a reliability analysis

  7. PRISM: probabilistic model checking for performance and reliability analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Kwiatkowska, Marta; Norman, Gethin; Parker, David

    2009-01-01

    Probabilistic model checking is a formal verification technique for the modelling and analysis of stochastic systems. It has proved to be useful for studying a wide range of quantitative properties of models taken from many diffierent application domains. This includes, for example, performance and reliability properties of computer and communication systems. In this paper, we give an overview of the probabilistic model checking tool PRISM, focusing in particular on its support for continuous...

  8. Sociological analysis and comparative education

    Science.gov (United States)

    Woock, Roger R.

    1981-12-01

    It is argued that comparative education is essentially a derivative field of study, in that it borrows theories and methods from academic disciplines. After a brief humanistic phase, in which history and philosophy were central for comparative education, sociology became an important source. In the mid-50's and 60's, sociology in the United States was characterised by Structural Functionalism as a theory, and Social Survey as a dominant methodology. Both were incorporated into the development of comparative education. Increasingly in the 70's, and certainly today, the new developments in sociology are characterised by an attack on Positivism, which is seen as the philosophical position underlying both functionalism and survey methods. New or re-discovered theories with their attendant methodologies included Marxism, Phenomenological Sociology, Critical Theory, and Historical Social Science. The current relationship between comparative education and social science is one of uncertainty, but since social science is seen to be returning to its European roots, the hope is held out for the development of an integrated social theory and method which will provide a much stronger basis for developments in comparative education.

  9. Inclusion of task dependence in human reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Dependence assessment among human errors in human reliability analysis (HRA) is an important issue, which includes the evaluation of the dependence among human tasks and the effect of the dependence on the final human error probability (HEP). This paper represents a computational model to handle dependence in human reliability analysis. The aim of the study is to automatically provide conclusions on the overall degree of dependence and calculate the conditional human error probability (CHEP) once the judgments of the input factors are given. The dependence influencing factors are first identified by the experts and the priorities of these factors are also taken into consideration. Anchors and qualitative labels are provided as guidance for the HRA analyst's judgment of the input factors. The overall degree of dependence between human failure events is calculated based on the input values and the weights of the input factors. Finally, the CHEP is obtained according to a computing formula derived from the technique for human error rate prediction (THERP) method. The proposed method is able to quantify the subjective judgment from the experts and improve the transparency in the HEP evaluation process. Two examples are illustrated to show the effectiveness and the flexibility of the proposed method. - Highlights: • We propose a computational model to handle dependence in human reliability analysis. • The priorities of the dependence influencing factors are taken into consideration. • The overall dependence degree is determined by input judgments and the weights of factors. • The CHEP is obtained according to a computing formula derived from THERP

  10. Reliability analysis of crack propagation behavior of reactor components

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A reliability analysis was carried out on a circumferential weld in the main coolant loop of a PWR with the aim of estimating the probability of a leak or break occurring in the planned life cycle of the plant. To get a basis for the reliability analysis the following influence factors were more closely examined: initial crack extent, load spectrum including the emergency 'earthquake' situation and crack growth characteristics. For the actual reliability analysis a computer program was developed, which took the individual input data, in accordance with their statistical parameter, into account in a simulation calculation in line with the Monte Carlo Method. The Forman Formula was used to estimate the fatigue crack growth caused by the sequence of load events. The result was, that the fatigue crack growth, even in the case of large initial cracks, was negligibly small. The probability, that, in the case of very deep initial cracks, one-off high quasi-static load, e.g. during an earthquake, could cause a locally limited crack-through, was estimated to be about 5x10-6 in forty years. (orig./HP)

  11. Asymptotic Sampling for Reliability Analysis of Adhesive Bonded Stepped Lap Composite Joints

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Kimiaeifar, Amin; Lund, Erik

    2013-01-01

    Reliability analysis coupled with finite element analysis (FEA) of composite structures is computationally very demanding and requires a large number of simulations to achieve an accurate prediction of the probability of failure with a small standard error. In this paper Asymptotic Sampling, which is a promising and time efficient tool to calculate the probability of failure, is utilized, and a probabilistic model for the reliability analysis of adhesive bonded stepped lap composite joints, representative for the main laminate in a wind turbine blade subjected to static flapwise bending load, is presented. Three dimensional (3D) FEA is used for the structural analysis together with a design equation that is associated with a deterministic code-based design equation where reliability is secured by partial safety factors. The Tsai-Wu and the maximum principal stress failure criteria are used to predict failure in the composite and adhesive layers, respectively, and the results are compared with the target reliability level implicitly used in the wind turbine standard IEC 61400-1. The accuracy and efficiency of Asymptotic Sampling is investigated by comparing the results with predictions obtained using the Monte Carlo simulation technique. Finally, the partial safety factors are calibrated, and it is shown that the methodology can be further applied to general calibration of partial safety factors to be used in deterministic design.

  12. Solid Rocket Booster Large Main and Drogue Parachute Reliability Analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Clifford, Courtenay B.; Hengel, John E.

    2009-01-01

    The parachutes on the Space Transportation System (STS) Solid Rocket Booster (SRB) are the means for decelerating the SRB and allowing it to impact the water at a nominal vertical velocity of 75 feet per second. Each SRB has one pilot, one drogue, and three main parachutes. About four minutes after SRB separation, the SRB nose cap is jettisoned, deploying the pilot parachute. The pilot chute then deploys the drogue parachute. The drogue chute provides initial deceleration and proper SRB orientation prior to frustum separation. At frustum separation, the drogue pulls the frustum from the SRB and allows the main parachutes that are mounted in the frustum to unpack and inflate. These chutes are retrieved, inspected, cleaned, repaired as needed, and returned to the flight inventory and reused. Over the course of the Shuttle Program, several improvements have been introduced to the SRB main parachutes. A major change was the replacement of the small (115 ft. diameter) main parachutes with the larger (136 ft. diameter) main parachutes. Other modifications were made to the main parachutes, main parachute support structure, and SRB frustum to eliminate failure mechanisms, improve damage tolerance, and improve deployment and inflation characteristics. This reliability analysis is limited to the examination of the SRB Large Main Parachute (LMP) and drogue parachute failure history to assess the reliability of these chutes. From the inventory analysis, 68 Large Main Parachutes were used in 651 deployments, and 7 chute failures occurred in the 651 deployments. Logistic regression was used to analyze the LMP failure history, and it showed that reliability growth has occurred over the period of use resulting in a current chute reliability of R = .9983. This result was then used to determine the reliability of the 3 LMPs on the SRB, when all must function. There are 29 drogue parachutes that were used in 244 deployments, and no in-flight failures have occurred. Since there are no observed drogue chute failures, Jeffreys Prior was used to calculate a reliability of R =.998. Based on these results, it is concluded that the LMP and drogue parachutes on the Shuttle SRB are suited to their mission and changes made over their life have improved the reliability of the parachute.

  13. A semi-Markov reliability analysis of alternating systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Current nuclear power plants must be highly reliable with respect to safety and economy. Consequently, development of a new safety evaluation methodology is desired for the accurate evaluation of safety and economy. A nuclear power plant consists of many systems. This paper is concerned with the reliability evaluation of alternating systems. An alternating system usually consists of multitrains, and its operation alternates from one train to another. Examples of these are the nuclear service cooling water system, the component cooling water system, and the chemical and volume control system. The alternating systems exhibit strong dynamic time-dependent reliability characteristics because of the alternating operational mode and the technical specification requirements that are particularly difficult to analyze by static fault-tree techniques. The method used in this paper is based on the semi-Markov reliability analysis. The system performance measures evaluated are its contribution to the total risk of the plant (e.g., core damage probability) and to plant unavailability (reactor downtime). It is concluded that the methodology developed in this study can be applied to existing alternating systems for plant-specific evaluation of the various alternatives in technical specifications

  14. A semi-Markov reliability analysis of alternating systems

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Lee, Kwang Nam; Cho, Nam Zin

    1989-01-01

    Current nuclear power plants must be highly reliable with respect to safety and economy. Consequently, development of a new safety evaluation methodology is desired for the accurate evaluation of safety and economy. A nuclear power plant consists of many systems. This paper is concerned with the reliability evaluation of alternating systems. An alternating system usually consists of multitrains, and its operation alternates from one train to another. Examples of these are the nuclear service cooling water system, the component cooling water system, and the chemical and volume control system. The alternating systems exhibit strong dynamic time-dependent reliability characteristics because of the alternating operational mode and the technical specification requirements that are particularly difficult to analyze by static fault-tree techniques. The method used in this paper is based on the semi-Markov reliability analysis. The system performance measures evaluated are its contribution to the total risk of the plant (e.g., core damage probability) and to plant unavailability (reactor downtime). It is concluded that the methodology developed in this study can be applied to existing alternating systems for plant-specific evaluation of the various alternatives in technical specifications.

  15. Maximizing personnel performance in plantwide reliability-centered maintenance analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Techniques have been developed and proven effective that can be used to reduce the staffing requirements for implementation of a full-scale plantwide reliability-centered maintenance (RCM) program. The multiphase projects discussed in this paper integrate RCM into a broad-based preventive maintenance program concept that includes several programmatic functions, such as system reliability modeling, computerized RCM data bases, and quantitative and qualitative cost/benefit analyses. Through the use of computerized data bases, system models, equipment failure tracking, and preventive maintenance program effectiveness evaluations, the RCM programs can create a living reliability-based preventive maintenance program. The completed RCM data can be maintained and updated with current plant design and equipment performance history without large staffs of RCM analysts. The goal of any RCM project is the development of a structures and well-justified preventive maintenance program that ensures the reliability of plant components is maximized to the extent that an appropriate cost/benefit is achieved in return for the maintenance dollars expended. The methods discussed were developed for two full-scale RCM projects that are useful when implementing the program on a plantwide basis. The typical approach to RCM has been to establish a process on one pilot system and then continue the RCM process on selected systems periodically. By implementing an RCM program on a plantwide basis,nting an RCM program on a plantwide basis, benefits can be realized from and economy of scale and through the implementation of labor-saving analysis aids

  16. Reliability analysis of R-5 auxiliary core cooling system

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability analysis of the Auxiliary Core Cooling System (ACCS) of the R-5 reactor being set up at Trombay, from the point of view of its availability on demand is presented. Fault tree method has been used in the analysis. Failure data used and assumptions made in the analysis are given. The failure of the system to come into operation on demand turns out to be 6.4x10-3 (median value) for the system. The analysis also indicates that a screening of the components of the system is necessary. Critical components are pointed out. Based on the analysis, changes made in the design are mentioned. After incorporation of these changes, the unavailability of the system to come into operation on demand turns out to be 2x10-4. (auth.)

  17. Analysis of emergency diesel generators for improved reliability

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Nuclear generating station emergency diesel generators are among the most critical safeguards systems because of their need to operate as designed in the event of a loss of off-site power and to be operational to permit nuclear unit operation. This paper will detail the need for analysis of diesel engines to ensure reliability, performance, and availability of the diesel generator and nuclear unit. The requirements for a state-of-the-art analysis program will be given, showing the benefits derived from digital data collection and computer aided diagnostics. These benefits include more frequent analysis, improved scheduling of tests and historical comparison and trending of data. Commonwealth Edison operates twenty-four emergency diesel generators at six nuclear generating stations. Case studies of actual malfunctions detected will be used to illustrate analysis methods and the capabilities of their engine analysis program

  18. Analysis of Mobile Phone Reliability Based on Active Disassembly Using Smart Materials

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Zhifeng Liu

    2011-07-01

    Full Text Available When using shape memory materials into active disassembly of actual electronic products, because the elastic modulus of shape memory materials is affected by the temperature is relatively large, therefore, the main difference of environmental reliability between active disassembly products and common products is the impact of collision and vibration under different temperature. Establishing three-dimensional analysis model, comparing the impact of collision and vibration of mobile phone shells which are made up of PVC materials after casting & radiation and PC/ABS materials under different temperature. Analyzing the reliability of mobile phone under different temperature and optimizing its structure according to data of testing.

  19. Studies for further development of analysis methods for evaluation of the structure reliability of piping components

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In the context of BMWi reactor safety research, GRS was to develop an analytical tool on a probabilistic basis for quantitative assessment of the structural reliability of defective pipeline components. The project is based on the probabilistic computer program PRAISE (Piping Reliability Analysis Including Seismic Events) which is available as source code. Preliminary findings showed that this program was not flexible enough, so that a new program was developed under the title PROST (Probabilistische Strukturberechnungen). The contribution describes the modifications made in PRAISE, the developments on PROST, and presents a comparative evaluation of the results obtained with the two programs so far

  20. Familiarization, reliability, and comparability of a 40-m maximal shuttle run test

    OpenAIRE

    Glaister, Mark; Hauck, Hanna; Corinne S. Abraham; Kevin L. Merry; Beaver, Dean; Woods, Bernadette; McInnes, Gillian

    2009-01-01

    The aims of this study were to examine familiarization and reliability associated with a 40-m maximal shuttle run test (40-m MST), and to compare performance measures from the test with those of a typical unidirectional multiple sprint running test (UMSRT). 12 men and 4 women completed four trials of the 40-m MST (8 × 40-m; 20 s rest periods) followed by one trial of a UMSRT (12 × 30-m; repeated every 35 s); with seven days between trials. All trials were conducted indoors and performance tim...

  1. Reliability analysis and prediction of mixed mode load using Markov Chain Model

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The aim of this paper is to present the reliability analysis and prediction of mixed mode loading by using a simple two state Markov Chain Model for an automotive crankshaft. The reliability analysis and prediction for any automotive component or structure is important for analyzing and measuring the failure to increase the design life, eliminate or reduce the likelihood of failures and safety risk. The mechanical failures of the crankshaft are due of high bending and torsion stress concentration from high cycle and low rotating bending and torsional stress. The Markov Chain was used to model the two states based on the probability of failure due to bending and torsion stress. In most investigations it revealed that bending stress is much serve than torsional stress, therefore the probability criteria for the bending state would be higher compared to the torsion state. A statistical comparison between the developed Markov Chain Model and field data was done to observe the percentage of error. The reliability analysis and prediction was derived and illustrated from the Markov Chain Model were shown in the Weibull probability and cumulative distribution function, hazard rate and reliability curve and the bathtub curve. It can be concluded that Markov Chain Model has the ability to generate near similar data with minimal percentage of error and for a practical application; the proposed model provides a good accuracy in determining the reliability for the crankshaft under mixed mode loading

  2. Reliability analysis and prediction of mixed mode load using Markov Chain Model

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Nikabdullah, N. [Department of Mechanical and Materials Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Built Environment, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia and Institute of Space Science (ANGKASA), Faculty of Engineering and Built Environment, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (Malaysia); Singh, S. S. K.; Alebrahim, R.; Azizi, M. A. [Department of Mechanical and Materials Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Built Environment, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (Malaysia); K, Elwaleed A. [Institute of Space Science (ANGKASA), Faculty of Engineering and Built Environment, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (Malaysia); Noorani, M. S. M. [School of Mathematical Sciences, Faculty of Science and Technology, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (Malaysia)

    2014-06-19

    The aim of this paper is to present the reliability analysis and prediction of mixed mode loading by using a simple two state Markov Chain Model for an automotive crankshaft. The reliability analysis and prediction for any automotive component or structure is important for analyzing and measuring the failure to increase the design life, eliminate or reduce the likelihood of failures and safety risk. The mechanical failures of the crankshaft are due of high bending and torsion stress concentration from high cycle and low rotating bending and torsional stress. The Markov Chain was used to model the two states based on the probability of failure due to bending and torsion stress. In most investigations it revealed that bending stress is much serve than torsional stress, therefore the probability criteria for the bending state would be higher compared to the torsion state. A statistical comparison between the developed Markov Chain Model and field data was done to observe the percentage of error. The reliability analysis and prediction was derived and illustrated from the Markov Chain Model were shown in the Weibull probability and cumulative distribution function, hazard rate and reliability curve and the bathtub curve. It can be concluded that Markov Chain Model has the ability to generate near similar data with minimal percentage of error and for a practical application; the proposed model provides a good accuracy in determining the reliability for the crankshaft under mixed mode loading.

  3. Forecasting methods: a comparative analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Iqbal, Javed

    2001-01-01

    Forecasting is an important tool for management, planning and administration in various fields. In this paper forecasting performance of different methods is considered using time series data of Pakistan's export to United Sates and money supply. It is found that, like other studies of this nature, no single forecasting method provides better forecast for both the series. The techniques considered are ARIMA, Regression Analysis, Vector Autoregression (VAR), Error Correction Model ...

  4. Damage tolerance reliability analysis of automotive spot-welded joints

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper develops a damage tolerance reliability analysis methodology for automotive spot-welded joints under multi-axial and variable amplitude loading history. The total fatigue life of a spot weld is divided into two parts, crack initiation and crack propagation. The multi-axial loading history is obtained from transient response finite element analysis of a vehicle model. A three-dimensional finite element model of a simplified joint with four spot welds is developed for static stress/strain analysis. A probabilistic Miner's rule is combined with a randomized strain-life curve family and the stress/strain analysis result to develop a strain-based probabilistic fatigue crack initiation life prediction for spot welds. Afterwards, the fatigue crack inside the base material sheet is modeled as a surface crack. Then a probabilistic crack growth model is combined with the stress analysis result to develop a probabilistic fatigue crack growth life prediction for spot welds. Both methods are implemented with MSC/NASTRAN and MSC/FATIGUE software, and are useful for reliability assessment of automotive spot-welded joints against fatigue and fracture

  5. Design and Analysis for Reliability of Wireless Sensor Network

    OpenAIRE

    Yongxian Song; Ting Chen; Juanli Ma; Yuan Feng; Xianjin Zhang

    2012-01-01

    Reliability is an important performance indicator of wireless sensor network, to some application fields, which have high demands in terms of reliability, it is particularly important to ensure reliability of network. At present, the reliability research findings of wireless sensor network are much more at home and abroad, but they mainly improve network reliability from the networks topology, reliable protocol and application layer fault correction and so on, and reliability of network is co...

  6. Reliability analysis of neutron flux monitoring system for PFBR

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Neutron Flux Monitoring System (NFMS) measures reactor power, rate of change of power and reactivity changes in the core in all states of operation and shutdown. The system consists of instrument channels that are designed and built to have high reliability. All channels are required to have a Mean Time Between Failures (MTBF) of 150000 hours minimum. Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA) and failure rate estimation of NFMS channels has been carried out. FMEA is carried out in compliance with MIL-STD-338B. Reliability estimation of the channels is done according to MIL-HDBK-217FN2. Paper discusses the methodology followed for FMEA and failure rate estimation of two safety channels and results. (author)

  7. Use of stochastic processes for mechanical reliability analysis and examples

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The paper starts with a short reconsideration of foundations of reliability analysis as applied to mechanical components. A comprehensive approach for dealing with mechanical reliability problems seems to rely upon the use of stochastic processes. In complete generality, these processes would develop along space and time coordinates. Time refers to the life of interest to the component and space to its physical domain. However, stated in this form, the problem turns out to be almost unsolvable. To find answers one should look for simpler schemes. The investigation of practical cases leads to approximations which allow to infer the structure of the stochastic processes and to compute the corresponding probability of level crossing. To this purpose, two practical cases are considered for illustration purposes. The cases regard a nuclear reactor pressure-tube under loss-of-coolant accident and a pressure safety bursting diaphragm. (orig.)

  8. Review of the treat upgrade reactor scram system reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In order to resolve some key LMFBR safety issues, ANL personnel are modifying the TREAT reactor to handle much larger experiments. As a result of these modifications, the upgraded Treat reactor will not always operate in a self-limited mode. During certain experiments in the upgraded TREAT reactor, it is possible that the fuel could be damaged by overheating if, once the computer systems fail, the reactor scram system (RSS) fails on demand. To help ensure that the upgraded TREAT reactor is shut down when required, ANL personnel have designed a triply redundant RSS for the facility. The RSS is designed to meet three reliability goals: (1) a loss of capability failure probability of 10-9/demand (independent failures only); (2) an inadvertent shutdown probability of 10-3/experiment; and (3) protection agaist any known potential common cause failures. According to ANL's reliability analysis of the RSS, this system substantially meets these goals

  9. Photovoltaic module reliability improvement through application testing and failure analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Dumas, L. N.; Shumka, A.

    1982-01-01

    During the first four years of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) National Photovoltatic Program, the Jet Propulsion Laboratory Low-Cost Solar Array (LSA) Project purchased about 400 kW of photovoltaic modules for test and experiments. In order to identify, report, and analyze test and operational problems with the Block Procurement modules, a problem/failure reporting and analysis system was implemented by the LSA Project with the main purpose of providing manufacturers with feedback from test and field experience needed for the improvement of product performance and reliability. A description of the more significant types of failures is presented, taking into account interconnects, cracked cells, dielectric breakdown, delamination, and corrosion. Current design practices and reliability evaluations are also discussed. The conducted evaluation indicates that current module designs incorporate damage-resistant and fault-tolerant features which address field failure mechanisms observed to date.

  10. A computer system for the analysis of integrated circuit reliability

    Science.gov (United States)

    Mauri, P.

    1989-12-01

    The formulation of total reliability assessment of integrated circuits involves an increasing amount of knowledge and data and hence it requires increasing computerized assistance. To perform this an information system has been designed and implemented. Following engineering practice, the key features of the system are (1) the collection of different types of data, e.g. electrical parameter measurements and qualitative description of the mode and the mechanism of failure and (2) the implementation of procedures coming from methods often applied, e.g. statistical or new approaches, such as formalization of cause-effect chains as studied for artificial intelligence applications. The system architecture has been designed so as to allow direct user maintenance, and hence a quick updating of reliability knowledge and information. Furthermore, its modularity eases the implementation of new procedures. Computer support improves the quality of data analysis and allows for the application of new methods and models.

  11. User's manual of a support system for human reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Many kinds of human reliability analysis (HRA) methods have been developed. However, users are required to be skillful so as to use them, and also required complicated works such as drawing event tree (ET) and calculation of uncertainty bounds. Moreover, each method is not so complete that only one method of them is not enough to evaluate human reliability. Therefore, a personal computer (PC) based support system for HRA has been developed to execute HRA practically and efficiently. The system consists of two methods, namely, simple method and detailed one. The former uses ASEP that is a simplified THERP-technique, and combined method of OAT and HRA-ET/DeBDA is used for the latter. Users can select a suitable method for their purpose. Human error probability (HEP) data were collected and a database of them was built to use for the support system. This paper describes outline of the HRA methods, support functions and user's guide of the system. (author)

  12. Improvement of human reliability analysis method for PRA

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    It is required to refine human reliability analysis (HRA) method by, for example, incorporating consideration for the cognitive process of operator into the evaluation of diagnosis errors and decision-making errors, as a part of the development and improvement of methods used in probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs). JNES has been developed a HRA method based on ATHENA which is suitable to handle the structured relationship among diagnosis errors, decision-making errors and operator cognition process. This report summarizes outcomes obtained from the improvement of HRA method, in which enhancement to evaluate how the plant degraded condition affects operator cognitive process and to evaluate human error probabilities (HEPs) which correspond to the contents of operator tasks is made. In addition, this report describes the results of case studies on the representative accident sequences to investigate the applicability of HRA method developed. HEPs of the same accident sequences are also estimated using THERP method, which is most popularly used HRA method, and comparisons of the results obtained using these two methods are made to depict the differences of these methods and issues to be solved. Important conclusions obtained are as follows: (1) Improvement of HRA method using operator cognitive action model. Clarification of factors to be considered in the evaluation of human errors, incorporation of degraded plant safety condition into HRA and investigation of HEPs which are affected by the contents of operator tasks were made to improve the HRA method which can integrate operator cognitive action model into ATHENA method. In addition, the detail of procedures of the improved method was delineated in the form of flowchart. (2) Case studies and comparison with the results evaluated by THERP method. Four operator actions modeled in the PRAs of representative BWR5 and 4-loop PWR plants were selected and evaluated as case studies. These cases were also evaluated using THERP method to compare the results with the improved method. In general, HEPs evaluated by the improved method are greater than HEPs evaluated by THERP method. (3) Characteristics of the improved HRA method. As many reference tables which can be applied for various cases are prepared in the improved HRA method, the prospect of realization of reproducibility, i.e. similar results are obtained independently to analysis, and traceability, i.e. process to the final results is clear and is also to be shared among analysts, can be said to be achieved. (author)

  13. Decision theory, the context for risk and reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    According to this model of the decision process then, the optimum decision is that option having the largest expected utility. This is the fundamental model of a decision situation. It is necessary to remark that in order for the model to represent a real-life decision situation, it must include all the options present in that situation, including, for example, the option of not deciding--which is itself a decision, although usually not the optimum one. Similarly, it should include the option of delaying the decision while the authors gather further information. Both of these options have probabilities, outcomes, impacts, and utilities like any option and should be included explicitly in the decision diagram. The reason for doing a quantitative risk or reliability analysis is always that, somewhere underlying there is a decision to be made. The decision analysis therefore always forms the context for the risk or reliability analysis, and this context shapes the form and language of that analysis. Therefore, they give in this section a brief review of the well-known decision theory diagram

  14. Reliability Analysis for Adhesive Bonded Composite Stepped Lap Joints Loaded in Fatigue

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Kimiaeifar, Amin; SØrensen, John Dalsgaard

    2012-01-01

    This paper describes a probabilistic approach to calculate the reliability of adhesive bonded composite stepped lap joints loaded in fatigue using three- dimensional finite element analysis (FEA). A method for progressive damage modelling is used to assess fatigue damage accumulation and residual strength under fully reversed cyclic loading based on stiffness/strength degradation. The FEA simulations are conducted using the commercial FEA code ANSYS 12.1. A design equation for fatigue failure of wind turbine blades is chosen based on recommendations given in the wind turbine standard IEC 61400-1, where partial safety factors are introduced together with characteristic values. Asymptotic sampling is used to estimate the reliability with support points generated by randomized Sobol sequences. The predicted reliability level is compared with the implicitly required target reliability level defined by the wind turbine standard IEC 61400-1. Finally, an approach for the assessment of the reliability of adhesive bonded composite stepped lap joints loaded in fatigue is presented. The introduced methodology can be applied in the same way to calculate the reliability level of wind turbine blade components loaded in fatigue.

  15. Reliability and sustainability analysis of large panel residential buildings in Sofia, Skopje and Novi Sad

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Foli? Radomir

    2011-01-01

    Full Text Available Large panel residential buildings, dating from second half of 20 Century, are to be found in almost every urban settlement across Europe. Within the context of three case studies of urban blocks in Bulgaria (Mladost - Sofia, Macedonia (Karpos III - Skopje and Serbia (Detelinara - Novi Sad, comparative analysis and evaluation of technical and structural characteristics according to reliability (seismic resistance and fire safety and sustainability (energy efficiency, internal air quality, accessibility criteria has been conducted. Additionally, previous experiences from individual renewal projects are reviewed. Previous experiences and comparative analysis results, could contribute to formulation of wider applicable solutions and development of new urban renewal strategies.

  16. Comparative kinetic analysis of two fungal ?-glucosidases

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Casanave Dominique

    2010-02-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background The enzymatic hydrolysis of cellulose is still considered as one of the main limiting steps of the biological production of biofuels from lignocellulosic biomass. It is a complex multistep process, and various kinetic models have been proposed. The cellulase enzymatic cocktail secreted by Trichoderma reesei has been intensively investigated. ?-glucosidases are one of a number of cellulolytic enzymes, and catalyze the last step releasing glucose from the inhibitory cellobiose. ?-glucosidase (BGL1 is very poorly secreted by Trichoderma reesei strains, and complete hydrolysis of cellulose often requires supplementation with a commercial ?-glucosidase preparation such as that from Aspergillus niger (Novozymes SP188. Surprisingly, kinetic modeling of ?-glucosidases lacks reliable data, and the possible differences between native T. reesei and supplemented ?-glucosidases are not taken into consideration, possibly because of the difficulty of purifying BGL1. Results A comparative kinetic analysis of ?-glucosidase from Aspergillus niger and BGL1 from Trichoderma reesei, purified using a new and efficient fast protein liquid chromatography protocol, was performed. This purification is characterized by two major steps, including the adsorption of the major cellulases onto crystalline cellulose, and a final purification factor of 53. Quantitative analysis of the resulting ?-glucosidase fraction from T. reesei showed it to be 95% pure. Kinetic parameters were determined using cellobiose and a chromogenic artificial substrate. A new method allowing easy and rapid determination of the kinetic parameters was also developed. ?-Glucosidase SP188 (Km = 0.57 mM; Kp = 2.70 mM has a lower specific activity than BGL1 (Km = 0.38 mM; Kp = 3.25 mM and is also more sensitive to glucose inhibition. A Michaelis-Menten model integrating competitive inhibition by the product (glucose has been validated and is able to predict the ?-glucosidase activity of both enzymes. Conclusions This article provides a useful comparison between the activity of ?-glucosidases from two different fungi, and shows the importance of fully characterizing both enzymes. A Michaelis-Menten model was developed, including glucose inhibition and kinetic parameters, which were accurately determined and compared. This model can be further integrated into a cellulose hydrolysis model dissociating ?-glucosidase activity from that of other cellulases. It can also help to define the optimal enzymatic cocktails for new ?-glucosidase activities.

  17. Reliability analysis of repairable system based on GO-FLOW methodology

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A quantitative analysis method named GO-FLOW is introduced to analyze the reliability of system with priority in maintenance and the amount of repairman limited. Approximate formulas model that can be applied to the GO-FLOW calculation is derived for the reliability parameters of repairable assembly. Then the model's feasibility is validated, and its error is analyzed. An example of redundancy pump component is presented, and the result achieved by GO-FLOW is compared with that by GO methodology. The results show that GO-FLOW Methodology can be used for quantitative analysis of this sort of repairable system; The model of GO-FLOW is effective and the algorithm is more convenient compared with GO methodology. (authors)

  18. Reliability-Analysis of Offshore Structures using Directional Loads

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    SØrensen, John Dalsgaard; Bloch, Allan

    2000-01-01

    Reliability analyses of offshore structures such as steel jacket platforms are usually performed using stochastic models for the wave loads based on the omnidirectional wave height. However, reliability analyses with respect to structural failure modes such as total collapse of a structure generally require that the directional dependence of the environmental loads (e.g. wave and wind actions) be taken into account. In the present paper a stochastic model for directional wave heights is presented. Stochastic dependence between extreme wave heights from different directions is taken into account. It is shown how the parameters in the stochastic model can be determined using a generalized Maximum Likelihood method such that the stochastic model becomes consistent with a stochastic model for the omnidirectional wave height. The calibration is illustrated by an example with hindcast wave heights from the central part of the North Sea. It is described how the stochastic model for the directional wave heights can be used in a reliability analysis where total collapse of offshore steel jacket platforms is considered.

  19. Reliability and risk analysis using artificial neural networks

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Robinson, D.G. [Sandia National Labs., Albuquerque, NM (United States)

    1995-12-31

    This paper discusses preliminary research at Sandia National Laboratories into the application of artificial neural networks for reliability and risk analysis. The goal of this effort is to develop a reliability based methodology that captures the complex relationship between uncertainty in material properties and manufacturing processes and the resulting uncertainty in life prediction estimates. The inputs to the neural network model are probability density functions describing system characteristics and the output is a statistical description of system performance. The most recent application of this methodology involves the comparison of various low-residue, lead-free soldering processes with the desire to minimize the associated waste streams with no reduction in product reliability. Model inputs include statistical descriptions of various material properties such as the coefficients of thermal expansion of solder and substrate. Consideration is also given to stochastic variation in the operational environment to which the electronic components might be exposed. Model output includes a probabilistic characterization of the fatigue life of the surface mounted component.

  20. Fifty Years of THERP and Human Reliability Analysis

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Ronald L. Boring

    2012-06-01

    In 1962 at a Human Factors Society symposium, Alan Swain presented a paper introducing a Technique for Human Error Rate Prediction (THERP). This was followed in 1963 by a Sandia Laboratories monograph outlining basic human error quantification using THERP and, in 1964, by a special journal edition of Human Factors on quantification of human performance. Throughout the 1960s, Swain and his colleagues focused on collecting human performance data for the Sandia Human Error Rate Bank (SHERB), primarily in connection with supporting the reliability of nuclear weapons assembly in the US. In 1969, Swain met with Jens Rasmussen of Risø National Laboratory and discussed the applicability of THERP to nuclear power applications. By 1975, in WASH-1400, Swain had articulated the use of THERP for nuclear power applications, and the approach was finalized in the watershed publication of the NUREG/CR-1278 in 1983. THERP is now 50 years old, and remains the most well known and most widely used HRA method. In this paper, the author discusses the history of THERP, based on published reports and personal communication and interviews with Swain. The author also outlines the significance of THERP. The foundations of human reliability analysis are found in THERP: human failure events, task analysis, performance shaping factors, human error probabilities, dependence, event trees, recovery, and pre- and post-initiating events were all introduced in THERP. While THERP is not without its detractors, and it is showing signs of its age in the face of newer technological applications, the longevity of THERP is a testament of its tremendous significance. THERP started the field of human reliability analysis. This paper concludes with a discussion of THERP in the context of newer methods, which can be seen as extensions of or departures from Swain’s pioneering work.

  1. Thermal analysis of waste package preliminary reliability assessment

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A thermal analysis has been performed for the Basalt Waste Isolation Project waste package designs in the postemplacement period. This analysis is an integral part of the preliminary reliability assessment of the first phase of the waste package advanced conceptual design. A three-dimensional integrated model was used to simulate and predict thermal conditions for the waste package and its environment. These predicted temperature histories of the waste package container are employed, in turn, to assess the container lifetimes. The temperature profiles and histories of the packing material and host rock are used to assess their behaviors and to guide future material test plans. It is found that all components of waste package are within the current BWIP temperature limits of concern to safety. Axial temperature gradients in the waste form and container also have been predicted. An analysis of the uncertainty of material properties on the temperature predictions is also described

  2. IDHEAS – A NEW APPROACH FOR HUMAN RELIABILITY ANALYSIS

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    G. W. Parry; J.A Forester; V.N. Dang; S. M. L. Hendrickson; M. Presley; E. Lois; J. Xing

    2013-09-01

    This paper describes a method, IDHEAS (Integrated Decision-Tree Human Event Analysis System) that has been developed jointly by the US NRC and EPRI as an improved approach to Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) that is based on an understanding of the cognitive mechanisms and performance influencing factors (PIFs) that affect operator responses. The paper describes the various elements of the method, namely the performance of a detailed cognitive task analysis that is documented in a crew response tree (CRT), and the development of the associated time-line to identify the critical tasks, i.e. those whose failure results in a human failure event (HFE), and an approach to quantification that is based on explanations of why the HFE might occur.

  3. Analysis of Mobile Phone Reliability Based on Active Disassembly Using Smart Materials

    OpenAIRE

    Zhifeng Liu; Liuxian Zhao; Jun Zhong; Xinyu Li; Huanbo Cheng

    2011-01-01

    When using shape memory materials into active disassembly of actual electronic products, because the elastic modulus of shape memory materials is affected by the temperature is relatively large, therefore, the main difference of environmental reliability between active disassembly products and common products is the impact of collision and vibration under different temperature. Establishing three-dimensional analysis model, comparing the impact of collision and vibration of mobile phone shell...

  4. Reliability and sustainability analysis of large panel residential buildings in Sofia, Skopje and Novi Sad

    OpenAIRE

    Foli? Radomir; Laban Mirjana; Milanko Verica

    2011-01-01

    Large panel residential buildings, dating from second half of 20 Century, are to be found in almost every urban settlement across Europe. Within the context of three case studies of urban blocks in Bulgaria (Mladost - Sofia), Macedonia (Karpos III - Skopje) and Serbia (Detelinara - Novi Sad), comparative analysis and evaluation of technical and structural characteristics according to reliability (seismic resistance and fire safety) and sustainability (energy efficiency, internal air quality, ...

  5. Reliability analysis of selected systems of nuclear power unit

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability analysis is discussed of selected facilities of the 440 MW nuclear power unit using the failure tree method. The first part of the paper deals with the primary circuit and analyses the possibility of a dangerous failure arising of the system of accident alarm of the first order of the WWER 440 nuclear reactor during the event of the ''outage of four and more circulating pumps''. The second part of the paper is related to the secondary circuit. It studies the causes and probabilities of the failures of functions of condensate flow pumping and control with regard to the event the ''turbogenerator failure''. (author)

  6. Application of CBDTM and AP1000 human reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    To carry out the AP1000 post-accident Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) and model the operator performance shaping factors (PSF) in a proper way, the Cause-based Decision Tree Method (CBDTM) is selected as one of the methods to calculate the probability of diagnostic errors in the AP1000 HRA. The PSFs related to the working load, signal displays, operation procedures and panel design are considered in the CBDTM model, thus the relation among the plant information, operators and procedures can be properly addressed to obtain more reasonable results of AP1000 HRA. (authors)

  7. Rent control: a comparative analysis

    Scientific Electronic Library Online (English)

    S, Maass.

