WorldWideScience
 
 
1

European financial market integration: a closer look at government bonds in Eurozone countries  

The European Union made a number of steps not least of them the introduction of a common currency to foster the integration of the European financial markets. A number of papers have tried to gauge the degree of integration for various financial markets looking at the convergence of interest rates. ...

2

Emotions, beliefs and illusionary finance  

The purpose of this thesis is to integrate behavioral finance with market microstructure and financial decision-making. Specifically, I focus on two issues concerning the integration of psycho-physiological mechanisms and the informational content of prices in financial markets: firstly, the role of...

3

75 FR 60651 - Corporate Credit Unions  

... Mission statement; Analysis of market...proposed financial services...customer base analysis; Proposed financial services...financial statements for the first...Mission statement; (2) Analysis of market...proposed financial...

4

Introduction to macro-econophysics and finance  

Closed integrals in physics lead to equations for sources and vortices in fluid mechanics, electrodynamics and thermodynamics. In economics, the Stokes integral of economic circuits leads to new fundamental equations of macro-econophysics. These equations differ significantly from the laws of neoclassical theory. Entropy of markets replaces of the economic Cobb Douglas function and leads to stochastic processes and micro-econophysics of financial markets.

5

Currency Unions, Optimal Currency Areas and the Integration of Financial Markets: Central Europe from the Fourteenth to the Sixteenth Centuries  

This paper employs a new method and dataset to estimate the effect of currency unions on the integration of financial markets in late medieval Central Europe. The analysis reveals that membership of a union strongly and significantly correlated with wellintegrated markets. We also examine whether cu...

6

A factor analysis approch to measuring European loan and bond market integration  

By using an existing and a new convergence measure, this paper assesses whether bank loan and bond interest rates are converging for the non-financial corporate sector across the euro area. Whilst we find evidence for complete bond market integration, the market for bank loans remains segmented, alb...

7

A factor analysis approach to measuring European loan and bond market integration  

By using an existing and a new convergence measure, this paper assesses whether bank loan and bond interest rates are converging for the non-financial corporate sector across the euro area. Whilst we find evidence for complete bond market integration, the market for bank loans remains segmented, alb...

8

Europe after the crisis: less or more role for nation states in money and finance?  

With the completion of the single European market and the full liberalization of capital markets two separate trilemmas emerged in the early 1990s: a monetary trilemma between free capital movements, fixed exchange rates, and national monetary autonomy; and a financial trilemma between free capital movements, financial stability, and national financial supervision autonomy. The paper argues that although these two trilemmas stem from the same root cause, financial integration, the financial trilemma is particularly acute for countries that have chosen to resolve the monetary trilemma by entering into a monetary union. The lesson from the recent crisis is that eurozone countries need to replace their national financial supervision institutions by supranational institutions capable of managi...

9

Limits to international arbitrage: an empirical evaluation  

This paper studies international financial integration by testing the law of one price across national borders. We use the distance between national discount factors as an integration measure and analyze the level of cross-border mispricing. The empirical analysis shows that pricing differentials are relatively large in economic terms. This lack of international financial integration is subsequently analyzed in the market micro-finance literature. We find that market characteristics explain a considerable part of the variance in our cross-section of pricing differentials. Copyright Copyright 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

10

Fractional integration and cointegration in US financial time series data  

This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with d <...

11

Financial integration, specialization, and systemic risk  

This paper studies the implications of cross-border financial integration for financial stability when banks' loan portfolios adjust endogenously. Banks can be subject to sectoral and aggregate domestic shocks. After integration they can share these risks in a complete interbank market. When banks have a comparative advantage in providing credit to certain industries, financial integration may induce banks to specialize in lending. An enhanced concentration in lending does not necessarily increase risk, because a well-functioning interbank market allows to achieve the necessary diversification. This greater need for risk sharing, though, increases the risk of cross-border contagion and the likelihood of widespread banking crises. However, even though integration increases the risk of conta...

12

75 FR 7490 - Office of the Commissioner Reorganization; Statement of Organizations, Functions, and Delegations...  

...information management, financial and shared services...the Office of Financial Operations, the...Administration), the Statement of Organization...integrated policy analysis and strategic...the Agency's financial statements for...

13

The co-movement of stock markets in East Asia  

This paper examines the integration and causality of interdependencies among seven major East Asian stock exchanges before, during, and after the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis. For this purpose, we use daily stock market data from July 1, 1992 to June 30, 2003 in local currency as well as US dollar terms. The data reveal that the relationships among East Asian stock markets are time varying. While stock market interactions are limited before the Asian financial crisis, we find that Hong Kong and Singapore respond significantly to shocks in most other East Asian markets, including Shanghai and Shenzhen, during this crisis. After the crisis, shocks in Hong Kong and Singapore largely affect other East Asian stock markets, except for those in Mainland China. Finally, considering the role of...

14

Consumption dynamics and real exchange rate  

The Paper investigates the role of the real exchange rate in relationships between consumption growth rates across countries when financial markets are integrated. The real exchange rate introduces a wedge between real marginal utilities of consumption in different countries and this wedge plays a p...

15

A general approach to integrated risk management with skewed, fat-tailed risks  

The goal of integrated risk management in a financial institution is to measure and manage risk and capital across a range of diverse business activities. This requires an approach for aggregating risk types (market, credit, and operational) whose distributional shapes vary considerably. In this pap...

16

Short-Term Capital, Economic Transformation, and EU Accession  

One key focus of the on-going debate on the integration of international financial markets have been measures to lengthen the maturity of foreign debt, as short-term debt is typically considered to be highly volatile. The transition economies of Central and Eastern Europe are one group of countries ...

17

The macroeconomic impact of remittances in the Philippines  

Over the past twenty- five years, policy changes in the Philippines and global trends leading to market and financial integration have unleashed forces that are changing the country's economic structure. One of the most important effects is the increasing importance of overseas remittances to the Ph...

18

Fluxos de capitais, fragilidade externa e regimes cambiais: uma revisão teórica  

Abstract in english Capital Flows, External Fragility and Currency Regimes: A Theoretical Review. The major integration and deregulation of the international financial markets increased the degree of interdependence and risk of incompatibility between the financial and monetary policy adopted by different countries. The consequences of these facts are the financial instability and the currency crisis. In this article we develop arguments advocating that independent of the currency regime ado (more) pted the national policy makers should take into account, between other factors, the major capital mobility and the integrations of markets. One of the corollaries of our analyses is that countries should pursue policies that reduces the degree of short-term capital volatile by the adoption of capital controls or though measures of prudential supervision.

19

Integration and shock transmissions across European electricity forward markets  

New results are presented relating to the integration of the French, German, British, Dutch and Spanish power markets at day-ahead, week-ahead, one month-ahead and two month-ahead lead times. Overall, there is evidence of market integration, increasing over time, despite an underlying inefficiency in each market with respect to the forward and spot price convergence. The spatial analysis, on a financial dimension, is undertaken using causality tests, cointegration and impulse-response techniques, for both price levels and volatilities. In general we find less influence of the size and proximity of neighbouring markets than other studies, more integration at baseload than peak, and, surprisingly, less integration in forwards than spot prices. (author)

20

The impact of foreign macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland  

In this paper, we investigate the effects of euro area and US macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland (CEEC-3) from 1999 to 2006. Using a GARCH model, we examine the impact of news on daily returns of 3-month interest rates, stock market indices, exchange rates versus the euro, and the US dollar. First, both US and European macroeconomic news has a significant impact on CEEC-3 financial markets. Second, the process of European integration is accompanied by an increasing importance of euro area news relative to US news. Third, there are country-specific differences: for example, the Czech stock market is relatively more affected by foreign news since the Copenhagen Summit in December 2002. In general, our results support the hypothesis of a deepeni...

 
 
 
 
21

76 FR 10209 - Corporate Credit Unions  

...elements: (1) Mission statement; (2) Analysis of market conditions...availability of proposed financial services from alternative...and/or customer base analysis; (4) Proposed financial...pro-forma financial statements for the first...

22

77 FR 20452 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; Financial Industry Regulatory Authority, Inc.; Notice of Filing of...  

...Industry and Financial Markets Association...investment analysis tools (proposed...Organization's Statement of the Terms...through its statements summarized...Communication Without Financial or Investment...firms to file financial statements that...

23

77 FR 50998 - Proposal To Exempt Certain Transactions Involving Not-for-Profit Electric Utilities; Request for...  

...promote responsible economic or financial innovation and fair competition. In addition to...Responsible Economic or Financial Innovation and Fair Competition The Commission...Proposed Order will promote financial innovation in electric energy markets...

24

75 FR 49932 - Private Transfer Fee Covenants  

...Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety...resilient national housing finance markets...associations or through affordable housing groups...Federal Housing Enterprises Financial Safety...charters of the Enterprises reflect their...resilient national housing finance markets...association, an affordable housing......

25

The value of customer preference  

Customer preference (CP), or green pricing, may be the financial hedge for electric supply industry integration of photovoltaics. CP is currently defined as a voluntary contribution for energy generated with renewable resources. Several utilities have examined the CP financing of renewables through experimental or implemented programs and market research. This paper first expands the concept of customer preference to include both voluntary and involuntary customer contributions. It then categorizes the features of existing and proposed CP programs. The connections between these features and market research and marketing strategies for new product development from a competitive industry are analyzed.

26

Pros and cons of exposing renewables to electricity market risks-A comparison of the market integration approaches in Germany, Spain, and the UK  

The article examines how renewable electricity (RES-E) producers are integrated into the electricity market under the support legislations and regulatory frameworks of Germany, Spain, and the UK. Focus is on wind power, which faces the highest market integration challenge of all RES-E. The analysis shows that the three countries follow contrasting approaches of exposing RES-E producers to the market risks of forward electricity markets, balancing markets and system planning requirements. Risk exposure is highest in the UK and lowest in Germany. From a policy maker's perspective, there is a trade-off between a 'high risk' and a 'low risk' approach. When RES-E face high market risks, a higher level of financial support is required to stimulate RES-E development than in a low risk environment, but the exposure to market risks may also give an incentive to make efficient use of the respective market, thus limiting the indirect costs to society. The special characteristics of wind energy, however, put natural limits to the response of wind power plants to market prices and locational price signals and will increasingly influence electricity markets and grid infrastructure. These interdependencies should be recognised in the design of RES-E policies and market regulations.

27

Pros and cons of exposing renewables to electricity market risks. A comparison of the market integration approaches in Germany, Spain, and the UK  

The article examines how renewable electricity (RES-E) producers are integrated into the electricity market under the support legislations and regulatory frameworks of Germany, Spain, and the UK. Focus is on wind power, which faces the highest market integration challenge of all RES-E. The analysis shows that the three countries follow contrasting approaches of exposing RES-E producers to the market risks of forward electricity markets, balancing markets and system planning requirements. Risk exposure is highest in the UK and lowest in Germany. From a policy maker's perspective, there is a trade-off between a 'high risk' and a 'low risk' approach. When RES-E face high market risks, a higher level of financial support is required to stimulate RES-E development than in a low risk environment, but the exposure to market risks may also give an incentive to make efficient use of the respective market, thus limiting the indirect costs to society. The special characteristics of wind energy, however, put natural limits to the response of wind power plants to market prices and locational price signals and will increasingly influence electricity markets and grid infrastructure. These interdependencies should be recognised in the design of RES-E policies and market regulations. (author)

28

Measuring the coupled risks: A copula-based CVaR model  

Integrated risk management for financial institutions requires an approach for aggregating risk types (such as market and credit) whose distributional shapes vary considerably. The financial institutions often ignore risks' coupling influence so as to underestimate the financial risks. We constructed a copula-based Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR) model for market and credit risks. This technique allows us to incorporate realistic marginal distributions that capture essential empirical features of these risks, such as skewness and fat-tails while allowing for a rich dependence structure. Finally, the numerical simulation method is used to implement the model. Our results indicate that the coupled risks for the listed company's stock maybe are undervalued if credit risk is ignored, especially for the listed company with bad credit quality.

29

Shift-contagion Vulnerability in the MENA Stock Markets  

Abstract As part of a broader financial development reform agenda, the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries have successfully expanded and revitalised their stock markets over the last decade. Whereas previous contributions have investigated efficiency, international integration and portfolio diversification opportunities, very little is known about these markets' vulnerability to external financial crises. In this paper, we investigate shift-contagion to the MENA region using a comprehensive battery of econometric tests for a number of different crises episodes: the 1997 Asian crisis, the 1998 Russian virus and its Brazilian sequel, the 2000 Turkish collapse, the 9/11 turmoil, the 2001 Argentinean crisis, the 2002 Enron/WorldCom scandal and the 2007-09 global financial crisis. We...

30

Canonical momenta indicators of financial markets and neocortical EEG  

A paradigm of statistical mechanics of financial markets (SMFM) is fit to multivariate financial markets using Adaptive Simulated Annealing (ASA), a global optimization algorithm, to perform maximum likelihood fits of Lagrangians defined by path integrals of multivariate conditional probabilities. Canonical momenta are thereby derived and used as technical indicators in a recursive ASA optimization process to tune trading rules. These trading rules are then used on out-of-sample data, to demonstrate that they can profit from the SMFM model, to illustrate that these markets are likely not efficient. This methodology can be extended to other systems, e.g., electroencephalography. This approach to complex systems emphasizes the utility of blending an intuitive and powerful mathematical-physics formalism to generate indicators which are used by AI-type rule-based models of management.

31

Is Economic Volatility Detrimental to Global Sustainability?  

In a dynamic panel data model allowing for error cross-section dependence, output volatility is found to impede sustainable development. Through a financial development channel (liquidity liability ratio), output volatility exerts a significant effect on depletion of natural resources, a key component of sustainability. Low-income countries, low energy-intensity countries, and low trade-share countries tend to be especially vulnerable to macroeconomic volatility and shocks. The findings highlight the interaction between global financial markets and the wider economy as a key factor influencing sustainable development, with important implications for macroeconomic and environmental policies in an integrated global green economy.

32

Information dynamics effects from major world markets to SAARC nations  

This paper investigates the impact of major world equity markets on four founding countries of the South Asian Association for Regional Cooperation (SAARC). With a population of 1.47 billion, SAARC is the largest regional organization in the world. However, the issue of global integration of equity markets of the SAARC nations has largely been ignored. This study fills this important gap, adding results towards the ongoing debate concerning the issue of global market integration. After the onset of the financial crises of 2008, this issue is imperative. VAR analysis is used to determine whether there is any dependency of SAARC return on the performance of world equity markets. Further, GARCH-in-mean modeling is used to determine whether there is any evidence of Volatility spillover. It is ...

33

The synchronization of wage dynamics across EMU members. A test of the endogeneity hypothesis  

We test the hypothesis of an endogenous currency area for the labor market of the Euro area: has the introduction of a common currency caused wage dynamics to become more synchronized and to be able to cushion for asymmetric shocks? Trade intensity, sector specialization and financial integration are tested for being the driving forces for the endogenous synchronization of wage dynamics. We use regression techniques with instrument variables, and find evidence of persistent asymmetries in nominal wage formation, despite a single currency and monetary policy. We explain the result with more specialization following financial integration, and with still existing differences in wage formation and labor market institutions. We conclude that the euro zone is not endogenous with respect to wage ...

34

The impact of financial crises on the risk-return tradeoff and the leverage effect  

We investigate the impact of fi…nancial crises on two fundamental features of stock returns, namely, the risk-return tradeoff and the leverage effect. We apply the fractionally integrated exponential GARCH-in-mean (FIEGARCH-M) model for daily stock return data, which includes both features and allows the co-existence of long memory in volatility and short memory in returns. We extend this model to allow the …financial parameters governing the volatility-in-mean effect and the leverage effect to change during fi…nancial crises. An application to the daily U.S. stock index return series from 1926 through 2010 shows that both …financial effects increase signi…cantly during crises. Strikingly, the risk-return tradeoff is signi…cantly positive only during financial crises, and insigni…cant during non-crisis periods. The leverage effect is negative throughout, but increases signi…cantly by about 50% in magnitude during …financial crises. No such changes are observed during NBER recessions, so in this sense …financial crises are special. Applications to a number of major developed and emerging international stock markets confi…rm the increase in the leverage effect, whereas the international evidence on the risk-return tradeoff is mixed.

35

From Discrete-Time Models to Continuous-Time, Asynchronous Models of Financial Markets  

Most agent-based simulation models of financial markets are discrete-time in nature. In this paper, we investigate to what degree such models are extensible to continuous-time, asynchronous modelling of financial markets. We study the behaviour of a learning market maker in a market with information...

36

Brazil-Bolivia natural gas project; Projeto de gas natural Brasil-Bolivia  

This work briefly describes the Brazil-Bolivia natural gas project giving special attention to strategic issues such as: the fulfill of the consumer market demand; the supply of an alternative energy source; the economic development; the industrial sector competitiveness; the quality of life; the regional integration; and the business opportunities. Also presented and discussed are the risks associated to the project in several strategic areas and the alternatives for their mitigation. The project viability is also discussed. A financial evaluation is presented

37

76 FR 72484 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC; Notice of Filing and Immediate...  

...members using the NASDAQ Options Market (``NOM''), NASDAQ's facility for executing...connectivity to the NASDAQ Options Market for NOM 1.0:] [(a) Financial Information...connectivity to the NASDAQ Options Market for NOM 2.0 as of August 26, 2011 through...

38

Time-varying volatility in Malaysian stock exchange: An empirical study using multiple-volatility-shift fractionally integrated model  

This article investigated the influences of structural breaks on the fractionally integrated time-varying volatility model in the Malaysian stock markets which included the Kuala Lumpur composite index and four major sectoral indices. A fractionally integrated time-varying volatility model combined with sudden changes is developed to study the possibility of structural change in the empirical data sets. Our empirical results showed substantial reduction in fractional differencing parameters after the inclusion of structural change during the Asian financial and currency crises. Moreover, the fractionally integrated model with sudden change in volatility performed better in the estimation and specification evaluations.

39

Financial Literacy, Financial Education and Economic Outcomes. NBER Working Paper No. 18412  

In this article we review the literature on financial literacy, financial education, and consumer financial outcomes. We consider how financial literacy is measured in the current literature, and examine how well the existing literature addresses whether financial education improves financial literacy or personal financial outcomes. We discuss the extent to which a competitive market provides incentives for firms to educate consumers or offer products that facilitate informed choice. We review the literature on alternative policies to improve financial outcomes, and compare the evidence to evidence on the efficacy and cost of financial education. Finally, we discuss directions for future research.

40

Assessing probabilities of financial distress of banks in UAE  

Purpose - Commercial and Islamic banks are important players in the UAE financial market. However, little is known about their financial distress because these financial institutions usually resolve financial distress within their own organisations, which means that outsiders cannot explicitly observe distress. The purpose of the research is therefore to identify the main drivers of financial institutions' financial distress. Design/methodology/approach - The paper estimates a probability distress prediction model using the BankScope Database and the annual reports of UAE financial institutions submitted to UAE Security Exchange Authority. The paper also analyses the impact of macroeconomic information for forecasting financial institutions' financial distress. Findings - The fundamentals ...

 
 
 
 
41

Congestion rents and FTR evaluations in mixed-pool-bilateral systems  

Evaluation of key metrics for congestion management, including the congestion rents and the financial transmission rights (FTR) payoffs, requires the efficient allocation of transmission services and the calculation of appropriate locational marginal prices (LMPs). This requirement is particularly acute when there are bilateral transactions coexisting with the centralized pool markets. We propose a new formulation for this purpose, which captures explicitly the contribution of the bilateral transactions to the social welfare. The proposed formulation effectively integrates the pool market and the bilateral transactions on a consistent basis and results in the more efficient allocation of the transmission resources than the conventional tool. We assess analytically the capabilities of the p...

42

Fair Trade in France: From Individual Innovators to Contemporary Networks  

Fair trade aims at humanising the capitalist economy by serving the community, instead of simply striving for financial profit. The current fair trade sector is an excellent example of an innovation where networks based on ethical principles can help to effectively serve this market. Our analysis is based on 48 interviews amongst fair trade innovators in France and illustrates the advent of a new type of entrepreneur, one that is grounded in the social and solidarity economy (SSE). Based on a service-dominant logic, these innovators aim to construct a ?new world? centred on trade relationships by integrating the role of multiple-player networks into the creation of value in the market.

43

Multinationals as Arbitrageurs: The Effect of Stock Market Valuations on Foreign Direct Investment  

Empirical evidence of imperfect integration across world capital markets suggests a role for cross-border arbitrage by multinationals. Consistent with multinational arbitrage as a determinant of foreign direct investment (FDI) patterns, we find that FDI flows increase sharply with source-country stock market valuations-particularly the component of valuations that is predicted to revert the next year, and particularly in the presence of capital account restrictions that limit other mechanisms of cross-country arbitrage. The results suggest the existence of a cheap financial capital channel in which FDI flows reflect, in part, the use of relatively low-cost capital available to overvalued parents in the source country.

44

Note on log-periodic description of 2008 financial crash  

We analyse the financial crash in 2008 for different financial markets from the point of view of log-periodic function model. In particular, we consider Dow Jones index, DAX index and Hang Seng index. We shortly discuss the possible relation of the theory of critical phenomena in physics to financial markets.

45

Addressing the Psychology of Financial Markets  

The author suggests that the 2008 financial crisis was the culmination of an accelerat­ing and inherently unstable process of financial market evolution. He argues that markets are not well organized to manage the power that financial assets have to generate emotion and their wider effect on human i...

46

Use of municipal solid waste for district heating in St. Paul, Minnesota  

An initial assessment of the advantages and disadvantages of utilizing thermal energy from a waste-to-energy facility as a heat source for the developing district heating system in St. Paul is provided. Based on the engineering estimates of total annual costs of a 1000 ton-per-day (TPD) - 10.5 kg/s - capacity resource recovery facility, the required revenues from industrial steam customers, district heating sales and community disposal (tip) fees are developed for a 1986 facility start-up. The economic analysis develops the relationship of disposal fees and costs of thermal energy for district heating for several specific combinations of St. Paul industrial markets, district heating and cogenerated electric power sold to NSP under marginal electric production cost conditions. The results of the preliminary market and systems analyses indicate that, for industrial markets that do not use the total output of a 1000 TDP facility, sale of available thermal energy to the St. Paul district heating utility at costs equivalent to coal-based thermal energy can lower the required disposal fee - or indifference value - compared with a market mix of industrial steam and cogenerated electric power. The political, developmental, environmental, and financial advantages and disadvantages of integrating the district heating market with industrial markets are discussed. The major conclusion of the study is that a moderate amount of district heating market could be supplied from a resource recovery facility at competitive energy costs if facility siting, financing, and integrated marketing of energy products issues could be resolved.

47

Were there warning signals from banking sectors for the 2008/2009 global financial crisis?  

This article takes the position that there have been significant costs attached to global banking financial integration and these costs were identified in a period prior to the 2008 Global Financial Crisis revealed by the analysis of daily country banking index data from December 1999 to September 2008. Regression, correlation, cointegration, causality and variance decomposition analysis of daily bank price index data indicate that banking systems had achieved a high level of global integration, exemplified in the global involvement in the US sub-prime mortgage market. Integration implies interdependence, which in turn implies the existence of systemic risk or the threat of contagion. Re-focusing by banks on a culture of portfolio diversification of investments and borrowings is necessary....

48

75 FR 18219 - Statement of Organization, Functions, and Delegations of Authority  

...under the Chief Financial Officers Act, the Federal Managers Financial Integrity Act...management and provides analysis of the impact on...structures, functional statements, job structures...fulfilling AoA's Chief Financial Officer...

49

The macro-financial factors behind the crisis: Global liquidity glut or global savings glut?  

It has been argued that the global financial crisis 2007-2009 was intrinsically related to two largely unprecedented phenomena in the global economy: (i) exceptionally benign financial market conditions as mirrored in historically low risk premia and buoyant asset price developments as well as (ii) an unprecedented widening of external imbalances. This paper explores to what extent these global trends can be understood as a reaction to three structural shocks to the macro-financial environment of the global economy: (i) monetary shocks (''excess liquidity'' hypothesis), (ii) preference shocks (''savings glut'' hypothesis), and (iii) investment shocks (''investment drought'' hypothesis). In order to uniquely identify these shocks in an integrated framework, we estimate structural VARs for t...

50

Is harmonization of legal rules an appropriate target? Lessons from the global financial crisis  

This article deals critically with the call for a comprehensive harmonization of legal rules, against the background of the lessons from the recent financial crisis. Before coming to the topic of harmonization of legal rules, it first briefly deals with the question of why rules are necessary at all, and what the functions of rules are. Then it deals with the lessons from the recent financial crisis for the topic mentioned. The article conducts a kind of cost-benefit analysis of legal harmonization by looking at arguments in favor of and against uniform rules. It shows that not only the arguments in favor have increased after the recent financial crisis, but also the arguments against. It also shows that integration of global markets has not only increased the need for new uniform rules bu...

51

A Comprehensive Look at Financial Volatility Prediction by Economic Variables  

What drives volatility on financial markets? This paper takes a comprehensive look at the predictability of financial market volatility by macroeconomic and financial variables. We go beyond forecasting stock market volatility (by large the focus in previous studies) and additionally investigate the predictability of foreign exchange, bond, and commodity volatility by means of a data-rich modeling methodology which is able to handle a potentially large number of predictor variables. In line with previous research, we find relatively little economically meaningful predictability of stock market volatility. By contrast, volatility in foreign exchange, bond, and commodity markets appears predictable by macro and financial predictors both in-sample and out-of-sample.

52

Evaluation of the trading development in the Iberian Energy Derivatives Market  

The efficiency of the Iberian Energy Derivatives Market in its first five and a half years is assessed in terms of volume, open interest and price. The continuous market shows steady liquidity growth. Its volume is strongly correlated to that of the Over The Counter (OTC) market, the amount of market makers, the enrolment of financial agents and generation companies belonging to the integrated group of last resort suppliers, and the OTC cleared volume in its clearing house. The hedging efficiency, measured through the ratio between the final open interest and the cleared volume, shows the lowest values for the Spanish base load futures as they are the most liquid contracts. The ex-post forward risk premium has diminished due to the learning curve and the effect of the fixed price retributi...

53

PV market stimulation by training and creativity workshops  

Building integrated photovoltaic (BIPV) systems are expected to be a major route for the utilisation of solar energy in Europe. In order for BIPV to realise its full potential, it is necessary to increase the market size and this requires the development of appropriate market segments as they become financially viable. There may be accompanying market stimulation methods such as financing packages, tax reductions or other incentives. Thus it is important for the PV system designer and/or supplier to be aware of developing market segments and of methods to address these. The realisation of a BIPV project requires the interaction of several key players and consideration of many issues, including technical design, architectural acceptability, planning constraints, interfacing with existing electricity supply systems and financing. The aims of this project were: to promote consideration of the marketing aspect of BIPV when developing projects; to introduce a range of players in the sector to marketing techniques; and to initiate new project ideas to address market needs. These aims were addressed by the organisation of creativity workshops in which marketing issues could be discussed and participants could utilise marketing approaches in the development of project ideas. (author)

54

Time-varying financial stress linkages: Evidence from the LIBOR-OIS spreads  

The present article studies the dynamic linkages between the LIBOR-OIS spreads of major currencies for the period of March 1, 2006 to November 12, 2008. The Dynamic Conditional Correlation model is employed to examine the impact of the global financial crisis on the cross-currency correlations of the spreads. The overall evidence suggests that the crisis increased the degree of money market integration of the Australian dollar, the Euro and the Sterling with the US dollar. The Japanese Yen appears to have been insulated from the US dollar shortage shocks throughout the period. In addition, the FX swap market liquidity plays an important role in explaining the market integration, whereas the credit worthiness difference between the LIBOR panel banks is a less significant factor.

55

A Transmission-Cost-Based Model to Estimate the Amount of Market-Integrable Wind Resources  

In the pursuit of the large-scale integration of wind power production, it is imperative to evaluate plausible frictions among the stochastic nature of wind generation, electricity markets, and the investments in transmission required to accommodate larger amounts of wind. If wind producers are made to share the expenses in transmission derived from their integration, they may see the doors of electricity markets closed for not being competitive enough. This paper presents a model to decide the amount of wind resources that are economically exploitable at a given location from a transmission-cost perspective. This model accounts for the uncertain character of wind by using a modeling framework based on stochastic optimization, simulates market barriers by means of a bi-level structure, and considers the financial risk of investments in transmission through the conditional value-at-risk. The major features of the proposed model, which is efficiently solved using Benders decomposition, are discussed through an illustrative example.

56

The impact of financial stress on sectoral productivity  

This paper examines the impact of financial stress on labour productivity in two broad sectors: production and market services. The results indicate that, while both sectors are affected by financial stress, the channels through which this happens differ.

57

75 FR 52283 - Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking Regarding Alternatives to the Use of Credit Ratings in the...  

...economic indicators. For example...organizations? Which financial and economic indicators should the...as well as qualitative support and/or analysis for proposed...implementation? Which financial and market indicators should the...as well as qualitative support and/or analysis for...

58

77 FR 54640 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC; Notice of Filing of Proposed Rule...  

...exchanges in the U.S., London, Hong Kong, or Singapore. Each of the United...the Financial Services Authority, Hong Kong's primary financial markets regulator...Company participant, and in each case, must have executed an...

59

76 FR 75932 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; NYSE Arca, Inc.; Notice of Filing of Proposed Rule Change Relating...  

...exchanges in the U.S., London, Hong Kong or Singapore. Each of the United...the Financial Services Authority, Hong Kong's primary financial markets regulator...Company participant, and in each case, must have executed an...

60

77 FR 3520 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC; Notice of Filing of Proposed Rule...  

...exchanges in the U.S., London, Hong Kong or Singapore. Each of the United...the Financial Services Authority, Hong Kong's primary financial markets regulator...Company participant, and in each case, must have executed an...

 
 
 
 
61

77 FR 41213 - Cross-Border Application of Certain Swaps Provisions of the Commodity Exchange Act  

...United States; (ii) any corporation...its financial stability may be put at risk...the transparency goals of the Dodd-Frank...clearing; and (ii) Sec. 23.610...furthers the statutory goals of financial stability, market...

62

Environmental policy and speculation on markets for emission permits  

Tradable emission permits share many characteristics with financial assets. As on financial markets, speculators are likely to be active on large markets for emission permits such as those developing under the Kyoto Protocol. We show how the presence of speculators on a market for emission permits a...

63

RTE - annual report 2006; RTE - rapport d'activite 2006  

RTE is the French electricity transmission system operator responsible for operation, maintenance and development, With a system which is the largest in Europe - 100,000 kilometres of high voltage and extra-high voltage circuits and 46 cross-border interconnections, plus a key location at the geographical hub - RTE is playing a key role in the development of the European electricity market. RTE is a public service company guaranteeing the efficient operation and reliability of the French power system, and providing equitable access to all system users. The company is part of the EDF Group, but has totally independent management and administration, as required by law. In 2005, RTE became a limited liability company with an Executive Board and Supervisory Board; this corporate status guarantees due neutrality in providing service to all players on the electricity market. RTE is the Number 1 electricity transmission system in Europe with 8,300 employees and 4 billion euros turnover. This activity report presents: 1 - Background: The RTE Transmission System, Message from the Chairman of the Executive Board; 2 - A High Performance Public Service Company at the Hub of the European Electricity Market: 2006 overview and Highlights, RTE Governance and Organisation; 3 - A Year with Many Developments: Satisfied Customers on a More Efficient Market, Reliable, Upgraded Industrial Facilities, A Commitment to Environmentally Friendly Public Service, New Foundations for Human Resources Policy, International Business on the Move, A Good Improvement in Financial Performance; 4 - Glossary; 5 - Management Report: Financial and Legal Information (Highlights in 2006, Market Trends, Business and Results for 2006, Capital, Financial Structure, Prospects for 2007, Other Financial and Legal Information), Information on the Environment (Environment Policy - Review, Respect for Natural Environments and Landscapes, Consultation and Consideration, Research, Continuing Improvement, Environmental Expenditure), Employment Information (Statistics, Organisation and Working Hours, Remuneration, Working Relations and Collective Agreements, Health and Safety, Training, Employment and Integration of Disabled Employees, Social Activities, The Importance of Sub-Contracting); 6 - Annual Financial Statements: Balance Sheet (Balance Sheet Assets, Balance Sheet Equity and Liabilities), Income Statement, notes (Fiscal 2006 - Highlights, Accounting Principles, Rules and Methods (Information on the Balance Sheet and Income Statement, Financial Commitments and Further Information, Report of the Statutory Auditors); 7 - Report of the Chairman of the Supervisory Board: Corporate Governance (Supervisory Board Membership, Supervisory Board Operation, Supervisory Board Work, Economic Supervisory and Audit Committee), RTE Internal Control (Internal Control Policy, Resources Implemented, Targeted Controls in 2006, Control Procedures on the Reliability of Financial Information, Prospects for 2007)

64

Default Risk of Advanced Economies: An Empirical Analysis of Credit Default Swaps during the Financial Crisis  

Prices observed in the European sovereign credit default swap (CDS) market have severely increased since the beginning of the financial crisis. We document that the state of a country's financial system and, since the beginning of the crisis, also the state of the world financial system have strong explanatory power for the behavior of CDS spreads, and the magnitude of this impact depends on the importance of a country's financial system pre-crisis. Furthermore, Economic and Monetary Union member countries exhibit higher sensitivities to the health of the financial system. Our results suggest the presence of a private-to-public risk transfer through which market participants incorporate their expectations about financial industry bailouts.

65

Electricity prices in a competitive environment: Marginal cost pricing of generation services and financial status of electric utilities. A preliminary analysis through 2015  

The emergence of competitive markets for electricity generation services is changing the way that electricity is and will be priced in the United States. This report presents the results of an analysis that focuses on two questions: (1) How are prices for competitive generation services likely to differ from regulated prices if competitive prices are based on marginal costs rather than regulated {open_quotes}cost-of-service{close_quotes} pricing? (2) What impacts will the competitive pricing of generation services (based on marginal costs) have on electricity consumption patterns, production costs, and the financial integrity patterns, production costs, and the financial integrity of electricity suppliers? This study is not intended to be a cost-benefit analysis of wholesale or retail competition, nor does this report include an analysis of the macroeconomic impacts of competitive electricity prices.

66

Introduction into Econophysics. A scientifical analysis of economical systems; Einfuehrung in die Oekonophysik. Eine naturwissenschaftliche Analyse oekonomischer Systeme  

The new field of Econophysics applies the powerful methods of statistical physics and non linear dynamics to macroeconomic modeling and financial market analysis using the physical point of view in dealing with financial problems. Financial markets represent a typical example of complex system where the price changes, apparently random, are the result of interactions among a high number of agents (the market operators). Therefore, financial markets can be studied using the same paradigms and techniques developed in statistical physics for the study of complex systems. (orig./GL)

67

Innovative financing for future petroleum industry requirements  

Many energies companies rely heavily on the financial markets to fund expansion plans due to the capital intensive nature of this industry. The dramatic and rapid changes in the financial markets over the last few years create both challenges and opportunities for oil and gas companies trying to survive a volatile era and to position themselves for recovery. These market volatilies have bred new financial techniques and opportunities in both the domestic and global capital markets. This paper discusses specific applications, benefits and advantages of these new techniques and financial products to energy companies.

68

Pricing financial services innovations  

The number of innovative financial solutions introduced to markets has grown considerably in the past decade owing to emerging digital technologies, deregulation and market fragmentation. Examples are abundant in the worldwide markets for insurance, credit products and transaction processing services. A question of growing interest is how firms should price these innovations. The optimal introductory pricing of financial innovations may vary as a function of factors such as price sensitivity of the market and competitors’ ability to introduce competing financial solutions. In this article, we examine the role of these factors in the optimal pricing of a financial innovation. Using an agent-based simulation framework, introductory pricing strategies that maximize profitability under v...

69

TransForm : TransAlta 2000 annual report  

Financial information from TransAlta Corp. was presented along with a review of their operations throughout 2000 and a summary of the how the electric utility is doing in terms of power generation, independent power producers, transmission and energy marketing. The utility has changed from a regulated vertically integrated utility into one of Canada's largest non-regulated electric power generators. The utility sold its retail businesses in Alberta and New Zealand and now focuses on coal and hydro generation, gas generation, high-voltage transmission and energy marketing. The newly constructed Centralia, Washington generation facility was brought on line with 1,340 MW in May 2000, on time and on budget. This was the platform to diversify their generation into the United States. The utility reported a solid financial year with $177.9 million in earnings from continuing operations, an 83 per cent increase from 1999, driven mostly by the results of Centralia and power marketing and trading businesses. A financial loss was suffered when the Wabamum power plant in Alberta was shut down for several months to repair a boiler. The utility made excellent progress toward their goal of 15,000 megawatts by 2005 by starting with the construction of what will be one of Canada's largest cogeneration facilities at Sarnia, Ontario. TransAlta also commissioned a 360 MW cogeneration facility at Poplar Creek at Suncor's Fort McMurray oil sand facility. TransAlta also has an excellent track record in developing power generation projects internationally. refs., tabs., figs.

70

TransForm: TransAlta 2000 annual report  

Financial information from TransAlta Corp. was presented along with a review of their operations throughout 2000 and a summary of the how the electric utility is doing in terms of power generation, independent power producers, transmission and energy marketing. The utility has changed from a regulated vertically integrated utility into one of Canada's largest non-regulated electric power generators. The utility sold its retail businesses in Alberta and New Zealand and now focuses on coal and hydro generation, gas generation, high-voltage transmission and energy marketing. The newly constructed Centralia, Washington generation facility was brought on line with 1,340 MW in May 2000, on time and on budget. This was the platform to diversify their generation into the United States. The utility reported a solid financial year with $177.9 million in earnings from continuing operations, an 83 per cent increase from 1999, driven mostly by the results of Centralia and power marketing and trading businesses. A financial loss was suffered when the Wabamum power plant in Alberta was shut down for several months to repair a boiler. The utility made excellent progress toward their goal of 15,000 megawatts by 2005 by starting with the construction of what will be one of Canada's largest cogeneration facilities at Sarnia, Ontario. TransAlta also commissioned a 360 MW cogeneration facility at Poplar Creek at Suncor's Fort McMurray oil sand facility. TransAlta also has an excellent track record in developing power generation projects internationally. refs., tabs., figs.

71

Integration issues to realize OTEC market potential. Draft final report  

Specific technical, financial, institutional and regulatory impediments associated with the integration of OTEC units into the commercial electric utility system by the time OTEC becomes available, and specific technical, financial, institutional and regulatory incentives that can be used to eliminate or minimize the impediments are identified and described. Strategies are developed for implementing the incentives, including delineation of the proper private and federal roles. In performing the analysis, the specific cases of two large utility systems, Florida Power and Light and Middle South Utilities, were addressed. These two are described, as well as the overall Gulf Region Economic Market, and market penetration assumptions are discussed. The utility decision making process and technical issues underlying the question of capacity additions are discussed, as are general and utility-specific financial and regulatory considerations. Current federal and state energy facility licensing environment is surveyed at some length. Funding sources and alternative financing arrangements are addressed. Some incentives are reviewed, considering how well major classes of incentives address each of the important issues effecting OTEC integration and looking in more detail at some of the specific incentives included in the broad classes. Recommendations are made on the permitting and licensing of OTEC plants, on incentive scenarios which will accelerate and implement the demonstration phase, and on incentives which will aid the implementation of the commercialization and maturity stages. (LEW)

72

76 FR 14943 - Antidisruptive Practices Authority  

...Inc. (MGEX) Newedge USA, LLC (Newedge USA) Nicole Provo Peter J. Carini Petroleum Marketers Association of America (PMAA) Rebecca Washington Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (SIFMA) U.S. Senator Carl Levin West...

73

77 FR 40673 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; New York Stock Exchange LLC; NYSE Amex LLC; Order Granting...  

...mechanism of a free and open market and a national...otherwise impede fair access.\\73\\ In this regard...known as the ``Fair Access Rule,'' contains a...securities markets,'' Journal of Finance 33 (1978...informed agents,'' Journal of Financial...

74

Governing emerging stock markets: legal vs administrative governance  

Purpose - To examine the difficulties associated with transferring legal governance mechanisms and shareholder rights protection from countries with developed financial markets to newly emerging economies. Design/methodology/approach - Contrasts the development of China's stock markets and strong f...

75

Profit profiles in correlated markets  

We consider a financial market where the asset price follows a fractional Brownian motion. We introduce a family of investment strategies, and quantify profit possibilities for both persistent and antipersistant markets.

76

The Solar Development Corporation  

This paper describes a proposed stand alone company, the Solar Development Corporation (SDC), to be a business development and financing entity for photovoltaic operations with the potential to be commercially sustainable. SDC will have a fully integrated policy advocacy link to the World Bank. SDC will define target countries where the potential exists for significant early market expansion. In those countries it will provide: market and business development services that will accelerate the growth of private firms and deepen the penetration of Solar Home Systems (SHS) and other rural PV applications in the market; and access to pre-commercial and parallel financing for private firms to (1) expand their capability in PV distribution businesses, and (2) strengthen their ability to provide credit to end users. SDC itself will not engage in direct financing of the final consumer. It is intended that as far as possible SDC`s finance will be provided in parallel with financing from Financial Intermediaries.

77

Realizing the volatility impacts of sovereign credit ratings information on equity and currency markets: Evidence from the Asian Financial Crisis  

We examine the effects of different types of sovereign rating announcements on realized stock and currency market volatilities and cross-asset correlations around periods of financial crises. Using intraday market data and sovereign ratings data for nine sample countries in the Asia-Pacific region over 1997-2001, we find that currency and stock markets react somewhat heterogeneously to various rating announcements and that stock markets are more responsive to rating news than currency markets. We find new evidence that ratings events have significant and asymmetric impacts on intraday market data and that national market attributes influence rating impacts during financial crises.

78

Cross-correlation in financial dynamics  

To investigate the universal structure of interactions in financial dynamics, we analyze the cross-correlation matrix C of price returns of the Chinese stock market, in comparison with those of the American and Indian stock markets. As an important emerging market, the Chinese market exhibits much stronger correlations than the developed markets. In the Chinese market, the interactions between the stocks in a same business sector are weak, while extra interactions in unusual sectors are detected. Using a variation of the two-factor model, we simulate the interactions in financial markets.

79

10 Years after the Crisis: Thailand?s Financial System Reform  

This paper uses the framework of long-term financial system development to describe and assess the reform process in Thailand after 1997. The present financial reforms are well in line with the pattern of financial development found in the academic literature. A detailed analysis of capital markets,...

80

BINGE BORROWERS OR RATIONAL CONSUMERS? THE FSA AND GOVERNMENT FAILURE  

The FSA seeks to address the putative financial incompetence of the borrowing public by improving its financial capability. The response of rational agents to asset price inflation in the UK is one indication of the competence with which many people use innovations in the financial services industry. The FSA succeeds only in shielding government failures in the money and housing markets.

 
 
 
 
81

76 FR 4207 - Orderly Liquidation Authority Provisions of the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer...  

...Liquidation Title II of the Dodd-Frank...defines the policy goals of the liquidation...the financial stability of the United...the Financial Stability Oversight Council...that realizes the goal of ending...market discipline. II. The Notice of...the Financial Stability Oversight...

82

Essays on High Frequency and Behavioral Finance  

The thesis consists of empirical studies on currency market as well as US equity market. A new volatility estimator using wavelets is proposed and used to analyze financial markets. Currency tick data are analyzed to determine the effects of economic releases on foreign exchange market. Behavioral f...

83

Risks in Commodity and Currency Markets  

This thesis analyzes market risk factors in commodity and currency markets. It focuses on the impact of extreme events on the prices of financial products traded in these markets, and on the overall market risk faced by the investors. The first chapter develops a simple two-factor jump-diffusion mod...

84

Innovation and Growth Chasing a Moving Frontier  

Innovation is crucial to long-term economic growth, even more so in the aftermath of the financial and economic crisis. In this volume, the OECD and the World Bank jointly take stock of how globalisation is posing new challenges for innovation and growth in both developed and developing countries, and how countries are coping with them. The authors discuss options for policy initiatives that can foster technological innovation in the pursuit of faster and sustainable growth. The various chapters highlight how the emergence of an integrated global market affects the impact of national inno

85

Biomedical Technology Assessment The 3Q Method  

Evaluating biomedical technology poses a significant challenge in light of the complexity and rate of introduction in today's healthcare delivery system. Successful evaluation requires an integration of clinical medicine, science, finance, and market analysis. Little guidance, however, exists for those who must conduct comprehensive technology evaluations. The 3Q Method meets these present day needs. The 3Q Method is organized around 3 key questions dealing with 1) clinical and scientific basis, 2) financial fit and 3) strategic and expertise fit. Both healthcare providers (e.g., hospitals) an

86

Pricing Chinese rain: A multisite mulit-period equilibrium pricing model for rainfall derivatives  

Many industries are exposed to weather risk which they can transfer on financial markets via weather derivatives. Equilibrium models based on partial market clearing became a useful tool for pricing such kind of financial instruments. In a multi-period equilibrium pricing model agents rebalance thei...

87

An electronic market-making algorithm  

In finance, a market-maker quotes both a buy and a sell price in a financial instrument or commodity, with the intention of making a profit on the bid/ask spread. The function of market-making in financial instruments is at present almost exclusively the domain of humans. Computational finance (syst...

88

A behavioral macroeconomic model with endogenous boom-bust cycles and leverage dynamcis  

We merge a financial market model with leverage-constrained, heterogeneous agents with a reduced-form version of the New-Keynesian standard model. Agents in both submodels are assumed to be boundedly rational. The financial market model produces endogenously arising boom-bust cycles. It is also capa...

89

Credit Risk Management In Banks As Participants In Financial Markets. : A qualitative study of the perception of bank managers in Sweden (Umeå region)  

Despite the vital role that banks play in Financial markets (FM) by connecting lenders to borrowers, instability in these financial markets, currency values and the global environment has affected the profitability of banks with those in Sweden inclusive. Most if not all companies including banks go...

90

Determinants of Financial Development  

"As the world has witnessed the worst financial crisis and climate crisis of our age, during the period of 2007-2009, the issues surrounding the emergence and development of financial markets and carbon markets is becoming an increasingly significant area of research and debate worldwide. By engag...

91

Financial markets as a complex system: A short time scale perspective  

In this paper we want to discuss macroscopic and microscopic properties of financial markets. By analyzing quantitatively a database consisting of 13 minute per minute recorded financial time series, we identify some macroscopic statistical properties of the corresponding markets, with a special emp...

92

Political Risk in Finland : Does the financial crisis in 1990’s consist of political risk?  

Thesis political risk in Finland will explain the real nature of the financial crisis in Finland in the beginning of 1990’s. Before 1990’s Finland used to be a closed and controlled market. The liberalisation of the financial market began in 1980’s. This process caused the depression in Finland. ...

93

The impact of financial development on energy consumption in emerging economies  

Financial development is often cited as a very important driver of economic growth in emerging economies and it is thus likely that financial development affects energy demand. This study uses generalized method of moments estimation techniques to examine the impact of financial development on energy consumption in a sample of emerging countries. Several different measures of financial development are examined. Using a panel data set on 22 emerging countries covering the period 1990-2006, the empirical results show a positive and statistically significant relationship between financial development and energy consumption when financial development is measured using stock market variables like stock market capitalization to GDP, stock market value traded to GDP, and stock market turnover. The implications of these results for energy policy are discussed. (author)

94

Regional and multi-level governance: East Asian leadership after the global financial crisis  

Although the economies of East Asia emerged from the global financial crisis of 2008 in comparatively strong positions, they remain structurally embedded within global markets. The degree of regional integration that has occurred within East Asia is thus predicated on the on-going interdependence with the economies of Europe and North America. Moves to advance East Asian regional cooperation in the wake of the crisis reflect this global interdependence, as well as intra-regional differences in interests and a lack of strong leadership within the region. Modest cooperation on an East Asian basis has continued since 2008 but the region is very far from realising a substantive regional governance model on economic and financial issues and does not appear to be pursuing a distinctive governanc...

95

A mathematical proof of the existence of trends in financial time series  

We are settling a longstanding quarrel in quantitative finance by proving the existence of trends in financial time series thanks to a theorem due to P. Cartier and Y. Perrin, which is expressed in the language of nonstandard analysis (Integration over finite sets, F. & M. Diener (Eds): Nonstandard Analysis in Practice, Springer, 1995, pp. 195--204). Those trends, which might coexist with some altered random walk paradigm and efficient market hypothesis, seem nevertheless difficult to reconcile with the celebrated Black-Scholes model. They are estimated via recent techniques stemming from control and signal theory. Several quite convincing computer simulations on the forecast of various financial quantities are depicted. We conclude by discussing the r\\^ole of probability theory.

96

Integrating weather derivatives for managing risks  

As deregulation and customer choice loom on the horizon, many energy utilities and other energy suppliers are scrambling to find new services that add value for consumers. Many are also seeking opportunities for increasing efficiency to ensure that costs remain competitive. Integrating weather derivatives with marketing programs and financial management can produce attractive new services and increase efficiency. Weather derivatives can be used to create innovative consumer services, such as a guaranteed annual energy bill which is unaffected by weather and energy price changes. They can also be used to protect the earnings of energy suppliers from one of their most significant financial risks, unpredictable weather. There are three basic types of weather derivatives available today. Option or insurance based derivatives (options), swaps or hedge based derivatives (swaps) and packages where other services are combined with one or both of the above.

97

Understanding the source of multifractality in financial markets  

In this paper, we use the generalized Hurst exponent approach to study the multi-scaling behavior of different financial time series. We show that this approach is robust and powerful in detecting different types of multi-scaling. We observe a puzzling phenomenon where an apparent increase in multifractality is measured in time series generated from shuffled returns, where all time-correlations are destroyed, while the return distributions are conserved. This effect is robust and it is reproduced in several real financial data including stock market indices, exchange rates and interest rates. In order to understand the origin of this effect we investigate different simulated time series by means of the Markov switching multifractal model, autoregressive fractionally integrated moving avera...

98

Inovações financeiras e institucionais do sistema de financiamento residencial americano/ Institutional and financial innovations in the U.S. housing finance system  

Abstract in english This article has the gold of summarize the institutional modifications of the US housing finance system between the 60's and the end of the 90's. Those changes narrowed the bonds between this segment of the credit market and the securitized financial markets, encouraging the foundation and diffusion of financial innovations that are in the core of the current financial crises.

99

Effects of diversification among assets in an agent-based market model  

We extend to the multi-asset case the framework of a discrete time model of a single asset financial market developed in Ghoulmie et al (2005). In particular, we focus on adaptive agents with threshold behavior allocating their resources among two assets. We explore numerically the effect of this diversification as an additional source of complexity in the financial market and we discuss its destabilizing role. We also point out the relevance of these studies for financial decision making.

100

Basics of Saving and Investing: A Teaching Guide. Financial Literacy Two Thousand and One.  

This teaching guide contains learning objectives that focus on the following: how to design a personal financial plan; how financial markets work; how to select among various saving and investment options; how to find out and use investment information; and how to recognize and protect oneself against investment fraud. The guide can be the framework of a course or a supplement to existing high school courses in social studies, economics and consumer economics, business education, personal finance, and mathematics. Each unit contains learning objectives, background information for teachers and students, suggested activities, overheads, handouts, and worksheets. Appendices contain a glossary of terms and resource lists. The guide is divided into the following units: (1) "Financial Decisions" (personal financial planning, factors that influence decisions, a plan to reach financial goals, protection against financial risk); (2) "How Financial Markets Work" (types of financial markets, how securities are bought and sold, regulation of financial markets, factors that affect price); (3) "Investment Choices" (why people save and invest, types of savings and investments, selecting savings and investments; how long will it take to double your money?); (4) "Investment Information" (information about markets and securities, selecting financial professionals); and (5) "Investment Fraud" (scams, schemes and swindles, how telemarketing fraud works, inside Boiler Rooms"; "Types of Investment Scams; fraudulent sales techniques, how to victim-proof yourself; protecting the investor). (BT)

 
 
 
 
101

Early Mover Advantages: Evidence From the Long-Term Care Insurance Market  

Abstract Researchers frequently question whether financial firms benefit by developing new products because barriers to entry common to other industries generally do not exist. Studies of early mover advantages for new financial products provide mixed evidence at best. We find evidence of early mover advantages in the relatively young market for long-term care insurance (LTCI) using data that allow broad testing of financial performance. Product differentiation, individual lines exposure, firm size, and traditional health insurance experience also affect financial performance.

102

Commission for Energy regulation (CRE) - Activity report june 2008; Commission de regulation de l'energie (CRE) - Rapport d'activite juin 2008  

CRE is the French commission for energy regulation. CRE's remit is to assist in ensuring the proper operation of the electricity and natural gas markets for the benefit of the end-user. In particular, CRE ensures that the conditions of access to electricity and natural gas transmission and distribution systems do not hinder the development of competition. It monitors, for the electricity and natural gas sectors, all transactions made between suppliers, traders and producers, all transactions made on the organised markets and cross-border trading. It ensures that suppliers, traders and producers propose offers that are consistent with their financial and technical constraints. It monitors the implementation of and compliance with regulations giving consumers the right to choose their supplier in a competitive market, and allowing new suppliers to enter the market. This document is the 2008 activity report of CRE. Content: A - How CRE works: CRE regulatory authority and organisation: Powers, Organisation; Budget resources; Personnel; B - The Standing Committee for Dispute Settlement and Sanctions (CoRDiS) activity: Admissibility, Authority; C - Building a single European energy market: Overview; Organisation and coordination of the main European regulators (Work carried out collectively by European regulators, Regulator organisation and development, CRE's relations with European Community institutions, Development of CEER activities outside the European Union); CRE's European activities (The contribution of European regulators to the Third Energy Package, Integration of gas markets, Integration of electricity markets, Operation of the European interconnected electricity grid and security of supply, Opening up markets to benefit consumers); European Community activities (The European Commission's proposals for the internal energy market: the Third Energy Package, The European Commission's proposals for fighting climate change: the Climate Package, Infringement proceedings initiated against France by the European Commission); D - CRE action at national level: Regulation of systems and infrastructures (General information, Electricity grids, Natural gas networks and other infrastructures); Electricity and natural gas markets (Changes in the regulatory and legislative context, Electricity markets, Natural gas markets, Monitoring open market operations); Support measures: electricity generation, vulnerable customers and TaRTAM (Supporting cogeneration and renewable energy sources, Public electricity service costs, Collection of public electricity service contributions (CSPE), TaRTAM-related costs, Costs related to the special solidarity tariff for natural gas supply); E - Appendices: Glossary, Acronyms, Council of European Energy Regulators, Units and conversions.

103

Correlation of financial markets in times of crisis  

Using the eigenvalues and eigenvectors of correlations matrices of some of the main financial market indices in the world, we show that high volatility of markets is directly linked with strong correlations between them. This means that markets tend to behave as one during great crashes. In order to do so, we investigate financial market crises that occurred in the years 1987 (Black Monday), 1998 (Russian crisis), 2001 (Burst of the dot-com bubble and September 11), and 2008 (Subprime Mortgage Crisis), which mark some of the largest downturns of financial markets in the last three decades. Financial crises are correlated with high correlation of stock exchange indices. There is a distinct global market movement common to all indices. The frequency distribution of the correlation matrix of indices is not normal.

104

Electricity demand and transmission system capacity  

27 overheads/viewgraphs outline the presentation. Firstly an overview is given of the electric power industry in the USA at present, discussing power prices, power market's objectives and challenges to meeting market objectives. The outlook for coal markets is discussed. ICF's integrated approach to power markets is presented - this interlinks electric power markets, fuel markets and environmental markets.

105

Superpositions of Probability Distributions  

Probability distributions which can be obtained from superpositions of Gaussian distributions of different variances v = \\sigma ^2 play a favored role in quantum theory and financial markets. Such superpositions need not necessarily obey the Chapman-Kolmogorov semigroup relation for Markovian processes because they may introduce memory effects. We derive the general form of the smearing distributions in v which do not destroy the semigroup property. The smearing technique has two immediate applications. It permits simplifying the system of Kramers-Moyal equations for smeared and unsmeared conditional probabilities, and can be conveniently implemented in the path integral calculus. In many cases, the superposition of path integrals can be evaluated much easier than the initial path integral. Three simple examples are presented, and it is shown how the technique is extended to quantum mechanics.

106

Anatomy of a ‘Critical Friendship’ : Organized Labour and the European State Formation  

Drawing on a critical political economy perspective on European integration, this article argues that organized labour at the European level, mainly through the form of the ETUC (European Trade Union Confederation), has been over-reliant on the institutional structures of the European state formation, and concomitant hopes for a European social model, rather than questioning the social basis of the hegemonic project of neoliberal integration that has fundamentally engendered the current form of the EU. This argument is then revisited in the light of recent developments; even before the current crisis fault lines in this strategy have emerged, and have subsequently become more pronounced. The analysis examines the role and strategies of organized labour in the process of European integration, focusing on the shifts and continuities in its position from broad support for the Single Market project to an increasingly critical relationship with the European state formation in the context of financial and economic crisis.

107

Cooperação monetária e financeira: o que é bom para a Ásia também é para a América Latina?  

Abstract in english Monetary and financial cooperation: what is good to Asian is also good to Latin America?. This article compares the Asian and Latin American experiences with monetary cooperation. It is argued that in the latter such cooperation has hardly progressed, due to low degree of regional integration, the recurrent use of multilateral institutional resources to deal with external shocks and the lack of clear objectives: monetary cooperation is some times seen as a means to foster (more) integration, but also as a means to provide long term funds and as a source of liquidity in foreign currencies. In Asia, differently, cooperation has apparently not been so instrumental to regional integration, but has proven to be quite important as a means to build a regional capital market as well as a mechanism to deal with external shocks.

108

What matters when? The impact of ECB communication on financial market expectations  

This article analyses financial markets' reaction to European Central Bank's (ECB) communication. We apply a novel indicator that quantifies the contents of the ECB's introductory statements and allows disentangling ECB statements on prices, the real and the monetary sector. We provide evidence that it matters what issue the ECB is speaking about: especially, the ECB's statements on price developments represent important news to financial markets. It also matters when the ECB affects markets: communication drives maturities above 4 months.

109

Marketing residential grid-connected PV systems using a balanced scorecard as a marketing tool  

A strategic analysis of the electricity market in Western Australia yields a market potential for renewable energy in Western Australia. However, from a purely financial viewpoint the installation of grid-connected pv-systems still is not economically viable. In this paper a balanced scorecard (BSC) is developed to capture and visualize other than financial benefits. Therefore, the BSC can be used as a marketing tool to communicate the benefits of a privately owned GCPV system to potential customers. (author)

110

An Econophysics Model for the Stock-Markets' Analysis and Diagnosis  

In this paper we present an econophysic model for the description of shares transactions in a capital market. For introducing the fundamentals of this model we used an analogy between the electrical field produced by a system of charges and the overall of economic and financial information of the shares transactions from the stock-markets. An energetic approach of the rate variation for the shares traded on the financial markets was proposed and studied.

111

Annual report 1997-1998  

Atomic Energy of Canada Limited (AECL) was established in 1952 as a Crown Corporation and reports to parliament through the Minister of Natural Resources. As an annual report, financial statements are an integral element, financial analysis and review are also ongoing. AECL is very active in marketing the science culture which is key to public understanding and acceptance of the nuclear industry. In commercial operations, the CANDU is still the flagship to be marketed in many countries. AECL is the main producer of medical isotopes for the global market. AECL and MDS Nordion signed agreements to secure the ongoing supply of isotopes and to build and operate two MAPLE reactors at the Chalk River site. Activities at AECL are focused on improved economics, further enhanced safety systems and fuel cycle flexibility in the research and product development programs. Waste management and nuclear sciences i e. health and environmental sciences are ongoing studies. Site refurbishment focuses on replacing and refurbishing major facilities to meet business needs.

112

With building integrated photovoltaic in a daylight optimized passive house to energy autonomy; Mit gebaeudeintegrierter PV im tageslichtoptimierten Passivhaus zur bilanziellen Energieautarkie  

With the introduction of a cost recovering energy feeding law, new possibilities open up for the building integration of photovoltaics and for the solar power generation at the ''Point of sale ''. Still, the appropriate Swiss market is marginal. Not all legal, technical and financial hurdles are removed. Here the photovoltaics with its building integration is in touch with an emotional factor of revaluation: An integration of photovoltaics adresses the building owner beyond their technical-economic value at a culturally abstract level - a wing of a butterfly oscillating in the sunlight also touches on a completely different level. Exactly the same the integration of photovoltaics makes the building to a unique piece of jewellery. In the pioneer phase of the photovoltaics market, architectonically successful integrations of photovoltaics succeeded in a break-through of the solar power generation. Photovoltaics at building coverings is more than a ''fashion '': it becomes a lever arm, with which the solarization of our society transports significant values. Apart from rational-technical considerations this effect has to be used to favour a broad application of photovoltaics with the building integration more purposefully.

113

Diversification of Microfinance Institutions: Determinants for Entering the Remittances Market  

As financial intermediaries, microfinance institutions (MFIs) contribute to integrate remittances into the formal financial system. Using a database including 225 MFIs from Latin America and the Caribbean, this paper investigates the institutional factors that influence the MFI decision-making proce...

114

Ageing and unused capacity in Europe: is there an early retirement trap?  

Summary We address the issue of how early retirement may interact with limited use of financial markets in producing financial hardship later in life, when some risks (such as long-term care) are not insured. We argue that the presence of financially attractive early retirement schemes in a world of imperfect financial and insurance markets can lead to an `early retirement trap'. Indeed, Europe witnesses many (early) retired individuals in financial distress. In our analysis we use data on 10 European countries, which differ in their pension and welfare systems, in prevailing retirement age and in households' access to financial markets. We find evidence that an early retirement trap exists, particularly in some Southern and Central European countries: people who retired early in life are ...

115

Analytical calculation of risk measures for variable annuity guaranteed benefits  

With the increasing complexity of investment options in life insurance, more and more life insurers have adopted stochastic modeling methods for the assessment and management of insurance and financial risks. The most prevalent approach in market practice, Monte Carlo simulation, has been observed to be time consuming and sometimes extremely costly. In this paper we propose alternative analytical methods for the calculation of risk measures for variable annuity guaranteed benefits on a stand-alone basis. The techniques for analytical calculations are based on the study of geometric Brownian motion and its integral. Another novelty of the paper is to propose a quantitative model which assesses both market risk on the liability side and revenue risk on the asset side in the same framework fr...

116

The REDD menace: Resurgent protectionism in Tanzania's mangrove forests  

Reduced Emissions from Deforestation and Degradation (REDD+) is being proclaimed as ''a new direction in forest conservation'' (Anglesen, 2009: 125). This financial incentives-based climate change mitigation strategy proposed by the UNEP, World Bank, GEF and environmental NGOs seeks to integrate forests into carbon sequestration schemes. Its proponents view REDD+ as part of an adaptive strategy to counter the effects of global climate change. This paper combines the theoretical approaches of market environmentalism and environmental narratives to examine the politics of environmental knowledge that are redefining socio-nature relations in the Rufiji Delta, Tanzania to make mangrove forests amenable to markets. Through a case study of a ''REDD-readiness'' climate change mitigation and adapt...

117

Euro money market spreads during the 2007-? financial crisis  

In the paper we investigate the empirical features of euro area money market turbulence during the recent financial crisis. By means of a novel Fractionally Integrated Heteroskedastic Factor Vector Autoregressive model, we find evidence of a deterministic level factor in the EURIBOR-OIS (OIS) spreads term structure, associated with the two waves of stress in the interbank market, following the BNP Paribas (9 August 2007) and Lehman Brothers (16 September 2008) ''shocks'', and two additional factors, of the long memory type, bearing the interpretation of curvature and slope factors, respectively. The unfolding of the crisis yields a significant increase in their persistence and volatility. We also find evidence of a declining trend in the level and volatility of OIS spreads since December 2...

118

An empirical inquiry into marketing Islamic mortgages in the UK  

Purpose - This paper aims to explore public perceptions on marketing-related issues of Islamic mortgages, which can help to identify the contents of the best marketing strategies for financial institutions wishing to promote Islamic mortgages among the Muslim community in the UK. In doing so, the access issues of the Islamic mortgages and how to effectively raise awareness among the Muslim community is discussed. The paper also aims to discuss the integration of the Islamic mortgage and to investigate the importance of staff confidence and the acceptability of promoting the Islamic mortgage by a non-Muslim sales person. Furthermore, the role of religion, the Muslim households' consumer preferences and the prospect of Islamic mortgage providers' cross-selling Islamic mortgage products to th...

119

Long memory and structural breaks in commodity futures markets  

Abstract This study employs daily data for 14 commodities and three financial assets 1990-2009 to explore the impact of the time series properties of the futures-spot basis and the cost of carry on forward market unbiasedness. The main result is that the basis of 16 assets exhibits both long memory and structural breaks. The long memory in the basis is robust even to the use of break-adjusted data. It implies that the cost-of-carry has long memory which the empirical results confirm using the interest cost as a proxy. These new findings suggest that the forecast error has long memory and are inconsistent with unbiasedness. They could be consistent with a weaker version of market efficiency in the presence of a fractionally integrated, time-varying risk premium but they could also be ration...

120

Implementing a risk management program at Falconbridge  

A corporate overview of Falconbridge was presented. Falconbridge, founded in 1928 is a leading producer of nickel, copper, cobalt and platinum group metals at low cost. A map displaying its worldwide locations was shown. In Canada, Falconbridge operates in Ontario and Nunavik Territory. The experience in Norway was briefly described, touching on market volatility, market intelligence, portfolio management, and risk management guidelines. The author then explained the purpose of the Energy Project Team, which was responsible for preparing for deregulation, developing strategies for purchasing energy, and minimizing the cost of purchased energy in a competitive market. The plan was described, and the emphasis placed on the core Ontario team. Communication played a large part. The management system functions were reviewed, and analysis provided. The financial integration model was presented. Risk management was dealt with, followed by market intelligence and operational hedge. Division impact was discussed. The major Falconbridge issues were: budget exposure to electricity price variability, how much fixed-price power supply and how long should the contracts be, regulatory structure, market purchase timing, and adhere to corporate risk management policy. The procurement process was described. The author concluded that the product must be kept simple and the number of products limited. A realistic schedule must by adhered to, and a short bidding period of four hours proved ideal. Supplier relationship must be consumer driven. The importance of communication plan was emphasized. Getting pre-approval to make the deal is important. tabs., figs.

 
 
 
 
121

Moving towards culturally competent health systems: organizational and market factors.  

Cultural competency has been proposed as an organizational strategy to address racial/ethnic disparities in the healthcare system; disparities are a long-standing policy challenge whose relevance is only increasing with the increasing population diversity of the US and across the world. Using an integrative conceptual framework based on the resource dependency and institutional theories, we examine the relationship between organizational and market factors and hospitals' degree of cultural competency. Our sample consists of 119 hospitals located in the state of California (US) and is constructed using the following datasets for the year 2006: Cultural Competency Assessment Tool of Hospitals (CCATH) Survey, California's Office of Statewide Health Planning & Development's Hospital Inpatient Discharges and Annual Hospital Financial Data, American Hospital Association's Annual Survey, and the Area Resource File. The dependent variable consists of the degree of hospital cultural competency, as assessed by the CCATH overall score. Organizational variables include ownership status, teaching hospital, payer mix, size, system membership, financial performance, and the proportion of inpatient racial/ethnic minorities. Market characteristics included hospital competition, the proportion of racial/ethnic minorities in the area, metropolitan area, and per capita income. Regression analyses were conducted to assess the relationship between the CCATH overall score and organizational and market variables. Our results show that hospitals which are not-for-profit, serve a more diverse inpatient population, and are located in more competitive and affluent markets exhibit a higher degree of cultural competency. Our results underscore the importance of both institutional and competitive market pressures in guiding hospital behavior. For instance, while not-for-profit may adopt innovative/progressive policies like cultural competency simply as a function of their organizational goals, linking cultural competency with organizational performance may be essential to attract more profit driven hospitals. PMID:22647564

122

Financial instability from local market measures  

We study the emergence of instabilities in a stylized model of a financial market, when different market actors calculate prices according to different (local) market measures. We derive typical properties for ensembles of large random markets using techniques borrowed from statistical mechanics of disordered systems. We show that, depending on the number of financial instruments available and on the heterogeneity of local measures, the market moves from an arbitrage-free phase to an unstable one, where the complexity of the market—as measured by the diversity of financial instruments—increases, and arbitrage opportunities arise. A sharp transition separates the two phases. Focusing on two different classes of local measures inspired by real market strategies, we are able to analytically compute the critical lines, corroborating our findings with numerical simulations.

123

Resources and capabilities as drivers of hotel environmental marketing strategy: Implications for competitive advantage and performance  

Building on the resource-based view, we develop a model of drivers and outcomes of environmentally friendly marketing strategies in the Greek hotel sector. Data collected from 152 hotels reveal that possessing sufficient physical and financial resources is instrumental in achieving effective green marketing strategies. In addition, shared vision and technology sensing/response capabilities help develop a sound environmentally friendly marketing strategy. In turn, the adoption of such a strategy is conducive to obtaining competitive advantage, which subsequently increases the potential to achieve superior market and financial performance. Furthermore, the study finds that the effect of environmental marketing strategy on competitive advantage is stronger in the case of intense competitive s...

124

The global financial crisis and Islamic finance  

Abstract The conventional view holds that the current global financial crisis was caused by extraordinarily high liquidity, reckless lending practices, and the rapid pace of financial engineering, which created complex and opaque financial instruments used for risk transfer. There was a breakdown of the lender-borrower relationship and informational problems caused by a lack of transparency in asset market prices, particularly in the market for structured credit instruments. There was outdated, lax, or absent regulatory-supervisory oversight; faulty risk management and accounting models; and the emergence of an incentive structure that not only encouraged excessive risk taking but also created a complicit coalition of financial institutions, real estate developers and appraisers, insurance...

125

Complex systems: from nuclear physics to financial markets  

We compare correlations and coherent structures in nuclei and financial markets. In the nuclear physics part we review giant resonances which can be interpreted as a coherent structure embedded in chaos. With similar methods we investigate the financial empirical correlation matrix of the DAX and Dow Jones. We will show, that if the time-zone delay is properly accounted for, the two distinct markets largely merge into one. This is reflected by the largest eigenvalue that develops a gap relative to the remaining, chaotic eigenvalues. By extending investigations of the specific character of financial collectivity we also discuss the criticality-analog phenomenon of the financial log-periodicity and show specific examples.