    Full Text Available Recent case law shows that vulnerable, previously disadvantaged private sector tenants are currently facing eviction orders - and consequential homelessness - on the basis that their leases have expired. In terms of the case law it is evident that once their leases have expired, these households do [...] not have access to alternative accommodation. In terms of the Constitution, this group of marginalised tenants have a constitutional right of access to adequate housing and a right to occupy land with legally secure tenure. The purpose of this article is to critically analyse a number of legislative interventions, and specifically rent control, that were imposed in various jurisdictions in order to provide strengthened tenure protection for tenants. The rationale for this analysis is to determine whether the current South African landlord-tenant regime is able to provide adequate tenure protection for vulnerable tenants and therefore in the process of transforming in line with the Constitution. The legal construction of rent control was adopted in pre-1994 South Africa, England and New York City to provide substantive tenure protection for tenants during housing shortages. These statutory interventions in the different private rental markets were justified on the basis that there was a general need to protect tenants against exploitation by landlords. However, the justification for the persistent imposition of rent control in New York City is different since it protects a minority group of financially weak tenants against homelessness. The English landlord-tenant regime highlights the importance of a well-structured social sector that can provide secure, long-term housing options for low-income households who are struggling to access the private rental sector. Additionally, the English rental housing framework shows that if the social sector is functioning as a "safety net" for low-income households, the private sector would be able to uphold deregulation. In light of these comparisons and the fact that the South African social sector is not functioning optimally yet, the question is whether the South African private sector is able to provide the required level of tenure protection for struggling tenants. Recent case law shows that tenants are at liberty to lodge unfair practice complaints with the Rental Housing Tribunals on the basis that the landlords' ground for termination of the lease constitutes an unfair practice. The Court defined an unfair practice as a practice that unreasonably prejudices the tenants' rights or interests. This judicial development signifies some transformation in the private sector since it allows the Tribunals to scrutinise landlords' reasons for termination of tenancies in light of tenants' personal and socioeconomic circumstances. The Tribunals are therefore empowered to weigh the interests of both parties and decide whether to confirm termination of the lease or set aside such termination. In light of this recent development, the Tribunals can provide strengthened tenure protection for destitute tenants on a case by case basis, which incorporates a flexible context-sensitive approach to the provision of secure housing rights in the landlord-tenant framework. This methodology is similar to the German approach. Even though this judicial development is welcomed, it raises some concerns with regard to landlords' property rights and specifically landlords' constitutional property rights since Tribunals are now at liberty to set aside contractually agreed grounds for termination of leases without any statutory guidance. The legislation fails to provide any information regarding legitimate grounds for termination, which might have to be rectified in future. The grounds listed in the rent control legislation should serve as a starting point to determine which grounds for termination of a lease should generally be upheld. However, German landlord-tenant law shows that a statutory ground for termination of a lease should not be imposed in an absolutist fashion but rather place a

  8. RENT CONTROL: A COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Sue-Mari Maass

    2012-11-01

    Full Text Available Recent case law shows that vulnerable, previously disadvantaged private sector tenants are currently facing eviction orders – and consequential homelessness – on the basis that their leases have expired. In terms of the case law it is evident that once their leases have expired, these households do not have access to alternative accommodation. In terms of the Constitution, this group of marginalised tenants have a constitutional right of access to adequate housing and a right to occupy land with legally secure tenure. The purpose of this article is to critically analyse a number of legislative interventions, and specifically rent control, that were imposed in various jurisdictions in order to provide strengthened tenure protection for tenants. The rationale for this analysis is to determine whether the current South African landlord-tenant regime is able to provide adequate tenure protection for vulnerable tenants and therefore in the process of transforming in line with the Constitution. The legal construction of rent control was adopted in pre-1994 South Africa, England and New York City to provide substantive tenure protection for tenants during housing shortages. These statutory interventions in the different private rental markets were justified on the basis that there was a general need to protect tenants against exploitation by landlords. However, the justification for the persistent imposition of rent control in New York City is different since it protects a minority group of financially weak tenants against homelessness. The English landlord-tenant regime highlights the importance of a well-structured social sector that can provide secure, long-term housing options for low-income households who are struggling to access the private rental sector. Additionally, the English rental housing framework shows that if the social sector is functioning as a "safety net" for low-income households, the private sector would be able to uphold deregulation. In light of these comparisons and the fact that the South African social sector is not functioning optimally yet, the question is whether the South African private sector is able to provide the required level of tenure protection for struggling tenants. Recent case law shows that tenants are at liberty to lodge unfair practice complaints with the Rental Housing Tribunals on the basis that the landlords' ground for termination of the lease constitutes an unfair practice. The Court defined an unfair practice as a practice that unreasonably prejudices the tenants' rights or interests. This judicial development signifies some transformation in the private sector since it allows the Tribunals to scrutinise landlords' reasons for termination of tenancies in light of tenants' personal and socio-economic circumstances. The Tribunals are therefore empowered to weigh the interests of both parties and decide whether to confirm termination of the lease or set aside such termination. In light of this recent development, the Tribunals can provide strengthened tenure protection for destitute tenants on a case by case basis, which incorporates a flexible context-sensitive approach to the provision of secure housing rights in the landlord-tenant framework. This methodology is similar to the German approach. Even though this judicial development is welcomed, it raises some concerns with regard to landlords' property rights and specifically landlords' constitutional property rights since Tribunals are now at liberty to set aside contractually agreed grounds for termination of leases without any statutory guidance. The legislation fails to provide any information regarding legitimate grounds for termination, which might have to be rectified in future. The grounds listed in the rent control legislation should serve as a starting point to determine which grounds for termination of a lease should generally be upheld. However, German landlord-tenant law shows that a statutory ground for termination of a lease should not be imposed in an absolutist fashion but rather place a

  9. Comparative Study and Analysis of Variability Tools

    OpenAIRE

    Bhumula, Mahendra Reddy

    2013-01-01

    The dissertation provides a comparative analysis of a number of variability tools currently in use. It serves as a catalogue for practitioners interested in the topic. We compare a range of modelling, configuring, and management tools for product line engineering. The tools surveyed are compared against the following criteria: functional, non-functional, governance issues and Technical aspects. The outcome of the analysis is provided in tabular format.

  10. Inclusion of fatigue effects in human reliability analysis

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Griffith, Candice D. [Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN (United States); Mahadevan, Sankaran, E-mail: sankaran.mahadevan@vanderbilt.edu [Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN (United States)

    2011-11-15

    The effect of fatigue on human performance has been observed to be an important factor in many industrial accidents. However, defining and measuring fatigue is not easily accomplished. This creates difficulties in including fatigue effects in probabilistic risk assessments (PRA) of complex engineering systems that seek to include human reliability analysis (HRA). Thus the objectives of this paper are to discuss (1) the importance of the effects of fatigue on performance, (2) the difficulties associated with defining and measuring fatigue, (3) the current status of inclusion of fatigue in HRA methods, and (4) the future directions and challenges for the inclusion of fatigue, specifically sleep deprivation, in HRA. - Highlights: >We highlight the need for fatigue and sleep deprivation effects on performance to be included in human reliability analysis (HRA) methods. Current methods do not explicitly include sleep deprivation effects. > We discuss the difficulties in defining and measuring fatigue. > We review sleep deprivation research, and discuss the limitations and future needs of the current HRA methods.

  11. A methodology for strain-based fatigue reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A significant scatter of the cyclic stress-strain (CSS) responses should be noted for a nuclear reactor material, 1Cr18Ni9Ti pipe-weld metal. Existence of the scatter implies that a random cyclic strain applied history will be introduced under any of the loading modes even a deterministic loading history. A non-conservative evaluation might be given in the practice without considering the scatter. A methodology for strain-based fatigue reliability analysis, which has taken into account the scatter, is developed. The responses are approximately modeled by probability-based CSS curves of Ramberg-Osgood relation. The strain-life data are modeled, similarly, by probability-based strain-life curves of Coffin-Manson law. The reliability assessment is constructed by considering interference of the random fatigue strain applied and capacity histories. Probability density functions of the applied and capacity histories are analytically given. The methodology could be conveniently extrapolated to the case of deterministic CSS relation as the existent methods did. Non-conservative evaluation of the deterministic CSS relation and availability of present methodology have been indicated by an analysis of the material test results

  12. Inclusion of fatigue effects in human reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The effect of fatigue on human performance has been observed to be an important factor in many industrial accidents. However, defining and measuring fatigue is not easily accomplished. This creates difficulties in including fatigue effects in probabilistic risk assessments (PRA) of complex engineering systems that seek to include human reliability analysis (HRA). Thus the objectives of this paper are to discuss (1) the importance of the effects of fatigue on performance, (2) the difficulties associated with defining and measuring fatigue, (3) the current status of inclusion of fatigue in HRA methods, and (4) the future directions and challenges for the inclusion of fatigue, specifically sleep deprivation, in HRA. - Highlights: ?We highlight the need for fatigue and sleep deprivation effects on performance to be included in human reliability analysis (HRA) methods. Current methods do not explicitly include sleep deprivation effects. ? We discuss the difficulties in defining and measuring fatigue. ? We review sleep deprivation research, and discuss the limitations and future needs of the current HRA methods.

  13. Tailoring a Human Reliability Analysis to Your Industry Needs

    Science.gov (United States)

    DeMott, D. L.

    2016-01-01

    Companies at risk of accidents caused by human error that result in catastrophic consequences include: airline industry mishaps, medical malpractice, medication mistakes, aerospace failures, major oil spills, transportation mishaps, power production failures and manufacturing facility incidents. Human Reliability Assessment (HRA) is used to analyze the inherent risk of human behavior or actions introducing errors into the operation of a system or process. These assessments can be used to identify where errors are most likely to arise and the potential risks involved if they do occur. Using the basic concepts of HRA, an evolving group of methodologies are used to meet various industry needs. Determining which methodology or combination of techniques will provide a quality human reliability assessment is a key element to developing effective strategies for understanding and dealing with risks caused by human errors. There are a number of concerns and difficulties in "tailoring" a Human Reliability Assessment (HRA) for different industries. Although a variety of HRA methodologies are available to analyze human error events, determining the most appropriate tools to provide the most useful results can depend on industry specific cultures and requirements. Methodology selection may be based on a variety of factors that include: 1) how people act and react in different industries, 2) expectations based on industry standards, 3) factors that influence how the human errors could occur such as tasks, tools, environment, workplace, support, training and procedure, 4) type and availability of data, 5) how the industry views risk & reliability, and 6) types of emergencies, contingencies and routine tasks. Other considerations for methodology selection should be based on what information is needed from the assessment. If the principal concern is determination of the primary risk factors contributing to the potential human error, a more detailed analysis method may be employed versus a requirement to provide a numerical value as part of a probabilistic risk assessment. Industries involved with humans operating large equipment or transport systems (ex. railroads or airlines) would have more need to address the man machine interface than medical workers administering medications. Human error occurs in every industry; in most cases the consequences are relatively benign and occasionally beneficial. In cases where the results can have disastrous consequences, the use of Human Reliability techniques to identify and classify the risk of human errors allows a company more opportunities to mitigate or eliminate these types of risks and prevent costly tragedies.

  14. Analysis of dependent failures in risk assessment and reliability evaluation

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The ability to estimate the risk of potential reactor accidents is largely determined by the ability to analyze statistically dependent multiple failures. The importance of dependent failures has been indicated in recent probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) studies as well as in reports of reactor operating experiences. This article highlights the importance of several different types of dependent failures from the perspective of the risk and reliability analyst and provides references to the methods and data available for their analysis. In addition to describing the current state of the art, some recent advances, pitfalls, misconceptions, and limitations of some approaches to dependent failure analysis are addressed. A summary is included of the discourse on this subject, which is presented in the Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers/American Nuclear Society PRA Procedures Guide

  15. CARES - CERAMICS ANALYSIS AND RELIABILITY EVALUATION OF STRUCTURES

    Science.gov (United States)

    Nemeth, N. N.

    1994-01-01

    The beneficial properties of structural ceramics include their high-temperature strength, light weight, hardness, and corrosion and oxidation resistance. For advanced heat engines, ceramics have demonstrated functional abilities at temperatures well beyond the operational limits of metals. This is offset by the fact that ceramic materials tend to be brittle. When a load is applied, their lack of significant plastic deformation causes the material to crack at microscopic flaws, destroying the component. CARES calculates the fast-fracture reliability or failure probability of macroscopically isotropic ceramic components. These components may be subjected to complex thermomechanical loadings. The program uses results from a commercial structural analysis program (MSC/NASTRAN or ANSYS) to evaluate component reliability due to inherent surface and/or volume type flaws. A multiple material capability allows the finite element model reliability to be a function of many different ceramic material statistical characterizations. The reliability analysis uses element stress, temperature, area, and volume output, which are obtained from two dimensional shell and three dimensional solid isoparametric or axisymmetric finite elements. CARES utilizes the Batdorf model and the two-parameter Weibull cumulative distribution function to describe the effects of multi-axial stress states on material strength. The shear-sensitive Batdorf model requires a user-selected flaw geometry and a mixed-mode fracture criterion. Flaws intersecting the surface and imperfections embedded in the volume can be modeled. The total strain energy release rate theory is used as a mixed mode fracture criterion for co-planar crack extension. Out-of-plane crack extension criteria are approximated by a simple equation with a semi-empirical constant that can model the maximum tangential stress theory, the minimum strain energy density criterion, the maximum strain energy release rate theory, or experimental results. For comparison, Griffith's maximum tensile stress theory, the principle of independent action, and the Weibull normal stress averaging models are also included. Weibull material strength parameters, the Batdorf crack density coefficient, and other related statistical quantities are estimated from four-point bend bar or uniform uniaxial tensile specimen fracture strength data. Parameter estimation can be performed for single or multiple failure modes by using the least-squares analysis or the maximum likelihood method. A more limited program, CARES/PC (COSMIC number LEW-15248) runs on a personal computer and estimates ceramic material properties from three-point bend bar data. CARES/PC does not perform fast fracture reliability estimation. CARES is written in FORTRAN 77 and has been implemented on DEC VAX series computers under VMS and on IBM 370 series computers under VM/CMS. On a VAX, CARES requires 10Mb of main memory. Five MSC/NASTRAN example problems and two ANSYS example problems are provided. There are two versions of CARES supplied on the distribution tape, CARES1 and CARES2. CARES2 contains sub-elements and CARES1 does not. CARES is available on a 9-track 1600 BPI VAX FILES-11 format magnetic tape (standard media) or in VAX BACKUP format on a TK50 tape cartridge. The program requires a FORTRAN 77 compiler and about 12Mb memory. CARES was developed in 1990. DEC, VAX and VMS are trademarks of Digital Equipment Corporation. IBM 370 is a trademark of International Business Machines. MSC/NASTRAN is a trademark of MacNeal-Schwendler Corporation. ANSYS is a trademark of Swanson Analysis Systems, Inc.

  16. Radionuclides in sediments - a comparative analysis, 1981

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    On behalf of the BMI (Federal German Ministry of the Interior), the BfG in 1981 again started an interlaboratory comparison (among 42 measuring points) on the topic of radionuclides in sediments. The study was intended to test the reliability of G?, G?/R? measurements in sedimentary samples under practical conditions. The comparative analyses again revealed a number of error sources, and errors could be corrected. This was achieved not least by a good cooperation among the participating laboratories who contributed a.o. very useful information and ideas. (orig./HP)

  17. Suitability review of FMEA and reliability analysis for digital plant protection system and digital engineered safety features actuation system

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Of the many items that should be checked out during a review stage of the licensing application for the I and C system of Ulchin 5 and 6 units, this report relates to a suitability review of the reliability analysis of Digital Plant Protection System (DPPS) and Digital Engineered Safety Features Actuation System (DESFAS). In the reliability analysis performed by the system designer, ABB-CE, fault tree analysis was used as the main methods along with Failure Modes and Effect Analysis (FMEA). However, the present regulatory technique dose not allow the system reliability analysis and its results to be appropriately evaluated. Hence, this study was carried out focusing on the following four items ; development of general review items by which to check the validity of a reliability analysis, and the subsequent review of suitability of the reliability analysis for Ulchin 5 and 6 DPPS and DESFAS L development of detailed review items by which to check the validity of an FMEA, and the subsequent review of suitability of the FMEA for Ulchin 5 and 6 DPPS and DESFAS ; development of detailed review items by which to check the validity of a fault tree analysis, and the subsequent review of suitability of the fault tree for Ulchin 5 and 6 DPPS and DESFAS ; an integrated review of the safety and reliability of the Ulchin 5 and 6 DPPS and DESFAS based on the results of the various reviews above and also of a reliability comparison between the digital systems and the comparable analog systems, i.e., and analog Plant Protection System (PPS) and and analog Engineered Safety Features Actuation System (ESFAS). According to the review mentioned above, the reliability analysis of Ulchin 5 and 6 DPPS and DESFAS generally satisfies the review requirements. However, some shortcomings of the analysis were identified in our review such that the assumed test periods for several equipment were not properly incorporated in the analysis, and failures of some equipment were not included in the fault tree, Based on these findings, the ABB-CE is reanalyzing the system unavailabilities by modifying the fault trees. Hence, the reliability of the digital systems shall have to be reevaluated in an integrated manner following the re-analysis of the fault trees. In conclusion, the generic review method of systems reliability analysis, developed in this study, shows a great potential for use in evaluating reliability analysis of other safety systems

  18. FISCAL DISCIPLINE WITHIN THE EU: COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    SORIN CELEA

    2013-12-01

    Full Text Available This paper focuses on the analysis of the convergence indicators relative to fiscal area in the EU; subsequent to a description of the main peculiarities of the convergence criteria, the reseach develops a critical analysis on a comparative perspective of the actual values of fiscal convergence indicators registered in EU countries compared with the reference values of the indicators, with emphasis on the differences between emerging and developed countries.

  19. Reliability analysis of the service water system of Angra 1 reactor

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A reliability analysis of the service water system is done aiming to use in the evaluation of the non reliability of the component cooling system (SRC) for great loss of cooling accidents in nuclear power plants. (E.G.)

  20. Reliability analysis of the service water system of Angra 1 reactor

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A reliability analysis of the service water system is done aiming to use in the evaluation of the non reliability of the Component Cooling System (SRC) for great loss of cooling accidents in nuclear power plants. (E.G.)

  1. Flow cytometry reliability analysis and variations in sugarcane DNA content.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Oliveira, A C L; Pasqual, M; Bruzi, A T; Pio, L A S; Mendonça, P M S; Soares, J D R

    2015-01-01

    The aim of this study was to evaluate the reliability of flow cytometry analysis and the use of this technique to differentiate species and varieties of sugarcane (Saccharum spp) according to their relative DNA content. We analyzed 16 varieties and three species belonging to this genus. To determine a reliable protocol, we evaluated three extraction buffers (LB01, Marie, and Tris·MgCl2), the presence and absence of RNase, six doses of propidium iodide (10, 15, 20, 25, and 30 ?g), four periods of exposure to propidium iodide (0, 5, 10, and 20 min), and seven external reference standards (peas, beans, corn, radish, rye, soybean, and tomato) with reference to the coefficient of variation and the DNA content. For statistical analyses, we used the programs Sisvar(®) and Xlstat(®). We recommend using the Marie extraction buffer and at least 15 ?g propidium iodide. The samples should not be analyzed immediately after the addition of propidium iodide. The use of RNase is optional, and tomato should be used as an external reference standard. The results show that sugarcane has a variable genome size (8.42 to 12.12 pg/2C) and the individuals analyzed could be separated into four groups according to their DNA content with relative equality in the genome sizes of the commercial varieties. PMID:26125928

  2. Deductive tree analysis for evaluating the reliability of construction operations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The importance of structural and construction safety is associated with the adverse consequences that may result from a structural failure and a construction accident. One of the most important objectives of any construction team is to minimize and control the risk levels of failure and accident of construction operations, as well as to determine the various critical factors which might lead to the increase of the probability of failure and accident of the operations. There are several uncertainty events and factors that contribute to the failure and accident of construction operations. The factors are associated with random, human-based or system uncertainty. Some of these factors include the level of engineering knowledge and experience, level of workmanship and attitude, level of communication procedures, methods and sequence of construction. Most of these factors are subjective, vague, and imprecisely defined, and therefore, they are expressed in semantic terms rather than mathematical measures. The subjectivity of the factors needs to be incorporated into the reliability estimation processes. The objective of this paper is to present a reliability evaluation methodology for construction operations that considers the effect of the factors and their uncertainties on the estimation of the risk measures for construction operations. The methodology is based on a deductive tree analysis approach which involves identifying a possible condition of the construction systemsible condition of the construction system and determining the various events and combination of the factors that contribute to the occurrence of that condition

  3. Reliability analysis of large scaled structures by optimization technique

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper presents a reliability analysis based on the optimization technique using PNET (Probabilistic Network Evaluation Technique) method for the highly redundant structures having a large number of collapse modes. This approach makes the best use of the merit of the optimization technique in which the idea of PNET method is used. The analytical process involves the minimization of safety index of the representative mode, subjected to satisfaction of the mechanism condition and of the positive external work. The procedure entails the sequential performance of a series of the NLP (Nonlinear Programming) problems, where the correlation condition as the idea of PNET method pertaining to the representative mode is taken as an additional constraint to the next analysis. Upon succeeding iterations, the final analysis is achieved when a collapse probability at the subsequent mode is extremely less than the value at the 1st mode. The approximate collapse probability of the structure is defined as the sum of the collapse probabilities of the representative modes classified by the extent of correlation. Then, in order to confirm the validity of the proposed method, the conventional Monte Carlo simulation is also revised by using the collapse load analysis. Finally, two fairly large structures were analyzed to illustrate the scope and application of the approach. (orig./HP)

  4. Determining which primate audiograms are reliable for comparing sensitivity in different species

    Science.gov (United States)

    Coleman, Mark N.

    2005-09-01

    This study investigated all known audiograms of nonhuman primates going back to the study by Elder in 1934. In total, audiograms have been published for 28 species of nonhuman primates, with macaques being the most intensively studied. The aim of this project was to determine which audiograms represent reliable measures of sensitivity by examining interlaboratory, intraspecific, and individual variability. Auditory thresholds were taken from the audiograms by digitally scanning each graph and then extracting amplitude and frequency data using SIGMASCAN PRO image measurement software. The precision of this method was verified by comparing extracted data with published threshold values from numerous studies. The results indicate that several patterns are consistently illustrated regardless of which techniques were used, although there is some degree of variability in audiograms produced in different laboratories. For example, several studies have found that anthropoids have better low-frequency hearing than prosimians, and nearly all monkeys show the 4-kHz dip. Another interesting finding was that a lack of low-frequency sensitivity in certain taxa (e.g., patas monkeys) cannot simply be explained as the result of using headphones instead of loudspeakers. With judicious usage, audiograms can be useful for comparing biologically meaningful differences in primate hearing patterns.

  5. Analysis of reliability centered maintenance for service water system in nuclear power plants

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Reliability centered maintenance (RCM) methodology has been applied to a service water system in AP1000 nuclear power plant. Using the functional failure modes and effect analysis (FMEA) and logic tree analysis (LTA), the optimized maintenance strategy is established based on a better understanding of the relevant information on this system and related equipments (including the functional failures, failure modes and effects)conclude. Compared with the current maintenance strategy, this maintenance strategy optimized by RCM conducts the condition monitoring and periodical maintenance for dominant failures but conducts periodical test for the recessive failures. (authors)

  6. Towards a non-wired simulator for reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper outlines the objectives and preliminary results of a research programme aiming to increase the advantages of electronic simulators used for reliability studies of complex systems. Research work has resulted in the design of a device based on an electronic simulator capable of carrying out all types of simulation without the drawback of wiring, as is currently the case. Its performance levels as regards speed are comparable to those of wired simulators and this is its main advantage over studies made on a computer. In addition, the simulator is connected to a computer which greatly increases system flexibility and user-friendliness. The first results obtained illustrate what characteristics can be expected of such a system, both as regards the anticipated computation time and the extended processing capabilities (such as the study of common cause failures). (author)

  7. Explicit time-dependent analysis in Monte Carlo reliability simulations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Markov Monte Carlo methods have been employed for estimating reliability and availability of highly redundant systems with complex dependencies between component failure rates. There is, however, a major drawback with such Monte Carlo simulation when compared with analytical solutions or the numerical integration of the Markov equations. The result of a Monte Carlo simulation is a single number, the mission unreliability or unavailability (and an associated confidence interval). In contrast, deterministic methods provide curves of unreliability or unavailability versus time, allowing time-dependent trends to be observed and permitting a better and more general picture of system behavior to be obtained. To alleviate this drawback the authors have developed graphic algorithms that allow one to plot system unreliability and/or unavailability and the associated confidence intervals versus mission time. The procedures, moreover, add < 10% to the computation time required for a single Monte Carlo simulation to the maximum mission time to be considered

  8. Application of Support Vector Machine to Reliability Analysis of Engine Systems

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Zhang Xinfeng

    2013-07-01

    Full Text Available Reliability analysis plays a very important role for assessing the performance and making maintenance plans of engine systems. This research presents a comparative study of the predictive performances of support vector machines (SVM , least square support vector machine (LSSVM and neural network time series models for forecasting failures and reliability in engine systems. Further, the reliability indexes of engine systems are computed by the weibull probability paper programmed with Matlab. The results shows that the probability distribution of the forecasting outcomes is consistent to the distribution of the actual data, which all follow weibull distribution and the predictions by SVM and LSSVM can provide accurate predictions of the characteristic life. So SVM and LSSVM are both another choice of engine system reliability analysis. Moreover, the predictive precise of the method based on LSSVM is higher than that of SVM. In small samples, the prediction by LSSVM will be more popular, because its compution cost is lower and the precise can be more satisfied.

  9. Comparative Environmental Threat Analysis: Three Case Studies.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Latour, J. B.; Reiling, R.

    1994-01-01

    Reviews how carrying capacity for different environmental problems is operationalized. Discusses whether it is possible to compare threats, using the exceeding of carrying capacity as a yardstick. Points out problems in comparative threat analysis using three case studies: threats to European groundwater resources, threats to ecosystems in Europe,…

  10. Procedure for conducting a human-reliability analysis for nuclear power plants. Final report

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This document describes in detail a procedure to be followed in conducting a human reliability analysis as part of a probabilistic risk assessment when such an analysis is performed according to the methods described in NUREG/CR-1278, Handbook for Human Reliability Analysis with Emphasis on Nuclear Power Plant Applications. An overview of the procedure describing the major elements of a human reliability analysis is presented along with a detailed description of each element and an example of an actual analysis. An appendix consists of some sample human reliability analysis problems for further study

  11. Procedure for conducting a human-reliability analysis for nuclear power plants. Final report

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Bell, B.J.; Swain, A.D.

    1983-05-01

    This document describes in detail a procedure to be followed in conducting a human reliability analysis as part of a probabilistic risk assessment when such an analysis is performed according to the methods described in NUREG/CR-1278, Handbook for Human Reliability Analysis with Emphasis on Nuclear Power Plant Applications. An overview of the procedure describing the major elements of a human reliability analysis is presented along with a detailed description of each element and an example of an actual analysis. An appendix consists of some sample human reliability analysis problems for further study.

  12. UPS reliability analysis with non-exponential duration distribution

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this paper, the reliability performance of uninterruptible power systems is studied. After the description of the protection system against anomalous conditions, a brief failure mode analysis is performed in order to define the fault tree referring to compensator output voltage. An analytical model able to deal with non-exponential life and repair time distributions is developed, using semi-Markov processes and assuming stochastic independence for the components of the system under study. The mean time between failure (MTBF) and the mean time to restoration of the compensator output voltage are then calculated exactly. Finally a mechanical bypass switch, which connects the load to the mains directly during long failures, is taken into account in the MTBF calculation via a simple approximation. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to validate the results of the analytical model and of the approximation

  13. UPS reliability analysis with non-exponential duration distribution

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Pievatolo, A. [CNR-IMATI, Milano (Italy); Valade, I. [Politecnico di Milano, Dip. di Elettrotecnica, Milano (Italy)

    2003-08-01

    In this paper, the reliability performance of uninterruptible power systems is studied. After the description of the protection system against anomalous conditions, a brief failure mode analysis is performed in order to define the fault tree referring to compensator output voltage. An analytical model able to deal with non-exponential life and repair time distributions is developed, using semi-Markov processes and assuming stochastic independence for the components of the system under study. The mean time between failure (MTBF) and the mean time to restoration of the compensator output voltage are then calculated exactly. Finally a mechanical bypass switch, which connects the load to the mains directly during long failures, is taken into account in the MTBF calculation via a simple approximation. Monte Carlo simulations are performed to validate the results of the analytical model and of the approximation. (Author)

  14. Time-dependent reliability analysis and condition assessment of structures

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Ellingwood, B.R. [Johns Hopkins Univ., Baltimore, MD (United States)

    1997-01-01

    Structures generally play a passive role in assurance of safety in nuclear plant operation, but are important if the plant is to withstand the effect of extreme environmental or abnormal events. Relative to mechanical and electrical components, structural systems and components would be difficult and costly to replace. While the performance of steel or reinforced concrete structures in service generally has been very good, their strengths may deteriorate during an extended service life as a result of changes brought on by an aggressive environment, excessive loading, or accidental loading. Quantitative tools for condition assessment of aging structures can be developed using time-dependent structural reliability analysis methods. Such methods provide a framework for addressing the uncertainties attendant to aging in the decision process.

  15. Interim reliability evaluation program (IREP) analysis of Millstone Unit 1

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The analysis of Millstone Unit 1 was performed by a team of Science Applications, Inc. (SAI), Northeast Utilities, and USNRC personnel for the NRC's Interim Reliability Evaluation Program (IREP). The calculated frequency of core melt was determined to be 3E-4/reactor-year of which 85 percent of the total was due to 11 sequences with frequencies greater than or equal to 1E-5. Of these sequences, five with frequencies greater than 2E-5 contributed 60 percent of the total frequencies and were considered the outlier sequences. The major insights gained were that loss of normal ac is the largest contributor to core melt frequency (85 percent of the total) and that the most likely direct cause of core melt is the failure of the emergency core cooling function (i.e., the inability to get cooling to the core in the cirtical early phases of the event)

  16. Reliability analysis for the quench detection in the LHC machine

    CERN Document Server

    Denz, R; Vergara-Fernández, A

    2002-01-01

    The Large Hadron Collider (LHC) will incorporate a large amount of superconducting elements that require protection in case of a quench. Key elements in the quench protection system are the electronic quench detectors. Their reliability will have an important impact on the down time as well as on the operational cost of the collider. The expected rates of both false and missed quenches have been computed for several redundant detection schemes. The developed model takes account of the maintainability of the system to optimise the frequency of foreseen checks, and evaluate their influence on the performance of different detection topologies. Seen the uncertainty of the failure rate of the components combined with the LHC tunnel environment, the study has been completed with a sensitivity analysis of the results. The chosen detection scheme and the maintainability strategy for each detector family are given.

  17. Time-dependent reliability analysis and condition assessment of structures

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Structures generally play a passive role in assurance of safety in nuclear plant operation, but are important if the plant is to withstand the effect of extreme environmental or abnormal events. Relative to mechanical and electrical components, structural systems and components would be difficult and costly to replace. While the performance of steel or reinforced concrete structures in service generally has been very good, their strengths may deteriorate during an extended service life as a result of changes brought on by an aggressive environment, excessive loading, or accidental loading. Quantitative tools for condition assessment of aging structures can be developed using time-dependent structural reliability analysis methods. Such methods provide a framework for addressing the uncertainties attendant to aging in the decision process

  18. Reliability Analysis For Substation Employing B. F. Technique

    OpenAIRE

    MOHIT KUMAR, RAM AVTAR JASWAL

    2013-01-01

    In this paper, the object is to improve the reliability and overall performances of Rice Mill. When a more complexities increase in the system, the reliability evaluations become more difficult. Therefore, the derivation of symbolic reliability expression is simplified and a general system in compact form is helpful. Before this, the techniques executed earlier to solve such reliability models are very time consuming and very tedious calculations. Therefore, in this study Boolean function tec...

  19. A Fault Analysis based Model for Software Reliability Estimation

    OpenAIRE

    Garima Chawla,; Santosh Kr Thakur,

    2013-01-01

    When a software system is designed, the major concern is the software quality. The quality of software depends on different factors such as software reliability, efficiency, cost etc. In this paper, we have defined the software reliability as the measure of software quality. There are different available models that estimate the reliability of software based on type of faults, fault density etc. In this paper, a study on different aspects related to software reliability are discussed..

  20. Constellation Ground Systems Launch Availability Analysis: Enhancing Highly Reliable Launch Systems Design

    Science.gov (United States)

    Gernand, Jeffrey L.; Gillespie, Amanda M.; Monaghan, Mark W.; Cummings, Nicholas H.

    2010-01-01

    Success of the Constellation Program's lunar architecture requires successfully launching two vehicles, Ares I/Orion and Ares V/Altair, in a very limited time period. The reliability and maintainability of flight vehicles and ground systems must deliver a high probability of successfully launching the second vehicle in order to avoid wasting the on-orbit asset launched by the first vehicle. The Ground Operations Project determined which ground subsystems had the potential to affect the probability of the second launch and allocated quantitative availability requirements to these subsystems. The Ground Operations Project also developed a methodology to estimate subsystem reliability, availability and maintainability to ensure that ground subsystems complied with allocated launch availability and maintainability requirements. The verification analysis developed quantitative estimates of subsystem availability based on design documentation; testing results, and other information. Where appropriate, actual performance history was used for legacy subsystems or comparative components that will support Constellation. The results of the verification analysis will be used to verify compliance with requirements and to highlight design or performance shortcomings for further decision-making. This case study will discuss the subsystem requirements allocation process, describe the ground systems methodology for completing quantitative reliability, availability and maintainability analysis, and present findings and observation based on analysis leading to the Ground Systems Preliminary Design Review milestone.

  1. Human reliability analysis for advanced control room of KNGR

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    There are two purposes in Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) which was performed during Korean Next Generation Reactor (KNGR) Phase 2 research project. One is to present the human error probability quantification results for Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) and the other is to provide a list of the critical operator actions for Human Factor Engineering (HFE). Critical operator actions were identified from the KNGR HRA/RSA based on selection criteria and incorporated in the MMI Task Analysis, where they receive additional treatment. The use of HRA/PSA results in design, procedure development, and training was ensured by their incorporation in the MMI task analysis and MCR design such as fixed position alarms, displays and controls. Any dominant PSA sequence that takes credit for human performance to achieve acceptable results was incorporated in MMIS validation activities through the PSA-based critical operator actions. The integration of KNGR HRA into MMI design was sufficiently addressed all applicable review criteria of NUREG-0800, Chapter 18, Section 2 F and NUREG-0711. (S.Y.)

  2. Models and data requirements for human reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    It has been widely recognised for many years that the safety of the nuclear power generation depends heavily on the human factors related to plant operation. This has been confirmed by the accidents at Three Mile Island and Chernobyl. Both these cases revealed how human actions can defeat engineered safeguards and the need for special operator training to cover the possibility of unexpected plant conditions. The importance of the human factor also stands out in the analysis of abnormal events and insights from probabilistic safety assessments (PSA's), which reveal a large proportion of cases having their origin in faulty operator performance. A consultants' meeting, organized jointly by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) and the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) was held at IIASA in Laxenburg, Austria, December 7-11, 1987, with the aim of reviewing existing models used in Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) for Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) and of identifying the data required. The report collects both the contributions offered by the members of the Expert Task Force and the findings of the extensive discussions that took place during the meeting. Refs, figs and tabs

  3. Comparative Analysis of Uncertainties in Urban Surface Runoff Modelling

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Thorndahl, SØren; Schaarup-Jensen, Kjeld

    2007-01-01

    In the present paper a comparison between three different surface runoff models, in the numerical urban drainage tool MOUSE, is conducted. Analysing parameter uncertainty, it is shown that the models are very sensitive with regards to the choice of hydrological parameters, when combined overflow volumes are compared - especially when the models are uncalibrated. The occurrences of flooding and surcharge are highly dependent on both hydrological and hydrodynamic parameters. Thus, the conclusion of the paper is that if the use of model simulations is to be a reliable tool for drainage system analysis, further research in improved parameter assessment for surface runoff models is needed.