126

From the Great Moderation to the Global Crisis: Exchange Market Pressure in the 2000s  

We study exchange market pressures (EMP) and using international reserves by emerging markets (EMs) during the 2000s. We find that financial considerations dominated trade factors. The impact of gross short-term external debt quintuples during the crisis. Capital outflows and deleveraging was the force behind EMP rise during the global financial crisis. Greater FDI (greater portfolio debt) inflows prior to the crisis were associated with a lower (higher) crisis EMP, respectively. The severity of the financial shock was exacerbated by financial ties to the U.S., while the trade shock was more severe in EMs with a larger commodity export share.

127

Frontiers of finance Evolution and efficient markets  

In this review article we explore several recent advances in the quantitative modeling of financial markets. We begin with the Efficient Markets Hypothesis and describe how this controversial idea has stimulated a number of new directions of research, some focusing on more elaborate mathematical models that are captable of rationalizing the empirical facrts, others taking a completely different different tack in rejecting rationality altogether. One of the most promising directions is to view financial markets from a biological perspective and, specifically, with an evolutionary framework in which markets, instruments, institutions, and investors interact and evolve dynamically according to the "law" of economic selection. Under this view, financial agents compete and adapt, but they do not necessarily do so in an optimal fashion. Evolutionary and ecological models of financial markets is truly a new frontier whose exploration has just begun.

128

Leverage bubble  

Leverage is strongly related to liquidity in a market and lack of liquidity is considered a cause and/or consequence of the recent financial crisis. A repurchase agreement is a financial instrument where a security is sold simultaneously with an agreement to buy it back at a later date. Repurchase agreement (repo) market size is a very important element in calculating the overall leverage in a financial market. Therefore, studying the behavior of repo market size can help to understand a process that can contribute to the birth of a financial crisis. We hypothesize that herding behavior among large investors led to massive over-leveraging through the use of repos, resulting in a bubble (built up over the previous years) and subsequent crash in this market in early 2008. We use the Johansen...

129

Behavioral Finance and Agent-Based Artificial Markets  

Studying the behavior of market participants is important due to its potential impact on asset prices and the dynamics of financial markets. The idea of individual investors who are prone to biases in judgment and who use various heuristics, which might lead to anomalies on the market level, has bee...

130

Big elephants in small ponds: do large traders make financial markets more aggressive?  

Market participants often suspect that large traders have a disproportionate effect on financial markets, increasing the aggressiveness of market responses. Prior studies have shown that the impact of a large trader on a currency crisis depends positively on his size and informational position. By c...

131

Can an Islamic model of housing finance cooperative elevate the economic status of the underprivileged?  

A formal home loan is onerous to subprime borrowers in efficient markets. This can deter homeownership for financially strapped individuals, leading to a market failure. This paper proposes a special form of cooperative mortgage financing (practiced in Oman) to overcome this market failure. We integ...

132

Can an Islamic Model of Housing Finance Cooperative Elevate the Economic Status of the Underprivileged?  

Abstract A formal home loan is onerous to subprime borrowers in efficient markets. This can deter homeownership for financially strapped individuals, leading to a market failure. This paper proposes a special form of cooperative mortgage financing (practiced in Oman) to overcome this market ...

133

Monetary policy predictability in the Euro area: an international comparison  

We evaluate the ability of market participants to anticipate monetary policy decisions in 14 countries. First, by looking at both magnitude and volatility of changes in the money market rates we show that the days of policy meetings are special days for financial markets. Second, we find that the pr...

134

Financial power laws: Empirical evidence, models, and mechanism  

Financial markets (share markets, foreign exchange markets and others) are all characterized by a number of universal power laws. The most prominent example is the ubiquitous finding of a robust, approximately cubic power law characterizing the distribution of large returns. A similarly robust featu...

135

Pricing of Non-redundant Derivatives in a Complete Market  

We consider a complete financial market with primitive assets and derivatives on these primitive assets. Nevertheless, the derivative assets are non-redundant in the market, in the sense that the market is complete, only with their existence. In such a framawork, we derive an equilibrium restriction...

136

Brave new world of debt  

An examination of recent and historic trends in the public government and corporate bond markets, how these trends and changed conditions affect the way utility companies assess bond markets, and how utility financial officers already facing profound changes in their industry will be affected by these changed bond markets suggests that the job of the financial officer is more complicated than previously. Financial officers in the future will add new roles of restricting their balance sheets, investing internal cash, and planning for future capital budgeting. 4 figures.

137

Instabile Finanzmarkte  

Abstract: The paradigm of self-stabilizing, equilibrating financial markets, respected for a long time, is seriously challenged by the recent financial crisis. Despite sophisticated bank risk management and comprehensive bank supervision interbank and corporate bond markets collapsed in 2007-2009. The state interventions required for saving banks are without precedent in modern economic history. In this essay we attempt to explain financial market instability. Key determinants of the crisis are, in our opinion, weaknesses of the information architecture which should provide credible information for investors. Three determinants of instability are identified: first, the utilization of debt instruments combined with high degrees of corporate leverage; second, the tradeability of securities c...

138

Sodium/sulfur battery storage: Integrated generation portfolio analysis and commercialization strategy  

This report summarizes the work performed by Polydyne, Inc. for the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI) under Contract RP 128-15. The objectives of this study are (1) to assess both the near- and long-term market potential and penetration of sodium-sulphur batteries for electric utility storage and load leveling; and (2) based upon this analysis, to develop a feasible strategy for commercialization of this technology. This report documents the results of an integrated commercialization analysis of sodium-sulphur batteries for electric utility storage applications. The analysis represents an integration of market, economic, risk, and financial considerations, culminating in a dynamic market penetration potential for sodium-sulphur battery storage plants. This potential is derived over time under conditions of uncertainty as part of an overall portfolio approach to generation planning. The resulting commercialization strategy involves forward-pricing of the first twelve 100-MWh sodium- sulphur battery storage plants in high-value markets at an average price reflecting learning costs and portfolio considerations. This forward price is commensurate with the portfolio valuation or risk-premium of the sodium-sulphur battery in high-value utility markets. Subsequent to these first twelve plants, the marginal cost of sodium-sulphur battery storage plants is projected to become increasingly attractive in comparison to other alternatives for peaking and intermediate load applications as a result of further production learning and technological innovation cost reductions. Based upon generation portfolio considerations, the potential portfolio market for mature sodium-sulphur batteries for electric utility applications was assessed to be one-third of the peaking capacity (approximately 5% of the total US installed generation capacity), or 45 GW by 1990 to 60 GW by the year 2030. 30 refs., 35 figs., 13 tabs.

139

Bolivia-Brazil gas pipeline about to take off; seen as litmus test for Southern Cone gas grid  

After more than 4 decades of studies, plans, and shelved projects, the proposed Bolivia-Brazil gas pipeline is finally about to get off the ground. The 3,700 km gas pipeline will require an investment of at least $2 billion and is viewed by many as a litmus test for the developing gas market and energy integration of South America`s Southern Cone countries. Overall, industry officials see eventual emergence of two large integrated gas grids serving South America: one for the northern countries and another for the Southern Cone. This will enable the six countries with gas surplus to their needs to export the surplus to neighboring, gas-short countries. The northern gas-long countries are Venezuela, Colombia, and Trinidad and Tobago; those in the Southern Cone are Argentina, Bolivia, and Peru. The paper discusses financial details, project details, pipeline construction, the Petrobras strategy, Argentine pipeline projects, and other pipeline proposals.

140

The Whonka Chocolate Company: Corporate governance and controls over financial reporting  

Whonka Candy Company (Whonka) is a case study dealing with internal control and corporate governance. The company has grown rapidly over the last few years and achieved a large share of the wholesale chocolate market. The growth has caused many changes to corporate operations and financial reporting. Your responsibility as a new member of Whonka's board of directors is to evaluate the company's current system of control. Use the knowledge you have obtained regarding the Sarbanes-Oxley (SOX) Act (2002) (Sarbanes-Oxley Act of 2002. 2002, July 30. Available at http://www.sec.gov/about/laws/soa2002.pdf) and the COSO Internal Control-Integrated Framework (1992 and 2012) (Committee of Sponsoring Organizations of the Tre. (1994). INTERNAL CONTROL - INTEGRATED FRAMEWORK. Jersey City, NJ: AICPA. Re...

 
 
 
 
141

SAP and life-cycle management in the upstream  

Business relationships today depend more than ever on changing alliances and partnerships to leverage risk in a commodity market. SAP is a fully integrated, enterprise-wide software system that uses business processes tightly integrated around a common data model to facilitate these business relationships across the oil and gas supply chain. The SAP modules contain the business processes that are needed to handle the logistics and operations maintenance for operating an oil or gas field. Each industry has unique business-process requirements that the core SAP application set may not cover. In the oil and gas business, there are unique financial requirements in the upstream for working in joint ventures. In the downstream business segment, handling bulk hydrocarbons requires additional functionality.

142

Small College Guide to Financial Health: Weathering Turbulent Times [with CD-ROM  

In this timely book, financial consultant and experienced college administrator Mike Townsley examines the financial and strategic resources that private colleges and universities must have in place to withstand the storm. Small college presidents, CFOs, planners, chief academic officers, and board members all have a hand on the tiller and will find substantive guidance here on analyzing financial condition, reshaping strategy, implementing best practices, weathering rocky periods, and designing turnarounds. Readers will learn: (1) Current financial conditions and statistics for private colleges and universities; (2) Economics of markets, prices, and constraints that drive private institutions; (3) Common financial structures; (4) Model practices employed in a well-run business office; (5) Typical business models that are the framework for strategy, operations, and finance; (6) Recommended policies and procedures to safeguard against disaster; (7) Strategic planning for optimum performance; (8) Leadership qualities and characteristics; (9) Warning signs of financial distress; (10) Comparative case histories of private colleges that have succeeded and failed; (11) Lessons learned from college closures and steps for dramatic turnarounds; and (12) A set of principles for building and sustaining strategic momentum. Looking ahead to looming financial pressures, Townsley offers advice on maintaining a forward momentum detailing specific measures for monitoring performance and posing top-of-mind questions that will help financial officers maintain the vigilance required to turn a problem into an opportunity. Well illustrated and documented with the latest statistics, "Small College Guide to Financial Health: Weathering Turbulent Times" includes a CD with several tools and templates for analyzing and designing a winning financial strategy. Appended are: (1) Strategic Planning Components; (2) Financial, Marketing, and Management Diagnostics; (3) Financial Measures; (4) Financial Management Ratios; (5) Financial Benchmarks; (6) Financial Aid: Net Tuition Rates and Net Tuition Revenue; (7) Composite Financial Index; (8) Data Sources; and (9) Massey and Hopkins's Economic Model. A bibliography and an index are included. Individual chapters contain endnotes. (Contains 14 figures and 34 tables.)

143

Commission for Energy regulation (CRE) - Activity report June 2005; Commission de regulation de l'energie (CRE) - Rapport d'activite juin 2005  

CRE is the French commission for energy regulation. CRE's remit is to assist in ensuring the proper operation of the electricity and natural gas markets for the benefit of the end-user. In particular, CRE ensures that the conditions of access to electricity and natural gas transmission and distribution systems do not hinder the development of competition. It monitors, for the electricity and natural gas sectors, all transactions made between suppliers, traders and producers, all transactions made on the organised markets and cross-border trading. It ensures that suppliers, traders and producers propose offers that are consistent with their financial and technical constraints. It monitors the implementation of and compliance with regulations giving consumers the right to choose their supplier in a competitive market, and allowing new suppliers to enter the market. This document is the 2005 activity report of CRE. Content: A - The opening of the markets in France and in Europe: The opening of the markets one year after 1 July 2004 (An especially important step, Electricity and gas: a common framework with structural differences, The coexistence of market prices and regulated tariffs); The European texts of 26 June 2003 (Texts to give new impetus, Texts to harmonize the role and powers of national regulators, Texts to guarantee the independence of system operators, Texts to ensure transparent and non-discriminatory access to networks, Texts providing for strengthening of interconnections); The outlook for 2007, a fully open market (1 July 2007: a date set by the directives, Priority given to informing and protecting consumers); B - Regulation of the natural gas market: The gas market in the European context (Europe's dependency on imports is increasing, Gas prices increased considerably across the whole of Europe in 2004, The European gas scene continues to be dominated by a small number of players, Gas infrastructures need to be developed in Europe, The new European texts specify the competitive framework); Opening of the gas markets (Opening of the markets in European Union countries, Opening of the French gas market); CRE: regulator of the French gas market (Major obstacles to efficient operation of the French gas market were raised during 2004 and early 2005, Changes in natural gas regulated sales tariffs, Regulated infrastructure tariffs and utilisation conditions, Gaz de France and Total commitments made to the European Commission, Opening of the non-household market on 1 July 2004 and work of the 2004 Gas Working Group (GTG 2004), Audits of the un-bundled accounts of integrated gas operators, CRE's opinions on the regulatory texts, Codes of good conduct for network operators); The work programme (Independence of network operators, Feedback, Preparation of total opening on 1 July 2007, Preparation of the new tariffs for use of regulated gas infrastructures, Comparison of offers of access to storage facilities in Europe, Distribution system operators' investment criteria, Works in the European context); C - Regulation of the electricity market: actors and electricity markets; access to public power networks; the public electric utility in the regulated market; D - The working of CRE: How CRE exercises its jurisdiction (A working method based on responsiveness, consultation and transparency, Disputes solved help to guarantee the right of access to networks for consumers, suppliers and producers, Control and sanction powers); Tools (Professionalism and a multi-disciplinary approach, Some resources remain insufficient to meet the deadline for total opening of the energy markets on 1 July 2007, Independence and budgetary structure); European and international activity (Relations with European Union institutions, Relations with other regulators, Other international relations); E - Glossary, Acronyms, Units and conversions, Index of insets, tables and figures, Council of European Energy Regulators (CEER)

144

Trans-local academic credentials and the (re)production of financial elites  

This paper examines the ways in which credentials from a range of education providers are used to (re)produce transnational financial elites in London's international financial district. Extant research has examined the long-standing relationship between educational background and entry into these financial labour markets. Far less attention has been paid to how the relationship between education and financial elites has changed more recently as financial labour markets have become increasingly transnational in nature and education and learning increasingly extend beyond higher education into the workplace. In response, this paper combines work on transnational elite labour markets with work from the sociology of education on the intersection between work and workplace education in order t...

145

Environmental risk and the business bottom line  

Demands for the integration of environmental considerations into the business priorities of leading companies are gathering momentum. Potentially devastating financial losses linked to environmental problems or mismanagement and perceptions of environmental issues, has alarmed the public, financial and insurance sectors together with key stakeholders. Expensive lessons have been learned in recent years - poor environmental design and management can undoubtedly lead to escalation of overall costs to meet changing standards and end of life cycle decommissioning bills. Environmental impact not only damages profitability but erodes the corporate asset base. Even suspicion of land contamination can wipe out market values of real estate. Comprehensive screening of business portfolios, investment plans, and existing assets for sources of environmental risk from concept to divestment, is crucial to ensure environmentally sound investment, to protect assets and minimize both environmental impact and future liability. Today`s key stakeholders and financial sectors are looking beyond the existing balance sheets of companies and now scrutinise their environmental credentials to ensure wise investment. Recent developments in environmental risk as a tool for placing environment on the balance sheet of private and public companies will be presented, using selected examples geared to the exploration and production business, together with the needs for a common, international framework for environmental risk strategies.

146

Understanding the source of multifractality in financial markets  

In this paper, we use the generalized Hurst exponent approach to study the multi-scaling behavior of different financial time series. We show that this approach is robust and powerful in detecting different types of multi-scaling. We observe a puzzling phenomenon where an apparent increase in multifractality is measured in time series generated from shuffled returns, where all time-correlations are destroyed, while the return distributions are conserved. This effect is robust and it is reproduced in several real financial data including stock market indices, exchange rates and interest rates. In order to understand the origin of this effect we investigate different simulated time series by means of the Markov switching multifractal model, autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average processes with stable innovations, fractional Brownian motion and Levy flights. Overall we conclude that the multifractality observed in financial time series is mainly a consequence of the characteristic fat-tailed distribution of the returns and time-correlations have the effect to decrease the measured multifractality.

147

Employment adjustment in the EU: amid the global financial crisis and economic downturn  

The deep recession caused by the U. S. subprime problem and ensuing global financial crisis has inevitably affected employment adjustment in the EU. Looking back over the mid 1970s to mid 1980s, structural unemployment caused mounting job losses and unemployment even though the economy bottomed out twice. While the development of EU integration and reform of labour markets helped improve employment conditions from the mid 1990s, the concern today is that the current crisis threatens to rekindle structural unemployment.This paper examines the current recession's severity compared to previous recessions, employment trends leading up to the financial crisis, and labor market diversity within the EU. We then present an interim assessment of employment and wage adjustment and policy actions being taken in the current recession.Notably, the pace of employment adjustment has increased due to structural changes in recent years such as the greater diversity of employment types, especially part-time workers and fixed-term employment. Meanwhile, policy measures have helped save jobs by encouraging work sharing and work hour flexibility, thereby reducing volatile employment adjustments.However, key problems remain unresolved, including the dual labor market structure of regular (permanent contract, protected) and non-regular (temporary contract, unprotected) employment, as well as wage rigidity. In this respect, two concerns are the growing number of youth-unemployment, which threatens to aggravate structural unemployment, and wage growth amid the recession.From a policy standpoint, the establishment of EU labor market reform guidelines, multinational monitoring, and open method of coordination (OMC) have helped to reduce the risk of repeating the policy mistakes that characterized the 1970s and 1980s. However, since national policies are implemented under the OMC framework, domestic conditions and fiscal constraints facing individual member states could generate large disparities in their policy actions and results.   

148

Fuel cell power systems for remote applications. Phase 1 final report and business plan  

The goal of the Fuel Cell Power Systems for Remote Applications project is to commercialize a 0.1--5 kW integrated fuel cell power system (FCPS). The project targets high value niche markets, including natural gas and oil pipelines, off-grid homes, yachts, telecommunication stations and recreational vehicles. Phase 1 includes the market research, technical and financial analysis of the fuel cell power system, technical and financial requirements to establish manufacturing capability, the business plan, and teaming arrangements. Phase 1 also includes project planning, scope of work, and budgets for Phases 2--4. The project is a cooperative effort of Teledyne Brown Engineering--Energy Systems, Schatz Energy Research Center, Hydrogen Burner Technology, and the City of Palm Desert. Phases 2 through 4 are designed to utilize the results of Phase 1, to further the commercial potential of the fuel cell power system. Phase 2 focuses on research and development of the reformer and fuel cell and is divided into three related, but potentially separate tasks. Budgets and timelines for Phase 2 can be found in section 4 of this report. Phase 2 includes: Task A--Develop a reformate tolerant fuel cell stack and 5 kW reformer; Task B--Assemble and deliver a fuel cell that operates on pure hydrogen to the University of Alaska or another site in Alaska; Task C--Provide support and training to the University of Alaska in the setting up and operating a fuel cell test lab. The Phase 1 research examined the market for power systems for off-grid homes, yachts, telecommunication stations and recreational vehicles. Also included in this report are summaries of the previously conducted market reports that examined power needs for remote locations along natural gas and oil pipelines. A list of highlights from the research can be found in the executive summary of the business plan.

149

A Strategic Risk Management Framework for Multinational Enterprise  

Liberalizations of international trade and improvements in communication and information technologies allow companies to organize around extensive multinational structures of cross-border sourcing networks. In a freely interacting market setting multinational enterprise is exposed to financial and economic risks that can be monitored within conventional reporting systems and managed through use of various derivative instruments. All the while, a dispersed multinational structure can be vulnerable to disruptions caused by changing economic conditions, competitive moves, and geopolitical developments as well as natural disasters and terrorist events that are difficult to forecast. Consequently, current risk management techniques span from conventional gap analyses and quantitative value-at-risk measures of market-related exposures to more qualitative assessments of competitive exposures and low-frequency high-impact disaster events based on scenario analyses. Hence, there is a need to consider risk management approaches that integrate relatively transparent financial exposures with the consequences of uncertain and hard-to-quantify event risks. This paper outlines the contours of such a strategic risk management framework incorporating conventional exposure measures and simulation techniques to assess vulnerability and responsiveness in a turbulent global setting.

150

Action on the Environment: U.S. Steps to Implement Environmental Commitments Made at the 1990 G-7 Summit.  

The document summarizes the Houston Summit Communique - Actions taken by the United States regarding (1) Climate Change, (2) Ozone Protection, (3) Forests, (4) Marine Pollution, (5) Resource Protection, (6) Development and Financial Assistance, (7) Market...

151

Commodity finance: a commercial proposition? Micro- and Mesofinance for Agricultural Commodity Production, Processing and Trade  

This Conference brings together the financial experience of rural and agricultural microfinance institutions and the experience of the Common Fund and other agencies with promoting commodities and small and microentrepreneurs producing, processing and marketing commodities. We expect that this will ...

152

75 FR 66352 - Glycine From the People's Republic of China: Initiation of Antidumping Anti-circumvention Inquiry  

...foreign market researcher's statement during the telephone interview...In addition, based on the analysis of AICO's financial statements, the domestic interested...2010, submission at 13. Analysis Based on our analysis of...

153

76 FR 42471 - Premerger Notification; Reporting and Waiting Period Requirements  

...August 18, 2011. FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT: Robert L. Jones, Deputy Assistant Director, Premerger Notification Office...Securities Industry and Financial Markets Association (Sean C. Davy) (10/18/2010) 9. BUSINESSEUROPE, Grocery...

154

76 FR 6708 - Orderly Liquidation Termination Provision in Swap Trading Relationship Documentation for Swap...  

...market participants and lower litigation risk during times of significant...Background The recent financial crisis, particularly the tumultuous...by minimizing the potential litigation when such resolution authority is exercised. Minimizing litigation risk is important for...

155

Komercin?s paskirties objekt? statybos projekt? daugiatikslis vertinimas investicij? efektyvumo aspektu Multicriteria evaluation of commercial building projects from the perspective of investment profitability  

The article provides the analysis of market development of commercial property constructions, trends, regularities, optimal site locations, characteristics of constructive choosing of combinations, of the main financial investment indices after change of political, economical and social relationship...

156

The Economics of Algorithmic Trading  

Financial markets have undergone a dramatic technological transformation. Electronic and centralized limit order books dominate the organized securities exchange landscape. Banks and fund companies have invested in trading technology to improve their trade generation and monitoring processes. The au...

157

Managing Currency Risk Exposure : A case study of Svenska Cellulosa AB  

Introduction: Recent years’ globalization and expanding currency markets have increased the importance of financial managers.  A multinational company handles different currencies through export and imports, and is thus exposed to currency fluctuations. Awareness and assessment o...

158

77 FR 42312 - Change in Bank Control Notices; Acquisitions of Shares of a Bank or Bank Holding Company  

...voting shares of NBRS Financial Bank, both in Rising Sun, Maryland. B. Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco (Kenneth Binning, Vice President, Applications and Enforcement) 101 Market Street, San Francisco, California 94105-1579: 1....

159

Should economists adopt methods from physics?  

This is a short essay I wrote for an online publication affiliated with the business school at the University of Technology, Sydney. I discuss how the methods used in physics can apply to economics in general and financial markets specifically.

160

Industrial wireless sensor networks : challenges, design principles, and technical approaches  

companies face growing demands to improve process efficiencies, comply with environmental regulations, and meet corporate financial objectives. Given the increasing age of many industrial systems and the dynamic industrial manufacturing market, intell...

 
 
 
 
161

77 FR 62303 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; NYSE Arca, Inc.; Notice of Filing and Immediate Effectiveness of...  

...Standard & Poor's[supreg...and ``Standard & Poor's 500'' are registered...trademarks of Standard & Poor's Financial Services...such as mutual funds and other institutional...the Delta-Based Equity Hedge Exemption...limits adequately protect markets from...

162

Annual results 2004; Resultats annuels 2004  

This 2004 annual evaluation of the french RTE company (electric power transport network) provides information on the 2004 results on: institutional information, financial results, customers and market, industrial resources, environment and consultation, human resources and international aspects. (A.L.B.)

163

75 FR 23676 - Solicitation of Applications for the i6 Challenge Under EDA's Economic Adjustment Assistance Program  

...economic development agenda by promoting innovation and competitiveness, preparing American...means a recipient of a Small Business Innovation Research grant from the National Institutes...venture formation, financing, and marketing; Adequate financial resources...

164

HEALTH AND RETIREMENT STUDY (HRS)  

HRS is a national panel study based on biennial interviews. The study provides a portrait of an aging America's physical and mental health, insurance coverage, financial status, family support systems, labor market status, and retirement planning....

165

A place in the sun; Platz an der Sonne  

In spite of the international financial crisis, the German PV market grew substantially in 2008, especially during the last quarter. In view of the sinking module prices, wholesale distributors are optimistic also for 2009. (orig.)

166

Annual report 1993 (Saskatchewan Forest Products Corporation)  

Annual report of the Corporation, presenting an overview of the year's operations, including marketing, woodlands, the Carrot River Sawmill/Planer Mill Complex, and the Hudson Bay Plywood Plant. A financial statement is included with notes.

167

Annual report 1994  

Annual report of the Corporation, presenting an overview of the year`s operations, including marketing, woodlands, the Carrot River Sawmill/Planer Mill Complex, and the Hudson Bay Plywood Plant. A financial statement is included with notes.

168

Saskatchewan Forest Products Corporation: Annual report 1991-92  

Annual report of the Corporation, presenting an overview of the year's operations, including marketing, woodlands, the Carrot River Sawmill/Planer Mill Complex, and the Hudson Bay Plywood Plant. A financial statement is included with notes.

169

Annual report 1994  

This annual report of the Commission presents information on petroleum and natural gas marketing, sales, and pricing, as well as regulatory activity in Canada and the United States. A financial statement is included.

170

Insider trading with different market structures  

The recent theoretical research on the informational effect of insider trading in the spirit of Kyle (1985) and Jain and Mirman (1999) was mainly interested in the interaction between the financial and real decisions of the insider, taking into consideration different market structures in both the real and financial markets. However, none investigated the importance of the competition structure in the financial market modeled alone, on the dissemination of information. In this paper, we highlight the effect of the competition structure in the financial market on information revelation. For this purpose, we first extend Jain and Mirman (1999) to incorporate: (i) Cournot competition among the insiders (Model I) and (ii) Stackelberg competition between the insiders (Model II). We then add a r...

171

Investigating the Development of the Internal and External Service Tasks of Non-executive Directors: The Case of the Netherlands (1997-2005)  

During the last decade, globalization and liberalization of financial markets, changing societal expectations and corporate governance scandals have increased the attention for the fiduciary duties of non-executive directors. In this context, recent corporate governance reform initiatives have empha...

172

Total - annual report 2005; Total - rapport annuel 2005  

This annual report presents the activities and results of TOTAL S.A., french society on oil and gas. It deals with statistics, the managers, key information on financial data and risk factors, information on the Company, unresolved Staff Comments, employees, major Shareholders, consolidated statements, markets, security, financial risks, defaults dividend arrearages and delinquencies, controls and procedures, code of ethics and financial statements. (A.L.B.)

173

Reverse Engineering Financial Markets with Majority and Minority Games using Genetic Algorithms  

Using virtual stock markets with artificial interacting software investors, aka agent-based models (ABMs), we present a method to reverse engineer real-world financial time series. We model financial markets as made of a large number of interacting boundedly rational agents. By optimizing the similarity between the actual data and that generated by the reconstructed virtual stock market, we obtain parameters and strategies, which reveal some of the inner workings of the target stock market. We validate our approach by out-of-sample predictions of directional moves of the Nasdaq Composite Index.

174

How Fama Went Wrong: Measures of Multivariate Kurtosis for the Identification of the Dynamics of a N-Dimensional Market  

This paper investigates the common intuition suggesting that during crises the shape of the financial market clearly differentiates from that of random walk processes. In this sense, it challenges the analysis of the nature of financial markets proposed by Fama and his associates. For this, a geometric approach is proposed in order to define the patterns of change of the market and a measure of multivariate kurtosis is used in order to test deviations from multinormality. The emergence of crises can be measured in this framework, using all the available information about the returns of the stocks under consideration and not only the index representing the market.

175

The Apparent Madness of Crowds: Irrational collective behavior emerging from interactions among rational agents  

Standard economic theory assumes that agents in markets behave rationally. However, the observation of extremely large fluctuations in the price of financial assets that are not correlated to changes in their fundamental value, as well as the extreme instance of financial bubbles and crashes, imply that markets (at least occasionally) do display irrational behavior. In this paper, we briefly outline our recent work demonstrating that a market with interacting agents having bounded rationality can display price fluctuations that are {\\em quantitatively} similar to those seen in real markets.

176

Systemic Risk, Contagion, and State-Dependent Sensitivities in Value-at-Risk Estimation: Evidence from Hedge Funds  

In this paper, we propose a state-dependent VaR (SDVaR) to estimate spill over effects among different financial institutions. We permit spill-over effects to change depending on the state of financial markets. We show that spill-over effects only exist during crisis periods; in calm times spill ove...

177

AECL annual report 1996-1997  

The 1996/1997 Annual Report of Atomic Energy of Canada Ltd. (AECL) is published and submitted to the Honourable member of parliament, Minister of Natural Resources. Included in this report are messages from marketing, commercial operations, product development, CANDU research, waste management, environmental management, financial review and copies of financial statements.

178

The forecast of fuel cells for a stationary use in France; L'avenir des piles a combustibles a usage stationnaire en France  

This document is a synthesis of a study concerning the environmental and financial stakes in France of the use of fuel cells for a stationary use: the markets in the next ten years, the financial aspects, the fuel cells technology assessment, the results impacts in term of carbon dioxide emissions. (A.L.B.)

179

Monte Carlo simulation techniques : The development of a general framework  

Algorithmica Research AB develops software application for the financial markets. One of their products is Quantlab that is a tool for quantitative analyses. An effective method to value several financial instruments is Monte Carlo simulation. Since it is a common method Algorithmica is interesting ...

180

Visual Analytics on the Financial Market : Pixel-based Analysis and Comparison of Long-Term Investments  

In this paper, we describe solutions how pixel-based visualization techniques can support the decision making process for investors on the financial market. We especially focus on explorative interactive techniques where analysts try to analyze large amounts of financial data for long-term investmen...

 
 
 
 
181

Finance-Growth Link In Oecd Countries: Evidence From Panel Causality And Cointegration Tests  

In this paper we employ recently developed panel causality and cointegration techniques to examine the long-run relationship between financial development and economic growth of 25 OECD countries. Three measures of financial deepening and stock markets are respectively used. Our results point out a ...

182

The role of credit in the farmer support programme: is it the key to success?  

This paper concentrates on the credit element of Farmer Support Programmes (FSP) and the financial environment in which FSP cedit is applied with a view to assess the importance of the credit component in the FSP. First, the theory on rural financial markets and intermediation is briefly reviewed. T...

183

On the need for an international lender of last resort: Lessons from domestic financial markets  

The increasing incidence and intensity of crises in the international financial markets during the 1990s have given new impetus to the debate on reform of the international financial system. Much of the discussion focuses on the idea of an international lender of last resort which could provide liqu...

184

Credit derivatives in Swedish banks : Both sides of the coin Kreditderivat i svenska banker : Båda sidor av myntet  

Background: The financial crisis of 2007-2010 had a massive impact on the financial markets worldwide. The crisis was partly blamed on the credit derivatives collateralized debt obligations and credit default swaps. These instruments were used to create leverage and speculation, which led to uncerta...

185

On securitization, market completion and equilibrium risk transfer  

We propose an equilibrium framework within which to price financial securities written on non- tradable underlyings such as temperature indices. We analyze a financial market with a finite set of agents whose preferences are described by a convex dynamic risk measure generated by the solution of a b...

186

On Securitization, Market Completion and Equilibrium Risk Transfer  

We propose an equilibrium framework within which to price financial securities written on non- tradable underlyings such as temperature indices. We analyze a financial market with a finite set of agents whose preferences are described by a convex dynamic risk measure generated by the solution of a b...

187

Banking as an emerging technology: Hoare's Bank, 1702-1742  

London's financial market underwent dramatic change after 1700. More limited than Paris or Amsterdam in the seventeenth century, London became the leading financial centre in Europe in the eighteenth century. There is an extensive and growing literature on the causes of this change, but comparativel...

188

Annual report SNET 2003; Rapport annuel SNET 2003  

This annual report of the SNET (National Society of Electricity and thermic) presents the society activities and the financial report for the year 2003. The society position in the market, the environmental policy, the performance, the workers and financial data are detailed. (A.L.B.)

189

Pricing of Asian temperature risk  

Weather derivatives (WD) are different from most financial derivatives because the underlying weather cannot be traded and therefore cannot be replicated by other financial instruments. The market price of risk (MPR) is an important parameter of the associated equivalent martingale measures used to ...

190

Distribution, 'financialisation' and the financial and economic crisis: Implications for post-crisis economic policies  

The severity of the financial and economic crisis which started in 2007 cannot be understood without examining the medium- to long-run developments in the world economy since the early 1980s. The following long-run causes for the crisis can be identified: inefficient regulation of financial markets,...

191

Impact of Liquidity Management on Profitability : A study of the adaption of liquidity strategies in a financial crisis  

The ongoing financial crisis which has upset the financial markets of the world since the late summer of 2007 has not left Swedish corporations unaffected. Strategies which can be adapted within the firm to improve liquidity and cash flows concern the management of working capital and cash manage...

192

Islamic Capital Market : Sukuk and Its Risk Management in the Current Scenario  

Islamic finance is acquiring a growing respected place in the world financial system and its market share has been growing by more than 15 percent annually for the last ten years. Sukuk is the financial instrument which is considered to be the icon of the Islamic finance now. It is now one of the fa...

193

Domestic wastes heat treatment. Evaluation of the 42 french operations assisted by the ADEME; Traitement thermique des dechets menagers. Bilan des 42 operations francaises aidees par l'ADEME  

Between 1993 and 2000, the ADEME allowed a financial assistance for the construction of 42 domestic wastes incinerators. This document provides the first results of these units operating evaluation with a presentation of the french park transformation, the operating, the economic analysis of the sector, the financial accounting and the future market. (A.L.B.)

194

Agent based reasoning for the non-linear stochastic models of long-range memory  

We extend Kirman’s model by introducing variable event time scale. The proposed flexible time scale is equivalent to the variable trading activity observed in financial markets. Stochastic version of the extended Kirman’s agent based model is compared to the non-linear stochastic models of long-range memory in financial markets. The agent based model providing matching macroscopic description serves as a microscopic reasoning of the earlier proposed stochastic model exhibiting power law statistics.

195

On emissions trading, toxic debt and the Australian power market  

Implementation of emissions trading will have profound effects on the financial stability of coal generators. While the impact on equity capital is well understood, the potential fallout in the market for project finance is not. During the current global financial crisis, the form and quantum of transitional assistance to coal generators will be crucial to ensure ongoing participation of domestic and foreign project banks in the power markets. (author)

196

Minimizing the Probability of Lifetime Ruin under Stochastic Volatility  

We assume that an individual invests in a financial market with one riskless and one risky asset, with the latter's price following a diffusion with stochastic volatility. In the current financial market especially, it is important to include stochastic volatility in the risky asset's price process. Given the rate of consumption, we find the optimal investment strategy for the individual who wishes to minimize the probability of going bankrupt. To solve this minimization problem, we use techniques from stochastic optimal control.

197

Measuring Volatility Clustering in Stock Markets  

We propose a novel method to quantify the clustering behavior in a complex time series and apply it to a high-frequency data of the financial markets. We find that regardless of used data sets, all data exhibits the volatility clustering properties, whereas those which filtered the volatility clustering effect by using the GARCH model reduce volatility clustering significantly. The result confirms that our method can measure the volatility clustering effect in financial market.

198

Solitary wave solutions of nonlinear financial markets: data-modeling-concept-practicing  

This paper seeks to solve the difficult nonlinear problem in financial markets on the complex system theory and the nonlinear dynamics principle, with the data-model-concept-practice issue-oriented reconstruction of the phase space by the high frequency trade data. In theory, we have achieved the differentiable manifold geometry configuration, discovered the Yang-Mills functional in financial markets, obtained a meaningful conserved quantity through corresponding space-time non-Abel localization gauge symmetry transformation, and derived the financial solitons, which shows that there is a strict symmetry between manifold fiber bundle and guage field in financial markets. In practical applications of financial markets, we have repeatedly carried out experimental tests in a fluctuant evolvement, directly simulating and validating the existence of solitons by researching the price fluctuations (society phenomena) using the same methods and criterion as in natural science and in actual trade to test the stock Guangzhou Proprietary and the futures Fuel Oil in China. The results demonstrate that the financial solitons discovered indicates that there is a kind of new substance and form of energy existing in financial trade markets, which likely indicates a new science paradigm in the economy and society domains beyond physics.

199

Market efficiency in foreign exchange markets  

We investigate the relative market efficiency in financial market data, using the approximate entropy(ApEn) method for a quantification of randomness in time series. We used the global foreign exchange market indices for 17 countries during two periods from 1984 to 1998 and from 1999 to 2004 in order to study the efficiency of various foreign exchange markets around the market crisis. We found that on average, the ApEn values for European and North American foreign exchange markets are larger than those for African and Asian ones except Japan. We also found that the ApEn for Asian markets increased significantly after the Asian currency crisis. Our results suggest that the markets with a larger liquidity such as European and North American foreign exchange markets have a higher market efficiency than those with a smaller liquidity such as the African and Asian markets except Japan.

200

Interconnections and market integration in the Irish Single Electricity Market  

Interconnections can be an effective way to increase competition and improve market integration in concentrated wholesale electricity markets with limited number of participants. This paper examines the potential for interconnections and increasing market integration in the Irish Single Electricity Market (SEM). We use a time-varying Kalman filter technique to assess the degree of market integration between SEM and other large, mature and interconnected wholesale electricity markets in Europe including Great Britain (GB). The results indicate no market integration between SEM and other European markets except for Elspot and GB. We show that the current state of market integration between SEM and GB is just 17% indicating potential to improve market integration via increased interco...

 
 
 
 
201

The development of a gas transmission system in Lebanon  

Tractebel Engineering is undertaking for the Lebanese Ministry of Energy and Water (MEW) advisory services for the launching and for the awarding of a DBOT (Design, Build, Operate and Transfer) contract for the development of a gas transmission system through Lebanon. The service embraces a global approach, integrating legal, market, technical and financial matters, to provide MEW with a clear strategy to its gas development program, aimed at attracting private investors willing to tender on this DBOT project.The Legal Framework Report examines the existing Lebanese legal system and analyzes its suitability to the regulatory framework required to operate gas networks; it also provides recommendations aimed at attracting potential DBOT developers, by facilitating bureaucratic procedures with possible enactment of new laws. The Gas Demand Due Diligence Report provides the market study for present and future demand of gas in Lebanon in the next 25 years (duration of the DBOT contract), with anticipated needs resulting from power generation, industrial sector, commercial and residential sectors. The Pipeline Alternative Solutions Report provides several alternative routing and configurations for the gas transmission pipeline, including surveys, in-land routing (through rough mountain and heavily populated areas), or off-shore routing (through rough marine canyons and sea water depth in excess of 1,500 meters). Basic technical economical study is elaborated for more than 30 options.The Pipeline Financial Optimization Report compares the economics and provides for each solution the expected postal tariff (the compensation that MEW would need to pay to the developer for the execution of the 25 year DBOT contract). The advisory services are completed with preparation of the Pre-Qualification Notice (aimed at selecting a short list of qualified Bidders), preparation of the Request For Proposal (bidding on the selected pipeline option), evaluation of proposal, selection of preferred bidder, negotiations till contract award and financial close. (author)

202

Integrated Computing, Communication, and Distributed Control of Deregulated Electric Power Systems  

Restructuring of the electricity market has affected all aspects of the power industry from generation to transmission, distribution, and consumption. Transmission circuits, in particular, are stressed often exceeding their stability limits because of the difficulty in building new transmission lines due to environmental concerns and financial risk. Deregulation has resulted in the need for tighter control strategies to maintain reliability even in the event of considerable structural changes, such as loss of a large generating unit or a transmission line, and changes in loading conditions due to the continuously varying power consumption. Our research efforts under the DOE EPSCoR Grant focused on Integrated Computing, Communication and Distributed Control of Deregulated Electric Power Systems. This research is applicable to operating and controlling modern electric energy systems. The controls developed by APERC provide for a more efficient, economical, reliable, and secure operation of these systems. Under this program, we developed distributed control algorithms suitable for large-scale geographically dispersed power systems and also economic tools to evaluate their effectiveness and impact on power markets. Progress was made in the development of distributed intelligent control agents for reliable and automated operation of integrated electric power systems. The methodologies employed combine information technology, control and communication, agent technology, and power systems engineering in the development of intelligent control agents for reliable and automated operation of integrated electric power systems. In the event of scheduled load changes or unforeseen disturbances, the power system is expected to minimize the effects and costs of disturbances and to maintain critical infrastructure operational.

203

Evolving Economic Architecture in East Asia  

This paper examines how East Asia’s economic architecture has been evolving over the last ten years and how it will shape itself in the future. With the progress of market-driven economic integration, East Asian economies have developed various cooperative initiatives for trade and finance, including free trade agreements (FTAs), the Chiang Mai Initiative, the Economic Review and Policy Dialogue, and the Asian Bond Markets Initiative. The paper suggests policy directions for greater regional economic cooperation. First, trade authorities are advised to consolidate multiple, overlapping FTAs into a single East Asian agreement—particularly among the East Asia Summit (EAS, or ASEAN+6) countries—to minimize negative “noodle bowl” effects and achieve “deep, WTO-plus” integration. Second, financial authorities are encouraged to initiate exchange rate policy coordination—starting with the adoption of a regional currency-basket arrangement based on the US dollar, euro, and Asian Currency Unit. East Asia’s economic architecture will be shaped around ASEAN+3 and EAS (or ASEAN+6), with ASEAN as the hub for economic cooperation and integration.   

204

Integrated Business and Engineering Framework for Synthesis and Design of Enterprise-Wide Processing Networks  

The synthesis and design of processing networks is a complex and multidisciplinary problem, which involves many strategic and tactical decisions at business (considering financial criteria, market competition, supply chain network, etc) and engineering levels (considering synthesis, design and optimisation of production technology, R&D, etc), all of which have a deep impact on the profitability of processing industries. In this study, an integrated business and engineering framework for synthesis and design of processing networks is presented. The framework employs a systematic approach to manage the complexity while solving simultaneously both the business and the engineering aspects of problems, allowing at the same time, comparison of a large number of alternatives at their optimal points. The results identify the optimal raw material, the product portfolio and select the process technology for a given market scenario together with the optimal material flows through the network and calculate the corresponding performance and sustainability metrics. The framework includes a software infrastructure for integrating different methods and tools needed for problem definition, formulation and solution of the design problem as a MINLP, reducing thereby the time and cost needed to generate and solve the design/synthesis problems and providing efficient data transfer between the tools. A generic structural process model has been implemented within the framework to describe the multidimensional engineering issues allowing thereby fast and flexible model development for various production processes.A case study from vegetable oil industry is used successfully to demonstrate the applicability of the integrated framework for making optimal business and engineering decisions.

205

Report of the work-group on oil price volatility; Rapport du groupe de travail sur la volatilite des prix du petrole  

This report proposes a detailed analysis of the past and possible evolution of oil markets in terms of price volatility, financial strategies and pricing. It discusses current reflections and actions aiming at improving oil market operation: the Joint Oil Data Initiative or JODI for oil data transparency, the works of the International Energy Forum (IEF), and the conceivable reforms of the oil financial markets. Then, it proposes and discusses four main strategic orientations for a better knowledge of oil markets by France and the improvement of their operation and transparency: to support IEF initiatives, to apply to oil financial markets the global orientations defined by the G20, to set additional specific rules, and to propose a true oil strategy for the European Union. These orientations are then broken up in 22 propositions

206

Psychological and Social Forces Behind Aggregate Financial Market Behavior  

The cycle of boom and crash is a “natural” element in financial market history, and numerous research works have provided evidence that market prices spend far more time deviating from postulated theoretical equilibrium than actually tending towards it. In particular, nonmean-reverting dynamism in financial markets may be produced by mass psychological dynamics in the patterns of human aggregate behavior, which result from nonrational herding impulses sensed by market participants in complex and uncertain situations. Based on a literature review and the analysis of several case studies, this paper elucidates postulated mechanisms behind, and characteristics of, herding in financial markets. The main goal is to raise awareness of the often little-understood point that collecti...

207

Similarity, Clustering, and Scaling Analyses for the Foreign Exchange Market ---Comprehensive Analysis on States of Market Participants with High-Frequency Financial Data---  

This article proposes mathematical methods to quantify states of marketparticipants in the foreign exchange market (FX market) and conduct comprehensive analysis on behavior of market participants by means of high-frequency financial data. Based on econophysics tools and perspectives we study similarity measures for both rate movements and quotation activities among various currency pairs. We perform also clustering analysis on market states for observation days, and find scaling relationship between mean values of quotation activities and their standard deviations. Using these mathematical methods we can visualize states of the FX market comprehensively. Finally we conclude that states of market participants temporally vary due to both external and internal factors.

208

Corporate foreign exchange speculation and integrated risk management  

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to investigate how non-finance departmental involvement in the management of exchange rate risks impacts the extent of foreign exchange speculation in non-financial firms. Design/methodology/approach – We survey non-financial firms in a small open economy (Denmark) to investigate the extent of foreign exchange speculation and how it is related to the degree of non-finance departmental involvement in the management of exchange rate risks. We employ binary and ordered probit regression analysis. Findings – We find a positive link between 1) the extent to which other departments than the finance department is involved in the management of exchange rate risks and 2) the extent to which the firm is likely to speculate – whether in the form of selective hedging or active speculation – on the foreign exchange market. Practical implications – Our findings indicate that the trend towards a more integrated risk management approach in which the finance department is not the only department responsible for risk management may have the (unforeseen) consequence that foreign exchange speculation increases. Originality/value – The findings are important because the link between the extent of foreign exchange speculation and a more integrated risk management approach has not been addressed previously.

209

A new country risk index for emerging markets: A stochastic dominance approach  

An optimal weighting scheme is proposed to construct economic, political and financial risk indices in emerging markets using an approach that relies on consistent tests for stochastic dominance efficiency. These tests are considered for a given risk index with respect to all possible indices constructed from a set of individual risk factors. The test statistics and the estimators are computed using mixed integer programming methods. We derive an economic, political and financial risk ranking of emerging countries. Finally, an overall risk index is constructed. One main result is that the financial risk is the leading contributor to sovereign risk in emerging markets followed by the economic and political risks.

210

Consolidation in banking and financial stability in Europe: Empirical evidence  

Using aggregate balance sheet data from banks across the EU-25 over the period from 1997 to 2005 we provide empirical evidence that national banking market concentration has a negative impact on European banks' financial soundness as measured by the Z-score technique while controlling for macroeconomic, bank-specific, regulatory, and institutional factors. Furthermore, our analysis reveals that Eastern European banking markets exhibiting a lower level of competitive pressure, fewer diversification opportunities and a higher fraction of government-owned banks are more prone to financial fragility whereas capital regulations have supported financial stability across the entire European Union.

211

Nonlinearities in emerging stock markets: evidence from Europe's two largest emerging markets  

Recent developments in time series analysis allow proper modelling of nonlinearities in economic and financial variables. A growing body of research was dedicated to investigation of potential nonlinearities in conditional mean of many economic and financial variables, mainly concentrating in developed economies. However, nonlinearities in financial variables in developing economies have not been fully examined yet. In this article we investigate potential nonlinearity and cyclical behaviour of stock returns in Europe's two largest emerging stock markets, mainly in the Greek and Turkish stock markets. Specifically, we use STAR family models, which allow to model nonlinearities in the conditional mean, for modelling monthly returns on stock exchange indices of the Athens Stock Exchange and ...

212

77 FR 9226 - Physical Systems Integration, LLC; Supplemental Notice That Initial Market-Based Rate Filing...  

...Commission [Docket No. ER12-1013-000] Physical Systems Integration, LLC; Supplemental Notice That Initial Market-Based Rate...in the above-referenced proceeding of Physical Systems Integration, LLC's application for market-based rate...

213

How does oil price volatility affect non-energy commodity markets?  

The influence of price volatility in the crude oil market is expanding to non-energy commodity markets. With the substitution of fossil fuels by biofuel and hedge strategies against inflation induced by high oil prices, the link between crude oil market and agriculture markets and metal markets has increased. This study measures the influence of the crude oil market on non-energy commodity markets before and after the 2008 financial crisis. By introducing the US dollar index as exogenous shocks, we investigate price and volatility spillover between commodity markets by constructing a bivariate EGARCH model with time-varying correlation construction. The results reveal that the crude oil market has significant volatility spillover effects on non-energy commodity markets, which demonstrates ...

214

Market Efficiency in Foreign Exchange Markets  

We investigate the relative market efficiency in financial market data, using the approximate entropy(ApEn) method for a quantification of randomness in time series. We used the global foreign exchange market indices for 17 countries during two periods from 1984 to 1998 and from 1999 to 2004 in order to study the efficiency of various foreign exchange markets around the market crisis. We found that on average, the ApEn values for European and North American foreign exchange markets are larger than those for African and Asian ones except Japan. We also found that the ApEn for Asian markets increase significantly after the Asian currency crisis. Our results suggest that the markets with a larger liquidity such as European and North American foreign exchange markets have a higher market efficiency than those with a smaller liquidity such as the African and Asian ones except Japan.

215

The Effects of Financial Integration on Structural Similarity: Consumption Risk-sharing and Specialization  

  Using panel data for 17 Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries for the period 1983-2003, this paper investigates the effects of financial integration on specialization and international structural similarity. Theoretically, financial integration motivates countries to specialize on the basis of their comparative advantages and decreases the structural similarity between them. Our empirical analyses support the hypothesis.   

216

Financial literacy and stock market participation  

We have devised two special modules for De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) Household Survey to measure financial literacy and study its relationship to stock market participation. We find that the majority of respondents display basic financial knowledge and have some grasp of concepts such as interest compounding, inflation, and the time value of money. However, very few go beyond these basic concepts; many respondents do not know the difference between bonds and stocks, the relationship between bond prices and interest rates, and the basics of risk diversification. Most importantly, we find that financial literacy affects financial decision-making: Those with low literacy are much less likely to invest in stocks.

217

Financial crisis and corporate governance in the financial sector: Regulatory changes and financial assistance in Germany and Europe  

The recent financial crisis has led to a loss of trust in the quality of corporate governance and the balance of the European financial market. These issues have also affected Germany. In Germany, financial companies’ compliance with the German Corporate Governance Code represents a basic standard for ‘good’ corporate governance. We find that cooperation between management boards and supervisory boards, as well as monitoring by supervisory boards, must be improved. Improvement is also necessary for corporate governance reporting and the implementation of the ‘pay for performance’ principle. Our analysis supports the critical remarks by the European Commission (EC) in its current Corporate Governance Green Papers for the financial sector regarding the limited a...

218

Stability analysis of financial contagion due to overlapping portfolios  

Common asset holdings are widely believed to have been the primary vector of contagion in the recent financial crisis. We develop a network approach to the amplification of financial contagion due to the combination of overlapping portfolios and leverage, and we show how it can be understood in terms of a generalized branching process. By studying a stylized model we estimate the circumstances under which systemic instabilities are likely to occur as a function of parameters such as leverage, market crowding, diversification, and market impact. Although diversification may be good for individual institutions, it can create dangerous systemic effects, and as a result financial contagion gets worse with too much diversification. Under our model there is a critical threshold for leverage; below it financial networks are always stable, and above it the unstable region grows as leverage increases. The financial system exhibits "robust yet fragile" behavior, with regions of the parameter space where contagion is ra...

219

Transparency in Bank Risk Modeling: A Solution to the Conundrum of Bank Regulation  

After financial disasters, financial risk models are often blamed for failing to provide adequate warning. The author argues that, in many cases, the models provided accurate warnings but were ignored by market participants who did not like what they said. The financial crisis of 2008-2009 was not the first time this has happened. The author describes similar but smaller debacles in 1994 and 1998 that had their roots in financial innovation that took place a decade earlier. In both cases, risk models warned that volatile securities would become impossible to hedge; but rather than exiting those positions as they should have done, some market participants simply ignored the flashing warning lights. Some current financial risk models have proven to be quite robust. Large commercial banks hav...

220

The new international financial crisis: causes, consequences and perspectives  

Abstract in english The paper investigates the recent financial crisis within a historical and comparative perspective having in mind that it is ultimately a confidence crisis, initially associated to a chain of high risk loans and financial innovations that spread thorough the international system culminating with impressive wealth losses. The financial market will eventually recover from the crisis but the outcome should be followed by a different and more disciplined set of international (more) institutions. There will be a change on how we perceive the widespread liberal argument that the market is always efficient, or at least, more efficient than any State intervention, overcoming the false perception that the State is in opposition to the market. A deep financial crisis brings out a period of wealth losses and an adjustment process characterized by price corrections (commodities and equity price deflation) and real effects (recession and lower employment), and a period of turbulences and end of illusions is in place.

 
 
 
 
221

The politics of financial development: The role of interest groups and government capabilities  

Although financial development is good for long-term growth, not all countries pursue policies that render full financial development. This paper builds on an extensive political economy literature to construct a theoretical model showing that the intensity of opposition to financial development by incumbents depends on both their degree of credit dependency and the role of governments in credit markets. Empirical evidence for this claim is provided, and the results suggest that lower opposition to financial development leads to an effective increase in credit markets' development only in those countries that have high government capabilities. Moreover, improvements in government capabilities have a significant impact on credit market development only in those countries where credit depend...

222

U.S. Aims for Zero-Energy: Support for PV on New Homes  

As a market segment for solar photovoltaic (PV) adoption, new homes have a number of attractive attributes. Homebuyers can easily roll the cost of the PV system into their mortgage and, with rebates or other financial incentives, potentially realize an immediate net positive cash flow from the investment. PV system performance can be optimized by taking roof orientation, shading, and other structural factors into account in the design of new homes. Building-integrated photovoltaics (BIPV), which are subject to fewer aesthetic concerns than traditional, rack-mounted systems, are well-suited to new construction applications. In large new residential developments, costs can be reduced through bulk purchases and scale economies in system design and installation. Finally, the ability to install PV as a standard feature in new developments - like common household appliances - creates an opportunity to circumvent the high transaction costs and other barriers typically confronted when each individual homeowner must make a distinct PV purchase decision.

223

The social context in conditionality: internationalizing finance in postcommunist Europe  

When it comes to embracing the European Union's vision of building a fully integrated financial market, central and east Europeans have far out-performed their west European counterparts. This paper addresses not only why levels of foreign ownership in banks are on average so much higher in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) than in Western Europe, but also why there is variation among CEE states in how willing they have been to accept those high levels of foreign ownership. I develop a theory of international institutional influence on target states that suggests compliance with international institutions' conditionality and advice depends on the existence of a particular social context. I test the argument in five post-socialist states: Poland, Hungary, Romania, Slovenia and Ukraine.

224

House price dynamics: Evidence from Beijing  

To study the house price dynamics in China, this paper extends the traditional life-cycle model by incorporating land supply, regime shifts and government regulation factors. The models are estimated with an error correction framework using quarterly data from 2000 to 2007 in Beijing. The conclusions are as follows. (1) There exits a stable co-integration relationship between house price and fundamentals; land supply and financial regimes are also important determinants of long-run equilibrium house prices. (2) Short-run dynamics depend on changes of fundamentals and the adjustment process of housing market. Land supply has a significant impact on house price fluctuations while demand factors such as user costs, income and residential mortgage loan have greater influences. The adjustment s...

225

Cloud Computing For Microfinances  

Evolution of Science and Engineering has led to the growth of several commercial applications. The wide spread implementation of commercial based applications has in turn directed the emergence of advanced technologies such as cloud computing. India has well proven itself as a potential hub for advanced technologies including cloud based industrial market. Microfinance system has emerged out as a panacea to Indian economy since the population encompasses of people who come under poverty and below poverty index. However, one of the key challenges in successful operation of microfinance system in India has given rise to integration of financial services using sophisticated cloud computing model. This paper, therefore propose a fundamental cloud-based microfinance model in order to reduce high transaction risks involved during microfinance operations in an inexpensive and efficient manner.

226

Integrating wind power using intelligent electric water heating  

Dwindling fossil fuel resources and pressures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions will result in a more diverse range of generation portfolios for future electricity systems. Irrespective of the portfolio mix the overarching requirement for all electricity suppliers and system operators is to instantaneously meet demand, to operate to standards and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. Therefore all electricity market participants will ultimately need to use a variety of tools to balance the power system. Thus the role of demand side management with energy storage will be paramount to integrate future diverse generation portfolios. Electric water heating has been studied previously, particularly at the domestic level to provide load control, peak shave and to benefit end-users financially with l...

227

MEGATEX, COMPITIENDO CREATIVAMENTE EN UN MUNDO CAMBIANTE  

Abstract in spanish El caso hace la presentación sencilla de un problema común entre las pequeñas empresas en Colombia, en la época de principios de los años 2000, la falta de financiación para su capital de trabajo, establecida sobre una empresa importadora. Se conduce, entonces, a una solución integral, que se soporta tanto en la creatividad como en la estrategia, en las exigencias del mercado como en el análisis de rentabilidad. El análisis cuantitativo se hace sobre las consecuencias de las decisiones sobre los plazos y descuentos comerciales. Abstract in english This case presents, in a simple way, the analysis of a very common problem of the Colombian small business, early in the 2000’s, the poor firm capacity for financing the net working capital, taken the study on a local import trade firm. Solution employs creativity, strategy, marketing and TIR analysis. This last financial analysis focuses on the trade credit conditions in order to optimize the custom credit policy.

228

International conference centre, Geneva, Switzerland  

On 16-17 March 2009 the Energy Pact Foundation will be holding the Energy Pact Conference in Geneva. The Conference is organised with the support of the Republic and Canton of Geneva and has the Financial Times as its media partner. It will address for the first time in a comprehensive and integrated manner the key issues of energy needs and environmental and developmental challenges. Some 800 stakeholders and experts on these issues are expected. These will include high-level government officials, opinion leaders and representatives from the United Nations, NGOs, industry, civil society and the academic world. Gerhard Schröder, former Chancellor of Germany, will chair the Conference. Speakers with different backgrounds and expertise will include Dr. Carlo Rubia, Nobel Prize Winner, Ali Al-Naimi, Minister of Petroleum and Mineral Resources of Saudi Arabia, Gholam Hossein Nozari, Oil Minister of Iran, Gary Ross, CEO of PIRA Energy, a world-renowned energy market specialist, Ashok Khosla, President of the In...

229

Vietnam and the regional crisis : the case of a "Late Latecomer"  

The paper explores the linkages between Vietnam and the regional economy before and after the East Asian financial crisis of 1997 and 1998, indicating that the country is more closely associated with the region than normally assumed. Thus, key indicators, such as falling foreign direct investment inflows, should be understood in the broader frame of regional contingencies, and not be simplistically explained as investors' discontent (i.e., in order to pressure Vietnamese authorities into implementing a more orthodox neo-liberal agenda). And in a post-crisis regional economic reorganisation (including a restructuring of the so-called 'flying geese' pattern) Vietnam's chances of benefitting from closer integration in the world economy will depend on a clearcut industrial and trade policy, rather than on embarking a so-called 'neutral trade regime'. Preliminary evidence seems to indicate that Vietnam can successfully exploit market niches opened up by postcrisis regional economic reorganisation, thus offering some optimism for the country's immediate economic future.

230

Gasification Product Improvement Facility status  

The objective of the Gasification Product Improvement Facility (GPIF) project is to provide a test site to support early commercialization of the Integrated Gasification Combined Cycle (IGCC) technology. The design of this facility will by based on PyGas{trademark}, a patented air blown fixed bed gasification process. The GPIF will be capable of processing run-of-mine high swelling coals that comprise 87% of all Eastern US coals. The GPIF project is expected to deliver a gasifier design that will satisfy the criteria for good process performance and cost effectiveness. The PyGas{trademark} process was conceived to handle high swelling coals, crack tars, and reduce ammonia and trace metal emissions. The GPIF program will generate useful scale up data. Initially, the PyGas{trademark}-IGCC systems will be offered as modular units for the repowering markets which will reduce the financial burden on utilities in comparison to large plants. In addition, modular designs will also reduce the plant construction schedules.

231

Integrated business and engineering framework for synthesis and design of enterprise-wide processing networks  

The synthesis and design of processing networks is a complex and multidisciplinary problem, which involves many strategic and tactical decisions at business (considering financial criteria, market competition, supply chain network, etc.) and engineering levels (considering synthesis, design and optimization of production technology, R&D, etc.), all of which have a deep impact on the profitability of processing industries. In this study, an integrated business and engineering framework for synthesis and design of processing networks is presented. The framework employs a systematic approach to manage the complexity while solving simultaneously both the business and the engineering aspects of problems, allowing at the same time, comparison of a large number of alternatives at their optimal po...

232

Nonlinear ACD model and informed trading: Evidence from Shanghai Stock Exchange  

Dufour and Engle (J. Finance (2000) 2467) find evidence of an increased presence of informed traders when the NYSE markets are most active. No such evidence, however, can be found by Manganelli (J. Financial Markets (2005) 377) for the infrequently traded stocks. In this paper, we fit a nonlinear lo...

233

Discovering the best: Informational efficiency and liquidity of alternative trading mechanisms in experimental asset markets  

This paper reports the results of 18 experimental asset markets with 262 subjects that explore the effects of liquidity and aggregation of information. The main focus lies on the comparison of different trading mechanisms of stock exchanges. Compared to most of financial markets experiments, reality...

234

Institutional Trading, Trading Mechanisms and Equity Market Integration: Essays on the Polish Stock Market  

The launch of financial reforms in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) at the beginning of the 1990s stimulated increased interest of investors and academics in the newly-born stock markets of this region. Most of the existing studies, however, consider a group of the CEE markets, stressing their commo...

235

Currency crisis in South East Asia: the extent of repercussion on coal  

Since the fall of Australian spot steam coal prices, the Pacific coal market has continued to become increasingly gloomy for coal. This review takes in Pacific and Atlantic markets` possible repercussions to a deepening financial crisis in the Far East, seen as at the time of going to press. 3 photos.

236

Repo run: evidence from the tri-party repo market  

This paper provides a quantitative account of the tri-party repo market during the recent financial crisis. Using data from July 2008 to January 2010, we show that the level of haircuts and the amount of funding were surprisingly stable in this market. The stability of the haircuts contrasts with ev...

237

The ten commandments for optimizing value-at-risk and daily capital charges  

Credit risk is the most important type of risk in terms of monetary value. Another key risk measure is market risk, which is concerned with stocks and bonds, and related financial derivatives, as well as exchange rates and interest rates. This paper is concerned with market risk management and monit...

238

Market Indices: Bases, Biases and Beyond  

Market Indices are perhaps one of the most well known concepts in finance. They have also a crucial role in the professional financial field: hundreds of institutional investors, pension funds or investment banks use, follow and create market indexes. Since 1880, indexes have spread over the world d...

239

Internal capital market efficiency of Belgian holding companies  

In this paper, we raise the following two questions: (1) do Belgian holding companies operate an internal capital market to transfer financial resources in between their subsidiaries? And if yes, (2) is the internal capital market efficient? To answer the first question, we check if the group cash f...

240

A financial sector balance approach and the cyclical dynamics of the US economy  

This paper investigates the relationship between asset markets and business cycles with regard to the United States economy. We consider the Goldman Sachs approach (2003) developed to study the dynamics of financial balances. By means of a small econometric model we find that asset market dynamics a...

 
 
 
 
241

Nonlinear Price Dynamics Between CO2 Futures And Brent  

The growing expansion of European Union Emission Trading futures market and the parallel increase in the tendency of using such products also as financial instruments in the capital market outline the interest in the analysis of European Union Allowances (EUA) futures prices drivers. We applied rece...

242

Price Adjustment to News with Uncertain Precision  

Bayesian learning provides a core concept of information processing in financial markets. Typically it is assumed that market participants perfectly know the quality of released news. However, in practice, news’ precision is rarely disclosed. Therefore, we extend standard Bayesian learning allowing ...

243

Continuing world economic crisis  

The author sees 1980 as a troubled economic time for the world. He examines the position of US labor and the dollar in the currency market. The trouble is pinpointed as the volatility of financial markets; the inelasticity of energy demand in view of higher prices, and the protectionism of American unions and corporations. (PSB)

244

The impact of foreign macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland  

In this paper, we study the effects of euro area and US macroeconomic news on financial markets in the Czech Republic, Hungary, and Poland (CEEC-3) from 1999 to 2006. Using a GARCH model, we examine the impact on daily returns of three-month interest rates, stock market indices, exchange rates versu...

245

Recession casts a shadow over carbon trading  

The global financial crisis and inevitable fall in industrial output are bad news for the carbon and CDM markets. But just how bad will it get for the traders in these complex, some would say arcane, disciplines? The article presents opinions of those in carbon trading companies including Carbon Capital Markets, Point Carbon and Idea Carbon.

246

A comparative analysis of the informational efficiency of the fixed income market in seven European countries  

This letter investigates the time-varying behavior of long memory in sovereign and corporate bond indices of seven European Union countries from July 1998 to November 2011. We compute the Hurst exponent and detect that the current financial crisis affects more the informational efficiency of the corporate bond market than the sovereign bond market.

247

Corporate governance in Latin America  

This paper analyzes recent trends of Latin America's institutional development regarding investor protection. In spite of the underdevelopment of the region's financial markets, there is slow movement towards legal reforms intended to protect investors and make regional markets more attractive to in...

248

An overreaction implementation of the coherent market hypothesis and option pricing  

Inspired by the theory of social imitation (Weidlich 1970) and its adaptation to financial markets by the Coherent Market Hypothesis (Vaga 1990), we present a behavioral model of stock prices that supports the overreaction hypothesis. Using our dynamic stock price model, we develop a two factor gene...

249

Illusionary finance and trading behavior  

One important aspect of financial markets is that there might be some traders that intentionally mislead other market participants by creating illusions in order to obtain a profit. We call this new concept illusionary finance. We present an analysis of how illusions can be created and disseminated ...

250

New Insights into Behavioral Finance  

This thesis applies insights from psychology and other behavioral sciences to overcome the shortcomings of the traditional finance approach (which assumes that agents and markets are rational) and improves our understanding of financial markets and its participants. More specific, this thesis provid...

251

On the coexistence of banks and markets  

We examine the coexistence of banks and financial markets, studying a credit market where the qualities of investment projects are not observable and the investment decisions of entrepreneurs are not contractible. Standard banks can alleviate moral-hazard problems by securing a portion of a repaymen...

252

Energy world governance. Review of the conference which was held at IFRI, 26 March 2009, with Tatsuo Masuda, Andre Mernier et Richard H. Jones; La gouvernance mondiale de l'Energie - Resume de la conference qui a eu lieu a l'Ifri le 26 Mar 2009 autour de Tatsuo Masuda, Andre Mernier et Richard H. Jones  

The conference was related with some of the major questions concerning global energy governance today, the role of the different international organizations dealing with energy, the rules of the game between market and state players, the efforts to deal with climate change, and the integration of emerging countries in global energy governance, the roles of the different international organizations dealing with energy (will we see further fragmentation or more cooperation between them?). Tatsuo Masuda in his contribution discussed global energy governance from an oil perspective. Andre Mernier noted the particular nature of the Energy Charter, which, as it is founded upon an international treaty, is unlike other organizations in being legally binding. The legal basis of the organization means that agreements are especially powerful. Then Richard H. Jones underlined that last summer's volatility in oil markets, the ensuing financial and economic crisis, the major disruption in gas supplies to European markets this winter and the upcoming climate change negotiations have led to increasing calls for a stronger global dialogue on energy issues. This dialogue should deal with prices and investment, energy security and climate change

253

Balanced Scorecard - a successful system. Integrated company management improves capability to be competitive; Balanced Scorecard - mit System zum Erfolg. Integrierte Unternehmenssteuerung verbessert Wettbewerbsfaehigkeit  

Balanced Scorecard is more than a reporting instrument for company management. Behind this you will find much more an integrated and already proven methodology to improve on a longterm basis the capability to be competitive. Companies in the sector of supplying economy, which are facing new challenges after the liberalization of the energy market, are in need of intelligent programmes in order to maintain on the competitive market. Balanced Scorecard combines classical financial means of control with customer- and market reference numbers as well as information on the process navigation and staff management. It links strategy planning and the strategy targets of a utility with its operational business. (orig.) [German] Balanced Scorecard ist mehr als ein Reporting-Instrument fuer das Unternehmensmanagement. Dahinter verbirgt sich vielmehr eine integrierte und bereits bewaehrte Methodik zur nachhaltigen Verbesserung der Wettbewerbsfaehigkeit. Unternehmen der Versorgungswirtschaft, die nach der Liberalisierung des Energiemarkts vor neuen Herausforderungen stehen, beduerfen intelligenter Konzepte, um sich im Wettbewerb behaupten zu koennen. Die Balanced Scorecard verknuepft klassische finanzielle Steuerungsgroessen mit Kunden- und Marktkennzahlen sowie Informationen der Prozesssteuerung und Mitarbeiterfuehrung. Mit ihr gelingt es, die oft bestehende Luecke zwischen strategischen Zielen und operativen Massnahmen zu schliessen. (orig.)

254

Interconnectivity: Benefits and Challenges  

Access to affordable and reliable electricity supplies is a basic prerequisite for economic and social development, prosperity, health, education and all other aspects of modern society. Electricity can be generated both near and far from the consumption areas as transmission lines, grid interconnections and distribution systems can transport it to the final consumer. In the vast majority of countries, the electricity sector used to be owned and run by the state. The wave of privatisation and market introduction in a number of countries and regions which started in the late 1980's has in many cases involved unbundling of generation from transmission and distribution (T and D). This has nearly everywhere exposed transmission bottlenecks limiting the development of well-functioning markets. Transmission on average accounts for about 10-15% of total final kWh cost paid by the end-user but it is becoming a key issue for effective operation of liberalised markets and for their further development. An integrated and adequate transmission infrastructure is of utmost importance for ensuring the delivery of the most competitively priced electricity, including externalities, to customers, both near and far from the power generating facilities. In this report, the role of interconnectivity in the development of energy systems is examined with the associated socio-economic, environmental, financial and regulatory aspects that must be taken into account for successful interconnection projects.