  4. Reliability Analysis For Substation Employing B. F. Technique

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    MOHIT KUMAR, RAM AVTAR JASWAL

    2013-06-01

    Full Text Available In this paper, the object is to improve the reliability and overall performances of Rice Mill. When a more complexities increase in the system, the reliability evaluations become more difficult. Therefore, the derivation of symbolic reliability expression is simplified and a general system in compact form is helpful. Before this, the techniques executed earlier to solve such reliability models are very time consuming and very tedious calculations. Therefore, in this study Boolean function technique and algebra is used to evaluate systems, overall performance. Reliability of considered system has been computed by using Weibull and Exponential time distributions. M.T.T.F. of the considered system an important reliability parameter has been evaluated to develop practical utility of the model. A mathematical model has been developed with the help of Boolean function technique to measuring reliability.

  5. Evaluation of pharmaceuticals in surface water: reliability of PECs compared to MECs.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Celle-Jeanton, Hélène; Schemberg, Dimitri; Mohammed, Nabaz; Huneau, Frédéric; Bertrand, Guillaume; Lavastre, Véronique; Le Coustumer, Philippe

    2014-12-01

    Due to the current analytical processes that are not able to measure all the pharmaceutical molecules and to the high costs and the consumption of time to sample and analyze PhACs, models to calculate Predicted Environmental Concentrations (PECs) have been developed. However a comparison between MECs and PECs, taking into account the methods of calculations and peculiarly the parameters included in the calculation (consumption data, pharmacokinetic parameters, elimination rate in STPs and in the environment), is necessary to assess the validity of PECs. MEC variations of sixteen target PhACs [acetaminophen (ACE), amlodipine (AML), atenolol (ATE), caffeine (CAF), carbamazepine (CAR), doxycycline (DOX), epoxycarbamazepine (EPO), fluvoxamine (FLU), furosemide (FUR), hydrochlorothiazide (HYD), ifosfamide (IFO), losartan (LOS), pravastatin (PRA), progesterone (PROG), ramipril (RAM), trimetazidine (TRI)] have been evaluated during one hydrological cycle, from October 2011 to October 2012 and compared to PECs calculated by using an adaptation of the models proposed by Heberer and Feldmann (2005) and EMEA (2006). Comparison of PECs and MECS has been achieved for six molecules: ATE, CAR, DOX, FUR, HYD and PRA. DOX, FUR and HYD present differences between PECs and MECs on an annual basis but their temporal evolutions follow the same trends. PEC evaluation for these PhACs could then be possible but need some adjustments of consumption patterns, pharmacokinetic parameters and/or mechanisms of (bio)degradation. ATE, CAR and PRA are well modeled; PECs can then be used as reliable estimation of concentrations without any reserve. PMID:25080069

  6. Intra-observer reliability in three-dimensional kinematic analysis of sacroiliac joint mobility.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Rebello da Veiga, Thiago; Custódio da Silva, André; Gomes da Silva, Rodrigo Teixeira; Carvalho, Sandro Luiz Machado; Orsini, Marco; Silva, Júlio Guilherme

    2015-04-01

    [Purpose] Physical therapists, osteopathic practitioners, and chiropractors often perform manual tests to evaluate sacroiliac joint (SIJ) mobility. However, the available evidence demonstrates an absence of reliability in these tests and in investigations with kinematic analysis. The aim of this study was to verify the three-dimensional kinematic reliability in SIJ movement measurements. [Subjects] This cross-sectional study analyzed 24 healthy males, aged between 18 and 35?years. [Methods] Three-dimensional kinematic analysis was performed for measurements of posterior superior iliac displacement and greater trochanter (femur) displacement during hip flexion movement in an orthostatic position. The distance variations were measured from a reference point in 3 blocks. The intra-observer reliability was compared with the mean of three 3 blocks using the interclass correlation coefficient (ICC) and a 99% significance level. [Results] The measurements indicated a strong correlation among blocks: ICC = 0.94 for right side SIJ and ICC = 0.91 for left side SIJ. The mean displacement between the reference points was 7.7?mm on the right side and 8.5?mm on the left side. [Conclusion] Our results indicate that three-dimensional kinematic analysis can be used for SIJ mobility analyses. New studies should be performed for subjects with SIJ dysfunction to verify the effectiveness of this method. PMID:25995542

  7. Reliability and Security Analysis on Two-Cell Dynamic Redundant System

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Hongsheng Su

    2013-05-01

    Full Text Available Based on analysis on reliability and security on three types of two-cell dynamic redundant systems which has been widely applied in modern railway signal system, whose isomorphic Markov model was established in this paper. During modeling several important factors, including common-cause failure, coverage of diagnostic systems, online maintainability, and periodic inspection maintenance, and as well as many failure modes, were considered, which made the established model more credible. Through analysis and calculation on reliability and security indexes of the three types of two-module dynamic redundant structures, the paper acquires a significant conclusion, i.e., the safety and reliability of the kind of structure possesses an upper limit, and can not be inordinately improved through the hardware and software comparison methods under the failure and repairing rate fixed. Finally, the paper performs the simulation investigations, and compares the calculation results of the three redundant systems, and analysis each advantages and disadvantages, and gives out each application scope, which provides a theoretical technical support for the railway signal equipments selection.

  8. Mission reliability analysis of fault-tolerant multiple-phased systems

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Mo Yuchang [Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150001 (China)], E-mail: myc@ftcl.hit.edu.cn; Siewiorek, Daniel [Department of Computer Science and Electrical and Computer Engineering, Carnegie Mellon University, Pittsburgh, PA 15213 (United States); Yang Xiaozong [Harbin Institute of Technology, Harbin, Heilongjiang 150001 (China)

    2008-07-15

    Fault-tolerant multiple-phased systems (FTMPS) are defined as systems whose critical components are independently replicated and whose operational life can be partitioned into a set of disjoint periods, called 'phases'. Because of their deployment in critical applications, their mission reliability analysis is a task of primary relevance to validate the designs. This paper is focused on the reliability analysis of FTMPS with random phase durations, non-exponentially distributed repair activities and different repair policies. For self-repairable FTMPS with a component-level reconfiguration architecture, we derive several efficient formulations from the underlying structure characteristics for their intraphase behavior analysis. We also present a uniform solution framework of the mission reliability for FTMPS with generally distributed phase durations. Compared with existing methods based on deterministic and stochastic Petri nets or Markov regenerative stochastic Petri nets, our approach is more simple in concept and powerful in computation. Two examples of FTMPS are analyzed to illustrate the advantages of our approach.

  9. Failure Analysis towards Reliable Performance of Aero-Engines

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    T. Jayakumar

    1999-10-01

    Full Text Available Aero-engines are critical components whose reliable performance decides the primary safety of anaircrafthelicopter. This is met by rigorous maintenance schedule with periodic inspection/nondestructive testingof various engine components. In spite of these measures, failure of areo-engines do occur rather frequentlyin comparison to failure of other components. Systematic failure analysis helps one to identify root causeof the failure, thus enabling remedial measures to prevent recurrence of such failures. Turbine blades madeof nickel or cobalt-based alloys are used in aero-engines. These blades are subjected to complex loadingconditions at elevated temperatures. The main causes of failure of blades are attributed to creep, thermalfatigue and hot corrosion. Premature failure of blades in the combustion zone was reported in one of theaero-engines. The engine had both the compressor and the free-turbine in a common shaft. Detailedfailure analysis revealed the presence of creep voids in the blades that failed. Failure of turbine bladeswas also detected in another aero-engine operating in a coastal environment. In this failure, the protectivecoating on the blades was cracked at many locations. Grain boundary spikes were observed on these locations.The primary cause of this failure was the hot corrosion followed by creep damage

  10. Structural characterization of genomes by large scale sequence-structure threading: application of reliability analysis in structural genomics

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Brunham Robert C

    2004-07-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background We establish that the occurrence of protein folds among genomes can be accurately described with a Weibull function. Systems which exhibit Weibull character can be interpreted with reliability theory commonly used in engineering analysis. For instance, Weibull distributions are widely used in reliability, maintainability and safety work to model time-to-failure of mechanical devices, mechanisms, building constructions and equipment. Results We have found that the Weibull function describes protein fold distribution within and among genomes more accurately than conventional power functions which have been used in a number of structural genomic studies reported to date. It has also been found that the Weibull reliability parameter ? for protein fold distributions varies between genomes and may reflect differences in rates of gene duplication in evolutionary history of organisms. Conclusions The results of this work demonstrate that reliability analysis can provide useful insights and testable predictions in the fields of comparative and structural genomics.

  11. Qualitative human reliability analysis for spent fuel handling

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Human reliability analysis (HRA) methods have been developed primarily to provide information for use in probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs) that analyze nuclear power plant (NPP) operations. Given the original emphasis of these methods, it is understandable that many HRAs have not ventured far from NPP control room applications. Despite this historical focus on the control room, there has been growing interest and discussion regarding the application of HRA methods to other NPP activities such as spent fuel handling (SFH) or operations in different types of facilities. One recently developed HRA method, 'A Technique for Human Event Analysis' (ATHEANA) has been proposed as a promising candidate for diverse applications due to its particular approach for systematically uncovering the dynamic, contextual conditions influencing human performance. This paper describes one successful test of this proposition by presenting portions of a recently completed project in which a scoping study was performed to accomplish the following goals: (1) investigate what should be included in a qualitative HRA for spent fuel and cask handling operations; and (2) demonstrate that the ATHEANA HRA technique can be usefully applied to these operations. The preliminary, scoping qualitative HRA examined, in a generic manner, how human performance of SFH and dry cask storage operations (DCSOs) can plausibly lead to radiological consequences that impact the public and the environment. The study the public and the environment. The study involved the performance of typical, qualitative HRA tasks such as collecting relevant information and the preliminary identification of human failure events or unsafe actions, relevant influences (e.g., performance shaping factors, other contextual factors), event scenario development and categorization of human failure event (HFE) scenario groupings. Information from relevant literature sources was augmented with subject matter expert interviews and analysis of an edited video of selected operations. Elements of NUREG-1792, Good Practices for Implementing Human Reliability Analyses (HRA) and NUREG-1624, Rev. 1, Technical Basis and Implementation Guidelines for A Technique for Human Event Analysis (ATHEANA) formed critical parts of the technical basis for the preliminary analysis. Mis-loading of spent fuel into a cask and dropping of a loaded cask were the two human failure event groupings of primary interest, although all human performance aspects of DCSOs were considered to some extent. Of important note is that HRA is typically performed in the context of a plant-specific PRA study. This analysis was performed without the benefit of the context provided by a larger PRA study, nor was it plant specific, and so it investigated only generic HRA issues relevant to SFH. However, the improved understanding of human performance issues provided by the study will likely enhance the ability to carry out a detailed qualitative HRA for a specific NPP at some point in the future. Furthermore, support was obtained regarding the potential for applying ATHEANA beyond NPP settings. This paper provides a description of the process followed during the analysis, a description of the HFE scenario groupings, discussion regarding general human performance vulnerabilities, and a detailed examination of one HFE scenario developed in the study. (authors)

  12. Reliability model analysis and primary experimental evaluation of laser triggered pulse trigger

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    High performance pulse trigger can enhance performance and stability of the PPS. It is necessary to evaluate the reliability of the LTGS pulse trigger, so we establish the reliability analysis model of this pulse trigger based on CARMES software, the reliability evaluation is accord with the statistical results. (authors)

  13. Methodological Issues in the Content Analysis of Online Asynchronous Discussions: Unitizing, Reliability, and Latent Content

    OpenAIRE

    Elizabeth Murphy; Justyna Ciszewska-Carr; Rodriguez Manzanares, Maria A.

    2006-01-01

    This paper explores three methodological issues related to content analysis of online asynchronous discussions: unitizing, reliability, and manifest versus latent content. Unitizing involves balancing feasibility, reliability, identifiability, and discriminant capability of semantic versus syntactic units. Reliability is discussed in relation to differences between tasks, discussants, and number of coding decisions, as well as between coders. Manifest versus latent content contrasts observed ...

  14. Reliability analysis of an RC defense structure loaded by a dense snow avalanche pressure signal

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ousset, Isabelle; Bertrand, David; Limam, Ali; Naaïm, Mohamed

    2014-05-01

    To protect humans, roads or houses against snow avalanches, civil engineering structures are widely used. Designing these structures is still a challenge especially due to the uncertainties related to the loading developed by a snow avalanche. The case of the avalanche of Taconnaz (France), which occurred in 1999 and where important parts of the RC defense structure were destroyed, underlines the necessary to consider reliability approaches for the design of such structures. This paper proposes a reliability analysis of an L-shaped reinforced concrete (RC) protective structure subjected to a dense snow avalanche. A deterministic mechanical model, based on the finite element method, has been developed and allows describing the behavior of the structure. Next, a reliable model allows propagating uncertainties through the mechanical model and assessing the failure probability of the structure. The choices of random variables (the inputs) and their distributions, the failure criteria and the reliability methods are presented and discussed. Two criteria are considered: on the one hand, a local criterion defined in term of stress exceedence within concrete and steel, and on the other hand a global criterion defined in term of maximal displacement of the structure. Moreover, Kernel Smoothing and Monte-Carlo methods are used and compared to assess the failure probability and to derive fragility curves. These latter describe the failure probability of the structure according to the loading magnitude.

  15. Comparative Analysis of Protein Domain Organization

    OpenAIRE

    Ye, Yuzhen; Godzik, Adam

    2004-01-01

    We have developed a set of graph theory-based tools, which we call Comparative Analysis of Protein Domain Organization (CADO), to survey and compare protein domain organizations of different organisms. In the language of CADO, the organization of protein domains in a given organism is shown as a domain graph in which protein domains are represented as vertices, and domain combinations, defined as instances of two domains found in one protein, are represented as edges. CADO provides a new way ...

  16. Reliability and risk analysis data base development: an historical perspective

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Collection of empirical data and data base development for use in the prediction of the probability of future events has a long history. Dating back at least to the 17th century, safe passage events and mortality events were collected and analyzed to uncover prospective underlying classes and associated class attributes. Tabulations of these developed classes and associated attributes formed the underwriting basis for the fledgling insurance industry. Much earlier, master masons and architects used design rules of thumb to capture the experience of the ages and thereby produce structures of incredible longevity and reliability (Antona, E., Fragola, J. and Galvagni, R. Risk based decision analysis in design. Fourth SRA Europe Conference Proceedings, Rome, Italy, 18-20 October 1993). These rules served so well in producing robust designs that it was not until almost the 19th century that the analysis (Charlton, T.M., A History Of Theory Of Structures In The 19th Century, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1982) of masonry voussoir arches, begun by Galileo some two centuries earlier (Galilei, G. Discorsi e dimostrazioni mathematiche intorno a due nuove science, (Discourses and mathematical demonstrations concerning two new sciences, Leiden, The Netherlands, 1638), was placed on a sound scientific basis. Still, with the introduction of new materials (such as wrought iron and steel) and the lack of theoretical knowledge and computational facilities, approximate met computational facilities, approximate methods of structural design abounded well into the second half of the 20th century. To this day structural designers account for material variations and gaps in theoretical knowledge by employing factors of safety (Benvenuto, E., An Introduction to the History of Structural Mechanics, Part II: Vaulted Structures and Elastic Systems, Springer-Verlag, NY, 1991) or codes of practice (ASME Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code, ASME, New York) originally developed in the 19th century (Antona, E., Fragola, J. and Galvagni, R. Risk based decision analysis in design. Fourth SRA Europe Conference Proceedings, Rome, Italy, 18-20 October 1993). These factors, although they continue to be heuristically based, attempt to account for uncertainties in the design environment (e.g., the load spectra) and residual materials defects (Fragola, J.R. et al., Investigation of the risk implications of space shuttle solid rocket booster chamber pressure excursions. SAIC Document No. SAIC/NY 95-01-10, New York, NY). Although the approaches may appear different, at least at first glance, the intention in both the insurance and design arenas was to establish an 'infrastructure of confidence' to enable rational decision making for future endeavours. Maturity in the design process of conventional structures such as bridges, buildings, boilers, and highways has led to the loss of recognition of the role that robustness plays in these designs to qualify them against their normal failure environment. So routinely do we expect these designs to survive that we tend to think of the individual failures (which do occur on occasion) as isolated 'freak' accidents. Attempts to uncover potential underlying classes and document associated attributes are rare, and even when they are undertaken 'human error' or 'one-of-a-kind accidents' is often cited as the major cause which somehow seems to absolve the analyst from the responsibility of further data collection (Levy, M. and Salvadori, M., Why Buildings Fall Down, W.W. Norton and Co., New York, NY, 1992; Pecht, M., Nash, F.R. and Long, J.H., Understanding and solving the real reliability assurance problems. 1995 Proceedings of Annual RAMS Symposium, IEEE, New York, NY, 1995). The confusion has proliferated to the point where legitimate calls for scepticism regarding the scant data resources available (Evans, R.A., Bayes paradox. IEEE Trans. Reliab., R-31 (1982) 321) have given way to cries that some data sources be abandoned altogether (Cushing, M. et al., Comparison of electronics-reliability assessment approaches.

  17. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF RING, AGENT AND CLUSTER BASED DISTRIBUTED SYSTEMS

    OpenAIRE

    Seethalakshmi, R.; K.S.RAVICHANDRAN

    2011-01-01

    The introduction of pervasive devices and mobile devices has led to immense growth of real time distributed processing. In such context reliability of the computing environment is very important. Reliability is the probability that the devices, links, processes, programs and files work efficiently for the specified period of time and in the specified condition. Distributed systems are available as conventional ring networks, clusters and agent based systems. Reliability of such systems is foc...

  18. Comparative analysis of methods of hardness assessment

    OpenAIRE

    Czarski, A.

    2009-01-01

    Purpose: The aim of this paper is to show how it could utilize the statistical methods for the process management.Design/methodology/approach: The research methodology bases on a theoretical analysis and empirical researches. A practical solution is presented to compare measurements methods of hardness and to estimate capability indices of measurement system.Findings: Measurement system analysis (MSA), particularly theory of statistical tests brings correct results for the analysed case.Resea...

  19. Reliability analysis of the recirculation phase of the safety injection system of Angra-1

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The calculation of several reliability parameters-failure probability, unavailability and unreliability - of the recirculation phase of the safety injection system of Angra-1, was done. This system has two distinct modes of operation (short term and long term) which were fault tree analysed both separately and as a whole. To obtain quantitative results the computer codes SAMPLE and PRET-KITT were utilized. The former was used to consider the uncertainties in the failure data (drawn integrally from WASH-1400) and the latter to obtain time dependent unreliability values. Hardware failures and common-mode failures were considered. Altough the analysis methods employed here differ somewhat from those used in WASH-1400, the results which could be compared were found to have the order of magnitude. A viability study of some suggestions of system's modifications was performed, and it has shown that some significant reliability improvements can be achieved with reasonably simple changes. (Author)

  20. RADYBAN: A tool for reliability analysis of dynamic fault trees through conversion into dynamic Bayesian networks

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this paper, we present RADYBAN (Reliability Analysis with DYnamic BAyesian Networks), a software tool which allows to analyze a dynamic fault tree relying on its conversion into a dynamic Bayesian network. The tool implements a modular algorithm for automatically translating a dynamic fault tree into the corresponding dynamic Bayesian network and exploits classical algorithms for the inference on dynamic Bayesian networks, in order to compute reliability measures. After having described the basic features of the tool, we show how it operates on a real world example and we compare the unreliability results it generates with those returned by other methodologies, in order to verify the correctness and the consistency of the results obtained

  1. Preliminary analysis of shutdown system reliability of a gas graphite type reactor

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This work applies some Reliability Analysis tools the Failure Mode and Effects Analysis (FMEA), the Fault Tree, and the Reliability Block Diagram (RBD) - to study a shutdown system to a graphite reactor. The main goal of the present work is to provide means for identification of critical points of the system, and to enable a detailed study of safety analysis. (author)

  2. Modified generalized linear failure rate distribution: Properties and reliability analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Ezzatallah Baloui Jamkhaneh

    2014-06-01

    Full Text Available This paper introduces a new comprehensive four-parameter distribution called the modified generalized linear failure rate (MGLFR distribution. The method generalizes some well-known and most commonly used distributions in reliability such as exponential, Rayleigh, linear failure rate, generalized linear failure rate and modified Weibull distribution. The study also investigates some essential properties of this new distribution and considers the problem of the evaluation of system reliability by describing the lifetimes of components based on a fuzzy MGLFR distribution and by developing fuzzy reliability characteristics. The results can be applied to determine the reliability of real objects where parameters of lifetime variable are subject to uncertainty.

  3. Application of Metric-based Software Reliability Analysis to Example Software

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The software reliability of TELLERFAST ATM software is analyzed by using two metric-based software reliability analysis methods, a state transition diagram-based method and a test coverage-based method. The procedures for the software reliability analysis by using the two methods and the analysis results are provided in this report. It is found that the two methods have a relation of complementary cooperation, and therefore further researches on combining the two methods to reflect the benefit of the complementary cooperative effect to the software reliability analysis are recommended

  4. Reliable Classification of Geologic Surfaces Using Texture Analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Foil, G.; Howarth, D.; Abbey, W. J.; Bekker, D. L.; Castano, R.; Thompson, D. R.; Wagstaff, K.

    2012-12-01

    Communication delays and bandwidth constraints are major obstacles for remote exploration spacecraft. Due to such restrictions, spacecraft could make use of onboard science data analysis to maximize scientific gain, through capabilities such as the generation of bandwidth-efficient representative maps of scenes, autonomous instrument targeting to exploit targets of opportunity between communications, and downlink prioritization to ensure fast delivery of tactically-important data. Of particular importance to remote exploration is the precision of such methods and their ability to reliably reproduce consistent results in novel environments. Spacecraft resources are highly oversubscribed, so any onboard data analysis must provide a high degree of confidence in its assessment. The TextureCam project is constructing a "smart camera" that can analyze surface images to autonomously identify scientifically interesting targets and direct narrow field-of-view instruments. The TextureCam instrument incorporates onboard scene interpretation and mapping to assist these autonomous science activities. Computer vision algorithms map scenes such as those encountered during rover traverses. The approach, based on a machine learning strategy, trains a statistical model to recognize different geologic surface types and then classifies every pixel in a new scene according to these categories. We describe three methods for increasing the precision of the TextureCam instrument. The first uses ancillary data to segment challenging scenes into smaller regions having homogeneous properties. These subproblems are individually easier to solve, preventing uncertainty in one region from contaminating those that can be confidently classified. The second involves a Bayesian approach that maximizes the likelihood of correct classifications by abstaining from ambiguous ones. We evaluate these two techniques on a set of images acquired during field expeditions in the Mojave Desert. Finally, the algorithm was expanded to perform robust texture classification across a wide range of lighting conditions. We characterize both the increase in precision achieved using different input data representations as well as the range of conditions under which reliable performance can be achieved. An ensemble learning approach is used to increase performance by leveraging the illumination-dependent statistics of an image. Our results show that the three algorithmic modifications lead to a significant increase in classification performance as well as an increase in precision using an adjustable and human-understandable metric of confidence.

  5. Failure analysis – basic step of applying Reliability Centered Maintenance in general aviation

    OpenAIRE

    Bugaj, Martin

    2012-01-01

    Performing a reliability analysis on a product or system can actually include a number of different analyses to determine how reliable the product or system is. A reliability centered maintenance program consists of a set of scheduled tasks generated on the basis of specific reliability characteristics of the equipment they are designed to protect. Complex equipment is composed of a vast number of parts and assemblies. All these items can be expected to fail at one time or another, but some o...

  6. The Transferable Belief Model for reliability analysis of systems with data uncertainties and failure dependencies

    OpenAIRE

    Sallak, Mohamed; Schön, Walter; Aguirre, Felipe

    2010-01-01

    Dealing with uncertainty adds a further level of complexity to problems of reliability analysis. The uncertainties which impact reliability studies usually involve incomplete or imprecise reliability data and complex failure dependencies. This paper proposes an original methodology based on the Transferable Belief Model (TBM) to include failure dependencies between components in the evaluation of the reliability of the whole system, given both epistemic and aleatory uncertainties. First, base...

  7. Simple method for comparing reliability of two serum tumour markers in breast carcinoma.

    OpenAIRE

    O'Brien, D. P.; Gough, D. B.; Skehill, R; Grimes, H; Given, H. F.

    1994-01-01

    AIMS--To compare the two breast tumour markers, CA15-3 and mucinous-like carcinoma associated antigen (MCA), using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. METHODS--One hundred and ninety six patients "presenting" with breast carcinoma had serum CA15-3 and MCA concentrations measured. RESULTS--Using these markers as indicators of stage IV disease at the recommended laboratory level, true positive rates (TPR) and false positive rates (FPR) were obtained as follows: CA15-3 TPR = ...

  8. Comparative Efficiency Analysis of Referral Costs in

    OpenAIRE

    Portela, Maria; Thanassoulis, Emmanuel; Graveney, Mike

    2010-01-01

    The aim of this paper is to compare English General Practitioner (GP) units in terms of their overall referral costs through Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). Results revealed potential cost savings and benchmark practices under 4 perspectives: ‘overall cost efficiency’, ‘technical efficiency’, ‘allocative efficiency’, and ‘price efficiency’.

  9. Evaluation and identification of reliable reference genes for pharmacogenomics, toxicogenomics, and small RNA expression analysis.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Chen, Dongliang; Pan, Xiaoping; Xiao, Peng; Farwell, Mary A; Zhang, Baohong

    2011-10-01

    Pharmacogenomics, toxicogenomics, and small RNA expression analysis are three of the most active research topics in the biological, biomedical, pharmaceutical, and toxicological fields. All of these studies are based on gene expression analysis, which requires reference genes to reduce the variations derived from different amounts of starting materials and different efficiencies of RNA extraction and cDNA synthesis. Thus, accurate normalization to one or several constitutively expressed reference genes is a prerequisite to valid gene expression studies. Although selection of reliable reference genes has been conducted in previous studies in several animals and plants, no research has been focused on pharmacological targets, and very few studies have had a toxicological context. More interestingly, no studies have been performed to identify reference genes for small RNA analysis although small RNA, particularly microRNA (miRNA)-related research is currently one of the fastest-moving topics. In this study, using MCF-7 breast cancer cells as a model, we employed quantitative real-time PCR (qRT-PCR), one of the most reliable methods for gene expression analysis in many research fields, to evaluate and to determine the most reliable reference genes for pharmacogenomics and toxicogenomics studies as well as for small RNA expression analysis. We tested the transcriptional expression of five protein-coding genes as well as five non-coding genes in MCF-7 cells treated with five different pharmaceuticals or toxicants [paclitaxel (PTX), gossypol (GOS), methyl jasmonate (JAS), L-nicotine (NIC), and melamine (mela)] and analyzed the stability of the selected reference genes by four different methods: geNorm, NormFinder, BestKeeper, and the comparative ?Ct method. According to our analysis, a protein-coding gene, hTBCA and four non-coding genes, hRNU44, hRNU48, hU6, and hRNU47, appear to be the most reliable reference genes for the five chemical treatments. Similar results were also obtained in dose-response and time-course assays with gossypol (GOS) treatment. Our results demonstrated that traditionally used reference genes, such as 18s RNA, ?-actin, and GAPDH, are not reliable reference genes for pharmacogenomics and toxicogenomics studies. In contrast, hTBCA and small RNAs are more stable during drug treatment, and they are better reference genes for pharmacogenomics and toxicogenomics studies. To widely use these genes as reference genes, these results should be corroborated by studies with other human cell lines and additional drugs classes and hormonal treatments. PMID:21412770

  10. Wind turbine reliability : a database and analysis approach.

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Linsday, James (ARES Corporation); Briand, Daniel; Hill, Roger Ray; Stinebaugh, Jennifer A.; Benjamin, Allan S. (ARES Corporation)

    2008-02-01

    The US wind Industry has experienced remarkable growth since the turn of the century. At the same time, the physical size and electrical generation capabilities of wind turbines has also experienced remarkable growth. As the market continues to expand, and as wind generation continues to gain a significant share of the generation portfolio, the reliability of wind turbine technology becomes increasingly important. This report addresses how operations and maintenance costs are related to unreliability - that is the failures experienced by systems and components. Reliability tools are demonstrated, data needed to understand and catalog failure events is described, and practical wind turbine reliability models are illustrated, including preliminary results. This report also presents a continuing process of how to proceed with controlling industry requirements, needs, and expectations related to Reliability, Availability, Maintainability, and Safety. A simply stated goal of this process is to better understand and to improve the operable reliability of wind turbine installations.

  11. Diagnosing MOV problems using comparative trace analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The paper presents the concept of comparative trace analysis and shows it to be very effective in diagnosing motor operated valve (MOV) problems. Comparative trace analysis is simply the process of interpreting simultaneously gathered traces, each presenting a different perspective on the same series of events. The opening and closing of a motor operated valve is such a series of events. The simultaneous traces are obtained using Liberty Technologies' Valve Operation Test and Evaluation System (VOTES)reg-sign. The traces include stem thrust, motor current, motor power factor, motor power, switch actuations, vibration in three different frequency bands, spring pack displacement, and spring pack force. Spare and auxiliary channels enable additional key parameters to be measured, such as differential pressure and stem displacement. Though not specifically illustrated in this paper, the VOTES system also provides for FFT analysis on all traces except switches

  12. An efficient phased mission reliability analysis for autonomous vehicles

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Autonomous systems are becoming more commonly used, especially in hazardous situations. Such systems are expected to make their own decisions about future actions when some capabilities degrade due to failures of their subsystems. Such decisions are made without human input, therefore they need to be well-informed in a short time when the situation is analysed and future consequences of the failure are estimated. The future planning of the mission should take account of the likelihood of mission failure. The reliability analysis for autonomous systems can be performed using the methodologies developed for phased mission analysis, where the causes of failure for each phase in the mission can be expressed by fault trees. Unmanned autonomous vehicles (UAVs) are of a particular interest in the aeronautical industry, where it is a long term ambition to operate them routinely in civil airspace. Safety is the main requirement for the UAV operation and the calculation of failure probability of each phase and the overall mission is the topic of this paper. When components or subsystems fail or environmental conditions throughout the mission change, these changes can affect the future mission. The new proposed methodology takes into account the available diagnostics data and is used to predict future capabilities of the UAV in real time. Since this methodology is based on the efficient BDD method, the quickly provided advice can be used in making decisions. When failures occur in making decisions. When failures occur appropriate actions are required in order to preserve safety of the autonomous vehicle. The overall decision making strategy for autonomous vehicles is explained in this paper. Some limitations of the methodology are discussed and further improvements are presented based on experimental results.

  13. Reliability Block Diagram (RBD) Analysis of NASA Dryden Flight Research Center (DFRC) Flight Termination System and Power Supply

    Science.gov (United States)

    Morehouse, Dennis V.

    2006-01-01

    In order to perform public risk analyses for vehicles containing Flight Termination Systems (FTS), it is necessary for the analyst to know the reliability of each of the components of the FTS. These systems are typically divided into two segments; a transmitter system and associated equipment, typically in a ground station or on a support aircraft, and a receiver system and associated equipment on the target vehicle. This analysis attempts to analyze the reliability of the NASA DFRC flight termination system ground transmitter segment for use in the larger risk analysis and to compare the results against two established Department of Defense availability standards for such equipment.

  14. The Barthel Index: comparing inter-rater reliability between nurses and doctors in an older adult rehabilitation unit.

    LENUS (Irish Health Repository)

    Hartigan, Irene

    2011-02-01

    To ensure accuracy in recording the Barthel Index (BI) in older people, it is essential to determine who is best placed to administer the index. The aim of this study was to compare doctors\\' and nurses\\' reliability in scoring the BI.

  15. The Impact Analysis of Psychological Reliability of Population Pilot Study for Selection of Particular Reliable Multi-Choice Item Test in Foreign Language Research Work

    Science.gov (United States)

    Fazeli, Seyed Hossein

    2010-01-01

    The purpose of research described in the current study is the psychological reliability, its importance, application, and more to investigate on the impact analysis of psychological reliability of population pilot study for selection of particular reliable multi-choice item test in foreign language research work. The population for subject…

  16. The European COPHES/DEMOCOPHES project : Towards transnational comparability and reliability of human biomonitoring results

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Schindler, Birgit Karin; Esteban, Marta

    2013-01-01

    COPHES/DEMOCOPHES has its origins in the European Environment and Health Action Plan of 2004 to "develop a coherent approach on human biomonitoring (HBM) in Europe". Within this twin-project it was targeted to collect specimens from 120 mother-child-pairs in each of the 17 participating European countries. These specimens were investigated for six biomarkers (mercury in hair; creatinine, cotinine, cadmium, phthalate metabolites and bisphenol A in urine). The results for mercury in hair are described in a separate paper. Each participating member state was requested to contract laboratories, for capacity building reasons ideally within its borders, carrying out the chemical analyses. To ensure comparability of analytical data a Quality Assurance Unit (QAU) was established which provided the participating laboratories with standard operating procedures (SOP) and with control material. This material was specially prepared from native, non-spiked, pooled urine samples and was tested for homogeneity and stability.Four external quality assessment exercises were carried out. Highly esteemed laboratories from all over the world served as reference laboratories. Web conferences after each external quality assessment exercise functioned as a new and effective tool to improve analytical performance, to build capacity and to educate less experienced laboratories. Of the 38 laboratories participating in the quality assurance exercises 14 laboratories qualified for cadmium, 14 for creatinine, 9 for cotinine, 7 for phthalate metabolites and 5 for bisphenol A in urine. In the last of the four external quality assessment exercises the laboratories that qualified for DEMOCOPHES performed the determinations in urine with relative standard deviations (low/high concentration) of 18.0/2.1% for cotinine, 14.8/5.1% for cadmium, 4.7/3.4% for creatinine. Relative standard deviations for the newly emerging biomarkers were higher, with values between 13.5 and 20.5% for bisphenol A and between 18.9 and 45.3% for the phthalate metabolites. Plausibility control of the HBM results of all participating countries disclosed analytical shortcomings in the determination of Cd when using certain ICP/MS methods. Results were corrected by reanalyzes. The COPHES/DEMOCOPHES project for the first time succeeded in performing a harmonized pan-European HBM project. All data raised have to be regarded as utmost reliable according to the highest international state of the art, since highly renowned laboratories functioned as reference laboratories. The procedure described here, that has shown its success, can be used as a blueprint for future transnational, multicentre HBM projects.

  17. The European COPHES/DEMOCOPHES project : towards transnational comparability and reliability of human biomonitoring results

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Schindler, Birgit Karin; Esteban, Marta

    2014-01-01

    COPHES/DEMOCOPHES has its origins in the European Environment and Health Action Plan of 2004 to "develop a coherent approach on human biomonitoring (HBM) in Europe". Within this twin-project it was targeted to collect specimens from 120 mother-child-pairs in each of the 17 participating European countries. These specimens were investigated for six biomarkers (mercury in hair; creatinine, cotinine, cadmium, phthalate metabolites and bisphenol A in urine). The results for mercury in hair are described in a separate paper. Each participating member state was requested to contract laboratories, for capacity building reasons ideally within its borders, carrying out the chemical analyses. To ensure comparability of analytical data a Quality Assurance Unit (QAU) was established which provided the participating laboratories with standard operating procedures (SOP) and with control material. This material was specially prepared from native, non-spiked, pooled urine samples and was tested for homogeneity and stability.Four external quality assessment exercises were carried out. Highly esteemed laboratories from all over the world served as reference laboratories. Web conferences after each external quality assessment exercise functioned as a new and effective tool to improve analytical performance, to build capacity and to educate less experienced laboratories. Of the 38 laboratories participating in the quality assurance exercises 14 laboratories qualified for cadmium, 14 for creatinine, 9 for cotinine, 7 for phthalate metabolites and 5 for bisphenol A in urine. In the last of the four external quality assessment exercises the laboratories that qualified for DEMOCOPHES performed the determinations in urine with relative standard deviations (low/high concentration) of 18.0/2.1% for cotinine, 14.8/5.1% for cadmium, 4.7/3.4% for creatinine. Relative standard deviations for the newly emerging biomarkers were higher, with values between 13.5 and 20.5% for bisphenol A and between 18.9 and 45.3% for the phthalate metabolites. Plausibility control of the HBM results of all participating countries disclosed analytical shortcomings in the determination of Cd when using certain ICP/MS methods. Results were corrected by reanalyzes. The COPHES/DEMOCOPHES project for the first time succeeded in performing a harmonized pan-European HBM project. All data raised have to be regarded as utmost reliable according to the highest international state of the art, since highly renowned laboratories functioned as reference laboratories. The procedure described here, that has shown its success, can be used as a blueprint for future transnational, multicentre HBM projects.