255

An integrated knowledge-based framework for synthesis and design of enterprise-wide processing networks  

Today chemical processing industries manufacture a wide range of products and provide services that touch billions of people’s lives across the globe in many different ways. Making this requires an effective management of innovation in product and process development. On the other hand, the synthesis and design of processing networks is a complex and multidisciplinary problem, which involves many strategic and tactical decisions at business (considering financial criteria, market competition, supply chain network, etc) and engineering levels (considering synthesis, design and optimization of production technology, its feasibility, sustainability, R&D needs, etc), all of which have a deep impact on the profitability of knowledge based industries. In this talk, an integrated business and engineering framework for synthesis and design of processing network within enterprise wide context is presented. A systematic approach is used to manage the complexity and solving simultaneously both the business and the engineering dimension of the problem. This allows generation and comparison of a large number of alternatives at their optimal point. The result is the identification of the optimal raw material, product portfolio and process technology selection for a given market scenario, their sustainability metrics and risk of investment under market uncertainties enabling risk-aware decision making. The framework is highlighted with successful applications for soybean oil processing (food technology), biorefinery network (renewable chemicals) and wastewater treatment network (petrochemical industry).

256

Linking natural gas markets: is LNG doing its job?  

The increase in liquefied natural gas trade has accelerated the integration of previously segmented markets in North America, Europe, and Asia. This paper provides evidence on the integration of the transatlantic natural gas market. We test the theoretical proposition that in integrating markets com...

257

The impact of R&D & Marketing integration on innovation and business performance in French food processing companies  

In management literature R&D & Marketing integration is thought to be crucial to achieve better market-oriented innovation and ultimately better business performance. The aim of this study is to show the impact of integration barriers and mechanisms on R&D & Marketing integration and consequently on...

258

Do Foreign Banks Stabilize Cross-Border Bank Flows and Domestic Lending in Emerging Markets? Evidence from the Global Financial Crisis  

Foreign banks have increased their market share in many emerging markets since the mid-1990s. We analyse the stability implications of foreign banks for cross-border and domestic bank lending in the global financial crisis. Our results suggest that a higher foreign bank presence was associated with more stable cross-border bank flows. This result is largely driven by two regions: Eastern Europe and Sub-Saharan Africa. However, we fail to find similar evidence for domestic bank lending. This indicates that the financial stability benefits of a stronger foreign bank presence in emerging markets did not spill over from cross-border flows to domestic lending.

259

The compatibility of the governance of nuclear power plant de commissioning and of the competitive regime en Europe; La compatibilite de la gouvernance du demantelement du nucleaire et du regime concurrentiel en Europe  

Nuclear power plant decommissioning is a mandatory operation for which financial arrangements have been defined. Current European decommissioning reserve find management models were designed in a context of operator monopolies and public property regime. Because of electricity sector restructuring; businesses are no longer protected from market sanctions and stock market volatility (affecting firm's financial viability). These potential sanctions create uncertainty on the decommission in financing mechanism. Thus, the form of decommissioning funds management (internal or external) appears as the main compatibility determinant with the electricity competition regimes. In a market risks environment, external management solutions improve credibility of operator's decommissioning commitment. (authors)

260

Interacting contributions of different departments to brand success  

Adopting a grounded theory perspective, this research investigates the roles and interactions between marketing, customer services and human resources (HR) in driving success in UK financial services brands. CEOs/MDs, Directors of Marketing, HR and Customer Services, their line reports, front line staff and their agencies from 2 successful and 4 less successful financial services corporations participated in depth interviews for this project. Marketing strategically defining the brand, HR aligning policies behind the brand and customer services staff being brand exemplars enhances brand success. Organizations should abhor power struggles as no one department is critical ? rather working together is key. The brand fulcrum model helps managers and researchers appreciate the harmonious activi...

 
 
 
 
261

MACROECONOMIC UNCERTAINTY AND CONDITIONAL STOCK MARKET VOLATILITY IN SOUTH AFRICA*  

Abstract This paper analyses how systematic risk emanating from the macroeconomy is transmitted into stock market volatility using augmented autoregressive Generalised Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedastic (AR-GARCH) and vector autoregression (VAR) models. Also examined is whether the relationship between the two is bidirectional. By imposing dummies for the 1997-1998 Asian and the 2007-2009 sub-prime financial crises, the study further analyses whether financial crises affect the relationship between macroeconomic uncertainty and stock market volatility. The findings show that macroeconomic uncertainty significantly influences stock market volatility. Although volatilities in inflation, the gold price and the oil price seem to play a role, it is found that volatility in short-term in...

262

The dynamic impacts of financial institutions on economic growth: Evidence from the European Union  

This paper investigates the dynamic impacts of financial institutions on economic growth based on a panel data set comprised of 13 countries in European Union (EU) over the period of 1976-2005. We found several important results. First, there exists a long-run equilibrium relationship among banking development, stock market development and economic development, and stock market capitalization and liquidity have positive long-run effects on economic development. Second, financial depth may have a negative long-run effect on real output, but improving risk diversification and information services of commercial banks results in stable economic development. Finally, stock market liquidity has a negative short-term influence on economic growth.

263

Hybridization of evolutionary Levenberg-Marquardt neural networks and data pre-processing for stock market prediction  

Artificial Intelligence models (AI) which computerize human reasoning has found a challenging test bed for various paradigms in many areas including financial time series prediction. Extensive researches have resulted in numerous financial applications using AI models. Since stock investment is a major investment activity, Lack of accurate information and comprehensive knowledge would result in some certain loss of investment. Hence, stock market prediction has always been a subject of interest for most investors and professional analysts. Stock market prediction is a challenging problem because uncertainties are always involved in the market movements. This paper proposes a hybrid intelligent model for stock exchange index prediction. The proposed model is a combination of data preprocess...

264

Utilizing financial market information in forecasting real growth, inflation and real exchange rate  

In this paper we build an open economy extension of the Gordon (1962) valuation model that suggests a simple forecasting system for three macroeconomic variables; the real growth, inflation and real exchange rate. All the forecasting equations in our system utilize current financial market information in the form of dividend yields and short-term interest rate. Our empirical results indicate that these simple forms of financial market information are relevant for forecasting the time-varying underlying trends in the macroeconomic data for the U.K., Eurozone and Japan, when treating the U.S. as the world market.

265

Strategic updating of threshold response in an agent-based market model  

We propose an agent-based model of a single-asset financial market described in terms of few parameters. We show that the effect of agents adjusting their threshold response to new information is to generate a market price which fluctuates endlessly and a volatility which displays a mean-reverting behavior: the volatility goes neither to zero nor to infinity in the long-run. Our agent-based model generically leads to absence of autocorrelation in returns, excess volatility, volatility clustering and endogeneous bursts of activity non-attributable to external noise. This study illustrates a possible link between the famous El Farol bar problem and financial markets.

266

Foreign exchange market efficiency under recent crises: Asia-Pacific focus  

The Asia-Pacific region's currency markets are generally efficient within-country when tested using the Johansen (1991, 1995) cointegration technique whereas market efficiency fails to hold when tested using Fama's (1984) conventional regression. Using the Pilbeam and Olmo (2011) model, we reconcile these conflicting findings. The Pilbeam and Olmo (2011) model confirms within-country market efficiency. It further confirms that free-float currency markets are more resilient than managed-float currency markets among 12 Asia-Pacific economies. From the across-country perspective, the foreign exchange markets are mostly efficient and the results show that the 1997-1998 Asian financial crisis was a more disturbing event than the 2008-2009 global financial crisis in the region.

267

2009 ACADEMIC TRAINING  

LECTURE SERIES 28, 29, 30 October 2009 11:00 -12:00 – Main Auditorium, bldg. 500-1 Mathematics, Pricing, Market Risk Management and Trading Strategies for Financial Derivatives B. Lynn / CERN Theory Department, ex-Merrill Lynch MD, B. Coffey / VTB Bank, London An introduction to the mathematics and practicalities of market trading and risk management for financial derivatives, the course will focus on examples from the short-term and long term Foreign Exchange (FX) and Interest Rate (IR) derivatives markets. Topics: Government Bonds and IR Curves Stochastic FX, Black-Scholes Vanilla FX Options and Martingales Risk Management and Market Trading for Vanilla FX Options, Market Implied Volatility, Valuation and Risk Management, Market Trading Strategies Stochastic IR Curves and Implied Volatility, IR Derivatives Long Term FX Options: Interaction of Stochastic FX and Stochastic IR Vanilla Foreign Exchange (FX) Options: $ Government Bonds, Interest Rate (IR) Curves, Continu...

268

Quantum Finance  

Quantum theory is used to model secondary financial markets. Contrary to stochastic descriptions, the formalism emphasizes the importance of trading in determining the value of a security. A generic quantum mechanical construction is used for the temporal evolution of probabilities. All possible realizations of investors holding securities and cash is taken as the basis of the Hilbert space of market states. The temporal evolution of an isolated market is unitary in this space. Linear operators representing basic financial transactions such as cash transfer and the buying or selling of securities are constructed and simple model Hamiltonians that generate the temporal evolution due to cash flows and the trading of securities are proposed. The Hamiltonian describing financial transactions becomes local when the profit/loss from trading is small compared to the turnover. This approximation may describe a highly liquid and efficient stock market. The lognormal probability distribution for the price of a stock wi...

269

Icone-9 (Abstract)  

Full text of publication follows: in today's global energy environment, nuclear power plant managers need to consider many dimensions of risk in addition to nuclear safety risk. In order to stay competitive in modern energy markets, NPP managers must integrate management of production, safety, and economic risks in an effective way. This integrated risk management approach generates benefits that include the following: -) Clearer criteria for decision making; -) Levering investments made in probabilistic safety analysis (PSA) programs by applying these analyses to other areas and contexts; -) Cost consciousness and innovation in achieving nuclear safety and production goals; -) Communication improvement - more effective internal communication among all levels of the NPP operating organization, and clearer communication between the organization and its stakeholders; -) Focus on safety - ensuring an integrated focus on safety, production, and economics during times of change in the energy environment. The IAEA is now preparing a technical document that provides a comprehensive framework for Risk Management (RM) as a tool to enhance the performance of NPPs. It aims to explore the wider context of risk (safety, operations, financial/commercial, strategic), with a goal of providing a source document for use by managers of NPPs and operating organizations. This report describes the steps of the risk management process and provides examples of implementation. Because of its generic nature, this framework can be used for large-scale proposals as well as smaller ventures. The intended audience for this document encompasses all levels of operating organization management including managers responsible for setting policy on safety, operational, and commercial/financial aspects of NPP operation and the hands-on managers directly implementing the organization's policies. This report sets out a framework for application of integrated risk management to improve NPP performance. The framework is, by intent, non prescriptive. It is intended to be incorporated into the NPP operator's management system. (author)

270

A Financial Transaction Tax for Europe?  

In this article, the concept of a tax on financial transactions in Europe is discussed. In the wake of the financial crisis of 2007, the European Union (EU) as well as single Member States are considering imposing a tax on financial transactions to mitigate short-term speculative trading and to generate substantial tax revenue to refinance the costs incurred during the crisis. The implementation of a tax on financial transactions would, from an economic perspective, have a range of consequences for the participants in the global financial markets, which must be considered. The authors analyse the potential economic consequences of a financial transaction tax (FTT) and derive solutions to mitigate negative effects. This article also intends to derive suggestions concerning the structure of ...

271

Utility-Marketing Partnerships: An Effective Strategy for Marketing Green Power?  

This paper explores whether partnerships between utilities and independent marketers are an effective strategy for marketing green power. We present case studies of voluntary and mandatory partnerships covering green power program design and implementation in both regulated and restructured electricity markets. We also include perspectives (based on interviews) from utilities, marketers, and regulators involved in developing and implementing these partnerships. From these case studies and interviews, we describe lessons learned about developing effective partnerships, including such issues as respective roles in marketing and administration, product branding, and contract and incentive structures. Based on experience to date, strategic partnerships between utilities and marketers can be an effective approach to marketing green power. Partnerships leverage the sales and resource procurement experience of marketers and the utility?s reputation and access to customers. Further, partnerships can create greater incentives for success because marketers have a vested financial interest in maximizing customer participation and green power sales.

272

High Volume Manufacturing and Field Stability of MEMS Products  

Low volume MEMS/NEMS production is practical when an attractive concept is implemented with business, manufacturing, packaging, and test support. Moving beyond this to high volume production adds requirements on design, process control, quality, product stability, market size, market maturity, capital investment, and business systems. In a broad sense, this chapter uses a case study approach: It describes and compares the silicon-based MEMS accelerometers, pressure sensors, image projection systems, and gyroscopes that are in high volume production. Although they serve several markets, these businesses have common characteristics. For example, the manufacturing lines use automated semiconductor equipment and standard material sets to make consistent products in large quantities. Standard, well controlled processes are sometimes modified for a MEMS product. However, novel processes that cannot run with standard equipment and material sets are avoided when possible. This reliance on semiconductor tools, as well as the organizational practices required to manufacture clean, particle-free products partially explains why the MEMS market leaders are integrated circuit manufacturers. There are other factors. MEMS and NEMS are enabling technologies, so it can take several years for high volume applications to develop. Indeed, market size is usually a strong function of price. This becomes a vicious circle, because low price requires low cost - a result that is normally achieved only after a product is in high volume production. During the early years, IC companies reduced cost and financial risk by using existing facilities for low volume MEMS production. As a result, product architectures are partially determined by capabilities developed for previous products. This chapter includes a discussion of MEMS product architecture with particular attention to the impact of electronic integration, packaging, and surfaces. Packaging and testing are critical, because they are significant factors in MEMS product cost. These devices have extremely high surface/volume ratios, so performance and stability may depend on the control of surface characteristics after packaging. Looking into the future, the competitive advantage of IC suppliers will decrease as small companies learn to integrate MEMS/NEMS devices on CMOS foundry wafers. Packaging challenges still remain, because most MEMS/NEMS products must interact with the environment without degrading stability or reliability. Generic packaging solutions are unlikely. However, packaging subcontractors recognize that MEMS/NEMS is a growth opportunity. They will spread the overhead burden of high-capital-cost-facilities by developing flexible processes in order to package several types of moderate volume integrated MEMS/NEMS products on the same equipment.

273

The opportunities for prepaid - the need for an international trade association  

Trade associations are springing up for every part of the cards business. With the credit and debit card markets rapidly becoming saturated, it seems only natural that the retail and financial sectors should be working together to form an association to serve the burgeoning prepaid cards market. Here Ken Howes, director, Edgar, Dunn & Company and vice chair of the Prepaid International Forum (PIF), discusses the background to the new industry association, and examines the opportunities and risks for organisations operating in this market.

274

Perpetual American options within CTRWs  

Continuous time random walks are a well suited tool for the description of market behaviour at the smallest scale: the tick-to-tick evolution. We will apply this kind of market model to the valuation of perpetual American options: derivatives with no maturity that can be exercised at any time. Our approach leads to option prices that fulfil the financial formulas when canonical assumptions on the dynamics governing the process are made, but it is still suitable for considering more exotic market conditions.

275

The instability of markets  

Recent developments in the global liberalization of equity and currency markets, coupled to advances in trading technologies, are making markets increasingly interdependent. This increased fluidity raises questions about the stability of the international financial system. In this paper, we show that as couplings between stable markets grow, the likelihood of instabilities is increased, leading to a loss of general equilibrium as the system becomes increasingly large and diverse.

276

Natural gas in Brazil and the role of BNDES (Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Economico e Social) to finance the sector; O mercado de gas natural no Brasil e o papel do BNDES (Banco Nacional de Desenvolvimento Economico e Social) no financiamento ao setor  

This paper summarizes the main issues concerned to natural gas supply and demand in Brazil, pointing out the great market share growth in terms of energy matrix, although it is necessary to improve some institutional issues in order to contribute to the market development. It presents how BNDES has adjusted its procedures and financial conditions to follow market changes. Finally, it prospects future BNDES actions on financing several links of the natural gas economic chain. (author)

277

Photovoltaic barometer; Barometre photovoltaique  

spain and Germany set the pace for the world photovoltaic market in 2008, which grew to more than twice its 2007 size. The European Union continued to drive photocell installation with an additional 4 592.3 MWp in 2008, or 151.6% growth over 2007. However, European growth prospects for the photovoltaic market in 2009 are being dampened by the global financial crisis and the scheduled slow-down of the Spanish market. (author)

278

Fractals and Forecasting in Earthquakes and Finance  

It is now recognized that Benoit Mandelbrot's fractals play a critical role in describing a vast range of physical and social phenomena. Here we focus on two systems, earthquakes and finance. Since 1942, earthquakes have been characterized by the Gutenberg-Richter magnitude-frequency relation, which in more recent times is often written as a moment-frequency power law. A similar relation can be shown to hold for financial markets. Moreover, a recent New York Times article, titled "A Richter Scale for the Markets" [1] summarized the emerging viewpoint that stock market crashes can be described with similar ideas as large and great earthquakes. The idea that stock market crashes can be related in any way to earthquake phenomena has its roots in Mandelbrot's 1963 work on speculative prices in commodities markets such as cotton [2]. He pointed out that Gaussian statistics did not account for the excessive number of booms and busts that characterize such markets. Here we show that both earthquakes and financial crashes can both be described by a common Landau-Ginzburg-type free energy model, involving the presence of a classical limit of stability, or spinodal. These metastable systems are characterized by fractal statistics near the spinodal. For earthquakes, the independent ("order") parameter is the slip deficit along a fault, whereas for the financial markets, it is financial leverage in place. For financial markets, asset values play the role of a free energy. In both systems, a common set of techniques can be used to compute the probabilities of future earthquakes or crashes. In the case of financial models, the probabilities are closely related to implied volatility, an important component of Black-Scholes models for stock valuations. [2] B. Mandelbrot, The variation of certain speculative prices, J. Business, 36, 294 (1963)

279

Discovering a Profitable Trading Strategy in an Apparently Efficient Market: Exploiting the Actions of Less Informed Traders in Speculative Markets  

Abstract:- This study explores the extent of mispricing in a market for state contingent claims that is commonly believed to be efficient, the UK horserace betting market. We develop conditional logit models for weekend and weekday markets and show that prices are inefficient at weekends when the presence of a larger proportion of less informed bettors results in mispricing. A Kelly investment strategy focused on high probability outcomes in such markets yields considerable positive returns. We identify the need for research exploring the implications for information suppliers and users, regulators and operators in wider financial markets.

280

A model of green bank marketing  

In the light of current market conditions, the financial services industry has been reshaped, requiring new marketing knowledge to provide guidelines for successful practice. To that end, corporate social responsibility, green marketing and a green brand image (GBI) have attracted considerable interest in the banking sector, although no framework has yet been established relating these constructs to one another. In this article, the authors present exploratory research as a basis for developing a model of green bank marketing. The model was tested to confirm the dimensions of green bank marketing and investigate its impact on a GBI, thus providing statistical evidence of the relationship between the two variables.

 
 
 
 
281

Price-earnings changes during US presidential election cycles: voter uncertainty and other determinants  

Using electronic-markets data, this paper investigates partial determinants of change in Graham?s price-earnings ratios (P/E) during US presidential election cycles. We document evidence over six elections, that as the probable winner of the election becomes clearer, markets surprisingly respond with decreases in P/E ratios. We consider that our results are consistent with rational markets reacting to presidential campaigns focused on influencing biased, sociotropic voters. These results should be of great interest to researchers concerned with market reaction to election cycles, public policy, and the overall role of election uncertainty in financial markets.

282

Asset Characteristics and Boom and Bust Periods: An Experimental Study  

We examine the impact of transaction costs, short selling restrictions and divisibility of assets on market efficiency in experimental asset markets. We find that transaction costs do not exacerbate the inefficiency of the market. They reduce the magnitude of bubbles and push prices closer to fundamentals. More divisible assets exhibit smaller deviations of prices from fundamentals. Short selling restrictions contribute to prolonged bubbles, while relaxing them increases the occurrence of -bust cycles.- We also find that experimental real estate markets display larger deviations of prices from fundamental values, longer boom and bust cycles and smaller turnover than experimental financial markets.

283

Economic integration in the quality ladder model  

Abstract in portuguese Realizamos aqui o mesmo tipo de "experimentos de integração" que em Rivera-Batiz e Romer (1991), desta vez no contexto de um modelo de "escada de qualidade", onde integração via comércio internacional não é suficiente para impedir redundância de esforços de P&D. Daí que um tipo adicional de integração seja analisada: "integração financeira". Adotamos como arcabouço o "modelo Schumpeteriano Simples" de Aghion e Howitt (2005), cuja tecnologia de inovação di (more) fere claramente daquelas concebidas em Rivera-Batiz e Romer (1991) por exibir retornos decrescentes de escala. Abstract in english Here we perform the same kind of "integration experiments" as in Rivera-Batiz and Romer (1991), this time in the context of a "quality ladder model", where international trade integration is not enough to prevent redundancy of R&D efforts. Thus a further kind of integration is analysed: "financial market integration". We adopt as a setup the Simple Schumpeterian Model in Aghion and Howitt (2005), whose innovation technology differs sharply from the ones conceived by Rivera-Batiz and Romer in that it displays decreasing returns to scale.

284

Important aspects on the development of the Nordic energy markets  

Summary / Conclusions: Challenges and opportunities. I). Liberated energy markets increase effectiveness and enhance economic growth. EU's internal electricity market is going to be the largest integrated electricity market in the world. Nordic market players have the longest experience. II). Increased complexity due to interaction of fuel markets, electricity markets, allowance markets, certificate markets. New challenges for companies' risk management. New challenges for authorities, politicians, etc. III). High uncertainties due to short term national and international climate policies. Post-Kyoto policies may change the whole energy system . Huge markets for clean technologies in the long run. (AG)

285

The 2008 financial crisis and neoclassical economics  

Abstract in english The 2008 global financial crisis was the consequence of the process of financialization, or the creation of massive fictitious financial wealth, that began in the 1980s, and of the hegemony of a reactionary ideology, namely, neoliberalism, based on self-regulated and efficient markets. Although capitalism is intrinsically unstable, the lessons from the stock-market crash of 1929 and the Great Depression of the 1930s were transformed into theories and institutions or regul (more) ations that led to the "30 glorious years of capitalism" (1948-1977) and that could have avoided a financial crisis as profound as the present one. It did not because a coalition of rentiers and "financists" achieved hegemony and, while deregulating the existing financial operations, refused to regulate the financial innovations that made these markets even more risky. Neoclassical economics played the role of a meta-ideology as it legitimized, mathematically and "scientifically", neoliberal ideology and deregulation. From this crisis a new capitalism will emerge, though its character is difficult to predict. It will not be financialized but the tendencies present in the 30 glorious years toward global and knowledge-based capitalism, where professionals will have more say than rentier capitalists, as well as the tendency to improve democracy by making it more social and participative, will b e resumed.

286

Energy utility reform in eastern Canada: electric monopolies still in the dark ages. Can Ontario`s gas reforms light the way?  

The electric and gas utility reform in eastern Canada jurisdictions, specifically in New Brunswick, Quebec and Ontario were reviewed. Progress towards a more competition-oriented operation was the principal theme. With regard to New Brunswick, the financial and operational crisis of NB Power, the provincially owned utility, was described. It was argued that in keeping with the trend towards privatization it would be preferable to privatize NB Power rather than allowing it to become an even larger monopoly by taking control of Sable Island gas distribution. In Quebec, two government-owned utilities, Hydro-Quebec and Gaz Metropolitain, were consolidated to strengthen the government`s monopoly. In view of the lack of competition and unequal access to meet the criteria of the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC), Hydro-Quebec`s main challenge is to retain access to the US market. The US FERC order is a major barrier to Hydro-Quebec. In the Ontario portion of the review, the financial crisis facing Ontario Hydro received extensive coverage. Ontario Hydro was accused of protecting its monopolistic power to control provincial power users, and to prevent independent producers to do business in the province. By contrast, in the Ontario natural gas sector competition is growing, led by initiatives of the Ontario Energy Board and supported by all major gas utilities. Energy Probe is advocating an Independent System Operator (ISO) for the gas system, a concept universally accepted as necessary in competition-oriented integrated electric power systems.

287

Markets and authorities : Global finance and human choice  

This text addresses the relationship between market authority and political authority - a favourite theme of Susan Strange, to whom the book is dedicated. From a survey of the bias against capital liberalization in economic thought to an analysis of the US role in global monetary affairs, it discusses how and why free capital flows contribute to the instability of the global capitalist system. The contributors analyse the history of international capital flows to make sense of contemporary global investments and what they mean for global polity and the economy. They argue over the challenges of integrating large developing countries into a liberal world order and the consequences of the multilateral system for the world's poor. In further discussions they investigate the sustainability of global capitalism in light of financial crisis, widespread inequality and the uncertain future for traditional welfare states. They also advance various mechanisms through which they believe greater stability and equity could be introduced into the global financial system and the world economy.

288

Flow-based market coupling. A joint ETSO-EuroPEX proposal for cross-border congestion management and integration of electricity markets in Europe. Interim report  

ETSO and EuroPEX have previously published separate proposals for congestion management and market operation across borders in Europe. ETSO has described a 'vision' in which Transmission System Operators (TSOs) would support trade between a variety of different markets by taking explicit account of the physical flows of electricity between them ('flow-based modelling'). EuroPEX has described 'Decentralized Market Coupling' as a method to integrate regional energy markets with cross-border congestion management. In most respects the ETSO and EuroPEX proposals are consistent and complementary. In particular, both organisations agree that market-based congestion management mechanisms should be used at all borders wherever possible, and that they should be co-ordinated to take account of the interdependence of physical flows. Furthermore, both ETSO and EuroPEX recognize that integrated markets are in general more efficient than separate ones, but accept that coupling of regional markets is the most realistic way of achieving efficiency benefits in the short and medium term. The commonalty between the ETSO and EuroPEX proposals has been noted by the 'Florence' Regulators' Forum, which has therefore encouraged ETSO and EuroPEX to work together to develop joint proposals. They have responded by setting up a Joint Working Group, which has produced this report to describe its progress to date. Currently, there exists a wide variety of organisational structures and operational practices in Europe. Consequently, ETSO and EuroPEX agreed at an early stage that, although a joint vision of a flow-based market coupling (FMC) model should be developed, it was equally important to identify how the current arrangements could evolve towards it in a series of practical steps. The work is not yet complete. This is an interim report designed to expose ideas at an early stage to enable Regulators, Users and other interested parties to join the debate and provide feedback. In particular, it does not attempt to put forward a prescriptive 'blueprint' for a particular market model, but rather to signal a general direction. It is assumed that implementation of changes in practice would proceed through a series of regional initiatives, governed where necessary by the EU Regulation on Cross-border Exchanges of Electricity, together with the associated Guidelines. The FMC model describes arrangements for day-ahead trading. This needs to be part of a broader set of arrangements including, on one side, effective opportunities for participants to hedge price risk and, on the other side, complementary adjustment and balancing arrangements. FMC is compatible with price risk being hedged via a variety of forward physical or financial markets. The minimum set of regulatory/contractual arrangements necessary to implement FMC has been identified. Some issues concerning the status of power exchanges in some Member States remain to be resolved, particularly regarding the designated nature of the proposed day-ahead market. The transmission modelling and market co-ordination processes remain to be specified in technical detail. Both should be as transparent as reasonably possible, and the latter is likely to be an iterative process, introducing the possibility of convergence issues. Subject to the response to this interim report from other parties, ETSO and EuroPEX agree that the FMC concept should be developed further. Eventual deliverables should include inputs for consideration under the EU Comitology procedure, and advice for consideration by local implementation projects.

289

Promoting financial inclusion for effective anti-money laundering and counter financing of terrorism (AML/CFT)  

?Financial inclusion? is the delivery of financial services at affordable costs, especially to the disadvantaged and low income populations. Financial inclusion has gained some importance in the last few decades as a result of findings on the impact of ?financial exclusion? on development and especially its correlation to poverty.This paper arguesthat access to financial services contributes to human and economic development; and that financial inclusion and effective AML/CFT are complementary to ensure the safety, integrity and soundness of the financial system and the protection of depositors. It calls for the recognition of country specific characteristics of the derived segments of the society, the risks and national priorities in the application of AML/CFT measures, as well as how fin...

290

The Manager's Role in Financial Reporting: A Risk Consultant's Perspective  

This article presents an interview with Ray Gonzalez, a risk consultant at Deloitte & Touche LLP, in Houston, Texas, about the financial reporting responsibilities of top, middle, and frontline managers in large and medium-size firms. This interview spotlights the necessity for timely and accurate reporting of financial information relating to revenue generation and recognition. The responsibility for reporting timely financial information is present at all three tiers of management. The integrity of financial information reported to key stakeholders is crucial to the firm's survival. Culpability for accuracy is with top management; however, controls on accuracy assurances is the message from top to bottom. Both internal and external stakeholders play a key role in the sorts of financial information being reported. Managers must now anticipate what financial information is critical to key stakeholders as a major goal for avoiding litigation and protecting top management from criminal complaints. Company managers are keenly aware of the consequences of misinterpreted financial information messages.

291

The planning and implementation of integrated marketing communications  

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to illustrate the tasks involved in the planning and implementation of integrated marketing communications using an interesting, real-life case study. Design/methodology/approach - A mix of secondary and primary research is used: analysis of academic literature, market research data and organisational data, as well as interviews conducted with members of the Renault Marketing Team. Findings - The planning and implementation of integrated marketing communications is complex and involves a wide range of different management tasks. These include: situation analysis and identification of marketing communications opportunities; choosing the right marketing communications agency; campaign development and implementation, including the selection of the market...

292

Is the efficiency of stock market correlated with multifractality? An evidence from the Shanghai stock market  

In this paper, we propose an efficiency index and multifractality degree for financial markets, and investigate the dynamics of the relationship between the two indices for the Shanghai stock market employing the technique of rolling window. By using the DCCA cross-correlation coefficient, we find that, for the Shanghai stock market, the increase in the degree of market multifractality can lead to a lower degree of market efficiency before the equity division reforms, whereas it can result in a lower degree of market efficiency in the short-term and a higher degree of market efficiency in the long-term after the equity division reforms. This finding reflects the process of development of the Shanghai stock market and also provides strong evidence which supports Liu's argument that the incr...

293

Future market CO{sub 2} capture and storage. Case study on behalf of the Federal Office of Environment Protection in the context of the research project Innovative Environmental Policy in important fields of action; Zukunftsmarkt CO{sub 2}-Abscheidung und -Speicherung. Fallstudie im Auftrag des Umweltbundesamtes im Rahmen des Forschungsprojektes Innovative Umweltpolitik in wichtigen Handlungsfeldern  

Solar thermal electricity generation comprises a set of technologies which convert sunlight into electricity typically based on a thermal process. The main technologies in this assessment are parabolic trough systems, solar tower systems and dish-sterling systems. There are very good medium- to long-term prospects for solar thermal electricity production in terms of global market potential as well as technological development. Within the portfolio of renewable technologies, solar thermal electricity is expected to gain significant shares over the next decades. Germany has a very good starting position in terms of technological leadership and global market shares. In particular the strong position of German players in this field is supported by many years of experience in the development and production of key components of solar thermal power plants, which is aided by strong public R and D and a good market position in related technological areas, e.g. glass mirrors for the car industry. In order to maintain this position in the future, increased efforts are needed, especially in activating synergies in the innovation system by integrating additional key agents. Since Germany does not possess a home market for this technology, it is not possible to exploit domestic user-producer interactions. Therefore the main future challenge lies in the realisation of an entire project by a German consortium, which must include strong project developers who are able to accept the financial and technical risks and to fulfil turn-key contracts for such projects. From the European perspective, solar thermal electricity generation offers very good prospects in terms of industrial policy since Spain and Germany can be considered global leaders in this field. Spain can benefit from its recent experience in developing large-scale projects and from recent mergers and acquisitions of key technology producers in this field. If the current European efforts are maintained, solar thermal power generation represents a huge chance to retain global technological leadership in an important industrial sector and to contribute to reaching the objectives of the Lisbon Strategy. (orig.)

294

Dynamic financial management  

The continuous flux of a capital costs in modern fnancial markets presents unique opportunites to highly levered companies such as public utilities. A company using the principles described in this article can realize substantial long-range benefits by reacting appropriately to money-market changes, the author says. Such benefits are possible, but they require a new perspective and a reorientation to the capital markets. Money managers can no longer afford to seek funds only when operations or construction projects generate the need. They may be failing in their custodial functions if they are not aggressively responding to money-market movements as the movements occur. In a step-by-step illustration, this article carries the reader through the analysis that leads from a simple market even affecting a single company into the dynamic financial management concept and introduces ramifications that should fascinate financial managers. 6 figures.

295

The Application of Cash-Flow-at-Risk to Risk Management in a Deregulated Electricity Market  

The current level of deregulation in electricity markets is continuing to expand. Although each of these markets has individual operational and financial structures, one common characteristic is volatility. This volatility is significant and time-varying, and the persistence of this volatility makes the management of financial risk a priority among market participants. This article considers two applications of an innovative spot price model to risk management in such a market. The first application is the empirical estimation of risk premia in the market considered here. The results support other approaches, which find the risk premia to be both significant and time-variant. In addition, this work considers the application of a Cash-Flow-at-Risk (CFaR) approach to measuring and comparing ...

296

Understanding the Influence of Climate Forecasts on Farmer Decisions as Planned Behavior  

Results of a set of four regression models applied to recent survey data of farmers in eastern Nebraska suggest the causes that drive farmer intentions of using weather and climate information and forecasts in farming decisions. The model results quantify the relative importance of attitude, social norm, perceived behavioral control, and financial capability in explaining the influence of climate-conditions information and short-term and long-term forecasts on agronomic, crop insurance, and crop marketing decisions. Attitude, serving as a proxy for the utility gained from the use of such information, had the most profound positive influence on the outcome of all the decisions, followed by norms. The norms in the community, as a proxy for the utility gained from allowing oneself to be influenced by others, played a larger role in agronomic decisions than in insurance or marketing decisions. In addition, the interaction of controllability (accuracy, availability, reliability, timeliness of weather and climate information), self-efficacy (farmer ability and understanding), and general preference for control was shown to be a substantive cause. Yet control variables also have an economic side: The farm-sales variable as a measure of financial ability and motivation intensified and clarified the role of control while also enhancing the statistical robustness of the attitude and norms variables in better clarifying how they drive the influence. Overall, the integrated model of planned behavior from social psychology and derived demand from economics, that is, the “planned demand model,” is more powerful than models based on either of these approaches alone. Taken together, these results suggest that the “human dimension” needs to be better recognized so as to improve effective use of climate and weather forecasts and information for farming decision making.