  18. The European COPHES/DEMOCOPHES project: towards transnational comparability and reliability of human biomonitoring results.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Schindler, Birgit Karin; Esteban, Marta; Koch, Holger Martin; Castano, Argelia; Koslitz, Stephan; Cañas, Ana; Casteleyn, Ludwine; Kolossa-Gehring, Marike; Schwedler, Gerda; Schoeters, Greet; Hond, Elly Den; Sepai, Ovnair; Exley, Karen; Bloemen, Louis; Horvat, Milena; Knudsen, Lisbeth E; Joas, Anke; Joas, Reinhard; Biot, Pierre; Aerts, Dominique; Lopez, Ana; Huetos, Olga; Katsonouri, Andromachi; Maurer-Chronakis, Katja; Kasparova, Lucie; Vrbík, Karel; Rudnai, Peter; Naray, Miklos; Guignard, Cedric; Fischer, Marc E; Ligocka, Danuta; Janasik, Beata; Reis, M Fátima; Namorado, Sónia; Pop, Cristian; Dumitrascu, Irina; Halzlova, Katarina; Fabianova, Eleonora; Mazej, Darja; Tratnik, Janja Snoj; Berglund, Marika; Jönsson, Bo; Lehmann, Andrea; Crettaz, Pierre; Frederiksen, Hanne; Nielsen, Flemming; McGrath, Helena; Nesbitt, Ian; De Cremer, Koen; Vanermen, Guido; Koppen, Gudrun; Wilhelm, Michael; Becker, Kerstin; Angerer, Jürgen

    2014-07-01

    COPHES/DEMOCOPHES has its origins in the European Environment and Health Action Plan of 2004 to "develop a coherent approach on human biomonitoring (HBM) in Europe". Within this twin-project it was targeted to collect specimens from 120 mother-child-pairs in each of the 17 participating European countries. These specimens were investigated for six biomarkers (mercury in hair; creatinine, cotinine, cadmium, phthalate metabolites and bisphenol A in urine). The results for mercury in hair are described in a separate paper. Each participating member state was requested to contract laboratories, for capacity building reasons ideally within its borders, carrying out the chemical analyses. To ensure comparability of analytical data a Quality Assurance Unit (QAU) was established which provided the participating laboratories with standard operating procedures (SOP) and with control material. This material was specially prepared from native, non-spiked, pooled urine samples and was tested for homogeneity and stability. Four external quality assessment exercises were carried out. Highly esteemed laboratories from all over the world served as reference laboratories. Web conferences after each external quality assessment exercise functioned as a new and effective tool to improve analytical performance, to build capacity and to educate less experienced laboratories. Of the 38 laboratories participating in the quality assurance exercises 14 laboratories qualified for cadmium, 14 for creatinine, 9 for cotinine, 7 for phthalate metabolites and 5 for bisphenol A in urine. In the last of the four external quality assessment exercises the laboratories that qualified for DEMOCOPHES performed the determinations in urine with relative standard deviations (low/high concentration) of 18.0/2.1% for cotinine, 14.8/5.1% for cadmium, 4.7/3.4% for creatinine. Relative standard deviations for the newly emerging biomarkers were higher, with values between 13.5 and 20.5% for bisphenol A and between 18.9 and 45.3% for the phthalate metabolites. Plausibility control of the HBM results of all participating countries disclosed analytical shortcomings in the determination of Cd when using certain ICP/MS methods. Results were corrected by reanalyzes. The COPHES/DEMOCOPHES project for the first time succeeded in performing a harmonized pan-European HBM project. All data raised have to be regarded as utmost reliable according to the highest international state of the art, since highly renowned laboratories functioned as reference laboratories. The procedure described here, that has shown its success, can be used as a blueprint for future transnational, multicentre HBM projects. PMID:24405937

  19. Exploratory factor analysis and reliability analysis with missing data: A simple method for SPSS users

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Bruce Weaver

    2014-09-01

    Full Text Available Missing data is a frequent problem for researchers conducting exploratory factor analysis (EFA or reliability analysis. The SPSS FACTOR procedure allows users to select listwise deletion, pairwise deletion or mean substitution as a method for dealing with missing data. The shortcomings of these methods are well-known. Graham (2009 argues that a much better way to deal with missing data in this context is to use a matrix of expectation maximization (EM covariances(or correlations as input for the analysis. SPSS users who have the Missing Values Analysis add-on module can obtain vectors ofEM means and standard deviations plus EM correlation and covariance matrices via the MVA procedure. But unfortunately, MVA has no /MATRIX subcommand, and therefore cannot write the EM correlations directly to a matrix dataset of the type needed as input to the FACTOR and RELIABILITY procedures. We describe two macros that (in conjunction with an intervening MVA command carry out the data management steps needed to create two matrix datasets, one containing EM correlations and the other EM covariances. Either of those matrix datasets can then be used asinput to the FACTOR procedure, and the EM correlations can also be used as input to RELIABILITY. We provide an example that illustrates the use of the two macros to generate the matrix datasets and how to use those datasets as input to the FACTOR and RELIABILITY procedures. We hope that this simple method for handling missing data will prove useful to both students andresearchers who are conducting EFA or reliability analysis.

  20. Markovian reliability analysis under uncertainty with an application on the shutdown system of the Clinch River Breeder Reactor

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Papazoglou, I A; Gyftopoulos, E P

    1978-09-01

    A methodology for the assessment of the uncertainties about the reliability of nuclear reactor systems described by Markov models is developed, and the uncertainties about the probability of loss of coolable core geometry (LCG) of the Clinch River Breeder Reactor (CRBR) due to shutdown system failures, are assessed. Uncertainties are expressed by assuming the failure rates, the repair rates and all other input variables of reliability analysis as random variables, distributed according to known probability density functions (pdf). The pdf of the reliability is then calculated by the moment matching technique. Two methods have been employed for the determination of the moments of the reliability: the Monte Carlo simulation; and the Taylor-series expansion. These methods are adopted to Markovian problems and compared for accuracy and efficiency.

  1. CARES/PC - CERAMICS ANALYSIS AND RELIABILITY EVALUATION OF STRUCTURES

    Science.gov (United States)

    Szatmary, S. A.

    1994-01-01

    The beneficial properties of structural ceramics include their high-temperature strength, light weight, hardness, and corrosion and oxidation resistance. For advanced heat engines, ceramics have demonstrated functional abilities at temperatures well beyond the operational limits of metals. This is offset by the fact that ceramic materials tend to be brittle. When a load is applied, their lack of significant plastic deformation causes the material to crack at microscopic flaws, destroying the component. CARES/PC performs statistical analysis of data obtained from the fracture of simple, uniaxial tensile or flexural specimens and estimates the Weibull and Batdorf material parameters from this data. CARES/PC is a subset of the program CARES (COSMIC program number LEW-15168) which calculates the fast-fracture reliability or failure probability of ceramic components utilizing the Batdorf and Weibull models to describe the effects of multi-axial stress states on material strength. CARES additionally requires that the ceramic structure be modeled by a finite element program such as MSC/NASTRAN or ANSYS. The more limited CARES/PC does not perform fast-fracture reliability estimation of components. CARES/PC estimates ceramic material properties from uniaxial tensile or from three- and four-point bend bar data. In general, the parameters are obtained from the fracture stresses of many specimens (30 or more are recommended) whose geometry and loading configurations are held constant. Parameter estimation can be performed for single or multiple failure modes by using the least-squares analysis or the maximum likelihood method. Kolmogorov-Smirnov and Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit tests measure the accuracy of the hypothesis that the fracture data comes from a population with a distribution specified by the estimated Weibull parameters. Ninety-percent confidence intervals on the Weibull parameters and the unbiased value of the shape parameter for complete samples are provided when the maximum likelihood technique is used. CARES/PC is written and compiled with the Microsoft FORTRAN v5.0 compiler using the VAX FORTRAN extensions and dynamic array allocation supported by this compiler for the IBM/MS-DOS or OS/2 operating systems. The dynamic array allocation routines allow the user to match the number of fracture sets and test specimens to the memory available. Machine requirements include IBM PC compatibles with optional math coprocessor. Program output is designed to fit 80-column format printers. Executables for both DOS and OS/2 are provided. CARES/PC is distributed on one 5.25 inch 360K MS-DOS format diskette in compressed format. The expansion tool PKUNZIP.EXE is supplied on the diskette. CARES/PC was developed in 1990. IBM PC and OS/2 are trademarks of International Business Machines. MS-DOS and MS OS/2 are trademarks of Microsoft Corporation. VAX is a trademark of Digital Equipment Corporation.

  2. Mapping Green Spaces in Bishkek—How Reliable can Spatial Analysis Be?

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Peter Hofmann

    2011-05-01

    Full Text Available Within urban areas, green spaces play a critically important role in the quality of life. They have remarkable impact on the local microclimate and the regional climate of the city. Quantifying the ‘greenness’ of urban areas allows comparing urban areas at several levels, as well as monitoring the evolution of green spaces in urban areas, thus serving as a tool for urban and developmental planning. Different categories of vegetation have different impacts on recreation potential and microclimate, as well as on the individual perception of green spaces. However, when quantifying the ‘greenness’ of urban areas the reliability of the underlying information is important in order to qualify analysis results. The reliability of geo-information derived from remote sensing data is usually assessed by ground truth validation or by comparison with other reference data. When applying methods of object based image analysis (OBIA and fuzzy classification, the degrees of fuzzy membership per object in general describe to what degree an object fits (prototypical class descriptions. Thus, analyzing the fuzzy membership degrees can contribute to the estimation of reliability and stability of classification results, even when no reference data are available. This paper presents an object based method using fuzzy class assignments to outline and classify three different classes of vegetation from GeoEye imagery. The classification result, its reliability and stability are evaluated using the reference-free parameters Best Classification Result and Classification Stability as introduced by Benz et al. in 2004 and implemented in the software package eCognition (www.ecognition.com. To demonstrate the application potentials of results a scenario for quantifying urban ‘greenness’ is presented.

  3. Reliability and Creep/Fatigue Analysis of a CMC Component

    Science.gov (United States)

    Murthy, Pappu L. N.; Mital, Subodh K.; Gyekenyesi, John Z.; Gyekenyesi, John P.

    2007-01-01

    High temperature ceramic matrix composites (CMC) are being explored as viable candidate materials for hot section gas turbine components. These advanced composites can potentially lead to reduced weight and enable higher operating temperatures requiring less cooling; thus leading to increased engine efficiencies. There is a need for convenient design tools that can accommodate various loading conditions and material data with their associated uncertainties to estimate the minimum predicted life as well as the failure probabilities of a structural component. This paper presents a review of the life prediction and probabilistic analyses performed for a CMC turbine stator vane. A computer code, NASALife, is used to predict the life of a 2-D woven silicon carbide fiber reinforced silicon carbide matrix (SiC/SiC) turbine stator vane due to a mission cycle which induces low cycle fatigue and creep. The output from this program includes damage from creep loading, damage due to cyclic loading and the combined damage due to the given loading cycle. Results indicate that the trends predicted by NASALife are as expected for the loading conditions used for this study. In addition, a combination of woven composite micromechanics, finite element structural analysis and Fast Probability Integration (FPI) techniques has been used to evaluate the maximum stress and its probabilistic distribution in a CMC turbine stator vane. Input variables causing scatter are identified and ranked based upon their sensitivity magnitude. Results indicate that reducing the scatter in proportional limit strength of the vane material has the greatest effect in improving the overall reliability of the CMC vane.

  4. Comparative Genome Analysis of Enterobacter cloacae

    OpenAIRE

    Liu, Wing-yee; Wong, Chi-fat; Chung, Karl Ming-kar; Jiang, Jing-wei; Leung, Frederick Chi-ching

    2013-01-01

    The Enterobacter cloacae species includes an extremely diverse group of bacteria that are associated with plants, soil and humans. Publication of the complete genome sequence of the plant growth-promoting endophytic E. cloacae subsp. cloacae ENHKU01 provided an opportunity to perform the first comparative genome analysis between strains of this dynamic species. Examination of the pan-genome of E. cloacae showed that the conserved core genome retains the general physiological and survival gene...

  5. Comparative analysis of multicriteria decision making methods

    OpenAIRE

    Mota, Pedro Jorge Gomes

    2013-01-01

    The main objective of this dissertation is to perform a Comparative Analysis of different Multicriteria Decision Making Methods applied to real-world problems, in order to produce relevant information to enable the incorporation of those methods on computational platforms. The current document presents a simple case study concerning a decision support application targeted for a real problem regarding retrofitting alternatives of a building with energy efficiency impact. The application proces...

  6. Comparative Analysis on Constitutional Supervision Modes

    OpenAIRE

    Wang, Wenjing; Wang, Xiaorui

    2012-01-01

    Constitution is the fundamental law of a nation and also the general regulations on administering state affairs and ensuring national security. This is why constitutional supervision is so important for a country. However, there are still many problems existing under the supervision mechanism regarding to its operability, materiality, and rationality. This paper tries to give proper suggestions on perfecting Chinese constitutional supervision through comparative analysis and other co...

  7. Comparative analysis of twelve Dothideomycete plant pathogens

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Ohm, Robin; Aerts, Andrea; Salamov, Asaf; Goodwin, Stephen B.; Grigoriev, Igor

    2011-03-11

    The Dothideomycetes are one of the largest and most diverse groups of fungi. Many are plant pathogens and pose a serious threat to agricultural crops grown for biofuel, food or feed. Most Dothideomycetes have only a single host and related Dothideomycete species can have very diverse host plants. Twelve Dothideomycete genomes have currently been sequenced by the Joint Genome Institute and other sequencing centers. They can be accessed via Mycocosm which has tools for comparative analysis

  8. Embedded Hyperchaotic Generators: A Comparative Analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Sadoudi, Said; Tanougast, Camel; Azzaz, Mohamad Salah; Dandache, Abbas

    In this paper, we present a comparative analysis of FPGA implementation performances, in terms of throughput and resources cost, of five well known autonomous continuous hyperchaotic systems. The goal of this analysis is to identify the embedded hyperchaotic generator which leads to designs with small logic area cost, satisfactory throughput rates, low power consumption and low latency required for embedded applications such as secure digital communications between embedded systems. To implement the four-dimensional (4D) chaotic systems, we use a new structural hardware architecture based on direct VHDL description of the forth order Runge-Kutta method (RK-4). The comparative analysis shows that the hyperchaotic Lorenz generator provides attractive performances compared to that of others. In fact, its hardware implementation requires only 2067 CLB-slices, 36 multipliers and no block RAMs, and achieves a throughput rate of 101.6 Mbps, at the output of the FPGA circuit, at a clock frequency of 25.315 MHz with a low latency time of 316 ns. Consequently, these good implementation performances offer to the embedded hyperchaotic Lorenz generator the advantage of being the best candidate for embedded communications applications.

  9. Reliability and Validity of the Spanish Adaptation of EOSS, Comparing Normal and Clinical Samples

    Science.gov (United States)

    Valero-Aguayo, Luis; Ferro-Garcia, Rafael; Lopez-Bermudez, Miguel Angel; de Huralde, Ma. Angeles Selva-Lopez

    2012-01-01

    The Experiencing of Self Scale (EOSS) was created for the evaluation of Functional Analytic Psychotherapy (Kohlenberg & Tsai, 1991, 2001, 2008) in relation to the concept of the experience of personal self as socially and verbally constructed. This paper presents a reliability and validity study of the EOSS with a Spanish sample (582 participants,…

  10. Transmission Line Fault Clearing System Reliability Assessment: Application of Life Data Analysis with Weibull Distribution and Reliability Block Diagram

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Mohd Iqbal Ridwan

    2013-05-01

    Full Text Available High voltage transmission lines are essential assets to electric utility companies as these lines transmit electricity generated by power stations to various regions throughout the country. Being exposed to the surrounding environments, transmission lines are susceptible to atmospheric conditions such as lightning strikes and flora and fauna encroachments. These conditions are called faults. Faults on transmission lines may cause disruption of electricity supply which will affect the overall power system and lead to a wide scale blackout. Therefore, fault clearing system is deployed to minimize the impact of the faults to the power system by disconnecting and isolating the affected transmission lines specifically. One of the main devices in fault  clearing system are the protective relays, which serve as the "brain" to provide the decision making element for correct protection and fault clearing operations. Without protective relays, fault clearing system is rendered useless. Hence, it is imperative for power utilities, such as Tenaga Nasional Berhad (TNB, which is an electric utility company in Malaysia, to assess the reliability of the protective relays. In this study, a statistical method called Life Data Analysis using Weibull Distribution is applied to assess the reliability of the protective relays.  Furthermore, the fault clearing system is modeled using Reliability Block Diagram to simulate the availability of the system and derive reliability indices which will assist TNB in managing the fault clearing system.

  11. Mathematical modeling and reliability analysis of a 3D Li-ion battery

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    RICHARD HONG PENG LIANG

    2014-02-01

    Full Text Available The three-dimensional (3D Li-ion battery presents an effective solution to issues affecting its two-dimensional counterparts, as it is able to attain high energy capacities for the same areal footprint without sacrificing power density. A 3D battery has key structural features extending in and fully utilizing 3D space, allowing it to achieve greater reliability and longevity. This study applies an electrochemical-thermal coupled model to a checkerboard array of alternating positive and negative electrodes in a 3D architecture with either square or circular electrodes. The mathematical model comprises the transient conservation of charge, species, and energy together with electroneutrality, constitutive relations and relevant initial and boundary conditions. A reliability analysis carried out to simulate malfunctioning of either a positive or negative electrode reveals that although there are deviations in electrochemical and thermal behavior for electrodes adjacent to the malfunctioning electrode as compared to that in a fully-functioning array, there is little effect on electrodes further away, demonstrating the redundancy that a 3D electrode array provides. The results demonstrate that implementation of 3D batteries allow it to reliably and safely deliver power even if a component malfunctions, a strong advantage over conventional 2D batteries.

  12. A survey on reliability and safety analysis techniques of robot systems in nuclear power plants

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Eom, H.S.; Kim, J.H.; Lee, J.C.; Choi, Y.R.; Moon, S.S

    2000-12-01

    The reliability and safety analysis techniques was surveyed for the purpose of overall quality improvement of reactor inspection system which is under development in our current project. The contents of this report are : 1. Reliability and safety analysis techniques suvey - Reviewed reliability and safety analysis techniques are generally accepted techniques in many industries including nuclear industry. And we selected a few techniques which are suitable for our robot system. They are falut tree analysis, failure mode and effect analysis, reliability block diagram, markov model, combinational method, and simulation method. 2. Survey on the characteristics of robot systems which are distinguished from other systems and which are important to the analysis. 3. Survey on the nuclear environmental factors which affect the reliability and safety analysis of robot system 4. Collection of the case studies of robot reliability and safety analysis which are performed in foreign countries. The analysis results of this survey will be applied to the improvement of reliability and safety of our robot system and also will be used for the formal qualification and certification of our reactor inspection system.

  13. A survey on reliability and safety analysis techniques of robot systems in nuclear power plants

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability and safety analysis techniques was surveyed for the purpose of overall quality improvement of reactor inspection system which is under development in our current project. The contents of this report are : 1. Reliability and safety analysis techniques suvey - Reviewed reliability and safety analysis techniques are generally accepted techniques in many industries including nuclear industry. And we selected a few techniques which are suitable for our robot system. They are falut tree analysis, failure mode and effect analysis, reliability block diagram, markov model, combinational method, and simulation method. 2. Survey on the characteristics of robot systems which are distinguished from other systems and which are important to the analysis. 3. Survey on the nuclear environmental factors which affect the reliability and safety analysis of robot system 4. Collection of the case studies of robot reliability and safety analysis which are performed in foreign countries. The analysis results of this survey will be applied to the improvement of reliability and safety of our robot system and also will be used for the formal qualification and certification of our reactor inspection system

  14. Reliability Analysis of Bearing Capacity of Large-Diameter Piles under Osterberg Test

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Lei Nie

    2013-05-01

    Full Text Available This study gives the reliability analysis of bearing capacity of large-diameter piles under osterberg test. The limit state equation of dimensionless random variables is utilized in the reliability analysis of vertical bearing capacity of large-diameter piles based on Osterberg loading tests. And the reliability index and the resistance partial coefficient under the current specifications are calculated using calibration method. The results show: the reliable index of large-diameter piles is correlated with the load effect ratio and is smaller than the ordinary piles; resistance partial coefficient of 1.53 is proper in design of large-diameter piles.

  15. Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) Reliability and Analysis Evolution

    Science.gov (United States)

    Stephens, Walter E.; Rogers, James H.; Biggs, Robert E.

    2010-01-01

    The Space Shuttle Main Engine (SSME) is a large thrust class, reusable, staged combustion cycle rocket engine employing liquid hydrogen and liquid oxygen propellants. A cluster of three SSMEs is used on every space shuttle mission to propel the space shuttle orbiter vehicle into low earth orbit. Development of the SSME began in the early 70 s and the first flight of the space shuttle occurred in 1981. Today, the SSME has accrued over one million seconds of ground test and flight operational time, launching 129 space shuttle missions. Given that the SSME is used to launch a manned vehicle, its reliability must be commensurate for the task. At the same time, the SSME is a high performance, high power density engine which traditionally does not lend itself towards high reliability. Furthermore, throughout its history, the SSME operational envelope has been explored and expanded leading to several major test failures. Hence, assessing the reliability of the SSME throughout its history has been a challenging undertaking. This paper provides a review and discussion of SSME reliability assessment techniques and results over its history. Basic reliability drivers such as engine design, test program, major failures, redesigns and upgrades will also be discussed.

  16. Diesel-generator reliability at nuclear power plants: data and preliminary analysis. Interim report

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This report summarizes work performed under RP1233-1 relating to the collection and analysis of data pertaining to diesel generator reliability in nuclear power plants. Drawing from data collected on-site at plants, data supplied by utilites, and data from Licensee Event Reports (LERs), the report describes methods of deriving reliability estimates from data for use in probabilistic risk assessment and presents results when these methods are applied to data collected from 14 plants. Specifically, data are used to estimate diesel failure probabilities for failures to start and failure rates for failures to continue to run. A sampling theory approach and a Bayesian approach to failure probability estimation are compared. The data are used to derive estimates of diesel repair time for some plants, maintenance outages, and multiple diesel failure rates. In addition, a section is included that presents suggestions for failure-rate estimation when an accurate count of diesel start attempts at a plant is not available. The final section presents an analysis of diesel failures based on data from LERs, including a breakdown of failure event by subsystem, failure mode, and failure cause. Appendixes include detailed summaries of the data used in the analysis of previous sections

  17. DEPEND-HRA-A method for consideration of dependency in human reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A consideration of dependencies between human actions is an important issue within the human reliability analysis. A method was developed, which integrates the features of existing methods and the experience from a full scope plant simulator. The method is used on real plant-specific human reliability analysis as a part of the probabilistic safety assessment of a nuclear power plant. The method distinguishes dependency for pre-initiator events from dependency for initiator and post-initiator events. The method identifies dependencies based on scenarios, where consecutive human actions are modeled, and based on a list of minimal cut sets, which is obtained by running the minimal cut set analysis considering high values of human error probabilities in the evaluation. A large example study, which consisted of a large number of human failure events, demonstrated the applicability of the method. Comparative analyses that were performed show that both selection of dependency method and selection of dependency levels within the method largely impact the results of probabilistic safety assessment. If the core damage frequency is not impacted much, the listings of important basic events in terms of risk increase and risk decrease factors may change considerably. More efforts are needed on the subject, which will prepare the background for more detailed guidelines, which will remove the subjectivity from the evaluations as much as it is possible possible

  18. A New Method for System Reliability Analysis of Tailings Dam Stability

    Science.gov (United States)

    Liu, X.; Tang, H.; Xiong, C.; Ni, W.

    2012-12-01

    For the purpose of stability evaluation, a tailings dam can be considered as an artificial slope made of special soil materials which mainly come from mine tailings. As a particular engineering project, a tailings dam generally has experienced multi-loop hydraulic sediments as well as a long-term consolidation in the process of construction. The characteristics of sediment and consolidation result in a unique distribution of the soil layers with significant uncertainties, which come from both nature development and various human activities, and thus cause the discrete and the variability of the physical-mechanical properties dramatically greater than the natural geo-materials. Therefore, the location of critical slip surface (CSS) of the dam usually presents a notable drift. So, it means that the reliability evaluation task for a tailings dam is a system reliability problem indeed. Unfortunately, the previous research of reliability of tailings dam was mainly confined to the limit equilibrium method (LEM), which has three obvious drawbacks. First, it just focused on the variability along the slip surface rather than the whole space of the dam. Second, a fixed CSS, instead of variable one, was concerned in most cases. Third, the shape of the CSS was usually simplified to a circular. The present paper tried to construct a new reliability analysis model combined with several advanced techniques involving finite difference method (FDM), Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), support vector machine (SVM) and particle swarm optimization (PSO). The new framework was consisted of four modules. The first one is the limit equilibrium finite difference mode, which employed the FLAC3D code to generate stress fields and then used PSO algorithm to search the location of CSS and corresponding minimum factor of safety (FOS). The most value of this module was that each realization of stress field would lead to a particular CSS and its FOS. In other words, the consideration of the drift of CSS was significant to system reliability analysis. Besides, the CSS was described with non-circular shape, which was much more superior to the circular one. Moreover, compare with the LEM, the numerical method has the ability to reflect the variability in a whole space of the dam. The second one is the orthogonal design modules aimed to generate high-quality training samples according to the variability of soil layers. The third one is the response surface model based on SVM, which was designed to obtain the explicit performance function through the well-prepared training samples. The fourth one is the MCS model, which can perform steady and effective reliability analysis through the explicit performance function. As a result, a new approach for reliability analysis of tailings dam stability was presented. As a case study, the Yong-ping Copper Mine Tailings Dam in Jiangxi Province of China was analyzed in detail by this new method. It was shown that the effectiveness of the new method is considerable. In sum, this research is geared towards providing new ideas and available examples for future reliability assessment of tailings dam stability.

  19. Acquisition and statistical analysis of reliability data for I and C parts in plant protection system

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Lim, T. J.; Byun, S. S.; Han, S. H.; Lee, H. J.; Lim, J. S.; Oh, S. J.; Park, K. Y.; Song, H. S. [Soongsil Univ., Seoul (Korea)

    2001-04-01

    This project has been performed in order to construct I and C part reliability databases for detailed analysis of plant protection system and to develop a methodology for analysing trip set point drifts. Reliability database for the I and C parts of plant protection system is required to perform the detailed analysis. First, we have developed an electronic part reliability prediction code based on MIL-HDBK-217F. Then we have collected generic reliability data for the I and C parts in plant protection system. Statistical analysis procedure has been developed to process the data. Then the generic reliability database has been constructed. We have also collected plant specific reliability data for the I and C parts in plant protection system for YGN 3,4 and UCN 3,4 units. Plant specific reliability database for I and C parts has been developed by the Bayesian procedure. We have also developed an statistical analysis procedure for set point drift, and performed analysis of drift effects for trip set point. The basis for the detailed analysis can be provided from the reliability database for the PPS I and C parts. The safety of the KSNP and succeeding NPPs can be proved by reducing the uncertainty of PSA. Economic and efficient operation of NPP can be possible by optimizing the test period to reduce utility's burden. 14 refs., 215 figs., 137 tabs. (Author)

  20. Reliability and Sensitivity Analysis of Cast Iron Water Pipes for Agricultural Food Irrigation

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Yanling Ni

    2014-07-01

    Full Text Available This study aims to investigate the reliability and sensitivity of cast iron water pipes for agricultural food irrigation. The Monte Carlo simulation method is used for fracture assessment and reliability analysis of cast iron pipes for agricultural food irrigation. Fracture toughness is considered as a limit state function for corrosion affected cast iron pipes. Then the influence of failure mode on the probability of pipe failure has been discussed. Sensitivity analysis also is carried out to show the effect of changing basic parameters on the reliability and life time of the pipe. The analysis results show that the applied methodology can consider different random variables for estimating of life time of the pipe and it can also provide scientific guidance for rehabilitation and maintenance plans for agricultural food irrigation. In addition, the results of the failure and reliability analysis in this study can be useful for designing of more reliable new pipeline systems for agricultural food irrigation.

  1. Comparing Linear and Nonlinear Methods for More Reliable Predictive Uncertainty Quantification and Optimal Design of Experiments

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wöhling, T.; Geiges, A.; Gosses, M.; Nowak, W.

    2014-12-01

    Data acquisition in complex environmental systems is typically expensive. Therefore, experimental designs should be optimized such that most can be learned about the system at least costs. In the past, optimal design (OD) analyses were mainly restricted to linear or linearized problems and methods. Nonlinear OD methods offer more efficient data collection strategies, because they can better handle the non-linearity exhibited by most coupled environmental systems. However, the much higher computational demand restricts their applicability to models with comparatively low run-times. Our goal is to compare the trade-off between computational efficiency and the obtainable design quality between linear and nonlinear OD methods. In our study, a steady-state model for a section of the river Steinlach (South Germany) was set up and calibrated to measured groundwater head data and on estimated groundwater exchange fluxes. The model involves a Pilot Point parameterization scheme for hydraulic conductivity and six zones with uncertain river bed conductivities. In the linear OD approach, the initial predictive uncertainty of groundwater exchange fluxes and mean travel times are estimated using the PREDUNC utility (Moore and Doherty 2005) of PEST. The parameter calibration was performed with a non-linear global search. A discrete global search method and PREDUNC was then utilized to identify augmented monitoring strategies (additional n measurement locations and data types) that reduce the predictive uncertainty the most. For the nonlinear assessment, a conditional ensemble obtained with Markov-chain Monte Carlo represents the initial state of uncertainty and is used as input to a nonlinear OD framework called PreDIA (Leube et al. 2012). PreDIA can consider any kind of uncertainties and non-linear (statistical) dependencies in data, models, parameters and system drivers during the OD process. The linear and non-linear approaches are compared thoroughly during each step of the model-based OD process. We investigate differences in initial uncertainty levels, estimated relative uncertainty levels and optimized designs. For our case study, we further assess at which step the linear approach starts deviating strongly from the non-linear method, from which point on the further linear analysis becomes unrealistic.

  2. Reliability analysis of a wastewater treatment plant using fault tree analysis and Monte Carlo simulation.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Taheriyoun, Masoud; Moradinejad, Saber

    2015-01-01

    The reliability of a wastewater treatment plant is a critical issue when the effluent is reused or discharged to water resources. Main factors affecting the performance of the wastewater treatment plant are the variation of the influent, inherent variability in the treatment processes, deficiencies in design, mechanical equipment, and operational failures. Thus, meeting the established reuse/discharge criteria requires assessment of plant reliability. Among many techniques developed in system reliability analysis, fault tree analysis (FTA) is one of the popular and efficient methods. FTA is a top down, deductive failure analysis in which an undesired state of a system is analyzed. In this study, the problem of reliability was studied on Tehran West Town wastewater treatment plant. This plant is a conventional activated sludge process, and the effluent is reused in landscape irrigation. The fault tree diagram was established with the violation of allowable effluent BOD as the top event in the diagram, and the deficiencies of the system were identified based on the developed model. Some basic events are operator's mistake, physical damage, and design problems. The analytical method is minimal cut sets (based on numerical probability) and Monte Carlo simulation. Basic event probabilities were calculated according to available data and experts' opinions. The results showed that human factors, especially human error had a great effect on top event occurrence. The mechanical, climate, and sewer system factors were in subsequent tier. Literature shows applying FTA has been seldom used in the past wastewater treatment plant (WWTP) risk analysis studies. Thus, the developed FTA model in this study considerably improves the insight into causal failure analysis of a WWTP. It provides an efficient tool for WWTP operators and decision makers to achieve the standard limits in wastewater reuse and discharge to the environment. PMID:25487461

  3. Technical information report: Plasma melter operation, reliability, and maintenance analysis

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Hendrickson, D.W. [ed.

    1995-03-14

    This document provides a technical report of operability, reliability, and maintenance of a plasma melter for low-level waste vitrification, in support of the Hanford Tank Waste Remediation System (TWRS) Low-Level Waste (LLW) Vitrification Program. A process description is provided that minimizes maintenance and downtime and includes material and energy balances, equipment sizes and arrangement, startup/operation/maintence/shutdown cycle descriptions, and basis for scale-up to a 200 metric ton/day production facility. Operational requirements are provided including utilities, feeds, labor, and maintenance. Equipment reliability estimates and maintenance requirements are provided which includes a list of failure modes, responses, and consequences.

  4. Reliability modeling and analysis of smart power systems

    CERN Document Server

    Karki, Rajesh; Verma, Ajit Kumar

    2014-01-01

    The volume presents the research work in understanding, modeling and quantifying the risks associated with different ways of implementing smart grid technology in power systems in order to plan and operate a modern power system with an acceptable level of reliability. Power systems throughout the world are undergoing significant changes creating new challenges to system planning and operation in order to provide reliable and efficient use of electrical energy. The appropriate use of smart grid technology is an important drive in mitigating these problems and requires considerable research acti

  5. Technical information report: Plasma melter operation, reliability, and maintenance analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This document provides a technical report of operability, reliability, and maintenance of a plasma melter for low-level waste vitrification, in support of the Hanford Tank Waste Remediation System (TWRS) Low-Level Waste (LLW) Vitrification Program. A process description is provided that minimizes maintenance and downtime and includes material and energy balances, equipment sizes and arrangement, startup/operation/maintence/shutdown cycle descriptions, and basis for scale-up to a 200 metric ton/day production facility. Operational requirements are provided including utilities, feeds, labor, and maintenance. Equipment reliability estimates and maintenance requirements are provided which includes a list of failure modes, responses, and consequences

  6. Long term reliability analysis of standby diesel generators

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The long term reliability of 11 diesel generators of 125 to 250 kV A size has been analysed from 26 years of data base information on individual diesel service as standby power supplies for the Chalk River research reactor facilities. Failure to start on demand and failure to run data is presented and failure by diesel subsystem and multiple failures are also analysed. A brief comparison is made with reliability studies of larger diesel generator units used for standby power service in nuclear power plants. (author)

  7. Performance Improvement of Edge Expansion Technique for BDD-based Network Reliability Analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Ronggen Chen

    2013-09-01

    Full Text Available The network reliability analysis based on Binary Decision Diagram (BDD consists of three steps: edge ordering, BDD generation and BDD evaluation. The BDD generation process using edge expansion technique should recursively decompose the network and construct the edge expansion subnet in a top-down manner. There is large number of useless or redundant subnets generated in this decomposition, which causes numerous inefficient computations. Thus, it is extremely important to optimize the edge expansion technique. In this paper, the notation of useless edge expansion and redundant edge expansion is formally defined. The original reason of them being created is identified, and the improvement algorithms based on graph traversal are used to eliminate all these inefficient edge expansion. According to the experimental data, compared with the unimproved BDD generation process, our proposal can dramatically reduce the running time and memory usage and makes possible the analysis of large network.

  8. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF THERMAL POWER GENERATING UNITS BASED ON WORKING HOURS

    OpenAIRE

    C.P.S. Hungund; Shrikant Patil

    2014-01-01

    For any system reliability calculation, estimation plays a vital role and hence the analysis is to be diverted to calculate reliabilities of the units. To do this, we need to analyze failure rates or inter-failure time intervals or duration of the failure free operation of the units. This data is usually termed as Working Hours (successive failures). Working Hours implies that the gap between failure to failure which is directly linked with the reliability of the system. Hence ...

  9. Root cause analysis in support of reliability enhancement of engineering components

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Reliability based methods have been widely used for the safety assessment of plant system, structures and components. These methods provide a quantitative estimation of system reliability but do not give insight into the failure mechanism. Understanding the failure mechanism is a must to avoid the recurrence of the events and enhancement of the system reliability. Root cause analysis provides a tool for gaining detailed insights into the causes of failure of component with particular attention to the identification of fault in component design, operation, surveillance, maintenance, training, procedures and policies which must be improved to prevent repetition of incidents. Root cause analysis also helps in developing Probabilistic Safety Analysis models. A probabilistic precursor study provides a complement to the root cause analysis approach in event analysis by focusing on how an event might have developed adversely. This paper discusses the root cause analysis methodologies and their application in the specific case studies for enhancement of system reliability. (author)

  10. Comparative analysis of proliferation resistance assessment methodologies

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Comparative analysis of the methodologies was performed based on the discussions in the international workshop on 'Assessment Methodology of Proliferation Resistance for Future Nuclear Energy Systems' held in Tokyo, on March 2005. Through the workshop and succeeding considerations, it is clarified that the proliferation resistance assessment methodologies are affected by the broader nuclear options being pursued and also by the political situations of the state. Even the definition of proliferation resistance, despite the commonality of fundamental issues, derives from perceived threat and implementation circumstances inherent to the larger programs. Deep recognitions of the 'difference' among communities would help us to make further essential and progressed discussion with harmonization. (author)

  11. Comparative Analysis of Hand Gesture Recognition Techniques

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Arpana K. Patel

    2015-03-01

    Full Text Available During past few years, human hand gesture for interaction with computing devices has continues to be active area of research. In this paper survey of hand gesture recognition is provided. Hand Gesture Recognition is contained three stages: Pre-processing, Feature Extraction or matching and Classification or recognition. Each stage contains different methods and techniques. In this paper define small description of different methods used for hand gesture recognition in existing system with comparative analysis of all method with its benefits and drawbacks are provided.

  12. Reliability analysis of common hazardous waste treatment processes

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Waters, R.D. [Vanderbilt Univ., Nashville, TN (United States)

    1993-05-01

    Five hazardous waste treatment processes are analyzed probabilistically using Monte Carlo simulation to elucidate the relationships between process safety factors and reliability levels. The treatment processes evaluated are packed tower aeration, reverse osmosis, activated sludge, upflow anaerobic sludge blanket, and activated carbon adsorption.

  13. Reliability analysis of common hazardous waste treatment processes

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Five hazardous waste treatment processes are analyzed probabilistically using Monte Carlo simulation to elucidate the relationships between process safety factors and reliability levels. The treatment processes evaluated are packed tower aeration, reverse osmosis, activated sludge, upflow anaerobic sludge blanket, and activated carbon adsorption

  14. Reliability Analysis for the Fatigue Limit State of the ASTRID Offshore Platform:

    OpenAIRE

    Vrouwenvelder, A.C.W.M.; Gostelie, E.M.

    1986-01-01

    A reliability analysis with respect to fatigue failure was performed for a concrete gravity platform designed for the Troll field. The reliability analysis was incorporated in the practical design-loop to gain more insight into the complex fatigue problem. In the analysis several parameters relating to wave excitation, structural response and material properties of the concrete were considered as being stochastic. From the work done it is concluded that designing a concrete platform for the T...

  15. Comparative Analysis of Visco-elastic Models with Variable Parameters

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Silviu Nastac

    2010-01-01

    Full Text Available The paper presents a theoretical comparative study for computational behaviour analysis of vibration isolation elements based on viscous and elastic models with variable parameters. The changing of elastic and viscous parameters can be produced by natural timed evolution demo-tion or by heating developed into the elements during their working cycle. It was supposed both linear and non-linear numerical viscous and elastic models, and their combinations. The results show the impor-tance of numerical model tuning with the real behaviour, as such the characteristics linearity, and the essential parameters for damping and rigidity. Multiple comparisons between linear and non-linear simulation cases dignify the basis of numerical model optimization regarding mathematical complexity vs. results reliability.

  16. Human reliability analysis of performing tasks in plants based on fuzzy integral

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The effective improvement of the human working conditions in nuclear power plants might be a solution for the enhancement of the operation safety. The human reliability analysis (HRA) gives a methodological basis of the improvement based on the evaluation of human reliability under various working conditions. This study investigates some difficulties of the human reliability analysis using conventional linear models and recent fuzzy integral models, and provides some solutions to the difficulties. The following practical features of the provided methods are confirmed in comparison with the conventional methods: (1) Applicability to various types of tasks (2) Capability of evaluating complicated dependencies among working condition factors (3) A priori human reliability evaluation based on a systematic task analysis of human action processes (4) A conversion scheme to probability from indices representing human reliability. (author)

  17. Significance Test of Reliability Evaluation with Three-parameter Weibull Distribution Based on Grey Relational Analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Xintao Xia

    2013-06-01

    Full Text Available With the aid of the grey system theory, the grey relational analysis of the reliability with the three-parameter Weibull distribution is made for the Weibull parameter evaluation and its significance test. Via the theoretical value set and the experimental value set of the reliability relied on the lifetime data of a product, the model of the constrained optimization of the Weibull parameter evaluation based on the maximum grey relational grade. The grey significance of the reliability function with the three-parameter Weibull distribution is tested by means of the proposed criterion of the grey significance analysis of the reliability evaluation at the given grey confidence level. The cases of the helicopter component, the specimen and the ceramic material show that the grey relational analysis of the reliability is effective in the Weibull parameter evaluation and its significance test.

  18. Efficient surrogate models for reliability analysis of systems with multiple failure modes

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Despite many advances in the field of computational reliability analysis, the efficient estimation of the reliability of a system with multiple failure modes remains a persistent challenge. Various sampling and analytical methods are available, but they typically require accepting a tradeoff between accuracy and computational efficiency. In this work, a surrogate-based approach is presented that simultaneously addresses the issues of accuracy, efficiency, and unimportant failure modes. The method is based on the creation of Gaussian process surrogate models that are required to be locally accurate only in the regions of the component limit states that contribute to system failure. This approach to constructing surrogate models is demonstrated to be both an efficient and accurate method for system-level reliability analysis. - Highlights: ? Extends efficient global reliability analysis to systems with multiple failure modes. ? Constructs locally accurate Gaussian process models of each response. ? Highly efficient and accurate method for assessing system reliability. ? Effectiveness is demonstrated on several test problems from the literature.

  19. The reliability analysis of the diversity structure of for integral reactor

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    It is commonly recognized that system reliability and functionality of digital system are better than those of analog system in general cases. Moreover, the digital system is superior in system operation and maintenance compared to the existing analog system. However, in spite of these advantages, there are also negative factors in the application of this new technology to the safety system design since there exists a potential in common mode failure of system operations. Generally, the diversity is adopted to prevent Common Mode Failure(CMF) of the Instrumentation and Control System (I and C) using digital technology in the nuclear fields. We implemented the diversity within a channel to prevent CMF of the Plant Protection System (PPS) using digital technology for integral reactor. Each PPS channel has two sets of different hardware. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effects on the reliability of PPS adopting the diverse mean and to assure the integrity of PPS. This paper shows that the result of reactor trip success probability of PPS is higher than the value of the analog system. Finally we demonstrate the integrity of PPS design in SMART Pilot Plant through the comparative analysis of results of the reactor trip success probability for PPS and that of existing analog one

  20. Reliability Analysis Of Fire System On The Industry Facility By Use Fameca Method

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    FAMECA is one of the analysis method to determine system reliability on the industry facility. Analysis is done by some procedure that is identification of component function, determination of failure mode, severity level and effect of their failure. Reliability value is determined by three combinations that is severity level, component failure value and critical component. Reliability of analysis has been done for fire system on the industry by FAMECA method. Critical component which identified is pump, air release valve, check valve, manual test valve, isolation valve, control system etc

  1. Reliability analysis of the solar array based on Fault Tree Analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The solar array is an important device used in the spacecraft, which influences the quality of in-orbit operation of the spacecraft and even the launches. This paper analyzes the reliability of the mechanical system and certifies the most vital subsystem of the solar array. The fault tree analysis (FTA) model is established according to the operating process of the mechanical system based on DFH-3 satellite; the logical expression of the top event is obtained by Boolean algebra and the reliability of the solar array is calculated. The conclusion shows that the hinges are the most vital links between the solar arrays. By analyzing the structure importance(SI) of the hinge's FTA model, some fatal causes, including faults of the seal, insufficient torque of the locking spring, temperature in space, and friction force, can be identified. Damage is the initial stage of the fault, so limiting damage is significant to prevent faults. Furthermore, recommendations for improving reliability associated with damage limitation are discussed, which can be used for the redesigning of the solar array and the reliability growth planning.

  2. Reliability analysis of in-service inspection for key components in nuclear power plants

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability of in-service inspection was calculated and analyzed based on the probability model and ultrasonic testing numerical model. The POD curve and its 95% lower bound of different defects in girth weld of RPV were calculated. The result indicated that the reliability analysis could give a quantitative evaluation for in-service inspection. (authors)

  3. Reliability of three-dimensional gait analysis in cervical spondylotic myelopathy.

    LENUS (Irish Health Repository)

    McDermott, Ailish

    2010-10-01

    Gait impairment is one of the primary symptoms of cervical spondylotic myelopathy (CSM). Detailed assessment is possible using three-dimensional gait analysis (3DGA), however the reliability of 3DGA for this population has not been established. The aim of this study was to evaluate the test-retest reliability of temporal-spatial, kinematic and kinetic parameters in a CSM population.

  4. Analysis of nickel-cadmium battery reliability data containing zero failures

    Science.gov (United States)

    Denson, William K.; Klein, Glenn C.

    1992-01-01

    An analysis of reliability data on Nickel-Cadmium (NiCd) batteries (for use in spacecraft) is presented. The data were collected by Gates Aerospace and represent a substantial reliability database. The data were taken from the performance of 183 satellites which were in operation from between .1 and 22 years, for a total of 278 million cell-hours of operation.

  5. Architecture for interlock systems: reliability analysis with regard to safety and availability

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    For particle accelerators like LHC and other large experimental physics facilities like ITER, the machine protection relies on complex interlock systems. In the design of interlock loops for the signal exchange in machine protection systems, the choice of the hardware architecture impacts on machine safety and availability. The reliable performance of a machine stop (leaving the machine in a safe state) in case of an emergency, is an inherent requirement. The constraints in terms of machine availability on the other hand may differ from one facility to another. Spurious machine stops, lowering machine availability, may to a certain extent be tolerated in facilities where they do not cause undue equipment wear-out. In order to compare various interlock loop architectures in terms of safety and availability, the occurrence frequencies of related scenarios have been calculated in a reliability analysis, using a generic analytical model. This paper presents the results and illustrates the potential of the analysis method for supporting the choice of interlock system architectures. The results show the advantages of a 2003 (3 redundant lines with 2-out-of-3 voting) over the 6 architectures under consideration for systems with high requirements in both safety and availability

  6. A data-informed PIF hierarchy for model-based Human Reliability Analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper addresses three problems associated with the use of Performance Shaping Factors in Human Reliability Analysis. (1) There are more than a dozen Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) methods that use Performance Influencing Factors (PIFs) or Performance Shaping Factors (PSFs) to model human performance, but there is not a standard set of PIFs used among the methods, nor is there a framework available to compare the PIFs used in various methods. (2) The PIFs currently in use are not defined specifically enough to ensure consistent interpretation of similar PIFs across methods. (3) There are few rules governing the creation, definition, and usage of PIF sets. This paper introduces a hierarchical set of PIFs that can be used for both qualitative and quantitative HRA. The proposed PIF set is arranged in a hierarchy that can be collapsed or expanded to meet multiple objectives. The PIF hierarchy has been developed with respect to a set fundamental principles necessary for PIF sets, which are also introduced in this paper. This paper includes definitions of the PIFs to allow analysts to map the proposed PIFs onto current and future HRA methods. The standardized PIF hierarchy will allow analysts to combine different types of data and will therefore make the best use of the limited data in HRA. The collapsible hierarchy provides the structure necessary to combine multiple types of information without reducing the quality of the information.formation.

  7. Reliability analysis of protection system of advanced pressurized water reactor - APR 1400

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Reliability analysis was carried out for the protection system of the Korean Advanced Pressurized Water Reactor - APR 1400. The main focus of this study was the reliability analysis of digital protection system, however, towards giving an integrated statement of complete protection reliability an attempt has been made to include the shutdown devices and other related aspects based on the information available to date. The sensitivity analysis has been carried out for the critical components / functions in the system. Other aspects like importance analysis and human error reliability for the critical human actions form part of this work. The framework provided by this study and the results obtained shows that this analysis has potential to be utilized as part of risk informed approach for future design / regulatory applications

  8. Analysis of the Component-Based Reliability in Computer Networks

    Scientific Electronic Library Online (English)

    Saulius, Minkevi< img width=12 height=19 src=" http:/fbpe/img/cubo/v12n1/img27.jpg" > ius.

    Full Text Available Desempeño en términos de fiabilidad de redes de computador notiva este artículo. Teoremas límite sobre la duración extrema de cola y el tiempo de espera virtual extremo en redes de cola abierta en trafico pesado sao derivados y aplicados a un modelo de fiabilidad para redes de computador donde relac [...] ionamos el tiempo de falha de una red de computador al sistema de parámetros. Abstract in english Performance in terms of reliability of computer networks motivates this paper. Limit theorems on the extreme queue length and extreme virtual waiting time in open queueing networks in heavy traffic are derived and applied to a reliability model for computer networks where we relate the time of failu [...] re of a computer network to the system parameters.

  9. Windfarm Generation Assessment for ReliabilityAnalysis of Power Systems

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Negra, Nicola Barberis; HolmstrØm, Ole

    2007-01-01

    Due to the fast development of wind generation in the past ten years, increasing interest has been paid to techniques for assessing different aspects of power systems with a large amount of installed wind generation. One of these aspects concerns power system reliability. Windfarm modelling plays a significant role in this assessment and different models have been created for it, but a representation which includes all of them has not been developed yet. This paper deals with this issue. First, a list of nine influencing Factors is presented and discussed. Secondly, these Factors are included in a reliability model and the generation of a windfarm is evaluated by means of sequential Monte Carlo simulation. Results are used to analyse how each mentioned Factor influences the assessment, and why and when they should be included in the model.

  10. Windfarm Generation Assessment for Reliability Analysis of Power Systems

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Barberis Negra, Nicola; Bak-Jensen, Birgitte

    2007-01-01

    Due to the fast development of wind generation in the past ten years, increasing interest has been paid to techniques for assessing different aspects of power systems with a large amount of installed wind generation. One of these aspects concerns power system reliability. Windfarm modelling plays a significant role in this assessment and different models have been created for it, but a representation which includes all of them has not been developed yet. This paper deals with this issue. First, a list of nine influencing Factors is presented and discussed. Secondly, these Factors are included in a reliability model and the generation of a windfarm is evaluated by means of sequential Monte Carlo simulation. Results are used to analyse how each mentioned Factor influences the assessment, and why and when they should be included in the model. Udgivelsesdato: December

  11. Windfarm generation assessment for reliability analysis of power systems

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Negra, N.B.; HolmstrØm, O.

    2007-01-01

    Due to the fast development of wind generation in the past ten years, increasing interest has been paid to techniques for assessing different aspects of power systems with a large amount of installed wind generation. One of these aspects concerns power system reliability. Windfarm modelling plays a significant role in this assessment and different models have been created for it, but a representation which includes all of them has not been developed yet. This paper deals with this issue. First, a list of nine influencing Factors is presented and discussed. Secondly, these Factors are included in a reliability model and the generation of a windfarm is evaluated by means of sequential Monte Carlo simulation. Results are used to analyse how each mentioned Factor influences the assessment, and why and when they should be included in the model.

  12. Reliability analysis of numerical simulation in near field behavior

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The uncertainties of the boundary conditions, the elastic modulus and Poisson's ratio on the mechanical behavior at near field of high level radioactive waste repository were examined. The method used to examine the error propagation was the first order second moment method. The reliability of the maximum principal stress, maximum shear stress at crown of the tunnel and the minimum principal stress at spring line was examined for one million years. For elastic model, the reliability of the maximum shear stress gradually decreased while that of the maximum principle stress increased. That of the minimum principal stress was relatively low for one million years. This tendency was similar to that from the damage model. (author)

  13. Reliability Analysis and Standardization of Spacecraft Command Generation Processes

    Science.gov (United States)

    Meshkat, Leila; Grenander, Sven; Evensen, Ken

    2011-01-01

    center dot In order to reduce commanding errors that are caused by humans, we create an approach and corresponding artifacts for standardizing the command generation process and conducting risk management during the design and assurance of such processes. center dot The literature review conducted during the standardization process revealed that very few atomic level human activities are associated with even a broad set of missions. center dot Applicable human reliability metrics for performing these atomic level tasks are available. center dot The process for building a "Periodic Table" of Command and Control Functions as well as Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) models is demonstrated. center dot The PRA models are executed using data from human reliability data banks. center dot The Periodic Table is related to the PRA models via Fault Links.

  14. Passive System Reliability Analysis: A Study on the Isolation Condenser

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper deals with the reliability assessment of passive systems that have been developed in recent years by suppliers, industries, utilities, and research organizations, aimed at plant safety improvement and substantial simplification in its implementation. The present study concerns the passive decay heat removal systems that use, for the most part, a condenser immersed in a cooling pool. The focus of the paper is a reliability study of the isolation condenser system foreseen for advanced boiling water reactors (BWRs) for the removal of the excess sensible and core decay heat from the BWR by natural circulation. Furthermore, an approach aimed at the thermal-hydraulic performance assessment (i.e., the natural circulation failure evaluation) from the probability point of view is given. The study is not plant-specific-related but pertains to the conceptual design of the foregoing system

  15. Reliability analysis of protection systems in NPP applying fault-tree analysis method

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper demonstrates the applicability and limits of dependability analysis in nuclear power plants (NPPS) based on the reactor protection refurbishment project (RRP) in NPP Paks. This paper illustrates case studies from the reliability analysis for NPP Paks. It also investigates the solutions for the connection between the data acquisition and subsystem control units (TSs) and the voter units (VTs), it analyzes the influence of the voting in the VT computer level, it studies the effects of the testing procedures to the dependability parameters. (author)

  16. A simulation approach to reliability analysis of weapon systems

    OpenAIRE

    Yañez Gestoso, Francisco Javier; Ortuño Sánchez, María Teresa; Vitoriano Villanueva, Begoña

    1997-01-01

    We report a modeling simulation approach to analyse weapon systems reliability. The introduced functional diagram generalises the logic diagram allowing the replication on the functioning mode of system components. To handle the functional diagram, the availability and connection rules are also introduced. Based on the functional diagram, a simulation model is outlined and a case study, the propulsion system of a Mine Hunter, is included.

  17. Seismic reliability analysis of nuclear power plant piping system

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The objective of the study presented was to develop a method for analyzing stochastic seismic stress of piping system subjected to multiple support excitations specified in terms of different response spectrum at all supports. Simultaneously, the cross-correlation of the modal response with close frequency is considered. Using the second moment method, the failure probability of the piping element can be given, further, the reliability of the piping system can be also found

  18. Reliability analysis of a complex standby redundant systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In any redundant system, the state of the standby unit is usually taken to be hot, warm or cold. In this paper, we present a new model of a two unit standby system wherein the standby unit is put in cold state for a certain amount of time before it is allowed to become warm. Upon failure of the online unit, the standby unit, if in warm state, instantaneously starts operating online; if it is in cold state, an emergency switching is made which takes it to warm state (and hence online) either instantaneously or non-instantaneously--each with some probability; if it is under repair, the system breaks down. Assuming all the associated distributions to be general except that of the life time of the standby unit in the warm state, various reliability characteristics that are of interest to reliability engineers and system designers are derived. A comprehensive cost function is also constructed and is then optimized with respect to three different control parameters numerically. In addition numerical results are presented to illustrate the behaviour of the various reliability characteristics derived

  19. Launch and Assembly Reliability Analysis for Human Space Exploration Missions

    Science.gov (United States)

    Cates, Grant; Gelito, Justin; Stromgren, Chel; Cirillo, William; Goodliff, Kandyce

    2012-01-01

    NASA's future human space exploration strategy includes single and multi-launch missions to various destinations including cis-lunar space, near Earth objects such as asteroids, and ultimately Mars. Each campaign is being defined by Design Reference Missions (DRMs). Many of these missions are complex, requiring multiple launches and assembly of vehicles in orbit. Certain missions also have constrained departure windows to the destination. These factors raise concerns regarding the reliability of launching and assembling all required elements in time to support planned departure. This paper describes an integrated methodology for analyzing launch and assembly reliability in any single DRM or set of DRMs starting with flight hardware manufacturing and ending with final departure to the destination. A discrete event simulation is built for each DRM that includes the pertinent risk factors including, but not limited to: manufacturing completion; ground transportation; ground processing; launch countdown; ascent; rendezvous and docking, assembly, and orbital operations leading up to trans-destination-injection. Each reliability factor can be selectively activated or deactivated so that the most critical risk factors can be identified. This enables NASA to prioritize mitigation actions so as to improve mission success.

  20. Reliability analysis study of digital reactor protection system in nuclear power plant

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Digital I and C systems are believed to improve a plant's safety and reliability generally. The reliability analysis of digital I and C system has become one research hotspot. Traditional fault tree method is one of means to quantify the digital I and C system reliability. One typical digital protection system special for advanced reactor has been developed in this paper, which reliability evaluation is necessary for design demonstration. The typical digital protection system construction is introduced in the paper, and the process of FMEA and fault tree application to the digital protection system reliability evaluation are described. Reliability data and bypass logic modeling are two points giving special attention in the paper. Because the factors about time sequence and feedback not exist in reactor protection system obviously, the dynamic feature of digital system is not discussed. (authors)

  1. Static response and reliability analysis of structural systems with random and interval properties

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper presents the displacement, stress and reliability analysis of structures with a mixture of random and interval parameters under uncertain static loads. The structural displacement and stress responses are random interval variables when some structural parameters/loads are modelled as random variables and others are considered as intervals. The random interval perturbation method and random interval moment method are employed to predict the random interval structural response. The structural reliability is not a deterministic value but an interval as the structural responses are random interval variables. The expressions for lower and upper bounds of reliability index, probability of failure and reliability of structural elements and systems are then developed by using the combination of the structural reliability theory and interval approach. Truss and frame structures are used as examples to demonstrate the validity and feasibility of the presented methods. The probabilistic and interval characteristics of structural static response and reliability are investigated and some useful conclusions are given.

  2. Comparative Genome Analysis of Basidiomycete Fungi

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Riley, Robert; Salamov, Asaf; Morin, Emmanuelle; Nagy, Laszlo; Manning, Gerard; Baker, Scott; Brown, Daren; Henrissat, Bernard; Levasseur, Anthony; Hibbett, David; Martin, Francis; Grigoriev, Igor

    2012-03-19

    Fungi of the phylum Basidiomycota (basidiomycetes), make up some 37percent of the described fungi, and are important in forestry, agriculture, medicine, and bioenergy. This diverse phylum includes the mushrooms, wood rots, symbionts, and plant and animal pathogens. To better understand the diversity of phenotypes in basidiomycetes, we performed a comparative analysis of 35 basidiomycete fungi spanning the diversity of the phylum. Phylogenetic patterns of lignocellulose degrading genes suggest a continuum rather than a sharp dichotomy between the white rot and brown rot modes of wood decay. Patterns of secondary metabolic enzymes give additional insight into the broad array of phenotypes found in the basidiomycetes. We suggest that the profile of an organism in lignocellulose-targeting genes can be used to predict its nutritional mode, and predict Dacryopinax sp. as a brown rot; Botryobasidium botryosum and Jaapia argillacea as white rots.

  3. Comparative Analysis on Visual Cryptographic Schemes?

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    T. Anuradha

    2014-09-01

    Full Text Available Visual cryptography is the techniques that deal with providing security to the multimedia data. The main concept behind this is, to encrypt a secret image into some shares. The secret can be revealed only when all the shares are combined. The central theme of visual cryptography is that it doesn’t require any manipulation or tough cryptographic knowledge and the decryption is done by human vision without the help of computers. Thus, visual cryptography is known for its least computational complexity yet much secure. In this work, we compared traditional visual cryptography, extended visual cryptography and colour extended cryptography with respect to PSNR, NCC and MSE. On analysis, it is found that the performance of colour extended visual cryptography is much better than the traditional visual cryptography and extended visual cryptography, in terms of Peak Signal to Noise Ratio (PSNR, Normalized Correlation Coefficient (NCC and Mean Square Error (MSE.

  4. Construction QA/QC systems: comparative analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    An analysis which compares the quality assurance/quality control (QA/QC) systems adopted in the highway, nuclear power plant, and U.S. Navy construction areas with the traditional quality control approach used in building construction is presented. Full participation and support by the owner as well as the contractor and AE firm are required if a QA/QC system is to succeed. Process quality control, acceptance testing and quality assurance responsibilities must be clearly defined in the contract documents. The owner must audit these responsibilities. A contractor quality control plan, indicating the tasks which will be performed and the fact that QA/QC personnel are independent of project time/cost pressures should be submitted for approval. The architect must develop realistic specifications which consider the natural variability of material. Acceptance criteria based on the random sampling technique should be used. 27 refs

  5. Compare containment subcompartment analysis code evaluation

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Nuclear power plant subcompartment analyses are required to determine the containment pressure distribution that might result from a loss-of-coolant accident. The pressure distribution is used to calculate structural and mechanical design loads. The COMPARE code is used widely to perform subcompartment analysis. However, several simplifying assumptions are utilized to facilitate solution of the complex transient, two-phase, multidimensional flow problem. In particular, it is assumed that the flow is homogeneous, in thermodynamic equilibrium, and one-dimensional. In this study, these assumptions are evaluated by performing simplified transport and relaxation analyses. This results in definition of (a) geometric features and early-time periods that produce significant deviations from reality and (b) specific areas that require further study

  6. gPRG: Toward Consensus on Glycan Analysis: Reliable Methods and Reproducibility

    Science.gov (United States)

    Kolarich, D.; Orlando, R.; Zaia, J.

    2011-01-01

    The field has undertaken over the past few years a series of studies to evaluate methods for glycan analysis. There are several methods that are widely used at this time for characterization of glycoprotein glycans that appear to be generally reliable. These include (1) reductive amination followed by reversed phase chromatography, (2) reductive amination with matrix assisted laser desorption/ionization (MALDI) mass spectrometry (MS), (3) reductive amination with electrospray liquid chromatography-MS, and (4) permethylation with tandem MS. The ABRF glycoprotein research group (gPRG) is planning a study in which participant laboratories carry out glycan analysis according to protocols representing best practice in the field. The results will be presented at the 2012 ABRF meeting. The results will be useful for demonstrating the reproducibility of glycan analysis using comparable protocols. They will also highlight the extent to which different methods bias the glycan analysis results obtained. This workshop will summarize the history and use of the glycan analysis methods proposed for the 2012 study. There will be opportunity for discussion and comment on these methods.

  7. A Tutorial on Reliability Testing in AAC Language Sample Transcription and Analysis.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Kovacs, Thomas; Hill, Katya

    2015-06-01

    Establishing reliability is an essential step in language sample transcription and analysis. This tutorial provides an illustration of replicable procedures for reliability testing during transcription and analysis of language samples generated by people who use augmentative and alternative communication (AAC) systems. Statistical measures used for testing agreement between raters coding categorical data are summarized. Detailed procedures for reliability testing in AAC language sample transcription and analysis are provided, beginning with the collection of raw language sample data. Procedures include guidelines for (a) establishing inter-judge agreement during the transcription process, and (b) using Cohen's kappa to establish inter-rater reliability during deeper analysis of transcribed utterances. All procedures are demonstrated in a case example using language samples from children who use AAC. PMID:25921275

  8. Functional reliability analysis of Safety Grade Decay Heat Removal System of Indian 500 MWe PFBR

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Passive systems are increasingly deployed in nuclear industry with an objective of increasing reliability and safety of operations with reduced cost. Methods for assessing the reliability of thermal-hydraulic passive systems, that is systems with moving working fluid, address the issues in natural buoyancy-driven flow that could result in a failure to meet the design safety limits under accident scenarios. This is referred as design functional reliability. This paper presents the results of functional reliability analysis carried out for the passive Safety Grade Decay Heat Removal System (SGDHRS) of Indian Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor (PFBR). The analysis is carried out based on the overall approach reported in the Reliability Methods for Passive System (RMPS, European Commission) project. Functional failure probability is calculated using Monte-Carlo method and also with method of moments

  9. Determination of Weibull Analysis of the Hypereutectic Silumins Reliability in Failure Time Respect

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    J. Szymszal

    2009-07-01

    Full Text Available The results of dynamic evaluation of the reliability of hypereutectic AlSi17Cu3NiMg silumin under the effect of symmetrical cyclic tensile-compressive stresses were presented. Studies were carried out on a normal-running fatigue testing machine, which was the mechanically driven resonant pulsator. For the needs of quantitative reliability evaluation and the time-to-failure evaluation, the procedures used in survival analysis, adapted to the analysis of failure-free operation with two- and three-parametric Weibull distributions, were applied. The values of the parameters were estimated using the method of maximum reliability and a rank-based non-parametric method. The results of the evaluation of the reliability and damage intensity are an important element in the determination of casting quality and enable a reliable estimation of the operational suitability time.

  10. Reliability analysis of the INEL power system using fault trees and the IRRAS-PC computer code

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System Personal Computer Version 2.0 computer code was used in a reliability analysis of the INEL Site Power System. This code was developed at the Idaho National Engineering Laboratory (INEL) as a state-of-the-art microcomputer-based probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) model and as an analysis tool for the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission. IRRAS provided an efficient means for the development of a detailed and accurate fault tree model to: (a) identify the dominant causes of power outages on the site, (b) compare the performance of the system using both site-specific data and generic data, and (c) perform a sensitivity study to determine the effects of equipment unavailability caused by the ongoing preventative maintenance (PM) program. Although the final fault tree model exceeded the quantification capabilities of IRRAS, necessitating the use of the mainframe code SETS, IRRAS proved to be a valuable tool for both development of the fault tree model and preparation of the different inputs required to perform the analysis. The evaluation was performed to gain the understanding necessary to determine whether the system, under INEL Power Management control, requires improvement of its reliability. This paper provides a detailed discussion of the methodology used for development of the fault tree model and evaluation of the reliability of the INEL Site Power System

  11. Comparative Analysis of Competitive Strategy Implementation

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Maina A. S. Waweru

    2011-09-01

    Full Text Available This paper presents research findings on Competitive Strategy Implementation which compared the levels of strategy implementation achieved by different generic strategy groups, comprising firms inclined towards low cost leadership, differentiation or dual strategic advantage.  The study sought to determine the preferences for use of implementation armaments and compared how such armaments related to the level of implementation achieved.   Respondents comprised 71 top executives from 59 companies among the top 300 private sector firms in Kenya.  SPSS software was used to conduct t-test, ANOVA, and multiple linear regression analysis, to within 95% confidence interval or 5% statistical significance. The results indicated that there was no significant difference between the levels of strategy implementation achieved by any pair set of the three strategic groups.  The study revealed that the predictors of strategy implementation include the firm’s capacity to overcome resistance to change, having incentives based on meeting strictly quantitative targets, adopting a win-lose competitive posture, its effectiveness in strategy implementation, and the environmental rate of change.  The results also indicated that there was no significant difference between the preferences for use of either win-lose or win-win competition by any pair set of the strategic groups. 

  12. Comparative analysis of solid waste management in 20 cities.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wilson, David C; Rodic, Ljiljana; Scheinberg, Anne; Velis, Costas A; Alabaster, Graham

    2012-03-01

    This paper uses the 'lens' of integrated and sustainable waste management (ISWM) to analyse the new data set compiled on 20 cities in six continents for the UN-Habitat flagship publication Solid Waste Management in the World's Cities. The comparative analysis looks first at waste generation rates and waste composition data. A process flow diagram is prepared for each city, as a powerful tool for representing the solid waste system as a whole in a comprehensive but concise way. Benchmark indicators are presented and compared for the three key physical components/drivers: public health and collection; environment and disposal; and resource recovery--and for three governance strategies required to deliver a well-functioning ISWM system: inclusivity; financial sustainability; and sound institutions and pro-active policies. Key insights include the variety and diversity of successful models - there is no 'one size fits all'; the necessity of good, reliable data; the importance of focusing on governance as well as technology; and the need to build on the existing strengths of the city. An example of the latter is the critical role of the informal sector in the cities in many developing countries: it not only delivers recycling rates that are comparable with modern Western systems, but also saves the city authorities millions of dollars in avoided waste collection and disposal costs. This provides the opportunity for win-win solutions, so long as the related wider challenges can be addressed. PMID:22407700

  13. Reliability Analysis to overcome Black Hole Attack in Wireless Sensor Network

    OpenAIRE

    Virmani, Deepali; Soni, Ankita; Batra, Nikhil

    2014-01-01

    Wireless sensor networks are vulnerable to several attacks, one of them being the black hole attack. A black hole is a malicious node that attracts all the traffic in the network by advertising that it has the shortest path in the network. Once it receives the packet from other nodes, it drops all the packets causing loss of critical information. In this paper we propose a reliability analysis mechanism. The proposed reliability analysis scheme overcomes the shortcomings of ...

  14. Parametric and semiparametric models with applications to reliability, survival analysis, and quality of life

    CERN Document Server

    Nikulin, M; Mesbah, M; Limnios, N

    2004-01-01

    Parametric and semiparametric models are tools with a wide range of applications to reliability, survival analysis, and quality of life. This self-contained volume examines these tools in survey articles written by experts currently working on the development and evaluation of models and methods. While a number of chapters deal with general theory, several explore more specific connections and recent results in "real-world" reliability theory, survival analysis, and related fields.

  15. Reliability analysis of the automatic control of the A-1 power plant coolant temperature

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Reliability analysis of the automatic control of the A-1 reactor coolant temperature is performed taking into account the effect of both the dependent failures and the routine maintenance of control system components. In a separate supplement, reliability analysis is reported of coincidence systems of the A-1 power plant reactor. Both safe and unsafe failures are taken into consideration as well as the effect of maintenance of the respective branch elements

  16. Reliability and Sensitivity Analysis of Cast Iron Water Pipes for Agricultural Food Irrigation

    OpenAIRE

    Yanling Ni

    2014-01-01

    This study aims to investigate the reliability and sensitivity of cast iron water pipes for agricultural food irrigation. The Monte Carlo simulation method is used for fracture assessment and reliability analysis of cast iron pipes for agricultural food irrigation. Fracture toughness is considered as a limit state function for corrosion affected cast iron pipes. Then the influence of failure mode on the probability of pipe failure has been discussed. Sensitivity analysis also is carried out t...

  17. Reliability-tools in geotechnical design, an approach for river dike analysis:

    OpenAIRE

    Pham Quang, T.; Vrijling, J. K.; Gelder, P. H. A. J. M.; Thu, T. M.

    2010-01-01

    The application of reliability analysis in civil engineering is still an emerging technology, more so in geotechnical engineering and even more so in application to river dikes. However, much experience remains to be gained, recently, especially in European countries (the Netherlands, Germany, United Kingdom…) as well as in the United States of America. This paper focuses, only, on the general framework of reliability analysis in geotechnical engineering design and an example for river dike...

  18. Reliability Assessment Based on Multivariate Degradation Measures and Competing Failure Analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Zhu Liang; Yan Jun; Haifeng Ling; Zhenglian Su

    2011-01-01

    An reliability assessment model based on multivariate degradation measures and competing failure analysis is presented. The multi-dimensionality reduction processing has applied to multivariate degradation measures to extract the key features for ease of calculation. The cumulative distribution function of sudden failure is calculated in terms of degradation data rather than time domains, and the reliability assessment model based on competing failure analysis is established. An example of an...

  19. Failure Analysis Methods for Reliability Improvement of Electronic Sensors

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Swajeeth Pilot. Panchangam

    2012-08-01

    Full Text Available This paper has documented the common failuremodes of electronic sensors. The effects of failure modes arestudied in detail and these are classified based on their criticalityand probability of occurrence. Methods for taking correctiveactions for eliminating the occurrence of various failure modesare also proposed. The paper also addresses FRACAS method andits effectiveness for reliability studies of sensors based on the realfailure modes observed in practice. It is understood that thedesigner has an important role in elimination of the failure modesat the design stage itself. This is expected to result in reliabilitygrowth of sensor systems used in many critical systems such asspace applications, nuclear power plants, and chemical industriesetc.

  20. Reliability analysis of digital instrumentation and control systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The NUREG-CR/6942 technical report proposed a Markov state transition model for the main feedwater valve (MFV) controller system as part of a Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) of Digital Feedwater Control System (DFWCS). The proposed model extends the Markov model to allow the use of non-exponential distribution in the time to next output of the controller system responsible for maintaining the water level. This case study demonstrates the general application of semi-Markov process model for digital instrumentation and control systems. System failure probability and mission reliability measures are determined. (author)

  1. Reliability analysis of digital instrumentation and control systems

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Veeramany, A.; Pandey, M.D., E-mail: aveerama@uwaterloo.ca [Univ. of Waterloo, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Waterloo, Ontario (Canada)

    2011-07-01

    The NUREG-CR/6942 technical report proposed a Markov state transition model for the main feedwater valve (MFV) controller system as part of a Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA) of Digital Feedwater Control System (DFWCS). The proposed model extends the Markov model to allow the use of non-exponential distribution in the time to next output of the controller system responsible for maintaining the water level. This case study demonstrates the general application of semi-Markov process model for digital instrumentation and control systems. System failure probability and mission reliability measures are determined. (author)

  2. The Impact Analysis of Psychological Reliability of Population Pilot Study For Selection of Particular Reliable Multi-Choice Item Test in Foreign Language Research Work

    OpenAIRE

    Seyed Hossein Fazeli

    2010-01-01

    The purpose of research described in the current study is the psychological reliability, its’ importance, application, and more to investigate on the impact analysis of psychological reliability of population pilot study for selection of particular reliable multi-choice item test in foreign language research work. The population for subject recruitment was all under graduated students from second semester at large university in Iran (both male and female) that study English as a compulsory ...