297

Inmarsat and personal mobile satellite services  

Personal communications - mobile satellite services (PC-MSS) hold much promise as a profitable business opportunity for a number of interested operators and manufacturers. What will be their impact on the overall mobile communications landscape, and what role will they play in the drive towards the universal personal communicator? It is the thesis of this paper that PC-MSS can provide one of the critical enabling technologies to allow a more rapid, global assimilation of personal mobile communications. Terrestrial mobile communications are local by definition, both in terms of service reach and regulatory oversight. It is estimated that cellular, and other forms of terrestrial mobile communications, will cover over 50% of the world's population, but only 15% of the land mass area by the year 2000. PC-MSS will allow 'cellular extension' to interested users in the uncovered parts of the world. The market opportunity is established and technical solutions are available. However 'user cooperation' will be required and cross mapping of market needs to the technology solutions is the key to financially viable solutions. The potential political and regulatory hurdles are daunting. Inmarsat, as the existing global MSS partnership, is already introducing PC-MSS products and services in the 1990s. The widespread use of briefcase satphones (Inm-M), laptop-sized data terminals (Inm-C), and pocket satpagers (Inm-paging) will break new ground in reshaping the international regulatory context of mobile communications, and in initiating the optimal public switched network integration necessary for global interconnect. It is suggested that this evolutionary approach, by means of international consensus-building within a global partnership of operators, is an effective and proven method to ensure both a sufficient financial return for investors, and fair and equitable access of these services for all countries and users.

298

Financial market frictions in a model of the Euro area  

We build a model of the euro area incorporating financial market frictions at the level of firms and households. Entrepreneurs borrow from financial intermediaries in order to purchase business capital, in the spirit of the ''financial accelerator'' literature. We also introduce two types of households that differ in their degree of time preference. All households have preferences for housing services. The impatient households are faced with a collateral constraint that is a function of the value of their housing stock. Our aim is to provide a unified framework for policy analysis that emphasises financial market frictions alongside the more traditional model channels. The model is estimated by Bayesian methods using euro area aggregate data and model properties are illustrated with simula...

299

Evaluation of stock trading performance of students using a web-based virtual stock trading system  

Most investors lack financial knowledge and information for trading in the stock market. The objective of this study was to enhance the motivation and learning efficiency for students attending a course in financial management. A web-based virtual stock trading (VST) system, embedded with provided functions for financial ratio analysis, was designed to simulate a stock trading environment. Through learning with objective financial analyses, the state of learners' minds is expected not to be affected by news or market fluctuations, which in turn nurtures the students as rational investors. Students were recruited from two universities located in central Taiwan for this study. They were given a virtual budget at the beginning of the semester for online virtual trading. The stock trading beha...

300

Petro-Canada: Annual report 1987  

Annual report of Petro-Canada, formed by an Act of Parliament in 1975 and wholly owned by the Government of Canada. The company is mainly engaged in oil and gas exploration and production, and the transportation, refining, and marketing of hydrocarbons for Canadian needs. It is the largest Canadian-owned company in the petroleum industry and the only Canadian-owned oil and gas company with a national marketing network. This report gives highlights of the year's activities; current opportunities in the natural gas business and the effects of deregulation; financial and operating summaries of the resources and products divisions; corporate responsibilities; a financial review and statement; a glossary of financial terms; information on reserves; and a five-year financial and operating summary.

 
 
 
 
301

When Rules and Principles are Not Enough: Insiders' Views and Narratives On the Global Financial Crisis  

Much has been written about Wall Street and the global financial crisis (GFC). From a fraudulent derivatives market to a contestable culture of banking bonuses, culpability has been examined within the frames of American praxis, namely that of American exceptionalism. This study begins with an exploratory analysis of non-US voices concerning the nature of the causes of the GFC. The analysis provides glimpses of the globalized extent of assumptions shared, but not debated within the globalization convergence of financial markets as the neo-liberal project. Practical and paradigmatic tensions are revealed in the capture of a London-based set of views articulated by senior financial executives of financial service organizations, the outcomes of which are not overly optimistic for any signific...

302

Micro-CHP Systems for Residential Applications  

Integrated micro-CHP (Cooling, Heating and Power) system solutions represent an opportunity to address all of the following requirements at once: conservation of scarce energy resources, moderation of pollutant release into our environment, and assured comfort for home-owners. The objective of this effort was to establish strategies for development, demonstration, and sustainable commercialization of cost-effective integrated CHP systems for residential applications. A unified approach to market and opportunity identification, technology assessment, specific system designs, adaptation to modular product platform component conceptual designs was employed. UTRC's recommendation to U.S. Department of Energy is to go ahead with the execution of the proposed product development and commercialization strategy plan under Phase II of this effort. Recent indicators show the emergence of micro-CHP. More than 12,000 micro-CHP systems have been sold worldwide so far, around 7,500 in 2004. Market projections predict a world-wide market growth over 35% per year. In 2004 the installations were mainly in Europe (73.5%) and in Japan (26.4%). The market in North-America is almost non-existent (0.1%). High energy consumption, high energy expenditure, large spark-spread (i.e., difference between electricity and fuel costs), big square footage, and high income are the key conditions for market acceptance. Today, these conditions are best found in the states of New York, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Wisconsin, Illinois, Indiana, Michigan, Ohio, New England states. A multiple stage development plan is proposed to address risk mitigation. These stages include concept development and supplier engagement, component development, system integration, system demonstration, and field trials. A two stage commercialization strategy is suggested based on two product versions. The first version--a heat and power system named Micro-Cogen, provides the heat and essential electrical power to the homeowner. In its proposed embodiment, the system has a 2kW prime mover integrated to a furnace platform. The second version is a Micro-Trigen system with heating, cooling and power. It has the same Micro-Cogen platform integrated with a 14kW thermally activated chiller. A Stirling engine is suggested as a promising path for the prime mover. A LiBr absorption chiller is today's best technology in term of readiness level. Paybacks are acceptable for the Micro-Cogen version. However, there is no clear economically viable path for a Micro-Trigen version with today's available technology. This illustrates the importance of financial incentives to home owners in the initial stage of micro-CHP commercialization. It will help create the necessary conditions of volume demand to start transitioning to mass-production and cost reduction. Incentives to the manufacturers will help improve efficiency, enhance reliability, and lower cost, making micro-CHP products more attractive. Successful development of a micro-CHP system for residential applications has the potential to provide significant benefits to users, customers, manufacturers, and suppliers of such systems and, in general, to the nation as a whole. The benefits to the ultimate user are a comfortable and healthy home environment at an affordable cost, potential utility savings, and a reliable supply of energy. Manufacturers, component suppliers, and system integrators will see growth of a new market segment for integrated energy products. The benefits to the nation include significantly increased energy efficiency, reduced consumption of fossil fuels, pollutant and CO{sub 2} emissions from power generation, enhanced security from power interruptions as well as enhanced economic activity and job creation. An integrated micro-CHP energy system provides advantages over conventional power generation, since the energy is used more efficiently by means of efficient heat recovery. Foreign companies are readily selling products, mostly in Europe, and it is urgent to react promptly to these offerings that will soon em

303

Could short selling make financial markets tumble?  

It is suggested to consider long term trends of financial markets as a growth phenomenon. The question that is asked is what conditions are needed for a long term sustainable growth or contraction in a financial market? The paper discuss the role of traditional market players of long only mutual funds versus hedge funds which take both short and long positions. It will be argued that financial markets since their very origin and only till very recently, have been in a state of ``broken symmetry'' which favored long term growth instead of contraction. The reason for this ``broken symmetry'' into a long term ``bull phase'' is the historical almost complete dominance by long only players in financial markets. Dangers connected to short trading are illustrated by the appearence of long term bearish trends seen in analytical results and by simulation results of an agent based market model. Recent short trade data of the Nasdaq Composite index show an increase in the short activity prior to or at the same time as d...

304

The internalist perspective on inevitable arbitrage in financial markets  

Arbitrage as an inevitable component of financial markets is due to the robust interplay between the continuous and the discontinuous stochastic variables appearing in the underlying dynamics. We present empirical evidence of such an arbitrage through the laboratory experiment on a portfolio management in the Japan-United States financial markets over the last several years, under the condition that the asset allocation was updated every day over the entire period. The portfolio management addressing the foreign exchange, the stock, and the bond markets was accomplished as referring to and processing only those empirical data that have been complied by and made available from the monetary authorities and the relevant financial markets so far. The averaged annual yield of the portfolio counted in the denomination of US currency was slightly greater than the averaged yield of the same physical assets counted in the denomination of Japanese currency, indicating the occurrence of arbitrage pricing in the financial markets. Daily update of asset allocation was conducted as referring to the predictive movement internal to the dynamics such that monetary flow variables, that are discontinuously stochastic upon the act of measurement internal to the markets, generate monetary stock variables that turn out to be both continuously stochastic and robust in the effect.

305

Structural Breaks in the Mexico's Integration into the World Stock Market  

This article investigates the evolution of the Mexican stock market integration into the world market. First, we estimate the time-varying Mexican degree of market integration using an international conditional version of the CAPM with segmentation effects. Second, we study the structural breaks in ...

306

Regulatory policy, value of knowledge assets and innovation strategy: The case of the Orphan Drug Act  

The U.S. Orphan Drug Act provides R&D incentives to drug-makers that go beyond statutory patent protection. The study explores the acts effect on financial returns to innovation and on the strategy of orphan drug development. Results indicate that the financial return to orphan drug development is positive. The findings suggest that when market size is small and cumulative innovation is an important phenomenon the policy that extends effective patent duration or subsidizes R&D activity improves incentives to innovate.

307

Anomalous waiting times in high-frequency financial data  

In high-frequency financial data not only returns, but also waiting times between consecutive trades are random variables. Therefore, it is possible to apply continuous-time random walks (CTRWs) as phenomenological models of the high-frequency price dynamics. An empirical analysis performed on the 30 DJIA stocks shows that the waiting-time survival probability for high-frequency data is non-exponential. This fact sets limits for agent-based models of financial markets.

308

Fractional calculus and continuous-time finance  

In this paper we present a rather general phenomenological theory of tick-by-tick dynamics in financial markets. Many well-known aspects, such as the Lévy scaling form, follow as particular cases of the theory. The theory fully takes into account the non-Markovian and non-local character of financial time series. Predictions on the long-time behaviour of the waiting-time probability density are presented. Finally, a general scaling form is given, based on the solution of the fractional diffusion equation.

309

Macrostate Parameter and Investment Risk Diagrams for 2008 and 2009  

In this paper are made some considerations of the application of phenomenological thermodynamics in risk analysis for the transaction on financial markets, using the concept of economic entropy and the macrostate parameter introduced by us in a previous works [15,16]. The investment risk diagrams for a number of Romanian listed companies in 2008 and 2009 years were calculed. Also, the evolution of the macrostate parameter during financial and economic crisis in Romania are studied.

310

Using Corporate Social Responsibility strategy with a climate focus for Enterprise Systems  

 Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) as a term has existed for only a couple of decades but in practice CSR has existed for more than 100 years. Through the 90's, CSR became common among businesses while evolving from a philanthropic to a pragmatic dimension. Recent research suggests a transformation of CSR, which combines CSR with the core business of the company in order to increase and maintain societal legitimacy. Enterprise resource planning (ERP) systems are organization tools of a company's resources. The most basic parts concern finance and payments. Today, these ERPs are widely customized and integrated with respect to human resources such as time-accounting, map of competencies, and other events related to employee-care. We propose a new concept on ERP called environmental ERP, which combines the climate aspect of CSR with the ERP-system. The purpose of this is to integrate climate friendly events into the business processes, particularly for large-scale companies. The value of such a module or integration has many dimensions. It creates a green CSR-profile within the core business of the ERP-producer, who has a potential marketing focus. An environmental ERP-module will additionally create financial and social value to the company that utilizes ERP which will retain for example optimization of logistics and a decrease of CO2 emission.  Finally, a legal regulation in 2009 requires the 1000 largest companies in Denmark to inform about their CSR-activities, which could be managed through this ERP-module.

311

Linking Financial Market Dynamics and the Impact of News  

In financial markets, he behavior of investors determines the prices of financial products. However, these investors can also be influenced by good and bad news. Here, we present a mathematical model to reproduce the price dynamics in real financial markets affected by news. The model has both positive and negative feed-back mechanisms. Furthermore, the behavior of the model is examined by considering two different types of noise. Our results show that the dynamic balance of positive and negative feed-back mechanisms with the noise effect determines the asset price movement. For comparison with real market, we have used the Forex data corresponding to the time period of the recent Tohoku-Kanto earthquake in Japan.

312

Bank-based and market-based financial systems: Time-series evidence  

In this paper, we reexamine the relative merits of bank-based and market-based financial systems in promoting long-run economic growth, which has been debated since the 19th century. We find that in the U.S., the U.K., and Japan, the stock market played an important role in financing economic growth, whereas the banking sector played a more important role in Germany, France, and Korea. A more detailed subsample analysis shows that for all countries, the banking sector played an important role in the early years of economic growth. Regarding the causal relation between financial systems and economic growth, except for Korea, all countries show that the financial system leads economic growth. A further analysis shows that the banking sector and the stock market in each country were complemen...

313

The impact of financial development on carbon emissions: An empirical analysis in China  

Given the complexity between China's financial development and carbon emissions, this paper uses some econometric techniques, including cointegration theory, Granger causality test, variance decomposition, etc., to explore the influence of financial development on carbon emissions. Results indicate that, first, China's financial development acts as an important driver for carbon emissions increase, which should be taken into account when carbon emissions demand is projected. Second, the influence of financial intermediation scale on carbon emissions outweighs that of other financial development indicators but its efficiency's influence appears by far weaker although it may cause the change of carbon emissions statistically. Third, China's stock market scale has relatively larger influence on carbon emissions but the influence of its efficiency is very limited. This to some extent reflects the relatively lower liquidity in China's stock markets. Finally, among financial development indicators, China's FDI exerts the least influence on the change of carbon emissions, due to its relatively smaller volume compared with GDP; but it is mainly utilized in carbon intensive sectors now, therefore, with the increase of China's FDI in the future, many efforts should be made to adapt its utilizing directions and play its positive role in promoting low-carbon development. - Research Highlights: {yields} This paper explores the influence of financial development on carbon emissions. {yields} China's financial development appears to be an important driver for carbon emissions increase. {yields} The influence of financial intermediation scale on carbon emissions outweighs that of other indicators. {yields} China's stock market scale has relatively larger influence on carbon emissions but the influence of its efficiency is very limited. {yields} China's FDI exerts the least influence on carbon emissions change, due to its relatively smaller volume compared with China's GDP.

314

Asset portfolio optimization using support vector machines and real-coded genetic algorithm  

This paper presents an integrated approach for portfolio selection in a multicriteria decision making framework. Firstly, we use Support Vector Machines for classifying financial assets in three pre-defined classes, based on their performance on some key financial criteria. Next, we employ Real-Coded Genetic Algorithm to solve a mathematical model of the multicriteria portfolio selection problem in the respective classes incorporating investor-preferences.

315

Interaction between foreign financial services and foreign direct investment in Transition Economies: An empirical analysis with focus on the manufacturing sector  

This paper studies the nexus between financial and non-financial foreign direct investment in Transition Economies, which are members of the EU. Three questions, which are pointed out in the theoretical literature, are discussed in the paper. We use a dataset for nine Transition Economies over the period 1996-2007, for most regressions we apply GMM and for one regression 2SLS. The empirical results lead to three important statements: non-financial FDI is positively affected by financial services FDI and by market potential. Foreign banks in the EU Transition Economies are mainly driven by non-financial FDI and the capital intensity of a country. FDI crowds out domestic investment in the manufacturing sector.

316

Financial guaranties. Concepts and application of the bidding process for inactive areas with marginal accumulations; Garantias financeiras. Conceitos e aplicacao no processo de licitacao de areas inativas com acumulacoes marginais  

The Financial Guarantee System is aimed at assuring compliance with contractual obligations. Currently, there are several forms of financial instruments with a variety of attributes available in the market, providing optimum flexibility for the players to meed financial assurance requirements. This article provides a brief conceptual analysis of this mechanism and describes the financial assurance system adopted by the Brazilian Petroleum Agency. This system is aimed at ensuring compliance to bidding process obligations involving areas of marginal accumulations. In principle, such systems should provide reasonable compliance protection with low regulatory costs and acceptable impact of new entrants. The requirement for Financial Guarantees should not produce additional obstacles in the maintenance of investment flow within this emerging segment, which should be kept attractive and competitive. The authors intend to contribute by proposing a fundamental basis for the discussion of the subject within the Brazilian regulatory framework. (author)

317

Credit market imperfections and the power of the financial accelerator: A theoretical and empirical investigation  

We investigate, both theoretically and empirically, the relationship between credit market imperfections and the degree of shock amplification arising from the so-called financial accelerator. We begin by simulating a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model with two types of financial frictions-costly contract enforcement and anti-creditor bias in the judicial system. Our model builds on the standard financial accelerator framework of Bernanke et al. (1999), to which we add imperfect judicial enforcement in the line of Krasa and Villamil (2000). According to our simulations, the power of the financial accelerator may either increase or decrease with financial frictions, depending on the source and initial level of such frictions. We then turn to the empirical investigation, based on p...

318

The Squam Lake Report: Fixing the Financial System*  

In these excerpts from The Squam Lake Report, fifteen distinguished economists analyze where the global financial system failed, and how such failures might be prevented (or at least their damage better contained) in the future. Although there were many contributing factors to the crisis-including -agency- problems throughout the financial system and a bankruptcy code poorly suited for reorganizing financial firms-at the core of the problem is a potential conflict between the risk-taking proclivity of financial institutions and the interests of the economy at large that must be managed at least in part through more effective regulation. The Squam Lake Report provides a nonpartisan plan to transform the regulation of financial markets in ways designed to limit systemic risk while preserving...

319

Agent-based Model Construction In Financial Economic System  

The paper gives picture of enrichment to economic and financial system analysis using agent-based models as a form of advanced study for financial economic data post-statistical-data analysis and micro-simulation analysis. Theoretical exploration is carried out by using comparisons of some usual financial economy system models frequently and popularly used in econophysics and computational finance. Primitive model, which consists of agent microsimulation with fundamentalist strategy, chartist, and noise, was established with an expectation of adjusting micro-simulation analysis upon stock market in Indonesia. The result of simulation showing how financial economy data resulted analysis using statistical tools such as data distribution and central limit theorem, and several other macro-financial analysis tools previously shown (Situngkir & Surya, 2003b). This paper is ended with several further possible advancements from the model built.

320

Redefining the role of the pharmacist: medication therapy management.  

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to explore better use of pharmacists in rural communities as a partial solution to scarcity of physicians and other health care providers. It discusses expected reduction in public subsidies for rural health care and the changing market for pharmacists. The paper emphasizes the use of pharmacists as a backdrop for description of Medication Therapy Management (MTM). A pilot study of MTM is also reported. Methods: This article explores rural health access, the market for pharmacists and MTM using the literature, and economic concepts to provide historical context for this new form of health care delivery. A small case study from a university-based clinic provided primary data to demonstrate viability. Findings: MTM can augment rural health by providing care for patients who receive increasing numbers of complex medications. It helps better integrate pharmacists into primary care and holds promise as a cost-effective, if not cost-saving alternative. Conclusion: More constrained fiscal conditions are a virtual certainty going forward. The rural health community needs cost-effective health care alternatives that can prosper with lower levels of public financial support. MTM is one such option. PMID:23083089

 
 
 
 
321

Gaz de France annual report 2000; Gaz de France rapport annuel 2000  

A leader in the natural gas market in Europe, Gaz de France is an integrated group active in all sectors of the natural gas industry. In exploration and production, trading of natural gas, transmission, storage, distribution, energy management, air conditioning and heating, the Group has developed recognized skills and know-how both upstream and down to assure its customers of diversified, efficient and competitive services. A leader in liquefied natural gas, storage and distribution technologies, the Gaz de France Group has strong positions in Europe and operates throughout the world by promoting a strategy of alliances and partnerships at all levels of the gas industry. The goal of the Gaz de France Group is to continue to expand and develop its activities from the wellhead to the burner tip, and to seize, in France and throughout the world, the best opportunities offered to capitalize on its strengths. This activity report presents: the corporate profile, the financial highlights, the principal subsidiaries and affiliates, the major European trunk lines the responsive, customer-focused services (exploration-production, trading, transmission, distribution, services), the actions to ensure performance (productive research, comprehensive quality assurance, mobilized workforce ready for the opening of the markets)

322

Evaluating the development of carbon capture and storage technologies in the United States  

Carbon capture and storage (CCS) is seen as an important solution to solve the twin challenge of reducing GHG emissions, while utilizing fossil fuel reserves to meet future energy requirements. In this study an innovation systems perspective is applied to review the development of CCS technologies in the US between 2000 and 2009 and to come up with policy recommendations for technology managers that wish to accelerate the deployment of CCS. The analysis describes the successful built-up of an innovation system around CCS and pinpoints the key determinants for this achievement. However, the evaluation of the system's performance also indicates that America's leading role in the development of CCS should not be taken for granted. It shows that the large CCS R and D networks, as well as the extensive CCS knowledge base, which have been accumulated over the past decade, have not yet been valorized by entrepreneurs to explore the market for integrated CCS concepts linked to power generation. Therefore, it is argued that the build-up of the innovation system has entered a critical phase that is decisive for a further thriving development of CCS technologies in the US. This study provides a clear understanding of the current barriers to the technology's future deployment and outlines a policy strategy that (1) stimulates technological learning; (2) facilitates collaboration and coordination in CCS actor networks; (3) creates financial and market incentives for the technology; and (4) provides supportive regulation and sound communication on CCS. (author)

323

Effectiveness of return-to-work interventions for disabled people: a systematic review of government initiatives focused on changing the behaviour of employers  

BACKGROUND: OECD countries over the past two decades have implemented a range of labour market integration initiatives to improve the employment chances of disabled and chronically ill individuals. This article presents a systematic review and evidence synthesis on effectiveness of government interventions to influence employers' employment practices concerning disabled and chronically ill individuals in five OECD countries. A separate paper reports on interventions to influence the behaviour of employees. METHODS: Electronic and grey literature searches to identify all empirical studies reporting employment effects and/or process evaluations of government policies aimed at changing the behaviour of employers conducted between 1990 and 2008 from Canada, Denmark, Norway, Sweden and the UK. RESULTS: Few studies provided robust evaluations of the programmes or their differential effects and selection of participants into programmes may distort the findings of even controlled studies. A population-level effect oflegislation to combat discrimination by employers could not be detected. Workplace adjustments had positive impacts on employment, but low uptake. Financial incentives such as wage subsidies can work if they are sufficiently generous. Involving employers in return-to-work planning can reduce subsequent sick leave and be appreciated by employees, but this policy has not been taken up with the level of intensity that is likely to make a difference. Some interventions favour the more advantaged disabled people and those closer to the labour market. CONCLUSIONS: Future evaluations need to pay more attention to differential impact of interventions, degree of take-up, non-stigmatizing implementation and wider policy context in each country.

324

The clinician's guide to composing effective business plans.  

In today's challenging healthcare environment, clinicians need to understand the fundamentals of financial analysis, which are the underpinnings of their clinical programs, especially when seeking administrative support for new initiatives. The business plan for new clinical program initiatives is composed of diverse elements such as the mission statement, market and competitive analyses, operations plan, and financial analysis. Armed with a basic knowledge of financial analysis of clinical programs, as well as forward-looking analysis of an initiative's added value, the healthcare provider can work much more effectively with administration in developing or creating new healthcare program initiatives. PMID:21815550

325

New regulatory instructions for the European energy market. Risk of a double message; Neue regulatorische Vorschriften fuer europaeischen Energiemarkt. Gefahr einer Doppelmeldung  

Already at the end of the year 2010 and at the beginning of the year 2011, the regulations Remit, Emir and the updated guidelines MiFID II and MAD II were presented in response to the financial crisis in 2008. With them, the full regulatory zeal of the European legislator befalls all the financial institutions and energy companies. The overall objectives are transparency, transparency and transparency again. Only in this way, the EU Commission believes in the prevention of a second financial crisis on the energy markets.

326

Introduction to convex optimization in financial markets  

Convexity arises naturally in financial risk management. In risk preferences concerning random cash-flows, convexity corresponds to the fundamental diversification principle. Convexity is a basic property also of budget constraints both in classical linear models as well as in more realistic models with transaction costs and constraints. Moreover, modern securities markets are based on trading protocols that result in convex trading costs. The first part of this paper gives an introduction to certain basic concepts and principles of financial risk management in simple optimization terms. The second part reviews some convex optimization techniques used in mathematical and numerical analysis of financial optimization problems.

327

Symbolic Methodology in Numeric Data Mining Relational Techniques for Financial Applications  

Currently statistical and artificial neural network methods dominate in financial data mining. Alternative relational (symbolic) data mining methods have shown their effectiveness in robotics, drug design and other applications. Traditionally symbolic methods prevail in the areas with significant non-numeric (symbolic) knowledge, such as relative location in robot navigation. At first glance, stock market forecast looks as a pure numeric area irrelevant to symbolic methods. One of our major goals is to show that financial time series can benefit significantly from relational data mining based on symbolic methods. The paper overviews relational data mining methodology and develops this techniques for financial data mining.

328

Meeting the challenge of a group practice turnaround.  

Many healthcare organizations that acquired group practices to enhance their market share have found that the practices have not met their financial goals. Turning around a financially troubled, hospital-owned group practice is challenging but not impossible for healthcare organizations that take certain basic actions. Direction, data, desire, dedication, and drive must be present to effect the financial turnaround of a group practice. The healthcare organization needs to evaluate the practice's strategy and operations and identify the issues that are hindering the practice's ability to optimize revenues. Efforts to achieve profitable operations have to be ongoing. PMID:11258274

329

Financial Uncertainty and Business Investment  

The paper contributes to the empirical analysis of financial uncertainty and investment from a Post Keynesian perspective. The paper uses the volatility of the exchange rate, the volatility of the stock market index, and the real gold price as indicators for financial uncertainty. An increase in the volatility of a variable is a sufficient, but not a necessary condition for an increase in uncertainty regarding this variable. The effects of changes in uncertainty on investment are investigated econometrically for the United States, the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, Germany and France. Financial uncertainty, we find, has significant negative effects in the US and the Netherlands.

330

Currency crisis and the forward discount bias: Evidence from emerging economies under breaks  

This paper investigates the effects of two financial crises (the 1997 Asian currency crisis and the 2000 Turkish financial crisis) on the forward discount bias in 14 emerging-market economies using a robust two-stage procedure. This unique sample of less researched currencies displays: (i) high persistence in forward discount equations; and (ii) varying variance ratios between changes in exchange rates and the forward premium. The findings provide new insights into the forward discount puzzle: financial crises exert considerable power on the forward discount bias and uphold the forward rate unbiasedness hypothesis (FRUH) by reverting the negative sign into positive.

331

Do Financial Constraints Matter for Foreign Market Entry? A Firm-level Examination  

Abstract Recent theoretical and empirical contributions stress the importance of financial development for international trade. This paper investigates whether financial constraints matter for foreign market entry at the firm level using dynamic panel data techniques. Dynamic Probit and Tobit models that account for state dependence and unobserved heterogeneity are used to analyse the effect of financial indicators on export activities. The empirical framework tests for heterogeneous effects among different quartiles of the size and productivity distribution, across previous exporters and potential starters, and across different types of industries as those are predicted by theoretical models. The empirical analysis is applied to a large panel dataset of French manufacturing firms over the...

332

Integration of financial statement analysis in the optimal design of supply chain networks under demand uncertainty  

Models that aim to optimize the design of supply chain networks have become a mainstream in the supply chain literature. This paper aims to fill a gap in the literature by introducing a mathematical model that integrates financial considerations with supply chain design decisions under demand uncertainty. The proposed Mixed-Integer Linear Programming (MILP) problem enchases financial statement analysis through financial ratios and demand uncertainty through scenario analysis. The applicability of the model is illustrated by using a case study along with a sensitivity analysis on financial parameters expressing the business environment. The model could be used as an effective and convenient strategic decision tool by supply chain managers.

333

Measuring economies of scale at the city market level.  

Data envelopment analysis (DEA) techniques have been applied to the assessing efficiency and productivity among individual hospitals. In this article, we employ DEA to address whether economies of scale exist among hospital markets by first assessing individual hospitals operating in 2005 in the State of Florida and then by comparing hospital markets' efficiency relative to each other. The interest in hospital markets stems from issues relating to mergers among hospitals or the reallocation of services (inputs) among hospitals in a market area, particularly as occupancy rates and reimbursements are tending to fall. Facing more competition and stringent financial conditions, hospitals would benefit from decreasing costs by exploiting economies of scale. PMID:20973375

334

Trading in the energy. About the definitions, the conditions and the organization; Trading dans l'energie. Quelles definitions? quelles conditions? quelle organisation?  

This book gives a general panorama of the energy trading in Europe. After the definition and the environment of energy trading (general overview, markets and grid obstacles and constraints), the author presents how does energy both physical and financial trade work. The next parts deal with the following subjects: the organization of markets and possibilities of trading in Europe and in France (liberalization of energy market, consumer view); the organizing and applying trading in energy; the traders experiences; the new offers and the new actors (experience of setting up a new energy trading company in Europe); the risk management and IT solutions in electricity markets. (A.L.B.)

335

On information efficiency and financial stability  

We study a simple model of an asset market with informed and non-informed agents. In the absence of non-informed agents, the market becomes information efficient when the number of traders with different private information is large enough. Upon introducing non-informed agents, we find that the latter contribute significantly to the trading activity if and only if the market is (nearly) information efficient. This suggests that information efficiency might be a necessary condition for bubble phenomena, induced by the behavior of non-informed traders, or conversely that throwing some sands in the gears of financial markets may curb the occurrence of bubbles.

336

Market Segmentation and Cross-predictability of Returns  

ABSTRACT We present evidence supporting the hypothesis that due to investor specialization and market segmentation, value-relevant information diffuses gradually in financial markets. Using the stock market as our setting, we find that (i) stocks that are in economically related supplier and customer industries cross-predict each other's returns, (ii) the magnitude of return cross-predictability declines with the number of informed investors in the market as proxied by the level of analyst coverage and institutional ownership, and (iii) changes in the stock holdings of institutional investors mirror the model trading behavior of informed investors.

337

The High-Frequency Responses of Australian Financial Futures to Unexpected Cash Rate Announcements  

This study examines the high-frequency responses of Australian financial futures to monetary surprises using intra-day futures data. Using the event window method with tick data to control for the endogeneity between market interest rates and the cash rate, our empirical findings support the following. First, monetary policy announcements significantly impact not only short-term interest rate futures but also longer-term treasury security future markets. Second, the most significant responses of these markets occur in the event window that contains the policy announcement. Third, we also find that the monetary policy is not well anticipated by market participants until the Reserve Bank of Australia's policy release.

338

Growing a natural gas major  

This paper discusses attributes needed to succeed in the natural gas industry. Attributes identified include the ability to market multiple commodities; full integration in the midstream; an opportunistic marketing culture; and a global perspective.

339

Small parts summed up; Die Summe der kleinen Teile  

Solar roof tiles, i.e. small solar modules integrated in buildings, have long been a niche market. The high cost of production and assembly make a market breakthrough difficult. Nevertheless, producers are constantly making new attempts.

340

Simulations of financial markets in a Potts-like model  

A three-state model based on the Potts model is proposed to simulate financial markets. The three states are assigned to "buy", "sell" and "inactive" states. The model shows the main stylized facts observed in the financial market: fat-tailed distributions of returns and long time correlations in the absolute returns. At low inactivity rate, the model effectively reduces to the two-state model of Bornholdt and shows similar results to the Bornholdt model. As the inactivity increases, we observe the exponential distributions of returns.

 
 
 
 
341

Disentangling barriers to internationalization  

Abstract.- Recent literature on multinational firms has focused on low productivity as a barrier to the internationalization of firms. But labour market frictions or financial constraints may also hamper internationalization. In order to assess the importance of these barriers, we present new empirical evidence on the extensive and intensive margin of exports and foreign direct investment (FDI) based on micro-level data of German firms. First, we find a positive impact of firm size and productivity on firms- international activities. Second, labour market frictions can constitute barriers to foreign activities. Third, self-reported financial constraints have no impact on firms- internationalization decisions. JEL classification: F23, G2

342

Multifractal Features in the Foreign Exchange and Stock Markets  

The multifractal behavior for tick data of prices is investigated in Korean financial market. Using the rescaled range analysis(R/S analysis), we show the multifractal nature of returns for the won-dollar exchange rate and the KOSPI. We also estimate the Hurst exponent and the generalized $q$th-order Hurst exponent in the unversal multifractal framework. Particularly, our financial market is a persistent process with long-run memory effects, and the statistical value of the Hurst exponents occurs the crossovers at charateristic time scales. It is found that the probability distribution of returns is well consistent with a Lorentz distribution, significantly different from fat-tailed properties.

343

Regulatory Uncertainty and Financial Contagion: Evidence from the Hybrid Capital Securities Market  

Abstract This paper examines the negative market impact that resulted from the insurance regulators- potential reclassification of 140 hybrid capital securities in spring and summer 2006. It illustrates how financial contagion can spring from a regulatory policy change that lacks transparency. We investigate the impact of the uncertainty surrounding the regulators- true classification criteria by measuring the effect of the reclassification announcements on hybrid new issue volume, cumulative average abnormal returns, bid-ask spreads, and yield spreads. The financial contagion adversely affected the entire hybrid capital securities market for six months. The effect was most pronounced among those hybrids that were eventually reclassified as common equity equivalents. It was greater for Yan...

344

Appropriate Technology Small Grants Program: marketing and information dissemination analysis. Final report  

The project files for 207 grants from the US Department of Energy's Appropriate Technology (AT) Small Grants Program in the Mid-Atlantic Region were examined to determine what information might be available for public dissemination to facilitate commercialization of the technologies involved. Sources of informational, financial and commercialization assistance were compiled to assist grantees in the further development and commercialization of their work. An analysis of the possible markets for AT projects was undertaken to determine the financial, informational, and energy needs and requirements of various market segments.

345

A model for the dynamic behavior of financial assets affected by news: The case of Tohoku-Kanto earthquake  

The prices of financial products in markets are determined by the behavior of investors, who are influenced by positive and negative news. Here, we present a mathematical model to reproduce the price movements in real financial markets affected by news. The model has both positive and negative feed-back mechanisms. Furthermore, the behavior of the model is examined by considering two types of noise. Our results show that the dynamic balance of positive and negative feed-back mechanisms with the noise effect determines the asset price movement.

346

A model for the dynamic behavior of financial assets affected by news: The case of Tohoku?Kanto earthquake  

The prices of financial products in markets are determined by the behavior of investors, who are influenced by positive and negative news. Here, we present a mathematical model to reproduce the price movements in real financial markets affected by news. The model has both positive and negative feed-back mechanisms. Furthermore, the behavior of the model is examined by considering two types of noise. Our results show that the dynamic balance of positive and negative feed-back mechanisms with the noise effect determines the asset price movement.

347

The determinants of short selling: evidence from the Hong Kong equity market  

Abstract While most financial regulators agree that short sellers have an important role to play in ensuring an efficiently functioning market, it is interesting to note that many did not hesitate to ban short selling during the recent financial crisis. This apparent contradiction most likely stems from a lack of understanding about what motivates short trading. In this paper, we focus on the determinants of short selling during -normal- trading in the Hong Kong stock market. We find that dividend payments, company fundamentals, risk, option trading, the interest rate spread and past returns and short selling are all significant determinants of short selling.

348

Google Internet search activity and volatility prediction in the market for foreign currency  

I study whether evolution in the number of Google Internet searches for particular keywords can predict volatility in the market for foreign currency. I find that data on Google searches for the keywords economic crisis+financial crisis and recession has incremental predictive power beyond the GARCH(1,1). These results support the mixture of distributions hypothesis in that volatility is linked to the stochastic rate at which information flows into the marketplace. These results also demonstrate the potential for Google to become a storehouse of information for financial markets.