  3. Redevelopment and reliability study of simultaneously uranium and thorium analysis automation control system

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Full-text: This project is to refurbish the Instrumental Delayed Neutron Activation Analysis System for Simultaneously Determination of Uranium and Thorium namely PAUTS. PAUTS use nuclear techniques for the quantitative determination of Uranium-235 (U-235) and Thorium-232 (Th-232)radionuclides contents in the samples. It consists of three main automation procedures namely Control sample handling, Data Acquisition for neutron counting, and data handling and analysis program. The automation control technology for this project is based on a personal computer (PC), Ethernet communication support, programmable automation control (PAC) module CFP 2220, infrared photo sensors and LabVIEW software package. The analysis samples capsule was placed in transfers containers or rabbit and will be transfer using fast pneumatic sample handling for activation by irradiate it to neutron in the reactor core. Both radionuclides as a fission product will decay and emit the delayed neutron which are count using the nuclear counting electronics module. Studies on the reliability of fast pneumatic sample handling using the statistical method shows that 95 % confidence level had been reach. Results shows the mean transfer time of the sample from the loader to the reactor core is 3251 ± 210 ms, while the mean transfer time of the samples from the core to the counter chamber is 3264 ± 407 ms. The overall system reliability has been verified using analysis of calibration standard material with known quantity of uranium and thorium IAEA-S17, the IAEA-ThO2 and the IAEA-S14 method. At the moment nuclear counting electronic based on 4 units neutron detector and the results were in line with the previous experiment. Results shows that the content of U and Th is in the average of 19:35 ppm and 432.25 ppm respectively compared with the known quantity of the sample is 29.0 ppm and 460 ppm. Studies on the effects pneumatic sample handling to the irradiation time parameter indicated that the previous experiments parameters produce optimal results of the IDNAA analysis using IAEA-S14. The results of this study show the overall reliability parameters of the PAUTs system. (author)

  4. Task analysis and computer aid development for human reliability analysis in nuclear power plants

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Yoon, W. C.; Kim, H.; Park, H. S.; Choi, H. H.; Moon, J. M.; Heo, J. Y.; Ham, D. H.; Lee, K. K.; Han, B. T. [Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Taejeon (Korea)

    2001-04-01

    Importance of human reliability analysis (HRA) that predicts the error's occurrence possibility in a quantitative and qualitative manners is gradually increased by human errors' effects on the system's safety. HRA needs a task analysis as a virtue step, but extant task analysis techniques have the problem that a collection of information about the situation, which the human error occurs, depends entirely on HRA analyzers. The problem makes results of the task analysis inconsistent and unreliable. To complement such problem, KAERI developed the structural information analysis (SIA) that helps to analyze task's structure and situations systematically. In this study, the SIA method was evaluated by HRA experts, and a prototype computerized supporting system named CASIA (Computer Aid for SIA) was developed for the purpose of supporting to perform HRA using the SIA method. Additionally, through applying the SIA method to emergency operating procedures, we derived generic task types used in emergency and accumulated the analysis results in the database of the CASIA. The CASIA is expected to help HRA analyzers perform the analysis more easily and consistently. If more analyses will be performed and more data will be accumulated to the CASIA's database, HRA analyzers can share freely and spread smoothly his or her analysis experiences, and there by the quality of the HRA analysis will be improved. 35 refs., 38 figs., 25 tabs. (Author)

  5. Update of the human reliability analysis for a nuclear power plant

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Human reliability analysis is a systematic framework, which includes the process of evaluation of human performance and associated impacts on structures, systems and components for a complex facility. The update of Human Reliability Analysis in Probabilistic Safety Assessment of a Nuclear Power Plant requires the development of an overall method for the human reliability analysis. The update is needed as the original human reliability analysis was performed years ago, as the methods have been improved, as the requirements for performing the analyses have changed and as the additional good practice was gained in the mean time. The method for update of human reliability analysis is developed with consideration of the current requirements and the good practice. The selected features of existing methods and the selected specific features are introduced into the method. The evaluation is performed and the preliminary results of human reliability analysis are introduced into the probabilistic safety assessment model. The preliminary results of evaluating the probabilistic safety assessment model identify the key risk contributors and the areas for possible improvement. (author)

  6. Trouble analysis for reliability evaluation of irradiation system in HIMAC

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In Heavy Ion Medical Accelerator in Chiba (HIMAC) at National Institute of Radiological Sciences (NIRS), the number of troubles in which failures, malfunctions, disorders, errors and human errors are included occurred in machines (hardware) and computers (software) of the irradiation system has increased year by year as the number of patient increases. We have started analyzing the events that have been recorded since 1999 to now so as to check reliability of the system and plan the program for maintaining the irradiation system. The occurrence history of the event roughly shows monotonous increase curve. The occurrence rate of the computer error has not varied so much since beginning. It means there are several latent bugs in the software. It should be noted that the hardware failures have been increasing. The system seems likely to come into the period of aging; particularly the event in which a cable breaks has begun to occur recently. The irradiation system is equipped with multifold safety interlock systems for protecting a patient from unwanted beam irradiations when a trouble occurs. For assurance of quality of the irradiation system, three kinds of maintenance are being performed. The maintenance program keeps the system highly reliable and there have been no serious damage on the treatments ever. (author)

  7. On Bayesian reliability analysis with informative priors and censoring

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In the statistical literature many methods have been presented to deal with censored observations, both within the Bayesian and non-Bayesian frameworks, and such methods have been successfully applied to, e.g., reliability problems. Also, in reliability theory it is often emphasized that, through shortage of statistical data and possibilities for experiments, one often needs to rely heavily on judgements of engineers, or other experts, for which means Bayesian methods are attractive. It is therefore important that such judgements can be elicited easily to provide informative prior distributions that reflect the knowledge of the engineers well. In this paper we focus on this aspect, especially on the situation that the judgements of the consulted engineers are based on experiences in environments where censoring has also been present previously. We suggest the use of the attractive interpretation of hyperparameters of conjugate prior distributions when these are available for assumed parametric models for lifetimes, and we show how one may go beyond the standard conjugate priors, using similar interpretations of hyper-parameters, to enable easier elicitation when censoring has been present in the past. This may even lead to more flexibility for modelling prior knowledge than when using standard conjugate priors, whereas the disadvantage of more complicated calculations that may be needed to determine posterior distributions play a minor role due to the advanced mathemay a minor role due to the advanced mathematical and statistical software that is widely available these days

  8. A survey on the human reliability analysis methods for the design of Korean next generation reactor

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Lee, Yong Hee; Lee, J. W.; Park, J. C.; Kwack, H. Y.; Lee, K. Y.; Park, J. K.; Kim, I. S.; Jung, K. W

    2000-03-01

    Enhanced features through applying recent domestic technologies may characterize the safety and efficiency of KNGR(Korea Next Generation Reactor). Human engineered interface and control room environment are expected to be beneficial to the human aspects of KNGR design. However, since the current method for human reliability analysis is not up to date after THERP/SHARP, it becomes hard to assess the potential of human errors due to both of the positive and negative effect of the design changes in KNGR. This is a state of the art report on the human reliability analysis methods that are potentially available for the application to the KNGR design. We surveyed every technical aspects of existing HRA methods, and compared them in order to obtain the requirements for the assessment of human error potentials within KNGR design. We categorized the more than 10 methods into the first and the second generation according to the suggestion of Dr. Hollnagel. THERP was revisited in detail. ATHEANA proposed by US NRC for an advanced design and CREAM proposed by Dr. Hollnagel were reviewed and compared. We conclude that the key requirements might include the enhancement in the early steps for human error identification and the quantification steps with considerations of more extended error shaping factors over PSFs(performance shaping factors). The utilization of the steps and approaches of ATHEANA and CREAM will be beneficial to the attainment of an appropriate HRA method for KNGR. However, the steps and data from THERP will be still maintained because of the continuity with previous PSA activities in KNGR design.

  9. A survey on the human reliability analysis methods for the design of Korean next generation reactor

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Enhanced features through applying recent domestic technologies may characterize the safety and efficiency of KNGR(Korea Next Generation Reactor). Human engineered interface and control room environment are expected to be beneficial to the human aspects of KNGR design. However, since the current method for human reliability analysis is not up to date after THERP/SHARP, it becomes hard to assess the potential of human errors due to both of the positive and negative effect of the design changes in KNGR. This is a state of the art report on the human reliability analysis methods that are potentially available for the application to the KNGR design. We surveyed every technical aspects of existing HRA methods, and compared them in order to obtain the requirements for the assessment of human error potentials within KNGR design. We categorized the more than 10 methods into the first and the second generation according to the suggestion of Dr. Hollnagel. THERP was revisited in detail. ATHEANA proposed by US NRC for an advanced design and CREAM proposed by Dr. Hollnagel were reviewed and compared. We conclude that the key requirements might include the enhancement in the early steps for human error identification and the quantification steps with considerations of more extended error shaping factors over PSFs(performance shaping factors). The utilization of the steps and approaches of ATHEANA and CREAM will be beneficial to the attainment of an appropriate HRA method for KNGR. However, the steps and data from THERP will be still maintained because of the continuity with previous PSA activities in KNGR design

  10. Reliability analysis of multi-trigger binary systems subject to competing failures

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper suggests two combinatorial algorithms for the reliability analysis of multi-trigger binary systems subject to competing failure propagation and failure isolation effects. Propagated failure with global effect (PFGE) is referred to as a failure that not only causes outage to the component from which the failure originates, but also propagates through all other system components causing the entire system failure. However, the propagation effect from the PFGE can be isolated in systems with functional dependence (FDEP) behavior. This paper studies two distinct consequences of PFGE resulting from a competition in the time domain between the failure isolation and failure propagation effects. As compared to existing works on competing failures that are limited to systems with a single FDEP group, this paper considers more complicated cases where the systems have multiple dependent FDEP groups. Analysis of such systems is more challenging because both the occurrence order between the trigger failure event and PFGE from the dependent components and the occurrence order among the multiple trigger failure events have to be considered. Two combinatorial and analytical algorithms are proposed. Both of them have no limitation on the type of time-to-failure distributions for the system components. Their correctness is verified using a Markov-based method. An example of memory systems is analyzed to demonstrate and compare the applications and advantages of the two proposlications and advantages of the two proposed algorithms. - Highlights: ? Reliability of binary systems with multiple dependent functional dependence groups is analyzed. ? Competing failure propagation and failure isolation effect is considered. ? The proposed algorithms are combinatorial and applicable to any arbitrary type of time-to-failure distributions for system components.

  11. An improved rank assessment method for weibull analysis of reliability data

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Weibull analysis has been applied widely in reliability data analysis. Rank assessment is one of the key steps in weibull analysis, which also induces the original errors. An improved median rank function obtained by genetic algorithms is presented to reduce the errors of rank assessment. (authors)

  12. Inter comparison of REPAS and APSRA methodologies for passive system reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The increasing use of passive systems in the innovative nuclear reactors puts demand on the estimation of the reliability assessment of these passive systems. The passive systems operate on the driving forces such as natural circulation, gravity, internal stored energy etc. which are moderately weaker than that of active components. Hence, phenomenological failures (virtual components) are equally important as that of equipment failures (real components) in the evaluation of passive systems reliability. The contribution of the mechanical components to the passive system reliability can be evaluated in a classical way using the available component reliability database and well known methods. On the other hand, different methods are required to evaluate the reliability of processes like thermohydraulics due to lack of adequate failure data. The research is ongoing worldwide on the reliability assessment of the passive systems and their integration into PSA, however consensus is not reached. Two of the most widely used methods are Reliability Evaluation of Passive Systems (REPAS) and Assessment of Passive System Reliability (APSRA). Both these methods characterize the uncertainties involved in the design and process parameters governing the function of the passive system. However, these methods differ in the quantification of passive system reliability. Inter comparison among different available methods provides useful insights into the strength and weakness of different methods. This paper highlights the results of the thermal hydraulic analysis of a typical passive isolation condenser system carried out using RELAP mode 3.2 computer code applying REPAS and APSRA methodologies. The failure surface is established for the passive system under consideration and system reliability has also been evaluated using these methods. Challenges involved in passive system reliabilities are identified, which require further attention in order to overcome the shortcomings of these methods. These procedures can then be applied for evaluating passive system reliability, which would be used in risk-informed decision-making. (author)

  13. Markov Chains and reliability analysis for reinforced concrete structure service life

    Scientific Electronic Library Online (English)

    Edna, Possan; Jairo José de Oliveira, Andrade.

    2014-06-01

    Full Text Available From field studies and the literature, it was found that the degradation of concrete over time can be modelled probabilistically using homogeneous Markov Chains. To confirm this finding, this study presents an application of Markov Chains associated with the reliability analysis of experimental resu [...] lts of the degradation of concrete by chlorides. Experimental results were obtained for chloride penetration originating from non-accelerated tests in concretes in which the water/binder ratio was variable (0.40, 0.50 and 0.60) and that were produced with Pozzolanic Portland cement that was exposed for six months to the action of NaCl. Using a simulation process, the failure and safety probabilities were calculated by reliability and using Markov Chains, a service life project was estimated (a period of corrosion initiation). Compared to a concrete structure itself, the average error of service life predicted using Markov was approximately 14%. The results show a promissory methodology, in combination with the determination of concrete cover thickness, according to the required service life.

  14. Emergency diesel generator reliability analysis high flux isotope reactor

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A program to apply some of the techniques of reliability engineering to the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR) was started on August 8, 1992. Part of the program was to track the conditional probabilities of the emergency diesel generators responding to a valid demand. This was done to determine if the performance of the emergency diesel generators (which are more than 25 years old) has deteriorated. The conditional probabilities of the diesel generators were computed and trended for the period from May 1990 to December 1992. The calculations indicate that the performance of the emergency diesel generators has not deteriorated in recent years, i.e., the conditional probabilities of the emergency diesel generators have been fairly stable over the last few years. This information will be one factor than may be considered in the decision to replace the emergency diesel generators

  15. Reliability analysis of discrete event dynamic systems with Petri nets

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Sadou, Nabil [Supelec - IETR, Avenue de la Boulais, BP 81127, F35511 Cesson-Sevigne Cedex (France)], E-mail: nabil.sadou@supelec.fr; Demmou, Hamid [CNRS, LAAS, 7 Avenue du Colonel Roche, F-31077 Toulouse (France); Universite de Toulouse, UPS, INSA, INP, ISAE, LAAS, F-31077 Toulouse (France)

    2009-11-15

    This paper deals with dynamic reliability of embedded systems. It presents a method for deriving feared scenarios (which might lead the system to a critical situation) in Petri nets. A classical way to obtain scenarios in Petri nets is to generate the reachability graph. However, for complex systems, it leads to the state space explosion. To avoid this problem, in our approach, Petri net reachability is translated into provability of linear logic sequents. Linear logic bases are introduced and used to formally define scenarios and minimality of scenarios. These definitions allow the method to produce only pertinent scenarios. The steps of the method are described and illustrated through a landing-gear system example.

  16. Reliability Analysis on NPP's Safety-Related Control Module with Field Data

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The automatic control systems used in nuclear power plant (NPP) consists of numerous control modules that can be considered to be a network of components various complex ways. The control modules require relatively high reliability than industrial electronic products. Reliability prediction provides the rational basis of system designs and also provides the safety significance of system operations. The aim of this paper is to minimize the deficiencies of the traditional reliability prediction method calculation using the available field return data. This way is possible to do more realistic reliability assessment. SAMCHANG Enterprise Company (SEC) has established database containing high quality data at the module and component level from module maintenance in NPP. On the basis of these, this paper compares results that add failure record (field data) to Telcordia-SR-332 reliability prediction model with MIL-HDBK-217F prediction results

  17. MultiMetEval: Comparative and Multi-Objective Analysis of Genome-Scale Metabolic Models

    OpenAIRE

    Zakrzewski, P.; Medema, M. H.; Gevorgyan, A.; Kierzek, A. M.; Breitling, R.; Takano, E.

    2012-01-01

    Comparative metabolic modelling is emerging as a novel field, supported by the development of reliable and standardized approaches for constructing genome-scale metabolic models in high throughput. New software solutions are needed to allow efficient comparative analysis of multiple models in the context of multiple cellular objectives. Here, we present the user-friendly software framework Multi-Metabolic Evaluator (MultiMetEval), built upon SurreyFBA, which allows the user to compose collect...

  18. The Centralized Reliability Data Organization (CREDO); an advanced nuclear reactor reliability, availability, and maintainability data bank and data analysis center

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Centralized Reliability Data Organization (CREDO) is a data bank and data analysis center, which since 1985 has been jointly sponsored by the US Department of Energy's (US DOE's) Office of Technology Support Programs and Japan's Power Reactor and Nuclear Fuel Development Corporation (PNC). It focuses on reliability, availability and maintainability (RAM) data for components (e.g. valves, pumps, etc.) operating in advanced nuclear reactor facilities. As originally intended, the purpose of the CREDO system was to provide a centralized source of accurate, up-to-date data and information for use in RAM analyses necessary for meeting DOE's data needs in the areas of advanced reactor safety assessments, design and licensing. In particular, creation of the CREDO system was considered an essential element needed to fulfill the DOE Breeder Reactor Safety Program's commitment of 'identifying and exploiting areas in which probabilistic methods can be developed and used in making reactor safety Research and Development choices and optimizing designs of safety systems'. CREDO and its operation are explained. (author)

  19. Comparative genomic analysis of prion genes

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Gamulin Vera

    2007-01-01

    Full Text Available Abstract Background The homologues of human disease genes are expected to contribute to better understanding of physiological and pathogenic processes. We made use of the present availability of vertebrate genomic sequences, and we have conducted the most comprehensive comparative genomic analysis of the prion protein gene PRNP and its homologues, shadow of prion protein gene SPRN and doppel gene PRND, and prion testis-specific gene PRNT so far. Results While the SPRN and PRNP homologues are present in all vertebrates, PRND is known in tetrapods, and PRNT is present in primates. PRNT could be viewed as a TE-associated gene. Using human as the base sequence for genomic sequence comparisons (VISTA, we annotated numerous potential cis-elements. The conserved regions in SPRNs harbour the potential Sp1 sites in promoters (mammals, birds, C-rich intron splicing enhancers and PTB intron splicing silencers in introns (mammals, birds, and hsa-miR-34a sites in 3'-UTRs (eutherians. We showed the conserved PRNP upstream regions, which may be potential enhancers or silencers (primates, dog. In the PRNP 3'-UTRs, there are conserved cytoplasmic polyadenylation element sites (mammals, birds. The PRND core promoters include highly conserved CCAAT, CArG and TATA boxes (mammals. We deduced 42 new protein primary structures, and performed the first phylogenetic analysis of all vertebrate prion genes. Using the protein alignment which included 122 sequences, we constructed the neighbour-joining tree which showed four major clusters, including shadoos, shadoo2s and prion protein-likes (cluster 1, fish prion proteins (cluster 2, tetrapode prion proteins (cluster 3 and doppels (cluster 4. We showed that the entire prion protein conformationally plastic region is well conserved between eutherian prion proteins and shadoos (18–25% identity and 28–34% similarity, and there could be a potential structural compatibility between shadoos and the left-handed parallel beta-helical fold. Conclusion It is likely that the conserved genomic elements identified in this analysis represent bona fide cis-elements. However, this idea needs to be confirmed by functional assays in transgenic systems.

  20. Comparative analysis of safety related site characteristics

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Andersson, Johan (ed.)

    2010-12-15

    This document presents a comparative analysis of site characteristics related to long-term safety for the two candidate sites for a final repository for spent nuclear fuel in Forsmark (municipality of Oesthammar) and in Laxemar (municipality of Oskarshamn) from the point of view of site selection. The analyses are based on the updated site descriptions of Forsmark /SKB 2008a/ and Laxemar /SKB 2009a/, together with associated updated repository layouts and designs /SKB 2008b and SKB 2009b/. The basis for the comparison is thus two equally and thoroughly assessed sites. However, the analyses presented here are focussed on differences between the sites rather than evaluating them in absolute terms. The document serves as a basis for the site selection, from the perspective of long-term safety, in SKB's application for a final repository. A full evaluation of safety is made for a repository at the selected site in the safety assessment SR-Site /SKB 2011/, referred to as SR-Site main report in the following

  1. Comparative analysis of safety related site characteristics

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This document presents a comparative analysis of site characteristics related to long-term safety for the two candidate sites for a final repository for spent nuclear fuel in Forsmark (municipality of Oesthammar) and in Laxemar (municipality of Oskarshamn) from the point of view of site selection. The analyses are based on the updated site descriptions of Forsmark /SKB 2008a/ and Laxemar /SKB 2009a/, together with associated updated repository layouts and designs /SKB 2008b and SKB 2009b/. The basis for the comparison is thus two equally and thoroughly assessed sites. However, the analyses presented here are focussed on differences between the sites rather than evaluating them in absolute terms. The document serves as a basis for the site selection, from the perspective of long-term safety, in SKB's application for a final repository. A full evaluation of safety is made for a repository at the selected site in the safety assessment SR-Site /SKB 2011/, referred to as SR-Site main report in the following

  2. Finite State Machine Based Evaluation Model for Web Service Reliability Analysis

    CERN Document Server

    M, Thirumaran; Abarna, S; P, Lakshmi

    2011-01-01

    Now-a-days they are very much considering about the changes to be done at shorter time since the reaction time needs are decreasing every moment. Business Logic Evaluation Model (BLEM) are the proposed solution targeting business logic automation and facilitating business experts to write sophisticated business rules and complex calculations without costly custom programming. BLEM is powerful enough to handle service manageability issues by analyzing and evaluating the computability and traceability and other criteria of modified business logic at run time. The web service and QOS grows expensively based on the reliability of the service. Hence the service provider of today things that reliability is the major factor and any problem in the reliability of the service should overcome then and there in order to achieve the expected level of reliability. In our paper we propose business logic evaluation model for web service reliability analysis using Finite State Machine (FSM) where FSM will be extended to analy...

  3. Using the HRA Calculator in Human Reliability Analysis done with Methodology Described in NUREG-1921

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The HRA Calculator is a tool designed to help to the preparation and documentation of the analysis of human reliability in the probabilistic safety analysis (APS) of fire. Collect the tasks required to develop and quantify the probabilities of error in accordance with the methodology described in the NUREG-1921. The HRA Calculator is a database that includes the tasks indicated in the NUREG-1921 for the analysis of human reliability. For the task of quantitative analysis the HRA Calculator includes several methods of quantification for human actions that are performed before and after an accident, one of the main advantages of the HRA Calculator is the systematization and standardization of the analysis of human reliability of fire. It is also a tool that allows the use of criteria more objective to define and quantify human actions, so that models collected, to the extent possible, the reality of the plant as is as operated. (Author)

  4. Reliability analysis of an LCL tuned track segmented bi-directional inductive power transfer system

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Asif Iqbal, S. M.; Madawala, U. K.

    2013-01-01

    Bi-directional Inductive Power Transfer (BDIPT) technique is suitable for renewable energy based applications such as electric vehicles (EVs), for the implementation of vehicle-to-grid (V2G) systems. Recently, more efforts have been made by researchers to improve both efficiency and reliability of renewable energy systems to further enhance their economical sustainability. This paper presents a comparative reliability study between a typical BDIPT system and an individually controlled segmented BDIPT system. Steady state thermal simulation results are provided for different output power levels for a 1.5 kW BDIPT system in a MATLAB/Simulink environment. Reliability parameters such as failure rate and mean time between failures (MTBF) are compared between the two systems. A nonlinear programming (NP) model is developed for optimizing charging schedule for a stationery EV. A case study of EV optimum charging is provided for a 24 hours period indicating minimum cost and higher reliability.

  5. Comprehensive reliability allocation method for CNC lathes based on cubic transformed functions of failure mode and effects analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Yang, Zhou; Zhu, Yunpeng; Ren, Hongrui; Zhang, Yimin

    2015-03-01

    Reliability allocation of computerized numerical controlled(CNC) lathes is very important in industry. Traditional allocation methods only focus on high-failure rate components rather than moderate failure rate components, which is not applicable in some conditions. Aiming at solving the problem of CNC lathes reliability allocating, a comprehensive reliability allocation method based on cubic transformed functions of failure modes and effects analysis(FMEA) is presented. Firstly, conventional reliability allocation methods are introduced. Then the limitations of direct combination of comprehensive allocation method with the exponential transformed FMEA method are investigated. Subsequently, a cubic transformed function is established in order to overcome these limitations. Properties of the new transformed functions are discussed by considering the failure severity and the failure occurrence. Designers can choose appropriate transform amplitudes according to their requirements. Finally, a CNC lathe and a spindle system are used as an example to verify the new allocation method. Seven criteria are considered to compare the results of the new method with traditional methods. The allocation results indicate that the new method is more flexible than traditional methods. By employing the new cubic transformed function, the method covers a wider range of problems in CNC reliability allocation without losing the advantages of traditional methods.

  6. Comparative Analysis of Virtual Education Applications

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Mehmet KURT

    2006-10-01

    Full Text Available The research was conducted in order to make comparative analysis of virtual education applications. The research is conducted in survey model. The study group consists of total 300 institutes providing virtual education in the fall, spring and summer semesters of 2004; 246 in USA, 10 in Australia, 3 in South Africa, 10 in India, 21 in UK, 6 in Japan, 4 in Turkey. The information has been collected by online questionnaire sent to the target mass by e-mail. The questionnaire has been developed in two information categories as personal information and institutes and their virtual education applications. The English web design of the online questionnaire and the database has been prepared by Microsoft ASP codes which is the script language of Microsoft Front Page editor and has been tested on personal web site. The questionnaire has been pre applied in institutions providing virtual education in Australia. The English text of the questionnaire and web site design have been sent to educational technology and virtual education specialists in the countries of the study group. With the feedback received, the spelling mistakes have been corrected and concept and language validity have been completed. The application of the questionnaire has taken 40 weeks during March-November 2004. Only 135 institutes have replied. Two of the questionnaires have been discharged because they included mistaken coding, names of the institutions and countries. Valid 133 questionnaires cover approximately 44% of the study group. Questionnaires saved in the online database have been transferred to Microsoft Excel and then to SPSS by external database connection. In regards of the research objectives, the data collected has been analyzed on computer and by using SPSS statistics package program. In data analysis frequency (f, percentage (% and arithmetic mean ( have been used. In comparisons of country, institute, year, and other variables, che-square test, independent t-Test and one way variance analysis (F Test have been used. Kruskal-Wallis H test and Mann-Whitney U test have been used. Although virtual education applications differentiate in choices and applications in different countries, education levels and types, after completion of the data analysis it is seen that study group consists of people whom are graduate and undergraduate level, personal users having education expectations, between the ages of 18-45 and working full time. They mostly offer programs providing undergraduate and graduate education in social sciences, giving accredited document, certificate and title. It is seen that most of the instructors have taken a planned education and they are mostly working as full time instructors and they are taking technical support. Financial resources are obtained from fees taken from students and the resources are mostly used for personnel costs. In applications central administration and organization take place and it is seen that they interfere with universities, for physical facilities they use information process centers and virtual classrooms, and for infrastructure and support services they use information process services. It is seen that while in the teaching process they use both synchronous and asynchronous presentation technologies; in order to support course content they use e-mail, web, cd, and course book technologies to provide basic learning environment function; they prefer different environments to cover face to face education needs; they take self learning and collaboration as basis and they take projects and term paper evaluations serious; they mostly prefer multiple choice tests and they usually make virtual courses exams through the internet. Regarding the characteristics of their institutions’ applications, the study group have agreed on mostly to connection and being dependent on connection opportunities. A significant difference between their institutions’ characteristics and the model for developing computer labs, when they had started to provide virtual lessons and presentation technologies u

  7. Report on the analysis of field data relating to the reliability of solar hot water systems.

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Menicucci, David F. (Building Specialists, Inc., Albuquerque, NM)

    2011-07-01

    Utilities are overseeing the installations of thousand of solar hot water (SHW) systems. Utility planners have begun to ask for quantitative measures of the expected lifetimes of these systems so that they can properly forecast their loads. This report, which augments a 2009 reliability analysis effort by Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), addresses this need. Additional reliability data have been collected, added to the existing database, and analyzed. The results are presented. Additionally, formal reliability theory is described, including the bathtub curve, which is the most common model to characterize the lifetime reliability character of systems, and for predicting failures in the field. Reliability theory is used to assess the SNL reliability database. This assessment shows that the database is heavily weighted with data that describe the reliability of SHW systems early in their lives, during the warranty period. But it contains few measured data to describe the ends of SHW systems lives. End-of-life data are the most critical ones to define sufficiently the reliability of SHW systems in order to answer the questions that the utilities pose. Several ideas are presented for collecting the required data, including photometric analysis of aerial photographs of installed collectors, statistical and neural network analysis of energy bills from solar homes, and the development of simple algorithms to allow conventional SHW controllers to announce system failures and record the details of the event, similar to how aircraft black box recorders perform. Some information is also presented about public expectations for the longevity of a SHW system, information that is useful in developing reliability goals.

  8. Comparative analysis of planetary laser ranging concepts

    Science.gov (United States)

    Dirkx, D.; Bauer, S.; Noomen, R.; Vermeersen, B. L. A.; Visser, P. N.

    2014-12-01

    Laser ranging is an emerging technology for tracking interplanetary missions, offering improved range accuracy and precision (mm-cm), compared to existing DSN tracking. The ground segment uses existing Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) technology, whereas the space segment is modified with an active system. In a one-way system, such as that currently being used on the LRO spacecraft (Zuber et al., 2010), only an active detector is required on the spacecraft. For a two-way system, such as that tested by using the laser altimeter system on the MESSENGER spacecraft en route to Mercury (Smith et al., 2006), a laser transmitter system is additionally placed on the space segment, which will asynchronously fire laser pulses towards the ground stations. Although the one-way system requires less hardware, clock errors on both the space and ground segments will accumulate over time, polluting the range measurements. For a two-way system, the range measurements are only sensitive to clock errors integrated over the the two-way light time.We investigate the performance of both one- and two-way laser range systems by simulating their operation. We generate realizations of clock error time histories from Allan variance profiles, and use them to create range measurement error profiles. We subsequently perform the orbit determination process from this data to quanitfy the system's performance. For our simulations, we use two test cases: a lunar orbiter similar to LRO and a Phobos lander similar to the Phobos Laser Ranging concept (Turyshev et al., 2010). For the lunar orbiter, we include an empirical model for unmodelled non-gravitational accelerations in our truth model to include errors ihe dynamics. We include the estimation of clock parameters over a number of arc lengths for our simulations of the one-way range system and use a variety of state arc durations for the lunar orbiter simulations.We perform Monte Carlo simulations and generate true error distributions for both missions for various combinations of clock and state arc length. Thereby, we quantify the relative capabilities of the one- and two-way laser range systems. In addition, we study the optimal data analysis strategies for these missions, which we apply for LRO orbit determination. Finally, we compare the performance of the laser ranging systems with typical DSN tracking.

  9. Analysis methods for structure reliability of piping components

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In the frame of the German reactor safety research program of the Federal Ministry of Economics and Labour (BMWA) GRS has started to develop an analysis code named PROST (PRObabilistic STructure analysis) for estimating the leak and break probabilities of piping systems in nuclear power plants. The long-term objective of this development is to provide failure probabilities of passive components for probabilistic safety analysis of nuclear power plants. Up to now the code can be used for calculating fatigue problems. The paper mentions the main capabilities and theoretical background of the present PROST development and presents some of the results of a benchmark analysis in the frame of the European project NURBIM (Nuclear Risk Based Inspection Methodologies for Passive Components). (orig.)

  10. Analysis methods for structure reliability of piping components

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Schimpfke, T.; Grebner, H.; Sievers, J. [Gesellschaft fuer Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit (GRS) mbH, Koeln (Germany)

    2004-07-01

    In the frame of the German reactor safety research program of the Federal Ministry of Economics and Labour (BMWA) GRS has started to develop an analysis code named PROST (PRObabilistic STructure analysis) for estimating the leak and break probabilities of piping systems in nuclear power plants. The long-term objective of this development is to provide failure probabilities of passive components for probabilistic safety analysis of nuclear power plants. Up to now the code can be used for calculating fatigue problems. The paper mentions the main capabilities and theoretical background of the present PROST development and presents some of the results of a benchmark analysis in the frame of the European project NURBIM (Nuclear Risk Based Inspection Methodologies for Passive Components). (orig.)

  11. The first Superphenix fuel load reliability analysis and validation

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The excellent behavior of PHENIX driver fuel and the burnup values currently reached suggest that the first SUPERPHENIX fuel load will meet the design lifetime. However, to ensure the reliability of the entire load, all the parameters affecting fuel behavior in reactor must be analyzed. For that purpose, we have taken into account all the results of the examination and verifications during the fabrication process of the first load subassemblies. These data concern geometrical parameters or oxide composition as well as the cladding tube and plug weld soundness tests. The objective is to determine the actual dispersion of all the parameters to ensure the absence of failure due to fabrication defects with very high statistical confidence limits. The influence of all the parameters has been investigated for the situations which can occur during power-up, steady-state operation and transients. The fabrication quality allows us to demonstrate that in all cases good behavior criteria for fuel and structure will be maintained. This demonstration is based on calculation code results as well as on validation by specific experiments

  12. Optimizing quality assurance program benefits through performance and reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Quality assurance (QA) principles have long been applied in part to many varied industrial enterprises. In general, the main emphasis in the past has been placed largely on standard management practices with the inclusion of quality control or inspection elements. The advent of commercial nuclear power brought the evolution of a more comprehensive approach to the applications of QA programs in this and related industries. However, the application philosophy was aimed almost totally at assuring the safety of the worker and the public. Recently, there has been a strong movement by industry and business in the United States and Europe to apply QA in a more general way to assure overall reliability as well as safety. The key to successfully accomplishing this is the determination of the degree of program intensity appropriate to the item or activity that is part of the total project or operation. This paper describes an approach to enable management to not only make initial determinations of how to apply the elements of a QA program, but how to continuously adjust the program to optimize the benefits that can be obtained

  13. Fatigue reliability analysis of viscoelastic structures subjected to random loads

    Science.gov (United States)

    de Lima, A. M. G.; Lambert, S.; Rade, D. A.; Pagnacco, E.; Khalij, L.

    2014-02-01

    This paper is devoted to the investigation of the possibility of increasing fatigue life of engineering structures subjected to multiaxial random loads by applying constrained viscoelastic layers. The rationale for such study is the fact that as the addition of viscoelastic materials provide decreased vibration amplitudes, it becomes important to quantify the increase of reliability that can be obtained. Moreover, despite the fact that many multiaxial fatigue damage criteria applicable to undamped structures exist in the literature, none of them is adapted to deal with the problem of estimation the fatigue damage in structures incorporating viscoelastic damping, since they must conveniently account for the frequency- and temperature-dependent behavior of the viscoelastic material. Due to the nature of the stress state of the considered problem, the fatigue damage is assessed by using Sine's global criterion. After presenting the theoretical aspects, the numerical fatigue damage analyses of a three-layer sandwich plate treated by passive constrained damping layer are addressed, and the main features of the methodology are discussed.

  14. Applying reliability centered maintenance analysis principles to inservice testing

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Federal regulations require nuclear power plants to use inservice test (IST) programs to ensure the operability of safety-related equipment. IST programs are based on American Society of Mechanical Engineers (ASME) Boiler and Pressure Vessel Code requirements. Many of these plants also use Reliability Centered Maintenance (RCM) to optimize system maintenance. ASME Code requirements are hard to change. The process for requesting authority to use an alternate strategy is long and expensive. The difficulties of obtaining this authority make the use of RCM method on safety-related systems not cost effective. An ASME research task force on Risk Based Inservice Testing is investigating changing the Code. The change will allow plants to apply RCM methods to the problem of maintenance strategy selection for safety-related systems. The research task force is working closely with the Codes and Standards sections to develop a process related to the RCM process. Some day plants will be able to use this process to develop more efficient and safer maintenance strategies

  15. Technology development of maintenance optimization and reliability analysis for safety features in nuclear power plants

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability data management system (RDMS) for safety systems of PHWR type plants has been developed and utilized in the reliability analysis of the special safety systems of Wolsong Unit 1,2 with plant overhaul period lengthened. The RDMS is developed for the periodic efficient reliability analysis of the safety systems of Wolsong Unit 1,2. In addition, this system provides the function of analyzing the effects on safety system unavailability if the test period of a test procedure changes as well as the function of optimizing the test periods of safety-related test procedures. The RDMS can be utilized in handling the requests of the regulatory institute actively with regard to the reliability validation of safety systems. (author)

  16. Methodological Approach for Performing Human Reliability and Error Analysis in Railway Transportation System

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Fabio De Felice

    2011-10-01

    Full Text Available Today, billions of dollars are being spent annually world wide to develop, manufacture, and operate transportation system such trains, ships, aircraft, and motor vehicles. Around 70 to 90 percent oftransportation crashes are, directly or indirectly, the result of human error. In fact, with the development of technology, system reliability has increased dramatically during the past decades, while human reliability has remained unchanged over the same period. Accordingly, human error is now considered as the most significant source of accidents or incidents in safety-critical systems. The aim of the paper is the proposal of a methodological approach to improve the transportation system reliability and in particular railway transportation system. The methodology presented is based on Failure Modes, Effects and Criticality Analysis (FMECA and Human Reliability Analysis (HRA.

  17. Reliability analysis of emergency power system for 200 MW low temperature nuclear heating reactor

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The design features of the emergency power system for 200 MW Low Temperature Nuclear Heating Reactor were briefly introduced, and the reliability of the emergency power system was analyzed using fault tree analysis method. The results showed that the simplified emergency power system for 200 MW Low Temperature Nuclear Reactor has the same reliability index as the design method of the nuclear power plant. It also showed that the proposed design method of the emergency power system for 200 MW Low Temperature Nuclear Heating Reactor was not only reliable and safe but also very economic

  18. Comparative analysis of pharmacophore screening tools.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Sanders, Marijn P A; Barbosa, Arménio J M; Zarzycka, Barbara; Nicolaes, Gerry A F; Klomp, Jan P G; de Vlieg, Jacob; Del Rio, Alberto

    2012-06-25

    The pharmacophore concept is of central importance in computer-aided drug design (CADD) mainly because of its successful application in medicinal chemistry and, in particular, high-throughput virtual screening (HTVS). The simplicity of the pharmacophore definition enables the complexity of molecular interactions between ligand and receptor to be reduced to a handful set of features. With many pharmacophore screening softwares available, it is of the utmost interest to explore the behavior of these tools when applied to different biological systems. In this work, we present a comparative analysis of eight pharmacophore screening algorithms (Catalyst, Unity, LigandScout, Phase, Pharao, MOE, Pharmer, and POT) for their use in typical HTVS campaigns against four different biological targets by using default settings. The results herein presented show how the performance of each pharmacophore screening tool might be specifically related to factors such as the characteristics of the binding pocket, the use of specific pharmacophore features, and the use of these techniques in specific steps/contexts of the drug discovery pipeline. Algorithms with rmsd-based scoring functions are able to predict more compound poses correctly as overlay-based scoring functions. However, the ratio of correctly predicted compound poses versus incorrectly predicted poses is better for overlay-based scoring functions that also ensure better performances in compound library enrichments. While the ensemble of these observations can be used to choose the most appropriate class of algorithm for specific virtual screening projects, we remarked that pharmacophore algorithms are often equally good, and in this respect, we also analyzed how pharmacophore algorithms can be combined together in order to increase the success of hit compound identification. This study provides a valuable benchmark set for further developments in the field of pharmacophore search algorithms, e.g., by using pose predictions and compound library enrichment criteria. PMID:22646988

  19. AUDITOR ROTATION - A CRITICAL AND COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Mocanu Mihaela

    2011-12-01

    Full Text Available The present paper starts out from the challenge regarding auditor tenure launched in 2010 by the Green Paper of the European Commission Audit Policy: Lessons from the Crisis. According to this document, the European Commission speaks both in favor of the mandatory rotation of the audit firm, and in favor of the mandatory rotation of audit partners. Rotation is considered a solution to mitigate threats to independence generated by familiarity, intimidation and self-interest in the context of a long-term audit-client relationship. At international level, there are several studies on auditor rotation, both empirical (e.g. Lu and Sivaramakrishnan, 2009, Li, 2010, Kaplan and Mauldin, 2008, Jackson et al., 2008 and normative in nature (e.g. Marten et al., 2007, Muller, 2006 and Gelter, 2004. The objective of the present paper is to perform a critical and comparative analysis of the regulations on internal and external rotation in force at international level, in the European Union and in the United States of America. Moreover, arguments both in favor and against mandatory rotation are brought into discussion. With regard to the research design, the paper has a normative approach. The main findings are first of all that by comparison, all regulatory authorities require internal rotation at least in the case of public interest entities, while the external rotation is not in the focus of the regulators. In general, the most strict and detailed requirements are those issued by the Securities and Exchange Commission from the United States of America. Second of all, in favor of mandatory rotation speaks the fact that the auditor becomes less resilient in case of divergence of opinions between him and company management, less stimulated to follow his own interest, and more scrupulous in conducting the audit. However, mandatory rotation may also have negative consequences, thus the debate on the opportunity of this regulatory measure remains open-ended.

  20. Probabilistic risk assessment course documentation. Volume 5. System reliability and analysis techniques Session D - quantification

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This course in System Reliability and Analysis Techniques focuses on the probabilistic quantification of accident sequences and the link between accident sequences and consequences. Other sessions in this series focus on the quantification of system reliability and the development of event trees and fault trees. This course takes the viewpoint that event tree sequences or combinations of system failures and success are available and that Boolean equations for system fault trees have been developed and are available. 93 figs., 11 tabs

  1. Reliability and mass analysis of dynamic power conversion systems with parallel or standby redundancy

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A combinatorial reliability approach was used to identify potential dynamic power conversion systems for space mission applications. A reliability and mass analysis was also performed, specifically for a 100-kWe nuclear Brayton power conversion system with parallel redundancy. Although this study was done for a reactor outlet temperature of 1100 K, preliminary system mass estimates are also included for reactor outlet temperatures ranging up to 1500 K

  2. Reliability and mass analysis of dynamic power conversion systems with parallel or standby redundancy

    Science.gov (United States)

    Juhasz, Albert J.; Bloomfield, Harvey S.

    A combinatorial reliability approach was used to identify potential dynamic power conversion systems for space mission applications. A reliability and mass analysis was also performed, specifically for a 100-kWe nuclear Brayton power conversion system with parallel redundancy. Although this study was done for a reactor outlet temperature of 1100 K, preliminary system mass estimates are also included for reactor outlet temperatures ranging up to 1500 K.

  3. Reliability and mass analysis of dynamic power conversion systems with parallel of standby redundancy

    Science.gov (United States)

    Juhasz, A. J.; Bloomfield, H. S.

    1985-01-01

    A combinatorial reliability approach is used to identify potential dynamic power conversion systems for space mission applications. A reliability and mass analysis is also performed, specifically for a 100 kWe nuclear Brayton power conversion system with parallel redundancy. Although this study is done for a reactor outlet temperature of 1100K, preliminary system mass estimates are also included for reactor outlet temperatures ranging up to 1500 K.

  4. Reliability analysis of the Angra-1 safety electric bus bar, considering the new Diesel generators configuration

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Aiming the electrical system reliability improvement, the Angra-1 energy electric system has been modified. The two original Diesel generators were replaced by two new ones, and the former were configured as standby generators. The purpose of this work is to quantify the electric system reliability improvement under the mentioned modifications by using Markovian analysis. It was found that the new configuration for the emergency Diesel system improves significantly the power supply to the safety buses. (author). 8 refs., 3 figs., 5 tabs

  5. Analysis of strain gage reliability in F-100 jet engine testing at NASA Lewis Research Center

    Science.gov (United States)

    Holanda, R.

    1983-01-01

    A reliability analysis was performed on 64 strain gage systems mounted on the 3 rotor stages of the fan of a YF-100 engine. The strain gages were used in a 65 hour fan flutter research program which included about 5 hours of blade flutter. The analysis was part of a reliability improvement program. Eighty-four percent of the strain gages survived the test and performed satisfactorily. A post test analysis determined most failure causes. Five failures were caused by open circuits, three failed gages showed elevated circuit resistance, and one gage circuit was grounded. One failure was undetermined.

  6. Study on quantitative reliability analysis by multilevel flow models for nuclear power plants

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Multilevel Flow Models (MFM) is a goal-oriented system modeling method. MFM explicitly describes how a system performs the required functions under stated conditions for a stated period of time. This paper presents a novel system reliability analysis method based on MFM (MRA). The proposed method allows describing the system knowledge at different levels of abstraction which makes the reliability model easy for understanding, establishing, modifying and extending. The success probabilities of all main goals and sub-goals can be available by only one-time quantitative analysis. The proposed method is suitable for the system analysis and scheme comparison for complex industrial systems such as nuclear power plants. (authors)

  7. Problems Related to Use of Some Terms in System Reliability Analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Jiri Zahradnik

    2004-01-01

    Full Text Available The paper deals with problems of using dependability terms, defined in actual standard STN IEC 50 (191: International electrotechnical dictionary, chap. 191: Dependability and quality of service (1993, in a technical systems dependability analysis. The goal of the paper is to find a relation between terms introduced in the mentioned standard and used in the technical systems dependability analysis and rules and practices used in a system analysis of the system theory. Description of a part of the system life cycle related to reliability is used as a starting point. The part of a system life cycle is described by the state diagram and reliability relevant therms are assigned.

  8. Application of advanced reliability methods to local strain fatigue analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wu, T. T.; Wirsching, P. H.

    1983-01-01

    When design factors are considered as random variables and the failure condition cannot be expressed by a closed form algebraic inequality, computations of risk (or probability of failure) might become extremely difficult or very inefficient. This study suggests using a simple, and easily constructed, second degree polynomial to approximate the complicated limit state in the neighborhood of the design point; a computer analysis relates the design variables at selected points. Then a fast probability integration technique (i.e., the Rackwitz-Fiessler algorithm) can be used to estimate risk. The capability of the proposed method is demonstrated in an example of a low cycle fatigue problem for which a computer analysis is required to perform local strain analysis to relate the design variables. A comparison of the performance of this method is made with a far more costly Monte Carlo solution. Agreement of the proposed method with Monte Carlo is considered to be good.

  9. Fault Tree Analysis Application for Safety and Reliability

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wallace, Dolores R.

    2003-01-01

    Many commercial software tools exist for fault tree analysis (FTA), an accepted method for mitigating risk in systems. The method embedded in the tools identifies a root as use in system components, but when software is identified as a root cause, it does not build trees into the software component. No commercial software tools have been built specifically for development and analysis of software fault trees. Research indicates that the methods of FTA could be applied to software, but the method is not practical without automated tool support. With appropriate automated tool support, software fault tree analysis (SFTA) may be a practical technique for identifying the underlying cause of software faults that may lead to critical system failures. We strive to demonstrate that existing commercial tools for FTA can be adapted for use with SFTA, and that applied to a safety-critical system, SFTA can be used to identify serious potential problems long before integrator and system testing.

  10. Pressurizer pump reliability analysis high flux isotope reactor

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    During a prolonged outage from November 1986 to May 1990, numerous changes were made at the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR). Some of these changes involved the pressurizer pumps. An analysis was performed to calculate the impact of these changes on the pressurizer system availability. The analysis showed that the availability of the pressurizer system dropped from essentially 100% to approximately 96%. The primary reason for the decrease in availability comes because off-site power grid disturbances sometimes result in a reactor trip with the present pressurizer pump configuration. Changes are being made to the present pressurizer pump configuration to regain some of the lost availability

  11. [Reliability theory based on quality risk network analysis for Chinese medicine injection].

    Science.gov (United States)

    Li, Zheng; Kang, Li-Yuan; Fan, Xiao-Hui

    2014-08-01

    A new risk analysis method based upon reliability theory was introduced in this paper for the quality risk management of Chinese medicine injection manufacturing plants. The risk events including both cause and effect ones were derived in the framework as nodes with a Bayesian network analysis approach. It thus transforms the risk analysis results from failure mode and effect analysis (FMEA) into a Bayesian network platform. With its structure and parameters determined, the network can be used to evaluate the system reliability quantitatively with probabilistic analytical appraoches. Using network analysis tools such as GeNie and AgenaRisk, we are able to find the nodes that are most critical to influence the system reliability. The importance of each node to the system can be quantitatively evaluated by calculating the effect of the node on the overall risk, and minimization plan can be determined accordingly to reduce their influences and improve the system reliability. Using the Shengmai injection manufacturing plant of SZYY Ltd as a user case, we analyzed the quality risk with both static FMEA analysis and dynamic Bayesian Network analysis. The potential risk factors for the quality of Shengmai injection manufacturing were identified with the network analysis platform. Quality assurance actions were further defined to reduce the risk and improve the product quality. PMID:25509315

  12. A review of the reliability analysis of LPRS including the components repairs

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability analysis of low pressure recirculation system in its long-term recicurlation phase before 24hs is presented. The possibility of repairing the components out of the containment is included. A general revision of analysis of the short-term recirculation phase is done. (author)

  13. Guidebook for reliability, availability, and maintainability analysis of NWTS repository equipment. Volume I. Technical report

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Guidebook, presented in two volumes, provides a methodology for applying reliability, availability and maintainability (RAM) evaluation techniques to the special needs of a nuclear waste repository. The qualitative and quantitative methods show how RAM considerations may be incorporated into equipment design documentation to improve the reliability and maintainability of repository equipment and systems. The qualitative techniques for applying RAM principles in the design process include the use and preparation of reliability block diagrams, failure modes and effects analysis, and an availability improvement list. The quantitative evaluation techniques involve allocation of availability goals, acquisition of reliability data, definition of data and modeling uncertainties, and quantification of system reliability or availability. Using the Conceptual Reference Repository Design (CRRD) as a basis, step-by-step instructions are provided for applying RAM tools such as systems modeling, failure modes and effects analysis, fault tree analysis, Markov model, maintainability task analysis, uncertainty analysis (Bayes' theorem), etc. The recommended computer programs that would facilitate application of the methodology are also discussed

  14. A comparative study of computed radiographic cephalometry and conventional cephalometry in reliability of head film measurements

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The purpose of this study was to compare and to find out the variability of head film measurements (landmarks identification) between Fuji computed radiographic cephalometry and conventional cephalometry. 28 Korean adults were selected. Lateral cephalometric FCR film and conventional cephalometric film of each subject was taken. Four investigators identified 24 cephalometric landmarks on lateral cephalometric FCR film and conventional cephalometric film were statistically analysed. The results were as follows : 1. In FCR film and conventional film, coefficient of variation (C.V.) of 24 landmarks was taken horizontally and vertically. 2. In comparison of significant differences of landmarks variability between FCR film and conventional film, horizontal l value of coefficient of variation showed significant differences in four landmarks among twenty-four landmarks, but vertical a value of coefficient of variation showed significant differences in sixteen landmarks among twenty-four landmarks. FCR film showed significantly less variability than conventional film in 17 subjects among 20 (4+16) subjects that sho wed significant difference.

  15. Qualitative and quantitative reliability analysis of safety systems

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A code has been developed for the comprehensive analysis of a fault tree. The code designated UNRAC (UNReliability Analysis Code) calculates the following characteristics of an input fault tree: (1) minimal cut sets; (2) top event unavailability as point estimate and/or in time dependent form; (3) quantitative importance of each component involved; and, (4) error bound on the top event unavailability. UNRAC can analyze fault trees, with any kind of gates (EOR, NAND, NOR, AND, OR), up to a maximum of 250 components and/or gates. The code is benchmarked against WAMCUT, MODCUT, KITT, BIT-FRANTIC, and PL-MODT. The results showed that UNRAC produces results more consistent with the KITT results than either BIT-FRANTIC or PL-MODT. Overall it is demonstrated that UNRAC is an efficient easy-to-use code and has the advantage of being able to do a complete fault tree analysis with this single code. Applications of fault tree analysis to safety studies of nuclear reactors are considered

  16. Reliability analysis of idealized tunnel support system using probability-based methods with case studies

    Science.gov (United States)

    Gharouni-Nik, Morteza; Naeimi, Meysam; Ahadi, Sodayf; Alimoradi, Zahra

    2014-06-01

    In order to determine the overall safety of a tunnel support lining, a reliability-based approach is presented in this paper. Support elements in jointed rock tunnels are provided to control the ground movement caused by stress redistribution during the tunnel drive. Main support elements contribute to stability of the tunnel structure are recognized owing to identify various aspects of reliability and sustainability in the system. The selection of efficient support methods for rock tunneling is a key factor in order to reduce the number of problems during construction and maintain the project cost and time within the limited budget and planned schedule. This paper introduces a smart approach by which decision-makers will be able to find the overall reliability of tunnel support system before selecting the final scheme of the lining system. Due to this research focus, engineering reliability which is a branch of statistics and probability is being appropriately applied to the field and much effort has been made to use it in tunneling while investigating the reliability of the lining support system for the tunnel structure. Therefore, reliability analysis for evaluating the tunnel support performance is the main idea used in this research. Decomposition approaches are used for producing system block diagram and determining the failure probability of the whole system. Effectiveness of the proposed reliability model of tunnel lining together with the recommended approaches is examined using several case studies and the final value of reliability obtained for different designing scenarios. Considering the idea of linear correlation between safety factors and reliability parameters, the values of isolated reliabilities determined for different structural components of tunnel support system. In order to determine individual safety factors, finite element modeling is employed for different structural subsystems and the results of numerical analyses are obtained in different design scenarios. Finally, the reliability index values are obtained for the entire support structure in different design scenarios. The results of the work demonstrates that proposed reliability evaluation method of tunnel support system is effective not only for investigating the reliability of individual elements in the structure, but also for building an overall estimation about reliability performance of the entire tunnel structure.

  17. Sensitivity analysis for reliable design verification of nuclear turbosets

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In this paper, we present an application of sensitivity analysis for design verification of nuclear turbosets. Before the acquisition of a turbogenerator, energy power operators perform independent design assessment in order to assure safe operating conditions of the new machine in its environment. Variables of interest are related to the vibration behaviour of the machine: its eigenfrequencies and dynamic sensitivity to unbalance. In the framework of design verification, epistemic uncertainties are preponderant. This lack of knowledge is due to inexistent or imprecise information about the design as well as to interaction of the rotating machinery with supporting and sub-structures. Sensitivity analysis enables the analyst to rank sources of uncertainty with respect to their importance and, possibly, to screen out insignificant sources of uncertainty. Further studies, if necessary, can then focus on predominant parameters. In particular, the constructor can be asked for detailed information only about the most significant parameters.

  18. Analysis of complete logical structures in system reliability assessment

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The application field of the fault-tree techniques has been explored in order to assess whether the AND-OR structures covered all possible actual binary systems. This resulted in the identification of various situations requiring the complete AND-OR-NOT structures for their analysis. We do not use the term non-coherent for such cases, since the monotonicity or not of a structure function is not a characteristic of a system, but of the particular top event being examined. The report presents different examples of complete fault-trees, which can be examined according to different degrees of approximation. In fact, the exact analysis for the determination of the smallest irredundant bases is very time consuming and actually necessary only in some particular cases (multi-state systems, incidental situations). Therefore, together with the exact procedure, the report shows two different methods of logical analysis that permit the reduction of complete fault-trees to AND-OR structures. Moreover, it discusses the problems concerning the evaluation of the probability distribution of the time to first top event occurrence, once the hypothesis of structure function monotonicity is removed

  19. Modelling of nuclear power plant control and instrumentation elements for automatic disturbance and reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Present Final Report summarizes results of R/D work done within IAEA-VEIKI (Institute for Electrical Power Research, Budapest, Hungary) Research Contract No. 3210 during 3 years' period of 01.08.1982 - 31.08.1985. Chapter 1 lists main research objectives of the project. Main results obtained are summarized in Chapters 2 and 3. Outcomes from development of failure modelling methodologies and their application for C/I components of WWER-440 units are as follows (Chapter 2): improvement of available ''failure mode and effect analysis'' methods and mini-fault tree structures usable for automatic disturbance (DAS) and reliability (RAS) analysis; general classification and determination of functional failure modes of WWER-440 NPP C/I components; set up of logic models for motor operated control valves and rod control/drive mechanism. Results of development of methods and their application for reliability modelling of NPP components and systems cover (Chapter 3): development of an algorithm (computer code COMPREL) for component-related failure and reliability parameter calculation; reliability analysis of PAKS II NPP diesel system; definition of functional requirements for reliability data bank (RDB) in WWER-440 units. Determination of RDB input/output data structure and data manipulation services. Methods used are a-priori failure mode and effect analysis, combined fault tree/event tree modelling technique, structural computer programming, probability theory application to nuclear field

  20. Analysis of the reliability of the active injection safety systems of Angra I

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability of the active emergency core cooling systems of Angra I nuclear power plant is evaluated. The fault tree analysis is employed. The unavailability of the above cited systems, is calculated. A parametric sensitivity analysis has been performed, due to the existing scattering in the failure and repair rate data of these system's components. The minimal cut sets were determined and, as a final step, a reliability importance analysis has been performed. This final step has required the development of a computer program. The methodology and data from the 'Reactor Safety Study' (Wash-1400) (in which the reliability of safety systems of a tipical PWR plant is calculated), is employed. The unavailability values for the safety systems analysed are too low, thus showing that in most cases the systems analysed are available to mitigate the effects of a loss-of-coolant accident. (Author)

  1. Analysis of the reliability of the shutdown heat removal system for the CRBR

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    An analysis of the reliability of the Shutdown Heat Removal System (SHRS) for the Clinch River Breeder Reactor (CRBR) was performed using Markov analysis models. Seven initiating events were considered. The system description and the failure and repair data were based on the Preliminary Safety Analysis Report of the CRBR. The study identified several areas to which the reliability of the SHRS is sensitive. To achieve high reliability shutdown heat removal, improvements in these areas or verification of their adequacy is required. These areas included the availability of the Auxiliary Feedwater System, the capability of the SHRS to operate on one-loop natural-circulation and the low probability of the failure of two heat transport loops causing the reactor to shut down

  2. Reliability analysis for fatigue crack growth life of high temperature turbine wheel

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The fatigue fracture which occurs under repeated loads is a major concern in mechanical component design. Recently, fatigue life evaluation is getting important to guarantee reliability and safety of a product. In the fatigue analysis and design, uncertainties are caused by the variances of geometry data and applied loads, and the scatter of material properties. It makes the deterministic methods less useful. In this reason, reliability analysis concept should be incorporated to ensure fatigue safety in more sophisticated way. In this paper, fatigue crack growth life of turbine wheel which exposed to severe environments subject to high temperature and centrifugal forces is evaluated by fracture mechanics. Also the reliability analysis is accessed by the fist order second moment method and Monte Carlo simulation.

  3. Piping-reliability analysis for pressurized-water-reactor feedwater lines

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This paper presents a piping reliability analysis for feedwater lines at five PWR plants; the analysis is based on probabilistic fracture mechanics. On the basis of observed pipe cracks in these feedwater lines, the crack is modeled with an initial semi-elliptical shape along the pipe inner circumference. Initial crack samples are generated using the Monte Carlo technique in conjunction with an importance sampling scheme. The fatigue model for crack growth employs a Paris-type growth-rate equation. Leak probabilities for feedwater lines of five PWR plants are estimated through the first ten years of the design life. Comparison of estimated leak probabilities and leak data in the five PWR plants led to the conclusion that the piping reliability model used in the present analysis can provide a reasonable estimate of the reliability of PWR feedwater lines

  4. Human Capital Development: Comparative Analysis of BRICs

    Science.gov (United States)

    Ardichvili, Alexandre; Zavyalova, Elena; Minina, Vera

    2012-01-01

    Purpose: The goal of this article is to conduct macro-level analysis of human capital (HC) development strategies, pursued by four countries commonly referred to as BRICs (Brazil, Russia, India, and China). Design/methodology/approach: This analysis is based on comparisons of macro indices of human capital and innovativeness of the economy and a…

  5. Lessons Learned on Benchmarking from the International Human Reliability Analysis Empirical Study

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Ronald L. Boring; John A. Forester; Andreas Bye; Vinh N. Dang; Erasmia Lois

    2010-06-01

    The International Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) Empirical Study is a comparative benchmark of the prediction of HRA methods to the performance of nuclear power plant crews in a control room simulator. There are a number of unique aspects to the present study that distinguish it from previous HRA benchmarks, most notably the emphasis on a method-to-data comparison instead of a method-to-method comparison. This paper reviews seven lessons learned about HRA benchmarking from conducting the study: (1) the dual purposes of the study afforded by joining another HRA study; (2) the importance of comparing not only quantitative but also qualitative aspects of HRA; (3) consideration of both negative and positive drivers on crew performance; (4) a relatively large sample size of crews; (5) the use of multiple methods and scenarios to provide a well-rounded view of HRA performance; (6) the importance of clearly defined human failure events; and (7) the use of a common comparison language to “translate” the results of different HRA methods. These seven lessons learned highlight how the present study can serve as a useful template for future benchmarking studies.

  6. The Reliability and Maintainability Analysis of Pneumatic System of Rotary Drilling Machines

    Science.gov (United States)

    Rahimdel, Mohammad Javad; Hosienie, Seyed Hadi; Ataei, Mohammad; Khalokakaei, Reza

    2013-10-01

    In any blasthole drilling the bottom of the blasthole must be kept clean by evacuating drill cuttings or it flushing as soon as they appear to ensure efficient drilling. If it is not done well, a large quantity of energy will be consumed in regrinding with the consequent wear on drill bit and decrease penetration, apart from the risk of jamming. Therefore, research on reliability and probability of safe operation of pneumatic system of drilling machines is of prime importance to ensure safe drilling operations. In this paper, reliability of this system was modeled and analyzed. To doing this research, drilling machines in Sarcheshmeh Copper Mine in Iran have been selected for data collection and analysis. After reliability modeling of pneumatic system, maintenance scheduling has been presented based on different reliability levels. There were four rotary drilling machines in this mine (named A, B, C and D). Results showed that after about 7 h drilling of machines A and B, and after 103 and 44 h drilling of machines C and D respectively, noticeably the reliability of pneumatic system reached to 80 %. As a result, machines C and D have more reliable pneumatic systems in comparison to machines A and B and checking and servicing of pneumatic system before these time was essential. Also, maintainability analysis showed that more failures of pneumatic system of machines A, B, C and D will be noticeably repaired at about 28, 34, 6 and 9 h.

  7. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF THERMAL POWER GENERATING UNITS BASED ON WORKING HOURS

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    C.P.S. Hungund

    2014-06-01

    Full Text Available For any system reliability calculation, estimation plays a vital role and hence the analysis is to be diverted to calculate reliabilities of the units. To do this, we need to analyze failure rates or inter-failure time intervals or duration of the failure free operation of the units. This data is usually termed as Working Hours (successive failures. Working Hours implies that the gap between failure to failure which is directly linked with the reliability of the system. Hence in this paper, first we fit and test the suitability of the data using Exponential and Weibull distribution through chi-square Goodness of Fit (GoF test. In the later part, reliabilities of different units are calculated using the same distributions. Conclusions are drawn based on the results obtained.

  8. Resilience in IMS : End-to-End Reliability Analysis Via Markov Reward Models

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    Kamyod, Chayapol; Nielsen, Rasmus Hjorth

    2012-01-01

    Reliability evaluation of systems has been widely researched for improving system resilience especially in designing processes of a complex system. The convergence of different access networks is possible via IP Multimedia Subsystem (IMS) for development toward Next Generation Networks (NGNs) and supporting always on services. Therefore, not only Quality of Service (QoS) but also resilience is required. In this paper, we attempt to evaluate and analyze end-to-end reliability of the IMS system using a model proposed as a combination of Reliability Block Diagram (RBD) and Markov Reward Models (MRMs). The resilience of the IMS architecture is studied by applying 1:1 redundancy at different communication scenarios between end users within and across communication domains. The model analysis provides useful reliability characteristics of the system and can be further applied for system design processes.

  9. Reliability analysis using high dimensional model representation for mixed uncertain variables

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The reliability estimation of a structural system depends on the type of uncertain parameters considered. If all the uncertain parameters are defined as random variables, then the reliability can be estimated by using probability theory. However, when modeling uncertain variables with limited information as intervals with upper and lower bounds, the entire range of these bounds should be explored. When dealing with the combination of both random and interval variables, as every combination of interval variables demands one probabilistic based analysis, the computational cost involved in estimating the reliability of the system increases exponentially. Therefore in this paper, high dimensional model representation (HDMR) is used to approximate the failure function accurately, and fast Fourier transform techniques are applied to solve the convolution integral. The proposed methodology demonstrates the improvement in computational efficiency and accuracy in the estimation of the reliability bounds using numerical examples.

  10. Comparing Generalized Procrustes Analysis and STATIS

    OpenAIRE

    Meyners, M.; Kunert, Joachim; Qannari, El Mostafa

    1998-01-01

    We consider a model for sensory profiling data including translation, rotation and scaling. We compare two methods to calculate an overall consensus from several data matrices: GPA and STATIS. These methods are briefly illustrated and explained under our model. A series of simulations to compare their performance has been carried out. We found significant differences in performance depending on the variance of random errors and on the dimensionality of the true underlying consensus. Therefore...

  11. Comparative analysis of Indonesian and Korean governance

    OpenAIRE

    Hwang, Yunwon

    2011-01-01

    This paper overviews governance issues in Indonesia and Korea from a comparative perspective. To do so, the WGI (World Governance Index) developed by the World Bank is employed for a more objective and consistent comparison between the two countries. WGI consists of six dimensions of voice and accountability, political stability and absence of violence, government effectiveness, regulatory quality, rule of law, and control of corruption. The two countries are analyzed and compared by ea...

  12. Comparative Analysis of Competitive Strategy Implementation

    OpenAIRE

    Waweru, Maina A. S.

    2011-01-01

    This paper presents research findings on Competitive Strategy Implementation which compared the levels of strategy implementation achieved by different generic strategy groups, comprising firms inclined towards low cost leadership, differentiation or dual strategic advantage.  The study sought to determine the preferences for use of implementation armaments and compared how such armaments related to the level of implementation achieved.   Respondents comprised 71 top executives from 59 com...

  13. Determination of Strength for Reliability Analysis of Multilayer Ceramic Capacitors

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A NanoindenterTM equipped with a Vickers indenter was used to measure fracture toughness of Multilayer Capacitors (MLCs) and BaTiO3 blanks. Strength of blanks of 6.3 x 4.7 x 1.1 mm3 was measured by performing three-point flexure using a 4 mm support span. The size of the strength limiting pores in the flexure tests was compared to pore sizes measured on polished MLC cross sections, and it was found that much larger pores were present in the 3-point flexure specimens. Strength distributions for the MLCs were generated using the measured fracture toughness values, assuming the measured pores or second phase inclusions were strength limiting

  14. RELIABILITY ANALYSIS OF A TWO UNIT COLD STANDBY SYSTEM USING MARKOV PROCESS

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Monika Manglik

    2013-12-01

    Full Text Available This paper deals with the reliability analysis of a system having four components arranged in series. Subsystems A, B, C have single un it whereas subsystem D has three units where one unit is active and the other two are cold standby arranged in parallel. System can completely fail either due to the failure of subsys tems A, B and C or due the failure of all units of subsystem D. All failure rates are constant and all repair rates follow the general time distribution. The analysis is carried out using the supplementary variable technique and Laplace transformation for evaluating the reliability measu res.

  15. Determination of Weibull Analysis of the Hypereutectic Silumins Reliability in Failure Time Respect

    OpenAIRE

    J. Szymszal; J. Pi?tkowski; T. Mikuszewski; M. Mali?ski

    2009-01-01

    The results of dynamic evaluation of the reliability of hypereutectic AlSi17Cu3NiMg silumin under the effect of symmetrical cyclic tensile-compressive stresses were presented. Studies were carried out on a normal-running fatigue testing machine, which was the mechanically driven resonant pulsator. For the needs of quantitative reliability evaluation and the time-to-failure evaluation, the procedures used in survival analysis, adapted to the analysis of failure-free operation with two- and thr...

  16. Human reliability analysis during PSA at Trillo NPP: main characteristics and analysis of diagnostic errors

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The design difference between Trillo NPP and other Spanish nuclear power plants (basic Westinghouse and General Electric designs) were made clear in the Human Reliability Analysis of the Probabilistic Safety Analysis (PSA) for Trillo NPP. The object of this paper is to describe the most significant characteristics of the Human Reliability Analysis carried out in the PSA, with special emphasis on the possible diagnostic errors and their consequences, based on the characteristics in the Emergency Operations Manual for Trillo NPP. - In the case of human errors before the initiating event (type 1), the existence of four redundancies in most of the plant safety systems, means that the impact of this type or error on the final results of the PSA is insignificant. However, in the case common cause errors, especially in certain calibration errors, some actions are significant in the final equation for core damage - The number of human actions that the operator has to carry out during the accidents (type 3) modelled, is relatively small in comparison with this value in other PSAs. This is basically due to the high level of automation at Rillo NPP - The Plant Operations Manual cannot be strictly considered to be a symptoms-based procedure. The operation Group must select the chapter from the Operations Manual to be followed, after having diagnosed the perturbing event, using for this purpose and Emergency and Anomaly Decision Tree (M.O.3.0.1) based on the different indications,3.0.1) based on the different indications, alarms and symptoms present in the plant after the perturbing event. For this reason, it was decided to analyse the possible diagnosis errors. In the bibliography on diagnosis and commission errors available at the present time, there is no precise methodology for the analysis of this type of error and its incorporation into PSAs. The method used in the PSA for Trillo y NPP to evaluate this type of interaction, is to develop a Diagnosis Error Table, the object of which is to identify the situations in which the mental picture of the plant which the operator had differs from the real state of the plant; if this were to occur, it could lead the group of operators to carry out actions which are not appropriate to the real accident situation. The method is based on the confusion matrix developed for the PSA at Oconee (NSAC-60). Probabilities based on the THERP method are assigned to the possible cases of erroneous diagnosis and to the recovery actions. This paper describe the hypotheses adopted for the analysis od the diagnosis errors and its integration into the PSA models. (Author) 4 refs

  17. Stochastic Response and Reliability Analysis of Hysteretic Structures

    DEFF Research Database (Denmark)

    MØrk, Kim JØrgensen

    1989-01-01

    During the last 30 years response analysis of structures under random excitation has been studied in detail. These studies are motivated by the fact that most of natures excitations, such as earthquakes, wind and wave loads exhibit randomly fluctuating characters. For safety reasons this randomness must be considered by the designers of structures like tall buildings, off-shore structures,ships etc. The response of a structure is generally uncertain due to the uncertainty of the geometrical and physical parameters determining the system, the uncertainty of the excitation and the imperfections of the adapted mathematical model from which the structural response is determined. In general emphasis will be placed on applications of the various methods introduced rather on questions concerning the excistence and uniqueness of solutions.

  18. The fabrication reliability data analysis system DANTE-QC1

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A sophisticated quality control system is needed to cut production costs and improve the quality of mixed oxide fuels. The system needs to extend the quality control from the characteristics of the product to the conditions of process to identify the abnormal parameter causing the below-quality product. The abnormal real-time of the product and process must be shown in graphical form by the data base, built up from fabrication knowledge gained over a number of years. DANTE-QC1 (Data Analysing Technology for Engineers) is a data analysis system for nuclear fuels with a relational data base management system developed to meet this need. The structure and operation of the DANTE data base system are described. (UK)

  19. IRRAS, Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System for PC

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    1 - Description of program or function: IRRAS4.16 is a program developed for the purpose of performing those functions necessary to create and analyze a complete Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA). This program includes functions to allow the user to create event trees and fault trees, to define accident sequences and basic event failure data, to solve system and accident sequence fault trees, to quantify cut sets, and to perform uncertainty analysis on the results. Also included in this program are features to allow the analyst to generate reports and displays that can be used to document the results of an analysis. Since this software is a very detailed technical tool, the user of this program should be familiar with PRA concepts and the methods used to perform these analyses. 2 - Method of solution: IRRAS4.16 is written entirely in MODULA-2 and uses an integrated commercial graphics package to interactively construct and edit fault trees. The fault tree solving methods used are industry recognized top down algorithms. For quantification, the program uses standard methods to propagate the failure information through the generated cut sets. 3 - Restrictions on the complexity of the problem: Due to the complexity of and the variety of ways a fault tree can be defined it is difficult to define limits on the complexity of the problem solved by this software. It is, however, capable of solving a substantial fault tree due to efficient methods. At this time, the softwareicient methods. At this time, the software can efficiently solve problems as large as other software currently used on mainframe computers. Does not include source code

  20. Condition-based fault tree analysis (CBFTA): A new method for improved fault tree analysis (FTA), reliability and safety calculations

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Condition-based maintenance methods have changed systems reliability in general and individual systems in particular. Yet, this change does not affect system reliability analysis. System fault tree analysis (FTA) is performed during the design phase. It uses components failure rates derived from available sources as handbooks, etc. Condition-based fault tree analysis (CBFTA) starts with the known FTA. Condition monitoring (CM) methods applied to systems (e.g. vibration analysis, oil analysis, electric current analysis, bearing CM, electric motor CM, and so forth) are used to determine updated failure rate values of sensitive components. The CBFTA method accepts updated failure rates and applies them to the FTA. The CBFTA recalculates periodically the top event (TE) failure rate (? TE) thus determining the probability of system failure and the probability of successful system operation-i.e. the system's reliability. FTA is a tool for enhancing system reliability during the design stages. But, it has disadvantages, mainly it does not relate to a specific system undergoing maintenance. CBFTA is tool for updating reliability values of a specific system and for calculating the residual life according to the system's monitored conditions. Using CBFTA, the original FTA is ameliorated to a practical tool for use during the system's field life phase, not just during system design phase. This paper describes the CBFTA method and its advantages are demonstrated by anand its advantages are demonstrated by an example

  1. Integration of functional reliability analysis with hardware reliability: An application to safety grade decay heat removal system of Indian 500 MWe PFBR

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A passive system can fail either due to classical mechanical failure of components, referred to as hardware failure, or due to the failure of physical phenomena to fulfill the intended function, referred to as functional failure. In this paper a methodology is discussed for the integration of these two kinds of unreliability and applied to evaluate the integrated failure probability of the passive decay heat removal system of Indian 500 MWe prototype fast breeder reactor (PFBR). The probability of occurrence of various system hardware configurations is evaluated using the fault tree method and functional failure probabilities on the corresponding configurations are determined based on the overall approach reported in the reliability methods for passive system (RMPS) project. The variation of functional reliability with time, which is coupled to the probability of occurrence of various hardware system configurations is studied and incorporated in the integrated reliability analysis. It is observed that this consideration of the dependence of functional reliability on time will give significant advantages on system reliability. The integrated reliability analysis is also explained using an event tree. The impact of the provision for forced circulation in the primary circuit on functional reliability is also studied with this procedure and it is found that the forced circulation capability helps to bring down the total decay heat removal failure probability by lowering t removal failure probability by lowering the peak temperatures after the reactor shut down.