349

Three state herding model of the financial markets  

We propose a Markov jump process with the three state herding interaction. We see our approach as an agent-based model for the financial markets. Under certain assumptions this agent-based model can be related to the stochastic description exhibiting sophisticated statistical features. Along with power-law probability density function of the absolute returns we are able to reproduce the fractured power spectral density, which is observed in the high-frequency financial market data. Given example of consistent agent-based and stochastic modeling will provide background for the further developments in the research of complex social systems.

350

Japan's banking crisis: An event-study perspective  

We calculate abnormal stock returns for Japanese non-financial companies around major events associated with the banking crisis (1995-2000), and find that not all companies were equally sensitive to the malaise of the banking sector: the most affected were small, leveraged, low-tech companies with low credit ratings and low market to book ratios. This is consistent with "credit crunch" theories (companies with limited access to financial markets are sensitive to changes in bank lending) and with claims that innovation is rarely financed by bank debt. We do not find much evidence on the alleged misallocation of loans to support ailing bank clients.

351

Causes and Consequences? Exploring the Shape and Direction of the Housing System in the UK Post the Financial Crisis  

The impacts of the global financial crisis continue to reverberate around the world. This paper explores its impacts in the UK in general and England in particular in relation to the housing market and housing policy. It examines the underlying trends which were already in place before the financial crisis and the impact of the crisis and the government's policy responses on the housing and mortgage markets. The paper argues that the crisis mainly exacerbated already long established tensions while the current policy solutions have ameliorated, but not fully, resolved these pressures.

352

Towards a faster and broader application of biochar: appropriate marketing mechanisms  

Biochar derived from organic wastes and incorporated in soils offers multiple environmental and financial benefits. This approach tackles several critical global issues including waste management, renewable energy production, greenhouse gas mitigation, soil degradation prevention, food security, reduced water pollution from agrochemicals, and water quality and quantity enhancement. But farm level production and use of biochar is not yet viable, largely due to financial and technical constraints. Thus, an incentive mechanism for farmers is crucial for its successful adoption. This paper analyses both the current provisions and the marketing mechanisms of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM), one of the three market-based mechanisms of the Kyoto Protocol which links developed and developing...

353

Integration of European Bond Markets  

I investigate the time variation in the integration of EU government bond markets. The integration is measured by the explanatory power of European factor portfolios for the individual bond markets for each year. The integration of the government bond markets is stronger for EMU than non-EMU members and stronger for old than new EU members. The integration is weaker for the sovereign debt crisis countries than for other countries. The integration of the EU bond markets is decreasing over time and this appears not to be caused by the recent …nancial and sovereign debt crisis.

354

Individual impact of agent actions in financial markets  

We present an analysis of the price impact associated with trades effected by different financial firms. Using data from the Spanish Stock Market, we find a high degree of heterogeneity across different market members, both in the instantaneous impact functions and in the time-dependent market response to trades by individual members. This heterogeneity is statistically incompatible with the existence of market-wide universal impact dynamics which apply uniformly to all trades and suggests that rather, market dynamics emerge from the complex interaction of different behaviors of market participants. Several possible reasons for this are discussed, along with potential extensions one may consider to increase the range of applicability of existing models of market impact.

355

Agent-specific impact of single trades in financial markets  

We present an analysis of the price impact associated with single trades effected by different financial firms. Using data from the Spanish Stock Market, we find a high degree of heterogeneity across different market members, both in the instantaneous impact functions and in the time-dependent market response to trades by individual members. This heterogeneity is statistically incompatible with the existence of market-wide universal impact dynamics that apply uniformly to all trades and suggest that, rather, market dynamics emerge from the complex interaction of different behaviors of market participants. Several possible reasons for this are discussed, along with potential extensions one may consider to increase the range of applicability of existing models of market impact.

356

The economic geography of European carbon market trading  

The European Union Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) is the world's first regional carbon trading market. This article is a quantitative attempt to examine the temporal and spatial geography of European carbon trading. We show that carbon markets are especially sensitive to two factors: staging across time (Phase I versus II of the EU ETS) and across space (energy market structures in Europe). Carbon markets serve as a vehicle to better understand the economic geography of financial markets. Building on the theoretical vocabulary of the geography of finance, the article suggests that certain national factors (market structure) and institutional factors (regulatory phases) better explain how carbon markets operate than company level differences. These findings indicate that geographers have...

357

Financial Management at NASA: Challenges and Next Steps  

Oct 27, 2005 ... NASA received a disclaimer of opinion on its financial statements as a result of the ... integrity issues, as well as problems related to NASA's conversion in .... reviews of the statements are now documented, and an analysis for ...

358

76 FR 77504 - Notice of Submission for OMB Review  

...schools and award amounts; ED merges performance information extracted from the EDEN...data allow ED to monitor CSP grant performance and analyze data related to accountability for academic performance, financial integrity, and...

359

Sovereign Default Risk and Bank Fragility in Financially Integrated Economies  

The paper analyzes contagious sovereign debt crises in financially integrated economies. Under financial integration banks optimally diversify their holdings of sovereign debt in an effort to minimize the costs with respect to an individual country's sovereign debt default. Although diversification generates risk diversification benefits ex ante, it also generates contagion ex post. The paper shows that financial integration without fiscal integration results in an inefficient equilibrium supply of government debt. The safest governments inefficiently restrict the amount of high-quality debt that could be used as collateral in the financial system and the riskiest governments issue too much debt, as they do not take account of the costs of contagion. Those inefficiencies can be removed by ...

360

Areva group. Result, first half 2004; Resultats du 1. semestre 2004. Groupe Areva  

Areva, a world nuclear industry leader, provides by this document information and key data on the performance and detailed financial data of the first half 2004. The transmission and distribution integration plan 2004-2006 is also detailed. (A.L.B.)

 
 
 
 
361

Concept of Materiality and Its Application to the Requirements of the Federal Managers' Financial Integrity Act.  

This thesis provides a review of the process of evaluating internal control systems for the Federal Managers' Financial Integrity Act and the application of the concept of materiality to that process. Topics considered include: internal control in the Fed...

362

77 FR 37237 - Delegations of Authority for the Office of Housing-Federal Housing Administration (FHA...  

...external agencies.) (3) Office of Systems and Technology. The Office of Systems and Technology coordinates the development and maintenance of integrated financial and management information systems necessary for accounting and...

363

People  

+ Science Working Group ... He oversaw program management including financial management, capital, ... He was the Director for Integration, Test & Launch within Northrop Grumman Space Technology's Production and Supply Chain (PSC) ...

364

Applying mathematical finance tools to the competitive Nordic electricity market  

This thesis models competitive electricity markets using the methods of mathematical finance. Fundamental problems of finance are market price modelling, derivative pricing, and optimal portfolio selection. The same questions arise in competitive electricity markets. The thesis presents an electricity spot price model based on the fundamental stochastic factors that affect electricity prices. The resulting price model has sound economic foundations, is able to explain spot market price movements, and offers a computationally efficient way of simulating spot prices. The thesis shows that the connection between spot prices and electricity forward prices is nontrivial because electricity is a commodity that must be consumed immediately. Consequently, forward prices of different times are based on the supply-demand conditions at those times. This thesis introduces a statistical model that captures the main characteristics of observed forward price movements. The thesis presents the pricing problems relating to the common Nordic electricity derivatives, as well as the pricing relations between electricity derivatives. The special characteristics of electricity make spot electricity market incomplete. The thesis assumes the existence of a risk-neutral martingale measure so that formal pricing results can be obtained. Some concepts introduced in financial markets are directly usable in the electricity markets. The risk management application in this thesis uses a static optimal portfolio selection framework where Monte Carlo simulation provides quantitative results. The application of mathematical finance requires careful consideration of the special characteristics of the electricity markets. Economic theory and reasoning have to be taken into account when constructing financial models in competitive electricity markets. (orig.)

365

Domesticação" e/ou "moralização do capitalismo" no governo Lula: inclusão social via mercado e via fundos de pensão/ Domestication" and/or "moralization of capitalism" in the Lula administration: social inclusion via the market and via pension funds/ Domestication" et/ou "moralisation du capitalisme" dans le gouvernement Lula: inclusion sociale via marché et via fonds de pension  

Abstract in english The article suggests social inclusion via the market and especially via pension funds in the Lula Administration. It shows how the dialogue between government, trade unions, union confederations, and the financial market reveals a convergence of interests among the above-mentioned actors, expressed in various symbolic/discursive actions in the financial market. The argument is that social inclusion policy via the market translates the project of "domestication and/or mora (more) lization" of capitalism as defended and practiced by the Brazilian Workers' Party (PT). The article uses empirical material collected from the Brazilian press, specialized journals, representative agencies from the private pension sector, and interviews with Brazilian trade union leaders and members of the Lula Administration.

366

Roadmap towards a competitive European energy market  

With the financial crisis evolving into a severe, global economic recession, there have been growing doubts over whether energy markets can continue to operate efficiently under present conditions or whether the shift to non-market mechanisms would be a better choice. This question remains an ongoing source of debate in the recently liberalised electricity sector. Textbook wisdom says that the market is the most efficient place to allocate financial means for investments. Therefore, during a period of a crisis, it should follow that we actually need more market mechanisms, not fewer, if we want to stimulate investments in an economically efficient way. Regulated electricity prices and nationalistic thinking will not help to solve Europe's electricity challenges with regards to either the generation or the transportation of electricity.

367

Multiplicative Stochastic Model of the Time Interval between Trades in Financial Markets  

Stock price change in financial market occurs through transactions in analogy with diffusion in stochastic physical systems. The analysis of price changes in real markets shows that long-range correlations of price fluctuations largely depend on the number of transactions. We introduce the multiplicative stochastic model of time interval between trades and analyze spectral density and correlations of the number of transactions. The model reproduces spectral properties of the real markets and explains the mechanism of power law distribution of trading activity. Our study provides an evidence that statistical properties of financial markets are enclosed in the statistics of the time interval between trades. Multiplicative stochastic diffusion may serve as a consistent model for this statistics.

368

Experiential Learning of the Efficient Market Hypothesis: Two Trading Games  

In goods markets, an equilibrium price balances demand and supply. In a financial market, an equilibrium price also aggregates people's information to reveal the true value of a financial security. Although the underlying idea of informationally efficient markets is one of the centerpieces of capital market theory, students often have difficulties in grasping and accepting that asset prices fulfill this dual role of information revelation and demand-supply aggregation. The author presents two simple classroom games that illustrate the workings of information transmission and aggregation through prices. The games are easy to comprehend, simple to implement, and short. Each game, including classroom discussions, takes about 30 minutes. By the end, students will have an intuitive feel for informational efficiency. (Contains 3 figures, 2 tables and 15 notes.)

369

Large Stock Market Price Drawdowns Are Outliers  

Drawdowns are essential aspects of risk assessment in investment management. They offer a more natural measure of real market risks than the variance or other cumulants of daily (or some other fixed time scale) distributions of returns. Here, we extend considerably our previous analysis by analyzing the major financial indices, the major currencies, gold, the twenty largest U.S. companies in terms of capitalisation as well as nine others chosen randomly. We find for the major financial markets that approximately 98% of the distributions of drawdowns is well-represented by a stretched exponential while the largest drawdowns are occurring with a significantly larger rate than predicted by the stretched exponential: the largest drops thus constitute genuine outliers. This is confirmed by extensive testing on surrogate data, which unambiguously show that large stock market drops (and crashes) cannot be accounted for by the distribution of returns characterising the smaller market moves. They thus belong to a diff...

370

Mean-variance asset-liability management: Cointegrated assets and insurance liability  

The cointegration of major financial markets around the globe is well evidenced with strong empirical support. This paper considers the continuous-time mean-variance (MV) asset-liability management (ALM) problem for an insurer investing in an incomplete financial market with cointegrated assets. The number of trading assets is allowed to be less than the number of Brownian motions spanning the market. The insurer also faces the risk of paying uncertain insurance claims during the investment period. We assume that the cointegration market follows the diffusion limit of the error-correction model for cointegrated time series. Using the Markowitz (1952) MV portfolio criterion, we consider the insurer's problem of minimizing variance in the terminal wealth, given an expected terminal wealth su...

371

Modes and orders of market entry : revisiting corporate innovation and imitation strategies  

This paper focuses on the initial questions of how and when to enter a market from the perspective of a firm. By entry mode is meant a firm’s strategy (innovation or imitation) for entering the market in response to environmental changes. Entry order refers to the related issue of market timing (first-mover or follower). Invention is understood as the conversion of human creativity, time and financial resources into new ideas. Innovation in turn reflects the practical and financial return on such investments. While there is little disagreement about what an innovator strategy is, imitative strategies are more ambiguous. Based on a corporate technology and innovation strategy perspective, the paper reconceptualises and extends existing modes and orders of market entry, and in particular clarifies the ambiguity associated with imitative strategies. Four distinct imitator strategies are identified. The paper closes with a brief discussion of limitations, avenues for future research, and implications for managers and affected policymakers.

372

Temporal Evolution of Financial Market Correlations  

We investigate financial market correlations using random matrix theory and principal component analysis. We use random matrix theory to demonstrate that correlation matrices of asset price changes contain structure that is incompatible with uncorrelated random price changes. We then identify the principal components of these correlation matrices and demonstrate that a small number of components accounts for a large proportion of the variability of the markets that we consider. We then characterize the time-evolving relationships between the different assets by investigating the correlations between the asset price time series and principal components. Using this approach, we uncover notable changes that occurred in financial markets and identify the assets that were significantly affected by these changes. We show in particular that there was an increase in the strength of the relationships between several different markets following the 2007--2008 credit and liquidity crisis.

373

Study of the export potential of the Bolivian Power Sector. Final report. Export trade information  

This study, conducted by Black & Veatch International, was conducted by the U.S. Trade and Development Agency. The report shows the results of a review of export potential and to assess the ability of the Bolivian power sector to provide these exports economically and with financially viable projects. The study includes technical, economic, and financial analyses of export power stations alternatives. The report is divided into the following sections: (1) Executive Summary; (2) The Bolivian Power Sector; (3) Market Assessment for Brazil; (4) Market Assessment for Argentina; (5) Market Assessment for Export; (6) Market Assessment for Peru; (7) Project Selection; (8) Transmission Plans for Power Export; (9) Delivered Natural Gas Costs; (10) Power Plant Characteristics; (11) Economic Screening of Export Power Station Options; (12) Project Financing; (13) Conclusions and Recommendations.

374

Pedagogical Strategies for Incorporating Behavioral Finance Concepts in Investment Courses  

The traditional approach to teaching a course in investments is predicated upon the efficient market hypothesis, modern portfolio theory, and the assumption that decision-makers are rational, wealth optimizing entities. Recent developments in the arena of behavioral finance (BF) have raised questions about this approach. Although the idea of efficient markets is widely accepted in academic circles, financial markets often fail to behave as predicted by the theory. For the teacher of undergraduate investments, these divergent views create significant pedagogical challenges and opportunities. BF has particular implications for investing in financial markets, where the faith in rational behavior is perhaps the greatest. This paper identifies alternative strategies for dealing with these issues in the classroom.

375

The continuous behavior of the numeraire portfolio under small changes in information structure, probabilistic views and investment constraints  

The numeraire portfolio in a financial market is the unique positive wealth process that makes all other nonnegative wealth processes supermartingales, when deflated by it. The numeraire portfolio depends on market characteristics, which include: (a) the information flow available to acting agents, given by a filtration; (b) the statistical evolution of the asset prices and, more generally, the states of nature, given by a probability measure; and (c) possible restrictions that acting agents might be facing on available investment strategies, modeled by a constraints set. In a financial market with continuous-path asset prices, the stable behavior of the numeraire portfolio is established when each of the aforementioned market parameters is changed in an infinitesimal way.

376

Areva 2005 annual report; Areva rapport annuel 2005  

This annual report contains information on AREVA's objectives, prospects and strategies, particularly in Chapters 4 and 7, as well as contains information on the markets, market shares and competitive position of the AREVA group. Content: 1 - Person responsible for the annual report and persons responsible for auditing the financial statements; 2 - Information pertaining to the transaction; 3 - General information on the company and share capital: Information on AREVA, Information on share capital and voting rights, Investment certificate trading, Dividends, Organizational chart of the AREVA group, Equity interests, Shareholders' agreements; 4 - Information on company operations, 5 - New developments and future prospects: Overview and strategy of the AREVA group, The Nuclear Power and Transmission and Distribution markets, AREVA group energy businesses, Front End Division, Reactors and Services Division, Back End Division, Transmission and Distribution Division, Major Contracts, The Group's principal sites, AREVA's customers and suppliers, Human resources, Sustainable Development and Continuous Improvement, Capital spending programs, Research and development, intellectual property and brand name programs, Risk and insurance; 6 - Assets - Financial position - financial performance: Analysis of and comments on the Group's financial position and performance, Human Resources report 2005, Environmental report, Consolidated financial statements, Notes to the consolidated financial statements, AREVA SA Financial statements 2005, Notes to the corporate financial statements; 7 - Corporate governance: Composition and functioning of administrative bodies, Executive compensation, Profit-sharing plans, AREVA Values Charter, Annual General Meeting of Shareholders of May 2, 2006; 8 - Recent developments and outlook: Events subsequent to year-end closing for 2005, Outlook.

377

Comparing Labor Market Performance: Some Stylized Facts and Key Findings  

Comparative evidence based on key labor market performance indicators is discussed for the US, Japan and Europe in a long-run perspective and, especially, showing the impact of the financial crisis and Great Recession. As for Europe, the huge national and regional level differences are highlighted. In addition, some key findings on labor market performance raised by the empirical studies published in this issue are briefly presented in the wider context of the existing literature and their policy implications are explored.

378

PAM under new ownership 'successful start up'; PAM avec de nouveaux actionnaires demarrage reussi  

At the outset of the year 2000, Provencale d'Automation et de Mecanique (PAM) began to regain its confidence, after two difficult years. PAM, located in Saint-Remy-de-Provence, specializes in the design and construction of liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) cylinders filling plants. Since joining the Marseille based Cybernetix group in 1998, PAM's major markets suffered drastic cutbacks: the Asian and Brazilian financial crises dampened opportunities in these traditionally strong markets for PAM. (authors)

379

On the distribution of high-frequency stock market traded volume: a dynamical scenario  

This manuscript reports a stochastic dynamical scenario whose associated stationary probability density function is exactly a previously proposed one to adjust high-frequency traded volume distributions. This dynamical conjecture, physically connected to superstatiscs, which is intimately related with the current nonextensive statistical mechanics framework, is based on the idea of local fluctuations in the mean traded volume associated to financial markets agents herding behaviour. The corroboration of this mesoscopic model is done by modelising NASDAQ 1 and 2 minute stock market traded volume.

380

Hard times, hard choices: technology and the balance of payments. [Monograph  

The Canadian manufacturing industry's inability to compete in world markets is examined. The recommendation is made for stronger legal and financial incentives to stimulate the science and technology that will make Canadian products more marketable. Industrial changes are needed to increase productivity and correct Canada's currency depreciation. To reverse its trade deficit, Canadian industry must become more innovative and technology-intensive. 87 references, 16 figures, 2 tables. (DCK)

 
 
 
 
381

The solar thermal industry goes public to finance dynamic growth  

This article focuses on the financing of the solar thermal industry, and compares the stock of solar industry companies with details of the company, country, economic sector, technology used, market capital, and current share price. The lack of financial information, opportunities to invest in solar companies, preconditions and industry fragmentation, the industrialisation of the solar thermal industry, the promising potential of the solar thermal market environment, and industry consolidation are examined.

382

Debt Dynamics and the Relationship Between Consumption and Cyclical Wealth Changes*  

We analyze the consumption-wealth relationship using a framework that accounts for transitory variation in wealth, and in a setting where transitory variation in household net worth is not dominated by boom and bust cycles in stock markets. We find that a transitory asset wealth increase coincides with a substantial transitory increase in consumption. In addition, we find that gross asset wealth and household debt are positively related. Both findings constitute departures from standard Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH) theory with complete financial markets.

383

European energy demonstration projects  

Energy-conservation demonstrations by Common Market countries combine joint research in coal, nuclear, and alternative energy sources and investment aid from European financial institutions. The joint projects eliminate duplication and channel funding to programs that address common problems, while allowing new technologies to penetrate the market more quickly. Summaries of community involvement include work in hydrocarbons, coal gasification and liquefaction, geothermal energy, solar energy, and energy conservation. (DCK)

384

Learning short-option valuation in the presence of rare events  

We present a neural-network valuation of financial derivatives in the case of fat-tailed underlying asset returns. A two-layer perceptron is trained on simulated prices taking into account the well-known effect of volatility smile. The prices of the underlier are generated using fractional calculus algorithms, and option prices are computed by means of the Bouchaud-Potters formula. This learning scheme is tested on market data; the results show a very good agreement between perceptron option prices and real market ones.

385

The Coalition and the UK Housing Market  

With its origins in the collapse of the US sub-prime market, the global financial crisis might more accurately be termed a global housing crisis. Over the last decade, most developed countries experienced house price inflation; however few matched the UK, whose boom started earlier and was more sustained. A taxpayer-led recovery stopped a UK price correction in its tracks; however it will be argued that these measures only delayed momentum towards a reduced housing market under the Con-Lib Dem coalition.

386

Non-Life Insurance Pricing Statistical Mechanics Viewpoint  

We consider the insurance company as a physical system which is immersed in its environment (the financial market). The insurer company interacts with the market by exchanging the money through the payments for loss claims and receiving the premium. Here in the equilibrium state we obtain the premium by using the canonical ensemble theory, and compare it with the {\\it Esscher} principle, the actuaristic well known formula for premium calculation. We simulate the case of automobile insurance for quantitative comparison.

387

Extracting the exponential behaviors in the market data  

We introduce a mathematical criterion defining the bubbles or the crashes in financial market price fluctuations by considering exponential fitting of the given data. By applying this criterion we can automatically extract the periods in which bubbles and crashes are identified. From stock market data of so-called the Internet bubbles it is found that the characteristic length of bubble period is about 100 days.

388

Gaz de France annual report 2001; Gaz de France rapport annuel 2001  

One of Europe's leading gas utilities, the Gaz de France Group operates in all sectors of the natural gas industry, from exploration and production to energy distribution and services, to respond to customer demand efficiently and achieve sustained and profitable growth. To this end, the Group is organized in five lines of business: exploration and production, supply and trading, transmission, distribution and services. Active in 33 countries, the Gaz de France Group first targets growth in Europe, its natural environment. The opening of energy markets and its position at the center of Europe's gas grids offers the Group many opportunities in trading, transmission for third parties, distribution and services. Since August 10, 2000, Gaz de France has made it possible for other gas operators to access its transmission system. The Group capitalizes on its expertise at the global level as well, in emerging markets like Mexico and in fields in which it has recognized know-how, such as liquefied natural gas (LNG). To ensure this growth and pursue its penetration of European and world markets, the Gaz de France Group implements a policy of cooperation and partnership with other energy sector operators, demonstrates its well-developed ability to innovate and practices a customer-focused organization that offers competitive, tailored services to residential users, companies and local governments. The Group has chosen to pursue this growth through a strategy of sustainable development. By making natural gas more accessible and promoting its uses, Gaz de France integrates demand-side management of energy, fosters human development and ensures environmental protection in France, Europe and the world. This activity report presents: the corporate profile of the group, the international natural gas businesses, the financial highlights, the growth objectives of the group in all its businesses (exploration and production, supply and trading, transmission, distribution, services), its actions for Enhancing consumer satisfaction, the quality and safety priorities, and the sustainable development policy of the group.

389

Gestão da tecnologia: desafios para as pequenas e médias empresas  

Abstract in portuguese Este trabalho discute a gestão da tecnologia ern pequenas e medias empresas tradicionais da área de manufaturados. Ele analisa aspectos estratégicos e operacionais através de um modelo conceitual simplificado, com base em referências bibliográficas e pesquisa exploratória("survey"). Foram detectados alguns aspectos importantes : limitada integração entre planejamento de tecnologia e de produto/mercado; vulnerabilidade tecnológica com relação a direitos de prop (more) riedade industrial; dificuldades financeiras para desenvolvimento, capacitação tecnológica limitada; e limitação de mudanças organizacionais de transição. Uma questão importante seria a construção de mecanismos externos de colaboração para essas empresas, com difusão de práticas da gestão da tecnologia e parceria para desenvolvimento de produtos. Abstract in english This paper discuss the technology management in traditional small and medium enterprises-SMEs of the manufacture sector. It analyses strategic and operational aspects through a simplified conceptual model, with support of bibliographical references and exploratory research(survey). It was detected aspects concerning technology management for those companies: limited integration among technology andproduct/market planning, tecnological vulnerability with respect to rights (more) properties, financial difficulties for development, limited technological capability, and limited organizational transition changes. A important question would be how to construct external mechanisms of collaboration to those emterprises, with appropriate diffusion of practices in technology management and partnerships in integrated product development.

390

Assessment of industry views on international business prospects for solar thermal technology  

This report contains a review of solar thermal industry viewpoints on their prospects for developing international business. The report documents the industry's current involvement in foreign markets, view of foreign competition in overseas applications, and view of federal R and D and policy requirements to strengthen international business prospects. The report is based on discussions with equipment manufacturers and system integrators who have a product or service with potential international demand. Interviews with manufacturers and system integrators were conducted by using a standard format for interview questions. The use of a standard format for questions provided a basis for aggregating similar views expressed by US companies concerning overseas business prospects. A special effort was made to gather responses from the entire solar thermal industry, including manufacturers of line-focus, point-focus, and central receiver systems. General, technical, economic, institutional, and financial findings are provided in this summary. In addition, Pacific Northwest Laboratory (PNL) recommendations are provided (based upon advice from the Solar Thermal Review Panel) for activities to improve US solar thermal business prospects overseas.

391

Making Better Re/Insurance Underwriting and Capital Management Decisions with Public-Private-Academic Partnerships  

Similar to 2001, 2004, and 2005, 2011 was another year of unexpected international catastrophe events, in which insured losses were more than twice the expected long-term annual average catastrophe losses of USD 30 to 40bn. Key catastrophe events that significantly contributed these losses included the Mw 9.0 Great Tohoku earthquake and tsunami, the Jan. 2011 floods in Queensland, the October 2011 floods in Thailand, the Mw 6.1 Christchurch earthquake and Convective system (Tornado) in United States. However, despite considerable progress in catastrophe modelling, the advent of global catastrophe models, increasing risk model coverage and skill in the detailed modelling, the above mentioned events were not satisfactorily modelled by the current mainstream Re/Insurance catastrophe models. This presentation therefore address problems in models and incomplete understanding identified from recent catastrophic events by considering: i) the current modelling environment, and ii) how the current processes could be improved via: a) the understanding of risk within science networks such as the Willis Research Network, and b) the integration of risk model results from available insurance catastrophe models and tools. This presentation aims to highlight the needed improvements in decision making and market practices, thereby advancing the current management of risk in the Re/Insurance industry. This also increases the need for better integration of Public-Private-Academic partnerships and tools to provide better estimates of not only financial loss but also humanitarian and infrastructural losses as well.

392

Partial observation control in an anticipating environment  

A study is made of a controlled stochastic system whose state X(t) at time t is described by a stochastic differential equation driven by Levy processes with filtration {l_brace}F{sub t}{r_brace}{sub telementof[0,T]}. The system is assumed to be anticipating, in the sense that the coefficients are assumed to be adapted to a filtration {l_brace}G{sub t}{r_brace}{sub t{>=}}{sub 0} with F{sub t} subset of equal G{sub t} for all t element of [0,T]. The corresponding anticipating stochastic differential equation is interpreted in the sense of forward integrals, which naturally generalize semimartingale integrals. The admissible controls are assumed to be adapted to a filtration {l_brace}E{sub t}{r_brace}{sub telementof[0,T]} such that E{sub t} subset of equal F{sub t} for all t element of [0,T]. The general problem is to maximize a given performance functional of this system over all admissible controls. This is a partial observation stochastic control problem in an anticipating environment. Examples of applications include stochastic volatity models in finance, insider influenced financial markets, and stochastic control of systems with delayed noise effects. Some particular cases in finance, involving optimal portfolios with logarithmic utility, are solved explicitly.

393

Why is the laboratory an afterthought for managed care organizations?  

Market forces have dramatically influenced the environment in which healthcare is delivered, but these changes do not need to be interpreted negatively by community laboratorians. Only total vertical integration of laboratory medicine can control episode-of-care cost. Opportunities also exist for horizontal integration with community partners to provide geographical coverage and to compete favorably for managed care contracts. Lowering cost through "economies of scale" may apply to the procurement of supplies and equipment, but the delivery of services must be considered in the context of their overall effect on episode-of-care cost. Laboratory services may make up 5% of a hospital's budget but leverage 60-70% of all critical decision-making such as admittance, discharge, and medication. Laboratory outreach can help the medical center's financial stability by: (a) providing tests and service that can reduce or avoid a hospital stay; (b) using the additional volume of testing to distribute existing fixed costs and lower unit cost; and (c) adding revenue as a direct contribution to margin. To successfully compete for contracted managed care services, the laboratory must network with other providers to demonstrate comprehensive access and capacity. Community hospital laboratories perform 50% of all laboratory tests in this country and have adequate excess capacity to fulfill the remaining community needs. PMID:8653920

394

Integrated Deployment Model: A Comprehensive Approach to Transforming the Energy Economy  

This paper describes the Integrated Deployment model to accelerate market adoption of alternative energy solutions to power homes, businesses, and vehicles through a comprehensive and aggressive approach.

395

76 FR 79262 - Self-Regulatory Organizations; The NASDAQ Stock Market LLC; Order Granting Approval of Proposed...  

...with investors, including a corporate governance library containing documents...analytic tool, which integrates corporate shareholder communications, capital market... Governance Services [cir] Board...

396

MOEMS industrial infrastructure  

Forecasters and analysts predict the market size for microsystems and microtechnologies to be in the order of $68 billion by the year 2005 (NEXUS Market Study 2002). In essence, the market potential is likely to double in size from its $38 billion status in 2002. According to InStat/MDR the market for MOEMS (Micro Optical Electro Mechanical Systems) in optical communication will be over $1.8 billion in 2006 and WTC states that the market for non telecom MOEMS will be even larger. Underpinning this staggering growth will be an infrastructure of design houses, foundries, package/assembly providers and equipment suppliers to cater for the demand in design, prototyping, and (mass-) production. This infrastructure is needed to provide an efficient route to commercialisation. Foundries, which provide the infrastructure to prototype, fabricate and mass-produce the designs emanating from the design houses and other companies. The reason for the customers to rely on foundries can be diverse: ranging from pure economical reasons (investments, cost-price) to technical (availability of required technology). The desire to have a second source of supply can also be a reason for outsourcing. Foundries aim to achieve economies of scale by combining several customer orders into volume production. Volumes are necessary, not only to achieve the required competitive cost prices, but also to attain the necessary technical competence level. Some products that serve very large markets can reach such high production volumes that they are able to sustain dedicated factories. In such cases, captive supply is possible, although outsourcing is still an option, as can be seen in the magnetic head markets, where captive and non-captive suppliers operate alongside each other. The most striking examples are: inkjet heads (>435 million heads per year) and magnetic heads (>1.5 billion heads per year). Also pressure sensor and accelerometer producers can afford their own facilities to produce the numbers they want (several millions per year). The crossover point where building a dedicated facility becomes a realistic option, can differ very much depending on technology complexity, numbers and market value. Also history plays a role, companies with past experience in the production of a product and the necessary facilities and equipment will tend to achieve captive production. Companies not having a microtechnology history will tend to outsource, offering business opportunities for foundries. The number of foundries shows a steady growth over the years. The total availability of foundries, however, and their flexibility will, undoubtedly, rely on market potential and its size. Unlike design houses, foundries need to realise a substantial return on the "large" investments they make in terms of capital and infrastructure. These returns will be maximised through mass-produced products aimed at "killer" applications (accelerometers are only one example). The existence of professional suppliers of MOEMS packaging and assembly is an essential element in the supply chain and critical for the manufacturing and commercialisation of MOEMS products. In addition, the incorporation of packaging and assembly techniques at the front-end of the engineering cycle will pay back in terms of financial savings and shorter timescales to market. Packaging and assembly for MOEMS are, in general, more costly than their equivalents for standard integrated circuits. This is, primarily, due to the diversity of the interconnections (which are multi-functional and may incorporate: electrical, optical, fluidic etc). In addition, the high levels of accuracy and the potential sensitivity of the devices to mechanical and external influences play a major role in the cost aspects of the final MNT product. This article will give an overview of the package/assembly providers and foundry business models and analyse their contribution to the MOEMS supply chain illustrated with some typical examples. As we believe that commercial services are the main basis for the breakthrough of MOEMS technology, we only cover commercial package/assembly and foundry services and not the ones offered by universities and research labs.

397

El mercado hipotecario de Estados Unidos: Un análisis a partir de la hipótesis de la inestabilidad financiera de Minsky/ United States' housing market: an analysis from Minsky's financial instability hypothesis  

Abstract in spanish El objetivo de este artículo es presentar una explicación analítica de la crisis en el mercado hipotecario de Estados Unidos, a partir de la hipótesis de la inestabilidad financiera de Minsky. Se sostiene que esta crisis es consecuencia de un proceso especulativo inmobiliario que alentó a las familias a pedir créditos para comprar vivienda y revenderla a un precio mayor. En este caso, las entidades financieras estuvieron en capacidad de proveer liquidez a las famili (more) as que la solicitaban, gracias a las innovaciones financieras que estas instituciones venían realizando desde los años treinta. Sin embargo, Minsky (1992) sostiene a través de su hipótesis de la inestabilidad financiera, que la innovación en los mercados financieros que caracteriza el capitalismo moderno, lleva consigo la fragilidad misma de estos mercados. Abstract in english The purpose of this article is to present an analytical explanation of the American mortgage market crisis, starting from Minsky's financial instability hypothesis. We maintain that this crisis is a consequence of a real state speculative process which encouraged families to borrow in order to buy houses and resell them at higher prices. In this case, the financial entities had the capacity to provide liquidity to the requesting families, thanks to the financial innovatio (more) ns these entities had been introducing since the 1930s. Nonetheless, Minsky (1992) maintains, though his financial instability hypothesis, that the innovation in financial markets that characterizes modern capitalism carries with it the very fragility of these markets.

398

La polarización de la política de salud en México/ Health policy polarisation in Mexico  

Abstract in spanish En los últimos 17 años, la política de salud en México ha transitado de una concepción de atención integral y de extensión gradual de coberturas como responsabilidad del Estado, a través de las instituciones públicas de salud, a una activa promoción gubernamental de la mercantilización de servicios, complementada con una política de beneficencia hacia la población pobre. En esta transformación se identifican tres periodos que se corresponden con los sexenios (more) presidenciales y que expresan tres momentos distintos de la reforma del sector salud: el primero (1982-1988) caracterizado como transicional, el segundo (1988-1994), en donde emerge con claridad la estrategia bipolar de mercantilización y beneficencia y el tercero (1994-2000), en donde las estrategias gubernamentales se orientan a fortalecer los mercados de la salud. Esta reestructuración del sector salud ha sido instrumentada en forma explícita desde 1982 y forma parte del conjunto de reformas secundarias derivadas de la adecuación subordinada del campo social a las políticas de ajuste estructural y a los megaproyectos económicos y sociales impuestos por los organismos financieros internacionales. Abstract in english In the last 17 years, health policy in Mexico has been shifted from a conception of integrated health care and a gradually extended coverage as a major responsability of the State and health care public institutions, to in the one hand, a very active promotion of market and private profit in health services and in the other, poverty relief programs. In this paper we identify different periods corresponding to the last three presidential terms. Each clearly represent diffe (more) rent stages of health sector reform: transitional (1982-1988), mercantilisation and poverty relief (1988-1994) and, strengtheing of the so called health markets (1994-2000). The analised transformation is part of the set of secundary reforms subordinated to the structural adjusment and the economic and social megaprojects impossed by the international financial intitutions.

399

Financial statistics of major US investor-owned electric utilities 1992  

The Financial Statistics of Major US Investor-Owned Electric Utilities publication presents summary and detailed financial accounting data on the investor-owned electric utilities. The objective of the publication is to provide Federal and State governments, industry, and the general public with current and historical data that can be used for policymaking and decisionmaking purposes related to investor-owned electric utility issues. The Financial Statistics of Major US Investor-Owned Electric Utilities publication provides information about the financial results of operations of investor-owned electric utilities for use by government, industry, electric utilities, financial organizations and educational institutions in energy planning. In the private sector, the readers of this publication are researchers and analysts associated with the financial markets, the policymaking and decisionmaking members of electric utility companies, and economic development organizations. Other organizations that may be interested in the data presented in this publication include manufacturers of electric power equipment and marketing organizations. In the public sector, the readers of this publication include analysts, researchers, statisticians, and other professionals engaged in regulatory, policy, and program areas. These individuals are generally associated with the Congress, other legislative bodies, State public utility commissions, universities, and national strategic planning organizations.

400

Instructional Design, Active Learning, and Student Performance: Using a Trading Room to Teach Strategy  

This research used a quasi-experimental design with two conditions to test the impact of active learning in the context of integrated instructional design. The control condition was a traditional approach to teaching an undergraduate strategy capstone class. The intervention condition was an undergraduate strategy capstone class that was designed based on Fink's integrated instructional design principles and that incorporated an active learning element to teach students financial analysis. As part of the instructional design, the intervention representing active learning content was a set of financial trading room assignments. Though there were no differences in standardized test scores measuring total business knowledge, results showed a difference in student performance associated with financial knowledge between students who experienced the active learning intervention condition and students in the traditional control condition. Even when controlling for gender, major, and grade point average, the integrative instructional design using the trading room had an impact on student learning outcomes associated with financial knowledge. (Contains 5 tables.)

 
 
 
 
401

The effectiveness of monetary policy in steering money market rates during the financial crisis  

The financial crisis has deeply affected money markets and thus, potentially, the proper functioning of the interest rate channel of monetary policy transmission. Therefore, we analyze the effectiveness of monetary policy in steering euro area money market rates by looking at (i) the predictability of money market rates on the basis of monetary policy expectations and (ii) the impact of extraordinary central bank measures on money market rates. We find that during the crisis money market rates up to 12 months still respond to revisions in the expected path of future rates, even though to a lesser extent than before August 2007. We attribute part of the loss in monetary policy effectiveness to money market rates being driven by higher liquidity premia and increased uncertainty about future ...

402

Liquidity dynamics across public and private markets  

In this paper we investigate cross-asset liquidity between equity markets and REITs and between REITs and private real estate markets. While many studies have investigated REIT liquidity, and there is an emerging interest in liquidity in the private real estate markets, there appears to be little knowledge of the dynamics of cross-market liquidity. We find lower levels of liquidity for REITs compared to a set of control firms matched on size and book-to-market ratios. Commonality in liquidity is also lower for REITs than the controls and the overall market. However, we do find an important difference in share turnover for REITs, which appears to have a higher level of commonality than found in other studies. We suggest that this may be due to the financial crisis. Additionally we find evid...

403

Influence of the Investor's Behavior on the Complexity of the Stock Market  

One of the pillars of the finance theory is the efficient-market hypothesis, which is used to analyze the stock market. However, in recent years, this hypothesis has been questioned by a number of studies showing evidence of unusual behaviors in the returns of financial assets ("anomalies") caused by behavioral aspects of the economic agents. Therefore, it is time to initiate a debate about the efficient-market hypothesis and the "behavioral finances." We here introduce a cellular automaton model to study the stock market complexity, considering different behaviors of the economical agents. From the analysis of the stationary standard of investment observed in the simulations and the Hurst exponents obtained for the term series of stock index, we draw conclusions concerning the complexity of the model compared to real markets. We also investigate which conditions of the investors are able to influence the efficient market hypothesis statements.

404

The energy turn of the year 2000; Le tournant energetique de l'an 2000  

The new laws on the energies market are going to change the commercial sector of the electric power market in France. The colloquium in two parts ( the 25 and 26 january 2000), constitutes a reflection on the future of this new market. The first part provides papers on examples of european market in Great Britain, Germany and Scandinavia and presents the strategies of marketers. The energy buyers of tomorrow will have to take appropriate risks to keep their competitiveness. The second part provides papers on the place of the cogeneration in this new market. The positive example of the United States and the negative example of the Germany are analyzed. giving answers to economic, legal, financial and technical problems. (A.L.B.)

405

Self-organization of price fluctuation distribution in evolving markets  

Financial markets can be seen as complex systems in non-equilibrium steady state, one of whose most important properties is the distribution of price fluctuations. Recently, there have been assertions that this distribution is qualitatively different in emerging markets as compared to developed markets. Here we analyse both high-frequency tick-by-tick as well as daily closing price data to show that the price fluctuations in the Indian stock market, one of the largest emerging markets, have a distribution that is identical to that observed for developed markets (e.g., NYSE). In particular, the cumulative distribution has a long tail described by a power law with an exponent $\\alpha \\approx 3$. Also, we study the historical evolution of this distribution over the period of existence of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India, which coincided with the rapid transformation of the Indian economy due to liberalization, and show that this power law tail has been present almost throughout. We conclude that the ``...

406

Risk management and portfolio optimization in volatile energy markets  

Characteristics of competitive markets, especially as they relate to the deregulated electricity market, are explained in terms of pricing, contracting, operation, the types of physical and financial products and services, and procurement decisions. The importance of market monitoring, organization monitoring and analysis, the understanding of market dynamics and the impacts of market data, price volatility and risk, and how they affect and are used in decision making are reviewed in some detail. A variety of proprietary task-specific power tools such as the ZE Data Manager, ZE XML Importer, ZE Market Analyzer, ZE Forward Price Models, ZE Trade Manager, and ZE Credit Risk Manager are described, and their application demonstrated. The inter-relatedness of price volatility and risk is discussed, along with the need to understand, monitor, quantify and deal with it on a continuous basis.

407

Colored minority games  

We study the behavior of simple models for financial markets with widely spread frequency either in the trading activity of agents or in the occurrence of basic events. The generic picture of a phase transition between information efficient and inefficient markets still persists even when agents trade on widely spread time-scales. We derive analytically the dependence of the critical threshold on the distribution of time-scales. We also address the issue of market efficiency as a function of frequency. In an inefficient market we find that the size of arbitrage opportunities is inversely proportional to the frequency of the events on which they occur. Greatest asymmetries in market outcomes are concentrated on the most rare events. The practical limits of the applications of these ideas to real markets are discussed in a specific example.

408

Financial market risk and gold investment in an emerging market: the case of Malaysia  

Purpose - The purpose of this paper is to examine the relation between gold return and stock market return and whether its relation changes in times of consecutive negative market returns for an emerging market, Malaysia. Design/methodology/approach - The paper applies the autoregressive distributed model to link gold returns to stock returns with TGARCH/EGARCH error specification using daily data from August 1, 2001 to March 31, 2010, a total of 2,261 observations. Findings - A significant positive but low correlation is found between gold and once-lagged stock returns. Moreover, consecutive negative market returns do not seem to intensify the co-movement between the gold and stock markets as normally documented among national stock markets in times of financial turbulences. Indeed, there...

409

Liquidity risk and stock returns around the world  

The recent global financial crisis demonstrates that market liquidity is a prominent systematic risk globally. We find that local liquidity risk, in addition to the local market, value and size factors, demands a systematic premium across stocks in 11 developed markets. This local pricing premium is smaller in countries where the country-level corporate boards are more effective and where there are less insider trading activities. We also discover that global liquidity risk is a significant pricing factor across all developed country market portfolios after controlling for global market, value, and size factors. The contribution of this risk to the return on a country market portfolio is economically and statistically significant within and across regions.

410

Statistical properties of agent-based models in markets with continuous double auction mechanism  

Real world markets display power-law features in variables such as price fluctuations in stocks. To further understand market behavior, we have conducted a series of market experiments on our web-based prediction market platform which allows us to reconstruct transaction networks among traders. From these networks, we are able to record the degree of a trader, the size of a community of traders, the transaction time interval among traders and other variables that are of interest. The distributions of all these variables show power-law behavior. On the other hand, agent-based models have been proposed to study the properties of real financial markets. We here study the statistical properties of these agent-based models and compare them with the results from our web-based market experiments. In this work, three agent-based models are studied, namely, zero-intelligence (ZI), zero-intelligence-plus (ZIP) and Gjerstad-Dickhaut (GD). Computer simulations of variables based on these three agent-based models were car...

411

Evaluating viral marketing: isolating the key criteria  

Purpose - There has been little evidence of any work undertaken to measure the effectiveness of viral marketing campaigns. This paper aims to report on research undertaken to determine the key criteria that viral marketing practitioners believe should be used to measure the success of viral marketing campaigns. Design/methodology/approach - Semi-structured interviews were undertaken with some of the premier web masters, those leading the development of much of the UK's viral marketing activities. Findings - Two forms of viral marketing were identified, "random" and "placed virals". The paper presents a viral marketing evaluation framework that identifies three key objectives and their particular evaluation criteria. Financial objectives and the need to measure the return on investment were...

412

Colored minority games  

We study the behavior of simple models for financial markets with widely spread frequency either in the trading activity of agents or in the occurrence of basic events. The generic picture of a phase transition between information efficient and inefficient markets still persists even when agents trade on widely spread time-scales. We derive analytically the dependence of the critical threshold on the distribution of time-scales. We also address the issue of market efficiency as a function of frequency. In an inefficient market we find that the size of arbitrage opportunities is inversely proportional to the frequency of the events on which they occur. Greatest asymmetries in market outcomes are concentrated on the most rare events. The practical limits of the applications of these ideas to real markets are discussed in a specific example.

413

Rise and Fall of the First Financial Futures Market in China: The Case of Chinese Government Bond Futures  

Abstract This paper studies the rise and fall of the first financial futures market in China. We compare the characteristics in the Chinese Government bond futures market with those in the US T-bond futures market. They differ in market design and structure, market governance, margin requirements, position limits, delivery process, and the way in which the settlement price is calculated. Furthermore, with a unique dataset, we show that prior to maturities of government bond futures, traders began to accumulate significant amounts of long positions for several selected contracts without the intention to offset, forcing short position holders to either purchase deliverable bonds or offset futures at highly inflated prices, causing higher market volatility and price disequilibrium in both spo...

414

Perspectives of petroleum and petrochemical industry in Saudi Arabia; Perspectives de l`industrie petroliere et petrochimique en Arabie Seoudite. Certitudes et points d`interrogation  

With the actual development of petroleum and petrochemical industry it is obvious that Saudi Arabia goes on to take an important place on the worldwide market; with its part in world reserves but with its determination to keep its place of first world exporter. From the point of view of its petroleum production, financial constraints can delay its expansion.

415

Term structure and cyclicity of value-at-risk: consequences for the solvency capital requirement  

This paper explores empirically the link between French equities returns Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the state of financial markets cycle. The econometric analysis is based on a simple vector autoregression setup. Using quarterly data from 1970Q4 to 2008Q3, it turns out that the k-year VaR of French equ...

416

International Economic Law and ‘Public Reason’: Why Do Governments Fail To Protect International Public Goods More Effectively?  

Is the ineffective protection of international public goods (like an efficient world trading and financial system), and thereby also of interrelated national public goods (like a common market undistorted by anti-dumping laws and other border discrimination), the inevitable fate of humanity? The neg...

417

As luck would have it : innovation and market value in "complex technology" sectors  

How do financial markets respond to firms' efforts at innovation ? To answer this question, we measure innovation by creating a synthetic indicator based on a firm's recent history of R&D expenditure and patent applications. We focus on four 2-digit «complex technology» manufacturing sectors that ha...

418

Passive-solar construction handbook  

The case for solar energy, solar energy principles, site planning, orientation and landscaping, solar access, passive solar systems, components, and design, design calculations, construction details, passive solar cooling, interior applications for passive solar design, financial considerations, and marketing and development of passive solar are covered in the Passive Solar Workbook. (LEW)

419

Albanian households behavior towards the investment alternatives  

The article presents issues related to the investment alternatives for the households and the opportunities offers especially to Albanian families by the financial market. The main part of this study consists in developing empirical models, which can explain the behavior of Albanian individuals to i...

420

Customer Loyalty: A case study of a local bank in Sweden  

Background: The financial services industry is a highly competitive and fragmented market. Firms are realizing the need and advantage of retaining customers rather than only focusing on acquiring new customers. Managers should focus on increasing customer satisfaction and communication levels as wel...

 
 
 
 
421

Development and Demonstration of Energy Savings Perform Contracting Methodologies for Hydroelectric Facilities: Cooperative Research and Development Final Report, CRADA Number CRD-08-309  

This CRADA explores the opportunities and challenges of funding federal hydro dam refurbishment projects through ESPCs. It assesses legal authorities for rehabilitating dams through ESPCs; roles and responsibilities of each party including the dam owner, Power Marketing Administration (PMA), ESCO, and preference customers; potential contract structure and flow of money; measurement and verification processes; risk and responsibility allocation; and financial viability of projects.

422

Small modular biopower initiative Phase 1 feasibility studies executive summaries  

The Phase 1 objective is a feasibility study that includes a market assessment, resource assessment, preliminary system design, and assessment of relevant environmental and safety considerations, and evaluation of financial and cost issues, and a preliminary business plan and commercialization strategy. Each participating company will share at least 20% of the cost of the first phase.

423

Increasing the legal retirement age: the impact on wages, worker flows and firm performance  

Many pay-as-you-go pension systems have increased or plan to increase their legal retirement age (LRA) to address the financial consequences of ageing. Although the success of these policies is ultimately determined at the labour market, little is known about the effects of higher LRAs at the firm l...

424

76 FR 70495 - Proposed Exemptions From Certain Prohibited Transaction Restrictions  

...portfolio managers to financial institutions. OANDA is a market maker and a source for currency data. It has access to one of the...Sammons' shares passed to a charitable remainder trust with his widow Elaine D. Simmons as lifetime beneficiary. In 1997,...

425

Commercial Market Assessment for Crew and Cargo Systems ...  

Apr 27, 2011 ... direct employment or financial sponsorship of a company or government organization. ... industry has done the most analysis on the actual size of the markets and how ..... A strong positive indicator for this growth is the fact that Bigelow ...... However, it is possible to qualitatively assess the outlook for these ...

426

Application of stochastic optimal control to financial market debt crises  

This interdisciplinary paper explains how mathematical techniques of stochastic optimal control can be applied to the recent subprime mortgage crisis. Why did the financial markets fail to anticipate the recent debt crisis, despite the large literature in mathematical finance concerning optimal port...

427

An analytical framework for monitoring and optimizing bank branch network efficiency / E.H. Smith  

Financial institutions make use of a variety of delivery channels for servicing their customers. The primary channel utilised as a means of acquiring new customers and increasing market share is through the retail branch network. The 1990s saw the Internet explosion and with it a threat to branches....

428

Nonstationary increments, scaling distributions, and variable diffusion processes in financial markets  

Fat-tailed distributions have been reported in fluctuations of financial markets for more than a decade. Sliding interval techniques used in these studies implicitly assume that the underlying stochastic process has stationary increments. Through an analysis of intraday increments, we explicitly sho...

429

Hail, Procrustes! Harmonized accounting standards as a Procrustean bed  

This article finds that the use of a harmonized accounting standard, such as the International Financial Reporting Standards, increases the information available to markets only if institutional differences across countries using the harmonized standard are insignificant. In all other cases, harmonization of reporting standards destroys information rather than increasing it. This article also contributes to methodology, introducing techniques for studying nonpartitional information structures.

430

The UK consumption boom of the late 1980s: aggregate implications of microeconomic evidence  

Two competing explanations of the UK consumer boom in the late 1980s are the financial liberalisation-imperfect housing market hypothesis of Muellbauer and Murphy and the expectations hypothesis of King. We use 15 years of Family Expenditure Surveys, and cohort analysis, to investigate to what exten...

431

Stages of the ongoing global financial crisis: Is there a wandering asset bubble?  

This study argues that the severity of the current global financial crisis is strongly influenced by changeable allocations of the global savings. This process is named a "wandering asset bubble". Since its original outbreak induced by the demise of the subprime mortgage market and the mortgagebacke...

432

Cash-Strapped Canadian Universities Seek New Ways To Bring in Money.  

Struggling to manage under reduced public financial support, many of Canada's universities are turning to entrepreneurial projects to provide supplemental income. In addition to conventional means such as real estate development, investment, and marketing, some are shifting ancillary services (conference facilities, residences, food services, bookstores) to profit-making businesses and are privatizing research functions. (MSE)

433

How Bureaucrats and Bean Counters Strangled General Motors by Killing its Brands  

Case Study Purpose To use branding literature to understand the rise and fall of GM’s brands. Design/Methodology/Approach Case analysis using secondary sources covering GM’s brands and products, managerial leadership, and market and financial performance throughout its 100-year history. Findings ...

434

Excess leverage and productivity growth in emerging economies: Is there a threshold effect?  

The paper examines the relationship between leverage and growth in a group of emerging central and eastern European countries, who are at different levels of financial market development. We hypothesize a non-linear relationship in that moderate leverage could boost growth while very high leverage c...

435

European oil markets and networks  

This book is a study on european oil markets and networks which covers 24 european countries. In a second part, a description of the oil industry in the USA and a detailed analysis of the twenty biggest petroleum companies are given. Informations on exploration, production, refining, distribution, financial results, diversification politic and strategy are also offered.

436

Evaluation of socio-economic impacts on the electric power market - Brazil; Avaliacao dos impactos socio-economicos sobre o mercado de energia eletrica - Brasil  

Based on a basic model of financial and economic planning, giving special emphasis to the determining variables, this work proceeded an analysis of the historical aspects of the electric power market facing the economic growth and social and politic events. Also discussed are some aspects concerning environmental protection 7 refs., 1 fig.

437

Control the risks of high-stakes litigation.  

A litigation crisis can be not only a costly jolt to a company's financial health but a disruptive force to company personnel and markets. Here is a blueprint for formulating a contingency plan for dealing with such a crisis. PMID:10111375

438

Hoping for the sun-god; Der Sonnengott soll es richten  

In spite of high insolation and high reimbursement rates, the Greek PV market is developing only slowly. The Papandreou government started a new project, 'Helios', during which solar systems with a total capacity of ten GW will be constructed. This is one of the projects that are intended to help the country in its financial crisis.

439

Civil Tiltrotor Feasibility Study for the New York and Washington ...  

by NASA in the NASA STI Report. Series, which includes the following report types: TECHNICAL. PUBLICATION. ... via the Internet to help@sti.nasa.gov ..... Chapter 6 Market Feasibility. Study ................................................................... 6-1 ...... financial data is all in 1994 dollars. These were normalized to 1999 dollars by use of ...

440

appendix a: ssp full-cost methodology  

budget and financial management databases at varying levels of detail). Civil service ..... may then step in to provide the service if there is a market demand. ( Source: ... might otherwise present too great a risk to contractors, but it provides the ..... Biers, V., Effects of Electricity Deregulation on Nuclear Power Safety [also ...

 
 
 
 
441

Banks' Internationalization Strategies: The Role of Bank Capital Regulation  

This paper studies how capital requirements influence a bank?s mode of entry into foreign financial markets. We develop a model of an internationally operating bank that creates and allocates liquidity across countries and argue that the advantage of multinational banking over offering cross-border ...

442

Continuous-time trading and emergence of randomness, I  

A new definition of events of game-theoretic probability zero in continuous time is proposed and used to prove results suggesting that trading in financial markets results in the emergence of properties usually associated with randomness. This paper concentrates on "qualitative" results, stated in terms of order (or order topology) rather than in terms of the precise values taken by the price processes.

443

Uncertainty relations in models of market microstructure  

This paper presents a new interacting particle system and uses it as a spin model for financial market microstructure. The asymptotic analysis of this stochastic process exhibits a lower bound to the contemporaneous measurement of price and trading volume under the invariant measure in the `frozen' phase of the supercritical regime.

444

Equilibrium pricing in incomplete markets under translation invariant preferences  

We provide results on the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in dynamically incomplete financial markets in discrete time. Our framework allows for heterogeneous agents, unspanned random endowments and convex trading constraints. In the special case where all agents have preferences of the same...

445

Equilibrium Pricing in Incomplete Markets under Translation Invariant Preferences  

We provide results on the existence and uniqueness of equilibrium in dynamically incomplete financial markets in discrete time. Our framework allows for heterogeneous agents, unspanned random endowments and convex trading constraints. In the special case where all agents have preferences of the same...

446

On the density of properly maximal claims in financial markets with transaction costs  

We consider trading in a financial market with proportional transaction costs. We prove that although, in distinction to the frictionless case, the maximal claims are not necessarily priced by any consistent price process (the equivalent of an EMM), the properly maximal claims are, and they are dense in the set of maximal claims (with the topology of convergence in probability).

447

Trading in European Equity Markets: Fragmentation and Market Quality  

The introduction of the European Markets in Financial Instruments Directive (MiFID) ended the quasi-monopoly of national exchanges in equity trading across Europe and enabled alternative platforms, so-called multilateral trading facilities (MTF), to compete for order flow. This thesis analyzes wheth...

448

On the Impact of Fundamentals, Liquidity and Coordination on Market Stability  

Complex interactions between fundamentals and liquidity during unstable periods in financial markets are succinctly modeled with coordination games. We propose a flexible framework to estimate such a model and use the efficient method of moments as estimation procedure. We illustrate the model by us...

449

Exposures and exposure hedging in exchange rate risk management  

Corporations are affected by increasing volatilities on foreign exchange markets. A response to this development was the creation of financial instruments, so called derivatives, in order to protect corporations from the effects of flexible exchange rates. To understand the included risks and to tak...

450

Currency substitution in the economies of Central Asia: how much does it cost?  

Underdeveloped financial markets and periods of high inflation have stimulated dollarization and currency substitution in the economies of Central Asia. Some authors argue that the latter can pose serious obstacles for the effective conduct of monetary policy and can affect households' welfare. This...

451

German bank lending during emerging market crises: A bank level analysis  

This paper studies German bank lending during the Asian and Russian crises, using a bank level data set, which has been compiled from credit data at the Deutsche Bundesbank. Our aim is to gain more insight into the pattern of German bank lending during financial crises in emerging markets. We find t...

452

Export and benefits of hedging in emerging economies  

We study the impact of exchange rate risk upon export production within an emerging economy lacking in currency forward markets. However there exists a financial asset whose price is correlated with the relevant foreign currency. We present conditions under which export production is stimulated when...

453

Classical solutions to reaction-diffusion systems for hedging problems with interacting Ito and point processes  

We use probabilistic methods to study classical solutions for systems of interacting semilinear parabolic partial differential equations. In a modeling framework for a financial market with interacting Ito and point processes, such PDEs are shown to provide a natural description for the solution of hedging and valuation problems for contingent claims with a recursive payoff structure.

454

Economic and technical analysis of electric power substations` control and protection digital systems; Analise tecnico-economica de sistemas digitais de protecao e controle de subestacoes  

This work talks about the entrance of digital technology, in protection and control digital systems for electric power substations, in the Brazilian market. It makes a comparative evaluation between digital and conventional systems. Finally, the authors conclude that the digital systems present a better cost benefit rate considering not only financial but also functional aspects 4 refs., 1 fig.

455

Revenue diversification in emerging market banks: implications for financial performance  

Shaped by structural forces of change, banking in emerging markets has recently experienced a decline in its traditional activities, leading banks to diversify into new business strategies. This paper examines whether the observed shift into non-interest based activities improves financial performan...

456

The supply side of the housing boom and bust of the 2000s  

The boom and subsequent bust in housing construction and prices over the 2000s is widely regarded as a principal contributor to the Financial Panic of 2007 and the subsequent Great Recession. As of this writing, housing market activity remains at depressed levels as the economy slowly resolves the l...

457

A call on Art investments  

The art market has seen boom and bust during the last years and, despite the downturn, has received more attention from investors given the low interest environment following the financial crisis. However, participation has been reserved for a few investors and the hedging of exposures remains dific...

458

The Volatility Costs of Procyclical Lending Standards: An Assessment Using a DSGE Model  

The ongoing financial turmoil has triggered a lively debate on ways of containing systemic risk and lessening the likelihood of future boom-and-bust episodes in credit markets. Particularly, it has been argued that banking regulation might attenuate procyclicality in lending standards by affecting t...

459

The future of securitization  

Securitization is a financial innovation that experiences a boom-bust cycle, as many other innovations before. This paper analyzes possible reasons for the breakdown of primary and secondary securitization markets, and argues that misaligned incentives along the value chain are the primary cause of ...

460

Implications of diverging social and private discount rates for investments in the German power industry: a new case for nuclear energy?  

For power-plant investments, utilities rely after liberalisation on private financial markets, which are in general distorted. The (related) split of social and private time-preference rates provides a new reason for a welfare-enhancing policy intervention, complementary to environmental policy (Hei...

 
 
 
 
461

Do banks diversify loan portfolios? A tentative answer based on individual bank loan portfolios  

Theory of financial intermediation gives contradicting answers to the question whether banks should diversify or focus their loan portfolios. Our aim is to find out which of the two strategies is predominant in the German banking market. To this end we measure diversification for all German banks in...

462

Credit spreads and incomplete information  

A new model is presented which produces credit spreads that do not converge to zero for short maturities. Our set-up includes incomplete, i.e., delayed and asymmetric information. When the financial market observes the company's earnings with a delay, the effect on both default policy and credit spr...

463

Implied correlations of iTraxx tranches during the financial crisis  

Implied Base Correlations of Single-tranche CDOs on standardized Credit Indices such as the iTraxx Europe have been used in the credit derivatives market for price communication. During the financial crisis, implied correlations have been quite volatile indicating the growing fraction of systematic ...

464

Pacific Power annual report 1993. [Australia - New South Wales  

Contains financial and performance information relating to Pacific Power's subsidiary companies, including Newcom Collieries Pty Ltd., Elcom Collieries Pty Ltd., Huntley Colliery Pty Ltd., Mount Arthur South Coal Pty Ltd and MAS Coal Marketing and Finance Pty Ltd. Pacific Power is the trading name of the Electricity Commission of New South Wales.

465

Waiting-times and returns in high-frequency financial data an empirical study  

In financial markets, not only prices and returns can be considered as random variables, but also the waiting time between two transactions varies randomly. In the following, we analyse the statistical properties of General Electric stock prices, traded at NYSE, in October 1999. These properties are critically revised in the framework of theoretical predictions based on a continuous-time random walk model.

466

Fractional calculus and continuous-time finance II the waiting-time distribution  

We complement the theory of tick-by-tick dynamics of financial markets based on a Continuous-Time Random Walk (CTRW) model recently proposed by Scalas et al., and we point out its consistency with the behaviour observed in the waiting-time distribution for BUND future prices traded at LIFFE, London.

467

Applications of statistical physics in finance and economics  

This chapter reviews recent research adopting methods from statistical physics in theoretical or empirical work in economics and finance. The bulk of what has recently become known as 'econophysics' in broader circles draws its motivation from observed scaling laws in financial markets and the abund...

468

Point Processes Modeling of Time Series Exhibiting Power-Law Statistics  

We consider stochastic point processes generating time series exhibiting power laws of spectrum and distribution density (Phys. Rev. E 71, 051105 (2005)) and apply them for modeling the trading activity in the financial markets and for the frequencies of word occurrences in the language.

469

Non-Extensitivity versus informative moments for financial models: a unifying framework and empirical results  

Information-theoretic approaches still play a minor role in financial market analysis. Nonetheless, there have been two very similar approaches evolving during the last years, one in so-called econophysics and the other in econometrics. Both generalize the notion of GARCH processes in an information...

470

Hedge Funds in a Traditional Portfolio : A Quantitative Case Study Made on the Swedish Hedge Fund Market  

Hedge funds are a debated subject in today’s financial industry. During 2008, despite hedge funds absolute return target, the global hedge fund industry showed a negative performance whilst the Swedish hedge fund market performed relatively well in comparison. Many studies have been made investig...

471

Sustainability and property valuation: a risk-based approach  

The proportion of sustainable property in the total building stock remains small. One reason is that the financial added value resulting from sustainability is not sufficiently taken into account in property valuation due to the tendency of valuations to lag behind market trends. This article presen...

472

Review of concepts for the evaluation of sustainable agriculture in Germany and comparison of measurement schemes for farm sustainability  

Within the EU research project SVAPPAS, a method of sustainability measurement based on principles of financial markets, will be tested wrt sustainability issues in agriculture, and further developed. This analysis is oriented to farm level approach based on FADN data. The study goes in two directio...

473

CRRA utility maximization under risk constraints  

This paper studies the problem of optimal investment with CRRA (constant, relative risk aversion) preferences, subject to dynamic risk constraints on trading strategies. The market model considered is continuous in time and incomplete; furthermore, financial assets are modeled by Itô processes. The ...

474

CRRA Utility Maximization under Risk Constraints  

This paper studies the problem of optimal investment with CRRA (constant, relative risk aversion) preferences, subject to dynamic risk constraints on trading strategies. The market model considered is continuous in time and incomplete; furthermore, financial assets are modeled by Itô processes. The ...

475

State of the art in benefit–risk analysis: Economics and Marketing-Finance  

All market participants (e.g., investors, producers, consumers) accept a certain level of risk as necessary to achieve certain benefits. There are many types of risk including price, production, financial, institutional, and individual human risks. All these risks should be effectively managed in or...

476

Thwarted by bureaucracy  

The conditions for PV sector in Italy are excellent - but the financial crisis and bureaucratic hurdles are slowing down growth. In a strategic SWOT analysis, EuPD Research expert Florian Schmidt compares strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and threats of the Italian PV market. (orig.)

477

Localising temperature risk  

On the temperature derivative market, modeling temperature volatility is an important issue for pricing and hedging. In order to apply pricing tools of financial mathematics, one needs to isolate a Gaussian risk factor. A conventional model for temperature dynamics is a stochastic model with seasona...

478

The global financial crisis and the shift to shadow banking  

While most economists agree that the world is facing the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression, there is little agreement as to what caused it. Some have argued that the financial instability we are witnessing is due to irrational exuberance of market participants, fraud, greed, too much ...

479

Contagion effect of financial crisis on OECD stock markets  

In this paper we investigate the contagion effect between stock markets of U.S and sixteen OECD countries due to Global Financial Crisis (2007-2009). We apply Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH model Engle (2002) to daily stock price data (2002-2009). In order to recognize the contagion effect, w...

480

Alan Greenspan, the quants and stochastic optimal control  

Alan Greenspan's paper (March 2010) presents his retrospective view of the crisis. His theme has several parts. First, the housing price bubble, its subsequent collapse and the financial crisis were not predicted either by the market, the FED, the IMF or the regulators in the years leading to the cu...

 
 
 
 
481

The Impact of Economic Crisis on Small and Medium Enterprises: in perspective of Swedish SMEs  

  Problem: Business world has met uncertainty, which settled everywhere: from global financial markets and national economies, to organizations and employees’ minds. As every crisis, this situation came unexpectedly, almost out of a clear blue sky. Sweden, being highly dependent on international dev...

482

Removing systematic patterns in returns in a financial market model by artificially intelligent traders  

The unpredictability of returns counts as a stylized fact of financial markets. To reproduce this fact, modelers usually implement noise terms - a method with several downsides. Above all, systematic patterns are not eliminated but merely blurred. The present article introduces a model in which syst...

483

Corporate governance and current regulation in the German banking sector: an overview and assessment  

This paper gives an overview over corporate governance and banking regulation in Germany. Particular attention is put on legal and regulatory changes that were made in response to the financial market crisis. The paper shows that the changes mainly focus on the remuneration of managers and on furthe...

484

Corporate governance, innovation, and economic performance: a case study on Volkswagen  

In the debate on globalisation of the financial markets and its effect on corporate governance it is often claimed that the pressure for higher rates of return exerted by institutional investors in the name of shareholder value, has led to a fundamental change of company policy among listed companie...

485

Spatial contagion between financial markets: a copula based approach  

Abstract A method is proposed for defining and investigating spatial contagion between two financial markets X and Y by using the information contained in their copula. A practical illustration of the introduced method is also given by examining the presence of contagion among two European stock indices (namely, FTSE 100 and DAX). Copyright 2009 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

486

Parallel journeys: Adam Smith and Milton Friedman on the regulation of banking  

Adam Smith and Milton Friedman are famous for championing Laissez Faire, yet both supported government regulation of the banking system. In both cases their deviation from free market orthodoxy was based on a careful reading of financial history: especially Smith's reading of the Crisis of 1772 and ...

487

Microanalysis and simulation of housing careers: subsidy and accumulation in the UK housing market  

Issues surrounding the financial benefits of owner occupation and how these are related to a variety of socioeconomic and geographical factors are examined through the development of a microsimulation model of the U.K. housing market. Of particular interest are the ways in which different government...

488

The valuation implications of sales growth in start-up ventures  

We examine whether and how investors' reliance on financial information is affected by the rate of sales growth of a start-up venture. We find that investors discern between firms by the extent to which their products are adopted by the market. For firms that failed to increase their sales since IPO...

489

Health information networking via the Internet with the former Soviet Union.  

Because of the severe financial hardships associated with the transition to a market economy in the Newly Independent States (NIS) of the former Soviet Union, the Internet has become a major link to health care resources for many health care workers. In 1992, the University of Illinois at Chicago Li...

490

Why has a ‘little Sweden’ emerged in Brazil? : A study of Swedish direct investments in Brazil  

Not long ago, Brazil was a country with an unstable economic system; inflation and interest rates were high and the political system was corrupt and complex. Still Brazil has for a long time been a successful market for Swedish companies. In São Paulo, the financial center of Brazil, a “little Sw...

491

The Vietnam's Transition Economy and Its Fledgling Financial Markets: 1986-2003  

In this paper, we analyze the context of Vietnam’s economic standings in the reform period. The first section embarks on most remarkable factors, which promote the development of financial markets are: (i) Doi Moi policies in 1986 unleash ‘productive powers’. Real GDP growth, and key economic indica...

492

Genetic Programming for the Induction of Seasonal Forecasts: A Study on Weather-derivatives  

The last ten years has seen the introduction and rapid growth of a market in weather derivatives, financial instruments whose payoffs are determined by the outcome of an underlying weather metric. These instruments allow organisations to protect themselves against the commercial risks posed by weath...

493

Pricing Temperature Derivatives for Munich  

Different weather events play an important role for industries with profits depending on temperature or other weather conditions. A market for trading on temperature events has recently emerged. The traded financial contracts allowing to transfer weather risks are called weather derivatives. The val...