  2. DOA Estimation-a Comparative Analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Ayesha Naaz

    2014-03-01

    Full Text Available In this paper, the direction of arrival (DOA angle estimation of signals impinging on 3- D array of sensors in cubical arrangement is studied. The results thus obtainedwere compared with the direction of arrivals obtained with a combination of two uniform square arrays which were considered in parallel to form a structure as cube. MUSIC algorithm (Multiple Signal Classification was used to estimate the directions of arrival (DOA of the signals .Also in this paper cubical array geometry for low signal to noise ratio was tested and the results compared were with that of the two parallel square arrays .Experimental results demonstrate that the cubical geometry has better detection capability as compared to two 2-D square arrays with the same or even a higher SNR.

  3. The Impact Analysis of Psychological Reliability of Population Pilot Study For Selection of Particular Reliable Multi-Choice Item Test in Foreign Language Research Work

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Seyed Hossein Fazeli

    2010-10-01

    Full Text Available The purpose of research described in the current study is the psychological reliability, its’ importance, application, and more to investigate on the impact analysis of psychological reliability of population pilot study for selection of particular reliable multi-choice item test in foreign language research work. The population for subject recruitment was all under graduated students from second semester at large university in Iran (both male and female that study English as a compulsory paper. In Iran, English is taught as a foreign language.

  4. Living PRAs [probabilistic risk analysis] made easier with IRRAS [Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System (IRRAS) is an integrated PRA software tool that gives the user the ability to create and analyze fault trees and accident sequences using an IBM-compatible microcomputer. This program provides functions that range from graphical fault tree and event tree construction to cut set generation and quantification. IRRAS contains all the capabilities and functions required to create, modify, reduce, and analyze event tree and fault tree models used in the analysis of complex systems and processes. IRRAS uses advanced graphic and analytical techniques to achieve the greatest possible realization of the potential of the microcomputer. When the needs of the user exceed this potential, IRRAS can call upon the power of the mainframe computer. The role of the Idaho National Engineering Laboratory if the IRRAS program is that of software developer and interface to the user community. Version 1.0 of the IRRAS program was released in February 1987 to prove the concept of performing this kind of analysis on microcomputers. This version contained many of the basic features needed for fault tree analysis and was received very well by the PRA community. Since the release of Version 1.0, many user comments and enhancements have been incorporated into the program providing a much more powerful and user-friendly system. This version is designated ''IRRAS 2.0''. Version 3.0 will contain all of the features required for efficient event tree eatures required for efficient event tree and fault tree construction and analysis. 5 refs., 26 figs

  5. Wellness Model of Supervision: A Comparative Analysis

    Science.gov (United States)

    Lenz, A. Stephen; Sangganjanavanich, Varunee Faii; Balkin, Richard S.; Oliver, Marvarene; Smith, Robert L.

    2012-01-01

    This quasi-experimental study compared the effectiveness of the Wellness Model of Supervision (WELMS; Lenz & Smith, 2010) with alternative supervision models for developing wellness constructs, total personal wellness, and helping skills among counselors-in-training. Participants were 32 master's-level counseling students completing their…

  6. Systems Analysis Programs for Hands-on Integrated Reliability Evaluations (SAPHIRE), Version 5.0: Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System (IRRAS) reference manual. Volume 2

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Systems Analysis Programs for Hands-on Integrated Reliability Evaluations (SAPHIRE) refers to a set of several microcomputer programs that were developed to create and analyze probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs), primarily for nuclear power plants. The Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System (IRRAS) is a state-of-the-art, microcomputer-based probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) model development and analysis tool to address key nuclear plant safety issues. IRRAS is an integrated software tool that gives the use the ability to create and analyze fault trees and accident sequences using a microcomputer. This program provides functions that range from graphical fault tree construction to cut set generation and quantification to report generation. Version 1.0 of the IRRAS program was released in February of 1987. Since then, many user comments and enhancements have been incorporated into the program providing a much more powerful and user-friendly system. This version has been designated IRRAS 5.0 and is the subject of this Reference Manual. Version 5.0 of IRRAS provides the same capabilities as earlier versions and ads the ability to perform location transformations, seismic analysis, and provides enhancements to the user interface as well as improved algorithm performance. Additionally, version 5.0 contains new alphanumeric fault tree and event used for event tree rules, recovery rules, and end state partitioning

  7. Systems Analysis Programs for Hands-on Integrated Reliability Evaluations (SAPHIRE), Version 5.0: Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System (IRRAS) tutorial manual. Volume 3

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Systems Analysis Programs for Hands-on Integrated Reliability Evaluations (SAPHIRE) refers to a set of several microcomputer programs that were developed to create and analyze probabilistic risk assessments (PRAs), primarily for nuclear power plants. This volume is the tutorial manual for the Integrated Reliability and Risk Analysis System (IRRAS) Version 5.0, a state-of-the-art, microcomputer-based probabilistic risk assessment (PRA) model development and analysis tool to address key nuclear plant safety issues. IRRAS is an integrated software tool that gives the user the ability to create and analyze fault trees and accident sequences using a microcomputer. A series of lessons is provided that guides the user through basic steps common to most analyses performed with IRRAS. The tutorial is divided into two major sections: basic and additional features. The basic section contains lessons that lead the student through development of a very simple problem in IRRAS, highlighting the program's most basic features. The additional features section contains lessons that expand on basic analysis features of IRRAS 5.0

  8. A review of modern approaches to fatigue reliability analysis and design

    Science.gov (United States)

    Wirsching, P. H.; Wu, Y.-T.

    1983-01-01

    Metal fatigue is a principal mode of failure in components of mechanical systems. But fatigue design factors (e.g., stress, fatigue strength) are subject to considerable uncertainty. Therefore, relative to fatigue, reliability methods are appropriate for purposes of safety checking of designs, risk assessment, failure analysis, and development of code statements. Described herein are four methods which can be effectively employed for fatigue reliability analysis, (1) Monte Carlo methods, (2) the lognormal format, (3) the Weibull format, (4) the Rackwitz-Fiessler algorithm. Examples of the application of each are presented. In summary, no general reliability method can be recommended for all situations involving fatigue. The approach has to be tailored to the problem.

  9. Methodological Issues in the Content Analysis of Online Asynchronous Discussions: Unitizing, Reliability, and Latent Content

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Elizabeth Murphy

    2006-11-01

    Full Text Available This paper explores three methodological issues related to content analysis of online asynchronous discussions: unitizing, reliability, and manifest versus latent content. Unitizing involves balancing feasibility, reliability, identifiability, and discriminant capability of semantic versus syntactic units. Reliability is discussed in relation to differences between tasks, discussants, and number of coding decisions, as well as between coders. Manifest versus latent content contrasts observed versus intended behaviors in content analysis. For each of the three issues, the paper presents a brief theoretical overview. Each issue is subsequently contextualized and illustrated using empirical results. Finally, for each issue, the paper provides a discussion of lessons learned and implications. The paper concludes with suggestions for future studies.

  10. Reliability analysis of nuclear piping system using semi-Markov process model

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The paper presents a general model for evaluating the rupture frequencies and reliability of the piping system in nuclear power plant based on the theory of semi-Markov process. The proposed model is able to incorporate the effect of aging related degradation of pipes. Time dependent rupture frequencies are computed and compared against those obtained from the homogeneous Markov process model. (author)

  11. Reliability analysis of nuclear piping system using semi-Markov process model

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Veeramany, A.; Pandey, M.D., E-mail: aveerama@uwaterloo.ca [Univ. of Waterloo, Ontario (Canada)

    2010-07-01

    The paper presents a general model for evaluating the rupture frequencies and reliability of the piping system in nuclear power plant based on the theory of semi-Markov process. The proposed model is able to incorporate the effect of aging related degradation of pipes. Time dependent rupture frequencies are computed and compared against those obtained from the homogeneous Markov process model. (author)

  12. Comparative Distributions of Hazard Modeling Analysis

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Rana Abdul Wajid

    2006-07-01

    Full Text Available In this paper we present the comparison among the distributions used in hazard analysis. Simulation technique has been used to study the behavior of hazard distribution modules. The fundamentals of Hazard issues are discussed using failure criteria. We present the flexibility of the hazard modeling distribution that approaches to different distributions.

  13. COMPARATIVE ANALYSIS OF VAT IN FOREIGN COUNTRIES

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    ?.?. ??????

    2011-06-01

    Full Text Available  The article is devoted to the study of the implementation of the VAT in various countries around the world. The author analyses the peculiarities of VAT in different taxation models, studies the modern trends in the application of VAT. Based on the carried out analysis the recommendations on the possible improvement of the VAT application in Ukraine are given.

  14. Comparative Lifecycle Energy Analysis: Theory and Practice.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Morris, Jeffrey; Canzoneri, Diana

    1992-01-01

    Explores the position that more energy is conserved through recycling secondary materials than is generated from municipal solid waste incineration. Discusses one component of a lifecycle analysis--a comparison of energy requirements for manufacturing competing products. Includes methodological issues, energy cost estimates, and difficulties…

  15. Markov chain modelling of reliability analysis and prediction under mixed mode loading

    Science.gov (United States)

    Singh, Salvinder; Abdullah, Shahrum; Nik Mohamed, Nik Abdullah; Mohd Noorani, Mohd Salmi

    2015-03-01

    The reliability assessment for an automobile crankshaft provides an important understanding in dealing with the design life of the component in order to eliminate or reduce the likelihood of failure and safety risks. The failures of the crankshafts are considered as a catastrophic failure that leads towards a severe failure of the engine block and its other connecting subcomponents. The reliability of an automotive crankshaft under mixed mode loading using the Markov Chain Model is studied. The Markov Chain is modelled by using a two-state condition to represent the bending and torsion loads that would occur on the crankshaft. The automotive crankshaft represents a good case study of a component under mixed mode loading due to the rotating bending and torsion stresses. An estimation of the Weibull shape parameter is used to obtain the probability density function, cumulative distribution function, hazard and reliability rate functions, the bathtub curve and the mean time to failure. The various properties of the shape parameter is used to model the failure characteristic through the bathtub curve is shown. Likewise, an understanding of the patterns posed by the hazard rate onto the component can be used to improve the design and increase the life cycle based on the reliability and dependability of the component. The proposed reliability assessment provides an accurate, efficient, fast and cost effective reliability analysis in contrast to costly and lengthy experimental techniques.

  16. Johnson Space Center's Risk and Reliability Analysis Group 2008 Annual Report

    Science.gov (United States)

    Valentine, Mark; Boyer, Roger; Cross, Bob; Hamlin, Teri; Roelant, Henk; Stewart, Mike; Bigler, Mark; Winter, Scott; Reistle, Bruce; Heydorn,Dick

    2009-01-01

    The Johnson Space Center (JSC) Safety & Mission Assurance (S&MA) Directorate s Risk and Reliability Analysis Group provides both mathematical and engineering analysis expertise in the areas of Probabilistic Risk Assessment (PRA), Reliability and Maintainability (R&M) analysis, and data collection and analysis. The fundamental goal of this group is to provide National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) decisionmakers with the necessary information to make informed decisions when evaluating personnel, flight hardware, and public safety concerns associated with current operating systems as well as with any future systems. The Analysis Group includes a staff of statistical and reliability experts with valuable backgrounds in the statistical, reliability, and engineering fields. This group includes JSC S&MA Analysis Branch personnel as well as S&MA support services contractors, such as Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC) and SoHaR. The Analysis Group s experience base includes nuclear power (both commercial and navy), manufacturing, Department of Defense, chemical, and shipping industries, as well as significant aerospace experience specifically in the Shuttle, International Space Station (ISS), and Constellation Programs. The Analysis Group partners with project and program offices, other NASA centers, NASA contractors, and universities to provide additional resources or information to the group when performing various analysis tasks. The JSC S&MA Analysis Group is recognized as a leader in risk and reliability analysis within the NASA community. Therefore, the Analysis Group is in high demand to help the Space Shuttle Program (SSP) continue to fly safely, assist in designing the next generation spacecraft for the Constellation Program (CxP), and promote advanced analytical techniques. The Analysis Section s tasks include teaching classes and instituting personnel qualification processes to enhance the professional abilities of our analysts as well as performing major probabilistic assessments used to support flight rationale and help establish program requirements. During 2008, the Analysis Group performed more than 70 assessments. Although all these assessments were important, some were instrumental in the decisionmaking processes for the Shuttle and Constellation Programs. Two of the more significant tasks were the Space Transportation System (STS)-122 Low Level Cutoff PRA for the SSP and the Orion Pad Abort One (PA-1) PRA for the CxP. These two activities, along with the numerous other tasks the Analysis Group performed in 2008, are summarized in this report. This report also highlights several ongoing and upcoming efforts to provide crucial statistical and probabilistic assessments, such as the Extravehicular Activity (EVA) PRA for the Hubble Space Telescope service mission and the first fully integrated PRAs for the CxP's Lunar Sortie and ISS missions.

  17. A probabilistic capacity spectrum strategy for the reliability analysis of bridge pile shafts considering soil structure interaction

    Scientific Electronic Library Online (English)

    Dookie, Kim; Sandeep, Chaudhary; Charito Fe, Nocete; Feng, Wang; Do Hyung, Lee.

    2011-09-01

    Full Text Available This paper presents a probabilistic capacity spectrum strategy for the reliability analysis of a bridge pile shaft, accounting for uncertainties in design factors in the analysis and the soil-structure interaction (SSI). Monte Carlo simulation method (MCS) is adopted to determine the probabilities o [...] f failure by comparing the responses with defined limit states. The analysis considers the soil structure interaction together with the probabilistic application of the capacity spectrum method for different types of limit states. A cast-in-drilledhole (CIDH) extended reinforced concrete pile shaft of a bridge is analysed using the proposed strategy. The results of the analysis show that the SSI can lead to increase or decrease of the structure's probability of failure depending on the definition of the limit states.

  18. Guidelines for reliability analysis of digital systems in PSA context. Phase 1 status report

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Digital protection and control systems are appearing as upgrades in older nuclear power plants (NPPs) and are commonplace in new NPPs. To assess the risk of NPP operation and to determine the risk impact of digital system upgrades on NPPs, quantitative reliability models are needed for digital systems. Due to the many unique attributes of these systems, challenges exist in systems analysis, modeling and in data collection. Currently there is no consensus on reliability analysis approaches. Traditional methods have clearly limitations, but more dynamic approaches are still in trial stage and can be difficult to apply in full scale probabilistic safety assessments (PSA). The number of PSAs worldwide including reliability models of digital I and C systems are few. A comparison of Nordic experiences and a literature review on main international references have been performed in this pre-study project. The study shows a wide range of approaches, and also indicates that no state-of-the-art currently exists. The study shows areas where the different PSAs agree and gives the basis for development of a common taxonomy for reliability analysis of digital systems. It is still an open matter whether software reliability needs to be explicitly modelled in the PSA. The most important issue concerning software reliability is proper descriptions of the impact that software-based systems has on the dependence between the safety functions and the structure of accident sequences. In general the conventional fault tree approach seems to be sufficient for modelling reactor protection system kind of functions. The following focus areas have been identified for further activities: 1. Common taxonomy of hardware and software failure modes of digital components for common use 2. Guidelines regarding level of detail in system analysis and screening of components, failure modes and dependencies 3. Approach for modelling of CCF between components (including software). (Author)

  19. Guidelines for reliability analysis of digital systems in PSA context. Phase 1 status report

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Authen, S.; Larsson, J. (Risk Pilot AB, Stockholm (Sweden)); Bjoerkman, K.; Holmberg, J.-E. (VTT, Helsingfors (Finland))

    2010-12-15

    Digital protection and control systems are appearing as upgrades in older nuclear power plants (NPPs) and are commonplace in new NPPs. To assess the risk of NPP operation and to determine the risk impact of digital system upgrades on NPPs, quantitative reliability models are needed for digital systems. Due to the many unique attributes of these systems, challenges exist in systems analysis, modeling and in data collection. Currently there is no consensus on reliability analysis approaches. Traditional methods have clearly limitations, but more dynamic approaches are still in trial stage and can be difficult to apply in full scale probabilistic safety assessments (PSA). The number of PSAs worldwide including reliability models of digital I and C systems are few. A comparison of Nordic experiences and a literature review on main international references have been performed in this pre-study project. The study shows a wide range of approaches, and also indicates that no state-of-the-art currently exists. The study shows areas where the different PSAs agree and gives the basis for development of a common taxonomy for reliability analysis of digital systems. It is still an open matter whether software reliability needs to be explicitly modelled in the PSA. The most important issue concerning software reliability is proper descriptions of the impact that software-based systems has on the dependence between the safety functions and the structure of accident sequences. In general the conventional fault tree approach seems to be sufficient for modelling reactor protection system kind of functions. The following focus areas have been identified for further activities: 1. Common taxonomy of hardware and software failure modes of digital components for common use 2. Guidelines regarding level of detail in system analysis and screening of components, failure modes and dependencies 3. Approach for modelling of CCF between components (including software). (Author)

  20. Software Reliability Growth Model with Logistic- Exponential Testing-Effort Function and Analysis of Software Release Policy

    OpenAIRE

    Mohammad Rafi, Shaik; Akthar, Shaheda

    2011-01-01

    Software reliability is one of the important factors of software quality. Before software delivered in to market it is thoroughly checked and errors are removed. Every software industry wants to develop software that should be error free. Software reliability growth models are helping the software industries to develop software which is error free and reliable. In this paper an analysis is done based on incorporating the logistic-exponential testing-effort in to NHPP Software reliability grow...

  1. Loss Given Default Modelling: Comparative Analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Yashkir, Olga; Yashkir, Yuriy

    2013-01-01

    In this study we investigated several most popular Loss Given Default (LGD) models (LSM, Tobit, Three-Tiered Tobit, Beta Regression, Inflated Beta Regression, Censored Gamma Regression) in order to compare their performance. We show that for a given input data set, the quality of the model calibration depends mainly on the proper choice (and availability) of explanatory variables (model factors), but not on the fitting model. Model factors were chosen based on the amplitude of their correlati...

  2. A limited assessment of the ASEP human reliability analysis procedure using simulator examination results

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Gore, B.R.; Dukelow, J.S. Jr.; Mitts, T.M.; Nicholson, W.L. [Pacific Northwest Lab., Richland, WA (United States)

    1995-10-01

    This report presents a limited assessment of the conservatism of the Accident Sequence Evaluation Program (ASEP) human reliability analysis (HRA) procedure described in NUREG/CR-4772. In particular, the, ASEP post-accident, post-diagnosis, nominal HRA procedure is assessed within the context of an individual`s performance of critical tasks on the simulator portion of requalification examinations administered to nuclear power plant operators. An assessment of the degree to which operator perforn:Lance during simulator examinations is an accurate reflection of operator performance during actual accident conditions was outside the scope of work for this project; therefore, no direct inference can be made from this report about such performance. The data for this study are derived from simulator examination reports from the NRC requalification examination cycle. A total of 4071 critical tasks were identified, of which 45 had been failed. The ASEP procedure was used to estimate human error probability (HEP) values for critical tasks, and the HEP results were compared with the failure rates observed in the examinations. The ASEP procedure was applied by PNL operator license examiners who supplemented the limited information in the examination reports with expert judgment based upon their extensive simulator examination experience. ASEP analyses were performed for a sample of 162 critical tasks selected randomly from the 4071, and the results were used to characterize the entire population. ASEP analyses were also performed for all of the 45 failed critical tasks. Two tests were performed to assess the bias of the ASEP HEPs compared with the data from the requalification examinations. The first compared the average of the ASEP HEP values with the fraction of the population actually failed and it found a statistically significant factor of two bias on the average.

  3. A limited assessment of the ASEP human reliability analysis procedure using simulator examination results

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This report presents a limited assessment of the conservatism of the Accident Sequence Evaluation Program (ASEP) human reliability analysis (HRA) procedure described in NUREG/CR-4772. In particular, the, ASEP post-accident, post-diagnosis, nominal HRA procedure is assessed within the context of an individual's performance of critical tasks on the simulator portion of requalification examinations administered to nuclear power plant operators. An assessment of the degree to which operator perforn:Lance during simulator examinations is an accurate reflection of operator performance during actual accident conditions was outside the scope of work for this project; therefore, no direct inference can be made from this report about such performance. The data for this study are derived from simulator examination reports from the NRC requalification examination cycle. A total of 4071 critical tasks were identified, of which 45 had been failed. The ASEP procedure was used to estimate human error probability (HEP) values for critical tasks, and the HEP results were compared with the failure rates observed in the examinations. The ASEP procedure was applied by PNL operator license examiners who supplemented the limited information in the examination reports with expert judgment based upon their extensive simulator examination experience. ASEP analyses were performed for a sample of 162 critical tasks selected randomly from the 4071, and the results were used to characterize the entire population. ASEP analyses were also performed for all of the 45 failed critical tasks. Two tests were performed to assess the bias of the ASEP HEPs compared with the data from the requalification examinations. The first compared the average of the ASEP HEP values with the fraction of the population actually failed and it found a statistically significant factor of two bias on the average

  4. Comparing methods for Twitter Sentiment Analysis

    OpenAIRE

    Psomakelis, Evangelos; Tserpes, Konstantinos; Anagnostopoulos, Dimosthenis; Varvarigou, Theodora

    2015-01-01

    This work extends the set of works which deal with the popular problem of sentiment analysis in Twitter. It investigates the most popular document ("tweet") representation methods which feed sentiment evaluation mechanisms. In particular, we study the bag-of-words, n-grams and n-gram graphs approaches and for each of them we evaluate the performance of a lexicon-based and 7 learning-based classification algorithms (namely SVM, Na\\"ive Bayesian Networks, Logistic Regression, ...

  5. Generalization of Markov Monte Carlo reliability analysis to include non-Markovian maintenance strategies

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The Lagrangian approach to Markov Monte Carlo methods for systems reliability analysis is generalized to include non-Markovian phenomena in which system components are replaced. The method is then employed to analyze the unreliability and unavailability of a number of redundant systems in which maintenance is carried out by batch or time replacement of aging components. (orig.)

  6. Liquid Waste Processing Facilities (LWPF) Reliability and Availability and Maintainability (RAM) Analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    A reliability, availability, and maintainability (RAM) analysis was prepared for the liquid effluents support being provided to the River Protection Project Waste Treatment Plant (WTP). The availability of liquid effluents services to the WTP was determined. Recommendations are provided on improvements and upgrades to increase the availability of the Liquid Waste Processing Facilities treatment and disposal systems

  7. RELIABILITY BIVARIATE ANALYSIS BASED ON COPULAS ANÁLISIS BIVARIADO DE CONFIABILIDAD BASADO EN CÓPULAS

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Monjardin Pedro Enrique

    2011-08-01

    Full Text Available In industry, reliability studies are done to assure the quality level of products manufactured. Sometimes these products have several failure modes that must be considered in reliability analysis. This analysis is complicated when the dependence pattern is included. In this article a reliability analysis of components that have two dependent failure modes is proposed. The dependence pattern is expressed through a copula function, this representation is appropriate, because the marginal distributions of failure times are from different families, Lognormal and Weibull. We provide an example which illustrates the reliability analysis of components with two failure modes.En la industria se requieren estudios de confiabilidad para asegurar el nivel de calidad de los productos que se fabrican. Algunas veces tales productos tienen varios modos de falla que deben considerarse en el análisis de confiabilidad. Este análisis se complica cuando se incluye el patrón de dependencia de los modos de falla. En este artículo se muestra el análisis de confiabilidad de componentes que presentan dos modos de falla dependientes, expresando el patrón de dependencia de ambos modos de falla por medio de una función de cópula. Esta representación es adecuada, debido a que las distribuciones de los tiempos de falla son diferentes, Lognormal y Weibull. Se presenta un ejemplo donde se ilustra el análisis de confiabilidad de componentes con dos modos de falla.

  8. Reliability analysis for the ECC-system of the research reactor RA at Vinca

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Failure of the ECC-system by LOCA of the research reactor RA at Vinca is used as a TOP-failure. Fault-tree is constructed and analysed. Reliability characteristics are calculated for critical components, minimum cuts and the system. Sensitivity analysis was done due to critical components failure. (author)

  9. Hierarchical modeling for reliability analysis using Markov models. B.S./M.S. Thesis - MIT

    Science.gov (United States)

    Fagundo, Arturo

    1994-01-01

    Markov models represent an extremely attractive tool for the reliability analysis of many systems. However, Markov model state space grows exponentially with the number of components in a given system. Thus, for very large systems Markov modeling techniques alone become intractable in both memory and CPU time. Often a particular subsystem can be found within some larger system where the dependence of the larger system on the subsystem is of a particularly simple form. This simple dependence can be used to decompose such a system into one or more subsystems. A hierarchical technique is presented which can be used to evaluate these subsystems in such a way that their reliabilities can be combined to obtain the reliability for the full system. This hierarchical approach is unique in that it allows the subsystem model to pass multiple aggregate state information to the higher level model, allowing more general systems to be evaluated. Guidelines are developed to assist in the system decomposition. An appropriate method for determining subsystem reliability is also developed. This method gives rise to some interesting numerical issues. Numerical error due to roundoff and integration are discussed at length. Once a decomposition is chosen, the remaining analysis is straightforward but tedious. However, an approach is developed for simplifying the recombination of subsystem reliabilities. Finally, a real world system is used to illustrate the use of this technique in a more practical context.

  10. Gas turbine microprocessor control system: reliability test and analysis. Final report

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Kunkel, R.G.; Rowen, W.I.; Withey, D.J.; Schaeffer, D.G.; Buckley, L.P.; Freeman, M.A.; MacFarland, W.J.; Norman, B.G.; Multhaup, H.A.; Roncevich, J.R.

    1985-07-01

    This report presents the results of a program conducted under EPRI Project RP2101-1, ''Gas Turbine Control System Reliability Analysis and Verification.'' This project articulates the operational capabilities of a new SPEEDTRONIC Mark IV gas turbine control system designed to improve reliability and availability of the system. The project was divided into three phases of study, including the Mark IV control system review, a study of reliability analysis and predictions, and a field verification test conducted at the Salt River Project Santan Generating Station, for a period of one year during which 2930 operating hours were logged on a preproduction Mark IV prototype unit. Improvements in the reliability and availability of the control system were demonstrated during this period. The Mark IV control system uses microprocessor technology where the control functions are distributed among four microcomputers. Three are identical and redundant control sections while the fourth handles communications. Powerful on-line diagnostics indicate the faulty section, which includes replaceable elements, and allows panel repair to be done while the gas turbine is operating, and therefore reduces the meantime to repair. Results of this project indicate that this new control system can upon reaching maturity attain established reliability objectives. Most importantly, design improvements were identified early in the program to enable adjustments to be made in the design, and to be checked out during the program. 3 refs., 88 figs., 44 tabs.

  11. Performance of nuclear power plants and analysis of some factors affecting their operational reliability and economy

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    In Czechoslovakia, there are eight WWER 440 type reactors in operation at present. Since their introduction into operation, nuclear power plants in Czechoslovakia have exhibited high reliability. In the paper, total parameters of reliability with an analysis of causes affecting negatively their annual utilization are presented. Existence of a computerized information system for acquisition, recording and evaluation of reliability-significant data from operation and its feedback to designers and manufacturers of nuclear power plant equipment and components is a basic requirement of a systematic assurance of the needed level of nuclear power plant reliability. The information system is used simultaneously also for realistic evaluation of aging of equipment and systems. Analysis of the state of equipment is important mainly in the final stage of the NPP during consideration of further extension of its service life. Environmental effects of the Czechoslovak NPPs are very low (favourable). It follows from comparison of annual dose equivalents of the Czechoslovak NPPs operational personnel with the foreign NPPs that the values recorded in Czechoslovakia belong to the lowest ones. In conclusion, some ways of assurance of operational safety and reliability of the Czechoslovak nuclear power plants including the role of the State regulatory body are briefly discussed. (author). 3 tabs

  12. Estimation of mixed Weibull distribution parameters using the SCEM-UA algorithm: Application and comparison with MLE in automotive reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    The shuffled complex-evolution metropolis algorithm (SCEM-UA) is used to estimate mixed Weibull distribution parameters in automotive reliability analysis. The results are compared with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) results. The comparison shows that, in the examples given, SCEM-UA can deliver more accurate results than MLE overall

  13. Comparative analysis of some search engines

    OpenAIRE

    Edosomwan, Taiwo O.; Joseph Edosomwan

    2010-01-01

    We compared the information retrieval performances of some popular search engines (namely, Google, Yahoo, AlltheWeb, Gigablast, Zworks and AltaVista and Bing/MSN) in response to a list of ten queries, varying in complexity. These queries were run on each search engine and the precision and response time of the retrieved results were recorded. The first ten documents on each retrieval output were evaluated as being ‘relevant’ or ‘non-relevant’ for evaluation of the search engine’s pr...

  14. Comparative Analysis of Color Video Enhancment Techniques

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Rajeev Sunakara

    2013-10-01

    Full Text Available Contrast enhancement has an important role in image processing applications. This paper presents a color enhancement algorithm based on adaptive filter technique. First, the proposed method is  divided into  three  major  parts:  obtain  luminance  image  and backdrop  image,  adaptive  modification  and  color restoration.  different  traditional  color  image  enhancement algorithms,  the  adaptive  filter  in  the  algorithm  takes  color information  into  consideration.  The algorithm finds the significance of color information in color image enhancement and utilizes color space conversion to obtain a much better visibility.  . In the practical results, the proposed method reproduces better enhancement and reduce the halo distortion compared with the bilateral  methods.

  15. Nigerian Criminal Networks; A comparative analysis.

    OpenAIRE

    Alkholt, Aimar

    2010-01-01

    Why is an African federation the home to one of the more dominating criminal networks operating globally? Nigeria is not well known for its high level of Internet-infrastructure. Still, it is in a class of its own when it comes to e-fraud or 419 spam mails. It is also prominent within the drug trade and the African-European trafficking network. By comparatively analysing other forms of Organized Crime against the Nigerian Brand, the thesis has tried to find the particulars of Nigerian Crimina...

  16. Passive system reliability analysis using Response Conditioning Method with an application to failure frequency estimation of Decay Heat Removal of PFBR

    Energy Technology Data Exchange (ETDEWEB)

    Sajith Mathews, T., E-mail: sajithmat@igcar.gov.in [AERB-Safety Research Institute, Kalpakkam 603102, Tamilnadu (India); John Arul, A.; Parthasarathy, U. [Indira Gandhi Centre for Atomic Research, Kalpakkam 603102, Tamilnadu (India); Senthil Kumar, C.; Subbaiah, K.V. [AERB-Safety Research Institute, Kalpakkam 603102, Tamilnadu (India); Mohanakrishnan, P. [Indira Gandhi Centre for Atomic Research, Kalpakkam 603102, Tamilnadu (India)

    2011-06-15

    Highlights: > This paper presents a computationally efficient and consistent methodology to evaluate reliability of passive nuclear safety systems. > The methodologies are experimented with passive Decay Heat Removal System of Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor (PFBR). > Inclusion of passive system reliability in Probabilistic Safety Assessment is demonstrated. > Failure frequencies are evaluated with respect to core damage as well as operational safety. - Abstract: Innovative nuclear reactor designs include passive means to achieve high reliability in accomplishing safety functions. Functional reliability analyses of passive systems include Monte Carlo sampling of system uncertainties, followed by propagation through mechanistic system models. For complex passive safety systems of high reliability, Monte Carlo simulations using mechanistic codes are computationally expensive and often become prohibitive. Passive system reliability analysis using recently proposed Response Conditioning Method, which incorporates the insights obtained from approximate solutions like response surfaces in simulations to obtain computationally efficient and consistent probability estimates, is presented in this paper. The method is applied to evaluate the reliability of passive Decay Heat Removal (DHR) system of Indian Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor (PFBR). The accuracy as well as efficiency of the method is compared with direct Monte Carlo simulation. The variability of the reliability values is estimated using bootstrap technique. The system abilities, to prevent critical structural damage as well as to ensure operational safety, are quantitatively ascertained. The system functional failure probabilities are integrated with hardware failure probabilities and the inclusion of passive system unreliability in Probabilistic Safety Assessment is demonstrated.

  17. Passive system reliability analysis using Response Conditioning Method with an application to failure frequency estimation of Decay Heat Removal of PFBR

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    Highlights: ? This paper presents a computationally efficient and consistent methodology to evaluate reliability of passive nuclear safety systems. ? The methodologies are experimented with passive Decay Heat Removal System of Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor (PFBR). ? Inclusion of passive system reliability in Probabilistic Safety Assessment is demonstrated. ? Failure frequencies are evaluated with respect to core damage as well as operational safety. - Abstract: Innovative nuclear reactor designs include passive means to achieve high reliability in accomplishing safety functions. Functional reliability analyses of passive systems include Monte Carlo sampling of system uncertainties, followed by propagation through mechanistic system models. For complex passive safety systems of high reliability, Monte Carlo simulations using mechanistic codes are computationally expensive and often become prohibitive. Passive system reliability analysis using recently proposed Response Conditioning Method, which incorporates the insights obtained from approximate solutions like response surfaces in simulations to obtain computationally efficient and consistent probability estimates, is presented in this paper. The method is applied to evaluate the reliability of passive Decay Heat Removal (DHR) system of Indian Prototype Fast Breeder Reactor (PFBR). The accuracy as well as efficiency of the method is compared with direct Monte Carlo simulation. The variability of the reliabili. The variability of the reliability values is estimated using bootstrap technique. The system abilities, to prevent critical structural damage as well as to ensure operational safety, are quantitatively ascertained. The system functional failure probabilities are integrated with hardware failure probabilities and the inclusion of passive system unreliability in Probabilistic Safety Assessment is demonstrated.

  18. Review of the Rancho Seco Nuclear Generating Station Unit No. 1 auxiliary feedwater-system reliability analysis

    International Nuclear Information System (INIS)

    This report presents the results of a review of the Auxiliary Feedwater System Upgrade Reliability Analysis for the Rancho Seco Nuclear Generating Station Unit No. 1. The objective of this report is to estimate the availability of the Auxiliary Feedwater System when required to perform its mission for each of three different initiators: (1) loss of main feedwater with offsite power available; (2) loss of offsite power; (3) loss of all 4160 VAC power. The scope, methodology, and failure data are prescribed by NUREG-0611, Appendix III. The results are compared with those obtained in NUREG-0611 for other plants

  19. Comparative analysis of life insurance market

    Directory of Open Access Journals (Sweden)

    Malynych, Anna Mykolayivna

    2011-05-01

    Full Text Available The article deals with the comprehensive analysis of statistic insight into development of the world and regional life insurance markets on the basis of macroeconomic indicators. The author located domestic life insurance market on the global scale, analyzed its development and suggested the methods to calculate the marketing life insurance index. There was also approbated the mentioned methods on database of 77 countries all over the world. The author also defined the national rating on the basis of marketing life insurance index.

  20. A comparative analysis of Cannabis material.

    Science.gov (United States)

    Coutts, R T; Jones, G R

    1979-04-01

    Extracts of 100 plant-like or resinous materials were analyzed for CBD, CBC, delta 9-THC, and CBN by GC using two different column packings and by GC-MS. Our independent identification of these cannabinoids confirmed those of other forensic science analysts who used microscopic examination, the Duquenois-Levine color test, and TLC for their analyses of the same samples. The identifications of cannabinoids by forensic acience analysts using TLC were corroborated by GC-MS analysis of hexane extracts of appropriate chromatogram spots. PMID:541611